PepsiCo (PEP -2.20%) stock has reached a critical juncture, presenting an opportunity for investors. The company's struggles have led to a falling stock price and, by extension, a rising dividend yield.
More importantly, recent events have aligned in a way that could lead to a long-awaited stock price recovery. Also, its rising profits bode well for its continued dividend growth.
Here is what happened that turned PepsiCo around and how it can benefit stock investors.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
PepsiCo's value as an income stock
As conditions stand now, new PepsiCo shareholders will earn a 4.3% dividend return. That is far above the 3.2% average yield of the last five years, and well above the 1.1% S&P 500 (^GSPC -0.52%) average.
That return stems from its $5.92-per-share annual dividend. Moreover, since the company has amassed a 54-year record of annual payout hikes, PepsiCo is a Dividend King.
The Dividend King status is critical because a company must raise its payout for at least 50 consecutive years to achieve it. Such a status makes a stock attractive to certain dividend funds. It also likely means that ending the increases would undermine confidence in the stock, a compelling incentive for PepsiCo to maintain the current pace of payout hikes.
Furthermore, free cash flow for the trailing 12 months was $10.8 billion. Since dividend costs are on track to reach about $8 billion for the fiscal year, the company can likely afford to maintain and increase the payout.
Why the income (and stock price) growth is likely to continue
Additionally, dividend funding is likely to improve.
Until recently, PepsiCo appeared destined for stagnation or possibly decline. Consumers had increasingly turned against the unhealthy beverages and packaged foods that define most of the company's product lineup.
In recent years, PepsiCo has responded. The company selectively cut prices and cut some of its products. It then offered health-conscious products and put healthier ingredients in others. It also acquired Siete Foods, a brand focused on healthy ingredients, to build on these initiatives.
Consequently, in the first nine months of fiscal 2026 (ended Sept. 5), revenue of $69 billion climbed 7% annually from year-ago levels. In contrast, revenue increased by less than 1% annually in the first three quarters of 2025.
Expenses climbed at a slower pace, meaning the $8.4 billion in net income for the first nine months of 2026 was up 47% over the same period.
PEP PepsiCo$135.77-$3.06 (-2.20%)
NASDAQ · As of 4:00 PM ET 10/23/26
Unfortunately, the stock has not responded, and it is down for the year. Nonetheless, that drop has taken its P/E ratio to 17, a level near multiyear lows. Such a valuation arguably adds to the draw when income investors know they can earn 4.3% in dividend returns.
Investing in PepsiCo stock
As conditions stand now, new PepsiCo investors can buy a high-yielding, stable, and rising income stream at a discounted valuation.
Indeed, PepsiCo had struggled to adapt to shifting consumer tastes. However, it has adjusted its product lines to address that change, and sales have risen as a result.
Assuming that trend continues, PepsiCo investors should benefit from a generous dividend at a discounted price, possibly making it an undervalued dividend stock you can buy and hold forever.
PepsiCo (PEP - Free Report) has recently been on Zacks.com's list of the most searched stocks. Therefore, you might want to consider some of the key factors that could influence the stock's performance in the near future.
Shares of this food and beverage company have returned +8.3% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -1.2% change. The Zacks Beverages - Soft drinks industry, to which PepsiCo belongs, has gained 7.1% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term?
Although media reports or rumors about a significant change in a company's business prospects usually cause its stock to trend and lead to an immediate price change, there are always certain fundamental factors that ultimately drive the buy-and-hold decision.
Earnings Estimate RevisionsHere at Zacks, we prioritize appraising the change in the projection of a company's future earnings over anything else. That's because we believe the present value of its future stream of earnings is what determines the fair value for its stock.
Our analysis is essentially based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to take the latest business trends into account. When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock's fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements.
For the current quarter, PepsiCo is expected to post earnings of $2.24 per share, indicating a change of -0.9% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed -8.4% over the last 30 days.
The consensus earnings estimate of $8.42 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of +3.4%. This estimate has changed -2.1% over the last 30 days.
For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $8.64 indicates a change of +2.6% from what PepsiCo is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed -3.9%.
With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is a more conclusive indicator of a stock's near-term price performance, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) for PepsiCo.
The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:
12 Month EPS
Revenue Growth ForecastWhile earnings growth is arguably the most superior indicator of a company's financial health, nothing happens as such if a business isn't able to grow its revenues. After all, it's nearly impossible for a company to increase its earnings for an extended period without increasing its revenues. So, it's important to know a company's potential revenue growth.
For PepsiCo, the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter of $30.41 billion indicates a year-over-year change of +3.6%. For the current and next fiscal years, $99.3 billion and $101.68 billion estimates indicate +5.7% and +2.4% changes, respectively.
Last Reported Results and Surprise HistoryPepsiCo reported revenues of $25.27 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +5.6%. EPS of $2.34 for the same period compares with $2.29 a year ago.
Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $24.88 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of +1.59%. The EPS surprise was +2.18%.
The company beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters. The company topped consensus revenue estimates each time over this period.
ValuationWithout considering a stock's valuation, no investment decision can be efficient. In predicting a stock's future price performance, it's crucial to determine whether its current price correctly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects.
Comparing the current value of a company's valuation multiples, such as its price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), to its own historical values helps ascertain whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, whereas comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of how reasonable its stock price is.
As part of the Zacks Style Scores system, the Zacks Value Style Score (which evaluates both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics) organizes stocks into five groups ranging from A to F (A is better than B; B is better than C; and so on), making it helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.
PepsiCo is graded D on this front, indicating that it is trading at a premium to its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.
ConclusionThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about PepsiCo. However, its Zacks Rank #4 does suggest that it may underperform the broader market in the near term.
PepsiCo just cut its earnings outlook while its stock sits 17% below its peak, yet the company still promises billions in dividends with cash coverage paper-thin. Before trusting that 4% yield, there is one number worth a very close look.
PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP | PEP Price Prediction) now yields 4.0%. That puts it on the shortlist for retirees who want income from a household name. The harder question is whether a company that just lowered its earnings outlook can keep paying that dividend.
Why the Yield Climbed to 4%
Yields rise when the dividend goes up or the stock goes down. PepsiCo has both going on. The stock trades at $137.95, which is 17.1% below its 52-week high of $166.41. Over the past year, shares are down 6.2%. Meanwhile, the quarterly dividend rose from $0.7525 in 2016 to $1.48 in 2026, up 96.7%. The stock gained 75.21% over the same ten years, so the payout has grown faster than the share price.
The dividend record goes back to 1999. It shows a higher quarterly rate every year and no cuts.
Cash Coverage Is Getting Tight
The forward dividend of $5.92 is about 74% of trailing EPS of $7.95. That’s a modest buffer.
Cash flow is tighter. In 2025, PepsiCo brought in $12.09 billion of operating cash flow and spent $4.42 billion on capital projects. That left roughly $7.67 billion of free cash flow to cover $7.64 billion in dividends, so coverage was about 1.0x. In the first nine months of 2026, free cash flow was about $5.77 billion, while dividends totaled $5.94 billion. The fourth quarter usually brings in the most cash. Operating cash flow was $6.62 billion in the fourth quarter of 2025. Coverage this thin is one of the warning signs we flagged in a free report on dividend traps, worth a read before chasing any 4% yield.
The balance sheet adds some support. Net debt is 2.60x EBITDA, and interest coverage is 10.26x. PepsiCo also holds $10.68 billion in cash.
Bull Case: International Keeps Growing
Third-quarter core EPS was $2.34, beating the $2.30 consensus. Chief Executive Ramon Laguarta pointed to the international business:
“Year-to-date, international is already 45% of our profit.”
Real Risk: Rising Costs Are Squeezing Margins
PepsiCo lowered its 2026 core EPS growth outlook to +2.5% to +3.5%. The old guidance had a low end of +5%. Chief Financial Officer Steve Schmitt explained why:
“Margin performance is below where we expected it to be. Input costs are trending higher, and mix has been a headwind in particular.”
Third-quarter profit also got a 4-percentage-point boost from tariff refunds, and that won’t repeat. Laguarta didn’t hide his frustration with North America: “We do not feel good about the beverage business.”
How PepsiCo Stacks Up Against Its Rivals
Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO) yields about 2.1%. It raised its outlook and expects about $12.4 billion of free cash flow. That’s far more buffer than its $8.8 billion in 2025 dividends. Mondelez International (NASDAQ:MDLZ) raised its quarterly dividend by 4% and expects about $3 billion of free cash flow, even with high cocoa costs. PepsiCo pays the highest yield of the three, and its cash buffer is the thinnest.
Verdict: The Dividend Looks Durable, With Slower Raises Likely
A payout ratio near 74%, manageable debt, and a long record without cuts suggest the dividend is safe for now. For 2026, PepsiCo still plans $7.9 billion in dividends and only $1.0 billion in buybacks. The weak spot is cash coverage. If free cash flow can’t climb above roughly 1x the dividend, future raises will likely get smaller. Watch for the 2027 outlook, which management plans to give in February.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
PepsiCo and Taco Bell have renewed their landmark U.S. partnership for 11 years, covering participating Taco Bell, Taco Bell Cantina and Live Más Cafe locations.
Internationally, PepsiCo will serve as Taco Bell's beverage partner in Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland and Thailand.
The partnership will bring Mountain Dew® Baja Blast® to more consumers around the world, expanding the reach of one of Taco Bell and PepsiCo's most iconic collaborations.
The next chapter will build on more than two decades of food and beverage innovation, from Mountain Dew® Baja Blast® and DORITOS® Locos Tacos to new crafted, functional and energy beverage experiences.
, /PRNewswire/ -- PepsiCo (NASDAQ: PEP) today announced it has renewed its partnership with Taco Bell in the U.S. and several international markets. The agreement reflects the strength of the brands' long-standing relationship and creates new opportunities to support growth, accelerate food and beverage innovation and deliver distinctive consumer experiences.
PepsiCo and Taco Bell have renewed their landmark U.S. partnership for 11 years, covering participating Taco Bell, Taco Bell Cantina and Live Más Cafe locations.
"Some of PepsiCo's best foodservice innovations have come from partnerships that challenge us to think differently, and Taco Bell has always brought that energy," says Anne Fink, President, PepsiCo Global Away from Home. "Together, we have co-created products consumers love, from the iconic Mountain Dew Baja Blast to DORITOS Locos Tacos. What makes this partnership special is how we bring together Taco Bell's connection to culture with PepsiCo's consumer insights, culinary capabilities and beverage expertise to create what's next. We're excited about what we can build together over the next 11 years."
"Strong partnerships have always been critical to how Taco Bell grows and evolves," said Meg Farren, Taco Bell's President, North America. "PepsiCo has been a trusted partner for over two decades, and we look forward to continuing to work hand-in-hand to drive long-term growth for the Taco Bell brand, create greater value across our system and find new ways to meet the evolving needs of our consumers."
Taco Bell and PepsiCo Renew U.S. Partnership Through 2036
PepsiCo and Taco Bell have renewed their longstanding U.S. partnership for another 11 years. PepsiCo's beverage portfolio, including Pepsi®, Pepsi Zero Sugar®, Mountain Dew®, Starry®, as well as iconic exclusives Mountain Dew Baja Blast® and Mountain Dew Baja Midnight®, along with other consumer favorites, will continue to be featured across participating Taco Bell®, Taco Bell Cantina® and Live Más Cafe® locations nationwide, extending a partnership that has helped drive beverage and food innovation for decades.
For more than two decades, the brands have worked together to create fan-favorite innovations including Mountain Dew Baja Blast and DORITOS® Locos Tacos. Mountain Dew Baja Blast has grown into a billion-dollar brand with a passionate fan following, while continued innovation, from Baja Midnight and limited-time pink Baja Blast to Baja Blast Pie for Friendsgiving and Baja Blast Gelato, has kept the platform fresh and culturally relevant. DORITOS® Locos Tacos, another signature collaboration between Taco Bell and PepsiCo, will celebrate its 15th anniversary in 2027, with new flavors planned for the platform.
Building on that foundation, the partnership will focus on staying ahead of emerging beverage trends across crafted, functional and energy beverages, including energy offerings designed to appeal to Gen Z consumers and unlock new morning and afternoon occasions. PepsiCo and Taco Bell have partnered from consumer insight through development and execution to bring new beverage experiences to life, including Refrescas, a premium beverage platform designed to create elevated pairing opportunities, and an expanding range of crafted and functional beverages to stay ahead of emerging beverage trends.
PepsiCo Renews Partnership with Taco Bell Across Several International Markets
Additionally, PepsiCo will continue serving as Taco Bell's beverage partner in Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland and Thailand. Similar to the U.S. partnership, the companies will collaborate on beverage experiences, localized innovation and market-specific programs designed around the needs of local consumers and restaurant operators.
About PepsiCo
PepsiCo products are enjoyed by consumers more than one billion times a day in more than 200 countries and territories around the world. PepsiCo generated nearly $94 billion in net revenue in 2025, driven by a complementary beverage and convenient foods portfolio that includes Lay's, Doritos, Cheetos, Gatorade, Pepsi-Cola, Mountain Dew, Quaker, and SodaStream. PepsiCo's product portfolio includes a wide range of enjoyable foods and drinks, including many iconic brands that generate more than $1 billion each in estimated annual retail sales.
Guiding PepsiCo is our vision to be the Global Leader in Beverages and Convenient Foods by Winning with pep+ (PepsiCo Positive). pep+ is our strategic end-to-end transformation that places sustainability at the center of our business strategy, seeking to drive growth and build a stronger, more resilient future for PepsiCo and the communities where we operate. For more information, visit www.pepsico.com, and follow on X (Twitter), Instagram, Facebook, and LinkedIn @PepsiCo.
Pepsi will continue to be poured at Taco Bell restaurants, as will specialty drinks Mountain Dew Baja Blast and Kickstart Orange Citrus.
That's because the company behind those beverages, PepsiCo (PEP +3.07%) , announced Thursday that it signed an 11-year extension to its existing collaboration with Taco Bell. PepsiCo will continue to be the exclusive provider of soda and other liquid concoctions at the ever-popular fast-food restaurant's outlets. Here are the particulars of the new deal, at least the ones the beverage and snack giant was willing to provide.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Ringing the BellThe pact, which will be in force through 2036, covers all U.S. Taco Bell locations, as well as outlets of the brand extensions Taco Bell Cantina and Live Más Cafe. This also applies to Taco Bells in Canada, the U.K., Ireland, and Thailand. The popular and exclusive PepsiCo products served at the restaurants, especially the beloved Baja Blast, will remain, as will company standards such as Pepsi and Mountain Dew.
PepsiCo did not provide the financial particulars of the new agreement.
The timing of the Taco Bell extension is ideal. Only last week, another longtime partner, KFC, opted to oust PepsiCo as its exclusive beverage purveyor in favor of that company's eternal rival, Coca-Cola (KO +2.87%), effective at the start of next year. Interestingly, both Taco Bell and KFC are operated by the same restaurant conglomerate, Yum! Brands (YUM +2.12%), a business spun off from PepsiCo in 1997 (hence the legacy beverage supply arrangements).
In PepsiCo's press release on the renewed Taco Bell deal, the company quoted its president of the Global Away From Home unit, Anne Fink, as saying that "Some of PepsiCo's best foodservice innovations have come from partnerships that challenge us to think differently, and Taco Bell has always brought that energy."
PEP PepsiCo$138.83+$4.13 (+3.07%)
NASDAQ · As of 4:00 PM ET 10/22/26
Innovators wantedWhat's interesting to me about both developments is that they seem to share a single theme. It's stronger in the PepsiCo Taco Bell announcement, which features the word "innovation" and its variations eight times, including the quote above. The real value in the new arrangements seems to be the exclusive drinks that the beverage partner has either helped introduce, or can introduce, in the future.
Baja Blast, co-developed by PepsiCo and Taco Bell, was a real departure for the pair, a new, distinctive, and exclusive offering that set the latter apart and enhanced its appeal. In fact, in the Taco Bell renewal announcement, PepsiCo took pains to mention that Baja Blast -- for which it holds the registered trademark and a host of other intellectual property rights -- is now a billion-dollar brand. Taco Bell surely doesn't want to lose that mojo.
KFC and PepsiCo made a similar plunge into special drinks with the 2019 rollout of Sweet Lightning. The gold-colored soft drink with the peach flavor didn't make anywhere near the splash Baja Blast did, not least because its introduction came shortly before the onset of the coronavirus pandemic and its deleterious effect on the restaurant business. Sweet Lightning is still on the menu at KFC, at least for now, as are other drinks that are essentially cream additions to standard offerings.
It feels to me, then, that KFC and Taco Bell both chose the beverage company they believed was most innovative. For the former, it was the powerhouse Coca-Cola, while the latter opted to stay with the partner that helped develop its smash-hit exclusive drink.
Wins and lossesWithout knowing the financial details of the Taco Bell extension, it’s tough to gauge how much it'll affect PepsiCo's fundamentals. It's undoubtedly encouraging by comparison, at least, since the Mexican-themed fast-food slinger’s U.S. sales are much higher than KFC’s.
Nevertheless, as KFC remains a major presence on this continent’s quick-dining scene, I'd imagine PepsiCo was eager to sign the deal after losing that business. So the Taco Bell extension might not be more lucrative than the legacy arrangement. Given what we know, I'd rate the new pact as a clear victory for PepsiCo, if not a major game changer.
And that's something that would concern me about the company. With flat-lining organic sales in its crucial North America beverage and snacks operations, it needs bigger wins. Sure, it has a high-yield dividend that pays out at 4.4% these days, but I don't think that's enough to support or increase its share price alone. I'd give PepsiCo stock a miss, despite Thursday's indisputably good news.
PepsiCo, Inc. (NASDAQ:PEP) on Thursday renewed its landmark U.S. partnership deal with Yum! Brands, Inc. (NYSE:YUM)-owned Taco Bell for 11 years through 2036.
The announcement comes just a week after rival Coca-Cola Co (NYSE:KO) secured a major beverage supply agreement with KFC, ending PepsiCo’s nearly 40-year relationship with the fried chicken chain in the U.S.
PepsiCo stock is trading higher by about 3% on Thursday, while Yum! Brands stock is higher by more than 1%, with Consumer Staples up 2.59%.
• PepsiCo stock is moving in positive territory. What’s pushing PEP stock higher?
PepsiCo Retains Key Restaurant Partnership Through 2036PepsiCo renewed its partnership with Taco Bell in the U.S. and several international markets.
The U.S. partnership is for 11 years and covers participating Taco Bell, Taco Bell Cantina and Live Más Cafe locations nationwide.
The deal covers drinks including Pepsi, Pepsi Zero Sugar, Mountain Dew, Starry, as well as iconic exclusives Mountain Dew Baja Blast and Mountain Dew Baja Midnight.
The companies will also expand their collaboration into crafted, functional and energy beverages, targeting evolving consumer preferences and younger customers, particularly Gen Z.
