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2026-10-20 18:37 5d ago
2026-10-20 13:11 5d ago
Mach Natural Resources očekává překonání odhadů zisku
MNR Mach Natural Resources
FMP Stock News 78
Original source text
Have you been searching for a stock that might be well-positioned to maintain its earnings-beat streak in its upcoming report? It is worth considering Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR - Free Report) , which belongs to the Zacks Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry.

When looking at the last two reports, this company has recorded a strong streak of surpassing earnings estimates. The company has topped estimates by 25.69%, on average, in the last two quarters.

For the last reported quarter, Mach Natural Resources LP came out with earnings of $0.38 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.34 per share, representing a surprise of 11.76%. For the previous quarter, the company was expected to post earnings of $0.53 per share and it actually produced earnings of $0.74 per share, delivering a surprise of 39.62%.

Price and EPS Surprise

With this earnings history in mind, recent estimates have been moving higher for Mach Natural Resources LP. In fact, the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) for the company is positive, which is a great sign of an earnings beat, especially when you combine this metric with its nice Zacks Rank.

Our research shows that stocks with the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time. In other words, if you have 10 stocks with this combination, the number of stocks that beat the consensus estimate could be as high as seven.

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a version of the Zacks Consensus whose definition is related to change. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Mach Natural Resources LP currently has an Earnings ESP of +15.94%, which suggests that analysts have recently become bullish on the company's earnings prospects. This positive Earnings ESP when combined with the stock's Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) indicates that another beat is possibly around the corner.

Investors should note, however, that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss, but a negative value does reduce the predictive power of this metric.

Many companies end up beating the consensus EPS estimate, but that may not be the sole basis for their stocks moving higher. On the other hand, some stocks may hold their ground even if they end up missing the consensus estimate.

Because of this, it's really important to check a company's Earnings ESP ahead of its quarterly release to increase the odds of success. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.
2026-10-11 17:56 14d ago
2026-10-11 12:12 14d ago
Předseda představenstva Mach koupil akcie za 389 000 USD
MNR Mach Natural Resources
FMP Stock News 88
Original source text
William Wallace McMullen, the Chairman of the Board, reported purchasing 34,514 shares of Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR +0.56%) on Sept. 15, 2026, according to a recent SEC Form 4 filing.

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Moneyball Superscore

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Transaction summaryMetricValueTransaction value~$389,000Shares purchased34,514Shares purchased (directly held)22,124Shares purchased (indirectly held)12,390Post-transaction shares (directly held)22,124Post-transaction shares (indirectly held)~74.9 millionPost-transaction value$838.8 millionTransaction value based on SEC Form 4 weighted average purchase price ($11.27); post-transaction value based on Sept. 15, 2026 market close ($11.20).

Key questionsWhich entities hold the company's indirect shares?
The majority of the equity is held by BCE Mach Aggregator LLC, which is managed by Bayou City Energy Management LLC, where McMullen serves as Managing Partner.How has the stock performed leading up to this acquisition?
The purchase at $11.27 per share followed a negative 16% return for the stock over the 12 months ending Sept. 15, 2026.What is the current scale of direct versus indirect ownership for the insider?
Direct holdings account for a minimal portion of the position at 22,124 shares, while indirect holdings through affiliated entities total ~74.9 million shares.What is the company's core operational focus?
Mach Natural Resources operates as an independent firm in the upstream energy sector, focusing on the development and production of crude oil and natural gas within the Anadarko Basin.Company OverviewMetricValueShare Price (as of market close 2026-09-17)$10.97Market Capitalization$1.80 billionRevenue (TTM)$1.40 billionNet Income (TTM)$243.60 millionCompany SnapshotMach Natural Resources LP operates as an independent upstream oil and gas exploration and production company, generating revenue through the acquisition, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and associated liquids primarily within the Anadarko Basin.The company's business model centers on identifying and acquiring acreage with development potential, executing capital-efficient drilling and completion programs, and monetizing hydrocarbon reserves through sales to major integrated oil companies and independent refiners.The company's primary customers consist of major integrated oil and gas companies, independent refiners, and midstream infrastructure operators that purchase crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids produced from its Anadarko Basin operations.Mach Natural Resources LP is a mid-cap independent exploration and production company with a focused geographic footprint in the Anadarko Basin across Western Oklahoma, Southern Kansas, and the Texas Panhandle. The company generated $1.40 billion in revenue and $243.60 million in net income on a trailing twelve-month (TTM) basis, demonstrating operational profitability in the upstream energy sector. Founded in 2023 and headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, with 840 employees, Mach pursues a disciplined development strategy targeting conventional and unconventional hydrocarbon accumulations within one of North America's most prolific sedimentary basins.

