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2026-07-17 11:40
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SpaceX Stock Drops After Starship Hiccup | FMP Stock News | |
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SpaceX IPO earns millions for US Small Business Administration head Kelly Loeffler | FMP Stock News | |
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U.S. Small Business Administrator Kelly Loeffler speaks during a Small Business Summit in the East Room at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., May 4, 2026. REUTERS/Kylie Cooper Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tabSummaryCompaniesLoeffler disclosed two separate SpaceX and xAI investments of $1 million to $5 million eachHer second investment was worth $2.2 million to $25.4 million at the IPO, PitchBook saysAt least 10 Trump administration officials reported SpaceX or xAI holdings on 2025 disclosure formsWASHINGTON, July 17 (Reuters) - U.S. Small Business Administration head Kelly Loeffler multiplied the value of her investment in Elon Musk's SpaceX after she was nominated for the job, earning millions of dollars from the company's record initial public offering, a Reuters review of her financial disclosures showed. Loeffler invested between $1 million and $5 million as of January 3, 2025, in xAI, Musk’s AI and social media firm that has since merged with SpaceX (SPCX.O), opens new tab, according to a required financial disclosure submitted before she became SBA’s administrator. The Reuters Inside Track newsletter is your essential guide during the World Cup. Sign up here. Later in 2025, Loeffler invested again in SpaceX and xAI between $1 million and $5 million, according to a separate financial disclosure covering her investments for all of 2025 that she signed on May 14, 2026. Reuters obtained the form from the SBA on June 12. Loeffler's second investment has not been previously reported. Two independent government ethics attorneys agreed with Reuters' assessment of Loeffler’s disclosure. Cabinet members use ranges to declare the value of their assets on their required financial disclosure forms, and they do not disclose the dates of their investments before taking office. SpaceX is a military contractor for the U.S. government. Federal law, opens new tab prohibits cabinet members from participating in decisions involving a company in which they have a financial interest. Public records do not show a financial relationship between SBA and xAI or SpaceX. xAI was not included on the public list of AI tools, opens new tab used by SBA employees in 2025. Loeffler and her team did not respond to multiple requests for comment about her SpaceX investment. VALUE OF SPACEX INVESTMENT SOARSLoeffler’s bet on SpaceX paid off. The company priced the biggest-ever U.S. IPO on June 12, valuing the space, satellite and AI provider at $1.77 trillion. Her first investment in xAI would have been worth between $7 million and $2.6 billion on the day of the IPO, depending on the exact amount she invested and the date she made it, said Franco Granda, analyst at data provider PitchBook. The second investment would have been worth between $2.2 million and $25.4 million that day, he said. The earlier the investment, the more it would have been worth at the IPO, he said. xAI's valuation increased by more than 7,000% between its first investment round and January 5, 2025. SpaceX's valuation more than doubled in 2025. At least 10 Trump administration officials listed investments in SpaceX or xAI on their 2025 financial disclosure forms. None of those officials works for the Defense Department. Billionaire Musk, a former Trump adviser, is the founder and CEO of SpaceX. Loeffler initially invested in xAI via a private placement, according to her disclosure form. Private placements are typically open to select individuals and institutions with significant financial resources. Loeffler is a wealthy businesswoman. She was the founding chief executive at Bakkt, a bitcoin trading platform, and spent 16 years working at Intercontinental Exchange, the firm that owns the New York Stock Exchange, according to her LinkedIn profile. She is married to Intercontinental Exchange CEO Jeffrey Sprecher. Loeffler briefly represented Georgia in the Senate. The SBA helps entrepreneurs start and build their small businesses, according to the agency website. It connects business owners with lenders and funding to help them recover from natural disasters, among other responsibilities. The Senate confirmed Loeffler as SBA administrator on February 19, 2025. Reporting by Courtney Rozen Editing by Chris Sanders and Rod Nickel Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab Courtney Rozen reports on the world's largest technology companies from Washington, D.C., focusing on the relationship between the tech industry and the U.S. government. She reported on DOGE and the federal workforce during the first year of U.S. President Donald Trump’s second term. Prior to joining Reuters, she was a White House correspondent at Bloomberg Government. She graduated from American University with a master's degree in journalism. Contact: [email protected] |
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2026-07-17 11:40
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2026-07-17 06:05
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SpaceX postponed a crucial launch — now its stock is set to slide even further below the IPO price | FMP Stock News | |
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HomeIndustriesAerospace/DefenseJuly 17, 2026, 6:05 a.m. ETShares in SpaceX were set to slide further below their initial public offering price after the spacecraft manufacturer aborted an attempt to launch its Starship rocket. The Texas-headquartered company’s stock SPCX declined just over 3% in premarket trading on Friday, on the heels of a 3% slide on Thursday, bringing its price down to $126.58 – almost $9 lower than when it launched on the Nasdaq on June 12. The stock is set to lose steam for the fifth day in a row in what was to be the first flight since going public. |
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2026-07-17 11:40
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2026-07-17 06:06
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SpaceX falls further in premarket after Starship test flight aborted | FMP Stock News | |
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SpaceX's stock fell further on Friday, a day after it aborted a test flight for its Starship rocket at the last second, and amid choppy post-IPO trading.The aerospace giant was expected to launch its Starship mega rocket within a 90-minute window at 5:45 p.m. in Texas on Thursday, but an engine ignition failure forced SpaceX to scrub the launch. "Some of the engines didn't start, triggering an automatic launch abort," billionaire founder Elon Musk said in a post on X. "Now offloading propellant. Next launch attempt hopefully in a few days." SpaceX was last seen down 3.5% in premarket trading, after falling more than 3% in after hours trading. Musk later added in a post that 2 Raptors will be removed and replaced, and that a launch is planned again for early next week. Investors are watching the company's rocket tests more closely after it raised a record $85.7 billion in the biggest initial public offering ever in June, pricing shares at $135. SpaceX's shares have soared and dipped since its stock market debut. SpaceX's stock since it went public in June. This was SpaceX's first test flight of Starship V3 since its blockbuster IPO. A previous attempt in May failed after sending the Starship upper stage toward the Indian Ocean. The Super Heavy booster failed to make a controlled landing in the Gulf of Mexico after five of its 33 Raptor engines failed to reignite. The U.S. Federal Aviation Administration ordered an investigation into the mishap and on Monday cleared the company so it could continue its test trials. |
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2026-07-17 09:16
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2026-07-17 03:55
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Should You Buy SpaceX Stock Below $135 Per Share? Here's What History Says. | FMP Stock News | |
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After a hot start following its IPO, Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX 3.08%), better known as SpaceX, has seen its stock price come back down to Earth. The price is now approaching its IPO price of $135 per share.Investors who couldn't get in on the IPO may be wondering whether to buy the stock if it dips below that number. Here's what history has to say. Image source: Getty Images. How well do IPOs hold up over the long run? Most IPO stocks see a pop on their first day of trading. Underwriters intentionally underprice offerings to ensure enough demand to fully allocate the stock offering and guarantee success for the company. Indeed, SpaceX closed its first day of trading about 19% above its IPO price, which is about average based on data dating back to 1960. But most investors aren't interested in SpaceX's short-term outcomes. The company's value is based on its potential to disrupt multiple industries over the long run. The stock should appeal to investors who believe in CEO Elon Musk's ability to build more efficient reusable rockets, expand its satellite constellation, and reshape broadband internet access and artificial intelligence (AI). So, looking at how IPOs usually hold up after at least three years of trading can provide valuable insight. For investors who buy just any new IPO as it comes to market, the long-term results aren't great. Even with a big first-day pop, the average IPO since 1980 (excluding the 1999-2000 dot-com bubble) produced worse returns than the overall market, according to data compiled by professor Jay Ritter. He found that all IPOs produce an average return of 44.2% from their IPO price over three years, but that trails the weighted-average market return by 1.6%. But tech stocks specifically do significantly better. Tech IPOs produced average three-year returns of 73.3%, massively outperforming the market by 25.8%. And if you dig a little bit deeper, big tech stocks with sales exceeding $100 million (adjusted for inflation) perform even better. These companies have delivered an average three-year return of 82.5% and outperformed the market by 43.1%. Even if they're unprofitable, they still produce excess returns of 41.7% on average, according to Ritter's data. In other words, history is on SpaceX's side as a large tech company making its public debut. Still, there are a few reasons to remain cautious about buying SpaceX, even at its IPO price. Today's Change ( -3.08 %) $ -4.16 Current Price $ 131.11 The SpaceX IPO is a special case SpaceX was the largest IPO in history, raising over $85 billion after underwriters exercised their option to buy additional shares. With a valuation of about $1.75 trillion, it's already a massive business. But that valuation puts its price-to-sales ratio above 90. And valuation still matters. According to a University of Florida 2026 study of IPOs, since 1980, only 14 other IPOs have had over $100 million in sales and a price-to-sales ratio above 40. The average three-year return from their IPO price was just 3.1%, trailing the market average by 15.4%. While it's a small sample size, there's a clear correlation between IPO price-to-sales valuation and returns. The lower the valuation, the better the returns. SpaceX has one of the highest price-to-sales ratios in the market. There's additional concern that SpaceX's stock price could be weighed down as lockup periods expire and early investors and employees can sell their shares. Interestingly, the same University of Florida study found that companies that float a smaller percentage of shares (SpaceX offered about 5% of the company's shares) end up outperforming companies that sell a larger portion of the equity at their IPO. That said, there's never been a company the size of SpaceX with so many shares locked up. That's a lot of capital for the market to absorb over the next six months or so. The truth of the matter is that SpaceX is unlike any IPO we've ever seen. Using historical averages to project SpaceX's future stock price can only go so far. The actual results will depend on the same thing that applies to every stock in the market, whether old or new. Will the company perform better than the market expects? If it does, the stock price could outperform the market average. At its current valuation, the market is setting a very high bar for SpaceX to exceed. |
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2026-07-17 09:16
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2026-07-17 04:44
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SpaceX stock slips further after Starship test flight scrub: is the 19% dip a buy? | FMP Stock News | |
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SpaceX shares fell in after-hours trading after closing below their IPO price for the first time on Thursday.The decline came after the company's 13th Starship test flight was aborted less than a second before liftoff. The setback added to investor concerns as bearish bets against the stock continue to rise. The stock dropped about 4.5% in after-hours trading after the launch was scrubbed, extending losses from the regular session when it closed at $131.11, below its June IPO price of $135. The shares are now down roughly 19% since the company's market debut last month. The failed launch comes as investors closely monitor SpaceX's progress in advancing its reusable rocket programme, which is central to its ambitions in satellite internet, lunar exploration and future artificial intelligence infrastructure. Industry experts noted that launch delays and test failures are common during rocket development, though the timing alongside the stock's recent decline has increased investor attention. The Starship rocket was set to lift off from SpaceX's Starbase facility in South Texas when an automatic hold was triggered during engine ignition. The rocket's 33 Raptor engines began firing before the system shut them down moments before launch. "We did trigger a hold on the booster that aborted our liftoff as we were starting to light those Raptor engines," SpaceX spokesperson Dan Huot said during the company's livestream. Chief Executive Elon Musk later confirmed that the launch had been halted because several engines failed to start properly. "Some of the engines didn't start, triggering an automatic launch abort," Musk wrote on X. "To be confident of a good flight, 2 Raptors will be removed & replaced. The most probable launch timing is early next week." Thursday's mission would have marked the first flight of the upgraded Starship V3 configuration since SpaceX completed the largest IPO in US history. The test programme remains under scrutinyThe latest setback follows another imperfect Starship test in May. Although the rocket reached space successfully, multiple engines failed to reignite during the Super Heavy booster's landing sequence, causing it to crash into the Gulf of Mexico. The Federal Aviation Administration subsequently ordered an investigation before clearing the vehicle for another launch earlier this week. "The final mishap report cites the two most probable root causes for the loss of the Super Heavy booster as heat effects on propulsion system components during the ascent and erroneous engine alarm system settings," the FAA said. SpaceX implemented four corrective measures, including software and hardware updates, before Thursday's planned launch. The mission also aimed to deploy 20 next-generation Starlink satellites designed to test new communications capabilities before intentionally burning up during atmospheric re-entry. The weakness in SpaceX shares has coincided with a sharp increase in bearish positioning. According to Ortex Technologies, investors betting against the stock are sitting on approximately $8.7 billion in unrealised profits as the shares have fallen from a post-IPO high of $225.64, Reuters reported. "SpaceX has been a rollercoaster for the short sellers, and it has ended up firmly in their favor," Ortex co-founder Peter Hillerberg said. "Rather than take profits, the bears kept adding the whole way down." Nearly 49% of the company's tradable shares are now on loan to short sellers, according to Ortex, creating the potential for heightened volatility. The research firm estimates that every $1 move in SpaceX shares represents more than $300 million in gains or losses for bearish investors. Much of the recent pressure reflects broader concerns about expensive technology valuations and debt-funded artificial intelligence investments. Analysts remain divided on valuationThe stock's decline has prompted debate over whether the recent correction presents a buying opportunity. Former hedge fund manager Whitney Tilson argued that valuations remain stretched despite the sell-off. "Don't even think about bottom-fishing this one, as it still trades at 92 times trailing revenues," Tilson wrote. "That means it's still nearly 10 times overvalued, given that I think a generous multiple for the stock would be 10 times revenues." Piper Sandler initiated coverage of SpaceX on Thursday with a Neutral rating and a $156 price target. The brokerage said it remains positive on the company's long-term prospects but expects near-term challenges, including staged lock-up expirations, uncertainty surrounding a potential Tesla acquisition, and the substantial capital expenditure required to develop orbital AI data centres. The firm also noted that annual investment requirements could run into tens of billions of dollars before investors gain confidence in the company's long-term strategy. Despite the recent weakness, Wall Street remains broadly optimistic. According to LSEG data, 27 of the 32 analysts covering SpaceX recommend buying the stock, while four have neutral ratings and only one maintains a sell recommendation, suggesting that most analysts continue to view the recent decline as a short-term setback rather than a change in the company's longer-term growth outlook. |
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2026-07-17 09:16
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2026-07-17 04:56
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$10,000 invested in SpaceX stock one month ago is now worth | FMP Stock News | |
