America's AI and grid buildout runs on copper, but the U.S. barely has the smelters to process it. A surprise $6 billion investment in Arizona could shift that equation, and five large-cap companies stand at every chokepoint between the mine…
Power delivery is the part of the data center push that gets electricity from a power plant to a rack of servers: turbines, transformers, switchgear, connectors and miles of cable. Nearly every piece of it runs on copper, and the U.S. is short on the smelters and refineries that turn mined ore into usable metal.
On October 22, 2026, Grupo México told analysts it expects to spend $4 billion to $6 billion over the next three years on its U.S. unit, Asarco. The plan includes expanding the Ray and Silver Bell mines in Arizona and restarting the Hayden smelter and refinery, Reuters reported. That compares with just $101 million of Asarco spending in 2024, roughly 13 to 20 times that pace on an annual basis.
A restarted Hayden could process 1.4 million metric tons of copper concentrate a year. Those figures describe potential capacity, and the projects still need feasibility studies, permitting, financing, and construction decisions. Below are five NYSE-listed companies that supply this layer, starting with the metal and working toward the data hall. Each is a large cap. The smallest, Hubbell (NYSE:HUBB | HUBB Price Prediction), is worth about $23.7B, so none of them belongs in the speculative category.
Freeport-McMoRan Controls Most of America’s Refined Copper
Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:FCX) digs copper ore out of the ground, grinds it into concentrate, then smelts and refines it into nearly pure copper. Wire makers turn that metal into building cable, transformer windings and bus bars (the thick copper strips that carry heavy current inside electrical gear). Freeport accounts for about 70% of total U.S. refined copper production. Its smelter in Arizona is one of just two operating smelters in the country.
In the second quarter, Freeport posted adjusted EPS of $0.74, beating the $0.62 consensus. Revenue of $7.03B also came in above the $6.75B estimate. Its realized copper price was $6.17/lb vs $4.54/lb a year earlier. Chief Executive Kathleen Quirk linked that demand straight to this layer: “As we speak with our customers across the U.S., they continue to report robust copper demand and order books associated with AI data centers and related energy infrastructure.”
Bull case: Domestic refining is the limited step, and Freeport already owns it. Quirk said possible qualification for a Section 45X production tax credit “could equate to about $500 million a year.” Risk: Indonesia is still recovering from the September 2025 Grasberg mud rush, which pushed revenue down 7.3% year over year. More supply from projects like Hayden could also weigh on prices if production eventually grows faster than demand. The stock closed at $65.18 on October 23. That’s down 6.27% over the past week but still up 29.53% for the year.
Southern Copper Is Grupo México’s Listed Arm, Minus the Arizona Projects
Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO) mines, smelts and refines copper in Mexico and Peru. It sells cathode, the refined plates that end up in grid conductors and data center power systems. Grupo México owns 88.9% of the company. Investors should keep the two apart. The Asarco and Hayden projects go to Grupo México’s U.S. subsidiary, which is a separate entity. An SCCO share gives you exposure to the Mexican and Peruvian assets only.
Those assets are making a lot right now. Third-quarter GAAP EPS of $2.15 beat the $1.95 consensus. Revenue rose 39.1% to $4.70B, above the $4.41B estimate. Net margin widened to 38.4% (vs 32.8%). After by-product credits, operating cash cost fell to $0.09 per pound of copper. Chief Executive German Larrea called it a “record for net sales, adjusted EBITDA and net income.”
Bull case: Southern Copper believes it holds the industry’s largest copper reserves and is working toward 1.6 million tonnes of copper annually. Its Tia Maria project was 49.6% complete as of September 30, 2026. Risk: Copper production is down 2.9% year to date because of lower Peruvian ore grades. Tia Maria’s startup also was delayed from the fourth quarter of 2027 to the first half of 2028. The shares fell 7.73% over the past week and are still up 34.98% year to date.
GE Vernova Builds the Power Plant and the Substation
GE Vernova (NYSE:GEV) makes the heavy equipment that generates electricity and moves it around. Its gas turbines spin generators. Its transformers step voltage up for long-distance lines and back down for local use. Its switchgear works like a giant breaker panel that routes power and isolates faults. That matters because, according to a 2024 Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory report, data centers could use between 6.7% and 12% of total U.S. electricity by 2028.
Second-quarter revenue rose 21.8% to $11.10B, beating the $10.77B estimate. Orders hit $24.20B (+88% organic), and total backlog reached $176B. Electrification, the grid-gear segment, grew revenue 68% to $3.6B. Chief Executive Scott Strazik spelled out how much data centers now matter: “About $5 billion of our orders the first half of the year with data centers on the about $14 billion of orders in total in the first half.”
Bull case: GE Vernova sells at both ends of the bottleneck. Gas gigawatts under contract rose from 100 to 116 gigawatts sequentially, and the Electrification equipment backlog grew 69% to $40.6 billion. Risk: Wind revenue fell 10% in the quarter, and offshore projects face cost pressure. The stock also swings with sentiment around AI spending. It dropped 11.53% over the past week, a decline Barron’s linked to AI financing fears.
Eaton Wires the Data Hall From Utility Feed to Server Rack
Eaton (NYSE:ETN) supplies the equipment between the utility’s connection and the servers. That includes switchgear, backup power systems and busways, which are enclosed metal bars that carry power across a building in place of bundles of cable. Its $9.55B purchase of Boyd Thermal, closed in March 2026, added liquid cooling, the plates and pumps that draw heat off AI chips.
Second-quarter adjusted EPS of $3.15 beat the $3.08 estimate, and revenue rose 21.4% to $8.53B. Organic growth of 14% came in above the high end of guidance. Rolling 12-month orders in Electrical Americas rose 41%. Eaton’s chief executive described the demand runway this way: “Total U.S. data center backlog has grown to 307 gigawatts or 15 years of backlog at 2025 build rates, up from 12 years in our last update.”
Bull case: Eaton raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $13.40-$13.60. It now sells both the power gear and the cooling inside a hyperscale facility. Risk: Long-term debt rose to $18.5B (from $8.8B YE2025), interest expense climbed to $201M, and the company still has to integrate Boyd and spin off its Mobility business. The stock fell 16.56% over the past month and is down 0.6% over one year.
Hubbell Supplies the Grid’s Nuts, Bolts and Connectors
Hubbell makes the hardware that holds transmission lines, substations and distribution poles together. It also makes the connectors, fittings and wire management products that join cables inside buildings. One example is its DMC connector, which management said replaces a field weld by crimping onto a bus bar. That saves limited skilled labor on site.
Second-quarter adjusted EPS of $5.52 beat the $5.38 estimate. Revenue rose 15.3% to $1.71B, with 10% of that growth organic. Electrical Solutions data center sales jumped approximately 65%. Chief Executive Gerben Bakker said, “We continue to believe utility T&D markets are in the early stages of a multiyear investment cycle and we are investing proactively in additional capacity to serve the long-term needs of our customers.”
Bull case: Hubbell raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $20.25-$20.55. It also referenced a $1.5 billion high-voltage transmission opportunity over 10 years, with its first 765 kV win due to start shipping in 2027. Risk: The roughly $3.0 billion NSI Industries deal drove total debt to $5.37B and net debt-to-capital to 52%. GAAP net income was delayed 1.6%. The market has also priced the story cautiously, with the stock up just 1.8% year to date.
Where This Layer Goes From Here
Grid gear and data center orders are piling up faster than the copper supply chain behind them can grow, and Grupo México’s Arizona plan is the latest response to the U.S. refining gap. Freeport and Southern Copper are making more as copper remains tight. GE Vernova, Eaton and Hubbell are turning record backlogs into revenue. In the coming months, keep an eye on Hayden’s feasibility milestones, Freeport’s Grasberg ramp, and the next round of backlog figures from the equipment makers to see whether this bottleneck is starting to ease.
The power, cooling, and connector suppliers behind this expansion are exactly the kind of picks-and-shovels names we profiled in a free guide to non-chipmaker stocks, which you can download here: 7 Stocks Powering the AI Boom (That Aren’t Chipmakers).
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
3 Low-Rated Stocks Analysts May Be Underestimating Ahead of Q3 EarningsSouthern Copper NYSE: SCCO reported record quarterly net sales, adjusted EBITDA and net income for the second consecutive quarter, supported by substantially higher copper and by-product prices, while production was broadly stable and the company advanced several expansion projects in Peru and Mexico.
Vice President of Finance, Treasurer and CFO Raul Jacob said third-quarter net sales rose 39% year over year to $4.7 billion. Copper accounted for 74% of sales, while molybdenum, silver and zinc represented 12%, 7% and 4%, respectively.
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Copper’s Record Rally Highlights a Deeper Supply ProblemThe company reported record adjusted EBITDA of $3 billion, up 54% from the third quarter of 2025, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 65%, compared with 59% a year earlier. Net income reached a record $1.8 billion, a 63% increase from $1.1 billion in the prior-year quarter. The net income margin expanded to 38% from 33%.
“We are very pleased to report strong third quarter performance as we hit record highs for net sales, adjusted EBITDA, and net income for the second consecutive quarter,” Jacob said.
Higher Prices Offset Production Pressures
Copper Is the AI Trade No One Priced In—3 Miners With the Most to GainCopper production totaled 232,396 tons during the quarter, down 1% from a year earlier. Production in Peru declined 6%, reflecting lower ore grades and recoveries at the Toquepala and Cuajone mines. That decline was partly offset by a 2.5% increase in Mexico, driven largely by higher output from Buenavista and IMMSA operations.
For the first nine months of 2026, copper production declined 2.9% to 693,602 tons. Southern Copper expects to produce 918,000 tons of copper during 2026, 0.7% above its initial plan.
Market pricing was a significant contributor to the company’s results. The average London Metal Exchange copper price rose 44% to $6.41 per pound from $4.24 per pound in the third quarter of 2025. The average COMEX copper price increased 34% to $6.48 per pound, Jacob said.
Southern Copper estimated that global copper inventories totaled 1.105 million tons as of Oct. 9, covering approximately 14 days of global demand. Based on prevailing supply-and-demand conditions, the company expects either a slight deficit or slight surplus in the copper market during 2026.
By-product prices also rose sharply. Molybdenum averaged $32.93 per pound, up 36% year over year, while silver averaged $62.80 per ounce, up 59%. Zinc prices increased 36%, according to the company.
Cash Costs Fall as By-Product Credits Rise
Total operating costs and expenses increased 17%, or $223 million, from the prior-year quarter. Jacob cited higher diesel and fuel costs, worker participation, inventory consumption, depreciation, power and labor costs. Those increases were partially offset by a $22 million translation difference and exchange-rate effects on local-currency costs.
Operating cash cost per pound of copper, net of by-product credits, fell 77% to $0.09 in the third quarter from $0.52 a year earlier. The company attributed the decline primarily to a 31% increase in by-product revenue credits, which totaled $1.2 billion, or $2.36 per pound.
Cash costs before by-product credits were $2.46 per pound, up 10% from the comparison period cited by the company, as higher production and administrative costs were partly offset by premiums and treatment and refining benefits. Jacob said Southern Copper expects fourth-quarter cash costs before by-product credits to be in line with or slightly better than the third-quarter level, though he noted that costs remain difficult to forecast.
Expansion Projects Target More Than 1 Million Tons of Copper
Southern Copper’s capital investment program for the decade exceeds $21 billion. The company said projects under construction at Tía María in Peru and El Pilar in Mexico are expected to add a combined 156,000 tons of refined copper production annually, allowing the company to surpass 1 million tons of annual copper production.
Tía María is expected to produce 120,000 tons of SX-EW copper cathodes annually in its early years. Operations are scheduled to begin in the first half of 2028. As of Sept. 30, the project was 50% complete, with $884 million invested and $1.1 billion committed. Jacob said the revised timing reflected the additional time needed for mechanical assembly and engineering work. He did not provide an updated capital-cost estimate during the call.
El Pilar, in Mexico’s Sonora state, is expected to produce 36,000 tons of copper cathodes annually. The $551 million project began early site preparation in September, with construction expected to begin in the first quarter of 2027 and production targeted for the second half of 2029.
The company also outlined longer-term Peruvian projects:
Los Chancas: Expected annual production of 130,000 tons of copper and 7,500 tons of molybdenum, with estimated capital investment of $2.6 billion and a planned 2031 start. The company said illegal miners must be removed from its concession before development can proceed at a faster pace.
Michiquillay: Expected to produce 225,000 tons of copper annually, along with molybdenum, gold and silver by-products. Southern Copper estimates investment of approximately $2.5 billion and expects production by 2032.
Cuajone expansion: The company is evaluating an increase in milling capacity from 90,000 to 120,000 tons per day, requiring estimated capital spending of $680 million. The expansion could add average annual production of 55,000 tons of copper and 1,400 tons of molybdenum. Southern Copper is also studying a potential expansion to 150,000 tons per day.
Dividend Declaration
Southern Copper announced a quarterly cash dividend of $1.30 per common share and a stock dividend of 0.0126 common shares per share. Both are payable Nov. 19 to shareholders of record as of Nov. 3, 2026.
About Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO)Southern Copper Corporation NYSE: SCCO is a mining and metals company engaged primarily in the exploration, development, extraction, processing and production of copper. The company also produces molybdenum, zinc, silver and lead, along with related byproducts. Its operations include open-pit mines, underground mines, concentrators, smelters, refineries and other processing facilities.
Southern Copper operates mainly in Peru and Mexico. Its Peruvian assets include the Toquepala and Cuajone copper mines, while its Mexican operations include the Buenavista del Cobre and La Caridad mines, as well as associated processing and infrastructure facilities.
This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].
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Southern Copper Corporation ( SCCO ) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 22, 2026 11:00 AM EDT Company Participants Raul Jacob - VP of Finance, Treasurer & CFO Conference Call Participants Carlos de Alba - Morgan Stanley, Research Division Matheus Moreira - Banco Bradesco BBI S.A., Research Division Emerson Vieira - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., Research Division Myles Allsop - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division Tingshuai Feng - China International Capital Corporation Limited, Research Division Alfonso Salazar - Scotiabank Global Banking and Markets, Research Division Matthew Dushkin - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division Jonathan Brandt - HSBC Global Investment Research Presentation Operator Good morning, and welcome to Southern Copper Corporation's Third Quarter and 9 Months 2026 Results Conference Call.
Growth stocks are attractive to many investors, as above-average financial growth helps these stocks easily grab the market's attention and produce exceptional returns. But finding a great growth stock is not easy at all.
That's because, these stocks usually carry above-average risk and volatility. In fact, betting on a stock for which the growth story is actually over or nearing its end could lead to significant loss.
However, the task of finding cutting-edge growth stocks is made easy with the help of the Zacks Growth Style Score (part of the Zacks Style Scores system), which looks beyond the traditional growth attributes to analyze a company's real growth prospects.
Our proprietary system currently recommends Southern Copper (SCCO - Free Report) as one such stock. This company not only has a favorable Growth Score, but also carries a top Zacks Rank.
Studies have shown that stocks with the best growth features consistently outperform the market. And for stocks that have a combination of a Growth Score of A or B and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy), returns are even better.
While there are numerous reasons why the stock of this miner is a great growth pick right now, we have highlighted three of the most important factors below:
Earnings GrowthArguably nothing is more important than earnings growth, as surging profit levels is what most investors are after. For growth investors, double-digit earnings growth is highly preferable, as it is often perceived as an indication of strong prospects (and stock price gains) for the company under consideration.
While the historical EPS growth rate for Southern Copper is 9.4%, investors should actually focus on the projected growth. The company's EPS is expected to grow 52.1% this year, crushing the industry average, which calls for EPS growth of 42.7%.
Impressive Asset Utilization RatioGrowth investors often overlook asset utilization ratio, also known as sales-to-total-assets (S/TA) ratio, but it is an important feature of a real growth stock. This metric shows how efficiently a firm is utilizing its assets to generate sales.
Right now, Southern Copper has an S/TA ratio of 0.76, which means that the company gets $0.76 in sales for each dollar in assets. Comparing this to the industry average of 0.44, it can be said that the company is more efficient.
In addition to efficiency in generating sales, sales growth plays an important role. And Southern Copper looks attractive from a sales growth perspective as well. The company's sales are expected to grow 31.4% this year versus the industry average of 20.7%.
Promising Earnings Estimate RevisionsBeyond the metrics outlined above, investors should consider the trend in earnings estimate revisions. A positive trend is a plus here. Empirical research shows that there is a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements.
There have been upward revisions in current-year earnings estimates for Southern Copper. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has surged 1.8% over the past month.
Bottom LineWhile the overall earnings estimate revisions have made Southern Copper a Zacks Rank #2 stock, it has earned itself a Growth Score of A based on a number of factors, including the ones discussed above.
You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
This combination positions Southern Copper well for outperformance, so growth investors may want to bet on it.
Copper prices have soared since the 2020 low, and the prospects remain bullish. Southern Copper is the second-largest mining company by market cap. SCCO shares have outperformed copper since 2001.
Southern Copper (SCCO) came out with quarterly earnings of $2.15 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.04 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.35 per share a year ago.
Wall Street expects a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when Southern Copper (SCCO - Free Report) reports results for the quarter ended September 2026. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.
The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.
While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise.
Zacks Consensus EstimateThis miner is expected to post quarterly earnings of $2.04 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +51.1%.
Revenues are expected to be $4.49 billion, up 33.1% from the year-ago quarter.
Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 2.41% higher over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.
Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change.
Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. Our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) -- has this insight at its core.
The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.
Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.
A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.
Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).
How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Southern Copper?For Southern Copper, the Most Accurate Estimate is the same as the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that there are no recent analyst views which differ from what have been considered to derive the consensus estimate. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of 0%.
On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3.
So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Southern Copper will beat the consensus EPS estimate.
Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.
For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Southern Copper would post earnings of $1.97 per share when it actually produced earnings of $2.01, delivering a surprise of +2.03%.
Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates four times.
Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.
That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.
Southern Copper doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.
Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.
Southern Copper (SCCO - Free Report) closed the most recent trading day at $200.68, moving -3.25% from the previous trading session. The stock's change was less than the S&P 500's daily loss of 1.11%. Meanwhile, the Dow lost 0.09%, and the Nasdaq, a tech-heavy index, lost 1.88%.
The stock of miner has risen by 9.52% in the past month, leading the Basic Materials sector's loss of 5.96% and the S&P 500's gain of 2.06%.
The upcoming earnings release of Southern Copper will be of great interest to investors. On that day, Southern Copper is projected to report earnings of $2.07 per share, which would represent year-over-year growth of 53.33%. At the same time, our most recent consensus estimate is projecting a revenue of $4.5 billion, reflecting a 33.33% rise from the equivalent quarter last year.
For the annual period, the Zacks Consensus Estimates anticipate earnings of $7.94 per share and a revenue of $17.63 billion, signifying shifts of +51.53% and +31.41%, respectively, from the last year.
Investors should also note any recent changes to analyst estimates for Southern Copper. These revisions help to show the ever-changing nature of near-term business trends. As a result, upbeat changes in estimates indicate analysts' favorable outlook on the business health and profitability.
Our research reveals that these estimate alterations are directly linked with the stock price performance in the near future. Investors can capitalize on this by using the Zacks Rank. This model considers these estimate changes and provides a simple, actionable rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, which varies between #1 (Strong Buy) and #5 (Strong Sell), carries an impressive track record of exceeding expectations, confirmed by external audits, with stocks at #1 delivering an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has witnessed a 1.36% increase. Currently, Southern Copper is carrying a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
In the context of valuation, Southern Copper is at present trading with a Forward P/E ratio of 26.13. For comparison, its industry has an average Forward P/E of 25.54, which means Southern Copper is trading at a premium to the group.
Meanwhile, SCCO's PEG ratio is currently 1.83. This metric is used similarly to the famous P/E ratio, but the PEG ratio also takes into account the stock's expected earnings growth rate. Mining - Non Ferrous stocks are, on average, holding a PEG ratio of 1.29 based on yesterday's closing prices.
The Mining - Non Ferrous industry is part of the Basic Materials sector. This group has a Zacks Industry Rank of 167, putting it in the bottom 33% of all 250+ industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank gauges the strength of our individual industry groups by measuring the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Don't forget to use Zacks.com to keep track of all these stock-moving metrics, and others, in the upcoming trading sessions.
Key Takeaways Southern Copper's Q3 revenues are estimated at $4.50 billion, up 33.3%, with EPS projected to rise 53.3%.Copper production fell 3.5% in Q2, while lower ore grades and recoveries in Peru weighed on output.Higher metal prices and cost-control efforts may cushion lower production volumes and elevated expenses.
Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO - Free Report) is expected to deliver year-over-year improvements in both its top and bottom lines when it reports third-quarter 2026 results next week.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter’s revenues is $4.50 billion, indicating year-over-year growth of 33.3%. The consensus mark for earnings suggests 53.3% growth from the year-ago quarter’s actual and is currently pegged at $2.07 per share. The estimate has moved up 14.4% in the past 60 days.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Southern Copper’s Earnings Surprise HistoryThe company’s bottom line beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the trailing four quarters. Over the same period, the company recorded an average earnings surprise of 6.34%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
What the Zacks Model Unveils for SCCOOur proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for Southern Copper this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat, but that is not the case here.
Earnings ESP: The Earnings ESP for SCCO is -4.35%. You can uncover the best stocks before they are reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
Zacks Rank: Southern Copper currently carries a Zacks Rank of 3. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Factors Likely to Have Shaped Southern Copper’s Q3 PerformanceCopper production fell 3.5% year over year in the second quarter of 2026 to 230,662 tons, while first-half 2026 output declined 3.8% to 461,206 tons. The weakness was concentrated in Peru, where second-quarter production fell 12% because of lower ore grades and recoveries at Toquepala and Cuajone. Even though management raised its copper production outlook for 2026 to 917,000 tons, this suggests a 4% decline from the 956,270 tons of copper produced in 2025.