What this transaction means for investorsThere are many reasons an insider may sell shares, some of which have no reflection on their belief in the stock's direction, like having to pay a large personal expense or diversifying their holdings.

There is only one reason an insider, like McMullen, buys shares: they believe the stock price will rise.

By that investor's rule of thumb, McMullen's purchase of Mach shares is inherently bullish. On top of that, studies show that, more often than not, an insider purchase predicts a higher share price 30 days later.

The business has been performing well. Mach has a history of strong cash returns on capital invested and cash distributions. Over the past 5 years, it delivered an industry-leading cash return on capital invested (CROCI), averaging 35%, not only industry-leading, but also in the top 1% of all public companies in the U.S. It has also distributed an industry-leading distribution yield of 15% since 2024 through the first quarter of 2026. Wall Street consensus sees revenue rising to $1.43 bllion in the current fiscal year, a rise of 22%.

McMullen founded Mach Natural Resources and the entity that holds a large portion of its shares, Bayou City Energy Management, in 2015, and has been an energy industry analyst and investor since at least 2008. Clearly, he knows the U.S. oil and gas business very well and certainly has his finger on the pulse of Mach's business. It is bullish that he is a buyer.

McMullen's buying now suggests he expects Mach Natural Resources to deliver strong performance this year. High oil prices benefit U.S. producers like Mach, especially since its costs basically haven't changed -- oil prices are rising due to the Iran war, which doesn't affect U.S. production. That means the stock is worth investigating to see if you want to add it to your portfolio.
2026-10-10 19:52 15d ago
2026-10-10 14:39 15d ago
CEO Ward zvýšil podíl ve společnosti Mach Natural Resources na 17 %
MNR Mach Natural Resources
FMP Stock News 92
Original source text
Tom L. Ward, who maintains a significant control position at Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR +0.56%), purchased ~172,000 common units through an indirect trust, according to a recent SEC Form 4 filing.

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Moneyball Superscore

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Today's Change

(

0.56

%) $

0.06

Current Price

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10.73

Transaction summaryMetricValueTransaction value~$2.0 millionShares purchased (indirectly held)~172,000Post-transaction shares (directly held)~14.2 millionPost-transaction shares (indirectly held)~14.1 millionPost-transaction value$354.14 millionTransaction value based on SEC Form 4 weighted average purchase price ($11.60); post-transaction value based on Sept. 14, 2026 market close ($12.49).

Key questionsWhat was the structural nature of this acquisition?
The purchase was completed as an unregistered block trade by The Tom L. Ward 1992 Revocable Living Trust, where Ward serves as Trustee.How does this impact the insider's aggregate equity exposure?
The acquisition increases the total beneficial ownership to ~28.4 million common units, which represents a 17% ownership interest in the company as of the latest data.What is the breakdown of the insider's indirect holdings?
The total indirect position is distributed across multiple entities, including The Tom L. Ward 1992 Revocable Living Trust, Mach Resources LLC, the Tom L. Ward Family Foundation, and other trusts affiliated with Ward.What was the valuation context on the day of the trade?
Ward acquired the units at $11.60 per share, which was lower than the $12.49 market close on the Sept. 14, 2026 transaction date; shares were priced at $10.90 as of the Sept. 16, 2026 market close.Company OverviewMetricValueShare Price (as of market close 2026-09-16)$10.90Market Capitalization$1.8 billionRevenue (TTM)$1.4 billionNet Income (TTM)$243.6 millionCompany SnapshotMach Natural Resources LP operates as an independent upstream oil and gas exploration and production company, generating revenue through the acquisition, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and associated liquids primarily within the Anadarko Basin.The company's business model focuses on identifying and developing hydrocarbon reserves across its operational territories in Western Oklahoma, Southern Kansas, and the Texas Panhandle, monetizing these assets through production and sale to energy markets.The company serves energy consumers and industrial customers through the supply of crude oil and natural gas commodities, with revenue derived from market-based pricing of produced hydrocarbons.Mach Natural Resources LP is an independent upstream oil and gas producer with a market capitalization of $1.8 billion, generating trailing twelve-month (TTM) revenues of $1.4 billion with net income of $243.6 million. Founded in 2023 and headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, the company operates 840 employees focused on developing producing properties within the Anadarko Basin, one of the United States' most prolific hydrocarbon-producing regions. The company's competitive positioning is anchored in its focused geographic footprint and operational expertise within a core producing basin.

