A stunning one‑day plunge has put IBM (IBM +3.60%) under the microscope, spotlighting mainframe softness, software timing, and its AI ambitions. Watch the video below to see what this stumble could mean for long‑term investors.
*This video was published on Jul. 23, 2026.
Andy Cross has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Asit Sharma, CPA has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Jason Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends International Business Machines. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Figma: Sustaining Consistent Revenue GrowthFigma (FIG +5.85%) generates revenue by selling subscriptions to its collaborative, browser-based design and prototyping software.
It introduced new timeline-based animation tools at its annual conference in June 2026, and it reported approximately -43% net income margin for the quarter ended March 31, 2026.
IBM: Navigating Revenue FluctuationsInternational Business Machines (IBM +3.60%) delivers comprehensive technology solutions, consulting services, and hybrid cloud infrastructure to global enterprise clients.
It disclosed a shortfall in preliminary results on July 14, 2026, while recording a 15% EBIT margin for the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
Why Revenue Matters for Retail InvestorsRevenue shows investors the total money coming into a business before expenses are deducted. Tracking this figure helps investors understand the total scale and top-line growth trajectory of a business.
Quarterly Revenue for Figma and International Business MachinesQuarter (Period End)Figma RevenueInternational Business Machines RevenueQ3 2024 (Sept. 2024)$198.6 million$15.0 billionQ4 2024 (Dec. 2024)$216.9 million$17.6 billionQ1 2025 (March 2025)$228.2 million$14.5 billionQ2 2025 (June 2025)$249.6 million$17.0 billionQ3 2025 (Sept. 2025)$274.2 million$16.3 billionQ4 2025 (Dec. 2025)$303.8 million$19.7 billionQ1 2026 (March 2026)$333.4 million$15.9 billionQ2 2026Not yet reported$17.2 billion (period ended June 2026)Data source: Company filings. Data as of July 24, 2026.
Foolish TakeVenerable IBM’s revenue towers over newcomer Figma’s sales, but that’s to be expected given the former has existed for over a century. IBM has transformed its business substantially over that time. It now focuses on the fast-growing artificial intelligence sector, providing software and cloud infrastructure for customers seeking to adopt AI, as well as an army of consultants to help clients navigate how to do so.
IBM’s volatile sales trend speaks to the choppy nature of selling hardware and consulting services. Its zSystems line of computer mainframes incorporating AI were a hot seller when they launched last year, but in the second quarter of 2026, Z sales were down 42% year over year. This combined with missing Wall Street’s Q2 revenue expectations amid the AI boom understandably worried investors, sending IBM shares to a 52-week low of $199.19 on July 23.
Figma’s revenue trend speaks volumes about the success of its business. The company’s Q1 sales of $333.4 million represented amazing 46% year-over-year growth as it continued to produce quarterly increases. That trend is expected to extend into Q2 with a forecast of revenue between $348 million to $350 million.
Figma’s design products are clearly winning over customers. Yet its stock fell to a 52-week low of $16.60 in April after Wall Street became concerned AI’s ability to quickly generate images on the fly would take business away from Figma. The company’s sales trend reveals this isn’t happening, and in fact, its business is thriving.
Robert Izquierdo has positions in Figma and International Business Machines. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Figma and International Business Machines. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Bank of Nova Scotia lessened its holdings in shares of International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM – Free Report) by 29.2% during the first quarter, according to the company in its most recent filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The institutional investor owned 205,694 shares of the technology company’s stock after selling 84,691 shares during the period. Bank of Nova Scotia’s holdings in International Business Machines were worth $49,859,000 at the end of the most recent quarter.
Several other hedge funds and other institutional investors also recently made changes to their positions in IBM. Norges Bank acquired a new stake in International Business Machines during the 4th quarter worth about $2,446,429,000. Capital World Investors grew its position in International Business Machines by 29.2% in the 4th quarter. Capital World Investors now owns 22,021,912 shares of the technology company’s stock valued at $6,523,720,000 after purchasing an additional 4,976,756 shares during the period. Price T Rowe Associates Inc. MD lifted its position in shares of International Business Machines by 83.4% during the 4th quarter. Price T Rowe Associates Inc. MD now owns 5,617,117 shares of the technology company’s stock worth $1,663,847,000 after buying an additional 2,553,552 shares in the last quarter. Corient Private Wealth LLC increased its position in shares of International Business Machines by 359.6% during the 4th quarter. Corient Private Wealth LLC now owns 1,896,675 shares of the technology company’s stock valued at $561,814,000 after purchasing an additional 1,484,026 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Vanguard Group Inc. lifted its position in shares of International Business Machines by 1.5% during the 4th quarter. Vanguard Group Inc. now owns 97,216,131 shares of the technology company’s stock valued at $28,796,390,000 after buying an additional 1,439,824 shares during the last quarter. 58.96% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.
International Business Machines Stock Performance International Business Machines stock opened at $214.16 on Friday. International Business Machines Corporation has a fifty-two week low of $199.19 and a fifty-two week high of $332.46. The company has a market capitalization of $201.28 billion, a PE ratio of 19.00, a P/E/G ratio of 2.24 and a beta of 0.68. The company has a 50 day moving average price of $262.92 and a 200-day moving average price of $260.50. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.63, a quick ratio of 0.76 and a current ratio of 0.79.
International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM – Get Free Report) last issued its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, July 22nd. The technology company reported $2.93 EPS for the quarter, meeting the consensus estimate of $2.93. International Business Machines had a return on equity of 35.65% and a net margin of 15.52%.The firm had revenue of $17.16 billion during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $17.46 billion. During the same quarter in the prior year, the business posted $2.80 EPS. The business’s revenue for the quarter was up 1.1% compared to the same quarter last year. As a group, equities analysts forecast that International Business Machines Corporation will post 12.15 earnings per share for the current year.
International Business Machines Announces Dividend The company also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, September 10th. Stockholders of record on Monday, August 10th will be issued a dividend of $1.69 per share. This represents a $6.76 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 3.2%. The ex-dividend date of this dividend is Monday, August 10th. International Business Machines’s payout ratio is 59.98%.
Analysts Set New Price Targets Several research firms have commented on IBM. KeyCorp downgraded shares of International Business Machines to a “sector weight” rating in a research note on Tuesday, June 23rd. Argus cut their price objective on shares of International Business Machines from $360.00 to $280.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a report on Thursday, July 16th. Weiss Ratings cut International Business Machines from a “buy (b-)” rating to a “hold (c+)” rating in a research report on Wednesday, June 24th. Citigroup reduced their price objective on International Business Machines from $255.00 to $245.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research report on Friday. Finally, Jefferies Financial Group lowered their price objective on International Business Machines from $320.00 to $260.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research report on Tuesday. Fifteen analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, eleven have assigned a Hold rating and one has given a Sell rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat, the stock has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $265.40.
Read Our Latest Report on IBM
Trending Headlines about International Business Machines Here are the key news stories impacting International Business Machines this week:
Positive Sentiment: Unusual options activity showed strong bullish interest, with traders buying 108,601 call options on IBM, about 35% above normal call volume. This suggests some investors are betting on a rebound. Positive Sentiment: Citigroup lowered its price target to $245 from $255 but kept a Buy rating, implying meaningful upside from current levels and signaling that some analysts still see value in the shares. Positive Sentiment: IBM announced a dividend of $1.69 per share, reinforcing its appeal to income-focused investors at a time when the stock has been under pressure. Neutral Sentiment: Recent commentary has turned split: some analysts and strategists view the post-earnings decline as a potential long-term opportunity, while others say IBM may be stuck in a holding pattern until growth reaccelerates. IBM: The Historic Stock Rout Is A Generational Opportunity Neutral Sentiment: IBM is still getting support from its long-term quantum computing strategy, including the announced acquisition of HRL Laboratories, which expands its quantum R&D capabilities. That could help sentiment, but the benefit is longer term rather than immediate. Negative Sentiment: The main reason the stock fell sharply is IBM’s Q2 report and lowered 2026 outlook: revenue missed expectations, mainframe sales weakened, and management cut full-year constant-currency revenue growth guidance after customers shifted spending toward AI infrastructure. Negative Sentiment: Shortly after the earnings slump, law firms announced securities-fraud investigations tied to IBM’s disclosures about the mainframe slowdown, adding legal overhang and uncertainty for shareholders. International Business Machines Company Profile (Free Report)
International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a global technology and consulting company headquartered in Armonk, New York. Founded in 1911 as the Computing-Tabulating-Recording Company (CTR) and renamed IBM in 1924, the company has evolved from early electromechanical machines to a diversified technology provider serving enterprises and governments worldwide. IBM is publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol IBM.
IBM’s principal businesses encompass cloud computing and software, infrastructure and systems, consulting and technology services, and research and development.
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In this episode of Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing, Motley Fool contributors Tyler Crowe, Matt Frankel, and Lou Whiteman discuss:
IBM’s terrible, horrible, no good, very bad day.Shifting spending habits from enterprise clients.America’s biggest banks are reaping huge windfalls.Mailbag: How to buy Treasuries?Mailbag: What to make of Toast?To catch full episodes of all The Motley Fool's free podcasts, check out our podcast center. When you're ready to invest, check out this top 10 list of stocks to buy.
A full transcript is below.
This podcast was recorded on July 14, 2026.
Tyler Crowe: Big banks are loving this market. Today on Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing. Welcome to Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing. I'm your host, Tyler Crowe, and today I'm joined by longtime Fool contributors Lou Whiteman and Matt Frankel. As I hinted with the intro, we're going to get into the blockbuster quarter that just about every bank had that reported today, and it was pretty much anybody that is a major bank in the United States reported today, and it looked fantastic. We're also going to get into some reader emails. But first, we're going to start with the big news moment of the day. That is shares of IBM are down 26% as we are taping this show after the company issued preliminary results for the upcoming quarter that really were not in line with analyst expectations. Now, Lou, this was a big drop. I saw a Bloomberg headline earlier before we got on. It was the biggest drop since, I think, 1968 for the stock more than Black Monday in 1987. What was this big drop for what it seemed to me was a relatively modest revision to what we were seeing? There had to have been more to the story here?
Lou Whiteman: I think there is. How did you say, this isn't the full earnings release. This is preliminary. IBM, basically, all they warned is revenue is going to come in about 17.2 billion short of 17.9 billion. It's not a huge amount. I think what triggered the sell-off is the reasoning given CEO Arvind Krishna said, last few weeks of June, IBM saw clients shift capex towards hardware servers, memory storage, away from Big Blue. That's probably not just a last two weeks at a quarter thing, given the way the stock had traded up. I think that this is a head for the exit, sell the news, a move.
Tyler Crowe: Something in the difference of a $700 million change in revenue. The number sounds big, but again, if we're talking about 17 billion give or take a few hundred million. That's not a big deal. Now, Matt, the three of us did a live event for the Motley Fool back in San Diego a few months ago, and you made the case for IBM stock as one of your top picks right now. Now, I'm not trying to put you on full blast here because the stock is down, and let's all make fun of Matt. But does anything that announced today alter your thinking here. Like we said, this isn't a huge revision, but there seems to be some other stuff going on here.
Matt Frankel: Yes. First of all, I welcome being called out when I make a public call on a stock like this, and then something like today happens. As Lou said, the numbers themselves weren't too awful. That 17.2 billion versus 17.9 billion, that's not worthy of a 26% drop all by itself, but there is more to the story. Earnings per share came in at 293 versus expectations of 302, not worthy of a 26% drop. This would be IBM's worst single day ever, by the way. The previous biggest one-day drop they had was Black Monday in 1987, and this would exceed that.
The question that seems to be on investors’ minds and the one that is more worthy of the drop we're seeing is if the shift towards spending more on things like memory and other hardware is a temporary headwind or is it becoming a permanent problem for companies like IBM? Krishna's own explanation is that clients redirected their late July or late June capex towards servers, storage, and memory to lock in supply ahead of price hikes. Remember, we've seen Apple raise its prices recently, specifically because of memory. Same idea here. That sounds like a temporary reaction by IBM's customers to soaring memory prices. But on the other hand, Micron recently said that memory supply is going to be tight well into 2027, and we're starting to see these memory companies shift toward longer-term price-agreed service contracts. That's what scares me about this long term.
Tyler Crowe: This is what bugged me about it a little bit as well. If this was just a one-off, like things are going to get shifted maybe six or nine months down the road. Again, $700 million in sales, not the biggest thing. It seems like this is a big move for a short-term headwind. But when I see things like this, and let's all be honest here, there's a lot of institutional investors and high-frequency traders and might know a little bit more because they can pick up the phone and ask a few things. One of the things I think of is there might be more than one cockroach in the kitchen here. As we're looking forward, investors that are looking at IBM, maybe want to think like, Oh, man, maybe this is just a good time to buy some cheap shares because of what we've seen today, what else could be coming down the pipe that may assuage investors or maybe something that may signal it's an actual rough patch. What are some other things that we can look for that may be promising or signs of worse to come?
Matt Frankel: One thing we don't have yet, and Lou mentioned, this is just a preliminary report. We don't know everything. We don't have IBM's bookings yet, meaning the future revenue now is being committed to. That's been a big driver of the stock in recent quarters, especially on the AI side of the business. But judging by Krishna's generally negative tone that we've heard today, I'm not expecting the bookings number to look nearly as stellar as it did last quarter. The fact that they pre-announced is really the biggest red flag here, and that’s usually reserved for when things are especially bad.
My bottom line is that today's move makes sense. It isn't a reason to panic. To be transparent, IBM is a relatively small position in my portfolio right now. I'm planning to cautiously add to it a little bit if this price holds. The risk-reward makes a lot of sense to me, especially if you have a five-plus-year time horizon. At that San Diego event you mentioned, I talked about things like how IBM's quietly becoming the quantum computer leader as part of my thesis. But I'm going to be watching their full earnings report when it comes out on July 22, very closely. That's my birthday, and that's how much I'm paying attention to this. I'm still going to be reading it.
