Micron Technology (MU 5.68%) has delivered one of the most explosive performances among semiconductor stocks in 2026. To date, the memory company's shares are up 241% this year, making it the second-highest gainer in the Nasdaq-100.
After such a meteoric rally, most investors might assume the easy money has already been made. But in my view, Micron's true potential is only beginning to unfold. The catalyst that powered its meteoric ascent -- unprecedented demand for advanced memory in artificial intelligence (AI) data centers -- is accelerating, not peaking.
That sets the stage for Micron to enjoy substantially higher earnings power, and puts the stock price on a trajectory that could lead it to trade at $2,000 or more within the next year.
Image source: Micron Technology.
Breaking down Micron's booming business Over the last few quarters, Micron has meaningfully accelerated both its revenue and earnings growth. The reason is simple: The company's products sit at the center of the AI infrastructure build-out. Hyperscalers are pouring record sums of capital expenditures into the construction of new data centers, which has resulted in acute shortages of DRAM, NAND, and high-bandwidth memory (HBM) -- all three of which Micron specializes in.
These shortages are giving Micron significant pricing power in one of the chip market's highest-growth segments. Unlike past cycles for the memory market, where demand was broad and easily satisfied, today's AI-driven demand is concentrated in specific products where Micron holds a strong competitive position alongside SK Hynix and Samsung. The implementation of long-term strategic customer agreements further locks in revenue and profit visibility -- helping reduce the traditional volatility of the memory business.
Taken together, the result is a clear upward trajectory for Micron's top and bottom lines. The narrative for the memory and data storage market is no longer a cyclical story, but rather one of structural expansion in an expanding addressable market. That puts Micron in a powerful position.
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Micron's path to $2,000 per share Consensus estimates from Wall Street analysts currently project that Micron's EPS will be $73.32 for the current fiscal year and $149.64 for the next fiscal year. These figures clearly reflect staggering optimism as the AI infrastructure build-out continues.
MU EPS Estimates for Current Fiscal Year data by YCharts.
With that said, Micron stock trades at a modest forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 6.7. I think that's a conservative level relative to the company's expected earnings growth. Taking the point further, that low multiple could indicate that the market is still pricing Micron as if it were in a cyclical industry, rather than viewing it as a hypergrowth business undergoing a fundamental shift.
I think Micron's current valuation profile leaves significant room for a rerating as the durability of AI-driven memory demand becomes more widely recognized by growth investors. For the stock price to hit $2,000 if the forward P/E holds steady at 6.7 would require next year's EPS to reach about $298. That's essentially a double from Wall Street's already aggressive forecast.
The more realistic path to reaching a $2,000 stock price is for Micron's forward P/E to rise closer to 13. While that would be a meaningful expansion from current levels, investors have seen similar step-ups by other memory and storage stocks, such as Sandisk.
In short, I think Micron's days of trading at a deep cyclical discount are limited. The foundation for meaningful share price appreciation has been set, making such a stock surge not just plausible, but highly probable.
While the market has been driven higher by artificial intelligence (AI) stocks over the past few years, these stocks have recently pulled back, creating a potential buying opportunity. The fear is that spending could eventually start to slow.
But right now, hyperscalers (owners of large data centers) have indicated that they are getting strong returns on their investments and that they continue to plan to spend big money building out AI data centers.
Let's look at three AI stocks to buy on this dip.
Image source: Getty Images.
Nvidia: The original AI play No company has benefited more from the AI infrastructure build-out than Nvidia (NVDA 1.39%), which has grown to become the world's largest company by market cap. Its graphics processing units (GPUs) are the primary chips used to train AI models, and its CUDA software, where most foundational AI code has been written, gives it a wide moat in this area.
However, the Nvidia of today is more than just GPUs; it has become a complete AI infrastructure player. It has a strong networking portfolio, which has been one of its fastest-growing areas, while its "acquisition" of Groq brought chips specifically for inference. It's also dived into the data center central processing unit (CPU) market. Together, this now allows it to offer complete systems for specific AI tasks, which should position it for continued strong growth well into the future.
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AMD: The AI upstart Advanced Micro Devices (AMD 4.60%) may have lost to Nvidia when it came to AI model training, but the company looks well positioned for inference and agentic AI.
Inference is eventually expected to become larger than training, and AMD's GPUs are much better suited for this task. Inference is much more memory-bound than compute-bound, and AMD's chiplet design allows it to be packaged with more memory. Its recent acquisition of MEXT and its memory optimization technology, and ZT Systems, meanwhile, will allow it to offer complete systems designed for inference. The company already has two large inference partnerships, which should be a major area of growth in the coming years.
On top of that, the company is positioned to be a major beneficiary of agentic AI, which will require a significant increase in the use of CPUs in AI data centers. This will boost AMD, which is a leader in the space and has been taking market share away from rival Intel. AMD is already developing CPUs specifically for agentic AI and sees this growing to be a $120 billion addressable market over the next few years.
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Micron: A memory winner The memory market continues to explode higher, and as one of the big three DRAM (dynamic random access memory) makers, Micron Technology (MU 5.68%) continues to be a huge beneficiary. The company just posted incredible numbers for its fiscal third quarter, with revenue surging from $9.3 billion a year ago to $41.5 billion and gross margin expanding to 84.6% from 37.7%.
The demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM), which is a special form of DRAM packaged with GPUs to optimize performance, remains insatiable, with Micron's supply sold out for 2027 and into 2028. It expects HBM to be a $100 billion market next year. Meanwhile, it has now signed long-term strategic customer agreements that include both HBM and NAND (flash memory) that are non-cancellable, take-or-pay arrangements with annual volume commitments, with some extending until 2030. This should help reduce some of the typical cyclicality of the memory business.
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Micron is working to continue increasing capacity, although the market is expected to remain supply constrained for the foreseeable future. Between its SCAs and supply-demand dynamics, this makes the stock a good one to buy after the recent pullback.
Micron Technology (MU 5.68%) once again turned in a spectacular quarter when it reported its fiscal third-quarter results after the bell on June 24. While the stock initially surged, it has since given back most of its gains. The stock is still up around 236% on the year.
Let's dig into the memory maker's results and prospects to see whether the artificial intelligence (AI) stock is a buy.
Micron is hitting on all cylinders Micron is one of the three major DRAM (dynamic random-access memory) manufacturers, and it has been benefiting from soaring DRAM and NAND (flash) memory prices, as both remain in short supply due to the data center build-out. Over 75% of Micron's revenue comes from DRAM, with the rest largely from NAND.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
The DRAM market is being fueled by the need for high-bandwidth memory (HBM), packaged with AI chips such as graphics processing units (GPUs) to optimize performance. The fast-growing inference market, meanwhile, tends to be even more memory-intensive than AI model training, further driving demand dynamics. Micron's HBM supply is booked out through 2027 and into 2028, and it sees the total addressable market reaching $100 billion in 2027.
It noted that the industry outlook for both the DRAM and NAND markets is that demand will continue to significantly outpace supply. It said that supply challenges for HBM and DRAM, in particular, remain "severe." It upped its capital expenditure (capex) budget to $27 billion this fiscal year as it begins construction on new greenfield projects to increase supply.
Overall, for its fiscal third quarter, Micron reported that its revenue increased from $9.3 billion to $41.5 billion, easily surpassing the $35.8 billion consensus, as compiled by LSEG.
By segment, cloud memory revenue surged fourfold to $13.8 billion, while core data center revenue climbed from $1.5 billion in the year-ago period to $11.5 billion. Mobile revenue jumped from $3.3 billion to $11.5 billion, while automotive and embedded revenue rose from $1.1 billion to $4.6 billion. Gross margins surged to 84.6%, up from just 37.7% a year ago, and were up from 74.4% in fiscal Q2.
Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) came in at $24.67 compared to $1.68 a year ago. That was well above the $20.78 adjusted EPS analysts expected.
Looking ahead, Micron guided for fiscal Q4 revenue of around $50 billion with gross margins of approximately 86%. The company is looking for adjusted EPS of about $30.73 at the midpoint.
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Despite its continued surging revenue and gross margin expansion, Micron stock remains cheap, trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 7 times fiscal 2027 analyst estimates. While historically a boom-and-bust cyclical business, the company now has about 40% of its revenue locked up in long-term strategic customer agreements. At the same time, there are a few signs that the memory market will be in supply-demand balance anytime soon, given the surge in AI infrastructure spending and demand.
As such, the stock looks attractive at current levels.
Micron Technology (MU 5.68%) stock has rocketed more than 755% in the past year. Memory chips are now one of the biggest, if not the biggest, bottlenecks in the artificial intelligence (AI) build-out. This has boosted memory prices and sent Micron's earnings soaring.
The stock's forward earnings multiple of 14 is expensive relative to Micron's historical trading range, where it usually trades at under 10 times forward earnings. But this higher valuation could still be attractive if the company can avoid past boom-and-bust cycles and deliver more sustainable growth. Management has a promising strategy to solve it.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Memory has become vital to the AI build-out Micron's latest results for the fiscal 2026 third quarter underscore just how strategically important memory has become. Revenue climbed 346% year over year, reaching $41 billion, while earnings per share more than doubled to $24.67. Management expects revenue to reach $50 billion in the current quarter. Gross margin guidance also points to a slight increase to roughly 86%, as memory demand continues to outpace supply.
Every AI system is powered by graphics processing units (GPUs), central processing units (CPUs), and application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs), and these chips all rely on high-performance memory in their architectures. As a result, Micron now expects tight supply conditions to persist beyond calendar 2027.
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Micron is locking customers into long-term purchase agreements This outlook has boosted investor confidence that Micron can produce sustained earnings growth for at least the next few years. The more complicated question is what happens to memory pricing after 2027, when increases in supply and normalizing demand could trigger the next downturn.
On that front, Micron is working to reduce pricing volatility through longer-term customer commitments. During the earnings call, the company highlighted progress on 16 Strategic Customer Agreements (SCAs) -- take-or-pay contracts spanning 2026 through 2030. These are binding commitments for customers to purchase specified volumes, helping Micron lock in demand and improve planning. Management expects at least half of the company's revenue to come from SCAs once the full set of deals is completed.
So far, 14 agreements account for about $100 billion in cumulative revenue, roughly double Micron's trailing-12-month revenue of $90 billion. Just as important, Micron says these SCAs are structured to support gross margins well above prior cyclical peaks -- a key detail if the goal is to make earnings more steady.
What does this mean for investors? Overall, the SCA strategy could make Micron's business more stable and therefore worthy of a higher earnings multiple. Still, the cyclical risk hasn't disappeared. These agreements cover only part of future revenue. It won't eliminate business volatility, but it may help reduce it.
The stock could certainly push to new highs if the demand outlook stays strong. But investors should keep an eye on manufacturing capacity expansion, including new builds by Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix, as higher supply can eventually put pressure on pricing. Going forward, Micron's progress signing additional SCAs -- and its margin guidance -- will be critical signals for whether this cycle truly looks different.
Every so often, a company's numbers stop making sense next to its soaring profits. Micron Technology (MU 5.68%) is having one of those moments. In its fiscal third quarter (the period ended May 28, 2026), the memory maker earned $24.67 per share on a generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) basis. Its quarterly dividend, declared the same week, was $0.15 -- the same $0.15 it declared last quarter. A company earning that much cannot keep paying that little forever.
Something has to give.
Image source: Getty Images.
A cash machine, for now The quarter was a blowout in the truest sense. Revenue rose 346% year over year to a record $41.46 billion, and net income reached $28.24 billion, powered by demand for the high-bandwidth memory that goes into AI accelerators. Management guided for even more in the current quarter: about $50 billion in revenue.
To grasp the scale, Micron earned more in this single quarter than it did in some entire years of the last cycle. Revenue of $41.46 billion was up from $9.3 billion a year earlier, and that guide of $50 billion would be another 20% jump on top of it. High-bandwidth memory -- the specialized chips stacked next to AI processors -- is booked out well into next year, which is why the company can guide with such unusual confidence.
"Micron's record fiscal Q3 financial results and even stronger outlook for Q4 reflect the strategic value of memory in the AI era," said CEO Sanjay Mehrotra in the company's earnings release.
And, unsurprisingly, the cash is piling up.
Micron generated $25.4 billion of operating cash flow and $18.3 billion of adjusted free cash flow in the quarter, ending with about $30.2 billion in cash and investments. Set the $0.15 quarterly dividend against $24.67 of quarterly earnings and the payout ratio is well under 1% -- almost a rounding error.
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Where the cash goes next So where does all that money go?
Three doors are open: a much bigger dividend, share buybacks, or reinvestment in the business. History offers a warning on that last one. Memory is cyclical, and makers have a habit of plowing cash into new capacity at the peak, only to watch prices crash once it comes online. Micron is doing some of that already -- capital expenditures were $7.1 billion in the quarter and rising as it builds cleanroom capacity for AI memory.
Management has been fairly explicit about the sequence. It says it expects to return 100% of its excess cash to shareholders over time, and plans to step up capital returns later this year.
So, what is its plan? Capacity first, bigger shareholder returns after. A boosted dividend and buybacks are the pressure valve that hasn't been opened yet.
This order of priorities when it comes to how Micron plans to deploy its excess cash makes sense. Buy back a lot of stock at the top of a memory cycle, and you risk overpaying right before earnings roll over. Hike the dividend too aggressively, and you may have to defend it through the next downturn. Micron has been burned by both mistakes before, and its cautious approach here arguably reflects a management team that remembers exactly what the bottom of a memory cycle feels like.
For a dividend stock trading at about 22 times earnings, that gap between what Micron makes and what it pays is the clearest sign of how extreme this memory up cycle has become. I'd expect the payout and buybacks to climb meaningfully once those commitments free up.
Micron Technology (MU 5.68%) and Intel (INTC 5.61%) have been some of the top-performing stocks of the year. Both stocks are up by more than 200% year to date as AI tailwinds extend their rallies. Micron specializes in memory chips, while Intel's AI products have excited investors.
Here's what investors should know when comparing both stocks.
Image source: Getty Images.
Intel's CPUs, Foundry, and AI chips are gaining momentum Intel offers application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) that have been gaining momentum and are a cheaper alternative to Nvidia's graphics processing units (GPUs), but its CPUs are at the center of its AI rally. CPUs, or central processing units, act as the brains of GPUs, and AI agents are making them more valuable.
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Agentic AI is more complex than large language models. Right now, an AI data center requires approximately 1 CPU per 8 GPUs. Thanks to AI agents, those same data centers will need 1 CPU for every 1-2 GPUs.
AI data centers aren't going to get rid of their Nvidia chips, so they will have to buy more CPUs like the one Intel offers. This simple math problem indicates that CPU sales will surge.
Intel has already seen this demand translate into revenue growth. Although the company posted 7% year-over-year revenue growth across its business, Intel's Data Center and AI segment was up 22% year over year. It made up more than one-third of Intel's total revenue.
AI data center investments should ramp up in the years ahead, and as the U.S. government looks for ways to expand the industry, Intel will be one of the first companies it thinks of. That's because the Trump administration invested $8.9 billion in Intel last year, resulting in a 10% stake in the company.
The investment produced a substantial return for the Trump administration, and the administration is financially incentivized to prioritize Intel for AI opportunities. The administration has been helping Intel partner with fellow tech giants as Trump pushes them to use Intel Foundry factories to produce their chips domestically. Those partnerships have contributed to 16% year-over-year revenue growth for Intel Foundry in Q1.
Micron's memory chips continue to experience parabolic demand Micron's memory chips enable AI chips to operate efficiently and retain the information they create and process. These memory chips also enable AI chips to instantly access stored information.
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While some investors were nervous about memory chips entering a downward cycle, Micron silenced critics by quadrupling its revenue year over year in the third quarter of fiscal 2026. Net income more than doubled sequentially and was up by more than tenfold year-over-year.
This parabolic growth resembles Nvidia's growth numbers a few years ago. While Nvidia is still delivering tremendous financial results, Micron is currently in a league of its own. Its guidance for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 suggests more growth is on the way. The projected $50 billion in revenue represents more than 20% sequential growth from the $41.86 billion in fiscal 2026 third-quarter sales.
Critically, Micron also announced multiyear strategic customer agreements that offer more revenue visibility. These deals also insulate Micron from the cyclical nature of the business, but with AI still in its early innings, the market opportunity is likely to expand for multiple years. Micron is at the center of it with its high-bandwidth memory chips.
The final verdict Micron comes out on top because it is currently achieving substantial revenue and net income growth, while Intel can do so in the future. It's hard to find a company that can quadruple sales year over year while trading at a 7.4 forward P/E ratio. That's a lower P/E ratio than most banks despite Micron delivering higher growth rates than Nvidia.