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SpaceX stock price has fallen below its initial public offering (IPO) price price just one month after the company’s blockbuster market debut. Investors who bought SpaceX stock at the IPO price of $135 on June 12 would now be sitting on a loss.Namely, a $10,000 investment made at the initial SpaceX IPO price of $135 per share on June 12, 2026, would now be worth approximately $9,706, with the space exploration leader trading just barely above $131 as of press time, July 17. SpaceX 24-hour stock price chart. Source: Finbold The losses come after a rather turbulent first month of trading following the largest IPO in history. Indeed, Elon Musk’s company debuted with an initial valuation of around $1.77 trillion and closed the first trading session with a market capitalization above $2 trillion. In just four days, SPCX shares hit an intraday high of roughly $211 before broader market weakness kicked in and profit-taking and renewed concerns over the company’s valuation sent the stock lower. SpaceX shares fell below their $135 IPO price for the first time on July 15, reaching a session low of $132.28 before recovering to close at $135.27. By press time, the price had gone even lower, to the aforementioned $131. The decline has reduced SpaceX’s market capitalization to approximately $1.72 trillion, a significant retreat from the roughly $2.9 trillion valuation recorded just four days after its debut. Why did SpaceX stock crash? First and foremost, the selloff reflects growing investor concerns regarding SpaceX’s valuation and financial outlook as the company approaches its first earnings report in August. Currently, analysts expect SpaceX to generate between $34 billion and $43 billion in revenue this year, up from $18.7 billion in 2025. However, many investors are on edge as SpaceX recorded a net loss of approximately $4.9 billion in 2025. Shareholders are also watching for a potential increase in selling pressure later in 2026. For instance, insider share unlocks following the upcoming quarterly could expand the public float, allowing some employees to sell portions of their holdings. Looking ahead, SpaceX’s growth is driven by several prospects. The most important of those are its Falcon launch business, expanding Starlink satellite internet network, Starship development, and potential artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure projects. However, the company faces significant execution risks as it invests heavily in these technologies. With its first earnings report as a public company approaching, investors will be watching whether management can turn technological leadership into financial performance strong enough to justify the multi-trillion-dollar valuation and deliver gains to early and future backers. Featured image via Shutterstock Best Crypto Exchange for Intermediate Traders and Investors Invest in cryptocurrencies and 3,000+ other assets including stocks and precious metals. 0% commission on stocks - buy in bulk or just a fraction from as little as $10. Other fees apply. For more information, visit etoro.com/trading/fees. Copy top-performing traders in real time, automatically. eToro USA is registered with FINRA for securities trading. 30+ million Users worldwide eToro is a multi-asset investment platform. The value of your investments may go up or down. Your capital is at risk. Don’t invest unless you’re prepared to lose all the money you invest. This is a high-risk investment and you should not expect to be protected if something goes wrong. Take 2 mins to learn more. Join Finbold's newsroom, become a Sales Executive today! Apply now to join Finbold as a crypto/finance news writer! |
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2026-07-17 02:04
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2026-07-16 19:46
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SpaceX aborts first Starship launch since its massive IPO | FMP Stock News | |
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By You're currently following this author! Want to unfollow? Unsubscribe via the link in your email.SpaceX's first Starship launch since its June IPO was aborted due to engine issues at its South Texas Starbase facility. Steve Nesius/Reuters SpaceX called off its first Starship launch since its massive IPO in June. On Thursday, SpaceX backed away from a launch attempt of its upgraded Starship rocket after an engine issue triggered an automatic abort before liftoff at the company's Starbase facility in South Texas. CEO Elon Musk said in a post on X that "Some of the engines didn't start, triggering an automatic launch abort." He added that the company would try again, "hopefully in a few days." Some of the engines didn’t start, triggering an automatic launch abort. Now offloading propellant. Next launch attempt hopefully in a few days. — Elon Musk (@elonmusk) July 16, 2026 The launch was meant to mark Starship's return to flight weeks after the debut of the V3 vehicle in May. Thursday's test was also the first Starship launch attempt since SpaceX's June 12 public debut, which raised more than $85 billion in what the company described as the largest IPO in history. After briefly reaching a market valuation comparable to Amazon and Microsoft, SpaceX shares have since retreated. The stock closed Thursday below its $135 IPO price. Shares fell more than 4% in after-hours trading following the aborted launch before recovering some of those losses. SpaceX did not immediately respond to a request for comments. Read next Katherine Li You're currently following this author! Want to unfollow? Unsubscribe via the link in your email. Elon Musk SpaceX FAA More |
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2026-07-17 02:04
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2026-07-16 21:15
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AST SpaceMobile vs. Rocket Lab: Which Stock Is The Superior SpaceX Competitor? | FMP Stock News | |
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Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX 3.07%) made headlines when it raised $75 billion from investors in an initial public offering (nearly $86 billion if you include the investment bankers' overallotment). The stock rocketed higher after the IPO, but it has now fallen back down to the $135 IPO price. There are alternatives to consider, such as AST SpaceMobile (ASTS 17.04%) and Rocket Lab (RKLB 11.62%). Here's why you might want to buy one of these stocks over SpaceX.What does SpaceX do? The simple answer is SpaceX does a lot. For example, it builds and launches rockets. In fact, it appears well ahead of the competition in terms of technology, with rockets that return and land after use. Reusing launch rockets materially reduces launch costs. SpaceX also operates Starlink, a satellite-based telecommunication network. And it is building an artificial intelligence business. Image source: Getty Images. This is where things get interesting. SpaceX is a money-losing start-up, but its Starlink business is profitable. As the company clearly spelled out in its IPO prospectus, space launches and AI are burning through cash. You can avoid the money-losing businesses and just focus on the one segment of SpaceX that is profitable, the satellite-based broadband network, if you buy AST SpaceMobile. Today's Change ( -3.07 %) $ -4.15 Current Price $ 131.12 AST SpaceMobile: Not up to speed, but getting close AST SpaceMobile isn't profitable yet, either. However, it operates a satellite-based broadband network. And it is working to expand that network to cover the entire planet. It is getting close to a commercial launch of its network, but there's a vital difference between Starlink and AST SpaceMobile: Starlink's service is bespoke, while AST SpaceMobile is partnered with large cellphone service providers. That means it has a built-in customer base and is likely to hit the ground running when its service starts operating. It still has material spending needs as it works to broaden its geographic coverage, but it also has major telecom partners as supporters. If you are worried that Elon Musk is pulling SpaceX in too many directions, AST SpaceMobile would be a way to focus on the one part of that company that actually makes money today. That said, AST SpaceMobile likely won't be profitable for a while longer, given the huge cost of building and launching satellites. Today's Change ( -17.04 %) $ -11.30 Current Price $ 55.01 Rocket Lab: Everything but the AI One sizable drawback with AST SpaceMobile is that it doesn't launch its own satellites. It has to contract that out to other companies, which means, in some ways, it is at the mercy of its space-focused competitors. Rocket Lab currently builds and launches rockets and makes other space technology. However, it has agreed to buy Iridium Communications (IRDM 4.23%), which operates a space-based broadband network, in an $8 billion deal. That will, effectively, make Rocket Lab a fully integrated space company, just like SpaceX. But it will leave out the AI part of the business, which is currently eating up huge amounts of SpaceX cash. It isn't that Rocket Lab doesn't use AI; it does. But it uses AI internally to support its own business. Today's Change ( -11.62 %) $ -8.86 Current Price $ 67.35 Rocket Lab isn't profitable either, so it, too, is still a money-losing start-up. As with SpaceX and AST SpaceMobile, only the most aggressive investors should consider it. However, it lets you focus on space and avoid getting caught up in the AI hype running through the stock market today. What are you looking to own? When you step back and look at SpaceX, AST SpaceMobile, and Rocket Lab, there are a few big takeaways. First, the only way to get direct access to Elon Musk is to buy SpaceX. If that's what has you interested in space, then stick with the "original." Second, you can focus on the one part of SpaceX that's profitable if you buy AST SpaceMobile. AST SpaceMobile isn't profitable, as it is still building out its satellite business, but it has major partners to help it along. Third, if you want everything but SpaceX's AI business, your best option is Rocket Lab. The caveat here is that it still hasn't completed the purchase of Iridium. If you choose to go this route, you might want to hold off until the deal is consummated. One final consideration here: All three companies are still money-losing start-ups. Only the most aggressive growth investors should probably consider buying any of them. The space sector is still very early in its development, and it is far from clear which companies will be the long-term winners. |
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2026-07-16 23:40
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2026-07-16 17:21
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SpaceX Stock Continues to Drop, Falling Under Its IPO Price—and 42% Below Peak | FMP Stock News | |
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What a short, strange trip it's been. |
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2026-07-16 23:40
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2026-07-16 19:00
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SpaceX Starship rocket aborts before liftoff in 13th flight test attempt | FMP Stock News | |
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Item 1 of 5 The SpaceX Starship and Super Heavy v3 Booster stand at pad 2 at sunrise before its 13th test flight from the SpaceX launch complex in Starbase, Texas, U.S., July 16, 2026. REUTERS/Steve Nesius TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY[1/5]The SpaceX Starship and Super Heavy v3 Booster stand at pad 2 at sunrise before its 13th test flight from the SpaceX launch complex in Starbase, Texas, U.S., July 16, 2026. REUTERS/Steve Nesius ... Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab Read more WASHINGTON, July 16 (Reuters) - SpaceX's (SPCX.O), opens new tab Starship rocket triggered a last-second abort before liftoff for its 13th flight test from Texas on Thursday, postponing the mission by at least 24 hours with the company studying what likely caused the automated scrub. "We did trigger a hold on the booster that aborted our liftoff as we were starting to light those Raptor engines," said SpaceX spokesperson Dan Huot, speaking on the company's live stream. "We'll take some time, dig into what triggered that abort once the booster was igniting to launch, and then we'll figure out what our path forward is going to be." The Reuters Inside Track newsletter is your essential guide during the World Cup. Sign up here. The launch abort came less than a second before Starship's planned 6:45 p.m. ET liftoff from Starbase, SpaceX's company town in south Texas. The rocket's engines ignited but cut off shortly after. Reporting by Joey Roulette; Editing by Chris Reese Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab |
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2026-07-16 23:40
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2026-07-16 19:10
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SpaceX Just Fell Below Its IPO Price. Here's What Happens Next, According to History. | FMP Stock News | |
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All eyes have been on Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX 3.07%) since its explosive initial public offering. The technology and industrial giant may have stirred up so much excitement due to its exciting mix of businesses, the leadership of the ambitious Elon Musk, and the sheer size of the operation. SpaceX raised more than $85 billion after the exercise of an overallotment option to complete the biggest IPO ever.And the company launched with a market value of more than $2 trillion -- the other trillion-dollar stocks, such as Nvidia and Apple, took years to reach such a valuation. SpaceX climbed nearly 20% in its first day of trading and continued to advance over the next few days -- but since that point, the stock has stumbled. And just this week, it fell below its IPO price of $135. What happens next? History offers an answer that's crystal clear. Image source: Getty Images. Cutting costs of rocket launches First, though, let's explore the SpaceX story so far. The company was founded by Elon Musk, also known as the chief executive officer of Tesla, back in 2002, and since then has aimed to drastically cut the costs of rocket launches. SpaceX has been successful so far -- using its reusable rocket technologies, it already reduced costs by 85% in 2010, according to NASA. This year, the company aims to launch its fully reusable rocket Starship with payloads, further advancing toward this goal. In addition to the rocket launch business, SpaceX also operates a connectivity arm called Starlink and an artificial intelligence (AI) unit. Starlink is the main revenue driver so far, bringing in revenue of $11.4 billion last year on total revenue of $18 billion as it grew its subscriber base. The AI unit has major goals, such as developing data centers in space, but so far, it's been a drag on earnings -- this is because it requires enormous investment. Last year, capital spending for the AI business reached $12 billion, driving SpaceX to a net loss. Musk is committed to innovation, and that's something many investors like, and SpaceX aims to be a game changer in its three businesses. That's positive and is attracting growth investors. But it's important to keep in mind that certain goals require the development of complex technology -- and if the technology fails, SpaceX won't reach those goals. Meanwhile, the need to heavily invest could stand in the way of profitability for some time. So investing in SpaceX today involves a certain degree of risk. Some of these elements could have weighed on investors' minds in recent days -- and as a result, weighed on SpaceX's stock performance too. Today's Change ( -3.07 %) $ -4.15 Current Price $ 131.12 A look at past IPOs Now, let's consider what history has to say about what happens next. A look at 10 of the biggest IPOs, including names such as Rivian Automotive and Coupang, shows that eight posted declines in the three months following their launches. And five of them delivered declines in the double-digits. The average drop over the first three months was 13%. If SpaceX follows that pattern and posts the average decline, the stock may finish its first three months of trading at around $139, a few dollars above the IPO price. Of course, it's impossible to predict the exact path of a stock price. And it's important to note that the company's upcoming earnings report could come into play and offer the stock direction. But if history is right, SpaceX could stagnate around current price levels -- since it's already declined more than 13% since the IPO -- over the coming two months. What does this mean for you as an investor? Should you buy SpaceX now that it's fallen to its IPO level? I don't think this will be the first and only opportunity to get in on SpaceX stock on the dip, and generally, it's a better idea to take a look at another earnings report or even two to monitor the company's progress before buying. Though very aggressive investors may consider adding a few shares of SpaceX to their portfolios now, most investors should hold on for a future buying opportunity. |
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SPCX Falls Below IPO Price: What's Behind Price Action & Outlook Impact | FMP Stock News | |
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Taha Ahmed talks about Wall Street's largest IPO, SpaceX (SPCX), after shares of the Elon Musk-led firm came back to Earth, now trading below the stock's initial IPO price of $135. He points to the company's future aspirations as the crux of bullish momentum, meaning any hit to its outlook will create ripple effects in the stock. |
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SpaceX at $135: Why You Should Buy SpaceX Ahead of the Planned Starship “Explosion” | FMP Stock News | |
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This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.© Richard Sagredo / Shutterstock.com SpaceX (NASDAQ:SPCX | SPCX Price Prediction) trades at $135.27, and the setup ahead of Starship Flight Test 13 is worth examining closely. The stock has round-tripped back to its $135 IPO price after peaking above $225, and the pullback collides with a developmental launch that prediction markets are already treating as a fireball. SPCX gives public-market investors direct exposure to Elon Musk’s launch, Starlink, and defense franchise. The business dominates U.S. orbital launch cadence, anchors the Space Force’s National Security Space Launch Phase 3 awards, and operates a satellite broadband network that has become core infrastructure. The stock’s pullback reflects a 29.73% one-month drawdown tied to a global tech rout and rising anxiety about the next Starship test, rather than a fundamental miss. Why the Discount Is the Opportunity At current levels, buyers pick up SpaceX at its offering price while the company’s addressable market widens. Analyst consensus sits at $242.22, implying 79.06% upside, with 7 Buy, 3 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings. The spread reflects growing conviction on Starlink monetization and defense contracts. The bull case runs through iterative design. As Defiance ETFs CIO Sylvia Jablonski put it, “SpaceX is a multi-platform infrastructure company involved in launch, communications, defense, and AI connectivity, with Starlink poised to exceed expectations.” Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas notes SpaceX is now held by approximately 200 ETFs, a structural bid that did not exist at IPO. Every successful Starship iteration pulls forward the reusability curve that Falcon 9 took roughly seven years to mature. Why the Fireball Scares the Market Bears see a company priced for perfection heading into a launch that Polymarket handicaps at an 89% probability of explosion. The chopstick booster catch sits at just 0.65%, and Flight Test 12 resolved with a booster explosion. The Atlantic argued SpaceX’s IPO was driven by capital hunger for the AI race, not fundamentals, tagging the stock with a bearish sentiment score of -0.382899. CNBC flagged that the average post-IPO buyer is nearly underwater, and the one-week decline of 8.79% shows the selling continues. Why Patience Has a Case The hold argument is timing. Polymarket assigns a 55.5% probability of SPCX closing above $130 by month-end and only a 36% probability above $140. If the booster disintegrates on camera, retail flows may push shares lower before recovering. Waiting for the post-launch result avoids buying into a headline-driven downdraft. _________________________________ What's Your Number...?Here's a question most people 5y from retirement can't answer: at your current savings rate, how much do you need, and how long will it actually last? A good advisor can put a date on that in a single meeting. SmartAsset's free quiz matches you with up to three fiduciary advisors serving your area, so you can get YOUR retirement number now (sponsor) __________________________________________ What the Numbers Say SPCX trades at $135.27 against an $242.22 consensus target across 11 covering analysts, an implied 79.06% upside. The dislocation shows in recent performance: SPCX is down 29.73% over the past month while the S&P 500 is essentially flat, and down 8.79% in the past week against a 1.26% gain for the index. Sentiment is bifurcated. Of 14 recent news items, 8 skewed bullish and only 1 bearish, yet the composite sentiment index reads 42.07, neutral. Prediction market crowds have run a 66.7% correct rate on prior SPCX resolutions, with a tendency to underestimate upside. The Verdict: Front-Run the Panic At $135, SpaceX is a Buy. The path to appreciation runs through interpretation. A planned termination, hypersonic breakup, or intentional ocean crash counts as an explosion on Polymarket, but on SpaceX’s engineering scorecard it is a data-gathering step toward rapid reusability. When the smoke clears and the next iteration flies weeks later, the 29% drawdown starts to look like a mispriced entry. The near-term catalyst is the launch itself, with 95% probability of flying by July 31. Medium term, Starlink monetization and awarded launch tranches under the NSSL and Space Development Agency pipelines carry the fundamental story. What invalidates the thesis: a total-loss event that grounds the fleet for quarters, or a Starlink competitor closing the gap on cost per bit. Purchasing SpaceX at its IPO price the week retail expects a fireball is the sort of positioning that analyst desks typically endorse only after the outcome is known. If You’ve Been Thinking About Retirement, Pay Attention (sponsor) Retirement planning doesn’t have to feel overwhelming. The key is finding expert guidance, and SmartAsset’s simple quiz makes it easier than ever for you to connect with a vetted financial advisor. Here’s how: Answer a Few Simple Questions. Get Matched with Vetted Advisors Choose Your Fit Why wait? Start building the retirement you’ve always dreamed of. Get started today! (sponsor) Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections. |