Lou Whiteman: I think it's important to mention just when we talk about it on sale today. Basically, the drop means we’re back to where we were in mid-May. Before people yell, go out, it's a buying opportunity. I do think that perspective is needed. The real question here, as Matt hinted at this is, is that there is a way to spin this as it's a temporary phenomena, and it will pass. There is also a way to read this as what IBM is selling isn't as important to the end customer as what they are buying. There's almost a question about, with consumers we talk about staples and discretionary. There is a way to spin this that IBM is in the discretionary bucket and not the staple bucket here. I don't know if that is the right reading, but I think that's a word of caution, and you think about this, you can't spend all the money on the world on everything. At the end of the day, corporations have to make choices. The choices they made in this quarter did not benefit IBM.
Matt Frankel: I would agree with that that IBM is more in the discretionary basket than consumer staples, especially when it comes to what we're talking here. You can hire all the AI consultants you want to. If you don't have enough memory to keep your systems going, that really doesn't matter. When it comes to what their clients are spending money on, it is more of a discretionary thing, and that's why we're seeing revenue flow during this AI cycle.
Tyler Crowe: As Lou said, let's keep this all in perspective. Over the past three years, IBM is beating the market. Over the past five years, the IBM is beating the market on a total performance basis. Like you said, it's about the same where as it was in May. It's about the same where it was in January. 2026 has not been IBM's shining year so far. But if we start pulling back the carton, things are still looking OK. We'll have to see whether or not this is a foreboding sign or maybe just a temporary road block, but we will see. Coming up next, we're going to really jump into bank earnings.
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Tyler Crowe: I was checking the earnings calendar for today, and of course, we had all the Big Banks, and then there was one other company, Fastenal, which I found funny. It was almost like one of these things is not like the other situation where it's like, we're going to talk about gigantic banks, and then an industrial parts distributor. But considering how robust and beating expectations that pretty much every bank posted, it seemed like it was the more appropriate thing to talk about than this small industrial parts manufacturer, which, maybe for another time.
Today, JP Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup all reported earnings, and all of them reported better than expected results. I think the theme of this quarter was massive gains in equity trading. I think Goldman Sachs led the way, where they brought in $7.5 billion in equities trading this quarter alone. Now, we can say that it was stock volatility and the SpaceX IPO that resulted in some one-off gains. But are there some less discussed themes that led to all these companies posting such good results?
Matt Frankel: Yes, you're right, Tyler, that the results were generally excellent, and they're not just typical earnings beats here. JPMorgan Chase reported $7.70 in earnings per share. That's almost $2 more than expected. They beat revenue expectations by about $7 billion, not even close. It's not just investment banking. Wells Fargo, their earnings beat by a significant margin, even though they have a very small investment bank. I push back a bit when it comes to equity trading, on the one-off framing that you just said around, the volatility in the SpaceX IPO. We're seeing M&A at a level that we haven't seen since 2021. Global M&A was $3 trillion in the first half, so it wasn't just one deal or IPO. It's a general industrywide trend.
The question is how sustainable is it? But to more directly answer your question, one thing that I'm not seeing discussed that much is the net interest income side of this. Even with the Fed essentially on hold right now, the banks are generally raising their net interest income expectations. JPMorgan Chase they’re expecting $2.5 billion more in full-year net interest income than they were in April. They're seeing strong loan growth. The internal rate dynamics, meaning what they're paying on deposits versus what they're getting on loans is better than expected. There are a few other big themes, wealth management inflows across the board. Investors are putting money to work that had been on the sidelines. JP Morgan reported 44,000 "first-time investors.” Goldman's assets under management grew by 20% year over year, and the market isn't up by 20%. More importantly, credit quality is holding up better than we expected. The big banks, they're reporting lower than expected charge offs almost across the board. It shows that despite some major economic fears inflation, the Iran war, things like that, consumers and businesses are still staying pretty healthy.
Lou Whiteman: Matt did a great job breaking it down. I'll just make a couple of quick points. One, on net interest margin. Higher for longer works with banks. I'm going to just go up and scream that from the hilltops again. Financials makes so much sense to me right now. Now, where they are valued, especially in the regional banks, I think let's learn a lesson from this in terms of what the interest rate cycle means for banks. The other thing, let's just do a special shout out for Citi. Citi is usually the butt of a joke when we're discussing banks. They have a long history of screwing things up. But CEO Jane Fraser, the restructuring program seems to be working. Their hidden goals ahead of schedule. They raised the dividend by 12%, announced a 30 billion with a B share buyback program. Citi is the laggard of this group in terms of multiples. The investor takeaway here is maybe it's time to take Citi seriously. Maybe it's time to give them a look.
Tyler Crowe: Matt, to your point, saying it wasn't necessarily a one-off event, but it certainly does feel like a vibes event. Like you said, M&A activity is high, IPO activity is high. Money is moving off the sidelines to use the term, the animal spirit seems to be really hitting everybody right now, and everybody seems to be cashing in. Of course, the house tends to win, and the house, in this case, is the Big Banks. I want to drill into something a little bit more specific, though, and it was a few weeks back. The banks, all of them, went through their stress test, basically, working with regulators to figure out how much capital you need to keep on the books in the event of a credit event, a lot to do with Dodd-Frank, back after the great financial crisis, just in making sure that we don't run into the same problems we had again. Most of them passed with flying colors this time, in part because the regulatory stress test wasn’t quite as robust as it has been in years past. So much so that there were discussions at the time about accelerated buybacks and other ways of releasing capital that was on the balance sheet for safety reasons. Did that play any part in these results, and that has all these stocks doing incredibly well, or is that maybe just a later down the road story?
Lou Whiteman: It wouldn't have played a part in the results. It might be part of the enthusiasm today, although, look, the bank's got a nice boost when it was announced. I think why we're seeing the stocks moving higher, it's a simple answer. It's today's results. If one bank shows resilience, that's great for that one bank. But the across-the-board positivity, that implies that it wasn't a one-quarter fluke. It wasn't a one-time thing from anyone. There's a lot of fear in nervousness when it comes to financials right now. I think just the across-the-board success today, that should alleviate some of that nervousness.
Tyler Crowe: Coming up after the break, we're going to jump into the mailbag.
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Tyler Crowe: Hey, everyone, just a quick reminder, if you want to ask a question to us and have it read live on air, go ahead and send email us at [email protected]. That's podcast with S at fool.com. Three request as always. Keep it Foolish. Keep it short enough. I can read on air and try not to ask any individual advice, so we don't get in trouble with the SEC. We normally only do one, but we're going to do a two for today because we actually got a little bit of fan mail for Lou on this one, because somebody apparently is a big fan of you talking about T-bills either here on the podcast or in some of our live appearances that we do for members over at The Motley Fool. Lou, the question comes from Marianne and says, Lou often mentions that he parks money in T-bills. Could you give us a tutorial on how to actually buy T-bills? Lou, take it away.
Lou Whiteman: Sure. Well, first off, the argument for it is, it doesn't replace equities. But look, right now, I'm getting almost 4% on six-month bills. If that's better than most online savings accounts, so why not just chase the yield? As far as how you buy them, a couple of pointers: you can buy treasuries through the U.S. government at treasurydirect.gov, or you can do it through most brokerages. There isn't a different price or different rate, so it's really how you want to do it. I buy through Vanguard, but I know some people like to separate it out. I've heard good things about Treasury Direct. That's whatever you want to do. Actual user experience varies by brokerage.
It's very similar to buying stocks, though. You just click Buy bonds, select Treasuries instead of Corporates. You can buy existing treasuries on the open market. But what I do is I buy new issues and just hold the maturity. The most confusing thing, or the thing you might want to look at, is the way they’re priced. You buy new issues in $1,000 increments, but you don't pay face value. You pay the amount before interest. If you pay, say, 980 bucks today and get 1,000 bucks back in six months, for example, that's the most confusing part. Other than that, pretty straightforward. Again, it's just as an alternative to savings accounts when the rates are better, why not take advantage of the rate?
Tyler Crowe: Well, Marianne, I hope that answers your question. Back to the stock-related ones, we got a question from Brian, and he really went out of his way to say that he’s from corn country of Illinois and not just some other part of Illinois. Brian asks, guys, what is up with Toast? I've owned it for about two years. Stocks down quite a bit. Motley Fool podcast and not to Brian's email, but in a lot of other places women Motley Fool's extended Universe of Media. We've talked positively about Lee, and it's been used rather ubiquitously. I think it has a decent market share right now. Brian asked, restaurant parking lots usually seem full. I'm aware costs have increased, and margins are tight. Is this a lost cause stock Toast? I usually hang up stocks a couple of years. What are your current thoughts on Toast?
Matt Frankel: I'm a fan of Toast. To be fair, I'm one of the ones that you're referring to that usually speaks positively of it, so that's probably not a surprise. But the growth story here is still intact, despite any AI disruption fears. Annual recurring revenue grew by 26% in the last quarter. They added 7,000 new locations, so it's a product that's still resonating with customers. Their margins are excellent. Their operating margin not adjusted was above 20% for the first time ever in the most recent quarter. They're aggressively buying back stock, so the management clearly thinks the stock is underprice. The bear case here with all software as a service businesses like this, is that AI agents are eventually going to commoditize it and drive down users, drive down pricing power, things like that.
Toast is nicely insulated from this for a few reasons. No. 1, it owns the full stack, meaning hardware and software. The little Toast things that servers hold in their hands only work with Toast software. It has done an excellent job of building out its own AI tools. The fact that it's used in 171,000 locations right now, that's a pretty competitive advantage in an industry that has a somewhat transient workforce. If you're already trained on Toast in one restaurant, you can easily move to another restaurant, and it's a lot less friction to move jobs. There are some risk factors here to keep in mind, for sure. Memory costs, we've talked about in other segments, they're expected to be a pretty big margin headwind to Toast because they have a lot of memory needs. There's a lot of competition. Clover has more locations. Just Toast has more volume. Block’s Square is still a big part of the restaurant industry. This is still not a cheap stock. But as long as it keeps growing the top line at 20% year over year and is doing it profitably, keeps building out its ecosystem of features, I am a fan of Toast at these levels.
Lou Whiteman: I like the business better than the stock. I've never been enamored with the stock. It's just restaurants are such a tough, low-margin business. Matt mentions 171,000 locations, but from the BLS numbers, there's about over 1 million restaurant locations, so it's not a huge market share. I don't see anything in what Toast does that it might have been Forward, but I don't think there's anything that can't be copied by Clover. So many restaurants go out of business. I don't know if just getting your tools established or anchored in. I don't know if switching costs matter too much. I think this continues to be a just slugfest business, tough to gain margin, tough to gain real pricing power. Again, I like as a consumer, they've made the restaurant experience better for me. I wish them all the best, but it's just not a stock I'm interested in.
Tyler Crowe: I don't really have a horse or a dog in this fight, I guess, if you will, mixing my metaphors as always. But just throwing on the bear case cap for a second here. Matt, to your point, it is an intensely competitive space with Clover and Square. The three of them combined have hoovered up a decent amount of the space in terms of market share. Toast gains in market share up until now have garnered that 20% revenue growth or ARR growth that they have seen. The thing that I keep coming back to when I look at this is what you said was, as long as they keep that 20% revenue growth, well, that involves continuing to grow market share.
I think that the market share gains from here, where I think they're somewhere in the mid-20s percent, at least in some independent data that's been put out there, is going from that to 40% is much harder than going from 5-10% up to where it is today. There is a real possibility that revenue could slow as a result because it becomes much more of a knife fight, getting market share relative to a lot of its competitors. But it seems to be, as anyone who has either seen it or if you talk with people in the industry, they seem to really like the product, and so it has that aspect to it. Not saying that it can't do it, but it's just going to get harder from here. That's all the time we have for today. Lou, Matt, thanks for sharing thoughts. I'm going to hit disclosure, and we'll get out of here.
As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about and The Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. All personal finance content follows Motley Fool editorial standards, and it's not approved by advertisers. Advertisements are sponsored content and provide for informational purposes only. To see our full advertising disclosure, please check out our show notes. Thanks to producer Bart Shannon and the rest of The Motley Fool team for Lou, Matt, and myself. Thanks for listening, and we'll chat again soon.
SummaryInternational Business Machines Corporation experienced a historic stock drop after a Q2 earnings warning that showed sluggish 1% YoY revenue growth.Despite lowered 2026 revenue guidance, IBM maintained margin expansion and reiterated a $1B FCF increase, signaling resilient profitability.Strategic moves in cybersecurity and quantum computing, including partnerships and acquisitions, position IBM for future growth.I reiterate a Buy rating for IBM stock, viewing the recent selloff as a generational buying opportunity given IBM’s discounted valuation and AI-enabling role. Getty Images
Introduction International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) has made its fair share of headlines lately. We'll get into the details in a second, but basically the company issued a Q2 earnings warning earlier this month, and the
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NEW YORK, July 24, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Leading securities law firm Bleichmar Fonti & Auld LLP announces an investigation into International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM) for potential securities fraud after its significant stock drop. If you invested in IBM, you are encouraged to obtain additional information by visiting: https://www.bfalaw.com/cases/ibm-class-action-lawsuit.
Cooling inflation and resilient consumer spending have eased economic concerns, shifting Wall Street’s focus squarely to earnings Big Tech results, beginning today (July 22) after the bell, offer fresh insight into AI spending trends and corporate profitability Rising oil prices and Middle East tensions remain key risks that could challenge the disinflation narrative It’s difficult to call any stretch a calm, quiet summer week, but this one would seemingly fit the bill. Earnings from Alphabet (GOOGL), Tesla (TSLA), and IBM (IBM) are the standouts, along with a slew of cyclicals reporting Q2 results.
Beyond that, the Fed is in its blackout window ahead of the FOMC’s July 29 interest rate decision, and we won’t get major economic data until the end of the month.
