IT security company Okta, Inc. (OKTA) up 94% YTD on AI demand, strong inflows.
OKTA
+1.38%
OKTA offers an enterprise identity management platform, including single sign-on, multi-factor authentication, access gateway, API access management, authentication, adaptive MFA, lifecycle management, and AI agent security. OKTA’s second-quarter 2027 report showed $805 million in revenue (an 11% year-over-year gain), per-share earnings of $1.05 (a 15.4% sequential gain), and offered full-year revenue and operating margin guidance of up to $3.226 billion and 26%, respectively.
No wonder OKTA shares are up 94% so far this year – and they could rise more. MoneyFlows data shows how Big Money investors are again betting heavily on the stock.
Big Money Buying Okta Institutional volumes reveal plenty. In the last year, OKTA has enjoyed strong investor demand, which we believe to be institutional support.
Each green bar signals unusually large volumes in OKTA shares. They reflect our proprietary inflow signal, pushing the stock higher:
Strong institutional inflows began in January but amplified in May, helping OKTA shares gain 80.8% in a year. Source: www.moneyflows.com Plenty of technology names are under accumulation right now. But there’s a powerful fundamental story happening with Okta.
Okta Fundamental Analysis Institutional support and a healthy fundamental backdrop make this company worth investigating. As you can see, OKTA has had strong sales and earnings growth:
Also, EPS is estimated to ramp higher this year by +10.6%.
Now it makes sense why the stock has been generating Big Money interest. OKTA has a track record of strong financial performance.
Marrying great fundamentals with MoneyFlows software has found some big winning stocks over the long term.
Okta has been a top-rated stock at MoneyFlows. That means the stock has unusual buy pressure and growing fundamentals. We have a ranking process that showcases stocks like this on a weekly basis.
It’s had three Big Money outlier inflow signals in the last two years, gaining 42.3% since the first one in April 2025. The blue bars below shows when OKTA was a top pick…institutions are buyers:
Five outlier inflow signals in 2026 have helped boost OKTA shares by 94% in 2026. Source: www.moneyflows.com Tracking unusual volumes reveals the power of money flows.
This is a trait that most outlier stocks exhibit…the best of the best. Big Money demand drives stocks upward.
Okta Price Prediction The OKTA action isn’t new at all. Big Money buying in the shares is signaling to take notice. Given the historical gains in share price and strong fundamentals, this stock could be worth a spot in a diversified portfolio.
Disclosure: the author holds no position in OKTA at the time of publication.
If you are a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) or are a serious investor, take your investing to the next level and follow our free weekly MoneyFlows insights.
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Lucas is a well-versed equity investor and educator. He currently is co-founder of research and analytics firm, MAPsignals.com, which focuses on finding outlier stocks by following the Big Money.
Shares of Okta (OKTA -1.76%) soared in August, gaining 21.9%, according to data supplied by S&P Global Market Intelligence. That's more than eight times the 2.6% gains of the S&P 500 during the same period.
It turns out the threat of artificial intelligence (AI) to the cybersecurity sector wasn't as bad as some feared.
Image source: Getty Images.
What SaaSpocalypse? Earlier this year, software-as-a-service (SaaS) stocks took a beating, thanks to fears that some investors called the "SaaSpocalypse." The crux of the popular narrative was that AI agents would take over many of the jobs currently handled by SaaS offerings, rendering them obsolete. The ensuing frenzy took down a broad range of cybersecurity stocks, and Okta wasn't spared, losing 27% of its value between early January and early April.
While the jury was still out, patient investors kept their heads, which was a profitable decision. For its fiscal 2027 second quarter (ended July 31), Okta reported results that confirmed what astute investors already knew. Revenue of $805 million rose 11% year over year, driven higher by subscription revenue of $793 million, up 12%. The company's adjusted gross margin held steady at 82%, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.05 rose 15%. This was well ahead of analysts' consensus estimates of revenue of $793 million and adjusted EPS of $0.97.
Okta turned a greater percentage of profits into greenbacks. Operating cash flow of $234 million jumped 40%, while free cash flow of $227 million also increased 40%.
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Other metrics were equally robust. Okta's remaining performance obligation (RPO) -- or contractually obligated revenue that hasn't yet been recognized -- climbed 17% to $4.86 billion, while current RPO (which will be recognized within 12 months) jumped 14% to $2.59 million. This was far from the SaaSpocalypse-related rout investors had anticipated.
CEO Todd McKinnon explained, "As AI agents transform every layer of technology, every agent needs a trusted identity and clear controls over what it can access and do." Far from being displaced by AI, Okta is becoming an integral part of the process.
Management's forecast also gave investors confidence, as Okta's outlook called for revenue of $815 million and adjusted EPS of $0.93, up 10% and 13%, respectively. The company is also guiding for current RPO of roughly $2.6 billion, up nearly 12% year over year. It's generally a positive sign when RPO growth outpaces revenue, as it indicates the company is building a solid foundation for future growth.
Okta's recovery has caused a commensurate rebound in its valuation. The stock now sells for 53 times forward earnings and 38 times next year's expected earnings -- so it isn't exactly cheap. However, with the SaaSpocalypse seemingly put to rest, the future looks bright for Okta.
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Stock to Watch: Okta (OKTA - Free Report) Okta, Inc.’s cloud-based identity solutions allow customers to integrate with nearly any application, service or cloud that they choose through its secure, reliable, and scalable platforms: Okta Platform and Auth0 Platform. Okta AI Suite is infused into several products available on these two platforms.
OKTA is a #3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of B.
Additionally, the company could be a top pick for growth investors. OKTA has a Growth Style Score of B, forecasting year-over-year earnings growth of 12.3% for the current fiscal year.
16 analysts revised their earnings estimate upwards in the last 60 days for fiscal 2027. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased $0.10 to $3.93 per share. OKTA boasts an average earnings surprise of +7.9%.
With a solid Zacks Rank and top-tier Growth and VGM Style Scores, OKTA should be on investors' short list.
Brett Tighe, Chief Financial Officer of Okta, Inc. (OKTA +0.11%), sold 80,000 shares of Class A Common Stock on September 2, 2026, according to a recent SEC Form 4 filing.
Transaction summaryMetricValueShares sold80,000Shares sold (directly held)38,749Shares sold (indirectly held)41,251Transaction value$12.9 millionPost-transaction shares (directly held)82,046Post-transaction shares (indirectly held)7,693Post-transaction value$14.64 millionInsider ownership0.0540%Transaction value based on SEC Form 4 weighted average sale price ($160.97); post-transaction value based on September 02, 2026 market close ($163.15).
Key questionsWhat prompted this disposition of Class A Common Stock?
The sale was conducted pursuant to a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan established by Brett Tighe on April 8, 2026. The plan allows corporate insiders to schedule share sales in advance to satisfy liquidity needs while maintaining compliance with insider trading laws.How has the stock performed leading up to this filing?
The shares were sold at a weighted average price of $160.97, following a period where Okta generated an 82% return over the 12 months ending on the September 2, 2026 transaction date.What is the status of the executive's remaining equity position?
After this transaction, Brett Tighe continues to hold 82,046 shares directly and 7,693 shares indirectly through a trust, and the filing also reports 50,808 direct derivative securities and 27,795 indirect derivative securities.How does this disposition affect the insider's ownership percentage?
The Chief Financial Officer now maintains a direct and indirect ownership interest of 0.0540% in the company.Company OverviewMetricValueShare Price (as of market close 2026-09-04)$170.60Market Capitalization$28.4 billionRevenue (TTM)$3.1 billionNet Income (TTM)$296.0 millionCompany SnapshotOkta delivers comprehensive identity management solutions through its flagship Okta Identity Cloud platform, which includes integrated products such as authentication services, generating revenue primarily through subscription-based licensing and professional services.The company operates a cloud-based software-as-a-service (SaaS) business model, monetizing its identity infrastructure platform through recurring subscription fees from enterprise and mid-market customers seeking secure access management solutions.Okta serves a diverse customer base spanning large corporations, small and medium-sized businesses, educational institutions, charitable organizations, and governmental bodies across both domestic and international markets.Okta, Inc. is a leading provider of identity and access management solutions with trailing 12-month revenue of $3.1 billion, reflecting strong demand for cloud-based security infrastructure. The company's Okta Identity Cloud platform represents a comprehensive, integrated approach to identity management, positioning the organization as a critical infrastructure provider for enterprises navigating digital transformation and heightened security requirements.
With a global customer base, Okta has established itself as a market leader in the identity management sector, benefiting from secular trends toward cloud adoption and the increasing criticality of identity security in enterprise IT environments.
What this transaction means for investorsCFO Brett Tighe's September 2 sale of Okta stock for a weighted average price of $160.97 took place just days after shares reached a 52-week high of $174.85 on Aug. 27. The timing was fortuitous, since Tighe's disposition was a non-discretionary transaction executed as part of a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 plan.
While the disposal represented a significant 47% of his equity stake, it involved the conversion of 41,251 shares of Class B Common Stock into Class A and immediate sale of those shares. This action is a common approach taken by executives as part of a structured liquidity strategy, since they hold so many shares.
In fact, post-transaction, Tighe retained nearly 80,000 direct and indirect derivative securities in addition to 82,046 directly held Class A shares and 7,693 indirectly held Class A shares in a trust. Combined, this is a substantial equity position, although future sales of this size could begin to raise investor concern.
Okta stock is up thanks to strong business performance. The company exited its fiscal second quarter, ended July 31, with $805 million in sales, representing 11% year-over-year growth.
I'm reiterating Okta as a buy, with a new $182 price target, following strong Q2 2027 results and early AI-agent commercialization evidence. OKTA delivered 11% revenue growth, 28%+ non-GAAP operating and FCF margins, and improved net retention to 107%, maintaining robust Rule of 40 performance. AI-agent deals are gaining traction but remain immaterial to 2027 results; their impact is expected to become material from 2028 onward if adoption continues.
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Value ScoreFinding good stocks at good prices, and discovering which companies are trading under their true value, are what value investors like to focus on. So, the Value Style Score takes into account ratios like P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, Price/Cash Flow, and a host of other multiples to highlight the most attractive and discounted stocks.
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How Style Scores Work with the Zacks Rank The Zacks Rank, which is a proprietary stock-rating model, employs earnings estimate revisions, or changes to a company's earnings expectations, to make building a winning portfolio easier.
It's highly successful, with #1 (Strong Buy) stocks producing an unmatched +23.8% average annual return since 1988. That's more than double the S&P 500. But because of the large number of stocks we rate, there are over 200 companies with a Strong Buy rank, plus another 600 with a #2 (Buy) rank, on any given day.
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Thus, the more stocks you own with a #1 or #2 Rank and Scores of A or B, the better.
Stock to Watch: Okta (OKTA - Free Report) Okta, Inc.’s cloud-based identity solutions allow customers to integrate with nearly any application, service or cloud that they choose through its secure, reliable, and scalable platforms: Okta Platform and Auth0 Platform. Okta AI Suite is infused into several products available on these two platforms.
OKTA is a #3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of B.
Momentum investors should take note of this Computer and Technology stock. OKTA has a Momentum Style Score of A, and shares are up 18.8% over the past four weeks.
For fiscal 2027, 15 analysts revised their earnings estimate upwards in the last 60 days, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased $0.08 to $3.91 per share. OKTA boasts an average earnings surprise of +7.9%.
With a solid Zacks Rank and top-tier Momentum and VGM Style Scores, OKTA should be on investors' short list.
Cybersecurity has become a core business requirement, not just an IT concern. Companies are moving more applications and data to the cloud while rapidly adopting artificial intelligence (AI), giving cybercriminals more opportunities to attack. Ransomware, phishing and data breaches are becoming more sophisticated, raising the cost of a successful attack. For businesses, a major breach can mean operational disruptions, financial losses and lasting damage to customer trust.
This growing risk is creating a strong market opportunity for cybersecurity companies. According to Fortune Business Insights, the global cybersecurity market is expected to expand from $218.98 billion in 2025 to nearly $699.39 billion by 2034, representing a 13.8% compound annual growth rate (CAGR). Rising regulations, digital transformation and the need to secure cloud and AI workloads are supporting this growth. Companies such as Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW - Free Report) , CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD - Free Report) and Zscaler, Inc. (ZS - Free Report) are already benefiting from these trends with platforms designed for today's more complex security needs.
AI is becoming the biggest catalyst for the cybersecurity industry. Traditional security systems often depend heavily on predefined rules and can struggle to keep pace with rapidly changing attacks. AI can analyze large amounts of data, identify unusual activity and automate threat detection and response. This allows security teams to respond faster and potentially prevent attacks before they cause significant damage. As threats become more automated and sophisticated, AI-powered security is increasingly becoming a necessity.
Companies like Fortinet, Inc. (FTNT - Free Report) , Qualys, Inc. (QLYS - Free Report) , Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO - Free Report) and Okta, Inc. (OKTA - Free Report) are well-positioned to benefit from this trend. Each company is embedding AI across its security platform to improve threat detection, simplify security management and deliver better outcomes for customers. These investments not only strengthen their competitive positions but also open new long-term growth opportunities.
Our Cybersecurity Screen makes it easy to identify high-potential stocks at any given time, just like the four mentioned above. Leveraging advanced tools, our thematic screens identify companies shaping the future, making it easier to capitalize on emerging trends.
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Fortinet provides networking and security solutions to enterprises, service providers and government entities across more than 100 countries. The company is using AI to make its cybersecurity platform faster, smarter and more automated.
FTNT has embedded AI across the Fortinet Security Fabric through its FortiAI platform, which helps security teams detect threats, automate incident response and simplify security operations using generative AI. This reduces response times and improves productivity for customers facing increasingly sophisticated cyberattacks.
Fortinet is also applying AI to enhance network security, secure access service edge (SASE) and security operations (SecOps) solutions. Its AI-powered threat intelligence, supported by FortiGuard Labs, analyzes billions of security events each day to identify emerging threats and deliver real-time protection. These capabilities help customers improve security while lowering operational complexity.
Fortinet's expanding AI portfolio is supporting demand from enterprises modernizing their security infrastructure. As organizations increasingly adopt AI while facing more advanced cyber threats, the company's integrated platform and AI-driven innovations position it to win larger enterprise deployments, drive recurring revenues and sustain long-term growth. Currently, Fortinet sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Qualys offers a cloud-based cybersecurity and compliance platform that helps organizations identify, measure and reduce their cyber risk. The company is extending its vulnerability-management franchise into AI-native risk operations through Enterprise TruRisk Management. New capabilities include InstaScan for scanless detection within minutes of vulnerability disclosure, TruConfirm and Agent Val for exploit validation, and Agent Sara for autonomous remediation.
According to Qualys, the platform can narrow millions of findings to fewer than 1% requiring immediate action, and in live benchmarking, reduce exposure windows from 21 days to minutes while automatically patching 60% of vulnerabilities. These capabilities create a closed loop from detection through validation, risk quantification, remediation and confirmation of closure.
The approach also works with third-party data and multi-vendor environments, which can broaden its relevance beyond the installed Qualys stack. The growing adoption of its risk operations center framework will support Enterprise TruRisk Management penetration within the VMDR customer base and create larger upsell opportunities over time.
Early adoption is encouraging. During second-quarter 2026 results, Qualys stated that the AI-native Risk Operations Center and Enterprise TruRisk Management solution contributed to its quarterly performance. AI could help this Zacks Rank #1 company increase platform adoption, expand its addressable market and support faster long-term growth.
Cisco Systems offers cybersecurity products and services that prevent unauthorized access to system resources and protect from worms, spam, viruses and other malware. The company has been integrating AI into its product portfolios across networking, security, collaboration and observability.
Strong demand for Cisco Systems’ products in developing AI infrastructure has been a game-changer for the company. In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, CSCO received $4 billion worth of AI infrastructure orders from web-scale customers, bringing the total fiscal 2026 orders to $9.3 billion.
Data center switching orders continue to register solid double-digit year-over-year growth in the fourth quarter, implying strong demand. These orders are coming from some of the biggest players in cloud computing and reflect growing demand for AI-optimized networks. Cisco Systems is expanding its AI portfolio for data centers with solutions like the Unified Nexus Dashboard, Cisco Intelligent Packet Flow, configurable AI PODs and 400G bidirectional (BiDi) optics.
As cyber threats become more sophisticated, CSCO’s AI-powered platform gives it a competitive edge. These innovations are likely to accelerate customer adoption and support strong long-term revenue growth for the company. Currently, Cisco Systems carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
Okta is a cloud-based Identity and Access Management (IAM) solution provider. The company is using AI to enhance its identity security platform while helping enterprises adopt AI applications securely.