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2026-07-16 18:52
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Elon Musk's SpaceX Merged With xAI. Here Is How They Plan to Dominate With Orbital Data Centers. | FMP Stock News | |
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Early this year, Elon Musk pulled off the biggest corporate merger ever, folding his artificial intelligence (AI) start-up, xAI, into Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX 2.76%) in a deal that valued the combined company at roughly $1.25 trillion. Musk was blunt about the reason: He wants to build data centers in space. It sounds like science fiction, but the plan is surprisingly specific.Today's Change ( -2.76 %) $ -3.73 Current Price $ 131.54 SpaceX is calling its data center plan Starmind The SpaceX project has a name, Starmind, and it involves a satellite called AI1 that functions as an orbiting server rack, delivering around 150 kilowatts of peak computing power. The satellite spans about 70 meters tip to tip (wider than a Boeing 747), and it is equipped with chips that run xAI's Grok models. SpaceX's roadmap for this project calls for two prototype AI1 satellites to launch in early 2027, with production ramping toward roughly 1 gigawatt of orbital compute per year by late 2027, and commercial operation potentially beginning in 2028. SpaceX has asked regulators for permission to eventually field a constellation of up to 1 million such satellites, ferried up by its reusable Starship rocket, with a single mission deploying 30 to 50 satellites at a time. Image source: Getty Images. Why space could beat the ground The logic is that space solves the two problems choking terrestrial AI data centers: power and heat. In orbit, solar panels catch sunlight nearly around the clock, without cloudy days or grid limits, and the cold vacuum of space lets satellites radiate heat away without the enormous amounts of water and electricity that ground-based cooling demands. No land to buy, no local utility to fight, and no neighbors to placate. Fusing xAI's models with SpaceX's launch, satellite, and Starlink networking expertise under one roof is Musk's bet that vertical integration can make orbital compute real before anyone else. Here's the honest counterweight: This is still largely a dream. Dissipating that much heat in a vacuum is genuinely hard, radiation degrades electronics, and you can't send a technician to fix a broken server 300 miles up. The costs are staggering, and it's worth noting that xAI was burning billions of dollars and needed SpaceX's deep pockets, which was as much a driver of this merger as any orbital vision. Timelines this ambitious tend to slip. The takeaway for investors For anyone eyeing SpaceX, orbital data centers are best understood as a long-shot option stacked atop the real business, launch and Starlink, rather than a proven moneymaker. If Starmind works, it could open a vast new market and justify the towering valuation. If it doesn't, SpaceX still has its core franchise. Treat the space-compute dream as an upside to hope for, not a reason to buy on its own. |
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Why investors ignore SpaceX and OpenAI losses | FMP Stock News | |
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The next generation of AI leaders could soon become public companies, and Wall Street may not be ready. Brian Sozzi sits down with Robinhood Chief Investment Officer Stephanie Guild and Chief Brokerage Officer Steve Quirk to discuss what potential IPOs from SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic could mean for investors, why AI infrastructure spending continues to reshape markets, and whether public markets have enough liquidity to absorb the next wave of technology giants. |
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SpaceX Is Nearing Its IPO Price. Time to Buy? | FMP Stock News | |
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Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX 2.82%) fell to a low of just below $138 per share in the July 13 trading session. This means that just over a month after the stock's initial public offering (IPO), it has almost fallen to its IPO price of $135 per share as of the time of this writing.Nonetheless, despite the fact that average investors can now buy the communication stock near the IPO price, investors still have good reason to stay away, and here's why. Image source: The White House. The state of SpaceX stock Admittedly, SpaceX stock is potentially an attractive holding. Its founder, Elon Musk, is one of the great innovators of our time, and his automobile and AI company, Tesla, made some smaller investors wealthy. Today, SpaceX dominates the private market for rocket launches, and its Starlink segment is the largest provider of satellite internet services. Also, if initiatives such as data centers in space succeed, SpaceX is likely to make investors wealthier. The problem for investors is that the stock already prices in years of growth. Part of that is its $1.8 trillion market capitalization. That is probably too large a size to repeat the 24,600% lifetime gains in Tesla, whose current market cap of $1.5 trillion is below that of SpaceX. Today's Change ( -2.82 %) $ -3.81 Current Price $ 131.46 Moreover, much of the reason SpaceX has reached this market value is that it trades at a trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of about 96 as of this writing. Bullish investors are likely eyeing forecasts for 108% revenue growth in 2026 and 86% the next year. However, if its stock price stays the same, that would mean a 46 forward P/S ratio and a forward one-year sales multiple of 25. High-growth stocks tend to trade at sales multiples in the teens and twenties, implying the price is at least two years ahead of itself. Furthermore, analysts expect Micron Technology to grow revenue at 247% this year and 81% in 2027. Yet, it sells at a trailing P/S ratio of 12. Micron is a fundamentally different business, so it is far from a perfect comparison. Still, it leaves investors wondering why they should pay SpaceX's massive growth premium when other stocks offer faster growth at a fraction of its valuation. Avoid SpaceX Considering its growth and valuation, SpaceX still appears too richly valued, even as it nears the IPO price. Musk has built a track record of success, making SpaceX stock a desirable holding, objectively speaking. But the company's market cap shows how average investors did not get to capitalize on SpaceX's growth in the same way they benefited from Tesla. Companies like Micron show that investors can buy comparable revenue growth at a fraction of SpaceX's massive premium. Ultimately, time will tell how low SpaceX stock can go. Still, until investors can buy SpaceX at a lower cost, they should probably avoid the stock. |
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2026-07-16 16:28
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Elon Musk's Memphis Takeover — The Marvels And Messiness Of SpaceX's AI Buildout | FMP Stock News | |
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Elon Musk's xAI, now known as SpaceXAI following a merger with SpaceX, has made the Memphis, Tennessee area the center of its AI ambitions. XAI is building three data centers there, as well as a power plant in Southaven, Mississippi. |
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Short sellers rack up $8.7 bln profit as SpaceX slips below IPO price -Ortex | FMP Stock News | |
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A billboard of SpaceX is pictured on the day of SpaceX's initial public offering (IPO) at the Nasdaq MarketSite, in New York City, U.S., June 12, 2026. REUTERS/Jeenah Moon/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tabCompaniesNEW YORK, July 16 (Reuters) - Short sellers targeting SpaceX (SPCX.O), opens new tab shares are sitting on an estimated $8.7 billion in paper profit since the rockets-to-AI firm's initial public offering last month, as its stock slipped below the IPO price, according to data and analytics firm Ortex Technologies. Short sellers, who borrow shares to sell them and later buy them back at a lower price for a profit, have pressed their bearish bets on SpaceX as the company's shares slipped toward its IPO price of $135 from a post-IPO high of $225.64. The Reuters Inside Track newsletter is your essential guide during the World Cup. Sign up here. SpaceX shares have been volatile, experiencing brief bouts of strength before slipping back. On Wednesday, the stock dropped below its initial public offering price for the first time before recovering to close just above that level. "SpaceX has been a rollercoaster for the short sellers, and it has ended up firmly in their favor," Ortex co-founder Peter Hillerberg said. "Rather than take profits, the bears kept adding the whole way down." Almost half of SpaceX's tradable shares, about 49% of the free float, are now out on loan, according to Ortex. "We believe most of that is short selling," Hillerberg said. SpaceX did not immediately respond to a request for comment. SpaceX's lofty valuation makes it a target for short sellers skeptical of its rich price tag, but strong retail and institutional interest as well as CEO Elon Musk's history of public battles against short sellers make bearish bets against the company a risky proposition. The weakness in SpaceX shares reflects in part investor concern over debt-funded AI spending. The stock's sizable short position could inject further volatility into the shares, with every dollar SpaceX shares move worth more than $300 million to the short side, Ortex estimates. That means the stock could swing hard in either direction. SpaceX shares were up about 1% to $136.28 on Thursday. Reporting by Saqib Iqbal Ahmed; Editing by Mark Porter Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab |
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Short sellers load up against SpaceX as stock retreats back to IPO price | FMP Stock News | |
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Short sellers are rapidly increasing their bets against SpaceX, driving bearish positioning to nearly one-third of the company's public float as the struggling stock hovers around its IPO price.About 185 million SpaceX shares are now sold short, representing roughly 29% of the company's publicly tradable float and about $25 billion in bearish wagers, according to S3 Partners. The position has ballooned from an estimated 40 million shares, or roughly 5% to 7% of the float, just three weeks ago. "We are seeing continuous demand from short sellers building speculative positions since the IPO," Matthew Unterman, head of research at S3, told CNBC. The surge in short interest comes as SpaceX shares have struggled after an initially strong debut. The stock has fallen about 20% in July and briefly slipped below its $135 IPO price on Wednesday for the first time. The stock last traded around $136 apiece. SpaceX one month The bearish positioning comes ahead of a closely watched lockup schedule that could substantially increase the number of shares available for trading over the coming months. SpaceX's initial public float represented only about 5% of its roughly 13 billion shares outstanding, leaving the vast majority of stock still subject to lockup restrictions, according to KeyBanc Capital Markets. KeyBanc estimated the first major unlock could come around the company's second-quarter earnings report, when about 11% of outstanding shares may become eligible for sale. Additional tranches of roughly 4% each are scheduled to be released beginning around day 70 after the IPO, followed by further unlocks tied to performance milestones and third-quarter earnings, the firm said. The largest block remains Elon Musk's stake, representing about 42% of shares outstanding, which is locked up until June 2027. The company's 13th Starship test flight is slated for Thursday, an catalyst that could influence sentiment toward the shares. |
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2026-07-16 16:28
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Why SpaceX Could Be a Bigger Gainer Than SK Hynix | FMP Stock News | |
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This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.Sometimes, good things come to those who wait. For those who were able to hold off from buying a few shares of Space Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ:SPCX | SPCX Price Prediction) on day one, there’s now a chance to buy at around the $135 per-share IPO price. If the sell-off continues, perhaps investors will be able to snag shares at closer to $100 per share. Either way, SpaceX has fallen out of favor in a big way, and not even table-pounding analysts or jaw-dropping price target projections have been enough to send the shares sustainably higher. Indeed, the shares did land on the public markets at a very expensive valuation. And, as I predicted earlier, encouraging investors to avoid buying shares on day one (they ended up fluctuating around $160 per share) while also citing AI-related CapEx fears spreading to the name eventually, even as the Nasdaq 100 fast-tracked the name for entry. Could it be that traders have moved onto the newer IPO with SK Hynix (NASDAQ:SKHY), even though SpaceX touched down on the public market just over a month ago? Maybe, maybe not. But either way, I think SpaceX stands out as the far more explosive growth play than the likes of SK Hynix, which seems to have landed in U.S. markets at a time when the semiconductors and DRAM trade are about to suffer a correction, or worse, a vicious bursting of the bubble, as capital rotates from the sellers of “picks and shovels” to the users that will unearth all that gold (think the hyperscalers that were previously punished for spending so much on AI data center buildouts). SK Hynix is hitting the ground running, but semis are in a tough place right now In any case, SK Hynix is backed up, and it seems like even an aggressive expansion won’t result in enough memory chips to go around come 2028. While the supercycle has been fierce, I don’t see it as continuing forever, and that’s a major reason why the semis have been under pressure in recent weeks. With Fed chair Kevin Warsh likelier than not to increase interest rates, at least in my view, I think the risk of a CapEx pullback could really hit semi stocks hard, well before any confirmation of slowing AI demand is in the books. Sure, the picks and shovels have sold incredibly well. But if there’s not as much gold out there, you simply shouldn’t expect people to keep buying. July 16 is the Final Day to Tap Into the Lithium Boom (sponsor) General Motors, POSCO, and 50,000+ everyday investors have already backed lithium producer EnergyX. Here's why you should do the same before their July 16 investment deadline: lithium prices are up 75% this year, with demand projected to grow a staggering 5X by 2040. With tech that can recover up to 3X more lithium than traditional methods, EnergyX is preparing to unlock up to 15M+ tons. Become a private-stage EnergyX investor before the July 16 deadline. While I do think a ton of gold will be unearthed as firms look to unlock AI-driven value, while some firms set monetary milestones to hit (most notably, the big banks), the big question is how many shovels and picks one person needs to dig up the gold. In any case, SK Hynix could be looking at $330.00 per share if Barclays’ forecast comes to fruition. There’s a $900 price target on SpaceX floating out there! Between tight supply over the foreseeable future and surprise potential, there certainly exists a path that could see shares gain close to 88% from here. At the same time, though, I think the bull-case target of $900 per share on SpaceX is the most jaw-dropping. That’s a multi-bagger gain for investors who can pick up a few shares at around the IPO price. Of course, a lot of things need to go right and on time for the firm, as SpaceX looks to sell orbital AI compute while pushing a rush to the relatively untapped off-Earth economy. In my humble opinion, those orbital data centers don’t just need to work, but they’ll need to work well. That means solar power will be enough while the data centers stay cool in space. And, of course, maybe SpaceX will need to sell out of the compute as it seeks to become the only space hyperscaler. In addition, we’ll need to see successful Starship launches and rapid advancement over at xAI as Grok looks to push closer to the frontier. Of course, there isn’t much room for error, as SpaceX looks to crash or skyrocket based on every new development. Just like flying into space, SpaceX shares aren’t going to be for everyone. Meet America's Newest $1b Unicorn (Sponsor) A US startup just passed a $1 billion private valuation, joining billion-dollar private companies like OpenAI and ByteDance. Unlike those other unicorns, you can invest in EnergyX right now; but only until July 16. Over 50,000 people already have, along with global giants like General Motors and POSCO. Here's why there's so much interest: EnergyX's patented tech can recover up to 3X more lithium than traditional methods. That's a big deal, as demand for lithium is expected to 5X current production levels by 2040. Become an early-stage EnergyX shareholder before the 7/16 investment deadline. Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections. |
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2026-07-16 16:28
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SpaceX's Starship Test Is Really About The Launch After The Launch | FMP Stock News | |