Internationally, PepsiCo will serve as Taco Bell’s beverage partner in Canada, the U.K., Ireland and Thailand,
The companies also plan to develop localized beverages and market-specific initiatives.
Anne Fink, president of PepsiCo Global Away from Home, highlighted the companies’ history of creating successful and innovative products, including Baja Blast and Doritos Locos Tacos.
PepsiCo North American Business Remains Under PressureThe renewed partnership brings some confidence to the PepsiCo brand, which is struggling to revive growth in its North American beverage business.
During its recent earnings call in early October, PepsiCo also lowered its fiscal 2026 earnings outlook amid ongoing margin pressure in North America.
The company anticipates margin pressure in the fourth quarter due to rising input costs and the expiration of tariff benefits.
Management emphasized a strategic focus on cost reduction and reinvestment in growth areas, particularly in North America, to address competitive pressures and improve execution.
PepsiCo has witnessed price target reductions recently by analysts, including:
Citigroup: Neutral (Lowers target to $163 on Oct. 21) TD Cowen: Buy (Lowers target to $177 on Oct. 7) Guggenheim: Buy (Lowers target to $155 on Oct. 6) The stock carries a Buy rating with a consensus price target of $146.
Coca-Cola’s Recent KFC Win Intensifies Beverage RivalryThe news follows Coca-Cola’s announcement on Oct. 15 that it would replace PepsiCo as KFC’s beverage supplier across approximately 3,600 U.S. restaurants. However, international KFC locations will continue to serve PepsiCo beverages.
The transition for KFC will begin in January 2027 and is expected to be completed by spring 2027.
Coca-Cola already supplies major chains, including McDonald’s Corporation (NYSE:MCD) and Wendy’s Company (NASDAQ:WEN).
PEP Price Action: PepsiCo shares were up 2.65% at $136.18 and Yum Brands shares were up 1.18% at $153.03 at the time of publication on Thursday, according to Benzinga Pro data.
Image via Shutterstock
Read Next
Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs
Key Takeaways PEP's $3B-plus portion-controlled snack business is strengthening its focus on affordability and convenience.North American snack volumes shifted from low-single-digit declines to low-single-digit growth in 2026.PEP's $3B-plus permissible snacks portfolio and new products support growth despite cost and margin pressures.
PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP - Free Report) is strengthening its North American snacks business by focusing on affordability, portion control and innovation to address evolving consumer preferences. With consumers increasingly seeking value-oriented snacking options, the company is expanding its presence in convenient, portion-controlled formats. PepsiCo's 100-calorie and 120-calorie snack packs represent a business exceeding $3 billion, highlighting the growing importance of these offerings. This platform could support category growth by improving affordability, expanding consumption occasions and strengthening consumer engagement.
PepsiCo's portion-controlled snacks strategy complements its broader portfolio transformation. The company also boasts a permissible snacking portfolio generating more than $3 billion in sales, featuring brands such as SunChips, Smartfood, Simply and PopCorners. Innovation initiatives, including Doritos Protein and premium offerings featuring avocado and olive oils, further strengthen its growth prospects. These efforts, alongside strategic pricing adjustments and increased marketing investments, are yielding encouraging results. North American snack volumes have improved from low-single-digit declines last year to low-single-digit growth in 2026, accompanied by market share gains.
Looking ahead, PepsiCo intends to accelerate investments in high-growth snacking platforms while improving operational efficiency and commercial execution. Its emphasis on affordable formats, innovation and targeted advertising could sustain volume recovery and strengthen market competitiveness. However, persistent consumer spending pressures, rising input costs and margin headwinds remain concerns. Nevertheless, the expanding portion-controlled snacks business, supported by improving volumes and portfolio diversification, positions PepsiCo to pursue sustainable growth in North American snacks.
KDP and KO Focus on Innovation and Affordability to Drive GrowthKeurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP - Free Report) and The Coca-Cola Company (KO - Free Report) are leveraging product innovation, affordable packaging, portfolio diversification and strategic investments to drive growth amid evolving consumer preferences.
Keurig Dr Pepper continues to focus on product innovation, portfolio diversification and strategic pricing to strengthen its position in the beverage market. The company is leveraging its extensive portfolio, including Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, GHOST and Core Hydration, to address evolving consumer preferences across different consumption occasions. Its emphasis on brand investments, distribution expansion and revenue management supports growth amid a value-conscious consumer environment. In second-quarter 2026, KDP's U.S. Refreshment Beverages business delivered double-digit sales and earnings growth, reflecting strong execution and brand momentum. Continued innovation, targeted marketing and productivity initiatives could help the company sustain demand and strengthen its competitive position despite ongoing cost pressures.
Coca-Cola is emphasizing affordability, packaging innovation and portfolio optimization to drive growth amid changing consumer spending patterns. The company's focus on smaller packaging formats, including mini cans, allows it to offer accessible price points while addressing demand for portion-controlled beverages. Coca-Cola is also leveraging its diversified portfolio, including Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, to capitalize on evolving consumption trends. In second-quarter 2026, global unit case volume increased 5%, while organic revenues advanced 6%, supported by volume growth and favorable price/mix.
PEP’s Price Performance, Valuation & EstimatesShares of PepsiCo have lost 0.2% in the past three months against the industry’s rise of 9.6%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
From a valuation standpoint, PEP trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 15.61X, below the industry’s average of 20.18X.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PEP’s 2026 and 2027 earnings implies year-over-year growth of 3.7% and 2.9%, respectively. The company’s EPS estimates for 2026 and 2027 have moved southward in the past seven days.
PepsiCo and Taco Bell renewed their long-running partnership through 2036, the food and beverage company said on Thursday.
The announcement comes one week after Taco Bell's sister chain KFC said that it will switch to Coca-Cola as its U.S. beverage supplier. While it is unusual for large restaurant chains to switch drink providers, the move is not unprecedented, as Coke and Pepsi try to win contracts through perks and other inducements.
Coke's win over Pepsi was more symbolic, representing another example of how the Atlanta-based company has been beating its rival in the soda category.
Pepsi's relationship with Taco Bell and KFC parent Yum Brands spans decades, back to when the beverage giant owned the restaurant chains before spinning them into a separate public company in 1997. Despite KFC's defection in the U.S., Pepsi remains an important partner for Yum and the chain's international markets, KFC U.S. President Catherine Tan-Gillespie wrote in a memo on Oct. 15 that was obtained by CNBC.
Thanks to its partnership with Pepsi, Taco Bell has long served exclusive menu items that use Pepsi products, like Mountain Dew Baja Blast and Doritos Locos Tacos, at its restaurants.
The renewed deal also means that Taco Bell international markets such as Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland and Thailand will serve Pepsi products.
PepsiCo trades nearly 19% below its 52-week high while Wall Street sits overwhelmingly on the sidelines, but one struggling business unit holds the key to whether this Dividend King is a bargain or a trap.
A 3.3% Social Security bump leaves most retirees short, but five blue-chip dividend payers across four sectors have quietly built the kind of growing income stream that picks up where the government leaves off.
Social Security was built as a floor, and the annual raise does little to lift it. The 2027 cost-of-living adjustment is tracking toward 3.3%. This small bump comes on a benefit that, for most retirees, covers only part of their monthly bills. Filling the rest takes income that grows on its own. The five blue chips below come from four sectors: a monthly-pay REIT, two consumer staples giants, a regulated utility, and a healthcare Dividend King. Each pairs a long payout record with the cash flow needed to sustain it.
Realty Income: 115 Straight Quarterly Raises, Paid Every Month
Realty Income (NYSE:O) yields 5.64% with shares trading at $55.01. That is the highest yield in this group, and it comes as a monthly check. The latest monthly dividend of $0.2715 per share is set to be paid later this week, which puts the annualized forward dividend at $3.258.
The record stands out. Realty Income reached its 115th consecutive quarterly dividend increase as of its second-quarter report and has declared 670 consecutive monthly dividends. REITs measure dividend coverage with adjusted funds from operations (AFFO), a cash-flow figure that replaces earnings per share. Second-quarter AFFO was $1.09 per share, up 3.8% year over year, and management raised full-year AFFO guidance to $4.44 to $4.45 per share. That leaves a clear margin above the dividend. Portfolio occupancy is 98.8%, re-leased properties recovered 102.7% of prior rent, and Fitch assigned an ‘A’ Long-Term Issuer Default Rating with a Stable Outlook.
Bull case: This is about as close to a paycheck as the stock market gets, a monthly payment that rises in small steps several times a year. Over the past year, it moved from $0.2695 to $0.2715. Growth is spreading past retail net leases into industrial property, data centers through a $6 billion hyperscale joint venture, and private capital management, which recently gained a new euro-denominated joint venture.
Risk: Leverage is rising. Net debt to pro forma adjusted EBITDA rose to 5.4x from 5.2x, and higher interest rates raise the REIT’s borrowing costs.
PepsiCo: A Snack Slowdown Has Lifted the Yield
PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP | PEP Price Prediction) yields 4.42%, with an annualized forward dividend of $5.92 per share. That figure reflects this year’s raise in the quarterly payout from $1.4225 to $1.48. The stock’s 50-day moving average of $135.51 sits below its 200-day average of $146.68, so the yield is higher than it was earlier in the year.
Coverage rests on cash. PepsiCo projects $8.9 billion in 2026 shareholder returns: $7.9 billion in dividends plus $1.0 billion in buybacks. Free cash flow funds the payout, backed by a conversion target of at least 80%. Interest coverage of 12.03x and net debt to EBITDA of 2.31x point to a strong balance sheet. The dividend record shows the quarterly payment climbing from $0.13 in 1999 to $1.48 today, with no interruption.
The bull case: the business is still growing through the soft patch. Third-quarter adjusted EPS of $2.34 beat the $2.30 consensus, the fourth straight beat, and revenue rose 5.6% to $25.27 billion. International markets led growth, with EMEA and Asia Pacific each up 9% and Latin America Foods up 14%.
Risk: North American snacks are under pressure. Core operating profit in that unit fell 12% in the third quarter, and management cut full-year core EPS growth guidance to 2.5% to 3.5%, which could slow future dividend increases.
Xcel Energy: Regulated Earnings Meet Data Center Demand
Xcel Energy (NASDAQ:XEL) yields 3.17% and pays a quarterly dividend of $0.5925, up from $0.57 last year. Utility income works well for retirees because regulators set the rates that drive earnings and the payout.
Xcel’s dividend policy is conservative. Management targets a payout ratio of 45% to 55% of ongoing EPS and annual dividend increases of 4% to 6%. It maintained 2026 ongoing EPS guidance of $4.04 to $4.16, which keeps the dividend within that range. The payout record shows a higher quarterly rate every year since 2004. Its balance sheet carries $37 billion in total debt, 61% of total capitalization, typical for a capital-heavy utility.
The bull case: second-quarter EPS of $0.93 beat expectations of about $0.78, and operating income rose to $706 million from $577 million. A Minnesota data center agreement is expected to deliver about $1.1 billion in customer benefits. Weather-normalized retail electric sales are growing about 3%, and the long-term EPS growth target is 6% to 8% or more.
Risk: Wildfire liability is the main concern. Estimated losses from the Smokehouse Creek Fire total $503 million, with only about $80 million of insurance coverage remaining, on top of $640 million in Marshall Wildfire settlements.
Johnson & Johnson: 64 Years of Raises Backed by AAA Credit
Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ) yields 2.04%, and its dividend track record is the strongest in this group. The company confirmed 64 consecutive years of dividend increases in its first-quarter filing, which makes it a Dividend King. The board approved a 3.1% raise in the spring, lifting the quarterly payout from $1.30 to $1.34 and the annualized dividend to $5.36.
Coverage is comfortable. Measured against second-quarter guidance for 2026 adjusted EPS of $11.60 to $11.75, the dividend uses about 46% of earnings. Johnson & Johnson is one of only two U.S.-based companies with a AAA credit rating. In the latest earnings report, the company raised earnings guidance again, though a MedTech stumble pushed the stock lower. Shares fell to $253.27 in early trading.
The bull case: second-quarter adjusted EPS of $2.90 beat the $2.85 consensus on revenue up 6.6% to $25.31 billion. Darzalex sales hit $4.21 billion (+18.9%), Tremfya reached $2.05 billion (+72.5%), and Carvykti rose to $657 million (+49.4%). Revenue guidance of $100.8 billion to $101.4 billion points to the company’s first year above $100 billion.
Risk: Stelara is losing sales to biosimilar competition. Its revenue fell 55.2% in the second quarter, so newer drugs must keep growing quickly to replace it.
Coca-Cola: A Smaller Yield With Big Cash Coverage
Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO) yields 2.27%, with an annualized forward dividend of $2.12 after the quarterly payout rose from $0.51 to $0.53. The dividend record shows the quarterly payment growing from $0.16 in 1999 to today’s level, with year-over-year increases.
Free cash flow guidance for 2026 was raised to about $12.4 billion, and it has $12.9 billion in cash. Interest coverage of 8.32x, net debt to EBITDA of 2.49x and gross margins above 60% support the payout.
Bull case: Momentum is accelerating. Second-quarter adjusted EPS of $0.97 beat $0.93, the fifth straight beat. Revenue rose 6.7% to $13.38 billion and operating margin expanded to 34.9%. Global unit case volume grew 5%, Coca-Cola Zero Sugar grew 16%, and full-year comparable EPS growth guidance is now 9% to 10%.
Risk: Coca-Cola pays the smallest yield of these five. Shares are up 31.86% year to date, which has pushed the yield down, so each dollar invested buys less income than it would in the other names.
Building a Retirement Paycheck That Outgrows Inflation
Realty Income and PepsiCo supply most of the current yield, Xcel Energy adds regulated growth, and Johnson & Johnson and Coca-Cola support the group with strong balance sheets and plenty of free cash flow. All five cover their dividends from earnings or cash flow with room to spare, and all have raised their payouts over time. Combined, they add up to a growing dividend stream that can supplement a 3.3% Social Security raise.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Short-term Treasurys now pay more than some beloved dividend stocks, which forces a question retirees rarely had to ask: do decades of consecutive raises still beat a government-backed yield you can lock in today?
The Federal Reserve raised the upper bound of its target range from 3.75% to 4.00% on September 17, 2026, and short-term Treasury yields moved in tandem. On October 20, 2026, Treasury par yields were 4.51% at one year, 4.79% at two years, and 4.86% at three years. Short-duration bond funds do most of their buying in that range. Those rates are what a fund earns when it replaces bonds that mature, before fees are taken out. Each fund reports its own yield, and that yield changes as it turns over its holdings.
How a Short-Duration Bond Fund Pays You and Why the Rate Keeps Changing
A short-duration bond fund is a mutual fund or exchange-traded fund that holds a large basket of bonds maturing in about one to five years. Depending on the fund, those bonds are Treasurys, high-grade corporate bonds, or a mix. You buy shares. The fund collects interest from its bonds and passes it to you, usually once a month. For income, three factors matter.
The yield floats. Bonds inside the fund mature all the time, and the manager reinvests that cash at current rates. When rates rise, the fund’s income rises within months. When rates fall, it drops. Nothing is locked in. You can see how fast the underlying rates change: the 13-week Treasury bill’s coupon-equivalent yield was 4.10% on October 1, 2026, and 4.19% on October 20, 2026.
The fund never matures. A single Treasury note pays back its face value on a set date. A fund has no maturity date, so it never promises to return a par value. You get out by selling shares at the current net asset value (NAV), which may be higher or lower than what you paid.
The share price moves, but less than longer bond funds. When rates rise, existing bonds lose value, and the fund’s NAV falls. Short bonds are close to paying back their principal, so the drop is smaller than in intermediate- or long-term bond funds, and the higher reinvestment rate starts to make up the loss sooner. A smaller drop is still a loss. Funds that hold corporate bonds also carry credit risk if the companies that issued them run into trouble.
Fees come straight out of the yield, so the expense ratio directly lowers the income you receive. Also know what protection you have. FDIC insurance does not cover bond funds, even ones sold at a bank. When a fund owns Treasurys, the U.S. government guarantees each bond’s interest and principal at maturity.
That guarantee does not cover the fund’s share price or its distributions. SIPC coverage at a brokerage protects your account if the firm fails, up to SIPC’s limits. It does not protect against market losses.
Reinvestment risk works against you too. Short-duration funds reprice quickly when rates rise, and they reprice just as quickly when rates fall. If the Fed reverses its September 2026 increase, the fund’s income will drop within months.
Dividend Safety Comes First When You Compare Payouts to a Floating Fund Yield
A higher yield matters only if the payment keeps coming. The five dividend payers below are among the most widely held income stocks among retirees. They are listed from the most secure payout to the one with the most specific risks.
Company
Latest Dividend
Frequency
Annualized Forward Dividend
Record
Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ | JNJ Price Prediction)
$1.34
Quarterly
$5.36
64 consecutive annual increases
Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG)
$1.0885
Quarterly
$4.354
70 consecutive years of increases
Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO)
$0.53
Quarterly
$2.12
Dividend King
PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP)
$1.48
Quarterly
$5.92
Over 50 consecutive annual increases
Realty Income (NYSE:O)
$0.2715
Monthly
$3.258
115 consecutive quarterly increases
Johnson & Johnson raised its quarterly dividend 3.1% to $1.34 per share in early 2026, its 64th consecutive annual increase. Second-quarter revenue came in at $25.31 billion, up 6.6% from a year earlier. Growth in oncology is offsetting lost sales from STELARA as biosimilar competitors take share.
Procter & Gamble has raised its dividend for 70 consecutive years and paid one for 136 consecutive years. It generated $15.8 billion in free cash flow in fiscal 2026. For fiscal 2027, it plans about $10 billion in dividends, even with an expected ~$1 billion hit from higher commodity and other costs.
Coca-Cola yielded about 2.18% as of October 21, 2026. That is below what one-year Treasurys paid on October 20. Coca-Cola makes up the gap with growth. It expects free cash flow of about $12.4 billion in 2026, and its quarterly payment rose from $0.51 in 2025 to $0.53 in 2026.
PepsiCo yielded about 4.18% as of October 21, 2026, the highest of the four Dividend Kings in this group. The payout itself looks secure, with about $7.9 billion in dividends planned for 2026. However, its earnings growth has slowed. On October 8, 2026, PepsiCo cut its core EPS growth outlook to +2.5% to +3.5%, citing rising input costs. It also reported that core operating profit at Frito-Lay North America fell 12%. Slower earnings make it harder for dividend raises to keep their recent pace.
Realty Income has the highest yield in the group, about 5.48% on a trailing basis as of October 21, 2026, and it comes with the most specific risks. Adjusted funds from operations (AFFO), the cash-flow measure REITs use to fund dividends, covers the payout comfortably. Management raised its 2026 AFFO guidance to $4.44-$4.45 per share, and occupancy is 98.8%. However, 65.7% of its tenant exposure is to tenants without investment-grade credit ratings, and net debt runs at 5.4x EBITDAre. REIT share prices also tend to fall when rates rise. Realty Income’s shares fell 2.96% through October 21, 2026. On the other hand, the board declared another monthly dividend of $0.2715 on October 13, 2026.