Intel trades at a P/E ratio of 147 and has produced only 7% year-over-year revenue growth. Key AI segments delivered double-digit growth, and a strong relationship with the Trump administration can open the door to more tech partnerships and revenue growth.
Intel is building stronger fundamentals and positioning itself for meaningful market-share expansion, while Micron has already reached that stage and still trades at a lower valuation.
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Richard Windsor, founder of Radio Free Mobile, pushed back against the panic gripping AI stocks in a recent episode of Bloomberg Horizons Middle East & Africa. His argument is that the semiconductor tumble reflects rate sensitivity in richly valued names, and the market has overshot on software incumbents by assuming AI will hollow out application demand.
The Philadelphia semiconductor index fell as much as 6% on Thursday, right after its best quarter ever, and chip stocks are posting their worst two-day selloff in nearly a month. Yet only about a 20% probability of a Fed rate hike is priced in for July. In Windsor’s view, the market has gone too far, leaving quality software names trading below their long-term potential.
The AI Selloff Looks More Like a Valuation Reset Than a Demand Problem Windsor believes that: “The stocks are basically reacting to the potential for interest rate increases because these are highly valued stocks. They’ve already run a long way. Consequently, they’re much, much more volatile than the average in the market.”
NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA | NVDA Price Prediction) fits that description. Shares closed at $194.83 on July 2, down 12.46% over the past month, even after fiscal Q1 2027 revenue of $81.62 billion, up 85.2% year over year, and Data Center revenue of $75.25 billion.
CEO Jensen Huang framed why Nvidia’s opportunity is so compelling in the company’s Q1 earnings release: “The buildout of AI factories, the largest infrastructure expansion in human history, is accelerating at extraordinary speed.” The stock trades at a forward P/E of 23 and has a beta of 2.20.
Compute Demand Still Far Outstrips Supply Windsor pointed to Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) and the premium prices private compute reseller Axiom charges both Anthropic and Google as evidence of “a market where there is extreme [shortage] of compute.” Micron’s shares dropped 19.61% in the past week to $975.56, but fiscal Q3 2026 revenue hit $41.46 billion, up 345.7% year over year, non-GAAP EPS printed at $25.11, and Q4 guidance calls for $50.0 billion in revenue at ~86% gross margin. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra said Micron’s “multi-year Strategic Customer Agreements will significantly enhance the durability and predictability” of results.
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Why Wall Street Has Software Wrong Windsor believes software is meaningfully overlooked today, and could be a place capital rotates to: “One sector that is underpriced would have to be the software sector. The general view of the market is the software sector selling to the market is dead because everyone is going to run AI and will no longer have to buy software. I think that’s taking it too far.”
Salesforce Is Already Turning AI Into Revenue Salesforce (NYSE:CRM) closed at $166.11, down 37.77% over the past year, at a forward P/E of 12 with an analyst target of $246.44. AI monetization is accelerating, with Agentforce ARR reaching $1.2 billion, up 205% year over year. Combined Agentforce plus Data 360 ARR was nearly $3.4 billion. Marc Benioff called Agentforce “the biggest growth opportunity for our customers, and for Salesforce.”
Adobe’s AI Business Is Growing Faster Than Investors Realize Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE) trades at $219.72, down 41.95% over the past year, with a forward P/E of 9 and PEG of 0.58. Q2 FY2026 delivered record revenue of $6.62 billion, up 13% year over year, and AI-first ARR that tripled year over year to exceed $500 million. Shantanu Narayen tied it directly to the thesis: “Adobe delivered record revenue of $6.62 billion in Q2 reflecting strong AI-driven demand across our customer groups.”
Microsoft’s AI Spending Is Fueling Long-Term Growth Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) sits at $390.49, off 19.85% over 12 months, at a forward P/E of 20. Fiscal Q3 2026 revenue climbed to $82.89 billion (+18.3% YoY), Azure grew 40%, and Satya Nadella flagged that the “AI business surpassed an annual revenue run rate of $37 billion, up 123% year-over-year.” Commercial RPO stands at $627 billion, up 99% YoY. Heavy AI capex explains why some Magnificent Seven names have lagged pure-play chip winners despite strong demand signals.
What Investors Should Watch Windsor’s thesis ultimately comes down to separating short-term market sentiment from long-term business fundamentals. While higher rates have pressured richly valued AI leaders, demand for compute continues to outstrip supply, and enterprise software companies are already generating meaningful AI-driven revenue growth. If those trends continue, today’s discounted software valuations may prove to be an opportunity for investors willing to look beyond the current AI rotation.
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NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA | NVDA Price Prediction) and Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) both delivered blockbuster earnings tied to the same AI capex wave, yet the businesses behind the tickers look nothing alike.
NVIDIA sells the compute platform. Micron sells the memory that feeds it. With $10,000 to allocate, the question is whether you want the ecosystem owner or the picks-and-shovels supplier catching a once-in-a-decade pricing cycle.
Blackwell Prints Cash. HBM4 Rewrites Micron’s P&L. NVIDIA’s Q1 FY2027 landed with revenue of $81.61 billion, up 85.23% YoY, and non-GAAP EPS of $1.87. Data Center did the heavy lifting at $75.25 billion (+92% YoY), with networking (InfiniBand, Spectrum-X, NVLink) growing 199%.
Jensen Huang called it “the largest infrastructure expansion in human history.” The Blackwell 300 ramp, Vera Rubin roadmap, and hyperscaler commitments from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta suggest the pipeline is booked well into 2027.
Micron’s fiscal Q3 2026 was arguably wilder. Revenue hit $41.46 billion, up 345.72% YoY, EPS came in at $25.11 against a $20.28 estimate, and GAAP gross margin exploded to 84.6% from 37.7% a year earlier.
HBM4 in high-volume shipments to a lead AI accelerator customer is doing what pricing power looks like on paper. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra pointed to “multi-year Strategic Customer Agreements” as the mechanism designed to tame the historical cyclicality that has burned Micron shareholders before.
Business Driver NVIDIA Micron Main Growth Engine Data Center GPUs and networking HBM4 and cloud memory Gross Margin 75.0% non-GAAP 84.9% non-GAAP Guidance $91B ±2% $50B ±$1B Ecosystem Moat vs. Commodity Upcycle NVIDIA’s advantage is CUDA, the software layer nobody has cloned, plus a platform that stretches from Omniverse to DRIVE Hyperion (Hyundai, BYD, Uber) to Isaac GR00T robotics. That breadth justifies the premium multiple.
Micron’s advantage is scarcer: it is the only U.S.-based memory manufacturer, and HBM supply is tight. The catch is concentration. HBM4 volume hinges heavily on a single lead customer, and a $325M Q3 debt-prepayment loss reminds you Micron still runs a capital-hungry, cyclical business.
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Valuation tells the story. NVIDIA trades at a 30x trailing P/E and 23x forward. Micron sits at 26x trailing and a startling 8x forward, which either signals deep skepticism about margin durability or a genuine mispricing.
The Next Catalysts I’m Tracking For NVIDIA, the tell will be whether Q2 revenue lands near the $91 billion guide without any China Data Center contribution, and how quickly Vera Rubin sampling firms up.
For Micron, I want to see FQ4 gross margin actually reach the 86% guide and confirmation that HBM4E stays on track for 2027. Analyst targets sit at $301.62 for NVDA and $1,454.12 for MU, though heavy insider selling at both names deserves a raised eyebrow.
Why I’d Split the $10,000, Leaning NVIDIA If I had to pick one, I’d lean NVIDIA for the core of the position. The platform economics, $48.55 billion in quarterly free cash flow, and the $80 billion buyback give me a stability profile Micron structurally cannot match.
That said, Micron is the more interesting swing trade. If HBM pricing holds through 2027 and the Strategic Customer Agreements do what Mehrotra claims, the forward multiple looks too cheap.
I’d size Micron smaller, treat it as a cyclical call option on AI memory, and acknowledge that a supply normalization would hit it harder than NVIDIA. If you prefer to sleep at night, tilt heavier to NVIDIA. If you want the higher-variance rebound trade, Micron earns a slot.
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Wall Street delivered one of its most unusual trading sessions of 2026. Yesterday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed nearly 600 points, or 1.1%, to a record 52,900, while the Nasdaq-100 dropped almost 500 points, or 1.6%. The S&P 500 was virtually unchanged as gains in traditional industries offset weakness in technology.
On the surface, the market looked confused. In reality, it was sending a fairly clear message: Investors weren’t abandoning stocks — they were rotating into a different group of them. After years of technology dominating returns, Thursday’s action suggested leadership may finally be broadening toward sectors that have spent years in the shadows.
A Weak Jobs Report Changed the Market’s Priorities The catalyst was the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ June employment report. The economy added just 57,000 jobs during the month, well below expectations of roughly 110,000 to 130,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.2%.
A softer labor market reduced investor fears that the Federal Reserve would need to raise interest rates again in July or September. Lower borrowing costs tend to benefit sectors that depend more heavily on financing and economic activity than rapid earnings growth.
That helped push money toward:
Sector Why it benefited Financials Lower rate pressure supports lending activity and economic growth Industrials Cheaper financing encourages business investment Consumer stocks Lower borrowing costs support consumer spending Healthcare Defensive earnings become more attractive during slower growth Those sectors account for much of the Dow’s composition. The Nasdaq-100, by contrast, remains heavily concentrated in technology, semiconductors, and artificial intelligence companies whose valuations have expanded dramatically over the past two years.
But let’s not confuse this with a bearish market signal. It was more accurately a change in leadership.
McDonald’s (NYSE:MCD), the Dow’s second-best performer, rose 4.2% and contributed another 11.6% of the index’s advance despite representing just 3.15% of the average.
Beyond those two stocks, the top performers reflected a broader shift in investor preferences. Consumer companies, industrial manufacturers, healthcare businesses, and financial firms dominated the leaderboard.
Meanwhile, many of the market’s biggest tech winners continued to cool. Semiconductor shares extended recent profit-taking after extraordinary gains throughout 2026, dragging down the Nasdaq-100 despite Apple’s strength. Weakness in names such as Micron (NASDAQ:MU) and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), along with broader selling across many AI-related companies, outweighed gains elsewhere in the technology sector.
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The S&P 500 landed between those extremes because its diversified sector mix balanced gains in value-oriented industries against losses in large-cap technology.
Value Investing May Finally Be Regaining the Spotlight The bigger story extends beyond one trading session. For much of the past three years, investors had little incentive to look outside technology. Companies tied to artificial intelligence, led by Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), delivered returns that left most industrial, healthcare, financial, and consumer companies behind.
Granted, one day does not establish a lasting trend. Sector rotations often fade as quickly as they begin.
Yet this one arrived alongside changing economic expectations. Slower job growth, easing concerns about additional Fed tightening, and stretched technology valuations create conditions where value stocks have historically narrowed the performance gap.
Many high-quality companies in industrials, healthcare, consumer staples, and financial services continue trading at valuation multiples well below many AI leaders despite producing consistent cash flow, growing dividends, and stable earnings.
For long-term investors, those characteristics become more attractive when leadership begins broadening beyond a handful of mega-cap technology companies.
Key Takeaway In short, Thursday’s market action was less about weakness in technology than renewed interest in the rest of the market. The Dow reached a record high because investors rotated toward sectors that have largely lagged during the AI boom, while the Nasdaq struggled under the weight of expensive technology stocks.
Investors, though, shouldn’t interpret this as a signal to abandon AI leaders altogether. Many remain exceptional businesses. But after years of tech outperforming nearly everything else, the market may finally be rewarding diversification again.
Ultimately, smart investors should pay close attention if this rotation continues. A portfolio that combines proven technology winners with undervalued industrials, financials, healthcare, and consumer companies could be better positioned if value investing is beginning its next chapter.
Don't wait: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just revealed his top 10 AI stocks. See the full list FREE now.
Last week, the artificial intelligence (AI) community held its breath ahead of Micron Technology's (MU 5.68%) fiscal third-quarter earnings call. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) absolutely blew Wall Street's expectations out of the water. But interestingly enough, sales and profits weren't the most important takeaway from the report.
What most investors are overlooking is how Micron is reshaping its customer relationships. The company has implemented strategic customer agreements (SCAs) at a time when AI is driving unprecedented demand for memory and storage. These multiyear contracts provide committed volumes of DRAM and NAND while bringing higher revenue visibility and margin stability than traditional arrangements during prior boom cycles.
By shifting from transactional sales to long-term partnerships, Micron is quietly addressing the core bottleneck of matching the explosive demand for AI-driven infrastructure with reliable supply -- positioning the company for more durable financial performance in the years ahead.
Image source: Micron Technology.
Breaking down the scope of Micron's SCAs According to management, Micron has 16 SCAs across the data center, consumer, and automotive segments. To me, this is the most important figure from Micron's entire earnings report.
These agreements include four "very large customers" and three medium-sized businesses. The balance consists of smaller automotive companies. Management expects that once all the SCAs are completed, approximately half or more of the company's total revenue will stem from these agreements.
The breadth across end markets -- from AI accelerators to smartphones, PCs, and vehicles -- demonstrates that the business model applies broadly rather than being limited to a few hyperscalers.
How are Micron's SCAs structured? Micron's SCAs are structured as take-or-pay contracts with binding commitments to purchase specific volumes over multiyear terms. Most agreements last for five years, spanning calendar 2026 through the end of 2030. The smaller automotive agreements generally cover three years, however.
Management pointed out that the pricing framework includes a floor price that ensures robust gross margins well above Micron's historical peak levels, paired with a ceiling at or near current market prices for existing products. A smaller portion of the SCAs feature fixed pricing, while the rest remain subject to market conditions. Among the SCAs, 14 carry a cumulative minimum revenue commitment of approximately $100 billion over the remaining term.
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Why do Micron's SCAs matter for long-term value? Micron's SCAs fundamentally transform the company's business model by replacing cyclical spot pricing with contracted supply assurance and technology collaboration. In an environment where DRAM and NAND demand is expected to remain tight well beyond calendar year 2027, customers gain visibility into future memory availability while Micron secures predictable volumes and a floor on profit margins.
The result is significantly improved visibility into revenue, gross margins, and free cash flow -- all of which mitigate earnings volatility. The goal of the SCAs is to lock in a baseline of revenue and high-margin business through 2030, ultimately supporting higher, more predictable earnings per share, as floor pricing insulates profitability even if spot prices moderate.
This newfound predictability reduces the historical cyclical discount applied to memory stocks, supporting a more premium valuation profile for Micron over the multiyear horizon of these agreements. The combination of volume commitments and margin floors creates a more resilient earnings stream that aligns with accelerating AI infrastructure build-outs.
While smart investors understand that Micron's execution on new fab capacity and next-generation architectures remains essential, the SCAs meaningfully de-risk the company's financial outlook and reinforce its position as a transformational supplier in the AI chip value chain. In my eyes, this makes investing in Micron stock more compelling as a core position rather than a purely cyclical play to trade.
Micron (MU 5.68%) booked another month of monster gains in June, rising 18.9% across the month. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 fell roughly 1.1%%, and the Nasdaq Composite declined 2.8%.
Micron stock saw big gains in the lead-up to its quarterly report on June 24 amid strong demand indicators for the artificial intelligence (AI) memory chip market, and the company's blowout results for the third quarter of its 2026 fiscal year prompted another big valuation surge. On the other hand, the company's share price has come under pressure since hitting its post-earnings high.
Image source: Getty Images.
Micron served up another stellar earnings report last month After the market closed on June 24, Micron published results for fiscal Q3 2026 -- a period that ended on May 28. The business posted sales of $41.46 billion in the period, far exceeding the average analyst estimate's call for revenue of $35.84 billion. For comparison, the business had recorded sales of $9.3 billion in the prior-year quarter.
Non-GAAP (adjusted) earnings per share came in at $25.11, also blowing past the average Wall Street target's call for an adjusted profit of $20.78 per share. In addition to strong sales and earnings beats in fiscal Q3, Micron also delivered guidance that crushed expectations.
The company expects to record roughly $50 billion in revenue in the current quarter, and the average analyst target prior to quarterly report had targeted sales of roughly $43.58 billion. Thanks to the strong fiscal Q3 report and very impressive guidance for the current quarter, Micron stock rocketed higher in early trading following the quarterly release -- but shares have subsequently been hit with sell-offs as investors moved to take profits and reacted to shifting views on AI stocks.
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Here's why Micron stock is losing ground in July As of this writing, Micron stock is down roughly 19.6% from the lifetime high that it reached last month. The company's share price has fallen roughly 4.3% in July's trading heading into Friday's market open.
Investors have been selling out of AI chip stocks and moving funds back into artificial intelligence software plays, and Micron has seen a valuation contraction in conjunction with the trend. News that Meta Platforms is gearing up to launch an AI processing service for third parties has also contributed to the pullback.
