Micron Technology (MU -4.08%) has become a stock that retail investors love for its strong growth and cheap valuation, while institutional investors have grown increasingly cautious about its outlook. The latest investor to warn about Micron was Cathie Wood of Ark Investment Management, who said that while the current trend is up, memory cycles can be "viscous" and that increased competition from China could eventually upend the market.
If history is any guide, Micron could see its stock crash, and it could take decades to potentially recover.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Before its latest surge, Micron set its all-time high all the way back in the summer of 2000 before the dot-com bubble burst. The company saw soaring revenue and profits driven by a memory shortage that pushed up average selling prices. At the same time, demand for DRAM (dynamic random-access memory) was surging due to a huge PC cycle sparked by the end of Y2K, the internet, and the release of Windows 2000. NAND (flash) memory prices were also soaring due to rising demand for electronic devices and cellphones.
Back in early 2000, Micron's stock went parabolic before eventually crashing back to Earth, and it took roughly two decades for the stock to recover. In the end, it was just another example of the huge boom-and-bust cycles the stock and the industry has gone through over the years.
Micron stock has seen a similar parabolic rise this year, although it makes the 2000 surge look small in comparison. Thus, while the semiconductor stock appears extremely cheap based on near-term earnings, the question is whether this time will be different than memory cycles.
Premium Feature
Moneyball Superscore
91/100
Today's Change
(
-4.08
%) $
-38.91
Current Price
$
914.13
Is this memory cycle different? Micron is currently one of three big DRAM makers, along with Korean rivals Samsung and SK Hynix. Last quarter, it derived 73% of its revenue from DRAM and 26% from NAND. Together, these three companies control over 85% of the DRAM market.
In addition to the big three DRAM makers, Chinese company CXMT also produces DRAM, as does Taiwanese company Nanya. The NAND market, meanwhile, has more players, including Sandisk, Japanese company Kioxia, and Chinese company YMTC.
The memory cycle is currently being driven by high demand coming from the AI infrastructure build-out. AI chips, such as graphics processing units (GPUs), must be packaged with high bandwidth memory (HBM), a specialized form of DRAM, to reduce latency, while massive solid-state drives (SSDs) are needed to store training data. The big three memory makers, who have put most of their efforts and resources into HBM, have meanwhile caused conventional DRAM and NAND prices to skyrocket.
And this is what ultimately puts Micron and the whole memory trade at risk. While Micron is benefiting from huge HBM demand, conventional memory prices are what are driving the company's colossal revenue growth and gross margin expansion. By my estimate, Micron derives less than 10% of its revenue from HBM (an approximate 20% market share on a projected $54.6 billion market). This makes it very exposed to a pullback in ordinary DRAM and NAND prices.
While booming demand for HBM and memory companies signing longer-term contracts for the first time do make elements of the current memory cycle different than past ones, risks are also on the rise. CXMT has been increasing its DRAM capacity and taking market share, and it recently announced that it is making meaningful progress with more efficient chip designs. While it is very unlikely that any of its chips will be allowed in U.S. data centers, just increasing overall ordinary DRAM supply could have a big impact on conventional memory prices.
If increased DRAM and NAND supply, driven by increased capacity from China, leads to a big drop in conventional memory prices, I'd expect history to largely repeat itself, with Micron's stock crashing and never returning to prior highs. However, I don't think it will crash quite as far as in 2000, and that the company can remain profitable, unlike in past bust cycles. Still, I'd avoid this AI stock for now.
Nvidia, AMD and Micron stocks fell in Thursday pre-market trading as Wall Street's AI sell-off shifted from concerns about demand to questions over who can afford to keep financing the infrastructure boom. Nvidia slipped 1.8%, AMD dropped 2.5% and Micron lost 4%, while Nasdaq 100 futures fell about 1.3%.
Stock splits can help put companies with lofty ticker prices back on retail investors' radar. These days, Micron Technology (MU -4.08%), Microsoft (MSFT -1.80%), and Meta Platforms (META -3.27%) stand out as some of the trillion-dollar giants that could be next in line to split their stocks.
Image source: Getty Images.
Micron's soaring share price makes a strong case for a split
Let's start with the company carrying the highest share price of the group.
Micron has become one of the clearest potential candidates for a stock split amid the AI boom. The company has conducted three in its history, in 1994, 1995, and 2000. That offers a precedent that makes one more likely, especially with its share price far higher today than it was before any of those splits.
Premium Feature
Moneyball Superscore
91/100
Today's Change
(
-4.08
%) $
-38.91
Current Price
$
914.13
The business growth behind the rally is just as important. Micron's fiscal 2026 results showed record revenue and strong profitability, with the company pointing to AI-driven demand as its key growth engine. If that demand continues to support high earnings and investor interest, Micron's share price could continue to soar, making it a stronger candidate for a stock split.
A split wouldn't change Micron's total market cap. But the stock currently trades for around $940. If it rose a bit further to a four-figure share price, a hypothetical 5-for-1 split would turn a $1,000 share into five shares priced at roughly $200 each.
Microsoft has split its stock nine times, but not since 2003
Microsoft also hasn't split its stock in a long time. The company has completed nine stock splits since going public, but its most recent one was a 2-for-1 split in February 2003. According to Microsoft, its board approved that split to make the stock more accessible to a broader range of investors -- a common refrain among companies performing these manuevers.
Premium Feature
Moneyball Superscore
92/100
Today's Change
(
-1.80
%) $
-9.76
Current Price
$
533.69
That history puts the argument for another split on sounder footing. In fact, the company has grown from a software powerhouse into a major force in cloud computing and AI. Plus, Azure, Microsoft 365, and Copilot give it more ways to expand.
These days, rising adoption of AI is driving demand for cloud infrastructure and software that helps companies automate work. Microsoft can serve both needs through Azure and its growing suite of AI-powered tools. That means continued business growth that could support further gains in its share price -- currently above $540 -- and potentially put a stock split on the table.
Meta could make history with its first-ever stock split
Meta Platforms may be the most interesting stock-split candidate of this group because it has never performed one before. Shares are trading just under $750, giving management a reason to consider a split to make the stock and its options more affordable for retail investors.
Premium Feature
Moneyball Superscore
80/100
Today's Change
(
-3.27
%) $
-24.96
Current Price
$
737.54
Indeed, the case for such a move is compelling. Meta operates social media sites Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp, giving it a huge reach and a powerful advertising business. On top of that, its AI investments are improving advertising tools and content recommendations, as well as supporting new products.
For the second quarter, Meta reported 28% year-over-year revenue growth and highlighted AI as a key driver of the business.
If Meta continues to grow its advertising business and accelerate its revenue growth through AI, its share price could rise further, strengthening the case for a stock split. That milestone event for Meta would likely generate significant interest among retail investors.
Micron looks closest to a split, while Microsoft may wait longest
This all raises a natural question: Which of these three giants will split first?
Micron, Microsoft, and Meta each have compelling reasons to act. But their odds of acting aren't equal.
Micron looks most likely to go first. Its shares have the highest face value on the list and it has three previous splits under its belt. Meta could beat Micron to it, but as the only "Magnificent Seven" stock that has never split, it's the hardest to predict.
Microsoft, on the other hand, may wait the longest, since its share price is the lowest of the three.
Musk's customer-loyalty opinion comes ahead of guidance implying further sequential sales growth. Summary
Micron’s pricing strategy needs to preserve both repeat demand and operating profitability.
Micron Technology, the memory and storage-chip producer MU, faces a tougher investor test than winning Elon Musk's approval: turning customer goodwill into lasting profits. Shares traded at $922.53, down approximately 3.22% from the previous close, at 12.20pm EST during October 14 regular trading. According to 24/7 Wall St., Musk praised Micron's future memory pricing in an October 13 X post. That endorsement supports the customer-loyalty argument. It adds no new revenue forecast.
The financial hurdle is already high. Micron's September 30 earnings release reported fiscal fourth-quarter revenue of $54.229 billion, with operating margins of 76% in Cloud Memory and 85% in Core Data Center. Management guided the following quarter's revenue to $61.5 billion, plus or minus $1.5 billion. The midpoint requires roughly 13.4% sequential growth. Keeping customers happy must still deliver that growth while protecting profitability.
The valuation picture leaves little room for goodwill alone: the shares sit 18.26% above the displayed GF Value estimate of $780.09. That estimate is a valuation reference, not a guaranteed destination. Pricing restraint could strengthen repeat business, but investors need evidence that it preserves both demand and margins. The next scorecard is straightforward: revenue against guidance, segment profitability and cash generation. Musk's praise gets attention. Micron's execution must justify the premium.
Disclosures I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and have no plans to buy any new positions in the stocks mentioned within the next 72 hours.
Krilogy Financial LLC grew its holdings in Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU – Free Report) by 4.3% during the third quarter, according to its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The firm owned 38,897 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock after purchasing an additional 1,609 shares during the period. Micron Technology comprises 1.0% of Krilogy Financial LLC’s portfolio, making the stock its 20th largest holding. Krilogy Financial LLC’s holdings in Micron Technology were worth $38,470,000 as of its most recent SEC filing.
A number of other institutional investors and hedge funds have also recently added to or reduced their stakes in MU. Walker Asset Management LLC increased its holdings in shares of Micron Technology by 0.4% during the 3rd quarter. Walker Asset Management LLC now owns 3,116 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock valued at $3,318,000 after acquiring an additional 13 shares during the last quarter. RHS Financial LLC grew its holdings in Micron Technology by 66.5% in the 3rd quarter. RHS Financial LLC now owns 413 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock valued at $440,000 after buying an additional 165 shares during the last quarter. Mechanics Bank Trust Department boosted its position in shares of Micron Technology by 33.5% in the third quarter. Mechanics Bank Trust Department now owns 267 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock valued at $284,000 after acquiring an additional 67 shares during the period. Spartan Planning & Wealth Management grew its stake in shares of Micron Technology by 14.1% in the third quarter. Spartan Planning & Wealth Management now owns 1,630 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock worth $1,736,000 after acquiring an additional 202 shares during the last quarter. Finally, UNICOM Systems Inc. raised its stake in Micron Technology by 19.7% during the 3rd quarter. UNICOM Systems Inc. now owns 60,800 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock valued at $64,759,000 after purchasing an additional 10,000 shares during the last quarter. 80.84% of the stock is owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.
Insider Activity In related news, CEO Sanjay Mehrotra sold 40,000 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction on Friday, August 21st. The shares were sold at an average price of $968.90, for a total value of $38,756,000.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief executive officer directly owned 264,503 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $256,276,956.70. This trade represents a 13.14% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through the SEC website. Also, CAO Scott R. Allen sold 879 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction dated Thursday, July 23rd. The shares were sold at an average price of $1,000.00, for a total transaction of $879,000.00. Following the completion of the sale, the chief accounting officer owned 34,958 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $34,958,000. This trade represents a 2.45% decrease in their ownership of the stock. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. Insiders have sold a total of 95,879 shares of company stock worth $90,939,466 over the last three months. Corporate insiders own 0.24% of the company’s stock.
Micron Technology Stock Down 3.6% NASDAQ:MU opened at $953.19 on Wednesday. The company has a quick ratio of 2.94, a current ratio of 3.31 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03. The firm has a market capitalization of $1.08 trillion, a P/E ratio of 12.84, a P/E/G ratio of 0.17 and a beta of 2.22. The stock’s fifty day simple moving average is $984.44 and its 200-day simple moving average is $853.14. Micron Technology, Inc. has a 12-month low of $186.25 and a 12-month high of $1,255.00. Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU – Get Free Report) last posted its earnings results on Wednesday, September 30th. The semiconductor manufacturer reported $33.42 earnings per share for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $31.77 by $1.65. The company had revenue of $54.23 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $51.33 billion. Micron Technology had a net margin of 63.80% and a return on equity of 92.62%. The business’s revenue for the quarter was up 379.1% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same period last year, the business posted $3.03 earnings per share. Micron Technology has set its Q1 2027 guidance at 37.150-39.150 EPS. Equities research analysts expect that Micron Technology, Inc. will post 175.82 earnings per share for the current year.
Micron Technology Dividend Announcement The business also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, October 29th. Stockholders of record on Wednesday, October 14th will be given a dividend of $0.15 per share. The ex-dividend date of this dividend is Wednesday, October 14th. This represents a $0.60 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 0.1%. Micron Technology’s dividend payout ratio is currently 0.81%.
Wall Street Analyst Weigh In MU has been the topic of several recent research reports. Phillip Securities lifted their price objective on Micron Technology from $530.00 to $1,870.00 and gave the stock a “buy” rating in a report on Monday, June 29th. DA Davidson increased their price objective on Micron Technology from $2,100.00 to $3,000.00 and gave the stock a “buy” rating in a research note on Wednesday, October 7th. Arete Research lifted their price target on shares of Micron Technology from $852.00 to $1,500.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a report on Tuesday, July 21st. President Capital raised their price objective on shares of Micron Technology to $1,500.00 and gave the stock a “buy” rating in a report on Friday, July 17th. Finally, Barclays increased their target price on Micron Technology from $1,175.00 to $2,000.00 and gave the stock an “overweight” rating in a report on Thursday, June 25th. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, forty-one have assigned a Buy rating and four have issued a Hold rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat, the company presently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus target price of $1,407.88.
Get Our Latest Research Report on MU
Micron Technology News Roundup Here are the key news stories impacting Micron Technology this week:
Positive Sentiment: Micron’s board increased its share-repurchase authorization to approximately $35 billion, potentially supporting earnings per share and signaling management’s confidence in long-term cash generation. Why Is Micron Stock Rising Today? Positive Sentiment: Investors and commentators highlighted Micron’s multi-year customer agreements, which provide substantial visibility into future demand, while more than 75% of fiscal 2027 output is reportedly committed. AI-related demand and the planned HBM4 ramp could also support pricing and margins. Jim Cramer on Semiconductor Stocks Positive Sentiment: Recent results remain exceptionally strong: fiscal fourth-quarter revenue rose roughly 379% year over year to $54.23 billion, while adjusted EPS exceeded expectations. Rosenblatt reaffirmed a Buy rating with a $1,900 target, and other analysts argued that the stock’s low forward valuation may underestimate the durability of the AI memory cycle. Micron Valuation Analysis Neutral Sentiment: The central debate is whether Micron’s unusually high current profits represent a sustainable structural shift or a cyclical peak. Low forward earnings multiples look attractive, but they also reflect investor concerns that memory pricing and margins could eventually normalize. Negative Sentiment: China’s ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) reported progress on a denser “4F square” DRAM design and plans to target server memory. The development raised fears that additional supply could weaken Micron’s pricing power, particularly in its most profitable products. Micron Stock and China Competition Negative Sentiment: Broader semiconductor selling, profit-taking after a major rally, and warnings about China’s manufacturing capabilities added pressure. A potential labor dispute at Micron’s Taiwan operations, a $600 million patent settlement, and recent insider selling contributed to concerns about execution and future cash flow. (Free Report)
Micron Technology, Inc is a semiconductor company that develops and manufactures memory and storage solutions. Its product portfolio includes dynamic random-access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, three-dimensional XPoint-related technologies, solid-state drives, and high-bandwidth memory products designed for demanding computing applications.
The company serves customers across the data center, artificial intelligence, networking, automotive, industrial, mobile, consumer electronics, and embedded markets.
See Also Five stocks we like better than Micron Technology A Chinese Rival Just Spooked Memory Stocks—How Worried Should Micron Investors Be? Could T-Mobile’s Satellite Competition Fears Create a Buying Opportunity? Surgical Precision, Sustainable Returns: Johnson & Johnson Secures Its Cash Flow Runway Tesla’s Robotaxi Lands in Paris—But Europe’s Real Fight Is Over Cheap EVs
Receive News & Ratings for Micron Technology Daily - Enter your email address below to receive a concise daily summary of the latest news and analysts' ratings for Micron Technology and related companies with MarketBeat.com's FREE daily email newsletter.
A surprise jump in consumer prices just flipped the Fed's playbook for October, and stocks, yields, and rate-hike odds all moved fast. Here is what the morning data means for your portfolio before the opening bell.
The S&P 500 is headed for a lower open because September consumer prices came in higher than forecast. The report pushed Treasury yields up and put another Federal Reserve rate hike back in play for this month. Premarket trading in funds that track the S&P 500 was down 0.3%. Even after a choppy week, the S&P 500 proxy is still up 14% year to date.
Premarket Snapshot Before the Bell
Index
Latest Reading
Basis
S&P 500
-0.3%
Delayed premarket ETF proxy
Nasdaq Composite
-0.15% to 27,204
Tuesday close (the Nasdaq-100 proxy is -0.6% premarket)
Dow
-0.2%
Delayed premarket ETF proxy
Russell 2000
-1.1%
Delayed premarket ETF proxy
VIX
15.21, up 0.37
Monday close
Hot CPI Revives October Hike Odds
Consumer prices rose 3.7% from a year earlier, up from 3.4% in August and above the 3.6% economists expected. Core inflation also came in above forecasts. Most traders had expected the Fed to hold off on its next hike until December. After the report, they raised the odds of a move this month.
That matters because the Fed already lifted its upper target to 4% from 3.75% in September. The 10-year yield, which closed Tuesday at 5.2%, rose this morning. Higher yields hit small caps hardest because many of those companies carry floating-rate debt. That helps explain why the Russell 2000 proxy is down 5% over the past month.
Banks and Memory Chips Move Stocks
Bank of America (NYSE:BAC | BAC Price Prediction) fell before the open after its profit disappointed, even excluding a $1.2 billion fine. BlackRock (NYSE:BLK) rose after reporting record assets.
Chipmakers are still weighing on tech. Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) lost 3.6% Tuesday on reports of technology advances at Chinese memory maker CXMT. The PHLX chip index has fallen more than 8% in five sessions, and memory stocks extended their declines this morning.
What the Inflation Report Means for Your Portfolio
Analysts expect S&P 500 third-quarter earnings to rise over 30%. Those strong expectations have pulled the index’s forward valuation below 19 times expected earnings, the lowest since 2023. Today’s CPI report tests whether that earnings growth can outrun rising rates. The rally is also narrow: the median S&P 500 stock is up less than 5% this year. For index investors, a few AI names are carrying most of your gains (we highlighted seven of the lesser-known suppliers powering that expansion, from power to cooling, in a free report you can grab here).