A Dividend Can Be Cut, and It Can Also Grow
A dividend can be cut. A board sets it each quarter or month and is under no legal obligation to pay it. The bonds inside a fund pay interest that is fixed by contract. Even so, the fund’s total payout still moves with market rates and can fall.
A dividend can also grow. Coca-Cola’s quarterly dividend rose from $0.46 in 2023 to $0.485 in 2024, $0.51 in 2025 and $0.53 in 2026. A short-duration fund’s income has no built-in growth. It goes up only when rates go up.
The two respond to rate moves in opposite ways. After the September 2026 Fed increase, short-term yields rose, and short-duration funds pick up that higher income as bonds roll over. Rate changes do not directly change these companies’ dividends, but higher yields can push down the share prices of rate-sensitive income stocks. If rates fall, fund income falls with them, while a company with a long raise record would likely keep raising. On October 20, 2026, the 10-year Treasury yield was 0.33% above the two-year. When longer bonds yield more than shorter ones like this, investors in short-duration funds give up some yield in exchange for less price risk.
Taxes Can Decide the Choice Before Yield Does
Bond fund distributions are taxed as ordinary income. A taxable bond fund passes along interest income, which appears on Form 1099-DIV as ordinary dividends and is taxed at your regular income tax rate. Distributions of net short-term capital gains from a fund are also included on Form 1099-DIV as ordinary dividends. Funds that hold mostly Treasurys may pass through interest that is exempt from state income tax in many states. The fund’s year-end tax statement shows how much qualifies.
Most dividends from U.S. companies get lower rates. Coca-Cola, Johnson & Johnson, Procter & Gamble, and PepsiCo pay qualified dividends. Qualified dividend income includes dividends from domestic corporations under 26 U.S.C. § 1(h)(11)(B)(i). Those dividends are taxed at the same 0%, 15%, or 20% maximum rate that applies to long-term capital gains. To qualify, you must have held the stock for more than 60 days during the 121-day period that begins 60 days before the ex-dividend date.
Realty Income follows REIT rules. Its distributions generally do not qualify for qualified-dividend rates and are taxed as ordinary income, the same as bond fund payouts. A portion may qualify for the Section 199A deduction, which reduces taxable income. In a traditional IRA, these differences go away, because all withdrawals are taxed as ordinary income. In a taxable account, the lower rate on qualified dividends can outweigh a large difference in yield.
Which Retirees Each Income Stream Fits
Short-duration bond funds suit retirees who need money for planned spending within a few years, want income that rises when the Fed raises rates, and can accept a share price that moves somewhat and a payout that shrinks when rates fall. Johnson & Johnson, Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola, and PepsiCo suit retirees with longer time horizons and taxable accounts, who are willing to ride out stock-price swings for payouts backed by decades of raises. Realty Income fits retirees who want monthly checks and a higher starting yield and who accept that REITs are sensitive to rates and carry tenant credit risk.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Choosing between PepsiCo (PEP +0.90%) and Starbucks (SBUX -0.56%) often comes down to a choice between stability and growth. Both companies dominate their respective corners of the grocery aisle and the corner coffee shop.
PepsiCo operates a diversified portfolio of snack and beverage brands that reach consumers in over 200 countries. Starbucks relies on its premium brand experience and global retail network to drive customer loyalty. While both are consumer powerhouses, their financial health and valuation profiles offer distinct paths for investors looking to add resilient businesses to their holdings.
The case for PepsiCoPepsiCo is a titan among beverage stocks and food producers. The company sells a wide range of products, including Frito-Lay snacks and Quaker foods, as well as its namesake soda brands. A significant portion of its success depends on relationships with major retailers like Walmart (WMT +0.19%). In 2025, Walmart and its affiliates accounted for approximately 14% of PepsiCo's consolidated net revenue. Customer concentration like this adds a layer of risk to the business.
In its latest annual report, filed for FY 2025, the company reported revenue of nearly $93.9 billion. This represents revenue growth of roughly 2.3% compared to the prior year. Net income for the period was approximately $8.2 billion, down from $9.6 billion reported in FY 2024. Despite this dip, the company continues to benefit from its ability to bundle snacks and drinks across diverse global markets.
As of its December 2025 balance sheet, the debt-to-equity ratio is 2.4x. This metric compares total debt to shareholder equity to show how a company funds its growth. The current ratio is roughly 0.9x, which measures a company's ability to pay its short-term debts with its short-term assets. Free cash flow for the year reached nearly $7.7 billion, calculated as cash flow from operations minus capital expenditures.
The case for StarbucksStarbucks maintains a dominant position in the global retail coffee market through its network of over 40,000 stores. The company generates revenue primarily through its own retail locations and a growing Channel Development segment. It also benefits from the Global Coffee Alliance with Nestlé (NSRGF -1.93%), which distributes Starbucks-branded goods outside traditional coffee shops. This hybrid model of company-operated and licensed stores allows the company to scale efficiently while maintaining brand control.
In its latest annual report, filed for FY 2025, Starbucks reported revenue of approximately $37.2 billion. This reflects revenue growth of nearly 2.8% over the previous fiscal year. Net income was close to $1.9 billion, marking a significant decline from the $3.8 billion earned in FY 2024. The net margin compressed to roughly 5% during this period, indicating higher operational costs and shifting consumer spending patterns.
As of the September 2025 balance sheet, the debt-to-equity ratio is -3.3x. This figure indicates that total liabilities exceed shareholders' equity. The current ratio is approximately 0.7x, indicating how the company can cover its short-term liabilities with liquid assets. Free cash flow for FY 2025 was close to $2.4 billion, a core source of capital for the company despite recent earnings volatility.
Risk profile comparisonPepsiCo faces several pressures, including significant revenue concentration with its largest customers. The company faces intense competition from international beverage and convenience food companies, including The Coca-Cola Company (KO -0.52%). Furthermore, PepsiCo is managing various antitrust and consumer protection lawsuits regarding pricing and product labeling. Increasing taxes on sweetened beverages and strict environmental regulations for plastic packaging also present ongoing operational and cost risks.
Starbucks is heavily dependent on its brand value and reputation to maintain customer loyalty. The ongoing restructuring plans and the 'Back to Starbucks' strategy involve high costs and the risk of failing to achieve anticipated efficiencies. The company is also vulnerable to macroeconomic sensitivity and inflation, which can reduce customer traffic. Additionally, Starbucks faces challenges related to labor shortages, rising wage costs, and increasing unionization efforts in its U.S. stores.
Valuation comparisonPepsiCo currently offers a more conservative valuation profile than Starbucks across both earnings and sales multiples.
MetricPepsiCoStarbucksForward P/E15.3x30.4xP/S ratio1.8x2.9xValuation metrics include those sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) and may differ from those of other data providers.
When comparing Pepsi and Starbucks, investors should consider a few key factors. Let's have a look at them and see what that tells us about each stock.
To start, there's profitability. Let's compare each company's operating margin. Pepsi's operating margin stands at 15.8%, slightly above its five-year average of 14.9%. Starbucks, on the other hand, has a 10% operating margin, below its 13% five-year average. What's more, Pepsi's operating margin has been quite stable over the last five years, while Starbucks' has been volatile.
Another factor to consider is each company's valuation. Again, Pepsi holds an edge. It currently trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 17x, while Starbucks has a 57x P/E. Pepsi's P/E multiple is significantly below its five-year average P/E of 26x, while Starbucks is far above its five-year average of 37x.
Last, there's income potential. Pepsi has a dividend yield of 4.35%, while Starbucks has a dividend yield of 2.55%. Once again, Pepsi comes out on top.
In summary, both are consumer stocks, but in different categories. Pepsi is a consumer staples giant, while Starbucks is an iconic consumer discretionary stock. However, in the head-to-head matchup, Pepsi comes out on top across numerous factors, including valuation, profitability, and income potential.
Pepsi's stock is sliding while Coca-Cola's surges, and most analysts are blaming the wrong culprit. The real threat to Pepsi has nothing to do with losing a fast food contract and everything to do with a structural problem quietly eroding…
Coca-Cola’s (NYSE: KO | KO Price Prediction) stock is up 38% this year. The S&P is up 12%. Pepsi’s (NYSE: PEP) stock is down 7%. The apparent reason is that KFC replaced Pepsi with Coke. It is more than that. Coke is the premier soft drink at McDonald’s (NYSE: MCD), Burger King, and Wendy’s.
Another sign of Pepsi’s problem is that, according to research firm Beverage Digest, Pepsi’s soft drink market share is 8.1%. In 2000, that was 13.6%. By that yardstick, Dr Pepper has passed it. Coke’s share is flat over the period at just above 18%.
Pepsi has also hurt investors. In the most recent quarter, revenue rose 6% to $25.7 billion. “Core EPS” was up 2% to $2.34. It has diversified into brands that include Lay’s, Quaker, and Lipton.
Coke’s third-quarter revenue was $13.4 billion, much smaller than Pepsi’s. EPS rose 16% to $1.03. It has also diversified, mostly into beverages. It claims to have 32 brands worth more than $1 billion each.
The odd thing is that Pepsi has a market cap of $182 billion. Coke’s is $401 billion. That means Coke is valued at more than 2x Pepsi, which seems strange. Most experts believe this is because Coke’s margins on sales to bottlers are better than Pepsi’s margins on snack sales. This means Coke’s operating margin is $0.29 per dollar of sales. Pepsi’s are $0.12 based on a comparable model.
KFC is not Pepsi’s problem. Margins are
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Douglas A. McIntyre
Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.
McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.
His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.
A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.
TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.
McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.
Key Takeaways PepsiCo's Q3 revenues and core EPS beat estimates, drawing attention to PEP-heavy ETFs.Rising costs pressured margins, making PepsiCo's cost-cutting efforts crucial to its recovery.FTXG, IYK and GXPS offer exposure to PepsiCo, with respective PEP weightings of 7.9%, 6.8% and 5.74%.
PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP - Free Report) reported third-quarter fiscal 2026 net revenues of $25.27 billion, up 5.6% year over year from $23.94 billion.The company released earnings on Oct. 8, 2026, before market open, beating expectations and helping its shares gain 3.7% that day.
Overview of PepsiCo’s Earnings Organic revenues grew 3.1%, while acquisitions and divestitures added 1.7 percentage points and foreign-exchange effects contributed 0.7 percentage points to reported growth.
PepsiCo’s core earnings per share (EPS) beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.29 by 2.18%, while revenues surpassed the $24.88-billion estimate by 1.59%.
Reported EPS rose 17.4% to $2.23 from $1.90, while core EPS increased 2.2% to $2.34. Gross profit grew to $13.75 billion from $12.82 billion, lifting the gross margin to 54.4% from 53.6%. The improvement indicates that gross profit grew faster than revenues in the quarter.
Reported operating profit increased 19% to $4.26 billion, but core operating profit rose just 3% to $4.28 billion, while the core operating margin declined 35 basis points to 16.9%, reflecting operating cost increases, and higher advertising and marketing expenses.
For the first 36 weeks of fiscal 2026, PepsiCo generated $7.95 billion in operating cash flow compared with $5.47 billion a year earlier, while the capital expenditure fell to $2.18 billion from $2.50 billion. Consequently, the free cash flow increased 80.7% to $5.86 billion from $3.24 billion.
The company expects core EPS growth of 2.5-3.5%, down from its previous forecast of 5-7%, while core constant-currency EPS growth is projected at just 1-2% compared with the previous outlook of the low end of 4-6%.
Rising Costs Instigate Deeper Cost-Cutting MeasuresHigher commodity, energy, transportation and packaging costs are creating additional challenges for PepsiCo. As previous cost hedges expire, the company faces greater exposure to rising input prices, putting pressure on its operating margin.
Since PepsiCo's core operating margin declined year over year in the third quarter of 2026, management plans additional structural cost reductions to eliminate redundancies and discretionary spending.
The savings are expected to help finance investments in innovation, advertising and marketing while offsetting inflationary pressures.
PepsiCo is also expanding its product portfolio to respond to changing consumer preferences. Its initiatives include high-protein and high-fiber snacks, simpler ingredients, zero-sugar beverages and functional hydration products. These efforts are intended to attract health-conscious consumers and address the potential long-term impacts of GLP-1 weight-loss medications on food consumption patterns, per Reuters.
Nevertheless, the company's turnaround remains a work in progress, and investors will be watching whether cost savings can improve profitability without compromising future growth.
ETFs in FocusPepsiCo's third-quarter results present a mixed picture for investors. Better-than-expected revenues and adjusted earnings demonstrate that the company continues to generate demand, particularly in international markets, putting PepsiCo-heavy ETFs in the spotlight.
Investors will also need to monitor competitive pressures in beverages, consumer spending trends and the company's progress toward its turnaround goals.
A sustained margin recovery, rather than revenue growth alone, will be an important indicator of whether the stock can regain momentum.
First Trust Nasdaq Food & Beverage ETF (FTXG - Free Report) is a U.S.-listed exchange-traded fund that provides exposure to food and beverage companies, including packaged-food makers, soft-drink producers, agricultural processors and other businesses across the food supply chain.
PEP has a holding of 7.9% (as of Oct. 15) in its portfolio and an expense ratio of 0.60%.
iShares U.S. Consumer Staples ETF (IYK - Free Report) provides exposure to U.S. consumer staples companies, including food and beverage producers, household and personal-care product makers, and consumer staples retailers.
PEP has a holding of 6.8% (as of Oct. 15) in its portfolio, along with an expense ratio of 0.37%.
Global X PureCap MSCI Consumer Staples ETF (GXPS - Free Report) is a U.S. sector ETF that invests in consumer staples companies, including food and beverage producers, household-product makers and consumer staples retailers.
PEP has a holding of 5.74% (as of Oct. 15) in its portfolio, along with an expense ratio of 0.15%.
For retirees in high tax brackets, the headline yield on a dividend stock often tells less than half the story. Before you count PepsiCo's income as income, there is a tax column that can flip the comparison entirely.
Municipal bonds pay holders interest that is generally exempt from federal income tax. Taxable yields have risen: the ten-year Treasury par yield stood at 5.15% on October 19, 2026, and the 52-week Treasury bill averaged 4.47% the same day. Muni yields differ by issuer, credit rating, maturity, and state, so this edition covers the muni side broadly and puts it against a well-known payer: PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP | PEP Price Prediction), which yields about 4.20% as of October 20, 2026. For a retiree in a high tax bracket, the tax column often decides the matter before the yield column does.
What a Municipal Bond Actually Promises You A municipal bond is a loan to a state, city, school district, utility, hospital authority, or other public body. The issuer pays interest on a set schedule, usually twice a year, and returns the face value (par) at maturity. Under federal law, gross income “does not include interest on any State or local bond,” 26 U.S.C. § 103(a), though there are exceptions.
Most munis carry a fixed coupon set when they are issued. That coupon remains fixed until the bond matures or is called. The bond’s market price changes daily. When rates rise, as they did when the Fed lifted its upper target to 4.00% on September 17, 2026, from 3.75%, existing bond prices fall. Some munis, such as variable-rate demand notes, reset their rates on a schedule, so read the offering terms before assuming a rate is locked.
Backing depends on the bond type:
General obligation bonds rely on the issuer’s taxing power. Revenue bonds rely on income from a specific project, such as tolls, water fees, or hospital charges. Munis carry no FDIC insurance, and the federal government does not guarantee them. Private bond insurers wrap some, and that protection is only as good as the insurer’s own finances.
Four Risks the Coupon Doesn’t Cover Default risk: High-grade muni defaults are historically rare, but they happen, especially with revenue bonds tied to a single project. Price risk: Hold to maturity, and you get par back if the issuer pays. Sell early after rates rise and you may take a loss. Call risk: Many munis let the issuer redeem early, usually after rates have fallen. Your highest-coupon bonds are often the first to go. Reinvestment risk: After a bond matures or gets called, you reinvest at whatever rates are available then, and they may be lower. PepsiCo’s Dividend Against a Fixed Coupon Dividend safety comes first, because a higher yield is no bargain if the dividend could be cut. PepsiCo has announced its 54th consecutive annual dividend increase, a 4% raise that lifted the annualized payout to $5.92 per share starting with the June 2026 payment. The quarterly check is $1.48, up from $1.4225 and $1.355 in the two prior cycles. In 1999 it paid $0.13 a quarter.
The coverage picture is solid but has reduced. PepsiCo expects to return about $8.9 billion to shareholders in fiscal 2026, including roughly $7.9 billion in dividends. It targets free cash flow conversion of at least 80%, and interest coverage runs about 10.3x. A debt-to-equity of roughly 2.45 suggests the company relies heavily on borrowed money.
Earnings are showing the pressure. Third-quarter adjusted EPS of $2.34 beat the $2.30 estimate, and revenue rose 5.6% to $25.27 billion. North America snacks core operating profit fell 12%, though. Management cut fiscal 2026 core EPS growth guidance to 2.5% to 3.5% from 5% to 7%, blaming input cost inflation. When dividends grow faster than earnings for long, the cushion shrinks. Keep an eye on next year’s raise.
Both sides of the comparison count:
A dividend can be cut, and a muni coupon cannot. PepsiCo’s board decides each payment. Its record shows no dividend reductions, but that record describes what the company paid in the past and guarantees nothing about future payments. A muni coupon is a contract. Barring default, it gets paid. A dividend can grow, and a fixed coupon cannot. A muni bought this year pays the same dollars in its final year as in its first, and inflation erodes that income every year. PepsiCo’s payout has risen with inflation over decades. The principal acts differently too. PepsiCo shares traded at $134.16 on October 20, 2026, down 9.58% over one year and 2.67% over five years, but up 72.36% over ten. A stock has no maturity date and no promise to return what you paid. A muni held to maturity does make that promise, backed by the issuer’s credit. A yield on a stock or a bond measures income alone. Price changes decide what you actually earn.
Tax Treatment That Often Decides the Answer Municipal Bond Interest Federal tax exemption is the main appeal, but it comes with limits:
Private activity bonds: Interest on private activity bonds that don’t meet the qualified-bond rules is taxable under 26 U.S.C. § 103(b)(1). Some munis that are tax-exempt for regular tax still count toward the alternative minimum tax, and the IRS reports that portion separately on Form 1099-INT, box 9. State taxes: Many states tax interest from other states’ bonds. New York, for example, adds back “interest income on obligations of any state other than this state,” under N.Y. Tax Law § 612(b)(1). In-state bonds often escape state tax as well, which matters most in states with high tax rates. Social Security: Tax-exempt interest is added back when figuring out how much of your Social Security benefit is taxable, under 26 U.S.C. § 86(b)(2)(B). Muni income can still raise your tax bill indirectly. Account placement: Holding munis in an IRA wastes the exemption, because IRA withdrawals follow retirement-plan tax rules (IRS Publication 550). To compare a muni with a taxable yield, use the tax-equivalent yield: divide the muni yield by one minus your marginal tax rate. The higher your bracket, the more the exemption is worth. For tax year 2026, the 24% bracket starts above $105,700 for single filers ($211,400 for married couples filing jointly). The 32% bracket starts above $201,775 ($403,550 for married couples filing jointly). The top 37% rate applies above $640,600 ($768,700).