With Meta launching its own AI compute business, investors see the move as an indication that the tech giant has excess compute capacity. That could have some significant implications for the broader AI market and chip stocks in particular.
Massive spending from tech giants like Meta has helped to fuel huge growth for leading providers of AI hardware and powered massive valuation gains for Micron and other top players. While the demand outlook for memory chips remains very strong, investors have been making trades based on indications that the AI hardware market could be in the early stages of meaningful shifts.
HomeIndustriesComputers/ElectronicsTech StocksTech StocksMemory chips were once seen as an unglamorous business, but Micron is betting AI will change the game for goodJuly 3, 2026, 8:00 a.m. ET
Micron remains based in Boise, Idaho, and has survived multiple boom-and-bust memory cycles to become one of the world’s top DRAM producers. Photo: Getty ImagesA little more than a year ago, Boise, Idaho, was known as a charming city boasting a tree-lined river greenbelt and a college football stadium with bright blue artificial turf.
Today, it’s seen as a crucial hub of the artificial-intelligence boom.
It's no secret that Wall Street loves Micron Technology (MU 5.68%) stock. On the heels of the company's recent quarterly report, it's also not hard to see why. Micron recorded non-GAAP (adjusted) earnings per share of $25.11 on sales of $41.46 billion in the third quarter of its current fiscal year, which ended May 28. Meanwhile, the average analyst estimate had called for an adjusted profit of $20.78 per share on sales of $35.84 billion in the period.
As impressive as the memory chip leader's performance was in the period, that's far from the only reason that many Wall Street investment firms are super bullish on Micron stock right now. Read on for a look at one key factor that helps explain why Micron stock has risen more than 800% over the last year -- and why top Wall Street analysts think that the stock can keep climbing.
Image source: Getty Images.
Micron's operating profits are expected to keep soaring In terms of operating income, analysts polled by FactSet expect Micron to be the world's third-most profitable company in the 2027 calendar year. The average estimate calls for the business to record operating income of $200.8 billion in the period, trailing only Alphabet's estimated $207.6 billion and Nvidia's estimated $359.4 billion. For reference, the average analyst estimate calls for Microsoft and Apple to post operating profits of $194 billion and $170.5 billion, respectively.
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Micron posted operating income of approximately $10.85 billion in its last fiscal year, up from operating income of roughly $1.94 billion in the previous year. The company is seemingly on track to continue growing its operating profit at an incredible pace, and that helps explain why top Wall Street analysts are so bullish on the stock.
Keith Noonan has positions in Micron Technology. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Apple, Micron Technology, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Michael Burry, widely known as ‘The Big Short’ investor who predicted the 2008 housing market collapse, has opened a new short position in Micron (NASDAQ: MU).
According to a post on Substack titled ‘Trading Post July 2, 2026,’ Burry initiated the short Micron position, reportedly at $1,051.87 per share, arguing that the memory chipmaker’s rally (209% year-to-date) has reached extreme levels.
Elaborating on the decision, the investor claimed that the company’s valuation, technical setup, and long-term cyclical history all point to significant downside. ‘Micron defines cyclical like no other,’ he wrote, referencing the stock’s 34 drawdowns of more than 30% over the past 42 years.
Michael Burry calls Micron a ‘destroyer of capital’ Burry further argued that the shares are now trading further above their 200-day moving average (MA) than at any point since 1984 – ‘not even during the dot-com peak.’
Accordingly, the investor criticized the company’s long-term profitability, citing a median return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4% and a median return on equity (ROE) of 7%, which he described as ‘terrible.’
Highlighting his displeasure further, Burry stated that ‘Micron is a destroyer of capital’ at least once every three quarters, pointing to decades of negative returns and free cash flow before concluding that the company’s latest rally has been driven mostly by investor psychology, not fundamentals.
“One quarter in every three, Micron is a destroyer of capital,” he wrote.
Moreover, ‘The Big Short’ also contended that Micron is no longer the industry’s memory leader. This, he argued, is because capital expenditure decisions by South Korean competitors largely determine how much the company must invest to remain competitive.
Burry keeps betting against semiconductor stocks The Micron trade is consistent with Burry’s increasingly bearish stance on semiconductor stocks, which wiped $137 billion in a day after he made his post.
Some of his other short positions, disclosed in a June 30 post, included Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT), and Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA).
Discussing Elon Musk’s company, Burry argued that while shareholders did welcome Tesla’s weekly 11% climb to $420.60, it was nothing more than a temporary move ahead of a continued decline in the long run. However, the trader did not disclose the scale of his bet.
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Investor Michael Burry, best known for his successful bet against the US housing market portrayed in The Big Short, has reportedly opened a short position in Micron Technology MU, arguing that the memory chip maker's recent rally has been driven by speculative enthusiasm rather than fundamentals.
According to a post published on his Substack, Burry shorted Micron shares at $1,051.87 on July 1 while simultaneously adding to five existing long positions.
The move comes as Micron remains one of the best-performing semiconductor stocks of 2026 despite a recent pullback.
Micron shares have gained more than 240% since the start of the year, although the stock has declined around 10% over the past month after reaching a high of $1,255 following its June 25 earnings report.
Burry questions Micron's valuation and cyclical historyIn his Substack post, Burry argued that Micron's rally reflects investor psychology rather than long-term business fundamentals.
Burry said he shorted the stock because of “fear of missing out, greater fool theory, [and] public commitment bias.”
He also highlighted the company's long history of volatility.
“Micron defines cyclical like no other,” Burry wrote, noting that the company has experienced 34 drawdowns of more than 30% over the past 42 years.
He added that Micron shares are now trading further above their 200-day moving average than at any time since 1984, “not even during the dot-com peak.”
Burry also criticized the company's historical profitability, stating that Micron's median return on invested capital of 4% and median return on equity of 7% are “frankly terrible.”
He further argued that “one quarter in every three, Micron is a destroyer of capital,” pointing to decades of uneven returns and periods of negative free cash flow.
Although options could have provided another way to express a bearish view, Burry said, “the puts seemed expensive,” adding that he “will look to add puts should the stock settle down and bring volatility down.”
The Micron position forms part of Burry's broader negative outlook on artificial intelligence-related semiconductor stocks.
Earlier this week, he disclosed short positions in Nvidia, Applied Materials and the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX), saying AI-related chip stocks could face a 30% correction.
In a separate June 30 Substack post, Burry expressed concern over plans by Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix to invest more than $500 billion in a new semiconductor hub.
“The proximate cause of today’s rally is big spending announced out of Korea,” Burry wrote. “Well, I see that as the beginning of the end.”
Market sentiment toward memory stocks has also weakened more broadly.
Micron shares fell 5% on Thursday after falling nearly 11% on Wednesday alongside sharp losses in SanDisk.
Some market participants linked the decline to reports that Meta is considering selling excess cloud capacity, while another report indicated that Apple is seeking additional memory supply from China.
Commenting on the industry, Swissquote senior analyst Ipek Ozkardeskaya said, “China makes up around 15% of Apple’s sales and other companies could follow these steps as they also see their profits being squeezed by an unreasonable jump in memory chip prices.”
While increasing his bearish exposure to semiconductors, Burry also disclosed that he added to several existing investments.
According to his Substack post, he increased holdings in PayPal, Sprouts Farmers Market, Zoetis, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
Summarizing his latest positioning, Burry wrote: “Yesterday I shorted one stock even though it was down a good amount because I think I have a pretty good idea how this resolves. I also added to five positions. This time may be different, but not nearly different enough.”
Key Takeaways Micron is riding one of its strongest profit cycles as higher memory prices lift revenues and margins.AI servers, HBM, enterprise SSDs and advanced DRAM demand continue to outpace industry supply.Strategic customer agreements now cover about 20% of MU's DRAM volume and one-third of NAND volume. Micron Technology, Inc. (MU - Free Report) is enjoying one of the strongest profit cycles in its history, and higher memory prices remain a major reason behind this momentum. Robust demand for artificial intelligence (AI) servers, high-bandwidth memory (HBM), enterprise SSDs and advanced DRAM continues to outpace industry supply, creating a favorable pricing environment.
In the third quarter of fiscal 2026, Micron Technology reported record revenues of $41.46 billion, up 74% sequentially and 346% year over year. Non-GAAP gross margin expanded to 84.9% from 74.9% in the previous quarter and 39% in the year-ago quarter, while non-GAAP earnings jumped to $25.11 per share from $12.20 in the previous quarter and $1.91 in the year-ago quarter. DRAM revenues increased 67% sequentially, supported by average selling prices rising in the low-60% range. NAND revenues climbed 99%, with average selling prices surging in the mid-80% range.
The pricing outlook remains encouraging. Micron Technology expects DRAM and NAND demand to exceed industry supply beyond calendar year 2027 as AI adoption accelerates across data centers, PCs, smartphones and automotive applications. Limited wafer capacity, slower technology transitions and expanding HBM production are likely to keep memory supplies tight, supporting healthy pricing.
Micron Technology is also strengthening pricing visibility through long-term strategic customer agreements covering a growing portion of its business. The company announced 16 strategic customer agreements (SCAs) across data center, consumer and auto markets in the third quarter. These agreements represent roughly 20% of DRAM volume and one-third of NAND volume over the covered period.
These contracts, combined with continued AI-driven demand and disciplined industry supply growth, should help the company sustain elevated margins. While memory remains a cyclical business, current industry dynamics suggest Micron Technology's profit boom still has room to run. For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, the company projects a non-GAAP gross margin of approximately 86%, indicating a robust expansion from the year-ago quarter’s level of 45.7%.
How Are Micron’s Semiconductor Peers Performing on Margins?Major semiconductor players, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA - Free Report) and Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD - Free Report) , are also benefiting from the AI boom.
NVIDIA continues to lead the AI accelerator market, with data center revenues growing 92% year over year in the first quarter of fiscal 2027. The company’s non-GAAP gross margin reached 75% from 60.8% in the year-ago quarter, supported by strong pricing power for its AI GPUs and networking products. NVIDIA’s growth indirectly benefits Micron Technology because AI servers using NVIDIA chips require large amounts of DRAM and HBM memory.
Advanced Micro Devices is also gaining momentum in AI and data center markets. Its EPYC server processors and Instinct AI accelerators are helping expand enterprise adoption. AMD’s data center revenues surged 57% year over year to a record $5.78 billion in the first quarter of 2026, while non-GAAP gross margins expanded 180 basis points to 55.4%. As AI server deployments rise, Advanced Micro Devices’ growth is increasing demand for advanced memory and storage products supplied by Micron Technology.
MU’s Price Performance, Valuation and EstimatesShares of Micron Technology have surged around 242.6% year to date compared with the Zacks Computer and Technology sector’s return of 16.8%.
From a valuation standpoint, MU trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 8.52, significantly lower than the sector’s average of 23.18.
Micron Technology 12-Month Forward P/E Ratio
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Micron Technology’s fiscal 2026 and 2027 earnings implies a year-over-year increase of approximately 791% and 107%, respectively. Bottom-line estimates for fiscal 2026 and 2027 have been revised upward in the past seven days.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Micron Technology currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Key Takeaways Micron Technology has surged 242.6% YTD, beating the broader tech sector as well as major chip peers.MU trades at 8.52X forward earnings, far below the sector average and AI-focused semiconductor peers.Micron Technology's AI memory demand is backed by sold-out 2026 HBM supply and committed 2027 production. Micron Technology, Inc. (MU - Free Report) has been one of the biggest winners in the semiconductor space this year. The memory chip giant has benefited from the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence (AI), which is driving strong demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and advanced DRAM products used in AI servers. Investors have rewarded the company for its improving earnings outlook, expanding margins and leadership in AI memory.
The stock has surged 242.6% year to date (YTD), comfortably outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector's 16.8% gain. It has also beaten several major semiconductor peers, including Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL - Free Report) , Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD - Free Report) and NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA - Free Report) . Marvell Technology has soared 190.4% YTD, while Advanced Micro Devices has rallied 142.3%. NVIDIA, despite remaining a dominant AI player, has delivered a comparatively modest return of 4.4% so far this year.
Such a sharp rally often raises an important question for investors: Has Micron Technology become too expensive?
Surprisingly, the answer may be no. Even after its impressive run, Micron Technology continues to trade at a valuation that looks attractive compared with both the technology sector and many leading semiconductor companies, including Marvell Technology, Advanced Micro Devices and NVIDIA. This combination of strong growth and a reasonable valuation makes the stock an ideal investment option despite the robust YTD rally.
Micron Technology's Valuation Still Looks AttractiveOne of the biggest reasons investors should remain bullish on MU stock is its inexpensive valuation relative to its earnings growth potential. The company currently trades at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of just 8.52. This is far below the sector average of 23.18.
Micron Technology Forward 12-Month P/E Ratio
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Micron Technology also trades at a discount to AI-focused semiconductor companies such as Advanced Micro Devices, Marvell Technology and NVIDIA despite operating in one of the fastest-growing segments of the chip industry. At present, Advanced Micro Devices, Marvell Technology and NVIDIA trade at P/E multiples of 54.15, 49.72 and 19.18, respectively.
A lower valuation does not automatically make a stock a bargain. However, when it is supported by improving profitability, rising earnings estimates and strong industry demand, it often creates an attractive buying opportunity. Micron Technology appears to fit that profile as it continues to benefit from the AI infrastructure spending cycle.
AI Memory Demand Creates a Powerful Growth Engine for MUThe biggest catalyst behind Micron Technology's growth is the booming demand for AI memory. Modern AI models require significantly larger memory capacity and much higher bandwidth than traditional computing workloads. This has increased demand for HBM, DDR5 DRAM and advanced data center SSDs, all of which are important parts of Micron Technology's product portfolio.
Major cloud providers and AI infrastructure companies continue to invest heavily in expanding their data centers. Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet and Meta Platforms are expected to spend around $700 billion in capital expenditures in 2026. The majority of that spending is expected to go toward AI infrastructure, including data centers, networking equipment, advanced processors and memory solutions. This spending supports strong demand for Micron Technology's memory solutions, particularly as next-generation AI servers require more memory per system than previous generations.
The company has also strengthened its competitive position through technological leadership. Its latest HBM products offer improved performance, better power efficiency and higher capacity, making them attractive for AI accelerators used by leading chipmakers and cloud companies. The company has already sold out its HBM supply for the calendar year 2026, while a significant portion of 2027 production is already committed through long-term customer agreements.
As AI adoption expands across industries, memory content per server is expected to increase further, creating a long runway for Micron Technology's revenue growth.
MU’s Strong Financial Performance Supports the Bull CaseMicron Technology's top-line performance has improved significantly alongside rising AI demand. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026, revenues soared 346% year over year to $41.46 billion. The company announced 16 strategic customer agreements (SCAs) across data center, consumer and auto markets in the reported quarter. These agreements represent roughly 20% of DRAM volume and one-third of NAND volume over the covered period.
Higher-value products are becoming a larger share of Micron Technology's sales mix, allowing the company to generate stronger earnings even without relying solely on higher shipment volumes. Non-GAAP earnings per share jumped to $25.11 in the third quarter from $1.91 reported in the year-ago quarter.
The company’s top and bottom lines both comfortably exceeded analysts’ expectations, highlighting the strength of demand across Micron Technology’s key markets.
Better pricing for DRAM and NAND products, combined with increasing shipments of premium AI memory, has helped expand gross margins and improve profitability. Third-quarter fiscal 2026 non-GAAP gross margin rose to 84.9% from 39% a year ago, while non-GAAP operating income climbed to $33.68 billion from $2.49 billion. Non-GAAP operating margin reached an impressive 81.2% from 26.8% in the year-ago quarter, reflecting Micron Technology’s ability to convert booming AI-driven demand into substantial profits.
Management also continues to invest in advanced manufacturing technologies and next-generation memory products. These investments should help Micron Technology maintain its competitive position while meeting growing customer demand over the long term.
Final Thoughts: Buy More Micron Technology SharesMU stock's remarkable rally may discourage some investors from buying at current levels. However, valuation tells a different story. Unlike many AI-related stocks that now trade at premium multiples, Micron Technology still offers exposure to one of the fastest-growing areas of the semiconductor industry at a relatively modest valuation.
The company appears well-positioned to benefit from multiple long-term trends, including AI, cloud computing and data center expansion. Its technology leadership, improving financial performance and attractive valuation provide a compelling investment case.
Micron Technology sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Chasing ‘Bubble Peaks’Burry disclosed the thesis on his private Substack, expanding his broader bearish campaign against overextended AI infrastructure equities.