Wall Street’s fear gauge, the VIX, measures how much volatility options traders expect from the S&P 500. Near 15, it sits in its normal range, so traders are pricing in caution.
Next Catalysts on the Calendar
Over the next few days, watch the Fed’s October decision, which is now in doubt, and how bank and chip stocks trade as more earnings come.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Nvidia (NVDA -3.04%) and Micron Technology (MU -2.78%) are two of the stock market's biggest artificial intelligence (AI) success stories. Nvidia dominates AI accelerators, while Micron is benefiting from extraordinary demand for memory chips. Both companies have delivered remarkable growth, rewarding investors who recognized their opportunities early.
But as Wall Street looks toward 2027, another semiconductor stock could be preparing for its breakout moment. Marvell Technology (MRVL -6.04%) has already rallied on enthusiasm surrounding custom AI chips and advanced networking.
However, the company's latest investor day projections, a lucrative partnership with Nvidia, and an expanding relationship with Alphabet suggest something more substantial than hype. As investors look beyond the obvious AI winners, Marvell could attract considerably more attention.
Image source: Getty Images.
Marvell covers two enormous AI markets
Marvell isn't trying to replace Nvidia's GPUs or compete with Micron's memory solutions. Instead, the company focuses on two increasingly important components of AI infrastructure: custom silicon and high-speed connectivity.
Custom accelerators allow hyperscalers to design processors specifically optimized for certain workloads. Meanwhile, optical networking and interconnect technologies help move enormous quantities of data between chips, servers, and data centers.
During its recent investor day conference, Marvell estimated its total addressable market (TAM) could approach $400 billion by calendar 2030. Management outlined approximately $37 billion in interconnect revenue and roughly $30 billion from custom silicon by fiscal year 2031. This forecast reflects expectations for annualized growth of approximately 65% and 80%, respectively, across the two businesses.
Premium Feature
Moneyball Superscore
88/100
Today's Change
(
-6.04
%) $
-16.23
Current Price
$
252.50
Nvidia and Google endorsed Marvell
Back in March, Nvidia invested $2 billion in Marvell. The deal helped establish a strategic partnership focused on connecting custom AI processors with Nvidia's computing and networking ecosystem. The relationship focuses on NVLink Fusion, which allows AI developers to integrate specialized processors into Nvidia-based racks.
This is important because it positions Marvell as a beneficiary of the broader data center build-out rather than simply a competitor to Nvidia. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's willingness to invest in Marvell provides a meaningful endorsement of its technology.
In addition, Marvell's expanding relationship with Alphabet involves developing custom silicon supporting Google Cloud's AI infrastructure, including chips that complement its Tensor Processing Unit (TPU) ecosystem.
Specifically, Google received warrants tied to as much as $120 billion in potential chip purchases through fiscal 2033. While this isn't guaranteed revenue, it still illustrates the enormous scale of the relationship and the importance of Marvell's position in the AI chip value chain.
Why 2027 could be Marvell's breakout year
For years, memory and storage were viewed as commodity products. For this reason, memory stocks have had to fend off a narrative that they operate in cyclical markets. As AI infrastructure spending continues accelerating, investors are starting to realize that GPUs were only part of the equation. Memory and storage are now essential bottlenecks, sending shares of companies like Micron and Sandisk soaring.
Marvell could experience a similar shift in investor perception in 2027. The reason boils down to how AI spending is evolving. Hyperscalers aren't simply procuring more GPUs. They're building increasingly complex accelerated computing systems that require faster networking, greater bandwidth, and specialized processors designed for particular workloads.
As generative models become more sophisticated and inference deployments expand into new applications, efficiently moving data between processors becomes increasingly important. This is precisely where Marvell's optical networking, interconnect technologies, and custom silicon expertise converge.
Unlike some semiconductor companies waiting for future design wins, Marvell already has major customer programs underway. To get a grasp of how these relationships are impacting Marvell, consider that the company raised its fiscal 2028 revenue target from $18 billion to $20 billion. Importantly, Marvell's fiscal 2028 begins in early 2027 and ends in January 2028 -- meaning the majority of this projected growth will unfold during calendar 2027. Looking even further ahead, management expects total revenue of $70 billion to $90 billion in fiscal 2031. At the midpoint, that's nearly 10 times what Marvell generated during fiscal 2026.
This growth trajectory is why 2027 could represent the inflection point for Marvell. Nvidia has already established itself as the dominant platform for AI factories. Meanwhile, Micron continues to demonstrate the importance of high bandwidth memory and advanced DRAM. Marvell is approaching a period where its own revenue growth could make the importance of connectivity and custom silicon impossible to overlook. For growth investors looking for the next AI semiconductor breakout story, I consider Marvell stock an attractive long-term buy.
A memory kit that cost about $191 a year ago now runs $1,118, up 485%, according to the website Tom's Hardware, and that's just one data point behind a brutal October: PC shipments tumbled more than 20% in the third quarter as laptop and desktop makers got priced out of the same memory that data centers are now hoarding.
That's what a memory shortage actually looks like in practice. You hear a lot of talk about such a shortage on earnings calls or in tech news segments, but what does that really mean?
It means real tech products are getting more expensive or simply not being built. Whatever chipmaker controls that scarce supply gets to name the price, and right now, it seems like it's the artificial intelligence (AI) companies that can do it.
The question worth asking isn't which AI company has the flashiest model. It's which one owns something scarce when demand exceeds what factories can produce.
Image source: Getty Images.
How prices are moving, and why
According to the website TrendForce, conventional DRAM contract prices jumped roughly 90% to 95% in the first quarter of 2026, with NAND flash memory climbing 55% to 60% over the same stretch. And suppliers have been warning customers to brace for further monthly increases heading into year-end.
SK Hynix (SKHY -5.54%) told investors that its memory capacity is essentially sold out for 2026. That's not a glitch in the supply chain; it's a deliberate choice.
Micron Technology (MU -3.43%), SK Hynix, and Samsung Electronics (SSNLF +0.00%), which together control more than 95% of global DRAM production, have been redirecting wafer capacity away from ordinary memory chips and toward high-bandwidth memory (HBM).
Today's Change
(
-5.54
%) $
-8.71
Current Price
$
148.36
AI talk can get really confusing and jargon-heavy. Basically, the three companies that make almost all the world's memory chips looked at two options: either build dumb, everyday memory chips cheap and in bulk, like they always have, or build the fancier, pricier memory chips that AI data centers are desperate for.
And they chose to lean hard into the second option instead of racing to build more factories, like they've done in past boom cycles. It's a smart financial choice because AI is where the money is these days.
Who holds the pricing power?
Micron sits at the center of this story as the only major U.S.-based memory maker, which is exactly why its own numbers now read like the rest of this sector's. Sandisk (SNDK -4.47%) tells perhaps the starkest version: Its gross margin hit 78.4% last quarter, a figure that belongs to a software company, not a chip manufacturer.
Premium Feature
Moneyball Superscore
91/100
Today's Change
(
-3.43
%) $
-32.68
Current Price
$
920.36
It seems this is a direct result of NAND scarcity rather than any special differentiation in what Sandisk actually makes. SK Hynix now trades in the U.S. as well, with its American depositary receipts beginning trading on the Nasdaq stock exchange in July. All three are, for now, in the rare position of selling a commodity that behaves like a luxury good.
Western Digital (WDC -3.40%) deserves a spot here, but with somewhat of an asterisk. Storage demand swings more with the broader economy than pure memory does, so even amid today's shortage, Western Digital's fortunes remain more tied to big-company budgets than do those of Sandisk or Micron.
Premium Feature
Moneyball Superscore
81/100
Today's Change
(
-4.47
%) $
-66.24
Current Price
$
1,416.09
Nvidia (NVDA -3.04%) earns its own asterisk for the opposite reason: It benefits enormously from AI demand, but it also needs a steady, affordable supply of HBM to build its own chips, which means the same shortage lifting memory makers' margins is simultaneously a cost and availability risk sitting inside Nvidia's own supply chain.
Who's getting squeezed?
Apple (AAPL +1.16%) is where this shortage turns from an abstraction into a real number. DRAM costs for its next flagship iPhone are projected to roughly triple, according to Fortune, with memory potentially climbing from around 10% of an iPhone's component cost today to more than 45% by 2027.
The company has already guided for a lower gross margin for a recent quarter, specifically citing rising memory costs, and estimates suggest it would need to raise iPhone pricing by hundreds of dollars just to hold its margin steady, a trade-off with no comfortable answer, according to the British management consultancy EBC Research.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI -6.46%) is feeling this even more acutely since it builds AI servers packed with exactly the memory everyone's fighting over, with thinner purchasing power than larger rivals to cushion the blow. Its gross margin swung wildly through 2026 as memory and tariff costs moved in and out of its favor.
So what does this actually mean for an investor watching from the sidelines? Mostly that the clock matters as much as the picks themselves. New chip fab capacity isn't expected to arrive in meaningful volume until late 2027 at the earliest, with real relief more likely in 2028 or 2029, according to memory executives, including Micron's CEO. Until new supply physically exists, this remains a story about which companies absorb higher costs and which profit from them.
Memory stocks, including Micron Technology MU, SK Hynix and SanDisk, traded lower on Wednesday as hotter-than-expected US inflation and persisting concerns about Chinese semiconductor manufacturer CXMT pressured the sector.
Micron shares fell around 1.6%, while SK Hynix declined 3.5% and SanDisk dropped 3%.
The S&P 500 technology index was trading at its lowest level in more than two weeks, while the broader S&P 500 fell around 0.7% and the Nasdaq Composite declined approximately 0.9%.
The broader semiconductor sector has also remained under pressure lately as investors weigh the implications of higher interest rates and potential constraints on artificial intelligence spending.
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell around 2% on Wednesday and has lost approximately 7% over the past five sessions.
The latest weakness in technology shares came after US consumer prices accelerated in September, driven partly by a surge in gasoline costs.
The inflation report prompted traders to increase their expectations of an interest rate hike this month, adding another source of uncertainty for growth-sensitive stocks.
According to LSEG-compiled data, markets were pricing in a 46% probability of a quarter-percentage-point rate increase in October, compared with 21.6% before the inflation figures were released.
Higher interest rates can weigh on technology stocks by increasing the discount rate applied to future earnings and making investments in riskier assets less attractive.
For semiconductor companies, the concern comes alongside questions about whether the enormous investment in AI infrastructure can continue at its current pace.
Meanwhile, memory stocks continue to be pressured by progress by China's ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) in developing a next-generation memory cell architecture.
CXMT President Cao Kanyu told an industry conference that the company had achieved a key advance in a technology known as 4F-squared.
The architecture could allow more memory cells to fit on a chip of the same size as the existing 6F-squared structure.
The Chinese chipmaker plans to introduce a new server-memory product based on the technology by the end of 2026, according to a company statement.
The announcement raised concerns about the pace at which Chinese manufacturers could improve their technological capabilities and potentially challenge established memory producers with lower-cost products.
Micron has lost about 13% over the past five trading sessions, and SK Hynix has fallen more than 14% as the concerns have ceased to abate.
Morningstar equity analyst Jing Jie Yu said the announcement had disrupted investor expectations about technology development timelines and heightened concerns about the accelerating pace of Chinese innovation.
“If the company can commercialize this technology ahead of its peers, it speaks volumes to China’s DRAM technological competitiveness and raises risks of oversupply longer term given the country’s rapid expansion in DRAM capacity,” he said.
However, analysts have cautioned against interpreting CXMT's progress as evidence that South Korean memory manufacturers are losing their technological advantage.
Memory producers can improve productivity per wafer through several methods without changing their underlying cell architecture.
Restrictions imposed by the US on China's access to semiconductor manufacturing equipment could also complicate CXMT's efforts to advance its production capabilities.
“Korean companies have some easy methods they can use, and once those are exhausted, they'll have to start tackling the more difficult ones. But with CXMT, the US has imposed restrictions preventing the sale of equipment, so there are no easy solutions,” CW Chung, a senior analyst at Nomura based in Hong Kong, said in a Nikkei Asia report.
“Since there's no easy solution, the company is now resorting to stopgap measures, either multi-patterning or trying to adopt this 4F-squared technology a bit sooner.”
Another important distinction is that CXMT's latest announcement primarily concerns conventional DDR5 server memory rather than high-bandwidth memory (HBM), which has become increasingly important to AI infrastructure.
"That's an important distinction because HBM is becoming one of the most valuable parts of the memory industry, with Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix benefiting from enormous AI demand," said Melvin, Milk Road analyst.
The distinction matters even more for SanDisk, which has been caught in the selloff even though it primarily manufactures NAND flash memory, not DRAM.
The stock has lost 14% in the last five trading sessions.
Analysts say near-term investment case remains unchangedDespite the market reaction, some analysts believe CXMT's announcement does not materially alter the near-term outlook for established memory producers.
Mizuho TMT specialist Jordan Klein said the latest development did not change the investment case for Micron, SanDisk, SK Hynix or Samsung Electronics.
“I would not be selling or in a panic if I owned MU, SNDK, SKHY or Samsung over comments yesterday by CXMT sr mgmt. about their new advanced DDR5 design roadmap. To me this changed nothing near term. Something to watch and monitor closely, but that is about it,” Klein wrote in a note to clients.
For investors, the immediate challenge is separating the potential long-term competitive threat from China's expanding memory industry from the near-term earnings outlook of established producers.
While CXMT's technological progress could have implications for competition and future supply, the distinction between conventional server memory and HBM remains important as AI demand continues to shape the industry's investment outlook.
Key Takeaways Micron & Sandisk offer buying opportunities despite a memory stock sell-off fueled by China's CXMT advances.MU's strong HBM demand, rising NAND sales and long-term customer agreements support its AI-driven growth.SNDK's AI storage demand and $93.9B in long-term agreements strengthen its revenue visibility.
Memory stocks are facing fresh selling pressure since Monday as investors question the sustainability of artificial intelligence (AI)-related spending and worry about rising competition. The latest trigger came from China’s ChangXin Memory Technologies, which reported progress over the weekend on a new DRAM architecture that it claims could boost memory density by 30-50%, allowing more data to be stored in the same physical space.
The market reaction has been sharp. Per CNBC, SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics dropped more than 10% and 7%, respectively, yesterday in Seoul. Both touched their lowest levels since August.
In the United States, Micron Technology (MU - Free Report) , Sandisk Corporation (SNDK - Free Report) , Seagate Technology Holdings (STX - Free Report) and Western Digital Corporation (WDC - Free Report) have also come under pressure. Over the past two trading sessions, shares of Micron, Sandisk, Seagate and Western Digital fell 4.4%, 6.2%, 4.5% and 4.1%, respectively, reflecting growing nervousness across the memory sector. Investors were already worried about how AI spending is being financed, so the CXMT news landed on a fragile market.
However, the sell-off may be getting ahead of itself. Although CXMT’s technological progress could intensify competition over time, the company still needs to prove that it can manufacture its chips at scale. Legacy memory makers still hold a technological lead over CXMT.
For investors, this pullback could present an opportunity rather than a reason to panic. Micron and Sandisk are worth buying now on the recent dip, as both are set to benefit from continued demand for memory and storage driven by AI infrastructure.
Let’s assess why these two stocks still offer attractive opportunities despite the recent volatility.
MicronMicron closed fiscal 2026 on a strong note, with record revenues, high margins and strong cash generation. The outlook is even more striking. The company expects fiscal first-quarter 2027 revenues of $61.5 billion (plus or minus $1.5 billion) and adjusted earnings of $38.15 per share (plus or minus $1), implying roughly 351% revenue growth and 698% earnings growth from a year ago.
HBM revenues grew faster than Micron’s total revenues in the fiscal fourth quarter, and the company has already contracted most of its 2027 HBM supply at significantly higher prices. Its HBM4 ramp is progressing, and it is working with NVIDIA on a custom HBM4E solution. NAND is a second engine, with data center SSD revenues approaching $10 billion in the fiscal fourth quarter, more than 10 times the year-earlier level, as uses like KV-cache offload widen demand for fast storage. Further out, autonomous vehicles and humanoid robots should need far more memory and storage than today’s devices.
Micron is also trying to make this boom more durable. It has signed 26 Strategic Customer Agreements, which are expected to account for more than 35% of revenues through 2030. Customer financial commitments have risen to $32 billion, mostly as cash deposits. That could soften the industry’s usual boom-and-bust swings. New capacity is coming from the United States, Singapore, Japan and Taiwan, with Singapore HBM packaging due to start in early 2027 and the ID1 fab in mid-2027. Risks remain, including heavy capital spending and slower price increases, but fundamentals suggest that the long-term story is intact.
MU currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and has a VGM Score of A.
SandiskSandisk has become one of the biggest winners of the AI memory boom, and since its separation from Western Digital it offers a more direct way to invest in demand for NAND flash and data storage. The reason lies in how AI is changing storage needs. As inference and agentic AI generate more data that must be stored, retrieved and served with low delay, NAND is becoming central to architectures built around KV cache and RAG. Sandisk is scaling its datacenter business accordingly, widening its enterprise SSD range and moving toward QLC products. It now expects 2026 datacenter exabyte growth in the mid-70% range. It believes demand keeps rising on a rolling basis, and sees the enterprise datacenter flash market reaching about 1.2 zettabytes by 2030.
What sets Sandisk apart is its effort to escape NAND’s usual swings in spot prices. Its eight New Business Model agreements are expected to cover more than half of its bits in fiscal 2027 and roughly two-thirds in fiscal 2028. At floor pricing, the signed deals represent at least $93.9 billion in revenues.
For fiscal first-quarter 2027, Sandisk expects revenues of $10.3 billion to $10.8 billion, up from $8.97 billion recorded in the last reported quarter. With multi-year agreements providing visibility and AI inference driving storage demand, the company looks well placed for the years ahead.
SNDK currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 and has a VGM Score of A.
Memory chip stocks, including Micron Technology, Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, have been battered several times this year by reports of technological advances at China's ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). Investors fear the Chinese chipmaker could eventually erode the competitive advantage enjoyed by the industry's leading players, whose shares have soared amid the artificial intelligence boom.