PepsiCo Dividends PepsiCo dividends generally count as qualified dividend income, which the tax code taxes at capital gains rates under 26 U.S.C. § 1(h)(11). Depending on your income, that rate is 0%, 15%, or 20%. Shares must be held for more than 60 days within 121 days around the ex-dividend date to qualify. Higher earners may also owe the 3.8% net investment income tax under 26 U.S.C. § 1411(a)(1). Retirees with taxable income in the 0% qualified-dividend bracket get little extra from muni tax exemption. A retiree paying 32% or more in ordinary income tax, plus state tax, gets a lot.
Who Each Income Stream Suits Municipal bonds suit retirees in high federal and state brackets who need a fixed payment schedule and a known return of principal at a specific date, and who can hold to maturity and accept call and reinvestment risk. PepsiCo suits retirees in lower brackets, or with long time horizons, who want income that can grow with inflation and who can accept share-price swings and the chance of a dividend freeze. Many households split the job: munis cover fixed bills, and dividend growers cover the rising costs ahead (the mix, the payment calendar, and the withdrawal order are detailed in a free guide to building a paycheck from savings).
Municipal bonds suit retirees in high federal and state brackets who need a fixed payment schedule and a known return of principal at a specific date, and who can hold to maturity and accept call and reinvestment risk. PepsiCo suits retirees in lower brackets, or with long time horizons, who want income that can grow with inflation and who can accept share-price swings and the chance of a dividend freeze. Many households split the job: munis cover fixed bills, and dividend growers cover the rising costs ahead.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Four companies have raised their dividends every single year for decades, but one of them is now paying out nearly every dollar it earns, leaving almost no room for error if business gets worse.
Retirees need income every quarter, good times and bad. Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ | JNJ Price Prediction), Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG), Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO), and PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP) sell medicines, detergents, soda, and snacks that people keep buying even in a recession. All four are Dividend Kings. I checked whether their cash flow still supports that title.
Four Dividend Kings With Decades of Raises Stock Annual Dividend Yield Streak Latest Raise 5-Year Growth Rate JNJ $5.36 2.09% 64 years 3.1% 4.8% PG $4.354 3.00% 70 years 3.0% 4.6% KO $2.12 2.38% 60+ years 3.9% 4.8% PEP $5.92 4.44% 54 years 4.0% 6.6% The growth rates compare each company’s 2021 quarterly payment with its 2026 payment. All four show no cut in the quarterly records available back to 1999.
PepsiCo’s Payout Ratio Is Near 100% While the Other Three Have Room Stock Earnings Payout FCF Payout Assessment JNJ 49.6% 62.9% Healthy PG 63.2% 63.1% Healthy KO 63.7% 73.6% High PEP 92.1% 99.6% About J&J paid $12.381 billion in dividends in 2025 against $19.7 billion of free cash flow. Its oncology launches are offsetting lost Stelara sales. Coca-Cola’s FCF number uses its 2026 guidance of $12.4 billion. PepsiCo paid $7.638 billion in dividends in 2025, nearly all of its free cash flow, while its North American snack business shrank.
Balance Sheets Hold Firm, but PepsiCo Carries the Most Debt Stock Cash Leverage Interest Coverage JNJ $21B $28B net debt Not available PG $9.94B Not available Not available KO $12.91B 1.4x net debt/EBITDA 8.32x PEP $10.25B 2.31x net debt/EBITDA 12.03x Executives Make Cash Returns a Priority J&J’s CFO said the company returns capital “primarily through our dividend.” P&G’s CEO pointed to its ability to “return high levels of cash to shareowners despite a very challenging geopolitical and economic environment.” Coca-Cola’s CFO said leverage sits “below our target range of 2 to 2.5 times.” PepsiCo’s CEO confirmed “our 54th consecutive annual increase.” I find that reassuring, though J&J also said one metric “may be towards the low end” of guidance.
Three Very Safe Payouts and One to Monitor Dividend Safety Ratings:
Very Safe: J&J, P&G Safe: Coca-Cola Moderate Risk: PepsiCo This group’s income looks well supported if J&J hits its free cash flow target of nearly $21 billion and P&G stays on track for its core EPS guidance of $6.89 to $7.11. PepsiCo’s dividend faces pressure if its North American business doesn’t recover, because it has almost no buffer. Coca-Cola’s IRS tax dispute is also worth watching. Overall, J&J and P&G show the strongest dividend coverage in this group, and Coca-Cola is close behind. (We ranked ten Dividend Kings by valuation right now in a free report you can grab here.)
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
From warming breakfasts to shareable snacks, discover simple ways to make cold-weather days feel a little brighter
, /PRNewswire/ -- As temperatures fall and evenings grow darker, homes become more inviting. Across PepsiCo's (NASDAQ: PEP) food and drink brands, familiar favorites can make staying in feel special, from a slow weekend brunch or easy family dinner to a film night with snacks within reach.
A montage of PepsiCo food and drinks for cozy season. A warm start to a chilly day with Quaker
Quaker Oats bring a cozy warmth to the mornings and naturally contain whole grain and soluble fiber, making them a good start to the day. Served steaming with apple, cinnamon, nuts or seeds, they make an everyday breakfast feel suited to the season; baked ahead, they can also become an easy dish for a slower morning shared around the table.
Oats can go beyond the bowl, too. Try Quaker oat banana bread for a rainy-day baking session or serve Quaker Japanese fluffy pancakes with fruit, cinnamon or syrup for a slower weekend brunch.
Cold-weather classics with a crunch
When everyone comes in from the cold, the best dinners often begin with something dependable and with PepsiCo brands can lend added convenience to your meal prep, including our Lay's potato chips.
A grilled cheese sandwich already has everything a cold day calls for but to really up the crunch, add in your favorite flavor of Lay's to create Lay's Ultimate Grilled Cheese. The result is a familiar favorite with an extra savory snap, ideal sliced into smaller pieces for sharing. For something more substantial, Lay's Katsu Curry pairs a warming curry sauce with a crisp Lay's coating, showing how a familiar bag of chips can become an ingredient rather than simply a side.
If a bowl of soup is your go-to ritual to warm up as the thermostat drops, bring your own unique flavor spark and follow the latest Instagram trend, garnishing with Lay's or Ruffles for added bite.
Make the night in, an occasion
Once dinner gives way to a film, a game or a long conversation, the food can become more relaxed. Smartfood offers ready-to-share popcorn, while its U.S. Fiberpop range provides 6 grams of fiber per serving and includes the fall-inspired Toffee & Sea Salt flavor. PopCorners Protein offers 9 grams of protein per serving in crunchy, popped, never fried pieces, including Cinnamon Delight. For a help-yourself spread, set out Lay's and Ruffles, Tostitos scoops and Doritos tortilla chips with salsa, queso or other dips. Try Ruffles Baked Potato dip or Tostitos Beef Queso dip, add Sabra hummus and serve chilled Pepsi beverages alongside.
When snacks become a part of dinner, recipes like Doritos Loaded Pepsi-marinated pork is a dish built for sharing. Set out the components separately and everyone can assemble a combination to suit them. For a sweet finish, Churros-inspired Doritos Loaded combines cinnamon-sugar flavor with Doritos crunch for a casual gathering or movie night.
For a chef-inspired crowd-pleaser, try one of Gordon Ramsay's Doritos Loaded recipes, such as Doritos Loaded Chicken Hellfire Nachos.
Flavors of the season
Bring seasonal warmth, spice and all things nice to what you eat over the coming months with limited edition flavor releases from some of PepsiCo's best loved brands.
In the U.S., Pepsi Vanilla Cream launches in October with a nostalgic flavor reminiscent of fall baking. Serve chilled with a savory Lay's spread or as part of a seasonal taste test with friends.
Starbucks ready-to-drink beverages bring seasonal flavors on the go. Starbucks New Pumpkin Spice Frappuccino Chilled Coffee Drink combines coffee with warming pumpkin spice, while Starbucks Peppermint Mocha Frappuccino Chilled Coffee Drink pairs coffee, chocolate and peppermint. Both are ready for commutes, autumn walks or busy afternoons.
The moments we remember
Cozy season is about the moments around the food: a warm bowl of Quaker oats on a chilly morning, or Lay's and Doritos Loaded shared with friends. PepsiCo brands can be part of the everyday rituals that make autumn and winter memorable.
For more ways to embrace colder days, explore the comforting dishes in the FLVR winter recipe collection or More Smiles With Every Bite recipe site.
About PepsiCo
PepsiCo products are enjoyed by consumers more than one billion times a day in more than 200 countries and territories around the world. PepsiCo generated nearly $94 billion in net revenue in 2025, driven by a complementary beverage and convenient foods portfolio that includes Lay's, Doritos, Cheetos, Gatorade, Pepsi-Cola, Mountain Dew, Quaker, and SodaStream. PepsiCo's product portfolio includes a wide range of enjoyable foods and drinks, including many iconic brands that generate more than $1 billion each in estimated annual retail sales.
Guiding PepsiCo is our vision to Be the Global Leader in Beverages and Convenient Foods by Winning with pep+ (PepsiCo Positive). pep+ is our strategic end-to-end transformation that places sustainability at the center of our business strategy, seeking to drive growth and build a stronger, more resilient future for PepsiCo and the communities where we operate. For more information, visit www.pepsico.com, and follow on X (Twitter), Instagram, Facebook, and LinkedIn @PepsiCo.
PepsiCo (PEP +0.87%) has been having a difficult year, with sluggish sales of soft drinks and snack foods as well as decreasing margins. And now, it just got some more bad news.
On Oct. 15, fried chicken chain KFC announced it will switch from serving Pepsi products to serving Coke products in its 4,000 U.S. locations. That's a big win for Coca-Cola (KO -0.36%). Though the loss in overall sales from the switch is fairly modest relative to PepsiCo's overall beverage sales, it's more significant symbolically.
In terms of revenue, the KFC-Coca-Cola deal is expected to cost PepsiCo some $50 million. The company's North American Beverages unit had sales of $7.7 billion in the third quarter.
Image source: Getty Images.
Keep in mind, however, that PepsiCo once owned KFC, as well as Pizza Hut and Taco Bell, but spun the three off in 1997 to create a company that later became Yum! Brands. So the company had a long and special relationship with the chicken chain known for its founder and brand ambassador, Colonel Sanders. The KFC decision ends a 40-year friendship that began when PepsiCo acquired the chain back in 1986.
It's the third big loss for PepsiCo to Coke this year It's not PepsiCo's first loss to Coca-Cola this year. In July, Marriott International announced a deal with Coca-Cola to switch from Pepsi products, and Costco Wholesale recently did the same.
Interestingly -- and perhaps tellingly -- KFC made the switch in an attempt to help its own flagging fortunes. The chain is trying to win back customers it lost in recent years to rivals Popeyes and Chick-fil-A, and it believes switching to Coke products will help that effort.
PepsiCo reported third-quarter earnings earlier this month, and they were slightly better than expected. Revenue of $25.3 billion was 5.6% higher than a year ago, and earnings per share were $2.34, compared to $2.29 a year ago. Both were slightly higher than Wall Street forecasts. Management, however, lowered its full-year 2026 guidance for both organic revenue and earnings growth.
PEP PepsiCo$132.63+$1.14 (+0.87%)
NASDAQ · As of 1:12 PM ET 10/19/26
PepsiCo's major snack brands are also highly exposed to people cutting back on processed snacks due to changing consumer habits and the rapid adoption of appetite-suppressing GLP-1 drugs. Lay's, a major brand of the company, is considered one of the products most exposed to the shift in calorie intake due to GLP-1s.
Coca-Cola has held up better against these trends. While studies show that people using GLP-1 drugs consume less full-sugar soda, some 68% of the company's portfolio consists of low- or no-calorie options. Perhaps that's why PepsiCo's stock is down 8.7% this year, while Coca-Cola shares have climbed 34%.
It seems PepsiCo still has a lot of work to do to turn things around.
PepsiCo, Inc. (NASDAQ:PEP – Get Free Report) Director Robert Pohlad purchased 184,646 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Wednesday, October 14th. The stock was bought at an average price of $128.28 per share, for a total transaction of $23,686,388.88. Following the transaction, the director directly owned 433,009 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $55,546,394.52. This trade represents a 74.35% increase in their position. The purchase was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which is accessible through this link.
PepsiCo Stock Up 2.4% PEP stock opened at $131.49 on Friday. PepsiCo, Inc. has a 52 week low of $123.47 and a 52 week high of $171.48. The business has a 50-day simple moving average of $134.44 and a 200 day simple moving average of $142.25. The company has a quick ratio of 0.76, a current ratio of 0.94 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.90. The company has a market cap of $179.19 billion, a PE ratio of 16.52, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 3.92 and a beta of 0.35.
PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP – Get Free Report) last announced its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, October 7th. The company reported $2.34 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $2.29 by $0.05. PepsiCo had a net margin of 11.09% and a return on equity of 53.08%. The firm had revenue of $25.27 billion for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $24.95 billion. During the same period in the prior year, the company posted $2.29 earnings per share. The business’s revenue for the quarter was up 5.6% on a year-over-year basis. Sell-side analysts anticipate that PepsiCo, Inc. will post 8.41 EPS for the current fiscal year.
Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades PEP has been the topic of a number of recent analyst reports. Jefferies Financial Group reissued a “hold” rating on shares of PepsiCo in a research note on Thursday, October 8th. TD Cowen cut their target price on PepsiCo from $145.00 to $133.00 and set a “hold” rating for the company in a research note on Monday, September 28th. BNP Paribas Exane reduced their target price on PepsiCo from $161.00 to $157.00 and set an “outperform” rating on the stock in a report on Friday, October 9th. Piper Sandler decreased their price target on PepsiCo from $176.00 to $140.00 and set an “overweight” rating on the stock in a research note on Friday, October 9th. Finally, Wells Fargo & Company lowered their price target on PepsiCo from $140.00 to $135.00 and set an “equal weight” rating for the company in a report on Monday, October 5th. One analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, five have issued a Buy rating, fourteen have issued a Hold rating and one has assigned a Sell rating to the company’s stock. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, PepsiCo presently has a consensus rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of $145.50. Get Our Latest Report on PEP
Institutional Investors Weigh In On PepsiCo Hedge funds have recently made changes to their positions in the stock. Evergreen Advisors LLC acquired a new stake in PepsiCo in the first quarter valued at approximately $25,000. Montgomery Financial Services LLC acquired a new position in shares of PepsiCo during the second quarter worth $25,000. Gunpowder Capital Management LLC dba Oliver Wealth Management acquired a new position in shares of PepsiCo during the fourth quarter worth $26,000. Atlatl Advisers LLC bought a new position in shares of PepsiCo in the 2nd quarter valued at $31,000. Finally, Osterweis Capital Management Inc. bought a new position in shares of PepsiCo in the 2nd quarter valued at $31,000. 73.07% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.
Key PepsiCo News Here are the key news stories impacting PepsiCo this week:
Positive Sentiment: Director Robert Pohlad bought 184,646 shares for approximately $23.7 million, increasing his direct ownership by 74.35%. The purchase may signal confidence that PepsiCo’s depressed valuation does not reflect its long-term prospects. SEC insider transaction filing Positive Sentiment: Bank of America maintained a Hold rating but raised its price target to $145, suggesting balanced risk-reward and potential upside from current levels. The firm cited strength at Taco Bell as partially offsetting the KFC loss. Bank of America rating update Neutral Sentiment: PepsiCo announced a €500 million offering of 3.750% senior notes. The proceeds strengthen funding flexibility, although the transaction adds to the company’s already elevated debt burden. PepsiCo euro-denominated senior notes announcement Neutral Sentiment: PepsiCo, its foundation and Feed the Children reported distributing 2 million meals through a school-based hunger-relief program. The announcement supports corporate reputation but is unlikely to materially affect earnings. PepsiCo hunger-relief program announcement Negative Sentiment: KFC will replace Pepsi beverages with Coca-Cola products at U.S. restaurants beginning in January 2027, with a full rollout expected by spring. Although KFC represents a limited portion of PepsiCo’s sales, investors view the loss as a setback for its U.S. food-service business and brand presence. Reuters report on KFC switching beverage suppliers Negative Sentiment: In India, PepsiCo warned that its Sting and Adrenaline Rush energy drinks could run out within two months after a court declined to suspend restrictions on “energy drink” labeling. The dispute could cause supply disruptions and allow competitors such as Red Bull to gain share. PepsiCo India energy-drink supply report PepsiCo Company Profile (Get Free Report)
PepsiCo, Inc (NASDAQ:PEP) is a global food and beverage company whose portfolio includes Pepsi-Cola, Mountain Dew, Gatorade, Lay’s, Doritos, Cheetos, Quaker, Tostitos, Fritos, and SodaStream. Its products span carbonated soft drinks, sports and energy beverages, bottled water, juices, convenient foods, snacks, and other packaged food offerings.
The company sells products through retail stores, restaurants, food-service providers, e-commerce platforms, and other distribution channels. PepsiCo serves consumers in North America and international markets across Latin America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, and Asia-Pacific.
See Also Five stocks we like better than PepsiCo Rocket Lab’s Neutron Delay Leaves Wall Street Bullish But Raises the Stakes for 2027 ManpowerGroup Stock Sinks on Q3 Results, But Fundamentals Stay Solid Does the AI Selloff Put Alphabet’s Breakout in Doubt? Bank Earnings Are Mixed—These 2 ETFs Offer Very Different Paths to a Recovery Receive News & Ratings for PepsiCo Daily - Enter your email address below to receive a concise daily summary of the latest news and analysts' ratings for PepsiCo and related companies with MarketBeat.com's FREE daily email newsletter.
Raising dividends through two recessions takes more than a good brand name. Three companies with streaks stretching back decades show exactly what separates a payout that survives a crisis from one that quietly disappears.
A retirement income stream has two jobs. It has to arrive every quarter, and it has to grow faster than the grocery bill, whatever the economy is doing. Dividend Kings are companies that have raised their payouts for at least 50 straight years, so they have the longest public record of doing both. The three names below raised their dividends through the 2008 financial crisis and the 2020 pandemic recession, and all three pay for those dividends out of free cash flow rather than borrowed money. The longest streak in the group belongs to Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG | PG Price Prediction), which just completed its 70th consecutive annual dividend increase.
Procter & Gamble: Everyday Staples Behind the Longest Streak
P&G sells things households keep buying in a recession: Tide, Pampers, Gillette, Crest, Charmin and Dawn. At $158.42, its annualized forward dividend of $4.354 per share works out to a yield of about 2.75%. That yield is modest. P&G’s strength is how well the payment is covered.
