In the middle of August, Peloton (PTON +0.94%) posted its fourth-quarter and fiscal year 2026 results, which were marked by the company's first annual net profit.
Such an achievement would ordinarily be cause for celebration for many investors, but Peloton's clearly weren't in a festive mood. Instead, they traded out of the stock to leave it with a 16% decline in August. Let's explore why that happened.
Image source: Getty Images.
Stalling subscriptions Peloton, which specializes in next-generation exercise bikes and the class subscriptions that accompany them, posted those results on Aug. 6. The company hyped that full-year net profit, which was more than $63 million and far more impressive than the fiscal 2025 loss of almost $119 million. This, despite an erosion on the top line, to $2.45 billion from $2.49 billion.
The company also landed in the black in the final quarter of fiscal 2026, with the bottom line nearly tripling year over year to just under $62 million. Yet the revenue line wasn't all that impressive, with only marginal growth to nearly $608 million.
At least Peloton beat the consensus analyst top-line estimate of $597 million, and edged past the collective $0.12 per share collective analyst forecast for net income.
But market players had their eye on another important metric, and they understandably found it wanting. Paid connected fitness subscriptions were slightly over 2.55 million at the end of the fiscal year, down almost 9%.
The company's members -- i.e., customers who have a connected fitness subscription or a subscription to one of its apps, and have finished at least one workout over the past year -- also declined, to 5.5 million from 6 million.
Subscriptions are recurring and bring in far more revenue than sales of hardware like bikes. The total take for the former was $437 million in the fourth quarter, compared with nearly $171 million for the latter.
Price hikes on Peloton's monthly plans helped goose subscription revenue, as that $437 million was 7% higher year over year. But that's not a good substitute for organic member/subscription count growth, and it isn't a lever that can be pulled often without annoying customers.
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A trend that needs reversing Not only did Peloton disappoint investors, but it also lost a bit of luster in the eyes of an analyst at a prominent financial institution.
Shortly after those quarterly and annual figures were released, Bank of America's Curtis Nagle shaved his Peloton price target to $7 per share from $7.50, although he maintained his buy recommendation on the stock. He cited the subscriber dynamic in his explanation of the price cut.
The great challenge for a subscription-based business is that the offering party must provide sufficient value for money to justify the recurring charges. That's proving to be tough for Peloton, and I don't envision the stock doing well if management can't reverse this trend.
Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ:PTON – Get Free Report) and The Gym Group (OTCMKTS:GYYMF – Get Free Report) are both consumer discretionary companies, but which is the better stock? We will contrast the two companies based on the strength of their institutional ownership, profitability, analyst recommendations, dividends, valuation, earnings and risk.
Valuation & Earnings This table compares Peloton Interactive and The Gym Group”s top-line revenue, earnings per share (EPS) and valuation.
Gross Revenue Price/Sales Ratio Net Income Earnings Per Share Price/Earnings Ratio Peloton Interactive $2.45 billion 0.91 $63.20 million $0.12 42.42 The Gym Group N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Peloton Interactive has higher revenue and earnings than The Gym Group. Institutional & Insider Ownership 77.0% of Peloton Interactive shares are owned by institutional investors. 1.3% of Peloton Interactive shares are owned by company insiders. Strong institutional ownership is an indication that hedge funds, endowments and large money managers believe a company will outperform the market over the long term.
Profitability This table compares Peloton Interactive and The Gym Group’s net margins, return on equity and return on assets.
Net Margins Return on Equity Return on Assets Peloton Interactive 2.58% -23.92% 3.00% The Gym Group N/A N/A N/A Analyst Ratings This is a summary of current ratings and target prices for Peloton Interactive and The Gym Group, as provided by MarketBeat.
Sell Ratings Hold Ratings Buy Ratings Strong Buy Ratings Rating Score Peloton Interactive 1 7 5 0 2.31 The Gym Group 0 0 0 0 0.00 Peloton Interactive currently has a consensus target price of $7.94, suggesting a potential upside of 56.08%. Given Peloton Interactive’s stronger consensus rating and higher probable upside, analysts clearly believe Peloton Interactive is more favorable than The Gym Group.
Summary Peloton Interactive beats The Gym Group on 8 of the 9 factors compared between the two stocks.
(Get Free Report)
Peloton Interactive, Inc. operates interactive fitness platform in North America and internationally. The company offers connected fitness products with touchscreen that streams live and on-demand classes under the Peloton Bike, Peloton Bike+, Peloton Tread, Peloton Tread+, Peloton Guide, and Peloton Row names. The company markets and sells its interactive fitness products directly through its retail showrooms and at onepeloton.com. Peloton Interactive, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
About The Gym Group (Get Free Report)
The Gym Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates a network of gym facilities under the Gym Group brand name in the United Kingdom. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Croydon, the United Kingdom.
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Peloton Interactive (PTON +2.83%) was arguably the hottest business during the depths of the COVID-19 pandemic. It couldn't sell enough of its bikes and treadmills. However, that demand surge was short-lived. And shareholders have suffered.
In the past five years, this consumer discretionary stock has fallen 95% (as of Aug. 26). Had you invested $10,000 in Peloton shares back in late August 2021, you'd have less than $500 right now. The innovative fitness enterprise has been an extremely disappointing portfolio holding.
Now that the stock is so far off its peak, opportunistic investors with a contrarian mindset might be ready to take action. History says this is what it would take for Peloton shares to double in the next five years.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Profits did nothing to lift the stock Peloton reported financial results for its fiscal fourth quarter on Aug. 6. For the entire fiscal year of 2026, the business collected positive net income of $63.2 million. This was the first time in its entire history that the company had achieved this.
The management team embarked on cost-cutting measures, which further trimmed unnecessary bloat. Peloton reached its goal of reducing run rate expenses by $100 million.
For what it's worth, consensus analyst estimates call for Peloton's earnings per share to rise 11.1% in fiscal 2027. Then, in fiscal 2028, the outlook calls for a 23.3% year-over-year decline. This isn't encouraging.
This business has long been a money-losing operation. So naturally, you'd assume that the stock would react positively to the company's first-ever profitable fiscal year. This wasn't the case. Shares slid 16% following the announcement of Q4 results.
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Growth is the missing ingredient It's no surprise that the market loves a good growth story. Look at Nvidia, for example, as proof that investors can't get enough of a business that's posting outsize revenue gains. This used to be the way to describe Peloton. The market rewarded its rapid expansion.
The stock hit its all-time high in January 2021. In the quarters leading up to that point, it wasn't surprising to see Peloton report 100% year-over-year revenue growth. Demand was incredible.
This means that for the share price to double over the next five years, Peloton has to get back to registering strong sales gains. Achieving a fully profitable fiscal year on the basis of generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) isn't going to cut it. Investors want to see positive momentum.
During its best years, Peloton was expanding in remarkable fashion. It has struggled mightily to grow even a little in recent years. Revenue decreased 1.8% year over year to $2.4 billion in fiscal 2026. This was the fifth consecutive fiscal year that the top line shrank. It's no longer accurate to call this a post-pandemic slump. This disappointing reality is the new normal for Peloton.
The company's leadership team forecasts revenue of $2.3 billion to $2.4 billion in fiscal 2027. At the midpoint, this outlook calls for a 3.9% sales dip. That's not reassuring.
It doesn't help that Peloton's membership base keeps contracting. As of June 30, the business counted more than 2.5 million connected-fitness subscribers, down 9% over the previous 12 months. The concern is that this company's best days are in the rearview mirror.
Peloton's C-suite has been a game of musical chairs in recent years. These management teams have implemented various strategies to spur growth, including striking distribution partnerships, launching upgraded equipment, and integrating artificial intelligence capabilities with the workout software. Nothing has moved the needle meaningfully.
Shares trade at a price-to-sales ratio of just 1. This valuation can be a compelling entry point if you adopt the contrarian belief that the business is starting to turn things around. There is no evidence that Peloton can return to healthy user or revenue growth anytime soon, however.
Saqib Baig, chief accounting officer of Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON -0.92%), sold 36,439 shares of Class A Common Stock on August 17, according to an SEC Form 4 filing.
Transaction summaryMetricValueTransaction value~$195,313Shares sold (directly held)36,439Post-transaction shares (directly held)~273,000Post-transaction value$1.44 millionTransaction value based on SEC Form 4 weighted average sale price ($5.36); post-transaction value based on the August 17 market close ($5.29).
Key questionsWhat governed the execution of this trade?
The disposal was a non-discretionary transaction executed to cover tax obligations associated with the settlement of restricted stock units and does not reflect the insider's view on the stock.How does this impact the executive's total exposure to the company?
Baig retains a direct position of about 273,000 shares of Class A Common Stock and holds 140,000 derivative securities, which include both vested and unvested awards.What is the stock's performance context relative to this transaction?
Shares were priced at $5.36 at the time of execution, while the company has recorded a -38% one-year return as of the August 17 transaction date.What is the current scale of the company's operations?
The firm maintains a $2.2 billion market capitalization and reported trailing twelve-month revenue of $2.4 billion, supported by a workforce of 2,656 employees as of the latest data.Company OverviewMetricValueShare Price (as of market close 2026-08-17)$5.29Market Capitalization$2.2 billionRevenue (TTM)$2.4 billionNet Income (TTM)$63.2 millionCompany SnapshotPeloton Interactive develops and sells internet-connected fitness equipment, including the Peloton Bike, Bike+, Tread, and Tread+ models, along with subscription-based access to live and on-demand workout classes delivered through integrated touchscreens and digital applications.The company generates revenue through hardware sales of its connected exercise machines and recurring subscription fees from users accessing its comprehensive library of fitness content and live instructor-led classes.Peloton serves fitness-focused consumers globally who seek premium, technology-enabled home workout solutions, targeting affluent households that value interactive fitness experiences and community engagement.Peloton Interactive is a global provider of connected fitness equipment and digital content services, with a market capitalization of $2.2 billion and TTM revenue of $2.4 billion. The company differentiates itself through its proprietary hardware-software ecosystem that integrates high-quality exercise equipment with a curated library of live and on-demand fitness classes, creating a vertically integrated platform that generates revenue from both hardware sales and subscription services. Despite recent market volatility reflected in a one-year share price decline of 38%, Peloton maintains profitability with TTM net income of $63.2 million, positioning itself as a significant player in the premium home fitness market.
What this transaction means for investorsPeloton withheld 36,439 shares from Baig on August 17 to settle taxes on vested restricted stock, leaving him roughly 273,000 shares plus 140,000 derivative awards, a larger position than the chief commercial officer holds after his August trade.