Other metals are also expected to see declines. Molybdenum production is projected at 27,900 tons in 2026, indicating a 10% decline from the 2025 level. Silver output is projected at 24 million ounces, a decrease of around 1% compared with 2025. Zinc production for the year is projected at 163,900 tons, 7% lower than the 2025 level.
We, thus, expect Southern Copper’s production to be lower year over year in the third quarter of 2026. For comparison, the company mined 234,892 tons of copper in the third quarter of 2025. Including third-party concentrate, copper production was reported at 237,333 tons. Molybdenum production for the quarter was 7,874 tons, silver was 6.2 million ounces and zinc output was 45,482 tons.
Metal prices have trended higher year over year in the third quarter. Copper was supported by demand expectations and supply concerns. Copper prices had touched an all-time high of $6.93 per pound in September, driven by intense front-loading ahead of anticipated U.S. tariffs and supply disruptions. Copper averaged $6.53 per pound in the third quarter. Although silver declined from its January high of $121.64 an ounce, prices averaged around $63 per ounce in the third quarter of 2026. Zinc and molybdenum prices also improved from last year. Zinc prices in the third quarter remained elevated and hovered near multi-year highs supported by persistent global supply tightness, shrinking Western smelter capacity and declining exchange inventories.
Higher realized prices are likely to have offset the impacts of lower production and sales volumes on the company’s revenues in the quarter. However, the company continues to face elevated operating costs and expenses pertaining to workers’ participation, repair materials (mainly heavy equipment spare parts), inventory variance and exchange rate variance. The company's cost-control initiatives are likely to have cushioned the impact on earnings.
SCCO Stock’s Price PerformanceSouthern Copper stock has gained 57.2% in a year compared with the industry’s 42.9% growth.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Stocks Likely to Deliver Earnings BeatHere are some Basic Material stocks with the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat in their upcoming releases.
Reliance, Inc. (RS - Free Report) , scheduled to release third-quarter 2026 earnings on Oct. 21, has an Earnings ESP of +3.37% and a Zacks Rank of 1 at present.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings for Reliance for the third quarter of 2026 is pegged at $6.76 per share, suggesting an 85.7% year-over-year increase. Reliance has a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 3.15%.
OR Royalties Inc. (OR - Free Report) , scheduled to release third-quarter 2026 earnings on Nov. 11, has an Earnings ESP of +9.43% and a Zacks Rank of 2 at present.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OR Royalties’ earnings for the third quarter of 2026 is pegged at 27 cents per share, indicating 22.7% growth from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure. OR Royalties has a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 9.98%.
FreeportMcMoRan (FCX - Free Report) , scheduled to release third-quarter 2026 earnings on Oct. 27, has an Earnings ESP of +2.60% and a Zacks Rank of 3 at present.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings for FreeportMcMoRan for the third quarter of 2026 is 75 cents per share, indicating a 50% year-over-year increase. FreeportMcMoRan has a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 32.61%.
For new and old investors, taking full advantage of the stock market and investing with confidence are common goals. Zacks Premium provides lots of different ways to do both.
The popular research service can help you become a smarter, more self-assured investor, giving you access to daily updates of the Zacks Rank and Zacks Industry Rank, the Zacks #1 Rank List, Equity Research reports, and Premium stock screens.
Zacks Premium also includes the Zacks Style Scores.
What are the Zacks Style Scores? Developed alongside the Zacks Rank, the Zacks Style Scores are a group of complementary indicators that help investors pick stocks with the best chances of beating the market over the next 30 days.
Each stock is given an alphabetic rating of A, B, C, D or F based on their value, growth, and momentum qualities. With this system, an A is better than a B, a B is better than a C, and so on, meaning the better the score, the better chance the stock will outperform.
The Style Scores are broken down into four categories:
Value ScoreFinding good stocks at good prices, and discovering which companies are trading under their true value, are what value investors like to focus on. So, the Value Style Score takes into account ratios like P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, Price/Cash Flow, and a host of other multiples to highlight the most attractive and discounted stocks.
Growth ScoreWhile good value is important, growth investors are more focused on a company's financial strength and health, and its future outlook. The Growth Style Score takes projected and historic earnings, sales, and cash flow into account to uncover stocks that will see long-term, sustainable growth.
Momentum ScoreMomentum traders and investors live by the saying "the trend is your friend." This investing style is all about taking advantage of upward or downward trends in a stock's price or earnings outlook. Employing factors like one-week price change and the monthly percentage change in earnings estimates, the Momentum Style Score can indicate favorable times to build a position in high-momentum stocks.
VGM ScoreWhat if you like to use all three types of investing? The VGM Score is a combination of all Style Scores, making it one of the most comprehensive indicators to use with the Zacks Rank. It rates each stock on their combined weighted styles, which helps narrow down the companies with the most attractive value, best growth forecast, and most promising momentum.
How Style Scores Work with the Zacks Rank The Zacks Rank, which is a proprietary stock-rating model, employs earnings estimate revisions, or changes to a company's earnings expectations, to make building a winning portfolio easier.
#1 (Strong Buy) stocks have produced an unmatched +23.86% average annual return since 1988, which is more than double the S&P 500's performance over the same time frame. However, the Zacks Rank examines a ton of stocks, and there can be more than 200 companies with a Strong Buy rank, and another 600 with a #2 (Buy) rank, on any given day.
This totals more than 800 top-rated stocks, and it can be overwhelming to try and pick the best stocks for you and your portfolio.
That's where the Style Scores come in.
To maximize your returns, you want to buy stocks with the highest probability of success. This means picking stocks with a Zacks Rank #1 or #2 that also have Style Scores of A or B. If you find yourself looking at stocks with a #3 (Hold) rank, make sure they have Scores of A or B as well to ensure as much upside potential as possible.
Since the Scores were created to work together with the Zacks Rank, the direction of a stock's earnings estimate revisions should be a key factor when choosing which stocks to buy.
For instance, a stock with a #4 (Sell) or #5 (Strong Sell) rating, even one that boasts Scores of A and B, still has a downward-trending earnings forecast, and a much greater likelihood its share price will decline as well.
Thus, the more stocks you own with a #1 or #2 Rank and Scores of A or B, the better.
Stock to Watch: Southern Copper (SCCO - Free Report) Phoenix, AZ-based Southern Copper engages in mining, exploring, smelting and refining copper and other minerals. The company conducts exploration activities in Argentina, Chile, Mexico and Peru.
SCCO is a #3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of B.
Additionally, the company could be a top pick for growth investors. SCCO has a Growth Style Score of A, forecasting year-over-year earnings growth of 51.5% for the current fiscal year.
Two analysts revised their earnings estimate upwards in the last 60 days for fiscal 2026. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased $0.35 to $7.94 per share. SCCO boasts an average earnings surprise of +6.3%.
With a solid Zacks Rank and top-tier Growth and VGM Style Scores, SCCO should be on investors' short list.
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX +2.32%) and Southern Copper (SCCO +2.50%) could both benefit if copper stays tight, but for very different reasons. Freeport brings production growth and operating leverage, while Southern Copper brings enormous reserves and very low costs.
Stock prices used were the market prices of Sept. 10, 2026. The video was published on Oct. 8, 2026.
Rick Orford has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Rick Orford is an affiliate of The Motley Fool and may be compensated for promoting its services. If you choose to subscribe through their link, they will earn some extra money that supports their channel. Their opinions remain their own and are unaffected by The Motley Fool.
In the latest trading session, Southern Copper (SCCO - Free Report) closed at $200.57, marking a -1.81% move from the previous day. The stock's performance was behind the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.22%. Elsewhere, the Dow saw a downswing of 0.66%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq depreciated by 0.22%.
Coming into today, shares of the miner had lost 2.06% in the past month. In that same time, the Basic Materials sector lost 6.74%, while the S&P 500 gained 1.4%.
The investment community will be paying close attention to the earnings performance of Southern Copper in its upcoming release. It is anticipated that the company will report an EPS of $2, marking a 48.15% rise compared to the same quarter of the previous year. Our most recent consensus estimate is calling for quarterly revenue of $4.36 billion, up 29.08% from the year-ago period.
SCCO's full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates are calling for earnings of $7.86 per share and revenue of $17.36 billion. These results would represent year-over-year changes of +50% and +29.37%, respectively.
Investors should also note any recent changes to analyst estimates for Southern Copper. Recent revisions tend to reflect the latest near-term business trends. As a result, we can interpret positive estimate revisions as a good sign for the business outlook.
Based on our research, we believe these estimate revisions are directly related to near-term stock moves. To utilize this, we have created the Zacks Rank, a proprietary model that integrates these estimate changes and provides a functional rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, which varies between #1 (Strong Buy) and #5 (Strong Sell), carries an impressive track record of exceeding expectations, confirmed by external audits, with stocks at #1 delivering an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has moved 3.48% higher. Southern Copper presently features a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
Looking at valuation, Southern Copper is presently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 26. This expresses a premium compared to the average Forward P/E of 25.79 of its industry.
Investors should also note that SCCO has a PEG ratio of 1.82 right now. This popular metric is similar to the widely-known P/E ratio, with the difference being that the PEG ratio also takes into account the company's expected earnings growth rate. As of the close of trade yesterday, the Mining - Non Ferrous industry held an average PEG ratio of 0.96.
The Mining - Non Ferrous industry is part of the Basic Materials sector. This group has a Zacks Industry Rank of 223, putting it in the bottom 10% of all 250+ industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the vigor of our specific industry groups by computing the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks incorporated in the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Be sure to follow all of these stock-moving metrics, and many more, on Zacks.com.
Buy Freeport-McMoRan (FCX). It’s the cleanest copper beta: management quantifies that each $0.10/lb copper move swings 2026 operating cash flow by ~$300M. With Deutsche Bank’s $10/lb copper path, FCX’s cash-flow leverage should re-rate fast, and the low ~0.83% dividend yield adds carry while you wait for production recovery (Grasberg ramp).
Key Risk: Copper price fails to sustain the move toward $10/lb (demand disappoints or supply rebounds), crushing the cash-flow leverage.
SCCO
Buy Southern Copper (SCCO). It combines record profitability with a dividend (~1.91%) and raised 2026 outlook, so it benefits even if volumes soften. If copper stays elevated, SCCO’s high margins and by-product credits should keep earnings resilient while the stock trends higher (already above key moving averages).
Key Risk: A sharp deterioration in Peru output/ore grades or by-product economics wipes out the margin cushion that’s driving the earnings power.
Deutsche Bank believes the surge in copper prices in its early inning only.
According to the investment firm, aggressive demand from artificial intelligence (AI) and electric vehicles (EVs) could drive copper prices up to $10 a pound, or $22,050 per metric ton.
This would represent more than a 50% increase from $14,200 in late September, which could prove a major tailwind for the following three stocks.
Freeport-McMoRan stock is worth owning to play the expected surge in copper prices – especially since it puts a number on its copper leverage.
The company estimates each 10-cent change in the copper price shifts its 2026 operating cash flow by about $300 million, which it pegs at $8.3 billion at $6 a pound for copper.
FCX’s second-quarter copper output came in down 18% as Indonesia’s Grasberg miner recovered from the September 2025 mud rush.
But management expects the district to reach nearly 65% of capacity in the back half and 80% by mid-2027, with a larger share of sales now expected in the final quarter.
Investors should also note that FCX shares currently pay a dividend yield of about 0.83% as well, which makes them even more attractive as a long-term holding.
The bullish case for Teck Resources stock rests primarily on rising volume and falling unit costs.
Q2 copper production climbed 25% on a year-over-year basis to 135,900 metric tons – with every copper operation higher, while net cash unit costs fell to $1.64 a pound from $2.02.
The firm’s Quebrada Blanca in Chile produced 55,800 tons, a third straight stable quarter, and its management reaffirmed full-year guidance in the range of 455,000 to 530,000 tons.
Meanwhile, TECK’s Highland Valley extension is expected to sustain output of about 132,000 tons a year through 2046.
Much like FCX, the NYSE-listed firm also currently pays a dividend yield of 0.54% - effectively becoming more attractive for income-focused investors.
Southern Copper is already posting record profits despite shrinking copper volumes.
Its Q2 adjusted EBITDA reached $2.96 billion on sales of $4.3 billion, a margin near 69%, while copper production slipped to 230,662 metric tons as Peruvian output fell 12% on lower ore grades.
But by-product credits of $2.24 per pound offset nearly all of the $2.29 per pound in operating cash costs before credits.
Importantly, management raised its 2026 copper outlook to about 917,000 metric tons. Among the names on our list, SCCO stock pays the most lucrative dividend yield of 1.91% as of writing.
Even from a technical perspective, Southern Copper currently sits decisively above its key moving averages (MAs), with an RSI in the mid-50s indicating significant buying pressure that could drive its share price higher in the near term.
It doesn't matter your age or experience: taking full advantage of the stock market and investing with confidence are common goals for all investors. Luckily, Zacks Premium offers several different ways to do both.
The popular research service can help you become a smarter, more self-assured investor, giving you access to daily updates of the Zacks Rank and Zacks Industry Rank, the Zacks #1 Rank List, Equity Research reports, and Premium stock screens.
It also includes access to the Zacks Style Scores.
What are the Zacks Style Scores? Developed alongside the Zacks Rank, the Zacks Style Scores are a group of complementary indicators that help investors pick stocks with the best chances of beating the market over the next 30 days.
Based on their value, growth, and momentum characteristics, each stock is assigned a rating of A, B, C, D, or F. The better the score, the better chance the stock will outperform; an A is better than a B, a B is better than a C, and so on.
The Style Scores are broken down into four categories:
Value ScoreValue investors love finding good stocks at good prices, especially before the broader market catches on to a stock's true value. Utilizing ratios like P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, Price/Cash Flow, and many other multiples, the Value Style Score identifies the most attractive and most discounted stocks.
Growth ScoreWhile good value is important, growth investors are more focused on a company's financial strength and health, and its future outlook. The Growth Style Score takes projected and historic earnings, sales, and cash flow into account to uncover stocks that will see long-term, sustainable growth.
Momentum ScoreMomentum investors, who live by the saying "the trend is your friend," are most interested in taking advantage of upward or downward trends in a stock's price or earnings outlook. Utilizing one-week price change and the monthly percentage change in earnings estimates, among other factors, the Momentum Style Score can help determine favorable times to buy high-momentum stocks.
VGM ScoreWhat if you like to use all three types of investing? The VGM Score is a combination of all Style Scores, making it one of the most comprehensive indicators to use with the Zacks Rank. It rates each stock on their combined weighted styles, which helps narrow down the companies with the most attractive value, best growth forecast, and most promising momentum.
How Style Scores Work with the Zacks Rank A proprietary stock-rating model, the Zacks Rank utilizes the power of earnings estimate revisions, or changes to a company's earnings outlook, to help investors create a successful portfolio.
It's highly successful, with #1 (Strong Buy) stocks producing an unmatched +23.86% average annual return since 1988. That's more than double the S&P 500. But because of the large number of stocks we rate, there are over 200 companies with a Strong Buy rank, plus another 600 with a #2 (Buy) rank, on any given day.
With more than 800 top-rated stocks to choose from, it can certainly feel overwhelming to pick the ones that are right for you and your investing journey.
That's where the Style Scores come in.
To have the best chance of big returns, you'll want to always consider stocks with a Zacks Rank #1 or #2 that also have Style Scores of A or B, which will give you the highest probability of success. If you're looking at stocks with a #3 (Hold) rank, it's important they have Scores of A or B as well to ensure as much upside potential as possible.
Since the Scores were created to work together with the Zacks Rank, the direction of a stock's earnings estimate revisions should be a key factor when choosing which stocks to buy.
For instance, a stock with a #4 (Sell) or #5 (Strong Sell) rating, even one that boasts Scores of A and B, still has a downward-trending earnings forecast, and a much greater likelihood its share price will decline as well.
Thus, the more stocks you own with a #1 or #2 Rank and Scores of A or B, the better.
Stock to Watch: Southern Copper (SCCO - Free Report) Phoenix, AZ-based Southern Copper engages in mining, exploring, smelting and refining copper and other minerals. The company conducts exploration activities in Argentina, Chile, Mexico and Peru.
SCCO is a #3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of B.
Momentum investors should take note of this Basic Materials stock. SCCO has a Momentum Style Score of B, and shares are up 3.3% over the past four weeks.
One analyst revised their earnings estimate upwards in the last 60 days for fiscal 2026. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased $0.27 to $7.86 per share. SCCO boasts an average earnings surprise of +6.3%.
With a solid Zacks Rank and top-tier Momentum and VGM Style Scores, SCCO should be on investors' short list.
Analyst ratings are frequently used to identify stocks to buy or sell. However, it's important to understand the psychology behind analysts' ratings. Analysts rarely like to be early. That's where investors can find opportunities.
Analysts will frequently issue or reiterate a bearish (Reduce) or neutral (Hold) rating on a stock, even as they raise their price targets. That's a signal to investors that the underlying business looks good, but analysts are waiting to see more.
It's particularly important to pay attention to this psychology heading into earnings season. Earnings reports can provide the proof that leads to upgrades and raised price targets.
Get Southern Copper alerts:
Heading into this earnings season, the MarketBeat's Lowest-Rated Stocks screener shows three stocks where this dynamic exists. Each company on this list has a long-term catalyst that should allow investors to look beyond the current analyst sentiment and take a long-term position in the respective stocks.
SCCO Stock Has Outrun Copper Prices, But the Long-Term Case HoldsSouthern Copper Stock Forecast Today12-Month Stock Price Forecast:
$146.38
-28.86% Downside
Reduce
Based on 14 Analyst Ratings
Current Price$205.77High Forecast$175.89Average Forecast$146.38Low Forecast$105.82Southern Copper Stock Forecast Details
Industrial metals, such as copper, are performing well. For example, as of Oct. 5, 2026, the spot price of copper is up about 31% in the last 12 months. However, it's been virtually flat since May 2026. That's the starting point for understanding the investment case for Southern Copper NYSE: SCCO.
The stock is up over 63% in the last 12 months and approximately 46% year-to-date. Investors have been front-loading SCCO in anticipation of higher copper prices brought on by a historic supply-demand imbalance.
The problem is that the imbalance isn't showing up in the underlying commodity price. That's a key reason why analysts are bearish on SCCO. Of the 15 analysts tracked by MarketBeat, seven give the stock a Sell rating. The consensus rating is Reduce, and the stock has a consensus price target of $146.84, which is over 28% below its price as of this writing.
But the important thing to remember about the metals sector is that inevitable doesn't mean imminent. The International Energy Agency (IEA) is still projecting a supply gap of roughly 25% by 2035 based on currently anticipated projects.
The skeptics can focus on the word "anticipated." But the reality is that even if some data center construction is delayed, there are still many structural reasons to believe copper demand will increase.
PRU Stock: Rising Price Targets Signal a Shift in Analyst SentimentPrudential Financial Stock Forecast Today12-Month Stock Price Forecast:
$109.31
-3.64% Downside
Reduce
Based on 16 Analyst Ratings
Current Price$113.44High Forecast$131.00Average Forecast$109.31Low Forecast$87.00Prudential Financial Stock Forecast Details
Prudential Financial NYSE: PRU is a good example of a stock where the consensus ratings and the price targets are in conflict. The 16 analysts tracked by MarketBeat give PRU a consensus rating of Reduce, including five Sell ratings. The consensus price target of $109.31 is about 4% below the stock price as of this writing.
But many analysts are raising their price targets well above the consensus level. In most of those cases, a rating of Neutral is an upgrade from where they were. This tracks with a key trend in the insurance sector.
Higher long-term yields are a tailwind for life insurance and annuity providers. This began showing up in the company's Q2 2026 earnings report and is likely to show strong momentum when the company reports its Q3 earnings in early November.
Skeptics will point to a 10-year trend in which PRU has met resistance at a price around $120, which is about 5% above its price as of this writing. But long-term yields haven't been sustained at these levels in over 20 years.
Plus, over that time period, PRU has delivered a total return of over 118%. That includes its dividend, which has increased for 18 consecutive years and currently yields nearly 5% with an annual payout per share of $5.60.
ITW Stock: Data Center Demand Could Spark Upgrades After Q3 EarningsIllinois Tool Works Stock Forecast Today12-Month Stock Price Forecast:
$282.00
6.64% Upside
Reduce
Based on 13 Analyst Ratings
Current Price$264.45High Forecast$350.00Average Forecast$282.00Low Forecast$250.00Illinois Tool Works Stock Forecast Details
Industrials have had a solid year, but that hasn't shown up in the performance of Illinois Tool Works NYSE: ITW. The stock has increased by 7.6% so far this year, but its gain over the past 12 months is just under 2%.
This is despite the company posting solid year-over-year beats on its top and bottom lines. Illinois Tool Works also raised its full-year guidance on the top and bottom lines. One reason is strong demand in welding and electronics brought on by data center construction.
Analysts remain unimpressed. Out of the 13 analysts tracked by MarketBeat, five give ITW a Sell rating. The consensus rating is Reduce, and the consensus price target of $282 as of this writing is only a gain of about 6.8%.
However, since the company's last earnings report, some analysts have moved their price targets sharply higher. That's the backdrop for the company's Q3 2026 earnings report, scheduled for the end of October. A strong print could reverse the negative sentiment on a stock that is still slightly undervalued at around 23x forward earnings.
Plus, Illinois Tool Works is a Dividend King that's increased its dividend for 55 consecutive years. That dividend currently yields about 2.6%.
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Ferguson Wellman Capital Management Inc. increased its holdings in shares of Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE:SCCO – Free Report) by 5.2% in the 3rd quarter, according to its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The fund owned 106,792 shares of the basic materials company’s stock after purchasing an additional 5,278 shares during the quarter. Ferguson Wellman Capital Management Inc.’s holdings in Southern Copper were worth $21,640,000 as of its most recent SEC filing.
