I keep hitting the buy button on Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT | MSFT Price Prediction), and the most recent quarter told me exactly why I should not stop. Enterprise demand is absorbing AI compute faster than Microsoft can deploy it, and the receipts are on the income statement.
The number one reason is straightforward: Azure just crossed $100 billion in annual revenue for the first time, and growth is speeding up rather than plateauing. Azure revenue grew 43% year-over-year in Q4, and management guided Q1 FY27 Azure growth even higher, to 45% in constant currency. A business this large re-accelerating is the signal I care about.
The Data That Keeps Me Adding Fiscal Q4 2026, reported July 29, 2026, delivered $90.01 billion in revenue, up 17.75% year-over-year, and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $4.74, beating estimates by 11.81%. That is the fifth consecutive EPS beat. Intelligent Cloud produced $39.31 billion in revenue, up 32%, and Microsoft Cloud reached $59.3 billion, up 27%.
The pipeline behind those numbers is what convinces me this is durable. Commercial remaining performance obligations, the contracted revenue Microsoft has booked but not yet delivered, stand at $678 billion, up 84% year-over-year. That figure is the AI transformation showing up as signed customer commitments. Microsoft 365 Copilot has climbed to over 30 million paid seats, each of them a subscription add-on inside an already-invoiced customer.
The business quality is what lets me sleep. Return on invested capital of 22%, an operating margin of nearly 47%, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29 tell me this is a company earning outsized returns without stretching its balance sheet. Operating cash flow grew 30% in the quarter to $55.4 billion.
Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and Microsoft didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.
Why Not the Obvious Alternatives I could have channeled the same capital into Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) for Google Cloud exposure, into Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) for AWS, or into NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) to own the silicon. What keeps my money with Microsoft is the layer none of them controls: the productivity software already installed at nearly every large enterprise on the planet. That $678 billion RPO represents contracted revenue riding on Office, Teams, Dynamics, and Windows, sold into customers Microsoft already bills every month. NVIDIA sells the picks. Microsoft owns the mine and the town around it.
The Risk I’m Watching Capex is the real concern. Full-year FY26 capital expenditures hit $115.95 billion, up 109.63% year-over-year, and full-year free cash flow fell 6.46%. That is real money spent ahead of returns, and if AI monetization stalls, the spend becomes stranded capacity. What keeps me adding anyway is the RPO trajectory and the Copilot seat count. Customers are paying for the capacity as it is being built, and operating cash flow is accelerating faster than the capex bill can weigh it down.
Forward Conviction Satya Nadella put it plainly: “We are advancing the frontier on the cost-to-outcome curve, ensuring every customer can turn tokens into business results.” Microsoft is selling the layer that converts compute into revenue for the customer, and that is the mechanic that compounds subscription economics over decades.
At $487.65 and roughly 27 times earnings, I am paying a fair multiple for the highest-quality compounder in enterprise software, plus a 0.73% dividend with room to grow. The buy button stays active because every quarter the receipts get harder to argue with.
Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and Microsoft didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.
SummaryMicrosoft Corporation delivered a strong quarter, with Azure revenue up 43% YoY, surpassing guidance and validating my bullish thesis.Commercial RPO diversification, Copilot seat growth, and a shift to consumption-based pricing expand MSFT's TAM and reduce concentration risk.Despite high CapEx and accounting changes, MSFT remains a Quality Growth business with visible catalysts and improving cash flow conversion.I reiterate a Strong Buy rating, viewing current valuation as a rare opportunity to acquire a compounding, competitively advantaged leader at a discount. tupungato/iStock Editorial via Getty Images
The Investment Thesis In May, I argued that the market was mispricing Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) because it could not see past capital expenditure (CAPEX) and a souring OpenAI (OPENAI) relationship. Microsoft’s
314 Followers
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of MSFT either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Hyperscaler shares have ripped higher over the past week. Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT | MSFT Price Prediction) is up 26.5% in the last five trading days, Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) has climbed 20.4% over the same stretch, and Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) has added 12.5%. Uncover Alpha’s Rihard Jarc argues on X that this is only the beginning, writing, “I have called for a violent shift in upside repricing for hyperscalers… The repricing is in the works, and it is violent.” For investors who watched the move from the sidelines, the question is simple: is the door still open, or did the trade already run away?
Valuation: The Case Still Stands Start with the multiples. Alphabet trades at roughly 17 times earnings while growing revenue 24% year over year, with Google Cloud accelerating 82% and operating margin expanding to 35.6% from 20.7%. Microsoft carries a P/E near 26, supported by 17.75% revenue growth, 46.78% operating margins, and a $678 billion RPO backlog that grew 84% year over year. Amazon is the richest of the three at roughly 32 times earnings, but AWS is compounding at 37%, a pace not seen in 18 quarters, with a 39.4% operating margin. For companies this large, growing this fast, the multiples do not look stretched enough to kill the trade.
Forward Catalyst: Backlog and Buildout The forward setup is unusually visible. Microsoft’s Azure crossed $100 billion in annual revenue, a major milestone, and Microsoft 365 Copilot passed 30 million paid seats. Not to be outdone, Alphabet’s Cloud backlog reached $514 billion, and CFO Anat Ashkenazi raised full-year capex guidance to $195 billion to $205 billion to keep up with demand.
Amazon’s AI and custom-chips businesses each eclipsed a $25 billion annualized run rate. UBS now projects Amazon could exceed $500 billion in net profits by 2030. Management’s Q3 2026 guidance calls for operating income of $22.5 billion to $26.5 billion, up from $17.4 billion a year earlier.
Risk and Entry: Where the Downside Lives The real risk is capex outrunning cash flow. Alphabet’s free cash flow turned negative $5.9 billion in Q2, worrying investors. Long-term debt swelled from $46.5 billion to $98.2 billion, and the buyback was suspended. Amazon’s TTM free cash flow sits at negative $7.6 billion after $54.2 billion of quarterly capex. Microsoft’s FCF fell 23.19% for the year as capex more than doubled to $115.95 billion.
Polymarket traders are also flagging near-term caution, pricing a 90.5% probability of a down day for Amazon on August 4. Independent research corroborates the structural case, with MetLife and PineBridge writing that “datacenter equipment growth as essentially locked in for the next four to five years” at roughly 25% annually.
The Verdict It is not too late. Alphabet is the clearest value at 17 times earnings with 82% cloud growth and Wall Street targeting $426.95. Microsoft offers the highest-quality compounder profile, with analysts and buyers absorbing the capex on the strength of that $678 billion backlog. Amazon carries the richest multiple, but the AWS reacceleration and Q3 operating-income guide leave room to grow into it. For long-term investors evaluating exposure, the setup across all three names looks constructive even after a single day’s move, with plenty of forward catalysts still on the calendar.
Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and Microsoft didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.
Annis Gardner Whiting Capital Advisors LLC lifted its position in shares of Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT – Free Report) by 8.0% in the first quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The fund owned 27,456 shares of the software giant’s stock after buying an additional 2,034 shares during the period. Microsoft makes up about 1.6% of Annis Gardner Whiting Capital Advisors LLC’s holdings, making the stock its 11th biggest holding. Annis Gardner Whiting Capital Advisors LLC’s holdings in Microsoft were worth $10,163,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period.
A number of other hedge funds and other institutional investors have also recently added to or reduced their stakes in the company. Longfellow Investment Management Co. LLC raised its holdings in Microsoft by 51.3% in the second quarter. Longfellow Investment Management Co. LLC now owns 59 shares of the software giant’s stock valued at $29,000 after buying an additional 20 shares during the period. Bernzott Capital Advisors acquired a new stake in shares of Microsoft in the fourth quarter worth $34,000. Timmons Wealth Management LLC acquired a new stake in shares of Microsoft in the fourth quarter worth $36,000. Fairway Wealth LLC raised its stake in shares of Microsoft by 287.0% in the 4th quarter. Fairway Wealth LLC now owns 89 shares of the software giant’s stock valued at $43,000 after acquiring an additional 66 shares during the period. Finally, University of Illinois Foundation purchased a new position in shares of Microsoft in the 2nd quarter valued at $50,000. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 71.13% of the company’s stock.
Analysts Set New Price Targets A number of brokerages recently weighed in on MSFT. TD Cowen reaffirmed a “buy” rating and set a $540.00 price target on shares of Microsoft in a research report on Thursday, July 30th. Robert W. Baird cut their price objective on Microsoft from $540.00 to $500.00 and set an “outperform” rating on the stock in a research report on Wednesday, April 15th. Wolfe Research restated an “outperform” rating and set a $550.00 price objective on shares of Microsoft in a research note on Thursday. Wells Fargo & Company upped their target price on Microsoft from $625.00 to $650.00 and gave the stock an “overweight” rating in a research report on Thursday. Finally, Piper Sandler increased their target price on Microsoft from $540.00 to $550.00 and gave the company an “overweight” rating in a research note on Tuesday, July 28th. Forty-two research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and five have issued a Hold rating to the stock. According to MarketBeat, Microsoft currently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $558.64.
View Our Latest Research Report on Microsoft
More Microsoft News Here are the key news stories impacting Microsoft this week:
Positive Sentiment: Azure growth and AI monetization are driving the rally. Microsoft’s quarterly revenue and earnings exceeded expectations, while Azure growth accelerated to approximately 30%. Analysts and commentators said demand for cloud and generative-AI services is beginning to justify the company’s roughly $175 billion in annual spending. Microsoft Just Proved that AI Spending Can Pay Off Positive Sentiment: Strong bookings and infrastructure commitments support future revenue. Microsoft’s cloud backlog and more than $100 billion in data-center leases indicate that customers are committing to long-term capacity, giving investors greater confidence in continued Azure and AI expansion. Big Tech’s Cloud Backlog Just Hit $2.3 Trillion Positive Sentiment: Wall Street sentiment has improved. Analysts described Microsoft as one of the better-positioned hyperscalers in the AI race, citing its balance sheet, recurring software revenue, free-cash-flow generation and cloud leadership. The post-earnings advance has erased the stock’s prior 2026 losses and renewed expectations for additional upside. Microsoft’s Stock Is on a Run Not Seen in 26 Years Neutral Sentiment: Microsoft 365 ecosystem expansion. Paychex launched its WISE workforce-intelligence integration in Microsoft 365 Copilot and Teams, reinforcing Microsoft’s platform reach among small and midsize businesses, although the direct financial impact for MSFT is likely modest. Paychex Brings WISE Workforce Intelligence to Microsoft 365 Copilot and Teams Negative Sentiment: Securities litigation remains an overhang. Several law firms publicized a class action concerning alleged misrepresentations about Copilot functionality, AI adoption and Azure growth, with an August 11 lead-plaintiff deadline. The announcements do not establish liability but could increase legal, reputational and disclosure risks. MSFT Shareholder Alert Negative Sentiment: Capital spending and free cash flow remain watch points. The scale of AI infrastructure spending could pressure cash flow and returns if monetization slows, even though recent results have eased those concerns. The AI Spending Boom and Free Cash Flow Microsoft Stock Performance Microsoft stock opened at $487.65 on Tuesday. Microsoft Corporation has a 12-month low of $349.20 and a 12-month high of $553.72. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07, a current ratio of 1.23 and a quick ratio of 1.22. The company has a market capitalization of $3.62 trillion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.15, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 1.48 and a beta of 1.10. The firm’s fifty day moving average price is $399.37 and its 200 day moving average price is $405.57.
Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT – Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, July 29th. The software giant reported $4.74 earnings per share for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $4.24 by $0.50. The company had revenue of $90.01 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $87.62 billion. Microsoft had a net margin of 40.31% and a return on equity of 31.98%. The firm’s revenue for the quarter was up 17.7% on a year-over-year basis. During the same period in the prior year, the company posted $3.65 EPS. On average, research analysts forecast that Microsoft Corporation will post 19.53 EPS for the current fiscal year.
Microsoft Dividend Announcement The firm also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, September 10th. Investors of record on Thursday, August 20th will be issued a $0.91 dividend. The ex-dividend date of this dividend is Thursday, August 20th. This represents a $3.64 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 0.7%. Microsoft’s dividend payout ratio is currently 20.27%.
Insider Activity at Microsoft In other Microsoft news, EVP Takeshi Numoto sold 4,500 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Wednesday, June 10th. The stock was sold at an average price of $402.84, for a total value of $1,812,780.00. Following the transaction, the executive vice president directly owned 47,468 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $19,122,009.12. This represents a 8.66% decrease in their position. The sale was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is available at the SEC website. Also, CEO Judson Althoff sold 15,500 shares of the stock in a transaction that occurred on Monday, June 1st. The shares were sold at an average price of $460.99, for a total value of $7,145,345.00. Following the transaction, the chief executive officer owned 110,477 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $50,928,792.23. This trade represents a 12.30% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The SEC filing for this sale provides additional information. Over the last 90 days, insiders sold 23,762 shares of company stock valued at $10,508,361. Insiders own 0.03% of the company’s stock.
About Microsoft (Free Report)
Microsoft Corporation is a global technology company headquartered in Redmond, Washington. Founded in 1975 by Bill Gates and Paul Allen, Microsoft develops, licenses and supports a broad range of software products, services and devices for consumers, enterprises and governments worldwide. Its operations span personal computing, productivity software, cloud infrastructure, enterprise applications, developer tools and gaming.
Microsoft’s product portfolio includes the Windows operating system and the Microsoft 365 suite of productivity and collaboration tools (Office apps, Outlook, Teams).
Read More Five stocks we like better than Microsoft SpaceX’s First Earnings Report Could Decide Whether Shorts or Bulls Have Control Why Rare Earth Processing Could Be the Real 2027 Opportunity The S&P 493 Are Staging a Comeback—This Value ETF Offers Broad Exposure TSMC Insiders Are Buying the Pullback—But Is the Signal as Bullish as It Looks?
Receive News & Ratings for Microsoft Daily - Enter your email address below to receive a concise daily summary of the latest news and analysts' ratings for Microsoft and related companies with MarketBeat.com's FREE daily email newsletter.
« PREVIOUS HEADLINEBrookfield Infrastructure (NYSE:BIPC) versus E.On (OTCMKTS:ENAKF) Head-To-Head Survey
NEXT HEADLINE »Contrasting Herbalife (NYSE:HLF) & Agape ATP (NASDAQ:ATPC)
California Public Employees Retirement System raised its position in shares of Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT – Free Report) by 3.7% in the first quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The firm owned 21,906,086 shares of the software giant’s stock after acquiring an additional 781,973 shares during the period. Microsoft makes up 5.0% of California Public Employees Retirement System’s portfolio, making the stock its 4th biggest holding. California Public Employees Retirement System owned approximately 0.29% of Microsoft worth $8,108,976,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period.
Several other hedge funds and other institutional investors also recently made changes to their positions in the business. Longfellow Investment Management Co. LLC raised its position in shares of Microsoft by 51.3% during the second quarter. Longfellow Investment Management Co. LLC now owns 59 shares of the software giant’s stock valued at $29,000 after buying an additional 20 shares during the last quarter. Bernzott Capital Advisors acquired a new stake in Microsoft during the fourth quarter worth about $34,000. Timmons Wealth Management LLC bought a new position in Microsoft during the fourth quarter valued at about $36,000. Fairway Wealth LLC lifted its position in shares of Microsoft by 287.0% in the 4th quarter. Fairway Wealth LLC now owns 89 shares of the software giant’s stock worth $43,000 after acquiring an additional 66 shares during the period. Finally, LSV Asset Management acquired a new stake in shares of Microsoft during the 4th quarter worth approximately $44,000. 71.13% of the stock is owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.
Insider Buying and Selling at Microsoft In other news, EVP Takeshi Numoto sold 4,500 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction on Wednesday, June 10th. The stock was sold at an average price of $402.84, for a total value of $1,812,780.00. Following the completion of the sale, the executive vice president directly owned 47,468 shares in the company, valued at approximately $19,122,009.12. This trade represents a 8.66% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which is available through this link. Also, EVP Amy Coleman sold 1,262 shares of Microsoft stock in a transaction dated Thursday, May 14th. The shares were sold at an average price of $411.34, for a total value of $519,111.08. Following the completion of the transaction, the executive vice president directly owned 46,003 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $18,922,874.02. This represents a 2.67% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The SEC filing for this sale provides additional information. In the last quarter, insiders sold 23,762 shares of company stock worth $10,508,361. 0.03% of the stock is currently owned by insiders.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth A number of analysts have recently issued reports on the company. Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft restated a “buy” rating on shares of Microsoft in a research report on Monday, July 20th. President Capital boosted their price target on shares of Microsoft from $500.00 to $520.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a report on Thursday, April 30th. Barclays dropped their price objective on shares of Microsoft from $545.00 to $512.00 and set an “overweight” rating for the company in a research note on Thursday. Weiss Ratings reaffirmed a “hold (c)” rating on shares of Microsoft in a report on Monday, July 6th. Finally, UBS Group set a $525.00 target price on shares of Microsoft in a research note on Thursday. Forty-two investment analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and five have given a Hold rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, Microsoft currently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus target price of $558.64.
Get Our Latest Research Report on MSFT
Microsoft Stock Up 4.9% Shares of NASDAQ MSFT opened at $487.65 on Tuesday. Microsoft Corporation has a 52-week low of $349.20 and a 52-week high of $553.72. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07, a quick ratio of 1.22 and a current ratio of 1.23. The business has a fifty day moving average of $399.37 and a two-hundred day moving average of $405.57. The stock has a market cap of $3.62 trillion, a PE ratio of 27.15, a PEG ratio of 1.48 and a beta of 1.10.
Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT – Get Free Report) last posted its earnings results on Wednesday, July 29th. The software giant reported $4.74 earnings per share for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $4.24 by $0.50. The business had revenue of $90.01 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $87.62 billion. Microsoft had a net margin of 40.31% and a return on equity of 31.98%. The firm’s quarterly revenue was up 17.7% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the prior year, the firm earned $3.65 EPS. As a group, equities research analysts expect that Microsoft Corporation will post 19.53 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
Microsoft Announces Dividend The firm also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, September 10th. Investors of record on Thursday, August 20th will be given a dividend of $0.91 per share. The ex-dividend date is Thursday, August 20th. This represents a $3.64 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 0.7%. Microsoft’s dividend payout ratio is 20.27%.
Microsoft News Summary Here are the key news stories impacting Microsoft this week:
Positive Sentiment: Azure growth and AI monetization are driving the rally. Microsoft’s quarterly revenue and earnings exceeded expectations, while Azure growth accelerated to approximately 30%. Analysts and commentators said demand for cloud and generative-AI services is beginning to justify the company’s roughly $175 billion in annual spending. Microsoft Just Proved that AI Spending Can Pay Off Positive Sentiment: Strong bookings and infrastructure commitments support future revenue. Microsoft’s cloud backlog and more than $100 billion in data-center leases indicate that customers are committing to long-term capacity, giving investors greater confidence in continued Azure and AI expansion. Big Tech’s Cloud Backlog Just Hit $2.3 Trillion Positive Sentiment: Wall Street sentiment has improved. Analysts described Microsoft as one of the better-positioned hyperscalers in the AI race, citing its balance sheet, recurring software revenue, free-cash-flow generation and cloud leadership. The post-earnings advance has erased the stock’s prior 2026 losses and renewed expectations for additional upside. Microsoft’s Stock Is on a Run Not Seen in 26 Years Neutral Sentiment: Microsoft 365 ecosystem expansion. Paychex launched its WISE workforce-intelligence integration in Microsoft 365 Copilot and Teams, reinforcing Microsoft’s platform reach among small and midsize businesses, although the direct financial impact for MSFT is likely modest. Paychex Brings WISE Workforce Intelligence to Microsoft 365 Copilot and Teams Negative Sentiment: Securities litigation remains an overhang. Several law firms publicized a class action concerning alleged misrepresentations about Copilot functionality, AI adoption and Azure growth, with an August 11 lead-plaintiff deadline. The announcements do not establish liability but could increase legal, reputational and disclosure risks. MSFT Shareholder Alert Negative Sentiment: Capital spending and free cash flow remain watch points. The scale of AI infrastructure spending could pressure cash flow and returns if monetization slows, even though recent results have eased those concerns. The AI Spending Boom and Free Cash Flow Microsoft Company Profile (Free Report)
Microsoft Corporation is a global technology company headquartered in Redmond, Washington. Founded in 1975 by Bill Gates and Paul Allen, Microsoft develops, licenses and supports a broad range of software products, services and devices for consumers, enterprises and governments worldwide. Its operations span personal computing, productivity software, cloud infrastructure, enterprise applications, developer tools and gaming.