P&G produced $15.835 billion of free cash flow in fiscal 2026, up 12.74%, on operating cash flow of $19.556 billion. Dividends for the year came to over $10 billion, which is roughly 63% of free cash flow. The forward dividend also equals about 63% of fiscal 2026 core EPS of $6.89, so roughly a third of earnings stays in the business as a cushion. Adjusted free cash flow productivity was 100%, meaning reported profits turned fully into cash. The balance sheet holds $9.94 billion in cash against $54.31 billion of shareholders’ equity.
The track record has been tested in bad markets. The quarterly payout rose from $0.40 in 2008 to $0.44 in 2009 during the financial crisis. In 2020 it went from $0.7459 to $0.7907 with the April payment, then rose to $0.8698 in 2021. The latest raise took the quarterly payment from $1.0568 to $1.0885. That makes this the company’s 136th consecutive year of dividend payments.
Bull case: For fiscal 2027, management plans over $10 billion in dividends and approximately $5 billion in buybacks. With a beta of 0.377, the stock has historically moved much less than the broader market, which is the kind of steadiness retirees want. CEO Shailesh Jejurikar said on the fiscal fourth-quarter call that P&G “continued a long-term record of returning high levels of cash to shareholders.”
Caveat: Management expects about $1 billion after tax in higher raw material, energy and transportation costs in fiscal 2027. Its core EPS guidance range is $6.89 to $7.11, so expect the next raise to stay small.
Johnson & Johnson: AAA-Rated Cash Flow Feeding a Growing Payout
Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ) pays a forward dividend of $5.36 per share. At $255.87, that is a yield of roughly 2.09%, the lowest of the three. The yield has shrunk partly because the stock rose 36.18% over the past year. Existing holders got that gain on top of their income. New buyers get less income per dollar invested.
On coverage, J&J is the most comfortable name in the group. Management reaffirmed full-year free cash flow guidance of approximately $21 billion, including more than $6 billion in the third quarter alone. At the current rate, the dividend costs about $12.9 billion a year, or roughly 62% of that free cash flow. It also equals about 48% of the $11.10 midpoint of adjusted EPS guidance. The company ended the quarter with approximately $17 billion of cash and marketable securities against approximately $45 billion of debt. It is also one of only two U.S.-based companies with a AAA credit rating.
J&J’s most recent raise, from $1.30 to $1.34 a quarter (3.1%), was its 64th consecutive year of increases. It kept raising during the financial crisis, from $0.415 to $0.46 in 2008 and then to $0.49 in 2009. In the middle of the 2020 recession it raised again, from $0.95 to $1.01.
Bull case: The drug portfolio is growing fast enough to fund future raises. DARZALEX sales reached $4.21 billion in the second quarter, up 18.9%, and TREMFYA climbed 72.5%. CFO Joe Wolk lists the dividend among the company’s capital priorities, describing an approach focused on “accelerating future innovation, increasing our annual dividend, and strengthening our pipeline.”
Caveat: Biosimilar competition is eroding STELARA fast. Second-quarter sales were $740 million, down 55.2%, which cut roughly 760 bps from Innovative Medicine growth. Newer drugs have to keep filling that gap.
PepsiCo: Highest Yield in the Group, Backed by Global Snacks
PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP) pays the most income of the three. Its annualized dividend of $5.92 per share yields about 4.50% at $131.50. The stock has fallen 10.38% over the past year, so new buyers lock in a higher starting yield than they would have a year ago.
The coverage cushion is thinner than at P&G or J&J. Over the trailing 12 months PepsiCo paid $5.805 per share in dividends against EPS of $7.95, a payout ratio near 73%. Its free cash flow yield of 4.39% is about level with its dividend yield, so cash generation covers the payout with little to spare. The plan for 2026 calls for $7.9B in dividends and only $1.0B in buybacks, which shows the dividend gets paid before buybacks. Debt is manageable, with net debt at 2.31 times EBITDA and interest coverage of 12.03x.
PepsiCo says this year marked its 54th consecutive annual dividend increase, and it has paid quarterly dividends since 1965. The latest raise lifted the quarterly payment from $1.4225 to $1.48. During the financial crisis the payout went from $0.375 to $0.425 in 2008 and to $0.45 in 2009. In 2020 it rose from $0.955 to $1.0225.
Bull case: International growth is carrying the company. Third-quarter revenue rose 5.6% to $25.27B, and operating income jumped 19.4%. Latin America Foods grew 14% and EMEA 8%. CEO Ramon Laguarta said the “international business is becoming a very scaled part of our business and profit accretive.” A company earning more from Lay’s, Doritos and Gatorade outside the U.S. depends less on any single economy.
Caveat: North American snacks are weak. Core operating profit at PepsiCo Foods North America fell 12%, and management cut its 2026 core EPS growth forecast to +2.5% to +3.5%, down from +5–7%. Because coverage is already tight, keep an eye on whether cost cuts restore those margins.
Three Ways to Collect a Paycheck That Keeps Growing
All three companies raised their dividends in 2008, 2009 and 2020, so their records hold up through recessions as well as good years. J&J offers the widest coverage and a AAA balance sheet. P&G pairs the longest streak with free cash flow that grew by double digits last year. PepsiCo pays the highest yield in exchange for a thinner cushion, so the thing to track is whether its North American margins recover. If you want a wider shortlist screened the same way, we ranked ten Dividend Kings by valuation right now in a free report you can grab here.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Banque Pictet & Cie SA boosted its stake in shares of PepsiCo, Inc. (NASDAQ:PEP – Free Report) by 14.1% during the 3rd quarter, according to its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm owned 174,844 shares of the company’s stock after buying an additional 21,663 shares during the quarter. Banque Pictet & Cie SA’s holdings in PepsiCo were worth $22,156,000 as of its most recent SEC filing.
A number of other institutional investors have also recently made changes to their positions in PEP. Rise Advisors LLC grew its holdings in PepsiCo by 17.1% during the 3rd quarter. Rise Advisors LLC now owns 1,852 shares of the company’s stock valued at $235,000 after buying an additional 271 shares in the last quarter. James T. Borello RIA purchased a new stake in shares of PepsiCo in the third quarter worth about $131,000. V Square Quantitative Management LLC lifted its holdings in shares of PepsiCo by 4.1% in the third quarter. V Square Quantitative Management LLC now owns 31,761 shares of the company’s stock worth $4,025,000 after buying an additional 1,265 shares in the last quarter. YANKCOM Partnership boosted its position in shares of PepsiCo by 9.2% in the third quarter. YANKCOM Partnership now owns 11,260 shares of the company’s stock valued at $1,427,000 after acquiring an additional 945 shares during the period. Finally, Financial & Tax Architects LLC grew its stake in PepsiCo by 7.4% during the third quarter. Financial & Tax Architects LLC now owns 52,098 shares of the company’s stock valued at $6,602,000 after acquiring an additional 3,589 shares in the last quarter. Institutional investors own 73.07% of the company’s stock.
Insider Buying and Selling at PepsiCo In other news, Director Robert Pohlad acquired 184,646 shares of PepsiCo stock in a transaction that occurred on Wednesday, October 14th. The shares were bought at an average cost of $128.28 per share, with a total value of $23,686,388.88. Following the transaction, the director directly owned 433,009 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $55,546,394.52. This trade represents a 74.35% increase in their position. The acquisition was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which is available at this link. Also, EVP David Flavell sold 2,900 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction dated Monday, July 27th. The stock was sold at an average price of $139.54, for a total transaction of $404,666.00. Following the completion of the sale, the executive vice president directly owned 74,825 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $10,441,080.50. The trade was a 3.73% decrease in their position. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. Corporate insiders own 0.12% of the company’s stock.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth PEP has been the topic of several analyst reports. JPMorgan Chase & Co. decreased their price objective on PepsiCo from $138.00 to $137.00 and set a “neutral” rating on the stock in a report on Friday, October 9th. Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft restated a “hold” rating and set a $132.00 target price on shares of PepsiCo in a report on Friday, October 9th. Weiss Ratings lowered PepsiCo from a “hold (c)” rating to a “hold (c-)” rating in a research report on Thursday, September 24th. UBS Group decreased their price target on PepsiCo from $159.00 to $145.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research note on Friday, October 2nd. Finally, Piper Sandler lowered their price objective on PepsiCo from $176.00 to $140.00 and set an “overweight” rating for the company in a research report on Friday, October 9th. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, five have given a Buy rating, fourteen have given a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the stock. According to MarketBeat, the company currently has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of $145.50. Read Our Latest Stock Report on PEP
PepsiCo Stock Performance Shares of NASDAQ PEP opened at $131.49 on Friday. The firm’s 50-day moving average price is $134.44 and its 200-day moving average price is $142.25. The company has a quick ratio of 0.76, a current ratio of 0.94 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.90. The company has a market cap of $179.19 billion, a PE ratio of 15.27, a PEG ratio of 3.82 and a beta of 0.35. PepsiCo, Inc. has a 52-week low of $123.47 and a 52-week high of $171.48.
PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP – Get Free Report) last issued its quarterly earnings results on Wednesday, October 7th. The company reported $2.34 EPS for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $2.29 by $0.05. The business had revenue of $25.27 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $24.95 billion. PepsiCo had a return on equity of 53.08% and a net margin of 11.09%. The business’s quarterly revenue was up 5.6% on a year-over-year basis. During the same quarter in the prior year, the business posted $2.29 earnings per share. As a group, analysts anticipate that PepsiCo, Inc. will post 8.41 EPS for the current year.
Key Headlines Impacting PepsiCo Here are the key news stories impacting PepsiCo this week:
Positive Sentiment: Director Robert Pohlad bought 184,646 shares for approximately $23.7 million, increasing his direct ownership by 74.35%. The purchase may signal confidence that PepsiCo’s depressed valuation does not reflect its long-term prospects. SEC insider transaction filing Positive Sentiment: Bank of America maintained a Hold rating but raised its price target to $145, suggesting balanced risk-reward and potential upside from current levels. The firm cited strength at Taco Bell as partially offsetting the KFC loss. Bank of America rating update Neutral Sentiment: PepsiCo announced a €500 million offering of 3.750% senior notes. The proceeds strengthen funding flexibility, although the transaction adds to the company’s already elevated debt burden. PepsiCo euro-denominated senior notes announcement Neutral Sentiment: PepsiCo, its foundation and Feed the Children reported distributing 2 million meals through a school-based hunger-relief program. The announcement supports corporate reputation but is unlikely to materially affect earnings. PepsiCo hunger-relief program announcement Negative Sentiment: KFC will replace Pepsi beverages with Coca-Cola products at U.S. restaurants beginning in January 2027, with a full rollout expected by spring. Although KFC represents a limited portion of PepsiCo’s sales, investors view the loss as a setback for its U.S. food-service business and brand presence. Reuters report on KFC switching beverage suppliers Negative Sentiment: In India, PepsiCo warned that its Sting and Adrenaline Rush energy drinks could run out within two months after a court declined to suspend restrictions on “energy drink” labeling. The dispute could cause supply disruptions and allow competitors such as Red Bull to gain share. PepsiCo India energy-drink supply report About PepsiCo (Free Report)
PepsiCo, Inc (NASDAQ:PEP) is a global food and beverage company that develops, manufactures, markets and distributes a broad portfolio of snacks, drinks and convenient foods. Its beverage brands include Pepsi, Mountain Dew, Gatorade, 7UP in select markets, and bubly, while its food and snack brands include Lay’s, Doritos, Cheetos, Tostitos, Fritos, Quaker and Ruffles.
The company’s operations include beverage production and distribution, snack foods, convenient meals and nutrition-oriented products.
See Also Five stocks we like better than PepsiCo Bank of America Stock Sell-Off Looks Like a Buying Opportunity AST SpaceMobile Is Down 67%—Could SpaceX’s Mobile Push Deepen the Selloff? GlobalFoundries’ $21 Billion Deal Could Change the Economics of Chipmaking Fundamental and Technicals Signals Align for Costco: Is the Stock Finally Breaking Out? Want to see what other hedge funds are holding PEP? Visit HoldingsChannel.com to get the latest 13F filings and insider trades for PepsiCo, Inc. (NASDAQ:PEP – Free Report).
Receive News & Ratings for PepsiCo Daily - Enter your email address below to receive a concise daily summary of the latest news and analysts' ratings for PepsiCo and related companies with MarketBeat.com's FREE daily email newsletter.
KFC's decision to switch from Pepsi sodas to Coca-Cola (KO.N) at its US restaurants could raise questions about PepsiCo's (PEP.O) other longstanding food service partnerships, analysts said, even as they expect the financial hit to be manageable.
The loss of KFC comes as PepsiCo grapples with sluggish demand and higher costs in North America, where a recovery in growth and margins is taking longer than expected and has prompted the company to deepen cost cuts.
BofA analysts estimate the loss of the KFC account represents about $500 million in annual sales, equivalent to roughly a 3% hit to Pepsi Beverages North America's concentrate sales, while boosting Coca-Cola's North America sales by about 2.5%
Brokerage Jefferies says the bigger concern for PepsiCo is the "loss of brand interaction and public perception" rather than the immediate financial impact
"A longstanding Pepsi customer switching raises questions whether other accounts that have been historically off-limits are now up for grabs," Jefferies analysts said
"Investors see this (move) less as a seismic commercial loss for PepsiCo and more as the natural order of... (a brand) reasserting itself," says Richard Exon, founder and partner at Joint, an independent creative agency
With support from PepsiCo and the PepsiCo Foundation, the Feed the Children Food & Essentials Hub program has reached a major milestone in helping expand access to nutritious food and essential resources for students and families.
, /PRNewswire/ -- PepsiCo (NASDAQ: PEP), PepsiCo Foundation and Feed the Children today announced that the Feed the Children Food & Essentials Hub program has provided over 2 million meals served this year, marking a significant milestone in their longstanding work to help address childhood hunger. Through school-based hubs, the program connects students and families with nutritious food, household essentials and educational resources, helping bring critical support directly into the communities where families live and children learn.
The Food & Essentials Hub network continues to bring together Feed the Children and a coalition of supporting partners to help address school hunger and strengthen support for children and families.
With support from PepsiCo and the PepsiCo Foundation, the Feed the Children Food & Essentials Hub program has reached a major milestone in helping expand access to nutritious food and essential resources for students and families.
PepsiCo Foundation The program launched in 2020, when food insecurity among U.S. households with children rose to 14.8%, up from 13.6% in 2019.1
"For many families, access to food isn't the only challenge. Time, transportation and awareness of available resources can all create barriers to getting support when it's needed most," said Monica Bauer, SVP, Social Impact, PepsiCo and President of the PepsiCo Foundation. "That's what makes this model so powerful. By working with Feed the Children to provide food, household essentials and educational resources through local schools, this program helps reach families through institutions they already know and trust. As the program exceeds two million meals delivered, we're seeing how community-based partnerships can help strengthen family stability and support student success."
Today, the Food & Essentials Hub network continues to bring together Feed the Children and a coalition of supporting partners to help address school hunger and strengthen support for children and families.
During the 2025-26 school year, Feed the Children's Food & Essentials Hub network delivered meaningful impact across the country, including:
More than 154,900 students and 58,600 households reached 834 schools engaged across 11 states More than 686,000 meals provided More than $6.7 million in food, essentials, books and school supplies distributed Unlike traditional food distribution programs, the Feed the Children Food & Essentials Hub model goes beyond food assistance, providing families with household and personal care items, school supplies and educational resources through participating schools. By bringing these resources together in one place, the program is designed to help reduce household stress and support children both in and out of the classroom.
The program is making a meaningful difference for participating families and schools, including:
71% of caregivers reported reduced household stress. Nearly two-thirds of caregivers said the program helped reduce the need to cut or skip meals for their children. Concerns about food running out dropped by 17.3 percentage points, with nearly twice as many families reporting they did not worry about food at all. 85% of families said access to household and personal care items helped free up resources for other essential expenses. 87% of participating school districts reported improvements in student confidence and attendance. 83% of students and families said they felt treated with dignity and respect while accessing resources. "When we talk about the true impact of fighting school hunger, we're talking about much more than food. We're talking about helping children arrive at school ready to learn, reducing stress for families, and creating opportunities for children to grow, succeed and thrive," said Emily Callahan, president and CEO of Feed the Children. "Through our long-standing relationship with PepsiCo and the support of partners who make the Feed the Children Food & Essentials Hub program possible, we're helping provide food, essentials and support that strengthen families and communities while advancing our shared vision of a world where no child goes to bed hungry."
The milestone builds on more than three decades of collaboration between PepsiCo and Feed the Children to help expand food, essentials and support for families across the U.S. Together, these organizations continue to invest in community-based solutions that help address immediate needs while supporting long-term well-being for children and families.
About Feed the Children
Feed the Children is a global movement working to end childhood hunger in the U.S. and around the world. Together with communities, the organization provides food, essentials and opportunities to children and families who need them most so every child can survive and thrive. Learn more at feedthechildren.org.
About PepsiCo
PepsiCo products are enjoyed by consumers more than one billion times a day in more than 200 countries and territories around the world. PepsiCo generated nearly $94 billion in net revenue in 2025, driven by a complementary beverage and convenient foods portfolio that includes Lay's, Doritos, Cheetos, Gatorade, Pepsi-Cola, Mountain Dew, Quaker, and SodaStream. PepsiCo's product portfolio includes a wide range of enjoyable foods and drinks, including many iconic brands that generate more than $1 billion each in estimated annual retail sales.
Guiding PepsiCo is our vision to Be the Global Leader in Beverages and Convenient Foods by Winning with pep+ (PepsiCo Positive). pep+ is our strategic end-to-end transformation that places sustainability at the center of our business strategy, seeking to drive growth and build a stronger, more resilient future for PepsiCo and the communities where we operate. For more information, visit www.pepsico.com, and follow on X (Twitter), Instagram, Facebook, and LinkedIn @PepsiCo.
About PepsiCo Foundation
The PepsiCo Foundation, the philanthropic arm of PepsiCo, works to support positive change for people and the planet by expanding access to essential resources that help meet immediate needs and unlock pathways to opportunity. Guided by PepsiCo Positive (pep+), our philanthropic investments focus on four key areas: food access, safe water access, farming, and workforce development. Through collaboration with nonprofits, community organizations and global partners, the Foundation works to strengthen food systems, support farmers, expand access to nutritious food and safe water, and advance workforce development to build lasting economic resilience. Learn more at www.pepsicofoundation.com. Follow us on LinkedIn.
After 40 years of pouring Pepsi, KFC chose Coke, and the move says something bigger about where each beverage giant stands heading into earnings season.
KFC said Thursday that Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO | KO Price Prediction) will replace Pepsi at about 3,700 U.S. restaurants. The switch starts in January 2027, and Coke drinks should be at every U.S. location by spring.
The deal ends a relationship of about 40 years, dating back to PepsiCo’s (NASDAQ:PEP) 1986 purchase of the chain. PepsiCo spun KFC off in 1997 but kept providing its drinks through the chain’s parent company.