The accounting seat mattered more than usual in the June quarter. A jury found that the third-party media players Peloton uses to stream classes infringed a patent, and the company booked a $23.8 million legal contingency for it, which pulled fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA down to $142 million, up just 2% year over year. CFO Sid Thacker, who started this year, told analysts on the latest earnings call that "half of this headwind are the result of onetime factors," pointing to an algorithm change that hurt reactivations from involuntary churn. Meanwhile, Peloton closed the year with $1.21 billion in cash against $1.3 billion in debt and a stockholders' deficit of $139.7 million. That means Peloton might have less room to absorb a second one of those than a first profitable year makes it look.
Jonathan Ponciano has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Peloton Interactive. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Karen Boone, a director at Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON -0.92%), sold 25,000 shares of Class A Common Stock on August 17, according to an SEC Form 4 filing.
Transaction summaryMetricValueTransaction value$134,000Shares sold25,000Post-transaction shares (directly held)236,000Post-transaction value$1.25 millionTransaction value based on SEC Form 4 weighted average sale price ($5.35); post-transaction value based on the August 17 market close ($5.29).
Key questionsWhat was the regulatory context of this transaction?
The sale was executed according to a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan adopted by Boone on August 13, 2025. These plans allow corporate insiders to establish a predetermined schedule for selling stock to avoid potential concerns regarding the use of non-public information.How does this disposal impact the insider's remaining equity position?
Following the sale of 25,000 shares, the director maintains a direct ownership stake of 236,063 shares of Class A Common Stock. This remaining position represents approximately 0.06% of the company's outstanding shares.What has been the recent market context for the stock?
Shares of Peloton Interactive, Inc. were priced at $5.35 per share at the time of the transaction. As of the August 17 market close, the stock had generated a one-year total return of -38%.Company OverviewMetricValueShare Price (as of market close 2026-08-17)$5.29Market Capitalization$2.2 billionRevenue (TTM)$2.4 billionNet Income (TTM)$63.2 millionCompany SnapshotPeloton Interactive develops and sells internet-connected fitness equipment, including the Peloton Bike, Bike+, Tread, and Tread+ models, along with subscription-based access to live and on-demand workout classes delivered through integrated touchscreens and digital applications.The company generates revenue through hardware sales of its connected exercise machines and recurring subscription fees from users accessing its comprehensive library of fitness content and live instructor-led classes.Peloton serves fitness-focused consumers globally who seek premium, technology-enabled home workout solutions, targeting affluent households that value interactive fitness experiences and community engagement.Peloton Interactive is a global provider of connected fitness equipment and digital content services, with a market capitalization of $2.2 billion and TTM revenue of $2.4 billion. The company differentiates itself through its proprietary hardware-software ecosystem that integrates high-quality exercise equipment with a curated library of live and on-demand fitness classes, creating a vertically integrated platform that generates revenue from both hardware sales and subscription services. Despite recent market volatility reflected in a one-year share price decline of 38%, Peloton maintains profitability with TTM net income of $63.2 million, positioning itself as a significant player in the premium home fitness market.
What this transaction means for investorsBoone sold 25,000 shares under a plan she put in place on August 13, 2025, and holds 236,063 afterward, a large stake for a director and one she built during an unusual tenure. She served as Peloton's interim co-CEO and co-president from May 2024 until January 2025, after eight years on the board, four of them as audit committee chair and two as chairperson. Peter Stern took over after her.
Now Peloton is having some operational momentum, even if its stock is still struggling. The firm posted its first full year of net profitability in fiscal 2026, roughly $63 million against a $118.9 million loss the year before, with total gross margin at 52.6% for the year and 56.7% in the fourth quarter. Stern called fiscal 2026 "a defining milestone" in the earnings release though the member base is still a bit uncertain, with 247,000 paid connected fitness subscriptions falling on the year. Meanwhile, Boone's other seats say something about where she thinks growth is. She joined CoreWeave's board in January 2025 as audit committee chair, alongside Sonos and Rivian.
Jonathan Ponciano has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Peloton Interactive. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
DME Capital Management bought several new stocks in the second quarter to follow David Einhorn’s value investing strategy. One stock exited by Einhorn in the second quarter was Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ:PTON). While Einhorn is throwing in the towel on the connected fitness company, one member of congress is buying shares.
Einhorn vs. CongresswomanLike other hedge funds and large investment portfolios, DME Capital Management recently filed its second-quarter 13F to disclose portfolio changes and current holdings as of June 30, 2026. The fund, which is a successor to Einhorn’s Greenlight Capital, is ran by and controlled by Einhorn.
DME Capital Management ended the quarter with 46 holdings and assets of around $3.9 billion.
In the second quarter, DME Capital sold 10,113,940 PTON shares, completely exiting its position. The stake was worth $43.4 million at the end of the first quarter and worth around 1.4% of the fund at the time, as reported by 13Finfo.
Einhorn previously disclosed buying Peloton stock back in 2024. He even rode a Peloton bike on stage at an investment conference and argued that the company was undervalued.
DME Capital changed its Peloton stock holdings multiple times in 2025 and 2026. It cut its position by 52% in the first quarter of 2025 and by more than 90% in the second quarter of 2025.
That position, likely believed to be left for dead was then increased by 4,004% in the fourth quarter of 2025 going from 246,460 shares to the 10 million plus share position.
While its possible Einhorn will buy Peloton stock in the future, it’s less likely after the complete exit from the stock, which could be bad news for investors. Einhorn previously highlighted the company’s transition, turnaround plan and new management as reasons to be bullish. The hedge funder said the stock could increase in value if the company focused on cutting costs and growing EBITDA.
Einhorn may no longer own Peloton stock, but at least one member of congress does. Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (R-Fla.) previously disclosed buying between $2,000 and $30,000 in Peloton shares bought on March 19, 2026, as reported by the Benzinga Government Trades page.
The stocks are part of several transactions made by Salazar after she bought no stocks in 2025. Since 2022, Salazar has made over 100 stock transactions totaling more than $8.5 million, according to data from Quiver Quantitative.
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Peloton’s FinancialsPeloton reported fourth-quarter financials earlier this month. The company beat analyst estimates for revenue, but earnings per share of 13 cents came in-line with estimates.
Full-year guidance for revenue of $2.3 billion to $2.4 billion came in below the $2.44 billion reported in the prior full fiscal year.
The company shared that connected fitness churn was higher in the quarter at 2.2% than previous (1.1%). Peloton also forecast that it would lose connected fitness subscribers in the first quarter.
Once viewed as a potential turnaround stock by Einhorn and others, the stock could be one that continues to fall in value and one that Salazar may want to consider selling, unless if she is also betting on a turnaround.
Peloton Stock Price ActionThe company’s stock price trades at $5.36 at the time of writing versus a 52-week trading range of $3.65 to $9.20. Its shares are down 28.6% over the last 52 weeks.
Peter C. Stern, the president and CEO of Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON -0.92%), disposed of 30,484 shares of Class A Common Stock on August 17, according to an SEC Form 4 filing.
Transaction summaryMetricValueTransaction value~$172,000Shares sold30,484Post-transaction shares (directly held)403,271Post-transaction value$2.1 millionTransaction value based on SEC Form 4 weighted average sale price ($5.63); post-transaction value based on the August 17 market close ($5.29).
Key questionsWhat was the specific nature of this disposal?
The transaction was non-discretionary, executed to cover tax obligations resulting from the vesting of restricted stock units (RSUs) on August 15, and does not reflect a change in the executive's investment outlook.How do the remaining equity awards vest over time?
The underlying RSUs vest at a rate of 6.25% per quarter, with 100% of the award scheduled to be fully vested by August 15, 2029, provided the executive continues service with the company.What is the current scale of the CEO's direct equity interest?
Following this non-discretionary settlement, the executive retains direct ownership of 403,271 shares of Class A Common Stock with a market value of $2.1 million as of the August 17 market close.Company OverviewMetricValueShare Price (as of market close 2026-08-17)$5.29Market Capitalization$2.2 billionRevenue (TTM)$2.4 billionNet Income (TTM)$63.2 millionCompany SnapshotPeloton Interactive develops and sells internet-connected fitness equipment, including the Peloton Bike, Bike+, Tread, and Tread+, along with subscription-based access to live and on-demand workout classes delivered via integrated touchscreens and digital applications.The company generates revenue through hardware sales of its connected exercise machines and recurring subscription fees from users accessing its comprehensive library of fitness content and live instructor-led classes.Peloton serves fitness-focused consumers globally who seek premium, technology-enabled home workout solutions, targeting affluent households that value interactive fitness experiences and community engagement.Peloton Interactive is a global provider of connected fitness equipment and digital content services, with a market capitalization of $2.2 billion and TTM revenue of $2.4 billion. The company differentiates itself through its proprietary hardware-software ecosystem that integrates high-quality exercise equipment with a curated library of live and on-demand fitness classes, creating a vertically integrated platform that generates revenue from both hardware sales and subscription services. Despite recent market volatility reflected in a one-year share price decline of 38%, Peloton maintains profitability with TTM net income of $63.2 million, positioning itself as a significant player in the premium home fitness market.
What this transaction means for investorsStern surrendered 30,484 shares to taxes when his restricted stock vested on August 15, nine days after Peloton reported its fiscal fourth quarter and the stock dropped more than 14%. He holds 403,271 shares afterward, worth roughly $2.1 million, which is modest for a chief executive and reflects both the share price and an award that vests 6.25% a quarter through August 2029.
Stern's first full fiscal year in the job produced something Peloton had never managed before. Fiscal 2026 brought the company's first full year of positive net income, $63 million, and operating income of $161 million after years of restructuring and losses, on revenue of $2.446 billion and free cash flow of $378 million. "This was the year where Peloton sort of grew up," Stern told CNBC. However, investors still sold amid growth concerns. Paid connected fitness subscriptions ended the year at 2.553 million, down 247,000 or 8.8%, and management guided fiscal 2027 revenue to a range of $2.3 billion to $2.4 billion, a 3.9% decline at the midpoint as Peloton laps last fall's price increases.
Jonathan Ponciano has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Peloton Interactive. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Nick V. Caldwell, chief product officer of Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON -0.92%), disposed of 87,159 shares of Class A Common Stock on August 17, according to a recent SEC Form 4 filing.
Transaction summaryMetricValueTransaction value$491,000Shares sold87,159Post-transaction shares (directly held)~1.1 millionPost-transaction value$5.6 millionTransaction value based on SEC Form 4 weighted average sale price ($5.63); post-transaction value based on the August 17 market close ($5.29).
Key questionsWhat was the nature of this share disposition?
The transaction was a non-discretionary sale of shares automatically withheld by the company to satisfy tax liabilities associated with the vesting of Restricted Stock Units (RSUs) that occurred on August 15.What is the status of the insider's remaining equity incentives?
Caldwell continues to hold 421,041 derivative securities, including RSUs that are scheduled to vest in quarterly increments through May 15, 2029, contingent upon continued service to Peloton.How does this impact total beneficial ownership for the Chief Product Officer?