Microsoft’s product portfolio includes the Windows operating system and the Microsoft 365 suite of productivity and collaboration tools (Office apps, Outlook, Teams).
Read More Five stocks we like better than Microsoft SpaceX’s First Earnings Report Could Decide Whether Shorts or Bulls Have Control Why Rare Earth Processing Could Be the Real 2027 Opportunity The S&P 493 Are Staging a Comeback—This Value ETF Offers Broad Exposure TSMC Insiders Are Buying the Pullback—But Is the Signal as Bullish as It Looks?
Receive News & Ratings for Microsoft Daily - Enter your email address below to receive a concise daily summary of the latest news and analysts' ratings for Microsoft and related companies with MarketBeat.com's FREE daily email newsletter.
Freemont Management S.A. reduced its position in shares of Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT – Free Report) by 9.6% during the first quarter, according to its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The institutional investor owned 23,600 shares of the software giant’s stock after selling 2,500 shares during the period. Microsoft accounts for about 1.3% of Freemont Management S.A.’s holdings, making the stock its 24th biggest position. Freemont Management S.A.’s holdings in Microsoft were worth $8,736,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period.
Several other hedge funds and other institutional investors have also added to or reduced their stakes in the company. Markel Group Inc. raised its stake in shares of Microsoft by 0.4% in the first quarter. Markel Group Inc. now owns 537,630 shares of the software giant’s stock valued at $199,014,000 after buying an additional 1,950 shares during the period. Bessemer Group Inc. lifted its position in shares of Microsoft by 8.4% during the 1st quarter. Bessemer Group Inc. now owns 6,921,677 shares of the software giant’s stock valued at $2,562,197,000 after buying an additional 537,634 shares during the last quarter. Taylor Securities Services Inc. bought a new position in shares of Microsoft during the 4th quarter worth $2,616,000. Werba Rubin Papier Wealth Management grew its stake in shares of Microsoft by 15.7% during the 4th quarter. Werba Rubin Papier Wealth Management now owns 12,492 shares of the software giant’s stock worth $6,041,000 after acquiring an additional 1,698 shares during the period. Finally, World Investment Advisors increased its holdings in Microsoft by 22.1% in the 4th quarter. World Investment Advisors now owns 272,424 shares of the software giant’s stock worth $131,750,000 after acquiring an additional 49,371 shares during the last quarter. 71.13% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.
Microsoft Price Performance MSFT stock opened at $487.65 on Tuesday. The firm has a 50 day moving average of $399.37 and a 200-day moving average of $405.57. The firm has a market capitalization of $3.62 trillion, a P/E ratio of 27.15, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 1.48 and a beta of 1.10. Microsoft Corporation has a 12 month low of $349.20 and a 12 month high of $553.72. The company has a current ratio of 1.23, a quick ratio of 1.22 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07.
Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT – Get Free Report) last posted its earnings results on Wednesday, July 29th. The software giant reported $4.74 earnings per share for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $4.24 by $0.50. Microsoft had a net margin of 40.31% and a return on equity of 31.98%. The business had revenue of $90.01 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $87.62 billion. During the same quarter in the prior year, the firm posted $3.65 EPS. Microsoft’s revenue was up 17.7% on a year-over-year basis. As a group, sell-side analysts predict that Microsoft Corporation will post 19.53 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
Microsoft Announces Dividend The company also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, September 10th. Stockholders of record on Thursday, August 20th will be issued a $0.91 dividend. The ex-dividend date of this dividend is Thursday, August 20th. This represents a $3.64 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 0.7%. Microsoft’s dividend payout ratio is presently 20.27%.
Trending Headlines about Microsoft Here are the key news stories impacting Microsoft this week:
Positive Sentiment: Azure growth and AI monetization are driving the rally. Microsoft’s quarterly revenue and earnings exceeded expectations, while Azure growth accelerated to approximately 30%. Analysts and commentators said demand for cloud and generative-AI services is beginning to justify the company’s roughly $175 billion in annual spending. Microsoft Just Proved that AI Spending Can Pay Off Positive Sentiment: Strong bookings and infrastructure commitments support future revenue. Microsoft’s cloud backlog and more than $100 billion in data-center leases indicate that customers are committing to long-term capacity, giving investors greater confidence in continued Azure and AI expansion. Big Tech’s Cloud Backlog Just Hit $2.3 Trillion Positive Sentiment: Wall Street sentiment has improved. Analysts described Microsoft as one of the better-positioned hyperscalers in the AI race, citing its balance sheet, recurring software revenue, free-cash-flow generation and cloud leadership. The post-earnings advance has erased the stock’s prior 2026 losses and renewed expectations for additional upside. Microsoft’s Stock Is on a Run Not Seen in 26 Years Neutral Sentiment: Microsoft 365 ecosystem expansion. Paychex launched its WISE workforce-intelligence integration in Microsoft 365 Copilot and Teams, reinforcing Microsoft’s platform reach among small and midsize businesses, although the direct financial impact for MSFT is likely modest. Paychex Brings WISE Workforce Intelligence to Microsoft 365 Copilot and Teams Negative Sentiment: Securities litigation remains an overhang. Several law firms publicized a class action concerning alleged misrepresentations about Copilot functionality, AI adoption and Azure growth, with an August 11 lead-plaintiff deadline. The announcements do not establish liability but could increase legal, reputational and disclosure risks. MSFT Shareholder Alert Negative Sentiment: Capital spending and free cash flow remain watch points. The scale of AI infrastructure spending could pressure cash flow and returns if monetization slows, even though recent results have eased those concerns. The AI Spending Boom and Free Cash Flow Analyst Ratings Changes A number of brokerages recently issued reports on MSFT. BMO Capital Markets boosted their price objective on Microsoft from $500.00 to $515.00 and gave the company an “outperform” rating in a research note on Thursday, July 30th. China Renaissance reduced their target price on shares of Microsoft from $630.00 to $550.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research note on Monday, May 4th. Jefferies Financial Group reissued a “buy” rating on shares of Microsoft in a research report on Monday, May 4th. Wolfe Research restated an “outperform” rating and set a $550.00 price target on shares of Microsoft in a research note on Thursday. Finally, Barclays cut their price objective on shares of Microsoft from $545.00 to $512.00 and set an “overweight” rating for the company in a report on Thursday. Forty-two investment analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and five have assigned a Hold rating to the company’s stock. According to data from MarketBeat, the stock currently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus target price of $558.64.
Check Out Our Latest Analysis on MSFT
Insider Transactions at Microsoft In related news, CEO Judson Althoff sold 15,500 shares of the stock in a transaction on Monday, June 1st. The stock was sold at an average price of $460.99, for a total value of $7,145,345.00. Following the sale, the chief executive officer owned 110,477 shares in the company, valued at approximately $50,928,792.23. This trade represents a 12.30% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which is accessible through the SEC website. Also, EVP Amy Coleman sold 1,262 shares of Microsoft stock in a transaction on Thursday, May 14th. The shares were sold at an average price of $411.34, for a total value of $519,111.08. Following the sale, the executive vice president directly owned 46,003 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $18,922,874.02. This represents a 2.67% decrease in their position. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. Over the last quarter, insiders have sold 23,762 shares of company stock valued at $10,508,361. 0.03% of the stock is currently owned by company insiders.
Microsoft Profile (Free Report)
Microsoft Corporation is a global technology company headquartered in Redmond, Washington. Founded in 1975 by Bill Gates and Paul Allen, Microsoft develops, licenses and supports a broad range of software products, services and devices for consumers, enterprises and governments worldwide. Its operations span personal computing, productivity software, cloud infrastructure, enterprise applications, developer tools and gaming.
Microsoft’s product portfolio includes the Windows operating system and the Microsoft 365 suite of productivity and collaboration tools (Office apps, Outlook, Teams).
Read More Five stocks we like better than Microsoft SpaceX’s First Earnings Report Could Decide Whether Shorts or Bulls Have Control Why Rare Earth Processing Could Be the Real 2027 Opportunity The S&P 493 Are Staging a Comeback—This Value ETF Offers Broad Exposure TSMC Insiders Are Buying the Pullback—But Is the Signal as Bullish as It Looks?
Receive News & Ratings for Microsoft Daily - Enter your email address below to receive a concise daily summary of the latest news and analysts' ratings for Microsoft and related companies with MarketBeat.com's FREE daily email newsletter.
« PREVIOUS HEADLINEBridgewater Advisors Inc. Sells 3,985 Shares of Alphabet Inc. $GOOGL
NEXT HEADLINE »Fairbanks Capital Management Inc. Invests $5.32 Million in NVIDIA Corporation $NVDA
Clifford Swan Investment Counsel LLC trimmed its stake in shares of Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT – Free Report) by 0.9% in the first quarter, according to the company in its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The firm owned 300,292 shares of the software giant’s stock after selling 2,800 shares during the quarter. Microsoft comprises approximately 3.8% of Clifford Swan Investment Counsel LLC’s investment portfolio, making the stock its 3rd biggest position. Clifford Swan Investment Counsel LLC’s holdings in Microsoft were worth $111,159,000 as of its most recent SEC filing.
Several other institutional investors and hedge funds have also recently modified their holdings of the stock. Norges Bank acquired a new stake in Microsoft during the fourth quarter worth approximately $50,664,631,000. Auto Owners Insurance Co grew its position in shares of Microsoft by 56,160.8% in the fourth quarter. Auto Owners Insurance Co now owns 60,116,384 shares of the software giant’s stock valued at $29,073,486,000 after purchasing an additional 60,009,531 shares during the last quarter. Nuveen LLC bought a new position in shares of Microsoft during the first quarter worth approximately $18,733,827,000. UBS AM A Distinct Business Unit of UBS Asset Management Americas LLC increased its stake in shares of Microsoft by 500.0% during the third quarter. UBS AM A Distinct Business Unit of UBS Asset Management Americas LLC now owns 59,543,261 shares of the software giant’s stock worth $30,840,432,000 after purchasing an additional 49,618,571 shares during the period. Finally, Laurel Wealth Advisors LLC lifted its holdings in Microsoft by 49,640.3% during the 2nd quarter. Laurel Wealth Advisors LLC now owns 29,967,038 shares of the software giant’s stock worth $14,905,904,000 after purchasing an additional 29,906,791 shares during the last quarter. 71.13% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.
More Microsoft News Here are the key news stories impacting Microsoft this week:
Positive Sentiment: Azure growth and AI monetization are driving the rally. Microsoft’s quarterly revenue and earnings exceeded expectations, while Azure growth accelerated to approximately 30%. Analysts and commentators said demand for cloud and generative-AI services is beginning to justify the company’s roughly $175 billion in annual spending. Microsoft Just Proved that AI Spending Can Pay Off Positive Sentiment: Strong bookings and infrastructure commitments support future revenue. Microsoft’s cloud backlog and more than $100 billion in data-center leases indicate that customers are committing to long-term capacity, giving investors greater confidence in continued Azure and AI expansion. Big Tech’s Cloud Backlog Just Hit $2.3 Trillion Positive Sentiment: Wall Street sentiment has improved. Analysts described Microsoft as one of the better-positioned hyperscalers in the AI race, citing its balance sheet, recurring software revenue, free-cash-flow generation and cloud leadership. The post-earnings advance has erased the stock’s prior 2026 losses and renewed expectations for additional upside. Microsoft’s Stock Is on a Run Not Seen in 26 Years Neutral Sentiment: Microsoft 365 ecosystem expansion. Paychex launched its WISE workforce-intelligence integration in Microsoft 365 Copilot and Teams, reinforcing Microsoft’s platform reach among small and midsize businesses, although the direct financial impact for MSFT is likely modest. Paychex Brings WISE Workforce Intelligence to Microsoft 365 Copilot and Teams Negative Sentiment: Securities litigation remains an overhang. Several law firms publicized a class action concerning alleged misrepresentations about Copilot functionality, AI adoption and Azure growth, with an August 11 lead-plaintiff deadline. The announcements do not establish liability but could increase legal, reputational and disclosure risks. MSFT Shareholder Alert Negative Sentiment: Capital spending and free cash flow remain watch points. The scale of AI infrastructure spending could pressure cash flow and returns if monetization slows, even though recent results have eased those concerns. The AI Spending Boom and Free Cash Flow Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth Several analysts recently issued reports on MSFT shares. Piper Sandler boosted their price target on Microsoft from $540.00 to $550.00 and gave the company an “overweight” rating in a research note on Tuesday, July 28th. Robert W. Baird dropped their target price on Microsoft from $540.00 to $500.00 and set an “outperform” rating for the company in a report on Wednesday, April 15th. CLSA reissued an “outperform” rating on shares of Microsoft in a research report on Thursday. President Capital upped their price target on shares of Microsoft from $500.00 to $520.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a research note on Thursday, April 30th. Finally, Citigroup restated a “buy” rating and issued a $600.00 price target (up from $570.00) on shares of Microsoft in a research note on Tuesday, July 28th. Forty-two analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and five have assigned a Hold rating to the company’s stock. According to data from MarketBeat, the company currently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus target price of $558.64.
Get Our Latest Research Report on Microsoft
Insider Buying and Selling at Microsoft In other Microsoft news, CEO Judson Althoff sold 15,500 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction on Monday, June 1st. The stock was sold at an average price of $460.99, for a total transaction of $7,145,345.00. Following the completion of the sale, the chief executive officer directly owned 110,477 shares in the company, valued at $50,928,792.23. This represents a 12.30% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available at the SEC website. Also, EVP Takeshi Numoto sold 4,500 shares of Microsoft stock in a transaction on Wednesday, June 10th. The shares were sold at an average price of $402.84, for a total value of $1,812,780.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the executive vice president owned 47,468 shares in the company, valued at approximately $19,122,009.12. The trade was a 8.66% decrease in their position. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. Insiders sold a total of 23,762 shares of company stock worth $10,508,361 over the last three months. Corporate insiders own 0.03% of the company’s stock.
Microsoft Stock Up 4.9% MSFT stock opened at $487.65 on Tuesday. Microsoft Corporation has a 52 week low of $349.20 and a 52 week high of $553.72. The business has a 50-day simple moving average of $399.37 and a 200 day simple moving average of $405.57. The company has a quick ratio of 1.22, a current ratio of 1.23 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07. The company has a market cap of $3.62 trillion, a PE ratio of 27.15, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 1.48 and a beta of 1.10.
Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT – Get Free Report) last announced its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, July 29th. The software giant reported $4.74 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $4.24 by $0.50. The firm had revenue of $90.01 billion for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $87.62 billion. Microsoft had a net margin of 40.31% and a return on equity of 31.98%. The business’s revenue for the quarter was up 17.7% on a year-over-year basis. During the same period in the prior year, the company posted $3.65 earnings per share. Sell-side analysts anticipate that Microsoft Corporation will post 19.53 EPS for the current fiscal year.
Microsoft Announces Dividend The company also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, September 10th. Investors of record on Thursday, August 20th will be paid a $0.91 dividend. This represents a $3.64 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 0.7%. The ex-dividend date of this dividend is Thursday, August 20th. Microsoft’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is 20.27%.
Microsoft Company Profile (Free Report)
Microsoft Corporation is a global technology company headquartered in Redmond, Washington. Founded in 1975 by Bill Gates and Paul Allen, Microsoft develops, licenses and supports a broad range of software products, services and devices for consumers, enterprises and governments worldwide. Its operations span personal computing, productivity software, cloud infrastructure, enterprise applications, developer tools and gaming.
Microsoft’s product portfolio includes the Windows operating system and the Microsoft 365 suite of productivity and collaboration tools (Office apps, Outlook, Teams).
Featured Articles Five stocks we like better than Microsoft SpaceX’s First Earnings Report Could Decide Whether Shorts or Bulls Have Control Why Rare Earth Processing Could Be the Real 2027 Opportunity The S&P 493 Are Staging a Comeback—This Value ETF Offers Broad Exposure TSMC Insiders Are Buying the Pullback—But Is the Signal as Bullish as It Looks?
Receive News & Ratings for Microsoft Daily - Enter your email address below to receive a concise daily summary of the latest news and analysts' ratings for Microsoft and related companies with MarketBeat.com's FREE daily email newsletter.
LOS ANGELES, Aug. 04, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Portnoy Law Firm advises Microsoft Corporation, (“Microsoft” or the "Company") (NASDAQ: MSFT) investors of a class action on behalf of investors that bought securities between May 1, 2025 and January 28, 2026, inclusive (the “Class Period”). Microsoft investors have until August 11, 2026 to file a lead plaintiff motion.
Investors are encouraged to contact attorney Lesley F. Portnoy, by phone 310-692-8883 or email: [email protected], to discuss their legal rights, or join the case via https://portnoylaw.com/microsoft-corporation. The Portnoy Law Firm can provide a complimentary case evaluation and discuss investors’ options for pursuing claims to recover their losses.
Microsoft is a multinational technology company that develops software, cloud services, and devices. In recent years, Microsoft’s cloud computing platform named Azure has been Microsoft’s main growth driver. A key reason for Azure’s recent growth is Microsoft’s multi-billion-dollar investment into AI, including the development of its own generative AI chatbot named Copilot.
According to the complaint, during the relevant period, Microsoft consistently touted Copilot’s best-in-class capabilities, which purportedly drove widespread and growing user adoption. Copilot’s apparent success allowed Microsoft to report surging Azure-related revenue.
As alleged, in truth, Copilot suffered from severe functionality issues that caused user adoption to decline and put Microsoft’s Azure revenue at risk.
On January 28, 2026, Microsoft announced disappointing 2Q 2026 financial results and that Azure growth had slowed suddenly. Microsoft also allegedly revealed for the first time that the number of Microsoft 365 Copilot premium customers totaled only 15 million, materially below analyst estimates.
This news caused the price of Microsoft common stock to decline $48.13 per share, or 10%, from $481.63 per share on January 28, 2026, to $433.50 per share on January 29, 2026.
Additionally, on February 3, 2026, The Wall Street Journal reported in an article titled “Microsoft’s Pivotal AI Product Is Running Into Big Problems” that severe challenges and functionality issues had plagued Copilot, causing the application to lose market share. Specifically, The Wall Street Journal reported that “[c]onfusing brand positioning and interoperability problems have frustrated users.”
The Portnoy Law Firm represents investors in pursuing claims caused by corporate wrongdoing. The Firm’s founding partner has recovered over $5.5 billion for aggrieved investors. Attorney advertising. Prior results do not guarantee similar outcomes.
Lesley F. Portnoy, Esq.
Admitted CA, NY and TX Bar [email protected]
310-692-8883
www.portnoylaw.com
, /PRNewswire/ -- The Gross Law Firm issues the following notice to shareholders of Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT).
Shareholders who purchased shares of MSFT during the class period listed are encouraged to contact the firm regarding possible lead plaintiff appointment. Appointment as lead plaintiff is not required to partake in any recovery.
ALLEGATIONS: The complaint alleges that during the class period, Defendants issued materially false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (a) Microsoft's Copilot family of products had experienced significant brand positioning, user experience, usage, data siloing, computational capacity, organizational, and interoperability problems; (b) Microsoft's flagship proprietary AI model ranked well below competitors on a number of benchmark tests; (c) Microsoft needed to increase by billions of dollars its capital expenditures and divert GPU and CPU capacity away from fulfilling demand for its profitable Azure services in order to improve the competitive positioning of its critical Copilot family of products and increase its AI-related R&D; and (d) as a result of (a)-(c) above, Microsoft had failed to convert a significant percentage of its commercial Microsoft 365 users to paid Copilot subscriptions and the Company's Copilot offerings had lost market share to rival products, a trend that was increasing.
DEADLINE: August 11, 2026 Shareholders should not delay in registering for this class action. Register your information here: https://securitiesclasslaw.com/securities/microsoft-corporation-loss-submission-form/?id=198117&from=4
NEXT STEPS FOR SHAREHOLDERS: Once you register as a shareholder who purchased shares of MSFT during the timeframe listed above, you will be enrolled in a portfolio monitoring software to provide you with status updates throughout the lifecycle of the case. The deadline to seek to be a lead plaintiff is August 11, 2026. There is no cost or obligation to you to participate in this case.
WHY GROSS LAW FIRM? The Gross Law Firm is a nationally recognized class action law firm, and our mission is to protect the rights of all investors who have suffered as a result of deceit, fraud, and illegal business practices. The Gross Law Firm is committed to ensuring that companies adhere to responsible business practices and engage in good corporate citizenship. The firm seeks recovery on behalf of investors who incurred losses when false and/or misleading statements or the omission of material information by a company lead to artificial inflation of the company's stock. Attorney advertising. Prior results do not guarantee similar outcomes.