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According to JPMorgan, the real test of Starship Flight 13 won’t end when the rocket leaves the launch pad—or even when it returns to Earth. The bigger question is whether SpaceX is getting closer to flying the same rocket again, and again, and again.That’s the milestone that could ultimately determine whether Starship transforms from an engineering marvel into the economic engine behind SpaceX’s long-term growth. Launching Isn’t The Hard PartFlight 13 is expected to carry 20 Starlink V3 satellites, test improvements to the Super Heavy booster and attempt an in-flight relight of one of Starship’s upper-stage engines. The mission also marks the second flight of the company’s latest V3 configuration, which is expected to power future Starlink deployments, lunar missions and eventually next-generation AI satellite infrastructure. Those are important milestones. But JPMorgan argues they’re not the ones investors should focus on. Instead, Seifman says one of the biggest questions remains how quickly SpaceX can inspect, refurbish and fly Starship’s second stage again after surviving the extreme heat and stress of re-entry. That makes the performance of the vehicle’s thermal protection system—and the time required to prepare it for another mission—arguably more important than whether Thursday’s launch goes according to plan. The Economics Of ReusabilitySpaceX has never hidden its ambition. The company wants to launch Starship dozens of times next year, hundreds of times in 2028 and eventually thousands of times annually. That vision depends less on building rockets than on rapidly reusing them. The distinction matters for investors. A rocket that flies once remains an expensive engineering project. A rocket that can be turned around quickly begins to resemble an airline fleet—capable of lowering launch costs, increasing capacity and dramatically improving the economics of satellite deployment. That’s why JPMorgan says future milestones such as catching Starship’s upper stage with the Mechazilla launch tower will be impressive, but not necessarily the most important. The bigger question is how soon that same vehicle can fly again. The Next Milestone To WatchFlight 13 will provide plenty of data on Starship’s technical progress, from engine performance to heat-shield durability. But the next catalyst for investors may arrive well after the launch webcast ends. If SpaceX can prove that Starship’s upper stage can be recovered, refurbished and returned to service on increasingly shorter timelines, it would strengthen the business case behind one of the company’s biggest long-term ambitions: making access to space as routine as commercial aviation. That’s the launch after the launch that Wall Street may ultimately care about most. Image via Shutterstock Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs © 2026 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved. To add Benzinga News as your preferred source on Google, click here. |
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2026-07-16 11:56
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Buy ASTS, Watch SpaceX and Rocket Lab From the Launch Pad: Piper Sandler's Space Playbook | FMP Stock News | |
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RKLB stock is sinking. See the chart and price action here. In its inaugural "Final Frontier" industry note, the firm argues that vertically integrated launch players like SpaceX and Rocket Lab are "probably best‑positioned over a multi‑year period,” but says the cleaner one‑year risk‑reward sits with ASTS and its satellite‑to‑smartphone story.ASTS – Overweight, $100 Price TargetAST SpaceMobile is pitched as the pure‑play on turning everyday smartphones into satellite phones via direct‑to‑device broadband, not just SOS text messaging. "ASTS isn’t going directly to the consumer, but is instead offering service through existing carriers," the note says, arguing that MNO partnerships both reduce customer‑acquisition friction and harden the moat against Starlink’s competing direct‑to‑cell push. The firm’s $100 price target rests on a 20x 2031 EV/EBITDA multiple, discounted back at 15%, with upside tied to faster‑than‑modeled subscriber uptake and higher attachment rates. The main overhang, the analysts concede, is Starlink’s ability to undercut pricing by launching its own constellation at cost. SPCX – Neutral, $156 Price TargetSpaceX is initiated at Neutral with a $156 target and described as "a space stock, but really an AI play," reflecting Piper’s view that the real prize is orbital AI data centers and low‑cost tokens powering a multitrillion‑dollar AI applications market. "We believe in upside over multiple years," they write, "but over a 1‑year term, we’re hesitant," noting that discounted cash‑flow work is "hard" when the end markets for space‑based AI and connectivity are still highly nebulous. RKLB – Neutral, $83 Price TargetRocket Lab also lands at Neutral, with an $83 target and a narrative that casts it as the most credible "No. 2" launch and space‑systems player behind SpaceX. Piper highlights Rocket Lab’s "hardcore engineering" culture under founder and CEO Peter Beck, nearly 90 successful Electron orbital launches and the forthcoming reusable Neutron rocket as evidence it is solving "the hard problem: rockets" and nudging the industry toward a duopolistic launch structure. At the same time, space systems already account for roughly two‑thirds of FY25 revenue, and the planned Iridium acquisition adds a 66‑satellite LEO narrowband network with recurring voice and data revenue, giving Rocket Lab a three‑legged stool of launch, spacecraft and services. "Unfortunately, RKLB isn’t a secret," the analysts caution, pointing out that the stock trades at a premium revenue multiple versus SpaceX and is likely to "track along with SPCX in the coming year" rather than generate independent alpha, even if Neutron milestones, Space Development Agency wins and government backlog all break right. Photo: Shutterstock This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors. Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs © 2026 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved. To add Benzinga News as your preferred source on Google, click here. |
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Is SpaceX's stock a bust because it fell below $135? Look what happened after Meta's IPO. | FMP Stock News | |
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HomeInvestingStocksMark HulbertMark HulbertClose to half of major IPOs sink below their offering price — and stay there for several years. Here’s why SpaceX is no different.July 16, 2026, 12:12 p.m. ETSpaceX shares SPCX dipped below their $135 initial public offering price this week — and were about 30% below their mid-June peak. And there’s a good chance that they will be no higher in three years. That’s according to data compiled by University of Florida finance professor Jay Ritter. Among all large IPOs between 1975 and 2021, the shares of close to half were below their IPO price on their third birthdays. (The exact figure is 44.5%.) And if we base SpaceX’s odds on all the IPOs in Ritter’s database, regardless of size, there’s a 56.1% probability of the stock being below water in June 2029. |
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Will SpaceX Be a $9 Trillion Stock by 2027? | FMP Stock News | |
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Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX +1.14%), also known as SpaceX, is a polarizing stock. One one side of the fence, you have people touting the company's massive opportunities in space exploration, satellite broadband, and artificial intelligence (AI), while on the other side, people point to its deep bottom-line losses and astronomical valuation.Wall Street coverage has started out strong, and one analyst thinks the stock is going to reach $800 over the next 12 months, a 488% gain from Tuesday's closing price. If that were to happen, SpaceX would be valued at $8.7 trillion, making it the most valuable company in the world, at least based on the current market caps of its megacap peers. Here's why I don't think that's going to happen. The $28 trillion opportunity SpaceX has grouped its operations into three business units since its merger with xAI earlier this year. Its core mission is to put people and payloads into space, and develop multiplanetary living. To that end, it's the largest rocket launcher in the world, working with both private and government clients. Elon Musk fans are excited about this revolutionary vision, and since Musk has been involved with several transformational companies in the past, including Tesla and PayPal Holdings, they're confident about his prospects in this case, too. Image source: The Motley Fool. The other two segments, satellite broadband and AI, work in tandem with the space business. SpaceX already has more than 9,600 satellites in low Earth orbit, where they provide broadband internet connectivity in regions that lack other alternatives. Musk also envisions putting data center satellites in space, powered by the sun, to support the growth of AI. Management has pegged the company's total addressable market at $28 trillion, and Wall Street is excited about the opportunity. Raymond James analyst Brian Gesuale (the one who put that $800 price target on the stock) pegs it at $30 trillion and initiated coverage of SpaceX stock with a strong buy rating. "Just as railroads, electric grids, and the Internet reshaped prior economic eras," he said, "we believe SpaceX is building the foundational platform for the next generation of industrial capacity." Why it doesn't look likely SpaceX may or may not have such a massive addressable market -- which would be larger than any country's gross domestic product except that of the United States -- and in the near term at least, it's not demonstrating signs of reaching it. The company as a whole has been reporting healthy, but not dramatic, growth. It's also reporting losses, and as it starts adding stock-based compensation to its expenses, those losses may widen before they contract. Today's Change ( 1.14 %) $ 1.54 Current Price $ 136.81 In Q1 2026, total revenue increased 15% year over year to $4.7 billion, with a $2 billion loss. Both the space segment and the AI segment are losing money, although the Starlink satellite business reported a $1.2 billion operating profit in the quarter. These kinds of numbers don't indicate a stock that's going to increase more than fourfold over the next year, and so far, the stock has been falling. I'd take the sell-side analyst's optimistic view with a very large grain of salt. |
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Cathie Wood's ARK Buys SpaceX Stock Ahead of Starship Test 13. | FMP Stock News | |
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Four ARK Invest funds bought SpaceX stock on Wednesday. |
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What a $1,000 Investment in SpaceX Could Be Worth in 2030 | FMP Stock News | |
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Over the last few years, Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX +0.90%) has undergone an interesting transformation from pioneering rocket launches to a more diversified infrastructure business. With its recent initial public offering (IPO), SpaceX blends established space capabilities with emerging connectivity and compute operations, positioning the company for substantial scale by 2030.Against this backdrop, a $1,000 investment in SpaceX stock today could deliver meaningful upside under reasonable growth and valuation assumptions, though final outcomes hinge on successful execution across its various segments. Image source: Getty Images. Breaking down SpaceX's current business profile SpaceX operates three unique segments: The space business centers on launch cadences from the Starship system, Starlink's connectivity network provides low-orbit broadband, and the company offers AI infrastructure by leasing compute capacity and developing new frontier models. Starship's mission is to lower the cost of reaching orbit through rocket reusability. By doing so, SpaceX unlocks new applications in satellite deployment and space manufacturing. Meanwhile, Starlink provides high-speed internet through its rapidly growing satellite constellation, serving both consumers and enterprises expanding mobile and direct-to-cell capabilities. Lastly, the AI segment division builds and monetizes advanced compute infrastructure, including terrestrial data centers and future orbital systems. According to SpaceX's S-1 filing, the company generated $18.7 billion in total revenue in 2025. The connectivity segment, driven by Starlink, generated roughly $11.4 billion in sales and stood out as the only profitable segment, with operating income of $4.4 billion. Starlink's profitability is supported by recurring subscription revenue from a growing subscriber base exceeding 10 million. The space segment generated $4.1 billion in revenue but recorded an operating loss of $657 million, largely due to heavy investment in Falcon reusability and ongoing research and development (R&D) expenses. Meanwhile, the AI segment contributed $3.2 billion in revenue but posted a substantial operating loss of $6.4 billion amid higher cloud computing costs and infrastructure build-outs. Today's Change ( 0.90 %) $ 1.22 Current Price $ 136.49 What is SpaceX's revenue outlook through 2030? Projections from Wall Street analysts largely reflect strong growth potential across each of SpaceX's core segments. The consensus bullish view is supported by Starlink's subscriber expansion, Starship-enabled launch volume increases, and ongoing scaling of AI compute demand. Some of the higher revenue outlooks among analysts come from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. Goldman projects SpaceX's total revenue will reach $474 billion by 2030, while Morgan Stanley provides a somewhat more measured view at roughly $330 billion. Clearly, these figures represent a dramatic step change from SpaceX's current base -- assuming successful execution on rocket reusability, Starlink constellation growth, and compute commercialization. What will SpaceX stock be worth by 2030? Let's have some fun with numbers. In the scenarios below, I'll apply a range of price-to-sales (P/S) multiples to the 2030 revenue estimates detailed above. By doing so, we can calculate a wide range of implied market capitalizations. The valuation multiples reflect varying degrees of investor optimism: 10x for a more mature business, 15x as a blended base case, and 25x for sustained hypergrowth akin to disruptive technology platforms. Under Morgan Stanley's $330 billion revenue scenario, SpaceX's implied market cap ranges from $3.3 trillion to $8.25 trillion. Relative to the company's current market capitalization of approximately $1.8 trillion, these equate to upside potential between 83% and 358%. Under these conditions, a $1,000 investment today would be worth roughly $1,830 at the low end and $4,580 at the high end. Using Goldman's higher revenue projection, the outcomes improve even further. SpaceX's future market cap could reach anywhere between $4.7 trillion and $11.8 trillion. This would turn a $1,000 initial investment into approximately $2,611 (161% upside) to $6,555 (556% upside), respectively. These scenarios illustrate the sensitivity of future returns based on revenue and the underlying multiple investors apply. While Starlink's profitability and recurring revenue provide a visible foundation for growth, and improvements across Starship and AI infrastructure can support a premium multiple, risks surrounding execution, competition, and capital intensity remain. Even though a $1,000 position held through 2030 could deliver meaningful gains under favorable conditions, smart investors should weigh the variety of possible outcomes before pouring into SpaceX stock. |
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Sam Altman Just Criticized SpaceX's Data Centers in Space. Is the OpenAI Founder Right? | FMP Stock News | |
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At first blush it would be easy to assume it's just another rekindling of the online feud between two celebrity CEOs that's been on-again/off-again since early last year.Just for the sake of certainty, though, it can't hurt to put a public suggestion to the test. And as it turns out this time, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman may have a legitimate concern about Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX +1.14%) founder and chief executive Elon Musk's plans for putting artificial intelligence (AI) data centers in space. Image source: Getty Images. What was said Putting AI data centers in space is not quite as ridiculous as it sounds. An average-sized earthbound data center can span several football fields. They also generate enormous amounts of heat that must be addressed, but such cooling consumes even more electricity, which can still create heat while simultaneously polluting the planet. Putting AI data centers in orbit potentially addresses both problems. Not only is space inherently cold, but beyond the Earth's atmosphere, solar energy is abundant. And, the technology needed to make this idea work technically exists. Turning the idea into a cost-effective reality at a meaningful scale, however, is much easier said than done. In fact, Altman doesn't expect SpaceX to do it anytime soon, if ever. In a July 11 post on the social media platform X aimed at Musk, Altman wrote: homeboy you're the one selling public market investors on short-term space datacenters It's a reference to the filing made prior to SpaceX's recent initial public offering, which (among other things), indicates "SpaceX's reusable rockets, scaled satellite manufacturing, and operational expertise can enable the cost-effective and rapid deployment of massive AI compute satellite constellations -- with potentially millions of satellites -- for orbital data centers." And, never say never. Musk's response of "We start flying them next year," however, may gloss over some important realities. Today's Change ( 1.14 %) $ 1.54 Current Price $ 136.81 Chief among these realities is that the reliability and reusability of SpaceX's so-called Starship isn't exactly ironclad. For that matter, the booster lifting the reentry vehicle into space isn't exactly mishap-free enough to load up with hundreds of millions of dollars' worth of AI computing equipment just yet, either (although it is getting markedly better). The degree of reliability and sheer launch capacity Musk is talking about is still years away. To this end, as Altman has commented in more than one recent interview, he doesn't see space-based AI data centers as a relevant option for at least the next several years, simply due to the technical challenges involved, such as making repairs or cost-effectively putting them into orbit in the first place. Never mind the scarcity of the bandwidth and spectrum needed to wirelessly deliver all of the digital data that orbiting AI data centers would be creating. Plan on a long wait Looking past the personality clash on display here, Altman's assessment is more right than it's wrong -- the logistical challenges of turning space-borne artificial intelligence data centers into a meaningful, profitable business are enormous. They'll almost certainly be resolved in time. Musk, however, has already demonstrated a penchant for overpromising and underdelivering as he turned Tesla into the EV powerhouse it is today. Just keep in mind that Musk did eventually do it. The tough part for Tesla shareholders was just the unexpectedly long wait. |
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The world's most valuable IPO, SPCX, is now Wall Street's most shorted new stock | FMP Stock News | |