Inflation Delivers Good News Last week offered a treasure trove of consumer clues, though. First, the June CPI report (released on Tuesday morning, July 14) came in much better than expected. According to Econoday, the 0.4% drop in the headline figure was the largest monthly decline since April 2020. The energy component fell 5.7%, while gasoline prices plunged 9.7%.
On a year-over-year basis, CPI inflation cooled to 3.5%, while the core rate ticked down by two basis points, rounding to 2.6%.
June CPI Fell Sharply It was the first in what turned out to be a somewhat Goldilocks set of June reports. The CPI on its own flipped the Fed rate hike odds to the likelihood of a hold. The following morning, PPI data confirmed a sanguine inflation trend. Wholesale prices dipped 0.3%, aided by a 6.4% energy price retreat, helping to push goods costs lower as the first half drew to a close.
Services inflation was still apparent, however, and year-over-year PPI remained elevated at 5.5%.
June PPI Fell Too Then came Retail Sales from the U.S. Census Bureau on Thursday, July 16. This macro reading was not far from consensus, with headline spending edging up 0.2% in June, along with a stronger revised 1.0% increase in May.
On a one-year basis, retail outlays were up 6.7%, well above the prevailing inflation rate, suggesting that consumers kept shopping online, spending on travel, and gearing up around the New York Knicks’ NBA Finals victory and the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
June Retail Sales In-Line With Estimates, Solid Spending Trends Into the Summer AI Spending Faces a Reality Check What does it all mean for investors? Well, the economy keeps chugging along, in part because of the AI buildout. But a “spend at all costs” mindset has shifted to expense control on the part of major corporations, with Uber (UBER) among the notable firms to tap the brakes on model usage. Indeed, so-called “token-maxing” has given way to a more throttled mindset, just as the Q2 earnings season kicks into high gear. We’ll know more when the major AI hyperscalers and other mega-cap tech companies report quarterly results later this month.
In the rearview, IBM’s preliminary earnings report last week stunned the Street, sending shares spiraling lower for their worst day since Big Blue’s modern-era IPO in 1962. It wasn’t exactly the kind of start to the reporting period that investors hoped for. As normally scheduled revenue and profit numbers hit the tape, FactSet notes that companies missing on actual earnings have seen their stock prices get clobbered. John Butters confirmed that firms with negative surprises have seen an average stock price decline of 9% (covering the period from two days before the release through two days after). It’s a historically large percentage, while beats are barely being rewarded.
As for the key dates, following GOOGL and TSLA this week, SK Hynix, Samsung, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, and Amazonput out quarterly earnings next week. Also be on the lookout for mega-cap tech volatility in early August during the Black Hat 2026 conference (August 1-6) and the Future of Memory and Storage Conference (August 4-6). SpaceX reports Tuesday, August 4 AMC. Later in the month, the Hot Chip 2026 Conference (August 23-25) has a slew of AI leaders on the speaking docket, right before NVIDIA’s Q2 earnings hit on Wednesday, August 26 AMC.
The AI Volatility Catalyst Calendar: Earnings & Conferences Ahead The Fed Goes Quiet So, investors got what they were hoping for in terms of the key June macro data. Yes, the payrolls report was soft, but weekly jobless claims are very low for this time of year, and other high-frequency indicators point to a healthy and stable labor market. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said as much during his semiannual testimony before Congress as CPI and PPI rolled in last week.
Pressed for his views on what the FOMC may do regarding interest rate policy and the Fed’s balance sheet, Warsh was indirect. Barely two months into his tenure, wishy-washy Warsh may be apropos. That’s not an indictment, either, as Powell’s successor seeks to tone down Fed speak, restoring a more Greenspan-era communication policy.
Yes, it’s comforting to look back on the 1990s with rose-tinted glasses, but the truth is that today’s monetary policy construct is simply different. Modern Fed members feel motivated to voice opinions, and if Warsh remains quiet, other voting members will fill the void. It’s possible that, assuming the Fed holds at next week’s meeting, some hawks on the Committee will use their respective bully pulpits to tee up a September rate hike.
That could force Warsh’s hand, either squashing or confirming a quarter-point tightening at the September Fed gathering. Keep in mind that the 2026 Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, hosted by the Kansas City Fed, is slated for August 27-29. Thus, Friday, August 29, could be a crucial morning for the bond market and global investors.
Oil Is the Wild Card In the here and now, the focus will be on earnings, along with developments in the Middle East. Brent crude oil hovers around $90 per barrel amid continued U.S. strikes on Iran, while crack spreads (the price difference between crude oil and refined products, like gasoline) are at a record level, confirming extremely tight distillate (the end products) supply-demand balances.
Traders can see this in equity price action: two of the largest U.S. refiner stocks, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) and Valero (VLO), are up 96% and 95%, respectively, so far in 2026. Commuters feel the heat, too, with the AAA average gas price topping $4 once again this week. The upshot? Higher energy prices might upend the disinflation narrative if geopolitical tensions persist.
The Bottom Line There’s a lot for investors to weigh. Encouraging inflation and consumer spending data last week paired well with a stellar start to the Q2 earnings season. Still, “SaaSpocalypse” fears linger as the AI road twists and turns. We’ll know more as the summer plays out, with conference season ratcheting back up, back-to-school shopping numbers registering, and perhaps clues on the Fed’s next direction.
Keep up with all the macro and corporate event-level data as our team sifts through the noise to spot the signal in today’s fast-changing market.
Twitter: @ChristineLShort
The author may hold positions in mentioned securities. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author, and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.
Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C. Litigation Partner Brandon Walker Encourages Investors Who Suffered Losses In IBM To Contact Him Directly To Discuss Their Options
If you purchased or acquired stock in IBM and would like to discuss your legal rights, contact Bragar Eagel & Squire partners Brandon Walker or Melissa Fortunato by email at [email protected] or by telephone at (212) 355-4648.
Click here to participate in the action.
NEW YORK, July 23, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) --
What’s Happening:
Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C., a nationally recognized stockholder rights law firm, is investigating potential claims against International Business Machines Corporation (“IBM” or the “Company”) (NYSE:IBM) on behalf of IBM stockholders. Our investigation concerns whether IBM has violated the federal securities laws and/or engaged in other unlawful business practices. Investigation Details:
On July 14, 2026, IBM reported its preliminary Q2 2026 financial results. The Company fell short of analyst expectations, with CEO Arvind Krishna blaming the shortfall on weakness in the software and infrastructure business, with customers shifting budgets to hardware like memory chips. Following this news, IBM's stock price dropped by 24.6% in morning trading that day. Next Steps:
If you purchased or otherwise acquired IBM shares and suffered a loss, are a long-term stockholder, have information, would like to learn more about these claims, or have any questions concerning this announcement or your rights or interests with respect to these matters, please contact Brandon Walker or Melissa Fortunato by email at [email protected], by telephone at (212) 355-4648, or by filling out this contact form. There is no cost or obligation to you. About Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C.:
Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C. is a nationally recognized law firm with offices in New York, South Carolina, and California. The firm represents individual and institutional investors in securities, derivative, and commercial litigation as well as individuals in consumer protection and data privacy litigation. The firm has a nationwide practice and routinely handles cases in both federal and state courts. For more information about the firm, please visit www.bespc.com. Attorney advertising. Prior results do not guarantee similar outcomes.
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IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said that only 2% of his company's software could be replaced with applications constructed by artificial intelligence models, as he seeks to reassure Wall Street following disappointing second-quarter results.
"The rest of our software really helps people get ready for AI, unlocking data in real time, reducing the cost and complexity of managing it, going across the hybrid infrastructure, which most of our clients are using," Krishna told CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" on Thursday. "And because it would be what you would call maybe infrastructure software, not applications, I believe it'll be a tailwind for us."
Wall Street has turned skeptical on software stocks over the past couple years due to concerns that AI will disrupt their business models as technology from Anthropic, OpenAI and others gets more powerful. IBM shares are down about 30% this year, and the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector Exchange-Traded Fund (IGV) has dropped 17%.
In February, IBM saw shares sink 13% after Anthropic issued a blog post on its Claude Code tool's ability to modernize code written in Cobol, which is often found on mainframes.
Krishna told analysts on Wednesday, after the company's earnings report, that IBM's current-generation z17 mainframe encountered challenges in the quarter. Finance chief Jim Kavanaugh said some customers chose to spend money on other data center equipment, such as servers and storage, as memory prices spike because of AI chip requirements.
For every dollar in revenue IBM generates from mainframe infrastructure, it picks up $3 in software. Just as IBM's Z mainframe business saw revenue drop 42% in the quarter, transaction processing software declined 9%. It was a sudden shift from the first quarter, when Z revenue grew 48%, and transaction processing increased 2%.
During the June quarter, 45% of IBM's revenue came from software, where profit margins are the strongest.
Krishna said Starbucks spends about $2 million per year on IBM software. He said the coffee maker is taking out Tririga lease management software. IBM bought Tririga in 2011, and plans to end support in 2027.
"That is a big component of that 2% I talked about, and I do think that software like that is subject to risk," he said. "By the way, what they had in place was a 10-year-old piece of software."
While IBM stuck with its guidance for a $1 billion bump to free cash flow in 2026, Kavanaugh said Wednesday that he now expects 6% to 8% growth in software revenue for the year. In January, he said he was confident the growth rate would be in the double digits.
Krishna said on Thursday that mainframe hardware capacity is growing, which has implications for software.
"The software on that tends to lag the hardware capacity, and I do think that if we give it another year, you'll find the software will catch back up," he said.
About 75% of deals that slipped from the second quarter should come back to IBM before year end, Krishna said.
"We would avoid giving full credit for the maintained guide until a larger portion of the slipped activity is reflected in reported results," analysts at Jefferies wrote in a Thursday note to clients. They recommend buying the stock.
IBM shares came under pressure after weaker-than-expected mainframe sales weighed on the company's outlook. CEO Arvind Krishna joins Bloomberg to explain why he sees the slowdown as temporary, how AI is reshaping enterprise technology spending, and why he's betting on quantum computing as IBM's next major growth engine.
Index Dow Jones -0,92 % na 51739,82 b. S&P 500 -1,19 % na 7409,52 b. Nasdaq Composite -2,1 % na 25151,85 b.
Index Dow Jones odepisuje téměř procento pří výprodeji technologických společností. Mimo Alphabet klesá i Amazon (- 4,1 %) a Salesforce ( -3,5 %). Z indexu S&P 500 se mimo komunikační služby nedaří zbytné spotřebě, kde reportovala výsledky společnost Tesla (- 14 %).
Thermo Fisher Scientific (8,2 %) roste po kvartálním reportu. Mimo dobré čísla management uvedl, že společnost cítí oživení poptávky ve všech hlavních segmentech. Nejedná se přitom o pouhé doplňování zásob, ale i dodávání analytických přístrojů, jelikož divize Analytical Instruments vzrostla o 15 %. Tržby za minulý kvartál dosahují USD 11,99 mld. a společně se ziskem na akcii USD 6,03 překonávají očekávání trhu. Společnost rovněž navyšuje odhad celoročního zisku na akcii na horní hranu USD 25,33.
Smíšený pocit z kvartálních výsledků mají investoři Freeport-McMoRan (- 2,6 %). Společnost sice dosáhla na lepší ziskovost, než bylo očekávání a reportovala EPS ve výši USD 0,74. Meziroční nárůst prodejní ceny mědi dosáhl 40 %. Vyšší prodejní ceny tak kompenzují nižší objemy produkce, které u zlata dosahují 40 % a u mědi 18 %. Management snížil výhled prodeje v dalším kvartále kvůli pomalému obnovování těžby v indonéském dole, který by měl dosáhnout plnou kapacitu až v příštím roce.
Lockheed Martin (10 %) reportoval silné výsledky za uplynulý kvartál. Růst tržeb dosáhl 11 % na mld. 20,1 USD a zisk na akcii překonal na úrovni USD 7,94 očekávání. Management současně navýšil celoroční výhled a tržby posadil mezi USD 79,75 – 81,75 mld. při zisku na akcii 29,95 – 30,65. Nevyřízené zakázky dosahují historické maximum společnosti USD 230 mld.
Po včerejším uzavření trhu reportovala výsledky i společnost Texas Instruments (- 4,4 %). Růst tržeb meziročně dosáhl na 23 % a nad konsenzus se dostal i zisk na akcii ve výši USD 2,14. Management v dalším kvartálu očekává jeho další růst na USD 2,23 – 2,57. Provozní výsledky a výhled byl slušný, ale trh nadále vyrušuje výše capex investic, které omezuje volné cash flow.
Výsledky dále zveřejnila i IBM (- 0,5 %) a společnost Alphabet (- 6,6 %).
SK Hynix (4,9 %) stanovuje limit na celkový počet vydaných ADR, které se obchodují v USA na 2,5 % všech akcií společnosti.
Uber Technologies (- 2,15 %) propustil 10 % zaměstnanců v divizi Community Operations, která se stará o zákaznickou a řidičskou podporu. Společnost dříve propustila přibližně 23 % zaměstnanců HR. K zefektivnění provozu ji pomáhá umělá inteligence.
Blízký východ je nadále velmi turbulentní. Futures na ropu Brent jsou opět nad USD 100 při téměř 7 % růstu. WTI se obchoduje nad USD 92. Hútíové oznámili, že zaútočili na dva saúdské tankery v Rudém moři. Posilují ropné společnosti. Exxon připisuje 1,87 % a Chevron roste o 1,5 %.