CONTACT:
The Gross Law Firm
15 West 38th Street, 12th floor
New York, NY, 10018
Email: [email protected]
Phone: (646) 453-8903
Executive Accountability: Jared Spataro's "70% of the Fortune 500" Copilot Claims Now at the Center of Microsoft Securities Action Executive Accountability: Jared Spataro's "70% of the Fortune 500" Copilot Claims Now at the Center of Microsoft Securities Action
Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT | MSFT Price Prediction) has delivered one of the most dramatic post-earnings rallies in mega-cap history. My 24/7 Wall St. price target says the run has legs, but with a caveat about how quickly the market got here.
Microsoft trades at $487.65 after a 25.33% one-week surge triggered by a blowout Q4 FY26 earnings report. Our 24/7 Wall St. price target for Microsoft is $573.79, implying 23.47% upside over the next 12 months. The recommendation is buy at 90% confidence. Azure crossing $100B in annual revenue and Copilot scaling past 30M paid seats are the pillars.
24/7 Wall St. Price Target Summary Metric Value Current Price $487.65 24/7 Wall St. Price Target $573.79 Upside 23.47% Recommendation BUY Confidence Level 90% The Rally That Rewrote The Chart MSFT entered earnings week near $389, down from a 52-week high of $550.24 and stuck in a months-long slide from last August. Q4 FY26 delivered: Revenue hit $90.01 billion, up 17.75% YoY, with non-GAAP EPS of $4.74 against $4.2397 consensus, an 11.81% beat.
Azure grew 43% and commercial RPO ballooned to $678 billion, up 84% YoY. Shares jumped 15.51% on the earnings report, the largest single-day earnings reaction in the six-quarter dataset.
The Case For $600+ Bulls have real ammunition. Azure crossed $100 billion in annual revenue, Microsoft 365 Copilot passed 30 million paid seats, and the extended OpenAI partnership locks in $250B Azure commitment through 2032.
Our bull-case scenario points to $603.61, a 29.89% total return. Reddit chatter reflects the shift, with sentiment jumping from 35 on July 28 to 94 by July 31.
What Could Go Wrong The bear case starts with capex. Full-year FY26 capex hit $115.95 billion, with Q4 consuming $35.80 billion, up 109.63% YoY. Free cash flow fell 23.19% in the quarter. Bulls counter that FCF pressure reflects buildout supporting the $678B RPO backlog, meaning spend has contracted demand behind it.
Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and Microsoft didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.
More Personal Computing revenue declined 4%, insider activity shows net selling across 33 recent transactions, and mean reversion is real. Historical MSFT one-week post-earnings returns average -2.16%. Our bear scenario is $495.94.
How Microsoft Compares To Alphabet, Amazon, And Oracle Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) is the closest cloud competitor via Google Cloud. Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) runs AWS, Azure’s direct hyperscale rival. Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) has emerged as the surprise enterprise-AI infrastructure winner, with RPO growth paralleling Microsoft’s $678B backlog.
Microsoft trades at a trailing P/E of 27 with forward P/E near 26 against 31.7% earnings growth and a 46.78% operating margin. That margin premium, combined with Azure’s 43% growth rate, makes our $573.79 target reasonable against the peer group.
The Bull Case Holds, With Discipline The 24/7 Wall St. price target of $573.79 and buy rating stand at 90% confidence. The RPO backlog tips the scale. Contracted future revenue that grew 84% YoY is rare at this scale.
The setup looks most attractive on any pullback above the $460 pre-rally breakout, while a Q1 FY27 print showing Azure decelerating below 35% or capex efficiency worsening would warrant caution. Given the vertical rally, the setup favors scaling in rather than chasing.
Year 24/7 Wall St. Price Target 2026 $525 2027 $573.79 2028 $665 2029 $765 2030 $870.44 These projections assume Microsoft executes on Azure and Copilot monetization. Significant upside or downside could result from AI capex returns materializing faster than expected, or regulatory action against the OpenAI partnership.
Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and Microsoft didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.
For new and old investors, taking full advantage of the stock market and investing with confidence are common goals. Zacks Premium provides lots of different ways to do both.
Featuring daily updates of the Zacks Rank and Zacks Industry Rank, full access to the Zacks #1 Rank List, Equity Research reports, and Premium stock screens, the research service can help you become a smarter, more self-assured investor.
It also includes access to the Zacks Style Scores.
What are the Zacks Style Scores? The Zacks Style Scores, developed alongside the Zacks Rank, are complementary indicators that rate stocks based on three widely-followed investing methodologies; they also help investors pick stocks with the best chances of beating the market over the next 30 days.
Each stock is given an alphabetic rating of A, B, C, D or F based on their value, growth, and momentum qualities. With this system, an A is better than a B, a B is better than a C, and so on, meaning the better the score, the better chance the stock will outperform.
The Style Scores are broken down into four categories:
Value ScoreValue investors love finding good stocks at good prices, especially before the broader market catches on to a stock's true value. Utilizing ratios like P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, Price/Cash Flow, and many other multiples, the Value Style Score identifies the most attractive and most discounted stocks.
Growth ScoreGrowth investors are more concerned with a stock's future prospects, and the overall financial health and strength of a company. Thus, the Growth Style Score analyzes characteristics like projected and historic earnings, sales, and cash flow to find stocks that will see sustainable growth over time.
Momentum ScoreMomentum traders and investors live by the saying "the trend is your friend." This investing style is all about taking advantage of upward or downward trends in a stock's price or earnings outlook. Employing factors like one-week price change and the monthly percentage change in earnings estimates, the Momentum Style Score can indicate favorable times to build a position in high-momentum stocks.
VGM ScoreIf you want a combination of all three Style Scores, then the VGM Score will be your friend. It rates each stock on their combined weighted styles, helping you find the companies with the most attractive value, best growth forecast, and most promising momentum. It's also one of the best indicators to use with the Zacks Rank.
How Style Scores Work with the Zacks Rank A proprietary stock-rating model, the Zacks Rank utilizes the power of earnings estimate revisions, or changes to a company's earnings outlook, to help investors create a successful portfolio.
#1 (Strong Buy) stocks have produced an unmatched +23.94% average annual return since 1988, which is more than double the S&P 500's performance over the same time frame. However, the Zacks Rank examines a ton of stocks, and there can be more than 200 companies with a Strong Buy rank, and another 600 with a #2 (Buy) rank, on any given day.
But it can feel overwhelming to pick the right stocks for you and your investing goals with over 800 top-rated stocks to choose from.
That's where the Style Scores come in.
You want to make sure you're buying stocks with the highest likelihood of success, and to do that, you'll need to pick stocks with a Zacks Rank #1 or #2 that also have Style Scores of A or B. If you like a stock that only has a #3 (Hold) rank, it should also have Scores of A or B to guarantee as much upside potential as possible.
The direction of a stock's earnings estimate revisions should always be a key factor when choosing which stocks to buy, since the Scores were created to work together with the Zacks Rank.
Here's an example: a stock with a #4 (Sell) or #5 (Strong Sell) rating, even one with Style Scores of A and B, still has a downward-trending earnings outlook, and a bigger chance its share price will decrease too.
Thus, the more stocks you own with a #1 or #2 Rank and Scores of A or B, the better.
Stock to Watch: Microsoft (MSFT - Free Report) Redmond, WA-based Microsoft Corporation is one of the largest broad-based technology providers in the world. The company holds the leading position in the PC software market with its Windows operating system.
MSFT is a #3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of B.
Additionally, the company could be a top pick for growth investors. MSFT has a Growth Style Score of B, forecasting year-over-year earnings growth of 9% for the current fiscal year.
13 analysts revised their earnings estimate upwards in the last 60 days for fiscal 2027. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased $0.30 to $19.57 per share. MSFT boasts an average earnings surprise of +9.3%.
With a solid Zacks Rank and top-tier Growth and VGM Style Scores, MSFT should be on investors' short list.
Microsoft’s (NASDAQ: MSFT) upcoming quarterly dividend has been scheduled for Thursday, September 10, 2026, with the current estimates suggesting the company is going to reward investors as of August 20 with $0.91 per share.
The September dividend represents no change from the previous three payouts, issued on June 11, 2026, March 12, 2026, and December 11, 2025, according to the official announcement.
Accordingly, investors holding 100 Microsoft shares by August 20 will earn a total of $91 in dividend income next month. If the tech giant does not increase the payout, the yearly Microsoft stock dividend for 2026 will total $364.
MSFT quarterly dividend. Source: Microsoft.com Microsoft Corp. dividend profile Microsoft continues to maintain one of the most consistent dividend records in the technology sector, with a forward dividend yield of 0.75% and an annualized dividend of $3.64 per share.
What’s more, the software leader has increased its dividend for 24 consecutive years, and with a relatively conservative forward payout ratio of 18.54%, it has significant room to continue funding dividend growth while investing in its core businesses.
Historically, Microsoft’s shares have recovered quickly after going ex-dividend, with an average price recovery time of 1.7 days. Although its 0.75% dividend yield sits below the broader technology sector average of 1.37%, the company has prioritized steady dividend increases and share price appreciation over offering a high yield.
Even in 2026, which has been one of Microsoft’sweakest years on record, the stock has managed to recover, now sitting up around 3% year-to-date as of press time. For context, a $10,000 investment in Microsoft at the start of 2026, with all dividends reinvested, would now be worth $10,415.
In other words, the investment would have generated $38.19 in reinvested dividends and $376.82 in capital gains, for a total profit of $415, representing a 4.15% total return.
Featured image via Shutterstock
Best Crypto Exchange for Intermediate Traders and Investors
Invest in cryptocurrencies and 3,000+ other assets including stocks and precious metals.
0% commission on stocks - buy in bulk or just a fraction from as little as $10. Other fees apply. For more information, visit etoro.com/trading/fees.
Copy top-performing traders in real time, automatically.
eToro USA is registered with FINRA for securities trading.
30+ million Users worldwide
eToro is a multi-asset investment platform. The value of your investments may go up or down. Your capital is at risk. Don’t invest unless you’re prepared to lose all the money you invest. This is a high-risk investment and you should not expect to be protected if something goes wrong. Take 2 mins to learn more.
Join Finbold's newsroom, become a Sales Executive today! Apply now to join Finbold as a crypto/finance news writer!
Q2 2026 earnings season settled one of the biggest debates on Wall Street: the hyperscalers are converting their AI infrastructure spending into accelerating cloud revenue, not just capex line items. Every one of the big three cloud platforms posted growth reacceleration in the quarter that just wrapped, and each stock reacted differently, creating three distinct entry setups for August.
The setup for the second half is simple. AI-related capex among the top hyperscalers is now running at roughly $452 billion in 2026, more than four times what the entire US publicly traded energy sector spends. That money is showing up as backlog, revenue and margin at Microsoft, Amazon and Alphabet. Here are the three cloud names to keep an eye on this month.
Microsoft (MSFT) Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT | MSFT Price Prediction) trades at $464.72 with a P/E of 26, a forward EPS estimate of $19.96, and a Wall Street target of $563.05 against 54 buy-or-better ratings and zero sells.
The Q4 fiscal 2026 report on July 29 is the reason to pay attention now. Revenue landed at $90.01 billion, up 17.75%, non-GAAP EPS came in at $4.74 versus a $4.24 estimate, and Azure grew 43% year over year, capping a full year in which Azure crossed $100 billion in revenue for the first time. Commercial remaining performance obligations swelled to $678 billion, up 84%, and Microsoft 365 Copilot passed 30 million paid seats. CEO Satya Nadella framed it plainly: "Azure revenue surpassed $100 billion for the first time, and Microsoft 365 Copilot reached over 30 million paid seats, reflecting the confidence customers are placing in us to power their AI transformation."
The bull case: an accelerating cloud franchise with visible multi-year backlog and five straight EPS beats. The caveat: full-year capex hit $115.95 billion, up 79.62%, and free cash flow slipped 6.46% for the year. If Azure growth ever stalls, the capex intensity becomes a problem fast. For now, the shares are still down 3.48% year to date despite a 21.75% pop last week, keeping this a coiled setup entering August.
Amazon (AMZN) Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) is the reacceleration story. Shares are at $271.58, up 17.66% YTD, and the stock ripped 15.32% on July 31 alone after earnings.
Q2 revenue was $200.61 billion, up 19.6%, with operating income climbing 43% to $27.46 billion. AWS hit $42.23 billion at 37% growth, the fastest pace in 18 quarters, with a 39.4% operating margin. Custom silicon and AI services each cleared $25 billion in annualized run rate growing at triple-digit rates. CEO Andy Jassy summed it up: "AWS is booming, growing 36.7% year-over-year in Q2, our fastest growth in 18 quarters, and our AI and Chips businesses each eclipsed run rates of more than $25 billion."
Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and Microsoft didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.
Q3 guidance calls for $197 billion to $202 billion in sales and $22.5 billion to $26.5 billion in operating income. The forward P/E based price sits at $486.01, well above the $321.95 analyst target, and Polymarket traders are pricing a 98.4% probability that 2026 capex tops $170 billion.
The caveat is the same infrastructure bill: Q2 capex of $54.21 billion pushed TTM free cash flow negative at -$7.6 billion, and management flagged tariff and recession risk in guidance. The bet here is that AWS growth continues compounding faster than the capex bill.
Alphabet (GOOGL) Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) is the cheapest large-cap cloud/AI name on the board. Shares trade at $356.13 against a P/E of 18, cheaper than either Microsoft or Amazon, and the stock is up 86.11% over the past year.
The July 22 Q2 report was the standout of the quarter. Revenue reached $119.80 billion, up 24.2%, and Google Cloud accelerated to $24.77 billion at 82% growth, with nearly 90% of the Fortune 100 using Gemini Enterprise. Operating margin expanded 2 percentage points to 34%. CEO Sundar Pichai told investors, "Q2 was an amazing quarter, with Alphabet revenues growing 24% year-over-year and Google Cloud revenues accelerating to 82% growth, driven by demand for AI infrastructure and AI solutions." Gemini models now process 22 billion API tokens per minute, and the Gemini App has 950 million monthly active users. Polymarket traders assign an 88.5% probability that the next Gemini Pro model releases by August 31, a near-term catalyst worth watching.
Q2 capex doubled to $44.92 billion, free cash flow flipped to -$5.86 billion, long-term debt jumped from $46.5 billion to $98.2 billion, and the buyback was suspended. Investors are being asked to underwrite one of the largest infrastructure builds in corporate history. At 18x earnings, with cloud growth accelerating to 82%, the risk-reward remains the most attractive of the three.
Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and Microsoft didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.
This earnings season has been chock-full of volatility. Amazon (AMZN +4.58%) and Microsoft (MSFT +4.93%) added a combined $1.04 trillion in market cap between July 29 and July 31, while Apple (AAPL -1.78%) and Meta Platforms (META +6.02%) shed a combined $510 billion.
Here's why megacap stock prices are all over the place, as well as a straightforward way for investors to filter through the noise with a low-cost exchange-traded fund (ETF).
Image source: Getty Images.
Wall Street turns from sour to sweet on Microsoft and Amazon Going into earnings, Microsoft and Amazon were badly underperforming the S&P 500 (^GSPC +1.48%) and Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC +2.13%) this year as investors questioned the payoff from capital expenditure (capex) on artificial intelligence (AI). Investors were gravitating toward Apple because of its high free cash flow (FCF) and limited capex spending. AI tools, from enterprise software to chatbots, ultimately operate on consumer electronics, and Apple has an unmatched integrated ecosystem of devices.
But Apple fell after reporting earnings because memory chip costs could continue eating into its profit margins. And Meta Platforms' FCF is evaporating due to surging AI capex and operating expenses.
Meanwhile, Amazon stock popped because Amazon Web Services (AWS) achieved its fastest growth in 18 quarters, and its retail business is booming. Similarly, Microsoft, which is the No. 2 player in cloud infrastructure behind AWS, saw Azure revenue top $100 billion for the first time in a full fiscal year.
Today's Change
(
2.22
%) $
1.92
Current Price
$
88.25
Cut through market noise with a low-cost ETF Earnings drive stock prices over the long term. But in the near term, narratives and investor sentiment have significant influence. So, if you're left scratching your head as to why Amazon and Microsoft were so badly undervalued that they could gain more than $1 trillion combined in just two days or why Apple and Meta underwent steep sell-offs -- then you're not alone.
The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK +2.22%) offers the simplest way to bet on sustained AI innovation from today's market leaders without having to fixate on why some stocks are in or out of favor.
The fund is essentially an even more concentrated version of the popular Vanguard Growth ETF. And unlike index-specific ETFs, such as the Invesco QQQ Trust, which tracks the Nasdaq-100, the Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF holds stocks like Eli Lilly and Oracle that are on the New York Stock Exchange rather than the Nasdaq.
With a staggering 67% weighting in just 10 holdings -- Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, Broadcom, Meta Platforms, Tesla, Eli Lilly, and Advanced Micro Devices -- the fund is essentially a concentrated bet that today's market leaders will continue driving outsize gains for years to come. That bet has paid off, as the Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF has outperformed the S&P 500 during the past decade.
MGK Total Return Level data by YCharts.
A catch-all bet on today's market-leading growth stocks The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF is a good buy for investors seeking significant exposure to chip leaders, cloud computing giants such as Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet, and more. The ETF could be a particularly appealing buy for investors looking for exposure to top growth stocks rather than just one sector.
For example, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, and Broadcom lead the tech sector; Amazon and Tesla are in the consumer discretionary sector; Alphabet and Meta dominate the communications sector; and Eli Lilly is a powerhouse growth stock that leads the healthcare sector. And with a mere 0.05% expense ratio, the ETF has just $5 in annual fees for every $10,000 invested. By comparison, the Vanguard Growth ETF and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF have 0.03% expense ratios, which means $3 in annual fees for every $10,000 invested.
The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF is a good buy for investors who want exposure to the top growth stocks across all sectors, with an emphasis on today's industry leaders rather than spreading their allocation among lower-weighted components. Put another way, the Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF is a better buy than the Vanguard Growth ETF, a Nasdaq-100-based ETF, or an S&P 500 index fund if you believe that AI capex spending will pay off for hyperscalers like Amazon and Microsoft.
The market sent a clear stamp of approval for Amazon and Microsoft last week, casting out Apple and Meta Platforms. But just a week ago, Apple was significantly outperforming its megacap peers. The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF offers a simple way for long-term investors to bet big on multiple themes rather than getting overly caught up in knee-jerk reactions to earnings reports.
Daniel Foelber has positions in Broadcom, Nvidia, and Oracle and has the following options: long September 2028 $100 calls on Oracle and short August 2026 $240 calls on Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Broadcom, Eli Lilly, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, Oracle, Tesla, Vanguard Growth ETF, and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
MOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- #SMB--LegalZoom.com, Inc. (Nasdaq: LZ), today announced it has launched an agent integrated with Microsoft 365 Copilot. Available through the Microsoft Marketplace, the new agent brings LegalZoom's suite of legal services — including business formation, business compliance filings, and attorney consultations — directly into the Microsoft 365 Copilot environment.The integration is designed to simplify common legal and business tasks by combining LegalZoom's deep.
Both Microsoft (MSFT +4.93%) and Amazon (AMZN +4.58%) are coming off blistering earnings reports that helped revive interest in both stocks after a tough year, though more so for Microsoft.
Microsoft and Amazon are two of the largest companies in the world by market cap, helping fuel the artificial intelligence revolution by making hundreds of billions in capital expenditures. This level of investment has drawn the ire of the bears, who are concerned that strong returns on such investments may not materialize.
Which stock does Wall Street think has more upside?
Image source: Getty Images.
Microsoft: Starting to find its AI groove Investors have been bearish on Microsoft for a few reasons. First, they were concerned that the company's artificial intelligence assistant, Copilot, was not gaining enough traction, especially since Microsoft had made it a core part of its AI strategy.
Microsoft was also penalized during the software sell-off due to concerns that Microsoft 365 might lose some of its competitive moat, based on the belief that AI could replicate software products much more quickly than in the past.
But Microsoft has shown that its AI strategy is gaining traction. Paid Copilot subscribers rose by 10 million in the quarter to reach 30 million total. That's double the net added subscribers in the prior quarter.
Furthermore, the company's Azure cloud division, Microsoft's cloud computing division, saw revenue surpass $100 billion for the first time, which is up a whopping 43% year over year. That showed investors at least some evidence that Microsoft's capex is starting to pay off.
Today's Change
(
4.93
%) $
22.93
Current Price
$
487.65
Of the 35 Wall Street analysts who have issued research reports on Microsoft during the past three months, 34 have buy ratings on the stock, with one recommending a hold. The average price target implies nearly 21% upside, according to TipRanks.