Okta has introduced AI-powered capabilities across its Identity Threat Protection and Identity Security Posture Management solutions to detect unusual login behavior, identify compromised accounts and automate risk-based access decisions in real time. These features improve security while reducing the burden on IT teams.
Okta is also enabling organizations to securely manage access to generative AI applications and AI agents through its Workforce Identity Cloud and Customer Identity Cloud platforms. As businesses deploy more AI tools, identity management is becoming increasingly critical, creating a new growth opportunity for the company.
With identity remaining at the center of enterprise security, AI initiatives strengthen customer retention, expand cross-selling opportunities and position this Zacks Rank #2 company to benefit from the growing adoption of AI-powered enterprise applications.
Key Takeaways Okta is expanding AI security for agents and non-human identities as enterprise demand grows.New products drove about 30% of fiscal Q2 2027 bookings, with roughly 40% average ACV uplift.Okta is expanding through AI-agent deals, acquisitions and partnerships amid tougher competition. Okta (OKTA - Free Report) is benefiting from growing enterprise demand for Artificial Intelligence (AI) security and an expanding identity-security portfolio. The company is extending its platform beyond employees and customers to AI agents and other non-human identities as enterprises rapidly deploy agentic applications. Okta’s offerings include Okta for AI Agents, Auth0 for AI Agents, Identity Threat Protection, Identity Security Posture Management, Privileged Access and Fine-Grained Authorization. These capabilities strengthen Okta’s position against broader security competitors, including CrowdStrike (CRWD - Free Report) and Microsoft (MSFT - Free Report) .
New-product adoption is already supporting bookings and customer spending. In the second quarter of fiscal 2027, newer products accounted for roughly 30% of bookings, led by Okta Identity Governance. Deals incorporating new products generated an average annual contract value (ACV) growth of about 40%. Okta closed dozens of AI-agent deals, including several million-dollar-plus transactions. OKTA noted that AI-related deal sizes remain above the company-wide average, although AI contributions are still too small to materially affect overall revenues.
Rapid AI-agent proliferation could support further demand. In one customer evaluation, Okta initially detected roughly 50 Claude-agent instances, but the number increased to around 1,500 within a few weeks. Such rapid proliferation increases enterprises’ need to discover, govern and secure agents. Okta has already secured a multimillion-dollar AI Agents deal with a Fortune 50 healthcare company, while a global consulting firm selected the platform after considering an internal build. One of the world’s largest asset managers selected Okta to govern thousands of agents from multiple vendors, highlighting the appeal of its vendor-neutral architecture.
Okta is strengthening its capabilities through acquisitions and public-sector expansion. The Permiso acquisition adds a cloud-native platform that detects threats across human, non-human and agentic identities. The company said Permiso brings around 400 native risk detections compared with roughly 90 in Okta’s existing Identity Threat Protection offering, potentially strengthening post-authentication monitoring and runtime security. Okta for AI Agents-Core extends AI-agent governance into FedRAMP and Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA) environments, while Impact Level 5 authorization expands opportunities with the U.S. Department of Defense as agencies work toward the 2027 Zero Trust mandate. Public sector currently represents less than 10% of Okta’s business, leaving room for further growth.
Okta’s ecosystem provides another advantage. Anthropic named Okta the first identity provider supporting Enterprise Managed Auth for Model Context Protocol connectors, while the company has expanded relationships with Amazon Web Services, Cisco, OpenAI, Databricks and Snowflake and added more than 25 Cross-App Access integrations. These partnerships should help enterprises secure agents across heterogeneous applications and clouds while supporting cross-selling and broader platform adoption.
OKTA Faces Tough CompetitionMicrosoft and CrowdStrike are intensifying competitive pressure. Microsoft’s E7 suite combines Copilot, E5, Entra and Agent 365, attracting hundreds of enterprise customers and millions of seats within two months, including a 400,000-employee deployment at EY. Agent 365 has nearly 40 million agents registered, while Purview has audited more than 50 billion Copilot interactions. Project Perception further combines Entra, Defender, network and application-security signals to automate attack simulation, investigation and remediation.
CrowdStrike reported in the second quarter of fiscal 2027 that AI Detection and Response (AIDR) annual recurring revenues (ARR) nearly tripled sequentially, identity ARR rose 34% to more than $585 million and Falcon Shield ARR surged more than 185%. Privileged-account security ARR increased more than 35-fold, while Signal provides granular access controls for human and non-human identities. Falcon Flex also generates more than 40% average ARR uplift when customers migrate from standard subscriptions, strengthening CrowdStrike’s ability to bundle endpoint, cloud, identity, SIEM and AI security into a broader platform offering.
OKTA’s Share Price Performance, Valuation & EstimatesShares of Okta have appreciated 92.3% year to date, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector’s 17.1% growth.
OKTA Stock’s Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
OKTA stock is trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 40.46X compared with the broader sector’s 20.76X. Okta has a Value Score of F.
OKTA’s Valuation
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Okta’s earnings is currently pegged at 93 cents per share, unchanged over the past 30 days, suggesting 13.41% growth.
Okta currently has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Okta, Inc. delivered a strong Q2 with 11% revenue growth, robust backlog, improved cash flow, and raised guidance, supporting my 'Buy' rating. OKTA's positioning in AI-agent security and identity governance is gaining traction, with early enterprise adoption suggesting durable demand beyond generic software trends. Free cash flow margin expanded from 22% to 28%, and the balance sheet strengthened, enhancing flexibility without heavy CapEx requirements.
Okta and CrowdStrike both crushed earnings, but one stock is surging nearly twice as hard as the other despite posting slower growth and a troubling dip in a key bookings metric.
Cybersecurity stocks are outrunning the broad market Thursday after twin fiscal Q2 2027 earnings beats from Okta and CrowdStrike reported Wednesday after the close. The First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF (NASDAQ:CIBR) is up 3% to $96.20 in early Thursday trading. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY) is up 0.3% to $768.17, a fraction of the sector’s move.
Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA | OKTA Price Prediction) stock is surging 22% to $163.98 after fiscal Q2 2027 results reframed the identity leader as the security layer for AI agents. Meanwhile, CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD) stock is climbing 13% to $213.70 following its own beat-and-raise report. Okta stock was up 55% year to date through Wednesday’s close, and CrowdStrike stock was up 61% over the same period.
Peers Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW) and Fortinet (NASDAQ:FTNT) are riding the read-through as the platform trade in cybersecurity gets fresh validation. Palo Alto Networks stock is up 5% to $356.17, and Fortinet stock is up 1% to $159.51. Both names sit among CIBR’s largest disclosed cybersecurity-focused positions alongside CrowdStrike.
Twin Beat and Raise Reports Drive the Rally Okta reported revenue of $805 million, up 11% year over year, and adjusted EPS of $1.05 topped consensus. CEO Todd McKinnon stated, “As AI agents transform every layer of technology, every agent needs a trusted identity and clear controls over what it can access and do.”
CrowdStrike posted revenue of $1.47 billion, up 26% year over year, with adjusted EPS of $0.31 clearing estimates. CrowdStrike raised its full-year net new ARR growth outlook by 630 basis points, and CEO George Kurtz declared, “Q2 was the best quarter in CrowdStrike’s history. Delivering record Falcon Flex results, record net new ARR, and accelerating growth, the Falcon is soaring.”
Why Okta Is Moving Twice as Hard CrowdStrike posted the faster growth and larger guidance raise, yet Okta stock is climbing nearly twice as much Thursday morning. Okta had lagged the group heading into the report, slipping 2% over the trailing month through Wednesday’s close, while CrowdStrike stock had gained 5% over that same stretch. That setup created a sharper snapback when the identity thesis received fresh AI-agent fuel.
The re-rating reflects growing appreciation for the agentic identity category McKinnon has been building. Speaking with CNBC, McKinnon added, “Network is the biggest cyber category now, but if you look out five or 10 years, with millions of agents running around, it’s definitely going to be identity.” Okta also closed its purchase of threat detection startup Permiso Security in a deal worth around $200 million.
CrowdStrike was already priced for excellence entering the report, carrying a market cap near $188.7 billion versus Okta’s $22.9 billion. Wall Street’s average price target sits at $210.53 for CrowdStrike and $146.34 for Okta, meaning both stocks are pushing past those consensus levels Thursday morning. That valuation gap helps explain why the same beat-and-raise pattern is producing very different reactions.
The blemish worth naming: Okta’s billings came in at $681.2 million, down 5.4% year over year, a gap between headline strength and underlying bookings that will draw questions on the call. Okta’s raised full-year revenue range still implies growth in the low double digits, well under CrowdStrike’s revenue pace and net new ARR trajectory.
What to Watch Investors can watch for whether Okta stock holds Thursday’s rally into next week, as the billings soft spot will bump up against the AI-agent narrative in follow-up analyst notes. Traders could look for signs that the read-through extends to Palo Alto Networks and Fortinet as the cybersecurity platform trade absorbs the twin reports.
CrowdStrike generated free cash flow of $377.4 million in the quarter, and Okta produced $227 million in free cash flow versus $162 million a year earlier. Both companies are pairing accelerating fundamentals with expanding cash generation, which keeps the cybersecurity platform trade a favored destination for growth capital.
The cybersecurity ETF was up 31% year to date through Wednesday’s close, well ahead of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF’s 12% year-to-date gain. Investors should size their positions with that stretch in mind, since much of the beat-and-raise setup is now reflected in prices. Even the bulls may want to leave room for guidance revisions and follow-on analyst commentary to drive the next leg.
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CrowdStrike and Okta shares surged on Thursday after earnings showed that artificial intelligence adoption is pushing customers to spend more on cybersecurity tools.
Both companies beat Wall Street's estimates for the fiscal second quarter and raised their forecasts, citing the AI agent threat. CrowdStrike's stock gained 20% for its best day ever, while Okta's surged nearly 29%.
The broader cyber sector rallied as well, with shares of Palo Alto Networks, SailPoint, Zscaler and Rubrik up at least 10% each.
"We're in an arms race," CrowdStrike CEO George Kurtz said during an earnings call with analysts on Wednesday. "AI is driving more cyberattacks. AI is driving more cyber spending. AI is driving a clear divide between the cybersecurity companies that solve problems and those that compound problems."
Tune in at 6 p.m. ET for "Mad Money" as Kurtz joins CNBC's Jim Cramer. Watch in real time on CNBC+ or the CNBC Pro stream.
The company's flexible Falcon platform offering, which lets customers switch out security tools, doubled year over year, he said.
The release of advanced AI models like Anthropic's Mythos, and hacks such as the OpenAI-Hugging Face incident, have raised the stakes for the cybersecurity sector in recent months, forcing businesses to scale their security stacks to combat mounting attacks orchestrated by AI agents.
One clear winner has been identity security tools that help businesses secure and manage the explosion in AI agents. Amid this backdrop, cybersecurity stocks have rocketed to fresh highs, with both CrowdStrike and Okta up more than 80% each.
Read more CNBC tech newsMarc Benioff is getting his mojo back as Salesforce's AI strength quiets skepticsJudge blocks Pentagon blacklist of Anthropic as supply chain riskSK Hynix CEO says Indiana will be key memory production base by 2030, first U.S. facility now underwayAfter Meta's landmark settlement with state AGs, legal headaches remainWednesday's earnings marked the unofficial start of the reporting season for the cyber sector, with Palo Alto Networks and Zscaler among the companies set to report next week,
Analysts at Deutsche Bank remain "optimistic" about the sector's growth in the AI era, but are waiting on upcoming reports to solidify near-term demand trends.
Okta CEO Todd McKinnon touted the company's early success with new products, which accounted for nearly a third of total bookings.
"While adoption remains in its early stages, momentum is growing, and those advantages are translated into customer demand reflected in the dozens of AI deals we won in Q2," he said on a Wednesday earnings call.
Following the results, analysts at Bank of America upgraded shares to neutral from an underperform rating on accelerating AI growth, but warned of limited upside ahead.
"We are increasingly encouraged by Okta's AI opportunity and early customer traction," the firm wrote. "However, adoption remains very early, disclosed metrics remain limited, and management continues to view AI as immaterial to FY27 results."
Okta Inc. (NASDAQ:OKTA) on Wednesday posted upbeat second-quarter results.
Okta reported quarterly earnings of $1.05 per share, which beat the analyst consensus estimate of 97 cents, according to Benzinga Pro data. Quarterly revenue came in at $805 million, which beat the consensus estimate of $795.12 million and was up from $728 million in the same period last year.
"As AI agents transform every layer of technology, every agent needs a trusted identity and clear controls over what it can access and do," said Todd McKinnon, CEO of Okta.
Okta raised its fiscal 2027 adjusted EPS guidance to a new range of $3.90 to $3.94, versus the $3.84 analyst estimate, and raised its fiscal revenue outlook to $3.22 billion to $3.23 billion, versus the $3.2 billion estimate.
Okta shares jumped 19.9% to trade at $161.13 on Thursday.
These analysts made changes to their price targets on Okta following earnings announcement.
Needham analyst Mike Cikos maintained the stock with a Buy and raised the price target from $140 to $200.Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Jonathan Ruykhaver maintained the stock with an Overweight rating and raised the price target from $170 to $200.Evercore ISI Group analyst Peter Levine maintained the stock with an Outperform rating and raised the price target from $130 to $185.Keybanc analyst Eric Heath maintained the stock with an Overweight rating and raised the price target from $180 to $190.Truist Securities analyst Junaid Siddiqui reiterated the stock with a Buy and raised the price target from $165 to $200.Trending
DA Davidson analyst Rudy Kessinger maintained the stock with a Buy and raised the price target from $165 to $190.Morgan Stanley analyst Simeon Gutman maintained the stock with an Overweight rating and raised the price target from $180 to $200.Guggenheim analyst John Difucci maintained the stock with a Buy and raised the price target from $162 to $188.Considering buying OKTA stock? Here’s what analysts think:
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Key Takeaways Okta posted record Q2 bookings outside Q4 as ACV growth accelerated across workforce and customer identity.Revenue rose 11% to $805 million, while cRPO hit $2.585 billion, up 14%, and non-GAAP EPS reached $1.05.Okta for AI Agents closed dozens of Q2 deals, but AI remains immaterial to fiscal 2027 guidance. Okta, Inc. (OKTA - Free Report) framed its second-quarter fiscal 2027 call around improving core identity momentum, while positioning AI security as an early-stage opportunity rather than a current revenue driver.
Management paired stronger bookings and cRPO growth with a higher full-year outlook, but kept forward assumptions prudent. AI discussions are already helping broaden customer conversations into identity modernization.
OKTA Core Business Carries Near-Term MomentumCEO and co-founder Todd McKinnon said ACV growth accelerated in both workforce and customer identity. He called Q2 a record bookings quarter outside Q4.
CFO Brett Tighe said customers above $1 million in ACV grew more than 20%, taking that group above 600. cRPO reached $2.585 billion, up 14%.
Revenue rose 11% to $805 million, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $792.14 million. Non-GAAP earnings of $1.05 per share topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.96.
Okta Turns AI Interest Into Broader Identity DealsCEO and co-founder Todd McKinnon said Okta for AI Agents closed dozens of Q2 deals, including several million-dollar-plus transactions, but remains too small to materially affect companywide results.
Todd McKinnon also said AI security discussions are expanding into governance, customer identity and legacy-platform replacement, giving Okta another route into broader identity modernization projects.
President and COO Eric Kelleher said 81% of CISOs in a recent customer survey knew agents were deployed without an adequate security platform. He said Okta's teams are aggressively scheduling customer conversations around that need.
OKTA Lifts Guidance But Keeps Assumptions PrudentFor the fiscal third quarter, Okta expects revenue of $813 million to $817 million, up 10%, and cRPO growth of 11% to12%. Non-GAAP operating margin is projected at 24% to 25%.
Fiscal 2027 revenue is now expected at $3.216 billion to $3.226 billion, up 10% to 11%. Non-GAAP operating margin is projected at 26%, with free cash flow margin at 28% to 29%.
The forecast includes about a one-point growth headwind from shifting professional services to partners. CFO Brett Tighe said AI remains immaterial to fiscal 2027 but could become material in fiscal 2028 and beyond if current trends continue.
Okta Expands Product Breadth and Partner LeverageCEO and co-founder Todd McKinnon said newer products represented about 30% of Q2 bookings, led by Okta Identity Governance. Including a newer product in a deal produces an average ACV uplift of about 40%.
Todd McKinnon also highlighted Agent Gateway, Okta for AI Agents-Core and the Permiso acquisition. Permiso is intended to deepen identity threat detection across human, nonhuman and agentic identities.