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SpaceX has become one of Wall Street's biggest targets for short sellers just weeks after completing the largest initial public offering in history, as investors increasingly bet that the Elon Musk-led company's blockbuster valuation could come under pressure.The stock briefly slipped below its $135 IPO price on Wednesday before recovering to close at $135.27, marking the first time it has traded below its debut price since listing on the Nasdaq last month. Shares have now fallen about 10% over the past five trading sessions. According to data compiled by S3 Partners, short interest in SpaceX has climbed to 181 million shares, representing 28% of the company's 646 million-share tradable float. Bloomberg reported that this is the highest level ever recorded for a newly listed company during its first month of trading. Unrealised gains for short sellers have already reached approximately $3.88 billion. The pace of bearish positioning has accelerated sharply. In the past week alone, investors added approximately 37 million shares worth about $5 billion to short positions. S3 Partners' head of predictive analytics, Ihor Dusaniwsky, said the recent weakness in the stock, combined with the approaching expiry of insider lockup restrictions, has encouraged additional bearish bets. "Recent share price weakness, combined with the approaching lockup expiration, is further stimulating short-selling demand," Dusaniwsky said. The decline in SpaceX's shares comes after its highly anticipated IPO valued the company at about $2.1 trillion following its first day of trading. Despite the recent pullback, the company still trades at around 49 times expected revenue, making it one of the most expensive large-cap technology companies on Wall Street. By comparison, fellow Musk-backed company Tesla trades at roughly 15 times expected revenue. Investors have also become more cautious after SpaceX raised $25 billion through the bond market last month to finance the expansion of its artificial intelligence infrastructure. The move added to broader concerns that aggressive AI-related capital spending across the technology sector could pressure future returns, particularly if interest rates remain elevated. "The stock's retreat seems to be a combination of profit-taking, valuation reassessment and the unwinding of extremely bullish positioning following one of the most anticipated listings in recent years," said Daniela Hathorn, senior market analyst at Capital.com in a Reuters report. Investors are preparing for two key catalysts that could increase volatility over the coming weeks. The company is expected to conduct its 13th Starship test flight, while second-quarter earnings are anticipated during the first week of August. Attention is also turning to the expiry of lockup restrictions for insiders. Although SpaceX completed the largest IPO in US history, less than 5% of its outstanding shares were made available for public trading, creating a scarcity that helped propel the stock following its debut. As lockup restrictions begin to expire, millions of additional shares could enter the market, potentially increasing selling pressure. Despite the recent correction, Wall Street remains broadly optimistic on the company's long-term prospects. According to LSEG data, 27 of the 32 analysts covering the stock recommend buying it, while four maintain neutral ratings and only one has a sell recommendation. However, several high-profile investors and analysts have come to reiterate their bearish stance after the stock price decline. Former Fidelity Overseas Fund manager George Noble told Business Insider that investors should "expect the price to completely crash." "I think it could be half over the course of the year," Noble said, adding that he believes a fair value for the shares is around $30, implying a decline of roughly 78% from current levels. Jay Ritter, the economist widely known as "Mr. IPO" for his research on public listings, said he had considered shorting SpaceX before its market debut and was not surprised by the recent decline. CFRA analyst Keith Snyder has also maintained his sell rating since the IPO. "I am still negative on the valuation at these levels and haven't seen anything that would change the story for me," Snyder told Business Insider, adding that only substantially stronger growth would alter his view. A Reuters analysis of 50 major US IPOs since 2010 found that companies whose shares fell below their IPO price within the first two months of trading generally went on to underperform those that remained above their offering price, although most still delivered positive long-term returns. |
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SpaceX Falls Back to $135 IPO Price But Raymond James Thinks The Stock Is Going To The Moon | FMP Stock News | |
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This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.SpaceX (NASDAQ:SPCX | SPCX Price Prediction) trades at $135.27, sitting right on its $135 IPO price from June. The average Wall Street price target sits at $242.22, implying 79.06% upside from current levels. That gap widens when you notice the outlier. Raymond James analyst Brian Gesuale carries an $800 price target, implying roughly 491% upside from current levels. His thesis reframes SpaceX from a rocket company into a generational industrial platform, with a $10.5 trillion implied valuation tied to Starship economics and decentralized AI compute sold from orbit. SpaceX went public on NASDAQ on June 12, 2026 in the largest capital raise in history, raising $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. The stock opened at $150, ripped past $225, and has since given all of it back. A Round Trip Back to the IPO Price in Five Weeks SPCX has fallen 29.73% over the past month, wiping out every dollar of post-IPO gains and sending the newly minted mega cap back to its offering price. That qualifies as a violent unwind for a company that briefly carried a $2 trillion-plus valuation. The selloff stemmed from profit-taking after retail piled in (over $70 billion in demand chased a limited float), broader tech-sector weakness, and growing valuation skepticism as the market chewed through what The Atlantic called a company “untethered from traditional corporate finance metrics.” A muted reaction to NASDAQ-100 inclusion confirmed the mood had shifted. The bear case has real substance. CFRA opened coverage at $115, sitting below where the stock trades today. Reddit’s biggest recent SPCX post is titled “The math isn’t mathing on the SpaceX IPO.” Why the Sell Side Is Sticking With the Bull Case Coverage skews decisively bullish, with 7 Buy ratings, 3 Holds, and 1 Sell. The pitch rests on Starlink, Starship, and the newly bolted-on xAI compute business as three distinct S-curves that public markets have never underwritten together. With implied upside above 40%, the analyst thesis deserves careful reading. Raymond James’s Gesuale is the most aggressive voice, modeling $837 billion in company revenue by 2031 if Starship reaches full reusability. That math depends on a second stage that lands and reflies, which SpaceX plans to attempt in the back half of 2026. The near-term bridge is compute. Sell-side revenue models now flex from $18 billion in the S-1 toward roughly $62 billion next year on Colossus GPU rental deals with Anthropic ($1.25 billion per month) and Google ($920 million per month). If SpaceX’s first post-listing quarterly report (due late this month) validates the run rate, the $242 average target moves within range. The Peer Group Sold Off Together, but SPCX Fell Hardest Every US-listed space peer sold off with SPCX, though none matched the drawdown. July 16 is the Final Day to Tap Into the Lithium Boom (sponsor) General Motors, POSCO, and 50,000+ everyday investors have already backed lithium producer EnergyX. Here's why you should do the same before their July 16 investment deadline: lithium prices are up 75% this year, with demand projected to grow a staggering 5X by 2040. With tech that can recover up to 3X more lithium than traditional methods, EnergyX is preparing to unlock up to 15M+ tons. Become a private-stage EnergyX investor before the July 16 deadline. Rocket Lab (NASDAQ:RKLB) trades at $76.20, down 30.25% over the past month. Its consensus target sits at $116.57, implying 52.98% upside, with 14 Buys and 3 Holds. Analysts view Rocket Lab as the cleaner Neutron and defense story. AST SpaceMobile (NASDAQ:ASTS) sits at $67.58, off 24.28% over a month, with a $81.47 target and 20.55% upside. Coverage is more balanced at 2 Buys, 7 Holds, and 2 Sells after a nasty Q1 double miss. The largest analyst-implied upside in the group belongs to SPCX. Wall Street treats the primary name as the most dislocated stock in a dislocated sector. What the Numbers Actually Show SPCX trades at $135.27 against a consensus target of $242.22, for 79.06% implied upside across the 11 analysts covering it. The stock is down 29.73% over the past month and 8.79% in the past week. Over the same one-month window, the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) was essentially flat, and it has posted a 10.69% year-to-date gain. SPCX-specific pressure drove the move while the broader market stayed roughly flat. The Rocket Company vs. the Space Data Center The case for SpaceX here rests on whether Starlink and Starship execution alone justify a return to $200-plus. That path is credible: reusable second-stage progress, index buying, and a first earnings report showing the Anthropic and Google run rates would rebuild momentum quickly. The more cautious view questions the Raymond James thesis. The $800 target depends on space-based data centers requiring roughly 200 Starship launches per gigawatt, unproven repair economics, and pricing power that CoreWeave-style comps at $63 billion do not obviously support. Ninety-day cancellation clauses on the biggest GPU contracts add fragility to the boldest case. The balanced read is cautiously constructive at the IPO price, skeptical of the moonshot target. A $242 consensus with a hard Starship catalyst on the calendar is reasonable risk/reward. Underwriting $800 requires believing SpaceX becomes the internet’s power grid. That’s a story that warrants seeing the second-stage recovery test before paying for. Meet America's Newest $1b Unicorn (Sponsor) A US startup just passed a $1 billion private valuation, joining billion-dollar private companies like OpenAI and ByteDance. Unlike those other unicorns, you can invest in EnergyX right now; but only until July 16. Over 50,000 people already have, along with global giants like General Motors and POSCO. Here's why there's so much interest: EnergyX's patented tech can recover up to 3X more lithium than traditional methods. That's a big deal, as demand for lithium is expected to 5X current production levels by 2040. Become an early-stage EnergyX shareholder before the 7/16 investment deadline. Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections. |
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Cathie Wood's Ark Invest Bought Over $51 Million of SpaceX Stock Last Week | FMP Stock News | |
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It's been barely over one month since Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX +0.90%), popularly known as SpaceX, debuted on the Nasdaq stock exchange. In that short span of time, Cathie Wood's high-profile Ark Invest has continually increased its holdings of the company. None of the exchange-traded funds (ETFs) run by the investment and asset management firm has yet to sell a single share of the Elon Musk-led company.Let's take a glance at these most recent buy-ins. Image source: Getty Images. SpaceX is finding a place in multiple Ark ETFs Last week, Wood and her team were avid buyers of SpaceX. On Tuesday, Ark Invest dipped its toes in the water as the stock hit its post-IPO lows, snapping up 44,196 shares valued at around $6.6 million. The following trading session saw the investment firm buy a much larger pack of 181,847 shares for roughly $27 million. Putting a cap on the week, on Friday, Ark snapped up 116,971 at around $17.8 million. Per the famous firm's habit with large-scale buys, it allocated its brand-new SpaceX shares among several of its future-focused ETFs: 220,715 found their way into the Ark Innovation ETF (ARKK 2.12%), the Ark Autonomous Tech & Robotics ETF (ARKQ 1.86%) took in 70,531, and the Ark Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW 1.59%) absorbed 28,763. Somewhat incongruously, the Ark Space & Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX 1.98%) brought up the rear with 23,005 shares. Today's Change ( 0.90 %) $ 1.22 Current Price $ 136.49 Ark has been a long-term investor in SpaceX for longer than most of us. That's because the firm began accumulating the company's shares even before the IPO, through its Ark Venture Fund (ARKVX +0.04%), which invests in businesses before they list on stock exchanges. It still holds them to this day. This, along with massive buy-ins on the stock's first day of trading and subsequent continuous purchases, has led certain Ark ETFs to amass impressively large stakes. With the above-mentioned transactions, the tally for the four non-Venture ETFs now stands as follows: ETFNo. of sharesTotal valueArk Innovation1,946,984$296 millionArk Autonomous Tech & Robotics836,475$127 millionArk Space Exploration & Innovation481,706$73 millionArk Next Generation Internet366,817$56 million Data source: Ark Invest as of July 10, 2026. Note: The total value figures are rounded estimates. Ark likes that SpaceX is 4 businesses in 1 Collectively, Wood and Ark love nothing less than a company pushing hard into the future, and that's one of the great appeals of SpaceX stock. It's a space exploration business, a developer of both artificial intelligence (AI) technology and the hardware that powers it, an important satellite communications company, and the operator of social media platform X (formerly Twitter). While most of these businesses are cutting-edge and exciting, only one (the connectivity unit anchored by the Starlink satellite business) posted an operating profit last year. That came in at $4.4 billion. Meanwhile, another -- AI -- booked an extremely deep loss of nearly $6.4 billion. SpaceX, as a company, is a mishmash of businesses that aren't necessarily synergistic. The space and AI units (the latter of which includes X) are likely to continue posting losses, possibly for years. That's sure to sap the considerable strength of the connectivity division's satellite operations. Personally, I'd be much more cautious about investing in SpaceX than Wood and her team. |
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2026-07-16 11:40
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This Renowned Investor Sees 80% Downside in SpaceX Stock. Is He Right? | FMP Stock News | |
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Renowned investor George Noble didn't mince words when it came to Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX 0.59%), saying that its initial public offering (IPO) was "built to separate retail investors from their money." Noble, who ran Fidelity's first international fund, estimates the stock has a fair value of about $30; that would mean about 80% downside as of this writing. Although I don't think the stock will fall to those levels, I do agree that SpaceX is extremely overvalued, and I would stay away from its shares.Noble noted that SpaceX's early gains were largely a "manufactured squeeze," made possible by the company selling less than 5% of its shares and then getting the popular Nasdaq-100 index to rewrite its rules to include it early, without meeting normal requirements. He added that the IPO was one of the largest wealth transfers ever packaged into a fanciful story, and that the impending lock-ups, letting early investors sell shares, would be a catalyst to drive down the stock price. Calling Starlink a "wonderful business" worth hundreds of billions of dollars, Noble said that it was the only part of SpaceX's story that wasn't science fiction, but that it was worth much less than $2 trillion, roughly SpaceX's current market value. He finished up by saying, "This is the most grossly overpriced stock at scale that I have ever seen." Today's Change ( -0.59 %) $ -0.81 Current Price $ 135.27 A stock valued on hopes, dreams, and unrealistic expectations SpaceX's satellite internet business, Starlink, is currently the company's only profitable operation. I agree with Noble that Starlink is a nice business, but worth nowhere near $2 trillion. It can offer internet services to airlines, and provide gap coverage to mobile providers in remote areas. However, Starlink is unlikely to become a full-fledged mobile operator without actually buying one. There are technical and regulatory hurdles; one of the biggest is that satellite internet doesn't work well in modern office buildings, because of their construction. The service would also be overwhelmed in large cities and suburban areas. That means that Starlink is a nice business, but not one that will take over the world by any stretch. One of SpaceX's big ambitions is to build data centers in space, which Elon Musk recently said could happen next year. It won't. Once again, the technology is not there for this to happen within the next year. Chips need to be developed that will not be compromised by cosmic radiation, and systems need to be developed that could handle cooling artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure in the vacuum of space. Other proposed businesses, like asteroid mining and terrestrial cargo transportation, also face obstacles. The extraction tools for mass asteroid mining still need to be developed, and the economics are uncertain, as bringing mass quantities of a raw material to Earth could crash those markets. Meanwhile, one-hour cargo journeys here on Earth would face safety, regulatory, and infrastructure hurdles -- and would likely require cooperation between the U.S. and China to make them feasible, a prospect that seems unlikely anytime soon. Many of SpaceX's ambitions also center around the Starship initiative, the company's huge next-generation reusable rocket platform. Starship's 13th test flight is scheduled for July 16, but the rocket is not planned to reach full Earth orbit, and whether the company can recover both stages remains unclear. Image source: The Motley Fool. If Elon Musk had a history of underpromising and overdelivering, it would be easy to see why investors would be excited about SpaceX stock, but the opposite is true. Musk's stated deadlines for projects such as colonizing Mars, a hyperloop connecting Los Angeles to San Francisco, Tesla's Optimus robots, and Tesla's autonomous-driving and robotaxi services have all been badly missed. In fact, an analysis by The New York Times tracking over 600 of his public predictions and commitments found that fewer than 20% were delivered on schedule. For a growth stock whose price is solely based on the future, that's not the track record I'd want to see. Investors will likely keep the stock price higher than it should be, but I still wouldn't want to buy into it right now. |
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Space startup funding holds near record highs as SpaceX IPO draws new investors | FMP Stock News | |