Following the quarter, Goldman Sachs analyst Gabriela Borges maintained a buy rating on the stock and raised her price target by $30 to $640. In a research note, Borges called the quarter an inflection point for the company that addressed investor concerns.
Not only are the company's AI products resonating with customers, but the AI business is becoming more profitable. While inflation has increased the company's AI investments, the company has maintained its long-term margin goals, Borges wrote.
I would agree that, given where the stock has traded this year, any signs that the company's AI strategy is working make the stock a buy. Although Azure stole the show, progress on Copilot was a meaningful step as well.
Amazon: AWS posts its strongest growth in 18 quarters Similar to Microsoft, Amazon's cloud business, Amazon Web Services, also stole the show in the quarter.
AWS's revenue of $42.2 billion beat analyst estimates by nearly $1.7 billion and grew 37% year over year. It was the division's fastest growth in 18 quarters.
The company also hiked its full-year capital expenditure projection to $220 billion, largely due to surging memory costs. Chief Executive Officer Andy Jassy doesn't see AWS slowing down any time soon.
"Even at that amount [of capex], we will still not have enough capacity to meet all the demand we have in 2026, and I believe this dynamic will also be true in 2027, too. In fact, the demand we already have for 2028 is striking," he said on the company's earnings call.
Today's Change
(
4.58
%) $
12.44
Current Price
$
284.02
Of the 38 Wall Street analysts who have issued research reports on Microsoft during the past three months, 37 have buy ratings on the stock, with one recommending a hold. The average price target implies roughly 23% upside, according to TipRanks.
Benchmark analyst Daniel Kurnos recently maintained a buy rating on the stock and raised his price target by $30 to $400, implying about a 40% gain from recent levels. Kurnos believes Jassy made the strongest case for why investors must own the stock over the next decade to capitalize on the AI revolution.
Kurnos estimates the stock trades at about 10 times the company's operating income before depreciation and amortization.
As you can see, Wall Street has similar sentiment for both Microsoft and Amazon, given the similar upside scenarios. I also think both stocks are buys right now, with evidence that their big capex sprees are not on a whim.
Both have embedded risk, particularly if the AI investment doesn't pay off. But I also expect both could navigate a difficult environment and generate strong long-term returns for investors.
Picture a hypothetical Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT | MSFT Price Prediction) engineer, call him Mark, 60 years old with 12 years on the badge. His age and service add to 72, clearing the program’s Rule of 70, so he qualified for the buyout letter that landed in his inbox this spring. His first instinct was the one nearly everyone has: take the money, plan to file for Social Security at 62, and be done. That inclination was premature. The real question buried in the offer was when to turn on his Social Security benefit.
Microsoft reportedly offered the package to roughly 8,750 U.S. employees, about 7% of its U.S. workforce, in the first voluntary retirement program in the company’s more than 50-year history. Employees were given 30 days to decide. For a mid-senior worker like Mark at level 64, the cash piece was one week of base pay for every six months of service, capped at 39 weeks. With 12 years at Microsoft, that works out to approximately 24 weeks of base pay. Not bad. But the health coverage is what changes the retirement math.
The Real Prize Is the Health Bridge The most valuable line item for someone Mark’s age was up to five years of continued access to Microsoft medical, dental, vision, and well-being coverage. Microsoft fully subsidized year one, while participants paid monthly premiums for the remaining years. Coverage could end sooner once Medicare or another coverage option became available.
The prize was continuity, not five years of free insurance. For Mark, the package could carry him from 60 to Medicare eligibility at 65 without forcing him into the individual insurance market. That breathing room also makes it easier to avoid filing for Social Security the moment he turns 62 simply because another bill needs paying.
The bridge changes the decision because every month he waits after 62 raises the benefit he eventually receives.
The Math on Claiming Age Social Security’s rules are unforgiving in one direction and generous in the other. Claim at 62 and the check can be reduced by 30% compared with full retirement age. Wait past full retirement age (FRA) and Social Security adds about 8% per year until 70.
Suppose Mark’s benefit at 67 would be $2,800 a month. Filing at 62 reduces it to roughly $1,960. Waiting until 70 raises it to approximately $3,470. That is a spread of more than $1,500 a month, indexed for inflation, for as long as he lives. The 2026 cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) was 2.8%.
The larger check is not free money. Mark would give up eight years of payments by waiting from 62 to 70. Ignoring COLAs and taxes, the simple break-even point lands around age 80. Waiting becomes more attractive if he expects a long retirement or has a spouse who could eventually inherit the larger amount through a widow or widower benefit.
Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and Microsoft didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.
This is why comparing delayed Social Security directly with a Treasury yield can mislead. It is not an investment paying 8%. It is a trade: fewer checks now in exchange for a larger lifetime income floor later.
How the Severance Fits In For Mark specifically, the severance creates no Social Security earnings-test problem because he is only 60 and cannot claim yet. The special-payment rule matters to Microsoft employees who were already 62 or older and collecting benefits when they accepted the package.
Under Social Security guidance in Publication 05-10063, severance, accumulated vacation, bonuses, and similar payments received after retirement generally do not count toward the earnings limit when they were earned through work completed before retirement. An older participant may need to tell SSA that the W-2 includes a special payment and document when it was earned.
That is an earnings-test exception, not a tax break. The payment can still be taxable in the year received.
The stock piece plays a supporting role. Six months of continued vesting on unvested stock awards, or 12 months for employees with 24 or more years of service, gave participants a smoother glide out. With 12 years of service, Mark qualified for six months.
What Mark Actually Had to Decide Two factors deserved most of his attention:
Treat the health coverage as part of the claiming decision. He needed to price the premiums for years two through five and confirm exactly when coverage would end. If the benefit carried him to Medicare without filing at 62, the lifetime value could exceed the cash severance. Give the claiming decision its own timetable. Leaving Microsoft did not mean Social Security had to begin at 62. An application can be withdrawn within 12 months and only once, but the claimant generally must repay the benefits already received. That is an escape hatch, not an undo button anyone wants to use casually. A shorter life expectancy, a younger spouse, investment assets, consulting income, or a pension can all change the answer. But for a healthy 60-year-old handed a medical bridge to Medicare, the buyout was the easy part. The decision carrying the next 20 or 30 years was what to do when 62 arrived.
Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and Microsoft didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.
By the morning of August 4, a sudden rally after the quarterly earnings erased all stock market losses Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) had suffered in 2026 – previously one of the firm’s worst years on record – and pushed the equity 3.11% into the green.
Microsoft stock price YTD chart. Source: Google The sudden change in the trend simultaneously ensured that the first-quarter (Q1) decision by the Gates Foundation to completely wipe its MSFT position might have been one of its worst.
While the exact transaction date is unknown, Microsoft stock hit highs of $483.47 and lows of $356.77 during Q1, and its average price in the timeframe stood at $435.22.
Under the circumstances, unless Bill Gates’ foundation sold near the top, it could have missed up to $1 billion in proceeds relative to what it would have received had it waited until early August 2026.
If you invested $1,000 into Microsoft stock during Q1 lows, you’d now have this much On the flip side, if a different investor took Microsoft’s abysmal early 2026 performance as a buy rather than a sell signal and purchased $1,000 worth of MSFT near the quarter’s bottom, they’d have $1,366.85 by press time.
Additionally, even if they bought at the period’s average price of $435.22, they would still have a portfolio worth $1,120.47. Finally, even buying at the top of the Q1 range would have yielded a profit – though a significantly smaller one – as $1,000 would have turned into $1,008.65.
Bill Gates Foundation Microsoft stock sale likely part of 2045 sunsetting plan Meanwhile, it is arguably unlikely that the Gates Foundation deliberately timed its most recent and final sale of Microsoft stock. Indeed, it has been exclusively selling the equity since late 2023, and the latest purchase was as far back as Q3 2023.
Furthermore, Bill Gates outlined his plans to sunset his organization by 2045 already in the first half (H1) of 2025 when he declared his net worth would drop by an estimated 99% within roughly two decades.
In about a year, the value of the Gates Foundation portfolio dropped by approximately 25%, with the 13-F filing covering Q1, 2025, showing total holdings worth $41.8 billion and the Q1, 2026, document indicating $31.6 billion.
Featured image via Shutterstock
Best Crypto Exchange for Intermediate Traders and Investors
Invest in cryptocurrencies and 3,000+ other assets including stocks and precious metals.
0% commission on stocks - buy in bulk or just a fraction from as little as $10. Other fees apply. For more information, visit etoro.com/trading/fees.
Copy top-performing traders in real time, automatically.
eToro USA is registered with FINRA for securities trading.
30+ million Users worldwide
eToro is a multi-asset investment platform. The value of your investments may go up or down. Your capital is at risk. Don’t invest unless you’re prepared to lose all the money you invest. This is a high-risk investment and you should not expect to be protected if something goes wrong. Take 2 mins to learn more.
Join Finbold's newsroom, become a Sales Executive today! Apply now to join Finbold as a crypto/finance news writer!
A securities fraud class action lawsuit has been filed on behalf of Microsoft investors after its stock plummeted 10% because Microsoft allegedly misled investors regarding its AI chatbot Copilot and cloud computing platform Azure.
, /PRNewswire/ -- Leading securities law firm Bleichmar Fonti & Auld LLP announces that a class action lawsuit has been filed against Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) and certain of the Company's senior executives for securities fraud after its significant stock drop resulting from potential violations of the federal securities laws.
If you invested in Microsoft, you are encouraged to obtain additional information by visiting: https://www.bfalaw.com/cases/microsoft-class-action-lawsuit.
Key Details of the Microsoft ($MSFT) Class Action:
Lead Plaintiff Deadline: August 11, 2026 Alleged Misconduct: Securities fraud alleging that Microsoft misled investors regarding its Azure cloud computing platform and AI chatbot Copilot Stock Drop: January 28, 2026 – 10% Stock Drop Court: U.S. District Court for the Western District of Washington Action: Contact BFA Law to discuss your rights Investors have until August 11, 2026 to ask the Court to be appointed to lead the case. The complaint asserts securities fraud claims under Sections 10(b) and 20(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 on behalf of investors in Microsoft common stock. The class action is pending in the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Washington. It is captioned City of St. Clair Shores Police and Fire Retirement System, et al., No. 26-cv-02071.
Why is Microsoft Being Sued for Securities Fraud?
Microsoft is a multinational technology company that develops software, cloud services, and devices. In recent years, Microsoft's cloud computing platform named Azure has been Microsoft's main growth driver. A key reason for Azure's recent growth is Microsoft's multi-billion-dollar investment into AI, including the development of its own generative AI chatbot named Copilot.
According to the complaint, during the relevant period, Microsoft consistently touted Copilot's best-in-class capabilities, which purportedly drove widespread and growing user adoption. Copilot's apparent success allowed Microsoft to report surging Azure-related revenue.
As alleged, in truth, Copilot suffered from severe functionality issues that caused user adoption to decline and put Microsoft's Azure revenue at risk.
Why did Microsoft's Stock Drop?
On January 28, 2026, Microsoft announced disappointing 2Q 2026 financial results and that Azure growth had slowed suddenly. Microsoft also allegedly revealed for the first time that the number of Microsoft 365 Copilot premium customers totaled only 15 million, materially below analyst estimates.
This news caused the price of Microsoft common stock to decline $48.13 per share, or 10%, from $481.63 per share on January 28, 2026, to $433.50 per share on January 29, 2026.
Additionally, on February 3, 2026, The Wall Street Journal reported in an article titled "Microsoft's Pivotal AI Product Is Running Into Big Problems" that severe challenges and functionality issues had plagued Copilot, causing the application to lose market share. Specifically, The Wall Street Journal reported that "[c]onfusing brand positioning and interoperability problems have frustrated users."
Click here for more information: https://www.bfalaw.com/cases/microsoft-class-action-lawsuit.
What Can You Do?
If you invested in Microsoft, you may have legal options and are encouraged to submit your information to the firm.
All representation is on a contingency fee basis; there is no cost to you. Shareholders are not responsible for any court costs or expenses of litigation. The firm will seek court approval for any potential fees and expenses.
BFA is a leading international law firm representing plaintiffs in securities class actions and shareholder litigation. It has been named a top plaintiff law firm by Chambers USA, The Legal 500, and ISS SCAS, and its attorneys have been named "Elite Trial Lawyers" by the National Law Journal, "Litigation Stars" by Benchmark Litigation, among the top "500 Leading Plaintiff Financial Lawyers" by Lawdragon, "Titans of the Plaintiffs' Bar" by Law360 and "SuperLawyers" by Thomson Reuters.
Most recently, The Legal 500 awarded BFA the most client satisfaction accolades of any plaintiff's securities litigation law firm, with clients noting: "[t]here is no better service provider in the practice area," "[t]he interest of the client is always front and center," and "[t]here isn't a better firm in this space." One testimonial described the firm as "nimble and entrepreneurial," with a "relentless focus on adding value for clients."
Among its recent notable successes, BFA recovered over $900 million in value from Tesla, Inc.'s Board of Directors, as well as $420 million from Teva Pharmaceutical Ind. Ltd.
For more information about BFA and its attorneys, please visit https://www.bfalaw.com.
Co investoři vlastně získávají, když investují do akcií společností Microsoft, Amazon a Google? To je podle ředitele EZ Primary Research Eda Zitrona klíčová otázka a odpověď naznačuje například to, jak by se měly vyvíjet tržby v oblasti cloudových služeb Googlu. Zatímco se totiž očekává, že vysoké investice do AI infrastruktury přinesou podobným společnostem diverzifikovaný růst příjmů, realita se může odlišovat. Navíc expert přidal řadu dalších úvah na téma umělé inteligence a s ní souvisejících investic.
Zitron řekl, že podle jedné z analýz banky UBS bude 27 % letošních tržeb u cloudových služeb Googlu generováno dvěma společnostmi – OpenAI a Anthropic. Příští rok už by to mělo být více než 48 %, což v absolutním vyjádření představuje 124 miliard dolarů. K tomu expert dodal, že investoři nakupují akcie společností investujících do AI infrastruktury ve víře, že tyto výdaje firmám zajistí diverzifikované příjmy z vysoké poptávky po AI službách. Výše uvedené ale ukazuje, že Google bude tyto služby „prodávat dvěma neziskovým společnostem… Většina lidí neví, že OpenAI je velkým klientem Google Cloudu.“
OpenAI podle Zitrona generuje nemalou část příjmů i u cloudových služeb Microsoftu a Amazonu. „Všem je prodáváno to, co je podle mého názoru lež, určitý skandál,“ komentoval tuto situaci, kdy podle něj existuje velká provázanost výsledků hyperscalerů a jejich růstu s poskytováním jejich služeb společnosti OpenAI a Anthropic. První z nich přitom mluvila o letošním vstupu na akciový trh, nyní se spíše hovoří o příštím roce.
Právě IPO společnosti OpenAI by podle experta mohlo být určitým zlomem, kdy věci vyplynou na povrch. Včetně toho, jak „těžce centralizované“ je celé odvětví datových center a jejich příjmů. Tedy jak závislé jsou na poskytování služeb pro OpenAI, která je zase ve svém dalším podnikání a rozvoji závislá na externím přísunu kapitálu. Zitron už před časem psal o tom, že podle dostupných informací „společnost OpenAI dosáhla v roce 2025 tržeb ve výši 13,07 miliardy dolarů a její čistá ztráta činila 38,53 miliardy dolarů“.
Pokud má být využita plánovaná kapacita nově budovaných datových center, nestačí na to podle experta poptávka ze strany zmíněných dvou firem. „OpenAI je společnost, která pálí hotovost,“ velká část jejího financování jde ze strany Softbank. K tomu expert zmínil stále aktivnější čínské společnosti a modely umělé inteligence, které mohou pro americké firmy představovat konkurenci a tlak na tržby. Tedy budoucí využití v současnosti budovaných kapacit.
Zitron také připomněl, že společnosti jako Google bývaly málo investičně a kapitálově náročné, generovaly vysoký volný tok hotovosti a měly velkou zásobu hotovosti v rozvaze. Investice do datových center to změnila a nyní jde o společnosti s vysokými hmotnými aktivy, které podle výše uvedeného využívá jen pár zákazníků. Navíc zmíněné dvě společnosti nebudou schopné využít nově budované kapacity. A bez nich podle experta poptávka také dostatečná nebude.
WHY: Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, reminds purchasers of common stock of Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) between May 1, 2025 and January 28, 2026, inclusive (the “Class Period”), of the important August 11, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline.
SO WHAT: If you purchased Microsoft common stock during the Class Period you may be entitled to compensation without payment of any out of pocket fees or costs through a contingency fee arrangement.
WHAT TO DO NEXT: To join the Microsoft class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/cases/microsoft-corporation/join or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action. A class action lawsuit has already been filed. If you wish to serve as lead plaintiff, you must move the Court no later than August 11, 2026. A lead plaintiff is a representative party acting on behalf of other class members in directing the litigation.
WHY ROSEN LAW: We encourage investors to select qualified counsel with a track record of success in leadership roles. Often, firms issuing notices do not have comparable experience, resources, or any meaningful peer recognition. Many of these firms do not actually handle securities class actions, but are merely middlemen that refer clients or partner with law firms that actually litigate the cases. Be wise in selecting counsel. The Rosen Law Firm represents investors throughout the globe, concentrating its practice in securities class actions and shareholder derivative litigation. Rosen Law Firm has achieved the largest ever securities class action settlement against a Chinese Company. Rosen Law Firm was Ranked No. 1 by ISS Securities Class Action Services for number of securities class action settlements in 2017. The firm has been ranked in the top 4 each year since 2013 and has recovered billions of dollars for investors. In 2019 alone the firm secured over $438 million for investors. In 2020, founding partner Laurence Rosen was named by law360 as a Titan of Plaintiffs’ Bar. Many of the firm’s attorneys have been recognized by Lawdragon and Super Lawyers.
DETAILS OF THE CASE: According to the lawsuit, throughout the Class Period, defendants made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (1) Microsoft’s Copilot family of products had experienced significant brand positioning, user experience, usage, data siloing, computational capacity, organizational, and interoperability problems; (2) Microsoft’s flagship proprietary AI model ranked well below competitors on a number of benchmark tests; (3) Microsoft needed to increase by billions of dollars its capital expenditures and divert graphics processing unit (“GPU”) and central processing unit (“CPU”) capacity away from fulfilling demand for its profitable Azure services in order to improve the competitive positioning of its critical Copilot family of products and increase its AI-related research and development (“R&D”); and (4) as a result, Microsoft had failed to convert a significant percentage of its commercial Microsoft 365 users to paid Copilot subscriptions and Microsoft’s Copilot offerings had lost market share to rival products, a trend that was increasing. When the true details entered the market, the lawsuit claims that investors suffered damages.
To join the Microsoft class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/cases/microsoft-corporation/join or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action.
No Class Has Been Certified. Until a class is certified, you are not represented by counsel unless you retain one. You may select counsel of your choice. You may also remain an absent class member and do nothing at this point. An investor’s ability to share in any potential future recovery is not dependent upon serving as lead plaintiff.
Follow us for updates on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-rosen-law-firm, on Twitter: https://twitter.com/rosen_firm or on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/rosenlawfirm/.
Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome.
Contact Information:
Laurence Rosen, Esq.
Phillip Kim, Esq.
The Rosen Law Firm, P.A.
275 Madison Avenue, 40th Floor
New York, NY 10016
Tel: (212) 686-1060
Toll Free: (866) 767-3653
Fax: (212) 202-3827 [email protected]
www.rosenlegal.com
Microsoft (MSFT +4.93%) and Apple (AAPL -1.78%) have been rivals for decades. Not only are they competing businesses, but their high valuations frequently make them among the most valuable companies in the world. Both are in the trillion-dollar club, with market caps well in excess of $1 trillion.
Currently, Apple is the more valuable of the two stocks, with a market cap of $4.5 trillion versus $3.6 trillion for Microsoft. But within the next 18 months, I believe Microsoft will surpass Apple and be the more valuable of the two. Here's why.
Image source: Getty Images.
Microsoft is in a better position to benefit from opportunities related to artificial intelligence Artificial intelligence (AI) is a major growth opportunity in tech these days, and yet, neither of these tech companies is truly taking off because of it. Apple has been slow to roll out AI features on its iPhones, and Microsoft's Copilot assistant doesn't exactly have the best reputation.
But of the two, Microsoft looks to be in a better position. I've used Copilot regularly, and Microsoft lets users choose which chatbot to use for their queries. And Copilot can help users with day-to-day queries related to spreadsheets and Word documents, making the cost of upgrading to an AI-powered plan justifiable for businesses. It's just a matter of time before customers come around to that realization, but I'm confident that will happen. And when it does, Microsoft's growth rate could take off, and so too will the stock.