CFO Brett Tighe said partners participated in all top 20 Q2 deals, and the largest deal was partner-sourced. Management expects the services shift toward global systems integrators to deepen enterprise relationships.
OKTA Q&A Tests AI Timing, Pricing and CompetitionA Guggenheim Securities analyst asked when AI security could become meaningful revenue. CEO and co-founder Todd McKinnon emphasized strong pipeline activity but acknowledged limited conversion history for the recently launched offering.
A Loop Capital Markets analyst asked about pricing as agent use expands. CEO and co-founder Todd McKinnon said the current model is a per-user uplift, while Okta is establishing a framework for consumption-based agent SSO pricing.
A Macquarie analyst asked about competition from larger platforms. CEO and co-founder Todd McKinnon stressed Okta's neutrality and ability to connect across models, clouds and applications as its primary differentiation.
Okta Keeps Profitability Alongside GrowthCFO Brett Tighe said Okta will keep investing in products, go-to-market execution and partners while maintaining cost discipline. Q2 non-GAAP operating margin was 28%, while free cash flow totaled $227 million.
CEO and co-founder Todd McKinnon and CFO Brett Tighe centered the company's posture on durable core demand, enterprise penetration and broader product adoption, with AI treated as a longer-term growth vector rather than a near-term forecast driver.
OKTA Rank and Style Scores Give Mixed ReadoutOKTA carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). Its Momentum Score of B is favorable, while the Value Score of F, Growth Score of C and VGM Score of D provide a mixed Style Score profile. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
The Style Score framework favors Zacks Rank #1 and #2 stocks paired with A or B individual or VGM scores. The Zacks Rank can change as estimates are revised after the just-reported results.
The Trump administration may impose new tariffs on semiconductors, potentially impacting a broad range of tech products and complicating U.S. AI ambitions. Okta (OKTA) rallies on strong Q2 results and raised full-year guidance, highlighting robust demand for its security solutions.
Key Takeaways Pre-Markets Mixed, with Nasdaq Up Nicely on Tech EarningsJobless Claims Stay Near Historic LowsTrade Balance, Inventories Balloon Past Estimates Thursday, August 27th, 2026
Pre-market futures are mixed this morning — down -110 points on the blue-chip Dow, but +240 points on the tech heavy Nasdaq, with the S&P 500 splitting the difference, +22 points. This follows a Wednesday afternoon chock-full of earnings beats in the tech sector: +18% on Okta (OKTA - Free Report) , +10% for Salesforce (CRM - Free Report) and +9% for cybersecurity staple CrowdStrike (CRWD - Free Report) .
NVIDIA (NVDA - Free Report) also posted Q2 earnings after the close yesterday, as you may know. The company continues to outperform even extraordinary estimates, with record revenues posted yet again. Guidance for the current quarter exceeds $100 billion for the first time ever: +$108 billion, +/- 2%. Shares of the supreme AI play are up another +6.5% in today’s early trading, adding to its +12.4% gains year to date.
Jobless Claims Remain at Multi-Decade Lows
This being a “normal” Thursday, we see new Weekly Jobless Claims, and the narrative stays extremely complimentary to overall labor market news: 203K on Initial Claims is 5K fewer than projected, and keeping near 60-year lows that we have seen for much of the summer.
Continuing Claims also tacked down from the prior week — 1.78 million versus a downwardly revised 1.796 million in the last report. We’ve remained mostly under an historically low 1.8 million level since mid-April; in terms of overall numbers reflecting our current labor force, none look as healthy as jobless claims have for much of 2026.
Trade Balance & Inventories Go Wide of Expectations
Advance Trade Balance in Goods for July swung more deeply into the negative than expected: -$118.8 billion is the deepest deficit we’ve seen since the record low -$135 billion recorded back in March 2025, directly ahead of the “Liberation Day” launch of the new tariff war. Exports were relatively in-line with expectations at $199.4 billion, but Imports came in a much more expensive $318.2 billion, increasing $11.4 billion in one month.
Also for July, Wholesale Inventories racked up their sixth straight up-month, jumping +100 basis points (bps) month over month to +1.3%. Year over year, wholesale inventories are up +5.7%. Retail Inventories jumped half a percentage point from expectations to +0.7%, following a downwardly revised -0.2% the previous month. Inventories count as overall productivity, but generally seen as the weakest form of growth, as unsold products tend to stay on the shelves.
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Okta Inc OKTA shares climbed to a new year-to-date high on Thursday morning after the identity security company posted a blockbuster Q2 and raised its guidance for the full year.
The upbeat release prompted a fresh wave of bullish analyst calls, with RBC raising its price target for OKTA to $195 and Citizens lifting it to $180 per share.
These upgrades suggest Wall Street believes OKTA stock is poised for more than a one-day post-earnings pop even though it’s already trading at nearly twice the price at which it started 2026.
The most important takeaway from Okta's second-quarter report may not be its headline revenue beat, but the evidence that demand is broadening across its platform.
Revenue climbed 11% year-on-year to $805 million while adjusted earnings came in at $1.05 per share (EPS) – both handily above Street estimates.
More importantly, current remaining performance obligations (cRPOs) soared about 14% to $2.56 billion. RBC specifically pointed to this acceleration and record bookings as reasons for raising its price target.
OKTA’s bookings strength was driven primarily by large enterprise deals, improved sales execution and growing adoption of newer products.
Management said the firm’s new products accounted for roughly 30% of Q2 bookings, with Identity Governance the leading contributor.
Crucially, Okta Inc said deals involving new products generate an average 40% increase in annual contract value, suggesting the opportunity isn’t simply about winning more clients but expanding the value of existing relationships.
A bigger opportunity for Okta may be emerging as artificial intelligence (AI) changes the definition of an enterprise identity.
Companies are increasingly deploying sophisticated AI agents that can access applications, data and other systems, creating a new security problem – they need to know which agents exist, what they can access and what actions they are permitted to take.
OKTA is positioning itself as a neutral identity layer capable of governing those interactions across different platforms and cloud environments.
That strategy is already moving beyond the concept stage. Okta Inc launched products designed to secure and govern AI agents, while its Agent Gateway is intended to enforce policies at runtime across multiple platforms.
Management said the company won dozens of AI deals in Q2 – including a “multimillion-dollar” agreement with a Fortune 50 healthcare company.
The acquisition of Permiso Security, announced in July, should further strengthen Okta’s ability to detect and respond to identity threats involving human, non-human and agentic identities.
This is central to analysts’ bullish thesis for OKTA shares: AI could become a catalyst not only for a new product category but also for broader identity modernization.
Okta Inc says conversations that begin around securing AI are increasingly expanding into wider identity projects, potentially giving the firm more opportunities to cross-sell its existing platform.
Should you buy Okta Inc into post-earnings strength today?OKTA’s stronger quarter also gave management room to raise its fiscal 2027 outlook across key metrics.
The company now expects full-year revenue of $3.216 billion to $3.226 billion, and projects EPS (adjusted) of $3.90 to $3.94 with free cash flow of at least $ 910 million.
Citizens’ decision to raise its target to $180 reflects its view that the quarter established a credible path toward durable growth reacceleration.
The investment firm expects continued cRPO acceleration, evidence that new products can sustain higher contract values, further enterprise wins, and tangible monetization of AI-agent security to drive OKTA stock higher.
Okta’s ability to convert those opportunities into faster revenue growth while maintaining strong cash generation will determine whether the stock can turn its latest breakout into a sustained move toward the $180-$195 analyst targets.
Pre-market futures are mixed this morning — down -110 points on the blue-chip Dow, but +240 points on the tech heavy Nasdaq, with the S&P 500 splitting the difference, +22 points. This follows a Wednesday afternoon chock-full of earnings beats in the tech sector: +18% on Okta ((OKTA - Free Report) , +10% for Salesforce ((CRM - Free Report) and +9% for cybersecurity staple CrowdStrike ((CRWD - Free Report) .\
NVIDIA ((NVDA - Free Report) also posted Q2 earnings after the close yesterday, as you may know. The company continues to outperform even extraordinary estimates, with record revenues posted yet again. Guidance for the current quarter exceeds $100 billion for the first time ever: +$108 billion, +/- 2%. Shares of the supreme AI play are up another +6.5% in today’s early trading, adding to its +12.4% gains year to date.
Jobless Claims Remain at Multi-Decade LowsThis being a “normal” Thursday, we see new Weekly Jobless Claims, and the narrative stays extremely complimentary to overall labor market news: 203K on Initial Claims is 5K fewer than projected, and keeping near 60-year lows that we have seen for much of the summer.
Continuing Claims also tacked down from the prior week — 1.78 million versus a downwardly revised 1.796 million in the last report. We’ve remained mostly under an historically low 1.8 million level since mid-April; in terms of overall numbers reflecting our current labor force, none look as healthy as jobless claims have for much of 2026.
Trade Balance & Inventories Go Wide of ExpectationsAdvance Trade Balance in Goods for July swung more deeply into the negative than expected: -$118.8 billion is the deepest deficit we’ve seen since the record low -$135 billion recorded back in March 2025, directly ahead of the “Liberation Day” launch of the new tariff war. Exports were relatively in-line with expectations at $199.4 billion, but Imports came in a much more expensive $318.2 billion, increasing $11.4 billion in one month.
Also for July, Wholesale Inventories racked up their sixth straight up-month, jumping +100 basis points (bps) month over month to +1.3%. Year over year, wholesale inventories are up +5.7%. Retail Inventories jumped half a percentage point from expectations to +0.7%, following a downwardly revised -0.2% the previous month. Inventories count as overall productivity, but generally seen as the weakest form of growth, as unsold products tend to stay on the shelves.
Key Takeaways Okta's Q2 revenues rose 10.6% to $805 million, while subscription revenues climbed 12% to $793 million. OKTA's subscription backlog rose 17% to $4.858 billion, while cRPO advanced 14% to $2.585 billion. Okta raised fiscal 2027 revenue guidance to $3.216-$3.226 billion and EPS to $3.90-$3.94. Okta (OKTA - Free Report) reported second-quarter fiscal 2027 earnings of $1.05 per share, which increased 15.4% year over year and beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 9.38%.
Revenues increased 10.6% year over year to $805 million, beating the consensus mark by 1.62%. Subscription momentum supported the quarter, with subscription revenues rising 12% to $793 million.
Location-wise, revenues from the United States contributed 87.6% to total revenues in the fiscal second quarter. The figure increased 10.19% year over year to $638 million. International revenues contributed 22.9% to total revenues. The figure increased 12.08% year over year to $167 million.
OKTA's Subscription Growth Supports the Top LineSubscription revenues accounted for nearly all of the top line, while Professional services and other revenues were $12 million, down 29.4% year over year from $17 million. Management said growth benefited from steady momentum across its core Workforce and Customer Identity businesses and contributions from newer products, led by Okta Identity Governance.
Workforce Identity represented 59% of annual contract value, or ACV, at quarter-end and grew 11% year over year. Customer Identity accounted for the remaining 41% and increased 13%, underscoring balanced growth across Okta’s two core identity businesses.
Okta's Backlog and Large Customers ExpandIn the second quarter of fiscal 2027, remaining performance obligations, which represent subscription backlog, increased 17% year over year to $4.858 billion. Current remaining performance obligations (cRPO), a key indicator of future subscription revenues, advanced 14% year over year to $2.585 billion.
Customers generating more than $100,000 in ACV increased 6% year over year to 5,255. The trailing-12-month dollar-based net retention rate was 107%, up one percentage point from the year-ago period, reflecting expansion within the existing customer base after accounting for contractions and churn.
OKTA's Profitability Shows Operating LeverageNon-GAAP gross margin was 81.9%, up 40 basis points year over year, while non-GAAP subscription gross margin improved 20 basis points to 83.9%.
On a non-GAAP basis, operating expenses increased 10.7% year over year to $434 million. Research and development expenses rose 16.5% to $127 million, while sales and marketing expenses increased 17.6% to $241 million. General and administrative expenses declined 15.4% to $66 million.
Non-GAAP operating income increased 11.9% year over year to $226 million. Non-GAAP operating margin expanded 50 basis points to 28.2%, highlighting continued profitability despite growth investments.
Okta's Cash Generation Remains StrongOkta ended July 31, 2026, with $2.299 billion in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments compared with $2.589 billion as of April 30, 2026.
Net cash provided by operating activities was $234 million, representing 29% of revenues, compared with $167 million, or 23%, a year ago. Free cash flow increased to $227 million from $162 million, while the free cash flow margin expanded to 28% from 22%.
OKTA Raises Its Fiscal 2027 OutlookFor the third quarter of fiscal 2027, OKTA expects revenues of $813-$817 million, implying 10% year-over-year growth. cRPO is projected at $2.59-$2.60 billion, implying growth of 11-12%. Non-GAAP earnings are expected between 92 cents and 94 cents per share, with free cash flow of $175-$185 million.
For fiscal 2027, management raised its revenue outlook to $3.216-$3.226 billion, suggesting 10-11% growth, from the prior $3.185-$3.205 billion range. Non-GAAP earnings are now projected at $3.90-$3.94 per share compared with the previous $3.79-$3.87 range. Free cash flow guidance increased to $910-$930 million from $855-$885 million, with an expected margin of 28-29%.
OKTA’s Zacks Rank & Other Stocks to ConsiderOkta currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
Some other top-ranked stocks in the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector include Dell Technologies (DELL - Free Report) , Docusign (DOCU - Free Report) and Hewlett-Packard (HPE - Free Report) . While Dell Technologies sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), Docusign and Hewlett-Packard carry a Zacks Rank of 2 each at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Dell Technologies shares have gained 268.4% in the year-to-date period. Dell Technologies is set to report second-quarter fiscal 2027 results on Sept. 1.
Shares of Docusign have plunged 13.3% year to date. Docusign is set to report second-quarter fiscal 2027 results on Sept. 3.
Shares of Hewlett-Packard have rallied 129.9% year to date. Hewlett-Packard is slated to report fiscal third-quarter 2026 results on Sept. 2.
Cybersecurity stocks surged on Thursday after CrowdStrike (CRWD - Free Report) ) and Okta (OKTA - Free Report) ) both topped Q2 expectations yesterday evening and raised their outlooks.
CRWD spiked 20%, while OKTA soared nearly 30%, as investors cheered resilient security spending and the growing need to protect AI workloads and identities.
Both reports strengthened their respective growth stories, but with valuations becoming even more stretched after Thursday's rallies, investors may want to be selective before chasing either stock.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
CrowdStrike's Q2 Highlights Accelerating Security DemandCrowdStrike delivered arguably the more impressive growth quarter, with Q2 revenue rising more than 26% year over year to $1.47 billion, topping the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.43 billion by 2%. Adjusted earnings increased nearly 35% to $0.31 per share, beating Q2 EPS expectations of $0.29.
More importantly, annual recurring revenue climbed 25% to $5.84 billion, while net new ARR surged 51% to a record $333 million.
Falcon Flex continues to be a major catalyst, with ARR from Flex customers more than doubling to over $2.29 billion. Notably, Falcon Flex is a flexible subscription and licensing model for CrowdStrike’s cybersecurity platform, allowing organizations to deploy only the security modules they need while adapting to evolving threats and operational requirements.
Other highlights included CrowdStrike generating a Q2 record $377 million in free cash flow, reinforcing the scalability of its cloud-based security platform.
Furthermore, management raised its outlook and now expects Q3 revenue of $1.523-$1.529 billion and adjusted EPS of roughly $0.31. Full-year revenue is now projected at $5.99-$6.01 billion, with adjusted EPS of $1.25-$1.26. CrowdStrike also significantly raised its net new ARR growth outlook to roughly 34% at the midpoint.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Okta's Profitability Makes a Big LeapOkta's growth rate isn't as explosive, but its Q2 report showed an attractive combination of improving demand and expanding profitability. Quarterly revenue increased more than 11% YoY to $805 million and topped Q2 estimates of $792.14 million by over 1%.
More impressively, Q2 adjusted EPS climbed 15% to $1.05 and comfortably exceeded expectations of $0.96 per share by 9%.
Subscription backlog, or remaining performance obligations (RPO), jumped 17% to $4.86 billion, with current RPO increasing 14% to $2.59 billion. Even more encouraging, Okta's GAAP operating margin expanded to 13% from 6%, while free cash flow reached $227 million, equaling an impressive 28% of revenue.