Following this automatic tax withholding, total beneficial ownership remains significant at about 1.1 million shares, representing a 0.25% stake in the company as of the August 17 market close.Company OverviewMetricValueShare Price (as of market close 2026-08-17)$5.29Market Capitalization$2.2 billionRevenue (TTM)$2.4 billionNet Income (TTM)$63.2 millionCompany SnapshotPeloton Interactive develops and sells internet-connected fitness equipment, including the Peloton Bike, Bike+, Tread, and Tread+ models, along with subscription-based access to live and on-demand workout classes delivered through integrated touchscreens and digital applications.The company generates revenue through hardware sales of its connected exercise machines and recurring subscription fees from users accessing its comprehensive library of fitness content and live instructor-led classes.Peloton serves fitness-focused consumers globally who seek premium, technology-enabled home workout solutions, targeting affluent households that value interactive fitness experiences and community engagement.Peloton Interactive is a global provider of connected fitness equipment and digital content services, with a market capitalization of $2.2 billion and TTM revenue of $2.4 billion. The company differentiates itself through its proprietary hardware-software ecosystem that integrates high-quality exercise equipment with a curated library of live and on-demand fitness classes, creating a vertically integrated platform that generates revenue from both hardware sales and subscription services. Despite recent market volatility reflected in a one-year share price decline of 38%, Peloton maintains profitability with TTM net income of $63.2 million, positioning itself as a significant player in the premium home fitness market.
What this transaction means for investorsCaldwell parted with 87,159 shares to cover taxes on restricted stock that vested August 15, the same date CEO Peter Stern's awards (and those of others) vested. He keeps 421,041 unvested awards releasing in quarterly pieces through May 2029, so most of what he stands to own is still ahead of him.
Meanwhile, Caldwell runs product, which is where Peloton's problem and its plan both live. Subscription revenue grew 7% to $437 million in the June quarter while connected fitness product revenue fell 14% to $171 million. Stern, the CEO and president, calls the company's formula "premium hardware, intuitive software, world-class coaching, and supportive community." Peloton IQ, the AI coaching layer, reached more than half of monthly active users in the fourth quarter, and the company bought Scope to push into connected Pilates after Pilates workout time on the platform rose 53%. However, none of this is expected to lift revenue until fiscal 2028, when Peloton plans to launch into consumer categories it doesn't compete in today. Whatever ships then will have to earn more than the 13.4% adjusted gross margin its hardware currently returns.
Jonathan Ponciano has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Peloton Interactive. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Sanders liquidated 113,000 shares for a total value of $613,000 based on a weighted average execution price of $5.45 per share. The activity was conducted under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan originally adopted on December 2, 2025.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of PTON either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Peloton Interactive (PTON -3.55%) stock went public in September 2019 priced at $29, but by the end of 2020, it had reached a record-closing high of almost $163. The COVID-19 pandemic fueled a surge in demand for the company's stationary exercise bikes, treadmills, and rowing machines, because they helped fitness enthusiasts maintain their workout routines at home.
But lockdowns and social restrictions gradually ended in 2022, and demand for Peloton's exercise equipment subsequently collapsed. The company quickly found itself losing billions of dollars per year because sales fell so sharply, threatening its very survival.
As a result, Peloton stock has plunged by 96% from its peak. But although the company continues to struggle with weak sales, its bottom line has improved significantly. Could this be the ultimate buying opportunity for investors?
Image source: Peloton Interactive.
Let's start with the bad news Peloton's annual revenue peaked at $4 billion in its fiscal 2021 (ended June 30, 2021), led by equipment sales, which accounted for $3.1 billion of that total. Five years later, the company's total revenue was down 40% to just $2.4 billion in fiscal 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), with equipment sales bringing in just $770 million -- less than one third of the total.
There are two reasons for the steep decline in hardware sales. First, demand for Peloton's at-home exercise equipment collapsed after the worst of the pandemic was over, because gyms and other training facilities quickly reopened. Even after tapping into third-party retailers like Amazon and Dick's Sporting Goods, the company has struggled to revive its slumping sales.
Second, Peloton has pivoted toward selling digital subscriptions because they carry higher profit margins than hardware, and these now account for the majority of its revenue.
There is the connected fitness subscription, which allows equipment owners to access virtual classes and performance tracking features. Then there is a separate subscription for the company's mobile app, which can be used by fitness enthusiasts who don't own any Peloton equipment. It provides them with workout plans and other basic features.
Unfortunately, the subscription business isn't doing very well, either. As of June 30, Peloton had 5.5 million connected fitness subscribers, down 8% year over year, and 503,000 app subscribers, down 9%.
With both equipment and subscription sales sputtering, management now expects Peloton to generate somewhere between $2.3 billion and $2.4 billion in revenue during fiscal 2027, representing a decline of 6% at the low end of the range. It would be the sixth straight annual revenue decline since fiscal 2021.
It seems management was caught off guard by the steep decline in equipment demand after fiscal 2021, because they positioned Peloton's costs as if more sales growth was coming. As a result, with more money going out and less money coming in, the company suffered a mind-boggling net loss of $2.8 billion during fiscal 2022.
At that point, Peloton was in a race against time to slash costs, or else it would have run out of cash and potentially not survived. Fortunately, management has turned the ship around in that respect. The company's total operating expenses were just $1.1 billion during fiscal 2026, down 68% from their fiscal 2022 peak of $3.4 billion.
As a result, Peloton just eked out an annual GAAP profit of $63.2 million. After excluding one-off and non-cash expenses like stock-based compensation, it delivered adjusted (non-GAAP) earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) of $468.2 million. Simply put, the company is no longer at risk of going under -- at least for now.
Should investors buy Peloton stock? The only way Peloton can maintain profitability is by continuing to slash costs, or by finding a way to generate more revenue. Since we know revenue is slated to fall yet again in fiscal 2027, that option might be out the window. Cutting costs is a road to nowhere in the long run, because every time management pulls money away from areas like marketing, it becomes even harder to find new customers and grow sales.
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As a result, I think Peloton is in a dangerous spiral that could wind up threatening its viability in the next few years. The company is sitting on over $1.2 billion in cash, so it has some headroom to continue experimenting with different strategies to reignite equipment and subscription sales. However, it's also carrying $944 million in long-term debt, so it doesn't have an endless amount of time to produce results.
In my opinion, it's never a good idea to invest in shrinking businesses because they tend to destroy shareholder value over time, so it might be a good idea to avoid Peloton stock.
Peloton Interactive (PTON +1.26%) just reached an important milestone, posting its first profitable year. Free cash flow grew 17% year over year in fiscal 2026 (ended in June), yet the stock still fell after earnings even though it trades at just 7 times free cash flow.
Despite the cheap valuation, I'm not tempted to buy. Peloton offered weak fiscal 2027 guidance, a sign that the business still faces major headwinds to revenue growth.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
The good: Cost discipline and user engagement trends Peloton beat management's goal of more than $100 million in annualized cost savings by the end of fiscal 2026, helping drive net income of $63 million.
It also posted encouraging signs in key areas of the business and user engagement:
Commercial business unit revenue increased by double digits in fiscal 2026. Total workout time jumped 53% year over year, with pilates a standout: Pilates workout time rose 44% in the fiscal fourth quarter. A growing number of members own multiple connected fitness products, up 20,000 year over year to 316,000. These are positive signals that its 2.5 million connected-fitness subscribers are getting value from their memberships. Peloton has the potential to be a great business, and management noted it's approaching just 4% penetration of the commercial fitness equipment market, leaving meaningful runway over time.
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The bad: Continued subscriber losses The challenge is breaking through a competitive market to win new customers and grow revenue. Q4 revenue was roughly flat at $608 million, and guidance for fiscal 2027's Q1 implies less than 1% year-over-year growth.
Management also guided fiscal 2027 revenue to $2.3 billion to $2.4 billion, representing a 3.9% year-over-year decline at the midpoint.
The bigger issue is subscriber losses. Subscription revenue rose 7% year over year last quarter, following last year's price increases, but the number of subscribers fell 9%.
So while profitability is improving, the underlying business still isn't as strong as the headline results suggest. Peloton needs to show it can stabilize and grow its subscriber base, and it hasn't yet. That's a big reason the stock is down after earnings.
New products could help. A commercial series bike and treadmill are coming soon, and Peloton plans to expand into new consumer categories in fiscal 2028. But until those catalysts arrive, the company may continue to report weak revenue and subscriber trends.
At this valuation, a return to subscriber growth could drive meaningful upside. But until I see evidence that's happening, I'm not buying the stock.
Peloton Interactive, Inc. (NASDAQ:PTON – Get Free Report) has been assigned a consensus rating of “Hold” from the thirteen ratings firms that are covering the company, Marketbeat reports. One analyst has rated the stock with a sell recommendation, seven have assigned a hold recommendation and five have assigned a buy recommendation to the company. The average twelve-month price objective among brokers that have updated their coverage on the stock in the last year is $7.9444.
A number of brokerages recently weighed in on PTON. Telsey Advisory Group reissued a “market perform” rating on shares of Peloton Interactive in a research report on Monday, August 3rd. Weiss Ratings raised Peloton Interactive from a “sell (d)” rating to a “sell (d+)” rating in a report on Tuesday, May 26th. UBS Group reiterated a “buy” rating on shares of Peloton Interactive in a research report on Monday, June 15th. The Goldman Sachs Group boosted their target price on Peloton Interactive from $7.00 to $8.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a report on Friday, May 8th. Finally, Wall Street Zen raised Peloton Interactive from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating in a research report on Saturday, May 16th.
Get Our Latest Stock Report on Peloton Interactive
Insider Buying and Selling In other news, CFO Saqib Baig sold 5,000 shares of Peloton Interactive stock in a transaction on Tuesday, June 9th. The shares were sold at an average price of $5.66, for a total value of $28,300.00. Following the transaction, the chief financial officer directly owned 234,046 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $1,324,700.36. The trade was a 2.09% decrease in their position. The sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is available through this link. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Also, insider Dion C. Sanders sold 112,523 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction on Wednesday, May 20th. The shares were sold at an average price of $5.19, for a total transaction of $583,994.37. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. In the last quarter, insiders sold 160,769 shares of company stock valued at $844,525. 1.30% of the stock is owned by company insiders.