Despite Micron’s massive gains over the past year, driven by aggressive artificial intelligence demand, Burry revealed he shorted the stock “even though it was down a good amount,” as of Thursday, firmly betting that the current semiconductor frenzy is unsustainably overheated.
He highlighted that the stock’s extension over its 200-day moving average has “never been as extended as in 2026, not even during the dot-com peak,” framing the chip rally as a late-stage phenomenon typically seen near “bubble peaks.”
Incinerating Corporate CapitalThe core of Burry’s thesis rests on Micron’s underlying forty-year financials, which he argues are being dangerously ignored by retail traders and institutional bulls.
Over the last 42 years, the company has logged a median return on invested capital (ROIC) of just 4% and a median return on equity (ROE) of 7%, figures he labeled “frankly terrible” against a double-digit cost of capital.
The Scarcity Bias TrapBurry concluded that bulls are falling victim to a “smorgasbord” of psychological traps, particularly “scarcity bias” regarding corporate claims that High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) is “sold out through 2026.”
While the market currently deems the hardware uniquely “precious,” Burry maintains it is simply a cyclical commodity tracking toward a familiar, brutal correction.
How Has MU Performed in 2026?MU shares have advanced by 241.81% year-to-date, down 8.32% over the last month, and 701.35% higher over the year. The stock closed 5.49% lower at $975.56 apiece on Thursday, and it was up 0.15% in after-hours trading.
Benzinga’s Edge Stock Rankings indicate that MU maintains a strong price trend in the long, short, and medium terms, with a good growth score.
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
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HomeMarkets‘Big Short’ investor has been wagering against AI trades for monthsJuly 3, 2026, 7:16 a.m. ET
Michael Burry has reportedly taken out a short position on Micron Technology. Photo: MicronMichael Burry has intensified his bearish stance against the AI trade with a reported bet against Micron Technology, one of the most important plays in the memory space.
The investor portrayed in the “The Big Short” making bets against the housing market during the subprime-mortgage crisis, revealed that move in a Thursday Substack post, widely reported on X accounts and financial publications such as Seeking Alpha.
There are currently seven companies with market caps of $2 trillion or more, but the accelerating demand for semiconductors is pushing new candidates to the fore. One prime example is Micron Technology (MU 5.68%) -- and I'm convinced that the ongoing adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) will send this chip specialist to new heights. Micron is one of the world's leading providers of memory and storage chips, and demand for its wares has been insatiable. As a result, its operating and financial results have been growing at a blistering pace.
The company has a market capitalization of roughly $1.3 trillion as I write this, having soared more than sevenfold over the past year. After gains of that magnitude, you might be tempted to think its run is over, but many are convinced there's further upside ahead -- including some of Wall Street's finest.
Let's take a look at recent developments and why one Wall Street analyst believes the stock will soar 75% to $2.2 trillion over the coming year or so.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Short supply, strong results While graphics processing units (GPUs) are the workhorse processors behind AI, Micron provides the flash memory and storage chips that power them. The company's NAND flash memory, high-bandwidth memory (HBM), and dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips are critical components in AI processing. However, demand continues to accelerate even as supplies are limited.
Micron is scrambling to meet the unprecedented demand. Earlier this year, it broke ground on a new memory fabrication facility in Singapore, but it won't come online until 2028, though some HBM packaging (the process of vertically stacking chips) may begin in 2027. Construction on facilities in New York, Japan, and Idaho is also underway.
Micron's recent results help illustrate the persistent demand. In its fiscal 2026 third quarter (ended May 28), Micron delivered record revenue that soared 346% year over year to $41.5 billion, driving adjusted earnings per share (EPS) up 13-fold to $24.67.
Management is predicting this trend will continue as its Q4 outlook calls for revenue of $50 billion, up 342% year over year, and adjusted EPS of $31, up more than 10-fold (both at the midpoint of its guidance). Management also dropped this nugget: "We now expect supply demand conditions for both DRAM and NAND to remain tight beyond calendar 2027."
The biggest surprise, however, was the establishment of Micron's Strategic Customer Agreements. These unbreakable contracts lock in chip volume and pricing for the next five years and require security deposits for 16 of the company's most strategic customers. This is guaranteed to reduce the cyclicality of Micron's revenue streams in the coming years.
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What Wall Street is saying Wall Street is remarkably bullish on Micron, with 88% of analysts who issued an opinion in June rating the stock a buy or strong buy. Moreover, the average price target of $1,454 suggests 27% upside compared to Monday's closing price of about $1,145.
One analyst is even more bullish. Just this week, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst C.J. Muse raised his price target on Micron to $2,000, up from $1,500, while maintaining an overweight (buy) rating on the shares. This represents potential upside for investors of 75% compared to Monday's closing price.
The analyst cited Micron's Strategic Customer Agreements, which lock in half the company's revenue at high margins. Muse points out that this will "shift pricing dynamics, reduce quarter-end volatility in negotiations, and support more stable long-term margin and price discovery versus prior cycles."
Analysts' consensus estimates are for Micron to generate revenue of $129.6 billion in 2026, giving it a forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of roughly 10. Assuming its P/S ratio remains constant, Micron will need to generate revenue of roughly $227 billion annually to support a stock price of $2,000 and a market cap of $2.26 trillion. It should come as no surprise, then, that Wall Street is forecasting 2027 revenue of nearly $236 billion, which would easily support a stock price of $2,000.
Despite its blistering growth and the backing of Wall Street, Micron trades for less than 16 times forward earnings (as of this writing), giving astute investors the opportunity to buy the stock at an attractive entry point.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Readers are advised to fact-check thoroughly before making any investment related decisions; this reflects the personal views of the author and should not be pursued as formal financial or investment advice in any manner. While every effort has been made to ensure accuracy, errors may exist in the data and financial projections presented. The author is not responsible for any financial gains or losses incurred from investments made based on this content.
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Světové akciové indexy v prvním pololetí vesměs rostly, nejvíce jihokorejský, japonský a tchajwanský. Americký index Nasdaq 100 , v němž je mnoho firem z odvětví vyspělých technologií, je od začátku roku výše o 17,9 procenta, širší index S&P 500 přidal 9,6 procenta. Panevropský index STOXX Europe 600 pak od začátku roku vykazuje sedmiprocentní růst, vyplývá z burzovních statistik.
"Americké indexy stále těží z vysokého zastoupení technologií a z investic do infrastruktury pro umělou inteligenci (AI). Ty se promítají nejen do zisků firem, ale i do celého HDP. Zatímco výrobci hardwaru pro datová centra letí, samotným 'hyperscalerům', zejména Meta, Microsoft, se moc nedaří kvůli velkým očekávaným kapitálovým výdajům," řekl ČTK analytik Portu Marek Pokorný.
Evropa podle něj zažila silnější druhé čtvrtletí, než se čekalo. Index Euro Stoxx 50, zaměřený na eurozónu, je od začátku roku vyšší o sedm procent a koncem června uzavřel na rekordu. Rozdíly mezi jednotlivými trhy jsou ale velké. Britský index FTSE 100 vede s růstem o sedm procent, francouzský CAC 40 přidal pět procent, německý DAX ale se dvěma procenty zaostává. Dařilo se čipovým titulům, rostl i průmysl a energetika navázané na infrastrukturu pro AI, jako jsou firmy Siemens, Siemens Energy, ABB a Schneider Electric. Pokorný zmínil také banky, a sice UniCredit, BNP Paribas nebo ING.
Asijské trhy zůstávají absolutní jedničkou roku, tažené polovodičovými ekonomikami. Japonský index Nikkei 225 je od začátku roku výše o 32 procent a dostal se na maximum od roku 1989. Nejlepším velkým trhem světa zůstává Jižní Korea, kde hlavní index KOSPI od začátku roku vzrostl o 77 procent. Táhnou ho výrobci paměťových čipů Samsung Electronics a SK Hynix, jejichž akcie dohromady tvoří polovinu trhu a hlásí rekordní zisky díky zájmu o AI.
Tchajwanský TAIEX je letos výše o 59 procent, motorem je opět polovodičový sektor. Naopak Čína a Indie letos patří mezi trhy, které zaostávají. Čínský index CSI 300 je v plusu dvě procenta, index hongkongské burzy Hang Seng ztrácí šest procent následkem propadem akcií Alibaba a Tencent kvůli obavám o marže z AI investic a slabé domácí spotřebě. Indický index Nifty 50 ztrácí osm procent a řadí se mezi tři nejhorší velké trhy světa. Latinská Amerika pokračuje v solidní výkonnosti. Index MSCI EM Latin America si drží zisk kolem 13 procent a těží z vazby na energetiku, těžbu a další exportní sektory.
Naprostou hvězdou roku jsou stále výrobci pamětí a úložišť. SanDisk letos přidal přes 850 procent, Western Digital 218 procent, Micron Technology 227 procent a Seagate 218 procent. Výrazný růst má za sebou také Intel, Dell, AMD či Applied Materials, upozornil Pokorný.
Podle sektorů se nedaří takzvaným 'hyperscalerům', luxusu či automobilkám, nejlépe na tom není ani obrana a zlato. Společnost Meta Platforms je letos v mínusu šest procent, Microsoft ztrácí 19 procent. Investoři přestali odměňovat vysoké kapitálové výdaje do datových center a zatím je přehodnotili z růstového na nákladový příběh. Index S&P Global Luxury je letos dole o desetinu. Pod tlakem zůstávají také automobilky, a to kvůli slabé poptávce v Číně, tamní konkurenci a celním bariérám.
Do stejné skupiny letos patří i zlato, kde pokles činí sedm procent, a zbrojaři, jako je BAE Systems, Rheinmetall či Palantir. Akcie firmy Rheinmetall minulý týden spadly o 21 procent po zprávě, že Německo zrušilo zakázku na fregaty. Zakázka měla firmě v dalších letech vynést až 15 miliard dolarů, uzavřel Pokorný.
In this episode of Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing, Motley Fool contributors Travis Hoium, Lou Whiteman, and Rachel Warren discuss:
Memory’s wild ride.Micron’s earnings.Meta and prediction markets.Can Zuckerberg innovate?Alphabet joins the DowWhy the Dow doesn’t matter.To catch full episodes of all The Motley Fool's free podcasts, check out our podcast center. When you're ready to invest, check out this top 10 list of stocks to buy.
A full transcript is below.
This podcast was recorded on June 24, 2026.
Travis Hoium: It's Micron Day on Wall Street. Motley Fool’s Hidden Gems Investing starts now. Welcome to Motley Fool’s Hidden Gems Investing. I'm Travis Hoium. I'm joined today by Lou Whiteman and Rachel Warren, and guys, I never thought I would say this, but Micron has a huge earnings report after the market closed today. This is a company that most of us just didn't pay attention to for most of the last couple of decades. But they are the company that everybody is watching, at least for the next 12 hours or so. Lou, I'll just leave it there. What are your thoughts on Micron being the talk of the day?
Lou Whiteman: No pressure, Micron. Just the fate of the entire global stock market is on your shoulders. No pressure at all. Context, why am I saying that? Right now, no company is more emblematic of the AI rally than Micron. Believe it or not, the stock is up 270% this year. It's up a lot more over the last 12 months. It is the single biggest point contributor to the S&P 500. It is literally the engine that is driving this rally. But look, historically, the reason, Travis, we don't think about these companies is memory chips are commodity. There are a lot of competitors with a lot of options for capacity expansion. A lot of people like flirting with rivals as we speak now. In the last few weeks, we've suddenly become a lot more skeptical about how much higher the AI rally can go. Back to the fate of the entire global stock market. I hate to make short-term predictions, but it’s fair to say that any flinch tonight when they release earnings, any disappointment would reinforce the fears that had driven the sell-off in the last few days. But a strong showing, I think it might just ease concerns and draw buyers back in. Good luck, Micron. Apparently, we are basing the entire AI trade on a historically commoditized memory provider.
Travis Hoium: Yeah, Rachel, this is going to be an interesting one because there's a lot of threads to pull on. A lot of times, you look at earnings, and you go, How did the company do compared to a year ago? How did they do compared to analysts’ estimates? That's typically how stocks react. What were analysts expecting? Or were they pricing in? Then what did the company actually report? What did they guide? There's going to be a lot more to it than that has to do with high bandwidth memory, what's happening with competitors and pricing. What are the things that you're looking for in this earnings report that may actually extend far beyond Micro?
Rachel Warren: A lot to look at here, and it's important to note, this is not the Micron of a couple years ago. Wall Street's guiding for 1,000% jump in earnings per share. Just going to take a moment and take that in. This is not the business that we used to know. This is a newly minted trillion-dollar company. They've sold out their HiPAM with memory or HBM capacity all the way through the end of 2026. They've got their advanced HBM3 chips. Those are essentially digital gold. They're the backbone for that next-gen hardware like Nvidia's Blackwell architecture. This is also a company that just inked a major enterprise deal with Anthropic to power their Claude models. Demand is very much outstripping supply. There's a lot of pricing power there. Management has guided for an 81% gross margin. Revenue is looking to pass $35 billion for a single quarter.
Just to set the stage a little bit for where the business is at, and that really brings us back to what we saw in the markets yesterday.here are a few factors at play. We had the announcement from South Korea's SK Hynix that sent shock waves through the sector in terms of their shifting production timelines, but also we're seeing news about how competitors in China are aggressively leveraging their own semiconductor capacity. You've got major competitor CXMT. They are building out a truly massive fabrication facility with really one defined, clear goal, which is to flood the global market with cheap legacy drip. They’ve got multibillion-dollar state investments, a massive Shanghai facility. Essentially looking to outproduce established players. That's something that I think the market is worried about when it comes to the likes of Micron.
What I will note, though, this is a company, Micron that's building very highly specialized, high margin ultra complex HBM infrastructure. It's required for advanced AI applications. We're also looking at a reality despite pressure that it was under yesterday. This is a business that's skyrocketed more than 700% over the last 12 months, trailing PE multiple of about 49. I like the business. This is not a stock that's even close to being undervalued right now.
Travis Hoium: Lou, do you agree with that? Because this is one of those businesses where we've seen a lot of these cycles in the past. I think if you go back to the dotcom bubble, Micron was one of those companies. Hey, there's going to be demand forever. Then suddenly you overbuild. Rachel talked about high bandwidth memory is really the thing that they're focusing on right now, but they're giving up DRAM as a result, and who's popping in? China comes in and says, Hey, we would be happy to take that business. The company that I am really curious about is Apple here. My understanding is that Apple would love to have some of these Chinese suppliers as one of their suppliers, and they're feeling a lot of pricing pressure. But that's been something the U.S. government has not been super fond of. But if we're going to see $2,000 iPhones, maybe those things are looked past just a little bit.
Lou Whiteman: Yeah. Here's the thing. This is why you never invest based on one metric. Because Micron today trades at under 20 times forward earnings. That looks really good. But what you miss there, the context is, I think it was Rachel said, the 1,000% jump in earnings per share. It is cheap if that is sustainable. If this is the new normal, if from here, this is how they earn, if they really are just a different company now, this is a buying opportunity. Call me skeptical here, I think, as you say, there's just a lot of choices. I think there's actually a risk here that if they put too much chips in the AI basket and abandon the core business that drives a lot of their volumes or at least allows others to build up there while they're focusing.
Travis Hoium: You're talking about DRAM in particular?
Lou Whiteman: Yeah, they better hope this AI sustained spending pays last forever. Again, we've talked about what that means for the rest of the ecos, it just doesn't seem like that's possible that everybody wins here. But yeah, it's all based on what has happened. It works today. May it long continue as someone who doesn't have any short positions, but I have zero desire to buy this company in general and definitely not right now.
Travis Hoium: Yeah, I want to put some numbers to those valuations that you were talking about estimates for fiscal 2027 is for $121.80 per share in earnings. The earnings for fiscal 2023, negative $5.30. The big question here is, as this stock is trading for over $1,000 per share, is that $100 the real earnings number long term, or is it the closer to zero that we've had over most of the past decade? We will maybe learn a little bit more after the market closes. When we come back, we are going to get to Meta's prediction market. You're listening to Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing. Meta made some news yesterday that I thought was really interesting, Rachel. They're getting into the prediction market. Meta stock is theoretically pretty cheap, so I always want to take a look at that one. But then you look at them chasing all these random things that don't necessarily seem to fit into their core business. But what are we talking about when we're talking about Meta looking into prediction markets?
Rachel Warren: Yeah, I feel like this took some investors by surprise. They're building a new app called Arena, and it's designed to be essentially a direct play on the fast-growing world of prediction markets. If you're curious how it works, you've got to think of Arena like a video game where you trade real-world outcomes. The app asks a simple yes-or-no question. You don't use cash. You use free points to buy a yes-or-no ticket. Then the more popular answer gets, the more points that ticket cost to buy. If your guess actually comes true, the ticket pays out. If you're wrong, you lose your points. Right now, there's no real money involved, which is very essential from the legal front because it essentially allows Meta to sidestep a lot of the global gambling laws. They can launch the app everywhere instantly. My view of this is Meta is going to be using a lot of these free guesses to harvest millions of pieces of data on human behavior to train their AI models. I think that is seemingly the most valuable use case here. I'm still curious whether this is actually going to be a needle mover for the business.