Okta expects Q3 revenue of $813-$817 million and adjusted EPS of $0.92-$0.94. Management also raised its fiscal 2027 outlook to revenue of $3.216-$3.226 billion, adjusted EPS of $3.90-$3.94, and free cash flow of $910-$930 million.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
CRWD & OKTA Valuation ComparisonThis is where Okta starts to clearly separate itself.
Even before Thursday's post-earnings rallies, CrowdStrike was trading over 150X forward earnings compared with 76X for Okta. Notably, Okta's P/E multiple is much closer to their Zacks Security industry's average of 46X, which includes other noteworthy companies such as Fortinet (FTNT - Free Report) ), Palo Alto Networks (PANW - Free Report) ), and Zscaler (ZS - Free Report) ).
Okta also trades at a much more reasonable forward sales multiple of 7X, which is slightly beneath the industry average compared to CrowdStrike’s 32X.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Bottom Line: OKTA Looks Like the Better BuyCrowdStrike produced the stronger Q2 growth report and remains one of cybersecurity's premier long-term growth stories, particularly as enterprises spend more to secure AI workloads, cloud environments, and endpoints. However, after the stock's post-earnings surge, its lofty valuation makes CRWD harder to chase.
Okta appears to offer the more attractive risk-to-reward setup, combining improving identity-security demand, expanding margins, robust free cash flow, raised guidance, and a substantially cheaper valuation.
Supporting that view, OKTA currently sports a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), while CRWD lands a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). Investors seeking exposure to the cybersecurity rally may therefore have more reason to chase Okta's surge than CrowdStrike's at current levels.
Shares of Okta (OKTA -3.86%) soared on Thursday after the identity management leader delivered strong quarterly profits.
Image source: Getty Images.
Guarding AI agents AI agents have the potential to automate huge swaths of the economy, boosting productivity and slashing costs along the way. Yet AI agents also pose a dangerous threat to digital infrastructure and traditional data protection systems.
High-profile breaches -- such as when OpenAI's models compromised parts of Hugging Face's systems -- are driving businesses to spend more on cybersecurity solutions. Okta, as a leading provider of identity and access management tools, is benefiting from this trend.
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Okta's total revenue rose 11% year over year to $805 million in its fiscal 2027 second quarter, which ended on July 31.
"As AI agents transform every layer of technology, every agent needs a trusted identity and clear controls over what it can access and do," CEO Todd McKinnon said. "Okta helps organizations discover agents, secure their connections, govern their actions, and respond when something goes wrong, giving them the flexibility and control they need to deploy agents safely and at scale."
It's a lucrative position to hold. Okta's adjusted net income jumped 15% to $194 million, or $1.05 per share. The cyber guardian also generated $227 million in free cash flow, placing its FCF margin at an impressive 28%.
Demand continues to rise Okta now forecasts its full-year revenue to grow by roughly 11% to $3.2 billion. Management also projects adjusted earnings per share of $3.90 to $3.94 and free cash flow of $910 million to $930 million.
"The emerging use of AI by organizations and threat actors alike has further elevated the role identity plays within a company's security posture," McKinnon said during a conference call with analysts. "Organizations are accelerating their infrastructure modernization timelines to address this heightened threat environment."
Joe Tenebruso has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Okta. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Cybersecurity "is finally getting legs under it," says Peter Andersen, who sees lots of upside for the space and particularly likes CrowdStrike (CRWD). He tells investors to look at the cybersecurity industry "like a Medieval castle," saying the companies like CrowdStrike, Palo Alto Networks (PANW), and Okta Inc. (OKTA) among cover different security needs for businesses.
Okta (OKTA - Free Report) is looking like an interesting pick from a technical perspective, as the company reached a key level of support. Recently, OKTA broke out above the 50-day moving average, suggesting a short-term bullish trend.
The 50-day simple moving average, which is one of three major moving averages, is widely used by traders and analysts to establish support and resistance levels for a range of securities. Because it's the first sign of an up or down trend, the 50-day is considered to be more important.
OKTA could be on the verge of another rally after moving 23.1% higher over the last four weeks. Plus, the company is currently a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) stock.
The bullish case only gets stronger once investors take into account OKTA's positive earnings estimate revisions. There have been 2 higher compared to none lower for the current fiscal year, and the consensus estimate has moved up as well.
Investors should think about putting OKTA on their watchlist given the ultra-important technical indicator and positive move in earnings estimate revisions.
Okta (OKTA - Free Report) reached a significant support level, and could be a good pick for investors from a technical perspective. Recently, OKTA broke through the 20-day moving average, which suggests a short-term bullish trend.
A well-liked tool among traders, the 20-day simple moving average offers a look back at a stock's price over a 20-day period. This is very beneficial to short-term traders, as it smooths out short-term price trends and gives more trend reversal signals than longer-term moving averages.
Like other SMAs, if a stock's price is moving above the 20-day, the trend is considered positive. When the price falls below the moving average, it can signal a downward trend.
Shares of OKTA have been moving higher over the past four weeks, up 23.1%. Plus, the company is currently a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) stock, suggesting that OKTA could be poised for a continued surge.
Once investors consider OKTA's positive earnings estimate revisions, the bullish case only solidifies. No earnings estimate has been lowered in the past two months, compared to 2 raised estimates, for the current fiscal year, and the consensus estimate has increased as well.
Given this move in earnings estimate revisions and the positive technical factor, investors may want to keep their eye on OKTA for more gains in the near future.
Okta’s NASDAQ: OKTA summer stock price weakness was warranted, as its security platform came under scrutiny amid industry headwinds and management and integration challenges. However, today's story is completely different: Okta has navigated its prior hurdles and emerged as an AI winner.
It just so happens that AI is driving an exponential increase in digital traffic, increasing the need for ID security and access management, Okta’s specialty. While growth remains sluggish for now, signs point to acceleration and long-term profitability.
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Okta’s late-August price action reflects the strength of its newfound position. Up more than 100% from its April 2026 lows, the stock price surged 29% in a single day following the Q2 earnings release. The move confirmed support at a critical level, aligned with the mid-summer breakout, and set a fresh high, confirming the August price action as a continuation signal.
In this scenario, Okta’s uptrend is at best half over, with another $60 to $70 of upside relative to the pre-release highs near $150. As it stands, the near- to mid-term target is $210 to $220, putting this market on track to retest all-time highs within the next 12 months.
Okta Outperforms and Guides Higher on Agentic Traffic StrengthOkta had a good quarter, with revenue growing 10.6% to $805 million, about 150 basis points (bps) better than expected. Subscriptions drove the strength, growing 12%, with internal metrics pointing to sustained strength in the coming quarters. The remaining performance obligation (RPO), a measure of backlog, grew at an accelerated 17% pace, and the current RPO, the portion of the backlog to be recognized within the next 12 months, rose 14%.
Margin was another strength. The company controlled costs while investing in growth, lifting GAAP margins and sustaining strength on an adjusted basis. Adjusted operating margin came in flat, which was good enough, as share buybacks compounded the bottom line for accelerated growth.
The adjusted earnings per share of $1.05 was up more than 1,500 bps year-over-year (YOY) and more than 800 bps above expectations, with strength carrying through into guidance.
Guidance was a catalyst. Executives issued a solid Q3 forecast, expecting revenue above consensus, and improved the full-year outlook to include a low-end target for revenue and earnings above forecast. The likely outcome is that Okta continues to gain momentum in the coming quarters as data center completion and deepening agentic dependence drive traffic.
Can Okta Reach $200? Analysts and Institutions Weigh InAnalysts' initial response to the release was very bullish. MarketBeat tracked eight revisions within the first 12 hours of the release, including several price targets reaffirmed above the consensus, numerous price target increases, and sentiment upgrades.
68th Percentile
Moderate Buy
4.0% Upside
Healthy
N/A
0.74 Selling Shares
24.29%
See Full Analysis
As it stands, the consensus price target assumes fair value near $168, a slight downside in light of the post-release price pop, but the trend matters more, as it leads to the high-end range. Four analysts assign a price target of $200, which would represent a significant stepping stone for this stock because it aligns with the bottom of its 2020/2022 reversal pattern.
Institutional activity is a critical factor. The group bought aggressively in early Q3, underpinning market support, but has distributed over the trailing 12-month period. The risk is that they sell into the market, but this seems unlikely now that the business has traction. The worst case is that buyers dry up and institutions move to the sidelines, waiting to see what happens next. The best-case scenario is that they sustain their bullish posture and underpin the rally to $200.
A Healthier Balance Sheet Sets Okta Up for Value GainsCash flow, the balance sheet, and capital return are driving forces for this stock. The company is profitable and improving its profitability by leveraging AI. Q2 highlights include a 28% free cash flow margin, up 600 bps YOY, supporting a healthy balance sheet and capital returns.
Capital returns consist of opportunistic share buybacks, with Q2 activity aiding a 1.1% YOY reduction and ample authorization remaining. Balance sheet highlights reflect the impacts of debt reduction and buybacks, with cash, assets, and liabilities down. Key details include zero long-term debt as of quarter-end and steady equity, along with healthy cash flow, setting the stage for aggressive value gains in upcoming quarters.
Weighing Okta's Breach Risk Against Its Agentic AI UpsideOkta’s biggest risk is its position as an ID control plane. That makes it a prime target for attack, especially via third-party vendors who inadvertently receive overinflated authorizations. Breaches mean lost trust and impaired business, and they will be reflected in the stock’s price. Catalysts include expanding penetration of digital services throughout the ecosystem, agentic traffic, and the proliferation of hyperscale datacenter supercomputers slated to come online over the subsequent 12 to 24 months.
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AI agents are multiplying inside corporate networks faster than security teams can track them, and two cybersecurity companies just proved that scramble translates directly into record-breaking revenue growth.
Artificial intelligence is dramatically increasing the need for cybersecurity solutions. On Thursday, August 27, CrowdStrike (NASDAQ:CRWD | CRWD Price Prediction) shares rose 20%, posting their best day ever, while Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA) rose 29-30%. Both companies beat earnings expectations and raised guidance, and both have more than doubled in 2026.
CNBC reporter MacKenzie Sigalos summarized the setup: “CrowdStrike and Okta surging after better-than-expected earnings and stronger guidance, with both companies saying that AI is driving more demand for their cybersecurity tools.“
AI Is Arming Attackers and Creating Millions of New Targets Speaking on CNBC with Jim Cramer, CrowdStrike CEO George Kurtz described the current moment as “an arms race. With AI now making attacks easier to launch, at the same time that companies are deploying huge numbers of AI agents that now need to be secured.“ On the earnings call, CrowdStrike’s CEO expanded: “The world’s adoption of AI is rapidly expanding the attack surface. More models, more agents, more agentic applications, more data, and with that more identities, more permissions, more policies, more cyber attacks, and more risk.”
AI lowers attack costs while simultaneously multiplying the number of entities that need defense, because every agent deployed inside a company is a new identity, a new set of permissions, and a new monitoring surface. Kurtz added, “I think the AI DR business can be bigger than the EDR business, just given the pure number of agents which each person will have, which is estimated to be about 90.“
CrowdStrike Just Delivered the Best Quarter in Its History CrowdStrike called Q2 FY27 the best quarter in company history. Net new ARR hit a record $333 million, accelerating to 51% year-over-year growth, and ending ARR reached $5.84 billion, up more than 25%. Total revenue was $1.47 billion, up 26%, and free cash flow came in at $377 million, or 26% of revenue. Non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.31 per diluted share, up 34% on a split-adjusted basis.
Management raised the FY27 net new ARR growth outlook to roughly 34% at the midpoint. Falcon Flex, the platform-consumption vehicle, shows the AI-security thesis in dollars. Flex ending ARR surpassed $2.29 billion, up 101% year over year, and AIDR ending ARR nearly tripled versus Q1.
Okta’s Identity Layer Meets the Agent Wave Sigalos noted, “That is especially good news for Okta, because all of those agents need identities and permissions inside a company’s network. Okta says that it won dozens of AI-related deals last quarter.” If enterprises deploy agents at scale, each needs credentials and governance, which is Okta’s product surface.
Okta CEO Todd McKinnon framed identity as “the primary control plane for securing AI” and said Okta closed dozens of AI deals in Q2, including several million-dollar-plus deals, while cautioning that revenue impact is early.
In a single customer evaluation, Okta detected 50 instances of a Claude agent, and a few weeks later the count had grown to 1,500. Okta’s survey found 81% of CISOs were aware that agents had been deployed in their enterprises without an adequate security platform in place.
AI Security Is Breaking the Software Bear Case CrowdStrike and Okta are demonstrating that AI can be a major growth engine for select software companies, not merely a competitive threat. Every new agent expands the attack surface and creates another identity that must be secured. The opportunity is enormous, but after both stocks nearly doubled in 2026, future results will need to keep pace with high expectations already embedded in their share prices.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Key Takeaways Okta shares jumped 28.63% after Q2 fiscal 2027 earnings and revenues beat consensus estimates. OKTA's cRPO rose 14% to $2.59B, while customers with over $1M in ACV increased more than 20%. Okta expects fiscal 2027 revenue of $3.216B-$3.226B and non-GAAP EPS of $3.90-$3.94. Okta (OKTA - Free Report) shares jumped 28.63% after the company reported second-quarter fiscal 2027 results on Wednesday, reflecting better-than-expected results, accelerating bookings indicators, strong large-enterprise execution and rising investor enthusiasm around AI-agent security. In the second quarter of fiscal 2027, revenues increased 11% year over year to $805 million, while subscription revenues rose 12% to $793 million. Adjusted earnings of $1.05 per share exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 9.38%, while revenues topped the consensus mark by 1.62%.
More importantly, forward-looking demand metrics strengthened. Remaining Performance Obligation (RPO) increased 17% to $4.86 billion and current RPO (cRPO) rose 14% to $2.59 billion. The cRPO growth accelerated while workforce identity and customer identity ACV increased 11% and 13%, respectively. Free cash flow margin also expanded 580 basis points to 28.1%. However, is this enough for the investors to jump into the stock? Let’s find out.
Okta Rides on Strong Enterprise Demand & New ProductsOkta is benefiting from strong enterprise demand. In the second quarter of fiscal 2027, the number of customers generating more than $1 million in Annual Contract Value (ACV) increased more than 20%, taking the total above 600. Upsell, cross-sell and pipeline generation also remained healthy. Anthropic selected Okta as the first identity provider supporting Enterprise Managed Auth for MCP connectors, while Okta has expanded relationships with AWS, Cisco, OpenAI, Databricks and Snowflake and added more than 25 Cross-App Access integrations. The company’s installed base of more than 20,000 customers gives Okta an established distribution channel through which to introduce AI-security products.
New products accounted for roughly 30% of the quarterly bookings, while adding a new product to a transaction generates about a 40% average ACV uplift. Okta for AI Agents secured dozens of deals during the quarter, including several million-dollar-plus transactions. Okta Identity Governance, Privileged Access, Identity Threat Protection and other newer offerings are increasing the amount customers spend on the platform. Okta’s investments in cloud marketplaces, global system integrators and channel partners are also improving deal economics.
The rapid deployment of enterprise AI agents is expanding Okta’s addressable identity-security opportunity beyond human users to machine and agent identities. Okta for AI Agents provides agent discovery, governance, access control and runtime protection, while Auth0 for AI Agents addresses developers building agentic applications. Okta noted that AI security conversations are increasingly expanding into broader identity-modernization projects, potentially creating cross-selling opportunities across Okta's platform.
These factors are expected to help OKTA shares appreciate. The company is facing stiff competition from the likes of Microsoft (MSFT - Free Report) , CrowdStrike (CRWD - Free Report) and Cisco Systems (CSCO - Free Report) . YTD, CrowdStrike, Cisco and Microsoft have returned 94.5%, 45.6% and 4.5%, respectively.
OKTA Stock’s Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
OKTA Offers Positive FY27 GuidanceFor fiscal 2027, OKTA expects revenues between $3.216 billion and $3.226 billion, indicating 10-11% growth from the figure reported in fiscal 2026. Okta expects fiscal 2027 non-GAAP earnings between $3.90 and $3.94 per share.
For the third quarter of fiscal 2027, OKTA expects revenues between $813 million and $817 million, indicating 10% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter. Okta expects fiscal 2027 non-GAAP earnings between 92 cents and 94 cents per share.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Okta’s fiscal 2027 earnings has increased by a penny to $3.84 per share over the past 30 days. The earnings estimate suggests 9.71% growth over the figure reported in fiscal 2026. The consensus estimate for revenues is currently pegged at $3.21 billion, suggesting 9.96% growth from the figure reported in fiscal 2026.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Okta’s third-quarter fiscal 2027 earnings has been steady at 93 cents per share over the past 30 days. The earnings estimate suggests 13.41% growth over the figure reported in the year-ago quarter. The consensus estimate for revenues is currently pegged at $813.2 million, suggesting 9.6% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.