Today's Change
(
4.93
%) $
22.93
Current Price
$
487.65
Apple's stock is highly overvalued, and Microsoft still possesses some intriguing upside Apple's valuation is 25% higher than Microsoft's. It's not a huge gap, and one that I think will shrink and eventually disappear in the near future. Investors have piled into Apple as a safe-haven stock of late, but at 35 times earnings, it looks overpriced given the often sluggish and modest growth its business generates. Microsoft, by comparison, trading at 27 times its earnings, looks more reasonably valued and has been rising recently after posting strong quarterly results, and it could still have room to rise even higher.
Within the next 18 months, perhaps a whole lot sooner, I predict Microsoft will have a higher valuation than Apple. It has more upside and some exciting growth opportunities related to AI, while Apple may be due for a pullback given its inflated valuation. While both stocks can make for good long-term investments, Microsoft looks to be the far better buy right now.
After delivering strong earnings but receiving mixed initial reactions, the hyperscalers are suddenly surging. Amazon ((AMZN - Free Report) ) and Microsoft ((MSFT - Free Report) ) have rallied roughly 20%–25% from their pre-earnings levels, while Alphabet ((GOOGL - Free Report) ) and Meta Platforms ((META - Free Report) ) have recovered sharply from their post-report lows. What began as another round of anxiety over runaway AI spending has quickly turned into renewed enthusiasm for the companies building the infrastructure behind the boom.
At the beginning of earnings season, however, investors were looking at these results through a very different lens.
Alphabet delivered what was, by almost any operating measure, an exceptional quarter. Revenue increased 24%, operating income climbed 30% and Google Cloud revenue surged 82%, with Cloud operating margins expanding to 35.6%. Yet investors focused overwhelmingly on the company’s $44.9 billion of quarterly capital expenditures and the resulting $5.9 billion free-cash-flow outflow.
Meta faced a similar reaction. Revenue increased 28% year over year, supported by a 14% increase in ad impressions and a 12% increase in average ad prices. But quarterly capital expenditures reached $31.1 billion, leaving the company with just $784 million of free cash flow, down from $8.5 billion a year earlier. Investors again treated the spending as the main story, overlooking the continued strength of the underlying business.
The central question hanging over the entire AI trade was straightforward: What kind of return can these companies ultimately earn on hundreds of billions of dollars of AI investment?
Until Amazon reported, the answer remained somewhat opaque. There were signs of accelerating demand across cloud, advertising and enterprise AI, but investors lacked a clear example connecting the enormous infrastructure buildout to both rapid revenue growth and expanding profits.
Amazon provided that example.
Second-quarter revenue increased 20% to $200.6 billion, while operating income surged 43% to $27.5 billion. More importantly, AWS revenue accelerated 37% to $42.2 billion, its fastest growth in 18 quarters, while AWS operating income jumped 64% to $16.6 billion. Despite the massive investment required to support that growth, the segment produced an operating margin of 39.4%.
The results underneath those headline numbers were even more revealing. Amazon disclosed that its AI business has surpassed a $25 billion annualized revenue run rate and continues to grow at a triple-digit percentage rate. Its custom-chip business, which includes Trainium and Graviton, has also exceeded a $25 billion run rate while growing at a triple-digit pace. AWS as a whole is now operating at a $169 billion annualized revenue rate.
That is what flipped the narrative.
Amazon is still spending aggressively, and its trailing-12-month free cash flow has fallen to a $7.6 billion outflow as infrastructure investment has surged. But the spending is no longer supported only by projections about future AI demand. It is already feeding businesses generating tens of billions of dollars in revenue, growing at exceptional rates and producing substantial operating profits.
Microsoft reinforced the same conclusion. Azure revenue increased 43% during the latest quarter, while annual Azure revenue surpassed $100 billion after growing 41% for the fiscal year. Microsoft Cloud generated $59.3 billion of quarterly revenue, up 27%, and Microsoft 365 Copilot surpassed 30 million paid seats, up from 20 million a year earlier.
We still do not have a complete answer to the AI ROI question. Amazon and Microsoft have demonstrated that the hyperscalers can monetize the infrastructure layer through cloud consumption, custom silicon, software subscriptions and enterprise services. The remaining uncertainty rests more heavily with the AI labs themselves, including OpenAI, Anthropic and their competitors where the ultimate margins, pricing power and economics of training and serving increasingly capable models remain less visible.
But the burden of proof has shifted. The hyperscalers are no longer merely promising that AI investment will eventually produce attractive returns. Amazon just gave investors their clearest evidence yet that those returns are already beginning to appear.
Billionaire investor Bill Ackman runs Pershing Square Capital Management, a hedge fund that owns only about eight to 12 holdings at any given time. It's mostly focused on core U.S.-based, large-cap consumer-facing companies, but it currently holds three artificial intelligence (AI) stocks: Amazon (AMZN +4.58%), Microsoft (MSFT +4.93%), and Meta Platforms (META +6.02%).
These are all fairly new positions: The Amazon position is about a year old, the Meta position started at the end of 2025, and the Microsoft position was opened in early 2026. The fund previously held shares of Alphabet, but it closed out its position in the first quarter of 2026. At the time, Ackman said he wasn't betting against Google, but he needed capital to buy Microsoft, which he thought was a better deal.
Bill Ackman of Pershing Square Capital Management. Image source: Getty Images.
Out of these three stocks, Amazon looks like the best buy right now. Here's why.
Stacking up Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta are three of the most valuable companies in the world. They're all heavily investing in AI right now, but they use it in different ways.
Amazon and Microsoft compete in cloud services, but have other uses, too: Amazon has developed an AI chip business that, as a stand-alone business, is one of the three largest chip businesses in the world, and Microsoft's Copilot large language model (LLM) is built into its Office applications. Meta's LLM, Llama, is used by developers to create AI applications and by advertisers to run marketing campaigns on Meta's family of social media apps.
Here's how these companies performed in their most recent quarters and how expensive their stocks are as of this writing:
CompanyTotal SalesSales GrowthOperating Income GrowthP/E RatioAmazon$201 B20%43%22Microsoft$90 B18%18%26Meta$61 B28%(8)%21 Data source: Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta quarterly reports, YCharts. Growth is year over year.
Amazon is the largest company in the world by revenue, eclipsing Microsoft and Meta by more than double, yet it's growing rapidly, in line with much younger and smaller companies. It's also highly profitable, and its stock looks cheap.
It had a fantastic quarter in nearly every way, driven by AI momentum. Revenue from its cloud business, Amazon Web Services (AWS), increased 37% year over year, a major acceleration and back to the kind of growth it was experiencing several years ago when it was less than half the size it is today. It added $4.6 billion in the first quarter alone, which is 80% more than its largest increase by rate, and it has a $496 billion backlog, a triple-digit increase over last year.
Amazon previously said it would target $200 billion in capital expenditures (capex) this year, and it upped that to $220 billion due to increases in the price of memory products. CEO Andy detailed how the capex cycle works, explaining that there are two cycles: data centers, which last for about 30 years, and the infrastructure, which has a five- or six-year cycle.
While data centers require investments two years before they can be monetized, the infrastructure can be monetized within six months, giving Amazon more leeway to invest according to demand. Management expects to break even after two or three years, giving it another three or so years of increasing cash flow before it starts the cycle again.
More than the fundamentals The market had been pricing Amazon sluggishly as doubts crept in about whether this spending could lead to better operating results. Jassy has been adamant from the very beginning that Amazon has a massive opportunity and would need to invest to capitalize on it.
As the results begin to stream in, he maintains the positive long-term outlook. Even with its capex spend this year, he said, "We will still not have enough capacity to meet all the demand we have in 2026. And I believe this dynamic will also be true in 2027, too."
Today's Change
(
4.58
%) $
12.44
Current Price
$
284.02
And no one should forget the rest of Amazon. AWS accounts for less than a quarter of the company's sales, although it represented 60% of operating income in the second quarter. E-commerce is still responsible for most of its sales, and Pershing Square notes its leading position and its "one-of-a-kind logistics network that fulfills over $700 billion in gross merchandise value annually." It also believes that the retail business can nearly double profitability through "higher-margin advertising revenue, network density, and automation initiatives."
Amazon is the dominant player in two fast-growing businesses, it's investing for success, and it's priced to buy. Ackman isn't leaving this opportunity on the table, and retail investors should consider it, too.
Microsoft (MSFT +4.93%) stock is seeing another day of strong gains in this Monday's trading, with its share price up 5.2% as of 1:50 p.m. ET. The S&P 500 had risen 1.4% at the same point in the daily session, and the Nasdaq Composite was up 2.1%.
The broader market is rallying today on news that the U.S. and Iran are once again negotiating to end the war. Microsoft stock is also getting a continued boost from the stellar earnings report that it published last week and new coverage from Goldman Sachs.
Image source: Getty Images.
Software stocks are rallying in response to the latest Iran war news Over the weekend, President Donald Trump said that the basic framework for a deal to end the Iran war and reopen shipping lines through the Strait of Hormuz was in place and that negotiations between the countries would formally resume today. While concerns about competition from Chinese rivals have depressed bullish momentum for semiconductor stocks, leading artificial intelligence (AI) software companies are generally seeing strong gains in response to the geopolitical news today.
Today's Change
(
4.93
%) $
22.93
Current Price
$
487.65
Goldman Sachs adds Microsoft to its U.S. Conviction List Before the market opened this morning, Goldman Sachs released its latest U.S. Conviction List -- which details the investment firm's top picks. With the report, the firm's analysts reiterated a buy rating on the stock, maintained a price target of $640 per share, and cited the company's ideal position in the AI industry and capabilities for enterprise integration as reasons for including the company on its list of top buys. While Goldman was already bullish on the stock, the blockbuster quarterly report that Microsoft published last week has significantly shifted the narrative surrounding the company -- and shares could keep rallying in the near term.
Keith Noonan has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Goldman Sachs Group and Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The "Magnificent Seven" stocks are some of the world's most influential, successful companies, but all hasn't been peachy-keen with this bunch so far this year. The only two companies outperforming the S&P 500 as of market close on July 29 are Apple and Alphabet, up 24.8% and 6.8%, respectively, compared to the S&P 500's 6.7%.
Part of the down year is investors looking for value in more niche industries (like memory hardware), and part of it is investors looking for value in other sectors because of worries about inflated big tech stock valuations.
In either case, if I had to choose one to load up on right now, it'd be Microsoft (MSFT +4.93%), but in that same breath, Tesla (TSLA +3.49%) is a stock I'm currently avoiding. Here's why.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
A staple that's here to stay As of market close on July 29, Microsoft's stock was down 17.4% year to date. However, after reporting its fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter (Q4) results, the stock surged 9.5% in after-hours trading. The reason mainly comes down to Microsoft's AI investments showing signs of paying off.
Microsoft took a lot of heat for its spending, but it has progress to show for it. Its cloud platform Azure surpassed $100 billion in revenue for the first time, total Microsoft Cloud revenue increased 27% year over year (YOY) to $214 billion, and Microsoft 365 Copilot (Microsoft's AI assistant) doubled its paid seats from the previous quarter to 30 million.
Today's Change
(
4.93
%) $
22.93
Current Price
$
487.65
Even when Microsoft's stock is having a rough patch, I never second-guess whether it'll bounce back because the company is too important to the global business world. It's the marquee enterprise business-to-business company, with millions of businesses relying on various software and hardware for their daily operations.
That doesn't make the company or stock invincible by any means, but it's a competitive moat few can match. As the company continues to invest in cloud computing and AI infrastructure, it should continue its stronghold on the industry.
Microsoft isn't completely off the hook with its high capital expenditure (capex) plans, but some AI progress is enough to buy it some more time with investors. And with the stock trading at around 23.7 times its earnings (the third-cheapest of the Magnificent Seven), the upside far outweighs the potential downside.
TSLA PE Ratio data by YCharts
Are the red flags worth the price? I'll start with the good news about Tesla. In Q2, it increased its revenue by 26% YOY to $28.2 billion and set a company vehicle delivery record, with deliveries up 25% YOY to 480,216. That's commendable, but the one issue is how Tesla managed to do it.
Tesla essentially swapped out profit for volume. Its operating income (profit from core operations) dropped 57% YOY; its operating margin was 1.4%; and its free cash flow turned negative, coming in at -$1.09 billion.
Today's Change
(
3.49
%) $
10.87
Current Price
$
322.08
The decline in profits and free cash flow isn't ideal, but it's not the end of the world. The main issue is when you couple it with Tesla's capital expenditures. To be fair, Tesla's $5.79 billion in capex in Q2 is nowhere near the $43 billion Microsoft spent, but it was 142% more than Q2 last year. It expects its 2026 capex to be around $25 billion.
The spending itself would be easier to justify if Tesla had a clearer roadmap for its non-car sales segments. Its two long-term growth projects -- robotaxis and humanoid robots -- are likely many years from commercial use and even more years away from making worthwhile contributions to Tesla's earnings.
Tesla's car business isn't enough to justify its valuation. Investors are buying into the company because of its ambitious plans, but at some point, there has to be enough tangible progress. This is especially true for a stock trading at 277 times its earnings. There's expensive, and then there's that.
It has a lot of grey area to clear up before I'd feel comfortable buying the stock.
On her latest economy recap podcast, Suze Orman walked listeners through a live example most retail investors would rather forget: SpaceX priced its IPO at $135 a share on June 11, opened at $150, touched $193 on day one, and closed the following Friday at $108, a 44% decline in seven weeks. Her takeaway centered on entry price, and the reflex to chase a name because everyone else is buying it.
The stakes are simple. If you bought at the $193 intraday peak with $10,000, you now have roughly $5,600. The company kept operating. The rockets kept flying. You paid too much on day one, and the market corrected the price without asking your permission.
The Verdict: Suze Is Right, and the Math Is Brutal Orman’s warning is sound. Buying an IPO on day one means bidding against every hedge fund, index-fund forced buyer, and retail account staring at the same headline you are. The mechanic she is pointing at is called price-to-value dislocation: a stock’s opening trade reflects sentiment rather than cash flow.
Run the numbers. A buyer at the $150 open is down roughly 28% at $108. A buyer at the $193 peak is down about 44%. To simply break even from $193, the stock has to climb about 79% from here. That is the arithmetic of drawdowns, and it is the number that punishes momentum buyers most.
Now compare that with what a boring, disciplined position in a cash-generating public company looked like over the same window. Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT | MSFT Price Prediction) reported fiscal Q4 revenue of $90.01 billion, EPS of $4.74 against a $4.24 estimate, and Azure growth of 43%. The shares trade near $487. Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) posted Q2 revenue of $200.61 billion with AWS growing 37%, its fastest in 18 quarters. These companies file 10-Qs, disclose margins, and give you a base rate to underwrite. An IPO on day two gives you a chart.
Even Mega-Caps Can Bruise You Short Term Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) beat on the top and bottom line last week, with EPS of $2.02 versus a $1.89 estimate and revenue of $109.4 billion, and still fell about 7% over the following week. That is Orman’s second point, said plainly: even quality names swing. The difference is you own something whose earnings you can read. A 7% dip in a $109 billion revenue business is a very different animal from a 44% dip in an unseasoned IPO whose free cash flow was, per Jim Cramer’s own reporting, negative $9.1 billion in the first quarter alone.
The Variable That Changes Everything: Entry Price Entry price is the variable. Look at Uber (NYSE:UBER). It went public in May 2019 at $45 a share and now trades around $71, a roughly 59% total return over seven years. Buyers at the 2021 highs near $63 waited years to break even. Buyers who waited for the business to show profitability, $9.76 billion in free cash flow for full-year 2025, paid a very different price for the same company.
The math cuts both ways. A $10,000 stake in Uber at the 2019 IPO is roughly $15,900 today. The same $10,000 bought at the 2024 peak near $101 is worth about $7,000. Same company. Same cash flow. Different entry price, different life.
What to Actually Do Before the Next Hot IPO Prints Write down the IPO price and the first-day close. If you are buying above the offer price, you are paying a premium for excitement rather than earning a discount for uncertainty. Wait two full earnings cycles. You get real revenue, real guidance, and a lockup expiration that flushes out insider sellers before you commit. Anchor to yield. With the 30-year Treasury near 5.3% and high-yield savings paying 4% to 5%, your hurdle rate for any speculative buy is higher than it has been in a decade. Size the position to the loss you can absorb. If a 44% drawdown in seven weeks would derail your plan, the position is too big. Orman’s point is not that IPOs never work. It is that the price you pay decides whether they work for you.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN | AMZN Price Prediction) and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) each posted blowout quarters and jumped on the results. Both hyperscalers leaned hard on AI infrastructure, yet the shape of each beat differs. Amazon delivered its fastest AWS growth in 18 quarters. Microsoft crossed Azure’s first $100 billion year and 30 million Copilot seats. The reactions rhymed, but the businesses underneath diverge sharply.
AWS Reaccelerates While Azure Keeps Scaling Amazon reported EPS of $5.75 against a $1.8227 estimate on revenue of $200.61 billion, up 19.62% YoY. AWS grew 37% to $42.23 billion at a 39.4% operating margin. Andy Jassy told investors, “AWS is booming, growing 36.7% year-over-year in Q2, our fastest growth in 18 quarters, and our AI and Chips businesses each eclipsed run rates of more than $25 billion.” Advertising climbed 26% to $19.81 billion, and Prime shipped 40% more items same-day or overnight.
Microsoft posted EPS of $4.74 on revenue of $90.01 billion, up 17.75% YoY. Intelligent Cloud jumped 32% to $39.31 billion, Azure grew 43%, and commercial RPO reached $678 billion, up 84%. Satya Nadella framed it as “advancing the frontier on the cost-to-outcome curve.” More Personal Computing slipped 4%, a reminder that Windows and Xbox no longer drive the narrative.
Full Stack vs. Enterprise Focus Amazon is building a full stack: Trainium and Graviton silicon, Bedrock foundation models, Zoox robotaxis approved by NHTSA, roughly 400 Amazon Leo satellites, and Amazon Now delivery across 250-plus cities. Microsoft narrowed focus to Azure, Copilot, GitHub, and Dynamics, backed by a reworked OpenAI pact that commits $250 billion of Azure services and extends IP rights through 2032.
Lens Amazon Microsoft Core Bet Own silicon, retail, and logistics Enterprise cloud plus OpenAI Cloud Growth AWS +37% Azure +43% Key Vulnerability Thin retail margins, tariff exposure GPU depreciation, partner profit share The Next Test Is Capex Discipline Both are spending like utilities. Amazon burned $54.21 billion of capex in one quarter, up 68.44%, and TTM free cash flow flipped to negative $7.6 billion. Microsoft ran full-year capex to $115.95 billion, up 109.63% in Q4, and quarterly free cash flow fell 23.19% to $19.64 billion. Prediction markets lean bullish, with a 60.71 composite sentiment score on AMZN and 64.09 on MSFT. Watch whether AWS holds near a 39% margin and whether Azure’s GPU depreciation cycle starts to bite.
Why I Lean Amazon After This Quarter Amazon reads better here. Operating income jumped 43.24% YoY even as capex surged, and the AI and custom chips businesses are already each past a $25 billion run rate. AMZN’s trailing P/E of about 22 looks reasonable next to its reaccelerating cloud engine. Microsoft owns the enterprise stack, but heavier merchant GPU depreciation and OpenAI profit-sharing now press against its 46.8% operating margin. For steadier compounding and a 0.77% dividend, Microsoft screens as the more defensive profile. Coming out of this quarter, Amazon shows the stronger operational setup.
Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and Microsoft didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.
New York, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - August 3, 2026) - WHY: New York, N.Y., August 3, 2026. Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, reminds purchasers of common stock of Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) between May 1, 2025 and January 28, 2026, inclusive (the "Class Period"), of the important August 11, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline.
SO WHAT: If you purchased Microsoft common stock during the Class Period you may be entitled to compensation without payment of any out of pocket fees or costs through a contingency fee arrangement.
WHAT TO DO NEXT: To join the Microsoft class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/cases/microsoft-corporation/join or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action. A class action lawsuit has already been filed. If you wish to serve as lead plaintiff, you must move the Court no later than August 11, 2026. A lead plaintiff is a representative party acting on behalf of other class members in directing the litigation.
