There are now three public opinions about what PayPal (PYPL +0.28%) is worth. A buyout group says $60.50 per share. The market says about $56. And the average analyst price target says about $53 -- below not just the offer, but the stock's current price.
The newest of the three opinions belongs to PayPal's board, which reportedly views the $60.50-per-share cash offer from privately held payments company Stripe and private equity firm Advent International as inadequate, according to multiple reports. The bid valued the payments specialist at more than $53 billion. Notably, PayPal hasn't publicly responded to the proposal. Reports say board discussions have centered on whether the bid is high enough to warrant opening negotiations at all.
For shareholders, that leaves an odd setup: a stock pinned between an offer above the market price and an analyst consensus below it. Each number is telling investors something different, and it's worth taking them one at a time.
Image source: PayPal.
Why the board views it as inadequate The bid itself came with roughly $50 billion in committed bank financing, and the offer price represented a 28% premium to where PayPal traded before news of the bid broke on July 15. Shares jumped 17% that day and closed at $55.52.
That view implies its directors value the company above $60.50. And reports suggest the bidders may raise their offer rather than walk. Famed investor Michael Burry, a PayPal shareholder, publicly called the offer an opening bid and pegged the company's value far higher. The board evidently agrees that $60.50 shouldn't be the last word.
Two prices below the offer The market is less convinced. At about $56 as of this writing, shares of the e-commerce payments company trade roughly 7% below the offer price -- almost exactly where they settled when the bid became public. A discount like that is the market's way of pricing the risk that talks collapse, financing slips, or regulators balk. After all, the bidders have reportedly weighed possible antitrust remedies, including separating PayPal's Braintree business and transferring it to Advent -- a sign that even they expect regulatory questions. If the deal died tomorrow, the stock would likely head back toward its pre-offer price of $47.37.
The analyst consensus is the harshest of the three verdicts. At about $53, the average target sits below today's share price. The analysts covering PayPal, in other words, think the company on its own (no deal, no premium) is worth less than the market is currently paying -- and that's with the stock already trading at about 10 times earnings. The company's market capitalization sits near $49 billion as of this writing, below the more than $53 billion the buyers put on the table.
The company's recent results explain the skepticism. First-quarter revenue rose 7% year over year to $8.4 billion, and total payment volume climbed 11%. But transaction margin dollars, the company's preferred measure of transaction profitability, grew just 3%.
Active accounts were 439 million, up only 1% from a year earlier and down slightly from the prior quarter, so user growth has flattened. And management's full-year guidance calls for adjusted earnings per share ranging from a low-single-digit decline to slightly positive.
This is not a business that commands a premium valuation on its fundamentals. The premium exists because someone wants to buy the company.
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So here's how I'd read the standoff. The board looks like it could be preparing to negotiate. Viewing a first bid as inadequate can be a step toward seeking a higher one. Of course, the market's 7% discount is rational, too, because deals like this one do sometimes collapse. And the analysts' sub-$55 consensus is a useful reminder of what the downside looks like if PayPal has to stand on its own numbers again.
The next card gets turned over quickly. PayPal reports second-quarter results on Tuesday, July 28. Strong numbers strengthen the board's case that $60.50 undersells the company. Weak ones hand the leverage back to the bidders -- or worse, remind everyone why the stock traded at $47 in the first place.
For current shareholders, holding through the report makes sense to me. The offer may support the shares while it remains active, and the board's stance could draw a higher bid. But I wouldn't buy shares today just to capture the spread between $56 and $60.50. That 7% gap reflects the market's read on financing, regulators, timing, and the chance that no deal happens at all. And if it does fall apart, the analyst consensus has already marked the downside. So if you hold the stock, do it because you believe in the underlying company and the stock's long-term potential.
In this episode of Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing, Motley Fool contributors Travis Hoium, Lou Whiteman, and Rachel Warren discuss:
PayPal’s offer.How Stripe gets a deal done.Why PayPal says “no.” J&J’s earnings.Uber in D.C.How Uber became the incumbent.To catch full episodes of all The Motley Fool's free podcasts, check out our podcast center. When you're ready to invest, check out this top 10 list of stocks to buy.
A full transcript is below.
This podcast was recorded on July 15, 2026.
Travis Hoium: PayPal may finally have a buyer. Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing starts now. Welcome to Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing. I'm Travis Hoium, joined today by Lou Whiteman and Rachel Warren, and guys, we may finally have a deal for the company that has been on the block, a value stock. What in the world are they doing there? PayPal. Rachel, what did we find out this morning and overnight about Stripe potentially buying the company?
Rachel Warren: Major breaking news reports. Payments giant Stripe and private equity firm Advent International have reportedly submitted a joint confidential proposal to buy PayPal for $60.50 a share. That would value PayPal at over $53 billion. As of the stock's closing price yesterday, that was a 28% premium based on their share price at the time. The deal is reportedly backed by about $50 billion in committed bank financing. Now, what's interesting about this is under the terms of the proposal, both Stripe and Advent would take equal stakes to run PayPal as a 50/50 joint partnership, and the idea would be to keep the company intact rather than breaking it up or selling off its core assets. Back to that $53 billion valuation based on the reported terms of the offer.
This is tracking to be larger than the years ago Musk's purchase of Twitter for 44 billion, but it also really highlights how far PayPal has fallen from its pandemic-era peak back in 2021. Back in those days, it posted a market cap of about $360 billion. This is interesting. This is in the middle of what some might call a chaotic internal transition for PayPal. They've got the new president and CEO. He's been pushing a turnaround plan targeting over 1 billion in cost savings.
Now, for Stripe, this is still a private company. We've heard a lot of reports that they might go public in the last few years. Their private valuation is reportedly around $160 billion. Absorbing PayPal could really be a massive way to scale their footprint. Obviously, grants them access to hundreds of millions of active consumer accounts; it would match that consumer brand that PayPal has, with Stripe's backend developer infrastructure could also hand them a place within the digital currency race as they absorb PayPal's stablecoin into their ecosystem. Now, we haven't seen any response from PayPal formally responding to these initial overtures. Wall Street seemed happy in early trading, but there's still a lot that we don't know, guys.
Travis Hoium: Lou, that is the thing here, is if you squint, some of this makes a little bit of sense. But then you look at the structure: 50/50 deal. Stripe is buying PayPal and not can't exactly fold it into your current business, at least seamlessly. This also puts Stripe in a little bit of a strange position because a lot of the payment companies have built on top of Stripe, and now you're a competitor with PayPal. What should we think about this strategically, and how does the private equity piece of this play into it in your mind?
Lou Whiteman: A lot of thoughts here. For once, so Stripe is building their own PayPal. I guess they don't worry about the competition as much as I do. I think you're right. I think that would be an awkward conversation, but they either feel like they have to get there, so they just need to, or they're not worried about that. Here's the thing. There is value in PayPal. There really is. It's a good brand. I don't particularly like the stock. I don't think this is going to work. For one thing, you always, with these things, somebody leaked it. Who leaked it? That's the acquirer who leaked it. The offer was made a month ago or so. This is [OVERLAPPING].
Travis Hoium: That was the other thing that stuck out to me is it's apparently been on the table for a while.
Lou Whiteman: Yes. This is trying to light a fire under PayPal to get a response. Here's the thing. The value in PayPal for me right now is their cash flow, 6 billion of free cash flow. This is a mature company. This is a company that I don't think has a natural pathway for growth. It makes sense to take it private. The advent side of this deal makes all the sense of the world. Use that cash flow to pay down the debt you take on and create value that way. That's just private equity 101? There's a tension here, though. Because a private equity firm has a different motivation and different set of goals than a growthy fintech. This 50/50 partnership, if done right, I guess, is possible.
But there is some inherent tension of running it for Advent's needs versus running it for whatever reason Stripe thinks they need it. It's not impossible, but there's a lot of ways you can go wrong. I think PayPal will reject this. The other thing to note here is because they're such a mature company, about 75% of their ownership is institutional. I'll be honest with you, if I was sitting at that desk, I don't want to own PayPal personally, but if I was one of those institutional holders and I was looking at that cash flow, I would want at least 80. It starts with 80. I don't think, and I could be way off here, but I don't think for the people who matter — if the shareholders that could pressure PayPal to the table — I think there's still a long way to go before this makes sense.
Travis Hoium: Lou, I wanted to ask about this: would be a private company being involved in buying a public company, which means that, in theory, unless they're going to go public through the back door of buying PayPal, which I don't think is probably the case. Like Rachel said, $160 billion valuation in private market, but that's private markets, and a lot of these companies, PayPal, Advent have taken it on the chin over the past year or so. That number may not actually be what the market is going to bear. They're going to have to come up with the capital. I think the reports are they make a couple billion dollars in free cash flow. I have seen numbers that almost all of this deal could be funded with debt through that private equity piece.
What I guess I worry about with a company like Stripe is this was supposed to be one of the hot fin techs, one of the great IPOs potentially coming to the market, and now you're looking at potentially levering up a business I don't know if it's fundamentally in decline, but there's at least a lot of questions about how profitable these payment infrastructure companies are going to be in the future. Is that a massive risk to think about? Stripe is just making a last-gasp effort to grow the business when there's not a lot of growth necessarily left in the core business.
Lou Whiteman: If Stripe is public, that would be a big worry of mine. I think another way of saying what you're saying is that I don't want their cash to go to just paying off the debt if they have opportunities to grow. The thing is, again, PayPal generates so much cash. I do think that whether it's Advent 100% or Stripe involved, I do think that the target cash flows can basically cover the debt or go a long way for there. I think it is more what can we partner with? How can we make this synergistic? But look, that $160 billion number, that is great until you have to try to deploy it. There's a lot of great reasons to be a private company, but one of the great things about being a public company is price discovery. There are millions of people giving their opinion every day on what the value of your shares are versus just a couple of people desperate to get in and a couple of employees desperate to get out. You tend to have higher valuations in private companies for that reason.
This might be more intriguing if they were trying to use it as some crazy way to go public, where they are just putting their arguably overvalued shares to work to swallow this up and generate that cash flow. That might be a neater deal. Then we're talking like Rocket Lab/Iridium, where a young growth company is buying a cash stream. This is just a convoluted mess right now. I see a world where PayPal is taken private. I think it makes a lot of sense in a PE portfolio. The Stripe element, I think they have to go significantly higher to make this work. I could be wrong here, but I do think that, and if so, how far can Stripe go?
Travis Hoium: Definitely a lot that we'll be covering in the future, because PayPal's been in one of these companies that looks like a value stock for a very long time, but the stock just hasn't worked for investors, and maybe this is the best path out. When we come back, we're going to talk about Johnson and Johnson's earnings. You're listening to Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing.
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Travis Hoium: Welcome back to Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing. Johnson and Johnson reported earnings this morning. Results look solid. At least premarket, the market didn't like what it saw, but Rachel, what do you think about the results from J&J?
Rachel Warren: A few key numbers here. Johnson and Johnson, they brought in just over $25 billion in revenue for the quarter. That was up about 7% from a year ago, adjusted earnings per share of $2.90. That was up about 5% year over year. Both on the top and bottom line, they beat Wall Street's expectations. Management actually hiked their full-year sales guidance to over $101 billion. That's putting Johnson & Johnson on track to cross the hundred-billion-dollar milestone for the very first time in roughly 140 years of company history, across all its iterations.
Now, what did investors like? There was a minor revenue miss in their medical device division, their med tech division. They saw a slight drop in sales for their Abiomed heart Pumps. But I think also we're seeing some hyperfixation on short-term patent anxieties. Now, this is something that flicks the life cycle of every pharmaceutical company, even the biggest and best in the world. For a long time, they have generated tremendous growth from their blockbuster drugs to Alora. That is a drug that is now seeing a lot of competition from biosimilars, and so that's dragging down some of their legacy.
Now, I'm a long-term shareholder of Johnson and Johnson. If you're a long-term investor in this business, I think today's drop, at least in the early morning hours, this is short-term market noise. This is a business that has increased its payout for over six decades every single year in counting. They have a very diversified revenue engine. They have a lot of newer business additions as well from new blockbuster drugs, and they're rolling out their next Gem Blockbusters, no major patent risks until the early 2030s beyond Sta. A lot to like about this business.
Lou Whiteman: Rachel summed up pretty well. One note on the med tech business, and I think it's an interesting aspect. We don't think of healthcare as cyclical because people are always getting sick and always need to get better. But there is a cyclical element in here, and I think the med tech part yesterday we saw Intuitive Surgical down a lot and a lot of device companies and supply companies fall. HCA, the big public hospital chain, said the number of surgeries they performed in the quarter are down. To me, that says that whatever's going on in the med tech business, that isn't a J&J problem. That isn't anything specific to STEM. That's a macro problem. But it is, I think, as investors, that's just the cyclicality of healthcare. We don't want to get political here, but there are a lot of reasons why that surgeries may go down right now, from healthcare coverage to economic woes. We saw this in the pandemic, where surgeries just went down. That's probably the most obvious example. But I think for J&J, it's investors and Intuitive Surgical, too. I don't think there's anything to worry about when you see it affecting everybody, but it is just an interesting odd thing. I don't think we think with healthcare is that there is a cyclicality.
Travis Hoium: You would think that raising guidance, I think both on the top and bottom line, would be a good thing for a stock, but investors don't seem to think that at least early in trading shares are down about 0.6% as we're recording. We'll see where this one goes in the future. When we come back, we're going to talk about the drama that Uber is having in Washington, D.C. You're listening to Motley Fool Hidden Investing.
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Travis Hoium: Welcome to Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing. We've talked a lot on this show, at least, especially on Wednesdays, about Uber autonomous vehicles and the future of that business long term. I'm a bull on Uber's case as the disruptor and the aggregator, but Lou, seems like they're taking a little bit of a different approach in D.C.
Lou Whiteman: They are not acting like a disruptor anymore, Travis. Uber is acting like a nervous dinosaur, a nervous incumbent, period.
Travis Hoium: I actually hate that you're making, I think, a compelling argument that that is the case.
Lou Whiteman: I'm not going to rub it in your face and say we were talking about this a year ago, Travis. We should have seen this coming. But look, the good news here is that for all of us is that I think the age of autonomy has arrived. Companies tend to act as partners and be friendly and work together when technology is experimental, when we're just trying to figure it out. The second that it has arrived, that's when the knives come out, and they fight, and that is really what's going on. In Washington, specifically, Waymo would like to just operate Waymo. Uber opposes the bill that would allow this, and they have been lobbying instead for a system that will require Robotaxis to operate on a ride-hailing network that also uses human drivers. Do you catch that? They would like Waymo to have to go to an existing third-party network. I don't know who that would be. In Lyft, maybe, but I think we know what they're trying to do.
Here's the thing. Uber doesn't have a driverless solution. That was their choice, and it probably was a good choice, considering the money that they'd have to spend, but their product at this moment is their inventory of customers. It is very important for them to make sure that that product is exposed to the surface that you can't bypass that product, 15 years ago, Uber was the disruptor. They were the ones trying to tear down regulations. They were the ones trying to rip out the rules. Now they are the defenders of the horse carriage in the age of the automobile. Their goal is to use regulatory, capture regulation to slow down the transition, not disrupt the status quo that works pretty well for them. It will work for a while. It's a very compelling story. Uber is up there talking about all of the jobs that will be lost, which is really funny if you look back at their narrative over the years. But it won't last forever, and as an investor, I think we have to be aware of that.
Travis Hoium: Yes, Rachel, the interesting thing here is, it seems like Uber is not opposed to autonomous vehicles. They just want to make sure that their business model is still intact and is, like Lou said, not disrupted. The other angle to this, and the thing that we've talked about a couple of different times, is their strategy is to basically arm as many autonomous vehicle companies as possible. We can get to Lucid and the challenges that they've had this week, at least in the market. But that's one of the companies that they helped fund. Lucid is working with Nuro to bring autonomous vehicles to market. Uber is going to be one of the buyers of those vehicles. That's not the only company. There's a half dozen or a dozen companies. But none of them are really hitting market at scale yet. I think that seems to be the challenge for Uber is you can't use that network to build the autonomous vehicle fleet if the fleet isn't quite ready to hit the road.
Rachel Warren: I think that's right. There's a couple of things to look at here. First, just taking a step back, you look at Uber's history, which Lou touched upon briefly. Over a decade ago, Uber won the ride-sharing war by using aggressive lobbying to crush a lot of the local tax monopolies. Today, they're facing a different threat from driverless cars. Maybe the old playbook isn't working, and as Lou said, there is a lot of lobbying happening on the Hill, trying to block standalone AVs from taking over, pushing for laws that would force taxes to work on these hybrid networks. There was documentation reporting that came out that showed that, in New Jersey, for example, Uber tried to pass a rule that would force any driverless company to have human drivers handle 85% of their. We saw Uber, Waymo, and their partnership pilot in Phoenix last month.