Several other hedge funds and other institutional investors have also recently added to or reduced their stakes in SCCO. BlackRock Inc. acquired a new position in shares of Southern Copper during the 2nd quarter worth about $1,729,500,000. Bank of America Corp DE bought a new stake in Southern Copper during the second quarter worth about $318,448,000. Legal & General Group Plc bought a new stake in Southern Copper during the second quarter worth about $149,739,000. Capital Research Global Investors acquired a new position in Southern Copper during the fourth quarter valued at approximately $81,039,000. Finally, Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan Trust Fund acquired a new position in Southern Copper during the first quarter valued at approximately $85,342,000. 7.94% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.
Insider Activity In other news, Director Luis Palomino Bonilla sold 202 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, August 5th. The shares were sold at an average price of $196.79, for a total value of $39,751.28. Following the completion of the sale, the director owned 1,723 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $339,066.65. The trade was a 10.49% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which can be accessed through this link. Insiders have sold a total of 704 shares of company stock valued at $138,077 over the last three months. Insiders own 0.07% of the company’s stock.
Southern Copper Stock Performance SCCO traded up $0.55 during trading hours on Monday, reaching $206.09. The company’s stock had a trading volume of 271,916 shares, compared to its average volume of 1,550,251. The company’s 50-day moving average is $197.58 and its 200-day moving average is $184.49. Southern Copper Corporation has a 52 week low of $119.25 and a 52 week high of $223.88. The firm has a market cap of $171.94 billion, a PE ratio of 30.15, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 1.83 and a beta of 1.11. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63, a quick ratio of 4.56 and a current ratio of 5.06. Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO – Get Free Report) last announced its earnings results on Wednesday, July 22nd. The basic materials company reported $1.99 earnings per share for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.93 by $0.06. The company had revenue of $4.29 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $4.37 billion. Southern Copper had a return on equity of 49.04% and a net margin of 35.87%.The company’s revenue for the quarter was up 40.6% on a year-over-year basis. On average, equities analysts forecast that Southern Copper Corporation will post 7.86 EPS for the current year.
The company also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Thursday, August 27th. Stockholders of record on Tuesday, August 11th were issued a dividend of $1.10 per share. This is an increase from Southern Copper’s previous quarterly dividend of $1.00. This represents a $4.40 dividend on an annualized basis and a dividend yield of 2.1%. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Tuesday, August 11th. Southern Copper’s payout ratio is 64.33%.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth Several research firms have weighed in on SCCO. Citigroup reaffirmed a “positive” rating on shares of Southern Copper in a research report on Wednesday, July 15th. JPMorgan Chase & Co. increased their price objective on Southern Copper from $125.49 to $129.94 and gave the company an “underweight” rating in a report on Wednesday, June 17th. UBS Group reissued a “sell” rating and issued a $158.10 target price (up from $143.28) on shares of Southern Copper in a research note on Tuesday, June 30th. Weiss Ratings upgraded shares of Southern Copper from a “buy (b-)” rating to a “buy (b)” rating in a report on Tuesday, July 28th. Finally, Wall Street Zen lowered shares of Southern Copper from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research report on Saturday, August 1st. Three analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, five have issued a Hold rating and seven have assigned a Sell rating to the company’s stock. Based on data from MarketBeat, the company currently has a consensus rating of “Reduce” and a consensus price target of $146.84.
View Our Latest Analysis on Southern Copper
About Southern Copper (Free Report)
Southern Copper Corp. is an integrated copper producer engaged in the exploration, mining, processing, smelting and refining of copper and other minerals. Its principal products include copper cathodes, copper concentrates, molybdenum, zinc, silver and lead. The company also produces sulfuric acid and other byproducts through its metallurgical operations.
Southern Copper operates major mining and processing assets in Mexico and Peru. Its Mexican operations include the Buenavista del Cobre and La Caridad mining complexes, while its Peruvian operations include the Cuajone and Toquepala mines.
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Southern Copper (SCCO - Free Report) closed at $199.22 in the latest trading session, marking a -1.69% move from the prior day. This move lagged the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.2%. On the other hand, the Dow registered a gain of 0.04%, and the technology-centric Nasdaq increased by 0.04%.
The miner's shares have seen a decrease of 0.79% over the last month, surpassing the Basic Materials sector's loss of 8.41% and falling behind the S&P 500's loss of 0.35%.
Market participants will be closely following the financial results of Southern Copper in its upcoming release. The company's upcoming EPS is projected at $2, signifying a 48.15% increase compared to the same quarter of the previous year. At the same time, our most recent consensus estimate is projecting a revenue of $4.36 billion, reflecting a 29.08% rise from the equivalent quarter last year.
Looking at the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates suggest analysts are expecting earnings of $7.86 per share and revenue of $17.36 billion. These totals would mark changes of +50% and +29.37%, respectively, from last year.
Additionally, investors should keep an eye on any recent revisions to analyst forecasts for Southern Copper. These latest adjustments often mirror the shifting dynamics of short-term business patterns. As a result, upbeat changes in estimates indicate analysts' favorable outlook on the business health and profitability.
Our research suggests that these changes in estimates have a direct relationship with upcoming stock price performance. We developed the Zacks Rank to capitalize on this phenomenon. Our system takes these estimate changes into account and delivers a clear, actionable rating model.
The Zacks Rank system, spanning from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), boasts an impressive track record of outperformance, audited externally, with #1 ranked stocks yielding an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the past month, there's been a 3.28% rise in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. Southern Copper presently features a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
Valuation is also important, so investors should note that Southern Copper has a Forward P/E ratio of 25.79 right now. This signifies a premium in comparison to the average Forward P/E of 25.3 for its industry.
It is also worth noting that SCCO currently has a PEG ratio of 1.8. The PEG ratio bears resemblance to the frequently used P/E ratio, but this parameter also includes the company's expected earnings growth trajectory. Mining - Non Ferrous stocks are, on average, holding a PEG ratio of 0.93 based on yesterday's closing prices.
The Mining - Non Ferrous industry is part of the Basic Materials sector. This industry currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 179, which puts it in the bottom 28% of all 250+ industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank gauges the strength of our industry groups by measuring the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
To follow SCCO in the coming trading sessions, be sure to utilize Zacks.com.
Southern Copper (SCCO) has an impressive earnings surprise history and currently possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely beat in its next quarterly report.
Alcoa (NYSE:AA – Get Free Report) and Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO – Get Free Report) are both large-cap materials companies, but which is the superior business? We will compare the two companies based on the strength of their profitability, valuation, institutional ownership, dividends, analyst recommendations, risk and earnings.
Profitability This table compares Alcoa and Southern Copper’s net margins, return on equity and return on assets.
Net Margins Return on Equity Return on Assets Alcoa 9.48% 18.90% 7.71% Southern Copper 35.87% 49.04% 25.81% Risk & Volatility Alcoa has a beta of 1.63, suggesting that its stock price is 63% more volatile than the S&P 500. Comparatively, Southern Copper has a beta of 1.14, suggesting that its stock price is 14% more volatile than the S&P 500.
Valuation & Earnings This table compares Alcoa and Southern Copper”s revenue, earnings per share and valuation. Gross Revenue Price/Sales Ratio Net Income Earnings Per Share Price/Earnings Ratio Alcoa $12.83 billion 0.86 $1.16 billion $4.86 8.65 Southern Copper $13.42 billion 12.60 $4.33 billion $6.84 29.63 Southern Copper has higher revenue and earnings than Alcoa. Alcoa is trading at a lower price-to-earnings ratio than Southern Copper, indicating that it is currently the more affordable of the two stocks.
Dividends Alcoa pays an annual dividend of $0.40 per share and has a dividend yield of 1.0%. Southern Copper pays an annual dividend of $4.40 per share and has a dividend yield of 2.2%. Alcoa pays out 8.2% of its earnings in the form of a dividend. Southern Copper pays out 64.3% of its earnings in the form of a dividend. Both companies have healthy payout ratios and should be able to cover their dividend payments with earnings for the next several years.
Analyst Recommendations This is a summary of current ratings and target prices for Alcoa and Southern Copper, as provided by MarketBeat.com.
Sell Ratings Hold Ratings Buy Ratings Strong Buy Ratings Rating Score Alcoa 1 5 7 0 2.46 Southern Copper 7 5 3 0 1.73 Alcoa presently has a consensus target price of $61.42, suggesting a potential upside of 46.17%. Southern Copper has a consensus target price of $146.84, suggesting a potential downside of 27.54%. Given Alcoa’s stronger consensus rating and higher probable upside, equities research analysts clearly believe Alcoa is more favorable than Southern Copper.
Institutional and Insider Ownership 7.9% of Southern Copper shares are owned by institutional investors. 0.1% of Southern Copper shares are owned by insiders. Strong institutional ownership is an indication that large money managers, hedge funds and endowments believe a stock will outperform the market over the long term.
Summary Southern Copper beats Alcoa on 11 of the 16 factors compared between the two stocks.
About Alcoa (Get Free Report)
Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Iceland, Norway, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Alumina and Aluminum. It engages in bauxite mining operations; and processes bauxite into alumina and sells it to customers who process it into industrial chemical products, as well as aluminum smelting and casting businesses. The company offers primary aluminum in the form of alloy ingot or value-add ingot to customers that produce products for the transportation, building and construction, packaging, wire, and other industrial markets; and flat-rolled aluminum in the form of sheet, which is sold primarily to customers that produce beverage and food cans. In addition, it owns hydro power plants that generates and sells electricity in the wholesale market to traders, large industrial consumers, distribution companies, and other generation companies. The company was formerly known as Alcoa Upstream Corporation and changed its name to Alcoa Corporation in October 2016. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
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Southern Copper Corporation engages in mining, exploring, smelting, and refining copper and other minerals in Peru, Mexico, Argentina, Ecuador, and Chile. The company is involved in the mining, milling, and flotation of copper ore to produce copper and molybdenum concentrates; smelting of copper concentrates to produce blister and anode copper; refining of anode copper to produce copper cathodes; production of molybdenum concentrate and sulfuric acid; production of refined silver, gold, and other materials; and mining and processing of zinc, copper, molybdenum, silver, gold, and lead. It operates the Toquepala and Cuajone open-pit mines, and a smelter and refinery in Peru; and La Caridad, an open-pit copper mine, as well as a copper ore concentrator, a SX-EW plant, a smelter, refinery, and a rod plant in Mexico. The company also operates Buenavista, an open-pit copper mine, as well as two copper concentrators and two operating SX-EW plants in Mexico. In addition, it operates underground mines that produce zinc, lead, copper, silver, and gold; a coal mine; and a zinc refinery. The company has interests in 156,818 hectares and 502,688 hectares of concessions in Peru and Mexico; and 168,200 hectares and 28,453 hectares of exploration concessions in Argentina and Chile. Southern Copper Corporation was incorporated in 1952 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona. Southern Copper Corporation is a subsidiary of Americas Mining Corporation.
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Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO – Get Free Report) and Ivanhoe Mines (OTCMKTS:IVPAF – Get Free Report) are both large-cap materials companies, but which is the superior business? We will compare the two businesses based on the strength of their analyst recommendations, valuation, institutional ownership, risk, profitability, dividends and earnings.
Valuation and Earnings This table compares Southern Copper and Ivanhoe Mines”s top-line revenue, earnings per share and valuation.
Gross Revenue Price/Sales Ratio Net Income Earnings Per Share Price/Earnings Ratio Southern Copper $15.79 billion 10.70 $4.33 billion $6.84 29.61 Ivanhoe Mines $441.61 million 27.33 $261.55 million $0.09 94.00 Southern Copper has higher revenue and earnings than Ivanhoe Mines. Southern Copper is trading at a lower price-to-earnings ratio than Ivanhoe Mines, indicating that it is currently the more affordable of the two stocks. Insider & Institutional Ownership 7.9% of Southern Copper shares are owned by institutional investors. 0.1% of Southern Copper shares are owned by company insiders. Strong institutional ownership is an indication that large money managers, endowments and hedge funds believe a stock will outperform the market over the long term.
Analyst Ratings This is a breakdown of current ratings and price targets for Southern Copper and Ivanhoe Mines, as provided by MarketBeat.com.
Sell Ratings Hold Ratings Buy Ratings Strong Buy Ratings Rating Score Southern Copper 7 5 3 0 1.73 Ivanhoe Mines 0 4 2 1 2.57 Southern Copper presently has a consensus target price of $146.84, indicating a potential downside of 27.50%. Ivanhoe Mines has a consensus target price of $15.20, indicating a potential upside of 79.67%. Given Ivanhoe Mines’ stronger consensus rating and higher possible upside, analysts clearly believe Ivanhoe Mines is more favorable than Southern Copper.
Profitability This table compares Southern Copper and Ivanhoe Mines’ net margins, return on equity and return on assets.
Net Margins Return on Equity Return on Assets Southern Copper 35.87% 49.04% 25.81% Ivanhoe Mines 23.47% 5.07% 3.81% Volatility & Risk Southern Copper has a beta of 1.14, meaning that its stock price is 14% more volatile than the S&P 500. Comparatively, Ivanhoe Mines has a beta of 1.03, meaning that its stock price is 3% more volatile than the S&P 500.
Summary Southern Copper beats Ivanhoe Mines on 10 of the 15 factors compared between the two stocks.
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Southern Copper Corporation engages in mining, exploring, smelting, and refining copper and other minerals in Peru, Mexico, Argentina, Ecuador, and Chile. The company is involved in the mining, milling, and flotation of copper ore to produce copper and molybdenum concentrates; smelting of copper concentrates to produce blister and anode copper; refining of anode copper to produce copper cathodes; production of molybdenum concentrate and sulfuric acid; production of refined silver, gold, and other materials; and mining and processing of zinc, copper, molybdenum, silver, gold, and lead. It operates the Toquepala and Cuajone open-pit mines, and a smelter and refinery in Peru; and La Caridad, an open-pit copper mine, as well as a copper ore concentrator, a SX-EW plant, a smelter, refinery, and a rod plant in Mexico. The company also operates Buenavista, an open-pit copper mine, as well as two copper concentrators and two operating SX-EW plants in Mexico. In addition, it operates underground mines that produce zinc, lead, copper, silver, and gold; a coal mine; and a zinc refinery. The company has interests in 156,818 hectares and 502,688 hectares of concessions in Peru and Mexico; and 168,200 hectares and 28,453 hectares of exploration concessions in Argentina and Chile. Southern Copper Corporation was incorporated in 1952 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona. Southern Copper Corporation is a subsidiary of Americas Mining Corporation.
About Ivanhoe Mines (Get Free Report)
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. engages in the mining, development, and exploration of minerals and precious metals primarily in Africa. It explores for platinum, palladium, nickel, copper, gold, rhodium, zinc, silver, germanium, and lead deposits. The company's projects include the Platreef project located in the Northern Limb of South Africa's Bushveld Complex; the Kipushi project located in Haut-Katanga Province, Democratic Republic of Congo; and the Kamoa-Kakula project located within the Central African Copperbelt. It also holds a 100% interest in the Western Foreland exploration project covering an area of approximately 2,407 square kilometers located in the Democratic Republic of Congo. The company was formerly known as Ivanplats Limited and changed its name to Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. in August 2013. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
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Key Takeaways Southern Copper plans to advance $10.2B in Mexican investments to support long-term growth.El Pilar construction is set for 2027, with 36,000 tons of copper cathode targeted in 2029.Southern Copper targets 1.056M tons of production in 2029 and 1.6M tons by 2035. Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO - Free Report) is in discussions with the administration to advance its investments of $10.2 billion in Mexico. The company has a strong Mexican pipeline, which is expected to boost organic growth in the coming years.
Southern Copper’s Mexican copper circuit, which includes Angangueo and Chalchihuites mines, along with the Empalme Smelter, is expected to position the company as a fully integrated copper producer.
The company expects construction to commence in the first quarter of 2027 at its new El Pilar copper project in Sonora, with production slated to begin in the second half of 2029. El Pilar’s copper oxide mineralization contains estimated proven and probable reserves of 317 million tons of ore. The mine has an expected life of 18 years. Southern Copper expects El Pilar to produce 36,000 tons of copper cathode in 2029.
SCCO’s El Arco mine in Baja California is a world-class copper deposit with more than 1,230 million tons in sulfide ore reserves and 141 million tons of leach material. El Arco mine is expected to produce 190,000 ounces of copper in 2030.
Southern Copper maintains a strong long-term outlook, with production expected to reach 1.056 million tons in 2029 and targets 1.6 million tons by 2035. The breadth of these projects gives Southern Copper multiple sources of organic production growth beyond current mine grades. Tía María, Los Chancas and Michiquillay in Peru, along with El Pilar, El Arco and other projects in Mexico, will aid the company’s production in the upcoming years.
Growth Drivers of Southern Copper PeersTeck Resources Ltd. (TECK - Free Report) continues to advance projects toward sanction readiness while prioritizing Quebrada Blanca and the Highland Valley Copper Mine Life Extension. Highland Valley construction progressed in the second quarter of 2026, with detailed engineering about 95% complete and procurement nearly complete. The project is expected to extend mine life to 2046 and support average annual copper production of about 132,000 tons.
Quebrada Blanca produced 55,800 tons of copper in the second quarter of 2026, up from 52,700 tons a year earlier and broadly stable with the first quarter. The operation completed a third consecutive quarter of stable performance. Teck Resources maintains its 2026 copper production guidance of 455-530 thousand tons, whereas it produced 453.5 thousand tons in 2025. This will be driven by higher output at QB, Highland Valley Copper and Antamina. Teck Resources’ long-term outlook for copper is positive as demand is expected to grow, partly driven by electric vehicles, renewable energy and infrastructure investments.
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX - Free Report) is conducting exploration activities near its existing mines with a focus on opportunities to expand reserves. At Cerro Verde, a large-scale concentrator expansion provided incremental annual production of around 600 million pounds of copper and 15 million pounds of molybdenum.
Freeport-McMoRan is evaluating a large-scale expansion at El Abra in Chile to define a large sulfide resource that could potentially support a major mill project. The expansion is expected to result in the addition of more than 700 million pounds of copper production annually. Freeport-McMoRan, in April 2026, lowered its consolidated sales volume projections for 2026 to 3.1 billion pounds of copper from the prior view of 3.4 billion pounds due to an expected delay in achieving full ramp-up of the Grasberg Block Cave mine.
SCCO’s Price Performance, Valuations & EstimatesSouthern Copper shares have surged 67.4% year to date compared with the Zacks Mining - Non Ferrous industry’s rise of 57.3%. During this time, the Basic Materials sector has risen 17.1% and the S&P 500 has rallied 17.3%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Southern Copper stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 26.92X, which is a premium to the industry average of 22.82X.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Southern Copper’s 2026 sales is $17.36 billion, indicating a 29% year-over-year jump. The consensus mark for the year’s earnings is pegged at $7.83 per share, suggesting a rally of 49%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2027 sales implies a 49.4% year-over-year dip. The same for earnings suggests a fall of 5.2%.
Earnings estimates for 2026 and 2027 have moved up over the past 60 days.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The company currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Wall Street watches a company's quarterly report closely to understand as much as possible about its recent performance and what to expect going forward. Of course, one figure often stands out among the rest: earnings.
The earnings figure itself is key, of course, but a beat or miss on the bottom line can sometimes be just as, if not more, important. Therefore, investors should consider paying close attention to these earnings surprises, as a big beat can help a stock climb and vice versa.
Hunting for 'earnings whispers' or companies poised to beat their quarterly earnings estimates is a somewhat common practice. But that doesn't make it easy. One way that has been proven to work is by using the Zacks Earnings ESP tool.
The Zacks Earnings ESP, ExplainedThe Zacks Earnings ESP, or Expected Surprise Prediction, aims to find earnings surprises by focusing on the most recent analyst revisions. The basic premise is that if an analyst reevaluates their earnings estimate ahead of an earnings release, it means they likely have new information that could possibly be more accurate.
The core of the ESP model is comparing the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, where the resulting percentage difference between the two equals the Expected Surprise Prediction. The Zacks Rank is also factored into the ESP metric to better help find companies that appear poised to top their next bottom-line consensus estimate, which will hopefully help lift the stock price.
When we join a positive earnings ESP with a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or stronger, stocks posted a positive bottom-line surprise 70% of the time. Plus, this system saw investors produce roughly 28% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.
Stocks with a #3 (Hold) ranking, which is most stocks covered at 60%, are expected to perform in-line with the broader market. But stocks that fall into the #2 (Buy) and #1 (Strong Buy) ranking, or the top 15% and top 5% of stocks, respectively, should outperform the market. Strong Buy stocks should outperform more than any other rank.
Should You Consider Southern Copper?The final step today is to look at a stock that meets our ESP qualifications. Southern Copper (SCCO - Free Report) earns a #3 (Hold) 29 days from its next quarterly earnings release on October 27, 2026, and its Most Accurate Estimate comes in at $2.16 a share.
SCCO has an Earnings ESP figure of +8.00%, which, as explained above, is calculated by taking the percentage difference between the $2.16 Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2. Southern Copper is one of a large database of stocks with positive ESPs. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.
SCCO is part of a big group of Basic Materials stocks that boast a positive ESP, and investors may want to take a look at Freeport-McMoRan (FCX - Free Report) as well.
Freeport-McMoRan, which is readying to report earnings on October 22, 2026, sits at a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) right now. Its Most Accurate Estimate is currently $0.84 a share, and FCX is 24 days out from its next earnings report.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Freeport-McMoRan is $0.73, and when you take the percentage difference between that number and its Most Accurate Estimate, you get the Earnings ESP figure of +14.63%.
Because both stocks hold a positive Earnings ESP, SCCO and FCX could potentially post earnings beats in their next reports.
Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're ReportedUse the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>
Southern Copper (SCCO - Free Report) is one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com visitors lately. So, it might be a good idea to review some of the factors that might affect the near-term performance of the stock.
Shares of this miner have returned -5.5% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.3% change. The Zacks Mining - Non Ferrous industry, to which Southern Copper belongs, has lost 3.9% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term?