The loss falls on the weaker of the two stocks. Coca-Cola closed at $92.00 on October 15, close to its 52-week high of $94.10. PepsiCo closed at $128.38, not far above its 52-week low of $123.47.
Coke shares are up 34.16% this year, and PepsiCo is down 7.83%. The KFC news mostly supports a gap the market had already opened.
Why Losing KFC Hurts PepsiCo’s Image More Than Its Revenue
Neither company disclosed financial terms, so nobody outside the deal knows how much revenue is at stake. PepsiCo brought in $98.24 billion in trailing revenue from drinks and snacks, so one chain’s U.S. fountain business is likely a small piece of that.
The significance is harder to brush off. A partner PepsiCo once owned has picked Coke, and Coke can now point to that choice when it pitches other restaurant chains.
PepsiCo did hold on to the larger accounts. It recently renewed agreements covering Taco Bell and KFC’s international restaurants, which ties it to markets where EMEA and Asia Pacific each posted 9% organic revenue growth last quarter.
Coca-Cola Keeps Winning Restaurant Accounts
Fountain contracts matter because they put a brand in front of customers at every meal, and that exposure can carry over to what people buy in stores. Before KFC, Coke won back Marriott International (NASDAQ:MAR) after 34 years.
On the July earnings call, Chief Executive Henrique Braun said, “We earned it back because we are consumer and customer centric like never before.” Dagmar Boggs, Coca-Cola’s president of foodservice and on-premise, talked about “pairing KFC’s iconic food and flavors with the breadth of Coca-Cola’s beverage portfolio and innovation capabilities.”
Product results support that pitch. Coca-Cola Zero Sugar volume rose 16% in the second quarter, and Coke raised its 2026 comparable EPS growth outlook to 9% to 10%.
PepsiCo’s Weakest Business Is at Home
Core operating profit at PepsiCo Foods North America fell 12%, and North American drink volumes declined. Management cut its 2026 core EPS growth outlook to 2.5% to 3.5%.
Chief Executive Ramon Laguarta said PepsiCo is “acting with urgency to sustainably improve our performance in North America.” Snacks normally cushion a drink setback, but this year the U.S. snack business is struggling too.
Lens
Coca-Cola
PepsiCo
Market value
$395.83 billion
$174.95 billion
Forward P/E
25
15
2026 outlook
Raised
Lowered
Why Coca-Cola Holds the Edge Before Its Next Earnings Report
Coca-Cola is the stronger business right now. Its volume, pricing, and customer wins are all improving, and PepsiCo is still working to fix North America.
That strength costs more. Investors value Coke at more than double PepsiCo even though PepsiCo has the larger revenue base, so the high forward multiple leaves less room for disappointment.
Coke’s October 27 earnings report is the next test. I want to hear about more foodservice wins and see the raised outlook hold up in a fourth quarter with six fewer days than last year.
PepsiCo looks like a value alternative only after its U.S. drink share stops falling and other chains stay with it. Until that happens, Coke is the stronger stock.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Fast-food chain KFC on Thursday signed Coca-Cola as its beverage partner for US stores, bringing to a close a relationship with PepsiCo that dates back about four decades.
The loss of the beverage partnership with KFC, which has 3,718 US locations, could be a setback for PepsiCo as it works to improve soda sales in the country, while its snacks business grapples with high prices and a shift to healthier options.
Higher costs have also added to concerns for PepsiCo CEO Ramon Laguarta, who said earlier this month that growth and margin recovery was taking longer than planned.
Fast-food chain KFC signed Coca-Cola as its beverage partner to provide sodas at its US stores, ending a longtime deal with PepsiCo. Christopher Sadowski for NY Post The partnership began when PepsiCo acquired KFC in a bid to expand into food and snacks. While PepsiCo later spun off KFC in 1997, it continued to be a beverage partner for its parent Yum Brands.
“It is just a bad look for PepsiCo… when you lose a big-name brand partner like that. This could be the optical straw that breaks the camel’s back,” said Jay Woods, chief market strategist at Freedom Capital Markets.
“It is very rare that you have two giants in the same industry take such a different turn,” he said. Freedom Capital Markets holds shares in Coca-Cola.
PepsiCo is also under scrutiny from activist investor Elliott Investment Management, which disclosed a stake in the company last year, and has asked it to sell underperforming assets and improve its performance in North America.
Coca-Cola products will be available at KFC US restaurants by spring 2027, the company said. Christopher Sadowski Yum Brands and PepsiCo just renewed agreements across Taco Bell and KFC International stores, a spokesperson for PepsiCo told Reuters. Taco Bell is a 10-year agreement, they said.
PepsiCo has beverage partner agreements at sandwich chains Subway and Jersey Mike’s Subs. It also runs the soda fountain at Pizza Hut, which left the Yum Brands umbrella only this year and switched to PepsiCo from Coca-Cola in 2011.
In 2012, PepsiCo lost Dunkin to Coca-Cola after a five-year run at the donut chain.
Yum Brands and PepsiCo just renewed agreements across Taco Bell and KFC International stores, a spokesperson for PepsiCo said. REUTERS Coca-Cola products will be available at KFC US restaurants by spring 2027, the company said. Financial details of the partnership were not disclosed.
Coca-Cola is a long-standing beverage partner at burger chains McDonald’s and Wendy’s.
The Wall Street Journal first reported the news on Thursday, citing people familiar with the matter.
Fast-food chain KFC (YUM.N) on Thursday signed Coca-Cola (KO.N) as its beverage partner to provide sodas at its US stores, ending a longtime deal with PepsiCo.
There are 3,718 KFC locations in the US, according to the company's website. Losing a beverage partnership at the fast-food chain would come as a blow to PepsiCo, which is struggling to improve sales in the country.
Coca-Cola products will be available at KFC US restaurants by spring 2027, the company said.
The Wall Street Journal first reported the news on Thursday.
Investors are taking note of PepsiCo Inc. NASDAQ: PEP as the food and beverage leader trades below 16x earnings, one of its lowest valuations historically, and following a Q3 2026 earnings report with a number of highlights. Still, with the outlook for the near future looking less than optimistic, the company's real appeal may be to long-term investors who can settle in with a 4.67% dividend yield and wait for shares to capture some of the roughly 15% in upside potential Wall Street has assigned to the stock.
PepsiCo's recent earnings emphasize the distinction between generating sales growth and turning that growth into sustainable profits—not to mention highlighting concerns about pricing power and consumer affordability. The company must carefully balance its margins against a tepid recovery in the North American market, all while also dealing with continued strength from major rival Coca-Cola Co. NYSE: KO and a broader K-shaped economy that is challenging retailers across the board.
Get PepsiCo alerts:
PepsiCo Earnings Deliver Mixed SignalsPepsiCo had several important wins for the latest quarter, including better-than-expected revenue and adjusted earnings per share (EPS). Revenue growth of 5.6% year over year (YOY) brought sales above analyst expectations of nearly $25 billion, while adjusted EPS came in five cents above predictions. These figures mask a more modest 2% increase in core EPS, however.
A surprising divergence in PepsiCo's report was its sales and earnings guidance going forward. The company predicts about 3% organic revenue growth and between 2.5% and 3.5% in adjusted EPS growth for the full year, down from a 5-7% earnings growth target previously.
Investors' concern is that, despite rising sales, PepsiCo may not be able to offset rising costs and weaker domestic performance.
Blame It on the North American Market?PepsiCo MarketRank™ Stock Analysis4.670809095715 of 5 stars
93rd Percentile
Hold
14.3% Upside
Healthy
Strong
0.10 Selling Shares
3.57%
See Full Analysis
North American consumers, a core component of PepsiCo's market, are maintaining or even reducing their purchases. Last quarter, North American food volumes were flat YOY, while beverage volumes actually fell by 2% over the same period. The company's Asia-Pacific region saw a strong 11% food growth YOY, by comparison.
The company is being forced to lean more heavily on international sales while domestic recovery is slow, and lower prices on many Lay's and Doritos products have not been a quick fix to the problem.
By reducing prices, PepsiCo may be able to restore some of the lost volume momentum, but it will damage the company's revenue per unit sold and hurt margins. Last quarter, operating margins narrowed by 35 basis points, reflecting this pressure.
PepsiCo's Strengths Against Coca-Cola'sPepsiCo certainly still has many strengths, with its international operations being a notable one. The fact that the company offers convenient foods, sports drinks, energy beverages, and more on top of traditional soft drinks means that it can appeal to a broader market than a beverage-only competitor like Coca-Cola.
Investors will have to wait to directly compare Coca-Cola's Q3 2026 earnings against PepsiCo's, but the rival has a strong operating profile, including recent global volume and organic revenue growth as well as an expanding operating margin. In contrast to PepsiCo's caution regarding full-year guidance, Coca-Cola has recently boosted its outlook for the year and anticipates up to 10% YOY comparable EPS growth.
Coca-Cola's structure—focused on drink concentrates and a franchised bottling system—may support higher margins and stability when prices increase compared to PepsiCo. On the other hand, if domestic volumes improve for PepsiCo, and particularly if international sales remain strong, the company could impress in future earnings reports.
The Broader Retail Environment and What to WatchRecent earnings across retail have suggested that a K-shaped economy is in place, with higher-end and luxury stores doing surprisingly well even as others are struggling.
When wallets are stretched, consumers may keep buying necessities but are more likely to trade down to less expensive brands or to reduce their overall volume. PepsiCo can win in this environment, as its products are often regular purchases for many customers, and their prices remain low overall compared to many other products. Still, there is always a risk that even loyal customers will switch to other options that can save money.
It will be helpful for investors to watch PepsiCo's unit volumes and capacity to grow revenue by means other than simply raising prices. If the company manages to boost sales without sacrificing too much revenue per unit, it may be able to get out of a rut and distinguish itself from its biggest rival.
Should You Invest $1,000 in PepsiCo Right Now?Before you consider PepsiCo, you'll want to hear this.
MarketBeat keeps track of Wall Street's top-rated and best performing research analysts and the stocks they recommend to their clients on a daily basis. MarketBeat has identified the five stocks that top analysts are quietly whispering to their clients to buy now before the broader market catches on... and PepsiCo wasn't on the list.
While PepsiCo currently has a Hold rating among analysts, top-rated analysts believe these five stocks are better buys.
View The Five Stocks Here
AI spending is reshaping the market, and the opportunity extends far beyond the biggest chipmakers. Discover 10 stocks set to benefit from powerful trends in AI infrastructure, cloud computing, energy, capital returns, and consumer growth this fall.
Get This Free Report
Continue following MarketBeat
Add MarketBeat as your preferred source on Google to see our latest stories in your feed.
JGP Wealth Management LLC lowered its holdings in shares of PepsiCo, Inc. (NASDAQ:PEP – Free Report) by 14.2% during the third quarter, according to its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The institutional investor owned 30,759 shares of the company’s stock after selling 5,092 shares during the quarter. JGP Wealth Management LLC’s holdings in PepsiCo were worth $3,898,000 as of its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Other institutional investors and hedge funds have also modified their holdings of the company. Auto Owners Insurance Co boosted its position in PepsiCo by 14,857.8% during the fourth quarter. Auto Owners Insurance Co now owns 49,252,907 shares of the company’s stock worth $7,068,777,000 after purchasing an additional 48,923,629 shares during the period. Bank of America Corp DE bought a new position in shares of PepsiCo in the second quarter valued at approximately $2,755,509,000. Legal & General Group Plc bought a new position in shares of PepsiCo in the second quarter valued at approximately $1,200,274,000. Corient Private Wealth LP acquired a new stake in shares of PepsiCo in the second quarter worth $297,116,000. Finally, Canada Pension Plan Investment Board acquired a new stake in shares of PepsiCo in the second quarter worth $487,558,000. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 73.07% of the company’s stock.
Insider Transactions at PepsiCo
In other news, EVP David Flavell sold 2,900 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction dated Monday, July 27th. The shares were sold at an average price of $139.54, for a total transaction of $404,666.00. Following the transaction, the executive vice president owned 74,825 shares in the company, valued at approximately $10,441,080.50. The trade was a 3.73% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which can be accessed through the SEC website. 0.12% of the stock is owned by corporate insiders.
PepsiCo Stock Up 0.6%
Shares of PEP stock opened at $126.68 on Tuesday. PepsiCo, Inc. has a 12 month low of $123.47 and a 12 month high of $171.48. The company has a quick ratio of 0.76, a current ratio of 0.94 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.90. The firm has a market cap of $172.63 billion, a PE ratio of 15.91, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 2.92 and a beta of 0.35. The stock has a 50 day moving average of $135.22 and a 200-day moving average of $142.83.
PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP – Get Free Report) last announced its quarterly earnings data on Thursday, October 8th. The company reported $2.34 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $2.29 by $0.05. PepsiCo had a net margin of 11.09% and a return on equity of 53.08%. The business had revenue of $25.27 billion for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $24.95 billion. During the same quarter last year, the company posted $2.29 earnings per share. PepsiCo’s quarterly revenue was up 5.6% on a year-over-year basis. PepsiCo has set its FY 2026 guidance at 8.344-8.425 EPS. On average, equities analysts predict that PepsiCo, Inc. will post 8.40 EPS for the current year.
PepsiCo Dividend Announcement
The business also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Wednesday, September 30th. Shareholders of record on Friday, September 4th were given a $1.48 dividend. This represents a $5.92 annualized dividend and a yield of 4.7%. The ex-dividend date was Friday, September 4th. PepsiCo’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is currently 74.37%.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth
A number of research analysts recently issued reports on the stock. The Goldman Sachs Group reiterated a “buy” rating and issued a $165.00 target price on shares of PepsiCo in a research note on Thursday. Barclays dropped their target price on shares of PepsiCo from $133.00 to $126.00 and set an “equal weight” rating on the stock in a report on Monday. Wells Fargo & Company cut their target price on shares of PepsiCo from $140.00 to $135.00 and set an “equal weight” rating for the company in a research report on Monday, October 5th. Jefferies Financial Group restated a “hold” rating on shares of PepsiCo in a report on Thursday. Finally, Evercore lowered their price target on PepsiCo from $150.00 to $135.00 in a research report on Wednesday, September 30th. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, five have given a Buy rating, fourteen have assigned a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the company’s stock. Based on data from MarketBeat, PepsiCo currently has a consensus rating of “Hold” and an average target price of $145.50.
Get Our Latest Analysis on PEP
Key PepsiCo News
Here are the key news stories impacting PepsiCo this week:
Positive Sentiment: PepsiCo’s third-quarter revenue increased 5.6% year over year to approximately $25.3 billion, while adjusted EPS exceeded analyst expectations. The company also raised prices on some products, which could help offset inflation and cost pressures. PepsiCo Q3 revenue and outlook
Positive Sentiment: PepsiCo is expanding functional beverages, protein-rich snacks and zero-sugar products to capture demand for healthier and wellness-oriented offerings. Its Poppi acquisition is also being positioned as part of a soft-drink turnaround strategy. PepsiCo functional portfolio
Positive Sentiment: Some investors view PEP as inexpensive after its prolonged decline, citing a dividend yield near 4.7%, strong brands and potentially attractive long-term cash-flow value. PepsiCo also received an A+ profitability grade in one screening report. PepsiCo dividend valuation
Neutral Sentiment: PepsiCo raised roughly €999 million through euro-denominated senior notes. The financing improves liquidity but increases debt and interest obligations as the company faces pressure to improve margins. PepsiCo euro bond offering
Neutral Sentiment: CEO Ramon Laguarta said PepsiCo does not plan to separate its snacks and beverage businesses, maintaining the company’s integrated strategy despite activist investor pressure.
Negative Sentiment: Barclays lowered its PEP price target from $133 to $126 and assigned an “equal weight” rating, implying limited near-term upside. Goldman Sachs and other analysts also reduced their targets amid inflation, cost pressures and concerns about the earnings outlook. Goldman lowers PepsiCo target
Negative Sentiment: PepsiCo’s reduced forecast and ongoing pressure in North American beverages have weakened investor confidence. Cautious consumers, higher costs and the need to improve margins remain key risks.
Negative Sentiment: An Indian court refused relief in a labeling dispute involving Sting, preventing PepsiCo from labeling new bottles as an “energy drink,” creating a regulatory and branding headwind in that market. PepsiCo Sting labeling case
About PepsiCo
(Free Report)
PepsiCo, Inc (NASDAQ:PEP) is a global food and beverage company that develops, manufactures, markets and distributes a broad portfolio of snacks, drinks and convenient foods. Its beverage brands include Pepsi, Mountain Dew, Gatorade, 7UP in select markets, and bubly, while its food and snack brands include Lay’s, Doritos, Cheetos, Tostitos, Fritos, Quaker and Ruffles.
The company’s operations include beverage production and distribution, snack foods, convenient meals and nutrition-oriented products.
Featured Stories
Five stocks we like better than PepsiCo
Salesforce Just Got a Rare Double Upgrade—What Changed?
OpenAI’s Revenue Scare Could Be a Big Opportunity for Investors
China Still Dominates Rare Earths—These 3 U.S. Companies Could Benefit
3 REITs That May Win in a Higher Interest Rate Environment
Want to see what other hedge funds are holding PEP? Visit HoldingsChannel.com to get the latest 13F filings and insider trades for PepsiCo, Inc. (NASDAQ:PEP – Free Report).
Receive News & Ratings for PepsiCo Daily - Enter your email address below to receive a concise daily summary of the latest news and analysts' ratings for PepsiCo and related companies with MarketBeat.com's FREE daily email newsletter.
PepsiCo (PEP +0.24%) has been a top dividend stock to own for decades. It's been growing its payout and offering investors some great value. But the business hasn't been in great shape of late, and recently it cut its guidance.
Its yield is fairly high at around 4.7%, as the stock has fallen by more than 15% in the past 12 months. With the company facing some greater adversity these days, can investors still depend on its dividend for the long haul, or is it in danger of being cut?
Image source: Getty Images.
The company is facing challengesPepsiCo's business has been growing this year, but it has been at a fairly modest rate. Revenue in its most recent quarter, which ended on Sept. 5, totaled $25.3 billion and was up nearly 6% year over year. But organically, its top line grew by just 3%. Its core earnings per share (EPS) also only rose by a modest 2%.
The company was previously expecting between 5% to 7% growth in core EPS for the full year, but has now reduced that to a range of 2.5% to 3.5%.
With the business making investments into its operations to improve performance and strengthen its future growth, that can adversely impact cash flow, which in turn, may put pressure on the company's dividend.
PepsiCo raised its dividend again this yearIn May, PepsiCo announced a 4% increase to its dividend, boosting it to $1.48 per share each quarter, or $5.92 over the course of a full year. Currently, its payout ratio is at around 70%, which is a healthy rate, suggesting that not only is the dividend safe, but there is room for more increases in the future, even if its growth rate is modest.
PepsiCo is a Dividend King, as it has raised its dividend for 54 consecutive years. While that kind of track record does suggest safety, past performance is not a predictor of the future, and things can change. The good news for investors is that even amid adversity, the dividend still looks safe right now.