Index S&P 500 -1,19 % na 7409,52 b. Nejsilnější sektory S&P Změna Nejslabší sektory S&P Změna Průmysl +1,8 % Zbytná spotřeba -4,9 % Energie +1 % Komunikační služby -4,8 % Zdravotní péče +0,8 % Nezbytná spotřeba -1,4 % Nejsilnější akcie S&P Změna Nejslabší akcie S&P Změna Allegion (ALLE) +13 % Tesla (TSLA) -14 % United Rentals (URI) +12 % Rollins (ROL) -9,3 % Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT) +10 % Dover Corp (DOV) -7,7 % Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) +8,2 % Globe Life (GL) -7,7 % RTX Corp (RTX) +7,2 % T-Mobile US (TMUS) -6,8 %
Marek Kameništiak
Fio banka, a.s.
Prohlášení
IBM cuts its 2026 revenue growth outlook after delayed software deals, while early Q3 closures and infrastructure strength support a second-half rebound.
Key Takeaways IBM's Q2 adjusted earnings rose 5% to $2.93 per share, while revenues missed estimates by 0.9%.Delayed software deals and a 42% plunge in IBM Z revenues caused most of the quarterly shortfall.IBM cut its 2026 revenue growth view to 4-5% but raised its margin expansion target to 100 bps. International Business Machines Corporation (IBM - Free Report) reported relatively modest second-quarter 2026 results with adjusted earnings of $2.93 per share, up 5% year over year and in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Revenues rose 1.1% to $17.16 billion but missed the consensus mark of $17.32 billion by 0.9%.
The top-line miss reflected delayed large, capital-expenditure-sensitive software transactions and weaker IBM Z revenues. Software annual recurring revenue reached $24.6 billion, up 8% year over year, supported by continued strength in Red Hat, HashiCorp and Confluent.
Software Growth Slows on Transaction TimingSoftware revenues increased 5.1% year over year to $7.76 billion. Hybrid Cloud revenues rose 11%, while Data advanced 19%, or 18% at constant currency. Automation grew 4%, or 3% at constant currency.
Transaction Processing revenues fell 8%, or 9% at constant currency, as clients redirected spending toward servers, storage and memory amid supply constraints and expected price increases. Management observed that several large deals did not close on schedule, accounting for most of the quarterly shortfall.
About 80% of annual software revenues are recurring, comprising subscription, consumption and support streams. This portion delivered healthy growth, while OpenShift annual recurring revenue reached $2.2 billion.
HashiCorp posted another record-bookings quarter, while Confluent remained on track after its first full quarter since the acquisition. Software segment profit rose 9% to $2.50 billion, lifting margin 110 basis points (bps) to 32.2%.
Consulting Gains from AI Transformation DemandConsulting revenues were nearly flat at $5.33 billion, up 1% in constant currency. Strategy and Technology and Intelligent Operations each increased 1% on a constant-currency basis. Signings grew 6% to $5.0 billion, marking a second consecutive quarter of growth. Generative AI represented about 50% of signings and more than 30% of backlog. Segment profit increased 15.1% to $647 million, while margin expanded 160 bps to 12.1%.
Infrastructure Segment Mix WeighsInfrastructure revenues declined 7.4% to $3.84 billion. Hybrid Infrastructure fell 10%, reflecting a 42% plunge in IBM Z revenues, while Infrastructure Support slipped 1%. Distributed Infrastructure surged 37% and delivered its strongest quarterly growth on record. Power and Storage exited the quarter with nearly $500 million of backlog. Infrastructure segment profit declined 13% to $835 million, and margin contracted 150 bps to 21.8%.
IBM Expands Operating Profit Despite Gross Margin PressureNon-GAAP gross profit was $10.19 billion, essentially flat year over year, while non-GAAP gross margin declined 70 bps to 59.4%. The pressure mainly reflected the revenue shortfall and business mix.
Non-GAAP pre-tax income rose 3% to $3.29 billion, with margin expanding 30 bps to 19.2%. Adjusted EBITDA increased 2% to $4.8 billion, and margin improved about 20 bps to 27.8%, aided by productivity initiatives.
IBM Maintains Cash Flow DisciplineIBM generated $2.6 billion in operating cash flow during the quarter, up $0.9 billion year over year. Free cash flow was $2.5 billion, down $0.3 billion, while first-half free cash flow remained flat at $4.8 billion.
The company ended June with $8.20 billion in cash, restricted cash and marketable securities. Total debt was $62 billion, including $13 billion of IBM Financing debt. IBM returned $1.59 billion to shareholders through quarterly dividends.
IBM Trims Revenue View but Raises Margin TargetFor 2026, IBM now expects constant-currency revenue growth of 4% to 5%, down from its prior expectation of more than 5%. The company continues to expect free cash flow to increase by about $1 billion year over year.
Software growth is projected at 6% to 8%, while Infrastructure is expected to grow in the low single digits. Consulting growth is forecast to accelerate to the low-to-mid-single-digit range. IBM now expects 100 bps of operating pre-tax margin expansion for the year.
Zacks RankUpcoming ReleasesArista Networks Inc. (ANET - Free Report) is scheduled to release second-quarter 2026 earnings on Aug. 4. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is pegged at 89 cents per share, suggesting a growth of 21.9% from the year-ago reported figure.
Arista has a long-term earnings growth expectation of 19.9%. Arista delivered an average earnings surprise of 8.3% in the last four reported quarters.
Akamai Technologies, Inc. (AKAM - Free Report) is slated to release second-quarter 2026 earnings on Aug. 6. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is pegged at $1.58 per share, indicating an 8.7% decline from the year-ago reported figure.
Akamai has a long-term earnings growth expectation of 8.1%. Akamai delivered an average earnings surprise of 7.5% in the last four reported quarters.
Pinterest, Inc. (PINS - Free Report) is set to release second-quarter 2026 earnings on Aug. 4. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is pegged at 36 cents per share, implying a rise of 9.1% from the year-ago reported figure.
Pinterest has a long-term earnings growth expectation of 27%. Pinterest delivered an average negative earnings surprise of 4.1% in the last four reported quarters.
IBM (NYSE: IBM | IBM Price Prediction), which has been poorly run for decades, is on the ropes. The company has had plenty of practice managing decline. When it warned about its earnings a week ago, the stock dropped over 20%. It is down 30% for the year, while the S&P is up 9%. The picture is even bleaker from another vantage point: in early June, the stock changed hands at $329, but it trades at very slightly better than $200 now.
Yesterday, IBM reported the full extent of its failure with weak Q2 results. First, IBM announced it would cut guidance, although the revision was minor. The staggering news, however, was that revenue from IBM’s Z mainframe dropped 42%. This, in turn, dragged down infrastructure revenue by 7% year-over-year to $3.8 billion. While IBM suggested that customers were not abandoning the mainframe platform entirely, the data shows they are certainly moving away from IBM’s offerings at an accelerating pace.
Revenue for the second quarter was $17.2 billion, which was up 1% year over year. Net income was down 1% to $2.2 billion. IBM’s future depends on the credibility of a comment by CEO Arvind Krishna: “We are confident in IBM’s strategy and portfolio, and in our ability to capture growth opportunities ahead. We fundamentally believe that we are in the early innings of a structural shift for business, and that our portfolio — across software, infrastructure, and consulting — is well-positioned to help our clients tap the value, and manage the challenges of an AI-driven future.” The market begs to differ. Investors are not confident.
IBM acts as if it were still an important pillar of America’s megatech industry, but it is not. By way of contrast, the much larger Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) saw a 17% increase in its most recent quarter to $81.3 billion. The software giant’s EPS hit $5.18, compared to $3.24 in the year-ago period. Microsoft’s net income of $38.5 billion for the period is 2.3 times IBM’s total revenue for its most recent quarter.
Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), and Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG) all have higher revenue than Microsoft’s, and Nvidia’s (NASDAQ: NVDA) is almost as high as any of those. It is another sign of how small and inconsequential IBM’s revenue is compared to that of the larger tech companies
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IBM is special, in a sense. The company lost whatever clout it had decades ago. In 1980, IBM ranked ninth on the Fortune 500, America’s largest companies based on revenue. Since then, it has missed the opportunity to lead in personal computers, PC operating systems, e-commerce, tech operating systems, search, and, more recently, AI. It is hard to find a tech company that lost that many chances to be a leader.
IBM’s market cap is just under $200 billion. Microsoft’s market cap is $2.9 trillion. Alphabet’s is $4.2 trillion. Privately held OpenAI is estimated at $900 billion.
IBM has lost ground for decades, and it can’t make any of that up.
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International Business Machines Corp. cut its full-year sales outlook, including for its software unit, after reporting a dip in demand for its mainframe business. Shares still rose after the closing bell.
International Business Machines Corp (NYSE:IBM) shares were set to open about 2% lower on Thursday after the technology company reported second-quarter revenue and adjusted earnings that missed Wall Street expectations while lowering its full-year constant currency revenue growth forecast.
For the quarter, IBM reported adjusted earnings per share of $2.93, below the $2.97 expected by analysts, while revenue rose 1% year-over-year to $17.16 billion, missing the LSEG consensus estimate of $17.58 billion.
The company now expects full-year constant currency revenue growth of 4% to 5%, down from its previous outlook, while maintaining its expectation for free cash flow to increase by about $1 billion year-over-year in 2026. IBM also said it aims to expand its full-year pre-tax margin by about one percentage point through productivity improvements.
Software revenue increased 5% to $7.8 billion, led by 11% growth in Hybrid Cloud, including Red Hat (NYSE:RHT), and a 19% increase in Data. Automation revenue rose 4%, while Transaction Processing declined 8%.
Consulting revenue was flat at $5.3 billion, or up 1% in constant currency, with both Strategy and Technology and Intelligent Operations posting flat reported growth.
Infrastructure revenue declined 7% to $3.8 billion, reflecting a 42% drop in IBM Z revenue and a 10% decline in Hybrid Infrastructure, partially offset by 37% growth in Distributed Infrastructure. Financing revenue increased 12% to $200 million.
"We are confident in IBM's strategy and portfolio, and in our ability to capture growth opportunities ahead,” IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said in a statement.
“We fundamentally believe that we are in the early innings of a structural shift for business, and that our portfolio - across software, infrastructure, and consulting - is well-positioned to help our clients tap the value, and manage the challenges, of an AI-driven future.”
Jefferies analysts wrote that the revenue miss was primarily driven by weaker-than-expected software performance, with software revenue growing 5% versus the firm's expectation for 10% growth. The analysts noted that consulting was broadly in line with expectations, while infrastructure revenue also came in weaker than anticipated.
The analysts said management attributed the software shortfall to customers accelerating spending on supply-constrained servers, storage and memory ahead of expected price increases, which reduced near-term software spending. They added that roughly one-third of the delayed mainframe deals had already closed during the first three weeks of the third quarter, supporting management's view that the weakness was largely a timing issue rather than a structural change in demand.
Jefferies also noted that IBM's updated guidance reflects a range of possible outcomes. The low end of the company's 4% to 5% constant currency revenue growth forecast assumes little recovery in delayed transactions during the second half of the year, while the high end assumes most of those deals are completed. The analysts said the burden now shifts to third-quarter execution, with investors looking for evidence that the delayed business materializes.
The firm added that IBM's recurring software revenue base and unchanged free cash flow guidance provide support for the investment case, but it would wait for more of the delayed transactions to appear in reported results before becoming more constructive. Jefferies maintained its $260 price target on the stock.
, /PRNewswire/ -- Pomerantz LLP is investigating claims on behalf of investors of International Business Machines Corporation ("IBM" or the "Company") (NYSE: IBM). Such investors are advised to contact Danielle Peyton at [email protected] or 646-581-9980, ext. 7980.
The investigation concerns whether IBM and certain of its officers and/or directors have engaged in securities fraud or other unlawful business practices.
[Click here for information about joining the class action]
On July 14, 2026, IBM released its financial results for the second quarter of 2026. IBM announced a disappointing quarter that it attributed to "a shortfall in our Z performance and the associated software stack, primarily in Transaction Processing." IBM also disclosed that it had "faltered," and "did not adapt and move quickly enough" so that "numerous large deals failed to close on the timelines we expected, driving the majority of our shortfall."
On this news, IBM's stock price fell $73.16 per share, or 25.21%, to close at $217.07 per share on July 14, 2026.
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Diane King Hall touches on the top earnings moving markets after Thursday's opening bell. RTX Corp. (RTX) and Lockheed Martin (LMT) added muscle to the defense trade while Southwest Airlines (LUV) and American Airlines (AAL) fell following their reports and added fuel pressures.
Index Dow Jones -0,69 % na 51857,39 b., S&P 500 -0,76 % na 7441,85 b., Nasdaq Composite -1,49 % na 25308,58 b.
Index S&P 500 na začátku obchodování oslabuje, když obavy z neustále rostoucích výdajů na umělou inteligenci převážily nad jinak silnými hospodářskými výsledky společnosti Alphabet.
Technologická konglomerát Alphabet (-6,3 %) zveřejnil výsledky hospodaření za druhý kvartál roku 2026. Trhy zaujaly především výsledky Google Cloud, jehož výnosy meziročně vzrostly o 82 %. Nicméně rostoucí poptávka po cloudových službách a umělé inteligenci má za následek růst kapitálových výdajů, které jsou v tomto roce projektovány v rozmezí 195-205 mld. USD. Volné hotovostní toky poprvé v historii dosáhly záporných hodnot, a to 5,9 mld. USD.
Akcie Tesla padají o 11 %. Výrobce elektromobilů zveřejnil hospodářské výsledky za druhé čtvrtletí roku 2026, ve kterém zisk na akcii zaostal za průměrným odhadem analytiků, zatímco tržby odhady překonaly. Analytici zároveň upozorňují, že může trvat déle, než se výdaje do segmentu fyzické AI (robotika, autonomní vozidla) promítnou do výnosů a zisků firmy.
Výsledky zveřejnily rovněž například IT společnost IBM (-1,9 %), softwarová společnost ServiceNow (+0,1 %) či letecký a obranný koncern RTX (+7,9 %).