While media releases or rumors about a substantial change in a company's business prospects usually make its stock 'trending' and lead to an immediate price change, there are always some fundamental facts that eventually dominate the buy-and-hold decision-making.
Revisions to Earnings EstimatesRather than focusing on anything else, we at Zacks prioritize evaluating the change in a company's earnings projection. This is because we believe the fair value for its stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings.
We essentially look at how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to reflect the impact of the latest business trends. And if earnings estimates go up for a company, the fair value for its stock goes up. A higher fair value than the current market price drives investors' interest in buying the stock, leading to its price moving higher. This is why empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements.
For the current quarter, Southern Copper is expected to post earnings of $2.00 per share, indicating a change of +48.2% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed +10.8% over the last 30 days.
The consensus earnings estimate of $7.83 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of +49.4%. This estimate has changed +2.9% over the last 30 days.
For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $7.42 indicates a change of -5.2% from what Southern Copper is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed +6.3%.
Having a strong externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool, the Zacks Rank, offers a more conclusive picture of a stock's price direction in the near term, since it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. Due to the size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, Southern Copper is rated Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:
12 Month EPS
Projected Revenue GrowthEven though a company's earnings growth is arguably the best indicator of its financial health, nothing much happens if it cannot raise its revenues. It's almost impossible for a company to grow its earnings without growing its revenue for long periods. Therefore, knowing a company's potential revenue growth is crucial.
For Southern Copper, the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter of $4.36 billion indicates a year-over-year change of +29.1%. For the current and next fiscal years, $17.36 billion and $16.17 billion estimates indicate +29.4% and -6.9% changes, respectively.
Last Reported Results and Surprise HistorySouthern Copper reported revenues of $4.29 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +40.6%. EPS of $2.01 for the same period compares with $1.22 a year ago.
Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.37 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of -1.89%. The EPS surprise was +2.03%.
The company beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters. The company topped consensus revenue estimates two times over this period.
ValuationNo investment decision can be efficient without considering a stock's valuation. Whether a stock's current price rightly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects is an essential determinant of its future price performance.
While comparing the current values of a company's valuation multiples, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), with its own historical values helps determine whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of the reasonability of the stock's price.
The Zacks Value Style Score (part of the Zacks Style Scores system), which pays close attention to both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics to grade stocks from A to F (an A is better than a B; a B is better than a C; and so on), is pretty helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.
Southern Copper is graded D on this front, indicating that it is trading at a premium to its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.
ConclusionThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about Southern Copper. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term.
Key Takeaways FCX's expansion projects aim to boost copper output, backed by strong financial health.SCCO plans $20.5 billion in investments to lift copper production to roughly 1.6 million tons.FCX and SCCO posted strong cash generation, while both face challenges from weaker near-term production. Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX - Free Report) and Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO - Free Report) are two heavyweights in the copper mining industry. Both operate on a global scale, extracting and processing copper and other metals.
Copper prices continue to show strength driven by robust demand from China and the United States. Structural tailwinds, including electric vehicles (EVs), renewable energy projects, artificial intelligence data center growth and grid modernization, continue to boost copper consumption. Worries about tightening supply amid rising EV and infrastructure demand aided the red metal. Supply risks stem from operational issues in top producer Chile, along with export bans on copper concentrates from the Democratic Republic of Congo.
Copper surged to an all-time high near $6.9 per pound recently on tariff-related uncertainties and supply tightness. Imports to the United States have surged ahead of a potential tariff announcement by the Trump administration. Copper prices are currently hovering above $6.7 per pound and up more than 40% year over year.
Let’s dive deep and closely compare the fundamentals of these two copper mining companies to determine which one is a better investment now.
The Case for FreeportFreeport continues to leverage its portfolio of high-quality copper assets, emphasizing disciplined execution and organic growth initiatives to strengthen its production profile. FCX has completed the evaluation of a large-scale expansion at El Abra in Chile to define a large sulfide resource that could potentially support a major mill project similar to the large-scale concentrator at Cerro Verde, with an estimated resource of approximately 20 billion recoverable pounds of copper. The expansion is expected to result in the addition of more than 700 million pounds of copper production annually.
In Arizona, FCX is progressing with pre-feasibility studies at its Safford/Lone Star operations, with completion targeted for 2026, to assess a sizable sulfide expansion opportunity. It has expansion opportunities at Bagdad in Arizona that can more than double the concentrator capacity of the operation. Technical and economic studies have revealed the potential to build concentrating facilities to boost copper production by 200-250 million pounds annually.
PT Freeport Indonesia (PT-FI) is developing the Kucing Liar ore body within the Grasberg district with a targeted ramp-up expected to commence in 2030. Studies completed by FCX in 2025 show an opportunity to increase Kucing Liar’s design capacity to 130,000 metric tons of ore per day and reserves by roughly 20% at low costs.
FCX has a strong liquidity profile and generates substantial cash flows, providing ample flexibility to fund expansion projects, reduce debt and enhance shareholder returns. It generated solid operating cash flows of $5.6 billion in 2025. Cash flows provided by operations were around $2 billion in the second quarter of 2026. Freeport ended the second quarter with strong liquidity, including $4.1 billion in cash and cash equivalents, $3 billion in availability under the Freeport revolving credit facility, and $1.5 billion in availability under the PT-FI credit facility.
At the end of the second quarter, Freeport had a net debt of $2.1 billion, excluding PTFI’s new downstream processing facilities. Its net debt is below its targeted range of $3-$4 billion. Freeport has a policy of distributing 50% of the available cash to its shareholders and the balance to either reduce debt or invest in growth projects. FCX has no significant debt maturities until 2027.
FCX offers a dividend yield of roughly 0.4% at the current stock price. Its payout ratio is 13% (a ratio below 60% is a good indicator that the dividend is sustainable). Backed by strong financial health, the company's dividend is perceived to be safe and reliable.
Despite these positives, Freeport faces headwinds from higher costs. Its second-quarter unit net cash costs jumped 74% year over year to $1.97 per pound due to lower copper volumes. Freeport expects unit net cash costs of $2 per pound for the third quarter, while projecting a full-year average of roughly $1.9 (compared with $1.65 in 2025). The projected third-quarter unit cost reflects a roughly 43% year-over-year increase. The uptick in costs reflects higher costs of energy and other consumables due to the Middle East conflict and persistent pressure on volumes. Higher costs are expected to weigh on the company's margins.
Freeport’s copper sales volumes tumbled approximately 30% year over year in the second quarter to 710 million pounds. The downside primarily resulted from lower operating rates during the phased ramp-up of the Grasberg Block Cave mine in Indonesia, following the mud rush incident in September 2025.
While the company’s third-quarter outlook for copper sales volumes of 750 million pounds indicates a sequential improvement, it suggests a 23% year-over-year decline. The company, in April 2026, lowered its consolidated sales volume projections for full-year 2026 to around 3.1 billion pounds of copper from the prior view of 3.4 billion pounds due to an expected delay in achieving full ramp-up of the Grasberg Block Cave mine. Lower sales volumes are expected to weigh on its top line.
The Case for Southern CopperSouthern Copper has a strong pipeline of world-class copper greenfield projects and other promising opportunities. It operates high-quality assets in investment-grade countries such as Mexico and Peru. Backed by its constant commitment to increasing low-cost production and growth investments, the company is well poised to continue delivering enhanced performance.
SCCO holds the largest copper reserves among listed peers. Its low-cost, integrated operations and deep pipeline of world-class greenfield projects further strengthen its competitive positioning. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the expected surge in copper demand in the year to come, backed by the energy transition trend.
The company continues to build its presence in Peru as the country is the second-largest producer of copper. Peru holds about 9% of the world’s copper reserves. Despite the year-to-date fall in production, the company has slightly hiked its 2026 copper production outlook to 917,000 tons. Southern Copper expects to take this up to roughly 1.6 million tons by 2033 or 2034. To support this growth plan, the company intends to invest $20.5 billion over the next decade, with the bulk of the capital allocated to projects in Peru.
The company’s key growth catalysts include the Tía María, Los Chancas and Michiquillay projects in Peru, along with El Pilar in Mexico, all of which underpin SCCO’s long-term expansion pipeline. Given its constant commitment to increasing low-cost production and growth investments, SCCO is well-positioned to continue delivering enhanced performance.
SCCO generated net cash from operating activities of $4.75 billion in 2025, up roughly 7.5% from $4.42 billion in 2024, attributable to higher net income. It delivered a solid 116.9% year-over-year surge in operating cash flow in the first six months of 2026 to $3.68 billion. Southern Copper’s strong cash generation is driven by higher sales and a reduction in operating assets and liabilities requirements. The company also benefited from its cash cost decrease, which was driven by a 68.2% year-over-year rise in by-product revenue credits.
In July 2026, the board authorized a $1.10-per-share cash dividend plus a stock dividend of 0.012 shares per common share, reflecting continued capital returns alongside higher investment spending. SCCO offers a dividend yield of 2.4% at the current stock price. Its payout ratio is 66%, with a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of roughly -2.3%.
However, SCCO faces headwinds from near-term production declines. Copper production fell 3.5% year over year in the second quarter of 2026 to 230,662 tons, while first-half 2026 output declined 3.8% to 461,206 tons. The weakness was concentrated in Peru, where second-quarter production fell 12% because of lower ore grades and recoveries at Toquepala and Cuajone. Management raised its 2026 copper production outlook, but it remains below the 956,270 tons produced in 2025. Lower production is expected to weigh on its performance.
Price Performance and Valuation of FCX & SCCOFCX stock has surged 105.4% over a year, while SCCO stock has rallied 71.2% compared with the Zacks Mining - Non Ferrous industry’s rise of 66.1%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
FCX is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 20.70. This represents a roughly 11.2% discount when stacked up with the industry average of 23.32X.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
SCCO is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 26.81, higher than FCX and above the industry.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
How Does Zacks Consensus Estimate Compare for FCX & SCCO?The Zacks Consensus Estimate for FCX’s 2026 sales and EPS implies a 10.5% and 59.3% increase year over year, respectively. The EPS estimates for 2026 have been trending higher over the past 60 days.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The consensus estimate for SCCO’s 2026 sales and EPS implies year-over-year growth of 29.4% and 49.4%, respectively. The EPS estimates for 2026 have been going up over the past 60 days.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
FCX or SCCO: Which Stock is a Better Pick Now?Both FCX and SCCO currently have a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), so picking one stock is not easy. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Both Freeport and Southern Copper are making progress with their growth projects amid a favorable copper pricing environment. FCX is poised to gain from progress in its expansion activities that will boost production capacity. However, a weaker sales volume outlook and higher expected unit costs weigh on its prospects. On the other hand, SCCO’s case is backed by its constant commitment to increasing low-cost production and growth investments amid challenges from weaker expected near-term production. FCX’s more attractive valuation and higher earnings growth projections suggest that it may offer better investment prospects in the current market environment.
Southern Copper (SCCO - Free Report) closed at $198.06 in the latest trading session, marking a +1.21% move from the prior day. This change lagged the S&P 500's 1.49% gain on the day. Elsewhere, the Dow saw an upswing of 0.71%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq appreciated by 2.26%.
Prior to today's trading, shares of the miner had lost 9.4% lagged the Basic Materials sector's gain of 0.21% and the S&P 500's gain of 0.1%.
The investment community will be closely monitoring the performance of Southern Copper in its forthcoming earnings report. The company's upcoming EPS is projected at $2, signifying a 48.15% increase compared to the same quarter of the previous year. At the same time, our most recent consensus estimate is projecting a revenue of $4.36 billion, reflecting a 29.08% rise from the equivalent quarter last year.
For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates are projecting earnings of $7.83 per share and revenue of $17.36 billion, which would represent changes of +49.43% and +29.37%, respectively, from the prior year.
Investors should also note any recent changes to analyst estimates for Southern Copper. Such recent modifications usually signify the changing landscape of near-term business trends. As a result, we can interpret positive estimate revisions as a good sign for the business outlook.
Our research reveals that these estimate alterations are directly linked with the stock price performance in the near future. Investors can capitalize on this by using the Zacks Rank. This model considers these estimate changes and provides a simple, actionable rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, stretching from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), has a noteworthy track record of outperforming, validated by third-party audits, with stocks rated #1 producing an average annual return of +25% since the year 1988. Over the past month, there's been a 2.92% rise in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. Southern Copper is currently a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
In terms of valuation, Southern Copper is presently being traded at a Forward P/E ratio of 24.99. This indicates a discount in contrast to its industry's Forward P/E of 25.17.
It is also worth noting that SCCO currently has a PEG ratio of 1.75. This metric is used similarly to the famous P/E ratio, but the PEG ratio also takes into account the stock's expected earnings growth rate. The Mining - Non Ferrous industry currently had an average PEG ratio of 0.94 as of yesterday's close.
The Mining - Non Ferrous industry is part of the Basic Materials sector. This group has a Zacks Industry Rank of 211, putting it in the bottom 15% of all 250+ industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank is ordered from best to worst in terms of the average Zacks Rank of the individual companies within each of these sectors. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Don't forget to use Zacks.com to keep track of all these stock-moving metrics, and others, in the upcoming trading sessions.
Corient Private Wealth LP reduced its holdings in Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE:SCCO – Free Report) by 10.7% during the 2nd quarter, according to its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The fund owned 39,614 shares of the basic materials company’s stock after selling 4,765 shares during the period. Corient Private Wealth LP’s holdings in Southern Copper were worth $6,903,000 at the end of the most recent quarter.
A number of other institutional investors and hedge funds also recently added to or reduced their stakes in the business. SHP Wealth Management acquired a new position in Southern Copper in the fourth quarter valued at approximately $25,000. Bell Investment Advisors Inc acquired a new stake in shares of Southern Copper during the 2nd quarter worth approximately $26,000. Rakuten Securities Inc. acquired a new stake in shares of Southern Copper during the 2nd quarter worth approximately $28,000. Lloyd Advisory Services LLC. purchased a new position in shares of Southern Copper during the 4th quarter valued at approximately $29,000. Finally, Godfrey Financial Associates Inc. purchased a new position in shares of Southern Copper during the 4th quarter valued at approximately $30,000. 7.94% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.
Insider Buying and Selling In other Southern Copper news, Director Luis Palomino Bonilla sold 202 shares of the stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, August 5th. The shares were sold at an average price of $196.79, for a total value of $39,751.28. Following the completion of the sale, the director owned 1,723 shares in the company, valued at approximately $339,066.65. This represents a 10.49% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is accessible through the SEC website. In the last three months, insiders have sold 604 shares of company stock valued at $118,077. 0.07% of the stock is currently owned by corporate insiders.
Southern Copper Trading Up 3.3% SCCO stock opened at $196.06 on Friday. The company has a current ratio of 5.06, a quick ratio of 4.56 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63. Southern Copper Corporation has a 12-month low of $105.10 and a 12-month high of $223.88. The stock has a market cap of $163.58 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.66, a PEG ratio of 1.69 and a beta of 1.14. The business’s 50-day moving average is $192.35 and its 200 day moving average is $183.58. Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO – Get Free Report) last announced its earnings results on Wednesday, July 22nd. The basic materials company reported $1.99 EPS for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.93 by $0.06. The business had revenue of $4.29 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $4.37 billion. Southern Copper had a return on equity of 49.04% and a net margin of 35.87%.The company’s revenue was up 40.6% compared to the same quarter last year. On average, sell-side analysts anticipate that Southern Copper Corporation will post 7.83 EPS for the current fiscal year.
Southern Copper Increases Dividend The firm also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Thursday, August 27th. Investors of record on Tuesday, August 11th were paid a dividend of $1.10 per share. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Tuesday, August 11th. This represents a $4.40 annualized dividend and a yield of 2.2%. This is a boost from Southern Copper’s previous quarterly dividend of $1.00. Southern Copper’s dividend payout ratio is currently 64.33%.
Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades SCCO has been the subject of several analyst reports. UBS Group reiterated a “sell” rating and issued a $158.10 target price (up from $143.28) on shares of Southern Copper in a research note on Tuesday, June 30th. CICC Research lowered shares of Southern Copper to a “market perform” rating in a research report on Sunday, July 26th. Citigroup reaffirmed a “positive” rating on shares of Southern Copper in a report on Wednesday, July 15th. Morgan Stanley raised their target price on Southern Copper from $144.27 to $156.13 and gave the company an “underweight” rating in a research report on Wednesday, July 8th. Finally, JPMorgan Chase & Co. lifted their price target on Southern Copper from $125.49 to $129.94 and gave the company an “underweight” rating in a research note on Wednesday, June 17th. Three equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, five have assigned a Hold rating and seven have given a Sell rating to the company’s stock. According to MarketBeat.com, the company currently has a consensus rating of “Reduce” and a consensus target price of $146.84.
View Our Latest Stock Report on Southern Copper
Southern Copper Profile (Free Report)
Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE: SCCO) is an integrated copper producer engaged in the exploration, mining, processing, smelting and refining of minerals. The company produces copper in the form of cathodes, concentrates and anodes, along with byproducts including molybdenum, zinc, silver, lead and sulfuric acid.
Southern Copper operates mining and processing facilities in Mexico and Peru. Its principal Mexican operations include the Buenavista del Cobre and La Caridad mining complexes, while its Peruvian operations include the Toquepala and Cuajone mines and the Ilo smelter and refinery.
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Stock to Watch: Southern Copper (SCCO - Free Report) Phoenix, AZ-based Southern Copper engages in mining, exploring, smelting and refining copper and other minerals. The company conducts exploration activities in Argentina, Chile, Mexico and Peru.
SCCO is a #3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of B.
Additionally, the company could be a top pick for growth investors. SCCO has a Growth Style Score of A, forecasting year-over-year earnings growth of 49.4% for the current fiscal year.
For fiscal 2026, one analyst revised their earnings estimate upwards in the last 60 days, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased $0.15 to $7.83 per share. SCCO boasts an average earnings surprise of +6.3%.
With a solid Zacks Rank and top-tier Growth and VGM Style Scores, SCCO should be on investors' short list.
Southern Copper commands a significant valuation premium from to its world-class assets, low costs, but mostly due to share scarcity. I see SCCO trading at 14.5x EV/EBITDA and 25x PE on 2027 estimates, making it expensive relative to peers and its own parent. SCCO's 11% free float and index weighting drive a scarcity premium that caps further levager to copper prices.
VIRGINIA RETIREMENT SYSTEMS ET Al purchased a new position in shares of Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE:SCCO – Free Report) in the second quarter, according to its most recent disclosure with the SEC. The firm purchased 6,184 shares of the basic materials company’s stock, valued at approximately $1,078,000.
Several other large investors have also made changes to their positions in the company. SHP Wealth Management acquired a new stake in Southern Copper in the fourth quarter valued at approximately $25,000. Bell Investment Advisors Inc acquired a new stake in shares of Southern Copper in the 2nd quarter valued at $26,000. Rakuten Securities Inc. acquired a new stake in shares of Southern Copper in the 2nd quarter valued at $28,000. Lloyd Advisory Services LLC. bought a new stake in Southern Copper in the fourth quarter worth $29,000. Finally, Virtus Advisers LLC bought a new stake in Southern Copper in the fourth quarter worth $29,000. Institutional investors own 7.94% of the company’s stock.
Southern Copper Trading Down 0.1% Southern Copper stock opened at $193.22 on Monday. Southern Copper Corporation has a 52 week low of $104.98 and a 52 week high of $223.88. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63, a quick ratio of 4.56 and a current ratio of 5.06. The firm has a market capitalization of $161.21 billion, a PE ratio of 28.25, a PEG ratio of 1.73 and a beta of 1.14. The business’s 50-day simple moving average is $190.63 and its 200-day simple moving average is $184.19.
Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO – Get Free Report) last announced its earnings results on Wednesday, July 22nd. The basic materials company reported $1.99 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $1.93 by $0.06. The firm had revenue of $4.29 billion during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $4.37 billion. Southern Copper had a return on equity of 49.04% and a net margin of 35.87%.The business’s revenue was up 40.6% on a year-over-year basis. Equities research analysts forecast that Southern Copper Corporation will post 7.83 earnings per share for the current year. Southern Copper Increases Dividend The firm also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Thursday, August 27th. Stockholders of record on Tuesday, August 11th were given a $1.10 dividend. This is a positive change from Southern Copper’s previous quarterly dividend of $1.00. This represents a $4.40 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 2.3%. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Tuesday, August 11th. Southern Copper’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is currently 64.33%.
Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades Several equities analysts have weighed in on the company. JPMorgan Chase & Co. raised their target price on Southern Copper from $125.49 to $129.94 and gave the company an “underweight” rating in a report on Wednesday, June 17th. Citigroup reissued a “positive” rating on shares of Southern Copper in a research note on Wednesday, July 15th. Wall Street Zen lowered Southern Copper from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a report on Saturday, August 1st. Morgan Stanley upped their target price on Southern Copper from $144.27 to $156.13 and gave the stock an “underweight” rating in a research report on Wednesday, July 8th. Finally, Scotiabank reiterated an “underperform” rating and set a $138.34 price target (up from $133.40) on shares of Southern Copper in a report on Monday, June 15th. Three investment analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, five have issued a Hold rating and seven have issued a Sell rating to the company’s stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the company presently has an average rating of “Reduce” and an average target price of $146.84.