Premium Feature
Moneyball Superscore
71/100
Today's Change
(
0.24
%) $
0.31
Current Price
$
126.99
Is PepsiCo stock a bargain buy right now?As a result of the decline in its share price, investors can buy PepsiCo's stock at a discount right now. It's currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of just under 15, which is based on analyst expectations of how it will do in the year ahead. That's far below the S&P 500 average of 20.
For income investors, this can be a potentially underrated dividend stock to buy right now, with PepsiCo having a tremendous track record for dividend growth. Its business is facing challenges, but it is still growing. As a long-term investment, PepsiCo could make for a good buy today.
PEP trades near its 52-week low as North American weakness, margin pressures and reduced earnings expectations raise questions about its recovery prospects.
Coca-Cola (KO +1.98%) and PepsiCo (PEP +0.56%) have battled for dominance for decades. Deciding which of these dividend titans to buy in 2026 requires a close look at their diverging business models.
While both companies own world-class brands, Coca-Cola focuses almost exclusively on drinks and concentrates. In contrast, PepsiCo is a massive food and snack company that also sells soda. This comparison explores how their different approaches to the consumer market impact investor returns.
The case for Coca-ColaThe Coca-Cola Company is a total beverage company that sells brands such as sparkling soft drinks, water, and coffee across more than 200 countries. It represents one of the largest beverage stocks in the market and relies on independent bottlers such as Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP +0.80%). Customer concentration like this adds a layer of risk since one unnamed bottling partner accounted for 10% of revenue in 2025.
In FY 2025, revenue reached nearly $47.9 billion, representing growth of approximately 1.9% over the prior year. Net income for the period was roughly $13.1 billion, marking a significant increase from the $10.6 billion reported in 2024. This reflects a net margin of approximately 27.3%, a key metric that measures how much profit a company retains from its total sales after paying all expenses.
As of its December 2025 balance sheet, the debt-to-equity ratio is roughly 1.5x, indicating the relationship between borrowed money and shareholders' equity. The current ratio, which measures the ability to pay short-term debts with assets that can be quickly converted to cash, is approximately 1.5x. Free cash flow, which is cash from operations minus capital expenditures, reached nearly $5.3 billion during the year.
The case for PepsiCoIn its latest annual report, filed for the fiscal year 2025, PepsiCo described a diverse portfolio of foods and drinks consumed in over 200 countries. The company distributes products through various warehouse networks and often collaborates with partners like Starbucks (SBUX +1.69%) for specialized offerings. A significant customer is Walmart (WMT +1.14%), which accounted for approximately 14% of revenue in 2025, and customer concentration like this adds a layer of risk to the business.
In FY 2025, revenue reached nearly $93.9 billion, representing growth of roughly 2.3% over the previous fiscal year. This continued the steady upward trend from 2024, when revenue was roughly $91.9 billion. Despite high sales, net income for the period was approximately $8.2 billion, resulting in a net margin of nearly 8.8%.
As of its December 2025 balance sheet, the debt-to-equity ratio is approximately 2.4x, representing the relationship between total debt and shareholders' equity. The current ratio stands at roughly 0.9x, a metric that measures the ability to pay short-term debts with assets such as cash and inventory. Free cash flow, defined as cash from operations minus capital expenditures, was nearly $7.7 billion for the year.
Risk profile comparisonIn its latest annual report for FY 2025, Coca-Cola noted risks related to revenue concentration and heavy dependence on independent bottling partners. Commodity price volatility for items such as sweeteners and aluminum packaging could also affect costs amid geopolitical tensions. Additionally, the company manages complex regulatory risks related to global tax laws and environmental regulations governing plastic use.
PepsiCo carries risk from its heavy retail concentration, particularly its reliance on Walmart for nearly 14% of sales. The company is also exposed to price fluctuations in ingredients such as grains and potatoes. Furthermore, Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP +0.56%) and other rivals compete in a market increasingly sensitive to sugar and sodium regulations.
Valuation comparisonPepsiCo appears cheaper than Coca-Cola based on its Forward P/E relative to future earnings estimates and its P/S ratio based on sales over the past twelve months.
MetricCoca-ColaPepsiCoForward P/E26.6x15.0xP/S ratio7.6x1.8xValuation metrics include those sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) and may differ from those of other data providers.
When comparing Coca-Cola and PepsiCo, investors should consider a few key factors. Let's have a look at them and see what that tells us about each stock.
To start, there's profitability. On this front, Coca-Cola has the edge. Over the last five years, its operating margin has averaged 26.5%, while Pepsi's has been 14.9%. What's more, in recent quarters, this gap has widened. Coca-Cola's operating margin now stands at an all-time high of 31.9%, well ahead of Pepsi's 15.8%.
Another factor to consider is each company's valuation. Here, Pepsi can claim an advantage. On a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) basis, Pepsi stock, with its multiple of 15x, is significantly more affordable compared to Coca-Cola stock, with its 27x multiple.
Last, there are dividends. This factor is particularly important for income-oriented investors who may be choosing between these two stocks. Pepsi boasts a very strong dividend yield of around 4.6%. Coca-Cola, by contrast, has a dividend yield of 2.4%.
In summary, both stocks are worthy of consideration and show good profitability, reasonable valuation, and solid dividend yields. However, there is one other factor investors may wish to consider: historical performance. Over the last five years, Coca-Cola stock has generated a total return of 92%, while Pepsi has delivered a total return of -5%. Commodity price pressures have hurt Pepsi, while Coca-Cola's asset-light model has largely insulated it from rising costs. Given ongoing macroeconomic pressures, some investors may elect to stick with Coca-Cola.
PepsiCo sits near a 52-week low after a brutal guidance cut, yet its international business keeps firing on all cylinders while the stock trades at a steep discount to its closest rivals. The question is whether Wall Street has already…
The 24/7 Wall St. price target for PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP | PEP Price Prediction) is $145.29. That is about 15.6% above today’s $125.71 share price. The stock wins a buy rating with high confidence from our model.
24/7 Wall St. Price Target Summary
Metric
Value
Current Price
$125.71
Price Target from 24/7 Wall St.
$145.29
Upside
15.6%
Recommendation
BUY
Confidence Level
90%
PepsiCo trades at a forward multiple of 14x and yields 4.36%. The stock has beaten EPS estimates 5 quarters running. North America is the problem. International growth, cost cuts and a valuation correction offer a credible path back toward its old range.
A Guidance Cut Left PepsiCo Near Its 52-Week Low
Shares are down 9.2% over the past month and 9.75% year to date. They traded at $143.30 when second-quarter results came out in July. The stock sits 24.5% below its $166.41 52-week high and just 1.8% above its $123.47 low.
Third-quarter adjusted EPS of $2.34 beat the $2.30 estimate. Revenue rose 5.6% to $25.27 billion. Management cut core EPS growth guidance to 2.5% to 3.5%, down from 5% to 7%. CEO Ramon Laguarta said “our business in North America performed below our expectations and represents a meaningful opportunity for improvement.”
Why Bulls See $156 Within Reach
International is the growth engine. EMEA and Asia Pacific each posted 9% organic growth, and LatAm Foods rose 14%. Management expects international revenue to top $40 billion this year. February snack price cuts of up to 15% returned U.S. foods to volume growth.
A $10 billion buyback, cost cuts and a 54th consecutive dividend increase add support. Our bull case reaches $156.62. Wall Street shows 18 Hold ratings against 5 Buy or Strong Buy ratings.
North America Is the Risk Worth Watching
Frito-Lay North America’s core operating profit fell 12%, and North American beverage volume dropped 2%. Core operating margin contracted 35 bps, with a tariff refund adding 4 points.
Reported operating income rose 19.36%. Much margin pressure stems from calculated affordability investments. The bear case of $135.04 still sits above today’s price.
PepsiCo Trades at a Discount to Coca-Cola and Mondelez
Company
Forward P/E
Dividend Yield
PepsiCo
14x
4.36%
Coca-Cola
25x
2.41%
Mondelez
18x
3.37%
Keurig Dr Pepper
12x
2.96%
Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO) is PepsiCo’s direct soda rival with a 34.9% operating margin wins a premium multiple.
Mondelez International (NASDAQ:MDLZ) competes in global snacks and commands a higher multiple.
Keurig Dr Pepper (NASDAQ:KDP) is cheaper on forward earnings but its 5.1% return on equity trails PepsiCo’s 42.86% by a wide margin. Our target means about 16x forward earnings, below both Coca-Cola and Mondelez.
PepsiCo Price Prediction 2026-2030
A buy rating with a 24/7 Wall St. price target of $145.29 and 90% confidence. A defensive franchise with a 4%-plus yield trading at a peer-group discount tips the scale.
North American volume stability and margin-protecting cost cuts would strengthen the case. A further guidance cut from management in early 2027 would hurt it.
Our model projects PepsiCo could trade as follows in the base case:
Year
Price Target from 24/7 Wall St.
2026
$132.62
2027
$144.90
2028
$158.62
2029
$173.03
2030
$185.18
PepsiCo’s continued execution of its current strategy supports these projections. A faster North American recovery could drove results above these figures, while lasting input-cost inflation could pull them below.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
SummaryPepsiCo, Inc. is rated Hold at $126, trading near the fair value of $124 with a 4.6% yield.North American volumes are weak, Frito-Lay is sacrificing margin, and GLP-1 drugs pose long-term demand risks.Cash conversion is improving, international growth is strong, but acquisition spending and $41 billion in net debt remain concerns.I would only consider buying PepsiCo below $110 to ensure a margin of safety; covered calls are suggested for current holders. Getty Images
PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) finally looks cheap. The stock is around $126, down close to 30% from its 2023 highs. That's a pretty brutal drawdown for a blue chip, especially during the middle of one of the strongest bull markets of all time. It
65 Followers
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Four Dividend Kings have raised their payouts for decades, but a closer look at their cash flows reveals one payout hanging by a thread while another faces a looming tax battle that could shake retiree income.
Retirees need income that comes every quarter in good times and bad ones. Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ | JNJ Price Prediction), Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG), Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO), and PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP) sell medicines, detergent, soda, and snacks that people keep buying in a recession. All four are Dividend Kings. I checked whether their cash flow still supports that title.
The growth rates compare each company’s 2021 quarterly payment with its 2026 payment. All four show no cut in the quarterly records available back to 1999.
PepsiCo’s Payout Ratio Is Near 100% While the Other Three Have Room
Stock
Earnings Payout
FCF Payout
Assessment
JNJ
49.6%
62.9%
Healthy
PG
63.2%
63.1%
Healthy
KO
63.7%
73.6%
High
PEP
92.1%
99.6%
About
J&J paid $12.381 billion in dividends in 2025 against $19.7 billion of free cash flow. Its oncology launches are making up for lost Stelara sales. Coca-Cola’s FCF number uses its 2026 guidance of $12.4 billion. PepsiCo paid $7.638 billion in dividends in 2025, nearly all of its free cash flow, while its North American snack business shrank.
Balance Sheets Hold Firm, but PepsiCo Carries the Most Debt
Stock
Cash
Leverage
Interest Coverage
JNJ
$21B
$28B net debt
Not available
PG
$9.94B
Not available
Not available
KO
$12.91B
1.4x net debt/EBITDA
8.32x
PEP
$10.25B
2.31x net debt/EBITDA
12.03x
Executives Make Cash Returns a Priority
J&J’s CFO said the company returns capital “primarily through our dividend.” P&G’s CEO pointed to its ability to “return high levels of cash to shareowners despite a very challenging geopolitical and economic environment.” Coca-Cola’s CFO said leverage sits “below our target range of 2 to 2.5 times.” PepsiCo’s CEO confirmed “our 54th consecutive annual increase.” That is reassuring, though J&J also noted that one metric “may be towards the low end” of guidance.
Three Very Safe Payouts and One to Monitor
Dividend Safety Ratings:
Very Safe: J&J and P&G
Safe: Coca-Cola
Moderate Risk: PepsiCo
This group’s income looks well supported if J&J hits its free cash flow target of nearly $21 billion and P&G meets its core EPS guidance of $6.89 to $7.11. PepsiCo’s dividend faces pressure if its North American business doesn’t recover, as it has almost no cushion. Coca-Cola’s IRS tax dispute is also worth watching. Overall, J&J and P&G show the strongest dividend coverage in this group, and Coca-Cola is close behind. (We ranked ten Dividend Kings by valuation in a free report you can grab here.)
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Key Takeaways PEP is expanding its wellness portfolio with zero-sugar drinks, functional hydration and protein-rich snacks.The permissible snacking portfolio generates roughly $3B in sales and is growing at a near-double-digit rate.PepsiCo is expanding functional beverages and better-for-you snacks to capitalize on growing wellness demand. PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP - Free Report) is strengthening its functional food and beverage portfolio to capitalize on growing consumer demand for healthier and more nutritious choices. With wellness increasingly influencing purchasing decisions, the company is expanding beyond traditional offerings to introduce products that support active lifestyles and evolving dietary preferences. PepsiCo's focus on zero-sugar beverages, functional hydration, protein-rich snacks and portion-controlled products reflects its efforts to capture emerging consumption trends. These initiatives are helping the company diversify its portfolio while addressing the growing preference for convenient products with added nutritional benefits.
PepsiCo's beverage transformation is gaining traction, supported by encouraging momentum in zero-sugar offerings, functional hydration and energy drinks. The company is also strengthening its presence in emerging beverage categories through brands like poppi and partnerships involving CELSIUS and Alani Nu. poppi has resumed growth at a healthy pace following improvements in distribution integration, allowing PepsiCo to expand consumption opportunities and customer reach. Meanwhile, the food business is benefiting from increasing interest in permissible snacking. This portfolio has reached approximately $3 billion in sales and is growing at a nearly double-digit rate. PepsiCo is also scaling innovations such as Doritos Protein and Naked, alongside portion-controlled multipacks and variety packs, to address evolving consumer preferences.
The expansion of functional and better-for-you offerings provides PepsiCo with opportunities to attract health-conscious consumers while broadening consumption occasions across food and beverage categories. Continued innovation, stronger distribution and increased product availability could help the company capitalize on demand for products that combine convenience with nutritional benefits. However, sustaining momentum will depend on consumer acceptance, competitive differentiation and the ability to scale newer offerings effectively. With wellness increasingly influencing purchasing decisions, PepsiCo's diversified portfolio and expanding presence in functional categories could support greater participation in this evolving market.
How Are KDP and KO Capitalizing on Rising Functional Beverage Demand?Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP - Free Report) and The Coca-Cola Company (KO - Free Report) are expanding their functional beverage portfolios through energy, hydration and zero-sugar innovations to capitalize on growing wellness-driven consumer demand.
Keurig Dr Pepper is strengthening its position in the functional beverage market by expanding its energy, hydration and better-for-you offerings. The company's focus on GHOST Energy, C4 Energy and Bloom Sparkling Energy reflects its efforts to address growing consumer demand for beverages that support active lifestyles and provide functional benefits. KDP is also expanding its hydration portfolio through Electrolit, introducing new flavors and convenient packaging formats to attract health-conscious consumers. The strategy is gaining traction, with energy, water and sports hydration contributing to growth in the U.S. Refreshment Beverages segment during the second quarter of 2026.
Coca-Cola is expanding its functional beverage portfolio to capitalize on rising demand for healthier hydration and nutritional benefits. The company's focus on BODYARMOR, Powerade and zero-sugar beverages reflects its efforts to address changing consumer preferences. Coca-Cola is introducing innovations such as BODYARMOR FIT, a sparkling sports drink combining zero sugar, electrolytes and caffeine with metabolism-supporting functionality. Meanwhile, Powerade registered 8% volume growth in the second quarter of 2026, supported partly by the company's FIFA World Cup campaign. Coca-Cola is also expanding Coca-Cola Zero Zero into additional international markets following encouraging consumer acceptance in Europe.
PEP’s Price Performance, Valuation & EstimatesShares of PepsiCo have lost 9.1% in the past three months compared with the industry’s fall of 0.5%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
From a valuation standpoint, PEP trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 14.52X, below the industry’s average of 18.99X.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PEP’s 2026 and 2027 earnings implies year-over-year growth of 4.2% and 3.3%, respectively. The company’s EPS estimates for 2026 and 2027 have moved southward in the past seven days.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
PEP stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).
You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of PEP either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor or professional. This article is my own personal opinion and is not meant to be a recommendation of the purchase or sale of stock. The investments and strategies discussed within this article are solely my personal opinions and commentary on the subject. This article has been written for research and educational purposes only. Anything written in this article does not take into account the reader’s particular investment objectives, financial situation, needs, or personal circumstances and is not intended to be specific to you. Investors should conduct their own research before investing to see if the companies discussed in this article fit into their portfolio parameters. Just because something may be an enticing investment for me or someone else, it may not be the correct investment for you.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
PepsiCo Inc (NASDAQ:PEP, XETRA:PEP)'s slower-than-expected North America recovery warrants a valuation discount, but UBS says the size of that discount is hard to justify.
The food and beverage giant’s quarter gave both bulls and bears something to work with. Pepsi beat expectations on stronger organic sales growth, better gross margin and favourable items below the line, but lowered its 2026 earnings guidance.
UBS was not entirely surprised, citing weaker consumption trends in North America and greater input cost pressures, though it said the cut was not the base case heading into the print.
On balance, UBS believes the sequential improvement in the top line outweighs bottom-line concerns for now. The firm acknowledged that continued pressure in North America and limited visibility into next year’s earnings power justify a discount to history. It noted, however, that Pepsi trades at a 28.5% discount to peers, versus a five-year average discount of 3.9%, which it called difficult to justify given the improving sales trajectory and continued strength in the international business.
Pepsi now expects core constant currency EPS growth of 1% to 2%, down from 4% to 6%. Organic sales growth is now expected at 3%, versus a prior range of 2% to 4% and Street estimates of 2.6%.
The updated outlook implies fourth-quarter organic sales growth of about 3.7%, ahead of the Street at 2.7%, with EPS of $2.19 to $2.27 versus Street at $2.43. Management said improving North America margins is taking longer than planned and expects segment operating margin pressure in the quarter.
UBS said Pepsi does not necessarily need to return to its historical growth algorithm for the stock to work. Continued improvement in consumption trends, particularly in North America, along with greater confidence in turning that growth into earnings, could support a more constructive valuation over time.
However, a more meaningful re-rating, the firm cautioned, will likely require clearer evidence of improving North America performance.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of NVDA either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Mea culpa. Earlier this week, I predicted Pepsico (PEP -2.03%) would slide after earnings. I got that one wrong.
I thought Pepsi's recent slump, which had dragged shares to a five-year low amid stubborn inflation and weakness in snacks due to the impact of GLP-1 drugs, would continue, but shares of the food and beverage giant rose 3.7% on Thursday following the results.
Pepsico topped expectations on the top and bottom lines in Q3, reporting organic revenue growth of 3.1%, an improvement from the first half of the year. Overall revenue rose 5.6% to $25.3 billion, which was ahead of estimates at $24.96 billion.