Index S&P 500 -0,76 % na 7441,85 b. Nejsilnější sektory S&P Změna Nejslabší sektory S&P Změna Průmysl +2 % Komunikační služby -4,3 % Energie +1,7 % Zbytná spotřeba -3,6 % Zdravotní péče +0,8 % Nezbytná spotřeba -0,9 % Nejsilnější akcie S&P Změna Nejslabší akcie S&P Změna United Rentals (URI) +12 % Rollins (ROL) -13 % Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT) +10,0 % Tesla (TSLA) -11 % Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) +10,0 % T-Mobile US (TMUS) -7,5 % Quest Diagnostics (DGX) +9,6 % Dover Corp (DOV) -6,7 % Allegion (ALLE) +8,1 % Alphabet (GOOG) -6,0 % Zdroj: Bloomberg
IT společnost IBM zveřejnila hospodářské výsledky za druhé čtvrtletí roku 2026 a snížila celoroční výhled růstu tržeb v konstantních měnách na 4 až 5 % z dříve očekávaného růstu nad 5 %. Report byl podle analytiků lepší, než se obávalo, poté co předběžné výsledky minulý týden vyvolaly historický propad akcií.
Výsledky společnosti IBM (IBM) za 2Q 2026 2Q 2026 Konsensus 2Q 2026 2Q 2025 Výnosy (mld. USD) 17,16 17,53 16,98 Čistý zisk (mld. USD) 2,17 -- 2,19 Očištěný provozní zisk na akcii (EPS, USD/akcie) 2,93 2,97 2,80 Výsledky za 2Q IBM představila předběžné výsledky za 2Q již 14. července.
Výnosy dosáhly 17,16 mld. USD, meziročně +1 %.
Výnosy ze softwarového segmentu činily 7,76 mld. USD, meziročně +5,1 %, pod odhadem 7,99 mld. USD. Výnosy z konzultačního segmentu dosáhly 5,33 mld. USD, meziročně +0,2 %, pod odhadem 5,39 mld. USD. Výnosy z infrastrukturního segmentu klesly o 7,4 % na 3,84 mld. USD, pod odhadem 3,96 mld. USD. Výnosy z financování vzrostly o 12 % na 186 mil. USD, nad odhadem 178,6 mil. USD.
Očištěná hrubá marže dosáhla 59,4 % oproti loňským 60,1 %.
Volný hotovostní tok klesl meziročně o 11 % na 2,54 mld. USD, pod odhadem 2,95 mld. USD.
Výhled na FY 2026 Firma snížila výhled pro celý rok 2026 a nyní predikuje:
Růst tržeb v konstantních měnách 4 % až 5 % (dříve: nad 5 %). Společnost zároveň nadále očekává meziroční nárůst celoročního volného hotovostního toku o přibližně 1 mld. USD a nově počítá se zlepšenou expanzí marže zisku před zdaněním pro celý rok.
Komentář vedení Arvind Krishna, předseda představenstva, prezident a generální ředitel IBM, uvedl: „Věříme ve strategii a portfolio IBM i v naši schopnost využít budoucí růstové příležitosti. Jsme přesvědčeni, že se nacházíme v raných fázích strukturální proměny byznysu a že naše portfolio napříč softwarem, infrastrukturou a konzultacemi je dobře pozicováno k tomu, aby pomohlo klientům využít hodnotu a zvládnout výzvy budoucnosti tažené AI. Zároveň podnikáme kroky ke zrychlení růstu tržeb a ziskovosti a významně investujeme do komerčního využití inovací.“
James Kavanaugh, finanční ředitel IBM, dodal: „Přestože jsme na konci druhého čtvrtletí čelili protivětru u tržeb, nadále jsme se soustředili na fundamenty našeho byznysu, včetně růstu produktivity, posilování portfolia a generování volného hotovostního toku.“
Společnost dále uvedla, že v příštích pěti letech investuje přes 10 mld. USD do kvantových počítačů a zůstává na dobré cestě dodat první rozsáhlý odolný kvantový počítač do roku 2029. IBM rovněž zrychluje změny svého obchodního modelu rozšířením prodejního pokrytí o tisíce dalších klientů s významným růstovým potenciálem.
Návrat kapitálu akcionářům Společnost za čtvrtletí vrátila akcionářům 1,6 mld. USD formou dividend.
Komentáře analytiků Analytici z Evercore ISI (doporučení outperform, cílová cena 250 USD) uvedli, že výsledky odpovídají negativnímu předběžnému oznámení IBM, avšak výhled je výrazně lepší, než se obávalo.
Analytici z RBC Capital Markets (doporučení outperform, cílová cena 270 USD) uvedli, že po zklamáních z předběžných výsledků vedení vyjádřilo důvěru ve svou strategii a portfolio, což se odrazilo v zachovaném výhledu volného hotovostního toku pro fiskální rok 2026. Report označili za lepší, než se obávalo.
Akcie IBM Akcie IBM (IBM) v předburzovní fázi obchodování klesají o 1,56 % na 202,55 USD.
International Business Machines Corp (IBM) -2,2 % na 205,77 USD Ukazatel Ukazatel Kapitalizace (mld. USD) 193,9 P/E 19,1 Vývoj za letošní rok (%) -30,5 Očekávané P/E 16,7 52týdenní minimum (USD) 204,4 Prům. cílová cena (USD) 252,0 52týdenní maximum (USD) 332,5 Dividendový výnos (%) 3,3 Zdroj: IBM, Bloomberg
ABN Amro Investment Solutions increased its holdings in International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM – Free Report) by 11.1% in the 1st quarter, according to its most recent filing with the SEC. The institutional investor owned 49,663 shares of the technology company’s stock after buying an additional 4,976 shares during the quarter. ABN Amro Investment Solutions’ holdings in International Business Machines were worth $12,038,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period.
Other hedge funds have also bought and sold shares of the company. Norges Bank purchased a new position in shares of International Business Machines during the fourth quarter valued at approximately $2,446,429,000. Capital World Investors boosted its holdings in International Business Machines by 29.2% in the fourth quarter. Capital World Investors now owns 22,021,912 shares of the technology company’s stock worth $6,523,720,000 after purchasing an additional 4,976,756 shares during the last quarter. Price T Rowe Associates Inc. MD raised its stake in International Business Machines by 83.4% during the 4th quarter. Price T Rowe Associates Inc. MD now owns 5,617,117 shares of the technology company’s stock valued at $1,663,847,000 after buying an additional 2,553,552 shares during the last quarter. Corient Private Wealth LLC raised its stake in International Business Machines by 359.6% during the 4th quarter. Corient Private Wealth LLC now owns 1,896,675 shares of the technology company’s stock valued at $561,814,000 after buying an additional 1,484,026 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Vanguard Group Inc. lifted its holdings in shares of International Business Machines by 1.5% during the 4th quarter. Vanguard Group Inc. now owns 97,216,131 shares of the technology company’s stock valued at $28,796,390,000 after buying an additional 1,439,824 shares during the period. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 58.96% of the company’s stock.
International Business Machines News Roundup Here are the key news stories impacting International Business Machines this week:
Positive Sentiment: IBM’s earnings matched Wall Street’s EPS estimate, and the company continues to emphasize AI-driven productivity, quantum computing, and strong free-cash-flow generation. IBM (IBM) Matches Q2 Earnings Estimates Neutral Sentiment: After the release, IBM shares saw some after-hours recovery as investors focused on long-term AI and quantum initiatives rather than the immediate headline miss. IBM just cut its outlook. Why its stock is bouncing anyway. Negative Sentiment: IBM lowered full-year revenue guidance and posted weaker sales than expected, with mainframe revenue notably under pressure, raising concerns about near-term growth. IBM Lowers Its Growth Outlook as Sales of Data Center Mainframes Sink 42% Negative Sentiment: Multiple law firms announced securities-fraud investigations following IBM’s sharp stock decline and guidance cut, adding an overhang for investors. IBM Investigated by the Portnoy Law Firm Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades A number of research analysts have weighed in on IBM shares. Oppenheimer downgraded International Business Machines from an “outperform” rating to a “market perform” rating in a report on Wednesday, July 15th. Needham & Company LLC assumed coverage on shares of International Business Machines in a research report on Wednesday, June 3rd. They set a “buy” rating for the company. Jefferies Financial Group lowered their price objective on shares of International Business Machines from $320.00 to $260.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research note on Tuesday. Sanford C. Bernstein reissued a “market perform” rating on shares of International Business Machines in a report on Thursday, July 16th. Finally, DZ Bank upgraded shares of International Business Machines from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating and set a $295.00 target price for the company in a research report on Friday, April 24th. Fifteen analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, eleven have given a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the company’s stock. According to data from MarketBeat, the company has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average target price of $278.68.
Read Our Latest Report on International Business Machines
International Business Machines Stock Down 2.1% Shares of IBM opened at $206.03 on Thursday. The business’s 50 day moving average is $263.26 and its 200 day moving average is $261.42. The company has a current ratio of 0.80, a quick ratio of 0.76 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.75. International Business Machines Corporation has a 12-month low of $204.44 and a 12-month high of $332.46. The company has a market capitalization of $193.64 billion, a PE ratio of 18.22, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 2.27 and a beta of 0.68.
International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM – Get Free Report) last announced its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, July 22nd. The technology company reported $2.93 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, meeting analysts’ consensus estimates of $2.93. The business had revenue of $17.16 billion during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $17.48 billion. International Business Machines had a net margin of 15.61% and a return on equity of 37.23%. The company’s revenue was up 1.1% on a year-over-year basis. During the same period last year, the firm posted $2.80 EPS. Research analysts expect that International Business Machines Corporation will post 12.19 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
International Business Machines Profile (Free Report)
International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a global technology and consulting company headquartered in Armonk, New York. Founded in 1911 as the Computing-Tabulating-Recording Company (CTR) and renamed IBM in 1924, the company has evolved from early electromechanical machines to a diversified technology provider serving enterprises and governments worldwide. IBM is publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol IBM.
IBM’s principal businesses encompass cloud computing and software, infrastructure and systems, consulting and technology services, and research and development.
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HRL's expertise in silicon-spin qubits and quantum sensing will strengthen and extend IBM's world-leading quantum computing mission
, /PRNewswire/ -- IBM (NYSE: IBM) today announced it has signed a definitive agreement to acquire HRL Laboratories, LLC (HRL), a flagship research and development institution. HRL is a private company jointly owned by Boeing and General Motors. Both Boeing and GM will continue to partner with IBM on quantum applications and advanced technology development following the transaction.
HRL's advanced expertise in silicon-spin qubit engineering will complement and extend IBM's long-term mission to scale increasingly powerful quantum computers and accelerate its quantum vision. Superconducting qubits and spin qubits both leverage state-of-the art silicon fabrication. This shared foundation is amongst the reasons why these two modalities offer credible paths to scaling quantum technologies.
"The HRL team will help IBM push even farther forward toward the frontiers of quantum innovation," said Jay Gambetta, IBM's Director of Research and IBM Fellow. "This talented group of researchers brings a broad portfolio of technologies that will strengthen IBM's long-term plans to deliver useful quantum computing to the world, bringing together advances across quantum computing, quantum sensing, and quantum networking to enable the applications of the future."
"Joining IBM is the natural next chapter for what we have built at HRL, where our team has dedicated years to exploring paths to how future quantum computers could be built at scales that today seem impossible," said Rob Vasquez, President and Chief Executive Officer at HRL "We now look forward to leveraging IBM's industry leadership and working alongside their world-class talent on fundamental infrastructure to take this vision forward. Additionally, our cutting-edge physical and information science innovations will combine with their advanced research capabilities to deliver an unmatched suite of technology solutions for our commercial and government customers."
HRL will also enable IBM to innovate in and industrialize promising technologies such as quantum sensing and drive new research into quantum materials. This includes ultra precise quantum sensors capable of detecting subtle physical phenomena and capturing finely tuned measurements for life sciences, navigation, defense, and scientific applications. Combined with additional capabilities in cryogenics, control electronics, qubit interconnects, and packaging, IBM anticipates that HRL's technical breakthroughs will help fuel its quantum program for decades to come.
Additionally, HRL has developed innovations in novel quantum materials that have the potential to unlock better semiconductors and more sensitive sensors – all of which can optimize the performance and scalability of a wide range of quantum technologies.
Beyond its leadership in quantum computing, HRL brings deep expertise in advanced sensors, high-speed and high-power communications, electronics, advanced manufacturing, and materials science, developed through decades of research and development for both commercial and U.S. government customers. HRL's broad technology portfolio will complement IBM's innovation leadership and help accelerate the development of next-generation computing, communications, and mission-critical systems.
Advancing Quantum Computers for Generations to Come
IBM continues to define the direction for the industry with superconducting qubit-based architectures, including breakthroughs in error correction and new algorithms enabling quantum computers to run harder problems more efficiently. IBM's roadmap to deliver the world's first large-scale, fault-tolerant quantum computers is clear and on course. This includes delivering IBM Quantum Starling by 2029, which will be 20,000 times more powerful than today's quantum computers and capable of running 100 million quantum operations. In the mid-2030s, Starling will be followed by the even more powerful Blue Jay quantum computer, projected to be capable of 1 billion quantum operations.
As IBM looks to further extend quantum computing, HRL will bring robust knowledge of silicon‑based spin qubit platforms and surrounding infrastructure that could offer new insights into how to best scale quantum computers into the next decade.
In May 2026, IBM further expanded its global quantum leadership when the company announced it would establish Anderon, the world's first pure-play quantum wafer foundry. As a standalone IBM company, Anderon is being created with the support of the U.S. Department of Commerce to enable scalable, consistent, and agile manufacturing for a broad range of quantum computing modalities and companies. The acquisition of HRL offers an opportunity to partner even more closely with Anderon, including potential plans to develop spin qubit manufacturing to scale quantum manufacturing and enable faster learning cycles.
Financial details of the transaction were not disclosed, and IBM's acquisition of HRL is subject to customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals. The transaction is anticipated to close by the end of the third quarter of 2026.