Check Out Our Latest Stock Report on SCCO
Key Stories Impacting Southern Copper Here are the key news stories impacting Southern Copper this week:
Positive Sentiment: Southern Copper retains a favorable long-term outlook because tight mine supply could benefit producers if demand from artificial-intelligence data centers, power-grid upgrades and renewable infrastructure remains strong. The company also recently raised its quarterly dividend to $1.10 per share, or $4.40 annualized. Copper demand and Southern Copper outlook Positive Sentiment: Recent earnings momentum remains supportive: Southern Copper reported quarterly EPS of $1.99, exceeding the $1.93 consensus estimate, while revenue increased 40.6% year over year. Zacks continues to identify SCCO as a momentum stock for longer-term investors. Southern Copper momentum analysis Neutral Sentiment: Director Luis Palomino Bonilla sold 100 shares for approximately $21,000 at $210 per share, reducing his position by 6.24%. The sale follows several earlier disposals but leaves him with 1,503 shares, making the latest transaction relatively small. Southern Copper insider sale Negative Sentiment: Copper’s retreat and uncertainty over refined-copper tariffs pressured SCCO and peer miners. Elevated prices may also be curbing demand, with Chinese imports reportedly at a six-year low for August. Copper miners tariff-related decline Negative Sentiment: Valuation adds downside risk: SCCO trades near 28 times earnings, while the analyst consensus is “Reduce” with an average price target of about $146.84, well below recent trading levels. Southern Copper analyst forecast Insider Activity In other news, Director Luis Palomino Bonilla sold 202 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction on Wednesday, August 5th. The shares were sold at an average price of $196.79, for a total value of $39,751.28. Following the sale, the director owned 1,723 shares in the company, valued at approximately $339,066.65. This trade represents a 10.49% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is accessible through this hyperlink. Insiders have sold a total of 604 shares of company stock valued at $118,077 in the last 90 days. Company insiders own 0.07% of the company’s stock.
Southern Copper Company Profile (Free Report)
Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE: SCCO) is an integrated copper producer engaged in the exploration, mining, processing, smelting and refining of minerals. The company produces copper in the form of cathodes, concentrates and anodes, along with byproducts including molybdenum, zinc, silver, lead and sulfuric acid.
Southern Copper operates mining and processing facilities in Mexico and Peru. Its principal Mexican operations include the Buenavista del Cobre and La Caridad mining complexes, while its Peruvian operations include the Toquepala and Cuajone mines and the Ilo smelter and refinery.
See Also Five stocks we like better than Southern Copper Why Bitcoin ETFs May Be Worth Another Look as Inflows Rebound 3 Small-Cap Biotechs With Binary Catalysts on the Calendar Planet Labs Has Fallen Back to Earth, But Wall Street Still Sees a Rebound As Homeowners’ Premiums Surge, This Insurer Is Posting Record Profits Want to see what other hedge funds are holding SCCO? Visit HoldingsChannel.com to get the latest 13F filings and insider trades for Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE:SCCO – Free Report).
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Southern Copper (SCCO - Free Report) ended the recent trading session at $194.14, demonstrating a -7.23% change from the preceding day's closing price. The stock trailed the S&P 500, which registered a daily loss of 0.59%. Meanwhile, the Dow lost 0.6%, and the Nasdaq, a tech-heavy index, lost 0.65%.
Coming into today, shares of the miner had gained 7.37% in the past month. In that same time, the Basic Materials sector gained 2.83%, while the S&P 500 lost 1.37%.
Market participants will be closely following the financial results of Southern Copper in its upcoming release. The company's earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be $2, reflecting a 48.15% increase from the same quarter last year. Simultaneously, our latest consensus estimate expects the revenue to be $4.36 billion, showing a 29.08% escalation compared to the year-ago quarter.
In terms of the entire fiscal year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $7.83 per share and a revenue of $17.36 billion, indicating changes of +49.43% and +29.37%, respectively, from the former year.
Investors might also notice recent changes to analyst estimates for Southern Copper. Recent revisions tend to reflect the latest near-term business trends. Consequently, upward revisions in estimates express analysts' positivity towards the business operations and its ability to generate profits.
Based on our research, we believe these estimate revisions are directly related to near-term stock moves. To benefit from this, we have developed the Zacks Rank, a proprietary model which takes these estimate changes into account and provides an actionable rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, spanning from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), boasts an impressive track record of outperformance, audited externally, with #1 ranked stocks yielding an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has shifted 2.62% upward. Right now, Southern Copper possesses a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
Valuation is also important, so investors should note that Southern Copper has a Forward P/E ratio of 26.73 right now. This indicates a discount in contrast to its industry's Forward P/E of 26.91.
It is also worth noting that SCCO currently has a PEG ratio of 1.87. This popular metric is similar to the widely-known P/E ratio, with the difference being that the PEG ratio also takes into account the company's expected earnings growth rate. Mining - Non Ferrous stocks are, on average, holding a PEG ratio of 1.06 based on yesterday's closing prices.
The Mining - Non Ferrous industry is part of the Basic Materials sector. At present, this industry carries a Zacks Industry Rank of 214, placing it within the bottom 14% of over 250 industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank evaluates the power of our distinct industry groups by determining the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks forming the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Make sure to utilize Zacks.com to follow all of these stock-moving metrics, and more, in the coming trading sessions.
For new and old investors, taking full advantage of the stock market and investing with confidence are common goals. Zacks Premium provides lots of different ways to do both.
The research service features daily updates of the Zacks Rank and Zacks Industry Rank, full access to the Zacks #1 Rank List, Equity Research reports, and Premium stock screens, all of which will help you become a smarter, more confident investor.
It also includes access to the Zacks Style Scores.
What are the Zacks Style Scores? The Zacks Style Scores, developed alongside the Zacks Rank, are complementary indicators that rate stocks based on three widely-followed investing methodologies; they also help investors pick stocks with the best chances of beating the market over the next 30 days.
Based on their value, growth, and momentum characteristics, each stock is assigned a rating of A, B, C, D, or F. The better the score, the better chance the stock will outperform; an A is better than a B, a B is better than a C, and so on.
The Style Scores are broken down into four categories:
Value ScoreFinding good stocks at good prices, and discovering which companies are trading under their true value, are what value investors like to focus on. So, the Value Style Score takes into account ratios like P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, Price/Cash Flow, and a host of other multiples to highlight the most attractive and discounted stocks.
Growth ScoreWhile good value is important, growth investors are more focused on a company's financial strength and health, and its future outlook. The Growth Style Score takes projected and historic earnings, sales, and cash flow into account to uncover stocks that will see long-term, sustainable growth.
Momentum ScoreMomentum trading is all about taking advantage of upward or downward trends in a stock's price or earnings outlook, and these investors live by the saying "the trend is your friend." The Momentum Style Score can pinpoint good times to build a position in a stock, using factors like one-week price change and the monthly percentage change in earnings estimates.
VGM ScoreIf you want a combination of all three Style Scores, then the VGM Score will be your friend. It rates each stock on their combined weighted styles, helping you find the companies with the most attractive value, best growth forecast, and most promising momentum. It's also one of the best indicators to use with the Zacks Rank.
How Style Scores Work with the Zacks Rank The Zacks Rank, which is a proprietary stock-rating model, employs earnings estimate revisions, or changes to a company's earnings expectations, to make building a winning portfolio easier.
It's highly successful, with #1 (Strong Buy) stocks producing an unmatched +23.8% average annual return since 1988. That's more than double the S&P 500. But because of the large number of stocks we rate, there are over 200 companies with a Strong Buy rank, plus another 600 with a #2 (Buy) rank, on any given day.
With more than 800 top-rated stocks to choose from, it can certainly feel overwhelming to pick the ones that are right for you and your investing journey.
That's where the Style Scores come in.
To maximize your returns, you want to buy stocks with the highest probability of success. This means picking stocks with a Zacks Rank #1 or #2 that also have Style Scores of A or B. If you find yourself looking at stocks with a #3 (Hold) rank, make sure they have Scores of A or B as well to ensure as much upside potential as possible.
Since the Scores were created to work together with the Zacks Rank, the direction of a stock's earnings estimate revisions should be a key factor when choosing which stocks to buy.
Here's an example: a stock with a #4 (Sell) or #5 (Strong Sell) rating, even one with Style Scores of A and B, still has a downward-trending earnings outlook, and a bigger chance its share price will decrease too.
Thus, the more stocks you own with a #1 or #2 Rank and Scores of A or B, the better.
Stock to Watch: Southern Copper (SCCO - Free Report) Phoenix, AZ-based Southern Copper engages in mining, exploring, smelting and refining copper and other minerals. The company conducts exploration activities in Argentina, Chile, Mexico and Peru.
SCCO is a #3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of B.
Momentum investors should take note of this Basic Materials stock. SCCO has a Momentum Style Score of A, and shares are up 7.4% over the past four weeks.
One analyst revised their earnings estimate upwards in the last 60 days for fiscal 2026. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased $0.07 to $7.83 per share. SCCO boasts an average earnings surprise of +6.3%.
With a solid Zacks Rank and top-tier Momentum and VGM Style Scores, SCCO should be on investors' short list.
Copper miners are quietly getting crushed while traders fixate on oil, and the selloff spreading across the entire complex may be signaling something far more consequential for the real economy than crude ever could.
While oil headlines dominate trading, copper miners are quietly taking a beating. Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:FCX | FCX Price Prediction) is off over 6% in Thursday’s session to just over $71, extending a 4% slide over the past week. The rest of the copper complex is bleeding in sympathy, and it is happening on a day when investors are watching crude, not concentrate.
Copper Selloff Runs Deep as the Metal Rolls Over Copper prices are pulling back, and copper equities are geared to that price. Every 10 cents per pound swing at the metal level roughly translates to $390 million in annual EBITDA for Freeport in the 2027 to 2028 window, per management’s own sensitivity math. That is the leverage. When the underlying commodity moves a few percent, producer earnings estimates and the equities that discount them can move several multiples of that.
LME copper had been on a tear, averaging $6.05 per pound in the second quarter, up roughly 40% year over year, with Freeport realizing $5.78 per pound in the first quarter of 2026 versus $4.44 a year earlier. On the July call, Freeport’s chief executive Kathleen Quirk noted copper had closed at $6.30 per pound on the LME, an increase of about 12% since the start of the year, with visible inventories in China continuing to draw to multi-year lows. When the setup is that tight and positioning is that long, a give-back in the metal hits the equities hard.
Today looks like exactly that. It is one session, and the broader trend is still intact. Freeport is up 39.83% year to date and up 62.39% over the past year. Calling this a regime change would be premature. Calling it a warning shot for anyone who thought the copper trade was a one-way bet is fair.
Selloff Sweeps the Copper Complex The pain is broad. Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO), the largest name in the group at roughly $166 billion in market cap, is down 6% today and more than 3.5% over the past week. Teck Resources (NYSE:TECK) is off nearly 7% in the session. Hudbay Minerals (NYSE:HBM) has dropped over 7%, and Brazil-focused Ero Copper (NYSE:ERO) is down closer to 8%, giving back a week that had otherwise been positive.
Meanwhile the crude tape is telling a different story. WTI has climbed from $76.78 on August 5 to $91.48 on September 1. That is where the financial press is looking. The copper move is arguably the more consequential signal for the real economy.
Why? Because copper is a physical input to grid buildout, data center construction, EVs, and housing. Freeport’s own commentary describes “robust copper demand and order books associated with AI data centers and related energy infrastructure“. Federal research on data centers similarly identifies them as the largest driver of U.S. electricity demand growth (the copper miners are one slice of that buildout; we mapped seven other non-chip AI infrastructure suppliers in a free report here). When copper wobbles, it can be signaling softness in one of those inputs, or it can be positioning unwind after a huge run. The candid read is we do not yet know which.
What to Watch Next Two markers matter over the coming weeks. First, whether copper stabilizes or the pullback extends. Second, Freeport’s next earnings report; the Street currently models $0.7250 in EPS for the September quarter, with revisions running three up and six down over the trailing 30 days. FCX’s 50-day moving average of $66.72 is the level bulls will want to defend.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Southern Copper (SCCO - Free Report) has been one of the most searched-for stocks on Zacks.com lately. So, you might want to look at some of the facts that could shape the stock's performance in the near term.
Shares of this miner have returned +7.4% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -1.4% change. The Zacks Mining - Non Ferrous industry, to which Southern Copper belongs, has gained 7.6% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term?
While media releases or rumors about a substantial change in a company's business prospects usually make its stock 'trending' and lead to an immediate price change, there are always some fundamental facts that eventually dominate the buy-and-hold decision-making.
Revisions to Earnings EstimatesHere at Zacks, we prioritize appraising the change in the projection of a company's future earnings over anything else. That's because we believe the present value of its future stream of earnings is what determines the fair value for its stock.
Our analysis is essentially based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to take the latest business trends into account. When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock's fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements.
Southern Copper is expected to post earnings of $2.00 per share for the current quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +48.2%. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed +10.8%.
The consensus earnings estimate of $7.83 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of +49.4%. This estimate has changed +2.6% over the last 30 days.
For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $7.42 indicates a change of -5.2% from what Southern Copper is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed +5.9%.
With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is a more conclusive indicator of a stock's near-term price performance, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for Southern Copper.
The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:
12 Month EPS
Revenue Growth ForecastEven though a company's earnings growth is arguably the best indicator of its financial health, nothing much happens if it cannot raise its revenues. It's almost impossible for a company to grow its earnings without growing its revenue for long periods. Therefore, knowing a company's potential revenue growth is crucial.
In the case of Southern Copper, the consensus sales estimate of $4.36 billion for the current quarter points to a year-over-year change of +29.1%. The $17.36 billion and $16.17 billion estimates for the current and next fiscal years indicate changes of +29.4% and -6.9%, respectively.
Last Reported Results and Surprise HistorySouthern Copper reported revenues of $4.29 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +40.6%. EPS of $2.01 for the same period compares with $1.22 a year ago.
Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.37 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of -1.89%. The EPS surprise was +2.03%.
The company beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters. The company topped consensus revenue estimates two times over this period.
ValuationWithout considering a stock's valuation, no investment decision can be efficient. In predicting a stock's future price performance, it's crucial to determine whether its current price correctly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects.
Comparing the current value of a company's valuation multiples, such as its price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), to its own historical values helps ascertain whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, whereas comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of how reasonable its stock price is.
The Zacks Value Style Score (part of the Zacks Style Scores system), which pays close attention to both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics to grade stocks from A to F (an A is better than a B; a B is better than a C; and so on), is pretty helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.
Southern Copper is graded D on this front, indicating that it is trading at a premium to its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.
Bottom LineThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about Southern Copper. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term.
Shares of Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:FCX | FCX Price Prediction) are sliding early Thursday as a record rally in copper reverses inside a single session. Freeport-McMoRan stock is down 8% to $70.43 after reports cast doubt on the refined-copper tariffs that had…
Shares of Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:FCX | FCX Price Prediction) are sliding early Thursday as a record rally in copper reverses inside a single session. Freeport-McMoRan stock is down 8% to $70.43 after reports cast doubt on the refined-copper tariffs that had powered the metal to fresh highs earlier this week. The scarcity trade that built up all summer is unwinding in real time, and copper miners are traveling with it.
The selloff runs deep across the group. Also under pressure, Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO) stock is down 7% to $195.66, and Teck Resources (NYSE:TECK) stock is down 7% to $65.08. Both names had ridden the same setup that lifted the group into Tuesday’s records, and both are now handing back a meaningful piece of that move.
The Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:COPX) is down 7% as the entire basket rerates in unison, with its three largest U.S.-listed constituents leading the decline. Meanwhile, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY) is down 0.41%, so today’s damage is concentrated in copper names rather than the wider market.
Tariff Doubt Reverses the Scarcity Trade Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange is down 3.1% to $14,312 per metric ton after touching a record $14,875 earlier in the same session. The reversal followed reports that the White House hasn’t yet reached a decision on tariffs covering refined copper, with officials weighing how higher prices would feed through into manufacturing costs. Precious metals are lower too, with a firmer dollar and higher inflation-adjusted Treasury yields weighing on the broader metals complex.
Expectations of tariff action had been a central plank of the rally, pulling U.S.-bound metal out of global warehouses and building a scarcity premium into the physical price. Remove that expectation, and the premium unwinds inside minutes, which is why a policy update with no operational content just repriced the entire mining group. Copper had set fresh records earlier in the week and Freeport-McMoRan stock ran sharply higher on Tuesday alongside the metal, so much of what’s coming off today was put on this week.
Why Freeport Travels Furthest Freeport-McMoRan is the largest U.S.-based copper producer and the most copper-levered name in the peer set, so it moves furthest in both directions when the metal reprices. That’s why the stock climbed sharply into Tuesday’s records and has given the most back this morning. The name still carries an operational overhang from the September 2025 mud-rush at Grasberg in Indonesia, with the flagship mine continuing to run below full capacity through the second half of 2026.
Southern Copper leans on a deep growth pipeline through Peruvian and Mexican projects including Tía María, Michiquillay, and Los Chancas, and Teck Resources is midway through a pending combination with Anglo American that targets $800 million in annual pre-tax synergies. All three, however, trade off the same copper price curve, so a same-day repricing of the metal drags them together regardless of company-specific stories.
The Global X Copper Miners ETF holds Freeport-McMoRan at 9.9% of net assets, Teck Resources at 9.9%, and Southern Copper at 9.7%, which is why the fund moves in near lockstep with its three U.S.-listed anchors today. That structure makes COPX a clean read on how the market is grading the entire copper theme rather than any one company’s quarter.
Even after this morning’s slide, Freeport-McMoRan stock is up 40% year to date (YTD). Southern Copper stock is up 42% YTD, and Teck Resources stock is up 36% YTD. That backdrop is why a single-session reversal in copper cuts this hard across the group without yet erasing the year’s trend.
What to Watch The next signal is whether copper stabilizes at the LME afternoon fix or keeps bleeding into the U.S. cash session. A concrete tariff decision, even a delay, could reset the scarcity premium the group had been pricing in. Any headline touching refined-copper policy is now the swing variable for the whole sector.
Investors sizing their exposure to the copper-mining sector may want to keep an eye on whether Freeport-McMoRan stock reclaims its 50-day moving average. That line sits at $66.72 and has framed the summer trend, so a decisive break below would flip the technical setup for the name. The consensus analyst price target on Freeport-McMoRan sits at $72.05, close to where the stock is trading right now.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Copper spent two years as the least interesting story in the commodity complex. Gold took the headlines. Semiconductors took the capital. Copper just kept grinding higher, until COMEX futures printed a record above $6.70 a pound in August. Prices have eased back since as rising oil and bond yields pressured the demand outlook, but the trend has not broken.
The record is not the interesting part. The arithmetic underneath it is. Demand from data centers, grid replacement, electric vehicles and defense budgets is compounding at the same moment mine supply is capped by falling ore grades and permitting timelines measured in decades. That is not a problem price solves quickly, and it lands directly on the income statements of the companies pulling copper out of the ground.
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Copper's Supply Problem Is Structural, Not CyclicalRoss Givens, lead strategist at Traders Agency, treats copper as a three-to-five-year position rather than a trade. He is a technician by habit, sizing entries off consolidation patterns and signs of quiet accumulation instead of headlines, and he walks members through that read live each week inside his Black Ops Trading Club. Applied to copper, his framing is that the AI buildout got priced into the obvious names first. NVIDIA NASDAQ: NVDA is already the most valuable company in the world. The physical layer underneath it never drew the same money, even though none of it gets built without wires, transformers and substations.
The tightness is measurable. The U.S. Geological Survey estimates miners have pulled roughly 700 million metric tons of copper out of the ground across all of recorded history. S&P Global has cited industry estimates that the world needs to mine that much again inside about 22 years just to hold baseline growth, and that figure ignores electrification entirely. Ore grades are working against that math, having fallen roughly 40% globally since 1991. Work compiled by analyst Thierry von Arvy shows supply flattening early next decade while demand keeps climbing. New mines take well over a decade from discovery to production, so no amount of drilling closes the copper supply deficit inside this one.
The Futures Curve Is Signaling a Physical Copper ShortageFutures curves normally slope upward, because storage and financing cost money. Copper's has inverted, a condition traders call backwardation, and it means buyers are paying a premium to take metal today rather than wait for December delivery. Nobody does that for something sitting available in a warehouse.
Backwardation steepened sharply across Western exchanges this year as traders rerouted metal into U.S. warehouses ahead of the possibility that refined cathode gets swept into the tariff regime. Once that copper lands in a bonded warehouse, it is effectively stuck there, which drains the rest of the world even while domestic inventories swell. A surplus that looked comfortable on paper a year ago now reads as balanced at best outside the United States, and closer to a deficit if the flows hold.
Freeport-McMoRan Offers the Cleanest Operating LeverageFreeport-McMoRan Today
FCX
Freeport-McMoRan
$76.60 +3.88 (+5.33%)
As of 09/8/2026 03:59 PM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.
$35.15▼
$80.240.39%
37.74
$70.27
Freeport-McMoRan NYSE: FCX is the largest U.S.-listed name in the group and the biggest domestic producer of refined copper, holding stakes in Grasberg, Cerro Verde and Morenci. Shares set a record close in late August and trade in the upper end of their 52-week range, with institutions holding four-fifths of the float.
The reason miners move harder than the metal is operating leverage. All-in sustaining costs are largely fixed once a mine is running, so every incremental dollar in the copper price falls toward the margin line. Freeport's first-half net income climbed 65% year-over-year on that dynamic, with U.S. mining operations more than doubling their operating income contribution. Givens argues the market is valuing the company on today's copper price rather than the one he expects.
Hudbay Minerals and Trekor Metals Add Torque to the Copper TradeHudbay Minerals NYSE: HBM is the mid-cap version of the same exposure, anchored by Copper Mountain in British Columbia alongside operations in Peru. It posted record trailing-12-month adjusted EBITDA last quarter.
Taseko Mines Today
TGB
Taseko Mines
$8.90 +0.45 (+5.33%)
As of 09/8/2026 04:10 PM Eastern
$3.37▼
$9.82445.22
$9.00
Trekor Metals NYSEAMERICAN: TGB, renamed from Taseko Mines in June, is the small-cap.
Gibraltar carries the production base, and Florence Copper in Arizona poured first cathode in February, turning the company into a two-mine producer with a domestic asset at a moment when Washington is pushing hard on home-grown supply chains.