Micron (MU) stock investors overreacted to news this week that China's CXMT had made "key progress" on a new type of memory chip, a Wall Street analyst said.
Rosenblatt Securities analyst Kevin Cassidy said the news, which caused a sell-off in memory chip stocks, was "overblown."
↑
X
Indexes Drift Lower Ahead Of Inflation Report: AMD, CAKE, URBN In Focus
Alissa Coram and Ken Shreve walk through Tuesday’s market action with a discussion of key stocks to watch in Stock Market Today.
0 seconds of 23 minutes, 27 secondsVolume 0%
Press shift question mark to access a list of keyboard shortcuts
AI Cyber Threat Sparks Stock Boom. One Analyst Reveals The Must-Own Plays.
16:23
00:00
23:27
23:27
NOW PLAYING
Indexes Drift Lower Ahead Of Inflation Report: AMD, CAKE, URBN In Focus
"The reaction overstates the near-term competitive threat and overlooks the structural changes reshaping DRAM demand," Cassidy said in a client note late Tuesday.
On Monday, news reports said CXMT plans to begin selling a new server-memory product based on its "4F square" structure by the end of 2026. The chip uses a new cell architecture to boost memory density for dynamic random-access memory, or DRAM.
Cassidy called CXMT a "paper tiger," saying it doesn't pose a significant threat to Micron or peer SK Hynix (SKHY). He reiterated his buy ratings on Micron stock and SK Hynix stock.
CXMT is a long way from scaling production and yields for the new type of chip, he said.
"CXMT's presentation does not establish manufacturing yields or wafer volumes," Cassidy said. "New architectures can face substantial initial yield challenges. Without those disclosures, a product-launch target provides limited evidence of competitive, high-volume economics."
Micron Continues To Retreat
Meanwhile, the artificial intelligence megatrend continues to provide tailwinds for the memory chip business, he said.
In premarket trades on the stock market today, Micron stock dropped more than 2% to 931.50. SK Hynix stock fell more than 4% to 150.64.
On Tuesday, the SOX dropped as much as 3.1% in intraday trading before closing down just 0.2%. Still, it was the index's fifth consecutive down session.
SOX component Micron is on the IBD Tech Leaders stock list.
Follow Patrick Seitz on X at @IBD_PSeitz for more stories on consumer technology, software and semiconductor stocks.
YOU MAY ALSO LIKE:
Chip-Gear Giant ASML Posts Mixed Q3 Results, Guides Up
ASE Technology, IBD Stock Of The Day, Holds In Buy Zone Ahead Of Q3 Earnings Report
Discover Profitable Trades Each Day With MarketDiem. See How.
Find Winning Stocks With MarketSurge Pattern Recognition & Custom Screens
Join IBD Live For Stock Ideas Each Morning Before The Open
Chip stocks are sliding hard, but Jim Cramer says investors are watching the wrong signal entirely. The real tell has nothing to do with the semiconductor index, and the data buried in Micron's latest filing may prove he's right.
Chip stocks opened Wednesday under pressure. Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU | MU Price Prediction) traded at $940.76 in the premarket. That was down 1.3% on the session and 10.0% over the past week. Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) traded at $228.00 premarket, down 0.2% and still off 4.5% for the week. On Mad Money on October 13, Jim Cramer said, “The semiconductor index has now fallen 7.22% in these last six days. That’s the longest losing streak since May of last year.”
That evening, two different CNBC programs looked at the selloff and reached the same conclusion: it shows nervousness, and the demand data still points up.
Cramer Says to Watch the Showroom Instead of the Index Cramer opened by explaining why U.S. names are trading on what happens overseas: “SK Hynix is so big that it’s become the key to the semiconductor solar system. Not Nvidia. SK Hynix.” When Korean memory giant SK Hynix (NASDAQ:SKHY) slips, Micron gets pulled down with it.
Cramer then addressed the China DRAM fear, which grew after Elon Musk flagged a China chip threat on Tuesday: “If the Chinese competition were so serious, why would anyone take these long-term leases? Are they idiots?” He also told investors what to watch: “Before you decide to bail from the semis because you can’t take the pain, see the showroom. Go see where these chips are really used. Don’t watch the semiconductor index, watch the devices, watch the business.”
Micron’s Contracts Back Up the Argument Micron’s fiscal fourth-quarter results illustrate what that business looks like. Revenue came in at $54.23 billion, ahead of the $50.97 billion consensus. Non-GAAP EPS of $33.42 beat the $31.35 estimate, according to its earnings release filed with the SEC. Non-GAAP gross margin reached 87.0%, compared with 45.7% a year earlier.
The long-term leases Cramer mentioned show up in the filing. Micron has signed 26 take-or-pay strategic customer agreements, which it estimates cover “over 35% of our revenue through 2030.” Customers have committed $32 billion, most of it as cash deposits. Remaining performance obligations total about $150 billion. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra said that “more than 75% of our output is already committed for 2027.”
Nvidia’s numbers show the same thing from the buyer’s side. It reported extreme pricing conditions in memory, and its supply obligations rose to $279.0 billion, mostly tied to memory for Vera Rubin production.
Fast Money Reached the Same Conclusion On October 13, CNBC’s Fast Money described the selloff this way: “Investors should recognize the difference between weather and climate. The weather piece here is this nervousness. There is no magic bullet. No magic bullet around memory, no magic bullet around frontier models. Just knowing that piece should be somewhat reassuring.”
Also on Fast Money, Gene Munster of Deepwater Asset Management said, “In five years there’s going to be dramatically more agents. Agents run on tokens. Tokens are inference. Inference is memory. So the best memory to buy in my mind is Micron.”
What Would Prove the Bulls Wrong Micron’s drop needs to be considered against how far it ran. The stock is still up 234.0% year to date, even after the past week’s decline. Shares were at $1,071.88 when results came out and were trading below $960 apiece at last look.
Management has also flagged its own risks. Some server platforms may see a “modestly lower rate of content growth than prior expectations,” and the company expects a “more moderate rate of price increases” after fiscal Q1. The biggest risk is China. If Chinese DRAM makers start winning long-term supply agreements away from the current suppliers, Cramer’s argument falls apart.
Our Take and the Signal to Check The evidence backs Cramer’s advice. Take-or-pay volumes, cash deposits, and buyers’ memory commitments all point to sustained demand even as the index falls. The next check is Micron’s fiscal first-quarter report, forecast at $60.0 billion to $63.0 billion in revenue. A drop in the agreement count, the $32 billion in commitments, or the 75% of 2027 output already committed would show the case cracking. Until that happens, the weather is choppy and the climate is holding.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
SummaryMicron Technology, Inc. slid from $1,097 after earnings to $953 as CXMT's new DRAM cell design landed on top of a semis selloff already underway.The 10-K values Micron’s $134B of contracts at minimum prices, and only $33.5B lands next year, so they matter most if the cycle turns.If FY27 and FY28 land near consensus, $953 already assumes earnings fall back to roughly FY26 levels afterward, which would take something like a 65% drop in memory prices.Management's supply discipline, targeted buyback, and customer diversification position MU for resilience even if memory pricing softens. iiievgeniy/iStock via Getty Images
Investment Thesis I last wrote about Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) back in February, and honestly, a lot has happened since then. My first piece on it, back in October 2025, focused on the business
7.73K Followers
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of MU either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Jensen Huang says compute has become revenue, and the AI buildout is still supply-constrained heading into 2027. Three stocks sitting at the center of that shortage have already rewritten what gains look like, and analysts think the move is far…
The AI chip leader’s chief executive, Jensen Huang, summed up the AI economy in one line: “AI has reached its inflection point. It’s doing useful work. Its tokens are productive and profitable. Now, compute is revenue.” That compute depends on memory and storage.
That’s why NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA | NVDA Price Prediction), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) and SanDisk (NASDAQ:SNDK) have become core suppliers to the AI buildout.
So far this year, NVIDIA is up 21.8%, Micron is up 249.77% and SanDisk has gained 528.07%. All three pulled back this past week. Below, I lay out how each could reach a bold target in 2027.
Wall Street Already Sees 45% or More Upside in Each Stock Analyst consensus targets point to about 45% upside for NVIDIA at $328.72, 56% for Micron at $1,555.13 and 46% for SanDisk at $2,173. Estimates keep going up.
Analysts expected NVIDIA to earn $12.7102 per share in fiscal 2028 just three months ago. Today they expect $15.9146. Over the same stretch, Micron’s fiscal 2027 estimate rose from $150.0075 to $176.6868, and SanDisk’s went from $204.4716 to $214.8233.
All three also keep beating forecasts. NVIDIA has exceeded EPS estimates for 5 straight quarters, Micron for 8 and SanDisk for 5.
Here’s the Math Behind $350, $1,800 and $2,500 Stock Price Bull Target Upside Forward P/E Now P/E at Target NVIDIA $226.63 $350 54% 14x 22x Micron $997.65 $1,800 80% 6x 10x SanDisk $1,490.91 $2,500 68% 7x 12x Even at the bull targets, Micron and SanDisk would still trade at low double-digit multiples. NVIDIA would trade at about 22x forward earnings. So the bull case mostly needs investors to accept that memory demand will stay strong for years.
The same expansion thesis goes well beyond chips, which is why we rounded up seven non-chipmaker suppliers to the AI data-center boom in a free report here.
What Could Push These Stocks Higher? NVIDIA’s supply gap: Management expects revenue to grow approximately 70% in fiscal 2028 and called that outlook supply-constrained. Huang added, “The unconstrained is significant.” Hyperscaler capex: NVIDIA expects capex at the top five hyperscalers to reach $1.3 trillion in 2027. Micron’s sold-out HBM: “More than 75% of our output is already committed for 2027,” management said. HBM prices are “much higher than 2026 prices.” A bigger NAND market: SanDisk expects NAND industry revenue to approach $500 billion in calendar year 2027, with multi-year agreements covering more than 50% of its fiscal 2027 bits. Buybacks: SanDisk has $15.5B left on its buyback authorization, and NVIDIA has $99B. Recent History Shows These Gains Are Possible Increases of this size have already happened. Over the past year, Micron returned 419.24% and SanDisk returned 1049.68%. NVIDIA is up 992.72% over five years.
Memory stocks are cyclical, though. Micron fell today after Chinese rival CXMT advanced a new chip, according to Barron’s. That kind of competition could test pricing.
My Take on $350, $1,800 and $2,500 To reach these targets, NVIDIA would need to gain 54%, Micron 80% and SanDisk 68%. Estimates are rising, the beat streaks are intact and management teams say demand is running ahead of supply.
If that holds through 2027 and the market stays healthy, all three targets are within reach. Returns this large are rare, but this is the model for how NVIDIA, Micron and SanDisk could deliver outsized increases in 2027.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Elon Musk singled out Micron by name on X, calling its pricing conduct reasonable while accusing unnamed rivals of being extortionate. His praise landed just as the stock slid further from a peak that already has investors watching closely.
On the evening of Oct. 13, Elon Musk publicly praised Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU | MU Price Prediction) for how it handles memory pricing. His comment came while Micron shares sit 25% below their 52-week high. Barron’s picked up the post on Wednesday as the stock kept falling. The post arrives as the stock trades well below its recent peak.
What Musk Actually Posted
The remark was a short reply to another user on X. Musk did not attach an investment thesis, a prepared statement or a business announcement to it. Here is Musk’s post in full: “Micron has been reasonable regarding future memory prices, while others have been extortionate, which is something today’s customers won’t forget … Micron is making is the smart move for long-term customer loyalty.”
In the post, Elon Musk called Micron reasonable and described certain others as extortionate on future memory prices. He did not say who he meant, and we have not identified those companies. Musk writes as a buyer would, since the post is about what customers will remember.
The post reached a large audience. It drew 16,905 likes, 1,249 retweets and 491 replies as of Wednesday morning.
Micron in Brief
Micron makes memory and storage. Its DRAM, NAND and flash products go into data centers, mobile devices, PCs and automotive systems. It also makes high-bandwidth memory, a stacked form of DRAM used alongside AI accelerators. Micron posts its business units, results and filings on its investor relations site.
The AI expansion needs more than GPUs, and the suppliers of memory, power and cooling tend to get overlooked (we highlighted seven of those non-chipmaker names in a free report you can grab here: 7 Stocks Powering the AI Boom (That Aren’t Chipmakers)).
Shares Sit 25% Below Their 52-Week High After a Historic Run
Micron traded at $941.46 in the Oct. 14 delayed quote, a move of -1.22% in the regular session. That puts the shares 25% below their 52-week high of $1,254.81.
The longer record shows strong gains. Micron is up 230.07% year to date and 388.88% over the past year. Over five years the stock has returned 1,322.22%, and the company’s market capitalization is about $1.065 trillion. This decline is a dip within a strong multiyear run.
Recent moves have been down. The shares returned -9.96% over the past week and -3.47% over the past month. Selling hit the whole group on Oct. 13, when memory and data storage stocks fell broadly. The 50-day moving average is $979.51, and the 200-day moving average is $705.24.
Wall Street Ratings Lean Heavily Positive
Analyst ratings are largely positive: 9 strong buy, 36 buy, 3 hold, 0 sell and 1 strong sell. The average analyst price target is $1,560.57. That number is a consensus of individual analyst targets and reflects a range of views on where the shares could trade.
Valuation Gap Every Holder Should Understand
Micron trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of about 13x and a forward P/E of about 7x. The two numbers are far apart because analysts expect strong earnings growth. The stock’s beta is 2.226, which means the shares have moved more than the broad market.
Today Is Micron’s Ex-Dividend Date
Wednesday, Oct. 14, is Micron’s ex-dividend date. The quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share is scheduled to be paid on Oct. 29, according to the company’s fiscal fourth-quarter press release filed with the SEC. Micron’s dividend per share is $0.565. That payout is small, and the yield is modest. The date matters mainly for the dividend calendar.
What We Could Not Verify
We did not confirm whether the recent peak is an all-time high, so this article refers only to the 52-week high. We also did not confirm any business relationship behind Musk’s praise. A single post from one executive tells us nothing about memory pricing across the industry, no matter how many people read it.
Praise Meets a Pullback
Praise and a dip now coincide. A prominent executive praised Micron’s pricing conduct in front of a large audience. Meanwhile, the shares trade well below their recent peak after a year that grew them several times over. Investors researching the stock can keep an eye on how that gap develops leading up to the company’s next earnings report.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU) remains caught in a volatile memory-chip selloff as investors weigh rising Chinese competition against tight supply, long-term customer commitments and continued AI-driven demand.
The stock fell more than 12% over the last 5 days but is still up almost 240% in 2026. Micron traded lower by over 1% on Wednesday.
Memory and semiconductor rivals SK hynix Inc. (NASDAQ:SKHY), Western Digital Corp. (NASDAQ:WDC), Seagate Technology Holdings Plc. (NASDAQ:STX) also joined the selloff.
Cramer Says Selloff Overstates Micron’s China RiskCNBC’s Jim Cramer said semiconductor stocks have traded increasingly as a group, with weakness in South Korea’s SK Hynix spilling into U.S. chip names such as Micron.
Cramer dismissed fears that growing competition from Chinese memory chipmakers could hurt Micron, calling the concerns “nonsense.” He argued that investors may be overlooking Micron’s underlying demand and customer commitments.
Cramer told on Wednesday that Micron has 26 long-term customer agreements covering revenue through 2030 and is negotiating contracts for 2031.
He rejected the idea that Chinese competition alone could undermine Micron’s outlook, saying major U.S. customers would have concerns about using Chinese memory.
Cramer also pointed to growing memory requirements across consumer devices and AI-related products as a reason to focus on end demand rather than the semiconductor index.
Pettit Says Memory Story Is in TransitionRoundhill Investments Chief Investment Strategist Drew Pettit said investors often struggle with stocks whose growth stories are shifting.
“Markets are interesting. They don’t really like stock stories that are in transition, and that’s where memory is right now,” Pettit said.
He told CNBC on Tuesday that memory previously benefited from strong earnings revisions, but investors now want companies to prove how durable that growth can be.
Pettit said pullbacks on negative headlines therefore make sense, even while fundamentals in large AI-related companies remain strong.
He also warned that elevated interest rates leave the broader market with limited room for disappointment.
Luria Says China Risk Is Already in the MathD.A. Davidson Head of Technology Research Gil Luria said semiconductor results and outlooks across the AI supply chain have remained consistently positive.
“Results have gotten better, outlooks have gotten better, visibility has gotten better,” Luria said.
He acknowledged to CNBC on Wednesday that China’s CXMT has gained DRAM market share and continues to improve its technology, but said investors should distinguish between lower-end memory and high-bandwidth memory.
Luria said Chinese suppliers do not currently participate in the high-bandwidth memory market and cannot sell to major U.S. customers including Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ:MSFT), Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Google, Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) and NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA).
He said any near-term competitive effect from Chinese suppliers would therefore fall more heavily on SK Hynix and Samsung than Micron. Luria also said China itself remains undersupplied.
“When Micron says that the tightness is going to get worse next year and even worse the year after that, they are fully aware of what CXMT is developing, their product roadmap, what they have, what they don’t have, and that’s incorporated into their outlook,” he said.
The debate leaves investors balancing near-term volatility and China-related concerns against tight memory supply, AI demand and Micron’s longer-term customer contracts.
MU Price Action: Micron Technology shares were down 1.50% at $938.85 during premarket trading on Wednesday, according to Benzinga Pro data.
Micron just posted triple-digit revenue growth and now sits on a mountain of cash it plans to return to shareholders, yet the stock keeps sliding. What happens next depends on a single announcement in December.
Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU | MU Price Prediction) trades at $953.19. Management has indicated a major capital return push starting December 9, and the stock sits about 24% below its $1,254.81 52-week high.
Micron makes DRAM, NAND and high-bandwidth memory (HBM), the chips that feed AI accelerators. Fiscal fourth-quarter revenue reached $54.23 billion, up 379.3% year over year. Even so, shares fell 8.83% over the past week.