Here’s Why OKTA is a BuyOKTA shares are trading at a premium as suggested by the Value Score of F.
In terms of forward 12-month price/sales (P/S), Okta is trading at 8.91X, higher than the median of 5.06X and Cisco’s 6.16X. However, OKTA is cheaper than Microsoft and CrowdStrike, shares of which are trading at 9.36X and 34.77X, respectively.
OKTA Stock’s Valuation
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Despite its premium valuation, Okta’s improving growth indicators, expanding large-enterprise footprint and increasing contribution from newer products strengthen its investment case. Rising adoption of Okta for AI Agents could provide an additional growth avenue as enterprises increasingly seek to secure AI agents and machine identities. Accelerating cRPO growth, healthy cross-selling opportunities, expanding free cash flow margins and an encouraging fiscal 2027 outlook further support prospects.
Okta currently has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), which implies that investors should start accumulating the stock right now. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Key Takeaways DKS, OKTA, and CRWD have all been seeing increased attention following earnings releases. Negative sentiment surrounds DKS, whereas positivity is flowing for CRWD and OKTA. DKS lowered guidance, with CRWD and OKTA doing the opposite and upping their outlooks. DICK’S Sporting Goods (DKS - Free Report) , Okta (OKTA - Free Report) , and CrowdStrike (CRWD - Free Report) have all been drawing extra investor attention lately, with recent earnings releases highlighting some key developments.
DKS Slashes OutlookDICK’S Sporting Goods had a tough post-earnings reaction after reporting adjusted EPS of $3.53 and revenue of $5.6 billion, with earnings sliding roughly 20% YoY alongside 53% YoY revenue growth. Both items fell short of our consensus estimates, and while the YoY revenue surge looks appealing, it’s worth remembering that much of that growth reflects the addition of Foot Locker, which DKS acquired last September.
DICK’S business remained relatively solid, with comparable sales rising 4.9%, but Foot Locker proved to be a much bigger drag on the overall story. Comparable sales at Foot Locker fell 3.6%, as softer demand for older footwear styles, fewer major product launches, and a more promotional backdrop all weighed on performance.
That pressure also spilled into profitability, leading management to cut its fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS outlook. Shares plunged as a result of the guidance cut, with both annual and quarterly EPS estimates taking a huge hit following the release.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Okta Benefits From Growing DemandOkta delivered a much better quarterly report, with revenue increasing 10.6% YoY to $805 million, while adjusted EPS of $1.05 also showed solid growth versus the year-ago period.
Improvements in underlying demand trends were a major highlight, with current remaining performance obligations rising 14% to $2.6 billion and the number of customers generating more than $1 million in annual contract value increasing by more than 20%.
The stock sports a favorable Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), with EPS revisions for both its current and next fiscal years trending higher dating all the way back to the end of last August. The estimates suggest 10% earnings growth in its current FY27 and 12% in its FY28, underpinning a solid growth outlook overall.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
CrowdStrike Breaks Records Like OKTA, CrowdStrike also delivered a solid report recently, with revenue climbing 25.8% year over year to roughly $1.5 billion, while adjusted EPS of $0.31 topped expectations by roughly 7% and grew by 34% from the same period last year.
CRWD reported record net new annual recurring revenue of $333 million, up 51%, while free cash flow also reached a second-quarter record of $377 million. And to top off the record-breaking release, it raised its fiscal 2027 outlook, including expected net new ARR growth of roughly 34% at the midpoint.
EPS expectations for its current and next fiscal year have remained on an upward trajectory over the last year, with the estimates suggesting 33% and 26% YoY earnings growth in FY27 and FY28, respectively.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Bottom Line
All three stocks above - DICK’S Sporting Goods (DKS - Free Report) , Okta (OKTA - Free Report) , and CrowdStrike (CRWD - Free Report) – have been gaining attention lately, though the sentiment is heavily skewed to negativity for DKS following its weak earnings release. On the other hand, both CRWD and OKTA recently delivered strong results, with each upping guidance in one way or another and similarly seeing strong annual EPS revisions over the last year.
Okta (OKTA -3.86%) stock closed out this week's trading with a huge gain, rising 23% across the stretch. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 ended the week up 1.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.8%.
After the stock market closed on Wednesday, Okta released results for the second quarter of its 2027 fiscal year -- a period that closed July 31. The company reported sales and earnings that beat expectations and also issued encouraging guidance, and its stock also got a boost from excitement surrounding the broader cybersecurity industry.
Image source: Getty Images.
Okta served up strong Q2 results and guidance Okta recorded a non-GAAP (adjusted) profit of $1.05 per share on sales of $805 million last quarter, beating the average analyst estimate's call for adjusted earnings of $0.96 per share on sales of roughly $793 million. The company's revenue was up 10.6% year over year in the quarter, and adjusted earnings per share were up 15.4%.
Okta also said that it expects to record sales between $3.216 billion and $3.226 billion for the year -- essentially in line with the average analyst estimate. Meanwhile, adjusted earnings per share are projected to be between $3.90 and $3.94 -- significantly ahead of the average analyst estimate's call for per-share earnings of $3.84 prior to the release of the report.
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Cybersecurity stocks were hot this week In addition to strong earnings reports from companies including Okta and CrowdStrike, the broader cybersecurity industry saw a bullish valuation backdrop thanks to concerns about the rising tide of cyberthreats driven by artificial intelligence (AI). On Thursday, a public letter signed by more than tech 100 companies was published that urged businesses, institutions, and politicians to prioritize cybersecurity protections amid expectations that AI will continue to usher in a wider range of increasingly advanced and numerous threats. While the evolution of these threats poses huge challenges, it also suggests a strong demand environment for Okta.
Keith Noonan has positions in CrowdStrike. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends CrowdStrike and Okta. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
shares fell 3.1% to a current price of $130.97. The stock has experienced a volatile year, trading in a 52-week range of $62.66 to $157.00.
GF Value™ verdict: Current price is $130.97, compared to GF Value of $104.53, indicating the stock is 25.3% overvalued.GF Score™ is 73/100, suggesting the stock is above average in overall quality.Most notable signal: There has been significant insider selling, with $36.7M net selling over the past 12 months.Is OKTA Overvalued or Undervalued?According to GF Value™, which is GuruFocus' proprietary intrinsic-value estimate derived from historical trading multiples, past business growth, and future performance estimates, Okta Inc is currently overvalued. The GF Value™ for OKTA is estimated at $104.53, meaning the stock is trading at a premium of 25.3% above its fair value. This overvaluation suggests that there may be a lack of margin of safety for potential investors, indicating a higher risk profile in holding the stock at this price level. The GF Valuation label categorizes OKTA as "Modestly Overvalued," which aligns with the findings of elevated trading multiples as compared to its intrinsic value.
Investors may want to consider the implications of this overvaluation, especially in light of the stock's recent price action and significant insider selling. A stock trading above its intrinsic value may face downward pressure if future performance does not meet market expectations.
How Does OKTA's Valuation Compare to Its History?MetricCurrentHistoricalP/E (TTM)94.9x103.8xForward P/E34.1xN/ACurrently, Okta's P/E (TTM) stands at 94.9x, which is 9% below its 5-year median of 103.8x. This suggests that the stock is trading at a relatively lower valuation compared to its historical average. However, despite the lower P/E compared to its historical trend, the current valuation still appears to align with the GF Value™ assessment, which indicates that the stock is overvalued. This P/E analysis reinforces the notion that while the stock may be trading at a discount to its historical average, it still does not present a compelling buying opportunity given its current overvaluation status.
What Does OKTA's GF Score™ Tell Us?The GF Score™ assesses a company's overall quality by evaluating various factors such as financial strength, profitability, growth, valuation, and momentum. For Okta Inc, the GF Score™ is 73/100, suggesting it is above average in terms of quality. The strongest sub-rank is in financial strength, where it scores 9/10, indicating a solid balance sheet. Conversely, the weakest area is profitability, where it scores only 4/10, highlighting potential concerns about the company's ability to generate sustainable profits.
MetricRatingGF Score™73/100Financial Strength9/10Profitability4/10Growth8/10Valuation5/10Momentum3/10Overall, the scores suggest that while Okta has a strong financial foundation, its profitability metrics are lacking, indicating potential challenges in converting revenue into profit. This disparity may elevate concerns about the sustainability of its growth and profitability in the long term.
What Are Gurus and Insiders Doing with OKTA?Currently, 5 gurus hold shares of Okta Inc, with 2 adding to their positions and 5 trimming their holdings in recent quarters. This mixed activity suggests a cautious sentiment among professional investors regarding the stock's future prospects. Moreover, insider activity reflects a more negative outlook, as insiders have sold $36.9M worth of shares while only purchasing $0.3M over the past 12 months, resulting in a net selling of $36.7M. Such a pattern of insider selling may indicate that those closest to the company are not optimistic about its future performance, further corroborating the caution expressed by the GF Value™ assessment.
What This Means for InvestorsGiven the current price of $130.97, which is 25.3% above the GF Value™ estimate of $104.53, Okta Inc appears to be overvalued. This overvaluation, combined with significant insider selling and a mixed signal from professional investors, suggests potential risks for those considering an investment in the stock. For more detailed insights into Okta Inc
OKTA -3.09% 73
, visit the Okta Inc (OKTA) stock page, and explore the GF Value™ page for additional information.
Frequently Asked QuestionsWhat is OKTA's GF Score™?
Okta Inc has a GF Score™ of 73/100, indicating that it is above average in terms of overall quality based on various financial metrics.
Is OKTA overvalued or undervalued?
Okta Inc is currently overvalued, with a GF Value™ estimate of $104.53, suggesting a 25.3% premium over its intrinsic value.
What is OKTA's P/E ratio?
Okta's P/E ratio is 94.9x (TTM), which is 9% below its 5-year median of 103.8x, indicating that it is trading at a lower valuation compared to its historical average.
This stock alert was generated using automated technology and GuruFocus financial data to provide readers with timely and accurate market reporting. This content was reviewed by GuruFocus editorial team prior to publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].
Key Takeaways Okta expects Q2 revenues of $790-$794 million, up 9% year over year. New products drove about 25% of Q1 bookings, with deals showing about a 40% ACV uplift. Okta's RPO growth supports subscription revenue visibility despite competition and longer sales cycles. Okta (OKTA - Free Report) is set to release second-quarter fiscal 2027 results on Aug. 26.
For the second quarter of fiscal 2027, Okta expects revenues in the range of $790-$794 million, implying 9% year-over-year growth. The company expects non-GAAP net income per share between 95 cents and 97 cents.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings has remained steady at 96 cents per share over the past 30 days, indicating a 5.49% year-over-year increase. The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $792.14 million, indicating an 8.81% increase over the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.
Okta’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all the trailing four quarters, with the average earnings surprise being 7.65%.
Let’s see how things have shaped up for Okta prior to this announcement:
Factors to Note for OktaOkta’s second-quarter fiscal 2027 performance is expected to have benefited from an expanding portfolio across governance, privileged access, device access, authorization, posture management and AI-driven threat protection, which continues to support customer wins and cross-sell.
In the first quarter of fiscal 2027, customers with more than $100K in annual contract value (ACV) increased 6% year over year to 5,180. Remaining Performance Obligations (RPOs) were $4.719 billion, up 16% year over year, and current RPO was $2.499 billion, up 12%. For the second quarter of fiscal 2027, management expects current RPO between $2.505 billion and $2.515 billion, implying 11% year-over-year growth and supporting forward subscription revenue visibility.
A major driver for Okta’s anticipated growth is the rapid adoption of its new and innovative products, particularly those focused on AI security. Products such as Okta Identity Governance, Okta Privileged Access and the newly introduced Auth0 for AI Agents and Okta for AI Agents have seen strong early demand. The company highlighted that new products represented about 25% of fiscal first-quarter 2027 bookings and that deals including new products have shown about a 40% ACV uplift, reinforcing the long-term cross-sell potential as agent deployments scale. This is expected to have driven significant value for customers in the to-be-reported quarter.
Expanding partnerships and integrations are expected to have driven Okta’s top-line growth. Okta has formed alliances with major technology providers such as ServiceNow, Google, Amazon, OpenAI and Anthropic. These partnerships extend Okta’s reach into new AI-driven workflows and reinforce its position as an independent identity platform. The integration with ServiceNow’s AI Control Tower and Amazon Bedrock Agent core enables Okta to provide identity governance for agents across multiple platforms, meeting customer demands for flexibility and security in a rapidly evolving AI landscape.
However, the company is facing competitive pressure from large platform vendors, and specialists remain intense; sales cycles can stay elongated in a cautious IT spend environment, and past security incidents still weigh on customer confidence, upsell momentum, and retention.
What Our Model SaysPer the Zacks model, the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that is not the case here.
Okta has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank #2. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
Stocks to ConsiderHere are some companies worth considering, as our model shows that these have the right combination of elements to beat on earnings in their upcoming releases:
Dell Technologies (DELL - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +6.42% and carries a Zacks Rank #2 at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Dell Technologies shares have surged 251.2% in the year-to-date period. Dell Technologies is slated to report second-quarter fiscal 2027 results on Sept. 1.
Hewlett Packard (HPE - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +9.96% and carries a Zacks Rank #2 at present.
Hewlett Packard shares have surged 122.5% in the year-to-date period. Hewlett Packard is set to report third-quarter fiscal 2026 results on Sept. 2.
Intuit (INTU - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +0.08% and carries a Zacks Rank #3 at present.
Intuit shares have plunged 44.6% in the year-to-date period. Intuit is set to report fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results on Aug. 25.
Přestože je hlavní výsledková sezóna za námi, tak tento týden nabídne řadu zajímavých reportů. Tuzemští investoři se zaměří na pololetní čísla pojišťovny VIG, zatímco celý svět bude sledovat středeční výsledky NVIDIE (po trhu). V indexu S&P 500 zveřejní tento týden výsledky celkem 18 společností. O poptávce po polovodičích napoví také čísla společnosti Marvell Technology, která minulý týden zaujala oznámením o rozšířené spolupráci s Googlem. Pod drobnohledem budou i čísla řady softwarových firem, u nichž panují obavy z dopadu AI na jejich byznys. Patří mezi ně například Salesforce, Intuit, Veeva Systems, Autodesk či Workday.
Přehled vybraných společností reportujících své výsledky v tomto týdnu (zdroj: síť X - Earnings Whispers)
Úterý (25. srpna) USA (před trhem): Dick's Sporting Goods
USA (po trhu): Intuit, Zoom Video Communications
Středa (26. srpna) ČR (před trhem): VIG
USA (před trhem): Williams-Sonoma, J. M. Smucker
USA (po trhu): NVIDIA, CrowdStrike Holdings, Salesforce, Synopsys, Agilent Technologies, Veeva Systems, Hewlett-Packard (HP), Everpure, Okta
Čtvrtek (27. srpna) USA (před trhem): Dollar General, Dollar Tree, Best Buy, Hormel Foods
USA (po trhu): Marvell Technology, Autodesk, Workday, Ulta Beauty, IREN
Jako každé čtvrtletí jsme pro vás připravili podrobný kalendář pro ČR, USA a eurozónu.
In a blog update, Claude commented on its efforts to help more teams use frontier capabilities for cyber defense. "Claude Mythos 5 is now available in Claude Security, and coming soon to partners' cyber defense tools. We're also launching a $35M fund to help secure open-source software and sharing plans to expand our Cyber Verification Program. The riskiest behavior occurs when a user has direct access to a model, where a malicious actor can try to steer it toward harmful uses. But if users can only receive specific outputs, such as a patch for a vulnerability or a security alert, that risk is much lower. The changes we're announcing give users greater access to the defensive results, while maintaining appropriate guardrails around direct access to the model: Claude Mythos 5 integration into the tools defenders rely on. We're working with our cybersecurity technology and services partners to integrate Claude Mythos 5 into the products and services defenders already use to secure their software. Claude Security scans can now run on Claude Mythos 5. Customers on Claude Enterprise plans can now run our most capable model in Claude Security, using it to scan their codebases for security vulnerabilities and suggest patches.$35M in credits for open-source security. Our new Defender Advantage Fund will provide $35M in credits to organizations working to patch vulnerabilities in open-source projects, automate parts of the process of scanning and patching open-source software, and experiment with new security approaches. Expanding our Cyber Verification Program. The program already gives vetted defenders reduced safeguards on Opus and Sonnet models. In the coming weeks, we will expand this program to include broader dual-use capabilities on Opus and Sonnet, with Mythos-class access to follow... We will continue to work with government partners, organizations, open-source maintainers, and the broader industry to build the resilient cyber infrastructure today's highly capable AI models demand." Publicly traded companies in the space include Check Point (CHKP), CrowdStrike (CRWD), CyberArk (CYBR), F5 (FFIV), Fortinet (FTNT), Gen Digital (GEN), Okta (OKTA), Palo Alto Networks (PANW) and Qualys (QLYS). <a class="reference_link" href="https://claude.com/blog/bringing-claude-mythos-5-to-more-defenders" target="new">Reference Link</a>
The upcoming report from Okta (OKTA - Free Report) is expected to reveal quarterly earnings of $0.96 per share, indicating an increase of 5.5% compared to the year-ago period. Analysts forecast revenues of $792.14 million, representing an increase of 8.8% year over year.
Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged. This demonstrates the covering analysts' collective reassessment of their initial projections during this period.
Prior to a company's earnings announcement, it is crucial to consider revisions to earnings estimates. This serves as a significant indicator for predicting potential investor actions regarding the stock. Empirical research has consistently demonstrated a robust correlation between trends in earnings estimate revision and the short-term price performance of a stock.
While investors usually depend on consensus earnings and revenue estimates to assess the business performance for the quarter, delving into analysts' forecasts for certain key metrics often provides a more comprehensive understanding.
Bearing this in mind, let's now explore the average estimates of specific Okta metrics that are commonly monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts.
Analysts' assessment points toward 'Revenue- Subscription' reaching $781.51 million. The estimate points to a change of +9.9% from the year-ago quarter.
It is projected by analysts that the 'Revenue- Professional services and other' will reach $10.59 million. The estimate indicates a change of -37.7% from the prior-year quarter.
The average prediction of analysts places 'Current remaining performance obligations (cRPO)' at $2.51 billion. The estimate compares to the year-ago value of $2.27 billion.
Analysts expect 'Remaining performance obligations' to come in at $4.73 billion. The estimate compares to the year-ago value of $4.15 billion.
The combined assessment of analysts suggests that 'Gross margin- Subscription' will likely reach 79.8%. Compared to the present estimate, the company reported 80.0% in the same quarter last year.
Analysts predict that the 'Total Customers' will reach 20,919 . The estimate is in contrast to the year-ago figure of 20,000 .
View all Key Company Metrics for Okta here>>>
Over the past month, Okta shares have recorded returns of -1.4% versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +2.8% change. Based on its Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), OKTA will likely outperform the overall market in the upcoming period. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>> .
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The most useful thing said about cybersecurity this week came from Abhijit Dubey, the global CEO of NTT DATA, who told CNBC that “the frontier AI effectively has changed the cybersecurity equation” because attacks are now exponentially more sophisticated, the surface area has grown, and everything is happening at machine speed. His conclusion follows directly: “when you have attacks that are operating on machine speed, you cannot have defense. That is human speed.”
Dubey announced an expanded partnership with Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW | PANW Price Prediction) covering both AI for security and security for AI.
The interesting question for investors is which US-listed vendors are positioned for the shift he describes. The money is quietly moving toward whoever can govern autonomous agents, and away from whoever built a business selling vulnerability detection and patching. That reframes the sector from a cost center to a prerequisite for AI adoption.
Why Detection And Patching Is the Losing Side Dubey put the legacy problem this way: “Most cybersecurity postures and enterprises effectively are vulnerability detection oriented” at a moment when attackers are exploitation-driven. Nikesh Arora made the same point on PANW’s June earnings call, saying that frontier models can weaponize a vulnerability “in mere minutes,” whereas it used to take months.
Jay Chaudhry at Zscaler told investors that “you will never be done patching” and that hiding applications and eliminating lateral movement matters more than trying to close every hole. That is the same argument, phrased architecturally.
Vendors whose growth came from selling scanners, dashboards, and remediation queues find themselves in an awkward spot. Their pitch assumes a human has time to look at the alert. The vendors positioned for what comes next sell in-line enforcement, identity, and platform-level context.
Palo Alto Networks Is the Named Partner for a Reason PANW’s most recent quarter had revenue of $3 billion, up 31% year over year, and Next-Generation Security ARR reaching $8.13 billion, up 60%, disclosed in the company’s Q3 FY26 8-K. Arora described a Prisma AIRS deal with a global consulting customer running more than 2 trillion tokens per month on the platform.
PANW trades at a forward P/E of 91x with the stock up 89.77% year to date through August 20. That is not a cheap valuation, and platformization stories have disappointed on margin before.
What PANW has that most rivals do not is IDERA, its identity platform stitched together with the CyberArk acquisition, aimed at what Arora called the “primary attack vector of the future”: agentic identities. That is the layer Dubey said matters.
The risk is straightforward. Stock-based compensation was 17% of revenue in the quarter, and integrating CyberArk without hurting growth remains a priority.
Identity Is What the Market Has Not Priced Todd McKinnon at Okta framed the customer problem cleanly in May, saying “91% of enterprises deploy AI agents, but only 22% have a way to identify them.” That gap is the entire investable idea.
Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA) trades at a forward P/E of 38x, a meaningful discount to PANW because growth is slower, with FY27 revenue guided to 9-10%. McKinnon said Okta’s pipeline for AI agent products was “bigger than anything we’ve ever seen”, and neutrality across hyperscalers is real leverage for a customer choosing an identity control plane.
CrowdStrike (NASDAQ:CRWD) has taken the endpoint franchise into agent governance through AIDR, with ARR reportedly growing “more than 250% sequentially” off a small base. George Kurtz argued that AIDR could exceed EDR in size because every agent needs a host and an identity. The identity layer has a shorter path to becoming non-optional than the platform layer, because agent identity is essential to governance.
Caveats Worth Weighing Zscaler (NASDAQ:ZS) is the interesting counter-case, down 22.22% year to date despite ARR reaching $3.5 billion. Its Symmetry Systems acquisition bets on the access-graph problem rather than issuing agent identity itself, which is defensible.
Fortinet (NASDAQ:FTNT) benefits from a firewall refresh cycle with product revenue up 52% last quarter. That is a real cash-generating business, but closer to infrastructure than to agent governance.
Platform consolidation has been sold to investors before, and margin expansion has been uneven. This cycle differs because Dubey’s framing removes the buyer’s option to wait. His line makes the point: “You have to do it securely from the beginning.” A customer who wants the AI cannot defer the security purchase, which is the first time in a while that has been true.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Top Wall Street analysts changed their outlook on these top names. For a complete view of all analyst rating changes, including upgrades and downgrades, please see our analyst ratings page.
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods raised the price target for Progressive Corp (NYSE:PGR) from $226 to $250. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst Meyer Shields upgraded the stock from Market Perform to Outperform. Progressive shares closed at $217.27 on Wednesday. See how other analysts view this stock.Cantor Fitzgerald boosted Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc (NASDAQ:RARE) price target from $96 to $103. Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Kristen Kluska maintained an Overweight rating. Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical shares closed at $26.24 on Wednesday. See how other analysts view this stock.Ascendiant Capital slashed price target for Travelzoo (NASDAQ:TZOO) from $23 to $20. Ascendiant Capital analyst Edward Woo maintained a Buy rating. Travelzoo shares closed at $6.88 on Wednesday. See how other analysts view this stock.Needham increased the price target for Analog Devices Inc (NASDAQ:ADI) from $440 to $450. Needham analyst N. Quinn Bolton maintained a Buy rating. Analog Devices shares closed at $373.26 on Wednesday. See how other analysts view this stock.Morgan Stanley raised Merck & Co Inc (NYSE:MRK) price target from $116 to $179. Morgan Stanley analyst Terence Flynn upgraded the stock from Equal-Weight to Overweight. Merck shares closed at $152.20 on Wednesday. See how other analysts view this stock.BTIG increased Glaukos Corp (NYSE:GKOS) price target from $193 to $202. BTIG analyst Ryan Zimmerman maintained a Buy rating. Glaukos shares closed at $189.55 on Wednesday. See how other analysts view this stock.Morgan Stanley raised Moderna Inc (NASDAQ:MRNA) price target from $39 to $89. Morgan Stanley analyst Terence Flynn maintained an Equal-Weight rating. Moderna shares closed at $174.38 on Wednesday. See how other analysts view this stock.Needham raised the price target for NIQ Global Intelligence PLC (NYSE:NIQ) from $18 to $21. Needham analyst Kyle Peterson maintained a Buy rating. NIQ Global Intelligence shares closed at $18.31 on Wednesday. See how other analysts view this stock.Cantor Fitzgerald raised Okta Inc (NASDAQ:OKTA) price target from $125 to $170. Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Jonathan Ruykhaver maintained an Overweight rating. Okta shares closed at $141.21 on Wednesday. See how other analysts view this stock.Cantor Fitzgerald raised Rubrik Inc (NYSE:RBRK) price target from $95 to $120. Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Jonathan Ruykhaver maintained an Overweight rating. Rubrik shares closed at $99.78 on Wednesday. See how other analysts view this stock.Considering buying OKTA stock? Here’s what analysts think:
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Okta (OKTA - Free Report) closed the most recent trading day at $141.21, moving -1.88% from the previous trading session. This move lagged the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.21%. Meanwhile, the Dow experienced a rise of 0.22%, and the technology-dominated Nasdaq saw an increase of 0.16%.
Heading into today, shares of the cloud identity management company had gained 1.56% over the past month, lagging the Computer and Technology sector's gain of 3.8% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.25%.
The upcoming earnings release of Okta will be of great interest to investors. The company's earnings report is expected on August 26, 2026. The company is predicted to post an EPS of $0.96, indicating a 5.49% growth compared to the equivalent quarter last year. In the meantime, our current consensus estimate forecasts the revenue to be $792.14 million, indicating a 8.81% growth compared to the corresponding quarter of the prior year.
Regarding the entire year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates forecast earnings of $3.83 per share and revenue of $3.2 billion, indicating changes of +9.43% and +9.51%, respectively, compared to the previous year.
Investors should also note any recent changes to analyst estimates for Okta. Such recent modifications usually signify the changing landscape of near-term business trends. With this in mind, we can consider positive estimate revisions a sign of optimism about the business outlook.
Research indicates that these estimate revisions are directly correlated with near-term share price momentum. Investors can capitalize on this by using the Zacks Rank. This model considers these estimate changes and provides a simple, actionable rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, which varies between #1 (Strong Buy) and #5 (Strong Sell), carries an impressive track record of exceeding expectations, confirmed by external audits, with stocks at #1 delivering an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Within the past 30 days, our consensus EPS projection remained stagnant. At present, Okta boasts a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy).
Looking at valuation, Okta is presently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 37.58. This indicates a discount in contrast to its industry's Forward P/E of 46.41.
We can additionally observe that OKTA currently boasts a PEG ratio of 2.36. Comparable to the widely accepted P/E ratio, the PEG ratio also accounts for the company's projected earnings growth. OKTA's industry had an average PEG ratio of 2.77 as of yesterday's close.
The Security industry is part of the Computer and Technology sector. This group has a Zacks Industry Rank of 25, putting it in the top 11% of all 250+ industries.
The strength of our individual industry groups is measured by the Zacks Industry Rank, which is calculated based on the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within these groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Don't forget to use Zacks.com to keep track of all these stock-moving metrics, and others, in the upcoming trading sessions.
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For a few years now, Okta Inc. NASDAQ: OKTA has been something of a forgotten name in technology investing. Once a high-flying darling of the cloud-software boom, the identity-management specialist saw its growth cool and its shares languish, leaving many investors to move on to shinier names. Lately, though, something has begun to stir.
The stock has quietly rallied around 60% so far this year, comfortably outpacing the broader market, and Wall Street is paying attention again. The reason lies in a subtle but powerful shift in how businesses are planning to spend their tech budgets, one that plays directly to Okta's strengths.
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The question for investors is whether this marks a real turning point. After years in the wilderness, is Okta finally set for the comeback its long-suffering shareholders have been waiting for, or is this simply another false dawn?
A Spending Shift in Okta's FavorAt the heart of the renewed optimism is a change in corporate priorities. For a long time, digital identity, the business of verifying who is allowed to access what within an organization, was treated as a worthy but unglamorous line item. With the rise of AI, though, that's changing fast, and the evidence is compelling.
A fresh upgrade from Wells Fargo this week has highlighted that identity management has vaulted up the list of corporate spending priorities, ranking second only to AI itself, having sat well down the list just a quarter earlier. Crucially, the same analysis flagged Okta specifically as the biggest gainer in market share, overtaking even Microsoft NASDAQ: MSFT, with a string of large enterprise wins to show for it.
Wells Fargo is not alone in its renewed enthusiasm. RBC, Citizens JMP, Oppenheimer, and Barclays have all come out bullish on the stock this month, pointing to the same signs of improving sentiment across the software sector and encouraging signs from the cybersecurity market in particular. Overall, Wall Street rates Okta a Moderate Buy, and some of their recently updated price targets point to gains of up to 25% from current levels.
AI Agents Could Be Okta’s Next Demand DriverIf the spending shift is the spark to this renewed interest, it's the rise of AI that is acting as the accelerant, and this is where the story becomes so interesting. Rather than threatening Okta, as some once feared, the AI boom is shaping up to be one of the company's most powerful tailwinds.
The logic is similar to what’s already played out with several other software companies this year. For Okta, it plays out like this: every time a business deploys an AI agent to carry out tasks, that agent needs its own digital identity to be verified and governed, just as a human employee would. As companies unleash armies of these agents across their operations, the number of identities requiring management could balloon, a phenomenon some have neatly termed identity inflation.
This potentially transforms Okta's opportunity. For years, its growth was tethered to the number of human employees it could charge for, but a world awash with AI agents blows that ceiling wide open. Okta has been moving quickly to capitalize, snapping up a specialist business to bolster its ability to monitor and secure both human and machine activity, positioning itself squarely at the center of this emerging need.
From Cash Burn to Cash MachineBeyond the demand story, a quieter but equally important transformation is taking place in Okta's finances. The company many investors remember as a fast-growing but unprofitable disruptor has matured into something rather different, and considerably more attractive.
Okta has now been consistently profitable for two years and boasts a net cash position of more than $2 billion. That war chest gives it the flexibility to continue buying back shares or to make strategic acquisitions, the kind of firepower unprofitable growth companies can only dream of.
The Bull Case Has More Behind It This TimeThis is the cherry on top of the renewed bull case. The argument isn't simply that Okta's growth is about to snap back to its former highs, but that the market has yet to appreciate its transformation into a durable, cash-generative franchise fully. In that context, those recent price target hikes could easily become simply the first stops in a much longer rally.
Okta, Inc. (OKTA) Price Chart for Wednesday, August, 19, 2026
Weighing it all up, Okta looks more compelling than it has in years. A powerful spending shift, a sudden AI tailwind, and a much-improved financial profile have combined to give this once-overlooked name a credible path back to favor. The comeback isn’t guaranteed, but for the first time in a long while, the pieces are falling into place.
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Should You Invest $1,000 in Okta Right Now?Before you consider Okta, you'll want to hear this.
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The AI boom is creating opportunities across semiconductors, cloud computing, enterprise software, infrastructure, cybersecurity, and automation.
Inside this report, you’ll find 10 companies positioned to benefit as artificial intelligence moves from hype to real-world deployment and becomes a core growth driver for corporate America.
SANTA CLARA, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- #AIInfrastructure--Lightbits Labs®, inventor of the NVMe® over TCP storage protocol and Inferra™, intelligent KV cache orchestration engine, today announced native integration with Okta in Lightbits software release v3.20.1. This enhancement streamlines storage security for enterprise customers, including one of the world's largest US-based financial services providers. Okta (Nasdaq: OKTA), a leading identity and access management company based in San Francisco, Calif., provi.
Key Takeaways Okta is the better bet, with steadier growth, lower valuation, cross-selling potential and AI upside.Zscaler expects fiscal 2027 revenue growth of about 16%, while capital spending could rise 200 basis points.New Okta products accounted for about 25% of Q1 bookings, while related deals delivered 40% ACV uplift. The cybersecurity landscape is changing rapidly as businesses move more workloads to the cloud, adopt Zero Trust security and begin deploying AI agents. Two companies well positioned to benefit from these trends are Zscaler, Inc. (ZS - Free Report) and Okta, Inc. (OKTA - Free Report) .
Both are cloud-native cybersecurity leaders, but their strengths are different. Zscaler focuses on secure cloud access, network security and Zero Trust, while Okta specializes in identity and access management. Both are also moving aggressively into securing AI agents.