Institutional Inflows and Outflows Institutional investors have recently bought and sold shares of the business. Vanguard Group Inc. boosted its stake in shares of Peloton Interactive by 1.5% during the fourth quarter. Vanguard Group Inc. now owns 39,227,591 shares of the company’s stock worth $241,642,000 after buying an additional 591,300 shares during the period. Eminence Capital LP increased its position in Peloton Interactive by 20.3% in the 4th quarter. Eminence Capital LP now owns 18,154,907 shares of the company’s stock valued at $111,834,000 after acquiring an additional 3,069,497 shares during the period. DNB Asset Management AS raised its stake in Peloton Interactive by 142.4% during the 4th quarter. DNB Asset Management AS now owns 10,776,627 shares of the company’s stock valued at $66,384,000 after acquiring an additional 6,331,510 shares during the last quarter. Geode Capital Management LLC raised its stake in Peloton Interactive by 3.9% during the 4th quarter. Geode Capital Management LLC now owns 9,741,115 shares of the company’s stock valued at $60,015,000 after acquiring an additional 369,614 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. lifted its position in Peloton Interactive by 27.1% during the 1st quarter. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. now owns 7,056,642 shares of the company’s stock worth $44,598,000 after acquiring an additional 1,503,680 shares during the period. 77.01% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.
Peloton Interactive Trading Up 1.6% PTON stock opened at $5.60 on Wednesday. The stock has a market cap of $2.42 billion, a P/E ratio of 46.67, a PEG ratio of 0.36 and a beta of 2.52. Peloton Interactive has a twelve month low of $3.65 and a twelve month high of $9.20. The company’s 50 day moving average is $5.94 and its two-hundred day moving average is $5.22.
Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ:PTON – Get Free Report) last issued its earnings results on Thursday, August 6th. The company reported $0.13 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $0.11 by $0.02. The business had revenue of $607.70 million during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $596.60 million. Peloton Interactive had a net margin of 2.58% and a negative return on equity of 23.92%. The company’s revenue for the quarter was up .1% on a year-over-year basis. During the same quarter in the prior year, the business posted $0.05 EPS. On average, equities research analysts predict that Peloton Interactive will post 0.3 earnings per share for the current year.
Peloton Interactive Company Profile (Get Free Report)
Peloton Interactive, Inc operates a digital fitness platform that combines connected exercise equipment with live and on-demand workout classes. The company’s core products include stationary bikes (Peloton Bike and Bike+), treadmills (Peloton Tread and Tread+), and the Peloton Row. Each device integrates a touchscreen display that streams instructor-led cycling, running, strength, yoga, meditation and other fitness classes. Peloton generates recurring revenue through subscription plans, which grant users access to its growing library of workouts, performance tracking tools and community features.
Founded in 2012 by John Foley and headquartered in New York City, Peloton set out to deliver an immersive home-fitness experience by blending hardware, software and content.
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Peloton Stock Gives Back Gains After Upbeat Earnings ReportPeloton Interactive NASDAQ: PTON said it completed fiscal 2026 with its first full year of positive net income and operating income, while outlining new consumer and commercial product launches intended to support future growth.
Chief Executive Officer and President Peter Stern said the company generated fiscal-year net income of $63 million and operating income of $161 million. Adjusted EBITDA rose 16% year over year to $468 million, while free cash flow increased 17% to $378 million. Stern said the results reflected progress in reducing costs, including exceeding the company’s target of $100 million in run-rate savings during fiscal 2026.
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Peloton Stock Is Rallying, But Can It Deliver Another 70% Upside?The company also reported its second consecutive quarter of year-over-year revenue growth in the fourth quarter, although its fiscal 2027 outlook calls for lower revenue at the midpoint than in fiscal 2026.
Fourth-Quarter Results and Subscription Trends Chief Financial Officer Sid Thacker said fourth-quarter revenue totaled $608 million, exceeding the high end of Peloton’s implied guidance range by $6 million and posting slight year-over-year growth. The outperformance was driven by higher connected-fitness equipment sales across both the Peloton and Precor brands.
Peloton Moves Toward Profitability, But Can the Turnaround Last?Total gross profit increased 5% from a year earlier to $344 million, and total gross margin expanded 260 basis points to 56.7%. Adjusted operating expenses were $257 million. Excluding $24 million of non-recurring accrued legal contingencies tied to patent litigation, adjusted operating expenses declined 11% year over year.
Fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA was $142 million, or 23% of revenue. Excluding the legal contingency, adjusted EBITDA would have been $166 million, up 19% from the prior year and $12 million above the high end of the company’s guidance range, Thacker said.
Free cash flow in the quarter was $89 million, down 21% year over year, primarily because of net working-capital timing. Peloton ended the quarter with $1.21 billion in cash, up $167 million from a year earlier, after repaying $200 million of debt in the third quarter. Net debt stood at $93 million, down 80% year over year.
Ending paid connected-fitness subscriptions were 2.553 million, within the company’s guidance range. Fourth-quarter net churn was 2.2%, up 37 basis points year over year. Thacker said roughly half of that increase was tied to one-time factors, including a change to the company’s payment-reactivation algorithm that reduced reactivations after involuntary churn.
Peloton reverted to its prior payment-recapture process and has seen involuntary churn begin to normalize, Thacker said. The company also contacted affected members and said it has had some success reactivating subscribers. Management expects full-year churn in fiscal 2027 to be roughly flat compared with fiscal 2026.
Product Pipeline and Commercial Expansion Stern said Peloton is pursuing a strategy centered on improving member outcomes, expanding access to its offerings, building longer-term member relationships and improving business operations. During fiscal 2026, the company introduced its Cross Training Series across its bike, tread and row products and launched Peloton IQ, an artificial-intelligence-based personalized guidance feature.
More than 50% of monthly active users engaged with personalized guidance powered by Peloton IQ during the fourth quarter, Stern said. The company plans to further develop the feature through more personalized goal-setting, adaptive programming and additional wearable-device integrations.
Peloton said it will introduce additional equipment in an existing category before the end of calendar 2026. Stern also said the company plans to launch its first products in entirely new consumer categories in fall 2027, which falls in fiscal 2028. He did not provide details on those categories.
On the commercial side, Peloton plans to launch the Peloton Commercial Series, including a bike and treadmill designed for high-traffic gyms. The company’s commercial business unit recorded double-digit revenue growth in fiscal 2026 across regions and major product categories, according to Stern. He said commercial equipment typically carries higher prices and higher margins than consumer equipment, while commercial subscription revenue will build over time.
The company estimated it is approaching a 4% share of the commercial fitness-equipment market segment. It expects the new commercial equipment, sales-team investments and product development to support faster growth in fiscal 2027 and beyond.
Peloton also expanded its micro-store strategy. It ended fiscal 2026 with 10 micro stores, which Stern said have consistently outperformed the company’s former showroom fleet. Peloton recently opened three more micro stores and plans to add another seven before the holidays, which would double its micro-store footprint during the year.
Member Engagement and Partnerships The company highlighted demand for strength and Pilates content. Pilates workouts increased 44% year over year in the fourth quarter, while Pilates workout time rose 53%. Peloton acquired Skōp, which Stern described as an early innovator in connected Pilates, to support research and development in that category.
Peloton said 316,000 members now own multiple connected-fitness products, an increase of more than 20,000 from a year earlier. Stern said those members churn at significantly lower rates than members who own one product.
The company also pointed to its partnership with Spotify, through which it offers non-equipment-based classes including strength, Pilates, barre, yoga, meditation and outdoor running and walking to Spotify premium subscribers. Stern said Mexico recently became the most engaged country outside the U.S. for Peloton content on Spotify.
Rather than building its own wearable device, Stern said Peloton intends to integrate with a broad range of wearable providers. The company has already integrated with Apple, Google and Garmin and expects to add more partners.
Fiscal 2027 Outlook Peloton forecast fiscal 2027 revenue of $2.3 billion to $2.4 billion, representing a 3.9% year-over-year decline at the midpoint. Thacker said the outlook is affected by the comparison with the prior year’s subscription price increase, which created a one-time benefit to revenue trends in fiscal 2026.
Fiscal 2027 total gross margin is expected to be about 54%, up approximately 140 basis points year over year. Adjusted EBITDA is projected at $475 million to $525 million, up 7% at the midpoint. Minimum free cash flow is targeted at $350 million. First-quarter revenue is expected to be $545 million to $565 million, up 1% year over year at the midpoint. First-quarter adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $135 million to $145 million. First-quarter ending paid connected-fitness subscriptions are projected at 2.455 million to 2.475 million. Thacker said Peloton has begun working with bankers on a balance-sheet refinancing, with the objectives of lowering its cost of capital and gaining greater flexibility. The company received $3 million in tariff refunds from the federal government year to date and expects additional refunds, though it has not included them in its forecasts because of tariff uncertainty.
Peloton recorded a $23.8 million legal contingency accrual in the fourth quarter related to patent litigation. Thacker said the company does not currently expect potential ongoing royalty obligations to have a material impact on results.
About Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ:PTON)Peloton Interactive, Inc operates a digital fitness platform that combines connected exercise equipment with live and on-demand workout classes. The company's core products include stationary bikes (Peloton Bike and Bike+), treadmills (Peloton Tread and Tread+), and the Peloton Row. Each device integrates a touchscreen display that streams instructor-led cycling, running, strength, yoga, meditation and other fitness classes. Peloton generates recurring revenue through subscription plans, which grant users access to its growing library of workouts, performance tracking tools and community features.
Founded in 2012 by John Foley and headquartered in New York City, Peloton set out to deliver an immersive home-fitness experience by blending hardware, software and content.
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Shares of Peloton Interactive (PTON -15.57%) fell on Thursday after the exercise equipment maker said it was struggling to stem its subscriber losses.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Shedding subscribers, but gaining profitability Peloton's paid connected fitness subscriptions declined 8.8% year over year to 2.553 million in its fiscal 2026 fourth quarter, which ended on June 30.
Yet Peloton's revenue inched up less than 1% to $608 million, driven by price hikes intended to bolster its profit margins. The company's gross margin, in turn, increased by 2.6 percentage points to 56.7%.
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These price increases, combined with the company's cost-reduction initiatives, also helped Peloton generate positive full-year operating and net income for the first time in its history.
Additionally, Peloton produced $378 million in free cash flow, reducing its net debt by 80% to $93 million.
Subscriber losses are set to continue into fiscal 2027 Investors, however, weren't pleased to hear that Peloton expects its paid connected fitness subscriptions to decline further to 2.455 million to 2.475 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2027. That would represent a year-over-year drop of roughly 9.8%.
Still, management remains focused on profitability. Peloton projects full-year free cash flow of at least $350 million, driven by continued margin expansion.
"While multi-year transformations take time, our financial discipline has fundamentally reshaped our business and grants us greater flexibility to invest in our core strengths of premium hardware, intelligent software, and human connection," CEO Peter Stern said.