Institutional ownership thins out moving down that list, which Givens reads as a constraint on large funds rather than a verdict on the businesses.
For broader exposure, the Global X Copper Miners ETF NYSEARCA: COPX has nearly doubled over the past year.
Where the Copper Trade Could Break DownSouthern Copper Today
$209.02 +10.26 (+5.16%)
As of 09/8/2026 03:59 PM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.
$99.87▼
$223.882.11%
30.56
$146.84
Not everyone treats this price as a clean read on demand. Some analysts argue a meaningful slice of the move is a policy premium tied to tariff uncertainty rather than consumption, and that a final ruling could cool prices simply by ending the guessing. Stanley Druckenmiller's Duquesne Family Office added to Southern Copper NYSE: SCCO last quarter, though he has publicly favored the metal itself over the equities.
Execution risk also separates these three. Freeport's copper is already coming out of the ground. Trekor's valuation leans on a ramp that still has to hit its numbers, and the smallest name falls hardest if copper stalls.
Watch the spread between spot and December delivery. As long as buyers keep paying up for metal today, the shortage is real, and copper mining stocks stay leveraged to it.
Should You Invest $1,000 in Freeport-McMoRan Right Now?Before you consider Freeport-McMoRan, you'll want to hear this.
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While investors chased chip stocks, one corner of the commodities market quietly staged a stunning run that has left even NVIDIA in the dust. The reason connects directly to how AI actually gets built.
On Sunday afternoon, All-In co-host and Social Capital founder Chamath Palihapitiya posted two things minutes apart. First, a declaration: “It has arrived. The next 18mo will be wild.” Then, a quote-post about a copper price record. The juxtaposition was the trade thesis. Copper on the LME had just touched $14,533 per ton, an all-time high according to multiple wire services, with data center demand helping drive the surge.
On the All-In podcast days earlier, Palihapitiya framed the moment in plain terms: “AGI has basically been here since the beginning of the year.” The next phase is diffusion, and diffusion runs on wire, transformers, and substations alongside accelerators.
Performance Gap Investors Missed Measured to the September 4 close, the scoreboard is jarring: Southern Copper is up 109%, Freeport-McMoRan 64%, and NVIDIA 34% over the trailing year. The copper miners are running roughly triple the pace of the flagship AI chip name, and both extended their gains as the LME record was set. Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO | SCCO Price Prediction) rose 4.9% on September 8 alone, while Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:FCX) added 5.3%. NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) slipped 2% the same session.
Why Copper Is the Physical Layer of AI S&P Global projects global copper demand reaching 42 million metric tons by 2040, a 50% increase driven by forces like electrification, AI, data centers, and defense modernization. More than 65% of the world’s copper already flows into electricity delivery applications. Other signals also suggest the supply/demand dynamic is strengthening. The U.S. Geological Survey added copper to its List of Critical Minerals in November 2025, and the Department of Energy expects data centers to consume up to 12% of U.S. electricity demand by 2028. Every megawatt of new AI compute pulls tons of copper into windings, busbars, cable, and switchgear before a GPU ever draws power (we profiled seven of the non-chip companies feeding this buildout, from power to cooling to the metals layer, in a free report you can grab here).
Southern Copper: The Anchor Trade Southern Copper’s fundamentals are running with the price. In Q2 fiscal 2026, reported on July 21, the company posted EPS of $2.01 on revenue of $4.29 billion, a 40.58% year-over-year gain and its fourth consecutive earnings beat. Adjusted EBITDA reached $2.86 billion at a 66.6% margin. The eye-catcher: operating cash cost per pound of copper collapsed to $0.05 from $0.63 a year earlier as silver, molybdenum, and zinc by-product credits surged.
Chairman German Larrea described it as “another exceptional quarter, registering record-breaking results in sales, adjusted EBITDA, and net income” in the company’s Q2 2026 8-K filing. Southern Copper also carries a $20.5 billion capital investment program for the decade, headlined by the Tía María project in Peru, targeting first production in H2 2027.
Freeport-McMoRan: America’s Copper Champion Freeport CEO Kathleen Quirk has staked out the domestic supply narrative. Q1 fiscal 2026 delivered adjusted EPS of $0.57 versus $0.47 consensus, a 21.79% beat, on revenue of $6.23 billion. Realized copper averaged $5.78 per pound. The Grasberg mud rush in September 2025 remains the swing factor: Indonesia subsidiary PTFI is expected to run at roughly 65% of capacity in H2 2026, reaching full capacity only by year-end 2027. Freeport’s growth pipeline includes innovative leaching targeting roughly 800 million pounds per year by 2030, plus El Abra, Bagdad, and Kucing Liar. The forward P/E sits at 18, versus 39 for Southern Copper.
What to Watch Next Two caveats belong in the notebook. Southern Copper trades at roughly 13x book value, and analyst consensus sits below the current price. Both miners are also exposed to volatile forces like commodity-price mean reversion, Peru political risk, and the sustainability of the by-product credit tailwind that flattered Southern Copper’s cash cost. If Palihapitiya’s 18-month window plays out, the copper trade rides electrification. If AI infrastructure spend cools, the same operating leverage that lifted these stocks 60% to 120% in a year cuts in reverse.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Key Takeaways Southern Copper's operating cash flow jumped 116.9% to $3.68 billion in the first six months of 2026.SCCO expects copper production to reach 917,000 tons in 2026 despite a 3.8% H1 decline.Rising metal prices and ongoing cost controls position Southern Copper for further cash flow gains. Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO - Free Report) delivered a solid 116.9% year-over-year surge in the operating cash flow in the first six months of 2026 to $3.68 billion. Southern Copper’s strong cash generation is driven by higher sales and a $718.5-million reduction in operating assets and liabilities requirements.
The company also benefited from its cash cost decrease, which was driven by a 68.2% year-over-year rise in by-product revenue credits. Cash and cash equivalents stood at $5.67 billion as of June 30, 2026, while capital investments totaled $864.7 million.
Over the past few years, Southern Copper has successfully lowered its debt levels. Long-term debt was $7.99 billion at the end of June 30, 2026, following the issuance of $1.25 billion of 10-year senior unsecured notes carrying a 5.35% interest rate. The proceeds are intended primarily to support the Tía María project and other capital needs of the company’s Peruvian operations.
In July 2026, the board authorized a $1.10-per-share cash dividend plus a stock dividend of 0.012 shares per common share, reflecting continued capital returns alongside higher investment spending.
The company’s copper production declined 3.8% year over year to 461,206 tons in the first half of 2026 due to a decrease in production at the company’s Peruvian operations. Despite the year-to-date fall in production, the company has slightly hiked its 2026 copper production outlook to 917,000 tons from the initially stated 910,000 tons.
The figure still implies a 5% year-over-year decline. Nonetheless, Southern Copper maintains a strong long-term outlook with production expected to increase to 1.6 million tons by 2033 or 2034.
Moreover, copper prices are currently near $6.6 per pound, up 47% in a year, supported by tight global supply and strong demand. Along with SCCO, its peers Teck Resources Ltd (TECK - Free Report) and Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX - Free Report) are gaining from this rise in copper prices. Higher prices for molybdenum, zinc and silver will also aid growth.
The rally in metal prices this year and its ongoing cost control efforts position the company for further cash flow gains in the months ahead.
Southern Copper Peers’ Cash Flow PerformanceTeck Resources’ cash flow from operating activities improved to C$2.74 billion ($1.98 billion) in the first half of 20206 from a cash outflow of C$427 million ($309 million). Teck Resources ended the second quarter 2026 with C$6.05 billion ($4.38 billion) in cash and cash equivalents, and liquidity of C$10.3 billion ($7.5 billion).
Teck Resources’ copper segment’s revenues surged 85% year over year, driven by higher copper prices and sales volumes. This pushed the company’s top line to $2.6 billion, marking a 78% year-over-year rise.
Freeport-McMoRan’s cash flow from operations increased to $3.68 billion in the first half from $1.69 billion in the prior year. Freeport-McMoRan ended the second quarter with strong liquidity, including $4.1 billion in cash and cash equivalents, $3 billion in availability under the Freeport revolving credit facility, and $1.5 billion in availability under the PT-FI credit facility.
However, revenues declined 7.3% year over year to $7.03 billion in the second quarter of 2026. Freeport-McMoRan’s copper production fell 18.4% year over year to 786 million pounds in the reported quarter.
SCCO’s Price Performance, Valuations & EstimatesSouthern Copper shares have gained 40.7% year to date compared with the Zacks Mining - Non Ferrous industry’s rise of 28.9%. During this time, the Basic Materials sector has risen 22.1% and the S&P 500 has rallied 13.2%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Southern Copper stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 27.80X, which is a premium to the industry average of 23.62X.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Southern Copper’s 2026 sales is $16.86 billion, indicating a 25.6% year-over-year jump. The consensus mark for the year’s earnings is pegged at $7.59 per share, suggesting a rally of 44.8%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2027 sales implies an 11.7% year-over-year dip. The same for earnings suggests a fall of 8.5%.
Earnings estimates for 2026 have moved 0.4% south over the past 60 days, while the same for 2027 have moved down 0.1% over the past 60 days.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The company currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Southern Copper (SCCO - Free Report) closed at $204.26 in the latest trading session, marking a +1.31% move from the prior day. The stock's performance was ahead of the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.46%. On the other hand, the Dow registered a gain of 0.56%, and the technology-centric Nasdaq increased by 0.45%.
Coming into today, shares of the miner had gained 3.31% in the past month. In that same time, the Basic Materials sector gained 12.62%, while the S&P 500 gained 2%.
Analysts and investors alike will be keeping a close eye on the performance of Southern Copper in its upcoming earnings disclosure. The company is expected to report EPS of $1.81, up 34.07% from the prior-year quarter. At the same time, our most recent consensus estimate is projecting a revenue of $4.13 billion, reflecting a 22.39% rise from the equivalent quarter last year.
For the entire fiscal year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates are projecting earnings of $7.61 per share and a revenue of $16.86 billion, representing changes of +45.23% and +25.6%, respectively, from the prior year.
Investors should also note any recent changes to analyst estimates for Southern Copper. These latest adjustments often mirror the shifting dynamics of short-term business patterns. Therefore, positive revisions in estimates convey analysts' confidence in the business performance and profit potential.
Our research shows that these estimate changes are directly correlated with near-term stock prices. To capitalize on this, we've crafted the Zacks Rank, a unique model that incorporates these estimate changes and offers a practical rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, stretching from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), has a noteworthy track record of outperforming, validated by third-party audits, with stocks rated #1 producing an average annual return of +25% since the year 1988. Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has shifted 0.29% downward. Currently, Southern Copper is carrying a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
In terms of valuation, Southern Copper is presently being traded at a Forward P/E ratio of 26.5. This indicates a premium in contrast to its industry's Forward P/E of 26.13.
Also, we should mention that SCCO has a PEG ratio of 1.73. The PEG ratio bears resemblance to the frequently used P/E ratio, but this parameter also includes the company's expected earnings growth trajectory. The Mining - Non Ferrous industry had an average PEG ratio of 1 as trading concluded yesterday.
The Mining - Non Ferrous industry is part of the Basic Materials sector. With its current Zacks Industry Rank of 202, this industry ranks in the bottom 18% of all industries, numbering over 250.
The Zacks Industry Rank is ordered from best to worst in terms of the average Zacks Rank of the individual companies within each of these sectors. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Remember to apply Zacks.com to follow these and more stock-moving metrics during the upcoming trading sessions.
Investors looking to capitalize on the artificial intelligence infrastructure boom have increasingly turned to basic materials, and industrial metals—copper chief among them—are having a moment few saw coming even a year ago. What started as a trade-policy story has fused with a structural demand story, and the combination is rewriting price records almost weekly.
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Copper Prices Rise on Tariffs and AI Infrastructure DemandComex copper touched a fresh all-time high above $6.72 per pound in late August, and the metal has continued to trade near those levels into September. Two forces are doing the heavy lifting.
First, there's the current tariff policy. Washington imposed a 50% Section 232 tariff on semi-finished copper products and copper-intensive derivatives in 2025, later expanding the rate structure in April 2026, while leaving refined cathode largely exempt—for now.
That exemption has been enough to trigger a scramble. Traders have spent months rerouting metal into U.S. warehouses ahead of the possibility that refined copper will eventually be swept into the tariff policy, and Comex inventories have ballooned to levels that would have seemed unthinkable two years ago.
The catch is that once copper lands in a bonded U.S. warehouse, it's largely stuck there. So what was supposed to be a comfortable global surplus has effectively been drained from the rest of the world. Analysts at CRU, who had projected a healthy 2026 surplus, now describe the non-U.S. market as balanced at best, with some warning it could look like an outright deficit if the flows continue.
Second, and less reversible, is demand. Data centers have become a source of copper demand that doesn't flex with price the way industrial buying usually does. Hyperscalers need the wiring, bus bars, and cooling infrastructure regardless of what copper costs per pound.
That's a new kind of buyer for a market that used to take its cues almost entirely from construction and manufacturing cycles. Layer on grid modernization and electrification, and you have a demand base that's structurally higher even before the tariff-driven stockpiling is factored in.
Freeport-McMoRan Offers Direct Exposure to Rising Copper PricesFreeport-McMoRan NYSE: FCX is the most direct U.S.-listed proxy for copper prices and the largest domestic producer of refined copper. That means it stands to benefit most if the exemption narrows.
Freeport-McMoRan Today
FCX
Freeport-McMoRan
$74.24 +1.77 (+2.44%)
As of 11:12 AM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.
$35.15▼
$80.240.40%
36.68
$70.27
The FCX chart confirms that story. Shares have run from the low $40s a year ago to the mid-$70s, with the 50-day moving average now trending firmly upward and MACD back in bullish territory after a rocky spring.
Q2 2026 net income attributable to common stock came in at $984 million, or 68 cents per share. That pushed first-half net income up 65% year-over-year, even as headline revenue slipped to $7.03 billion from $7.58 billion a year earlier. That decline was driven by lower Indonesian gold and copper volumes during the phased Grasberg Block Cave ramp-up, not by weaker pricing.
Realized copper prices averaged $6.17 per pound in the quarter, and U.S. mining operations more than doubled their operating income contribution versus the first half of 2025, underscoring just how much of FCX's earnings power is now coming from the domestic side of the business, which the tariff regime is designed to protect.
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.
$98.40▼
$223.882.14%
30.10
$146.84
Southern Copper NYSE: SCCO is the low-cost operator of the group, and its Q2 2026 numbers underline why. Revenue rose roughly 41% year-over-year to $4.29 billion, while net income jumped more than 70% to $1.67 billion.
Byproduct credits from silver, molybdenum, and zinc have been the real story. They pushed operating cash cost per pound of copper down to just a nickel, from 63 cents a year earlier. That's a cost structure in which margin expansion accelerates disproportionately as copper prices climb, since so little of the cost base remains exposed once byproducts are netted out.
The chart shows that investors understand the benefits of the company's operating leverage. SCCO has more than doubled off its spring lows and set a fresh record above $220 in late August before pulling back slightly.
BHP Gives Investors Diversified Exposure to the Copper BoomBHP Group Today
$93.86 +1.04 (+1.12%)
As of 11:12 AM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.
$51.83▼
$98.713.08%
$78.00
BHP Group NYSE: BHP is the diversified pick, and for readers who are less risk-tolerant, it's arguably the easiest entry point into the copper thesis.
For the first time in the company's history, copper generated more than half of BHP's underlying EBITDA in fiscal 2026, about 54%, or roughly $18 billion, overtaking iron ore as the group's largest earnings contributor.
Underlying attributable profit rose 30% to $13.2 billion for the year. BHP's chart shows the same steady uptrend as its pure-play peers, climbing from the high $50s a year ago to near $96, though it's pulled back modestly from its late-August peak alongside the rest of the group. The tradeoff for investors is that while BHP is less tethered specifically to copper, it means it has a lower concentration risk than the other names on this list.
Copper’s Rally Faces a Risk From Tariffs and Policy UncertaintyNot everyone treats $6.70 copper as a clean read on global growth. Some analysts note the price carries a real "policy premium" tied to tariff uncertainty and the rush to beat any rule change, rather than reflecting pure consumption strength.
Glencore's CEO has even argued that a final tariff decision, whichever way it goes, could take some of the heat out of prices simply by ending the uncertainty. The fundamentals (AI-driven demand, mine supply constraints, grid buildout) are real and durable, but part of today's price also reflects a timing trade that could unwind once the tariff picture clarifies.
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Key Takeaways SCCO plans to invest $20.5B over the next decade, with most capital allocated to projects.Tia Maria, Los Chancas and Michiquillay represent $10.3B in planned investment in Peru.Southern Copper expects production to increase to 1.6M tons by 2033 or 2034. Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO - Free Report) intends to invest $20.5 billion over the next decade to support its long-term outlook, with the bulk of the capital allocated to projects.
Southern Copper has also reaffirmed its dedication to collaborating with Peru's government to drive economic and social progress. This will be achieved by advancing the company’s Peruvian projects, Tía María, Los Chancas, and Michiquillay, which represent a total investment of $10.3 billion.
SCCO expects to spend $1.8 billion on the Tia Maria project located in the Peruvian region of Arequipa, which is designed to produce 120,000 tons of copper cathodes per year. As of June 30, 2026, the project was 42% complete, with $693 million invested and $1.10 billion committed. The company targets start-up for the second half of 2027.
The company expects to invest $2.6 billion in the Los Chancas, which is expected to produce 130,000 tons of copper and 7,500 tons of molybdenum annually from 2031. Michiquillay requires $2.5 billion in investment and expects to produce 225,000 tons of copper annually from 2032 over an initial mine life exceeding 25 years.
In Mexico, El Pilar is moving toward early site work in September 2026 and construction in the first quarter of 2027, with production targeted for the second half of 2029. The project is designed for 36,000 tons of annual copper cathode output.
These projects give Southern Copper multiple sources of organic production growth beyond current mine grades. These developments help reach tangible milestones for the company’s broader expansion program across both operating countries over time. Southern Copper maintains a strong long-term outlook with production expected to increase to 1.6 million tons by 2033 or 2034.
Project Updates of Southern Copper PeersFreeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX - Free Report) completed the evaluation of a large-scale expansion at El Abra in Chile to define a large sulfide resource that could potentially support a major mill project similar to the large-scale concentrator at Cerro Verde, with an estimated resource of 20 billion recoverable pounds of copper. Freeport-McMoRan expects the expansion to result in the addition of more than 700 million pounds of copper production annually.
Freeport-McMoRan has a strong liquidity profile and generates substantial cash flows, providing ample flexibility to fund expansion projects, reduce debt and enhance shareholder returns.
BHP Group Limited (BHP - Free Report) has copper projects under execution and a pipeline that could deliver around two Mtpa of attributable copper production by the 2030s. BHP Group is planning an Escondida New Concentrator project with a potential $4.4-$5.9-billion investment to replace the aging Los Colorados plant. BHP Group has approved a pre-commitment funding of $0.5 billion (BHP’s share) for the concentrator, which is expected to have a higher production capacity and add 230-270 kt of copper annually.
SCCO’s Price Performance, Valuations & EstimatesSouthern Copper shares have skyrocketed 123.3% year to date compared with the Zacks Mining - Non-Ferrous industry’s surge of 82.4%. During this time, the Basic Materials sector has risen 34.6% and the S&P 500 has rallied 23%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Southern Copper stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 29.17X, which is a premium to the industry average of 24.84X.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Southern Copper’s 2026 sales is $16.86 billion, indicating a 25.6% year-over-year jump. The consensus mark for the year’s earnings is pegged at $7.61 per share, suggesting a rally of 45.2%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2027 sales implies an 11.7% year-over-year dip. The same for earnings suggests a fall of 8.2%.
Earnings estimates for 2026 have moved 0.1% south over the past 60 days, while the same for 2027 have moved up 0.3% over the past 60 days.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The company currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Key Takeaways SCCO posted record Q2 revenues and EBITDA despite a 3.6% decline in copper production.TECK's Q2 adjusted EBITDA surged 204% on stronger pricing, higher volumes and increased by-product gains.TECK's Anglo merger targets 1.2M tons of annual copper output, rising to 1.35M by 2027. Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO - Free Report) and Teck Resources Limited (TECK - Free Report) are two prominent diversified base metals miners with significant copper production. Both SCCO and TECK are gaining from the surge in commodity prices.
Copper prices are currently near $6.55 per pound, up 48.2% in a year, after hitting record highs above $6.80 in early August 2026. The upside is supported by tight global supply and strong demand.
For investors seeking to ride this momentum, the question is: which stock offers better value? Let us examine the fundamentals, growth prospects and challenges for Southern Copper and Teck Resources.
The Case for SCCOPhoenix, AZ-based Southern Copper engages in mining, exploring, smelting, and refining copper and other minerals. Southern Copper has the largest copper reserves in the industry and operates high-quality, world-class assets in investment-grade countries, such as Mexico and Peru. Backed by its constant commitment to increasing low-cost production and growth investments, the company is well-poised to continue delivering enhanced performance.
SCCO delivered an adjusted EBITDA of a record $2.86 billion in the second quarter of 2026, marking a year-over-year upside of 59.5%. Southern Copper’s second-quarter revenues increased 40.6% to a record $4.29 billion. Net income attributable to SCCO also surged 71.6% year over year to a record $1.67 billion. The net income margin improved to 38.9% from 31.9% in the year-ago period.
However, SCCO’s total copper production decreased 3.6% in the second quarter of 2026 to 232,521 tons due to a decrease in production at the company’s Peruvian operations. While mined silver production fell 3.8%, zinc and molybdenum production fell 14.5% and 11%, respectively, in the same time frame.
Despite the year-to-date fall in production, the company has slightly hiked its 2026 copper production outlook to 917,000 tons from the initially stated 910,000 tons. The figure, however, still implies a 5% year-over-year decline. The downside will be led by lower ore grades at the Cuajone and Peruvian mines. Nonetheless, Southern Copper maintains a strong long-term outlook with production expected to increase to 1.15 million tons by 2031, 1.476 million tons in 2032 and continue rising steadily to reach the above-mentioned 1.6-million-ton target by 2035.
