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2026-07-22 17:24 3d ago
2026-07-22 11:01 3d ago
PennyMac čeká EPS 2,08 USD, tržby rostou
PFSI PennyMac Finl Svcs
FMP Stock News 72
Original source text
The market expects PennyMac Financial (PFSI - Free Report) to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2026. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.

The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on July 29. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.

While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise.

Zacks Consensus EstimateThis mortgage banking and investment management company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $2.08 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +103.9%.

Revenues are expected to be $535.43 million, up 20.4% from the year-ago quarter.

Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 11.9% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.

Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change.

Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. Our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) -- has this insight at its core.

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.

A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.

Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).

How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for PennyMac?For PennyMac, the Most Accurate Estimate is the same as the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that there are no recent analyst views which differ from what have been considered to derive the consensus estimate. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of 0%.

On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #5.

So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that PennyMac will beat the consensus EPS estimate.

Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.

For the last reported quarter, it was expected that PennyMac would post earnings of $2.22 per share when it actually produced earnings of $2.19, delivering a surprise of -1.35%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates just once.

Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.

That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

PennyMac doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.

Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.
2026-07-22 10:11 3d ago
2026-07-22 03:42 4d ago
PennyMac Financial Services zveřejní výsledky ve středu
PFSI PennyMac Finl Svcs
FMP Stock News 78
Original source text
PennyMac Financial Services (NYSE:PFSI – Get Free Report) will likely be posting its Q2 2026 results after the market closes on Wednesday, July 29th. Analysts expect PennyMac Financial Services to post earnings of $2.25 per share and revenue of $581.7160 million for the quarter. Parties are encouraged to explore the company’s upcoming Q2 2026 earning results page for the latest details on the call scheduled for Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

PennyMac Financial Services (NYSE:PFSI – Get Free Report) last issued its quarterly earnings results on Tuesday, May 5th. The real estate investment trust reported $2.19 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $2.22 by ($0.03). PennyMac Financial Services had a return on equity of 10.93% and a net margin of 23.47%.The business had revenue of $544.98 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $546.17 million. During the same period in the previous year, the business posted $1.42 earnings per share. The firm’s quarterly revenue was up 26.5% on a year-over-year basis. On average, analysts expect PennyMac Financial Services to post $10 EPS for the current fiscal year and $14 EPS for the next fiscal year.

PennyMac Financial Services Trading Up 0.5% NYSE PFSI opened at $84.02 on Wednesday. The company has a market cap of $4.36 billion, a P/E ratio of 8.93, a P/E/G ratio of 0.59 and a beta of 1.44. PennyMac Financial Services has a 12 month low of $77.67 and a 12 month high of $160.36. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.63, a current ratio of 0.33 and a quick ratio of 0.33. The company has a 50-day moving average of $83.72 and a 200-day moving average of $96.21.

PennyMac Financial Services Dividend Announcement The business also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Thursday, May 28th. Shareholders of record on Monday, May 18th were paid a dividend of $0.30 per share. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Monday, May 18th. This represents a $1.20 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 1.4%. PennyMac Financial Services’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is currently 12.75%.

Insider Buying and Selling at PennyMac Financial Services In other news, CAO Gregory L. Hendry sold 2,943 shares of the stock in a transaction dated Monday, June 22nd. The stock was sold at an average price of $81.71, for a total value of $240,472.53. Following the completion of the sale, the chief accounting officer owned 48,968 shares in the company, valued at approximately $4,001,175.28. This trade represents a 5.67% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through this link. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Also, CFO Daniel Stanley Perotti sold 2,925 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction dated Friday, May 15th. The shares were sold at an average price of $87.50, for a total value of $255,937.50. Following the sale, the chief financial officer owned 210,625 shares in the company, valued at approximately $18,429,687.50. The trade was a 1.37% decrease in their ownership of the stock. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Insiders have sold 18,045 shares of company stock valued at $1,565,470 over the last three months. 15.80% of the stock is owned by company insiders.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows A number of institutional investors have recently made changes to their positions in the company. Invesco Ltd. grew its holdings in PennyMac Financial Services by 7.3% during the 4th quarter. Invesco Ltd. now owns 1,569,184 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock valued at $206,881,000 after purchasing an additional 106,088 shares in the last quarter. Basswood Capital Management L.L.C. lifted its holdings in PennyMac Financial Services by 5.9% in the 2nd quarter. Basswood Capital Management L.L.C. now owns 570,210 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock worth $56,816,000 after buying an additional 31,743 shares in the last quarter. Ameriprise Financial Inc. lifted its holdings in PennyMac Financial Services by 43.4% in the 2nd quarter. Ameriprise Financial Inc. now owns 400,788 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock worth $39,935,000 after buying an additional 121,382 shares in the last quarter. Two Sigma Investments LP boosted its position in PennyMac Financial Services by 1,148.7% in the 3rd quarter. Two Sigma Investments LP now owns 310,919 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock valued at $38,517,000 after buying an additional 286,019 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Balyasny Asset Management L.P. boosted its position in PennyMac Financial Services by 145.1% in the 2nd quarter. Balyasny Asset Management L.P. now owns 286,123 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock valued at $28,509,000 after buying an additional 169,395 shares during the last quarter. 57.87% of the stock is owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

Analyst Ratings Changes A number of analysts have recently commented on the company. Barclays downgraded PennyMac Financial Services from an “overweight” rating to an “equal weight” rating and dropped their price objective for the stock from $107.00 to $93.00 in a report on Tuesday, July 7th. Piper Sandler lowered their price target on PennyMac Financial Services from $112.00 to $106.00 and set an “overweight” rating for the company in a research report on Thursday, July 2nd. Zacks Research lowered PennyMac Financial Services from a “hold” rating to a “strong sell” rating in a research note on Friday, May 8th. BTIG Research cut their price objective on PennyMac Financial Services from $150.00 to $105.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a report on Tuesday, June 16th. Finally, Wall Street Zen upgraded PennyMac Financial Services from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a report on Saturday, May 9th. Five analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, three have assigned a Hold rating and two have issued a Sell rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat.com, PennyMac Financial Services currently has a consensus rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $114.62.