WHY ROSEN LAW: We encourage investors to select qualified counsel with a track record of success in leadership roles. Often, firms issuing notices do not have comparable experience, resources, or any meaningful peer recognition. Many of these firms do not actually handle securities class actions, but are merely middlemen that refer clients or partner with law firms that actually litigate the cases. Be wise in selecting counsel. The Rosen Law Firm represents investors throughout the globe, concentrating its practice in securities class actions and shareholder derivative litigation. Rosen Law Firm has achieved the largest ever securities class action settlement against a Chinese Company. Rosen Law Firm was Ranked No. 1 by ISS Securities Class Action Services for number of securities class action settlements in 2017. The firm has been ranked in the top 4 each year since 2013 and has recovered billions of dollars for investors. In 2019 alone the firm secured over $438 million for investors. In 2020, founding partner Laurence Rosen was named by law360 as a Titan of Plaintiffs' Bar. Many of the firm's attorneys have been recognized by Lawdragon and Super Lawyers.
DETAILS OF THE CASE: According to the lawsuit, throughout the Class Period, defendants made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (1) Microsoft's Copilot family of products had experienced significant brand positioning, user experience, usage, data siloing, computational capacity, organizational, and interoperability problems; (2) Microsoft's flagship proprietary AI model ranked well below competitors on a number of benchmark tests; (3) Microsoft needed to increase by billions of dollars its capital expenditures and divert graphics processing unit ("GPU") and central processing unit ("CPU") capacity away from fulfilling demand for its profitable Azure services in order to improve the competitive positioning of its critical Copilot family of products and increase its AI-related research and development ("R&D"); and (4) as a result, Microsoft had failed to convert a significant percentage of its commercial Microsoft 365 users to paid Copilot subscriptions and Microsoft's Copilot offerings had lost market share to rival products, a trend that was increasing. When the true details entered the market, the lawsuit claims that investors suffered damages.
To join the Microsoft class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/cases/microsoft-corporation/join or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action.
No Class Has Been Certified. Until a class is certified, you are not represented by counsel unless you retain one. You may select counsel of your choice. You may also remain an absent class member and do nothing at this point. An investor's ability to share in any potential future recovery is not dependent upon serving as lead plaintiff.
Follow us for updates on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-rosen-law-firm, on Twitter: https://twitter.com/rosen_firm or on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/rosenlawfirm/.
Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome.
-------------------------------
To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/307746
Source: The Rosen Law Firm PA
Ready to Announce with Confidence? Send us a message and a member of our TMX Newsfile team will contact you to discuss your needs.
This year has been a volatile one for Microsoft (MSFT +5.23%). The tech giant went on a sharp decline in the early part of 2026 as investors grew bearish on software stocks, and even a behemoth such as Microsoft wasn't spared. At one point, it was down well over 20%.
Recently, however, the company posted its fourth-quarter numbers, which sparked a revival. It's been surging over the past few days, and it's now back to around the levels where it started the year and is approaching $500. Could it be on its way to a new all-time high?
Image source: Getty Images.
Microsoft easily beat expectations in Q4 Last week, Microsoft reported fourth-quarter earnings that came in well ahead of analyst expectations. The company's revenue for the June quarter totaled $90 billion and rose 18% year over year, which was better than Wall Street projections of $87.6 billion. Its adjusted per-share profit of $4.74 was also well above the $4.24 expected by analysts.
Of key importance was also the growth rate in its cloud business, Azure. At 43%, that was a faster rate than the 40% growth it posted in the third quarter. Earlier this year, investors were growing concerned about Azure's slowing growth rate, but with that improving in Q4, investors have become bullish on the tech stock once again.
Today's Change
(
5.23
%) $
24.33
Current Price
$
489.05
Is Microsoft's stock still destined to rise higher? Microsoft's stock has been undervalued for much of the year, but it wasn't all that long ago that it looked a bit expensive; a year ago, it was trading at close to 40 times its trailing earnings. Now, with its value rising again, its price-to-earnings multiple is creeping up to around 27.
For long-term investors, the stock can still make for an excellent buy, but it's important to consider the valuation, as that could limit returns and even lead to losses, despite the business being a solid one. It's currently trading at a bit higher than the average S&P 500 stock (which trades at 25 times earnings), but the good news is that it's still not as expensive as it was last year.
Shares of Microsoft may continue to rise this year and even reach new all-time highs. Last year, they hit a peak of more than $553. This is a quality blue chip stock to hold for the long haul, given its dominance in the tech sector and how prevalent its products and services are throughout the corporate world.
Key Takeaways Microsoft's record earnings revived AI optimism, lifting tech and AI ETFs.Azure topped $100B in annual revenues, proving AI investments are paying off. Microsoft's 15.5% jump on July 30 boosted major ETFs like GXPT, VGT and GAMR. Microsoft Corporation's (MSFT - Free Report) fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings have brought back investor enthusiasm for artificial intelligence (AI), cloud computing and mega-cap technology. The software giant delivered a significant single-day increase in market value since 2008, per Fortune, as quoted on Yahoo Finance.
Microsoft Delivers Record-Breaking RallyMSFT shares jumped 15.51% on July 30 following its fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results, adding approximately $483 billion in market capitalization during the day, per Fortune, as quoted on Yahoo Finance.
Azure Crosses Historic MilestoneCEO Satya Nadella announced that Azure generated more than $100 billion in annual revenues in fiscal 2026 for the first time. The company expects Azure revenues to grow 45% in constant currency during the ongoing first-quarter fiscal 2026, which ends in September, per Fortune as quoted on Yahoo Finance.
This guidance convinced investors that Microsoft's enormous AI investments are beginning to generate meaningful revenues.
AI Spending Shows ResultsFor months, investors questioned whether Microsoft's enormous spending on AI infrastructure would produce sufficient returns.
MSFT extended the useful life of its data center buildings from 15 to 25 years (per pluang.com).
Zacks Consensus Estimates for MicrosoftThe Zacks Consensus Estimate for Microsoft's first-quarter of 2026 earnings per share (EPS) stands at $4.67, suggesting 13.08% year-over-year growth. For the fiscal year, the consensus EPS estimate is pegged at $19.51, indicating an 8.69% year-over-year rally.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues stands at $90.23 billion, implying a 16.17% year-over-year rise. For the fiscal year, the consensus estimate for revenues is at $388.38 billion, suggesting year-over-year growth of 17.04%.
Microsoft-Heavy ETFs in FocusMSFT remains one of the largest holdings across numerous technology and AI-focused ETFs. This recent outperformance provides a boost to the appropriate ETFs.
Global X PureCap MSCI Information Technology ETF (GXPT - Free Report) is designed to give investors exposure to the U.S. information technology sector. Microsoft holds a weightage of 13.52% in this fund.
GXPT shares rose 4.83% on July 30. The fund charges an expense ratio of 0.15%. It trades at an average daily volume of 180,000 shares. The fund has an AUM base of $147.50 million and a Zacks ETF Rank #2 (Buy).
Vanguard Information Technology (VGT - Free Report) is one of the popular U.S. technology ETFs, offering low-cost exposure to a wide range of IT companies with a strong emphasis on semiconductors, hardware and software.
Microsoft holds a weightage of 8.28% in this fund. VGT has assets under management worth $137.78 billion and an expense ratio of 0.09%. The fund trades at an average daily volume of 5 million shares. The fund has risen about 5% on July 30. VGT presently sports Zacks ETF Rank #1 (Strong Buy).
Amplify Video Game Leaders ETF (GAMR - Free Report) invests in companies across the global video gaming ecosystem that includes companies involved in game development, GPUs, gaming platforms, mobile games, hardware and metaverse-related technologies.
Microsoft holds a weightage of 10.85% in this fund. The fund grew 2.57% on July 30. GAMR has an expense ratio of 0.59% and trades at an average daily volume of 1,156 shares. The fund has assets under management worth $37.4 million.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Microsoft (MSFT +5.23%) recently reported its fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results, and investors couldn't have been more impressed. Shares surged by double-digit percentages in the two days after the company's results were released.
Investor enthusiasm came as Microsoft reported $100 billion in sales from its Azure cloud computing company for the year, and its Copilot subscriptions rose by nearly 50%.
The growth was spurred by Microsoft's massive uptick in artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure spending, proving that big investments are paying off for some tech companies.
Meta and Alphabet haven't been so lucky. Here's how Microsoft is converting its AI investments into revenue while its competitors aren't seeing the same results.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Microsoft's big AI investments are paying off Microsoft had two major highlights from its latest results, the first of which was the $100 billion in Azure cloud revenue for the fiscal year, an impressive 33% increase from 2025.
As a cloud company, Microsoft rents out its capacity to enterprises and other companies, rather than using its AI data capacity solely for its own services. That's in contrast to Meta, which mostly uses its artificial intelligence infrastructure for AI tools within its services. Meta recently started charging developers for access to Muse Spark, but it's nowhere near the size of Microsoft's cloud business.
Azure's sales growth shows that when Microsoft invests directly in AI data center capacity, it can dramatically increase sales. Because Microsoft and Meta have fundamentally different businesses, shareholders are highly skeptical that Meta can recoup its AI costs, while they've been mostly positive recently about Microsoft's AI investments.
This leads us to the second highlight for Microsoft, its 30 million paid Copilot seats. That's a nearly 50% increase from the end of April, when the company had over 20 million paid seats.
Paid AI subscribers are one of the most direct ways to show shareholders that AI spending is working, because they indicate that customers see value in the AI services being offered and are willing to pay for them.
Microsoft's free-cash-flow situation is different, too Shareholders often consider how much free cash flow a company has -- the cash left over after paying for its operations and maintaining its assets -- because it's a good indicator of a company's overall financial health.
Record AI spending is decimating the free cash flow of many tech companies, with Meta's plunging 91% in the most recent quarter to just $784 million. And Alphabet's free cash flow has plummeted, falling to negative $5.9 billion in the second quarter, down from positive free cash flow of about $25 billion in the year-ago quarter.
Today's Change
(
5.23
%) $
24.33
Current Price
$
489.05
Microsoft's capital expenditures (capex) of $175 billion (adjusted from $190 billion, due to an accounting change) are certainly weighing on the company's free cash flow, but it's not as bad as its peers'. Free cash flow is down just 23% from the year-ago quarter and is still relatively high at $19.6 billion.
I still believe Alphabet's AI spending could eventually pay off for the company, because it's in a similar position as Microsoft. It rents out cloud services to customers with Google Cloud and charges for its AI agent through Google Gemini. But its stock has been punished lately, in part because of its evaporating free cash flow.
What Microsoft shareholders should be looking for Microsoft indicated that its capex spending will continue, with management saying on the earnings call that it will exceed $50 billion in Q1.
While investors rewarded Microsoft for its Azure growth, rising Copilot subscriptions, and modest free-cash-flow declines (relative to peers), the company will need to keep the good times coming.
Tech investors have already shown they're not willing to let companies spend without regard to growth, which means Microsoft shareholders will want to keep a close eye on Azure sales growth and Copilot subscription increases.
Any slowdown in these two areas, as capex spending increases, would indicate that Microsoft's AI spending isn't yielding the results it wants. Meta's and Alphabet's share price declines over the past few months are a good reminder that investors are keeping a close eye on AI returns on investment.
Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.
McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.
His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.
A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.
TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.
McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.
Artificial intelligence has entered a new phase. For the past two years, investors rewarded the companies building the picks and shovels of the AI revolution, from semiconductor makers to networking equipment suppliers. That spending spree isn’t ending, but the focus is beginning to shift.
Enterprises now want measurable returns instead of bigger models or larger data centers. That’s creating a different set of winners. Goldman Sachs believes Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT | MSFT Price Prediction) is among the best positioned to benefit because it already has AI woven into the software businesses millions of workers use every day.
Enterprise AI Is Becoming Microsoft’s Biggest Opportunity Goldman Sachs added Microsoft to its U.S. Conviction List this morning as part of its monthly update, while maintaining its Buy rating and lifting its price target to $640 from $610. With Microsoft’s shares trading around $465 — the stock is up 5% in midday trading — that represents roughly 38% upside. More importantly, inclusion on the Conviction List signals higher confidence than a standard Buy recommendation because it reflects Goldman’s highest-conviction ideas based on fundamental analysis.
The investment thesis, outlined by Goldman software analyst Gabriela Borges, marks a subtle but important shift in AI investing. Instead of focusing on companies supplying infrastructure for model training, Goldman is emphasizing businesses that can turn AI into recurring enterprise revenue.
Azure, Copilot Show AI Is More Than Just A Technology Microsoft’s latest quarterly results gave investors tangible evidence that its AI investments are beginning to generate stronger financial returns. Fiscal fourth-quarter results show revenue climbed 18% year over year to approximately $90 billion while Azure revenue growth accelerated to about 43%. The company also disclosed Azure now generates more than $100 billion in annual revenue.
Those numbers matter because Azure isn’t simply renting cloud servers anymore. It has become the foundation for Microsoft’s AI services, while Microsoft 365 Copilot gives enterprises a practical way to deploy AI across email, spreadsheets, coding, meetings, and business workflows.
That’s where Goldman believes the economics improve. Training large AI models demands enormous capital investment. Selling AI-powered productivity software through subscriptions produces recurring, high-margin revenue.
Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and Microsoft didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.
Goldman expects Microsoft’s earnings-per-share growth to accelerate from roughly 12% in fiscal 2027 to more than 20% by fiscal 2029 as Copilot adoption expands, AI operating efficiencies improve, and enterprise deployments become routine.
The Next AI Winners May Look Different The AI trade has largely rewarded infrastructure providers over the last two years. Chipmakers and hardware suppliers benefited because every company needed computing power before customers could use AI applications.
That dynamic is beginning to change. As businesses move from experimentation to implementation, software platforms that already have deep customer relationships gain an advantage. Microsoft reaches hundreds of millions of commercial users through Windows, Microsoft 365, Teams, Dynamics, GitHub, and Azure. Adding AI capabilities to products customers already pay for is often easier than convincing them to adopt an entirely new platform.
Granted, Microsoft still faces risks. AI infrastructure spending remains elevated, competition from Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), and other cloud providers continues to intensify, and enterprise AI adoption could unfold more gradually than optimistic forecasts suggest.
Key Takeaway In short, Goldman Sachs isn’t arguing that AI infrastructure spending is ending. Instead, it believes the biggest investment opportunity is shifting toward companies capable of converting that spending into lasting enterprise revenue. Microsoft’s latest earnings, Azure’s $100 billion annual revenue milestone, and growing Copilot adoption surpassing 30 million paid seats suggest that transition is already underway.
For long-term investors, that’s the more durable story. Building AI infrastructure created the first wave of winners. Helping businesses use AI every day could create the next one, and Goldman Sachs believes Microsoft has one of the strongest positions to capture that opportunity.
Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and Microsoft didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.
by Todd Bishop on Aug 3, 2026 at 10:38 amAugust 3, 2026 at 10:51 am
GeekWire Illustration Microsoft and Amazon both saw their stocks surge again Monday, riding a post-earnings tech wave across the stock market that pushed Amazon past $3 trillion in value for the first time.
The gains follow earnings reports last week in which both companies’ cloud platforms exceeded expectations. Microsoft said Azure grew 43%, passing $100 billion in annual revenue for the first time. Amazon said AWS grew 37%, its fastest pace in 18 quarters.
Microsoft and Amazon are now the world’s fourth and fifth most valuable companies, respectively. The three ahead of them (Nvidia, Alphabet and Apple) are all headquartered in the Bay Area, although each has sizeable engineering centers in the Seattle region.
Amazon rose 4.6% in intraday trading to $284.15 as of publication time, after touching an all-time high of $287.20 earlier in the session, giving it a market value of $3.06 trillion.
Microsoft climbed 5.2% to $488.97, worth $3.63 trillion. Its rally began Thursday, when it added nearly $450 billion in market value, the largest one-day gain by any company on record.
The rallies came despite AI spending plans that have unsettled investors for much of the year. Microsoft went into earnings near a one-year low, after a $357 billion wipeout to start the year.
It’s all still coming at a huge cost. Microsoft spent a record $41 billion on capital projects last quarter and told investors to expect more than $50 billion in the current quarter. Amazon raised its 2026 forecast to about $220 billion from $200 billion, citing rising memory chip prices.
In one sign of the impact of the spending, Microsoft’s free cash flow fell 23% last quarter. Amazon’s free cash flow turned negative for the first time since 2023.
But cloud growth and other signs of demand for AI seem to have appeased investors for now.
Amazon CEO Andy Jassy told investors the spending reflects unmet demand: “Even at that amount, we will still not have enough capacity to meet all the demand we have in 2026, and I believe this dynamic will also be true in 2027 too. In fact, the demand we already have for 2028 is striking.”
The gains come as both companies operate with fewer people. Amazon confirmed 16,000 more corporate job cuts in January, bringing the total to 30,000 since October, along with more recent reductions in its robotics and artificial general intelligence groups.
Microsoft cut 4,800 jobs in July, revamping its salesforce and overhauling Xbox.
Copeland Capital Management LLC grew its stake in Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT – Free Report) by 34.3% in the 1st quarter, according to its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The fund owned 67,559 shares of the software giant’s stock after purchasing an additional 17,260 shares during the period. Copeland Capital Management LLC’s holdings in Microsoft were worth $25,008,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period.
Other hedge funds and other institutional investors also recently bought and sold shares of the company. Longfellow Investment Management Co. LLC lifted its holdings in shares of Microsoft by 51.3% in the 2nd quarter. Longfellow Investment Management Co. LLC now owns 59 shares of the software giant’s stock worth $29,000 after acquiring an additional 20 shares during the last quarter. Bernzott Capital Advisors purchased a new stake in Microsoft in the 4th quarter worth about $34,000. Timmons Wealth Management LLC bought a new stake in Microsoft in the fourth quarter worth about $36,000. Fairway Wealth LLC boosted its position in shares of Microsoft by 287.0% during the fourth quarter. Fairway Wealth LLC now owns 89 shares of the software giant’s stock valued at $43,000 after buying an additional 66 shares during the period. Finally, LSV Asset Management bought a new position in shares of Microsoft during the fourth quarter valued at approximately $44,000. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 71.13% of the company’s stock.
Insider Activity In other news, EVP Amy Coleman sold 1,262 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction on Thursday, May 14th. The shares were sold at an average price of $411.34, for a total value of $519,111.08. Following the sale, the executive vice president directly owned 46,003 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $18,922,874.02. This represents a 2.67% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is accessible through the SEC website. Also, CEO Judson Althoff sold 15,500 shares of the stock in a transaction on Monday, June 1st. The stock was sold at an average price of $460.99, for a total transaction of $7,145,345.00. Following the completion of the sale, the chief executive officer owned 110,477 shares in the company, valued at $50,928,792.23. The trade was a 12.30% decrease in their position. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. Insiders have sold 23,762 shares of company stock valued at $10,508,361 in the last ninety days. Insiders own 0.03% of the company’s stock.
Microsoft Stock Performance Shares of MSFT opened at $464.72 on Monday. The stock has a 50-day moving average of $397.99 and a two-hundred day moving average of $405.45. Microsoft Corporation has a one year low of $349.20 and a one year high of $555.45. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07, a quick ratio of 1.22 and a current ratio of 1.23. The stock has a market cap of $3.45 trillion, a P/E ratio of 25.88, a P/E/G ratio of 1.48 and a beta of 1.10.
Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT – Get Free Report) last released its earnings results on Wednesday, July 29th. The software giant reported $4.74 EPS for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $4.24 by $0.50. The firm had revenue of $90.01 billion during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $87.62 billion. Microsoft had a return on equity of 31.98% and a net margin of 40.31%.The company’s revenue was up 17.7% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the previous year, the company posted $3.65 earnings per share. As a group, research analysts predict that Microsoft Corporation will post 19.53 EPS for the current year.
Microsoft Announces Dividend The firm also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, September 10th. Shareholders of record on Thursday, August 20th will be paid a dividend of $0.91 per share. This represents a $3.64 annualized dividend and a yield of 0.8%. The ex-dividend date is Thursday, August 20th. Microsoft’s payout ratio is presently 20.27%.
Analyst Ratings Changes A number of equities analysts recently issued reports on the company. Dbs Bank dropped their price objective on Microsoft from $678.00 to $573.00 in a report on Thursday, May 7th. Phillip Securities raised shares of Microsoft to a “buy” rating and set a $485.00 target price for the company in a research note on Wednesday, May 13th. Barclays reduced their price target on shares of Microsoft from $545.00 to $512.00 and set an “overweight” rating on the stock in a research note on Thursday. Jefferies Financial Group reissued a “buy” rating on shares of Microsoft in a research report on Monday, May 4th. Finally, Sanford C. Bernstein lifted their price target on shares of Microsoft from $646.00 to $647.00 and gave the company an “outperform” rating in a research note on Thursday. Forty-two equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and five have given a Hold rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat, Microsoft currently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $558.64.