This trajectory highlights SCCO’s confidence in its robust and diversified project pipeline spanning Peru and Mexico. The key growth catalysts include the Tía María, Los Chancas and Michiquillay projects in Peru, along with El Pilar and El Arco in Mexico, all of which underpin SCCO’s long-term expansion pipeline.
The Case for TECKVancouver, Canada-based Teck Resources is committed to mining and mineral development with business units focused on copper and zinc. Teck Resources is a significant copper producer in the Americas, with four operating mines in Canada, Chile and Peru, and development projects in North and South America. Its main projects are Highland Valley Copper in Canada and Antamina, Quebrada Blanca (“QB”) and Carmen de Andacollo in South America.
As part of its long-term growth strategy, Teck Resources has entered a merger agreement with Anglo American plc to form the Anglo Teck group. It will have more than 70% exposure to copper and is set to be among the top five global copper producers. The new company will consist of six world-class copper assets and premium iron ore and zinc operations with a combined annual copper production of 1.2 million tons. It is projected to grow 10% to 1.35 million tons by 2027. The combined company will also be one of the world's largest zinc producers. The deal is expected to yield $800 million in annual pre-tax synergies within four years of completion.
In the second quarter of 2026, Teck Resources’ adjusted EBITDA surged 204% year over year to CAD$2.2 billion ($1.59 billion), reflecting stronger realized pricing, higher volumes and increased by-product contribution. The Copper segment’s revenues surged 85% year over year, driven by higher copper prices and sales volumes. This pushed the company’s top line to $2.6 billion, marking a 78% year-over-year rise.
However, the company's Red Dog production fell to 112,000 tons in the second quarter of 2026 from 136,600 tons a year earlier as grades declined in line with the mine plan. The 2026 zinc production guidance is 410-460 thousand tons, whereas it produced 565 thousand tons in 2025. Lower grades are expected through 2028 as the Qanaiyaq pit is expected to be depleted in 2026.
Nonetheless, the company maintains its 2026 copper production guidance of 455-530 thousand tons, whereas it produced 453.5 thousand tons in 2025. This will be driven by higher output at QB, Highland Valley Copper and Antamina. The long-term outlook for copper is positive as demand is expected to grow, partly driven by electric vehicles, renewable energy and infrastructure investments.
Teck Resources continues to advance projects toward sanction readiness while prioritizing Quebrada Blanca and the Highland Valley Copper Mine Life Extension. Highland Valley construction progressed in the second quarter of 2026, with detailed engineering about 95% complete and procurement nearly complete. The project is expected to extend mine life to 2046 and support average annual copper production of about 132,000 tonnes.
Zafranal secured legal authorization in May 2026 to construct processing facilities, while work continues on permitting, land access and business-case improvements. San Nicolás received its land-use-change permit in July 2026, although additional permits remain necessary before construction. Detailed engineering and infrastructure work continues at San Nicolás. These factors improve project readiness and preserve a pathway for long-term copper growth, subject to disciplined capital allocation and final sanction decisions.
How Do Estimates Compare for SCCO & TECK?The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Southern Copper’s 2026 sales is $16.86 billion, indicating a 25.6% year-over-year jump. The consensus mark for the year’s earnings is pegged at $7.61 per share, suggesting a rally of 45.2%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2027 sales implies an 11.7% year-over-year dip. The same for earnings suggests a fall of 8.2%. Earnings estimates for 2026 have moved south over the past 60 days, while the same for 2027 have moved up.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TECK’s 2026 sales is $10.44 billion, indicating a 35.4% year-over-year jump. The consensus mark for the year’s earnings is pegged at $3.58 per share, suggesting a year-over-year surge of 62%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2027 earnings suggests a fall of 15.9%. The estimates for 2026 and 2027 have been trending north over the past 60 days.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
SCCO & TECK: Price Performance & Valuation ComparisonsIn the past six months, the SCCO stock has gained 0.4% and TECK has risen 15.5%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
SCCO is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 29.75X, higher than its five-year median. TECK is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 22.74X, higher than its five-year median.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
SCCO or TECK: Which Is the Better Pick?SCCO is poised to benefit from higher metal prices and increased revenues. The company’s long-term growth remains solid. However, near-term production headwinds remain concerning.
Teck Resources is also benefiting from a strong price environment and project pipeline expansion. The company’s long-term growth looks promising with the planned merger agreement with Anglo American plc to form the Anglo Teck group. Even though near-term zinc in concentrate production at Red Dog has been impacted by operational issues, it will be offset by long-life assets and growth projects.
Given these factors, TECK seems a better pick for investors than SCCO currently. A lower valuation and positive revisions to earnings estimates support our thesis.
Both stocks currently have a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Key Takeaways Southern Copper's H1 copper production fell 3.8% y/y to 461,206 tons.The 2026 copper output is forecast at 917,000 tons, implying a 5% y/y decline.Tia Maria and other projects could lift output to 1.6 million tons by 2033 or 2034. Southern Copper Corporation’s (SCCO - Free Report) copper production fell 3.5% in the second quarter of 2026, pushing the first-half 2026 production to decline 3.8% year-over-year to 461,206 tons due to a decrease in production at the company’s Peruvian operations.
Despite the year-to-date fall in production, the company has slightly hiked its 2026 copper production outlook to 917,000 tons from the initially stated 910,000 tons. The figure, however, implies a 5% year-over-year decline. The downside will be caused by lower ore grades at the Cuajone and Peruvian mines. Southern Copper expects 2027 copper production to remain near the 2026 level.
Tía María is expected to begin production in the second half of 2027 and lift total copper output to about 970,000 tons in 2028. The company then expects production to reach 1.06 million tons in 2029.
Southern Copper maintains a strong long-term outlook with production expected to increase to 1.6 million tons by 2033 or 2034. To support this growth plan, the company intends to invest $20.5 billion over the next decade, with the bulk of the capital allocated to projects.
The pipeline includes Tía María, Los Chancas and Michiquillay in Peru, along with El Pilar, El Arco and other projects in Mexico. The breadth of these projects gives Southern Copper multiple sources of organic production growth beyond current mine grades. Expected grade recovery at Toquepala and Cuajone should also add production after 2027.
Southern Copper Peers’ Production Performance & OutlookTeck Resources Ltd (TECK - Free Report) copper segment’s revenues surged 85% year over year, driven by higher copper prices and sales volumes. This pushed the company’s top line to $2.6 billion, marking a 78% year-over-year rise.
However, Teck Resources' Red Dog production fell to 112,000 tons in the second quarter of 2026 from 136,600 tons a year earlier as grades declined in line with the mine plan. Nonetheless, Teck Resources maintains its 2026 copper production guidance of 455-530 thousand tons, whereas it produced 453.5 thousand tons in 2025. This will be driven by higher output at QB, Highland Valley Copper and Antamina. The long-term outlook for copper is positive as demand is expected to grow, partly driven by electric vehicles, renewable energy and infrastructure investments.
Freeport-McMoRan Inc.’s (FCX - Free Report) revenues declined 7.3% year over year to $7.03 billion in the second quarter of 2026. Freeport-McMoRan’s copper production fell 18.4% year over year to 786 million pounds in the reported quarter.
Freeport-McMoRan’s copper sales volumes tumbled approximately 30% year over year in the second quarter to 710 million pounds. While the company’s third-quarter outlook for copper sales volumes of 750 million pounds indicates a sequential improvement, it still suggests a 23% year-over-year decline. The company, in April 2026, lowered its consolidated sales volume projections for 2026 to 3.1 billion pounds of copper from the prior view of 3.4 billion pounds due to an expected delay in achieving full ramp-up of the Grasberg Block Cave mine.
SCCO’s Price Performance, Valuations & EstimatesSouthern Copper shares have gained 51.3% year to date compared with the Zacks Mining - Non Ferrous industry’s rise of 38.5%. During this time, the Basic Materials sector has risen 25.1% and the S&P 500 has rallied 12.6%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Southern Copper stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 29.70X, which is a premium to the industry average of 25.45X.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Southern Copper’s 2026 sales is $16.86 billion, indicating a 25.6% year-over-year jump. The consensus mark for the year’s earnings is pegged at $7.61 per share, suggesting a rally of 45.2%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2027 sales implies an 11.7% year-over-year dip. The same for earnings suggests a fall of 8.2%.
Earnings estimates for 2026 have moved 0.1% south over the past 60 days, while the same for 2027 have moved up 0.3% over the past 60 days.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The company currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Bamco Inc. NY bought a new stake in Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE:SCCO – Free Report) during the 2nd quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm bought 5,203 shares of the basic materials company’s stock, valued at approximately $907,000.
Several other institutional investors also recently modified their holdings of the business. BlackRock Inc. bought a new stake in shares of Southern Copper during the 2nd quarter valued at $1,729,500,000. Bank of New York Mellon Corp acquired a new stake in shares of Southern Copper during the second quarter worth $696,621,000. State Street Corp increased its holdings in Southern Copper by 2.4% in the fourth quarter. State Street Corp now owns 2,862,244 shares of the basic materials company’s stock valued at $410,646,000 after purchasing an additional 66,268 shares during the last quarter. Fisher Asset Management LLC lifted its stake in Southern Copper by 0.3% in the fourth quarter. Fisher Asset Management LLC now owns 2,536,228 shares of the basic materials company’s stock valued at $363,873,000 after buying an additional 7,194 shares during the period. Finally, Bank of America Corp DE bought a new position in Southern Copper during the second quarter worth about $318,448,000. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 7.94% of the company’s stock.
Analyst Ratings Changes A number of analysts recently weighed in on the stock. UBS Group reiterated a “sell” rating and issued a $158.10 price target (up from $143.28) on shares of Southern Copper in a research report on Tuesday, June 30th. Wall Street Zen lowered shares of Southern Copper from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a report on Saturday, August 1st. Scotiabank reissued an “underperform” rating and set a $138.34 price target (up from $133.40) on shares of Southern Copper in a research report on Monday, June 15th. Citigroup reissued a “positive” rating on shares of Southern Copper in a report on Wednesday, July 15th. Finally, JPMorgan Chase & Co. upped their price objective on shares of Southern Copper from $125.49 to $129.94 and gave the company an “underweight” rating in a research report on Wednesday, June 17th. Three equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, five have assigned a Hold rating and seven have assigned a Sell rating to the company’s stock. Based on data from MarketBeat, the company currently has an average rating of “Reduce” and a consensus target price of $146.84.
Read Our Latest Stock Analysis on Southern Copper Southern Copper Stock Performance Shares of SCCO stock opened at $216.79 on Friday. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63, a quick ratio of 4.56 and a current ratio of 5.06. Southern Copper Corporation has a 52 week low of $92.94 and a 52 week high of $223.88. The company’s 50 day moving average price is $184.25 and its two-hundred day moving average price is $183.72. The company has a market capitalization of $180.87 billion, a P/E ratio of 31.69, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 1.83 and a beta of 1.11.
Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO – Get Free Report) last issued its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, July 22nd. The basic materials company reported $1.99 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $1.93 by $0.06. Southern Copper had a net margin of 35.87% and a return on equity of 49.04%. The company had revenue of $4.29 billion during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $4.37 billion. The company’s quarterly revenue was up 40.6% compared to the same quarter last year. On average, analysts expect that Southern Copper Corporation will post 7.61 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
Southern Copper Increases Dividend The company also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Thursday, August 27th. Shareholders of record on Tuesday, August 11th were issued a dividend of $1.10 per share. This is a boost from Southern Copper’s previous quarterly dividend of $1.00. The ex-dividend date was Tuesday, August 11th. This represents a $4.40 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 2.0%. Southern Copper’s dividend payout ratio is currently 64.33%.
Insider Activity at Southern Copper In other news, Director Bonilla Luis Miguel Palomino sold 202 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, August 5th. The stock was sold at an average price of $196.79, for a total value of $39,751.28. Following the sale, the director directly owned 1,723 shares in the company, valued at $339,066.65. The trade was a 10.49% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is available at the SEC website. Insiders sold 509 shares of company stock valued at $97,753 in the last 90 days. Insiders own 0.07% of the company’s stock.
Southern Copper Profile (Free Report)
Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE: SCCO) is a large, integrated copper producer whose operations span the full value chain from exploration and mining to smelting, refining and the sale of copper and other metal products. The company produces a range of copper products including copper concentrate and refined cathodes, and recovers valuable byproducts such as molybdenum, silver and zinc. Southern Copper concentrates on high-volume, long-life assets designed to support steady production and processing capabilities.
Southern Copper’s operations are concentrated in Peru and Mexico, where it owns and operates multiple large-scale mining and processing facilities.
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On August 24, 2026, we delve into the DCF analysis for Southern Copper Corp
SCCO +8.69% 91
, a company that has seen remarkable price performance, with a year-to-date increase of 57.6% and a staggering 145.0% rise over the past year. This analysis will explore the discrepancies between different valuation models, providing insights into the company's worth.
DCF Earnings-based intrinsic value of $208.63 vs current price of $216.00 (margin of safety: -3.5%) DCF FCF-based intrinsic value of $82.19 vs current price (significantly overvalued with -162.8% margin of safety) GF Score™ of 91/100 indicates strong financial health, but the low predictability rank of 2/5 stars suggests caution in relying solely on DCF inputs. What Is SCCO Worth? DCF Earnings-Based Model To evaluate Southern Copper Corp's intrinsic value, we employed a two-stage DCF model. The first stage considers a growth phase lasting ten years, where we project earnings per share (EPS) to grow at a rate of 20.5%. The second stage reflects a terminal growth phase with a more conservative growth rate of 4% over the subsequent ten years. The discount rate applied throughout the model is 11%, derived from the risk-free rate and equity risk premium.
Parameter Value Current EPS (TTM, excl. non-recurring) $6.68 10-Year Growth Rate 20.5% 10-Year Treasury Rate 4.71% Discount Rate (ceil(Treasury) + 6%) 11% Terminal Growth Rate 4% The calculation summary for the two-stage model is as follows:
Stage Description Value Growth Stage (Years 1-10) EPS growing at 20.5%, discounted at 11% $104.26 Terminal Stage (Years 11-20) 4% terminal growth, discounted at 11% $104.37 Intrinsic Value Growth + Terminal $208.63 With the current price at $216.00, the intrinsic value of $208.63 indicates that the stock is fairly valued, with a margin of safety of -3.5%. It's important to note that GuruFocus utilizes EPS excluding non-recurring items, as research suggests that stock prices correlate more closely with earnings than with free cash flow. For further details, you can visit the SCCO DCF Calculator.
What Does the Free Cash Flow DCF Say? The free cash flow (FCF) based intrinsic value for Southern Copper Corp is calculated at $82.19. This starkly contrasts with the earnings-based valuation, indicating a significant disagreement between the two models. The FCF model suggests that the stock is significantly overvalued, with a margin of safety of -162.8%. This discrepancy highlights the need for caution when interpreting these valuations.
How Does GF Value™ Compare to the DCF Models? The GF Value™ for Southern Copper Corp is calculated at $142.28, providing a third perspective on the company's valuation. This proprietary measure is derived from historical trading multiples, past business growth, and future performance estimates. The divergence among the three models—earnings DCF, FCF DCF, and GF Value™—suggests a complex valuation landscape for SCCO. For more insights, check the GF Value™.
What Does SCCO's GF Score™ Tell Us? The GF Score™ measures various aspects of a company's performance, including financial strength, profitability, growth potential, valuation, and momentum. Southern Copper Corp boasts a strong GF Score™ of 91/100, indicating robust financial health, but its predictability rank of 2/5 stars suggests that the DCF model's reliability is limited. Below is a summary of SCCO's GF Score™ metrics:
Metric Rating GF Score™ 91/100 Financial Strength 7/10 Profitability 10/10 Growth 10/10 Valuation 3/10 Momentum 6/10 For more details on SCCO, visit the SCCO stock page.
Key Assumptions and Limitations It is crucial to recognize that DCF models are highly sensitive to the assumptions made regarding growth rates and discount rates. Stocks with low predictability ratings, such as SCCO, yield less reliable DCF estimates. The terminal growth rate of 4% is a simplifying assumption that may not fully capture future market dynamics.
What This Means for Investors In synthesizing the three valuation models—DCF earnings, DCF FCF, and GF Value™—we find a notable tension. While the earnings-based DCF suggests that Southern Copper Corp is fairly valued, the FCF model indicates significant overvaluation. The GF Value™ further supports the notion of overvaluation at $142.28. Additionally, the insider activity shows that insiders have sold $3.3M worth of shares over the past year, while 11 gurus currently hold the stock, with 8 adding positions and 2 trimming theirs. This mixed signal from guru ownership, combined with the insider selling, warrants a cautious approach. For further exploration of the DCF analysis, visit the SCCO DCF Calculator.
Frequently Asked Questions What is SCCO's intrinsic value based on DCF?
Earnigns-based intrinsic value is $208.63, while FCF-based intrinsic value is $82.19.
Is SCCO overvalued or undervalued?
Based on the DCF and GF Value™ consensus, SCCO appears to be overvalued.
How reliable is the DCF model for SCCO?
The reliability of the DCF model for SCCO is limited, given its predictability rank of 2/5 stars.
This stock alert was generated using automated technology and GuruFocus financial data to provide readers with timely and accurate market reporting. This content was reviewed by GuruFocus editorial team prior to publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].
B. Metzler seel. Sohn & Co. AG bought a new position in Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE:SCCO – Free Report) during the second quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the SEC. The firm bought 30,217 shares of the basic materials company’s stock, valued at approximately $5,266,000.
A number of other hedge funds have also recently modified their holdings of the company. BlackRock Inc. purchased a new position in shares of Southern Copper during the 2nd quarter worth approximately $1,729,500,000. Bank of New York Mellon Corp acquired a new stake in Southern Copper in the second quarter valued at approximately $696,621,000. State Street Corp grew its holdings in Southern Copper by 2.4% during the 4th quarter. State Street Corp now owns 2,862,244 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $410,646,000 after acquiring an additional 66,268 shares in the last quarter. Fisher Asset Management LLC grew its holdings in Southern Copper by 0.3% during the 4th quarter. Fisher Asset Management LLC now owns 2,536,228 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $363,873,000 after acquiring an additional 7,194 shares in the last quarter. Finally, UBS AM a distinct business unit of UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC increased its position in shares of Southern Copper by 8.3% in the 4th quarter. UBS AM a distinct business unit of UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC now owns 1,181,293 shares of the basic materials company’s stock valued at $169,480,000 after purchasing an additional 90,237 shares during the last quarter. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 7.94% of the company’s stock.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth Several equities analysts have commented on SCCO shares. Weiss Ratings upgraded shares of Southern Copper from a “buy (b-)” rating to a “buy (b)” rating in a research note on Tuesday, July 28th. UBS Group restated a “sell” rating and issued a $158.10 target price (up from $143.28) on shares of Southern Copper in a report on Tuesday, June 30th. Morgan Stanley lifted their price target on shares of Southern Copper from $144.27 to $156.13 and gave the stock an “underweight” rating in a research note on Wednesday, July 8th. Barclays set a $164.03 price target on shares of Southern Copper and gave the company an “underweight” rating in a research report on Thursday, July 23rd. Finally, Wall Street Zen downgraded shares of Southern Copper from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Saturday, August 1st. Three research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, five have assigned a Hold rating and seven have given a Sell rating to the stock. According to MarketBeat, Southern Copper currently has an average rating of “Reduce” and a consensus target price of $146.84.
Check Out Our Latest Analysis on Southern Copper Southern Copper Stock Performance NYSE SCCO opened at $216.30 on Friday. Southern Copper Corporation has a twelve month low of $92.94 and a twelve month high of $223.88. The business’s 50-day moving average price is $182.23 and its 200 day moving average price is $183.20. The company has a market capitalization of $180.47 billion, a PE ratio of 31.62, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 1.70 and a beta of 1.11. The company has a current ratio of 5.06, a quick ratio of 4.56 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63.
Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO – Get Free Report) last issued its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, July 22nd. The basic materials company reported $1.99 EPS for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.93 by $0.06. Southern Copper had a net margin of 35.87% and a return on equity of 49.04%. The firm had revenue of $4.29 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $4.37 billion. The company’s quarterly revenue was up 40.6% compared to the same quarter last year. On average, research analysts predict that Southern Copper Corporation will post 7.61 earnings per share for the current year.
Southern Copper Increases Dividend The business also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, August 27th. Investors of record on Tuesday, August 11th will be given a $1.10 dividend. The ex-dividend date is Tuesday, August 11th. This represents a $4.40 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 2.0%. This is a boost from Southern Copper’s previous quarterly dividend of $1.00. Southern Copper’s payout ratio is currently 64.33%.
Insider Buying and Selling In related news, Director Bonilla Luis Miguel Palomino sold 202 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, August 5th. The stock was sold at an average price of $196.79, for a total transaction of $39,751.28. Following the completion of the transaction, the director owned 1,723 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $339,066.65. This trade represents a 10.49% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which is available through the SEC website. Over the last 90 days, insiders have sold 509 shares of company stock worth $97,753. 0.07% of the stock is currently owned by company insiders.
(Free Report)
Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE: SCCO) is a large, integrated copper producer whose operations span the full value chain from exploration and mining to smelting, refining and the sale of copper and other metal products. The company produces a range of copper products including copper concentrate and refined cathodes, and recovers valuable byproducts such as molybdenum, silver and zinc. Southern Copper concentrates on high-volume, long-life assets designed to support steady production and processing capabilities.
Southern Copper’s operations are concentrated in Peru and Mexico, where it owns and operates multiple large-scale mining and processing facilities.
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Allworth Financial LP bought a new position in shares of Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE:SCCO – Free Report) during the 2nd quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The institutional investor bought 9,824 shares of the basic materials company’s stock, valued at approximately $1,712,000.