For investors, however, the question is not simply which company has the stronger technology. It is which stock offers the better combination of growth, financial strength, valuation and risk. On that front, Okta looks more attractive right now.
Zscaler: Strong Business, But Growth Is Losing MomentumZscaler continues to post solid financial results. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026, revenues increased 25% year over year to $850.5 million, while non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) jumped to $1.08. Annual recurring revenues (ARR) also rose 25% to $3.53 billion, and RPO increased roughly 30% to $6.5 billion.
The company’s Zero Trust platform remains its biggest strength. More than 700 enterprises had adopted its Zero Trust Everywhere offering by the end of the third quarter, up from more than 550 in the previous quarter. With about 4,500 enterprise customers compared with a potential market of roughly 20,000 enterprises, Zscaler still has plenty of room to expand.
AI is another important opportunity. Zscaler is extending its Zero Trust technology to protect AI applications and agents, while the Symmetry Systems acquisition could improve visibility into identity and access across AI environments.
The problem with Zscaler is its slowing growth. The company once routinely delivered revenue growth above 40%. This has now fallen to the mid-20% range, and management expects fiscal 2027 revenue growth of only about 16%, with ARR growth of roughly 17%.
At the same time, Zscaler is preparing for higher infrastructure spending. AI workloads require more computing, storage, networking and memory capacity, pushing capital expenditures higher. Management expects fiscal 2026 capital expenditures to reach the high-single-digit percentage of revenues compared with its earlier mid-single-digit expectation. Spending could increase by another 200 basis points in fiscal 2027.
Higher investment can be justified when growth is accelerating. However, when revenue growth is expected to slow, rising costs become a bigger concern.
Okta: Slower but Steady GrowthOkta's growth rate is lower than Zscaler's, but its financial performance remains healthy, and its outlook appears more stable. In the first quarter of fiscal 2027, revenues increased 11% to $765 million, while non-GAAP EPS rose 6% to 91 cents. RPO grew 16% to $4.72 billion, and current RPO increased 12% to $2.50 billion. Its dollar-based net retention rate also improved to 107% from 106% a year earlier.
Okta is building a potentially valuable position in the emerging AI-agent market. The company views AI agents as new digital identities that need authentication, governance and access controls. In this direction, the company has launched multiple products, including Okta for AI Agents and Auth0 for AI Agents. Okta for AI Agents became generally available in the first quarter, while Auth0 for AI Agents is aimed at developers building identity controls into agent-based applications.
These products are still early and are not yet driving material revenues. However, they give Okta another way to expand its platform as enterprises deploy more AI agents. There are already encouraging signs. New products accounted for about 25% of first-quarter bookings, while deals involving new products generated roughly a 40% annual contract value uplift. This suggests Okta has meaningful cross-selling potential within its large customer base.
Okta’s more than 20,000 customers and estimated $80 billion market opportunity also provide a strong foundation for future expansion. Its neutral position across major cloud and AI platforms could be particularly valuable as businesses use several AI technologies rather than relying on a single provider.
ZS vs. OKTA: What Does the Growth Outlook Suggest?The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ZS’ fiscal 2026 and 2027 revenues indicates year-over-year growth of 23% and 19.2%, respectively. The consensus mark for earnings calls for increases of 15.6% and 8.2%, respectively.
Zscaler Sales and EPS Growth Rates (Y/Y %)
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
OKTA's projected growth is more modest, with revenues expected to increase 9.5% in fiscal 2027 as well as in fiscal 2028. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings depicts a rise of 9.4% for fiscal 2027 and 12% for fiscal 2028.
Okta Sales and EPS Growth Rates (Y/Y %)
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
At first glance, analysts’ projections suggest Zscaler has a stronger growth profile. Investors should look beyond the growth rates. Zscaler is facing a much sharper deceleration, while Okta is showing greater stability. In other words, ZS offers more growth today, but OKTA offers a more predictable growth trajectory.
Valuation Gives Okta Another AdvantageValuation further strengthens the case for Okta. The company currently trades at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings multiple of about 35.09 compared with roughly 39.94 for Zscaler.
The premium is harder to justify for Zscaler when its growth is slowing, and capital requirements are rising. Okta, meanwhile, trades at a lower multiple despite having a relatively stable business, a large installed customer base and new opportunities in AI-agent security.
Stock performance also shows a major difference in investor sentiment. Okta shares have surged about 65.6% year to date, while Zscaler has fallen 18.1%.
Zscaler's sharp decline could certainly attract contrarian investors. However, a falling stock is not automatically a bargain. Investors still need to consider whether the company's future growth can justify its valuation and rising investment needs.
Final Verdict: Okta Is the Better Bet Right NowThe investment case is more compelling for Okta. Its growth may be slower, but the company offers a better balance of financial stability, valuation, cross-selling potential and AI upside. Its expanding AI-agent strategy could also create a new growth engine without requiring the same level of infrastructure spending that Zscaler is facing.
In our opinion, OKTA's lower valuation and steadier growth outlook outweigh Zscaler's faster current growth rate. For investors choosing between the two cybersecurity stocks today, Okta offers the more attractive risk-reward profile.
Currently, Okta carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), making the stock a must-pick compared with Zscaler, which has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Okta (OKTA - Free Report) closed at $147.30 in the latest trading session, marking a -2.02% move from the prior day. The stock's performance was behind the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.26%. At the same time, the Dow lost 0.04%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq gained 0.54%.
Shares of the cloud identity management company have depreciated by 2.77% over the course of the past month, underperforming the Computer and Technology sector's loss of 0.41%, and the S&P 500's gain of 2.13%.
Market participants will be closely following the financial results of Okta in its upcoming release. The company plans to announce its earnings on August 26, 2026. In that report, analysts expect Okta to post earnings of $0.96 per share. This would mark year-over-year growth of 5.49%. Meanwhile, the latest consensus estimate predicts the revenue to be $792.14 million, indicating a 8.81% increase compared to the same quarter of the previous year.
For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates project earnings of $3.83 per share and a revenue of $3.2 billion, demonstrating changes of +9.43% and +9.51%, respectively, from the preceding year.
It's also important for investors to be aware of any recent modifications to analyst estimates for Okta. Such recent modifications usually signify the changing landscape of near-term business trends. With this in mind, we can consider positive estimate revisions a sign of optimism about the business outlook.
Our research reveals that these estimate alterations are directly linked with the stock price performance in the near future. To capitalize on this, we've crafted the Zacks Rank, a unique model that incorporates these estimate changes and offers a practical rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, which varies between #1 (Strong Buy) and #5 (Strong Sell), carries an impressive track record of exceeding expectations, confirmed by external audits, with stocks at #1 delivering an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the past month, there's been a 0.04% rise in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. Okta is currently sporting a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy).
Investors should also note Okta's current valuation metrics, including its Forward P/E ratio of 39.25. This valuation marks a discount compared to its industry average Forward P/E of 47.55.
Also, we should mention that OKTA has a PEG ratio of 2.47. Comparable to the widely accepted P/E ratio, the PEG ratio also accounts for the company's projected earnings growth. OKTA's industry had an average PEG ratio of 2.75 as of yesterday's close.
The Security industry is part of the Computer and Technology sector. This group has a Zacks Industry Rank of 21, putting it in the top 9% of all 250+ industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank is ordered from best to worst in terms of the average Zacks Rank of the individual companies within each of these sectors. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Don't forget to use Zacks.com to keep track of all these stock-moving metrics, and others, in the upcoming trading sessions.
The recommendations of Wall Street analysts are often relied on by investors when deciding whether to buy, sell, or hold a stock. Media reports about these brokerage-firm-employed (or sell-side) analysts changing their ratings often affect a stock's price. Do they really matter, though?
Let's take a look at what these Wall Street heavyweights have to say about Okta (OKTA - Free Report) before we discuss the reliability of brokerage recommendations and how to use them to your advantage.
Okta currently has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.67, on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell), calculated based on the actual recommendations (Buy, Hold, Sell, etc.) made by 43 brokerage firms. An ABR of 1.67 approximates between Strong Buy and Buy.
Of the 43 recommendations that derive the current ABR, 29 are Strong Buy and two are Buy. Strong Buy and Buy respectively account for 67.4% and 4.7% of all recommendations.
Brokerage Recommendation Trends for OKTA
Check price target & stock forecast for Okta here>>>
The ABR suggests buying Okta, but making an investment decision solely on the basis of this information might not be a good idea. According to several studies, brokerage recommendations have little to no success guiding investors to choose stocks with the most potential for price appreciation.
Do you wonder why? As a result of the vested interest of brokerage firms in a stock they cover, their analysts tend to rate it with a strong positive bias. According to our research, brokerage firms assign five "Strong Buy" recommendations for every "Strong Sell" recommendation.
This means that the interests of these institutions are not always aligned with those of retail investors, giving little insight into the direction of a stock's future price movement. It would therefore be best to use this information to validate your own analysis or a tool that has proven to be highly effective at predicting stock price movements.
With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool, the Zacks Rank, which classifies stocks into five groups, ranging from Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), is a reliable indicator of a stock's near-term price performance. So, validating the Zacks Rank with ABR could go a long way in making a profitable investment decision.
Zacks Rank Should Not Be Confused With ABRAlthough both Zacks Rank and ABR are displayed in a range of 1--5, they are different measures altogether.
The ABR is calculated solely based on brokerage recommendations and is typically displayed with decimals (example: 1.28). In contrast, the Zacks Rank is a quantitative model allowing investors to harness the power of earnings estimate revisions. It is displayed in whole numbers -- 1 to 5.
Analysts employed by brokerage firms have been and continue to be overly optimistic with their recommendations. Since the ratings issued by these analysts are more favorable than their research would support because of the vested interest of their employers, they mislead investors far more often than they guide.
In contrast, the Zacks Rank is driven by earnings estimate revisions. And near-term stock price movements are strongly correlated with trends in earnings estimate revisions, according to empirical research.
Furthermore, the different grades of the Zacks Rank are applied proportionately across all stocks for which brokerage analysts provide earnings estimates for the current year. In other words, at all times, this tool maintains a balance among the five ranks it assigns.
Another key difference between the ABR and Zacks Rank is freshness. The ABR is not necessarily up-to-date when you look at it. But, since brokerage analysts keep revising their earnings estimates to account for a company's changing business trends, and their actions get reflected in the Zacks Rank quickly enough, it is always timely in indicating future price movements.
Should You Invest in OKTA?In terms of earnings estimate revisions for Okta, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has increased 0% over the past month to $3.83.
Analysts' growing optimism over the company's earnings prospects, as indicated by strong agreement among them in revising EPS estimates higher, could be a legitimate reason for the stock to soar in the near term.
The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) for Okta. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>>
Therefore, the Buy-equivalent ABR for Okta may serve as a useful guide for investors.
For Immediate ReleaseChicago, IL – August 7, 2026 – Today, Zacks Equity Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW - Free Report) , Fortinet, Inc. (FTNT - Free Report) and Okta, Inc. (OKTA - Free Report) .
The Zacks Security industry is experiencing robust demand for cybersecurity products, driven by the increasing need for secure networks and cloud-based applications, especially with the rise of hybrid work environments. This surge in demand is largely due to a significant increase in data breaches, prompting companies to seek comprehensive IT security solutions. The growing need for privileged access security, fueled by digital transformation and cloud migration strategies, is boosting demand for cybersecurity solutions.
Companies, such as Palo Alto Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. and Okta, Inc., are benefiting from these trends. However, the industry's short-term growth prospects may be hampered as organizations delay investments in large and costly technology products due to global economic slowdown concerns, macroeconomic challenges and geopolitical tensions. Increased operating expenses related to hiring new employees and implementing sales and marketing strategies to gain market share are expected to pressure profit margins in the near term.
Industry DescriptionThe Zacks Security industry encompasses companies that provide both on-premise and cloud-based security solutions. These solutions cater to a variety of needs, such as identity access management, infrastructure protection, integrated risk management, malware analysis and Internet traffic management, among others. The industry offers a diverse range of security solutions, many of which can be used interchangeably.
These solutions are broadly categorized into three types — Computer Security, Cybersecurity and Information Security. Computer Security focuses on safeguarding the software and hardware of computer systems from vulnerabilities. Cybersecurity encompasses areas like web security, network security, application security, container security and information security. Information Security deals with the protection of data in all forms, whether physical or digital.
Major Trends Shaping the Future of the Security IndustryRising Cyber Threats Drive IT Security Demand: The increasing frequency of cyberattacks is escalating the need for robust security solutions. These threats not only adversely impact individual companies but also pose risks to national security in some countries. Companies in the security industry are actively addressing these issues as there is a growing need for protection against spear phishing, credential-based attacks, account takeovers and ransomware.
Accelerated Digital Transformation Fuels Growth: The shift toward digital transformation and cloud migration is driving the demand for cybersecurity solutions. Sectors ranging from education and entertainment to healthcare are increasingly relying on technology, making them vulnerable to cyberattacks. Public institutions and large companies, as well as smaller organizations with less stringent security measures, are at risk. The deployment of 5G has expanded the Internet of Things (IoT) and artificial intelligence (AI), which, while simplifying operations, will increase cybercrime rates due to greater technological reliance.
Macroeconomic Headwinds May Affect IT Spending: Uncertain macroeconomic conditions and geopolitical issues may lead enterprises to delay significant IT investments. Amid current economic challenges, organizations are likely to conserve cash and reduce spending, which could negatively impact the security market in the short term.
High Operating Expenses Could Hurt Profitability: To remain competitive in the IT security market, companies are continually investing in expanding their capabilities. This includes substantial investments in research and development to enhance product offerings and improve overall security solutions for clients. Firms are heavily investing in sales and marketing, particularly by increasing their sales workforce. These elevated operating expenses, aimed at gaining market share, may reduce profit margins in the near term.
Zacks Industry Rank Indicates Bright ProspectsThe Zacks Security industry is housed within the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector. It carries a Zacks Industry Rank #68, which places it among the top 28% of nearly 250 Zacks industries.
The group’s Zacks Industry Rank, which is the average of the Zacks Rank of all the member stocks, indicates solid near-term prospects. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than two to one.
The industry’s positioning in the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries is a result of a positive earnings outlook for the constituent companies in aggregate. Looking at the aggregate earnings estimate revisions, it appears that analysts are optimistic about this group’s earnings growth potential. The industry’s bottom-line estimates for 2026 have moved up to $1.60 from earnings of $1.42 expected a year ago.
Industry Outperforms S&P 500 and SectorOver the past year, the Zacks Security industry has outpaced the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the S&P 500 composite.
The industry has surged 71.6% during this period, while the broader sector and the S&P 500 have soared 25% and 33.3%, respectively.
Industry's Current ValuationOn the basis of the forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio (P/S), which is a commonly used multiple for valuing Security stocks, the industry is currently trading at 18.27, higher than the S&P 500’s 5.07 and the sector’s 6.65.
Over the last five years, the industry has traded as high as 21.44X and as low as 7.59X, with a median of 12.51X.
3 Security Stocks to BuyFortinet: It is a provider of network security appliances and Unified Threat Management (UTM) network security solutions to enterprises, service providers and government entities worldwide. Currently, Fortinet sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Fortinet's aggressive product roadmap positions it to capitalize on escalating cybersecurity demands throughout 2026. The rollout of FortiOS 8.0 with AI-driven security, next-generation SASE and quantum-safe capabilities, alongside FortiGate 3500G and 400G firewalls, addresses critical enterprise needs for unified security platforms. Management's strategic focus on expanding Unified SASE, Secure SD-WAN, FortiSASE and Security Fabric integration through a single FortiOS operating system creates compelling migration opportunities from legacy competitors.
Fortinet's ongoing investments in sales capacity, cloud infrastructure and AI capabilities are positioned to generate meaningful operating leverage improvements throughout 2026 and beyond. The company's strategic hiring initiatives completed over recent quarters create productivity advantages as field teams mature and reach full effectiveness. Investments in automation and cloud-native delivery models reduce incremental costs while improving customer experience and retention. The transition toward higher-margin subscription and service revenue streams enhances the profitability trajectory.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Fortinet’s 2026 earnings has been revised upward by 7.9% to $3.40 per share over the past seven days. FTNT shares have surged 72.6% over the past year.
Palo Alto Networks: It offers network security solutions to enterprises, service providers and government entities worldwide. The company has been benefiting from continuous deal wins and the increasing adoption of its next-gen security platforms, which are attributable to the rise of the hybrid work trend and the heightened need for stronger security. Palo Alto Networks has continued to innovate, focusing on AI, automation and cloud security, to stay ahead of the competition. Its partnership with NVIDIA to develop AI-driven private 5G security solutions highlights its commitment to emerging technologies and next-generation security demands.