Read Our Latest Report on Microsoft
More Microsoft News Here are the key news stories impacting Microsoft this week:
Positive Sentiment: Azure growth exceeded expectations. Azure revenue increased 43% year over year, and annual Azure sales surpassed $100 billion for the first time. Management also guided to approximately 45% Azure growth in the next quarter, reinforcing confidence in Microsoft’s cloud and enterprise AI demand. Microsoft Shares Jump After Strong Outlook and Solid AI-Driven Growth Positive Sentiment: The earnings beat was substantial. Microsoft reported quarterly revenue of $90.01 billion and adjusted EPS of $4.74, above analyst estimates of $87.62 billion and $4.24, respectively. Net income reportedly rose 31%, while revenue increased about 18% year over year. Microsoft Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates as Cloud and AI Drive Results Positive Sentiment: AI monetization and financial discipline eased investor concerns. Microsoft 365 Copilot surpassed 30 million paid seats, its commercial remaining performance obligation reached $678 billion—up 84% year over year—and management held its capital-expenditure outlook broadly steady while emphasizing continued cash generation. Investors viewed this as a better balance between infrastructure investment and returns than some peers have demonstrated. Microsoft Eases AI Spending Concerns Neutral Sentiment: Analysts largely reaffirmed bullish views, with several price-target increases, although estimates remain wide. Microsoft’s stock is now trading well above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages after a historic rally, raising the possibility of increased volatility or profit-taking. Negative Sentiment: Microsoft continues to face risks from data-center power constraints, chip costs, regulatory scrutiny and the enormous scale of AI investment. A reported cloud-security flaw that could have exposed customers adds another operational concern. Cyber Firm Wiz Reports Microsoft Cloud Flaw Negative Sentiment: Several law firms publicized a securities class-action lawsuit concerning investors who purchased Microsoft shares between May 1, 2025, and January 28, 2026, with an August 11 lead-plaintiff deadline. Such announcements may create reputational and legal overhang, although they have not offset the earnings-driven optimism. Microsoft Securities Class Action Deadline Microsoft Company Profile (Free Report)
Microsoft Corporation is a global technology company headquartered in Redmond, Washington. Founded in 1975 by Bill Gates and Paul Allen, Microsoft develops, licenses and supports a broad range of software products, services and devices for consumers, enterprises and governments worldwide. Its operations span personal computing, productivity software, cloud infrastructure, enterprise applications, developer tools and gaming.
Microsoft’s product portfolio includes the Windows operating system and the Microsoft 365 suite of productivity and collaboration tools (Office apps, Outlook, Teams).
See Also Five stocks we like better than Microsoft 3 Fixed-Income ETFs Show Why Yield Is Only Part of the Income Story AbbVie Quietly Solved Its Biggest Problem—Now What? Rio Tinto’s Results Make the Case for Looking Beyond Tech in the AI Trade Strategy’s Structural Strength: Hidden in a $8 Billion Illusion
Receive News & Ratings for Microsoft Daily - Enter your email address below to receive a concise daily summary of the latest news and analysts' ratings for Microsoft and related companies with MarketBeat.com's FREE daily email newsletter.
« PREVIOUS HEADLINECopeland Capital Management LLC Buys 22,193 Shares of Apple Inc. $AAPL
NEXT HEADLINE »Microsoft Corporation $MSFT Stake Decreased by Catalyst Capital Advisors LLC
Catalyst Capital Advisors LLC cut its holdings in shares of Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT – Free Report) by 17.7% in the 1st quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm owned 9,789 shares of the software giant’s stock after selling 2,105 shares during the period. Catalyst Capital Advisors LLC’s holdings in Microsoft were worth $3,624,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period.
Other institutional investors and hedge funds have also added to or reduced their stakes in the company. Assetmark Inc. increased its position in Microsoft by 6.1% in the 1st quarter. Assetmark Inc. now owns 2,023,261 shares of the software giant’s stock valued at $748,951,000 after acquiring an additional 116,547 shares during the period. NovaPoint Capital LLC boosted its position in Microsoft by 6.5% during the 1st quarter. NovaPoint Capital LLC now owns 30,785 shares of the software giant’s stock worth $11,396,000 after acquiring an additional 1,889 shares during the period. PeakShares LLC boosted its position in Microsoft by 58.2% during the 1st quarter. PeakShares LLC now owns 4,412 shares of the software giant’s stock worth $1,633,000 after acquiring an additional 1,623 shares during the period. Paradigm Capital Management LLC NV grew its stake in shares of Microsoft by 23.4% in the first quarter. Paradigm Capital Management LLC NV now owns 6,160 shares of the software giant’s stock worth $2,280,000 after purchasing an additional 1,168 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Gallacher Capital Management LLC grew its stake in shares of Microsoft by 3.4% in the first quarter. Gallacher Capital Management LLC now owns 2,998 shares of the software giant’s stock worth $1,110,000 after purchasing an additional 98 shares in the last quarter. 71.13% of the stock is owned by institutional investors.
Microsoft Price Performance NASDAQ:MSFT opened at $464.72 on Monday. The business’s 50-day moving average price is $397.99 and its 200 day moving average price is $405.45. The firm has a market cap of $3.45 trillion, a P/E ratio of 25.88, a PEG ratio of 1.48 and a beta of 1.10. Microsoft Corporation has a 52-week low of $349.20 and a 52-week high of $555.45. The company has a quick ratio of 1.22, a current ratio of 1.23 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07.
Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT – Get Free Report) last issued its quarterly earnings results on Wednesday, July 29th. The software giant reported $4.74 EPS for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $4.24 by $0.50. Microsoft had a net margin of 40.31% and a return on equity of 31.98%. The firm had revenue of $90.01 billion for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $87.62 billion. During the same period in the previous year, the business earned $3.65 earnings per share. Microsoft’s revenue for the quarter was up 17.7% compared to the same quarter last year. As a group, sell-side analysts predict that Microsoft Corporation will post 19.53 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
Microsoft Announces Dividend The firm also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, September 10th. Investors of record on Thursday, August 20th will be issued a $0.91 dividend. This represents a $3.64 dividend on an annualized basis and a dividend yield of 0.8%. The ex-dividend date is Thursday, August 20th. Microsoft’s payout ratio is presently 20.27%.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth A number of equities research analysts recently weighed in on MSFT shares. Dbs Bank cut their price objective on shares of Microsoft from $678.00 to $573.00 in a research note on Thursday, May 7th. Wells Fargo & Company increased their target price on shares of Microsoft from $625.00 to $650.00 and gave the company an “overweight” rating in a research report on Thursday. BMO Capital Markets raised their target price on shares of Microsoft from $500.00 to $515.00 and gave the company an “outperform” rating in a research note on Thursday. DA Davidson restated a “buy” rating and set a $550.00 price target on shares of Microsoft in a research report on Thursday. Finally, Weiss Ratings reaffirmed a “hold (c)” rating on shares of Microsoft in a research note on Monday, July 6th. Forty-two analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and five have issued a Hold rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat, the company presently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average target price of $558.64.
Get Our Latest Analysis on Microsoft
More Microsoft News Here are the key news stories impacting Microsoft this week:
Positive Sentiment: Azure growth exceeded expectations. Azure revenue increased 43% year over year, and annual Azure sales surpassed $100 billion for the first time. Management also guided to approximately 45% Azure growth in the next quarter, reinforcing confidence in Microsoft’s cloud and enterprise AI demand. Microsoft Shares Jump After Strong Outlook and Solid AI-Driven Growth Positive Sentiment: The earnings beat was substantial. Microsoft reported quarterly revenue of $90.01 billion and adjusted EPS of $4.74, above analyst estimates of $87.62 billion and $4.24, respectively. Net income reportedly rose 31%, while revenue increased about 18% year over year. Microsoft Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates as Cloud and AI Drive Results Positive Sentiment: AI monetization and financial discipline eased investor concerns. Microsoft 365 Copilot surpassed 30 million paid seats, its commercial remaining performance obligation reached $678 billion—up 84% year over year—and management held its capital-expenditure outlook broadly steady while emphasizing continued cash generation. Investors viewed this as a better balance between infrastructure investment and returns than some peers have demonstrated. Microsoft Eases AI Spending Concerns Neutral Sentiment: Analysts largely reaffirmed bullish views, with several price-target increases, although estimates remain wide. Microsoft’s stock is now trading well above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages after a historic rally, raising the possibility of increased volatility or profit-taking. Negative Sentiment: Microsoft continues to face risks from data-center power constraints, chip costs, regulatory scrutiny and the enormous scale of AI investment. A reported cloud-security flaw that could have exposed customers adds another operational concern. Cyber Firm Wiz Reports Microsoft Cloud Flaw Negative Sentiment: Several law firms publicized a securities class-action lawsuit concerning investors who purchased Microsoft shares between May 1, 2025, and January 28, 2026, with an August 11 lead-plaintiff deadline. Such announcements may create reputational and legal overhang, although they have not offset the earnings-driven optimism. Microsoft Securities Class Action Deadline Insider Buying and Selling In other Microsoft news, EVP Amy Coleman sold 1,262 shares of Microsoft stock in a transaction that occurred on Thursday, May 14th. The shares were sold at an average price of $411.34, for a total value of $519,111.08. Following the transaction, the executive vice president owned 46,003 shares in the company, valued at approximately $18,922,874.02. The trade was a 2.67% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which can be accessed through this hyperlink. Also, CEO Judson Althoff sold 15,500 shares of Microsoft stock in a transaction that occurred on Monday, June 1st. The stock was sold at an average price of $460.99, for a total transaction of $7,145,345.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief executive officer owned 110,477 shares in the company, valued at approximately $50,928,792.23. This trade represents a 12.30% decrease in their position. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. Insiders have sold 23,762 shares of company stock worth $10,508,361 in the last ninety days. 0.03% of the stock is currently owned by corporate insiders.
Microsoft Company Profile (Free Report)
Microsoft Corporation is a global technology company headquartered in Redmond, Washington. Founded in 1975 by Bill Gates and Paul Allen, Microsoft develops, licenses and supports a broad range of software products, services and devices for consumers, enterprises and governments worldwide. Its operations span personal computing, productivity software, cloud infrastructure, enterprise applications, developer tools and gaming.
Microsoft’s product portfolio includes the Windows operating system and the Microsoft 365 suite of productivity and collaboration tools (Office apps, Outlook, Teams).
See Also Five stocks we like better than Microsoft 3 Fixed-Income ETFs Show Why Yield Is Only Part of the Income Story AbbVie Quietly Solved Its Biggest Problem—Now What? Rio Tinto’s Results Make the Case for Looking Beyond Tech in the AI Trade Strategy’s Structural Strength: Hidden in a $8 Billion Illusion Want to see what other hedge funds are holding MSFT? Visit HoldingsChannel.com to get the latest 13F filings and insider trades for Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT – Free Report).
Receive News & Ratings for Microsoft Daily - Enter your email address below to receive a concise daily summary of the latest news and analysts' ratings for Microsoft and related companies with MarketBeat.com's FREE daily email newsletter.
« PREVIOUS HEADLINECopeland Capital Management LLC Buys 17,260 Shares of Microsoft Corporation $MSFT
So far, I have shown you the AI scoreboard. Each hyperscaler has massive AI investment plans, and each projection comes with some quirks.
Now it's time for the bar tab question. Five giants ordered similar enormous meals. How will each one settle the check?
Image source: Getty Images.
Microsoft (MSFT +3.02%) is the outlier that still pays in cash.
Its operating cash flow of $55.4 billion last quarter covered its $35.8 billion in net capital expenses, leaving $19.6 billion in free cash flow. The company spent $4.06 billion on share buybacks in the quarter, up from $4.00 billion in the year-ago period. Dividend payouts rose 9.5% to $6.76 billion. There's no cash crunch here.
Total debt sits near $40.3 billion, low for a company of its size. Microsoft's cash equivalents and short-term investments add up to $76.8 billion. It is funding the AI builds from cash generation so far and has ample cash reserves available if cash flows ever turn negative.
Alphabet borrows while sitting on a fortune Alphabet (GOOG +6.88%) (GOOGL +6.73%) is currently operating in red-ink mode. The Google parent generated $39.1 billion of operating cash flow in Q2 2026 while spending $44.9 billion on property and equipment. Free cash flow was negative for the first time since the company's IPO in 2004, to the tune of $5.9 billion.
Trailing-12-month cash flows are still a robust $53.3 billion, and Alphabet's balance sheet could easily support a few years of cash burn. It held $126.8 billion of liquid reserves at the end of Q1, with $77.5 billion of long-term debt.
But the company is making some moves to support its cash requirements.
At the end of Q2, Alphabet held $242.5 billion of cash equivalents and liquid investments alongside $98.2 billion of debt. That's $20.7 billion of new long-term debt (including a 100-year bond), and a massive leap from just $23.6 billion of debt in Q2 2025. It also halted share buybacks for the first time in years. Alphabet also sold $49.6 billion of new shares, including a direct $10 billion investment from Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA +0.21%) (BRKB +0.36%).
The largest cash hoard at the hyperscaler table isn't enough for Alphabet's long-term plans. Like it or not, Alphabet is pulling several levers to support even bigger investments in 2027 and beyond.
Today's Change
(
15.32
%) $
36.08
Current Price
$
271.58
Amazon just borrows Amazon (AMZN +15.32%) is the straightforward borrower. It sold $25 billion of bonds in July on top of tens of billions more this year, carrying total debt near $133 billion.
It pays no dividend and buys back little, so nearly all of its build is funded from cash flow and the bond market.
Meta splits the check Meta Platforms (META +3.28%) is splitting the AI check with a friend. It has leaned into debt, pushing borrowings to $83.7 billion.
The company brought in financial giant BlackRock (BLK -0.73%) for a data center project in El Paso, Texas, giving away 80% ownership of the project (along with 80% of the risk and costs). Most of that roughly $14 billion investment never lands on Meta's own books, though BlackRock also gets to share in the financial returns of this Texan data center. Meanwhile, Meta's dividend now costs more than the free cash flow it generates, which is a bold choice.
Today's Change
(
1.81
%) $
2.31
Current Price
$
129.87
Oracle gets customers to pay first Oracle (ORCL +1.81%) is the most creative AI builder, and the most stretched.
It raised $43 billion of debt in fiscal 2026, plans about $40 billion more this year, and is now the largest non-financial borrower in the U.S. investment-grade market. That's the stretchy part.
Furthermore, Oracle leans on its customers in an innovative way. It signs multiyear AI computing deals with large prepayments, creating a different capital structure. $4.6 billion of customer prepayments flowed through its operating cash flow in Q4 2026, and its fiscal-2027 spending guidance runs $20 billion to $25 billion lower on a net basis than gross. That's because customers have pre-funded that much of the infrastructure build.
So Oracle gets other people to pay a significant part of its bill, while taking on heavy debt. When Oracle says its "net" build is about $70 billion, that word is doing some heavy lifting.
Same dinner, five ways to pay. One puts down cash, one borrows, one borrows while sitting on a fortune, one splits it with a partner, and one talks the table into covering part of the bill.
Next time, I'll consider the question that decides who keeps eating like this: Whose wallet can actually take it? That's the balance-sheet piece, and it's where Microsoft and Oracle stop looking alike.
Microsoft (MSFT +3.70%) has not performed well this year. Investors are worried that artificial intelligence (AI) will replace many of the company's services, a sentiment that has put downward pressure on much of the software industry. Meanwhile, the company's heavy investments in AI may lead to lower profits and margins, or so the argument goes. However, Microsoft proved some doubters wrong with its latest earnings report, for the fourth quarter of its fiscal year 2026, which ended on June 30.
The company's revenue increased by a healthy 18% year over year to $90 billion, and even with massive AI investments, adjusted earnings per share climbed 23% year over year to $4.74. Microsoft's stock soared by 15% following its quarterly update, but there is one key reason -- or several hundred billion -- why there may be more upside ahead. Here's what investors need to know.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Microsoft Cloud for the win Microsoft's cloud computing business was, once again, the star of the show. Microsoft Cloud's sales jumped 27% year over year, while Azure revenue increased by 43%. This segment should continue driving growth for the foreseeable future. How do we know that? The company reported a cloud backlog of $678 billion as of the end of the quarter, up 84% year over year. This provides the tech leader with significant visibility into sustained demand and growth in its cloud business.
Also, Microsoft's AI-related investments are clearly having a positive impact on the business, even beyond driving meaningful cloud growth. Consider Microsoft Copilot, an AI assistant integrated across the company's apps and productivity suite that helps users automate tasks and improve productivity. Microsoft said that Microsoft 365 Copilot has 30 million paid seats (or active paid subscriptions), with net paid subscription adds more than doubling quarter over quarter.
Today's Change
(
3.70
%) $
17.22
Current Price
$
481.94
This provides further evidence that, rather than being replaced by AI, Microsoft is evolving with the technology by launching AI-powered services to make its customers' lives easier, and they are buying what the company is selling. Microsoft is dispelling some of the fears investors have had recently and showing that its long-term investment thesis remains strong. We haven't even touched on other aspects of the business, including its reliable income program and rock-solid balance sheet.
Despite all that, Microsoft's shares are still in the red this year, down 2% year to date as of writing. My view is that even with the massive post-earnings surge, there is still plenty of upside potential, given the tech leader's strong position in cloud computing, innovative abilities, significant free cash flow, and other aspects of the business that will enable it to pursue lucrative long-term opportunities.
Microsoft Corporation is rated a Buy, with attractive valuation and multiple secular growth drivers, despite market fears and recent gaming underperformance. MSFT's gaming segment is undergoing a strategic reset, focusing on quality IP, margin improvement, and leveraging ecosystem advantages to recapture relevance. Azure and Microsoft Cloud continue robust double-digit growth, supporting overall revenue and offsetting concerns about CapEx and competitive threats.
NEW YORK, Aug. 03, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Levi & Korsinsky, LLP alerts investors in Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) of a pending securities class action. Class Period: May 1, 2025 through January 28, 2026. Check if you can recover your investment losses or contact Joseph E. Levi, Esq. at [email protected] | (212) 363-7500.
Microsoft shares traded above $550 during the Class Period while the Company allegedly concealed material risks tied to multibillion-dollar AI partnerships. The Court has set August 11, 2026 as the deadline to apply for lead plaintiff appointment.
"Investors deserve transparency about material risks that could affect their investments. When a company commits tens of billions of dollars to partnerships structured so that investment dollars flow back as revenue, shareholders are entitled to understand the circularity and concentration risks involved." -- Joseph E. Levi, Esq.
The Alleged OpenAI and Anthropic Concentration Risk
The lawsuit asserts that management repeatedly downplayed concerns about the structure and risk profile of Microsoft's AI investment strategy. Microsoft invested over $13 billion in OpenAI and committed up to $5 billion in Anthropic, while simultaneously entering arrangements where those same partners committed to purchasing hundreds of billions in Azure services and compute capacity.
As alleged, this created a circular dynamic that defendants failed to adequately disclose, while also concealing significant problems with Copilot product quality, user adoption, and competitive positioning.
How Circular Arrangements Allegedly Inflated Growth Metrics
OpenAI contracted to purchase $250 billion in incremental Azure services, while Microsoft retained a 27% stake valued at $135 billionAnthropic committed to $30 billion of Azure compute capacity plus up to one gigawatt of additional capacity as part of a deal where Microsoft invested up to $5 billionManagement cited Azure revenue growth of 33% to 40% during the Class Period as evidence of organic AI demand without adequately disclosing how much was tied to these reciprocal arrangementsThe action claims defendants failed to disclose the concentration risk of depending on a small number of LLM partners for a significant portion of Azure's AI-driven growthNVIDIA was also part of the Anthropic partnership structure, adding further interdependency across the AI investment ecosystemThe Company planned to increase total AI capacity by 80% and roughly double its total data center footprint over two years based on what the lawsuit contends were overstated demand signals Why AI Capital Expenditure Returns Allegedly Mattered to Investors
The securities action claims that management represented Microsoft was "well positioned to achieve suitable returns on its AI-related investments" while failing to disclose significant technical, organizational, and adoption problems with its Copilot products that undermined those representations. Investors who purchased MSFT shares during the Class Period allegedly did so at prices inflated by these undisclosed risks.
Speak with an attorney about recovering damages or call (212) 363-7500.