A $68 Billion Net Cash Pile Is About to Go to Work
Micron ended the quarter with $68.3 billion in net cash and generated $33.2 billion of free cash flow. The CFO said fiscal Q1 free cash flow should be “significantly higher than the 33 billion we reported in fiscal Q4,” and the company plans to return 100% of excess cash over time, mainly through buybacks.
The valuation is modest for this growth. Micron trades at a forward P/E of 7 with a PEG ratio of 0.16. Q1 guidance calls for $61.5 billion in revenue and EPS of $38.15. More than 75% of calendar 2027 output is already committed, with roughly $150 billion in remaining performance obligations.
Peak Margins Have Burned Memory Investors Before
Gross margin hit 87.0%, compared with 45.7% a year earlier. That is a cycle-peak profile in a historically cyclical industry. Management already expects price increases to moderate, and capex is rising fast: $30.71 billion in fiscal 2026 and about $25 billion in just the first half of fiscal 2027.
Buybacks so far have been small. Micron bought back $365 million of stock last quarter, and its current authorization is only $2.2 billion. Smart money is cooling, too. Among 19 tracked hedge fund filers, 10 trimmed positions in the June quarter. With a beta of 2.226, any hint of glut could weigh heavily on the shares.
New Authorization Size Remains an Open Question
The size of the coming buybacks authorization is still unknown, and fiscal Q1 is expected to be the gross margin floor near 86.25%. The stock trades below its $979.51 50-day moving average, so the authorization headline and Q1 results stand as the next catalysts to monitor.
Wall Street Sees 64% Upside After a 395% Run
The average analyst target is $1,560.57, meaning 63.7% upside across 49 analysts. Targets are estimates, and the consensus tends heavily positive:
Strong Buy: 9
Buy: 36
Hold: 3
Strong Sell: 1
Micron has gained 394.97% over the past year, against 17.35% for the S&P 500. Year to date, it is up 234.18% versus 14.1% for the index.
Buyback Firepower Could Reshape Micron’s Share Count
At $953.19, Micron’s bull case rests on capital returns and contracted demand.
December is the key month ahead. A larger authorization, paired with free cash flow that management expects to keep climbing, would turn a company worth about $1.078 trillion into a steady buyer of its own shares at a single-digit forward multiple.
The cyclical risk is real, but strategic customer agreements change it. Take-or-pay volumes and pricing floors support the CFO’s view that “even at floor prices, we expect margins meaningfully above any prior cycle peak margins.”
The thesis falls apart if the new authorization comes in small, if gross margins slip below the Q1 floor, or if HBM pricing for 2028 drops. Watch the authorization announcement first and the Q1 margin result second. The recent decline comes just before Micron’s planned capital return push.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Elon Musk just called unnamed memory makers extortionate while praising Micron's pricing as a model for long-term loyalty, but the company's own contracts tell a more complicated story about who actually controls prices.
At 5:52 p.m. Eastern on October 13, 2026, Elon Musk, responding to Nicholas Mugalli, posted on X that Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU | MU Price Prediction) “has been reasonable regarding future memory prices, while others have been extortionate, which is something today’s customers won’t forget …” He named no company. No company was labeled extortionate. He added that Micron was making the smart move for long-term customer loyalty.
@RealNickMugalli Micron has been reasonable regarding future memory prices, while others have been extortionate, which is something today’s customers won’t forget …
Micron is making is the smart move for long-term customer loyalty.
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) October 13, 2026
Micron had closed the regular session at $953.19, down 3.62%, and after hours it rose only 0.32% to $956.20. The praise read as commentary, and that take looks right.
What Musk’s Post Actually Covers
Nothing in the post is signed. No supply agreement between Micron and any Musk company has been reported, and the post disclosed no prices, volumes, or contract terms.
Musk was responding to investor Nicholas Mugalli. His post summing up a JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) note said Micron holds 26 long-term deals covering 35%+ of revenue through 2030, $150 billion in contracted backlog, $32 billion in committed customer cash and over 75% of next year’s output already sold. Those figures came through a social post. They didn’t come from the note itself, but they line up with what Micron told investors on its September 30 earnings call.
Why the Contracts Matter More Than the Compliment
Selling output years ahead turns a cyclical commodity business into something closer to a contracted one. That shift explains much of the re-rating that raised Micron’s market value to $1.08 trillion, close to Berkshire Hathaway’s (NYSE:BRK-A, NYSE:BRK-B) $1.11 trillion.
Against guidance for fiscal first-quarter revenue of $61.5 billion ± $1.5 billion, one buyer’s goodwill doesn’t move the numbers. Musk also has a stake in the matter. His companies buy huge amounts of memory for AI computing and vehicles (we featured seven suppliers behind that same AI expansion, from power to cooling, in a free report you can grab here). When a buyer that size praises a supplier for gentle pricing, he is also negotiating in public.
Where the “Reasonable” Label Breaks Down
Micron posted an 87.0% non-GAAP gross margin (the share of revenue left after production costs) in the fiscal fourth quarter. Management said, “any new discussions on SCAs where pricing is involved are negotiated with higher pricing based on prevailing market conditions and outlook.”
The pricing bands limit both the downside and the upside. Three quarters of the expected contract revenue come with a set pricing framework, and most of those frameworks carry floor and ceiling prices. Ceilings cap the upside during a shortage, but the finance chief said: “even at floor prices, we expect margins meaningfully above any prior cycle peak margins.”
The bigger threat is supply, because before Musk posted, a Chinese memory maker flagged a denser chip design, which goes straight at the scarcity thesis for commodity DRAM. Micron fell 12.4% over four sessions from $1,088.00, and it now trades 24% below its $1,255.00 high even after a 234.18% gain this year.
What Investors Need to Weigh in Micron’s Contract Story
The pullback likely reflects worry about future Chinese supply, while Micron’s contracts are cash-backed take-or-pay agreements (the customer pays whether or not it takes delivery) that run into 2031. Musk’s post doesn’t change any contract already signed, and investors were right to shrug, since the pricing control he praised is narrower than it sounds because Micron is raising prices on new agreements.
Memory cycles can turn fast, and output sold forward at today’s prices may look cheap if the shortage gets worse while Chinese competition grows. Micron’s fiscal first-quarter report needs to land inside its $61.5 billion ± $1.5 billion range at roughly 86.25% gross margin. A miss on either number, or a close back below the $186.25 low that started this run, would prove this view wrong.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) is preparing to pay its next quarterly dividend as the memory-chip maker faces renewed selling pressure and intensifying competition.
At press time, MU shares traded at around $953, down 3.6% on the day and approximately 6% over the past week.
MU one-week stock price chart. Source: Finbold
Micron declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.15 per share on September 30, 2026, with payment scheduled for October 29. Shareholders of record as of October 14 are eligible for the distribution, according to the company’s financial results.
At this rate, an investor holding 100 shares will receive $15 before taxes. The payment is unchanged from Micron’s previous quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share, distributed on July 21.
If the company maintains its current payout for four consecutive quarters, an investor holding 100 shares throughout the year would receive $60 annually.
However, the dividend remains small relative to the stock’s market price. At $953 per share, purchasing 100 shares would cost approximately $95,300. The $15 quarterly payment represents a return of roughly 0.016% on that investment, while the annualized dividend yield stands at about 0.06%.
Micron stock risks
Micron stock is also facing increased pressure amid concerns about competition in the memory-chip market, particularly following developments involving China’s ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT).
CXMT has advanced its denser dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) architecture and plans to launch a new server-memory product by the end of 2026, raising competition concerns as demand for AI infrastructure grows.
Notably, Micron supplies DRAM and NAND memory for data centers and consumer electronics, while its high-bandwidth memory (HBM) is critical for AI accelerators.
However, increased rival production could pressure memory prices and profit margins, challenging Micron’s pricing power.
MU stock fundamentals
Despite the recent decline, Micron’s fiscal 2026 results highlight strong growth, with revenue rising to $133.19 billion from $37.38 billion in fiscal 2025. Net income also climbed to $84.97 billion from $8.54 billion, according to the company’s financial results.
Stronger memory demand and pricing have supported Micron’s performance as data-center operators expand AI infrastructure.
However, rising manufacturing costs and increased industry capacity could pressure margins and threaten earnings growth.
Micron has also expanded its share repurchase authorization to $35.16 billion following a board decision on October 8, 2026.
The authorization includes approximately $2.16 billion remaining under the previous program, alongside additional capacity linked to the company’s capital-allocation plans. The buyback could support earnings per share by reducing the number of outstanding shares.
However, the authorization does not guarantee that Micron will repurchase the full amount. Actual purchases will depend on market conditions, available cash, and restrictions tied to government funding agreements.
Repurchases under the expanded authorization are scheduled to begin on December 9, 2026, subject to applicable restrictions.
Micron Technology (MU -3.62%) filed its annual report on Oct. 9, and it shows a shift in who buys the memory chipmaker's products. No customer accounted for 10% or more of revenue in fiscal 2026 (the 53 weeks ending Sept. 3, 2026). A year before, one customer made up 17% of sales.
Put another way, Micron's top buyer matters less to its results than it did a year ago. The shift came as revenue climbed 256% year over year to about $133 billion. And it comes with the stock off about 14% from its Oct. 7 close, at roughly $936 as of this writing.
Relying less on one buyer does lower a risk to shareholders. But I think the report also shows that Micron's bigger dependence is still there.
Image source: Micron.
From 17% to below 10%The report doesn't name the customer. It just says the 17% customer's purchases in fiscal 2025 were mostly in the cloud memory business unit. This unit sells memory to big cloud computing companies, and high-bandwidth memory for artificial intelligence systems to all data center customers.
It's worth noting that no customer hit 10% of revenue in fiscal 2023, either. One did in fiscal 2024, at 10%, and one reached 17% the next year.
In dollars, 17% of fiscal 2025's $37.4 billion in revenue comes to around $6.4 billion from a single customer.
Did that customer buy less?The 17% customer likely didn't cut its spending.
Micron's quarterly report for its fiscal third quarter said one customer, again mostly in the cloud memory unit, made up 10% of revenue in the first nine months of fiscal 2026. Revenue in the nine months was around $79 billion, so the customer spent close to $8 billion.
The filings don't say directly that it's the same buyer. But if it is, it spent more with Micron in nine months than it did in all of fiscal 2025, and its share dropped only because everyone else's purchases grew faster.
Showing how broad the growth was, all four of Micron's business units more than tripled their revenue in fiscal 2026. The cloud memory unit's revenue climbed 219% to $43.1 billion. The core data center unit, which sells data center storage plus memory for server makers, grew 420% to $37.6 billion. Mobile and client revenue climbed 209% to $36.6 billion, and automotive and embedded revenue rose 234% to $15.9 billion. So the cloud memory unit's share of total revenue dipped to 32% from 36%, after jumping from 15% in fiscal 2024.
Micron still depends on a few big buyersMicron's top 10 customers provided over half of its revenue in fiscal 2026, just as they did the year before. And data centers accounted for around 60% of revenue, up from about half in fiscal 2025.
The top-10 number comes to an average of over $6.6 billion a customer -- more than the single biggest customer spent in fiscal 2025.
But I think the data center number is the concentration that matters most today. A decline in capital spending for data centers might cut orders from many of Micron's largest buyers all at once.
Plus, most of the year's growth came from price. Micron said average selling prices of DRAM, the memory chips that make up most of its sales, climbed around 180% in fiscal 2026, but the volume it shipped grew by a percentage in the mid-20s. Higher prices are also mainly why net income rose nearly tenfold, to about $85 billion.
Premium Feature
Moneyball Superscore
91/100
Today's Change
(
-3.62
%) $
-35.84
Current Price
$
953.04
True, Micron has tried to lock in demand. By its Sept. 30 earnings call, it had signed 26 multi-year deals that require customers to buy set volumes, backed by $32 billion of financial commitments. But it estimates those agreements cover over 35% of its revenue through 2030, which still leaves a big part of its sales outside them.
Investors might already see these risks. Micron's earnings per share grew to $74.33 in fiscal 2026 from $7.59 the year before, but the stock costs only around 13 times those earnings. With a price-to-earnings ratio so low after a year like that, investors seem to expect that profit could fall once memory prices do.
In the end, I'd call the customer change an improvement, though a small one. Micron is less exposed to any single buyer than it was a year ago. But it's arguably more exposed to data center spending and memory prices than it was, and they are still the biggest risks in the stock.
Micron Technology (MU -3.62%) has been one of the best-performing stocks on Wall Street in 2026 -- it was up 230% year to date as of Oct. 13. The concern among investors is that the memory market has long been highly cyclical. When demand for memory chips surges, prices and profit margins rise, and all the manufacturers start to build fabs to boost their production and take advantage.
Then, a few years later, as all of those new fabs come online, supply surges. Often, those surges have coincided with cyclical slumps in demand, and the resulting oversupply swiftly drives prices and profit margins back down.
Recently, analysts at Bernstein laid out a projection for the memory market to follow a similar scenario in this cycle. It forecasts prices for dynamic random access memory (DRAM) will rise by another 43% in 2027, but then drop by 53% in 2028.
However, based on an important detail in Micron's latest earnings call, the next phase of this memory cycle is shaping up to look quite different from prior ones.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
During its fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter earnings call on Sept. 30, Micron reported that it now has 26 strategic customer agreements (SCAs) that run through at least 2030. That's up from 16 SCAs as of the Q3 call. It estimates that these contracts will account for over 35% of its revenue through 2030.
SCAs provide a degree of pricing protection that Micron has never had before. Three-quarters of the estimated SCA revenue has price-band frameworks in place, with minimum and maximum prices. What it will charge for the remaining quarter of sales will be negotiated periodically with its customers based on prevailing market prices.
Financial commitments from customers also increased in fiscal Q4 to $32 billion, with most of that coming in the form of cash deposits. That's reflected in Micron's balance sheet, which now includes $12.9 billion in customer contract liabilities, up from $568 million in May.
Premium Feature
Moneyball Superscore
91/100
Today's Change
(
-3.62
%) $
-35.84
Current Price
$
953.04
Micron isn't completely insulated from downturns in the memory market. With SCAs accounting for over 35% of revenue through 2030 and a quarter of estimated revenue still subject to market prices, roughly 74% of its sales will still be rapidly influenced by shifts in the supply-and-demand dynamic. But Micron is clearly in a strong position, and it's leveraging that to lock in pricing commitments, including some deals that already extend beyond 2030.
The real test will come the next time memory prices fall. My prediction for Micron is that it will continue to add SCAs and keep a meaningful portion of its revenue cushioned from the memory cycle, both of which will make it a more resilient business.
V létě musel mladý investor Leopold Aschenbrenner zkousnout velkou porážku, když jeho hedgeový fond Situational Awareness musel prodat většinu svého portfolia společnosti Citadel. Bývalý 25letý výzkumník OpenAI se tehdy spálil na extrémní koncentraci zaměřené na firmy spojené s AI infrastrukturou, které potkal velký výprodej. Nyní, o pouhých pár měsíců později, je Aschenbrennerův fond opět pod citelným tlakem.
Největší pozice fondu se od svých lokálních maxim dosažených na přelomu září a října propadly o šest až 30 procent. Největší váhu v portfoliu mají výrobci paměťových čipů SanDisk a Micron Technology, které podle údajů z formuláře 13F za druhé čtvrtletí tvoří dohromady 55 procent portfolia.
Přitom Sandisk je od svého říjnového maxima dole o 19 procent, Micron o 14 procent. Ztrácejí ale i další zástupci v portfoliu: Nebius (-11 %), CoreWeave (-13 %) a SharonAI, jejíž akcie spadly dokonce až o 30 procent, upozornil příspěvek na sociální síti X od účtu sledujícího Aschenbrennerův fond.
Leopold Aschenbrenner's biggest positions are getting hit again
Here's what his top holdings done since October highs:
• SanDisk $SNDK: down 19%
• Bloom Energy $BE: down 6%
• Nebius $NBIS: down 11%
• CoreWeave $CRWV: down 13%
• Micron $MU: down 14%
• SharonAI $SHAZ: down 30%
SanDisk and Micron are 55% of the fund, per Q2 13F
In July, a drawdown like this triggered a forced sale of his book to Citadel
— Leopold Stock Tracker (@LeopoldTracker_) October 13, 2026
Současná situace tak dává vzpomenout na konec července, kdy přílišná sázka na společnosti jako CoreWeave, Nebius, SanDisk nebo Bloom Energy v kombinaci s využíváním vysoké finanční páky (podle některých zdrojů kolem čtyřnásobku vlastního kapitálu) přinutila Aschenbrennera kapitulovat, protože jeho portfolio tehdy ztratilo 67 procent hodnoty během jediného měsíce.
Stalo se tak poté, co na trzích došlo k prudkému výprodeji v AI sektoru, který semlel i zmíněné tituly. Do toho navíc rostly akcie, které fond shortoval, takže fond prodělával na dlouhých i krátkých pozicích zároveň. To nakonec vedlo k jednomu z největších kolapsů hedgeového fondu posledních let.
Aschenbrenner investorům přiznal, že fond se dostal trvalému poškození kapitálu blíž, než by bylo přijatelné. Aby tak zabránil dalším ztrátám, prodal většinu portfolia společnosti Citadel, kterou vede miliardář Ken Griffin.
Restart s větší obezřetností
Po dramatickém výprodeji prošel fond faktickým restartem. Aschenbrenner investorům oznámil, že odstranil veškeré úvěrové financování portfolia, uzavřel krátké pozice a přebudoval proces řízení rizik. Fond si současně ponechal své soukromé investice, včetně významného podílu ve startupu Anthropic, jehož hodnota se pohybuje v miliardách dolarů.
Navzdory červencovému kolapsu zůstává fond po letních událostech stále v působivém zisku. A dobře je na tom i po zmíněném nedávném výprodeji na polovodičových akciích. Od začátku roku je totiž fond v plusu o 57 procent, což je odrazem mimořádně silného zhodnocení z předchozích měsíců.
Současná nemilá situace se však zdá být oproti červencovému kolapsu zásadně odlišná. Zatímco tehdy byly ztráty umocněny vysokou pákou financovanou prostřednictvím prime brokerů a následnými margin cally, tak po letní restrukturalizaci, by měl fond (i přes využívání opčních strategií) fungovat s výrazně konzervativnějším profilem rizika. To znamená, že i další výrazný pokles klíčových pozic by nemusel vést k tak dramatické spirále nucených prodejů, která fond v létě tak tvrdě zasáhla.