Several other institutional investors also recently bought and sold shares of SCCO. California Public Employees Retirement System boosted its stake in Southern Copper by 21.2% during the 1st quarter. California Public Employees Retirement System now owns 192,523 shares of the basic materials company’s stock valued at $33,126,000 after purchasing an additional 33,638 shares during the period. RFG Advisory LLC bought a new position in Southern Copper in the 4th quarter worth approximately $1,147,000. US Bancorp DE increased its position in Southern Copper by 16.2% in the 4th quarter. US Bancorp DE now owns 74,484 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $10,687,000 after buying an additional 10,360 shares during the period. Ashoka WhiteOak Capital Pte Ltd acquired a new position in shares of Southern Copper during the fourth quarter worth approximately $5,460,000. Finally, Precision Wealth Strategies LLC acquired a new position in shares of Southern Copper during the first quarter worth approximately $2,769,000. 7.94% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.
Insider Transactions at Southern Copper In other Southern Copper news, Director Bonilla Luis Miguel Palomino sold 202 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Wednesday, August 5th. The shares were sold at an average price of $196.79, for a total value of $39,751.28. Following the completion of the sale, the director owned 1,723 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $339,066.65. This represents a 10.49% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a document filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is accessible through the SEC website. Insiders have sold a total of 509 shares of company stock worth $97,753 in the last ninety days. 0.07% of the stock is currently owned by insiders.
Southern Copper Stock Performance Shares of Southern Copper stock opened at $216.30 on Friday. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63, a current ratio of 5.06 and a quick ratio of 4.56. The firm has a 50 day simple moving average of $182.23 and a 200 day simple moving average of $183.20. Southern Copper Corporation has a fifty-two week low of $92.94 and a fifty-two week high of $223.88. The firm has a market cap of $180.47 billion, a P/E ratio of 31.62, a P/E/G ratio of 1.70 and a beta of 1.11. Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO – Get Free Report) last released its earnings results on Wednesday, July 22nd. The basic materials company reported $1.99 earnings per share for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.93 by $0.06. The company had revenue of $4.29 billion during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $4.37 billion. Southern Copper had a return on equity of 49.04% and a net margin of 35.87%.The business’s revenue was up 40.6% on a year-over-year basis. Sell-side analysts predict that Southern Copper Corporation will post 7.61 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
Southern Copper Increases Dividend The company also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, August 27th. Investors of record on Tuesday, August 11th will be issued a dividend of $1.10 per share. This is an increase from Southern Copper’s previous quarterly dividend of $1.00. This represents a $4.40 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 2.0%. The ex-dividend date is Tuesday, August 11th. Southern Copper’s dividend payout ratio is presently 64.33%.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth SCCO has been the topic of several research analyst reports. Weiss Ratings upgraded shares of Southern Copper from a “buy (b-)” rating to a “buy (b)” rating in a research report on Tuesday, July 28th. Scotiabank reaffirmed an “underperform” rating and set a $138.34 price objective (up from $133.40) on shares of Southern Copper in a research report on Monday, June 15th. UBS Group reiterated a “sell” rating and issued a $158.10 target price (up from $143.28) on shares of Southern Copper in a research note on Tuesday, June 30th. Zacks Research downgraded Southern Copper from a “strong-buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research report on Friday, August 7th. Finally, JPMorgan Chase & Co. boosted their price target on Southern Copper from $125.49 to $129.94 and gave the company an “underweight” rating in a research note on Wednesday, June 17th. Three investment analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, five have assigned a Hold rating and seven have issued a Sell rating to the company. According to MarketBeat.com, the company presently has an average rating of “Reduce” and a consensus target price of $146.84.
Read Our Latest Research Report on SCCO
Southern Copper Profile (Free Report)
Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE: SCCO) is a large, integrated copper producer whose operations span the full value chain from exploration and mining to smelting, refining and the sale of copper and other metal products. The company produces a range of copper products including copper concentrate and refined cathodes, and recovers valuable byproducts such as molybdenum, silver and zinc. Southern Copper concentrates on high-volume, long-life assets designed to support steady production and processing capabilities.
Southern Copper’s operations are concentrated in Peru and Mexico, where it owns and operates multiple large-scale mining and processing facilities.
See Also Five stocks we like better than Southern Copper Blueprint for a Boom: SEC Clears the Crypto Runway Ross Stores Just Flipped the Off-Price Retail Story After TJX’s Marmaxx Miss Advance Auto Parts Plunged, But Its Turnaround Is Still Working Is Palo Alto Networks Priced for Perfection Again as AI Security Demand Accelerates?
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Key Takeaways Southern Copper's Q2 adjusted EBITDA jumped 59.5% y/y as higher prices and cost-control lifted results.Copper prices near $6.6 per pound and higher metal prices could support further EBITDA gains.Southern Copper raised its 2026 copper output forecast to 917,000 tons despite lower ore grades. Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO - Free Report) delivered an adjusted EBITDA of a record $2.86 billion in the second quarter of 2026, marking a year-over-year upside of 59.5%. As a result, Southern Copper's adjusted EBITDA for the first half of 2026 jumped 57.5% year over year to $5.57 billion, expanding the adjusted EBITDA margin from 57.3% last year to 65.2%. The upside was driven by higher metal prices, disciplined cost management and higher revenues.
Southern Copper’s second-quarter revenues increased 40.6% to a record $4.29 billion. Net income attributable to SCCO also reached a record $1.67 billion, rising 71.6% year over year. The net income margin improved to 38.9% from 31.9% in the year-ago period.
However, SCCO’s total copper production decreased 3.6% in the second quarter of 2026 to 232,521 tons due to a decrease in production at the company’s Peruvian operations. While mined silver production fell 3.8%, zinc and molybdenum production fell 14.5% and 11%, respectively, in the same time frame.
Despite the year-to-date fall in production, the company has slightly hiked its 2026 copper production outlook to 917,000 tons from the initially stated 910,000 tons. The figure, however, still implies a 5% year-over-year decline. The downside will be led by lower ore grades at the Cuajone and Peruvian mines. Nonetheless, Southern Copper maintains a strong long-term outlook with production expected to increase to 1.15 million tons by 2031, 1.476 million tons in 2032 and continue rising steadily to reach the above-mentioned 1.6-million-ton target by 2035.
Copper prices are currently near $6.6 per pound, up 47.7% in a year, supported by tight global supply and strong demand. Along with SCCO, its peers Teck Resources Ltd (TECK - Free Report) and Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX - Free Report) are gaining from this rise in copper prices. Higher prices for molybdenum, zinc and silver will also aid growth.
The rally in metal prices this year and its ongoing cost-control efforts position the company for further EBITDA gains in the months ahead.
Southern Copper Peers’ EBITDA PerformanceTeck Resources’ adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of 2026 was CAD$2.2 billion ($1.59 billion), which soared 204% from the year-earlier period. The EBITDA margin was 60.8% in the quarter under review compared with the year-ago quarter’s 35.7%. TECK’s revenues amounted to $2.6 billion, reflecting a 78% year-over-year improvement. Teck Resources’ copper production was around 135,900 tons, 25% higher than the first quarter of 2025, attributed to improved performance across all operations.
Freeport-McMoRan reported an adjusted EBITDA of $3.5 billion for the second quarter of 2026, marking a year-over-year rise of 9.4%. FCX’s revenues declined 7.3% year over year to $7.03 billion. Freeport-McMoRan’s copper production fell 18.4% year over year to 786 million pounds in the reported quarter.
SCCO’s Price Performance, Valuations & EstimatesSouthern Copper shares have gained 108.3% year to date compared with the Zacks Mining - Non Ferrous industry’s rise of 69.7%. During this time, the Basic Materials sector has risen 32.2% and the S&P 500 has rallied 23%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Southern Copper stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 27.57X, which is a premium to the industry average of 22.92X.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Southern Copper’s 2026 sales is $16.86 billion, indicating a 25.6% year-over-year jump. The consensus mark for the year’s earnings is pegged at $7.61 per share, suggesting a rally of 45.2%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2027 sales implies an 11.7% year-over-year dip. The same for earnings suggests a fall of 8.2%.
Earnings estimates for 2026 have moved 0.1% south over the past 60 days, while the same for 2027 have moved up 0.3% over the past 60 days.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The company currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Bank of New York Mellon Corp bought a new stake in Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE:SCCO – Free Report) during the 2nd quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The fund bought 7,278,460 shares of the basic materials company’s stock, valued at approximately $696,621,000. Bank of New York Mellon Corp owned approximately 0.88% of Southern Copper as of its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
A number of other institutional investors have also made changes to their positions in SCCO. State Street Corp lifted its stake in Southern Copper by 2.4% in the fourth quarter. State Street Corp now owns 2,862,244 shares of the basic materials company’s stock valued at $410,646,000 after acquiring an additional 66,268 shares during the last quarter. Fisher Asset Management LLC lifted its stake in Southern Copper by 0.3% in the 4th quarter. Fisher Asset Management LLC now owns 2,536,228 shares of the basic materials company’s stock valued at $363,873,000 after purchasing an additional 7,194 shares during the last quarter. UBS AM a distinct business unit of UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC lifted its stake in Southern Copper by 8.3% in the 4th quarter. UBS AM a distinct business unit of UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC now owns 1,181,293 shares of the basic materials company’s stock valued at $169,480,000 after purchasing an additional 90,237 shares during the last quarter. Vanguard Group Inc. grew its holdings in Southern Copper by 3.6% during the fourth quarter. Vanguard Group Inc. now owns 983,822 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $141,149,000 after purchasing an additional 33,804 shares during the period. Finally, Legal & General Group Plc grew its holdings in Southern Copper by 1.5% during the third quarter. Legal & General Group Plc now owns 955,924 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $116,012,000 after purchasing an additional 14,212 shares during the period. Institutional investors own 7.94% of the company’s stock.
Insider Activity at Southern Copper In related news, Director Bonilla Luis Miguel Palomino sold 202 shares of Southern Copper stock in a transaction that occurred on Wednesday, August 5th. The shares were sold at an average price of $196.79, for a total transaction of $39,751.28. Following the sale, the director directly owned 1,723 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $339,066.65. The trade was a 10.49% decrease in their position. The sale was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is available through this hyperlink. Insiders have sold a total of 509 shares of company stock valued at $97,753 over the last three months. 0.07% of the stock is currently owned by corporate insiders.
Southern Copper Stock Up 2.5% Shares of NYSE SCCO opened at $199.45 on Friday. The stock has a market capitalization of $166.41 billion, a P/E ratio of 29.16, a PEG ratio of 1.67 and a beta of 1.11. The stock’s fifty day moving average is $181.66 and its 200 day moving average is $182.97. Southern Copper Corporation has a 52 week low of $92.57 and a 52 week high of $223.88. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63, a quick ratio of 4.56 and a current ratio of 5.06. Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO – Get Free Report) last issued its earnings results on Wednesday, July 22nd. The basic materials company reported $1.99 EPS for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $1.93 by $0.06. The company had revenue of $4.29 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $4.37 billion. Southern Copper had a net margin of 35.87% and a return on equity of 49.04%. The firm’s revenue was up 40.6% compared to the same quarter last year. Sell-side analysts forecast that Southern Copper Corporation will post 7.61 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
Southern Copper Increases Dividend The firm also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, August 27th. Shareholders of record on Tuesday, August 11th will be paid a dividend of $1.10 per share. The ex-dividend date of this dividend is Tuesday, August 11th. This is a positive change from Southern Copper’s previous quarterly dividend of $1.00. This represents a $4.40 annualized dividend and a yield of 2.2%. Southern Copper’s payout ratio is presently 64.33%.
Analyst Ratings Changes A number of research firms have recently issued reports on SCCO. Scotiabank reaffirmed an “underperform” rating and issued a $138.34 price objective (up from $133.40) on shares of Southern Copper in a research report on Monday, June 15th. Zacks Research downgraded Southern Copper from a “strong-buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a report on Friday, August 7th. CICC Research cut shares of Southern Copper to a “market perform” rating in a research report on Sunday, July 26th. Barclays set a $164.03 price objective on shares of Southern Copper and gave the company an “underweight” rating in a report on Thursday, July 23rd. Finally, Wall Street Zen cut shares of Southern Copper from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Saturday, August 1st. Three investment analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, five have given a Hold rating and seven have issued a Sell rating to the company. According to MarketBeat.com, the company currently has an average rating of “Reduce” and a consensus target price of $146.84.
Get Our Latest Stock Analysis on SCCO
Southern Copper Profile (Free Report)
Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE: SCCO) is a large, integrated copper producer whose operations span the full value chain from exploration and mining to smelting, refining and the sale of copper and other metal products. The company produces a range of copper products including copper concentrate and refined cathodes, and recovers valuable byproducts such as molybdenum, silver and zinc. Southern Copper concentrates on high-volume, long-life assets designed to support steady production and processing capabilities.
Southern Copper’s operations are concentrated in Peru and Mexico, where it owns and operates multiple large-scale mining and processing facilities.
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Altman Advisors Inc. purchased a new position in Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE:SCCO – Free Report) in the 2nd quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the SEC. The fund purchased 14,414 shares of the basic materials company’s stock, valued at approximately $2,512,000.
Other institutional investors also recently bought and sold shares of the company. California Public Employees Retirement System boosted its holdings in shares of Southern Copper by 21.2% during the 1st quarter. California Public Employees Retirement System now owns 192,523 shares of the basic materials company’s stock valued at $33,126,000 after acquiring an additional 33,638 shares during the last quarter. RFG Advisory LLC purchased a new position in shares of Southern Copper during the fourth quarter valued at approximately $1,147,000. US Bancorp DE raised its holdings in shares of Southern Copper by 16.2% during the fourth quarter. US Bancorp DE now owns 74,484 shares of the basic materials company’s stock valued at $10,687,000 after purchasing an additional 10,360 shares during the last quarter. Ashoka WhiteOak Capital Pte Ltd bought a new position in Southern Copper during the fourth quarter valued at approximately $5,460,000. Finally, Precision Wealth Strategies LLC bought a new position in Southern Copper during the first quarter valued at approximately $2,769,000. 7.94% of the stock is owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.
Insider Buying and Selling at Southern Copper In related news, Director Bonilla Luis Miguel Palomino sold 202 shares of the stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, August 5th. The stock was sold at an average price of $196.79, for a total transaction of $39,751.28. Following the completion of the sale, the director owned 1,723 shares in the company, valued at approximately $339,066.65. This trade represents a 10.49% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which can be accessed through this hyperlink. Insiders sold a total of 509 shares of company stock valued at $97,753 over the last three months. Corporate insiders own 0.07% of the company’s stock.
Southern Copper Stock Up 2.5% Shares of SCCO stock opened at $199.45 on Friday. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63, a current ratio of 5.06 and a quick ratio of 4.56. Southern Copper Corporation has a one year low of $92.57 and a one year high of $223.88. The company’s fifty day moving average price is $181.66 and its 200-day moving average price is $182.97. The company has a market capitalization of $166.41 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.16, a PEG ratio of 1.67 and a beta of 1.11. Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO – Get Free Report) last issued its earnings results on Wednesday, July 22nd. The basic materials company reported $1.99 earnings per share for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $1.93 by $0.06. The company had revenue of $4.29 billion during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $4.37 billion. Southern Copper had a net margin of 35.87% and a return on equity of 49.04%. The company’s quarterly revenue was up 40.6% compared to the same quarter last year. Sell-side analysts expect that Southern Copper Corporation will post 7.61 EPS for the current fiscal year.
Southern Copper Increases Dividend The firm also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, August 27th. Stockholders of record on Tuesday, August 11th will be paid a $1.10 dividend. This represents a $4.40 dividend on an annualized basis and a dividend yield of 2.2%. This is a positive change from Southern Copper’s previous quarterly dividend of $1.00. The ex-dividend date of this dividend is Tuesday, August 11th. Southern Copper’s dividend payout ratio is currently 64.33%.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth A number of equities research analysts have commented on SCCO shares. Morgan Stanley lifted their target price on shares of Southern Copper from $144.27 to $156.13 and gave the stock an “underweight” rating in a research report on Wednesday, July 8th. Weiss Ratings raised Southern Copper from a “buy (b-)” rating to a “buy (b)” rating in a report on Tuesday, July 28th. Barclays set a $164.03 price target on Southern Copper and gave the stock an “underweight” rating in a research note on Thursday, July 23rd. JPMorgan Chase & Co. lifted their price objective on Southern Copper from $125.49 to $129.94 and gave the stock an “underweight” rating in a report on Wednesday, June 17th. Finally, Wells Fargo & Company lifted their price objective on Southern Copper from $168.97 to $169.96 and gave the stock an “equal weight” rating in a report on Thursday, July 9th. Three research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, five have given a Hold rating and seven have given a Sell rating to the company’s stock. According to MarketBeat.com, the company presently has an average rating of “Reduce” and an average target price of $146.84.
Read Our Latest Report on SCCO
(Free Report)
Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE: SCCO) is a large, integrated copper producer whose operations span the full value chain from exploration and mining to smelting, refining and the sale of copper and other metal products. The company produces a range of copper products including copper concentrate and refined cathodes, and recovers valuable byproducts such as molybdenum, silver and zinc. Southern Copper concentrates on high-volume, long-life assets designed to support steady production and processing capabilities.
Southern Copper’s operations are concentrated in Peru and Mexico, where it owns and operates multiple large-scale mining and processing facilities.
Featured Articles Five stocks we like better than Southern Copper 3 Energy Stocks Raising Dividends as the Sector Surges 5 Reasons the S&P 500 Could Keep Rallying Through Year-End Walmart’s Post-Earnings Drop Could Be a Buying Opportunity The Trade Desk’s Earnings Miss Raises a Bigger Question About Its AI Future Want to see what other hedge funds are holding SCCO? Visit HoldingsChannel.com to get the latest 13F filings and insider trades for Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE:SCCO – Free Report).
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BlackRock Inc. acquired a new stake in Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE:SCCO – Free Report) during the 2nd quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The institutional investor acquired 9,924,823 shares of the basic materials company’s stock, valued at approximately $1,729,500,000. BlackRock Inc. owned 1.20% of Southern Copper as of its most recent SEC filing.
Other hedge funds also recently made changes to their positions in the company. Bank of New York Mellon Corp bought a new stake in Southern Copper in the 2nd quarter valued at $696,621,000. Norges Bank acquired a new position in shares of Southern Copper in the fourth quarter valued at $97,645,000. Capital Research Global Investors bought a new position in shares of Southern Copper in the fourth quarter valued at about $81,039,000. Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan Trust Fund bought a new stake in shares of Southern Copper during the 1st quarter worth about $85,342,000. Finally, Deutsche Bank AG acquired a new position in Southern Copper in the 2nd quarter valued at about $85,770,000. 7.94% of the stock is owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.
Insider Buying and Selling at Southern Copper In other news, Director Bonilla Luis Miguel Palomino sold 202 shares of the stock in a transaction on Wednesday, August 5th. The stock was sold at an average price of $196.79, for a total transaction of $39,751.28. Following the sale, the director directly owned 1,723 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $339,066.65. This represents a 10.49% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which can be accessed through this hyperlink. In the last ninety days, insiders sold 509 shares of company stock worth $97,753. Corporate insiders own 0.07% of the company’s stock.
Southern Copper Price Performance Shares of Southern Copper stock opened at $194.57 on Thursday. Southern Copper Corporation has a twelve month low of $92.57 and a twelve month high of $223.88. The company has a quick ratio of 4.56, a current ratio of 5.06 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63. The company has a 50-day simple moving average of $181.26 and a two-hundred day simple moving average of $182.88. The stock has a market capitalization of $162.33 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.45, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 1.61 and a beta of 1.11. Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO – Get Free Report) last announced its earnings results on Wednesday, July 22nd. The basic materials company reported $1.99 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.93 by $0.06. Southern Copper had a net margin of 35.87% and a return on equity of 49.04%. The firm had revenue of $4.29 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $4.37 billion. The company’s revenue was up 40.6% on a year-over-year basis. Analysts forecast that Southern Copper Corporation will post 7.61 EPS for the current year.
Southern Copper Increases Dividend The business also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, August 27th. Shareholders of record on Tuesday, August 11th will be issued a $1.10 dividend. The ex-dividend date of this dividend is Tuesday, August 11th. This represents a $4.40 annualized dividend and a yield of 2.3%. This is a boost from Southern Copper’s previous quarterly dividend of $1.00. Southern Copper’s payout ratio is presently 64.33%.
Analysts Set New Price Targets Several research firms have weighed in on SCCO. Barclays set a $164.03 price target on shares of Southern Copper and gave the company an “underweight” rating in a report on Thursday, July 23rd. Wells Fargo & Company upped their target price on Southern Copper from $168.97 to $169.96 and gave the company an “equal weight” rating in a research report on Thursday, July 9th. Citigroup reiterated a “positive” rating on shares of Southern Copper in a research note on Wednesday, July 15th. JPMorgan Chase & Co. lifted their price target on Southern Copper from $125.49 to $129.94 and gave the stock an “underweight” rating in a report on Wednesday, June 17th. Finally, Zacks Research downgraded Southern Copper from a “strong-buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Friday, August 7th. Three research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, five have assigned a Hold rating and seven have assigned a Sell rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat, the stock presently has an average rating of “Reduce” and an average target price of $146.84.
Read Our Latest Research Report on Southern Copper
Southern Copper Company Profile (Free Report)
Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE: SCCO) is a large, integrated copper producer whose operations span the full value chain from exploration and mining to smelting, refining and the sale of copper and other metal products. The company produces a range of copper products including copper concentrate and refined cathodes, and recovers valuable byproducts such as molybdenum, silver and zinc. Southern Copper concentrates on high-volume, long-life assets designed to support steady production and processing capabilities.
Southern Copper’s operations are concentrated in Peru and Mexico, where it owns and operates multiple large-scale mining and processing facilities.
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