Lou Whiteman: You might be right. But do we really need AI models trained off of what random Facebook users are?
Travis Hoium: Well, Reddit's pretty good data for Google.
Lou Whiteman: That's different. There's a lot more there. Look, here's the deal. For one, remember, this is not gambling. They named it after a sports venue, but it's not gambling. Arena. I love that. But look, always count on Zuck to be distracted by whatever the shiny object is that's out there. That is what's going on here. Maybe it is some white master AI play. I think it's just what’s hot? Can we get in on that? There is logic here. This is another thing that should be easily spread over their massive social media customer base. I don't think it's a massive use of resources here. Look, Facebook Marketplace, I think is a good example it is at best, the second-best option, and probably I'm being kind here. But they've leveraged it over the massive customer base, so it is worth the time, even if it isn't the dominant player. I think predictions can be the same here. It's inferior to the standalones, but yet is still viable. End of the day, if you're an investor, this is Meta reminding you of who they are. Alphabet, Amazon, there's a lot of these big tech names that are diversified, that are betting on different things. But there isn't the same throw it at a wall and see if it sticks attitude. This is always what Meta has done. It hasn't been an issue for investors before. Don't think it will be from here, but don't say you weren't warned.
Travis Hoium: One thing this reminds me of is Marketplace, them going into the Craigslist business, if you will. That's been a massive success. I know we use that all the time, even though we don't really use Facebook all that much. I also wanted to touch on the Kylie Jenner is now getting into the Meta glasses. Lou, as our fashion and tech early adopter on the show, what are your thoughts of the Starfire glasses that Kylie is showing off?
Lou Whiteman: Yeah, Kylie. Full disclosure, I had to Google exactly who Kylie was, what Kylie was. I did think of other Kylies from the '90s or 2000s, but yeah. I've heard of Kylie Jenner. I'm happy that she's happy with these glasses. I think that Meta is onto something here. I'm going to reverse course only because by comparison to what Snap announced, Meta looks like a real winner. They're not charging $2,000 for something with a couple hours of battery life. They're not saying it's going to replace the phone, and yet you're going to have to charge it every couple hours. I think, Wow, this looks common sense. Meta generates $56 billion in sales per quarter. This is not a needle mover. I'm skeptical about the whole “we're going to defeat the iPhone and create a new ecosystem” and a stealth play on that. I think it's just going to be a novelty product, but Meta generates cash, and Meta likes to spend cash. We know that. Like I said, I am much more bullish about this than I am the snaps.
Travis Hoium: Yeah, Rachel, this seems at least a little bit meaningful. This is a huge sponsorship, and they're moving at least further into the fashion direction, which is clearly not what Snap was doing last week.
Rachel Warren: These celebrity partnerships are nothing new in the world of big tech, so I think it's probably a smart move on their part. The frames look very trendy. They're like, trendy, slim fashion sunglasses. The case actually has a built-in makeup mirror. There's a digital AI assistant built into the glasses. It's actually voiced by Kylie Jenner herself. You've got a standard version that costs $299. Then, if you want that voice profile, it goes up to $399. Not sure yet if this is a project that is going to be a real driver of Meta's business moving forward. I think we've seen so far that the adoption curve for this type of hardware isn't necessarily there, but I do think experimenting with more fashion-oriented glasses versus a lot of the clunky competitors that we've seen. Perhaps that's a smart angle to take. I don't think this is something that Meta needs. I think this is something they're looking to try out, as we've seen with a lot of their projects in the past. If you're an investor, I think it's something to pay attention to. I don't think it's something that's going to be driving the business, at least not in the near term.
Travis Hoium: A decade into the VR and AR experiment, we're maybe getting a little bit closer to something we can actually buy as regular consumers and not feel too goofy wearing around. We'll see if there's a prediction market on when we can get Lou in a pair of these glasses. When we come back, we're going to touch on Alphabet joining the Dow, you're listening to Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing.
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Travis Hoium: Welcome back to Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing. We've talked a lot about SpaceX going into indexes over the past couple of weeks, but Alphabet is now making its way into the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Rachel, what do we need to?
Rachel Warren: Alphabet’s joining the Dow. This is effective before the opening bell next Monday, June 29th, they're replacing Verizon. This is a pretty massive shift away from obviously a legacy telecom player and very much into the core of the AI economy. The Dow is a price-weighted index, so stock price dictates how much influence a company holds. Verizon's low share price meant that they had represented a very small portion of 0.5% of the index. Alphabet, with their share price is going to instantly have a 4% weighting. That is going to be the seventh largest component in the entire index right behind American Express. Alphabet is going to be the fifth member of the Mag7 to enter the Dow. Now, it's worth noting. This isn't necessarily a big mover of share price actually, back when Amazon and Nvidia were added back in 2024, their actual inclusion days were big duds. But I think the big takeaway for me is you're swapping out a slow growth utility like Verizon for a hyperscalar like Alphabet, very much aggressively increasing exposure to the mega cap tech and Cloud infrastructure place.
Lou Whiteman: Basically that. It's relevant for Alphabet shareholders. To me, this is the Dow telling on itself. This is a reminder of how pointless the Dow is. You have 30 companies picked largely well after the world has realized their value. Verizon was the only representation from the communication sector. What the committee finally heard about the Internet and is giving up on Ma Bell. As Rachel said, the price weighting means that you're 0.5% of an index of 30 stocks, meaning that Verizon's movement had zero impact on Dow, so the index basically had zero meaningful representation from communications here. It's tempting to be the shock jock and say, Okay, this means Alphabet's on their way down. I don't think that's the case, but the committee has a terrible track record of being late to the party. I don't know. Maybe it means that Alphabet is so mainstream now that it can't significantly outperform. I doubt it, though. I think this is just them trying to stay relevant and Alphabet will just go back to business.
Travis Hoium: Yeah, it's so interesting to see the difference these indexes and the way that they're covered on a day-to-day basis when I was growing up, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, first of all, was mostly an industrial average, second of all, it was the thing that was quoted every night on the evening news. The Dow was up 15 points today or down 10 points today, and people generally knew what that meant. Now we talk about the S&P 500 or the NASDAQ-100. Those are better indicators, and those are market cap weighted, meaning that they're weighted based on how big the actual company is. It's maybe a better indicator overall.
Lou Whiteman: One more, just not related to this, but just a public service announcement here on the points. A 100 points were a lot of points when the index was I don't know, 1,000 points. But the index is 52,000 today. We are still going crazy about 100 points. I don't really want to have to get into the math here, but it's a lot less significant. Yeah, always look at things in percentage. But just ignore the Dow.
Travis Hoium: We have moved on, I guess, from the Dow, but I think it's still interesting that this is something that we talk about, and now it's become a tech index, more than it is a industrial index.
As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about, and The Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. All personal finance content follows The Motley Fool's editorial standards. This is not approved by advertisers. Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. See our full advertising disclosure, please check on our show. For Rachel Warren, Lou Whiteman, and Kristi Waterworth behind the glass, I'm Travis Hoium. Thanks for listening. See you here tomorrow.
Investing in many different types of stocks can be a great way to minimize your risk while also giving you a chance to generate great returns in the long run. That's because it isn't always obvious which stock will take off, and when. Think about the stocks that are hot this year that are focused on memory and storage solutions. It wouldn't have been obvious five or 10 years ago that they would be amassing the gains that they are right now.
Three stocks that have done exceptionally well over the past decade are Nvidia (NVDA 1.39%), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD 4.60%), and Micron Technology (MU 5.68%). Investing $5,000 into each of them back then would have resulted in your portfolio being worth approximately $1.8 million today. Here's a look at how much a $5,000 investment in each one of them would be worth as of June 29, why they have done so well, and if they're still worth buying today.
Image source: Getty Images.
Nvidia: $836k Nvidia has been leading the revolution in artificial intelligence (AI) as its cutting-edge chips have been crucial in the development of AI models and software. The company's dominance in the industry has allowed it to generate not only significant revenue growth but also command high margins, ensuring that as its sales have risen significantly, so too have profits. That's a big reason why, despite its valuation being around $4.8 trillion right now, its price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 30 isn't all that astronomical.
A $5,000 investment in Nvidia a decade ago would now be worth roughly $836,000. While it was still a big name in tech 10 years ago, its growth opportunities in AI were not on the horizon, and much of the stock's gains during that stretch have occurred during just the past couple of years.
Today's Change
(
-1.39
%) $
-2.75
Current Price
$
194.84
For investors who want exposure to AI, Nvidia remains a top growth stock to consider for the long haul.
Advanced Micro Devices: $526k Advanced Micro Devices, also known as AMD, is one of Nvidia's key rivals. Although it isn't nearly as large in size, the company's latest chips have been giving investors confidence that it may be able to take considerable market share from Nvidia in the future.
In its most recent quarter, which covered the first three months of the year, AMD's revenue rose at a rate of 38%, and that is expected to rise to 46% for the current quarter. The company has been winning over investors of late, and that's putting it lightly with its year-to-date gains at around 170%.
Today's Change
(
-4.60
%) $
-24.88
Current Price
$
516.00
Over the past decade, a $5,000 investment in AMD would have grown to around $526,000 today. The downside with its gains, however, is that its P/E multiple has risen to around 190. And even based on future earnings (as projected by analysts), its forward P/E is close to 80. Although it's been red hot, the stock could be due for a slowdown.
Micron Technology: $434k One of the hottest stocks to own this year has been Micron Technology. The company's memory and storage products have been in extremely high demand. As companies have invested heavily in AI and related infrastructure, this has led to a supply shortage in the types of products Micron sells. This has enabled it to raise prices drastically amid the heightened demand.
This year, it has skyrocketed by around 300% in value, and its market cap has now topped more than $1 trillion, making it one of the most valuable tech companies in the world. A $5,000 investment in the stock a decade ago would now be worth around $434,000. Between that and the other stocks on this list, a $5,000 in each one a decade ago would mean that your portfolio would now be worth approximately $1.8 million.
Today's Change
(
-5.68
%) $
-58.69
Current Price
$
973.59
Micron's valuation remains modest with a P/E multiple of 26. Whether it's still a buy ultimately depends on whether the demand for memory and storage products is part of a new normal for the tech sector due to AI, or if it will prove to be cyclical, as it has in the past. If you believe the former, then you may be bullish that the stock may still rally higher. But if it's the latter, your outlook would undoubtedly be bearish. Either way, it has the potential to be a significantly volatile holding.
Wall Street was torn between opposite catalysts on Thursday morning.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI +1.14%) climbed 0.7% by 12:11 p.m. ET. The S&P 500 (^GSPC +0.00%) dropped 0.2% at the same time, while the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC 0.80%) fell 0.8%.
The culprit behind the confusion: Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) is going one way while nearly everything else in tech is going the other.
^IXIC data by YCharts
Employment miss meets Middle East stalemate The iPhone maker jumped 4%, adding $182 billion in market capitalization. The company reportedly told its parts suppliers to prepare for a large-scale rollout of foldable iPhones this fall. The expected foldable unit count for 2026 is now 10 million, up from 7 to 8 million in earlier forecasts. That's alongside roughly 70 million iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max handsets, setting Apple up for a blockbuster sales push.
Without Apple's contribution, the S&P 500 would have had a much worse day.
Eight of the 10 largest market cap moves on that index today were printed in red ink, including a 7.4% price drop for Tesla (TSLA 7.35%) and a 5.8% retreat in Micron Technology (MU 5.68%) prices.
Tesla's June vehicle deliveries came in 18% above analyst estimates, but some investors are locking in profits after a 13% bull run over the last four market days. Micron is also trading near all-time highs, and memory chipmakers are facing a price-fixing lawsuit regarding older memory types.
These moves also weighed on the Nasdaq Composite, but neither Tesla nor Micron is a component of the Dow.
Image source: Getty Images.
The June jobs report landed with a thud: 57,000 new positions versus the 110,000 economists expected. May's numbers were revised down, too. Yet the unemployment rate fell to 4.2% from 4.3%, a contradiction explained by fewer people actively looking for work. Treasury yields declined on expectations that the soft data would reduce pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.
Over in the Strait of Hormuz, the vessel backlog dropped to 380 ships from 485 earlier this week, but only five ships actually passed through in the last 24 hours. U.S. and Iranian negotiators wrapped up talks in Doha claiming "positive progress," though concrete results remain elusive. The next round of discussions will follow funeral processions for Iran's late Supreme Leader, scheduled to end on July 9.
Oil prices keep falling anyway, apparently more interested in diplomatic optimism than shipping data.
Gold and Bitcoin both rallied for the second straight day, showing an unusual market shift into different types of safe-haven investments.
The SPDR Gold Shares (GLD +2.04%) fund rose 2.1% while the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT +2.44%) gained 2.6%. When investors buy both the traditional haven and the newfangled digital one at the same time, it sends broad uncertainty signals for the market as a whole.
Today's Change
(
1.14
%) $
594.83
Current Price
$
52900.07
A long weekend to reassess Markets are closed on Friday for Independence Day, so everyone gets a long weekend to plan for what's ahead. As usual, the economy is sending mixed messages and the best move may very well be to do nothing.
The chip sector's two-day decline follows an 82% first-half gain; some pullback was inevitable, though the speed of the correction is surprising.
The Dow beating the Nasdaq by 1.5 percentage points reflects the rotation theme that's defined this year's market. Money is shifting from high-flying growth names into steadier sectors like financials and industrials. Sometimes boring outperforms exciting, at least for a few days.
Enjoy the holiday, and I'll see you again next week!
After a stunning surge in Micron Technology (MU 5.68%), investors are weighing rich recent gains against the realities of a cyclical memory market. Consider what today's price may already assume about tomorrow's demand, then watch the video for deeper insight.
*This video was published on Jun. 17, 2026.
David Meier has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Emily Flippen, CFA has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. John Bromels has positions in Micron Technology. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Micron Technology. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Micron Technology (MU 5.68%) investors have been a happy bunch in the market this past year. It's not a secret why: The stock is up 272% since 2026 began. Many investors wait decades before seeing 3x or greater returns, yet Micron did it in just six months.
With a return like that in such a short time, some investors may wonder if Micron's best days are already accounted for. But Micron's management team just told investors that the good times will keep rolling. If they're right, then Micron's run could just be getting started.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Micron expects market conditions to continue Micron makes dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) and NAND memory. Both are heavily used in data centers, and with an unprecedented data center build-out underway, Micron and its peers don't have the production capacity necessary to meet demand. With limited supply and soaring demand, memory chip prices are skyrocketing, driving strong results for Micron.
It recently released third-quarter results for fiscal 2026 (ending May 28), and some incredible news came out of that report.
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First, the company blew away internal expectations. For the quarter, management expected about $33.5 billion in revenue. Micron actually managed a jaw-dropping $41.5 billion in revenue. Management expects fourth-quarter revenue to come in at $50 billion. That's massive sequential growth and shows how strong the demand for memory chips is.
To be clear, there is growing concern that Micron might be in a bubble, and that new capacity coming online to meet huge demand could pop it. Micron downplayed that concern, as it expects "tight conditions" to persist beyond 2027 due to strong AI demand. This means that Micron could just be getting started, and Wall Street analysts' projections also back this up.
For Q4, analysts expect 315% year-over-year revenue growth. For fiscal 2027, they expect 82% revenue growth. Clearly, Micron's growth trend is far from over, yet the stock trades for 15.6 times forward earnings and 7.7 times next year's earnings.
Data by YCharts.
This suggests not all of the upside has been priced into Micron's stock quite yet, and it could easily head higher from here. Micron still looks to be a great investment. Just be aware that it will also involve increased volatility, as Micron stock has been known to give investors whiplash. Long-term and patient investors can get a nice return by purchasing Micron stock today, as there is more room to run as long as the AI build-out continues to go at full strength.
Keithen Drury has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Micron Technology. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
@morningstar's Philip Straehl says his firm and investors are reevaluating the tech space as the trade cools. He believes investors can hold tech but believes in diversifying into underappreciated corners of the space and trimming stocks like Micron (MU), SanDisk (SNDK), and other AI memory companies.
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On June 30, Jim Cramer told Mad Money viewers his favorite stock is a company most people wrote off two years ago. “Intel, currently my favorite stock. CEO Lip-Bu Tan has turned this company around,” he said. He dismissed the mega-cap AI hyperscalers in favor of the chipmaker they all now depend on. The pick reflects a broader thesis he laid out the same night: “Wall street is now rewarding tech companies with products in high demand and punishing their customers.”