The company’s platformization strategy has also been a game-changer. Instead of relying on one-off product sales, Palo Alto Networks has transitioned to a bundled cybersecurity platform approach, which enhances recurring revenues and customer retention. This strategy ensures financial stability and predictable growth.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s fiscal 2027 earnings has remained unchanged at $4.08 per share over the past 60 days. PANW’s shares have soared 110.8% over the past year.
Okta:It is a leading provider of identity security for enterprises. Okta’s prospects benefit from an expanding clientele, driven by an innovative product pipeline and strong demand for Identity solutions. OKTA carries a Zacks Rank #2 at present.
Okta’s strong portfolio includes new offerings such as Okta Identity Governance (OIG), Okta Privileged Access, Okta Device Access, Identity Security Posture Management, Identity Threat Protection with Okta AI, Fine-Grained Authorization, Auth0 for AI Agents and Okta for AI Agents. These new solutions are helping OKTA gain market share and drive top-line growth.
Okta had more than 20,000 total customers at the end of the first quarter of fiscal 2027. Its customers with more than $100,000 in annual contract value (ACV) increased 6% year over year to 5,180.
The consensus mark for Okta’s fiscal 2027 earnings has remained unchanged at $3.83 per share over the past 60 days. Shares of OKTA have soared 50.4% over the past year.
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Zacks Investment Research is under common control with affiliated entities (including a broker-dealer and an investment adviser), which may engage in transactions involving the foregoing securities for the clients of such affiliates.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.
Okta (OKTA - Free Report) closed the most recent trading day at $143.51, moving -2.4% from the previous trading session. The stock's performance was behind the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.18%. At the same time, the Dow lost 0.85%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 0.06%.
The stock of cloud identity management company has risen by 0.18% in the past month, lagging the Computer and Technology sector's gain of 1.48% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.33%.
Analysts and investors alike will be keeping a close eye on the performance of Okta in its upcoming earnings disclosure. The company's earnings report is set to go public on August 26, 2026. On that day, Okta is projected to report earnings of $0.96 per share, which would represent year-over-year growth of 5.49%. Simultaneously, our latest consensus estimate expects the revenue to be $792.14 million, showing a 8.81% escalation compared to the year-ago quarter.
OKTA's full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates are calling for earnings of $3.83 per share and revenue of $3.2 billion. These results would represent year-over-year changes of +9.43% and +12.56%, respectively.
Investors should also pay attention to any latest changes in analyst estimates for Okta. These revisions typically reflect the latest short-term business trends, which can change frequently. Consequently, upward revisions in estimates express analysts' positivity towards the business operations and its ability to generate profits.
Empirical research indicates that these revisions in estimates have a direct correlation with impending stock price performance. To utilize this, we have created the Zacks Rank, a proprietary model that integrates these estimate changes and provides a functional rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, running from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), holds an admirable track record of superior performance, independently audited, with #1 stocks contributing an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the past month, there's been a 0.04% rise in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. Okta is holding a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) right now.
In the context of valuation, Okta is at present trading with a Forward P/E ratio of 38.39. This signifies a discount in comparison to the average Forward P/E of 48.21 for its industry.
Meanwhile, OKTA's PEG ratio is currently 2.42. This metric is used similarly to the famous P/E ratio, but the PEG ratio also takes into account the stock's expected earnings growth rate. As of the close of trade yesterday, the Security industry held an average PEG ratio of 2.79.
The Security industry is part of the Computer and Technology sector. Currently, this industry holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 68, positioning it in the top 28% of all 250+ industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the vigor of our specific industry groups by computing the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks incorporated in the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
To follow OKTA in the coming trading sessions, be sure to utilize Zacks.com.
The Zacks Security industry is experiencing robust demand for cybersecurity products, driven by the increasing need for secure networks and cloud-based applications, especially with the rise of hybrid work environments. This surge in demand is largely due to a significant increase in data breaches, prompting companies to seek comprehensive IT security solutions. The growing need for privileged access security, fueled by digital transformation and cloud migration strategies, is boosting demand for cybersecurity solutions.
Companies, such as Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW - Free Report) , Fortinet, Inc. (FTNT - Free Report) and Okta, Inc. (OKTA - Free Report) , are benefiting from these trends. However, the industry's short-term growth prospects may be hampered as organizations delay investments in large and costly technology products due to global economic slowdown concerns, macroeconomic challenges and geopolitical tensions. Increased operating expenses related to hiring new employees and implementing sales and marketing strategies to gain market share are expected to pressure profit margins in the near term.
Industry Description The Zacks Security industry encompasses companies that provide both on-premise and cloud-based security solutions. These solutions cater to a variety of needs, such as identity access management, infrastructure protection, integrated risk management, malware analysis and Internet traffic management, among others. The industry offers a diverse range of security solutions, many of which can be used interchangeably. These solutions are broadly categorized into three types — Computer Security, Cybersecurity and Information Security. Computer Security focuses on safeguarding the software and hardware of computer systems from vulnerabilities. Cybersecurity encompasses areas like web security, network security, application security, container security and information security. Information Security deals with the protection of data in all forms, whether physical or digital.
Major Trends Shaping the Future of the Security Industry Rising Cyber Threats Drive IT Security Demand: The increasing frequency of cyberattacks is escalating the need for robust security solutions. These threats not only adversely impact individual companies but also pose risks to national security in some countries. Companies in the security industry are actively addressing these issues as there is a growing need for protection against spear phishing, credential-based attacks, account takeovers and ransomware.
Accelerated Digital Transformation Fuels Growth: The shift toward digital transformation and cloud migration is driving the demand for cybersecurity solutions. Sectors ranging from education and entertainment to healthcare are increasingly relying on technology, making them vulnerable to cyberattacks. Public institutions and large companies, as well as smaller organizations with less stringent security measures, are at risk. The deployment of 5G has expanded the Internet of Things (IoT) and artificial intelligence (AI), which, while simplifying operations, will increase cybercrime rates due to greater technological reliance.
Macroeconomic Headwinds May Affect IT Spending: Uncertain macroeconomic conditions and geopolitical issues may lead enterprises to delay significant IT investments. Amid current economic challenges, organizations are likely to conserve cash and reduce spending, which could negatively impact the security market in the short term.
High Operating Expenses Could Hurt Profitability: To remain competitive in the IT security market, companies are continually investing in expanding their capabilities. This includes substantial investments in research and development to enhance product offerings and improve overall security solutions for clients. Firms are heavily investing in sales and marketing, particularly by increasing their sales workforce. These elevated operating expenses, aimed at gaining market share, may reduce profit margins in the near term.
Zacks Industry Rank Indicates Bright Prospects The Zacks Security industry is housed within the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector. It carries a Zacks Industry Rank #68, which places it among the top 28% of nearly 250 Zacks industries.
The group’s Zacks Industry Rank, which is the average of the Zacks Rank of all the member stocks, indicates solid near-term prospects. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than two to one.
The industry’s positioning in the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries is a result of a positive earnings outlook for the constituent companies in aggregate. Looking at the aggregate earnings estimate revisions, it appears that analysts are optimistic about this group’s earnings growth potential. The industry’s bottom-line estimates for 2026 have moved up to $1.60 from earnings of $1.42 expected a year ago.
Industry’s 2026 EPS Estimate Revision Trend
Industry Outperforms S&P 500 and Sector Over the past year, the Zacks Security industry has outpaced the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the S&P 500 composite.
The industry has surged 71.6% during this period, while the broader sector and the S&P 500 have soared 25% and 33.3%, respectively.
One-Year Price Return Performance
Industry's Current Valuation On the basis of the forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio (P/S), which is a commonly used multiple for valuing Security stocks, the industry is currently trading at 18.27, higher than the S&P 500’s 5.07 and the sector’s 6.65.
Over the last five years, the industry has traded as high as 21.44X and as low as 7.59X, with a median of 12.51X, as the charts below show.
Price-to-Sales Ratio (Industry vs. S&P 500)
Price-to-Sales Ratio (Industry vs. Sector)
3 Security Stocks to Buy Fortinet: It is a provider of network security appliances and Unified Threat Management (UTM) network security solutions to enterprises, service providers and government entities worldwide. Currently, Fortinet sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Fortinet's aggressive product roadmap positions it to capitalize on escalating cybersecurity demands throughout 2026. The rollout of FortiOS 8.0 with AI-driven security, next-generation SASE and quantum-safe capabilities, alongside FortiGate 3500G and 400G firewalls, addresses critical enterprise needs for unified security platforms. Management's strategic focus on expanding Unified SASE, Secure SD-WAN, FortiSASE and Security Fabric integration through a single FortiOS operating system creates compelling migration opportunities from legacy competitors.
Fortinet's ongoing investments in sales capacity, cloud infrastructure and AI capabilities are positioned to generate meaningful operating leverage improvements throughout 2026 and beyond. The company's strategic hiring initiatives completed over recent quarters create productivity advantages as field teams mature and reach full effectiveness. Investments in automation and cloud-native delivery models reduce incremental costs while improving customer experience and retention. The transition toward higher-margin subscription and service revenue streams enhances the profitability trajectory.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Fortinet’s 2026 earnings has been revised upward by 7.9% to $3.40 per share over the past seven days. FTNT shares have surged 72.6% over the past year.
Price and Consensus: FTNT
Palo Alto Networks: It offers network security solutions to enterprises, service providers and government entities worldwide. The company has been benefiting from continuous deal wins and the increasing adoption of its next-gen security platforms, which are attributable to the rise of the hybrid work trend and the heightened need for stronger security. Palo Alto Networks has continued to innovate, focusing on AI, automation and cloud security, to stay ahead of the competition. Its partnership with NVIDIA to develop AI-driven private 5G security solutions highlights its commitment to emerging technologies and next-generation security demands.
The company’s platformization strategy has also been a game-changer. Instead of relying on one-off product sales, Palo Alto Networks has transitioned to a bundled cybersecurity platform approach, which enhances recurring revenues and customer retention. This strategy ensures financial stability and predictable growth.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s fiscal 2027 earnings has remained unchanged at $4.08 per share over the past 60 days. PANW’s shares have soared 110.8% over the past year.
Price and Consensus: PANW
Okta: It is a leading provider of identity security for enterprises. Okta’s prospects benefit from an expanding clientele, driven by an innovative product pipeline and strong demand for Identity solutions. OKTA carries a Zacks Rank #2 at present.
Okta’s strong portfolio includes new offerings such as Okta Identity Governance (OIG), Okta Privileged Access, Okta Device Access, Identity Security Posture Management, Identity Threat Protection with Okta AI, Fine-Grained Authorization, Auth0 for AI Agents and Okta for AI Agents. These new solutions are helping OKTA gain market share and drive top-line growth.
Okta had more than 20,000 total customers at the end of the first quarter of fiscal 2027. Its customers with more than $100,000 in annual contract value (ACV) increased 6% year over year to 5,180.
The consensus mark for Okta’s fiscal 2027 earnings has remained unchanged at $3.83 per share over the past 60 days. Shares of OKTA have soared 50.4% over the past year.
Arkadios Wealth Advisors lifted its position in shares of Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ:OKTA – Free Report) by 133.4% in the first quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm owned 12,295 shares of the company’s stock after acquiring an additional 7,028 shares during the period. Arkadios Wealth Advisors’ holdings in Okta were worth $968,000 as of its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Several other large investors have also made changes to their positions in the company. South Dakota Investment Council boosted its holdings in shares of Okta by 11.1% in the 1st quarter. South Dakota Investment Council now owns 47,783 shares of the company’s stock valued at $3,761,000 after purchasing an additional 4,777 shares in the last quarter. IFS Group LLC bought a new stake in shares of Okta during the 1st quarter worth $375,000. Encore Global Management LP bought a new stake in shares of Okta during the 1st quarter worth $2,007,000. Smith Group Asset Management LLC boosted its stake in Okta by 9.3% in the first quarter. Smith Group Asset Management LLC now owns 377,105 shares of the company’s stock valued at $29,682,000 after buying an additional 32,078 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Amundi boosted its stake in Okta by 19.7% in the first quarter. Amundi now owns 609,207 shares of the company’s stock valued at $47,951,000 after buying an additional 100,252 shares in the last quarter. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 86.64% of the company’s stock.
Insider Transactions at Okta In other news, insider Larissa Schwartz sold 2,463 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Monday, June 22nd. The stock was sold at an average price of $120.00, for a total transaction of $295,560.00. Following the completion of the sale, the insider owned 25,241 shares in the company, valued at $3,028,920. The trade was a 8.89% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is available through this hyperlink. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Also, CEO Todd Mckinnon sold 68,936 shares of the stock in a transaction on Wednesday, July 8th. The stock was sold at an average price of $146.62, for a total value of $10,107,396.32. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief executive officer owned 38,484 shares in the company, valued at approximately $5,642,524.08. This represents a 64.17% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. In the last ninety days, insiders have sold 168,901 shares of company stock valued at $22,124,162. Company insiders own 4.61% of the company’s stock.
Analyst Ratings Changes OKTA has been the topic of a number of research analyst reports. Mizuho downgraded shares of Okta from an “outperform” rating to a “neutral” rating and raised their price target for the company from $110.00 to $125.00 in a research note on Tuesday, June 2nd. Wedbush reissued an “outperform” rating and issued a $60.00 price objective on shares of Okta in a research note on Friday, May 29th. Royal Bank Of Canada raised their target price on shares of Okta from $108.00 to $122.00 and gave the company an “outperform” rating in a research report on Friday, May 29th. UBS Group raised their target price on shares of Okta from $115.00 to $150.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a research report on Tuesday, June 9th. Finally, Jefferies Financial Group raised shares of Okta from a “buy” rating to a “buy” rating in a research note on Monday, July 6th. One analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, twenty-eight have issued a Buy rating, thirteen have assigned a Hold rating and two have given a Sell rating to the company’s stock. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, the company presently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus target price of $121.81.
Check Out Our Latest Report on OKTA
Okta Stock Performance Okta stock opened at $147.82 on Wednesday. The stock has a market capitalization of $25.69 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 107.12, a PEG ratio of 5.09 and a beta of 0.77. Okta, Inc. has a 52-week low of $62.66 and a 52-week high of $157.00. The stock’s 50 day moving average price is $131.25 and its two-hundred day moving average price is $98.34.
Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA – Get Free Report) last released its quarterly earnings data on Thursday, May 28th. The company reported $0.91 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $0.85 by $0.06. Okta had a net margin of 8.24% and a return on equity of 4.15%. The company had revenue of $765.00 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $751.84 million. During the same quarter in the previous year, the business posted $0.86 EPS. Okta’s revenue for the quarter was up 11.2% compared to the same quarter last year. Okta has set its FY 2027 guidance at 3.790-3.870 EPS and its Q2 2027 guidance at 0.950-0.970 EPS. On average, equities research analysts forecast that Okta, Inc. will post 1.75 EPS for the current year.
Okta Company Profile (Free Report)
Okta, Inc is a publicly traded provider of identity and access management solutions, headquartered in San Francisco, California. Founded in 2009 by Todd McKinnon and Frederic Kerrest, the company completed its initial public offering in April 2017. Under the leadership of McKinnon as chief executive officer and Kerrest as chief operating officer, Okta has grown into a leading vendor in the cybersecurity space, focusing on secure user authentication, single sign-on and lifecycle management for digital identities.
At the core of Okta’s offering is the Okta Identity Cloud, a suite of cloud-native services that enable organizations to manage user access across web and mobile applications, on-premises systems and APIs.
Featured Articles Five stocks we like better than Okta System Upgrade: First Internet Bancorp Options Surge AI Security Breaches Raise New Risks for Microsoft and Amazon’s Agent Push The AI Chip Blockade Is Creating a Shadow Market Grab Holdings Stock Forms Bottom After Strong Beat-and-Raise Quarter Want to see what other hedge funds are holding OKTA? Visit HoldingsChannel.com to get the latest 13F filings and insider trades for Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ:OKTA – Free Report).
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Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ: OKTA), the leading independent identity partner, today announced that it will release its financial results for its second quarter fiscal ye
SAN FRANCISCO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ: OKTA), the leading independent identity partner, today announced that it will release its financial results for its second quarter fiscal year 2027 ended July 31, 2026 after the U.S. market close on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Okta will host a live video webcast that day at 2:00 p.m. Pacific time (5:00 p.m. Eastern time) to discuss the results.Event: Okta's Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2027 Financial ResultsDate: Wednesday, August 26, 2026Time: 2.