Uber used to pride itself on being this asset-light tech company that didn't own cars. They have invested billions to buy the driverless hardware, invest in EV companies, like you noted. I mean, hundreds of millions of dollars invested in Lucid. Uber owns, I believe, an 11.5% stake. They plan to buy thousands of their electric vehicles. We saw these viral rumors of Lucid bankruptcy, and then Lucid's executives broke their silence and said, these rumors are completely false. I think it shows how fast Lucid is burning through cash that there was such a deep market panic. But you look at Uber; they have scattered hundreds of millions of dollars across different partners. Lucid, Neuro Cruz, the list goes on, but none of those bets are really scaling yet.
Meanwhile, Waymo is dominating the AV space. They've cleared over 500,000 commercial trips every single week at this point, probably more by now. That's a number that came out a number of months ago. Uber, I think, is still trying to catch up. I do think there's a very real concern here for Uber. I think we're seeing those cracks start to show. It doesn't mean they can't catch up, but I think that they're realizing that the strategies that worked a decade ago are not going to work in the current age, and I think that's what they're trying to figure out.
Lou Whiteman: I got bad news for Lucid holders because I know we're supposed to believe that, a lot like other electric vehicle companies, they are this close to an autonomous solution. As you say, Uber and Lucid are already partners are already working together. Right now today, Uber could use one third of the cash sitting in their bank to just buy Lucid. If Lucid had a valid or anywhere close to happening autonomous project, that is the easy button for Uber. Instead, they're off maybe buying other delivery companies. I think that says all we need to know. I don't want to hear a single bit of hype about Lucid's autonomy being anywhere close; if it was, they'd be a subsidiary of Uber.
Travis Hoium: It will be very interesting to watch this because the vehicles like Lucid are hitting the road. I'm in the Minneapolis area. This was often seen as one of the last places that was going to get autonomous vehicles. My wife, once or twice a week, says, Hey, I saw another Waymo downtown. I know that May Mobility is here testing in one of the suburbs that we live near. Slowly but surely, we're getting to the business model that the future is going to look like, but it seems like Uber is now on a little bit of a defensive position. As an investor, I want to be playing offense, not defense. That does make me a little bit nervous. Hopefully, we'll learn more about that in the future.
As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about, and The Motley Fool may have one more recommendation, so don't buy yourselves based solely on what you hear. All personal finance content follows The Motley Fool's editorial standards, and it's not approved by advertisers. Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. See our full advertising disclosure. Please check out our shown. For Lou Whitman, Rachel Warren, and Kristi Waterworth, behind the glass. I'm Travis Hoium. Thanks for listening. We'll see you here tomorrow.
Key Takeaways PYPL is expected to report Q2 revenue growth, while non-GAAP EPS is projected to decline.PYPL's TPV is expected to rise 7% as active accounts and payment transactions also show growth.PYPL faces pressure from competition, macro uncertainty, currency swings and a lower transaction margin. PayPal (PYPL - Free Report) is set to report its second-quarter 2026 results on July 28, before the opening bell.
This digital payment company expected currency-neutral revenue growth in the low single digits for the to-be-reported quarter. Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) are expected to have declined in the high-single digits or approximately -9%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter revenues is pegged at $8.51 billion, indicating an increase of 2.68% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.
The consensus mark for earnings is pinned at $1.28 per share and remains unchanged over the past two months. It indicates a decline of 8.57% from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The company’s EPS surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the trailing four quarters and missed once, with the average surprise being 5.29%. The graph below depicts this surprising history:
Q2 Earnings Whispers for PYPLHowever, our proprietary model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for PayPal this time. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat, which is not the case here. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
PayPal has an Earnings ESP of -0.02% and a Zacks Rank #3. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
Factors Likely to Shape PayPal’s Q2 ResultsPayPal is evolving into a comprehensive commerce platform, moving far beyond payments by leveraging advanced data-powered tools to accelerate merchant expansion and foster customer loyalty. PYPL’s second-quarter results are expected to benefit from its scale, diversification and balance sheet strength. During the second quarter, the company continued to make progress on its transformation efforts and is likely to have gained from consumers and merchants expanding usage of PayPal.
PYPL is expected to have benefited from an improving Total Payment Volume (“TPV”). The metric is likely to have gained from the company’s strong relationship with merchants and consumers.
Despite strong fundamentals, diversified offerings and strategic moves, PayPal is likely to have faced competitive pressure from other digital payment companies. Broader macroeconomic pressures and uncertainty are also likely to have affected its second-quarter results.
The nature of business makes PayPal vulnerable to foreign exchange fluctuations. A significant part of the company’s operations is international. Thus, the appreciation or depreciation of the U.S. dollar versus foreign currencies could have impacted the company’s to-be-reported results.
Q2 Projections for PYPLThe Zacks Consensus Estimate for PayPal’s transaction revenues is pegged at $7.66 billion, which suggests a 3% increase from the year-ago quarter.
PYPL is also poised to have benefited from its value-added services. Its consensus mark for revenues from other value-added services is pegged at $857.8 million for the second quarter, up 1.3% from the year-ago period.
The consensus mark for TPV is pegged at $474.515 billion, indicating 7% year-over-year growth. PayPal’s active accounts are likely to have reached 439.9 million, which denotes an increase from the year-ago value of 438 million.
The consensus mark for the number of payment transactions stands at 6.537 billion, which is above the company’s reported figure of 6.226 billion in the same quarter last year.
However, the consensus mark for the transaction margin is pegged at 43.83%, down from the year-ago figure of 46.40%.
PayPal anticipated its second-quarter transaction margin (TM) dollars to decline in the low-single digits, excluding interest on customer balances. The company expected its non-transaction operating expenses to grow by a mid-single-digit percentage in the second quarter.
PYPL’s Price Performance & ValuationPayPal shares have gained 32% in the past month. The Zacks Financial Transaction Services has increased 7.8%, while the S&P 500 has remained at 0.0% for the same period. Rivals like Visa Inc. (V - Free Report) and Mastercard Incorporated (MA - Free Report) continue to expand their offerings, challenging PayPal’s dominance in digital payments. Mastercard shares have increased 9.5%, while Visa shares have gained 7.2% over the same timeframe.
Compared to its peers, PayPal’s performance has been notably stronger, mainly due to a takeover speculation. PayPal is evaluating a reported $53-billion takeover proposal from Stripe and Advent International, according to a Reuters report. However, its board reportedly believes the offer undervalues the company, leaving the door open for further negotiations or competing bids.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
From a valuation standpoint, even after the stock’s recent rally, PayPal shares are trading cheaply, as suggested by the Value Score of A. In terms of forward 12-month P/E, PYPL stock is trading at 10.06X compared with the Zacks Financial Transaction Services industry’s 18.12X.
Shares of Visa and Mastercard are currently trading at P/E ratios of 24.21X and 24.84X, respectively.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
PYPL: Buy, Sell or Hold?PayPal is evolving beyond a basic payment processor into an integrated commerce platform. By consolidating its services into a single ecosystem, the company is strengthening connections between consumers and merchants. By focusing on smoother user experiences, deeper merchant partnerships and growing internationally, PayPal is laying the groundwork for durable long-term growth. However, competition in digital payments, macroeconomic uncertainty and foreign-exchange volatility pose challenges for the to-be-reported quarter.
Given its strategic advantages and the existing headwinds, the stock is best treated as a hold. For long-term investors its important to wait before adding to positions due to short-term volatility.
In its upcoming report, Paypal (PYPL - Free Report) is predicted by Wall Street analysts to post quarterly earnings of $1.28 per share, reflecting a decline of 8.6% compared to the same period last year. Revenues are forecasted to be $8.51 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 2.7%.
Over the last 30 days, there has been a downward revision of 0.2% in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter, leading to its current level. This signifies the covering analysts' collective reconsideration of their initial forecasts over the course of this timeframe.
Before a company reveals its earnings, it is vital to take into account any changes in earnings projections. These revisions play a pivotal role in predicting the possible reactions of investors toward the stock. Multiple empirical studies have consistently shown a strong association between trends in earnings estimates and the short-term price movements of a stock.
While it's common for investors to rely on consensus earnings and revenue estimates for assessing how the business may have performed during the quarter, exploring analysts' forecasts for key metrics can yield valuable insights.
That said, let's delve into the average estimates of some Paypal metrics that Wall Street analysts commonly model and monitor.
Based on the collective assessment of analysts, 'Net Revenues- Revenues from other value added services' should arrive at $857.75 million. The estimate indicates a year-over-year change of +1.3%.
According to the collective judgment of analysts, 'Net Revenues- Transaction revenues' should come in at $7.66 billion. The estimate points to a change of +3% from the year-ago quarter.
Analysts expect 'Total Payment Volume (TPV)' to come in at $474.52 billion. The estimate is in contrast to the year-ago figure of $443.55 billion.
The consensus among analysts is that 'Transaction margin' will reach 43.8%. The estimate is in contrast to the year-ago figure of 46.4%.
Analysts' assessment points toward 'Active accounts' reaching 440 . Compared to the present estimate, the company reported 438 in the same quarter last year.
View all Key Company Metrics for Paypal here>>>
Shares of Paypal have demonstrated returns of +30.7% over the past month compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.4% change. With a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), PYPL is expected to mirror the overall market performance in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>> .
Buying PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL | PYPL Price Prediction) at 11 times trailing earnings while the company retires roughly 8% of its float every year makes PayPal stand out as one of the more compelling large-cap value opportunities today. PayPal operates digital payment platforms such as PayPal, Venmo, and Braintree, making money primarily by charging merchants fees for processing transactions.
The market is pricing PayPal like a melting ice cube, but the underlying payments engine is still compounding volume, and management is returning cash faster than the share price can absorb it. Additionally, Stripe and Advent International made an offer for PayPal’s business, and while the offer of $60.50 per share was rejected for being too low, there’s a potential for the business to be acquired at a substantial premium to where it trades today.
PayPal’s 11x Forward P/E Provides a Margin of Safety PYPL trades at a forward P/E of just 11 against TTM revenue of $33.73 billion and a return on equity of 25.1%. It’s a rare combination for a business to generate 25% ROE while being priced at a low-double-digit multiple. Analysts’ average price target of $61.62 implies 11.01% upside before factoring in dividends or share buybacks.
An 8% Buyback Yield Acts Like An Extra Return Driver The stock’s dividend yield of 0.74% understates what shareholders actually receive. PayPal repurchased ~100 million shares for $6.0 billion over the trailing twelve months, shrinking diluted share count from 999 million to 920 million.
Y2025 free cash flow reached $5.564 billion, and management guides to at least $6 billion in adjusted free cash flow for 2026 with another ~$6 billion in share repurchases planned.
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PayPal’s $1.5 Billion Turnaround Has Teeth New CEO Enrique Lores has committed to “at least $1.5 billion of gross run-rate savings over the next two to three years,” backed by Q1 2026 total payment volume of $463.95 billion, up 11%, and U.S. revenue growth of 9%. Venmo TPV rose 14% year over year, its sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth.
Why PayPal Looks Far Cheaper Than Visa While Visa (NYSE:V) has a more attractive underlying business than PayPal, it’s tough not to see that PYPL is valued at a low multiple. Visa trades at a forward P/E of 24, roughly double PayPal’s multiple, while paying a nearly identical 0.72% dividend yield. Visa’s EV/EBITDA of 24.54 dwarfs PayPal’s 6.7. Retirement investors get comparable dividend income at a fraction of the valuation, plus a share buyback yield Visa cannot match on a percentage-of-float basis.
PayPal’s Weak Guidance Masks a Healthy Payments Engine PayPal’s bear case rests on FY26 non-GAAP EPS guided to a low-single-digit decline to slightly positive versus $5.31. But the company’s core growth engine still looks intact, with TPV growth of 11% and transaction volume of 6.5 billion transactions, up 7%.
The near-term EPS softness reflects lower interest income on customer balances and reinvestment pressure, while underlying demand remains strong. Insiders agree: PayPal logged 59 recent insider transactions with a net buying direction.
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PayPal Holdings, Inc. remains a Buy as its strategic positioning in stablecoins and AI-driven payments offsets current margin headwinds and lowball acquisition offers. PYPL's branded checkout faces structural pressure from frictionless card-linked wallets, driving up customer acquisition costs and compressing margins. With 440M active accounts and a dominant Venmo presence, PYPL's global scale and wallet infrastructure position it as a potential winner in the digital finance transformation.
Dimensional Fund Advisors LP grew its position in PayPal Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:PYPL – Free Report) by 4.3% in the 1st quarter, according to its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm owned 9,179,771 shares of the credit services provider’s stock after acquiring an additional 376,530 shares during the quarter. Dimensional Fund Advisors LP owned about 1.02% of PayPal worth $415,192,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period.
Other hedge funds have also modified their holdings of the company. Bard Associates Inc. acquired a new stake in PayPal during the 4th quarter worth $25,000. Caitong International Asset Management Co. Ltd grew its position in PayPal by 15,233.3% during the 4th quarter. Caitong International Asset Management Co. Ltd now owns 460 shares of the credit services provider’s stock worth $27,000 after purchasing an additional 457 shares during the last quarter. Safe Harbor Fiduciary LLC acquired a new position in PayPal in the fourth quarter valued at $28,000. Kelleher Financial Advisors acquired a new position in PayPal in the third quarter valued at $30,000. Finally, Advocate Investing Services LLC acquired a new position in PayPal in the fourth quarter valued at $30,000. 68.32% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.
PayPal Stock Down 1.7% Shares of PayPal stock opened at $55.85 on Wednesday. PayPal Holdings, Inc. has a one year low of $38.46 and a one year high of $79.50. The company has a market cap of $49.27 billion, a P/E ratio of 10.48, a PEG ratio of 1.42 and a beta of 1.33. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47, a quick ratio of 1.26 and a current ratio of 1.26. The firm has a fifty day moving average of $45.04 and a two-hundred day moving average of $47.11.
PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL – Get Free Report) last issued its earnings results on Tuesday, May 5th. The credit services provider reported $1.34 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $1.27 by $0.07. The business had revenue of $8.35 billion for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $8.05 billion. PayPal had a net margin of 15.00% and a return on equity of 25.02%. The business’s quarterly revenue was up 7.2% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the previous year, the firm earned $1.33 earnings per share. On average, analysts forecast that PayPal Holdings, Inc. will post 5.32 earnings per share for the current year.
PayPal Dividend Announcement The firm also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Thursday, June 25th. Shareholders of record on Thursday, June 4th were given a dividend of $0.14 per share. The ex-dividend date was Thursday, June 4th. This represents a $0.56 annualized dividend and a yield of 1.0%. PayPal’s payout ratio is presently 10.51%.
Insiders Place Their Bets In related news, CAO Chris Natali sold 1,337 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction on Wednesday, April 29th. The stock was sold at an average price of $49.46, for a total transaction of $66,128.02. Following the transaction, the chief accounting officer owned 1,586 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $78,443.56. This represents a 45.74% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is available at this link. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Also, insider Suzan Kereere sold 3,379 shares of the stock in a transaction on Wednesday, June 3rd. The stock was sold at an average price of $42.79, for a total value of $144,587.41. Following the completion of the transaction, the insider owned 30,983 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $1,325,762.57. The trade was a 9.83% decrease in their position. The SEC filing for this sale provides additional information. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. In the last 90 days, insiders have sold 20,612 shares of company stock worth $966,623. Company insiders own 0.63% of the company’s stock.
Analysts Set New Price Targets Several brokerages have recently weighed in on PYPL. Weiss Ratings reiterated a “hold (c-)” rating on shares of PayPal in a research note on Friday, May 8th. Needham & Company LLC restated a “hold” rating on shares of PayPal in a research report on Tuesday, May 5th. BNP Paribas Exane upped their price objective on PayPal from $41.00 to $43.50 and gave the company a “neutral” rating in a research note on Friday, April 10th. Citigroup upped their price objective on PayPal from $42.00 to $48.00 and gave the company a “neutral” rating in a research note on Wednesday, April 8th. Finally, William Blair reaffirmed a “market perform” rating on shares of PayPal in a research report on Wednesday, July 15th. Seven analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, thirty-four have issued a Hold rating and five have assigned a Sell rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the company has a consensus rating of “Hold” and an average price target of $54.61.
Check Out Our Latest Analysis on PayPal
Trending Headlines about PayPal Here are the key news stories impacting PayPal this week:
Positive Sentiment: PayPal is now viewed as a takeover target, with Stripe and Advent reportedly offering about $60.50 per share; that premium may support the stock as investors speculate on a higher bid or a strategic break-up value. Reuters: How PayPal went from Wall Street favorite to unwilling merger target Positive Sentiment: Commentary from analysts and market personalities suggests the offer may be just an opening bid, reinforcing hopes that PayPal could fetch a better valuation if deal talks advance. Benzinga: Chamath Says Stripe’s PayPal Deal Is ‘a Shot Across the Bow’ Neutral Sentiment: PayPal remains a heavily watched stock as traders assess whether the takeover chatter represents a real catalyst or just speculation around a business that still has a strategic crossroads ahead. Yahoo Finance: PayPal Holdings, Inc. Is a Trending Stock Neutral Sentiment: Wall Street’s near-term earnings setup is cautious, with analysts expecting second-quarter EPS to decline modestly, which could limit upside if the company fails to deliver a beat. Zacks: Earnings Preview Negative Sentiment: Longer-term concerns remain that PayPal has lost momentum versus rivals like Apple Pay, which helps explain why some investors see the company as a pressured turnaround story despite the takeover interest. Economic Times: How PayPal went from Wall Street favorite to unwilling merger target About PayPal (Free Report)
PayPal Holdings, Inc operates a global digital payments platform that enables consumers and merchants to send and receive payments online, on mobile devices and at the point of sale. The company provides a broad set of payment solutions, including a digital wallet, merchant payment processing, checkout services, invoicing and fraud-management tools. PayPal’s platform is designed to support e-commerce, in-person retail and person-to-person transfers, targeting both individual consumers and businesses of varying sizes.