Media Contact:
Erin Angelini
IBM
[email protected]
The IBM logo is seen during the Viva Technology conference dedicated to innovation and startups at Porte de Versailles exhibition center in Paris, France, June 12, 2025. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab
SummaryCompaniesHRL adds electron spin circuits to IBM's mainly superconducting quantum approachBoeing, GM will continue partnering with IBM on quantum technologies, IBM saysHRL will start making chips at IBM's New York facilitySAN FRANCISCO, July 23 (Reuters) - IBM (IBM.N), opens new tab has agreed to buy HRL Laboratories, a private quantum computing research lab jointly owned by Boeing Co (BA.N), opens new tab and General Motors (GM.N), opens new tab, the company said on Thursday, adding a second pillar to IBM's quantum computing efforts.
IBM has been racing against Alphabet's Google, Microsoft and others to create practical quantum machines that can crack problems that would take conventional computers thousands of years to solve.
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In May, U.S. President Donald Trump's administration said it would award $1 billion to IBM to set up a new company called Anderon in New Albany, New York, to serve as a chip factory for U.S. quantum computing firms.
While there is agreement among governments and the tech industry that quantum computers are coming, precisely how they will work remains an open question. Companies and labs are chasing a half-dozen different ways of making quantum circuits, and the HRL deal will add a second approach to IBM's portfolio.
IBM did not disclose a price for the HRL deal but said that Boeing and GM "will continue to partner with IBM" on quantum technologies after the transaction.
IBM, along with Google, has been a proponent of using superconductors to craft quantum circuits. HRL, the former research arm of aerospace firm Hughes Aircraft based near Malibu, California, makes electron spin quantum circuits called "qubits."
Both technologies can be made with the same equipment used to fabricate conventional computing chips, but electron spin circuits can be made much smaller than superconducting circuits.
Those smaller circuits will become useful for IBM's efforts after its "Blue Jay" system, which uses superconducting chips, is delivered in 2033, Jay Gambetta, director of IBM Research, told Reuters in an interview on Wednesday.
"I and the team strongly believe that the future is going to be (electron) spins, or superconducting, or possibly a combination of them," Gambetta said. "They (HRL) have a very strong spin qubit team, the strongest in the world. ... I would not pursue a second path that was not built on a foundation that could be integrated together."
In the more immediate future, Gambetta said, HRL's team, which currently makes chips at its California facility, will start to make chips at IBM's cutting-edge facility in New York. Gambetta also said that IBM has "a parallel path" of spin-based quantum technology in addition to its superconductors "that we'll make available very soon."
IBM's addition of a second quantum technology follows Google's move earlier this year, opens new tab to add a second technology based on neutral atoms.
Reporting by Stephen Nellis in San Francisco; Editing by Christian Schmollinger
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab
On Wednesday, IBM officially reported earnings and the news was as bad as everyone knew it would be.
While the 115-year-old company still generates boatloads of cash — $17.2 billion in revenue, $9.9 billion in gross profit, nearly 58% margins, and $2.2 billion in net earnings for the quarter — its results fell well short of Wall Street’s expectations.
It was such a bad miss that IBM CEO Arvind Krishna and the board took an unprecedented step of warning investors ahead of time that the earnings “was worse than our expectations,” offering everyone a sneak peek.
He published a “letter to investors,” last week sharing preliminary results. It warned of abysmal revenue in the company’s all-important “infrastructure” category and said that profit margins were also going to take a hit. The company’s stock instantly tanked 25%, it’s biggest single-day decline ever. Until then, the stock had performed well under Krishna’s six years of leadership, buoyed by the AI data center boom that had been lifting all boats.
On Wednesday, IBM also lowered its full-year growth forecasts, meaning this horrible quarter would impact the rest of the year. The culprit? IBM’s cash-cow mainframe business was down 42%.
That’s a cascading problem, because as CFO Jim Kavanaugh explained on the quarterly call with investors, IBM earns $3 in software revenue for every $1 of mainframe hardware it sells.
However, the CEO and CFO spent the call insisting that this was a temporary blip and all would be well soon.
What happened, they said, was that “tens” of customers that were due to buy a new mainframe during the quarter opted not to do so. That may not sound like a lot of customers, but mainframes are systems that cost hundreds of thousands to millions of dollars, and with maintenance contracts and software, generate many millions more.
The same AI boom that lifted IBM’s boat also sank it.
Instead of buying a new mainframe, these clients bought other hardware, Krishna explained. They were faced with astronomically high cost increases of 15% to 30% for data center gear and PCs.
“When they were faced with that issue, then they decided to move budget to those areas where they were having that extreme price,” Krishna said.
Enterprise hardware makers like Dell and HP have warned that rising costs on components like memory, caused by the AI build-out boom, have forced them to raise prices. Apple has said the same.
But Krishna promised that those customers will still buy their new mainframes eventually — along with their new software contracts. In fact, he said some of them have already done so this quarter. “We see no evidence of clients moving off the mainframe,” he said.
We’ll have to wait and see. But the tech industry has predicted the death of the mainframe for many decades now. Maybe even AI won’t kill it.
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International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) Q2 2026 Earnings Call July 22, 2026 5:00 PM EDT
Company Participants
Olympia McNerney - Global Head of Investor Relations
Arvind Krishna - CEO, President & Chairman
James Kavanaugh - CFO and Senior VP of Finance & Operations
Conference Call Participants
Amit Daryanani - Evercore ISI Institutional Equities, Research Division
Brent Thill - Jefferies LLC, Research Division
Benjamin Reitzes - Melius Research LLC
Fatima Boolani - Citigroup Inc., Research Division
Erik Woodring - Morgan Stanley, Research Division
Matthew Swanson - RBC Capital Markets, Research Division
Presentation
Operator
Welcome, and thank you for standing by. [Operator Instructions] Today's conference is being recorded. If you have any objections, you may disconnect at this time.
Now I will turn the meeting over to Olympia McNerney, IBM's Global Head of Investor Relations. Olympia, you may begin.
Olympia McNerney
Global Head of Investor Relations
Thank you. I'd like to welcome you to IBM's Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Presentation. I'm Olympia McNerney, and I'm here today with Arvind Krishna, IBM's Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Jim Kavanaugh, IBM's Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.
We'll post today's prepared remarks and a replay of today's webcast on the IBM Investor website within a couple of hours. The earnings presentation is already available. To provide additional information to our investors, our presentation includes certain non-GAAP measures. For example, all of our references to revenue and signings growth are at constant currency. We provided reconciliation charts for these and other non-GAAP financial measures at the end of the presentation, which is posted to our investor website.
Finally, some comments made in this presentation may be considered forward-looking under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements involve factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially. Additional information about these factors is included in the company's
IBM (IBM - Free Report) reported $17.16 billion in revenue for the quarter ended June 2026, representing a year-over-year increase of 1.1%. EPS of $2.93 for the same period compares to $2.80 a year ago.
The reported revenue represents a surprise of -0.03% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $17.17 billion. With the consensus EPS estimate being $2.93, the company has not delivered EPS surprise.
While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company's underlying performance.
As these metrics influence top- and bottom-line performance, comparing them to the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated helps investors project a stock's price performance more accurately.
Here is how IBM performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:
Revenue- Software: $7.76 billion compared to the $7.95 billion average estimate based on five analysts. The reported number represents a change of +5.1% year over year.Revenue- Consulting: $5.33 billion compared to the $5.38 billion average estimate based on five analysts. The reported number represents a change of +0.2% year over year.Revenue- Financing: $186 million compared to the $172.79 million average estimate based on five analysts. The reported number represents a change of +12.1% year over year.Revenue- Infrastructure: $3.84 billion compared to the $3.95 billion average estimate based on five analysts. The reported number represents a change of -7.4% year over year.Revenue- Other: $52 million compared to the $47.75 million average estimate based on four analysts. The reported number represents a change of -267.7% year over year.Revenue- Intelligent Operations: $2.4 billion compared to the $2.41 billion average estimate based on three analysts. The reported number represents a change of 0% year over year.Revenue- Automation: $2 billion compared to the $2.03 billion average estimate based on three analysts. The reported number represents a change of +5.3% year over year.Revenue- Strategy and Technology: $2.9 billion versus the three-analyst average estimate of $2.95 billion. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of 0%.Revenue- Hybrid Cloud: $2 billion compared to the $2 billion average estimate based on three analysts. The reported number represents a change of +11.1% year over year.Revenue- Infrastructure Support: $1.3 billion versus the three-analyst average estimate of $1.18 billion. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of 0%.Revenue- Data: $1.8 billion versus $1.87 billion estimated by three analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +20% change.Revenue- Transaction Processing: $2 billion compared to the $2.19 billion average estimate based on three analysts. The reported number represents a change of -9.1% year over year.View all Key Company Metrics for IBM here>>>
Shares of IBM have returned -20.6% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.3% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), indicating that it could underperform the broader market in the near term.
IBM (IBM - Free Report) came out with quarterly earnings of $2.93 per share, in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate . This compares to earnings of $2.8 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.
A quarter ago, it was expected that this technology and consulting company would post earnings of $1.81 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.91, delivering a surprise of +5.52%.
Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times.
IBM, which belongs to the Zacks Computer - Integrated Systems industry, posted revenues of $17.16 billion for the quarter ended June 2026, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.03%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $16.98 billion. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates three times over the last four quarters.
The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.
IBM shares have lost about 28.9% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 9.7%.
What's Next for IBM?While IBM has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?
There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.
Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.
Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for IBM was unfavorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to underperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $2.83 on $17.03 billion in revenues for the coming quarter and $12.13 on $70.75 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year.
Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Computer - Integrated Systems is currently in the top 7% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.
Another stock from the same industry, NCR Voyix (VYX - Free Report) , has yet to report results for the quarter ended June 2026.
This maker of ATMs and other hardware and software to handle payments is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.16 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -15.8%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days.
NCR Voyix's revenues are expected to be $517.5 million, down 22.3% from the year-ago quarter.
IBM Just Had Its Worst Day Ever—What Earnings Must ProveInternational Business Machines NYSE: IBM said its second-quarter 2026 results fell short of expectations as some large software transactions slipped late in the period, prompting the company to lower its full-year revenue growth outlook while maintaining its free cash flow target.
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer Arvind Krishna said IBM’s “conviction in the strength of our business and our ability to grow and drive shareholder value remains unchanged,” but acknowledged that the company “fell short” on execution in the quarter.
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3 Dividend Stocks with Growth on Tap for the Second HalfChief Financial Officer Jim Kavanaugh said IBM delivered 1% revenue growth in the quarter, along with 30 basis points of operating pre-tax margin expansion and 5% diluted operating earnings per share growth. Through the first half of the year, IBM generated $4.8 billion of free cash flow, which Kavanaugh said was flat year over year.
Software Shortfall Tied to Client CapEx Priorities IBM’s software revenue grew 5% in the quarter, while organic software revenue was flat. Kavanaugh said that in the final weeks of June, IBM saw “a shift in client spending priorities,” with many customers redirecting spending toward servers, storage and memory purchases to secure supply-constrained infrastructure ahead of expected price increases.
Starbucks Builds Sovereign AI to Cut $400 Million in Software CostsAs a result, Kavanaugh said “tens of large deals failed to close on the timelines we expected,” accounting for the majority of the shortfall. He said the impact was concentrated in enterprise license agreements tied to mainframe and associated software, which are generally treated by customers as capital investments.
Transaction processing revenue declined 9% in the quarter, while data revenue grew 18% and automation grew 3%. Kavanaugh said transactional software revenue was down high single digits, while IBM’s subscription and consumption-based software was “largely unaffected” by the CapEx dynamics.
IBM said roughly 80% of its annual software revenue is recurring, including subscription and consumption-based offerings such as Red Hat, HashiCorp and Confluent, along with subscription and support revenue. Annual recurring revenue was $24.6 billion, up 8% from a year earlier.
Krishna said the software shortfall was limited to a “CapEx-sensitive area” of the portfolio, while the recurring portion of the business delivered healthy growth. In response to an analyst question, he said about one-third of the large deals that slipped had already closed in the first three weeks of the third quarter, calling that “a good indication” that demand was deferred rather than destroyed.
Guidance Lowered, Free Cash Flow Target Maintained IBM now expects full-year 2026 revenue growth of 4% to 5%, down from its prior expectation for growth above 5%. The company maintained its expectation to grow free cash flow by about $1 billion this year.
Kavanaugh said the low end of the revenue range reflects the current environment and serves as IBM’s base case. He said the company now expects software revenue growth of 6% to 8% for the full year. The low end assumes recent spending dynamics persist through the second half, while the high end assumes a more typical conversion of IBM’s pipeline.
Kavanaugh said IBM expects infrastructure revenue to grow in the low single digits for 2026, helped by distributed infrastructure and continued program-to-program performance in IBM Z. Consulting revenue is expected to accelerate to low- to mid-single-digit growth for the year.
The company also expects 100 basis points of operating pre-tax margin expansion for the year, with productivity actions more than offsetting revenue-related headwinds. Kavanaugh cited efforts including broader use of AI and automation, reductions in third-party spending, improved sales and marketing efficiency, more efficient software development, supply chain optimization and enhanced services delivery.
Infrastructure Mixed as Distributed Systems Gain IBM Infrastructure revenue declined 7% in the quarter. Kavanaugh said IBM Z performance was below expectations, but revenue through the first five quarters of z17 availability was nearly 130% of the prior program-to-program cycle.
Krishna said z17 is having “the best refresh cycle in reported history” and that IBM sees “no evidence of clients moving off the mainframe.” He said IBM Z runs more than 70% of the world’s transaction volume by value, with more than 140 million installed MIPS supporting mission-critical transactions.
Kavanaugh said clients continue to invest in IBM Z for resiliency, security and AI-related workloads. He said nearly 50% of z17 customers are investing in AI capabilities with Spyre Accelerator, and that clients deploying watsonx Code Assistant for Z are growing MIPS capacity three times faster than those that are not.