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Starship 40 rolls out of the SpaceX production facility toward the launch pad as preparations continue for the 13th test flight of the Starship spacecraft and the Super Heavy v3 booster in... Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab Read moreSummaryCompaniesSpace startups raised about $7.5 billion across 141 venture deals in Q2Investors are watching whether Blue Origin raises about $10 billion, Seraphim Space saidSpaceX listing drew investors beyond specialist funds into the sectorJuly 16 (Reuters) - Global investment in space startups was near record levels in the second quarter, buoyed by investor enthusiasm following SpaceX's (SPCX.O), opens new tab nearly $86 billion initial public offering, according to a Seraphim Space report on Thursday. The landmark listing has broadened investor interest beyond traditional space-focused funds, reinforcing the industry's emergence as a mainstream asset class. Jumpstart your morning with the latest legal news delivered straight to your inbox from The Daily Docket newsletter. Sign up here. It has also supported larger financing rounds for companies developing launch systems, satellite networks, defense technologies and other orbital infrastructure. "We've seen a clear increase in investor interest over the past year, which has been supported by the SpaceX IPO, but also reflects broader investor recognition of the commercial maturity of the sector," said Lucas Bishop, investment analyst at the British investment firm. "We are seeing increased inbound from investors with limited or no prior space exposure, who are now looking to build positions in the category." While Bishop said the first half of 2026 represented an exceptional period for fundraising and quarterly totals may fluctuate, he said the industry's underlying investment drivers remained strong. Investors said interest was also increasingly focused on companies serving defense and national security customers, as well as businesses developing in-space computing capabilities, reflecting expectations that governments and commercial customers will boost spending in those areas. Space companies raised about $7.5 billion across 141 venture funding deals in the second quarter, compared with a record $8 billion across 159 deals in the previous quarter. "We are now seeing investors put more money into larger funding rounds for established space businesses. That will mean there's more capital for companies that have already proved their technology works, that there's clear demand, and that now's the time to scale," said Felix von Schubert, executive partner at NewSpace Capital. Investors will be watching whether Jeff Bezos' Blue Origin completes its reported plan to raise about $10 billion. The transaction could become among the largest private fundraises in the sector's history and extend one of the strongest periods of capital formation the commercial space industry has seen. Reporting by Akash Sriram in Bengaluru; Editing by Shreya Biswas Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab Akash reports on technology companies in the United States, electric vehicle companies, and the space industry. His reporting usually appears in the Autos & Transportation and Technology sections. He has a postgraduate degree in Conflict, Development, and Security from the University of Leeds. Akash's interests include music, football (soccer), and Formula 1. |
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Here's how much SpaceX stock crashed below its IPO price | FMP Stock News | |
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SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) stock fell below its initial public offering (IPO) price of $135 for the first time on Wednesday, July 15. The stock dropped as low as $132.28 during the session as investors reassessed the company’s valuation, before it recovered slightly to close at $135.27. At the current price, SpaceX shares are more or less back at the IPO price. However, they are down roughly 16% from their closing price of $160 on June 12, when the space company went public, and about 36% from the record price of around $211 on June 16. Now, the company has a market cap of $1.78 trillion, marking a notable retreat from the $2.9 trillion recorded just four days after the IPO. SpaceX stock price chart (1M). Source: Finbold SpaceX stock price continues to decline The decline highlights how quickly investor enthusiasm can fade, even for a company backed by Elon Musk and involved with key growth narratives such as artificial intelligence (AI). Primarily, the selloff comes as investors reassess SpaceX’s valuation and financial outlook as the first earnings date in August draws near. Among the key concerns is SpaceX’s $4.9 billion net loss in 2025 as heavy investment in AI infrastructure and Starship development weighed on its bottom line. The stock’s inclusion in the NASDAQ 100 failed to reverse the decline, with shares down about 13% since joining the index. Analysts expect SpaceX’s revenue to reach between $34 billion and $43 billion this year (versus $18.7 billion in 2025), supported by continued Starlink subscriber growth and expanding AI computing contracts. However, investors are also preparing for a potential increase in selling pressure in late 2026. Notably, insider share unlocks expected after the company reports its second-quarter results in August could significantly increase the public float, allowing eligible employees and early investors to sell portions of their holdings. Still, SpaceX remains among the top ten largest publicly traded companies in the world. Featured image via Shutterstock Best Crypto Exchange for Intermediate Traders and Investors Invest in cryptocurrencies and 3,000+ other assets including stocks and precious metals. 0% commission on stocks - buy in bulk or just a fraction from as little as $10. Other fees apply. For more information, visit etoro.com/trading/fees. Copy top-performing traders in real time, automatically. eToro USA is registered with FINRA for securities trading. 30+ million Users worldwide eToro is a multi-asset investment platform. The value of your investments may go up or down. Your capital is at risk. Don’t invest unless you’re prepared to lose all the money you invest. This is a high-risk investment and you should not expect to be protected if something goes wrong. Take 2 mins to learn more. Join Finbold's newsroom, become a Sales Executive today! Apply now to join Finbold as a crypto/finance news writer! |
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2026-07-16 09:16
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2026-07-16 03:06
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SpaceX Stock Has Stumbled Since Its IPO. History Says It Could Be Up by This Much in 1 Year. | FMP Stock News | |
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Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX 0.61%) stock has been on a wild ride since the company went public just over a month ago. As of this writing, its share price is below its first-day opening price of $150.But where might it be in 12 months? A host of Wall Street analysts recently weighed in, setting a wide range of price targets for SpaceX stock, from $300 to $800. A more realistic forecast, however, based on two decades of IPO history, is that 11 months from now, its shares will be around $156. That's right. SpaceX stock could be just 4% higher than its opening price of $150 on its initial public offering (IPO) day. Here's why. Image source: Getty Images. Big IPOs tend to have small returns 1 year later Reporting from Barron's last month said that large IPOs, the ones with market caps above $10 billion, usually have gains of just 3.5% after their first year of trading. The periodical looked at data compiled by Jeffries that analyzed the performances of large IPOs over the past 26 years. If we round that up to 4%, and add it to SpaceX's opening price of $150, then the company's shares -- based on historical mega-IPO data over a quarter-century -- will likely be about $156. Other data from the University of Florida points to disappointing IPO results as well, with an average return of just 2.9% in the first two years for IPOs between 2010 and 2024. Reliably predicting what the share price of any company will be in a year is impossible. And there are plenty of optimistic takes out there elaborating on why SpaceX is a unique company, and should be valued accordingly. But history should probably be our guide when considering SpaceX stock right now, especially as the company is unprofitable and is spending money hand over fist on huge bets that may not pay off. Today's Change ( -0.61 %) $ -0.83 Current Price $ 135.25 SpaceX will bring its own level of unpredictability to the table If newly public companies are inherently volatile, I think SpaceX will be especially so. There are a few reasons for this, including that it is making huge bets on difficult rocket technologies and an unproven plan to deploy orbital artificial intelligence (AI) data centers. SpaceX asserts that eventually, its Starship rocket will reduce the cost of launching payloads by more than 90% compared to its current Falcon platforms. I'm optimistic about SpaceX's rocket capabilities, but if it fails to do this soon, or if there are significant setbacks in bringing Starship into commercial use, then it could cause the stock to slide. And then there's its ambitious plan for satellite-based AI data centers. The company aims to use its rockets to deploy data center satellites into orbit on the premise that operating them where they can be powered by 24-hour solar energy will be cheaper overall than siting them on Earth. Even the most optimistic estimates put this type of technology at least several years away, and it's still uncertain whether it would be cheaper -- even if it's possible. Any prolonged delays or missteps on the company's path toward deployment, or a pivot away from orbital data centers, could cause investors to lose faith in SpaceX. Finally, and perhaps most importantly right now, SpaceX is spending wildly on all of this tech. Its capital expenditures were about $27 billion in 2025, and accelerated to $10 billion in the first quarter of 2026. Investors are growing increasingly skeptical of such spending. SpaceX is also unprofitable, with a net loss of $5 billion last year. If investors see the company making progress on some of its aggressive goals, perhaps they'll put up with the high outlays for a bit longer. But many investors are already giving the side-eye to more-established tech companies that are ramping up AI spending. They likely won't give SpaceX a free pass, either. All of which means that SpaceX stock likely won't be able to overcome the gravity of historical post-IPO trends. I think its shares will remain volatile, so investors would be better off observing the company's progress from afar for at least a year. |
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2026-07-16 07:13
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2026-07-16 06:53
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Nové americké útoky v Perském zálivu, zdražení ASML a SpaceX dál padá pod tlakem investorů | Patria Stock News | |
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Evropské i americké futures naznačují smíšený začátek obchodování, zatímco investoři vstřebávají řadu firemních i geopolitických zpráv. Na globální scéně rezonují informace o možném zdražování ASML, varování šéfa JPMorgan Jamieho Dimona před riziky pokročilé umělé inteligence či pokračující pokles akcií SpaceX.Článek se odemkne 16.07.2026 10:03 Pokračování článku je dostupné jen klientům placených služeb Patria Plus / Investor Plus případně uživatelům platformy Patria Direct. Pokud jste klientem těchto služeb, potom je nutné se Přihlásit. V rámci placeného informačního servisu získáte přístup ke kompletnímu zpravodajství www.patria.cz bez jakýchkoliv omezení. Veškeré zprávy, komentáře a horké zprávy jsou zobrazovány terminálovou metodou (bez nutnosti obnovovat stránku) bez zpoždění a v plné verzi. Nejen zpravodajství, ale i další služby získáte v Patria Plus / Investor Plus - sms a e-mailové zpravodajství, data z finančních trhů v reálném čase, kompletní analytický servis, rozsáhlé databáze časových řad ke stažení, prognózy vývoje a valuace, ekonomické fundamenty, nástroje a kalkulátory... více |
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2026-07-15 23:40
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2026-07-15 17:21
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Predicting Where SpaceX Is Headed by the End of 2026 | FMP Stock News | |
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The largest IPO in history is doing what IPOs tend to do: underperform in the short term. In the first three to five years after a stock enters the public market, most fail to deliver positive returns to investors. With so much media attention on Elon Musk's Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX 0.59%), investors wondered if this company would buck that trend.Today's Change ( -0.59 %) $ -0.81 Current Price $ 135.27 My prediction? It's highly unlikely. SpaceX will close the year closer to $100 per share than $200. I think SpaceX is a terrific, innovative company. Still, the valuation simply does not make sense, and the company's insiders will take their profits off the table as soon as lockup periods end (which is very soon), leaving the retail investors holding the proverbial bag for quite some time. An unsustainable valuation By almost any measure, SpaceX is overly expensive. Right now, the stock is trading nearly 100 times the company's sales. SpaceX's revenue is growing, but not fast enough to justify the valuation. The company generated just $18.7 billion in revenue in 2025. After its IPO, SpaceX raised another $25 billion in investment-grade bonds. Musk's company is spending money and posting net losses. Profitability isn't close. Of course, people are investing in SpaceX for its long-term potential, and that's completely understandable. Between its industry-leading rocket launch business and Starlink's scalability, SpaceX has the opportunity to grow immensely. Image source: The Motley Fool. SpaceX is also making strategic acquisitions to boost revenue, most recently Anysphere for $60 billion. Anysphere is the parent company of the highly regarded AI coding platform Cursor. There's real execution risk involved with SpaceX, and the company's sky-high valuation leaves very little room for mistakes, delays, or failures. If the company were valued at just $1 trillion, I could perhaps justify paying a premium for shares. At a nearly $2 trillion market cap, though, there's limited upside. I'm not fully bearish on SpaceX. I am in awe of the brilliant people who work at the company and of what they've achieved on a technical level. I simply don't see a scenario beyond pure Reddit-style hype that would push the stock above its $135-per-share debut price by the end of the year. I see the stock landing somewhere around $100 per share as much more likely, given that insiders are selling shares and SpaceX continues to post net losses. An alternative for space-enthused investors Competitors such as Rocket Lab (RKLB 3.36%) are a more compelling buy in the space industry at the moment. Rocket Lab has an enormous $2 billion backlog and is prepared to challenge SpaceX in the medium-lift launch market with its Neutron rocket. Rocket Lab also trades at a premium, but much less so than SpaceX. |
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2026-07-15 23:40
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2026-07-15 17:45
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Telesat's Asset-Light Potential Versus SpaceX's Financial Clout | FMP Stock News | |
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Telesat stands out in the satellite sector by targeting enterprise markets and exploring an asset-light model for ground infrastructure. TSAT's willingness to partner on ground infrastructure could reduce capex, preserve liquidity, and offer a competitive edge versus capital-intensive rivals. The company's C$2.14B Canadian government loan, enterprise focus, and $1.1B Lightspeed backlog provide strategic and financial support amid execution risks. |
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2026-07-15 23:40
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2026-07-15 18:31
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Elon Musk Discreetly Bought a $1 Billion Gas Turbine Company to Power AI. Here's What it Means for SpaceX Investors. | FMP Stock News | |
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Elon Musk’s name is practically synonymous with renewable energy.The tech titan and CEO of both Tesla (TSLA 0.48%) and Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX 0.59%), or SpaceX, rode a wave of concern about vehicle emissions to not only create the first viable U.S. electric car company but also to grow it into a global automotive superpower and one of the world’s largest companies. In 2016, Tesla bought solar company SolarCity and introduced solar roof technology that replaced traditional roof shingles with small solar tiles. So why is Musk, of all people, making a quiet billion-dollar investment in fossil fuels on behalf of SpaceX? And what does it mean for SpaceX investors? Tesla CEO Elon Musk. Image source: The White House. A tale of two fuelsSpaceX’s S-1 prospectus – the company information shared with the public just before its IPO – doesn’t mince words when talking about the company’s views on solar energy. “The Sun contains approximately 99.8% of the solar system’s energy and, as a result, we believe it is the only truly scalable solution to terrestrial energy constraints in the age of AI,” the prospectus says. It goes on to repeat this assertion five more times. However, the company doesn’t seem interested in harnessing solar energy anywhere but in outer space. Its giant Colossus II data center on the Tennessee/Mississippi border is expected to be powered by natural gas for the foreseeable future. SpaceX’s prospectus notes that it “significantly” relies “on natural gas and gas turbine technology to power our data center operations.” “As such,” it continues, “our ability to scale our infrastructure depends in part on our continued access to natural gas supply at economically feasible prices [and] the availability of gas turbines and related equipment.” More gasGiven this ongoing reliance on natural gas power, it’s pretty clear why Musk would want to buy a company that supplies it: owning one’s own power infrastructure minimizes the potential for supply disruptions or rate hikes. However, SpaceX’s recent billion-dollar acquisition isn’t of an existing gas power plant near the Colossus II data center. It’s of Jacksonville-based APR Energy, which operates a fleet of small gas turbines and diesel engines mounted on trailers. Image source: Getty Images. Because these are small, mobile units, they can often be installed within days without the lengthy siting and permitting process required for a permanent power plant. SpaceX classifies these as temporary mobile equipment units and claims that they’re exempt from Mississippi’s air-permitting rules. The Southern Environmental Law Center and Earthjustice disagreed, and they sued SpaceX in June, arguing that “mobile” equipment isn’t really temporary if it’s parked in the same location permanently and never leaves. To date, SpaceX has installed 59 of these small units, which could collectively emit 2,500 tons of nitrogen oxide per year, even though each individual unit's output would likely fall below the 100-ton nitrogen oxide maximum set by the Clean Air Act for unpermitted turbines. AI data centers are massive, power-hungry facilities. The more there are, the higher the demand for power to supply them. On the one hand, it’s good that SpaceX is making plans beyond the local electricity grid for its power supply. On the other hand, SpaceX still expects to require additional grid capacity to supplement its natural gas generation. The prospectus says SpaceX will directly fund this capacity through its “local utility partners.” What about the lawsuit? Well, in the short term, it doesn’t seem like it will be much of a problem, given that both the U.S. Departments of Justice and Defense have argued against shutting down the company’s mobile power units in Tennessee. They claim such a shutdown would undermine national security because of Grok’s use by the military. Thus, the mobile units are likely to remain at least for the remainder of the Trump Administration. Today's Change ( -0.59 %) $ -0.81 Current Price $ 135.27 Beyond that, however, there’s no guarantee. SpaceX notes in its prospectus that “the outcome of these legal actions is uncertain,” and an incoming administration less friendly to fossil fuels, AI, or Elon Musk could certainly revisit the issue, causing headaches for SpaceX down the road. Lastly, the move calls into question SpaceX’s claims that solar energy is both the key to satisfying AI’s endless appetite for electricity and its ticket to dominating a $26.5 trillion AI market. If that’s the case, why isn’t the company investing in this critical technology now to get a head start on potential rivals? It’s another sign that investors may have to wait a long time for SpaceX to grow into its current $1.8 trillion valuation. |