CNBC’s Jim Cramer said investors shouldn't give up on semiconductor stocks despite the recent sell-off, arguing that strong demand for chips continues to support the industry's long-term growth.Cramer highlighted Micron's long-term customer agreements and the expanding use of CPUs from Intel and AMD as reasons the sector's underlying fundamentals remain strong.watch now
Semiconductor stocks have been getting crushed in recent days, but CNBC's Jim Cramer said Tuesday there's a compelling reason not to give up on the group.
The VanEck Semiconductor ETF has fallen 7.2% over six consecutive sessions, and Cramer warned that rising oil prices and interest rates could prolong the sell off. However, he argued chip stocks are increasingly trading together regardless of their individual fundamentals, obscuring the strong demand that fueled the sector's remarkable rally earlier this year.
To illustrate his point, Cramer described a recent visit to an Apple showroom, where he saw devices featuring a more personalized Siri and advanced smart home technology. The experience highlighted how increasingly sophisticated consumer products require more computing power and memory, creating additional opportunities for chipmakers.
"Before you decide to bail from the semis because you can't take the pain, go to the showroom," the "Mad Money" host said. "Go see where these chips are used. They appear in places that you'd least expect them. Don't watch the semiconductor index, watch the devices."
Cramer pointed to memory chip maker Micron as an example of a company whose fundamentals are being overshadowed by the broader sell off. The company has become one of the biggest winners of the artificial intelligence build-out, with demand for memory chips far outstripping supply. Cramer highlighted its 26 long-term customer agreements, which currently cover about 35% of revenue through 2030, with negotiations already underway for 2031. Those take-or-pay contracts require customers to honor their financial commitments, he said, giving Micron greater visibility into future revenue. "If Micron had no agreements I would be worried," Cramer said.
And the demand story isn't limited to memory chips. Cramer also highlighted Intel and AMD, which "make the CPUs that are basic building blocks for practically every machine under the sun."
Cramer acknowledged that the group could face further losses after its enormous run, but said investors shouldn't dismiss the fundamental demand behind those gains. "It's reasonable to expect a sharp pullback after how far these stocks traveled," he said. "I just think that when you see the devices, when you know the exploding use cases, you can understand why Micron or Intel or AMD have been moving up."
"It wasn't all Situational Awareness, the wayward hedge fund that took so many semis up to unsustainable levels with borrowed money," Cramer said. "A lot of this is just raw demand."
Cramer's Charitable Trust, the portfolio run by CNBC's Investing Club, owns shares of AAPL, INTC, MU.
Micron (MU -3.62%) may be entering a new paradigm. The company operates in a cyclical industry, but Micron is taking steps to reduce its cyclicality over the next few years. This could transform Micron into a viable investment option and make it well worth buying stock in, as it looks ready to soar over the next few years.
But by how much? Let's take a look.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
A few comments guide Micron's trajectory
There has been no shortage of estimates regarding the strength of the artificial intelligence build-out. Some projections come from its peers and clients in the industry, while others come from its own management. During Micron's latest quarterly earnings report, management noted that they expect the "supply demand conditions to be much tighter in FY 2027 and 2028 than they were during 2026." That's a notable statement, as 2026's conditions were pretty tight. This led to soaring memory chip prices in 2026, and it could lead to even more expensive chips in the future.
However, Micron isn't sitting idle. It's racing to build more production facilities and expects its Idaho fabrication facility to begin producing chips in mid-2027, with its second Idaho facility starting production in late 2028. However, Micron still projects that memory chips will be in short supply. So, if Micron can increase its output dramatically while maintaining today's high prices, it could lead to incredible growth for the company. But it's not done there.
Premium Feature
Moneyball Superscore
91/100
Today's Change
(
-3.62
%) $
-35.85
Current Price
$
953.19
Micron is starting to sign long-term customer agreements that are locking in floor and ceiling prices for memory chips through 2030. These are also take-or-pay agreements, so Micron is locking in revenue streams. Some of these agreements extend into 2031, indicating an even longer AI growth trajectory.
One long-term AI growth trajectory projection comes from Nvidia, which has repeatedly told investors to expect $3 trillion to $4 trillion in global AI data center capital expenditures annually by 2030. In 2026, Nvidia expects the big five AI hyperscalers to spend nearly $800 billion. If you estimate what others beyond the big five are spending, it's easy to see total capital expenditures sitting around $1 trillion this year.
So, the AI market could triple by 2030. This has huge implications for Micron, as its stock could be ready to skyrocket.
Micron is cheap and has huge growth
First off, Micron has hardly any growth priced into its stock for next year. It only trades at 5.6 times forward earnings.
MU PE Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts
The market is still pricing in a cyclical downturn in the near future, even though Micron has already told investors it won't happen anytime soon. This could lead to the stock at least tripling by the end of 2027, simply by rising to a reasonable valuation. Combine that with the AI market tripling to quadrupling as a whole by 2030, and there is a massive amount of upside baked into the stock.
So, how much could a $2,500 investment in Micron be worth by 2030? If all of the projections stated above come true, when Micron's fabrication facilities come online and start producing a large number of chips as expected, I think investors can expect the stock to grow more than 5-fold. How? First, Micron starts to trade at a reasonable 20 times earnings. I think this is somewhat realistic, as Micron has entered into long-term purchasing agreements with its clients that will reduce the effects of cyclical downturns. As a result, the market will give it a more respectable premium. That takes care of the stock rising about threefold to fourfold.
For the remainder of its growth, I'd point toward Nvidia's projection that data center capital expenditures will triple to quadruple by the time 2030 rolls around. That will mostly be from more computing chips needed, and every computing chip needs memory, potentially sourced from Micron. With that much growth ahead, I think it's pretty reasonable to expect Micron's business to double or triple. That would suggest a $2,500 investment in Micron could be worth $12,500, which makes the stock an absolute no-brainer buy at today's prices.
Micron is taking steps to ensure it isn't as cyclical, and this could make it a strong investment in the AI revolution.
Micron Technology, Inc. NASDAQ: MU recently saw its share price decline amid concerns about advancements in Chinese memory technology. Despite the recent pressure, Micron Technology retains a year-to-date gain of more than of 220%. The divergence between underlying financials and immediate market reaction creates a compelling setup for investors evaluating the memory cycle's longevity.
A mixture of international headlines triggered the sell-off, prompting concerns about future pricing power and capacity gluts. Assessing whether these threats carry long-term weight or are merely a sentiment-driven blip requires looking past the noise to the underlying supply-and-demand mechanics of the semiconductor market.
Get Micron Technology alerts:
Market Contagion: Separating Headline Noise From DataMarkets do not like uncertainty. Memory chip stocks are notoriously sensitive to the hint of future oversupply. The catalyst for the recent contraction stems largely from China-based ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). The company announced developmental progress on a denser 4F square DRAM architecture, explicitly targeting the high-end server memory segment. When combined with a localized union strike authorization at Micron's Taoyuan manufacturing operations in Taiwan, the headlines created a difficult environment for institutional positioning.
Contrasting these fears with actual earnings performance reveals a possible disconnect. Micron Technology reported fiscal fourth-quarter revenue up about 379% year over year to $54.23 billion. Adjusted earnings topped $33 per share. The immediate financial reality showcases a business operating at exceptionally strong levels of profitability. The market reaction seems to reflect anxieties about events that may not materialize for years. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio sits around 12.60, while the discounted forward multiple approaches 5.37, indicating skepticism around peak-cycle earnings durability.
Lab Leak: Projecting China's 2026 Memory GoalsUnderstanding the subtleties of the ChangXin Memory Technologies announcement helps separate genuine competitive risks from geopolitical noise. The company claims to have made strides in developing a 4F square DRAM design, which theoretically increases storage density. The goal is to launch a server memory product based on this architecture by the end of 2026.
The timeline is the critical variable here. The 4F square architecture has not yet demonstrated commercial-scale production, despite CXMT's plans to introduce a product before year-end. The memory market features high barriers to entry regarding yield rates, packaging reliability, and enterprise-grade validation. A state-backed competitor could eventually pressure the long-term pricing floors across the DRAM market. A production target set for late 2026 does not necessarily alter the immediate supply-demand imbalance in the high-end server memory space today. Projecting theoretical capacity additions onto current valuations can contribute to mispricing, especially in a sector driven by immediate artificial intelligence (AI) hardware requirements.
Collateral Damage: Contagion in the Memory OligopolyThe market reaction suggests that the recent news contributed to broad industry selling rather than a reassessment of Micron alone. SK hynix Inc. NASDAQ: SKHY fell more than 4% during the same trading window. Equipment manufacturers also caught the downdraft, with several semiconductor equipment stocks declining.
When the entire supply chain sells off simultaneously, investors may be pricing in a sector-wide threat of future oversupply and potential margin compression. Memory markets are inherently cyclical. Wall Street remains highly attentive to any signal that the current upcycle might be peaking. Adding to the sector-wide pressure, supply chain reports suggest equipment providers could raise prices by roughly 10% for competitors like Samsung OTCMKTS: SSNLF and SK hynix. While not directly aimed at all memory makers, it signals broader capital expenditure inflation that could squeeze margins across the entire manufacturing space.
Friction Points: Insider Sales and Labor DisputesBeyond potential future supply threats, a few immediate friction points warrant attention. A localized union at Micron's Taoyuan, Taiwan, manufacturing hub officially authorized a strike over bonus structures. No strike date has been announced. While labor disputes are common in heavy manufacturing, Taiwan serves as a critical production center. Any prolonged work stoppage could introduce a localized risk to production output and customer delivery commitments.
Micron Technology also recently agreed to a $600 million settlement regarding a Netlist patent dispute. Under the agreement, Micron will pay $30 million per quarter over five years beginning in the fourth quarter of 2026, rather than making a single $600 million payment. This introduces a cash headwind that impacts future free cash flow models. Coupled with recent insider sales totaling roughly $90 million over the trailing 90 days, including shares sold by Chief Executive Officer Sanjay Mehrotra, it is understandable why some institutional players may have opted to secure profits after a historic run-up. While insider selling does not inherently signal fundamental weakness, it can often exacerbate downward momentum during periods of elevated volatility.
Demand Visibility and Strategic BuybacksBalancing the speculative risks against the fundamental data paints a completely different picture. Micron Technology has already secured customer commitments covering more than 75% of its fiscal 2027 output, with customers actively discussing 2028 allocations. A potential Chinese product arriving in late 2026 will enter a market where most capacity is already spoken for by major enterprise clients.
The profitability metrics are equally compelling. Micron's fiscal 2026 net margin reached approximately 63.8%, reflecting its exceptionally strong earnings performance. Because Wall Street is pricing in a cyclical peak, the stock trades at that compressed forward multiple, closing in on 5.4. This presents an interesting valuation disconnect. Management appears to recognize this disparity and recently authorized an approximately $35 billion share repurchase program. A buyback of this scale signals internal confidence in sustained free cash flow generation and acts as a structural floor for Micron's stock price.
Investors monitoring the memory space might consider watching upcoming earnings reports specifically for memory contract pricing stability and gross margin trajectory. If pricing leverage holds firm against the geopolitical noise, the current pullback could represent a structural mispricing rather than the beginning of a prolonged cyclical downturn.
Should You Invest $1,000 in Micron Technology Right Now?Before you consider Micron Technology, you'll want to hear this.
MarketBeat keeps track of Wall Street's top-rated and best performing research analysts and the stocks they recommend to their clients on a daily basis. MarketBeat has identified the five stocks that top analysts are quietly whispering to their clients to buy now before the broader market catches on... and Micron Technology wasn't on the list.
While Micron Technology currently has a Moderate Buy rating among analysts, top-rated analysts believe these five stocks are better buys.
View The Five Stocks Here
The AI boom extends far beyond the biggest tech names. Discover 10 companies supplying the memory, storage, networking, semiconductor manufacturing, and power infrastructure that make AI possible. Learn where the next wave of AI investment opportunities may emerge—and the key risks investors should watch as the global AI buildout accelerates.
Get This Free Report
Continue following MarketBeat
Add MarketBeat as your preferred source on Google to see our latest stories in your feed.
The ETF ecosystem grows almost every day, with hundreds of new strategies and massive flows coming with each year that goes by. Thanks to the ETF wrapper's flexibility, issuers can craft and release targeted, transparent, and tax-efficient solutions for portfolios.
Key Takeaways A recent headline conflated OpenAI's gross and net revenues.Muse adoption is actually the fastest since ChatGPT launched. The memory moat is safe from Chinese competition. Misleading AI Headlines Drag Down Memory NamesOver the past few weeks, three bearish AI headlines have dragged down the industry and sparked fear, uncertainty, and doubt among investors. Although short-term price action has been negative and bears have been in control, the headlines are misleading or downright inaccurate. Below are the three headlines:
1. “OpenAI’s Annualized Revenue Nears $50B, Below Earlier $70B Reports”: Earlier this month, the Financial Times reported that OpenAI’s recent revenue growth was $20 billion below what Wall Street had expected. However, the article’s editor failed to account for how OpenAI calculates revenue. In reality, the $70 billion revenue figure was never revised down, it was a completely different number. The $70 billion annualized revenue reported in late September by Axios and Reuters included enterprise sales, which more than doubled since July. Conversely, the FT’s $50 billion OpenAI revenue figure did not include the full value of sales through cloud partners. In other words, nothing has changed. The $70 billion gross revenue and $50 billion net revenue remained the same, signaling that OpenAI’s business is still growing rapidly.
2. “Meta Muse Growth Plateaus”: Recent headlines suggest that Meta Platform’s ((META - Free Report) ) agentic AI platform “Muse” is seeing sluggish growth. However, data show that Muse is growing faster than any AI platform since ChatGPT launched in late 2022.
3. “Why this Little Known Chinese Chipmaker Has Caused a Global Stock Rout”: Earlier this week, memory-related stocks like Micron ((MU - Free Report) ), SK Hynix ((SKHY - Free Report) ), and SanDisk ((SNDK - Free Report) ) fell amid reports that China-based ChangXin Memory Technologies has made progress on new architecture that will increase memory density on its AI chips. Memory stocks have soared over the past few years as demand has dramatically overwhelmed supply. While a higher memory supply is bearish for names like Micron, investors have overreacted for a few reasons. First, CXMT has difficulty accessing chipmaking equipment from companies like ASML ((ASML - Free Report) ) due to U.S. export controls. Second, the legacy memory makers still have a wide technological advantage over CXMT. In other words, companies are unlikely to dump SKHY or MU in favor of CXMT technology.
Bottom Line
Short-term headline noise has led to bearish price action among AI leaders. However, misinterpreted revenue metrics, overstated platform slowdowns, and exaggerated competitive threats have created an artificial wave of panic.
Micron Technology (MU -3.62%) hasn't been a heavy buyer of its own stock. From fiscal 2019, when the current repurchase program made its first purchases, through fiscal 2026, the memory chipmaker spent $7.84 billion on buybacks. It never spent over $2.66 billion in any one year.
But Micron's annual report, filed Oct. 9, says the board lifted the buyback authorization to $35.16 billion on Oct. 8. The new cap is over four times what the company spent in those eight fiscal years combined.
I expect Micron will top that eight-year total in the next 12 months. But the buyback might do less for the share count than a number this big suggests.
Image source: Micron.
One quarter's cashThe board's number comes almost entirely from a single quarter. The report says the total begins with the $2.16 billion left under Micron's earlier $10 billion authorization. Then it adds 100% of the last quarter's non-GAAP (adjusted) free cash flow after dividends, or around $33 billion.
Showing how unusual the quarter was, Micron's adjusted free cash flow (the cash left after capital spending) reached $33.2 billion in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 (the period ended Sept. 3, 2026). And it's been climbing fast, from $803 million a year earlier and $18.3 billion in fiscal Q3. For all of fiscal 2026, free cash flow totaled $62.3 billion -- up from $3.7 billion in fiscal 2025. In other words, eight years of buybacks now equal around 24% of the free cash flow Micron generated during one quarter.
Management expects even more. Micron's CFO, Mark Murphy, told analysts on the Sept. 30 earnings call that free cash flow this quarter should be significantly higher than in fiscal Q4.
He also said that the company has "the ability and the intent to increase our capital return."
The board raised the authorization eight days later.
What could stop it?Of course, the authorization doesn't force Micron to buy any shares.
And the company's federal CHIPS Act funding agreements, which provide grants of up to $6.4 billion for its U.S. plants, put conditions on buybacks. For the first two years after the Dec. 9, 2024 award, repurchases are mainly limited to amounts meant to help offset employee stock awards. That seems to be why the bigger program begins on Dec. 9, 2026. For three years after that, repurchases face caps tied to free cash flow after grants and dividends.
Micron also hasn't bought much recently. It spent $300 million on buybacks in fiscal 2024, nothing in fiscal 2025, and $650 million in fiscal 2026.
Yes, artificial intelligence demand could soften, and a steep fall in memory prices could change the plan. But to pass its eight-year total, Micron has to use only around 22% of what the board just approved.
A record year of buybacks may not cut Micron's share count, though. Its average number of shares outstanding climbed from 1.105 billion in fiscal 2024 to 1.116 billion in fiscal 2025 and 1.127 billion in fiscal 2026, mainly due to employee stock awards. That comes out to around 11 million more shares each year.
With shares near $985 as of this writing, $7.84 billion buys around 8 million shares. Micron could match eight years of buyback spending in one year and still not offset a single year of that growth.
Premium Feature
Moneyball Superscore
91/100
Today's Change
(
-3.62
%) $
-35.85
Current Price
$
953.19
The reason is the stock price. In fiscal 2019, the program's peak year, $2.66 billion retired 67 million shares. The same money buys under 3 million shares now.
Even the full $35.16 billion works out to about 35 million shares -- roughly 3% of the 1.13 billion outstanding. Earlier this month, I estimated that Micron's excess cash could retire about 5% of its shares per year. Getting there would take another increase from the board.
Buying back stock at today's price still arguably makes sense. Micron earned $74.33 a share in fiscal 2026, up from $7.59 in fiscal 2025, and it expects around $38 a share this quarter alone. At about 13 times fiscal 2026 earnings, the shares don't look pricey given that forecast.