Distributed infrastructure was a brighter spot. Krishna said the business delivered its best quarter of revenue growth on record, rising 37%. Kavanaugh said IBM exited the quarter with about $500 million of backlog, its highest on record, supporting momentum in Power and storage.
Consulting Demand Supported by Generative AI IBM Consulting signings grew 6%, marking a second consecutive quarter of growth. Revenue rose 1%, driven by demand for application modernization, data transformation and cybersecurity services.
Kavanaugh said generative AI represented about 50% of consulting signings in the quarter and now accounts for more than 30% of backlog. He said clients are moving from pilots to enterprise-wide deployments and are turning to IBM Consulting to re-engineer business processes and unlock productivity through AI, automation and digital labor.
Krishna said clients remain in the early stages of AI adoption and that IBM’s combination of consulting expertise and technology is a differentiator. He said IBM is positioned around hybrid cloud, sovereignty and trust, with watsonx Orchestrate serving as a control plane for building, managing and governing agents across models, clouds and on-premises environments.
IBM Highlights AI, Open Source Security and Quantum Plans Krishna also discussed IBM’s broader growth initiatives, including AI orchestration, real-time governed data through Confluent and application health and compliance monitoring through Concert.
He highlighted Lightwell, a new IBM and Red Hat capability aimed at helping clients secure open source software. Krishna said clients can subscribe to Lightwell for $1 million per year to access open source packages that have been remediated or validated. He described the addressable opportunity as “multiple billions of dollars” and said IBM had made more than 7,500 package versions available in the first two weeks.
Krishna also said quantum computing is “no longer decades away.” He cited a letter of intent with the U.S. Department of Commerce to build Anderon, described as the world’s first pure-play quantum foundry, supported by $1 billion in chips incentives from the department and a $1 billion cash contribution from IBM. He said IBM plans to invest more than $10 billion in quantum over the next five years, supporting its roadmap to install what it calls the world’s first large-scale, fault-tolerant quantum computer in 2029.
Krishna closed by saying IBM remains confident in its growth opportunities and the actions it is taking to improve execution through the rest of the year.
About International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM)International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a global technology and consulting company headquartered in Armonk, New York. Founded in 1911 as the Computing-Tabulating-Recording Company (CTR) and renamed IBM in 1924, the company has evolved from early electromechanical machines to a diversified technology provider serving enterprises and governments worldwide. IBM is publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol IBM.
IBM's principal businesses encompass cloud computing and software, infrastructure and systems, consulting and technology services, and research and development.
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Key Takeaways After a Flat-to-Lower Trading Day, Q2 Reports Hit the TapeGOOGL Reported Nearly 4x Earnings Growth Year over YearTesla Missed Earnings by -34% in Q2 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
We’ve come to that point in earnings season where after-market-close reports begin to outshine those reported ahead of the open. Market indexes were flat-to-down on the regular trading session, with the Nasdaq shedding -146 points, or -0.57%, while the small-cap Russell 2000 slipped -27 points, -0.92%.
After-Market Earnings Reports at a Glance: GOOGL, TSLA, IBM & More
Search leader and tech conglomerate Alphabet (GOOGL - Free Report) set a very high bar on its earnings beat this afternoon, posting a positive surprise of +216% — $9.11 per share versus a consensus estimate of $2.87, and nearly 4x the $2.31 per share it reported a year ago. Revenues reported at $119.80 billion do not subtract traffic acquisition costs (TAC), which we here at Zacks do. Thus we see a $103.62 billion top-line, above the $101.28 billion forecast.
Cloud demonstrated +82% growth, $63.2 billion of which came from Search, +24.7% of which saw AI driving search query engagements. YouTube Ads brought in $11 billion for the first time in a quarter. However, this also marked the first quarter of negative free cash flow at Alphabet, -$5.8 billion, on capital expenditures totaling $44 billion. So while the AI trade continues its upward surge, it’s coming with a high price tag. As a result, shares are selling off -1% in late trading.
Tesla (TSLA - Free Report) , conversely, posted a big bottom-line miss in Q2: $0.33 per share versus $0.50 anticipated. Revenues improved nicely to $28.26 billion in the quarter, above the $25.81 million expected and +26% year over year. It also carries negative free cash flow as well, and shares are trading down -3% in after hours, adding to their -16.8% drop since the start of the year.
IBM (IBM - Free Report) managed to meet bottom-line expectations at $2.93 per share this afternoon, while revenues of $17.2 billion eked out a beat over the $17.17 billion Zacks consensus. Software gained +5% in the quarter, partly on Red Hat’s +11% gains. The tech giant also said it is “investing aggressively” into quantum computing going forward. Shares are up +2% in today’s after-market.
ServiceNow (NOW - Free Report) posted a +19% beat on its bottom line in Q2 today, with earnings of $0.97 per share outpacing the $0.86 estimate. Revenues of $3.99 billion easily surpassed the $3.92 billion in the Zacks consensus, and the software company increased its subscriber revenue outlook for the full year. Shares are up +3.66% in late trading, filling in some of the -37% crater in stock price year to date.
Texas Instruments (TXN - Free Report) stuck the landing on its Q2 results this afternoon, putting up earnings of $2.14 per share versus expectations of $1.91 — up +52% year over year. Revenues of $5.46 billion outpaced the $5.22 billion forecast, up +23% year over year. The Texas tech giant still has $2.74 billion in free cash flow. Shares have added +1% in late trading to their impressive tally +69.5% year to date.
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LOS ANGELES, July 22, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Portnoy Law Firm advises IBM, (“IBM" or the "Company") (NYSE: IBM) investors that the firm has initiated an investigation into possible securities fraud, and may file a class action on behalf of investors.
Investors are encouraged to contact attorney Lesley F. Portnoy, by phone 844-767-8529 or email: [email protected], to discuss their legal rights, or join the case via https://portnoylaw.com/ibm. The Portnoy Law Firm can provide a complimentary case evaluation and discuss investors’ options for pursuing claims to recover their losses.
IBM is currently under investigation for potential securities fraud following a sharp decline in its equity value that inflicted substantial losses on investors. As a global technology and consulting firm, IBM centers its strategy on hybrid cloud solutions and artificial intelligence. The company relies on its IBM Z architecture to deliver accelerated AI processing via multi-model capabilities, cost-effective infrastructure designed for scale, end-to-end data encryption, continuous system availability, and exceptionally high transaction volumes. Portnoy Law Firm is probing whether IBM misinformed shareholders regarding the velocity of its deal pipeline and the strength of its forward-looking guidance for the IBM Z platform. On July 14, 2026, IBM published its financial results for the second quarter of 2026, delivering disappointing quarterly performance. Management tied the underperformance to "a shortfall in our Z performance and the associated software stack, primarily in Transaction Processing." Corporate leadership further conceded that the enterprise had "faltered," acknowledging it "did not adapt and move quickly enough," which led to a situation where "numerous large deals failed to close on the timelines we expected, driving the majority of our shortfall."
Following this announcement, IBM’s stock price plummeted by more than $75 per share—a single-day intraday drop exceeding 25%—on July 14, 2026.
The Portnoy Law Firm represents investors in pursuing claims caused by corporate wrongdoing. The Firm’s founding partner has recovered over $5.5 billion for aggrieved investors. Attorney advertising. Prior results do not guarantee similar outcomes.
Lesley F. Portnoy, Esq.
Admitted CA, NY and TX Bar [email protected]
310-692-8883
www.portnoylaw.com
, /PRNewswire/ -- IBM (NYSE: IBM) today announced second-quarter 2026 earnings results.
"We are confident in IBM's strategy and portfolio, and in our ability to capture growth opportunities ahead. We fundamentally believe that we are in the early innings of a structural shift for business, and that our portfolio - across software, infrastructure, and consulting - is well-positioned to help our clients tap the value, and manage the challenges, of an AI-driven future," said Arvind Krishna, IBM chairman, president and chief executive officer. "In addition, we are taking action to accelerate our revenue growth and profitability, driving productivity across the company with AI and automation, and heavily investing in commercializing innovation at speed and scale. We now expect constant currency revenue growth in the range of four-to-five percent, and we continue to expect free cash flow to increase by about $1 billion year-over-year for the full year."
Full-Year 2026 Expectations
Revenue: The company now expects full-year constant currency revenue growth in the range of four-to-five percent. At current foreign exchange rates, currency is expected to be neutral to growth for the year Free cash flow: The company continues to expect full-year free cash flow to increase by about $1 billion year-over-year Operational Focus Areas
High-Growth Portfolio: Areas of IBM's software business that help clients manage, deploy and build AI-ready solutions, like Red Hat, the watsonx portfolio, HashiCorp, and Confluent continue to deliver strong performance. Within Distributed Infrastructure, Power and Storage grew at a record pace in the second quarter, now having built up an order backlog of nearly $500 million. Together, these offerings closely map to where client demand is strongest. To capture these growth opportunities, IBM is accelerating changes to its go-to-market model by expanding sales coverage across thousands of additional clients where there is significant opportunity. As AI adoption moves from experimentation to enterprise-scale deployment, the company is also investing in more specialized technical and client-facing talent, including Forward Deployed Engineers. Rapid Innovation at Scale: IBM is acting decisively to capture new opportunities as they arise. Lightwell, a new capability to address open source security vulnerabilities, leverages IBM and Red Hat's trust within the open source community, unique approach to AI, and global scale. In the first two weeks of availability, Lightwell has already made more than 7,500 open source patches available to help clients secure vulnerabilities. Additionally, quantum computing continues to be an investment priority for the company. In May, with the U.S. Department of Commerce, IBM announced a letter of intent to build Anderon, the world's first pure-play quantum wafer foundry. IBM will invest more than $10 billion in quantum over the next five years, and remains on track to deliver the first large-scale fault-tolerant quantum computer by 2029. Productivity Enables Investment and Value: IBM is accelerating productivity by scaling software development leveraging AI, increasing the effectiveness of its sales and marketing organization, and optimizing its supply chain. These efforts help enhance margin and free cash flow, and strengthen the company's ability to capture significant growth opportunities. The company now expects improved pre-tax income margin expansion for the full year. "Although we faced revenue headwinds late in the second quarter, we continued to focus on the fundamentals of our business, including driving productivity, strengthening our portfolio, and generating free cash flow," said James Kavanaugh, IBM senior vice president and chief financial officer. "In a quarter like this, it is critical that our financial and operational discipline remains strong and that we continue to invest for growth while returning value to shareholders through our dividend."
SECOND-QUARTER 2026 INCOME STATEMENT SUMMARY
Revenue
Gross
Profit
Gross
Profit
Margin
Pre-tax
Income
Pre-tax
Income
Margin
Net
Income
Diluted
Earnings
Per Share
GAAP from
Continuing
Operations
$ 17.2 B
$ 9.9 B
57.7
%
$ 2.5 B
14.4
%
$ 2.2 B
$ 2.27
Year/Year
1
%
(1)
%
(1.0)
Pts
(5)
%
(0.9)
Pts
(1)
%
(2)
%
Operating
(Non-GAAP)
$ 10.2 B
59.4
%
$ 3.3 B
19.2
%
$ 2.8 B
$ 2.93
Year/Year
0
%
(0.7)
Pts
3
%
0.3
Pts
5
%
5
%
Segment Results for Second Quarter
Software — revenues of $7.8 billion, up 5 percent:
- Hybrid Cloud (Red Hat) up 11 percent
- Automation up 4 percent, up 3 percent at constant currency
- Data up 19 percent, up 18 percent at constant currency
- Transaction Processing down 8 percent, down 9 percent at constant currency Consulting — revenues of $5.3 billion, flat, up 1 percent at constant currency:
- Strategy and Technology flat, up 1 percent at constant currency
- Intelligent Operations flat, up 1 percent at constant currency Infrastructure — revenues of $3.8 billion, down 7 percent:
- Hybrid Infrastructure down 10 percent
-- IBM Z down 42 percent
-- Distributed Infrastructure up 37 percent
- Infrastructure Support down 1 percent Financing — revenues of $0.2 billion, up 12 percent, up 11 percent at constant currency Cash Flow and Balance Sheet
In the second quarter, the company generated net cash from operating activities of $2.6 billion, up $0.9 billion year to year. IBM's free cash flow was $2.5 billion, down $0.3 billion year to year. The company returned $1.6 billion to shareholders in dividends in the second quarter.
For the first six months of the year, the company generated net cash from operating activities of $7.8 billion, up $1.7 billion year to year. IBM's free cash flow was $4.8 billion, flat year to year.
IBM ended the second quarter with $8.2 billion of cash, restricted cash and marketable securities, down $6.3 billion from year-end 2025. The company invested $10.5 billion in acquisitions this year. Debt, including IBM Financing debt of $13.0 billion, totaled $62.0 billion, up $0.7 billion year to date.
Dividend Declaration
The IBM board of directors approved a regular quarterly cash dividend of $1.69 per common share, to stockholders of record on August 10, 2026. With payment of the September 10, 2026 dividend, IBM will have paid consecutive quarterly dividends every year since 1916.
Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements
Except for the historical information and discussions contained herein, statements contained in this release may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are based on the company's current assumptions regarding future business and financial performance. These statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially, including, but not limited to, the following: a downturn in economic environment and client spending budgets; a failure of the company's innovation initiatives; damage to the company's reputation; risks from investing in growth opportunities; failure of the company's intellectual property portfolio to prevent competitive offerings and the failure of the company to obtain necessary licenses; the company's ability to successfully manage acquisitions, alliances and divestitures, including integration challenges, failure to achieve objectives, the assumption or retention of liabilities and higher debt levels; fluctuations in financial results; impact of local legal, economic, political, health and other conditions; the company's failure to meet growth and productivity objectives; ineffective internal controls; the company's use of accounting estimates; impairment of the company's goodwill or amortizable intangible assets; the company's ability to attract and retain key employees and its reliance on critical skills; impacts of relationships with critical suppliers; product and service quality issues; the development and use of AI, including the company's increased AI solutions and use of AI technologies; impacts of business with government clients; reliance on third party distribution channels and ecosystems; cybersecurity and data protection considerations; adverse effects related to climate change and other environmental matters; tax matters; legal proceedings and investigatory risks; the company's pension plans; currency fluctuations and customer financing risks; impact of changes in market liquidity conditions and customer credit risk on receivables; risk factors related to IBM securities; and other risks, uncertainties and factors discussed in the company's Form 10-Qs, Form 10-K and in the company's other filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or in materials incorporated therein by reference.