WHY LEVI & KORSINSKY -- Ranked in ISS Securities Class Action Services' Top 50 Report for seven consecutive years, Levi & Korsinsky, LLP is a nationally recognized leader in shareholder rights litigation. With a team of over 70 professionals, the firm has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for investors.
Frequently Asked Questions About the MSFT Lawsuit
Q: Who is eligible to join the MSFT investor lawsuit? A: Investors who purchased MSFT stock or securities between May 1, 2025 and January 28, 2026 and suffered financial losses may be eligible. Eligibility is based on purchase date and documented losses, not on whether you still hold the shares.
Q: What specific misstatements does the MSFT lawsuit allege? A: The complaint alleges Microsoft made materially false or misleading statements regarding the success and adoption of its AI initiatives, including the Copilot product family and Azure cloud platform, while failing to disclose significant technical, organizational, and interoperability problems affecting Copilot, as well as the diversion of computing capacity away from Azure to fix those problems. When the true state was revealed, the stock price declined sharply.
Q: What do MSFT investors need to do right now? A: Gather brokerage records including purchase dates, share quantities, and prices paid. Contact Levi & Korsinsky for a free, no-obligation evaluation at [email protected] or (212) 363-7500. No immediate action is required to remain eligible as a class member.
Q: What is a lead plaintiff and why does it matter? A: A lead plaintiff is the investor appointed by the court to represent the entire class. Lead plaintiffs are typically investors with the largest documented losses. Being appointed does not increase individual recovery but gives direct oversight of how the case is run.
Q: What if I already sold my MSFT shares -- can I still recover losses? A: Yes. Eligibility is based on when you purchased, not whether you still hold them. Investors who bought during the class period and sold at a loss may still participate.
Q: What does it cost me to participate? A: Nothing. Securities class actions are handled on a pure contingency basis. No upfront fees, no retainer, no out-of-pocket costs.
Q: How long will the lawsuit take to resolve? A: Securities class actions typically take two to four years from initial filing to resolution.
CONTACT:
Levi & Korsinsky, LLP
Joseph E. Levi, Esq.
Ed Korsinsky, Esq.
33 Whitehall Street, 27th Floor
New York, NY 10004 [email protected]
Tel: (212) 363-7500
Fax: (212) 363-7171
Taking full advantage of the stock market and investing with confidence are common goals for new and old investors, and Zacks Premium offers many different ways to do both.
The research service features daily updates of the Zacks Rank and Zacks Industry Rank, full access to the Zacks #1 Rank List, Equity Research reports, and Premium stock screens, all of which will help you become a smarter, more confident investor.
Zacks Premium includes access to the Zacks Style Scores as well.
What are the Zacks Style Scores? The Zacks Style Scores, developed alongside the Zacks Rank, are complementary indicators that rate stocks based on three widely-followed investing methodologies; they also help investors pick stocks with the best chances of beating the market over the next 30 days.
Each stock is given an alphabetic rating of A, B, C, D or F based on their value, growth, and momentum qualities. With this system, an A is better than a B, a B is better than a C, and so on, meaning the better the score, the better chance the stock will outperform.
The Style Scores are broken down into four categories:
Value ScoreFinding good stocks at good prices, and discovering which companies are trading under their true value, are what value investors like to focus on. So, the Value Style Score takes into account ratios like P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, Price/Cash Flow, and a host of other multiples to highlight the most attractive and discounted stocks.
Growth ScoreGrowth investors are more concerned with a stock's future prospects, and the overall financial health and strength of a company. Thus, the Growth Style Score analyzes characteristics like projected and historic earnings, sales, and cash flow to find stocks that will see sustainable growth over time.
Momentum ScoreMomentum traders and investors live by the saying "the trend is your friend." This investing style is all about taking advantage of upward or downward trends in a stock's price or earnings outlook. Employing factors like one-week price change and the monthly percentage change in earnings estimates, the Momentum Style Score can indicate favorable times to build a position in high-momentum stocks.
VGM ScoreIf you like to use all three kinds of investing, then the VGM Score is for you. It's a combination of all Style Scores, and is an important indicator to use with the Zacks Rank. The VGM Score rates each stock on their shared weighted styles, narrowing down the companies with the most attractive value, best growth forecast, and most promising momentum.
How Style Scores Work with the Zacks Rank A proprietary stock-rating model, the Zacks Rank utilizes the power of earnings estimate revisions, or changes to a company's earnings outlook, to help investors create a successful portfolio.
It's highly successful, with #1 (Strong Buy) stocks producing an unmatched +23.94% average annual return since 1988. That's more than double the S&P 500. But because of the large number of stocks we rate, there are over 200 companies with a Strong Buy rank, plus another 600 with a #2 (Buy) rank, on any given day.
With more than 800 top-rated stocks to choose from, it can certainly feel overwhelming to pick the ones that are right for you and your investing journey.
That's where the Style Scores come in.
To have the best chance of big returns, you'll want to always consider stocks with a Zacks Rank #1 or #2 that also have Style Scores of A or B, which will give you the highest probability of success. If you're looking at stocks with a #3 (Hold) rank, it's important they have Scores of A or B as well to ensure as much upside potential as possible.
Since the Scores were created to work together with the Zacks Rank, the direction of a stock's earnings estimate revisions should be a key factor when choosing which stocks to buy.
For instance, a stock with a #4 (Sell) or #5 (Strong Sell) rating, even one that boasts Scores of A and B, still has a downward-trending earnings forecast, and a much greater likelihood its share price will decline as well.
Thus, the more stocks you own with a #1 or #2 Rank and Scores of A or B, the better.
Stock to Watch: Microsoft (MSFT - Free Report) Redmond, WA-based Microsoft Corporation is one of the largest broad-based technology providers in the world. The company holds the leading position in the PC software market with its Windows operating system.
MSFT is a #3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of B.
Momentum investors should take note of this Computer and Technology stock. MSFT has a Momentum Style Score of A, and shares are up 19% over the past four weeks.
11 analysts revised their earnings estimate upwards in the last 60 days for fiscal 2027. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased $0.24 to $19.51 per share. MSFT boasts an average earnings surprise of +9.3%.
With a solid Zacks Rank and top-tier Momentum and VGM Style Scores, MSFT should be on investors' short list.
Bartlett & CO. Wealth Management LLC boosted its stake in Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT – Free Report) by 1.0% in the 1st quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The firm owned 984,801 shares of the software giant’s stock after purchasing an additional 9,918 shares during the quarter. Microsoft makes up 4.8% of Bartlett & CO. Wealth Management LLC’s investment portfolio, making the stock its 3rd largest position. Bartlett & CO. Wealth Management LLC’s holdings in Microsoft were worth $364,544,000 as of its most recent filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission.
Other hedge funds and other institutional investors have also recently modified their holdings of the company. MTM Investment Management LLC boosted its position in shares of Microsoft by 2.0% in the first quarter. MTM Investment Management LLC now owns 18,152 shares of the software giant’s stock valued at $6,719,000 after acquiring an additional 362 shares during the period. Ranch Capital Advisors Inc. increased its holdings in Microsoft by 0.8% during the 1st quarter. Ranch Capital Advisors Inc. now owns 17,620 shares of the software giant’s stock worth $6,522,000 after acquiring an additional 140 shares during the period. Kesler Norman & Wride LLC increased its holdings in Microsoft by 0.7% during the 1st quarter. Kesler Norman & Wride LLC now owns 35,800 shares of the software giant’s stock worth $13,252,000 after acquiring an additional 240 shares during the period. Heartland Bank & Trust Co lifted its stake in Microsoft by 38.9% in the 1st quarter. Heartland Bank & Trust Co now owns 39,675 shares of the software giant’s stock worth $14,686,000 after purchasing an additional 11,113 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Zhang Financial LLC lifted its stake in Microsoft by 8.1% in the 1st quarter. Zhang Financial LLC now owns 73,448 shares of the software giant’s stock worth $27,188,000 after purchasing an additional 5,520 shares in the last quarter. 71.13% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.
Microsoft Price Performance Shares of Microsoft stock opened at $464.72 on Monday. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07, a quick ratio of 1.22 and a current ratio of 1.23. Microsoft Corporation has a 52-week low of $349.20 and a 52-week high of $555.45. The company has a fifty day moving average of $397.99 and a 200-day moving average of $405.45. The stock has a market capitalization of $3.45 trillion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.88, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 1.48 and a beta of 1.10.
Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT – Get Free Report) last issued its earnings results on Wednesday, July 29th. The software giant reported $4.74 EPS for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $4.24 by $0.50. The company had revenue of $90.01 billion for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $87.62 billion. Microsoft had a net margin of 40.31% and a return on equity of 31.98%. The firm’s revenue was up 17.7% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter last year, the company earned $3.65 EPS. Equities research analysts expect that Microsoft Corporation will post 19.53 EPS for the current year.
Microsoft Announces Dividend The business also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, September 10th. Stockholders of record on Thursday, August 20th will be issued a $0.91 dividend. The ex-dividend date is Thursday, August 20th. This represents a $3.64 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 0.8%. Microsoft’s payout ratio is currently 20.27%.
Insider Transactions at Microsoft In other news, EVP Amy Coleman sold 1,262 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction dated Thursday, May 14th. The stock was sold at an average price of $411.34, for a total value of $519,111.08. Following the completion of the sale, the executive vice president owned 46,003 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $18,922,874.02. The trade was a 2.67% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is accessible through this link. Also, EVP Takeshi Numoto sold 4,500 shares of the stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, June 10th. The shares were sold at an average price of $402.84, for a total value of $1,812,780.00. Following the sale, the executive vice president owned 47,468 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $19,122,009.12. This represents a 8.66% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The SEC filing for this sale provides additional information. Over the last quarter, insiders have sold 23,762 shares of company stock worth $10,508,361. Company insiders own 0.03% of the company’s stock.
Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades Several equities analysts recently commented on MSFT shares. Benchmark restated a “buy” rating on shares of Microsoft in a research report on Friday, July 24th. Raymond James Financial cut Microsoft from a “market perform” rating to a “market perform” rating in a report on Tuesday, May 5th. Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft reiterated a “buy” rating on shares of Microsoft in a research report on Monday, July 20th. Dbs Bank decreased their price objective on shares of Microsoft from $678.00 to $573.00 in a research report on Thursday, May 7th. Finally, BNP Paribas Exane decreased their price objective on shares of Microsoft from $556.00 to $555.00 and set an “outperform” rating on the stock in a research report on Friday, May 1st. Forty-two research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and five have issued a Hold rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the stock presently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus target price of $558.64.
View Our Latest Stock Report on MSFT
More Microsoft News Here are the key news stories impacting Microsoft this week:
Positive Sentiment: Azure growth exceeded expectations. Azure revenue increased 43% year over year, and annual Azure sales surpassed $100 billion for the first time. Management also guided to approximately 45% Azure growth in the next quarter, reinforcing confidence in Microsoft’s cloud and enterprise AI demand. Microsoft Shares Jump After Strong Outlook and Solid AI-Driven Growth Positive Sentiment: The earnings beat was substantial. Microsoft reported quarterly revenue of $90.01 billion and adjusted EPS of $4.74, above analyst estimates of $87.62 billion and $4.24, respectively. Net income reportedly rose 31%, while revenue increased about 18% year over year. Microsoft Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates as Cloud and AI Drive Results Positive Sentiment: AI monetization and financial discipline eased investor concerns. Microsoft 365 Copilot surpassed 30 million paid seats, its commercial remaining performance obligation reached $678 billion—up 84% year over year—and management held its capital-expenditure outlook broadly steady while emphasizing continued cash generation. Investors viewed this as a better balance between infrastructure investment and returns than some peers have demonstrated. Microsoft Eases AI Spending Concerns Neutral Sentiment: Analysts largely reaffirmed bullish views, with several price-target increases, although estimates remain wide. Microsoft’s stock is now trading well above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages after a historic rally, raising the possibility of increased volatility or profit-taking. Negative Sentiment: Microsoft continues to face risks from data-center power constraints, chip costs, regulatory scrutiny and the enormous scale of AI investment. A reported cloud-security flaw that could have exposed customers adds another operational concern. Cyber Firm Wiz Reports Microsoft Cloud Flaw Negative Sentiment: Several law firms publicized a securities class-action lawsuit concerning investors who purchased Microsoft shares between May 1, 2025, and January 28, 2026, with an August 11 lead-plaintiff deadline. Such announcements may create reputational and legal overhang, although they have not offset the earnings-driven optimism. Microsoft Securities Class Action Deadline Microsoft Profile (Free Report)
Microsoft Corporation is a global technology company headquartered in Redmond, Washington. Founded in 1975 by Bill Gates and Paul Allen, Microsoft develops, licenses and supports a broad range of software products, services and devices for consumers, enterprises and governments worldwide. Its operations span personal computing, productivity software, cloud infrastructure, enterprise applications, developer tools and gaming.
Microsoft’s product portfolio includes the Windows operating system and the Microsoft 365 suite of productivity and collaboration tools (Office apps, Outlook, Teams).
Featured Articles Five stocks we like better than Microsoft 3 Fixed-Income ETFs Show Why Yield Is Only Part of the Income Story AbbVie Quietly Solved Its Biggest Problem—Now What? Rio Tinto’s Results Make the Case for Looking Beyond Tech in the AI Trade Strategy’s Structural Strength: Hidden in a $8 Billion Illusion
Receive News & Ratings for Microsoft Daily - Enter your email address below to receive a concise daily summary of the latest news and analysts' ratings for Microsoft and related companies with MarketBeat.com's FREE daily email newsletter.
« PREVIOUS HEADLINEFAS Wealth Partners Inc. Has $4.03 Million Position in The Boeing Company $BA
Microsoft (MSFT +3.02%) delighted investors with its fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results. Revenue increased by 18% year over year, with cloud computing doing most of the lifting.
Shares soared by 16% on the news, parrying almost all of their year-to-date losses. Microsoft's artificial intelligence (AI) narrative suddenly looks much brighter, and three major takeaways from the company's earnings call point to promising opportunities in AI.
Image source: Getty Images.
1. Microsoft expects to achieve positive free cash flow in fiscal 2027 The biggest news for Microsoft investors is that the company expects to achieve positive free cash flow in fiscal 2027. The tech giant is still committed to high capital expenditures, but it's proof that Microsoft doesn't have to go deep into debt to fund its AI ambitions.
Today's Change
(
3.02
%) $
13.62
Current Price
$
464.72
Debt has become a major point of contention. Alphabet raised $84.75 billion via equity, which diluted investors. Amazon raised $25 billion through corporate bonds.
Investors who were concerned about the total costs involved with the AI build-out can breathe a sigh of relief. While the costs are still high, Microsoft can keep up with those costs. It's sustainable.
Other tech leaders may eventually follow suit. If they do, it's great news for the AI industry. If not, Microsoft has a distinct advantage over its fellow hyperscalers.
2. Microsoft is investing heavily in compute capacity Microsoft cited compute capacity as one of its big expenses after notifying investors that it would increase operating expenses in the "mid to high-single digits" year over year.
The focus on compute capacity indicates Microsoft Cloud revenue is still accelerating. Microsoft Azure surpassed $100 billion in revenue for the first time in fiscal 2026 and appears poised to build on that momentum. Microsoft needs more compute for its own AI needs and to keep its cloud customers happy.
The need for additional compute suggests that more capital will flow into neocloud providers. Microsoft has already signed multi-year deals with Iren and Nebius, which can turn them into beneficiaries of Microsoft's compute capacity investments. Competitors Cipher Digital and Terawulf have signed long-term compute deals with Alphabet and Amazon. Hyperscalers seem to be focused on obtaining as much compute capacity as possible, which could cause meaningful price hikes in the future.
Each hyperscaler earnings call gives hints about where money is flowing. This call validated the neocloud model and indicates that Microsoft Cloud is gaining market share thanks to AI investments.
3. CPUs are just as important as GPUs Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella told investors during the earnings call that "CPUs are just as important as GPUs" when it comes to running AI agents.
Graphics processing units (GPUs) are the AI chips that Nvidia produces. While Nvidia isn't the only GPU maker, it has the largest market share. Central processing units (CPUs) are the brains of the operating system and instruct the GPUs. Most of the early AI build-out has focused on GPUs. While CPUs were still used, they weren't as plentiful.
Advanced Micro Devices released research that explains how early AI build-outs featured one CPU for every four to eight GPUs, but the ratio is changing as AI needs evolve. "We are seeing agentic AI moving toward a 1:1 ratio and, in some cases, it's higher on the CPU side," Advanced Micro Devices said in its research.
Microsoft specifically named AMD Helios as its upcoming rack-scale AI infrastructure, along with Nvidia's Vera Rubin. GPUs still remain in high demand, but investors should monitor the growing popularity of CPUs.
Advanced Micro Devices and Intel are two of the top CPU stocks. Grand View Research projects a 46.2% CAGR for the enterprise agentic AI market, which bodes well for CPU makers.
Marc Guberti has positions in Cipher Mining and Iren. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, Amazon, Intel, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Space Exploration Technologies, which operates in the space transportation, satellite internet connectivity, and artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure industries, went public on June 12. Its stock quickly rallied to a peak of $225, but it has since lost half of its value and closed at just over $108 on Friday, July 31.
But SpaceX still has a hefty market capitalization of $1.43 trillion. Since the company generated just $19.3 billion in revenue over the last four quarters, its stock remains at a sky-high price-to-sales ratio of 74, making it almost 12 times as expensive as the Nasdaq-100 technology index.
That means more downside could be ahead, which is why if I had $1,000 to invest today, I'd look elsewhere. Here's why I think Microsoft (MSFT +3.02%) will perform significantly better over the long term.
Image source: Getty Images.
Azure is growing at an accelerated pace Azure is Microsoft's cloud computing platform, and offers hundreds of services to help businesses thrive in the digital era, whether they need simple data storage or complex software development tools. But it has also become a leading distribution platform for all of the tools enterprises need to develop and deploy AI software, and this is driving a new phase of revenue growth.
Running AI software requires a substantial amount of computing power, which is typically delivered by data centers, which house thousands of specialized chips called graphics processing units (GPUs). Most businesses don't have billions of dollars to build this infrastructure themselves, so they instead rent it from providers like Azure and only pay for what they use.
Microsoft ended its 2026 fiscal year (which wrapped up on June 30) with a staggering $678 billion order backlog from customers who were waiting for Azure to bring more data center capacity online, an 84% year-over-year increase. The company built 88 new data centers worldwide over the last 12 months as part of a two-year plan to double its infrastructure footprint, but it will have to continue building aggressively if it wants to convert that massive backlog into revenue.
Azure offers a platform called Foundry that makes it easy to combine data center compute with a selection of over 11,000 ready-made large language models (LLMs) from leading developers like OpenAI. This gives businesses plenty of options for rapidly building AI agents, AI chatbots, and other AI software applications.
Azure's total annual revenue surpassed $100 billion for the first time in fiscal 2026, and in the fourth quarter, the platform posted a whopping 43% year-over-year growth. It was the second consecutive quarter in which that growth rate accelerated, highlighting the cloud provider's incredible momentum.
Today's Change
(
3.02
%) $
13.62
Current Price
$
464.72
Copilot for 365 has a record number of enterprise users Microsoft is also kicking major AI-related goals outside of Azure. The company has been integrating its Copilot virtual assistant into legacy software products like Windows, Bing, Edge, and the 365 productivity suite (which includes Word, Excel, and PowerPoint), where it's experiencing rapid uptake.
As of June 30, companies all over the world were paying for 30 million Copilot for 365 licenses, which was a 50% increase from March 31, just three months earlier. But that represents a mere fraction of the opportunity at hand, because companies pay for over 400 million 365 licenses for their employees, and all of them are candidates for the Copilot upgrade. In other words, Copilot could bring in billions of dollars in annual revenue as adoption ramps up -- and that's just from 365 alone.
By using its existing portfolio of software products to sell Copilot, Microsoft has a massive advantage over pure-play AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic, which have to acquire customers from scratch.
Microsoft stock trades at an attractive price Microsoft stock soared by 15% on July 30, the first trading day after it reported its fiscal 2026 results. Nevertheless, based on the company's annual earnings of $17.65 per share, its stock is still trading at an attractive price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of just 25.1. That's a 21% discount to its five-year average of 32.3.
Data by YCharts.
Microsoft is also much cheaper than the Nasdaq-100 index, which has a P/E ratio of 33.1. That suggests it's probably still undervalued compared to a basket of its big-tech peers. Moreover, with a price-to-sales ratio of 10.1, Microsoft is dramatically cheaper than SpaceX.
As a result, even after its recent rally, I still think Microsoft stock has significantly more upside potential than SpaceX from here.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of MSFT either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.