Key products and services in PayPal’s portfolio include the PayPal wallet and checkout ecosystem, the Venmo peer-to-peer mobile app, Braintree’s developer-focused payment gateway, Xoom for international money transfers, and PayPal Credit and buy-now-pay-later options.
See Also Five stocks we like better than PayPal Confidence Is Back, But Earnings Show the Consumer Is Being Picky AeroVironment’s Stock Is Down, But Drone Demand Is Taking Off 3M’s Redemption Arc: Can Q2 Earnings Change the Narrative? 3 Photonics Companies Making Quantum Tech Possible Want to see what other hedge funds are holding PYPL? Visit HoldingsChannel.com to get the latest 13F filings and insider trades for PayPal Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:PYPL – Free Report).
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« PREVIOUS HEADLINEDimensional Fund Advisors LP Has $412.62 Million Stock Position in Parker-Hannifin Corporation $PH
Since its founding in December 1998, PayPal NASDAQ: PYPL has grown alongside e-commerce into a financial services giant. Today, the company’s market cap exceeds $50 billion. But along the way, the stock has not been kind to investors.
Following its return to public trading in July 2015 after being spun off from eBay NASDAQ: EBAY, PayPal surged to its all-time high of $308.53 per share in July 2021. But it has been a difficult ride for shareholders, with PYPL down nearly 82% since then.
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PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) Price Chart for Wednesday, July, 22, 2026
But last week, long-term holders were treated to an unexpected catalyst: Stripe and private equity firm Advent International proposed a joint $53.4 billion acquisition of PayPal. Shares rose up as much as 19% in pre-market trading on July 15, finishing the day up nearly 16%.
In the days that followed, PayPal’s board declined the offer, stating that the bid was too low. Nonetheless, a deal could still materialize.
In the meantime, shares have continued to climb above their pre-bid level. Here’s what investors need to know about the digital payment platform’s future, and whether or not the stock’s recent turnaround can be sustained.
Details of the $53 Billion Bid PayPal Passed OnPayPal Today
$55.85 -0.97 (-1.71%)
As of 07/21/2026 04:00 PM Eastern
52-Week Range$38.46▼
$79.50Dividend Yield1.00%
P/E Ratio10.48
Price Target$54.61
Seeing a potentially mispriced company, the offer was priced at $60.50 per share—about 6.5% higher than the stock's July 20 closing price, and around 28% above its July 14 pre-announceemnt close.
Had the bid been accepted, at $53.4 billion, it would have been the largest fintech acquisition in history. Stripe and Advent reportedly planned to hold equal ownership stakes in PayPal rather than divide the company’s assets.
The move makes sense for privately-held Stripe, a financial infrastructure platform that provides global payment processing, subscription management, and fraud prevention services to businesses.
But that offer was not aimed at absorbing PayPal’s 439 million active consumer and merchant accounts around the world. According to Tech Times, the bid was aimed at securing PayPal’s “consumer-facing stablecoin distribution network and the peer-to-peer trust relationship those accounts represent.
PayPal’s Stablecoin Is the Ultimate PrizeLaunched on Aug. 7, 2023, PayPal’s native stablecoin—PayPal USD (PYUSD)—represents the next chapter in the company’s payment facilitation playbook.
Built on the Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) blockchains ,PYUSD is designed to remain worth $1 and is backed by cash and short-term U.S. government debt. Eligible PayPal users can currently earn a variable 4% annual reward by holding it in their accounts.
But more importantly, Visa NYSE: V added PYUSD to its stablecoin settlement platform, allowing participating issuers and acquirers to use the token for certain settlement transactions across Visa’s network. The integration could expand PYUSD’s role in cross-border and on-chain payments as Visa builds out its stablecoin infrastructure.
Visa Today
V
Visa
$355.94 -4.63 (-1.28%)
As of 07/21/2026 03:59 PM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.
52-Week Range$293.89▼
$365.14Dividend Yield0.75%
P/E Ratio31.00
Price Target$398.36
According to Visa’s 2025 annual report, the company reported 4.7 billion Visa-branded cards with total volume of $16.7 trillion last year.
Meanwhile, industry consultancy firm Grand View Research forecasts the global stablecoins segment of the decentralized finance market to grow to nearly $183 billion by 2033 from $3.3 billion in 2025—good for an almost comical compound annual growth rate of 69%.
As part of its expanded payment settlement rails, Visa’s decision to embrace the PYUSD stablecoin to allow partners to settle fiat currency-backed transactions directly on-chain is poised to be a massive windfall for PayPal.
At the same time, PayPal continues to expand PYUSD’s utility as a low-cost, near-instant payment and transfer mechanism within its digital wallet ecosystem on Venmo and PayPal.
Together with the $60.50 offering, this suggests that at current prices, shares of the San Jose, California-based firm could be dramatically undervalued.
Current Price$55.85High Forecast$100.00Average Forecast$54.61Low Forecast$32.00PayPal Stock Forecast Details
For now, Wall Street has yet to price in the stablecoin story.
Based on the 46 analysts who cover the stock, PayPal carries a consensus Hold rating and an average 12-month price target implies nearly 2% downside from current prices.
While that may be discounting the underlying price drivers PayPal is set to enjoy, it also overlooks solid fundamentals and sound management.
In Q1, revenue growth stood at 7.21%—a dramatic year-over-year increase from 1.2% in Q1 2025.
Similarly, after four consecutive quarters of free cash flow (FCF) contraction, PayPal posted back-to-back quarters of FCF in Q4 2025 and Q1 at nearly 354% and 155%, respectively.
Earnings per share (EPS) offers another clue. Despite their struggles, PayPal has beat on earnings in nine of the last 11 quarters, including seven of the last eight. In Q1, the company reported EPS of $1.34, topping the consensus estimate of $1.27, and with a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 10.66, PayPal’s earnings are expected to grow 8.27% in the next year.
In the company's Q1 earnings call, PayPal’s new CEO Enrique Lores, who officially took on that role on March 1, reaffirmed the company’s focus on three lines of business: Checkout/PayPal, Consumer Financial Services/Venmo, and Payment Services/Crypto—the latter of which underscores the significance of PYUSD.
Management also expects at least $1.5 billion of gross run-rate savings over the next two to three years as broad AI and automation adoption drives down operating costs. Ultimately, these factors should continue to fuel a long-awaited rebound for the company, which next reports earnings on July 28.
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Even as Stripe and Advent seek to buy PayPal (PYPL) for a price that matches the company's current market cap, Owen Lau of Clear Street still has a hold rating for the stock. He discusses PayPal's strategic crossroads and how new leadership can affect the fintech firm.
The market expects Paypal (PYPL - Free Report) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2026. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.
The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on July 28. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.
While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise.
Zacks Consensus EstimateThis technology platform and digital payments company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.28 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -8.6%.
Revenues are expected to be $8.52 billion, up 2.8% from the year-ago quarter.
Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.22% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.
Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts.
Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction).
The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.
Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.
A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.
Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).
How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Paypal?For Paypal, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bearish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -0.02%.
On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3.
So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Paypal will beat the consensus EPS estimate.
Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.
For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Paypal would post earnings of $1.27 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.34, delivering a surprise of +5.51%.
Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times.
Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.
That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.
Paypal doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.
Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.
Baader Bank Aktiengesellschaft lowered its position in PayPal Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:PYPL – Free Report) by 73.8% in the first quarter, according to the company in its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The fund owned 92,989 shares of the credit services provider’s stock after selling 261,828 shares during the quarter. Baader Bank Aktiengesellschaft’s holdings in PayPal were worth $4,157,000 as of its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Other large investors have also modified their holdings of the company. Maia Wealth LLC boosted its stake in PayPal by 2.5% during the 3rd quarter. Maia Wealth LLC now owns 6,404 shares of the credit services provider’s stock worth $424,000 after purchasing an additional 155 shares during the period. GeoWealth Management LLC increased its stake in PayPal by 6.2% in the third quarter. GeoWealth Management LLC now owns 3,214 shares of the credit services provider’s stock valued at $216,000 after purchasing an additional 188 shares during the period. Harrell Investment Partners LLC raised its holdings in shares of PayPal by 2.1% in the fourth quarter. Harrell Investment Partners LLC now owns 9,374 shares of the credit services provider’s stock valued at $547,000 after buying an additional 189 shares during the last quarter. Formidable Asset Management LLC raised its holdings in shares of PayPal by 0.8% in the first quarter. Formidable Asset Management LLC now owns 25,937 shares of the credit services provider’s stock valued at $1,173,000 after buying an additional 205 shares during the last quarter. Finally, KPP Advisory Services LLC boosted its stake in shares of PayPal by 3.3% during the first quarter. KPP Advisory Services LLC now owns 6,625 shares of the credit services provider’s stock worth $300,000 after buying an additional 214 shares during the period. 68.32% of the stock is owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.
Key Stories Impacting PayPal Here are the key news stories impacting PayPal this week:
Positive Sentiment: Takeover chatter is the main catalyst, as reports say Stripe and Advent have put forward a multi-billion-dollar bid that could force a higher valuation for PayPal. Reuters: How PayPal went from Wall Street favorite to unwilling merger target Positive Sentiment: Several commentators argue the offer may set a floor for PayPal’s value, which can support the stock if investors expect a better deal or competing interest. The Motley Fool: PayPal: Is Being Bought Out What’s Best for the Company Right Now? Positive Sentiment: Analyst upgrades from Barclays and Clear Street add another supportive angle, suggesting some on Wall Street see improving upside despite the company’s challenges. American Banking News: PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) Upgraded at Barclays Neutral Sentiment: PayPal remains a heavily watched stock, but the “trending” coverage itself does not change fundamentals and may just reflect investor speculation ahead of earnings. Yahoo Finance: PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) Is a Trending Stock Neutral Sentiment: Near-term earnings expectations are mixed, with Wall Street expecting a single-digit EPS decline next quarter, which keeps attention on fundamentals rather than just takeover headlines. Barchart: What to Expect From PayPal’s Next Quarterly Earnings Report Negative Sentiment: Longer-term articles highlight that PayPal has fallen from favor, faces stronger competition from Apple Pay, and is now being viewed as a takeover target rather than a market leader. Reuters: How PayPal went from Wall Street favorite to unwilling merger target Analysts Set New Price Targets Several brokerages have weighed in on PYPL. Royal Bank Of Canada reiterated an “outperform” rating and issued a $59.00 target price on shares of PayPal in a research note on Wednesday, May 6th. Zacks Research raised PayPal from a “strong sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a report on Friday, April 17th. The Goldman Sachs Group lifted their price objective on shares of PayPal from $41.00 to $48.00 and gave the company a “sell” rating in a research report on Thursday, July 9th. BNP Paribas Exane boosted their price objective on shares of PayPal from $41.00 to $43.50 and gave the company a “neutral” rating in a research note on Friday, April 10th. Finally, Truist Financial cut their price objective on shares of PayPal from $45.00 to $44.00 and set a “sell” rating for the company in a research report on Tuesday, May 12th. Seven analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, thirty-four have issued a Hold rating and five have given a Sell rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat, the stock currently has an average rating of “Hold” and an average price target of $54.61.
Read Our Latest Stock Report on PayPal
Insider Buying and Selling In related news, CAO Chris Natali sold 1,337 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Wednesday, April 29th. The shares were sold at an average price of $49.46, for a total value of $66,128.02. Following the sale, the chief accounting officer directly owned 1,586 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $78,443.56. This trade represents a 45.74% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available at the SEC website. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Also, insider Frank Keller sold 4,612 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction on Wednesday, June 3rd. The shares were sold at an average price of $42.54, for a total transaction of $196,194.48. Following the sale, the insider directly owned 41,567 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $1,768,260.18. This represents a 9.99% decrease in their ownership of the stock. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Over the last 90 days, insiders have sold 20,612 shares of company stock worth $966,623. 0.63% of the stock is owned by insiders.
PayPal Stock Up 0.5% PYPL opened at $56.82 on Tuesday. The business’s fifty day moving average is $44.83 and its two-hundred day moving average is $47.13. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47, a quick ratio of 1.26 and a current ratio of 1.26. The company has a market cap of $50.12 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.66, a PEG ratio of 1.41 and a beta of 1.33. PayPal Holdings, Inc. has a one year low of $38.46 and a one year high of $79.50.
PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL – Get Free Report) last announced its quarterly earnings results on Tuesday, May 5th. The credit services provider reported $1.34 earnings per share for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.27 by $0.07. The business had revenue of $8.35 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $8.05 billion. PayPal had a return on equity of 25.02% and a net margin of 15.00%.The business’s revenue for the quarter was up 7.2% on a year-over-year basis. During the same quarter last year, the business posted $1.33 earnings per share. Analysts anticipate that PayPal Holdings, Inc. will post 5.32 EPS for the current fiscal year.
PayPal Announces Dividend The company also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Thursday, June 25th. Investors of record on Thursday, June 4th were paid a dividend of $0.14 per share. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Thursday, June 4th. This represents a $0.56 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 1.0%. PayPal’s dividend payout ratio is presently 10.51%.
About PayPal (Free Report)
PayPal Holdings, Inc operates a global digital payments platform that enables consumers and merchants to send and receive payments online, on mobile devices and at the point of sale. The company provides a broad set of payment solutions, including a digital wallet, merchant payment processing, checkout services, invoicing and fraud-management tools. PayPal’s platform is designed to support e-commerce, in-person retail and person-to-person transfers, targeting both individual consumers and businesses of varying sizes.
Key products and services in PayPal’s portfolio include the PayPal wallet and checkout ecosystem, the Venmo peer-to-peer mobile app, Braintree’s developer-focused payment gateway, Xoom for international money transfers, and PayPal Credit and buy-now-pay-later options.
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Amova Asset Management Americas Inc. decreased its position in shares of PayPal Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:PYPL – Free Report) by 69.1% during the 1st quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The firm owned 159,183 shares of the credit services provider’s stock after selling 356,800 shares during the period. Amova Asset Management Americas Inc.’s holdings in PayPal were worth $7,198,000 as of its most recent SEC filing.
A number of other institutional investors and hedge funds also recently added to or reduced their stakes in PYPL. Vanguard Group Inc. grew its position in PayPal by 6.5% in the fourth quarter. Vanguard Group Inc. now owns 90,376,927 shares of the credit services provider’s stock worth $5,276,205,000 after acquiring an additional 5,534,462 shares in the last quarter. Rule One Partners LLC acquired a new stake in shares of PayPal in the 4th quarter valued at $2,043,000. Step Capital Management Pte. Ltd. bought a new stake in PayPal in the fourth quarter worth $6,130,000. Easterly Investment Partners LLC boosted its holdings in PayPal by 705.2% in the fourth quarter. Easterly Investment Partners LLC now owns 100,651 shares of the credit services provider’s stock worth $5,876,000 after purchasing an additional 88,151 shares in the last quarter. Finally, International Assets Investment Management LLC increased its position in PayPal by 76.0% during the first quarter. International Assets Investment Management LLC now owns 54,458 shares of the credit services provider’s stock worth $2,430,000 after buying an additional 23,516 shares during the last quarter. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 68.32% of the company’s stock.
Insider Activity at PayPal In related news, CAO Chris Natali sold 1,337 shares of PayPal stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, April 29th. The stock was sold at an average price of $49.46, for a total transaction of $66,128.02. Following the sale, the chief accounting officer directly owned 1,586 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $78,443.56. This trade represents a 45.74% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through this hyperlink. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Also, insider Frank Keller sold 10,732 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, April 29th. The shares were sold at an average price of $49.96, for a total value of $536,170.72. Following the transaction, the insider owned 41,567 shares in the company, valued at $2,076,687.32. This represents a 20.52% decrease in their ownership of the stock. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Insiders sold a total of 20,612 shares of company stock worth $966,623 in the last ninety days. 0.63% of the stock is currently owned by insiders.
PayPal Trading Up 0.5% PayPal stock opened at $56.82 on Tuesday. PayPal Holdings, Inc. has a 52 week low of $38.46 and a 52 week high of $79.50. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47, a quick ratio of 1.26 and a current ratio of 1.26. The firm has a market capitalization of $50.12 billion, a PE ratio of 10.66, a PEG ratio of 1.41 and a beta of 1.33. The business’s 50-day simple moving average is $44.83 and its 200-day simple moving average is $47.13.
PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL – Get Free Report) last issued its quarterly earnings results on Tuesday, May 5th. The credit services provider reported $1.34 EPS for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $1.27 by $0.07. PayPal had a return on equity of 25.02% and a net margin of 15.00%.The company had revenue of $8.35 billion for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $8.05 billion. During the same period in the previous year, the business posted $1.33 EPS. The company’s revenue for the quarter was up 7.2% on a year-over-year basis. Equities research analysts forecast that PayPal Holdings, Inc. will post 5.32 earnings per share for the current year.
PayPal Announces Dividend The business also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Thursday, June 25th. Investors of record on Thursday, June 4th were given a dividend of $0.14 per share. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Thursday, June 4th. This represents a $0.56 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 1.0%. PayPal’s payout ratio is 10.51%.
PayPal News Summary Here are the key news stories impacting PayPal this week:
Positive Sentiment: Takeover chatter is the main catalyst, as reports say Stripe and Advent have put forward a multi-billion-dollar bid that could force a higher valuation for PayPal. Reuters: How PayPal went from Wall Street favorite to unwilling merger target Positive Sentiment: Several commentators argue the offer may set a floor for PayPal’s value, which can support the stock if investors expect a better deal or competing interest. The Motley Fool: PayPal: Is Being Bought Out What’s Best for the Company Right Now? Positive Sentiment: Analyst upgrades from Barclays and Clear Street add another supportive angle, suggesting some on Wall Street see improving upside despite the company’s challenges. American Banking News: PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) Upgraded at Barclays Neutral Sentiment: PayPal remains a heavily watched stock, but the “trending” coverage itself does not change fundamentals and may just reflect investor speculation ahead of earnings. Yahoo Finance: PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) Is a Trending Stock Neutral Sentiment: Near-term earnings expectations are mixed, with Wall Street expecting a single-digit EPS decline next quarter, which keeps attention on fundamentals rather than just takeover headlines. Barchart: What to Expect From PayPal’s Next Quarterly Earnings Report Negative Sentiment: Longer-term articles highlight that PayPal has fallen from favor, faces stronger competition from Apple Pay, and is now being viewed as a takeover target rather than a market leader. Reuters: How PayPal went from Wall Street favorite to unwilling merger target Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth Several equities analysts have weighed in on PYPL shares. Piper Sandler cut their target price on PayPal from $46.00 to $42.00 and set a “neutral” rating on the stock in a report on Monday, June 29th. Citigroup upped their price target on PayPal from $42.00 to $48.00 and gave the stock a “neutral” rating in a research note on Wednesday, April 8th. Needham & Company LLC reissued a “hold” rating on shares of PayPal in a research note on Tuesday, May 5th. Barclays upgraded PayPal from an “underweight” rating to an “equal weight” rating and boosted their target price for the stock from $42.00 to $55.00 in a report on Thursday, July 16th. Finally, BNP Paribas Exane upped their target price on PayPal from $41.00 to $43.50 and gave the stock a “neutral” rating in a research report on Friday, April 10th. Seven analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, thirty-four have issued a Hold rating and five have given a Sell rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, the company presently has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $54.61.
Check Out Our Latest Stock Report on PYPL
PayPal Company Profile (Free Report)
PayPal Holdings, Inc operates a global digital payments platform that enables consumers and merchants to send and receive payments online, on mobile devices and at the point of sale. The company provides a broad set of payment solutions, including a digital wallet, merchant payment processing, checkout services, invoicing and fraud-management tools. PayPal’s platform is designed to support e-commerce, in-person retail and person-to-person transfers, targeting both individual consumers and businesses of varying sizes.
Key products and services in PayPal’s portfolio include the PayPal wallet and checkout ecosystem, the Venmo peer-to-peer mobile app, Braintree’s developer-focused payment gateway, Xoom for international money transfers, and PayPal Credit and buy-now-pay-later options.
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On a recent episode of the All-In Podcast, co-host David Sacks discussed two issues facing tech investors: why companies should be cautious about inviting government regulation and how to interpret the reported Stripe and Advent joint takeover offer for PayPal at a price of roughly $60 per share.
Sacks, the White House AI and Crypto Czar and a longtime Silicon Valley investor, argued that tech executives who ask Washington to regulate their industries might end up ceding more control than they expect and hurt the entire industry in the process. “When you go to the government and say, please regulate me, you know, you should have more power, there’s hardly anyone in government who will ever say, oh no, no, no, we’re not qualified,” he said. His warning to founders and boards is that once oversight is offered up, the government will “come back for more and more and more until it’s fully under government control.”
“Grow a Spine:” Sacks Warns Tech Leaders Against Inviting Regulation Sacks urged tech leaders to “grow a spine” and draw a firm line on scope. His view is that a self-regulatory organization can be workable, but only if companies demand legal preemption in exchange for any SRO framework, rather than offering oversight freely.
For investors, regulatory posture is now a material input into fintech and AI platform valuations. Payments companies sit at the intersection of consumer protection, banking, AI agent commerce, and stablecoins, which are all potential avenues for Washington to add more regulation.
Stripe and Advent Reportedly Open With a $60/Share Bid for PayPal Co-host Jason Calacanis said on the same segment that Stripe and private equity firm Advent are jointly offering roughly $60 per share to acquire PayPal, with Block potentially joining the bid. Calacanis described the $60 level as a low opening bid, with most observers expecting a final price closer to $70.
PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL | PYPL Price Prediction) trades around $56.56, with a market capitalization near $49.89 billion. Shares are up 22.11% over the past week and 34.41% over the past month, though still down 22.76% over one year. In its Q1 FY2026 report, PayPal posted non-GAAP EPS of $1.34 on revenue of $8.353 billion, up 7.2% year over year, with total payment volume of $463.95 billion across 439 million active accounts.
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Prediction Markets See a 69% Chance PayPal Gets Acquired Prediction markets on Polymarket now imply a 68.5% probability that PayPal is acquired before 2027, a 52.5% probability that Stripe acquires any part of PayPal in 2026, and only a 30.1% probability of a full Stripe-PayPal deal in 2026.
Chamath Palihapitiya noted that the deal’s complexity shifts significantly depending on whether Block is involved, and that media reporting has been inconsistent on this point. PayPal’s ew CEO Enrique Lores said he is “energized by the opportunity to improve execution and accelerate PayPal’s growth” and is “taking deliberate steps to sharpen our strategy, simplify our organization, and improve both our growth trajectory and cost structure.”
Block Could Join the Bid and Complicate the Entire Deal Block (NYSE:XYZ), Jack Dorsey’s parent for Cash App, Square, and Afterpay, sits at roughly $79.94 per share and is up 22.81% year to date. Q1 FY2026 delivered adjusted diluted EPS of $0.85 and Cash App gross profit of $1.91 billion, up 38% year over year. Management raised FY2026 guidance to gross profit of $12.33 billion and adjusted diluted EPS of $3.85.
Chamath’s point about Block matters because Cash App competes directly with Venmo. If Block joins the consortium, antitrust review lengthens and the deal shape changes, which is why the partial-acquisition Polymarket sits materially above the full-deal contract.
What to Watch Sacks’s broader message is that companies should negotiate carefully with both regulators and potential buyers. Tech leaders should seek federal preemption before supporting new regulations, while PayPal investors should watch whether the reported $60 opening offer is confirmed and eventually moves closer to the roughly $70-per-share price observers expect.
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Paypal (PYPL - Free Report) has been one of the most searched-for stocks on Zacks.com lately. So, you might want to look at some of the facts that could shape the stock's performance in the near term.
Shares of this technology platform and digital payments company have returned +33.1% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.6% change. The Zacks Financial Transaction Services industry, to which Paypal belongs, has gained 10.1% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term?
Although media reports or rumors about a significant change in a company's business prospects usually cause its stock to trend and lead to an immediate price change, there are always certain fundamental factors that ultimately drive the buy-and-hold decision.
Earnings Estimate RevisionsRather than focusing on anything else, we at Zacks prioritize evaluating the change in a company's earnings projection. This is because we believe the fair value for its stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings.
We essentially look at how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to reflect the impact of the latest business trends. And if earnings estimates go up for a company, the fair value for its stock goes up. A higher fair value than the current market price drives investors' interest in buying the stock, leading to its price moving higher. This is why empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements.
For the current quarter, Paypal is expected to post earnings of $1.28 per share, indicating a change of -8.6% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed -0.2% over the last 30 days.
The consensus earnings estimate of $5.32 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of +0.2%. This estimate has changed +0.3% over the last 30 days.
For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $5.76 indicates a change of +8.4% from what Paypal is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed -0.4%.
With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is a more conclusive indicator of a stock's near-term price performance, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for Paypal.
The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:
12 Month EPS
Revenue Growth ForecastWhile earnings growth is arguably the most superior indicator of a company's financial health, nothing happens as such if a business isn't able to grow its revenues. After all, it's nearly impossible for a company to increase its earnings for an extended period without increasing its revenues. So, it's important to know a company's potential revenue growth.
For Paypal, the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter of $8.52 billion indicates a year-over-year change of +2.8%. For the current and next fiscal years, $34.31 billion and $35.75 billion estimates indicate +3.4% and +4.2% changes, respectively.
Last Reported Results and Surprise HistoryPaypal reported revenues of $8.35 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +7.2%. EPS of $1.34 for the same period compares with $1.33 a year ago.
Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8.11 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of +2.96%. The EPS surprise was +5.51%.
Over the last four quarters, Paypal surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. The company topped consensus revenue estimates three times over this period.
ValuationWithout considering a stock's valuation, no investment decision can be efficient. In predicting a stock's future price performance, it's crucial to determine whether its current price correctly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects.
Comparing the current value of a company's valuation multiples, such as its price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), to its own historical values helps ascertain whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, whereas comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of how reasonable its stock price is.
As part of the Zacks Style Scores system, the Zacks Value Style Score (which evaluates both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics) organizes stocks into five groups ranging from A to F (A is better than B; B is better than C; and so on), making it helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.
Paypal is graded A on this front, indicating that it is trading at a discount to its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.
Bottom LineThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about Paypal. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term.
SummaryCompaniesInvestors believe PayPal has lost its way as rivals introduced new payment methodsCompany's attempts to retrench have not convinced marketBid of $53 billion not enough for board approval, sources sayAnalysts question whether company can attract better offersJuly 20 (Reuters) - Five years ago PayPal was a Wall Street favorite and a leader in digital payments. Since then the stock has plunged, Apple Pay dominates payment services in the U.S. and PayPal is facing a takeover bid it does not like. What happens next?
The company synonymous with digital payments this past week got a $53 billion offer to be taken private by upstart rival Stripe and buyout shop Advent International. PayPal’s board is discussing the bid but believes $60.50 a share is not enough, people familiar with the company said.
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It is a comedown for a company that helped to pioneer e-commerce and email-based payments, launching the careers of tech titans Elon Musk and Peter Thiel in the process. Founded in 1998, the San Jose, California, firm was acquired by eBay in 2002 and spun off as an independent company in 2015. Continued growth pushed its market value as high as $360 billion in 2021.
But since then its growth has slowed and competition intensified, while multiple attempts in recent years to jumpstart its business have borne little fruit.
Dealmakers are now weighing the value of PayPal’s sprawling payments ecosystem, from its 400 million-plus consumer accounts to its merchant checkout business, raising the question of whether the company is worth more as a single entity or as a collection of assets, such as the Venmo peer-to-peer payment app, that could be sold off in pieces.
PayPal declined to comment for this story.
In February, when the company named a new CEO, it acknowledged a need to address its position relative to competitors and within the broader industry landscape.
"While some progress has been made in a number of areas over the last two years, the pace of change and execution was not in line with the Board's expectations," it said in a statement.
Enrique Lores, who took over as CEO in March, has not commented on whether PayPal would pursue a sale.
PAYPAL MISSES A BEAT ON NEW OPPORTUNITIESWhile bigger rivals such as Apple (AAPL.O), opens new tab, Google and Samsung and upstarts including Stripe and Affirm (AFRM.O), opens new tab relentlessly rolled out new ways for consumers and businesses to pay for goods and services, analysts say PayPal was slow to explore opportunities in digital banking and commerce, or to offer fresh options when more people were using their phones to pay.
“Why bother becoming a digital bank if you can just be the world's biggest checkout button?” said Dan Dolev, senior analyst at Mizuho. “I think it was too easy to drink the honey straight from the checkout jar.”
Investors and industry executives are frustrated with PayPal's performance, said one source familiar with the company's deliberations. PayPal started before the iPhone even existed, but last year Apple Pay’s U.S. market share exceeded PayPal’s by 10 percentage points, according to PYMNTS Intelligence, a research company.
PayPal has also lagged many rivals in adopting AI and pushing into agentic commerce, in which AI agents negotiate and complete purchases on a user's behalf.
Owen Lau, an analyst at financial services firm Clear Street in New York, said PayPal prioritized winning market share by pricing aggressively, but failed to charge enough to generate attractive returns. Clear Street began coverage of PayPal this past week with a hold rating and a price target of $61 a share, compared with a $57.09 stock price on Friday.
Lau added that growth has slowed across key parts of the business, including Venmo, while newer products such as buy now, pay later have not panned out. PayPal’s user base has plateaued, he said, making growth a secondary concern to boosting profits from existing customers.
“They just want to win market share," he said. "They’re not charging appropriately, and they’re losing momentum in other parts of the business."
The company has had three CEOs in four years and this March embarked on its second turnaround effort since longtime chief Dan Schulman stepped aside in 2023.
BID MAY BE RAISED BUT RIVAL BIDS SEEN UNLIKELYLast year, according to a technology executive familiar with the matter, a deal with OpenAI to embed the PayPal digital wallet and processing into ChatGPT spurred a clash between the board and the executive team led by Alex Chriss, the CEO who succeeded Schulman. Chriss departed following Lores' appointment, after the board asked to delay the deal.
Still, the board is unlikely to support a deal at $53 billion, said another person familiar with the company.
Some discussions at the board level have centered on whether the bid is enough to even warrant opening negotiations, the person said. The board is weighing whether the company could be worth more based on its intent to hit milestones in its latest turnaround plan, the source added.
The sources spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss private deliberations.
Wall Street analysts believe Stripe and Advent can afford to pay more, and will. They have assembled $17 billion in equity, Reuters has reported, and have raised $50 billion in bank financing, potentially giving them the capacity to raise their offer.
The bidders' decisions on price could be informed in part by what PayPal says this month when it reports quarterly earnings, with a weak report likely to increase pressure on PayPal and a strong one potentially encouraging a higher offer.
Competing bids for PayPal appear unlikely, however. Analysts at Morgan Stanley said this past week that proposal would provide the "most credible path to value realization" for PayPal, which they said faces intense wallet competition and a maturing customer base.
Reporting by Hannah Lang, Milana Vinn in New York, Manya Saini in Bengaluru; Editing by Colin Barr, Michelle Price, Nick Zieminski and Edmund Klamann
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab
Hannah Lang covers financial technology and cryptocurrency, including the businesses that drive the industry and policy developments that govern the sector. Hannah previously worked at American Banker where she covered bank regulation and the Federal Reserve. She graduated from the University of Maryland, College Park and lives in Washington, DC.
Milana Vinn reports on technology, media, and telecom (TMT) mergers and acquisitions. Her content usually appears in the markets and deals sections of the website. Milana previously worked at GLG and PE Hub, where she spent several years covering TMT deals in private equity. She graduated from CUNY Graduate School of Journalism with Masters in Business Journalism.
Manya covers the most influential U.S. financial institutions, from Wall Street’s largest banks and card networks to leading asset managers and fintech companies. She also reports on late-stage venture capital fundraises, initial public offerings on U.S. exchanges and regulatory developments shaping the cryptocurrency industry. Her work appears across the finance, markets, business and future of money sections of the Reuters website. She holds a bachelor’s degree in political science from the University of Delhi and a master’s in journalism from the Symbiosis Institute of Media and Communication.
On July 15, it was reported that privately held fintech company Stripe and private equity firm Advent International made a joint offer to acquire PayPal (PYPL 0.24%) for around $53 billion; the stock surged more than 17% on the news.
But would selling make sense for PayPal right now? From a company perspective, no. From a shareholder perspective, possibly -- just not right now.
PayPal is in the middle of a turnaround; in February it appointed a new CEO, Enrique Lores, who was serving in the same position at HP. Typically, if you switch up leadership and reorganize your company, it's because you think the move can turn things around, and you want to give it more than a few months to see how it plays out.
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Stripe and Advent's $53 billion is a lowball offer At $53 billion, their offer equates to $60.50 per share, 30% above PayPal's closing price on July 10. PayPal's stock has been struggling, yes, but it was just trading around that price in early December. That "premium" doesn't quite seem high enough, especially after PayPal's recent run-up; at market close on July 15, its share price was $55.52.
Share price aside, PayPal still generates respectable free cash flow (FCF). Last year, it had $6.4 billion in FCF, meaning the business would essentially pay off the acquisition cost in less than nine years, assuming it didn't grow. Between the cash flow and the $13.5 billion that PayPal had in cash, cash equivalents, and investments at the end of the first quarter, such a deal would be a steal for Stripe and Advent.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Should shareholders want PayPal sold? I think that if you're a PayPal investor who's grown impatient with the company's "turnaround" story, you'd be OK with it selling at the right price. Whether you're taking profits as a long-term investor or cutting losses short, it could just be a way to wash your hands of the company.