Joe Tenebruso has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Peloton Interactive. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON) Q4 2026 Earnings Call August 6, 2026 8:30 AM EDT
Company Participants
James Marsh - Senior VP & Head of Investor Relations
Peter Stern - CEO, President & Director
Siddharth Thacker - Chief Financial Officer
Conference Call Participants
Simeon Siegel - Guggenheim Securities, LLC, Research Division
Shweta Khajuria - Wolfe Research, LLC
Arpine Kocharyan - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division
Douglas Anmuth - JPMorgan Chase & Co, Research Division
Nathaniel Feather - Morgan Stanley, Research Division
Eric Sheridan - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., Research Division
Presentation
Operator
Good day, and welcome to Peloton's Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2026 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker, Mr. James Marsh, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
James Marsh
Senior VP & Head of Investor Relations
Thank you, operator. Good morning, and welcome to Peloton's Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2026 Conference Call. Joining today's call are Peloton's Chief Executive Officer and President, Peter Stern; and our new Chief Financial Officer, Sid Thacker. Our comments and responses to your questions reflect management's views as of today only and will include forward-looking statements related to our business under federal securities law. Actual results may differ materially from those contained in or implied by these forward-looking statements due to risks and uncertainties associated with our business. Please refer to our SEC filings, today's press releases and our earnings presentation, all of which can be found on our Investor Relations website for a discussion of material risks and other important factors that could impact our results.
All results discussed today are on an as-reported basis, which include our previously mentioned cost reassignments that began in the beginning of fiscal '26. Please refer to our investor presentation for reconciliations
Peloton (PTON - Free Report) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.13 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.11 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.05 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.
This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +18.18%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this exercise bike and treadmill company would post earnings of $0.07 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.05, delivering a surprise of -28.57%.
Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times.
Peloton, which belongs to the Zacks Leisure and Recreation Products industry, posted revenues of $607.7 million for the quarter ended June 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.73%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $606.9 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates three times over the last four quarters.
The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.
Peloton shares have added about 5.8% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 12.8%.
What's Next for Peloton?While Peloton has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?
There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.
Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.
Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Peloton was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $0.11 on $568.21 million in revenues for the coming quarter and $0.30 on $2.43 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year.
Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Leisure and Recreation Products is currently in the top 32% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (ASO - Free Report) , another stock in the same industry, has yet to report results for the quarter ended July 2026.
This company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $2.12 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +9.3%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days.
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.'s revenues are expected to be $1.66 billion, up 3.7% from the year-ago quarter.
For the quarter ended June 2026, Peloton (PTON - Free Report) reported revenue of $607.7 million, up 0.1% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $0.13, compared to $0.05 in the year-ago quarter.
The reported revenue represents a surprise of +1.73% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $597.35 million. With the consensus EPS estimate being $0.11, the EPS surprise was +18.18%.
While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to determine their next move, some key metrics always offer a more accurate picture of a company's financial health.
Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance.
Here is how Peloton performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:
Ending Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions: 2.55 million compared to the 2.56 million average estimate based on five analysts.Ending Paid App Subscriptions: 503,000 versus 522,933 estimated by three analysts on average.Average Net Monthly Paid Connected Fitness Subscription Churn: 2.2% versus the three-analyst average estimate of 1.7%.Revenues- Subscription: $436.6 million versus the five-analyst average estimate of $419.11 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +6.9%.Revenues- Connected Fitness Products: $171.1 million compared to the $180.28 million average estimate based on five analysts. The reported number represents a change of -13.9% year over year.Gross profit- Subscription: $321.4 million versus $306.1 million estimated by five analysts on average.Gross profit- Connected Fitness Products: $23 million compared to the $31.55 million average estimate based on five analysts.View all Key Company Metrics for Peloton here>>>
Shares of Peloton have returned +12.8% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.3% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term.
Peloton delivered its first full year of net profit and operating income in fiscal 2026, but said it expects sales to fall in the coming fiscal year as it begins to lap price increases on its hardware and subscription plans.
Peloton shares tumbled about 13% in premarket trading as the outlook disappointed investors. Even so, Peloton CEO Peter Stern highlighted the major strides the company has made in becoming profitable.
"This was the year where Peloton sort of grew up," Stern told CNBC in an interview, calling fiscal 2026 a "landmark" year for the company financially. "That solid foundation positions us for what we need to do to get to long-term growth to deliver on our strategy of becoming a connected wellness company and puts us in really our strongest position to date."
In the year ended June 30, Peloton posted a net income of $63.2 million, up from a loss of $118.9 million in the year-ago period, helped in part by the brand's decision to raise prices last fall.
Looking ahead to fiscal 2027, the company expects another year of positive free cash flow. It also anticipates gross margin and adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization will grow compared to the prior year.
Aside from its fiscal year, Peloton issued mixed results during its fiscal fourth quarter.
Here's how the company performed compared with what Wall Street was anticipating, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG:
Earnings per share: 13 cents vs. 13 cents expectedRevenue: $608 million vs. $598 million expectedPeloton's reported net income for the three-month period that ended June 30 was $61.6 million, or 13 cents per share, compared with $21.6 million, or five cents per share, a year earlier.
Sales rose to $607.7 million, up slightly from $606.9 million a year earlier.
Though it raised prices last fall, Peloton's annual sales still fell in fiscal 2026 compared to the year-ago period. In the current fiscal year 2027, Peloton said it expects sales to fall nearly 4% to between $2.3 billion and $2.4 billion, worse than the $2.42 billion analysts had been looking for, according to LSEG.
It shows that while Peloton has made enormous strides in becoming a stronger, more profitable business with more say over its destiny, it's still struggling to sell its pricey hardware and keep subscribers engaged and paying.
"We are gradually improving the trajectory of our gross adds and our connected fitness sales while we're keeping churn flat," said Stern. "We're not at the stage yet where we turn the net of all those things positive, but we're getting better and better so that's basically the story of [fiscal year] '27. We're a work in progress on that one but the trajectory is getting better in '27 than it's been in a long time."
Peloton recently hired Sarah Robb O'Hagan as its new chief content and member development officer, replacing company veteran Jen Cotter, as Peloton looks to stabilize churn, or subscribers dropping off memberships. In the role, Robb O'Hagan will focus on accelerating innovation and driving engagement and loyalty, said Stern.
"We've kicked off a major project under Sarah focusing on member development. This looks at everything from onboarding through to the experience of live classes," said Stern.
"The other thing that Sarah's done is at the same time that we're adding new instructors, she has resigned contracts with a significant portion of our existing instructors. So we're continuing to deliver on what our members love about Peloton while also sort of challenging them to broaden their experience," he added.
Peloton is pursuing a number of new revenue streams under Stern. It recently announced a partnership with Spotify and is working to launch its first ever commercial Bike and Tread this fall, which will allow Peloton to expand into commercial gyms. Stern couldn't yet say which gyms the company might be partnering with as it just finalized pricing on the machines, but said there's been "plenty of interest."
"We're having lots of conversations, but we're not actually making sales yet," said Stern.
Peloton Interactive issued a muted revenue outlook for fiscal 2027 as subscriber losses continue to deepen, overshadowing fourth-quarter profit gains and virtually flat revenue.
Peloton (PTON) faces a $20.5M patent verdict to NEC over content-streaming technology infringement, with short interest at 14.9% ahead of Q4 earnings. Circle (CRCL) draws sharply divided analyst sentiment: Morgan Stanley is bearish on stagnant USDC growth, while TD Cowen sees platform evolution upside.
Avidity Partners Management LP bought a new stake in shares of Peloton Interactive, Inc. (NASDAQ:PTON – Free Report) in the 1st quarter, according to its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The institutional investor bought 200,000 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $858,000.
A number of other institutional investors and hedge funds have also made changes to their positions in PTON. Bank of America Corp DE increased its position in Peloton Interactive by 11.7% in the first quarter. Bank of America Corp DE now owns 1,640,981 shares of the company’s stock worth $7,040,000 after buying an additional 172,211 shares during the period. Altshuler Shaham Ltd acquired a new position in shares of Peloton Interactive during the first quarter valued at $1,585,000. Kanen Wealth Management LLC acquired a new position in shares of Peloton Interactive during the first quarter valued at $7,560,000. MSA Advisors LLC bought a new position in shares of Peloton Interactive during the first quarter worth about $78,000. Finally, Amundi increased its holdings in shares of Peloton Interactive by 277.9% in the 1st quarter. Amundi now owns 55,010 shares of the company’s stock worth $236,000 after acquiring an additional 40,453 shares during the period. 77.01% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.
Peloton Interactive Price Performance NASDAQ PTON opened at $6.39 on Friday. Peloton Interactive, Inc. has a fifty-two week low of $3.65 and a fifty-two week high of $9.20. The stock’s 50-day moving average is $5.96 and its two-hundred day moving average is $5.24. The firm has a market cap of $2.77 billion, a P/E ratio of 159.79, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 0.47 and a beta of 2.52.
Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ:PTON – Get Free Report) last released its quarterly earnings results on Thursday, May 7th. The company reported $0.06 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.07 by ($0.01). Peloton Interactive had a negative return on equity of 6.95% and a net margin of 0.94%.During the same period in the prior year, the company posted ($0.12) EPS. The business’s quarterly revenue was up 1.1% on a year-over-year basis. On average, equities analysts expect that Peloton Interactive, Inc. will post 0.13 EPS for the current year.
Wall Street Analyst Weigh In PTON has been the subject of a number of analyst reports. The Goldman Sachs Group boosted their target price on shares of Peloton Interactive from $7.00 to $8.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a research note on Friday, May 8th. Weiss Ratings upgraded shares of Peloton Interactive from a “sell (d)” rating to a “sell (d+)” rating in a research report on Tuesday, May 26th. UBS Group reiterated a “buy” rating on shares of Peloton Interactive in a research report on Monday, June 15th. Telsey Advisory Group reaffirmed a “market perform” rating on shares of Peloton Interactive in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. Finally, Wall Street Zen upgraded Peloton Interactive from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating in a research report on Saturday, May 16th. Five analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, eight have assigned a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the company. According to MarketBeat.com, Peloton Interactive presently has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of $7.94.
Check Out Our Latest Stock Report on Peloton Interactive
Insider Activity at Peloton Interactive In other news, insider Dion C. Sanders sold 112,523 shares of Peloton Interactive stock in a transaction that occurred on Wednesday, May 20th. The shares were sold at an average price of $5.19, for a total value of $583,994.37. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is accessible through this link. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Also, CFO Saqib Baig sold 29,075 shares of Peloton Interactive stock in a transaction on Monday, May 18th. The stock was sold at an average price of $5.27, for a total transaction of $153,225.25. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief financial officer owned 250,019 shares in the company, valued at $1,317,600.13. This trade represents a 10.42% decrease in their position. The SEC filing for this sale provides additional information. In the last quarter, insiders have sold 160,769 shares of company stock worth $844,525. Corporate insiders own 1.30% of the company’s stock.
About Peloton Interactive (Free Report)
Peloton Interactive, Inc operates a digital fitness platform that combines connected exercise equipment with live and on-demand workout classes. The company’s core products include stationary bikes (Peloton Bike and Bike+), treadmills (Peloton Tread and Tread+), and the Peloton Row. Each device integrates a touchscreen display that streams instructor-led cycling, running, strength, yoga, meditation and other fitness classes. Peloton generates recurring revenue through subscription plans, which grant users access to its growing library of workouts, performance tracking tools and community features.