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2026-07-15 21:16
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2026-07-15 15:30
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Investing $1,000 in SpaceX: Could It Deliver Life-Changing Returns? | FMP Stock News | |
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Now that the IPO hype surrounding Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX 0.61%), better known as SpaceX, has died down, investors may be better able to analyze the stock for what it is. Furthermore, it's priced at less than $140 per share, and is near the lowest price that retail investors have been able to buy it at. If you've got $1,000 sitting around waiting to be invested, is SpaceX the perfect stock to buy right now? Or are there better options out there?Image source: The Motley Fool. SpaceX is already quite large First, let's discuss what qualifies as a "life-changing" return on an investment. I'd consider that to be something along the lines of a tenfold to hundredfold return, or turning $1,000 into $10,000 to $100,000. If that's what investors are looking for with SpaceX, they may be sorely disappointed. Currently, it has a market cap of about $1.8 trillion. So a tenfold return from here would be a $18 trillion company -- more than Nvidia (NVDA +0.29%), Apple (AAPL +3.95%), Alphabet (GOOG +3.60%) (GOOGL +3.15%), and Microsoft (MSFT +2.70%) combined at their current valuations. An outcome like that is probably a bit too far-fetched to expect. However, could SpaceX still be a solid investment that consistently beats the market? I think that's a much more realistic expectation. SpaceX's business has three core segments: artificial intelligence (AI), connectivity, and space. Space is the component that most recognize, as SpaceX regularly launches payloads into orbit with its Falcon rockets, and the company has well-publicized grand plans to colonize Mars and perform other activities in space. Its AI unit is also well defined, as SpaceX purchased xAI, the company that developed the Grok large language model, shortly before going public. The connectivity division may have investors questioning it a bit more, but it's currently SpaceX's most important division. Today's Change ( -0.61 %) $ -0.83 Current Price $ 135.25 The connectivity unit's business is mostly centered on Starlink, a satellite-powered broadband service that gives users access to high-speed internet practically wherever they are in the world. This is SpaceX's most important division: Its revenue grew by 50% to $11.4 billion in 2025, accounting for more than half of SpaceX's total top line. For comparison, the space business had revenue of $4.1 billion and grew only 8% year over year. Its AI division had revenue of $3.2 billion, growing at a 22% rate. (The AI division's revenues also include ads from X, formerly known as Twitter). As of now, SpaceX is primarily a telecommunication business. Those historically haven't been the greatest investments, and although there is a lot of hype surrounding its other divisions, that's what it boils down to. As a result, I think SpaceX may struggle for a bit, as its valuation is quite high for a company that's essentially currently a telecom. Now, if SpaceX can achieve other goals in space and AI, my opinion may change, but as of now, I don't think it's the best investment option out there. Keithen Drury has positions in Alphabet, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. |
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2026-07-15 18:52
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2026-07-15 12:48
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SpaceX stock slips below IPO price: is it time to sell? | FMP Stock News | |
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SpaceX SPCX stock fell below its initial public offering price on Wednesday, marking the lowest level since the company's market debut as enthusiasm surrounding one of the year's largest listings continued to fade.The stock declined around 2% to $133.34, falling below its $135 IPO price set during last month's record $86 billion offering. The move extended a volatile start to trading for Elon Musk's rocket, satellite, and artificial intelligence company. After surging nearly 50% during its first three trading days, SpaceX shares have since surrendered much of those gains, losing nearly a quarter of their value over the following three sessions. Investors could face additional volatility in the coming weeks as the first share lockup expirations approach. The initial lockups that have prevented early investors from selling their holdings are scheduled to expire after the company reports its first quarterly earnings as a public company. If early shareholders choose to sell following the expiration, additional shares entering the market could create further downward pressure on the stock. Some of SpaceX's early post-listing gains may also have reflected buying by passive investment funds tracking major equity indexes. The company was added to the Nasdaq-100 in July after Nasdaq Inc. revised its eligibility rules to allow newly listed large-cap companies to join the benchmark after as few as 15 trading days, compared with the previous three-month waiting period. SpaceX also joined the Russell 1000 Index in late June, just two weeks after its initial public offering, prompting additional purchases by index-tracking funds. Analysts remain broadly optimisticDespite the recent decline, Wall Street has maintained a largely positive outlook on the stock. The expiration of the post-IPO quiet period for banks that participated in the offering led to a wave of analyst coverage, including Raymond James issuing the Street's highest published price target of $800 per share. According to Bloomberg data, more than 80% of analysts covering the stock have assigned buy-equivalent ratings. The average analyst price target stands at approximately $238 per share, implying roughly 78% upside from current trading levels. UBS said SpaceX's upcoming rocket launch could provide a near-term catalyst for the shares if the mission is successful. Analyst Gavin Parsons wrote in a note on Wednesday, as cited by CNBC, that "SpaceX has made multiple hardware and software upgrades since the last flight." He added, "This flight would demonstrate multiple new milestones and in our view be a positive for the stock." UBS maintains a Buy rating on SpaceX with a $210 price target, implying approximately 54% upside from Tuesday's closing price. SpaceX is scheduled to conduct its 13th rocket launch on Thursday. According to Parsons, the mission supports UBS's forecast for four commercial launches this year and 1,588 flights in 2031. |
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2026-07-15 18:52
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2026-07-15 12:58
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SpaceX shares drop below $135 IPO price as rally that made Elon Musk a trillionaire fizzles | FMP Stock News | |
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SpaceX shares dropped below their initial public offering price on Wednesday, a first for the company, just over a month after a frenzy over the rockets-to-AI firm powered the biggest IPO ever and made Elon Musk the world’s first trillionaire.Its shares slid 2.7% to $132.50, falling below the $135 apiece IPO price and well below the all-time high of $225.64, which propelled the company’s market valuation briefly above those of Silicon Valley giants Microsoft and Amazon. Many contended the stock’s rally was likely vulnerable to reversals, given SpaceX’s $4.9 billion in net losses last year and the uncertainty over the firm’s prospects as well as the stock valuations that might hold across the market at a time when inflation has been rising, putting the Fed’s policymakers on notice. SpaceX shares dropped below their initial public offering price on Wednesday. Above, SpaceX leadership and guests celebrate at the Nasdaq on the first day of trading on June 12. REUTERS The decline leaves investors who bought into the company at the IPO price sitting on paper losses for the first time, potentially testing confidence in the stock. It also offers a reminder that Wall Street enthusiasm can cool quickly, even for a company with the size and scale of SpaceX, which raised around $85.7 billion and fetched a valuation of around $2.1 trillion at the end of its first trading day. It is not uncommon for a stock to fall below the IPO price, especially during periods of broader market stress. Wall Street’s main indexes have been under pressure in recent weeks due to uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path and concerns about the durability of the rally powered by AI winners such as chipmakers. Still, the drop may bolster critics who had argued that SpaceX’s valuation was stretched, as the company was unprofitable and many of its ambitious bets were still untested. Investors would find better entry points after the first wave of excitement had faded, some analysts had warned before the IPO. The Spacex IPO made Elon Musk the world’s first trillionaire. REUTERS SpaceX’s shares have dropped nearly 13% since they were included in the Nasdaq 100. REUTERS The reversal also underscores the risks of chasing momentum, and the limits of a valuation driven more by narrative than near-term fundamentals. The stock’s addition to prestigious indexes, such as the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100, did little to reignite the buying. SpaceX’s shares have dropped nearly 13% since they were included in the Nasdaq 100. The focus now shifts to the company’s first results after listing. SpaceX has not yet disclosed when it plans to do it, but has said they will be released only through its website and its social media account on X, and not through wire distribution services. |
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2026-07-15 18:52
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2026-07-15 13:30
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SpaceX Shares Fall Below $135 IPO Price For The First Time | FMP Stock News | |
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ToplineSpaceX on Wednesday fell below its IPO price for the first time, with shares reaching an all-time low as investors have shown greater skepticism about artificial intelligence stocks and trends.SpaceX went public on June 8. Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images Key FactsSpaceX’s stock fell 2.1% around 12:45 p.m. EDT, reaching nearly $2 below its $135 initial public offering price. Shares had somewhat rebounded as of 1:30 p.m. EDT, but remained below the $135 mark. The stock is now down about 11% since it debuted on June 8, when SpaceX raised over $85 billion in its record-shattering IPO. Part of the tumble is likely rooted in investor skepticism about AI trade, according to Investopedia, which noted some experts believe investors are shifting away from “pricing in promise” and are instead more closely evaluating companies linked to artificial intelligence. Matthew Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak, told Reuters the breach of the IPO price “raises the narrative that the stock is up on fluff, on speculation, on froth, and not on real fundamentals.” TangentConcern around SpaceX could be rooted in the company’s AI-related capital expenditure, which reached $7.7 billion in the first quarter, accounting for about 75% of the company’s total capex. SpaceX acquired Elon Musk’s AI startup, xAI, in an all-stock transaction in February. Forbes ValuationWe estimate Musk’s net worth at $856.8 billion as of Wednesday. Musk became the first trillionaire ever with the IPO of SpaceX, controlling a 38% stake in the company, but his wealth is down significantly from a high of $1.45 trillion shortly after SpaceX’s public debut ContraAnalysts’ consensus price target for the stock is roughly $247, Axios reported, citing FactSet data that revealed 80% of 21 analysts have a “buy” or “overweight” recommendation on SpaceX. SpaceX bulls have reportedly noted SpaceX will need to make years of large investments to execute on Musk’s vision for the company. Key BackgroundSpaceX, which was largely an aerospace company before the xAI merger, has directed much of its assets toward AI development. The company sees a $28.5 trillion total addressable market, with $26.5 billion of that wrapped up in AI, according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing. Musk has positioned his company as the earliest adopter of orbital data centers, which he claims can address energy limitations for booming AI infrastructure. SpaceX said in an SEC filing the space-based data centers could be deployed as early as 2028. The company also has tens of billions of dollars worth of AI-related agreements with Google, Anthropic and Nvidia, the latter of which SpaceX has bought hardware from to provide computing infrastructure for clients. Further ReadingSpaceX Shares Close Up 19% After Historic IPO Makes Musk World’s First Trillionaire (Forbes) |
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2026-07-15 18:52
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2026-07-15 13:58
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A $900 SpaceX Stock Price Prediction? Here's What a $5,000 Investment Could Turn Into. | FMP Stock News | |
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After just over a month as a publicly traded company, Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX 0.73%) is seeing price targets flood in. The average analyst price target suggests meaningful gains could be ahead for the stock over the next 12 to 18 months.One prediction, however, stands out from the rest. For his bull case, John Godyn of Citigroup forecasts SpaceX stock could trade at $900 per share. With a $5,000 investment at today's prices, that could provide quite the windfall, but the caveat is, it's going to take the company some time to get there, if it does at all. Image source: The Motley Fool. The bullish outlook Since June 12, SpaceX has traded within a range of $137 to $226. There are many different price points at which a shareholder could have bought in, but to keep it simple, let's base our hypothetical case on the July 10 closing price of $145.30. With a $5,000 investment at $145.30, an investor would receive about 34.4 shares (assuming they're using one of the many platforms that allow the purchase of fractional shares). If the stock price were to reach $900, that $5,000 investment would grow to a little under $31,000 -- a little more than six times the original investment. Today's Change ( -0.73 %) $ -0.99 Current Price $ 135.09 The details behind the $900 SpaceX prediction Typically, analysts' price targets are set for a 12- to 18-month time frame. The $900 price target from the Citi analyst is more about a bullish case further down the road, as he also has a $200 price target for the 12-month to 18-month window. According to a note seen by Barron's, Godyn said, "Starship will establish the most affordable and scalable path to unlocking the economic potential of space." Starship, which consists of a spacecraft and a reusable rocket booster, is SpaceX's largest craft to date. It's designed to cut the cost of reaching low Earth orbit by up to 90% compared to its Falcon 9 rocket. Eventually, Starship is expected to have the capability to carry up to 100 people on long-duration flights, enable satellite delivery, and support the development of a base on the Moon. As the cost of putting payloads into space declines, SpaceX's vision of a constellation of satellites serving as artificial intelligence (AI) data centers can also begin to take greater shape. In February, Elon Musk's company filed an application with the Federal Communications Commission for permission to launch a network of up to 1 million solar-powered data center satellites, although it will be some time before SpaceX reaches the scale to deploy such a vast network. But the company says it could begin launching the first wave of those satellites as early as 2028. The average analyst price target The average analyst price target, according to data tracked by Barron's, differs significantly from Citi's longer-term $900 bull case. When 15 new analyst ratings came in during the week of July 6, their average price target was $250, and the average 12- to 18-month price target of all analysts at the time was $240. At $900 per share, SpaceX would have an expected market cap of $12 trillion. That's a steep climb from its current $1.9 trillion market cap. Analyst price targets are a sentiment gauge, not a guarantee Given SpaceX's diverse operations that span rockets, broadband satellites, terrestrial data centers, AI, and social media, as well as its ambitious plans for data centers in space, making a prediction about what the stock will be worth down the road is challenging. It's a unique business, and there are few peers to compare it to, so while price targets may be helpful for gauging sentiment, they should be taken with a large grain of salt. That said, the analysts' views do point to the idea that those who hold this stock for the long haul will have the best opportunities to book the biggest potential gains. |
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2026-07-15 16:28
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2026-07-15 10:05
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Scottish Mortgage: Broker warns on SpaceX concentration | FMP Stock News | |
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Canaccord Genuity (TSX:CF, LSE:CF) has initiated coverage of Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust PLC (LSE:SMT) with a 'hold' rating, warning that SpaceX now dominates the portfolio to an uncomfortable degree.Analyst Iain Scouller said the rocket company accounted for 28% of net assets at 30 June, once the trust's 8% balance sheet leverage is taken into account. He suggested investors who now view their holding as outsized after strong share price gains could top-slice their positions. The shares trade at 1446p against a net asset value of 1538p, a discount of about 6%. Canaccord thinks a discount of 5% to 10% is reasonable given the risk and reward attached to private companies and the potential volatility from the large SpaceX position. The trust has performed strongly, with the share price up 38% and net asset value up 36% over the year to 13 July. SpaceX contributed 14.9% to absolute performance over the year to 31 March, just over half the 27.4% net asset value return. Its valuation rose by £1.91 billion to £2.98 billion, equivalent to 79% of the £2.43 billion total increase in fair value across the private portfolio. Almost all of that gain remains unrealised. The realised gain over the year was just £0.8 million. Beneath the SpaceX number, the private portfolio was mixed, with 21 investments falling in value and only 14 rising. Scouller scored the trust's 126-page accounts eight out of 10, praising improved disclosure on unlisted holdings following a Financial Reporting Council thematic review. He would like to see a vintage year breakdown for private investments, more detail in regulatory announcements when valuations change, and industry classifications for each holding. SpaceX is currently classified as an industrial rather than a technology company, which helped lift the industrials weighting to 29% from 17%. Canaccord noted the trust applies a typical 10% illiquidity discount to unlisted valuations, and a further 10% for execution risk where a transaction has yet to close. The cost of debt is low at 3.6%, up from 3.1%, helped by long-dated debentures issued in 2020 and 2021 at rates below 3%. Gearing fell to 11% of net asset value from 13%. Scottish Mortgage spent £3.1 billion buying back 318.6 million shares, or 22% of share capital, over the two years to 15 March 2026. The board has reviewed the fee structure and rejected a performance fee, with the ongoing charge ratio at 0.33% of net assets. |