Why Cramer flipped on Intel Intel (NASDAQ:INTC | INTC Price Prediction) has become the loudest turnaround story in semis. The stock is up 278.4% year to date and 523.35% over the past year. A $22 broken-tech name has become something Cramer describes as a national treasure. CEO Lip-Bu Tan took over when the stock was near $20 and has since delivered six consecutive quarters of revenue above expectations.
The Q1 fiscal 2026 print, released April 23, 2026, showed the acceleration. Revenue came in at $13.577 billion, up 7.2% year over year. The Data Center and AI segment grew 22% year over year to $5.052 billion, and Intel Foundry revenue rose 16% to $5.421 billion. Non-GAAP EPS of $0.29 blew past the $0.0127 consensus. Details in the Q1 8-K spell out the mechanics.
Three growth engines Cramer wants you to see Cramer laid out three legs to the Intel story. First, CPUs remain essential for AI inference, and Tan himself said “The next wave of AI will bring intelligence closer to the end user, moving from foundational models to inference to agentic. This shift is significantly increasing the need for Intel’s CPUs and wafer and advanced packaging offerings.” Second is advanced packaging and automotive, where margins run hot.
Third is the foundry, which is finally moving. Intel 18A ramped to high-volume manufacturing in Arizona and Oregon, and Intel Xeon 6 was selected as host CPU for NVIDIA’s (NASDAQ:NVDA) DGX Rubin NVL8 systems. Moreover, add the $5 billion NVIDIA equity investment and the $5.7 billion CHIPS Act disbursement, and the balance sheet looks nothing like the one investors were panicking about a year ago.
Furthermore, insider behavior lines up with the narrative. CFO David Zinsner acquired 37,015 shares of common stock on June 1, 2026, and the endpoint counted 47 recent insider transactions with a net buying direction.
The memory boom Cramer is riding alongside Cramer’s Intel pick sits inside a larger frame he keeps repeating: “The spend can only be defended by profitability, not press release.” That is why memory suppliers are getting retail flows. Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) reported fiscal Q3 revenue of $41.456 billion, up 345.7% year over year, with non-GAAP EPS of $25.11 and gross margin at 84.6%. Guidance for the following quarter calls for $50 billion in revenue. The stock is up 304.62% year to date.
SanDisk (NASDAQ:SNDK) has rallied even harder, up 857.84% year to date on datacenter revenue up 645% year over year. Cramer’s line about memory names tripling in three months tracks with the tape.
The customers are taking the punishment The flip side of Cramer’s thesis lives in the compute chipmakers. Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL), which Jensen Huang has flagged as a potential trillion-dollar company, is up 250.96% year to date on custom-silicon tailwinds. AMD (NASDAQ:AMD) sits up 171.25% year to date, with Lisa Su leaning into the Meta deal for up to 6 gigawatts of Instinct GPUs. Both are winning and volatile, and Cramer warns they could get repriced if hyperscaler capex slows without earnings to justify it.
Intel’s path forward runs through shipping 18A wafers, landing more Xeon sockets in Rubin racks, and keeping foundry losses shrinking. Cramer thinks Tan is doing exactly that. At a forward multiple of 152x and an analyst target of $98.50 against a current price near $127.92, the question is how much of the comeback is already in the tape.
Sanjay Mehrotra sat with Jim Cramer on June 30, 2026 and said the quiet part out loud about the AI memory boom. “Even our customers could not forecast this demand.” Coming from the CEO whose company sells the memory going into every AI accelerator, that is quite the admission. And it explains why Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU | MU Price Prediction) is now writing checks on a scale the semiconductor industry rarely sees.
The 2023 bet that funded everything after Rewind three years. Memory was in a downcycle that ends careers. Micron’s fiscal 2023 revenue collapsed to $15.54 billion with a $5.83 billion net loss and a negative gross margin. Mehrotra’s description to Cramer was blunt: “In 23, our prices came down to one third of what they were… Yet Micron had the vision of investing for the future.” The company sunk roughly $10 billion in 2023 into technology and supply while competitors slashed capex.
That contrarian move now looks like the setup for one of the more violent operating leverage stories in tech. Q3 FY2026 revenue hit $41.46 billion, and operating margin ran at 80.4% for the quarter. The stock is up 754% over the past year and 227% year to date, though shares gave back 9.67% on July 1 as investors caught their breath.
Why $200 billion, and why now The centerpiece of the Cramer conversation was the capital plan. “We are investing $200 billion of investments right here in the U.S… These investments are very much geared toward trying to bring on supply,” Mehrotra said. That figure covers the Boise, Idaho fabs and the New York site in Clay, along with R&D, spread over roughly two decades.
The near-term math is already accelerating. On the fiscal Q2 call, CFO Mark Murphy said “We expect fiscal 2026 CapEx to be above $25,000,000,000” and flagged that construction-related capex would increase by more than $10 billion year over year in fiscal 2027.
Greenfield fabs take years to come online, which is the entire reason the supply gap looks structural rather than cyclical. Mehrotra told analysts “In the medium term, we are only able to meet about 50% to two-thirds of our demand from several key customers” and that “the gap between the demand and supply for all of DRAM, including HBM, is really the highest that we have ever seen.”
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You can see why customers wanted to lock in supply. Micron responded with what it calls Strategic Customer Agreements, multi-year contracts with real commitments. Mehrotra told investors “We are excited to have signed our first five-year SCA” and that discussions were ongoing with multiple customers across data center, automotive, and consumer markets.
What Q4 guidance says about the trajectory Management guided fiscal Q4 to revenue of $50.0 billion give or take $1 billion, non-GAAP EPS of $31 give or take $1, and GAAP gross margin around 86%. For context, that single quarter would exceed Micron’s entire annual revenue for every fiscal year through FY2024. HBM4 is already in high-volume shipments to the lead AI accelerator customer, with HBM4E on the 1-gamma DRAM node targeting calendar 2027 volume production.
The forward P/E of 7x reflects the market’s suspicion that memory is still memory, and that the cycle will turn. Mehrotra’s counter, delivered to Cramer, was that 40% of Micron’s revenue comes from consumer, automotive and industrial markets, and that AI is in very early innings. Analyst consensus sits at a $1,454.12 price target with 30 Buy ratings and 9 Strong Buys. Full detail on the quarter sits in Micron’s Q3 FY2026 press release exhibit filed with the SEC.
The takeaway for investors Conviction spending during a downturn is a strategy that either bankrupts you or makes you the default supplier when the market turns. Micron picked the second door in 2023, and the AI buildout arrived faster than anyone, apparently including the buyers themselves, expected. The $200 billion commitment is the bill for staying ahead of what comes next.
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United States President Donald Trump has confirmed that Micron Technology, Inc. (Nasdaq: MU) invested $250 million in the Trump Accounts, also known as 530A Accounts.
In a post through this Truth Social account on July 2, President Trump reiterated his support for Micron following its investments in American children. Trump maintained bullish sentiment for MU stock following the announcement.
“Micron, a GREAT American Company, announced that they are putting in 250 Million Dollars into the Trump Accounts for the future benefit of children, and their stock went up 9 points today,” Trump noted.
Notably, the company unveiled an employee-matching benefit for contributions of up to $1,000 per child under 18. Additionally, the company announced it would provide a community benefit: a one-time $250 seed deposit for children with Trump Accounts where it operates, including Idaho, New York, Virginia, California, Colorado, Minnesota, and Texas.
“As America celebrates its 250th anniversary, this investment is about helping children build a strong foundation for future opportunity while supporting the workforce and communities that will shape U.S. semiconductor leadership,” Sanjay Mehrotra, Micron Chairman, President and CEO, stated.
The Trump Accounts were established under the Working Families Tax Cuts in 2025, which provided that any child born in the U.S. between January 1, 2025, and December 31, 2028, receives $1,000 from the government.
Micron stock performance amid Trump’s support Although the company received renewed support from President Trump, its stock market continues to fall. Over the past five days, Micron Technology shares dropped over 20%, trading at about $985.50 at press time.
MU stock 5-day chart. Source: Finbold As such, Micron stock valuation declined to approximately $1.2 trillion at the time of reporting. Nevertheless, Micron Technology shares have rallied by more than 690% over the past 12 months, driven by the AI (Artificial Intelligence) boom.
The Micron stock valuation has declined over the past few weeks, especially after Mehrotra sold shares, as Finbold reported. Nonetheless, Wall Street analysts remain bullish on Micron stock, as Finbold highlighted, amid strong support from President Trump.
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While positive coverage from Wall Street analysts doesn't necessarily mean a stock will go up, it can be a useful gauge of sentiment among influential institutional investors. It can also provide useful insights into the key catalysts that could shape pricing action going forward.
Along those lines, Micron Technology (MU 5.65%) shareholders and those who are considering buying the stock have had a lot to feel good about recently. On June 24, the company published results for the third quarter of its current fiscal year -- a period that wrapped on May 28. Following the memory technology specialist's blowout quarterly report, it has received another round of bullish ratings and price target increases from high-profile investment firms.
Image source: Getty Images.
Wall Street loved Micron's fiscal Q3 report Micron posted sales of $41.46 billion in the quarter, trouncing the average analyst estimate for revenue of $35.84 billion in the period. Meanwhile, earnings per share came in at $25.11, crushing the average estimate of $20.78. The company also guided for strong sales growth to continue, targeting roughly $50 billion in revenue in the current quarter -- up from roughly $11.3 billion in the prior-year quarter. With such strong results and impressive forward guidance, it wasn't surprising to see a wave of analysts raising valuation targets.
On June 25, Deutsche Bank published new coverage on the stock -- maintaining a buy rating and raising its one-year price target from $1,500 per share to $1,550 per share. Melissa Weathers, the firm's lead analyst on the stock, said that Micron's fiscal Q3 report showed the business had cleared a high bar strategically and financially, and went so far as to describe the performance as "stunning."
The same day, investment firm DA Davidson weighed in with its own new report on the stock. The firm reiterated its buy rating on Micron and raised its one-year price target from $1,500 per share to $2,000 per share. While the business has historically been subject to cyclical trends, demand connected to artificial intelligence has provided the memory technology leader with its best-ever demand outlook and performance visibility. DA Davidson's analysts said the strong demand cycle for AI memory chips is far from over, and Micron's long-term supply contracts suggest they are correct.
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On June 29, Cantor Fitzgerald also raised its one-year price target on the stock from $1,500 per share to $2,000 per share and maintained an overweight rating on the stock. Cantor's analysts pointed to the company locking in future revenues at high gross margins through multi-year contracts as a big win for Micron, likely to translate into continued valuation gains.
Again, the latest wave of bullish analyst coverage doesn't necessarily mean Micron stock will continue marching higher over the next year. Even though the business is posting stellar performance, macroeconomic pressures and other dynamics could lead to valuation stagnation or significant pullbacks in the stock. On the other hand, analysts' positive coverage reflects just how strong the business's results have been and how promising its outlook is -- and it's not hard to see why Wall Street loves the stock right now.
Micron Technology MU shares extended their recent decline on Thursday, falling 4% after tumbling 10% in the previous session, as broader weakness across technology stocks continued to weigh on semiconductor names.
The latest decline came despite public praise from President Donald Trump and a bullish outlook from Mizuho Securities, highlighting how investors remained focused on the broader selloff in high-growth technology stocks.
Micron shares have still posted exceptional gains this year, rising 219% in 2026 despite the recent pullback.
Earlier this week, Micron announced a $250 million investment in Trump Accounts, tax-advantaged savings accounts for children under the age of 18.
Under the program, children born between 2025 and 2028 will receive a $1,000 deposit from the US Treasury Department.
Following the announcement, President Donald Trump praised the company in a post on Truth Social.
"Micron, a truly GREAT American Company, and one of the 'HOTTEST' anywhere in the World, has announced a HISTORIC $250 MILLION Investment in TRUMP ACCOUNTS," Trump wrote.
Despite the endorsement, Micron shares continued to decline as investors rotated out of semiconductor stocks.
The weakness was part of a broader technology selloff that has affected many of the year's strongest performers.
The pressure on Micron coincided with a sharp decline in South Korea's stock market, where technology shares led losses.
South Korea's KOSPI index dropped 7.9% on Thursday as the technology selloff spread beyond US markets.
Major memory chip manufacturers SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics, two of Micron's largest competitors, declined 14.6% and 9.1%, respectively.
Although the selloff has been significant, both Micron and the broader South Korean market have delivered strong gains this year.
The KOSPI remains up 81% in 2026, compared with a 9.3% gain for the S&P 500 over the same period.
Mizuho maintains bullish long-term outlookDespite the recent volatility, Mizuho Securities continues to view Micron as its preferred investment among leading semiconductor companies.
Mizuho Securities put out its top picks for July on Thursday which featured Robinhood and Oracle.
Analyst Vijay Rakesh maintained an Outperform rating on the stock with a price target of $1,375.
According to Mizuho, Micron delivered its strongest quarterly stock performance on record during the second quarter, with shares gaining 242%, even though the stock declined following its third-quarter earnings report.
Rakesh said demand for memory products is expected to remain strong through 2027, supported by continued investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure.
"We see MU and other key memory suppliers all seeing strong near-term tailwinds, driven mostly by AI demand," Rakesh wrote.
He also said Micron is expected to remain a "key winner" in the memory semiconductor industry.
The recent pullback underscores the volatility surrounding semiconductor stocks after a powerful rally earlier this year.
While investors have taken profits across the technology sector, analysts continue to point to long-term demand for AI-related memory products as a supportive factor for Micron's business outlook.
Memory and storage stocks are sliding again Thursday morning, extending a rare pullback for a group that has posted extraordinary gains through 2026. SanDisk (NASDAQ:SNDK | SNDK Price Prediction) stock is leading the declines, down 11% to $1,802 in midday trading. Seagate Technology (NASDAQ:STX) shares are off 7% to $852, Western Digital (NASDAQ:WDC) shares are down 7% to $556 and Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) stock is lower by 4% to $992.
The sector proxy is moving in lockstep. The Roundhill Memory ETF (CBOE:DRAM) is down 5% to $62, reflecting broad weakness across NAND, DRAM, and hard-disk-drive names as traders trim exposure to some of 2026’s biggest winners.
Thursday marks the second straight session of declines, with Micron and SanDisk stock also falling sharply on Wednesday. The setup looks like profit-taking and institutional rebalancing at the start of the second half, without a clear fundamental trigger, catalyzed by a fresh warning from a well-known research shop.
Morningstar Warning Fuels the Reset The immediate catalyst is commentary from Morningstar’s director of research, Lorraine Tan, who told Bloomberg TV that a large slice of AI names could give back 20% to 30% before becoming buyable again. As we detailed recently, Tan flagged the biggest-gaining memory names as the most exposed to a valuation reset.
Her concern centers on capacity. Announced supply additions from Samsung and SK Hynix are expected to soften memory pricing as supply catches up with demand, while AI capital expenditure is expected to peak in 2026 and taper thereafter. That combination targets exactly the pricing power that drove the group’s dramatic margin expansion this cycle, and it lands on stocks that have posted enormous multi-hundred-percent gains in 2026.
The Roundhill Memory ETF illustrates the concentration risk. Its top holdings include Samsung Electronics at 25%, SK hynix at 24%, and Micron at 24%, followed by SanDisk, Western Digital, and Seagate. When capacity fears hit, the whole basket moves.
Bull Case Isn’t Going Quietly The sell-side counterpoint remains firm. Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) on Wednesday raised its SanDisk stock price target to $2,500 from $2,100 with a Buy rating, arguing the NAND supply-and-demand imbalance and firm pricing should persist through 2027. That target sits well above where SanDisk stock is trading after today’s slide.
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Micron’s fundamentals also cut against the glut narrative. The company reported fiscal Q3 revenue of $41.46 billion, up 346% year over year and guided fiscal Q4 revenue to $50 billion, citing multi-year Strategic Customer Agreements as cycle insulation. Micron stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7x, with a consensus analyst target of $1,410 and overwhelmingly bullish coverage.
Seagate and Western Digital carry similar tailwinds. Both are seeing accelerating hard-disk demand tied to AI training and inference storage, and both delivered solid earnings beats in their most recent quarters. Retail sentiment, notably on Reddit, has stayed largely bullish through the pullback, though sentiment is not a fundamental.
What to Watch Now The Roundhill Memory ETF offers a clean read on how the group trades from here, though the ETF and its underlying chip stocks have been highly volatile. A one- or two-day pullback after such a run doesn’t by itself invalidate the long-term thesis, but it does test conviction at a very different price than a month ago.