The snacks business showed improvement from the first half of the year, gaining volume market share, though this was offset by lower prices as the company adjusts to pushback from consumers and retail partners like Walmart. Still, volume and organic sales in the North American Foods segment were flat.
The international segment remained strong with organic growth of 6% or better in all four segments, though North American beverages reported flat organic sales and a 2% decline in volume.
Further down the income statement, core operating margin was down 35 basis points due to cost increases and higher advertising and marketing expenses. Core earnings per share rose 2% to $2.34, ahead of the consensus at $2.30.
Management also cut its core EPS growth forecast for the year to 2.5%-3.5%, from 5%-6% previously, indicating core EPS could decline in the fourth quarter.
Normally, a guidance cut like that would lead to a sell-off, but expectations had fallen low enough leading into the report that investors seemed satisfied with the beats on the top and bottom lines, and solid volume growth. Management also plans more cost cuts, which should support profit growth over the longer term.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
What's next for PepsicoDespite the signs of momentum, management was clear that there's more work to be done, especially in the U.S. CEO Ramon Laguarta said bluntly, "We do not feel good about the beverage business," pointing to weakness in soft drinks in particular, and said the company was cutting costs across the business to invest in beverages. Those investments include improving execution and increasing advertising and marketing spending, which the company expects to grow in the double digits in the U.S. next year.
Laguarta said a key goal for next year is to maintain its top-line momentum.
Premium Feature
Moneyball Superscore
69/100
Today's Change
(
-2.03
%) $
-2.61
Current Price
$
125.74
Is Pepsi a buy?If there's a silver lining to Pepsi's recent stock struggles, it's that the dividend yield has soared to 4.6%. Pepsico is a Dividend King, having raised its dividend for 54 years straight, and management said it expected to return $7.9 billion in cash through dividends to investors this year.
The gain in the stock, coming even as the company cut its earnings guidance, seems to signal that Pepsi may have bottomed out. It's cheap enough at this point, at a price-to-earnings of around 15, to justify low-single-digit earnings-per-share growth.
For the right kind of investor looking for a defensive dividend stock, getting some exposure to Pepsi makes sense, especially given its dividend yield near 5% and the potential for a recovery in North America.
Key Takeaways PepsiCo lowers its 2026 core EPS growth outlook to 2.5%-3.5% amid rising costs and weaker margins. International organic revenues rise 8%, with operating margins expanding 105 basis points in Q3. PEP eyes North American recovery through snack pricing resets, higher brand spending & distribution changes. PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP - Free Report) emphasized accelerating revenue growth and restoring North American competitiveness during its third-quarter 2026 earnings call, even as rising input costs prompted management to lower its earnings outlook.
Executives highlighted strong international momentum, improving snack volumes and continued brand investment. However, weaker beverage execution and rising margin pressures remained central concerns during analyst discussions.
PEP Lowers Earnings Outlook Despite Revenue MomentumPepsiCo now expects 2026 core EPS growth of 2.5% to 3.5%, down from its previous expectation at the low end of 5% to 7%. Core constant-currency EPS growth is projected at 1% to 2%.
The company expects approximately 6% net revenue growth and 3% organic revenue growth for the year.
Executive vice president and CFO Stephen Schmitt attributed the earnings revision primarily to weaker-than-expected margins, higher input costs and unfavorable product mix. Management maintained planned growth investments despite these pressures.
PepsiCo Faces Rising Costs as Commodity Hedges ExpireDuring questioning from Barclays, Schmitt explained that PepsiCo's six- to 12-month commodity hedging programs had helped contain inflation, but expiring hedges were exposing the business to higher costs.
Management also identified the expiration of tariff-related benefits in North American beverages as another source of pressure.
Schmitt said structural cost reductions and revenue management actions would help mitigate inflation. Additional benefits are expected as the company enters 2027, although detailed guidance will follow in February.
PEP's International Business Sustains Strong GrowthChairman and CEO Ramon Laguarta described international growth as increasingly structural, supported by stronger competitive positioning across markets rather than temporary demand factors.
International organic revenues increased 8% during the quarter, while operating margin expanded 105 basis points. International operations represented 45% of year-to-date profit.
Laguarta emphasized broad-based strength across Europe, the Middle East, Asia and Latin America. Management intends to sustain investments in these markets while improving North American performance.
PepsiCo's Snack Pricing Reset Supports Volume RecoveryLaguarta said North American snacks benefited from affordability initiatives and pricing adjustments, shifting from low-single-digit volume declines last year to low-single-digit growth.
During Goldman Sachs' questioning, management highlighted portion-controlled products and permissible snacking as important growth platforms. Each represents more than $3 billion in business.
The company is supporting products such as Doritos Protein while expanding investments behind existing brands. Laguarta acknowledged that volume gains remained below initial expectations, citing consumer conditions and execution challenges.
PEP Targets Soft Drink Weakness With Greater InvestmentNorth American beverages remained a major focus of analyst scrutiny. Laguarta acknowledged underperformance in carbonated soft drinks despite stronger execution in hydration and energy categories.
Management plans additional investment behind Pepsi, Mountain Dew and Poppi while strengthening retail execution. Laguarta also highlighted Gatorade, Propel and the combined opportunities involving Celsius and Alani.
The company increased advertising and marketing spending at double-digit rates across its U.S. businesses during the quarter. A partnership with Publicis is intended to improve targeting and marketing returns.
PepsiCo Reviews Distribution and Operating StructuresDuring BNP Paribas' questioning, Laguarta indicated that management was evaluating broader structural alternatives, including potential beverage refranchising in selected U.S. markets.
PepsiCo is also advancing its One North America integration initiative, combining elements of food and beverage distribution infrastructure where operational benefits justify the approach.
Management favors geographically tailored solutions rather than a uniform distribution model. Laguarta emphasized execution, cost efficiency and stronger marketplace competitiveness as priorities.
PEP Maintains Growth Focus Amid Margin ConstraintsPepsiCo reported core EPS of $2.34, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.29. Revenues of $25.27 billion surpassed the $24.88 billion consensus estimate.
Management's message emphasized preserving revenue momentum while addressing cost pressures and underperformance in North America.
Executives remain focused on reinvestment, structural productivity and portfolio development, with more clarity on 2027 expectations scheduled for February.
PepsiCo's Zacks Rank and Style Scores Signal CautionPepsiCo currently carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), indicating an unfavorable near-term earnings estimate revision trend. Its Value, Growth and VGM Score of C reflect middle-range characteristics, while its Momentum Score of F indicates particularly weak price momentum characteristics.
The combination falls outside the preferred Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or #2 (Buy) stocks with A or B Style Scores. However, the Zacks Rank can change as analysts revise earnings estimates following the latest results. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Four Dividend Kings with streaks stretching back decades sit inside millions of retirement portfolios, but one of them is spending every dollar of free cash flow just to keep its streak alive. Here is how each payout holds up under…
This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.
Retirees who live on portfolio income need dividends that keep coming through recessions, rate shocks, and weak quarters. Four household names sit at the center of many of those portfolios: Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ | JNJ Price Prediction), Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG), Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO), and PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP). This year has tested each one differently. J&J is on track for its first year above $100 billion in revenue. Coca-Cola leveraged the FIFA World Cup to achieve its strongest comparable volume growth in 17 years (excluding the COVID-19 recovery period). P&G is absorbing about $1 billion in after-tax cost pressures, and PepsiCo is spending heavily to win back North American snack buyers.
Metric JNJ PG KO PEP Annual Dividend $5.36 $4.354 $2.12 $5.92 Yield 2.09% 3.00% 2.47% 4.70% Years of Increases 64 70 64 54 Latest Raise 3.1% (April 2026) 3.0% (April 2026) 3.9% (Feb 2026) 4% (June 2026) Status Dividend King Dividend King Dividend King Dividend King The yields above use the October 2 closing prices. Below, I test each payout against earnings, cash flow, debt, and management guidance.
Three Payouts Sit Near 60% While PepsiCo Runs Hot Metric JNJ PG KO PEP Earnings Payout 61.9% (Healthy) 64.8% (Healthy) 63.1% (Healthy) 76.0% (Elevated) FCF Payout 61.5% (Healthy) 63.2% (Healthy) 73.6% (Elevated) ~103% (Concerning) OCF Coverage Not available 1.96x (Adequate) 1.60x (Adequate) Not available At the current rate, J&J’s dividend costs about $12.9 billion a year, compared with a full-year free cash flow outlook that is approaching $21 billion. Trailing EPS of $8.53 includes litigation charges, which drive the earnings payout up. Measured against the low end of adjusted EPS guidance ($11.50), the payout falls to 46.6%.
P&G paid over $10 billion in dividends against $15.835 billion in free cash flow, and free cash flow rose 12.74%. Selling Tide and Pampers produces steady cash. Coca-Cola’s approximately $9.1 billion dividend bill is covered by guided free cash flow of ~$12.4 billion.
PepsiCo’s dividend coverage is the tightest of the four. It plans ~$7.9 billion in 2026 dividends. Its price-to-free-cash-flow multiple of 22 implies trailing free cash flow of about $7.67 billion, leaving the dividend consuming virtually all of it. Management is aiming for free cash flow conversion of at least 80%, and it will have to hit that target.
J&J’s AAA Balance Sheet Stands Apart Metric JNJ PG KO PEP Leverage Ratio 0.58 (Conservative) Not available 1.47 (Moderate) 2.45 (Aggressive) Net Debt/EBITDA 0.80x (Low) Not available 2.49x (Manageable) 2.31x (Manageable) Interest Coverage Not available Not available 8.32x (Strong) 12.03x (Strong) Cash ~$21B (Solid Buffer) $9.942B (Solid Buffer) $12.907B (Solid Buffer) $10.251B (Solid Buffer) J&J has about $49 billion of debt against $21 billion of cash and securities, and it is one of only two U.S. companies with a AAA credit rating. It guides net interest expense to just $250 million to $300 million. Coca-Cola reports net leverage of 1.4 times, below its target of 2 to 2.5 times. P&G doesn’t break out total debt, so its leverage ratios aren’t available. Shareholders’ equity of $54.311 billion and EBITDA of $24.752 billion point to plenty of capacity.
Every Streak Holds, and PepsiCo Has Raised Fastest Year (Quarterly Rate) JNJ PG KO PEP 2026 $1.34 $1.0885 $0.53 $1.48 2025 $1.30 $1.0568 $0.51 $1.4225 2024 $1.24 $1.0065 $0.485 $1.355 2023 $1.19 $0.9407 $0.46 $1.265 2022 $1.13 $0.9133 $0.44 $1.15 5-Year CAGR 4.8% 4.6% 4.8% 6.6% None of the four shows a cut in quarterly records going back to 1999. P&G has paid a dividend for 136 straight years. This year’s raises fell between 3% and 4% for all four companies, so dividend growth has slowed to the low single digits.
Executives Keep the Dividend First in Line for Cash J&J CFO Joe Wolk said on the second-quarter call: “We also remain committed to returning capital directly to shareholders, primarily through our dividend.” P&G plans over $10 billion in fiscal 2027 dividends, and CEO Shailesh Jejurikar described fiscal 2026 as a year in which the company continued to “return high levels of cash to shareowners despite a very challenging geopolitical and economic environment.” Coca-Cola CFO John Murphy said, “Given the momentum of our business and the strength of our balance sheet, we have increased flexibility and optionality to continue to both reinvest in our business and return capital to shareholders.”
PepsiCo CEO Ramon Laguarta confirmed the “54th consecutive annual increase” in the first quarter. In July, though, the CFO warned that EPS could land toward the low end of guidance. The commitment is there, but PepsiCo has the least room to absorb a miss.
J&J and P&G Earn Top Marks, but PepsiCo Needs a Wider Cushion Johnson & Johnson: Very Safe. The FCF payout is 61.5%, leverage is 0.80x, and the company carries an AAA rating. Procter & Gamble: Very Safe. The FCF payout is 63.2% and free cash flow is rising, though fiscal 2027 core EPS guidance of $6.89 to $7.11 points to slow growth. Coca-Cola: Safe. The FCF payout is 73.6%, and leverage sits below the company’s own target. PepsiCo carries a moderate level of risk. The dividend uses about 103% of free cash flow, and debt-to-equity is 2.45. All four dividends look well covered if J&J’s free cash flow comes in near $21 billion and PepsiCo’s affordability spending wins back North American snack volume. PepsiCo’s dividend faces more pressure if its free cash flow conversion falls short of 80%, as does P&G’s dividend if Brent crude stays above the $90-per-barrel level assumed in its cost guidance. PepsiCo has the highest yield, but J&J and P&G have the safest dividends.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
PepsiCo has cratered while every major beverage rival rallied, and now Goldman Sachs sees a 40% rebound ahead. But that call rests on three pillars, and one is already showing serious cracks.
This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.
PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP | PEP Price Prediction) trades at $128.34, and analysts’ consensus target sits at $148.64. That works out to about 15.8% of implied upside.
PepsiCo owns Lay’s, Doritos, Gatorade, Pepsi and Mountain Dew. Goldman Sachs analyst Bonnie Herzog set a target of $180.00, meaning roughly 40.3% upside from current levels.
Frito-Lay’s Profit Slide and a Guidance Cut Sent Shares 22.9% Below Their 52-Week High The biggest problem is North American snacks. Core operating profit at Frito-Lay North America fell 12% in the third quarter, and segment revenue stayed flat at $6.504B. The stock slipped all year. It was $155.28 around the first-quarter report, $143.30 at the second and $123.74 going into the third. It now sits 22.9% below its 52-week high of $166.41.
Management cut its 2026 outlook for core constant-currency EPS growth to +1% to +2%, down from +4% to +6%, citing rising input costs. Core operating margin contracted 35 bps. Leadership said “the consumer is worse than what we had anticipated and driven mainly by gas prices.”
The quarter itself beat expectations. EPS was $2.34 against a $2.2964 estimate, and revenue was $25.27B. Shares rose 3.73% on the report despite the guidance cut.
Goldman’s $180 Target Rests on Three Pillars, and One Is Cracking Herzog’s first pillar is pricing power at Frito-Lay, assuming PepsiCo can pass through input cost inflation without structural volume decay. The 12% profit drop strains this assumption. Management argues value spending is working: “A category that was negative in volume now is positive in volume.”
The second pillar, international growth, is holding up. Organic growth reached +9% in both EMEA and Asia Pacific, and Latin America Foods revenue rose 14%. Management expects the international business to “cross $40 billion in this year.”
The third pillar is productivity. Per the CEO, “additional structural cost reduction actions are being identified and will be implemented in the coming months.” management expects better Q4 profit performance than Q3, making the next earnings report the first test.
Goldman is an outlier. The Street counts two Strong Buys, three Buys, 18 Holds and one Sell. The 2026 EPS consensus has had 18 downward revisions in 30 days, falling from 8.6388 to 8.5536. The fourth-quarter estimate drew 12 upward revisions in the past week.
Coca-Cola, Monster and Keurig Dr Pepper Rallied While PepsiCo Sank PepsiCo fell on its own. Its beverage peers rallied this year.
Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO) is up 28% year to date at $87.76, with an average target of $94.43 meaning 7.6% upside.
Monster Beverage (NASDAQ:MNST) has gained 13.86% to $43.65, with a target of $50.02 meaning 14.6% upside.
Keurig Dr Pepper (NASDAQ:KDP) is up 15.13% to $31.26, with a target of $36.21 meaning 15.8% upside and no Sell ratings.
On consensus targets, Keurig Dr Pepper and PepsiCo offer similar upside. Goldman’s $180 call is the largest estimate in the group. PepsiCo’s gap exists because its price fell while peers rose.
PepsiCo Trails the S&P 500 by More Than 20 Points This Year PepsiCo is down 7.86% year to date and 7.3% over the past month. The S&P 500 is up 13.5% year to date. Across 24 analysts, the average target of $148.64 meaning 15.8% upside from $128.34.
The valuation is modest at about 15x forward earnings. The dividend yields 4.36% after the company’s 54th consecutive annual increase, which brought the annual payout to $5.92 per share. That 54-year streak puts PepsiCo firmly in Dividend King territory, and we ranked our ten favorites in the club by valuation in a free report here.
A 4% Dividend Yield Meets a $180 Target That Needs a Frito-Lay Turnaround The thesis improves if Frito-Lay’s volume gains turn into profit growth and the new cost cuts bring back margin expansion over the next few quarters. The downside risk grows if input inflation keeps pushing guidance lower and earnings estimates keep falling. In that case, a 15x multiple could just be the new normal.
The setup looks modestly constructive. Getting to Goldman’s $180 requires all three assumptions to hold at once, and the Frito-Lay pillar is clearly weakening. A move toward the $148.64 consensus is more realistic. The yield above 4% provides income while management works to prove the recovery.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
PepsiCo is raising prices on some of its popular chips and sodas, including Doritos, Ruffles and SunChips, just months after cutting prices in an effort to win back inflation-weary shoppers.
The company said prices on certain snacks and drinks will rise by single-digit percentages as it deals with higher costs for fuel, aluminum and agricultural supplies, according to the New York Post.
However, the company said the new prices will still be lower than they were at the beginning of the year.
The price hikes come after PepsiCo announced in February that it was cutting prices by up to 15% on certain products, including Lay's and Doritos, according to Reuters.
PepsiCo is raising prices on select snacks, including Doritos, Ruffles and SunChips, just months after cutting prices to attract cost-conscious shoppers. (Patrick T. Fallon / AFP via Getty Images / Getty Images)
The company said at the time it was slashing prices after its previous price increases generated customer backlash.
The latest increases mark a shift in strategy for the food and beverage giant.
According to The Post, PepsiCo attributed the latest price increases in part to rising costs associated with the conflict involving Iran and tariffs.
PepsiCo CEO Ramon Laguarta said during a conference call Thursday that while lower prices helped bring back some customers, the company's North American division reported weaker-than-expected third-quarter results.
STARBUCKS SUED FOR ALLEGEDLY MISLABELING 'SUGAR-FREE' PROTEIN DRINKS
Doritos is among the popular PepsiCo snack brands expected to see single-digit percentage price increases amid rising production costs. (Jeffrey Greenberg/Universal Images Group via Getty Images / Getty Images)
Laguarta said the company had hoped the trend would improve sooner than it has, noting that Frito-Lay snack volumes were flat compared with the same period last year, while beverage volumes fell 2%.
The company’s sodas, including its flagship Pepsi brand, have struggled against competitors, he added.
"We don’t feel good about the beverage business," Laguarta said.
He also said PepsiCo will put "all of the urgency of the business and the focus on improving our performance in soft drinks."
CLICK HERE TO GET FOX BUSINESS ON THE GO
PepsiCo announced plans to raise prices on select beverages as its North American beverage business continues to face sluggish demand. (Angus Mordant/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)
PepsiCo plans to cut costs and reinvest the savings in beverage brands including Poppi, Mountain Dew and Pepsi, according to The Post.
FOX Business has reached out to PepsiCo for comment.