The good news is that the price for Stripe and Advent's offer is public, so if PayPal rejects it on price grounds rather than because it's not interested in selling at all, we could see higher buyout offers coming in. This initial proposal seems more like a "let's feel it out and see if they bite" type of offer.
On the other end, though, PayPal has been diligent about returning value to its shareholders through stock buybacks -- it returned $1.5 billion in the first quarter -- so investors have a greater incentive to be patient during PayPal's (ideal) transition period.
I don't think selling PayPal is in the best interests of either the company or its shareholders, but the latter might easily be convinced at the right price.
Aaron Webster, Executive Vice President and Global Chief Risk Officer at PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL 0.24%), disposed of 3,883 shares on July 15, 2026, according to a recent SEC Form 4 filing.
Transaction summaryMetricValueShares sold3,883Transaction value~$183,938Post-transaction shares (directly held)63,256Post-transaction value$3.5 millionTransaction value based on SEC Form 4 weighted average sale price ($47.37); post-transaction value based on July 15, 2026 market close ($55.52).
Key questionsWhat was the primary driver for this transaction?
The disposition of shares was a non-discretionary action taken to cover tax liabilities resulting from the vesting of equity awards, specifically, restricted stock units (RSUs). This automatic process is part of the executive's compensation agreement and does not reflect a discretionary change in investment stance regarding the company.How much equity does the insider retain following this disposal?
Aaron Webster retains a direct stake of 63,256 shares, representing 0.0072% of the company's outstanding equity. He also possesses 25,566 RSUs, indicating his total beneficial ownership provides continued alignment with shareholder interests.What is the context of the underlying equity awards?
The shares were part of a restricted stock unit grant that follows a three-year vesting schedule. Following the initial one-year cliff, the awards vest in quarterly installments, indicating that similar tax-related dispositions are likely to occur at regular intervals as further tranches vest.Company OverviewMetricValueShare Price (as of market close 2026-07-15)$55.52Market Capitalization$50.0 billionRevenue (TTM)$33.7 billionNet Income (TTM)$5.1 billionCompany SnapshotPayPal Holdings, Inc. operates a comprehensive digital payments platform offering services through multiple brands including PayPal, Venmo, Braintree, Xoom, Zettle, Hyperwallet, Honey, and Paidy, enabling consumers and merchants to conduct financial transactions across approximately 200 markets in roughly 100 currencies.The company generates revenue through transaction fees, merchant services, consumer financial products including PayPal Credit, and value-added services such as point-of-sale solutions and foreign exchange services across its diversified brand portfolio.PayPal serves a global customer base comprising individual consumers, small-to-medium enterprises, and large merchants seeking digital payment solutions, with particular strength in cross-border remittance services and consumer-to-consumer money transfer capabilities.PayPal Holdings operates as a leading global digital payments infrastructure provider with substantial scale, evidenced by its $33.7 billion TTM revenue base and $50 billion market capitalization. The company maintains a competitive advantage through its extensive multi-brand ecosystem, established merchant relationships, and technological platform that facilitates transactions across diverse geographies and currencies.
With 23,800 employees, PayPal continues to expand its service offerings while navigating the evolving digital payments landscape characterized by increased competition and regulatory scrutiny.
What this transaction means for investorsThe July 15 sale of PayPal stock by Aaron Webster is not a cause for investor concern. The transaction was made to fulfill tax withholding obligations as a result of the vesting of RSUs.
Webster’s disposition happened to coincide with news reports that PayPal received a buyout offer from competitor Stripe, which partnered with a private equity firm to acquire the company. The proposal is for $60.50 per share.
PayPal stock fell on hard times, dropping to a 52-week low of $38.46 in February and struggled to recover since, that is, until Stripe’s offer. The digital payments veteran has not met Wall Street’s expectations in the midst of fierce competition, leading to share price declines. It posted first-quarter sales growth of 7% year over year to $8.4 billion.
However, a new CEO, Enrique Lores, took over in March to help boost PayPal’s performance. He quickly reorganized the company and made leadership changes. Now, Stripe’s proposal adds a new twist to PaPal’s turnaround story.
Robert Izquierdo has positions in PayPal. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends PayPal. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: short September 2026 $47.50 calls on PayPal. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
*Stock prices used were the afternoon prices of July 14, 2026. The video was published on July 16, 2026.
Parkev Tatevosian, CFA has positions in PayPal. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends PayPal. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: short September 2026 $47.50 calls on PayPal. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Parkev Tatevosian is an affiliate of The Motley Fool and may be compensated for promoting its services. If you choose to subscribe through his link, he will earn some extra money that supports his channel. His opinions remain his own and are unaffected by The Motley Fool.
Shares of popular digital payments platform, PayPal (PYPL +0.25%), soared 23% this week (as of noon ET on Friday) after payments peer Stripe and private equity firm Advent International offered to buy the company for $60.50 per share. After months of speculation that a union between the companies might be in the works, the market finally has a tangible offer price to digest.
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However, while shares have soared on the potential deal, it seems to be far from a "lock" to reach the finish line. Reuters reported that PayPal's board -- according to a person familiar with the matter -- believes the deal undervalues the company's long-term potential as it executes upon its turnaround strategy. The company's board is not alone in this thinking.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Famed investor Michael Burry, the focus of "The Big Short" for his bet against the housing market, believes the deal greatly undervalues PayPal. Using his intrinsic value methodology, Burry believes PayPal is worth closer to $110 or $115 -- roughly 80% higher than this week's $60.50 offer. With PayPal trading at just 10.5 times earnings -- even after this week's rise -- I would tend to agree and intend to hold my shares until we see what finally happens.
Ultimately, PayPal's growth story is in the rearview mirror, but the market's pricing on the stock already accounts for that, in my opinion. I believe this is especially true when you consider PayPal's businesses from a "sum-of-the-parts" perspective. PayPal's businesses include its namesake payment processing, its white-label Braintree operations, its growing suite of financial services, and its crown jewel, Venmo, a peer-to-peer payments app with nearly 100 million users. Whereas PayPal as a whole isn't a growth story anymore, Venmo has grown total payment volume by double-digits for six straight quarters and would undoubtedly be appealing to Stripe.
Time will tell whether higher offers come in for PayPal's shares, but I'm happy to keep holding in the meantime, as I view PYPL shares as undervalued enough to hold right now -- though a declined offer could weigh on shares.
Josh Kohn-Lindquist has positions in PayPal. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends PayPal. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: short September 2026 $47.50 calls on PayPal. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
PayPal’s board believes the $53 billion takeover offer from Stripe and Advent International offered on July 15 undervalues the company. According to a report from Reuters, the development could potentially open negotiations over price, deal structure and regulatory risk.
PayPal has not formally responded to the $60.50-per-share proposal, but the board’s preliminary assessment, according to the report, is that the offer does not fully reflect the value management could create by completing its turnaround. The bid represents a 28% premium to PayPal’s share price before the approach became public.
Price is only one obstacle. PayPal’s directors are examining whether the bidders can complete the financing, how regulators might view the combination and how long approval could take. Stripe and PayPal are two of the most widely used online payments platforms, and together process about $3.7 trillion annually. The board is also considering whether other bidders could emerge, although the transaction’s size limits the pool of potential buyers. Reuters described Stripe and Advent as the “most serious bidder” to surface so far.
The consortium has assembled roughly $50 billion in financing from J.P. Morgan and Morgan Stanley, which are also advising the bidders. Stripe and Advent would contribute $17 billion in equity and own PayPal equally rather than divide it immediately. Advent’s experience in payments could become especially important during an antitrust review. The private equity firm has previously invested in Worldpay, Vantiv and Nuvei, giving it a potential landing place for assets that regulators might require the combined company to sell.
One possible remedy would involve separating PayPal’s Braintree operation or other businesses and transferring them to Advent. That would reduce overlap between Stripe and Braintree, which both provide payment infrastructure to large digital merchants. Block initially joined Stripe and Advent in approaching PayPal in April but withdrew before the current offer was submitted.
For Stripe, PayPal would add a large consumer network, the Venmo wallet and a recognizable checkout credential to its merchant-processing platform. Stripe reportedly recruited Advent because financing the full equity contribution alone would be difficult. Advent also gives the group greater flexibility to restructure the transaction around regulatory objections.
PayPal’s board must now compare the certainty of a cash offer with the uncertain upside of CEO Enrique Lores’ turnaround. Investors will look to PayPal’s July 28 earnings report for evidence that branded checkout is stabilizing after weaker guidance and slowing growth made the company vulnerable to an approach.
PYMNTS has followed both sides of that calculation. Initial coverage detailed the $53 billion Stripe-Advent proposal, while subsequent analysis examined how PayPal’s wallet could become Stripe’s next growth engine and why the offer highlights a shift toward consumer relationships and shopping habits. Earlier reporting covered PayPal’s $1.5 billion operational overhaul and the Venmo redesign at the center of its consumer strategy.
Představenstvo společnosti PayPal údajně považuje společnou nabídku na převzetí od firmy Stripe a investiční skupiny Advent International v hodnotě 53 mld. USD za nedostatečnou. Předložený návrh oceňuje akcie PayPal na 60,50 USD za kus. Vedení PayPalu je však přesvědčeno, že tato částka podhodnocuje potenciál budoucího obratu společnosti a že samotná transakce čelí regulačním i finančním překážkám.
Společnost PayPal prozatím na nabídku oficiálně nereagovala a očekává se, že její představenstvo bude o tomto návrhu nadále jednat.
Akcie PayPal Akcie PayPal (PYPL) v předburzovní fázi obchodování klesají o 2,08 % na 55,55 USD.
Zdroj: Reuters
Michal Šnobl
Fio banka, a.s.
Prohlášení
Související odkazy Americké akcie otevírají na růstové vlně, výsledková sezóna pokračuje druhým dnem Stripe a Advent chtějí údajně koupit PayPal za více než 53 mld. USD (+pohledy analytiků) PayPal zveřejnil výsledky za 1Q: Nový CEO sází na AI, výhled ale sráží slabší Evropa a cestovní ruch PayPal údajně nejedná o svém prodeji se společností Stripe ani s nikým jiným Akvizici PayPalu údajně zvažuje společnost Stripe
SummaryCompaniesPayPal believes a bid for it undervalues the companyThe company hasn't yet responded to the proposalThe board is expected to continue to meet on the issueJuly 16 (Reuters) - PayPal’s (PYPL.O), opens new tab board sees a $53 billion takeover bid by rival Stripe and private equity firm Advent International as undervaluing the company and facing regulatory and financing hurdles, a person familiar with the matter said, potentially setting the stage for negotiations over the future of the U.S. payments giant.
PayPal has not formally responded to the proposal, two other sources said.
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The consortium's bid comes as PayPal, founded in the late 1990s, has struggled in recent years to compete against rivals like Apple Pay and Google Pay, with management trying to revive its flagging share price in the face of slowing growth. Combining Stripe and PayPal, the most widely used payment platforms for internet merchants, would create one of the world's largest global online payments companies, processing some $3.7 trillion of annual volume.
PayPal's board is evaluating the bid – and the possibility that other offers could emerge – against management’s turnaround strategy, the person said. Its early view is that while the $60.50 per share offer represents a premium to the company’s recent share price, it does not fully reflect the potential value the company could create over the coming years if management successfully executes its strategy, the source said. PayPal rose 2% on Thursday to $56.73.
The board is also weighing factors beyond price, including the certainty of financing, potential regulatory hurdles and what could be a lengthy timeline to complete any transaction, the source added. It is scheduled to hold additional meetings, the source said. The details of the board’s view are reported here for the first time.
The consortium, meanwhile, is trying to address some of these issues. JPMorgan (JPM.N), opens new tab and Morgan Stanley (MS.N), opens new tab have provided the bidders a roughly $50 billion financing package, two other people familiar with the bid said. The two banks also serve as advisers to the consortium, they added.
Stripe and Advent are contributing $17 billion in equity for the offer, one of the people said.
PayPal, Advent, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, and Stripe declined to comment.
Under the offer, which was submitted earlier this month, Stripe and Advent would jointly own PayPal, with each holding an equal stake rather than breaking up the company, Reuters previously reported. But they have also considered possible remedies should it run afoul of antitrust regulators, one of the sources said.
That potentially involves separating PayPal’s Braintree business or other assets and transferring them to Advent, which could then combine those assets with its payments investments, including Nuvei, the person said.
Despite PayPal's reservations over the current proposal, the sources said the consortium has emerged as the most serious bidder for PayPal and it remains interested in reaching an agreement. While they are seeking to move quickly, negotiations are likely to take time, the sources said.
Block (XYZ.N), opens new tab, Stripe and Advent first approached PayPal together in April, but Block exited the consortium before Stripe and Advent submitted their latest offer.
Block did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
Investors will be watching PayPal's July 28 earnings report for signs that growth in its core checkout business is stabilizing after the company earlier this year issued a weaker-than-expected outlook and warned of slowing momentum in the segment.
Privately held Stripe enlisted Advent as an equity partner because funding the entire equity portion of a deal on its own would be difficult, according to the person familiar with the bid. Advent’s involvement could also give the consortium additional flexibility in addressing potential regulatory concerns, the person added. Advent has been an active investor in the payments sector, with a track record of acquiring and investing in companies across the industry, including Worldpay, Vantiv and, more recently, Nuvei.
The size of the transaction makes it difficult for many financial buyers to pursue, even as assets such as Venmo have drawn interest, while regulatory considerations could complicate interest from some strategic acquirers.
(This story has been refiled to remove duplication of Stripe declining to comment)
Reporting by Milana Vinn in New York and Manya Saini in Bengaluru; editing by Echo Wang, Colin Barr and Stephen Coates
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab
Milana Vinn reports on technology, media, and telecom (TMT) mergers and acquisitions. Her content usually appears in the markets and deals sections of the website. Milana previously worked at GLG and PE Hub, where she spent several years covering TMT deals in private equity. She graduated from CUNY Graduate School of Journalism with Masters in Business Journalism.
Manya covers the most influential U.S. financial institutions, from Wall Street’s largest banks and card networks to leading asset managers and fintech companies. She also reports on late-stage venture capital fundraises, initial public offerings on U.S. exchanges and regulatory developments shaping the cryptocurrency industry. Her work appears across the finance, markets, business and future of money sections of the Reuters website. She holds a bachelor’s degree in political science from the University of Delhi and a master’s in journalism from the Symbiosis Institute of Media and Communication.
In the latest trading session, Paypal (PYPL - Free Report) closed at $56.73, marking a +2.18% move from the previous day. This change outpaced the S&P 500's 0.51% loss on the day. At the same time, the Dow lost 0.2%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 1.47%.
Coming into today, shares of the technology platform and digital payments company had gained 31.94% in the past month. In that same time, the Business Services sector gained 2.81%, while the S&P 500 gained 0.53%.
The investment community will be paying close attention to the earnings performance of Paypal in its upcoming release. The company is slated to reveal its earnings on July 28, 2026. In that report, analysts expect Paypal to post earnings of $1.28 per share. This would mark a year-over-year decline of 8.57%. Simultaneously, our latest consensus estimate expects the revenue to be $8.52 billion, showing a 2.75% escalation compared to the year-ago quarter.
For the annual period, the Zacks Consensus Estimates anticipate earnings of $5.32 per share and a revenue of $34.31 billion, signifying shifts of +0.19% and +3.44%, respectively, from the last year.
Any recent changes to analyst estimates for Paypal should also be noted by investors. Such recent modifications usually signify the changing landscape of near-term business trends. With this in mind, we can consider positive estimate revisions a sign of optimism about the business outlook.
Our research demonstrates that these adjustments in estimates directly associate with imminent stock price performance. To utilize this, we have created the Zacks Rank, a proprietary model that integrates these estimate changes and provides a functional rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, spanning from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), boasts an impressive track record of outperformance, audited externally, with #1 ranked stocks yielding an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Within the past 30 days, our consensus EPS projection has moved 0.3% higher. Currently, Paypal is carrying a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
Investors should also note Paypal's current valuation metrics, including its Forward P/E ratio of 10.45. Its industry sports an average Forward P/E of 11.35, so one might conclude that Paypal is trading at a discount comparatively.
We can also see that PYPL currently has a PEG ratio of 1.39. Comparable to the widely accepted P/E ratio, the PEG ratio also accounts for the company's projected earnings growth. As the market closed yesterday, the Financial Transaction Services industry was having an average PEG ratio of 0.87.
The Financial Transaction Services industry is part of the Business Services sector. With its current Zacks Industry Rank of 82, this industry ranks in the top 34% of all industries, numbering over 250.
The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the strength of our separate industry groups by calculating the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks contained within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Keep in mind to rely on Zacks.com to watch all these stock-impacting metrics, and more, in the succeeding trading sessions.