Founded in 2012 by John Foley and headquartered in New York City, Peloton set out to deliver an immersive home-fitness experience by blending hardware, software and content.
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Peloton Interactive Inc (NASDAQ:PTON) is expected to deliver a slightly better-than-expected fourth quarter but provide conservative fiscal 2027 guidance when it reports results, according to UBS analysts.
UBS, which rates the stock ‘Buy’ with an $11 price target, expects fourth quarter revenue of $595 million, slightly above the midpoint of the company's guidance range of $582 million to $602 million.
The firm forecasts adjusted EBITDA of $158 million, ahead of consensus expectations of $152 million, and connected fitness subscribers of 2.562 million, broadly in line with Wall Street estimates.
The analysts expect fiscal 2027 guidance to include a mid-single-digit decline in subscribers of about 4%, compared with the Street's expectation of a 4.9% decline. UBS also projects revenue to fall about 1%, versus consensus expectations for roughly flat revenue, while forecasting adjusted EBITDA of $526 million, above the Street estimate of $504 million.
UBS wrote that investor attention is likely to center on subscriber churn, the company's ability to navigate tougher comparisons in its commercial business, and its capital allocation plans.
The firm highlighted Peloton's balance sheet flexibility, citing a net debt ratio of about 0.4x and annualized free cash flow exceeding $300 million. UBS expects the company, following the expiration of a prepayment penalty on its term loan, to lower interest expense and reassess capital allocation, including potential investments in the business or share repurchases. It also expects Peloton to continue reducing equity dilution from stock-based compensation.
UBS's analysis of Peloton's digital engagement pointed to modest improvements in June and July. Interactive website visits declined 10% year over year in June, an improvement from declines of 13% to 14% in April and May, while app download and usage trends also showed signs of stabilization after weaker performance earlier in the year.
While subscriber growth may take time to return to equilibrium, the analysts continue to see an attractive risk-reward profile for the shares.
Shares of Peloton are little changed this year, trading hands at about $6.
Peloton Interactive Inc (NASDAQ:PTON) is expected to deliver a slightly better-than-expected fourth quarter but provide conservative fiscal 2027 guidance when it reports results, according to UBS analysts.
UBS, which rates the stock ‘Buy’ with an $11 price target, expects fourth quarter revenue of $595 million, slightly above the midpoint of the company's guidance range of $582 million to $602 million.
The firm forecasts adjusted EBITDA of $158 million, ahead of consensus expectations of $152 million, and connected fitness subscribers of 2.562 million, broadly in line with Wall Street estimates.
The analysts expect fiscal 2027 guidance to include a mid-single-digit decline in subscribers of about 4%, compared with the Street's expectation of a 4.9% decline. UBS also projects revenue to fall about 1%, versus consensus expectations for roughly flat revenue, while forecasting adjusted EBITDA of $526 million, above the Street estimate of $504 million.
UBS wrote that investor attention is likely to center on subscriber churn, the company's ability to navigate tougher comparisons in its commercial business, and its capital allocation plans.
The firm highlighted Peloton's balance sheet flexibility, citing a net debt ratio of about 0.4x and annualized free cash flow exceeding $300 million. UBS expects the company, following the expiration of a prepayment penalty on its term loan, to lower interest expense and reassess capital allocation, including potential investments in the business or share repurchases. It also expects Peloton to continue reducing equity dilution from stock-based compensation.
UBS's analysis of Peloton's digital engagement pointed to modest improvements in June and July. Interactive website visits declined 10% year over year in June, an improvement from declines of 13% to 14% in April and May, while app download and usage trends also showed signs of stabilization after weaker performance earlier in the year.
While subscriber growth may take time to return to equilibrium, the analysts continue to see an attractive risk-reward profile for the shares.
Shares of Peloton are little changed this year, trading hands at about $6.
NEW YORK, July 23, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Peloton Interactive, Inc. (NASDAQ: PTON) will release its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2026 financial results before the U.S. stock market opens on Thursday, August 6, 2026. The company will host a conference call and live audio webcast to discuss the financial results at 8:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) that day.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of PTON either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Peloton Interactive (PTON 2.54%) currently trades 96% below its all-time high (as of June 30), a record set all the way back in January 2021. However, the consumer discretionary stock has recently started to pedal in the right direction. It's up 34% in the past three months.
Has Peloton, an innovator in the fitness market, finally started to turn the corner in a sustainable way?
Image source: The Motley Fool.
During the most recent fiscal quarter (Q3 2026, ended March 31), the company reported $26.4 million in net income and $150.5 million in free cash flow. Its profitability has been improving thanks to cost cuts.
Additionally, Peloton's net debt declined 70% year over year. Investors appreciate the business operating from a sounder financial position.
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However, Peloton has yet to prove that it can register durable growth, the key argument supporting the bear case. Revenue is projected to fall 2.3% in fiscal 2026, according to consensus analyst estimates. This would mark the fifth consecutive year of a decline.
The business continues to look like a one-hit COVID-era wonder that's struggling mightily to drive higher sales. Its connected fitness subscriber base also keeps shrinking, demonstrating waning interest among consumers.
Shares have been on a hot streak over the past three months. Investors should still avoid trying to ride the momentum.
Neil Patel has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Peloton Interactive. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Peloton is in the early stages of a turnaround, supported by a strong Q3 earnings print and renewed top-line growth. PTON has raised subscription prices while maintaining churn, leveraging hardware discounts to attract new customers and driving a favorable revenue mix shift. The commercial segment, including Precor and Peloton brands, is delivering double-digit sales growth and expanding the company's reach via hotel and gym partnerships.
Shares of Peloton Interactive Inc. NASDAQ: PTON have been attempting a comeback after hitting a 52-week low in mid-March.
Peloton Interactive Today
PTON
Peloton Interactive
$5.55 -0.10 (-1.77%)
As of 04:00 PM Eastern
52-Week Range$3.65▼
$9.20P/E Ratio138.78
Price Target$8.25
The stock has climbed more than 40% since then, as the market has seemingly begun to buy into the idea that the company’s long-running turnaround effort may finally be gaining traction.
Peloton’s latest earnings report added to that optimism, with shares rallying after the company reported fiscal third-quarter 2026 results on May 7. However, the stock has since given back most of those gains, leaving some investors wondering whether it’s actually time to get back on the bike.
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Peloton Delivers Encouraging EarningsPeloton’s Q3 results for fiscal year 2026 (FY2026) offered some encouraging signs for investors. The company reported revenue of roughly $631 million, up 1% year over year and topping Wall Street expectations by nearly $13 million. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) came in at $126 million, up 41% from the previous year, while net debt declined 70% year over year.
The company also returned to profitability, reporting net income of $26 million. Earnings per share of 6 cents improved from a loss of 12 cents in the year-ago quarter, though results came in a penny below expectations. Gross margin rose 90 basis points year over year to 52%, but came in below the company’s guidance due to promotions on its connected fitness equipment.
Commercial Business and Spotify Partnership Offer Growth OpportunitiesThe commercial business unit was a strong performer during the quarter, with a 14% year-over-year rise in revenue. The company is looking to build on that momentum with the release of new commercial products, including a bike and a treadmill, expected in the second quarter.
In the company’s earnings call, Chief Executive Peter Stern addressed the opportunity in the commercial space, saying, “We see tremendous upside in this category as we estimate that we have only a 3% share of the more than $10 billion and growing global commercial fitness equipment market segment.”
Peloton also announced a partnership with Spotify Technology NYSE: SPOT, which will bring more than 1,400 classes to Spotify Premium users worldwide.
Guidance Offers a Mixed PicturePeloton updated its 2026 outlook as well, increasing the midpoint of its 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $2.42 billion to $2.44 billion, and raising its free cash flow outlook to around $350 million, up $75 million from its prior minimum target.
On the flip side, the company lowered its total gross margin outlook by 50 basis points from earlier guidance to 52.5%. The adjusted EBITDA outlook remained in line with earlier guidance at $470 million to $480 million. The company said it expects ending paid connected fitness subscriptions to decline 8.6% year over year at the midpoint to a range of 2.55 million to 2.57 million.
Wall Street Remains Cautiously OptimisticInvestors initially cheered the report, with shares rising more than 16% at one point during the session before closing up nearly 9% for the day. In the sessions that followed, however, optimism appeared to fade as shares fell in three of the next five trading days, giving back nearly 11%. Currently, shares are trading roughly around where the stock closed before the earnings report.
Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON) Price Chart for Friday, June, 12, 2026
Following the earnings release, Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. increased its price target on Peloton to $8 from $7, while Weiss Ratings modestly upgraded the stock from Sell (D) to Sell (E+), suggesting some improvement in the company’s outlook even though the firm maintained a bearish stance on the stock.
The current consensus rating on the stock is a Hold, with eight Hold ratings, five Buy ratings, and one Sell rating.
On average, Wall Street still sees meaningful upside for the stock over the next 12 months. The average price target of $8.25 is roughly 55% above the current share price.
Based on price targets issued or updated over the last year, analyst targets range from $5 to $12, though most targets imply upside from current levels.
Short Interest Has Improved, But Skepticism RemainsShort interest in Peloton shares has declined over the last few months, suggesting at least some investors may be becoming less bearish on the stock.
Total shares sold short fell from around 67 million shares in mid-February to about 54.5 million shares at the end of April. The percentage of float sold short declined from 16% to 13% during the period.
Peloton is still working through several challenges, including declining subscriptions and margin pressure. However, the company’s latest earnings report suggested its turnaround efforts may be gaining traction, as growth in the commercial business, improved profitability, and stronger free cash flow guidance offered encouraging signs.
Still, the stock’s inability to hold onto its post-earnings gains suggests investors may be waiting for more consistent signs that the turnaround can translate into sustainable long-term growth.
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Parkev Tatevosian, CFA has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Peloton Interactive. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Parkev Tatevosian is an affiliate of The Motley Fool and may be compensated for promoting its services. If you choose to subscribe through his link, he will earn some extra money that supports his channel. His opinions remain his own and are unaffected by The Motley Fool.
Peloton Interactive (PTON 1.77%) makes stationary exercise bikes, treadmills, and rowing machines, which it primarily sells to consumers for at-home use. Its stock went public in September 2019 priced at $29, but by the end of 2020, it had soared to a peak of $163. The COVID-19 pandemic sparked a surge in demand for the company's equipment, as lockdowns and social restrictions limited the use of gyms and other training facilities.
But when social conditions started to normalize in 2022, demand for Peloton's hardware plummeted. The company was faced with shrinking revenue and growing losses, which at one point threatened its very survival.