Read Our Latest Analysis on PennyMac Financial Services

About PennyMac Financial Services (Get Free Report)

PennyMac Financial Services, Inc (NYSE: PFSI) is a leading mortgage banking company based in Westlake Village, California. The firm operates through two primary business segments: Production and Mortgage Servicing Rights (MSR). In its Production segment, PennyMac originates residential mortgage loans through retail, wholesale and correspondent channels, focusing on both purchase and refinance transactions. The MSR segment involves the acquisition and servicing of mortgage loans, whereby the company earns fees for managing loan portfolios on behalf of investors.

Since its founding in 2008, PennyMac has grown through a combination of organic origination and strategic acquisition of servicing rights, positioning itself as one of the largest residential mortgage loan servicers in the United States.

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2026-06-25 15:37 1mo ago
2026-06-25 10:41 1mo ago
Sněmovna reprezentantů USA schválila zákon o dostupném bydlení, RKT prudce roste
PFSI PennyMac Finl Svcs
FMP Stock News 78
Original source text
Key Takeaways RKT climbed 9.4% yesterday as the landmark housing bill has moved one step closer to becoming a law.PFSI could benefit from diversified production channels and a sizable mortgage servicing platform.LDI may see operating leverage if purchase mortgage demand boosts, though mortgage rates remain a key factor. A landmark bipartisan affordable housing bill has moved one step closer to becoming a law after the U.S. House of Representatives overwhelmingly approved the legislation and sent it to President Donald Trump for final approval. This has put the spotlight back on the housing market. While home builders may be the most direct beneficiaries, the mortgage finance industry could also see meaningful second-order benefits if the bill helps unlock housing supply and stimulate transaction volumes.

This makes mortgage-focused stocks such as Rocket Companies (RKT - Free Report) , PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI - Free Report) and loanDepot (LDI - Free Report) worth watching. Shares of RKT jumped 9.4% yesterday, while PFSI and LDI gained 3.9% and 5.3%, respectively.

A Closer Look at the Housing Reform BillThe U.S. housing market has faced a persistent shortage of affordable homes for more than a decade. High mortgage rates, rising construction costs, restrictive zoning rules and lengthy permitting processes have made homeownership increasingly difficult.

The 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act is a bipartisan housing reform package designed to boost housing supply, improve affordability, modernize federal housing programs and expand access to homeownership.

It focuses on removing barriers that slow residential construction, encouraging local zoning and land-use reforms, expanding financing for affordable housing and supporting manufactured and modular housing. It also seeks to update long-standing programs such as the HOME Investment Partnerships Program and provide communities with new tools to plan and build more homes. Another key provision aims to curb large institutional investors and private equity firms from buying single-family homes, a trend that has raised concerns about reduced affordability for individual buyers.

RKT, PFSI & LDI: How Mortgage Stocks Could BenefitMortgage companies generate revenues from several key areas, including loan originations, mortgage servicing rights, refinancing activity and related home-financing services. When housing transactions rise, lenders typically benefit from higher application volumes, stronger purchase mortgage demand and improved fee income.

If the proposed housing bill succeeds in increasing housing inventory, improving affordability and encouraging more home purchases, mortgage-focused companies such as Rocket Companies, PennyMac Financial Services and loanDepot could see a meaningful improvement in their financials.

Rocket Companies could be one of the more visible beneficiaries due to its scale, strong consumer brand and digital-first mortgage platform. The company has invested heavily in technology, automation and customer acquisition, which may allow it to capture demand efficiently if homebuying activity improves.

PennyMac Financial Services appears comparatively well-positioned because of its diversified mortgage production channels, strong correspondent lending business and sizable servicing platform. Its servicing operations can provide more stable revenues during periods of origination weakness, while its production business could benefit if purchase activity accelerates. This balanced model may give PennyMac Financial Services more resilience than lenders that rely more heavily on direct-to-consumer originations.

loanDepot, meanwhile, may offer higher upside potential if mortgage volumes rebound. Because the company has been more pressured by weak origination activity, any recovery in purchase demand could create operating leverage and improve profitability.

Still, interest rates remain the key variable for the mortgage stocks. A housing bill may help address supply constraints, but mortgage demand will likely need lower borrowing costs, stable home prices and stronger consumer confidence to recover meaningfully. If rates remain elevated, the benefit from increased housing supply could be limited.

Final Words on Housing Bill ReformThe housing bill should be viewed as a potential structural tailwind rather than an immediate earnings catalyst for mortgage stocks. Its impact will depend on whether housing supply improves meaningfully and whether rate conditions become more favorable.

Overall, the legislation could help set the stage for a gradual recovery in mortgage activity. For investors, RKT, PFSI and LDI remain important stocks to watch as the housing market moves from rate-driven weakness toward possible supply-supported normalization.