Key Takeaways PYPL reportedly received a $53B takeover offer from Stripe and Advent at $60.50 per share.PYPL's Q1 revenues and payment volume grew, but operating income and net income declined.PYPL expects a tougher second quarter with slower revenue growth and a high-single-digit EPS decline. PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL - Free Report) reportedly received a takeover offer worth more than $53 billion from Stripe and private equity firm, Advent International, according to a Reuters report. The proposed price is $60.50 a share, about 28% above PayPal’s closing share price on Tuesday. The offer, submitted earlier this month, is backed by roughly $50 billion of committed bank financing.
Under the proposal, Stripe and Advent would own equal stakes in PayPal rather than split the company. PayPal has not responded, and there is no certainty that the talks will result in a transaction. The bidders reportedly want discussions to move forward in the coming weeks after an initial approach in April, according to that report citing sources.
PayPal reported mixed first-quarter 2026 results. Revenues rose 7% to $8.35 billion, while total payment volume increased 11% to $464 billion. Payment transactions grew 7% to 6.48 billion, and active accounts increased 1% to 439 million.
However, profitability remained under pressure. Non-GAAP operating income fell 5% to $1.54 billion, and non-GAAP net income dropped 7% to $1.23 billion. The non-GAAP operating margin narrowed 229 basis points to 18.4%, while non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) edged up 1% to $1.34.
The second quarter of 2026 is expected to be more challenging. PayPal expects low-single-digit currency-neutral revenue growth, a low-single-digit decline in transaction margin dollars and a high-single-digit fall in non-GAAP EPS.
How Are Visa & Mastercard Restructuring?Visa (V - Free Report) expanded in Argentina by completing its acquisition of Prisma Medios de Pago and Newpay in February 2026. The businesses add issuer processing, real-time payments, the Banelco ATM network and bill-payment services, broadening Visa beyond international card networking into domestic financial technology. The transaction added two established Argentine payments platforms to Visa’s portfolio.
Mastercard (MA - Free Report) agreed to acquire stablecoin infrastructure company, BVNK, in March 2026. MA valued the proposed acquisition at up to $1.8 billion, including $300 million in contingent consideration. BVNK connects traditional currencies with stablecoins, tokenized deposits and blockchain payment rails, helping Mastercard support faster, programmable value transfers worldwide.
PYPL’s Price Performance, Valuation & EstimatesShares of PayPal have gained 14.4% in the past three months compared with the broader industry and the S&P 500 Index rise.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
From a valuation standpoint, PayPal’s shares are trading cheaply, as suggested by the Value Score of A. In terms of forward 12-month P/E, PYPL stock is trading at 10.00X, which is at a significant discount to the Zacks Financial Transaction Services industry’s 17.12X.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
PayPal’s estimate revisions reflect a positive trend. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for full-year 2026 EPS has been revised upward to $5.32 in the past month. The consensus estimate for the metric indicates a year-over-year increase of 0.19%.
PayPal (PYPL +2.16%) investors finally got some good news on Wednesday, and it arrived in the form of a takeover offer. Privately held payments company Stripe and private equity firm Advent International have offered $60.50 per share in cash for PayPal, valuing the company at more than $53 billion, CNBC reported.
Shares of the payments specialist soared 17% on the news, closing at $55.52.
Famed investor Michael Burry, best known for his bet against the housing market chronicled in "The Big Short," didn't wait long to weigh in. In a post published Wednesday on his Substack, Cassandra Unchained, Burry, who counts PayPal among his portfolio holdings, wrote that the bid "is at 1.21x IV15 and simply too low."
Is he right? His math, and some of PayPal's own numbers, make a case worth taking seriously.
Image source: PayPal.
Burry's math Burry values companies using intrinsic value, or "IV," estimates. The labels refer to different sets of assumptions, with IV15 representing what a minority investor would pay for shares, by his description.
The problem with the offer, in his view, is that buying a whole company should cost meaningfully more than buying a minority stake.
"A control premium should take any buyout well above IV15, and 21% more is not nearly enough," he wrote.
His estimate of what PayPal is actually worth sits far above the bid.
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"True intrinsic value by my methodology is around IV8-IV10," Burry wrote. "IV10 is $75-$80. IV8 is $110-$115. A buyout should be in that range." Adding a control premium to the low end of that range, he figures a winning bid lands at roughly $100 per share.
And he isn't waiting around to find out at current prices.
"$60.50 is just too low. I am not selling, and I believe it is only an opening bid," he wrote.
Burry's valuation figures are one investor's estimates, of course, not appraisals. But you don't need his framework to see why $60.50 could undersell the company.
PayPal's own numbers help the case The premium is smaller than it looks. The offer came in 28% above Tuesday's closing price of $47.37. But that price followed a brutal stretch for the stock. Shares traded as high as $79.50 within the past year, which means the bid sits about 24% below the stock's own 52-week high.
The offer also looks inexpensive against PayPal's cash generation. The company produced $1.7 billion of adjusted free cash flow in the first quarter alone, up 25% year over year, and it has returned $6 billion to stockholders through share repurchases over the trailing 12 months. At the first quarter's pace of cash generation, a $53 billion price works out to less than eight times a year of adjusted free cash flow. The offer also values PayPal at about 11 times earnings.
To be fair, there's a reason the stock was at $47 in the first place. PayPal's growth has been sluggish. Revenue rose 7% year over year in the first quarter, but transaction margin dollars, a key profitability measure for the company, rose just 3%.
Active accounts came in at 439 million, up only 1% from a year earlier and down slightly from the prior quarter -- user growth has stalled. And management's full-year guidance calls for adjusted earnings per share ranging from a low-single-digit decline to slightly positive.
This is not a business commanding a growth premium. But it doesn't need to be for the bid to look light.
The negotiation itself could push the price higher, too. Stripe was reportedly interested in PayPal as early as February, and the current offer includes roughly $50 billion in committed bank financing. PayPal hasn't responded yet -- CNBC reported that the company's board will meet as soon as Monday, July 20, to discuss the offer. If the board rejects $60.50 as inadequate, the bidders can walk away or raise.
Notably, the market isn't fully convinced. At $55.52, shares trade about 8% below the offer price, suggesting investors see some chance the deal stalls or falls apart. If talks collapse, the stock could give back much of Wednesday's gain.
Ultimately, I think Burry's core point holds up. The offer prices PayPal's free cash flow cheaply, and it sits well below where the stock traded a year ago. Whether that produces a higher bid is out of shareholders' hands. But with the board's response possibly just days away, current shareholders arguably have little reason to rush to the exits at a price below the offer itself.
Paypal (PYPL) saw its shares surge in the last session with trading volume being higher than average. The latest trend in FFO estimate revisions may not translate into further price increase in the near term.
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.
52-Week Range$38.46▼
$79.50Dividend Yield0.98%
P/E Ratio10.70
Price Target$54.26
Private equity is moving to scoop up a beaten-down payments company before the market reprices it higher. Stripe and Advent International launched a joint $53 billion acquisition proposal for PayPal Holdings Inc. NASDAQ: PYPL.
The bid is structured as a 50/50 joint venture backed by $50 billion in committed bank financing, valuing PayPal at $60.50 per share.
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The market reacted instantly to the July 15 headline, sending shares up about 17% as PayPal's stock price closed in on $55.50. This aggressive price action moved past the previous 50-day range of $40.70 to $47.65.
While the deal's proposed 28% premium over the pre-announcement closing price might initially seem attractive, the underlying fundamentals tell a completely different story.
A Cheap Shot at Digital Checkout DominanceStripe understands the urgency of building a dominant consumer brand to complement its merchant-facing infrastructure. Attempting to acquire those assets at distressed multiples creates a high-probability arbitrage setup.
The spread between current trading levels and the $60.50 bid reflects both the belief that a deal is possible and the realization that the initial offer is fundamentally inadequate.
Free Cash Flow Disconnect: The Value TrapTo understand the friction surrounding the $60.50 offer, investors should examine PayPal's cash flow generation. The current bid implies that the enterprise value has decoupled from PayPal's fundamental cash-generating capacity.
PayPal generates a substantial $33.17 billion in annual revenue, delivering $5.23 billion in net income with a healthy 15% net margin. Operating with a strong return on equity of 25.02% and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47, the balance sheet remains exceptionally strong. More importantly, PayPal generates $7.54 per share in free cash flow.
At the proposed $60.50 takeover price, the Stripe consortium is attempting to buy PayPal at just under eight times free cash flow. The current trading price sits at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 10.40. These are valuation multiples typically reserved for legacy regional banks facing systemic risks, and they completely discount the immense scale of a digital ecosystem with over 400 million active global users.
The Control Premium Defense Defeats the RaidInstitutional value investors immediately recognized the discrepancy between the offer price and the underlying asset value. Michael Burry of Scion Asset Management, who aggressively accumulated PayPal shares leading into the summer, publicly rejected the $60.50 buyout print.
Burry classified the offer as an opening bid and pegged PayPal's intrinsic value at $75 to $115 per share using a long-term discounted cash flow methodology known as the IV15 model. This public opposition is highly strategic. It establishes a firm institutional floor and sets the stage for a proxy battle.
When a buyer attempts to take a publicly traded company private, they must pay a control premium. Think of a control premium as the extra fee an acquirer pays to dictate the future operational direction of the business and extract all future cash flows for themselves.
A 28% premium might satisfy a passive shareholder seeking a quick exit, but acquiring full operational control of a global financial network should command a significantly higher premium. Burry's vocal pushback anchors institutional resistance, making it exceptionally difficult for Stripe and Advent International to secure the necessary shareholder votes at current prices.
Entrenched Management Prepares for BattleUnsolicited bids often force management teams to accelerate internal restructuring efforts. The PayPal board of directors has significant leverage in this standoff, primarily through the pending margin expansion.
Management recently outlined a turnaround effort targeting $1.5 billion in structural cost savings. Understanding the mechanics of margin expansion is critical here. When PayPal successfully cuts operational costs without sacrificing revenue, every dollar saved drops directly to the bottom line. This boosts earnings per share and compresses the price-to-earnings ratio even further.
The PayPal board will likely use this cost-saving initiative as its primary defense. By projecting higher future earnings, PayPal management can confidently classify the $60.50 bid as highly opportunistic. They can argue that the Stripe and Advent consortium is attempting to scoop up PayPal right before the retail market fully prices in the benefits of the turnaround strategy. Accepting a sub-$70 print right now would likely invite backlash from deep-value funds holding PayPal.
Monopolistic Friction Slows the Pirate ShipConsolidating two of the largest players in the digital transaction space comes with significant macroeconomic and regulatory friction. A combined entity integrating Stripe's vast merchant gateway with PayPal's 400-million-strong consumer wallet would trigger immediate antitrust scrutiny.
The Federal Trade Commission and the Department of Justice will heavily scrutinize the monopolistic implications of this merger, specifically focusing on online checkout dominance and emerging stablecoin infrastructures. This regulatory gauntlet adds considerable complexity to the timeline, which explains why PayPal is currently trading at a discount to the offer price.
PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) Price Chart for Thursday, July, 16, 2026
Retail sentiment tracking platforms indicate a sharp shift toward bullish positioning. The options market reflects this pivot, showing heavy accumulation of out-of-the-money call options. Gamma exposure occurs when market makers must buy underlying shares to hedge the call options they sell to retail traders.
This forced buying creates a feedback loop, and this positioning increases the likelihood that gamma exposure will accelerate a short squeeze. Given that PayPal previously carried a bearish short interest designation, arbitrageurs covering short positions while long-only funds step in to block the bid could easily push the price past $60.50.
Strategic Positioning: The Checkout Bidding WarThe $60.50 valuation floor operates as an opening salvo in a developing bidding war for PayPal, rather than a finalized ceiling. The intersection of deep fundamental value, institutional proxy resistance, and retail options positioning creates a highly asymmetrical environment.
Investors might consider adding PayPal to a watchlist as earnings momentum builds and the company's board officially responds to the Stripe consortium. Watching closely for volatility spikes linked to regulatory updates or revised acquisition offers can provide an excellent window into the payments sector's true intrinsic value.
Should You Invest $1,000 in PayPal Right Now?Before you consider PayPal, you'll want to hear this.
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On July 16, 2026, we delve into the DCF analysis for PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL). The stock has shown significant price performance recently, with a 24.7% increa
PayPal Holdings (PYPL +17.26%), a global digital payments and wallet platform, closed at $55.52, up 17.20%. Reports of a $60.50 takeover offer from Stripe and Advent International drove the move, and investors are watching whether the bid advances. Trading volume reached 89.3M shares, coming in about 446% above its three-month average of 16.4M shares. PayPal Holdings IPO'd in 2015 and has grown 51% since going public.
How the markets moved todayS&P 500 (^GSPC +0.38%) closed at 7,571, up 0.36%, while the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC +0.62%) ended at 26,269, up 0.62%. In digital payments and transaction processing, Visa (V 0.07%) closed at $355.14, down 0.25%, as PayPal outpaced sector rivals on takeover speculation.
What this means for investorsAfter months of M&A speculation, PayPal finally received a tangible buyout offer from payments peer Stripe and private equity firm Advent International. Despite today’s bump, PayPal is still 82% below its 2021 high, so it is not a slam dunk that shareholders will automatically accept the deal. Prediction market Polymarket currently has odds of 60% that Stripe will acquire all or part of PayPal.
As a longstanding PayPal shareholder, a potential deal is bittersweet, but it was quite clear that the company’s high-growth days were in the rearview mirror. Personally, I am not in a rush to sell my shares as PayPal remains a cash-generating machine trading at what I think is a deeply discounted valuation. However, if the deal falls through, PYPL stock could fall in tandem, so I certainly understand why some investors would cash in.
Josh Kohn-Lindquist has positions in PayPal and Visa. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends PayPal and Visa. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: short September 2026 $47.50 calls on PayPal. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
A trio of companies is reportedly planning to buy one of the original digital payments companies, PayPal (PYPL +17.26%), in a deal valued at $53.4 billion, or $60.50 per share, according to Reuters.
PayPal stock rose over 17% on July 15.
Reuters reported that Stripe and Advent would jointly own PayPal under the proposed deal. CNBC reported that Block is also joining the group, with each planning to contribute $17 billion in equity.
The offer also reportedly includes about $50 billion in committed bank financing. As of this writing, PayPal’s board of directors had yet to respond to the offer.
Since soaring during the pandemic, PayPal stock has been absolutely crushed over the past five years, down more than 81%.
But the company could prove to be a compelling addition for Stripe or Block, with strong offerings like Venmo.
Image source: Getty Images.
A complementary payments businessPayPal has struggled since the pandemic, as grand growth expectations have yet to be realized, and competition has emerged from everywhere.
Apple Pay and Google Pay became very popular among consumers paying at checkout; companies like Stripe competed on the merchant side, and buy-now-pay-later solutions also became more competitive.
One reason PayPal would be attractive to companies like Stripe and Block is because of its consumer network, which is over 430 million consumer accounts strong.
Stripe and Block are big on the merchant side, so pairing the two could create a network where the two, particularly Stripe, could achieve better economics on each transaction, or have a better base for future initiatives like Stablecoins.
PayPal could also help Stripe accelerate its efforts on digital wallets, according to analysts at TD Cowen.
Additionally, Venmo, PayPal’s peer-to-peer (P2P) transfer solution that also offers debit and credit cards and can be used to pay at checkout, could prove to be the real prize for Stripe in driving its ambitions on the consumer front.
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PayPal has historically struggled to monetize Venmo as much as it would have liked, because P2P transfers are free. However, the platform has a great reputation and generates tremendous volume.
In the first quarter of 2026, PayPal noted that active account growth was largely driven by Venmo. Venmo has also experienced six consecutive quarters of double-digit percentage growth in total payment volume.
In a research note issued in February by Mizuho analysts Dan Dolev and Alexander Jenkins, who were speculating on a Stripe-PayPal tie-up at the time, the two called Venmo the “ultimate” P2P franchise.
Will the deal happen?While many aspects of PayPal, including Venmo, could make it attractive to acquirers, William Blair analyst Andrew Jeffrey is skeptical of the initial offer.
"We do not think PayPal's new CEO will likely embrace what could be viewed as a low-ball offer. If the current offer is an opening salvo, we could see Stripe and Advent go as high at $70 per share," Jeffrey wrote in a research note, according to Reuters.
So, this could just be the beginning of negotiations.
As I mentioned above, PayPal is one of the original payment companies, so the board is likely to hold some sentimental attachment.
They will likely want to ensure there is not a better strategic alternative, and at the very least, get an offer that reflects the company’s full value and pleases shareholders.
PayPal and Stripe logos are seen in this illustration taken July 15, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab
CompaniesNEW YORK, July 15 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Stripe's digital deal wallet is a little light. The financial plumbing enterprise and buyout shop Advent have offered to jointly buy PayPal (PYPL.O), opens new tab for $53 billion. It's a welcome lifeline for the struggling owner of Venmo and other payment processing systems, but CEO Enrique Lores can also push the suitors to dig deeper.
At $60.50 a share, the takeover price reported by Reuters represents a 27% premium to where PayPal stock closed on Tuesday. Stripe and Advent are valuing PayPal at about 9 times the free cash flow analysts expect it to generate in 2026, according to estimates gathered by Visible Alpha.