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2026-07-15 16:28
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2026-07-15 10:25
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SpaceX Rides on Expanding Starlink User Base: More Upside Ahead? | FMP Stock News | |
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Key Takeaways SPCX reached about 10.3M Starlink subscribers with service available in 164 countries and markets.SpaceX continues investing in technology and network expansion to strengthen its broadband services.SPCX is expanding satellite-to-mobile services through operator partnerships covering about 1.7B people. Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX - Free Report) is benefiting from the rapid expansion of its Starlink broadband business. Solid subscriber addition, expanding global coverage and continuous improvement in networking capacity are major driving factors. As of March 31, 2026, the company boasts a subscriber base of around 10.3 million. With approximately 9,600 satellites in orbit, Starlink service is available in 164 countries and markets. Segment adjusted EBITDA reached $7.2 billion in 2025 and $2.1 billion in the first quarter of 2026, showing that satellite broadband has moved beyond the concept stage.SpaceX's key differentiation lies in its launch leadership, which enables faster Starlink network expansion. SpaceX has completed around 650 orbital launches, including 620 Falcon 9 missions. The mission success rate exceeds 99%. Its reusable launch systems and capability to conduct frequent launches in a short period have significantly lowered satellite deployment costs. The company places a strong focus on technology upgrades to improve customer experience. Its satellite constellation operates in low earth orbit, allowing significantly lower latency compared to legacy satellite systems. Its architecture can deliver residential download speeds of approximately 225 Mbps during peak hours. Moreover, the company’s ability to launch upgraded satellites frequently ensures continuous network advancements. Through its Starlink business, the company is working to open up a new growth avenue. It has developed one of the largest satellite-to-mobile constellations, and its services include messaging, voice and data. The company is collaborating with leading mobile network operators across six continents, covering approximately 1.7 billion people. How Are Competitors Faring?In the satellite communication space, SpaceX faces competition from Viasat, Inc. (VSAT - Free Report) and AST SpaceMobile (ASTS - Free Report) . AST SpaceMobile is developing a direct-to-device satellite network. Its commercial deployment remains at an earlier stage. The company recently announced the successful orbital launch of BlueBirds 8, 9 and 10 aboard a Falcon 9 rocket. The satellites feature approximately 2,400-square-foot communications arrays and are designed to provide direct broadband connectivity to standard smartphones. AST SpaceMobile also announced that BlueBirds 11, 12 and 13 are targeted for launch during the first half of August aboard a Falcon 9 rocket from Cape Canaveral. With a growing ecosystem that includes 60 global mobile network operator partners covering over 3 billion subscribers, ASTS is gaining ground on the expanding direct-to-device space. Viasat has completed the next-generation global ViaSat-3 constellation with the successful launch of ViaSat-3 Flight 3 on April 29, 2026, targeted to the Asia-Pacific region. Management said radiator and solar array deployments were completed and orbit raising is underway, with service entry expected in August or September 2026. ViaSat-3 Flight 2 also completed all deployments, including the reflectors and boom, with service entry pending FCC authorization. The ViaSat-3 class is designed to deliver more than 1 Tbps of throughput capacity and to use advanced beamforming and flexible bandwidth allocation so capacity can be directed to the highest-demand commercial, enterprise and defense markets. SPCX’s Price Performance, Valuation and EstimatesOver the past month, shares of SpaceX have declined 32.6% against the industry’s growth of 114.4%. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research From a valuation standpoint, SPCX trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 30.51, well above the industry. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Earnings estimates for 2026 and 2027 have increased over the past 30 days. Earnings estimates for 2026 have improved from a loss of 91 cents to a loss of 67 cents, while for 2027, they have improved from a loss of 23 cents to an income of 63 cents per share. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research SpaceX currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. |
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Wall Street Is Ignoring the Bond Market's Warning: SpaceX Is Junk | FMP Stock News | |
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This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.© AndreyKrav / iStock Editorial via Getty Images One of the largest IPOs in history closed in June, drawing more than $300 billion in orders for $75 billion of shares sold, an oversubscription of roughly 4x. Wall Street called it a moonshot. The bond market, quietly, called it something else. As Bloomberg Opinion columnist Nir Kaissar argued in “SpaceX Is Junk. That’s What the Bond Market Says” (July 7, 2026), credit investors are pricing SpaceX (NASDAQ:SPCX) debt as if the rating label were fiction. The Rating Says Investment Grade. The Spread Says Otherwise. All three major agencies placed SpaceX in investment grade in ratings actions announced June 18, 2026: S&P at BBB (stable), Moody’s at Baa1 (stable), and Fitch at BBB+ (stable). Average that trio and you land on BBB, the lowest rung of investment grade. Yet as of early July, Kaissar noted, SpaceX bonds traded at an average credit spread of 1.62 percentage points over Treasuries, while average BBB corporates traded at 0.92 points and average BB (junk/high-yield) bonds at 1.55 points. SpaceX debt clears wider than the junk average. Buyers are demanding a risk premium the label does not require. The Curve Tells the Real Story Kaissar’s maturity breakdown sharpens the argument. The 5-year paper trades at a 1.18-point spread. The 30-year (2056) paper stretches to 1.99 points. The rating stays flat at BBB across every maturity. Near term, creditors accept the story. Push out to 2056 and they are pricing something closer to speculative. That matters. Junk-rated bonds default meaningfully more often than investment-grade issues, and many pensions and insurers are mandated to avoid speculative debt. If the label ever catches down to the spread, forced selling could follow. What the Raters Are Nervous About The fundamentals explain the caution. S&P projects negative free cash flow through 2029. Moody’s expects strong revenue and earnings growth through 2028, powered by Starlink, which reported 12 million subscribers as of early June 2026, but flags governance risk tied to SpaceX’s controlled ownership structure and Elon Musk’s concentrated voting power, which limits independent board oversight. Starlink is carrying the company while the AI and X unit posted a large operating loss. SpaceX floated $25 billion in public debt around the IPO. July 16 is the Final Day to Tap Into the Lithium Boom (sponsor) General Motors, POSCO, and 50,000+ everyday investors have already backed lithium producer EnergyX. Here's why you should do the same before their July 16 investment deadline: lithium prices are up 75% this year, with demand projected to grow a staggering 5X by 2040. With tech that can recover up to 3X more lithium than traditional methods, EnergyX is preparing to unlock up to 15M+ tons. Become a private-stage EnergyX investor before the July 16 deadline. The Equity Market Is Telling a Different Story Equity investors are looking past it. The stock trades at more than 100x sales, roughly 30x the S&P 500’s multiple, on a market cap of about $1.05 trillion. The pitch is the S-1’s mission language: “to make life multiplanetary,” “to extend the light of consciousness to the stars,” “to understand the true nature of the universe,” and “to build a base on the Moon and cities on other planets.” Even the stock is cracking. Shares closed at $138.29 on July 14, 2026, down roughly 15.45% over the past month and about 8.96% over the past week, well off the post-IPO peak above $225. A 2008 Echo Worth Remembering Kaissar frames the analogy carefully. Ahead of the 2008 crisis, AAA-rated mortgage bonds saw spreads widen well before the downgrades arrived, with some AAA mortgage bonds trading up to 1 percentage point wider than similarly rated corporate debt. Bond markets have been right before when spreads and ratings diverged. That is historical context for how bond markets can front-run ratings. What to Watch For retail investors, the split screen is the point. The equity is a bet on Musk’s decades-long vision. The bond market is a real-time referendum on the balance sheet, and it is harder to hype. Keep an eye on the long-dated spreads. If the 30-year gap keeps widening while the BBB label holds, the credit desk will have said its piece long before the rating agencies do. Meet America's Newest $1b Unicorn (Sponsor) A US startup just passed a $1 billion private valuation, joining billion-dollar private companies like OpenAI and ByteDance. Unlike those other unicorns, you can invest in EnergyX right now; but only until July 16. Over 50,000 people already have, along with global giants like General Motors and POSCO. Here's why there's so much interest: EnergyX's patented tech can recover up to 3X more lithium than traditional methods. That's a big deal, as demand for lithium is expected to 5X current production levels by 2040. Become an early-stage EnergyX shareholder before the 7/16 investment deadline. Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections. |
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2026-07-15 16:28
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2026-07-15 11:36
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Frontier Airlines to add Starlink high-speed Wi-Fi on flights | FMP Stock News | |
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Frontier Airlines announced Tuesday that it plans to introduce high-speed inflight internet powered by SpaceX's Starlink beginning in early 2027, marking a major upgrade for the ultra-low-cost carrier as it continues investing in new amenities aimed at attracting travelers.The Denver-based airline said its first Starlink-equipped Airbus aircraft is expected to enter service early next year. Frontier said it will become the first U.S. airline to offer passengers access to Starlink's satellite internet through a new system managed directly by Starlink. Engineered by Elon Musk's SpaceX, Starlink uses a constellation of low-Earth orbit satellites to deliver high-speed, low-latency internet capable of supporting activities such as video streaming, online gaming, web browsing and remote work during flights. Frontier's first Starlink-equipped Airbus aircraft is expected to enter service early next year. (Kevin Carter/Getty Images) UNITED'S NEW SEATING OPTION DITCHES THE MIDDLE SEAT The rollout is part of a broader deployment across airlines backed by private equity firm Indigo Partners, which also includes Wizz Air, Volaris, JetSmart and Cebu Pacific. Together, the carriers expect to install Starlink across more than 1,000 aircraft, one of the largest commitments to next-generation inflight connectivity announced to date. "Starlink will provide our portfolio airlines with reliable, high-speed connectivity, further enhancing the customer experience of flying on Wizz, Frontier, Volaris, JetSMART and Cebu," Indigo Partners Managing Partner Bill Franke said in a statement. Ticker Security Last Change Change % ULCC FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC 6.50 +0.10 +1.64% SPCX SPACE EXPLORATION TECHNOLOGIES CORP. 133.58 -2.50 -1.84% Beyond passenger connectivity, Frontier said the system will provide gate-to-gate internet access for pilots, flight attendants, maintenance crews and ground personnel, helping improve operational efficiency and customer service. Starlink is engineered by Elon Musk's SpaceX. (East2West News) Frontier CEO Jimmy Dempsey said the investment reflects the airline's efforts to enhance the travel experience while maintaining its low-fare business model. "We're continuing to invest in the products and services that matter most to our customers," Dempsey said. "Starlink transforms the onboard experience, giving customers the flexibility to work, stream, browse, and stay connected throughout their journey." The announcement comes as Frontier expands its offerings beyond its traditional ultra-low-cost model. The airline has previously announced plans to introduce first-class seating and enhance its loyalty program as it competes for higher-value travelers. The announcement comes as Frontier expands its offerings beyond its traditional ultra-low-cost model. (Ken Cedeno/Reuters) CLICK HERE TO GET FOX BUSINESS ON THE GO Financial terms of the Starlink agreement were not disclosed. FOX Business reached out to Frontier Airlines and SpaceX for additional comment. |
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Can Flight 13 Stop The Fall In SpaceX Stock? | FMP Stock News | |
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WASHINGTON, DC - JULY 2: A SpaceX logo on a space suit is displayed at an exhibit at The Great American State Fair on July 2, 2026 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Kevin Carter/Getty Images)Getty Images This article was written by Doug Nathman, with research by his team at Trefis. Starship serves as the cornerstone of the SpaceX (SPCX) investment narrative, with the next critical milestone approaching swiftly. Without Starship, Will SpaceX Stock Collapse? SPCX has struggled since its launch on June 12. The share price has dropped approximately 30% from its peak following the debut, finishing at $138 on Monday, inching closer to its IPO price of $135. The thirteenth test flight of Starship, scheduled for as soon as Thursday, July 16, might be the turning point for this situation, for better or worse. The Importance Of This FlightAlthough SpaceX has already established profitable ventures in Starlink and launch services, a significant portion of the investment case hinges on a critical economic challenge: the expense of launching mass into orbit remains prohibitive for most of its ambitious expansion markets. Orbital AI data centers, next-gen Starlink deployment, lunar logistics – these remain unimpeded by technology but constrained by economic factors. Starship represents SpaceX’s solution to this dilemma. The rocket is six to eight times the size of Falcon 9, and with greater payload capacity per flight, it can reduce costs per kilogram significantly. Currently, Falcon 9 launches cost about $2,720 per kilogram. Starship aims to lower that to below $100 per kilogram, achieving a 27x decrease, but this is only feasible with over 70 launches per vehicle and minimal refurbishment between missions. Neither of these conditions has been verified at scale so far, and SpaceX reported a $4.9 billion loss in 2025 against an approximate $3 billion investment in Starship R&D. Flight 13 will be suborbital, not a revenue-generating event, but it will serve as a crucial indicator of whether this launch frequency can be realized. Issues Experienced During Flight 12 And Critical IndicatorsFlight 12 took place on May 22 and generally proceeded successfully. It marked the introduction of the enhanced Starship V3, featuring a more powerful engine and new refueling equipment. However, two issues arose after the booster detached from the spacecraft. It veered off course instead of maintaining a straight trajectory, and five of its engines failed to reignite for the flight back home. SpaceX has stated that both issues have been resolved, and the FAA has approved Flight 13 to proceed. Investors should keep an eye on several critical indicators: Will the booster remain stable after separation? A steady, controlled trajectory would suggest that the tumbling issue has been addressed. Will the engines relight properly? A successful reignition for the return journey would confirm that the second issue has also been resolved. Will Starship successfully deploy its satellites? This flight will carry 20 next-gen Starlink satellites, marking the first attempt by Starship in this capacity. A successful deployment would signify Starship's initial genuine step towards revenue generation. Opportunities Presented By StarshipStarship has the potential to open various new markets. Starlink deployment: SpaceX’s next-generation V3 Starlink satellites are too large for Falcon 9, positioning Starship as the main launch vehicle for the constellation. This represents the most imminent demand driver, supplying Starship with an inbuilt client poised to maintain a high launch frequency from the beginning. Lunar and deep-space logistics: NASA has designated Starship as the Human Landing System for the Artemis program, and significantly reduced launch costs could render lunar cargo transport, lunar infrastructure developments, and deep-space missions much more economically viable. Orbital infrastructure: SpaceX’s IPO documentation highlights orbital data centers and other large-scale space infrastructure as potential future markets. Should Starship fulfill its economic promises, it could facilitate an entirely new class of space-based infrastructure that is unfeasible under current launch costs. See The Radical Bet At The Heart Of SpaceX’s $1.75 Trillion IPO As SpaceX’s valuation increasingly reflects potential opportunities in markets that are not yet fully realized, it becomes ever more critical to balance speculative investments with established, revenue-generating businesses. A disciplined approach to portfolio management enables you to maintain your investments while mitigating the effects of market shocks. Achieving consistent outperformance relative to the market is challenging, but the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio is structured to make this goal more attainable. The HQ strategy has persistently outperformed its market benchmark since inception, yielding cumulative returns exceeding 105 percent. |
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SpaceX Hits New Low as Stock Nears IPO Price | FMP Stock News | |
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SpaceX stock is just about back to where it started when the company completed its record-setting IPO last month. |
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