In the end, Micron should top its eight-year buyback total easily. But at today's share price, I doubt the buyback will do much for earnings per share anytime soon. The stock's next move likely still depends more on memory prices than on the buyback.
Investors are repricing future competition while Micron’s current earnings outlook remains strong.
Micron Technology, the memory and storage producer MU, faces a fresh competitive threat, with shares down approximately 4.6% at $943.165 at 9.50 am EST on October 13. According to the South China Morning Post's October 12 report, China's CXMT plans to introduce server memory using a denser cell architecture before year-end. More memory packed onto a chip could eventually put pressure on pricing. But a planned launch does not establish that Micron is losing orders.
Micron's own numbers show why investors have so much at stake. In its September 30 earnings release, the company forecast fiscal-first-quarter revenue of $61.5 billion, plus or minus $1.5 billion—roughly 13.4% above the previous quarter's $54.23 billion. Management also projected gross margins of approximately 85.95% under GAAP and 86.25% on an adjusted basis. Those are enormous margins. They are also targets Micron still has to deliver.
The valuation leaves little room for disappointment: shares trade 21.31% above the displayed GF Value™ estimate of $777.46 despite the decline. CXMT's next test is turning its design into reliable production, meaningful shipments and customer approvals. Micron's test is protecting prices and sustaining cash generation as competing supply develops. A technical advance alone cannot settle that contest. Investors need to watch what reaches customers—and at what price.
Disclosures I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and have no plans to buy any new positions in the stocks mentioned within the next 72 hours.
China's Chip Challenge Sends Micron Stock Tumbling as AI Trade Faces Fresh Pressure
Summary
China’s memory-chip makers are stepping up competition just as a broader semiconductor sell-off puts fresh pressure on Micron shares
Micron Technology MU shares fell 4% in Tuesday morning trading as investors assessed the growing capabilities of Chinese memory-chip producers and a broader retreat across semiconductor stocks.
China's ChangXin Memory Technologies is reportedly developing server memory using a 4F² cell design, which allows more memory cells to fit within a given chip area. The product could reach the market later this year, potentially adding competition as artificial intelligence infrastructure spending drives demand for memory components.
The competitive picture is also changing in NAND flash memory, used for data storage. Counterpoint Research said China's Yangtze Memory Technologies ranked third globally by NAND shipment volume in the second quarter and is preparing for a potential listing on Shanghai's STAR Market.
The sector's decline extended beyond Micron, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index losing about 3% during the session. Mizuho analyst Jordan Klein said heavy investor exposure to AI-related stocks has left the trade vulnerable to sharp swings. Although Chinese suppliers are advancing in conventional memory, more complex stacked high-bandwidth memory used in AI systems may present a greater technical challenge, according to comments cited in the report.
Disclosures
I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and have no plans to buy any new positions in the stocks mentioned within the next 72 hours.
Americké akciové trhy dnes opět mírně oslabují, když pokračující výprodej v polovodičích převážil nad vesměs solidním začátkem výsledkové sezóny velkých bank. S&P 500 se drží poblíž rekordních úrovní, ale v průběhu obchodování ztrácí zhruba 0,1 %, Nasdaq Composite odepisuje 0,2 % a Dow Jones klesá přibližně o 0,3 %. Sentiment zhoršují obavy z rostoucí konkurence v paměťových čipech poté, co čínská CXMT oznámila technologický průlom v DRAM a nový datacentrový čipový design plánovaný k uvedení do konce roku. Investoři zároveň vyhodnocují výsledky JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup a Wells Fargo, které ukázaly pokračující ochotu bank půjčovat a odolnou poptávku po úvěrech, ale reakce akcií byla smíšená. Pozornost se přesouvá také k makru: ve středu bude zveřejněna inflace CPI a ve čtvrtek výrobní ceny PPI, přičemž opční trh podle Citigroup očekává u S&P 500 ve středu pohyb zhruba o 0,75 % na jednu či druhou stranu.
Sektorově jsou nejslabší částí trhu technologie, zejména polovodiče a paměťové tituly. Z velkých společností s kapitalizací nad 200 mld. USD tvoří technologické tituly sedm z deseti nejslabších akcií tohoto dne. Naopak energetické akcie patří mezi nejlepší sektor v S&P 500 a rostou o více než 1 %. Bankovní sektor zůstává citlivý na výsledkovou sezónu. Ropa Brent klesá k 105 USD za barel navzdory přetrvávajícímu napětí na Blízkém východě. Výnos desetiletého amerického dluhopisu se pohybuje kolem 5,25 %, zatímco investoři dál řeší, zda vysoké náklady kapitálu nezačnou více zatěžovat valuace i návratnost masivních investic do AI infrastruktury.
Z jednotlivých titulů nejvíce ztrácí Micron Technology (MU), který v kategorii velkých firem vede poklesy se ztrátou 5,2 % kvůli zprávám o pokroku čínské CXMT v DRAM technologii. Pod tlakem jsou i další paměťové a úložné tituly: americky obchodované akcie SK Hynix (SKHY -4,59 %) ztrácí takřka 5 %, Sandisk (SNDK) ztrácí 2,84 % a negativní nálada zasahuje také Seagate Technology (STX -2,79 %) a Western Digital (WDC -2,94 %). Nvidia (NVDA) odepisuje 0,2 % a AMD 0,3 %, tedy relativně méně než paměťové tituly. Z bank Goldman Sachs (GS) roste o 0,5–0,7 % po lepších výsledcích, tažených mimo jiné silným výkonem akciového tradingu, a JPMorgan (JPM -0,19) se drží mírně v záporu po zvýšení celoročního výhledu čistého úrokového výnosu. Naopak Citigroup (C) klesá o 4,05 % i přes lepší výsledky a vyšší výhled čistého úrokového výnosu, zatímco Wells Fargo (WFC) ztrácí 1,8 % po zaostání tržeb za konsensem. Mimo finanční sektor oslabuje Domino’s Pizza (DPZ -3,32 %) po slabším růstu srovnatelných tržeb v domácích prodejnách, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) klesá kvůli slabšímu růstu zdravotnických přístrojů, zatímco UnitedHealth (UNH -0,23 %) osciluje kolem nuly po příznivém výhledu.
Index Dow Jones -0,35 % na 51670,01 b.
S&P 500 -0,12 % na 7798,07 b.
Nasdaq Composite -0,23 % na 27182,03 b.
Index S&P 500 -0,12 % na 7798,07 b. Nejsilnější sektory S&P Změna Nejslabší sektory S&P Změna Energie +1,2 % Zdravotní péče -1,2 % Komunikační služby +1,1 % Průmysl -0,8 % Utility +0,3 % Informační technologie -0,2 % Nejsilnější akcie S&P Změna Nejslabší akcie S&P Změna CDW Corp/DE (CDW) +4,7 % Applied Materials (AMAT) -8,9 % International Flavors & Fragrances (IFF) +4,2 % Flex (FLEX) -7,1 % Charter Communications (CHTR) +3,7 % Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) -6,2 % Centene Corp (CNC) +3,6 % Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO) -5,4 % First Solar (FSLR) +3,6 % Micron Technology (MU) -5,4 %
Martin Varecha
Fio banka, a.s.
Prohlášení
Perpetual Ltd increased its position in Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU – Free Report) by 408.7% in the 3rd quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The firm owned 42,495 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock after purchasing an additional 34,141 shares during the quarter. Perpetual Ltd’s holdings in Micron Technology were worth $45,262,000 at the end of the most recent quarter.
Other institutional investors have also recently bought and sold shares of the company. Bullseye Investment Management LLC acquired a new position in shares of Micron Technology in the 2nd quarter valued at $27,000. Aventus Investment Advisors Inc. bought a new position in shares of Micron Technology during the 3rd quarter worth about $30,000. Steph & Co. acquired a new stake in shares of Micron Technology during the 3rd quarter valued at about $31,000. Montgomery Financial Services LLC acquired a new stake in shares of Micron Technology during the 2nd quarter valued at about $38,000. Finally, JNBA Financial Advisors boosted its position in shares of Micron Technology by 77.3% during the 2nd quarter. JNBA Financial Advisors now owns 39 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock valued at $45,000 after acquiring an additional 17 shares in the last quarter. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 80.84% of the company’s stock.
Insiders Place Their Bets In other news, CEO Sanjay Mehrotra sold 40,000 shares of Micron Technology stock in a transaction that occurred on Friday, August 21st. The shares were sold at an average price of $968.90, for a total value of $38,756,000.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief executive officer owned 264,503 shares in the company, valued at approximately $256,276,956.70. The trade was a 13.14% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is accessible through this link. Also, EVP Sumit Sadana sold 15,000 shares of Micron Technology stock in a transaction on Tuesday, August 18th. The shares were sold at an average price of $934.29, for a total value of $14,014,350.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the executive vice president owned 191,021 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $178,469,010.09. The trade was a 7.28% decrease in their position. The SEC filing for this sale provides additional information. Over the last ninety days, insiders have sold 95,879 shares of company stock valued at $90,939,466. 0.24% of the stock is currently owned by insiders.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth MU has been the topic of a number of analyst reports. The Goldman Sachs Group set a $1,250.00 target price on shares of Micron Technology in a research note on Thursday, October 1st. DA Davidson raised their price target on shares of Micron Technology from $2,100.00 to $3,000.00 and gave the stock a “buy” rating in a research note on Wednesday, October 7th. Arete Research lifted their price objective on Micron Technology from $852.00 to $1,500.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a report on Tuesday, July 21st. Daiwa Securities Group lifted their price objective on Micron Technology from $1,600.00 to $1,700.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a report on Friday, July 17th. Finally, President Capital upped their price objective on Micron Technology to $1,500.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a research note on Friday, July 17th. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, forty-one have issued a Buy rating and four have issued a Hold rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the stock has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus target price of $1,407.88. View Our Latest Report on MU
Micron Technology Stock Down 3.9% Shares of NASDAQ:MU opened at $989.04 on Tuesday. The company’s fifty day moving average is $983.23 and its 200-day moving average is $849.12. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03, a quick ratio of 2.94 and a current ratio of 3.31. Micron Technology, Inc. has a 52 week low of $186.25 and a 52 week high of $1,255.00. The company has a market capitalization of $1.12 trillion, a PE ratio of 13.33, a P/E/G ratio of 0.18 and a beta of 2.22.
Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU – Get Free Report) last announced its earnings results on Wednesday, September 30th. The semiconductor manufacturer reported $33.42 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $31.77 by $1.65. Micron Technology had a net margin of 63.80% and a return on equity of 92.62%. The business had revenue of $54.23 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $51.33 billion. During the same quarter last year, the company posted $3.03 EPS. The firm’s revenue for the quarter was up 379.1% on a year-over-year basis. Micron Technology has set its Q1 2027 guidance at 37.150-39.150 EPS. Equities research analysts predict that Micron Technology, Inc. will post 175.82 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
Micron Technology Dividend Announcement The company also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, October 29th. Shareholders of record on Wednesday, October 14th will be paid a dividend of $0.15 per share. This represents a $0.60 annualized dividend and a yield of 0.1%. The ex-dividend date of this dividend is Wednesday, October 14th. Micron Technology’s dividend payout ratio is currently 0.81%.
More Micron Technology News Here are the key news stories impacting Micron Technology this week:
Positive Sentiment: Micron increased its share-repurchase authorization to a record $35.16 billion, with buybacks expected to begin shortly. The plan signals management’s confidence in cash generation and could support earnings per share. Why Is Micron Stock Rising Today? Positive Sentiment: Micron’s latest results substantially exceeded expectations, with $54.23 billion in revenue and $33.42 in adjusted EPS, while revenue surged 379% year over year. Analysts remain optimistic about AI-related memory demand, tight DRAM supply and long-term customer agreements. One bullish analyst raised a price target to $3,000, while several research firms continue to rate MU favorably. Micron: More For Longer Neutral Sentiment: Despite the recent pullback, valuation screens continue to identify Micron as an attractive value and growth stock, with a low forward earnings multiple and strong earnings momentum. However, investor sentiment remains cautious after the stock’s substantial year-to-date advance. Micron Is a Top-Ranked Value Stock Negative Sentiment: China’s ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) reported progress on a denser “4F square” DRAM design aimed at server memory. The development has renewed concerns that Chinese competition could eventually pressure Micron’s pricing power, margins and market share. Micron Stock Falls on Competition From China Rival CXMT Negative Sentiment: Elon Musk’s warning regarding Chinese memory chips added to the market’s concerns, while a broader selloff in semiconductor shares and weakness in South Korean technology stocks amplified pressure on MU. Micron Stock Falls Again as Musk Issues Warning on Chinese Memory Negative Sentiment: Investors are also questioning whether AI infrastructure spending can remain strong after Australian data-center company Firmus canceled its IPO because of weak demand. Any slowdown in AI investment could reduce future demand for Micron’s high-value memory products. Nvidia and Micron Received Bad News From an Unlikely Place Micron Technology Profile (Free Report)
Micron Technology, Inc is a semiconductor company that develops and manufactures memory and storage solutions. Its product portfolio includes dynamic random-access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, three-dimensional XPoint-related technologies, solid-state drives, and high-bandwidth memory products designed for demanding computing applications.
The company serves customers across the data center, artificial intelligence, networking, automotive, industrial, mobile, consumer electronics, and embedded markets.
Featured Articles Five stocks we like better than Micron Technology Salesforce Just Got a Rare Double Upgrade—What Changed? OpenAI’s Revenue Scare Could Be a Big Opportunity for Investors China Still Dominates Rare Earths—These 3 U.S. Companies Could Benefit 3 REITs That May Win in a Higher Interest Rate Environment
Receive News & Ratings for Micron Technology Daily - Enter your email address below to receive a concise daily summary of the latest news and analysts' ratings for Micron Technology and related companies with MarketBeat.com's FREE daily email newsletter.
NorthCrest Asset Manangement LLC lowered its position in Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU – Free Report) by 21.2% during the third quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the SEC. The fund owned 24,688 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock after selling 6,636 shares during the period. NorthCrest Asset Manangement LLC’s holdings in Micron Technology were worth $25,572,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period.
Several other institutional investors also recently bought and sold shares of MU. DWR Wealth Management LLC bought a new stake in shares of Micron Technology in the third quarter valued at about $209,000. Perpetual Ltd boosted its stake in Micron Technology by 408.7% in the 3rd quarter. Perpetual Ltd now owns 42,495 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock valued at $45,262,000 after buying an additional 34,141 shares in the last quarter. Vertrix Wealth Management LLC lifted its holdings in shares of Micron Technology by 12.0% during the third quarter. Vertrix Wealth Management LLC now owns 281 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock valued at $299,000 after acquiring an additional 30 shares during the period. JGP Wealth Management LLC boosted its position in Micron Technology by 19.3% in the third quarter. JGP Wealth Management LLC now owns 2,354 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock valued at $2,507,000 after buying an additional 380 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Scott Capital Advisors LLC boosted its holdings in shares of Micron Technology by 50.9% in the 3rd quarter. Scott Capital Advisors LLC now owns 347 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock worth $377,000 after acquiring an additional 117 shares in the last quarter. 80.84% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.
Trending Headlines about Micron Technology Here are the key news stories impacting Micron Technology this week:
Positive Sentiment: Micron increased its share-repurchase authorization to a record $35.16 billion, with buybacks expected to begin shortly. The plan signals management’s confidence in cash generation and could support earnings per share. Why Is Micron Stock Rising Today? Positive Sentiment: Micron’s latest results substantially exceeded expectations, with $54.23 billion in revenue and $33.42 in adjusted EPS, while revenue surged 379% year over year. Analysts remain optimistic about AI-related memory demand, tight DRAM supply and long-term customer agreements. One bullish analyst raised a price target to $3,000, while several research firms continue to rate MU favorably. Micron: More For Longer Neutral Sentiment: Despite the recent pullback, valuation screens continue to identify Micron as an attractive value and growth stock, with a low forward earnings multiple and strong earnings momentum. However, investor sentiment remains cautious after the stock’s substantial year-to-date advance. Micron Is a Top-Ranked Value Stock Negative Sentiment: China’s ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) reported progress on a denser “4F square” DRAM design aimed at server memory. The development has renewed concerns that Chinese competition could eventually pressure Micron’s pricing power, margins and market share. Micron Stock Falls on Competition From China Rival CXMT Negative Sentiment: Elon Musk’s warning regarding Chinese memory chips added to the market’s concerns, while a broader selloff in semiconductor shares and weakness in South Korean technology stocks amplified pressure on MU. Micron Stock Falls Again as Musk Issues Warning on Chinese Memory Negative Sentiment: Investors are also questioning whether AI infrastructure spending can remain strong after Australian data-center company Firmus canceled its IPO because of weak demand. Any slowdown in AI investment could reduce future demand for Micron’s high-value memory products. Nvidia and Micron Received Bad News From an Unlikely Place Insider Buying and Selling at Micron Technology In other Micron Technology news, EVP Sumit Sadana sold 15,000 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction dated Tuesday, August 18th. The shares were sold at an average price of $934.29, for a total transaction of $14,014,350.00. Following the sale, the executive vice president directly owned 191,021 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $178,469,010.09. The trade was a 7.28% decrease in their position. The sale was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which is available through this link. Also, CEO Sanjay Mehrotra sold 40,000 shares of the stock in a transaction dated Friday, August 21st. The stock was sold at an average price of $968.90, for a total transaction of $38,756,000.00. Following the transaction, the chief executive officer owned 264,503 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $256,276,956.70. This represents a 13.14% decrease in their ownership of the stock. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. In the last three months, insiders have sold 95,879 shares of company stock worth $90,939,466. Insiders own 0.24% of the company’s stock. Micron Technology Price Performance Shares of MU opened at $989.04 on Tuesday. The company has a quick ratio of 2.94, a current ratio of 3.31 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03. Micron Technology, Inc. has a twelve month low of $186.25 and a twelve month high of $1,255.00. The stock has a market capitalization of $1.12 trillion, a P/E ratio of 13.33, a P/E/G ratio of 0.18 and a beta of 2.22. The company has a 50 day moving average of $983.23 and a 200-day moving average of $849.12.
Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU – Get Free Report) last announced its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, September 30th. The semiconductor manufacturer reported $33.42 EPS for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $31.77 by $1.65. Micron Technology had a net margin of 63.80% and a return on equity of 92.62%. The business had revenue of $54.23 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $51.33 billion. During the same quarter in the previous year, the firm posted $3.03 earnings per share. The firm’s revenue for the quarter was up 379.1% on a year-over-year basis. Micron Technology has set its Q1 2027 guidance at 37.150-39.150 EPS. As a group, equities research analysts forecast that Micron Technology, Inc. will post 175.82 EPS for the current fiscal year.
Micron Technology Announces Dividend The firm also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, October 29th. Shareholders of record on Wednesday, October 14th will be paid a $0.15 dividend. This represents a $0.60 annualized dividend and a yield of 0.1%. The ex-dividend date is Wednesday, October 14th. Micron Technology’s payout ratio is presently 0.81%.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth MU has been the subject of several research reports. BMO Capital Markets restated an “outperform” rating on shares of Micron Technology in a research report on Thursday, October 1st. Morgan Stanley restated an “overweight” rating and set a $1,200.00 target price on shares of Micron Technology in a research report on Thursday, October 1st. Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft reiterated a “buy” rating on shares of Micron Technology in a report on Thursday, October 1st. Wolfe Research set a $1,500.00 price objective on shares of Micron Technology in a research report on Thursday, June 25th. Finally, TD Cowen restated a “buy” rating and set a $1,600.00 price objective on shares of Micron Technology in a report on Thursday, October 1st. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, forty-one have issued a Buy rating and four have assigned a Hold rating to the company’s stock. According to MarketBeat, the stock currently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $1,407.88.
Check Out Our Latest Stock Analysis on MU
(Free Report)
Micron Technology, Inc is a semiconductor company that develops and manufactures memory and storage solutions. Its product portfolio includes dynamic random-access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, three-dimensional XPoint-related technologies, solid-state drives, and high-bandwidth memory products designed for demanding computing applications.
The company serves customers across the data center, artificial intelligence, networking, automotive, industrial, mobile, consumer electronics, and embedded markets.
Read More Five stocks we like better than Micron Technology Salesforce Just Got a Rare Double Upgrade—What Changed? OpenAI’s Revenue Scare Could Be a Big Opportunity for Investors China Still Dominates Rare Earths—These 3 U.S. Companies Could Benefit 3 REITs That May Win in a Higher Interest Rate Environment
Receive News & Ratings for Micron Technology Daily - Enter your email address below to receive a concise daily summary of the latest news and analysts' ratings for Micron Technology and related companies with MarketBeat.com's FREE daily email newsletter.
Tom Lee says a 6% collapse in South Korean stocks could send Ethereum tumbling through a chain of margin calls and forced crypto sales, but the trading data from Seoul tells a very different story.
On October 13, 2026, South Korea’s main stock index, the KOSPI, fell sharply by 6.1%, dropping to 5,996 points by 10:40 a.m. Seoul time. This decline erased 388 points in just a few hours. Shortly after, Tom Lee, chairman of BitMine, cautioned that this South Korean stock crash could impact Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH).
Lee wrote on X, “This major decline in Korean equities is likely spilling over into crypto – margin liquidations in brokerage – Koreans are major holders of crypto. Short-term pain $ETH.” While he outlined a potential connection between stock market losses and crypto, he didn’t specify any figures. So how could a downturn in Seoul’s stock market lead to Ether sales, and does the evidence support this theory?
Memory-Chip Stocks and Foreign Sellers Drove the KOSPI’s 6% Drop
South Korea’s major memory chip manufacturers saw the biggest losses. Samsung Electronics fell 6.8% to 233,500 won, and SK Hynix (NASDAQ: SKHY) dropped 8.5% to 1.47 million won. These companies are influential enough in the KOSPI that their declines can pull the entire index down. The tech-heavy KOSDAQ also suffered, falling 4.4%.
Selling pressure came mainly from foreign investors, who offloaded a net 1.81 trillion won in shares, selling far more than they bought. In contrast, local retail investors bought a net 1.05 trillion won worth of shares, and institutions added a net 599 billion won, suggesting local buyers were capitalizing on the drop.
The decline was steep enough to trigger a sell-side circuit breaker, known as a “sidecar,” on the Korea Exchange. This mechanism halts computer-driven program selling for five minutes if KOSPI 200 futures move 5% or more and hold that move for one minute.
A Chinese Chip Announcement, Not Crypto, Triggered the Sell-Off
Fears in the memory-chip sector drove the stock market crash. Investors were concerned that a Chinese company might ramp up competition after announcing plans to unveil next-generation server memory products. These high-margin chips have been a crucial revenue source for Korean manufacturers during the surge in AI data centers.
Previously, investors reacted similarly when concerns arose, such as in July when SK Hynix and SanDisk experienced notable declines. This time, the anxiety spread to Wall Street, causing shares of U.S. chipmakers like Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU | MU Price Prediction) to slip. While the sentiment affected chip stocks worldwide, crypto played no role in this sell-off, limiting the extent of Lee’s claims.
How Margin Calls in Seoul Could Spill Into Ether
Margin trading allows investors to borrow money from brokers to buy more stock than they could afford outright, using their existing shares as collateral. When stock prices fall, this collateral loses value, leading brokers to issue margin calls—requests for additional funds. If an investor can’t meet the margin call, the broker may sell their shares in a forced sale.
Lee’s argument introduces another layer, as cryptocurrency trades around the clock and can be sold quickly. An investor facing a margin call might sell crypto to raise cash, regardless of their views on the asset. Lee noted that many Koreans hold virtual currencies, and Korean banks are also becoming more involved in the crypto market. From his perspective, a wave of margin calls could increase selling pressure on Ether.
Korean Trading Data Doesn’t Back Lee’s Warning Yet
However, Lee’s argument largely relies on speculation. He didn’t provide any figures for potential crypto sales or mention that Korean investors were actively selling Ether in response to the stock market decline. Additionally, he cited no data from Korean exchanges or evidence of price discrepancies between Korean and global crypto markets to support his theory.
The flow of investment suggests otherwise. During the sell-off, Korean retail investors were net buyers, suggesting that while individual margin calls may have forced sales, the overall retail trend was toward buying shares.
Crypto prices also provide little clarity. Ether was priced at $2,531, down 6.2% over the week, while Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) traded at $83,871, down 1.7% and still 33% below its high of $126,080. These weekly trends extend beyond a single Korean trading session, and crypto was already under pressure before the Seoul market opened, complicating any direct correlation.
In addition, South Korea’s financial authorities have blocked web access to 27 unregistered overseas crypto platforms, extending previous restrictions. While this move makes offshore trading harder for Koreans, it does not connect to the margin-selling scenario Lee proposes.
Can a South Korean Stock Crash Affect Ethereum? In theory, it is possible, but the October 13 data does not provide clear evidence. Therefore, take Lee’s warning with caution. Forced selling can indeed affect multiple markets, and while he may be correct that it can impact unrelated assets, the immediate evidence does not strongly support his claims.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Key Takeaways Micron's HBM4 ramp-up and higher contract prices could lift margins further amid robust AI memory demand.MU's Q4'26 gross margin hit 87%, while HBM4 production is ramping twice as fast as HBM3E.Micron secured most 2027 HBM supply deals at higher prices, potentially narrowing the margin gap with DRAM. Micron Technology, Inc. (MU - Free Report) is positioned to benefit from the rising demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) as AI companies build more powerful data centers. Its HBM4 ramp-up could support further margin growth if strong demand, higher prices and efficient production continue.
Micron’s fourth-quarter 2026 revenues jumped 379.3% year over year to $54.23 billion, while the full fiscal 2026 top line surged 256.3% to $133.19 billion. The fourth-quarter non-GAAP gross margin reached 87%, up from 45.7% in the year-ago quarter. The company’s full fiscal 2026 gross margin reached 81.1% from 41.1% in fiscal 2025, highlighting the benefits of favorable memory pricing and strong demand.
HBM is an important part of this opportunity. Micron reported that HBM revenues grew faster than total company revenues in the fourth quarter. It has also completed agreements covering most of its HBM bit supply for calendar year 2027, with significantly higher prices than the previous year. These agreements offer better revenue visibility and could help support profitability as shipments increase.
Micron’s HBM4 progress adds another growth opportunity. The company said its 12-high HBM4 production ramp-up is advancing twice as fast as the comparable HBM3E generation, and it has already shipped more than $1 billion in HBM4 revenues. Faster production growth and better manufacturing yields could help reduce costs and improve returns as volumes rise.
Pricing is another potential margin driver. Micron has secured most of its 2027 HBM supply agreements at significantly higher year-over-year prices. Management expects these prices to narrow the gross-margin gap between HBM and conventional DRAM. However, the actual benefit will depend on production costs, product yields and how quickly shipments increase.
Micron’s HBM4 ramp-up and higher contract prices provide a strong foundation for further margin improvement. Its 87% fourth-quarter gross margin already reflects favorable market conditions, but sustaining such high levels will depend on execution and continued AI spending. For the first quarter of fiscal 2027, Micron expects non-GAAP gross margin of approximately 86.25%.
How Do Rivals Fare Against Micron in AI Memory Space?Micron’s major competitors, SK hynix (SKHY - Free Report) and Sandisk Corporation (SNDK - Free Report) , are also benefiting from AI-led demand for memory and storage solutions.
SK hynix is one of Micron’s closest DRAM rivals and has a strong position in HBM, which is critical for AI accelerators. In the second quarter of 2026, SK hynix generated 79.3 trillion Korean won in revenues, up 257% year over year, while operating profit surged 557% to 60.5 trillion won. HBM, AI-server DRAM and enterprise SSDs drove the strong results.
Sandisk is more focused on NAND and storage than DRAM, but it is another stock that stands to benefit from AI infrastructure spending. Its fiscal 2026 revenues jumped 175% to $20.25 billion, while data-center revenues soared 437% to $5.15 billion. Sandisk’s fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 revenues also surged 372% sequentially to $8.97 billion, showing strong demand for storage products used in data centers.
Both companies highlight the broadening AI-driven demand for memory and storage, although Micron remains particularly well-positioned in DRAM and HBM.
Micron’s Price Performance, Valuation & EstimatesShares of Micron have surged 246.5% year to date compared with the Zacks Computer and Technology sector’s return of 23.4%.
From a valuation standpoint, MU trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 5.47, significantly lower than the sector’s average of 20.93.
Micron Technology 12-Month Forward P/E Ratio
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Micron’s fiscal 2027 and 2028 earnings implies year-over-year increases of 133.9% and 20.6%, respectively. Bottom-line estimates for fiscal 2027 and 2028 have been revised upward over the past 30 days.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Micron currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Shares of memory chipmakers Micron MU and SK Hynix continued to fall on Tuesday as concerns over China’s CXMT and its growing manufacturing capabilities persisted.
Warnings from prominent business leaders and investors about the potential competitive threat further weighed on sentiment, even as warnings from senior industry executives about the cost of financing artificial intelligence infrastructure pressured the broader chip sector.
Shares of both companies were down 4% in trading, extending Monday's selloff, while SK Hynix shares in South Korea had also fallen more than 10% earlier in the day.
Investors have been reassessing the outlook for memory chip manufacturers after Chinese producer ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) announced progress in a new memory-cell architecture that could help it increase storage density and compete more effectively with established manufacturers.
The concerns have now drawn attention from prominent investors and business leaders, including Cathie Wood and Elon Musk, who have highlighted the potential implications of China’s manufacturing scale for the global semiconductor industry.
Investor Cathie Wood warned that China’s expanding memory chip production capacity could intensify the boom-and-bust cycles that have historically affected the sector, according to Bloomberg.
Speaking to investors in Hong Kong, Wood said ARK avoids conventional memory chip companies because the industry is vulnerable to sharp price declines when supply outpaces demand.
She suggested that additional Chinese capacity could make these swings more severe.
“The trend is up, but the cycles are vicious,” Wood said, according to Bloomberg.
If “you get a few more incremental competitors, especially out of China, the volatility will increase.”
Wood identified state-backed Chinese manufacturers such as CXMT as a potential source of additional supply pressure.
The company has expanded its DRAM production as it seeks to capture a larger share of the market.
Although high-bandwidth memory (HBM), which is used in advanced AI accelerators, remains in strong demand, a broader increase in Chinese memory production could put pressure on prices and margins across the industry.
CXMT has announced “key progress” in developing a new memory-cell architecture intended to increase storage density, a technology also being pursued by Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.
CXMT President Cao Kanyu said at an industry event in Shanghai over the weekend that the company planned to introduce a new server-memory product based on the technology by the end of 2026, according to a company statement.
The development centres on a “4F square” design, in which each memory cell occupies an area equivalent to four square units of F, with F representing the minimum line width used in a semiconductor manufacturing process.
Mainstream commercial dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) currently uses a 6F square-cell structure.
Moving to a 4F square architecture could allow manufacturers to fit more memory cells onto a chip, increasing storage density and potentially improving manufacturing efficiency.
The extent to which the development threatens established manufacturers will depend on CXMT’s ability to scale production, deliver competitive products and win customers.
SpaceX chief executive Elon Musk added to the discussion, pointing to China’s ability to scale production once it has developed a commercially viable technology.
“When China figures out how to manufacture a product, their ability to scale is often greater than the rest of the world combined. We saw this with lithium batteries and solar, for example,” Musk said on X.
When China figures out how to manufacture a product, their ability to scale is often greater than the rest of the world combined. We saw this with lithium batteries and solar, for example. SpaceX is a rare counter-example, where its mass to orbit is roughly an order of
He was responding to a post by Milk Road analyst Melvin about the memory chip selloff, which questioned whether CXMT had demonstrated that it could manufacture at scale.
Musk described SpaceX as an exception in the space industry, noting that China accounted for a majority of non-SpaceX mass to orbit.
He added that memory chips could follow a different trajectory, while cautioning that more advanced architectures would be harder to develop.
“Maybe RAM will be different, but RAM was a low-margin commodity only ~3 years ago. LP5 and LP6 are designed to a common standard that China seems to be solving fast.”
“Newer HBM architectures and things like an SRAM layer below logic and 3D stacking RAM on top of logic while finding a way to keep the logic cooled will be harder to solve,” he said.
A Counterpoint Research report published last month showed that CXMT captured 10% of the global DRAM market in the second quarter of 2026, compared with 4% in the same period a year earlier and 8% in the first quarter.
The increase has strengthened concerns about the competitive pressure facing established memory manufacturers.
Phillip Wool, chief market strategist at Rayliant Global Advisors, said CXMT’s progress represented a significant milestone for Chinese chipmakers and demonstrated their ability to overcome technology restrictions.
However, he argued that the market reaction appeared disproportionate to the immediate competitive threat, given that CXMT had yet to demonstrate large-scale production and continued to trail Samsung and SK Hynix in market share.
“More importantly, we’re not even talking about HBM here, and the Korean chipmakers are still unquestionably dominating that space, with very little threat at all from the likes of CXMT or anyone else for the foreseeable future,” Wool said.
HBM is particularly important for advanced AI accelerators because it allows processors to access large volumes of data at high speeds.
Nevertheless, CXMT’s ambitions in the segment are also attracting attention.
The Information reported in August that the company had begun producing advanced HBM in small quantities.
CXMT plans to expand that production in 2027, while Alibaba’s T-Head semiconductor unit and Chinese AI chip designer Cambricon are already testing its HBM products with their processors.
Separately, warnings from semiconductor executives about the availability and cost of capital have added another source of uncertainty for investors betting on the AI infrastructure boom.
Broadcom chief executive Hock Tan said access to capital could become one of the biggest constraints on industry growth, even as demand for computing infrastructure continues to exceed supply.
“[What] I think might be the biggest constraint is capital,” Tan said at the DBS Asia Future Forward Conference in Singapore on Monday.
Intel chief executive Lip-Bu Tan echoed those concerns, highlighting the rising cost of capital and questions about whether companies investing heavily in AI will ultimately generate sufficient returns.
“If there’s any challenge in the front, it’s capital and the cost of capital, and then the other part is in the longer run, people want to see the ROI,” he said.
The comments have heightened concerns that higher bond yields could make data centre construction and semiconductor purchases more expensive.
For memory chip manufacturers, the combination of potential new competition, cyclical pricing risks and uncertainty over the financing of AI infrastructure has created a more complicated outlook, even as demand for advanced computing capacity remains strong.
Micron Technology (MU -5.11%) stock has been falling in recent days, but its market cap remains above the $1 trillion mark for now. While some investors worry about its high valuation, others believe that it's still an incredibly cheap buy with loads of upside, given how cheap it is with respect to earnings.
Ultimately, it comes down to expectations. Those who believe the memory shortage will come to an end in the near future are bearish, while those who expect this to be a new normal and for Micron's numbers to continue soaring are in the bullish camp.
One extremely bullish analyst recently gave Micron's stock an astounding price target -- $3,000.
Image source: Getty Images.
Analysts are generally bullish on Micron's stockThe consensus analyst price target for Micron is just over $1,400, which implies an upside of around 50% based on where it's trading today. And of the 46 analyst ratings, 42 rate the stock as a buy.
One of the more bullish analysts is Gil Luria, from D.A. Davidson. Luria recently set a price target of $3,000 for Micron, raising it from $2,100 previously. That's currently the highest price target for the memory stock, and it suggests an upside of more than 200% for investors who buy it today.
It's an extremely bullish outlook for the stock, and it centers around the expectation that investors will pay a higher earnings multiple for the stock in the future, and that the memory shortage won't come to an end anytime soon. Currently, the stock is trading at an incredibly low forward price-to-earnings multiple of just seven, which is based on analyst expectations. That suggests that there is some apprehension around Micron and its future. Otherwise, investors would surely be buying up the stock at such a modest-looking valuation.
It's important to note, however, that analyst expectations can and will change with new information. But for now, many still remain fairly bullish on Micron.