What this transaction means for investorsThere are many reasons an insider may sell shares, some of which have no reflection on their belief in the stock's direction, like having to pay a large personal expense or diversifying their holdings.

There is only one reason an insider buys shares: they believe the stock price will rise.

By that investor's rule of thumb, Ward's million-dollar purchase of Mach shares is inherently bullish. On top of that, studies show that, more often than not, an insider purchase predicts a higher share price 30 days later.

Ward has served as the Chief Executive Officer of Mach since its founding in 2017. Prior to joining the company, Ward served as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Tapstone Energy and, before that, of Sandridge Energy (SD -1.64%). Going back even further, prior to joining SandRidge Energy, he served as President, Chief Operating Officer, and a director of Chesapeake Energy Corp from the time he co-founded that company in 1989 until 2006. He is an oil industry veteran and clearly sees where things are heading. It's bullish that he's a buyer.

Mach has a history of strong cash returns on capital invested and cash distributions. Over the past 5 years, it delivered an industry-leading cash return on capital invested (CROCI), averaging 35%, not only industry-leading, but also in the top 1% of all public companies in the U.S. It has also distributed an industry-leading distribution yield of 15% since 2024 through the first quarter of 2026. Wall Street consensus sees revenue rising to $1.43 bllion in the current fiscal year, a rise of 22%.

Clearly, Ward's buying now suggests he expects Mach Natural Resources to come in with strong performance this year. That means the stock is worth investigating to see if you want to add it to your portfolio.
2026-08-08 20:52 2mo ago
2026-08-08 15:04 2mo ago
Mach Natural Resources zvýšila distribuci na 0,36 USD
MNR Mach Natural Resources
FMP Stock News 78
Original source text
Oil’s Outlook Looks Ugly—That’s Why These 3 Energy Plays MatterMach Natural Resources NYSE: MNR reported second-quarter production of 149,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day and generated $154 million in operating cash flow, while maintaining its stated focus on limiting reinvestment to less than 50% of operating cash flow on a year-to-date basis.

The company declared a quarterly distribution of $0.36 per unit after generating $60 million in cash available for distribution. The payment is scheduled for Aug. 31 to unitholders of record as of Aug. 17.

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Top Dividend Plays With Strong Analyst RatingsChief Executive Officer Tom Ward said the company’s strategy remains centered on disciplined asset purchases, restrained capital spending, financial strength and maximizing cash distributions. He said Mach intends to bring leverage back to its goal of roughly one times debt to EBITDA by the end of 2027, compared with its projection of 1.4 times at the end of 2026.

Second-quarter financial and operating results For the quarter, Mach’s production mix was 15% oil, 69% natural gas and 16% natural gas liquids. Average realized prices were $95.40 per barrel for oil, $1.93 per Mcf for natural gas and $28.99 per barrel for NGLs, according to Chief Financial Officer Kevin White.

Oil and gas revenue totaled $360 million, with oil accounting for 54% of the total, natural gas contributing 30%, and NGLs representing 16%. Including hedges and midstream activities, total revenue was $406 million.

Adjusted EBITDA was $182 million. Operating cash flow was $154 million. Development capital expenditures were $97 million, or 63% of operating cash flow during the quarter. Lease operating expense was $98 million, or $7.21 per BOE. Cash general and administrative expense was about $7 million, or $0.54 per BOE. The company ended the quarter with $41 million in cash and $270 million of availability under its credit facility. While quarterly development spending exceeded Mach’s 50% operating-cash-flow target, White said year-to-date capital spending was “right on top of 50%” of operating cash flow. Management expects to finish the year near that reinvestment level, though results may vary by quarter.

Capital allocation and leverage priorities Ward said Mach’s capital spending will remain tied to operating cash flow rather than a fixed development plan. The company’s variable distribution model allows it to reduce or increase spending as commodity prices and project returns change, he said.

Mach expects to use several options to reduce leverage, including accretive acquisitions funded with equity, its $100 million at-the-market equity program, and potentially retaining a portion of distributions to pay down debt. Ward said cutting distributions could be an option if needed, but he also said the company would prefer to make an acquisition using equity if suitable opportunities emerge.

Ward said the company is reluctant to pursue asset sales or acreage divestitures as a deleveraging tool. He noted that acreage previously viewed as non-core has at times developed into productive areas, and selling producing properties would reduce cash flow.