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The bid looks stingy. A broader peer group, including Fiserv (FISV.O), opens new tab, Block (XYZ.N), opens new tab and Adyen, trades at about 16 times expected 2026 free cash flow. Stripe, last valued privately at about $160 billion, itself looks far pricier: it generated roughly $3 billion of free cash flow last year, Bernstein analysts reckon, implying a valuation multiple of more than 50 times.
There is room for Stripe and Advent to pay more. Assume the duo raises its offer to $70 per share, or $62 billion in market value. PayPal is on track to generate an estimated $6.4 billion of operating income in 2027. Previous deals involving peers First Data, Worldpay and others have promised cost savings worth about 10% of the target's operating expenses, which would equal some $900 million in this case. Tax the combined $7.3 billion at 20% and the buyers would earn a theoretical return of about 9.5%. PayPal's weighted average cost of capital is 8.9%, per Morningstar analysts.
Although the financial returns look promising, the risks would grow, too. PayPal's balance sheet carries little net debt, making space for the $50 billion of bank financing available, as reported by Reuters. Paying $70 a share, or 15% more than the existing entry, would load the company with debt of over 7 times EBITDA, shrinking the room for error.
It would also accentuate the strategic challenges. Businesses using Stripe processed, opens new tab $1.9 trillion of payments last year, up 34% from 2024. PayPal's volume reached, opens new tab$1.8 trillion, representing only 7% growth. Integrating or upgrading PayPal's legacy technology would take time and money, while acquiring consumer-facing services such as Venmo could irritate Stripe customers like Shopify.
The prospects are nevertheless alluring. PayPal would help broaden Stripe, adding buy-now-pay-later products, debit cards, wallets and stablecoins. It also could improve its chances in agentic commerce, a market Morgan Stanley analysts estimate, opens new tab will reach $385 billion by 2030. Stripe will probably have to shell out more money for the privilege, but it also knows all too well the dangers of financial friction.
Context NewsPayments company Stripe and private equity firm Advent International have made a joint bid to buy PayPal for $60.50 per share, in a deal that would value the payments company at more than $53 billion, Reuters reported on July 14, citing unnamed sources.The offer, submitted earlier in July, is backed by about $50 billion in committed financing from banks, one of the sources told Reuters.The proposal, which has not received a response, follows an initial approach made in early April, according to the report. Stripe and Advent would each own equal stakes in PayPal, it added.For more insights like these, click here, opens new tab to try Breakingviews for free.
Editing by Jeffrey Goldfarb; Production by Maya Nandhini
Breakingviews
Reuters Breakingviews is the world's leading source of agenda-setting financial insight. As the Reuters brand for financial commentary, we dissect the big business and economic stories as they break around the world every day. A global team of about 30 correspondents in New York, London, Hong Kong and other major cities provides expert analysis in real time.
Sign up for a free trial of our full service at https://www.breakingviews.com/trial and follow us on X @Breakingviews and at www.breakingviews.com. All opinions expressed are those of the authors.
Karen is a columnist based in New York focusing on global technology and venture capital sectors, writing stories about artificial intelligence, fintech, and semiconductor companies. She used to cover deals in the Middle East region and global metal mining sector. Prior to Breakingviews, she was a European gas and power reporter at S&P Global Platts in London and covered funds and equities at Morningstar UK. Karen also briefly worked at Bloomberg. Born and raised in Hong Kong, she is fluent in Mandarin and Cantonese.
Key Takeaways Stripe and Advent offered $60.50 per share, valuing PayPal at over $53 billion, per Reuters. PYPL shares jumped after the news, boosting the outlook for PYPL-heavy ETFs. PYPU, FINX and IPAY could benefit if PayPal's takeover momentum continues. Stripe and private equity firm Advent International have jointly offered to acquire PayPal Holdings (PYPL - Free Report) in a deal valued at more than $53 billion, according to Reuters, as quoted on Yahoo Finance. The proposal marks one of the biggest potential transactions in the digital payments industry in recent years.
$60.50-Per-Share OfferThe consortium has offered $60.50 per PayPal share, representing a roughly 28% premium to the stock's closing price on Tuesday. PayPal shares surged about 13.17% after hours on July 14, 2026.
The bid, submitted earlier this month, is backed by about $50 billion in committed bank financing, according to sources familiar with the matter.
Talks Began Earlier This YearThe proposal follows an initial approach made in early April. Sources said Stripe and Advent have yet to receive a response from PayPal but are hoping to advance discussions in the coming weeks.
If completed, the two firms would jointly own PayPal, each holding an equal stake. The proposal does not involve breaking up the company.
Why PayPal Is Drawing InterestOnce a pioneer in digital payments, PayPal has struggled in recent years amid intensifying competition from alternative payment platforms, including Apple Pay and Google Pay.
The company has also faced slowing growth since the pandemic-era e-commerce boom faded, leading to a significant decline in its market valuation.
Despite these challenges, PayPal remains one of the world's largest digital payments platforms, making it an attractive acquisition target for strategic and financial buyers.
PayPal Continues to Improve OperationsDespite competitive pressures, PayPal has shown signs of operational improvement.
In the first quarter, revenue rose 7% year over year to $8.35 billion, exceeding analysts' expectations. On a constant-currency basis, total payment volume increased 8% to approximately $464 billion.
Management has also outlined plans to use artificial intelligence to streamline operations, reduce organizational complexity, and generate roughly $1.5 billion in savings over the next two to three years, with those savings expected to be reinvested in future growth initiatives.
For the second quarter, PayPal expects low-single-digit currency-neutral revenue growth, a low-single-digit decline in transaction margin dollars (TM$) and a high-single-digit fall in non-GAAP EPS. The comparison is difficult because last year's second quarter benefited from a partner renewal, stronger credit performance, lower operating expenses and a favorable tax rate.
PYPL stock currently has a great value score of “A”, but downbeat growth score of “D” and a momentum score of “F.”
ETFs to Gain As the acquisition news lifted PayPal shares, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) with significant exposure to the stock could also benefit. These include Direxion Daily PYPL Bull 2X ETF (PYPU - Free Report) , Global X FinTech ETF (FINX - Free Report) and Amplify Digital Payments ETF (IPAY - Free Report) .
Shares in PayPal Holdings (Nasdaq: PYPL) are skyrocketing in premarket trading this morning after a report that the legacy digital payments platform has received a joint buyout offer from one of today’s most successful fintech companies and a major private equity firm. Here’s what you need to know.
What’s happened?Early this morning, Reuters reported that the fintech giant Stripe and the private equity giant Advent International have offered to buy PayPal for well above its closing stock price on Tuesday.
According to Reuters, Stripe and Advent made PayPal a buyout offer of $60.50 per share, equating to about $53 billion in total. That $60.50 per share offering price is roughly 28% higher than PayPal’s closing price of $47.37 yesterday.
Stripe and Advent reportedly made the offer to PayPal earlier this month. It is an offer that PayPal has reportedly not responded to yet.
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While Reuters did identify its sources, other than saying they were people “familiar with the matter,” news of the proposed buyout offer could put pressure on PayPal leadership to publicly respond—and face displeasure from PayPal investors if they do not like the company’s response.
Fast Company has reached out to PayPal, Stripe, and Advent for comment.
What do Stripe and Advent want with PayPal?The report didn’t go into specifics about what Stripe and Advent would do with the legacy online payments giant should they acquire it, but Reuters said that the two suitors would jointly own PayPal instead of breaking up the company.
PayPal Holdings PYPL shares are trading cheaply, as suggested by the Value Score of A. In terms of forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E), PayPal is currently trading at 8.53X, lower than the Zacks Financial Transaction Services industry average of 17.02X.
Stripe and PayPal have spent years expanding across digital commerce from opposite directions. Stripe built its business by selling payments infrastructure to merchants.
U.S. stocks were higher, with the Dow Jones index gaining around 100 points on Wednesday.
The proposal for $60.50 per share, backed by close to $50 billion in committed financing from banks, was submitted earlier this month, Reuters reported. That implies a 28% premium to PayPal’s closing share price on Tuesday,
PayPal shares jumped 13.5% to $53.74 on Wednesday.
Here are some other big stocks recording gains in today’s session.
Photo via Shutterstock
Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs
Credit: Pixabay/CC0 Public Domain Shares in PayPal surged as much as 13% on Wall Street Wednesday after reports that payments firm Stripe and private equity group Advent International had made a joint offer to buy the digital payments pioneer.
U.S. media said the deal would value PayPal at about $53 billion, with the offer of $60.50 a share—a premium of some 28% over Tuesday's closing price—made this month.
The offer nevertheless comes in far below where PayPal traded just a year ago, after a bruising 12 months for the stock.
The deal would still rank among the largest fintech acquisitions ever, uniting Stripe's payments infrastructure—widely used by online businesses—with PayPal's massive consumer and merchant base.
Stripe, founded in 2010 by Irish brothers Patrick and John Collison, is one of Silicon Valley's most valuable private companies, most recently valued at around $159 billion.
The Collisons, who run Stripe as chief executive and president, have long resisted taking the company public.
PayPal was founded in the late 1990s, with billionaire investor Peter Thiel among its co-founders and Elon Musk joining through a merger with his startup X.com.
The company's early executives became known in Silicon Valley as the "PayPal mafia," a group of alumni who went on to found or lead companies including Tesla, SpaceX, LinkedIn, YouTube and Palantir.
But PayPal has struggled in recent years to keep pace with rivals including Apple Pay and Google Pay.
Its market value peaked near $360 billion in 2021 before collapsing, and the company issued disappointing profit guidance for 2026 at the start of the year.
Who's behind this story?
Andrew Zinin Master's in physics with research experience. Long-time science news enthusiast. Plays key role in Science X's editorial success. Full profile →
Citation: PayPal shares jump on reported $53 bn Stripe takeover bid (2026, July 15) retrieved 15 July 2026 from https://techxplore.com/news/2026-07-paypal-bn-stripe-takeover.html
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In this video, I will cover the reports of a potential acquisition of PayPal (PYPL +16.12%) and explain what it means for the stock and what I plan to do with my position. Watch the short video to learn more, consider subscribing, and click the special offer link below.
*Stock prices used were from the trading day of July. 15, 2026. The video was published on July. 15, 2026.
Neil Rozenbaum has positions in PayPal. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends PayPal. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: short September 2026 $47.50 calls on PayPal. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Neil is an affiliate of The Motley Fool and may be compensated for promoting its services. If you choose to subscribe through his link, he will earn some extra money that supports his channel. His opinions remain his own and are unaffected by The Motley Fool.
Image Credits:Photo by Thomas Trutschel/Photothek / Getty Images (Image has been modified) Stripe and private equity firm Advent International have reportedly submitted a joint bid to acquire PayPal in a deal valued at approximately $53.4 billion.
Reuters reports that the offer was submitted earlier this month and is backed by roughly $50 billion in committed bank financing. Under the proposal, Stripe and Advent would jointly own PayPal, with each holding an equal stake.
This isn’t the first time Stripe has been linked with a potential acquisition of the payments giant. Earlier reports in February suggested the company had been exploring a possible takeover and was engaged in preliminary discussions, although no formal proposal emerged at the time.
If completed, the acquisition would unite two of the biggest names in digital payments. PayPal serves around 440 million active accounts and handles roughly $1.8 trillion in payment volume during 2025. Meanwhile, businesses use Stripe to process $1.9 trillion in payments over the same period. Plus, Stripe’s valuation climbed to $159 billion earlier this year.
PayPal has yet to respond publicly to the offer.
The potential deal comes at a pivotal time for PayPal. CEO Enrique Lores took over in March following a company profit warning. Since then, there have been plans to cut at least $1.5 billion in costs over the next two to three years as PayPal looks to return to stronger growth. Reports have also suggested the company intends to reduce its workforce by around 20%.
PayPal, Stripe and Advent International did not immediately respond to our requests for comment.
Stripe and private equity firm Advent International have made a joint offer to acquire PayPal Holdings for $60.50 per share, in a deal that would value the payments company at more than $53 billion, two people familiar with the matter said.
The offer, submitted earlier this month, is backed by about $50 billion in committed financing from banks, said one of them.
The offer represents around a 28% premium to PayPal’s closing share price on Tuesday.
Stripe and Adevnt’s offer, submitted earlier this month, is backed by about $50 billion in committed financing from banks. The offer represents around a 28% premium to PayPal’s closing share price on Tuesday. REUTERS The sources declined to be named as the deal discussions are confidential.
PayPal, Stripe and Advent declined to comment.
Reuters first reported the news late on Tuesday.
Combining Stripe and PayPal, the most widely used payment platforms for internet merchants, would create one of the world’s largest global online payments company, processing some $3.7 trillion of annual payment volume.
The proposal follows an initial approach made in early April, the sources said.
Stripe and Advent have not received a response from PayPal and are seeking to advance discussions in the coming weeks, the sources said.
Under the proposal, Stripe and Advent would jointly own PayPal, with each holding an equal stake, rather than breaking up the company, the people said, adding that there is no certainty the approach will result in a transaction.
PayPal shares were last up nearly 17%.
Founded in the late 1990s, PayPal was an early player in digital payments, but has faced competition as consumers have embraced alternative payment methods and rivals such as Apple Pay and Google Pay have gained market share.
Founded in the late 1990s, PayPal was an early player in digital payments, but has faced competition as consumers have embraced alternative payment methods and rivals such as Apple Pay and Google Pay have gained market share. NurPhoto via Getty Images It has spent the past several years grappling with slowing growth and intensifying competition in digital payments, wiping out much of the value it gained during the pandemic.
The company’s market capitalization peaked at about $360 billion in 2021 and fell to as low as roughly $36 billion this year. It has lost more than 40% of its market value over the past 12 months.
After taking over in March, PayPal CEO Enrique Lores started a sweeping turnaround exercise to simplify the payments provider and sharpen its focus on growth.
In April, the company split its operations into three units covering checkout, consumer financial services Venmo, and payments and crypto, while making a series of management changes.
Despite the valuation premium, William Blair analyst Andrew Jeffrey said, “We do not think PayPal’s new CEO will likely embrace what could be viewed as a low-ball offer. If the current offer is an opening salvo, we could see Stripe and Advent go as high at $70 per share.”
Road to payment processing juggernaut The strategic appeal is that Stripe’s business has been overwhelmingly focused on merchants, while PayPal adds more than 430 million consumer accounts and direct consumer payment and banking relationships.
PayPal’s consumer offerings “could be attractive to materially accelerate” Stripe’s efforts to build out its digital wallet offering, TD Cowen analyst Bryan Bergin said.
The deal would give Stripe “direct consumer relationships, with a large user base and the potential for future financial-services distribution, which PayPal has recently increased its efforts on.”
Stripe would also gain Venmo’s peer-to-peer network and PayPal’s consumer-facing checkout button.
Stripe, founded by brothers John Collison and Patrick Collison (above) in 2010, allows companies to accept payments, make payouts and automate financial processes. Getty Images for WIRED A Stripe-PayPal combination would allow more transactions to flow across its own network, reducing reliance on processors like Visa or Mastercard, which could in turn help bypass transaction fees and earn more from each payment.
The deal could also bolster Stripe’s stablecoin ambitions, giving the company a vast consumer distribution network to help drive mainstream adoption of stablecoin-based payments. Stripe has invested heavily in its crypto unit, Bridge.
Global payment deals The potential PayPal transaction, if completed, will add to the recent M&A activity in the global payments sector, where buyers have pursued targets amid rapid changes in financial technology and the rise of artificial intelligence.
Payment companies are also increasingly seeking scale through M&A as well as exposure to faster-growing segments such as cross-border and business-to-business payments amid slower growth for traditional payment processing.
In 2025, Global Payments agreed to acquire rival Worldpay from FIS and private equity firm GTCR for $24.25 billion in a complex three-way deal. As part of that deal, GTCR sold its 55% stake and FIS exited its remaining 45% holding.
The sector has also seen a steady stream of smaller deals, including the acquisition of Payoneer Global by Canadian payments firm Nuvei for $2.75 billion. Nuvei is backed by Advent International and other private equity firms.
Mastercard is exploring the sale of a majority stake in its UK payments subsidiary Vocalink back to British banks as it responds to concerns about a critical asset being under US ownership, the Financial Times reported this week.
PayPal’s revenue rose 7% to $8.35 billion in the first quarter, beating analysts’ average estimate of $8.05 billion. On a currency-neutral basis, total payment volumes jumped 8% over a year ago to about $464 billion.
Privately held Stripe is among the industry’s most valuable companies. It was valued at $159 billion in a tender offer for employees and shareholders in February, a more than 70% jump from a similar share sale a year earlier.
The company, founded by brothers John Collison and Patrick Collison in 2010, allows companies to accept payments, make payouts and automate financial processes.
This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.
The YieldMax PYPL Option Income Strategy ETF (NYSEARCA:PYPY) is up over 14% intraday after reports that Stripe and Advent International made a joint takeover bid for PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ:PYPL | PYPL Price Prediction). PYPY is a synthetic covered-call income fund built around PayPal shares, so the ETF will move directionally with the stock.