Premium Feature
Moneyball Superscore
91/100
Today's Change
(
-5.11
%) $
-50.49
Current Price
$
938.55
Micron's stock has plenty of upside, but it's also highly volatileIf the memory shortage does end up lasting for several years, then there could indeed be plenty more room for Micron's stock to rise higher. But in the tech sector, things can change rapidly. And even if the shortage may not end soon, if the market sees an end in sight, investors may sell off before that happens to secure profits.
For investors who are willing to take on that risk and volatility, Micron may be a good buy now that it has dipped below $1,000.
Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) stock plunged on Tuesday, October 13, as investors reassessed the outlook for the memory chipmaker.
As of press time, MU shares were trading at $937, down approximately 5.7% after falling 3.9% in the previous session.
MU one-day stock price chart. Source: Google Finance
The sell-off reflects growing concerns about competition in the memory chip market and the sustainability of the AI-driven rally in semiconductor stocks.
A key catalyst is the progress of Chinese memory chipmaker ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), which has announced advances in a denser dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) architecture known as 4F².
The technology could allow manufacturers to fit more memory cells onto a chip, potentially lowering production costs. CXMT is also targeting a launch of DDR5 server memory products before the end of 2026, raising concerns about competition in a market where Micron has benefited from strong demand and tight supply.
The development has heightened concerns about Micron’s pricing power and profit margins. However, CXMT’s ability to manufacture the technology at scale and compete directly with established suppliers remains uncertain.
Micron also faces competition in NAND flash memory, with Chinese manufacturer Yangtze Memory Technologies expanding its presence in the global market.
Semiconductor stocks weakness
Micron’s decline comes amid broader weakness in semiconductor stocks as investors reassess AI-related valuations and spending expectations.
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell approximately 3% on Tuesday, while other memory chipmakers, including SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics, also suffered significant losses.
The weakness reflects concerns that intensifying competition could pressure the profitability of companies supplying memory and other components for AI infrastructure.
Comments from Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) chief executive Hock Tan about the risks of speculative AI investments have added to investor caution. Markets are weighing substantial AI infrastructure spending against the capital required to sustain that expansion.
These concerns are particularly relevant to Micron because memory chips are essential to AI servers, while the company’s valuation and earnings expectations depend heavily on demand and pricing in the sector.
Micron operational disruption
Micron also faces potential operational disruption in Taiwan, where employees have authorized a strike amid a dispute over profit-sharing arrangements.
According to Reuters, 99% of the 1,994 union members who voted supported strike authorization. The dispute concerns compensation following a strong financial year. A union rally was scheduled for October 19, although authorization does not mean a strike has begun.
Taiwan is a key production base for Micron, meaning a prolonged labor disruption could affect manufacturing and supply.
Despite the sell-off, demand for AI infrastructure continues to support Micron’s longer-term outlook. The company supplies DRAM, NAND flash, and high-bandwidth memory (HBM) for advanced computing systems.
Key Takeaways Five low-leverage stocks offer investors potential amid technology pullbacks and market uncertainty.Casey's General Stores posted 3.2% inside same-store sales growth and nearly 28% EPS growth to $7.37.Vince Holdings' net sales rose 11.7%, while adjusted net income jumped 176% to $13.5 million.
Wall Street kicked off this week on a mixed note. While the Dow Jones managed to edge higher, both the S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq slipped under pressure from rising oil prices and technology pullbacks.
Despite recent market rallies, persistent macroeconomic pressure and geopolitical flashpoints — including recent Houthi strikes against Saudi airport infrastructure and elevated tensions in the Strait of Hormuz — continue to fuel market uncertainty.
Against this backdrop, for risk-averse investors concerned about high-beta swings, pivoting toward low-leverage companies offers a more defensive strategy.
These financially prudent firms maintain strong balance sheets with minimal debt, equipping them to navigate shifting interest rates and economic headwinds. By containing financial risk while generating consistent cash flows, low-leverage stalwarts provide a durable foundation for your portfolio and an effective hedge against energy-driven downturns.
Hence, we recommend low-leverage stocks, such as Micron Technology (MU - Free Report) , Casey’s General Stores (CASY - Free Report) , Ganesco (GCO - Free Report) , Plains Group (PAGP - Free Report) and Vince Holding (VNCE - Free Report) .
Before selecting low-leverage stocks, it is important to understand what leverage is and how investing in low-leverage companies can benefit investors.
What’s the Significance of Low-Leverage Stocks?In finance, leverage refers to the use of borrowed capital to support business operations and drive expansion. Companies typically raise such funds through debt financing, although equity financing remains an alternative. However, firms often prefer debt due to its relatively lower cost and easier availability compared to issuing equity.
Debt financing comes with inherent risks and is beneficial only when it generates returns that exceed the cost of borrowing. To limit downside risk, investors should be cautious of companies that rely excessively on debt. Prudent investing involves selecting businesses with manageable leverage, as completely debt-free companies are rare.
The equity market can be volatile at times. As an investor, if you want to avoid significant losses, we suggest focusing on stocks with low leverage, which are generally deemed less risky.
To identify such stocks, several leverage ratios have historically been developed to measure the amount of debt a company carries. The debt-to-equity ratio is among the most widely used financial ratios.
Analyzing Debt/EquityDebt-to-Equity Ratio = Total Liabilities/Shareholders’ Equity
This metric is a liquidity ratio that indicates the amount of financial risk a company bears. A lower debt-to-equity ratio suggests improved solvency for a company.
With the third-quarter 2026 earnings season in its first lap, investors should focus on stocks that have demonstrated solid earnings growth in recent periods.
If a stock carries a high debt-to-equity ratio during an economic downturn, its seemingly strong earnings could quickly turn into a nightmare.
The Winning StrategyConsidering the aforementioned factors, it would be prudent to choose stocks with a low debt-to-equity ratio to ensure steady returns.
Yet, an investment strategy based solely on the debt-to-equity ratio might not fetch the desired outcome. To select stocks with the potential to provide steady returns, we have expanded our screening criteria to include additional factors.
Other Parameters:
Debt/Equity Less Than X-Industry Median: Stocks that are less leveraged than their industry peers.
Current Price Greater Than or Equal to 10: The stocks must be trading at $10 or higher.
Average 20-day Volume Greater Than or Equal to 50000: A substantial trading volume ensures that the stock is easily tradable.
Percentage Change in EPS F(0)/F(-1) Greater Than X-Industry Median: Earnings growth adds to optimism, leading to a stock’s price appreciation.
VGM Score of A or B: Our research shows that stocks with a VGM Score of A or B, when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy), offer the best upside potential.
Estimated One-Year EPS Growth F (1)/F(0) Greater Than 5: This shows earnings growth expectations.
Zacks Rank #1 or 2: Irrespective of market conditions, stocks with a Zacks Rank #1 or 2 have a proven history of success.
Excluding stocks that have a negative or zero debt-to-equity ratio, we present our five picks out of the 19 that made it through the screen.
Micron Technology: It manufactures and markets high-performance memory and storage technologies, including Dynamic Random Access Memory, NAND flash memory, NOR Flash and other technologies. On Sept. 30, 2026, Micron announced its fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results.
The company’s quarterly revenues improved a massive 266.3% year over year to $41.46 billion, while its adjusted earnings per share (EPS) surged from $3.03 to $33.42 in the fiscal fourth quarter.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MU’s fiscal 2027 revenues indicates an improvement of 105.1% from the prior-year reported level. The stock boasts a long-term (three-to-five-years) earnings growth rate of 32.60%. It currently sports a Zacks Rank #1.
Casey’s General Stores: It is an American convenience store chain and the third-largest convenience store retailer in the United States. On Sept. 8, 2026, the company announced its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results. Its inside same-store sales increased 3.2% year over year, while its EPS improved nearly 28% to $7.37.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CASY’s fiscal 2026 revenues indicates an improvement of 16.9% from the prior-year reported actuals. The stock currently boasts a long-term earnings growth rate of 14.30% and a Zacks Rank of 2.
Ganesco: It is a specialty retail and branded company, which sells footwear and accessories in retail stores. On Sept. 15, 2026, Ganesco announced the launch of its Wrangler footwear collection, marking a milestone in its multiyear licensing agreement with Kontoor Brands and its legendary denim and lifestyle brand.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for GCO’s fiscal 2027 earnings indicates an improvement of 62.1% from the prior-year reported number. The stock currently boasts a four-quarter average earnings surprise of 11.16% and a Zacks Rank of 1. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Plains Group: It is involved in the transportation, storage, terminalling, and marketing of crude oil and refined products. It also focuses on the processing, transportation, fractionation, storage, and marketing of natural gas liquids, including ethane and natural gasoline products, as well as propane and butane products.
On Sept. 16, 2026, the company announced that a wholly owned subsidiary of it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire SCM PR II, LLC (Silver Creek) from subsidiaries of Tailwater Capital and The Energy and Minerals Group for an aggregate cash consideration of $585 million. Silver Creek owns and operates one of the largest integrated crude oil gathering systems in the Powder River Basin, serving a diversified customer base that includes many of the basin’s leading producers.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PAGP’s 2026 revenues indicates an improvement of 30.6% from the prior-year reported actuals. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PAGP’s 2026 earnings indicates an improvement of 236.2% from the prior-year reported numbers. It currently sports a Zacks Rank #1.
Vince Holdings: It offers a broad range of women's and men's ready-to-wear apparel, including its signature cashmere sweaters, leather jackets, luxe leggings, dresses, silk and woven tops, denim and footwear. On Sept. 10, 2026, the company announced its second-quarter fiscal 2026 results. Its net sales increased 11.7% year over year to $81.8 million, while adjusted net income improved a solid 175.5% to $13.5 million.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for VNCE’s fiscal 2026 revenues indicates an improvement of 14% from the prior-year reported actuals. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for VNCE’s fiscal 2026 earnings implies a solid surge of 175% from the prior-year reported figures. The stock currently sports a Zacks Rank #1.
When Elon Musk talks, investors tend to listen up. Whether he's discussing autonomous vehicles, orbital data centers, or the future of artificial intelligence (AI), Musk has an uncanny ability to draw attention to technologies that could reshape entire economies.
His latest observation was surprisingly simple. When responding to a discussion on X (formerly Twitter) about shrinking generative models to operate continuously on smartphones and other devices, Musk wrote, "Problem is RAM supply."
Those four words highlight an increasingly important challenge facing the AI industry, and they are particularly encouraging for Micron Technology (MU -3.88%) shareholders.
Image source: Micron Technology.
AI's next bottleneck isn't processing power For years, much of the AI narrative revolved around Nvidia GPUs and the enormous data centers required to train sophisticated models. Now, another opportunity is emerging. Instead of relying exclusively on cloud-based computing, AI developers are compressing model sizes so they can run directly on smartphones, laptops, vehicles, and other connected devices. This is commonly referred to as edge AI.
Running AI locally can reduce latency, improve privacy, and enable applications to operate without constant internet access. However, these models still require substantial memory. That's the issue Musk was addressing.
Random access memory (RAM) temporarily stores information that processors need to execute tasks. But even as AI models become smaller, continuously operating them still requires sufficient memory to accommodate certain parameters and data loads. Naturally, as these applications become more sophisticated, their memory requirements could increase. This is an interesting conundrum for Micron, which manufactures DRAM, including low-power memory for smartphones and high bandwidth memory (HBM) used alongside AI accelerators.
Premium Feature
Moneyball Superscore
91/100
Today's Change
(
-3.88
%) $
-39.96
Current Price
$
989.04
Micron's latest financial results were a blowout Micron is already benefiting from the enormous imbalance between memory supply and demand. During its fiscal fourth quarter, revenue surged 379% year over year to $54.2 billion. Meanwhile, operating income reached approximately $43.7 billion, compared with just $3.7 billion during the same period last year.
MU Operating Income Before Depreciation Amortization (OIBDA) (Annual) data by YCharts
These results reflect more than selling additional memory chips. This growth shows how Micron has gained substantial pricing power as customers compete for the limited DRAM and NAND supply. During the fourth quarter, Micron's gross margin reached 87% -- demonstrating just how favorable industry conditions have become for the memory supplier.
Management believes the memory shortage isn't ending anytime soon. During its September earnings call, Micron indicated that memory supply constraints should persist through 2027 and 2028. The company also guided approximately $61.5 billion in fiscal first-quarter revenue, underscoring that its extraordinary momentum could continue. Musk's comment regarding edge AI added another source of demand alongside hyperscaler infrastructure spending going into next year.
Why Micron stock could have more upside Micron is positioned to benefit from multiple AI tailwinds simultaneously. Cloud computing requires HBM and server DRAM. Smartphones and personal computers increasingly require advanced low-power memory. Autonomous vehicles and robotics introduce additional opportunities in the world of physical AI.
Each application is memory-intensive, yet constrained manufacturing capacity gives suppliers leverage when negotiating prices. If demand continues exceeding supply, Micron should be able to sustain unusually strong profit margins and compound earnings well beyond this year.
In turn, this could encourage growth investors to rerate Micron stock and assign a higher valuation multiple, particularly if the company's long-term customer agreements make future revenue and profit more predictable.
Musk's observation that RAM supply is constraining edge AI reinforces the importance of memory throughout the AI ecosystem. Micron's extraordinary financial performance demonstrates how profitable a supply-constrained asset can become. While the company remains exposed to macro cycles around hyperscaler spending, I see Micron as an attractive long-term AI infrastructure investment, particularly given that AI memory shortages are expected to persist and next-generation use cases are moving into production.
Jim Cramer declared chips a broken trade and software the new king of AI, but the numbers behind his argument depend entirely on where you start the clock.
SummaryMicron (MU) is upgraded from Hold to Buy with a fair value of $1,240, citing improved HBM pricing and a 10% stock pullback.
HBM margin dilution should narrow in 2027 due to higher contracted prices, but exact gross margin impact remains uncertain.
Custom HBM4E development with Nvidia offers strategic upside, though margin benefits and exclusivity are not yet disclosed.
Valuation at less than 6x FY2027 earnings offers 20% upside, but risks include DRAM pricing volatility, capex, and manufacturing complexity.
Looking for more investing ideas like this one? Get them exclusively at The Total Pharma Tracker. Learn More » JHVEPhoto/iStock Editorial via Getty Images
I rated Micron (MU) a Hold in June, when the stock was around $1,145. It is now at $1,029, down about 10%. I didn’t worry about Micron’s earnings, which were already great. I wanted to know how much of that
584 Followers
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
The weakness in tech is the biggest concern Tom White has heading into Tuesday's trading session, noting the tech-heavy Kospi index in South Korean seeing a huge overnight decline. "Watch the chips today," says Tom, as momentum in names like Nvidia (NVDA), Micron (MU), and AMD Inc. (AMD) have power to dictate market moves.
A Chinese rival just announced plans to crash the high-end server memory market, and the selloff hitting Micron makes sense. What's harder to explain is why a flash storage company with zero server memory exposure is falling almost as fast.
Memory stocks are slipping for a second straight session after Chinese rival CXMT laid out plans to compete for the high-end server market. Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU | MU Price Prediction) stock is at $942.21, down 5% in morning trading, with the selloff landing directly on its core server memory business. The damage is landing hardest where a new rival’s product would compete head-on.
Meanwhile, SanDisk (NASDAQ:SNDK) stock is at $1,421.78, down 4%, a slightly smaller drop for a flash storage company with no server memory line. That near match is the puzzle this selloff poses, since only one of the two sells the product CXMT is targeting.
To gauge how concentrated the damage is, the Roundhill Memory ETF (CBOE:DRAM) serves as a sector proxy, and it’s at $51.73, down 5%. By comparison, the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ) is at $741.01, down 0.7%, a much softer decline for the broad tech market.
CXMT Plans a Push Into High-End Server Memory CXMT, which is privately held, said over the weekend that it plans to launch a denser server memory product by the end of this year. Its president announced the plan at a chip conference in Shanghai. The design packs more cells into the same chip area. That step would move CXMT into the high-end server memory market the established suppliers hold.
This marks the group’s second consecutive session of losses tied to that announcement. High-end server memory is central to the artificial intelligence (AI) data center expansion (we featured seven companies driving that expansion, from power to networking, in a free report here), so a capable new supplier raises fresh questions about pricing across the group. A denser design lets a maker pack more capacity into each chip, which is the core economic driver in this industry.
Micron Takes the Direct Hit While SanDisk Absorbs the Spillover Micron designs and manufactures the same type of server memory CXMT described, so a credible new competitor reaches its pricing directly, which explains why Micron shares are falling harder than SanDisk shares. The company reported record fiscal Q4 2026 results at the end of September, driven by AI demand for memory, and guided the current quarter above that level.
SanDisk sells flash chips for storage, a separate line from the server memory at the center of CXMT’s announcement, and its exposure arrives through sentiment across the memory group, which helps explain why SanDisk stock is down nearly as much as Micron stock. Such closely matched moves show how tightly the market still trades memory names as a single group.
What to Watch Next CXMT’s timeline is the open variable for Micron. Holders fo Micron stock can watch for whether CXMT ships server-grade product on the schedule its president described in Shanghai. A delay could ease the pressure on server memory pricing, while an on-time launch could keep the group under strain.
SanDisk shareholders could look for signs that selling across the memory complex is easing, since the flash maker’s exposure runs through sector sentiment. The DRAM Roundhill Memory ETF offers a simple read on that question, given its focus on the memory industry. Any recovery in that fund would suggest the selling is fading beyond Micron stock.
Micron’s next update on server memory pricing may show whether CXMT’s plan is reaching customer conversations or remains a distant threat. With the selloff now in its second session, investors should size their positions in both names to leave room for further swings.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
SummaryMicron Technology, Inc. demonstrates superior growth and profitability metrics versus peers while trading at a significant valuation discount.MU's AI-driven memory demand, multi-year strategic customer agreements, and disciplined cost controls underpin robust revenue and margin expansion.My DCF-based fair value estimate is $1,500.36 per share, 52.5% above current levels, with a Strong Buy rating justified by conservative assumptions.MU stock risks include potential AI bubble deflation and geopolitical trade barriers, but ongoing data center buildouts and new applications support a bullish outlook. Getty Images
Investing Thesis Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) has strong profitability and growth metrics compared to its peers, exceeding the means and medians on nearly all metrics of both categories. Meanwhile, its valuation metrics are cheaper than
85 Followers
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.