The tension is easy to identify here. The bull case rests on AI-driven memory demand outpacing supply into 2027. The bear case, articulated by Morningstar, is that new capacity plus a plateau in AI capex could compress pricing sooner than expected. Both can be right on different timelines, which is why position sizing matters.
Investors may want to size their positions in these names carefully after an extraordinary run. Market watchers can watch for whether the group finds a bid into the close, and whether any Wall Street desk pushes back publicly on the Morningstar call in coming sessions.
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July 2, 2026 Wednesday's MarketsS&P 500
7,483 (-0.22%)Nasdaq
26,040 (-0.66%)Dow
52,305 (-0.03%)Bitcoin
$59,942 (+2.3%) With markets closed Friday for Independence Day (observed), instead of a regular edition of Breakfast News tomorrow, we'll email you a special send: The Quarter in Charts.
Source: Image created by Jester AI.
1. Chip Sell-Off Drags Tech Stocks Into Third Quarter Tech stocks opened the third quarter under pressure as a chip-led sell-off hit Wall Street Wednesday and spread into Asian markets Thursday. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropped 6.3% as chipmakers led U.S. declines, with Nasdaq futures down a further 0.5% in early trade.
Micron (MU +1.78%) ended Wednesday down 10%: South Korea's Kospi fell over 7% Thursday, with SK Hynix down 14.5% and Samsung Electronics off by 9%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq just registered their best quarter since 2020: Reuters said lofty valuations and heavy AI spending remained a concern for some market participants. Investors are now looking to today's U.S. monthly jobs report for clues on the rate outlook after a strong second quarter for semiconductors. 2. Sell-Offs Are the Toll, Not the Trap Market sell-offs are completely, boringly normal.
They are, in fact, a feature – the cover charge you pay for the long-term returns that stocks have handed out for a century. Depending on how you count, the S&P 500 has tumbled into a bear market (a drop of 20% or more) somewhere between 13 and 27 times since 1928 ... Every single one felt, in the moment, like the one that would finally break the machine. And every single one is now a line item in a history book, dwarfed by the recovery that followed.
So, what's a Fool to do when the screen turns red and the headlines turn breathless? Probably less than you think. The villain changes every time – a pandemic, an oil shock, a bank collapse, a rate-hike cycle, a bursting bubble, a headline you'll have forgotten in five years. The ending rarely does.
Sell-offs are the toll, not the trap: Over every 20-year stretch in its history, the S&P 500 has never lost money. The market has survived a depression, stagflation, a financial crisis, a global pandemic, and more than one genuinely apocalyptic bubble – and made patient owners richer through all of it.
3. Amazon's End-to-End Silicon Plans
Amazon (AMZN +0.57%) – recommended by both Team Hidden Gems and Team Rule Breakers – is designing its own chips for its key consumer devices, head of devices and services Panos Panay said in an interview on CNBC's "The Tech Download" podcast. Asked about possible future products, he spoke of a "whole roadmap of on-the-go devices" to be worn and used interactively – telling us we won't have to wait long for something from Amazon.
"On some of the more critical devices right now, our focus is end-to-end silicon": While Panay said the company does use chips from other makers, including Qualcomm (QCOM 0.27%), he told the interview that Amazon's own silicon is used in products including the Echo Show 8, Echo Show 11, and Fire TV. "Amazon seems to want to do it all. More often than not, whatever it does, the company does well": Fool contributing analyst Toby Bordelon spoke of the all-around package and the strength of Amazon's business.
4. SpaceX Isn't the Only Summer IPO...
Bending Spoons (BSP 7.41%) – the Italian tech company that owns the AOL, Eventbrite, and Vimeo brands – made its market debut yesterday at an initial valuation of over $18 billion – and soared approximately 40% from its $29 offer price to close a few cents short of $40.
"Like private equity had a baby withGoogle": CEO Luca Ferrari told Bloomberg of the company's ambition to make it as an emerging tech conglomerate – with over 1,000 digital businesses on its list of potential takeover targets. "It's the right moment because we have been building this business ... we continue to grow our top line, very healthy 29% top line growth in 2025": CEO Wayne Ting of e-bike and e-scooter rental company Lime told Yahoo Finance, "I do think the macro IPO market improving is a good tailwind," after parent Neutron (LIME 0.58%) had a lower-profile IPO the same day to reach a market cap of approximately $1.63 billion.
5. Most Retail Investors Have Never Heard of SEC Proposal That Would Cut Financial Information in Half
The Motley Fool surveyed 2,000 individual investors in June 2026 on the SEC's proposed Semiannual Reporting rule, open for public comment through Monday, July 6.
Read the full (free) report here
6. Today's Take: The View From the Top
When the market continuously sets new highs, speculative capital often pushes mediocre companies to expensive valuations, which makes a disciplined mindset more critical than ever.-- Rachel Warren Team Hidden Gems
While a market that keeps making new highs doesn't change my mindset, it does change my behavior. I'm willing to take some reasonably big risks if the payoff far outstrips the chance of irreversible loss. When markets start pricing some areas like wild success is a foregone conclusion, I look elsewhere.-- Karl Thiel Team Rule Breakers
7. Your Take Are you sitting on cash waiting for opportunities, or are you fully invested heading into the new month? What would need to happen for you to change your positioning – what's your trigger to deploy cash or take some off the table?
Discuss with friends and family, or become a member to hear what your fellow Fools are saying!
This image and article was created using Large Language Models (LLMs) based on The Motley Fool's insights and investing approach. It has been reviewed by our AI quality control systems. Since LLMs cannot (currently) own stocks, it has no positions in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, Micron Technology, and Qualcomm. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Outside of electricity and processing power, one of the biggest bottlenecks controlling the pace of the artificial intelligence infrastructure build-out is the amount of memory chips and data storage solutions available. Demand far exceeds supply right now, and that has allowed both Micron Technology (MU +0.85%) and Sandisk (SNDK 2.32%) to thrive.
Each offers different solutions, but both have been and can continue to be beneficiaries of the AI memory boom.
Image source: Getty Images.
The recent sell-off Before weighing these two stocks against each other, it's worth mentioning the recent volatility that AI stocks, particularly memory stocks, have experienced. There was no single primary piece of news that weighed on the companies; rather, a collection of news items likely put pressure on Micron and Sandisk.
One broad concern is that higher inflation will persist. That prospect is prompting some investors to rotate out of high-growth stocks ahead of anticipated interest rate hikes. For industry-specific news, SK Hynix, another memory company that has done well this year, started selling off on the Korean Exchange, which may have sparked the fear that has trickled into U.S. markets. Also, SK Hynix is planning to list on the Nasdaq with a $29 billion stock sale. That provides U.S. investors interested in the memory space with a competing option, and the funds SK Hynix raises will help it expand its production capacity. Both of those factors may have contributed to investors' worries over the outlooks for Micron and Sandisk.
In addition, there may be some concern due to the cyclicality that the chip sector is known for, as well as just a bit of profit-taking that's adding to the volatility. Both have also recovered somewhat from last week's slide. As of the close of trading on June 30, Micron stock was up 303% year to date, while shares of Sandisk were up around 856%.
All of that is worth monitoring, but none of those factors preclude either Micron or Sandisk from being worthy of consideration as a long-term investment. Micron, for instance, believes the current memory chip shortage will persist beyond 2027, and it has locked in 16 long-term contracts for its products. That provides it with stable, recurring revenues, which should help offset worries over the cyclicality of the memory market. Sandisk is also locking in deals, with three contracts signed in its fiscal 2026 third quarter providing total contractual revenue of $42 billion.
From a garage to a $1 trillion-plus market cap Outside of the fact that the garage where it began was not in Silicon Valley, Micron has a similar start-up story to many other long-established tech companies. Founded in 1978 in Idaho, Micron started as a four-person operation designing semiconductors.
It has been making memory and storage products since 1981, but relentless demand from data centers has been a game changer for the company. There has been such strong demand for the Micron products that are destined for AI servers that, in December, the company announced it would stop selling memory solutions for consumers to fully focus on the high-end data center market.
On June 24, it delivered its fiscal 2026 third-quarter report, and showed blowout top- and bottom-line figures. For the quarter, which ended May 28, Micron reported earnings per share (EPS) of $25.11 and revenue of $41.5 billion, easily beating EPS expectations of $20.78 and revenue expectations of $35.8 billion. What was particularly notable from the quarter was the performance from its cloud memory and core data center business units:
Cloud memory revenue fiscal Q3 2025: $3.3 billion Could memory revenue fiscal Q3 2026: $13.7 billion Core data center revenue fiscal Q3 2025: $1.5 billion Core data center revenue fiscal Q3 2026: $11.5 billion
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The spinoff success story SanDisk was originally an independent publicly traded company, but Western Digital bought it in 2016 to get into the flash memory business. However, it spun that business back off into the markets as Sandisk in February 2025. Micron has a broader data storage product suite, while Sandisk's flash memory is used for more long-term storage than DRAM. But just like Micron, Sandisk is also benefiting from AI data center demand.
Revenue from its data center division is skyrocketing, as well as from its edge segment, which is used in AI processing and intelligent devices. Those gains showed up clearly in its fiscal 2026 Q3, which ended on April 3.
Data center revenue fiscal Q3 2025: $197 million Data center revenue fiscal Q3 2026: $1.4 billion Edge revenue fiscal Q3 2025: $927 million Edge revenue fiscal Q3 2026: $3.6 billion For its fiscal Q4, Sandisk expects revenue to land in a range between $7.7 billion and $8.2 billion. That would be a large bump from the $1.9 billion it reported in fiscal Q4 2025. In fact, it would be higher than the $7.3 billion in revenue it reported for all of fiscal 2025.
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The winner of the AI memory battle Both stocks have skyrocketed over the last year, so expecting them to keep climbing as fast as they have up till this point is likely a recipe for disappointment. Both still have upside potential, but investors should keep their expectations reasonable.
With that in mind, based on traditional metrics, Micron is the better value. It has a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 7.5, while Sandisk's forward P/E is 31.7. The market is pricing in more upside for Sandisk, but it also has more earnings expectations to live up to.
Between the two, I would give the edge to Micron, as it can more easily surpass earnings expectations, has a more diversified product line, and operates a larger business. Micron generated $37.3 billion in revenue in its fiscal 2025, compared to $7.3 billion for Sandisk.
The story rippling through memory stocks this week began on CNBC’s Fast Money on June 29, where the panel dug into a report that Apple is trying to source memory chips from Chinese manufacturer CXMT. The company Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL | AAPL Price Prediction) wants to buy from is not yet on the US entity list, unlike YMTC, which already is.
For Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), whose Mobile and Client segment just did $11.521 billion in a single quarter, that is a shot across the bow.
An Apple exit would blow through Micron’s mobile book Micron’s fiscal Q3 2026 revenue landed at $41.456 billion, up 345.7% year over year, non-GAAP EPS at $25.11, and GAAP gross margin at 84.6% against 37.7% a year earlier. Guidance was, if anything, more startling. $50 billion in revenue and $31 in EPS for the next quarter. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra called out “multi-year Strategic Customer Agreements” that he said would make the earnings stream more durable, and the numbers, per the Q3 8-K press release, do back him up.
Now imagine Apple, the world’s most powerful buyer of LPDDR5X mobile memory, quietly pointing a slug of that demand at a Chinese fab that undercuts everyone on price. Apple sits on a $4.31 trillion market cap and, according to Tim Cook, is fighting through what he called a “100-year flood” in memory pricing. Cheaper Chinese chips solve his margin problem. They also punch a hole in Micron’s most consumer-exposed segment.
The cycle Carter Worth is worried about On the CNBC panel, Christina Partsinevelos made the counter-case that Micron’s real growth engine is high-bandwidth memory for AI training, which dwarfs iPhone DRAM in both dollar terms and margin. She noted that “just 3 years ago, Micron was losing money on every chip,” and now “gross margins are well above 80%.” That gap is the whole problem. Margins that fat are an invitation for every competitor with a fab to add capacity, and the host warned that “you could see this collapse and prices take effect way before supply hits the market.”
Carter Worth’s chart-based read was blunter. He flagged “4 instances since March where it’s dropped 20% within a 2-3 day period” and recommended trimming. Micron’s own tape agrees: shares are up 838.82% over the past year and were down 9.67% today alone. Polymarket’s most-traded contract for this week now shows a 50.5% probability of MU touching $1,020 and a 50% shot at $990, which is the crowd pricing in exactly the two-day flush Worth described.
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The CHIPS Act was built to prevent this exact deal Samsung and SK Hynix already control 60% of the memory market and are bringing capacity online at scale. SK Hynix lists in the US on July 10, with proceeds potentially funding China expansion. Micron’s answer, the fab in Clay, New York first announced in 2022, won’t be ready until 2030. That is the awkward part.
The $52 billion CHIPS Act was designed to keep advanced memory production onshore, and Apple sourcing from a Chinese supplier that has not yet been sanctioned undermines the whole premise. Once a customer of Apple’s scale qualifies CXMT, unwinding that relationship in any future entity-list expansion becomes a years-long problem.
What it means for the storage complex The read-through touches NAND, too. SanDisk (NASDAQ:SNDK) has ridden the same wave, up 857.84% year to date on datacenter NAND pricing, and Western Digital (NASDAQ:WDC) is up 271.05% YTD on HDD demand for AI training data. Both fell hard today alongside Micron. The AI thesis still holds. What shifted today is the market’s assumption that memory pricing has a floor Chinese supply cannot reach.
If Worth is right that Micron’s normalized gross margin looks a lot more like 29% than 84%, the cycle turns regardless. The live question is whether an Apple-CXMT handshake pulls that turn forward by a year.
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Morningstar is warning investors to brace for a reckoning in AI stocks, with memory-chip names sitting on the biggest gains facing the most downside. In a Bloomberg TV segment, Morningstar director of research Lorraine Tan warned that a large slice of AI names could give back 20% to 30% before they become buyable again. For holders of Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU | MU Price Prediction), the poster child of the rally, that raises an obvious question: is it time to lighten up?
The rally that scared Morningstar Memory has been the runaway trade of 2026. Micron is up 304.62% year to date and 838.82% over the past year, while SanDisk (NASDAQ:SNDK) has surged 857.84% YTD and Western Digital (NASDAQ:WDC) 271.05%. Semiconductor equipment maker Lam Research (Nasdaq: LRCX) has doubled, up 153.61%. Even AI bellwether NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA), tame by comparison at 7.42% YTD, has ridden a 26.81% gain over the past year.
Tan told Bloomberg that “stocks are priced for perfection. Although valuations seem stretched, people are buying into the optimism.” Her sharper concern was the pace of the move: “The explosiveness of the returns you saw in the second quarter it is a bit scary in that sense because the market is extrapolating for the strong growth to continue through 2028. We have our doubts there. We expect spending to taper off.” Asian equities had reversed early Q3 gains, with the MSCI Asia index down slightly after posting its strongest quarter in 17 years.
The memory reckoning Tan’s case rests on capacity. “The announcements from Samsung and SK Hynix, that will lead to what we think will be softer pricing. Essentially, the supply will catch up with demand. You will not see the same loftiness in growth rate on the pricing of memory chips, for example,” AI capex growth is expected to peak in 2026, with spending increases slowing materially through 2029.
That thesis hits Micron squarely. The company reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $41.46 billion, up 345.7% year over year, with non-GAAP EPS of $25.11 and GAAP gross margin of 84.6%. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra guided Q4 revenue to $50.0 billion and EPS to $31.00, framing multi-year Strategic Customer Agreements as cycle insulation (see the press release). SanDisk logged Datacenter revenue up 645% YoY to $1.47B, and Western Digital cleared 50% non-GAAP gross margin for the first time. Those are peak-cycle results, exactly the kind of loftiness Tan expects to normalize.
Micron currently trades at a trailing P/E of 26 and a forward P/E of 7. The consensus analyst target is $1,410.45, with 39 buy or strong-buy ratings against just 1 sell. Sell-side positioning runs directly counter to Tan’s caution.
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Equipment, foundries, and the consumer risk Lam Research is the pick-and-shovel play most levered to Samsung and SK Hynix capex. Q3 FY26 revenue reached $5.84 billion (+23.8% YoY), though shares trade at a trailing P/E of 82 and forward P/E of 55. If capex tapers after 2026, the multiple has room to compress.
Tan named Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE:TSM) among quality survivors she remains constructive on. TSMC reported May revenue of NT$416.98B, up 30.1% YoY, and CEO C.C. Wei is targeting more than 30% full-year revenue growth. Shares are up 57.94% YTD, a fraction of the memory move.