Peloton continues to struggle with weak sales, but the company's bottom line is now in much better shape thanks to a series of drastic cost cuts. With its stock trading 96% below its 2020 high, could this be a good time for investors to buy?
Image source: Peloton Interactive.
Peloton's business has undergone a significant transformation over the last few years. In fiscal 2021 (ended June 30, 2021), exercise equipment sales were the largest contributor to the company's $4 billion in total revenue. But through the first three quarters of fiscal 2026 (ended March 31), equipment sales represented less than one-third of its revenue base.
That's mostly because demand for Peloton's products collapsed after the peak of the pandemic, but it also reflects a shift toward digital subscription services. The company offers a connected fitness subscription for customers who own its exercise equipment, which gives them access to virtual classes and real-time performance tracking. The company also offers a separate subscription to its mobile app for customers who don't own its equipment, which provides them with workout plans and other basic features.
These subscriptions now account for the bulk of Peloton's revenue. On the plus side, they have high profit margins, but they aren't very sticky, so it's tough to keep members around. In fact, during the third quarter, Peloton's connected fitness subscriber base shrank 8% year over year to 2.66 million members, and its paid app subscriber base declined by 9% to 522,000 members.
In other words, not only is Peloton struggling to sell equipment, but it's also having trouble sustaining its membership base.
As a result, the company's total revenue has declined in every single year since fiscal 2021, and it's on track to decline again during fiscal 2026, according to management's guidance.
Fiscal Year
Revenue
Revenue Growth (Contraction)
Fiscal 2021
$4.02 billion
120%
Fiscal 2022
$3.58 billion
(11%)
Fiscal 2023
$2.8 billion
(22%)
Fiscal 2024
$2.7 billion
(4%)
Fiscal 2025
$2.49 billion
(7%)
Fiscal 2026 (forecast)
$2.43 billion
(2%)
Data source: Peloton Interactive.
On to the good news Peloton's management team appeared to be caught off guard when revenue started shrinking in fiscal 2022, because they had positioned the company's costs as if more growth was coming. Therefore, with less money coming in and more money going out, Peloton suffered a staggering net loss of $2.8 billion that year. If management didn't act fast to slash costs, the company probably wouldn't have survived.
Peloton is now spending less on everything from marketing to research and development. During the first nine months of fiscal 2026, the company's total operating expenses were just $862 million -- down sharply from $2.2 billion in the first nine months of fiscal 2022. As a result, it has eked out a small generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) profit of $1.6 million in fiscal 2026 to date, so bankruptcy is no longer a real risk in the near term.
But there is a catch. By constantly cutting costs, Peloton is investing less in developing new products and acquiring new customers, making it harder to generate revenue growth. The company will eventually run out of ways to reduce expenses, so if it doesn't find a way to generate an organic increase in equipment and subscription sales, it will inevitably start making losses again.
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Is it time to buy Peloton stock? Peloton is trying to boost sales in a few different ways. It now sells equipment through third-party retailers like Amazon, Dick's Sporting Goods, and even Costco. And during the recent third quarter, it launched commercial versions of its flagship treadmill and exercise bike to sell to gyms and other training facilities. The shift into business-to-business sales will certainly expand the company's addressable market.
Peloton has $1.1 billion in cash on hand, so it has some headroom to experiment with different strategies, especially now that it's generating GAAP profits. But the company is also carrying $944 million in long-term debt, so it has a very limited window of opportunity to produce results.
Wall Street isn't convinced sales growth is on the horizon because analysts are forecasting flat revenue in fiscal 2027. Peloton has already had five years to prove it can turn its dwindling sales around without success, so it probably isn't wise for investors to bet on a different outcome right now.
A beaten-down stock isn't always a cheap stock, so I don't think Peloton's 96% decline represents a buying opportunity.
Shares of Peloton Interactive (PTON 1.77%) spiked on Friday, following news that the exercise equipment maker is slated to be added to the S&P SmallCap 600.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Peloton is set to join the index next week Peloton will replace waste management and recycling specialist Enviri, which is spinning off assets and being acquired by Veolia Environment. These changes to the S&P SmallCap 600 are scheduled to occur before trading begins on Wednesday, May 27.
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Being added to the S&P SmallCap 600 should increase demand for Peloton's shares among passive funds that need to purchase them to continue tracking the index's constituents. Traders know this, so they may be attempting to front-run these purchases.
Together, these dynamics can create a temporary spike in the stock price of a new index entrant. That was likely the case today with Peloton.
Additionally, Peloton has a relatively high short interest. News of inclusion in the S&P SmallCap 600 and the subsequent price spike could be driving some of these short sellers to exit their positions to limit potential losses. To close their shorts, they need to buy shares, which could amplify upward price volatility.
Strengthening financials The index inclusion comes after Peloton reported improved profitability earlier this month. The exercise bike and treadmill maker's free cash flow surged 59% year over year to $151 million in the quarter ended March 31, driven by price hikes and a new content licensing partnership with audio streaming giant Spotify.
Joe Tenebruso has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Peloton Interactive and Spotify Technology. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Accomplished finance executive to further enable company’s wellness ambition and ensure disciplined growth
NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Peloton Interactive, Inc. (NASDAQ: PTON) today announced the appointment of Siddharth (“Sid”) Thacker as the company’s Chief Financial Officer, effective June 22, 2026. Thacker, an accomplished finance leader with a deep foundation as an institutional investor, will oversee Peloton’s global finance organization as well as corporate strategy. Under his leadership, Peloton will maintain its disciplined financial approach while pursuing broader market opportunities across the fitness and wellness landscape and delivering on its plans to return to sustainable, profitable revenue growth.
Thacker will join the company following a successful tenure as Chief Financial Officer at Rent the Runway. During his three years in the role, he led a significant financial and operational transformation that reset the company's balance sheet and drove a return to top-line revenue and subscriber growth. He accomplished these results with a customer-first mindset and through deep cross-functional partnership, engineering a shift to a more capital-efficient inventory model, optimizing marketing spend and scaling revenue streams including resale and advertising. Before stepping into his role as Chief Financial Officer, Thacker served the company as SVP Finance and Head of Data Science.
Prior to Rent the Runway, Thacker spent two decades as a public market investor, managing complex asset portfolios, and sourcing and leading investments across consumer, financial and tech-enabled services.
“This is a pivotal time for Peloton as we are now operating from a place of strategic optionality and playing offense. Sid brings the financial acumen, forward-looking strategy, and deep consumer focus we need to drive our next chapter,” said Peter Stern, CEO and President, Peloton. “He knows how to grow a business with multiple revenue streams, and he brings the financial discipline to make sure we do it right. Plus, his background as an investor gives us a unique edge as we look to accelerate innovation and grow our impact."
“Having spent decades looking at businesses as a finance leader and as an investor, I’m excited by Peloton’s many strategic assets, from its iconic brand and unmatched instructors to its deeply loyal global community,” said incoming CFO Sid Thacker. “I look forward to working with the entire Peloton team to build on the current momentum and discipline, sharpen execution, and usher in a new chapter of profitable growth.”
Thacker will report to CEO Peter Stern and will be based at the company’s New York headquarters. He succeeds interim Chief Financial Officer Saqib Baig, who will remain the company’s Chief Accounting Officer.
About Peloton
Peloton (NASDAQ: PTON) provides Members with world-class equipment, ground-breaking software, expert human instruction, and the world’s most supportive fitness community. Founded in 2012 and headquartered in New York City, Peloton has millions of Members across the US, UK, Canada, Germany, Australia, and Austria. For more information, visit www.onepeloton.com.
This press release may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including with respect to statements regarding changes to our leadership team, our future operating results and financial position, our business strategy and plans, our growth, and our objectives for future operations. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, these forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties, and assumptions and other important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those stated, including the risks and uncertainties described in the sections titled “Risk Factors” in Part I, Item 1A and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in Part II, Item 7 in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025, as such factors may be updated in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Our forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this press release, and we undertake no obligation to update any of these forward-looking statements for any reason after the date of this press release or to conform these statements to actual results or revised expectations, except as required by law.
Peloton Interactive, Inc. (NASDAQ: PTON) today announced the appointment of Siddharth (“Sid”) Thacker as the company’s Chief Financial Officer, effective June 22, 2026. Thacker, an accomplished finance leader with a deep foundation as an institutional investor, will oversee Peloton’s global finance organization as well as corporate strategy. Under his leadership, Peloton will maintain its disciplined financial approach while pursuing broader market opportunities across the fitness and wellness landscape and delivering on its plans to return to sustainable, profitable revenue growth.
This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260526784310/en/
Peloton Interactive, Inc. appoints Sid Thacker as Chief Financial Officer.
Thacker will join the company following a successful tenure as Chief Financial Officer at Rent the Runway. During his three years in the role, he led a significant financial and operational transformation that reset the company's balance sheet and drove a return to top-line revenue and subscriber growth. He accomplished these results with a customer-first mindset and through deep cross-functional partnership, engineering a shift to a more capital-efficient inventory model, optimizing marketing spend and scaling revenue streams including resale and advertising. Before stepping into his role as Chief Financial Officer, Thacker served the company as SVP Finance and Head of Data Science.
Prior to Rent the Runway, Thacker spent two decades as a public market investor, managing complex asset portfolios, and sourcing and leading investments across consumer, financial and tech-enabled services.
“This is a pivotal time for Peloton as we are now operating from a place of strategic optionality and playing offense. Sid brings the financial acumen, forward-looking strategy, and deep consumer focus we need to drive our next chapter,” said Peter Stern, CEO and President, Peloton. “He knows how to grow a business with multiple revenue streams, and he brings the financial discipline to make sure we do it right. Plus, his background as an investor gives us a unique edge as we look to accelerate innovation and grow our impact."
“Having spent decades looking at businesses as a finance leader and as an investor, I’m excited by Peloton’s many strategic assets, from its iconic brand and unmatched instructors to its deeply loyal global community,” said incoming CFO Sid Thacker. “I look forward to working with the entire Peloton team to build on the current momentum and discipline, sharpen execution, and usher in a new chapter of profitable growth.”
Thacker will report to CEO Peter Stern and will be based at the company’s New York headquarters. He succeeds interim Chief Financial Officer Saqib Baig, who will remain the company’s Chief Accounting Officer.
About Peloton
Peloton (NASDAQ: PTON) provides Members with world-class equipment, ground-breaking software, expert human instruction, and the world’s most supportive fitness community. Founded in 2012 and headquartered in New York City, Peloton has millions of Members across the US, UK, Canada, Germany, Australia, and Austria. For more information, visit www.onepeloton.com.