“Selling away your assets, to me, is not as efficient as if we were to cut a distribution,” Ward said.

Drilling shifts toward oil-weighted opportunities Mach has shifted its near-term drilling emphasis toward crude-heavy projects following the start of the conflict in Iran, Ward said. The company is completing its final two Mancos Shale wells this year but has delayed their completion phase until 2027 to stay within its internally mandated capital spending limit.

The company currently has three rigs operating in Oklahoma, targeting the Oswego, Red Fork and Ardmore Basin Sycamore formations. Ardmore Basin locations are expected to be completed by the end of the third quarter. Mach plans to defer further Red Fork drilling until the first quarter of 2027 while retaining one Oswego rig during the fourth quarter of 2026.

Ward described the Oswego Limestone in Kingfisher County, Oklahoma, as the company’s principal drilling workhorse. Mach has drilled more than 250 wells in the area since 2021 and estimates an 87% rate of return at a $75 oil strip price. The company expects to spend about $3.3 million to drill and complete Oswego wells targeting approximately 160,000 barrels of oil.

The company also discussed a smaller Clear Fork opportunity, which is not currently included in its drilling schedule. Ward said the program consists of roughly seven or eight potential horizontal wells within a waterflood, with an estimated 53% rate of return at the end of July. He said the project ranks below the Oswego on returns and could enter the 2027 program depending on prices and available cash flow.

Mancos opportunity depends on gas market conditions Mach holds 575,000 acres in the San Juan Basin and sees the Mancos Shale as a potentially significant long-term natural gas growth opportunity. Ward said Mach is the second-largest natural gas producer and acreage holder in the play behind Hilcorp, with three other sizable owners.

The company has a gas marketing agreement through 2030 and said it can hold approximately 350 million cubic feet per day of gas production flat by drilling five net wells annually. Drilling 10 net wells per year could increase Mach’s net gas production to more than 500 MMcf per day, according to Ward.

However, the company’s near-term activity in the Mancos will depend on natural gas prices, regional basis conditions and competition with oil-focused drilling opportunities. Ward said Mach would be unlikely to pursue a gas capital program if prices remain below $3 per Mcf, though management remains constructive on long-term gas demand.

Mach expects its 2027 program to prioritize oil activity in the first half, with potential Mancos completions beginning in late spring or summer if gas prices improve. Ward said the company has not finalized its 2027 capital plan.

The company also said it is working to lower Mancos well costs. Ward said historical costs for three-mile lateral wells were nearly $20 million, while the current program is expected to be closer to $13 million per completed well. Vice President of Production Operations Rick Hughes attributed the reduction in part to improved drilling performance, fewer drilling days, lower completion costs and new vendors.

Ward said Mach’s overall 2027 production outlook is expected to be “basically keeping it flat,” reflecting the company’s commitment to keep capital spending below 50% of operating cash flow.

About Mach Natural Resources (NYSE:MNR)Mach Natural Resources LP, an independent upstream oil and gas company, focuses on the acquisition, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the Anadarko Basin region of Western Oklahoma, Southern Kansas, and the panhandle of Texas. It also owns a portfolio of midstream assets, as well as owns plants and water infrastructure. The company was incorporated in 2023 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].

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2026-08-07 01:34 2mo ago
2026-08-06 20:13 2mo ago
Mach Natural Resources překonala odhady zisku na akcii i výnosů
MNR Mach Natural Resources
FMP Stock News 72
Original source text
Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR - Free Report) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.38 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.34 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.76 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.

This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +11.77%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $0.53 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.74, delivering a surprise of +39.62%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times.

Mach Natural Resources LP, which belongs to the Zacks Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry, posted revenues of $405.96 million for the quarter ended June 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 9.93%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $288.52 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates three times over the last four quarters.

The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.

Mach Natural Resources LP shares have added about 19.8% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 12.8%.

What's Next for Mach Natural Resources LP?While Mach Natural Resources LP has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?

There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.

Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.

Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Mach Natural Resources LP was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $0.30 on $360.73 million in revenues for the coming quarter and $0.90 on $1.36 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year.

Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States is currently in the bottom 13% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.

One other stock from the same industry, Venture Global (VG - Free Report) , is yet to report results for the quarter ended June 2026. The results are expected to be released on August 11.

This exporter of liquid natural gas is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.49 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +250%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 4.6% higher over the last 30 days to the current level.

Venture Global's revenues are expected to be $4.5 billion, up 45.2% from the year-ago quarter.