What Drove the Move PayPal is trading near $55 after opening sharply higher, a single-session gain of about 16% on volume already north of 50 million shares. The catalyst is a Reuters-sourced report, picked up across major outlets Wednesday morning, that Stripe and Advent International submitted a joint offer valuing PayPal at more than $53 billion, or $60.50 per share. That price represents a 28% premium to PayPal’s recent close, backed by $50 billion in committed financing, with the bidders reportedly seeking an agreement by the end of the month. PayPal, Stripe, and Advent have not publicly commented on what is described as confidential discussions.
That bid is being taken seriously because PayPal has been a struggling large-cap payments name: shares are down roughly 18% year to date and about 35% over the past year heading into Wednesday, and the company was recently moved to the Russell Midcap Index. That underperformance, combined with a $1.5 billion cost-reduction plan under new CEO Enrique Lores and an active buyback program, has framed PayPal as an undervalued asset with a strategic buyer’s option embedded in the stock.
Why PYPY Did Not Fully Match PayPal’s Pop PYPY holds a synthetic long position on PayPal and simultaneously sells short-dated call options against it. The premiums collected fund the ETF’s distributions. The tradeoff is that when PayPal makes a big one-day move above the strike price of those written calls, the fund’s upside is capped: it keeps the option premium, but it does not fully participate in the rally past the strike. That is why PYPL is up around 16% while PYPY is up closer to 14% in the same session.
As of April 30, 2026, the fund reported just under $30 million in net assets, with roughly 96% parked in Treasury bills serving as collateral behind the options and swap positions used to generate the PayPal exposure. That collateralized, derivatives-based build is standard for YieldMax’s covered-call ETFs.
Context on the Size of the Move Wednesday’s pop is by far the biggest one-day move for PYPY in recent memory and reframes what had been a downtrending chart. Before today, PYPY was up only about 3% over the past week and roughly 8% over the past month, and still down about 18% year to date and roughly 36% over the past year. That trailing performance is the practical illustration of the point income-ETF holders should understand: these funds are designed to convert price volatility into cash distributions, and the NAV tends to erode over time as the underlying stock drifts, distributions are paid out, and the call overlay clips rallies. A single event-driven jump does not undo that structural drag, even though holders of PYPY are probably still pretty happy today.
What to Watch Next For a PYPY holder, the key variables from here are whether PayPal’s board engages, whether a competing bidder emerges, and where the stock settles relative to the $60.50 offer. If PayPal trades toward the bid, further upside in PYPL is likely to be increasingly capped by the call overlay, and PYPY’s participation in additional gains will narrow. If the reports of a bid do not translate into a definitive agreement, PayPal shares could give back a portion of Wednesday’s move, and PYPY would follow the underlying lower. Analyst positioning going into the news was cautious: 31 hold ratings, 8 buy ratings, and 4 sell ratings, with an average analyst target price of $51.38, both of which sit below Wednesday’s traded price and well below the $60.50 bid.
Bottom line for the ETF audience: PYPY is doing exactly what a single-stock covered-call fund is built to do, capturing much of the underlying rally while giving some of it back to the call buyers on the other side of its options. For readers weighing the tradeoffs between income and price participation in these YieldMax-style products, our research team’s write-up on the mechanics of high-yield income funds (see Dividend Traps) is worth a read before the next distribution date. Treat PYPY as a tactical income tool tied to PayPal’s fate, not a substitute for owning PayPal outright.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Index Dow Jones +0,35 % na 52690,89 b. S&P 500 +0,27 % na 7563,81 b. Nasdaq Composite +0,45 % na 26224 b.
Ve středeční seanci se americké indexy pohybují v zelených úrovních a jejich růst byl ovlivněn dnešním reportem Indexu cen výrobců PPI a podle Úřadu statistiky práce (Bureau of Labor Statistics) klesl index cen výrobců (PPI) v červnu meziměsíčně o 0,3 %, což představuje první měsíční pokles za téměř rok. Jádrový PPI vzrostl meziměsíčně o 0,2 %. Ekonomové očekávali stagnaci indexu a nárůst jádra o 0,3 %. V květnu vzrostl index PPI o 0,6 % a jádro o 0,1 %., který meziročně vzrostl o 5,5 % a jádro o 4,7 %, což je méně než konsenzuální odhady 6,2 % a 5,2 %. V květnu index PPI vzrostl o 6,0 % a jádro o 4,6 %. Celková inflace výrobců v USA v červnu zaznamenala první měsíční pokles od srpna 2025, a to především v důsledku poklesu cen energetického zboží konečné poptávky, ukázaly ekonomické údaje zveřejněné ve středu. Podle názoru analytiků tak dnešní report PPI zopakoval podobný vývoj spotřebitelské inflace v USA z předchozího dne. Celkové uvolnění cenového tlaku v červnu naznačovalo, že by Federální rezervní systém mohl mít určitý prostor k okamžitému zvýšení úrokových sazeb. Data však přicházejí v komplikované době, protože geopolitická riziková prémie zůstává hlavním odchylným faktorem, pokud jde o ovlivnění inflace.
V centru zájmu investorů je také ropa a klesající ceny ropy v důsledku prozatímní mírové dohody uzavřené mezi USA a Íránem pomohly v červnu zmírnit cenový tlak. Situace se však v červenci rychle změnila, když se zhroutilo příměří mezi oběma stranami a obě strany bojují o kontrolu nad kritickým Hormuzským průlivem, což opět vyvolalo prudký nárůst cen ropy. Podle dnešního reportu od EIA zásoby surové ropy ke dni 10.7. klesly o 1,692 mil. barelů, když trh předpokládal větší pokles o 2,412 mil. barelů. Lehká ropa WTI reaguje na situaci konfliktu v Hormuzským průlivu a dnes klesá cca 0,8% a dostává se k úrovni 78,7 USD/barel. Ropa otáčí do červených i přes oslabující dolar, který dnes ztrácí -0,11% tj. 1,1432 USD/barel. Ropa klesá a tak se dnes nedaří akciím v těžebním sektoru černého zlata a proto akcie ropného obra Exxon Mobil ( XOM ) dnes ztrácí cca -1,5% a cca -2,5% si odepisují akcie konkurenta Baker Hughes ( BKR ). V červených se pohybují také akcie Occidentalu Petrolůeum ( OXY ) se ztrátou cca -2,5% a -2,5% ztrácí také akcie Transoceanu ( RIG ), kde společnost těží ropu z věží v oceánu. Poklesu v sektoru vzdorují akcie britské skupiny BP ( BP ), které na tržní ceně se již přetáčí do červených cca -0,5%. Za zmínku stojí také akcie francouzského výrobce a dodavatele těžního zařízení Schlumbergeru ( SLB ), které oslabují o necelé 1% a také akcie jeho amerického konkurenta Halliburtonu ( HA ) se pohybují již v záporu se ztrátou do cca 2,5%
.
Za pozornost dnes stojí společnost PayPal ( PYPL ), která patří mezi průkopníky digitálních plateb. Podle dostupných informací společnost Stripe společně s investiční firmou Advent International údajně nabídly za převzetí PayPalu více než 53 mld. USD. Podle informací agentury Reuters činí nabídka 60,50 USD za akcii, což představuje přibližně 28% prémii oproti úterní závěrečné ceně akcií. Důležitým signálem pro investory je také skutečnost, že potenciální kupci údajně neplánují společnost rozdělit ani prodávat její jednotlivé části. Cílem má být informace a obnovení růstu celého podniku. Pro společnost Stripe by akvizice představovala příležitost získat obrovskou uživatelskou základnu, silnou značku a rozsáhlou infrastrukturu v oblasti online plateb. Akcie PayPal Holdings ( PYPL ) jsou dnes v hledáčku investorů a přidávají solidních 15%.
Naopak se dnes nedaří akciím společnosti Pentair ( PNR ), která se zaměřuje na úpravu vody. Firma totiž snížila svůj celoroční výhled. Analytici poukázali na slabé výsledky divize bazénů jako na hlavní brzdu růstu a dodali, že není jasné, jak a kdy se toto podnikání v bezprostřední budoucnosti zotaví. Pentair v celém roce nově očekává očištěný zisk na akcii v rozmezí 4,60 až 4,80 USD, dříve společnost projektovala 5,30 až 5,40 USD. Trh odhadoval 5,33 USD. Akcie Pentair ( PNR ) se tak ocitají pod tlakem investorů a ztrácí na tržní ceně silných -16%.
Z indexu S&P 500 se dnes daří akciím společnosti Blackrock ( BLK ) se ziskem 7,8% a také Ares Management Corp ( ARES ) 4,7%. Naopak se nedaří akciím Progresive Corp ( PGR ) -7,3%, jež je specialistou na pojištění vozidel. Do nižších pater jí posílá zveřejnění výsledků hospodaření za 2Q. Čisté předepsané pojistné vzrostlo meziročně o 5 % na 21,08 mld. USD, což je mírně pod odhady 21,29 mld. USD. Zisk na akcii dosáhl 5,67 USD.
Index S&P 500 +0,27 % na 7563,81 b. Nejsilnější sektory S&P Změna Nejslabší sektory S&P Změna Komunikační služby +2,8 % Energie -1,9 % Zbytná spotřeba +2 % Informační technologie -0,7 % Finanční sektor +0,9 % Základní materiály -0,6 % Nejsilnější akcie S&P Změna Nejslabší akcie S&P Změna PayPal Holdings (PYPL) +15 % Pentair (PNR) -16 % Blackrock (BLK) +7,8 % Dell Technologies (DELL) -12 % CBRE Group (CBRE) +6,8 % Sandisk Corp (SNDK) -11 % Invesco (IVZ) +5,4 % Elevance Health (ELV) -8,7 % KKR (KKR) +5,2 % NetApp (NTAP) -8,1 %
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Prohlášení
Index Dow Jones +0,37 % na 52704,91 b. S&P 500 +0,41 % na 7574,82 b. Nasdaq Composite +0,61 % na 26265,92 b.
Nejsledovanější americké indexy v úvodu středečního obchodování posilují. Výsledková sezóna pokračuje a po reportu se daří akciím správce aktiv BlackRock (+7,2 %). Naopak po výsledcích ztrácejí akcie zdravotnické společnosti Elevance Health (-8,6 %). Bez výrazných pohybů se obchodují akcie farmaceutické společnosti Johnson & Johnson (-0,1 %), investiční banky Morgan Stanley (+0,6 %) či výrobce litografických zařízení ASML (+0,2 %). Podrobnosti výsledkových reportů naleznete v jednotlivých zprávách.
V popředí růstu jsou akcie PayPal (+16 %), a to poté, co agentura Reuters informovala, že Stripe a Advent International chtějí údajně koupit tohoto zprostředkovatele plateb za více než 53 mld. USD (60,5 USD na akcii).
Nejvíce ztrácejí akcie společnosti Pentair (-12 %), která se zaměřuje na úpravu vody. Firma totiž snížila svůj celoroční výhled. Analytici poukázali na slabé výsledky divize bazénů jako na hlavní brzdu růstu a dodali, že není jasné, jak a kdy se toto podnikání v bezprostřední budoucnosti zotaví. Pentair v celém roce nově očekává očištěný zisk na akcii v rozmezí 4,60 až 4,80 USD, dříve společnost projektovala 5,30 až 5,40 USD. Trh odhadoval 5,33 USD.
Americká pojišťovna Progressive (-7,8 %), která se specializuje na pojištění vozidel, oslabuje po zveřejnění výsledků hospodaření za 2Q. Čisté předepsané pojistné vzrostlo meziročně o 5 % na 21,08 mld. USD, což je mírně pod odhady 21,29 mld. USD. Zisk na akcii dosáhl 5,67 USD.
Index S&P 500 +0,41 % na 7574,82 b. Nejsilnější sektory S&P Změna Nejslabší sektory S&P Změna Zbytná spotřeba +1,2 % Energie -0,5 % Komunikační služby +1,1 % Průmysl 0 % Reality +0,7 % Zdravotní péče +0 % Nejsilnější akcie S&P Změna Nejslabší akcie S&P Změna PayPal Holdings (PYPL) +16 % Pentair (PNR) -12 % Blackrock (BLK) +7,2 % Elevance Health (ELV) -8,6 % Ares Management Corp (ARES) +6,0 % Progressive Corp (PGR) -7,8 % Cintas Corp (CTAS) +5,8 % Corning (GLW) -6,0 % Vistra Corp (VST) +5,1 % Sandisk Corp (SNDK) -5,8 % Zdroj: Bloomberg
PayPal Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:PYPL) shares surged 16% in pre-market trading after reports that payments company Stripe and private equity firm Advent International had made a joint $53 billion takeover approach for the US payments group.
According to Reuters, Stripe and Advent have offered US$60.50 a share, representing a 28% premium to PayPal's closing share price on Tuesday.
The offer is said to be backed by about US$50 billion of committed bank financing.
A proposal was submitted earlier this month, the report said, following an initial approach in early April.
PayPal, which is headquartered in California, has not responded to the offer, with Stripe and Advent hoping to advance discussions in the coming weeks.
The proposed transaction would see Stripe, the Irish-American digital payments company, and Advent jointly own PayPal with equal stakes.
PayPal shares rose about 16% to $54.91 before the opening bell on Wednesday following the report, although the stock remains down 18% over the past year.
A deal would bring together two of the biggest names in digital payments. Stripe provides payment infrastructure to millions of businesses worldwide, while PayPal remains one of the largest online payments platforms despite facing intensifying competition in recent years from rivals including Stripe, Apple Pay and Block.
Reuters said it was not immediately clear why PayPal had yet to respond to the proposal. CNBC reported it had contacted PayPal, Stripe and Advent International for comment.
PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL) stock is soaring in premarket trading on July 15 after reports revealed that payments company Stripe and private equity giant Advent International have submitted a joint proposal to acquire the fintech firm in a deal valued at more than $53 billion.
According to reports, the non-binding offer values PayPal at $60.50 per share, representing a premium of about 28% compared to the stock’s previous closing price of $47.38.
PayPal one-week stock price target Following the news, PayPal shares jumped to around $57.01 in premarket trading, gaining more than 20% before the opening bell.
The proposed transaction would see Stripe and Advent International take equal ownership stakes in PayPal if a deal is completed.
The bid was reportedly submitted earlier this month and is backed by approximately $50 billion in committed financing from banking partners.
Unlike some private equity acquisitions, the proposal does not involve breaking up PayPal’s operations. Instead, the buyers aim to combine PayPal’s global payments network with Stripe’s technology capabilities and Advent’s operational expertise.
The acquisition interest comes at a time when consolidation across the fintech industry continues to accelerate as companies seek greater scale and competitive advantages.
The PayPal buyout news offers shareholders a potential exit at a significant premium after years of underperformance.
Before Wednesday’s rally, PayPal stock had fallen more than 18% year-to-date and remained well below its 2021 record high above $300 per share.
PayPal’s weakening fundamentals The company has faced increasing competition in digital payments while struggling to restore the growth rates achieved during the pandemic.
Despite those challenges, PayPal remains one of the largest digital payments platforms globally, serving more than 400 million active accounts and generating roughly $6 billion in annual free cash flow.
The acquisition proposal suggests that strategic and financial buyers still see substantial value in PayPal’s established infrastructure, customer base, and payment ecosystem.
The company has recently focused on improving profitability and streamlining operations under its current leadership. Efforts have included cost reductions, enhancements to the Venmo platform, and continued expansion of its PYUSD stablecoin initiative.
PayPal’s latest quarterly results showed 7% revenue growth and double-digit growth in total payment volume.
However, management maintained a cautious outlook for the remainder of the year, reflecting ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty and competitive pressures.
The proposal remains non-binding and would still require negotiations, regulatory approvals, and financing commitments.
Investors are now awaiting official responses from PayPal, Stripe, and Advent, while PayPal’s July 28 earnings report could provide additional insight into the company’s outlook.
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US stocks appeared set for a steady start on Wednesday as investors drew confidence from strong bank earnings and a softer-than-expected inflation report the day before, even as oil prices remained elevated following fresh US strikes on Iran.
Nasdaq futures were up 0.5% ahead of the opening bell, with S&P 500 futures up 0.1%, while those for the Dow Jones were little changed.
Wall Street finished mostly higher on Tuesday after June's consumer price data came in below expectations, easing concerns that the Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates this month.
The Nasdaq climbed 0.9% to close at 26,107.01, the S&P added 0.4% to 7,543.59 and the Dow inched 10 points or 0.02% higher to 52,508.27.
European markets were weaker in Wednesday trading, however, as slower-than-expected Chinese economic growth weighed on sentiment. London's FTSE 100 was dragged lower by miners and other cyclical stocks after China GDP expanded 4.3% in the second quarter, its slowest pace since 2023 and below the government's 4.5%-5% target range. Germany's DAX was down 0.8%.
Oil prices were trading broadly sideways following the recent surge, with WTI crude up 0.5% at just under $80 a barrel.
Investors were also watching PayPal, whose shares jumped over 18% in pre-market trading after Reuters reported that privately held Stripe had teamed up with Advent International to make a joint US$53 billion takeover approach.
Also, Nasdaq-listed ASML, the Dutch semiconductor equipment maker, is set to climb around 3.5% after raising its 2026 guidance for a second time.
Earnings from Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), BlackRock, Progressive and BNY are also out today.