This press release may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including with respect to statements regarding changes to our leadership team, our future operating results and financial position, our business strategy and plans, our growth, and our objectives for future operations. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, these forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties, and assumptions and other important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those stated, including the risks and uncertainties described in the sections titled “Risk Factors” in Part I, Item 1A and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in Part II, Item 7 in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025, as such factors may be updated in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Our forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this press release, and we undertake no obligation to update any of these forward-looking statements for any reason after the date of this press release or to conform these statements to actual results or revised expectations, except as required by law.
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260526784310/en/
Peloton Interactive (PTON 1.77%), a connected fitness products and services provider, closed Tuesday at $5.77, up 1.05%. The stock moved following the announcement of Sid Thacker as its new Chief Financial Officer. Investors are watching how leadership changes support its ongoing profitability gains. Trading volume reached 65.8 million shares, about 364% above its three-month average of 14.2 million shares. Peloton Interactive IPO'd in 2019 and has fallen 78% since going public.
How the markets moved todayThe S&P 500 added 0.62% to finish Tuesday at 7,519, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.19% to close at 26,656. In the leisure space, industry peer Yeti closed at $46.05, up 1.36%, as investors compare branded consumer demand trends across discretionary names.
What this means for investorsWhile the market didn’t seem to have a major reaction to Sid Thacker joining Peloton as the company’s new CFO, it could prove to be a promising move for investors. Thacker was previously the CFO at Rent the Runway for the last three years and “reset the company's balance sheet and drove a return to top-line revenue and subscriber growth.”
This ties in perfectly with the cost restructuring and streamlining taking place at Peloton. The company recently reached break-even profitability and recorded its first-quarter revenue growth since early 2022. Thacker flipped RENT stock’s net income positive in a relatively short time there, so Peloton should be in good financial hands with this announcement. One note for interested investors: PTON’s share count has climbed 7% annually since 2023, however.
Josh Kohn-Lindquist has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Peloton Interactive. The Motley Fool recommends Yeti. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
May 28, 2026 – TheNewswire - London, Ontario – Peloton Minerals Corporation (“Peloton” or the “Company”) (CSE Symbol: PMC; OTCQB Symbol: PMCCF)) has closed the first tranche of a non-brokered private placement financing previously announced as planned on May 19, 2026. The Company received $1,030,499.91 from 11,449,999 units priced at CDN$0.09 per unit. Each unit consists of one common share and one common share purchase warrant exercisable for three years at $0.12. The Company paid fees equal to eight percent of the funds raised and issued ten percent of the units issued in the form of broker warrants exercisable into a unit of the offering at the offering price for sixty months. The proceeds of the Private Placement will be used for exploration in northern Nevada and working capital.
The private placement was conducted in reliance upon certain prospectus exemptions, including the exemption allowing issuers to raise capital by distributing securities to existing shareholders (the “Existing Shareholder Exemption”) contained in OSC Rule 45-501 (2.9) and the various corresponding blanket orders and rules of participating jurisdictions (with the exception of Newfoundland and Labrador) as well as other available prospectus exemptions, including sales to accredited investors and close personal friends and business associates of directors and officers of the Company. The Company set May 19, 2026, as the record date for the purpose of determining existing shareholders entitled to purchase Shares pursuant to the Existing Shareholder Exemption.
The securities issued in connection with the Private Placement are subject to a hold period expiring four months and one day from the issuance of the securities.
For further information please contact:
Edward (Ted) Ellwood, MBA
President & CEO 1-519-697-2313
Peloton’s exploration portfolio includes a 100% interest in the North Elko Lithium Project in northeastern Nevada which is prospective for lithium, uranium, critical and rare earth minerals, as well the Golden Trail and Independence Valley Carlin style gold projects in northeastern Nevada, and a non-controlling interest in a copper porphyry project near Butte, Montana.
CSE has not reviewed and does not accept responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.
This news release contains "forward-looking information" (within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws) and "forward-looking statements" (within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995). Such statements or information are identified with words such as "anticipate", "believe", "estimate”, "expect", “foresee”, "intend", “looking”, “plan”, "potential", "propose", "project",” suggests”, "outlook" or similar words suggesting future outcomes or statements regarding an outlook.
Such statements include, among others, those concerning the Company’s plans to conduct future exploration programs. Such forward-looking information or statements are based on several risks, uncertainties, and assumptions which may cause actual results or other expectations to differ materially from those anticipated and which may prove to be incorrect. Assumptions have been made regarding, among other things, management's expectations regarding its ability to initiate and complete future exploration work as expected. Actual results could differ materially due to a number of factors, including, without limitation, operational risks in the completion of the Company’s future exploration work; technical, safety or regulatory issues; availability of capital; changes in general economic conditions and financial markets; the imposition of government restrictions on business which may ultimately affect and delay the exploration timeline; and changes in prices for metals that the Company is exploring for.
Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking information or statements are reasonable, prospective investors in the Company’s securities should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements because the Company can provide no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Forward-looking information and statements contained in this news release are as of the date of this news release and the Company assumes no obligation to update or revise this forward-looking information and statements except as required by law.
May 28, 2026 16:05 ET | Source: Peloton Interactive
NEW YORK, May 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Peloton Interactive, Inc. (Nasdaq: PTON) today announced that Chief Executive Officer, Peter Stern, will participate in a fireside chat at the Baird Global Consumer, Technology & Services Conference on Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 1:25 PM EDT.
The live webcast and replay can be accessed in the Events section of the company’s Investor Relations website: https://investor.onepeloton.com/news-and-events/events.
About Peloton Interactive, Inc.
Peloton (NASDAQ: PTON) provides Members with world-class equipment, ground-breaking software, expert human instruction, and the world’s most supportive fitness community. Founded in 2012 and headquartered in New York City, Peloton has millions of Members across the US, UK, Canada, Germany, Australia, and Austria. For more information, visit www.onepeloton.com.
June 03, 2026 16:05 ET | Source: Peloton Interactive
NEW YORK, June 03, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Peloton Interactive, Inc. (Nasdaq: PTON) today announced that Chief Executive Officer and President, Peter Stern, will participate in a fireside chat at the virtual Oppenheimer 26th Annual Consumer Growth and E-Commerce on Monday, June 8, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT.
The live webcast and replay can be accessed in the Events section of the company’s Investor Relations website: https://investor.onepeloton.com/news-and-events/events.
About Peloton Interactive, Inc.
Peloton (NASDAQ: PTON) provides Members with world-class equipment, ground-breaking software, expert human instruction, and the world’s most supportive fitness community. Founded in 2012 and headquartered in New York City, Peloton has millions of Members across the US, UK, Canada, Germany, Australia, and Austria. For more information, visit www.onepeloton.com.
Peloton Interactive (PTON 1.77%) has taken its investors on a bumpy ride. Shares are currently down 2% this year (as of June 3), lagging the overall market. However, in the past three months, they have soared 55%.
Maybe this is a sign of a rejuvenated business with much better prospects. Or it could simply be nothing more than an empty improvement in market sentiment.
Is this consumer discretionary stock a once-in-a-lifetime buying opportunity?
Image source: The Motley Fool.
The latest fiscal quarter was encouraging Peloton's most recent fiscal quarter (Q3 2026 ended March 31) provided investors with reasons to be a bit more optimistic than in recent years. The once-booming fitness innovator, which has been challenged in the post-pandemic environment, reported year-over-year revenue growth of 1%, supported by better-than-expected equipment sales.
This was the first fiscal quarter of a sales gain since the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024. Before that, it was a troubling streak of revenue declines since Q2 2022, when the top line was up 6.5%.
One trend hasn't changed. The number of connected fitness subscribers, which are customers who own equipment and pay the monthly membership fee, totaled under 2.7 million as of March 31. This figure was essentially the same as three months earlier, but 8% lower than 12 months earlier.
The company has cleaned up its financial position, which the market seems to be bullish about, considering the stock's recent performance. It has cut costs and reduced its debt balance. Peloton generated positive net income of $26 million in Q3, up from a $48 million net loss in the year-ago period. And it produced free cash flow of $150 million.
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Investors should still exercise caution Based on historical trends, the April-through-June quarter has typically been a seasonally weaker period for the business, which makes sense. People are spending more time outdoors, reducing their need for effective indoor workout options.
The top line might have expanded last quarter. But management expects revenue for the entire fiscal year to decline 2%.
Analyst estimates aren't encouraging. Between fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2028, the sell-side community believes Peloton's revenue will fall at a compound annual rate of 0.6%.
While the company deserves credit for revolutionizing the digital fitness experience, it has hit a wall. Until revenue starts to rise consistently at a solid clip, with ongoing subscriber additions setting a new normal, this is far from being a once-in-a-lifetime buying opportunity.
This is my perspective, even though the stock currently trades 96% below its peak and at a low price-to-sales ratio of 1.1.
May was an eventful month for exercise equipment and services specialist Peloton Interactive (PTON 1.77%). The company's stock, beaten down considerably on declines in its all-important subscriber count and a clutch of bottom-line losses, staged a comeback in May. It rose by more than 17% that month, on the back of a flip into profitability in its latest quarter, and other positive factors such as its inclusion on an important stock index.
Shaping up? The first major newsworthy event in May for Peloton was the release of its fiscal third-quarter 2026 figures. For the period, the company boosted revenue by 1% year over year to $631 million. Net income under generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) came in at over $26 million ($0.06 per share), quite a dramatic change from the year-ago loss of nearly $48 million.
Image source: Getty Images.
That meant a mixed quarter for Peloton, as it handily beat the consensus analyst estimate of just under $619 million. It barely missed on the bottom line; meanwhile, as those pundits were collectively predicting GAAP net income of $0.07 per share.
The news behind the numbers was mixed, too. Yes, the company managed to improve its revenue (if modestly) and land convincingly in the black on the bottom line. It also slightly raised the low end of its full-year revenue guidance range to $2.42 billion from $2.4 billion (the high end remains $2.44 billion). However, its count of connected fitness subscriptions fell again, by nearly 8% to 2.66 million.
Several analysts tweaked their takes on Peloton after earnings were released, and they were clearly more impressed by the positives than discouraged by the negatives. Influential investment bank Goldman Sachs added $1 to its price target on the stock, to $8, and maintained its buy recommendation. Later in the month, big bank Citigroup made a similar move, pushing its price target to $6 per share from $5. It kept its neutral rating intact.
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Indexed On May 21, Peloton was tapped to become a component stock of the S&P SmallCap 600 index, replacing Enviri, effective May 27. That helped to give Peloton a late-in-the-month lift, not least because getting included in such a lineup makes a stock a good target for the many index funds that trawl the market looking for portfolio candidates.
Aping its more successful users, Peloton as a company has slimmed down and become a leaner operation, which is one reason its bottom line looked so much better in the third quarter. If I were an investor, though, I'd be concerned about the continued erosion of subscriptions, since that indicates not every aspect of its business is in prime shape. Given that, I wouldn't be buying this stock now.
Citigroup is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Goldman Sachs Group and Peloton Interactive. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.