Tan flagged a second risk: consumer demand destruction feeding back into chips. “If you are in consumer or what I’m saying is, I think the demand for AI Services will remain relatively strong. At the end of the day, if the consumer says I’m not going to buy this or that good, I think that will blow through to the other segments of the industries that rely on chips.”
So is it time to sell Micron? Tan did not name Micron on Bloomberg, but her framing fits: “It could be big for some stocks that have gone up double, triple, whatever in the past couple months. We expect 20, 30% correction for a good percentage of the names we cover before they come into areas we think would be worth buying again.” She sees opportunity on the other side of that reset, and Micron’s forward P/E of 7 assumes current earnings power holds. Investors weighing that call should watch Samsung and SK Hynix supply additions, HBM4 pricing, and hyperscaler capex guidance into 2027.
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Micron Technology (MU 10.13%) is a candidate for stock of the year halfway through 2026. Its shares are trading up about 309% so far in 2026, making it the second-best performing stock in the S&P 500 (^GSPC 0.22%), trailing only Sandisk, another memory chipmaker. Its newfound success has also allowed it to join the $1 trillion valuation club.
But after the stock has quadrupled to start the year, there are obvious questions about how much upside is left. Let's take a look at Micron's business to see if its stock is one to buy now or one to avoid.
Image source: Getty Images.
Memory chip demand isn't slowing down Micron is caught in the middle of the biggest demand wave memory chip companies have ever seen. The data center build-out has required an immense amount of memory, and companies like Micron do not have nearly the capacity to meet demand. When there is a huge demand and low supply, prices skyrocket, and that's exactly what's driving Micron's stock price higher.
This increased demand isn't expected to resolve anytime soon, as Micron believes the memory chip supply crunch will persist beyond calendar year 2027. That means these elevated prices are here to stay, and even with Micron opening new production facilities in 2027, it still may not be enough to drive prices down.
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That creates a bullish environment for Micron's stock, and its finances back it up. During Q3 of fiscal year 2026 (ending May 28), Micron's revenue rose a jaw-dropping 346% year over year to $41.5 billion. For reference, Micron provided guidance for $33.5 billion. That's a huge guidance beat, but it's far from done. Next quarter, Micron expects $50 billion in revenue. Growth is clearly driving Micron's stock, and it's the major reason the stock was up so much following the announcement, but is there still room to run?
Since the quarter underway is Micron's Q4, I think it's best to start valuing the stock on fiscal year (FY) 2027 earnings, which would start in September. From that perspective, Micron's stock trades for a cheap 7.6 times forward earnings.
Data by YCharts.
The S&P 500 trades for 21.5 times forward earnings, and many big tech stocks can trade for far higher. That suggests Micron's stock could still have a long way to run, especially if the memory chip crunch persists beyond 2027.
As a result, I think investors can purchase Micron's stock now and still have solid gains over the next few years.
Micron (NASDAQ: MU) stock saw its biggest insider trade of 2026 when, on June 26, CEO Sanjay Mehrotra sold 4,000 MU shares, raising a total of just over $46 million.
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This signal is triggered upon the reporting of the trade to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
Additionally, the sale featured so many individual, smaller components that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) limitation of up to 30 ‘line-items’ means that it required two FORM 4 documents.
Thus, the first filing shows that the CEO dumped 28,506 Micron shares at an average price of $1,149 for a total of $32.76 million. The second document reveals that an additional 11,494 MU shares were sold at a slightly higher average price of $1,181, raising a total of $13.57 million.
Notably, while CEO Mehrotra is the company’s most prolific insider trader, the sales executed on June 26 and reported on June 30 eclipse all his previous activity in 2026.
Indeed, he made two stock dumps in May – worth roughly $21 million toward the beginning and $38.5 million toward the end of the month – and his other most recent selling was done as far back at November 2025 and raised a total of $3 million.
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This signal is triggered upon the reporting of the trade to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
What is next for Micron stock in 2026? Elsewhere, at least part of the rise in the size of insider trades can be linked directly to Micron stock’s performance in 2026. Specifically, after starting the year at $315.42and stagnating during the first quarter (Q1), MU experienced a rapid Q2 upsurge.
Indeed, the memory giant ended the most recent session – July 1 – at $1,032.28 for a 227.27% rally from the January 2 closing price.
Micron stock price YTD chart. Source: Google Still, the success has suddenly come under threat in the most recent 24 hours due to the implied bearish signal coming from Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META).
In a nutshell, Mark Zuckerberg’s company joined SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) in offering some of its artificial intelligence (AI) data center capacity to other businesses.
Though the move could help Meta raise additional cash and offset some of its rising expenditure, it implies that despite data center construction severely lagging relative to the initial announcements – at least as far as can be judged from publicly available information – there exists a gap between supply and demand.
Much of Micron stock’s Q2 rally was driven by the AI boom narrative and the company’s decision to abandon the consumer market in favor of ‘hyperscalers.’
Featured image via Shutterstock
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Investors are creatures of habit. They are influenced by behavioral finance, and their decisions are often driven by psychological factors, emotions, and cognitive biases. The result: choices that, in hindsight, could be regrettable.
That subjective decision-making was on full display last week, as the fear-driven semiconductor sell-off wiped out $2.7 trillion in market cap from some of the biggest winners over the past year.
But what we have learned is that those fears—warranted or not—have manifested before. And time and time again, the sellers are left on the sidelines as the tech sector bounces back.
Get Roundhill Memory ETF alerts:
The reality is that despite a series of all-time highs for the major indices, triple-digit gains for AI-leveraged stocks, and a concerning pattern of circular financing, the structural rally in memory chip makers remains intact.
Why Chip Stocks Sold Off Despite Strong AI DemandMarket contrarians have been on the lookout for the next bubble ever since the last one burst. But the ongoing AI-fueled bull market is not the same as the dot-com crash, which was notable for unsustainable valuations, untenable burn rates, and prioritizing growth over profitability.
Rather, the so-called AI bubble has proven to be multi-faceted and constantly evolving. And like any run-up in price, the latest pullback in chip stocks was less a symptom of an overextended market than it was a component of a healthy market cycle.
Still, jittery investors dumped shares over concerns about rising hardware input costs, debt spending, and ballooning CapEx.
Apple NASDAQ: AAPL, for instance, recently announced price hikes for Macs and iPads, directly attributing those increases to the memory chip shortage.
Gaming hardware is feeling the pressure as well. Microsoft NASDAQ: MSFT increased its XBOX console prices, and Nintendo OTCMKTS: NTDOY showed similar strain with a Switch 2 price increase set to take effect Sept. 1.
CapEx is another concern. A perceived rift between hyperscalers’ consumption and memory suppliers’ production has surfaced, with investors concerned about potential return-on-investment shortfalls.
Collectively, four of the biggest hyperscalers—Alphabet NASDAQ: GOOGL, Amazon NASDAQ: AMZN, Meta Platforms NASDAQ: META, and Microsoft—are on track to reach more than $700 billion in CapEx this year. But Wall Street isn’t convinced that that spending spree will materialize in earnings.
Analysts question whether that funding will result in near-term, high-margin revenue, given that those companies aren’t just paying for more hardware; they are paying vastly inflated prices. For example, during its Q3 FY2026 earnings call, Microsoft’s CFO Amy Hood disclosed that $25 billion of its projected $190 billion CapEx is being driven by component inflation rather than new capacity.
Still, even with trillions wiped out from memory chip market caps in June, the PHLX Semiconductor Index remains up more than 11% over the past month, nearly 99% year to date, and 157% over the past year. With the shortage forecast to last at least through 2028 while enjoying a compound annual growth rate of 11.6% through 2030, the recent pullback has proven to be a valuation correction rather than a breakdown in long-term demand.
The Proof in the Pudding for Micron and the Roundhill Memory ETFIn the first half of 2025, Micron Technology NASDAQ: MU was a little-known name. In Q1 FY2025, its market cap stood at just over $108 billion. Today, the company’s market cap is approximately $1.2 trillion, making it the 12th largest U.S.-listed company.
Micron has gained over 200% year-to-date and over 750% over the past 52 weeks. The company hasn’t missed on earnings since Q2 FY2023, and the company’s year-over-year earnings growth in Q3 FY2026 was over 1,358%.
Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) Price Chart for Thursday, July, 2, 2026
Still, the stock carries a consensus Buy rating, a 12-month price target of more than 20% from current prices, and Micron announced gross margins of nearly 85% and earnings per share of $25.11 when it reported Q3 results on June 24.
Importantly, during its earnings call, the company said it signed 16 strategic customer agreements covering data center, consumer, auto, and other markets, which it believes will transform its business model, showing that demand isn’t being driven solely by hyperscalers.
Meanwhile, one thematic exchange-traded fund (ETF) continues to prove June’s panic-sellers wrong.
Roundhill Memory ETF Today
DRAM
Roundhill Memory ETF
$65.86 -7.99 (-10.82%)
As of 07/1/2026 04:10 PM Eastern
52-Week Range$26.14▼
$81.34Assets Under Management$25.91 billion
Less than two weeks after making its debut, MarketBeat profiled the Roundhill Memory ETF BATS: DRAM.
The ETF was designed explicitly to provide targeted exposure to the memory chip industry.
Since its launch on April 2, the fund has gained over 130% despite the recent and sizable sell-off.
For context, over the same period, Alphabet—the best Magnificent Seven performer—gained less than 21%, underscoring the raw growth potential of memory chip makers, the ETFs that track them, and the individual and semiconductor stocks that are in their baskets.
DRAM holds Micron, SK Hynix (which recently filed for its NASDAQ IPO), and Samsung OTCMKTS: SSNLF, which together are three of the newest members of the trillion market cap club. Icing the cake, the ETF also owns Sandisk NASDAQ: SNDK, Western Digital NASDAQ: WDC, and Seagate Technology NASDAQ: STX.
Should You Invest $1,000 in Roundhill Memory ETF Right Now?Before you consider Roundhill Memory ETF, you'll want to hear this.
MarketBeat keeps track of Wall Street's top-rated and best performing research analysts and the stocks they recommend to their clients on a daily basis. MarketBeat has identified the five stocks that top analysts are quietly whispering to their clients to buy now before the broader market catches on... and Roundhill Memory ETF wasn't on the list.
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As MU stock was falling, President Trump posted on Truth Social calling Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU | MU Price Prediction) “one of the HOTTEST anywhere in the World” and celebrating a “HISTORIC $250 MILLION Investment in TRUMP ACCOUNTS” pledged by CEO Sanjay Mehrotra, tied to America’s 250th anniversary. He signed off with “THIS IS THE GOLDEN AGE OF AMERICA!”
However, the stock went down down 10.67% on the day.
That is a rare thing in markets. A sitting president singling out one company for a shower of praise usually moves the stock, at least for an afternoon. On Wednesday, it moved nothing.
Why a presidential endorsement moved the stock zero Micron came into today priced for something close to perfection. The stock is up 754% over the past year and 227% year to date, with a market cap sitting around $1.17 trillion. When a stock has already tripled in six months, the marginal buyer needs a reason bigger than a Truth Social post to chase it higher.
The Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings report on June 24 was that reason, and it already ran. Revenue landed at $41.456 billion, up 345.72% year over year, beating consensus by 17.60%. Non-GAAP EPS came in at $25.11 against a $20.28 estimate, the seventh consecutive beat. GAAP gross margin jumped to 84.6% from 37.7% a year earlier. Management guided Q4 to $50 billion in revenue and $31.00 in EPS.
You can read the press release exhibit filed with the SEC for the full breakdown. Investors bought the news the hour it hit and have been trimming ever since.
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What is actually driving Micron down today Memory chips are getting sold across the board. SanDisk (NASDAQ:SNDK) fell 9.91%, Western Digital (NASDAQ:WDC) dropped more than 10%, and other AI-adjacent names are lower. The semiconductor ETF iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SOXX) is coming off a 6.19% weekly gain, and today looks like the profit-taking day that inevitably follows a vertical move.
There is also insider tape to reckon with. Mehrotra sold $32.7 million of stock on June 26 under a 10b5-1 plan, with shares near a 52-week high. That is programmatic selling by rule, but at these prices it lands harder. Prediction markets on Polymarket priced the odds of a down day today at 98.5% before the open. Traders saw this coming.
What the Trump post actually adds to the thesis The $250 million commitment to Trump Accounts is a corporate goodwill gesture with political theater attached. It does not change the shape of Micron’s income statement. The thing that matters, and Mehrotra keeps saying it, is the shift to multi-year contracts. On the earnings call he told analysts that “the memory industry has been structurally transformed by the proliferation of AI” and that Micron has signed 16 Strategic Customer Agreements covering roughly 25% of total revenue over their terms, projected to reach approximately $100 billion in cumulative floor-price revenue across 14 of those deals.
Micron is also holding $22 billion in customer cash deposits and letters of credit against take-or-pay commitments. HBM4 shipments have already crossed $1 billion, and Mehrotra said the ramp is tracking twice as fast as HBM3E 12-high.
Micron’s fundamental case is intact, arguably strengthened, by the Q3 results and the SCA structure. What today shows is that stocks trading at trillion-dollar valuations after 800% runs need real capital flows, not applause. When the buyer of last resort is a president typing in all caps, the marginal seller wins.
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Kurv Investment Management's Howard Chan talks about his firm's KMEM ETF and how it offers investors exposure to global AI memory businesses. He then talks about memory's role in AI infrastructure by highlighting chipmakers Micron (MU), Samsung and SK Hynix.
A day after closing out a blockbuster three months on Wall Street, high-flying chip stocks suffered steep declines to open the third quarter.
Memory maker Micron dropped 11%, wiping out $138 billion of market cap. Intel fell 9% and rival chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices dropped 7%.
Those three stocks boomed in the second quarter, adding $2 trillion in combined value, as investors wagered that the artificial intelligence buildout would require an ever-increasing amount of memory as well as more central processors, rather than just the graphics processors made by Nvidia.
The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH), an index that tracks chip stocks, fell more than 5% on Wednesday, a day after closing out the fund's best quarter ever, jumping 71% from the start of April through the end of June.
Other big decliners on Wednesday included semiconductor equipment names Lam Research, KLA Corp. and Applied Materials which all more than doubled in the second quarter. They all fell at least 10%.
One drag on the market was a report that Meta, one of the biggest buyers of AI infrastructure, may be looking to rent out excess computing capacity. That raised fears that AI processing supply may be catching up to demand.
Meta is among a small group of so-called hyperscalers, internet companies that are spending hundreds of billions of dollars a year building out AI data centers. The move was viewed as a positive for Meta, which gained over 9% on Wednesday after a lackluster second quarter.
Analysts at KeyBanc Capital Markets who recommend buying the shares wrote in a note to clients that the move positions Meta "more into the enterprise side of the market, which could provide more immediate" return on investment.
Richard Saperstein, chief investment officer at Treasury Partners, said he would "stick with the hyperscalers" as the market recognizes their strength in the AI trade.
"Earnings are accelerating, yet multiples are compressing," Saperstein said on CNBC's "Closing Bell." "All I can attribute that to hyperscalers have been valued as capital intensive and asset-heavy versus asset-light."
Whatever concerns may be seeping into some of the infrastructure stocks, they have little to do with the most recent financial results. Micron last week reported a more than quadrupling of revenue in the latest quarter, while its gross margin, the profit left after accounting for the cost of goods sold, jumped to 84.9% in the third quarter from 39% a year earlier.
Momentum for leading artificial intelligence (AI) chip stocks has been incredibly bullish over the last year, and Micron Technology (MU 9.76%) has been one of the best-performing names in the category. Soaring demand for its high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips and other solutions has translated into stellar growth in unit sales that has pushed revenue higher, and increased pricing power has also lifted sales and driven big gains in profit margins.
Thanks to big gains in sales and earnings, Micron stock has been one of the market's biggest overall winners over the last year -- and it now has a market capitalization of roughly $1.29 trillion, ranking it as the world's 13th-largest publicly traded company. Read on for a look at what a $1,500 investment in the stock made one year ago would be worth at today's prices.
Image source: Getty Images.
Buying Micron stock a year ago would have been a great move As of this writing, Micron stock is up 820% over the last year of trading. That means that if you had invested $1,500 in the stock one year ago today and held on to your position, it would now be worth more than $13,800.
AI-related demand for memory chips has transformed the company's business, and the need for these chips was actually so strong that it caused the company to move out of providing memory solutions for the consumer market so that it could focus more of its design and production capacity on the far more profitable high-end, enterprise artificial intelligence market. The move has been paying off for the company in a big way, and it's possible that the supply-constrained environment for memory chips will allow the business to continue posting stellar sales and earnings growth, translating into more big wins for shareholders.
Keith Noonan has positions in Micron Technology. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Micron Technology. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
President Trump said that the U.S. chipmaker would make a significant donation to a new type of investment account for children created by the administration.