Any forward-looking statement in this release speaks only as of the date on which it is made. Except as required by law, the company assumes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements.
Presentation of Information in this Press Release
In an effort to provide investors with additional information regarding the company's results as determined by generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), the company has also disclosed in this press release the following non-GAAP information, which management believes provides useful information to investors:
adjusting for currency (i.e., at constant currency); presenting operating (non-GAAP) earnings per share amounts and related income statement items; free cash flow; net cash from operating activities excluding IBM Financing receivables; adjusted EBITDA; adjusted EBITDA margin. The rationale for management's use of these non-GAAP measures is included in Exhibit 99.2 in the Form 8-K that includes this press release and is being submitted today to the SEC.
Conference Call and Webcast
IBM's regular quarterly earnings conference call is scheduled to begin at 5:00 p.m. ET, today. The Webcast may be accessed via a link at https://www.ibm.com/investor/events/earnings-2q26. Presentation charts will be available shortly before the Webcast.
Financial Results Below (certain amounts may not add due to use of rounded numbers; percentages presented are calculated from the underlying whole-dollar amounts).
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
COMPARATIVE FINANCIAL RESULTS
(Unaudited; $ in millions except per share amounts)
Three Months Ended
June 30,
Six Months Ended
June 30,
2026
2025
2026
2025
REVENUE BY SEGMENT
Software
$ 7,761
$ 7,387
$ 14,813
$ 13,722
Consulting
5,327
5,314
10,599
10,382
Infrastructure
3,835
4,142
7,161
7,027
Financing
186
166
406
357
Other
52
(31)
100
30
TOTAL REVENUE
17,162
16,977
33,079
31,519
GROSS PROFIT
9,907
9,977
18,857
18,008
GROSS PROFIT MARGIN
Software
82.6
%
83.9
%
82.7
%
83.7
%
Consulting
28.9
%
27.5
%
28.2
%
27.4
%
Infrastructure
58.4
%
61.5
%
57.7
%
57.9
%
Financing
42.5
%
45.7
%
43.0
%
45.8
%
TOTAL GROSS PROFIT MARGIN
57.7
%
58.8
%
57.0
%
57.1
%
EXPENSE AND OTHER INCOME
SG&A
4,981
5,027
10,071
9,913
R&D
2,311
2,097
4,485
4,047
Intellectual property and custom development income
(166)
(215)
(338)
(468)
Other (income) and expense
(185)
(39)
(186)
(204)
Interest expense
486
510
959
965
TOTAL EXPENSE AND OTHER INCOME
7,428
7,380
14,991
14,253
INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS
BEFORE INCOME TAXES
2,479
2,597
3,866
3,755
Pre-tax income margin
14.4
%
15.3
%
11.7
%
11.9
%
Provision for/(benefit from) income taxes
313
404
484
507
Effective tax rate
12.6
%
15.5
%
12.5
%
13.5
%
INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS
$ 2,166
$ 2,193
$ 3,382
$ 3,248
DISCONTINUED OPERATIONS
Income/(loss) from discontinued operations, net of
taxes
(1)
1
(1)
1
NET INCOME
$ 2,165
$ 2,194
$ 3,381
$ 3,249
EARNINGS PER SHARE OF COMMON STOCK
Assuming dilution
Continuing operations
$ 2.27
$ 2.31
$ 3.55
$ 3.43
Discontinued operations
$ 0.00
$ 0.00
$ 0.00
$ 0.00
TOTAL
$ 2.27
$ 2.31
$ 3.55
$ 3.43
Basic
Continuing operations
$ 2.30
$ 2.36
$ 3.60
$ 3.49
Discontinued operations
$ 0.00
$ 0.00
$ 0.00
$ 0.00
TOTAL
$ 2.30
$ 2.36
$ 3.60
$ 3.50
WEIGHTED-AVERAGE NUMBER OF COMMON
SHARES OUTSTANDING (M's)
Assuming dilution
953.3
948.0
952.7
946.7
Basic
941.2
930.8
939.9
929.4
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET
(Unaudited)
($ in millions)
At June 30,
2026
At December 31,
2025
ASSETS:
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents
$ 7,172
$ 13,587
Restricted cash
45
54
Marketable securities
960
830
Notes and accounts receivable - trade, net
6,044
8,112
Short-term financing receivables
Held for investment, net
5,782
7,344
Held for sale
874
1,131
Other accounts receivable, net
1,348
1,052
Inventories
1,746
1,220
Deferred costs
1,238
1,084
Prepaid expenses and other current assets
3,188
2,530
Total current assets
28,398
36,944
Property, plant and equipment, net
5,736
5,899
Operating right-of-use assets, net
3,068
3,129
Long-term financing receivables, net
7,126
7,708
Prepaid pension assets
7,645
7,544
Deferred costs
835
825
Deferred taxes
8,709
8,610
Goodwill
74,599
67,717
Intangibles, net
13,955
11,391
Investments and sundry assets
2,028
2,112
Total assets
$ 152,099
$ 151,880
LIABILITIES:
Current Liabilities:
Taxes
$ 2,023
$ 2,347
Short-term debt
5,775
6,424
Accounts payable
4,395
4,756
Compensation and benefits
3,364
4,114
Deferred income
16,160
16,101
Operating lease liabilities
770
800
Other liabilities
3,425
4,116
Total current liabilities
35,912
38,658
Long-term debt
56,212
54,836
Retirement-related obligations
8,603
9,018
Deferred income
4,272
4,271
Operating lease liabilities
2,515
2,547
Other liabilities
10,044
9,810
Total liabilities
117,558
119,139
EQUITY:
IBM stockholders' equity:
Common stock
64,600
63,318
Retained earnings
155,937
155,648
Treasury stock - at cost
(170,934)
(170,605)
Accumulated other comprehensive income/(loss)
(15,151)
(15,713)
Total IBM stockholders' equity
34,452
32,648
Noncontrolling interests
89
93
Total equity
34,541
32,740
Total liabilities and equity
$ 152,099
$ 151,880
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS
(Unaudited)
Three Months Ended
June 30,
Six Months Ended
June 30,
($ in millions)
2026
2025 (1)
2026
2025 (1)
Cash flows from operating activities:
Net income
$ 2,165
$ 2,194
$ 3,381
$ 3,249
Adjustments to reconcile net income to cash provided by operating
activities:
Depreciation (2)
533
578
1,088
1,114
Amortization of capitalized software and acquired intangible assets
817
687
1,535
1,328
Stock-based compensation
498
441
1,004
842
Net (gain)/loss on divestitures, asset sales and other
(67)
(18)
(78)
(40)
Changes in operating assets and liabilities, net of
acquisitions/divestitures
(1,349)
(2,180)
836
(421)
Net cash provided by operating activities
2,597
1,701
7,766
6,071
Cash flows from investing activities:
Payments for property, plant and equipment
(229)
(209)
(461)
(454)
Proceeds from disposition of property, plant and equipment/other
23
37
31
111
Investment in software
(154)
(164)
(313)
(314)
Purchases of marketable securities and other investments
(1,259)
(1,255)
(2,871)
(7,740)
Proceeds from disposition of marketable securities and other
investments
1,152
4,036
3,123
4,962
Acquisition of businesses, net of cash acquired
(15)
(747)
(10,480)
(7,845)
Divestiture of businesses, net of cash transferred
-
-
1
(1)
Net cash provided by/(used in) investing activities
(481)
1,698
(10,970)
(11,281)
Cash flows from financing activities:
Proceeds from new debt
0
7
7,437
8,385
Payments to settle debt
(4,213)
(1,308)
(7,141)
(2,565)
Short-term borrowings/(repayments) less than 90 days - net
1
0
0
(29)
Common stock repurchases for tax withholdings
(116)
(153)
(465)
(437)
Proceeds from issuance of shares
240
186
418
401
Financing - other
(49)
(22)
(91)
(54)
Cash dividends paid
(1,590)
(1,563)
(3,166)
(3,112)
Net cash provided by/(used in) financing activities
(5,728)
(2,855)
(3,008)
2,589
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash, cash equivalents and restricted
cash
(35)
320
(211)
487
Net change in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash
(3,646)
865
(6,423)
(2,134)
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash at the beginning of the period
10,864
11,161
13,640
14,160
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash at the end of the period
$ 7,217
$ 12,026
$ 7,217
$ 12,026
_____________________
(1) Reclassified to align with the Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows presentation.
(2) Includes operating lease right-of-use assets amortization.
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
GAAP NET INCOME TO ADJUSTED EBITDA RECONCILIATION
(Unaudited)
Three Months Ended
June 30,
Six Months Ended
June 30,
($ in billions)
2026
2025
Yr/Yr
2026
2025
Yr/Yr
Net income as reported (GAAP)
$ 2.2
$ 2.2
$ 0.0
$ 3.4
$ 3.2
$ 0.1
Less: income from discontinued operations, net of tax
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Income from continuing operations
2.2
2.2
0.0
3.4
3.2
0.1
Provision for/(benefit from) income taxes from continuing ops.
0.3
0.4
(0.1)
0.5
0.5
0.0
Pre-tax income from continuing operations (GAAP)
2.5
2.6
(0.1)
3.9
3.8
0.1
Non-operating adjustments (before tax)
Acquisition-related charges (1)
0.7
0.6
0.1
1.4
1.1
0.2
Non-operating retirement-related costs/(income)
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.0
0.1
Operating (non-GAAP) pre-tax income from continuing ops.
3.3
3.2
0.1
5.4
4.9
0.5
Net interest expense
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.7
0.6
0.1
Depreciation/amortization of non-acquired intangible assets
0.7
0.7
0.0
1.4
1.4
0.0
Stock-based compensation
0.5
0.4
0.1
1.0
0.8
0.2
Workforce rebalancing charges
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.3
0.0
Corporate (gains) and charges (2)
(0.1)
0.0
(0.1)
(0.1)
0.0
(0.1)
Adjusted EBITDA
$ 4.8
$ 4.7
$ 0.1
$ 8.8
$ 8.1
$ 0.7
Revenue
$ 17.2
$ 17.0
1 %
$ 33.1
$ 31.5
5 %
GAAP net income margin
12.6 %
12.9 %
(0.3)pts
10.2 %
10.3 %
(0.1)pts
Adjusted EBITDA margin
27.8 %
27.6 %
0.2pts
26.5 %
25.7 %
0.8pts
___________________
(1) Primarily consists of amortization of acquired intangible assets.
(2) Primarily consists of unique corporate actions such as gains on divestitures and asset sales.
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
SEGMENT DATA
(Unaudited)
Three Months Ended June 30, 2026
($ in millions)
Software
Consulting
Infrastructure
Financing
Revenue
$ 7,761
$ 5,327
$ 3,835
$ 186
Segment profit
$ 2,502
$ 647
$ 835
$ 108
Segment profit margin
32.2
%
12.1
%
21.8
%
58.0
%
Change YTY revenue
5.1
%
0.2
%
(7.4)
%
12.2
%
Change YTY revenue - constant currency
4.6
%
1.1
%
(7.4)
%
11.3
%
Three Months Ended June 30, 2025
($ in millions)
Software
Consulting
Infrastructure
Financing
Revenue
$ 7,387
$ 5,314
$ 4,142
$ 166
Segment profit
$ 2,296
$ 562
$ 965
$ 179
Segment profit margin
31.1
%
10.6
%
23.3
%
107.9
%
Six Months Ended June 30, 2026
(Dollars in Millions)
Software
Consulting
Infrastructure
Financing
Revenue
$ 14,813
$ 10,599
$ 7,161
$ 406
Segment Profit
$ 4,601
$ 1,205
$ 1,360
$ 226
Segment Profit Margin
31.1
%
11.4
%
19.0
%
55.8
%
Change YTY Revenue
7.9
%
2.1
%
1.9
%
13.6
%
Change YTY Revenue - Constant Currency
6.1
%
1.0
%
0.5
%
10.7
%
Six Months Ended June 30, 2025
(Dollars in Millions)
Software
Consulting
Infrastructure
Financing
Revenue
$ 13,722
$ 10,382
$ 7,027
$ 357
Segment Profit
$ 4,143
$ 1,121
$ 1,213
$ 248
Segment Profit Margin
30.2
%
10.8
%
17.3
%
69.3
%
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
U.S. GAAP TO OPERATING (Non-GAAP) RESULTS RECONCILIATION
(Unaudited; $ in millions except per share amounts)
Three Months Ended June 30, 2026
Continuing Operations
GAAP
Acquisition-
Related
Adjustments (1)
Retirement-
Related
Adjustments (2)
Tax
Reform
Impacts
Operating
(Non-
GAAP)
Gross profit
$ 9,907
$ 287
$ —
$ —
$ 10,194
Gross profit margin
57.7
%
1.7
pts
—
pts
—
pts
59.4
%
SG&A
$ 4,981
$ (421)
$ —
$ —
$ 4,560
Other (income) & expense
(185)
1
(96)
—
(280)
Total expense & other (income)
7,428
(429)
(96)
—
6,903
Pre-tax income from continuing operations
2,479
716
96
—
3,290
Pre-tax income margin from continuing
operations
14.4
%
4.2
pts
0.6
pts
—
pts
19.2
%
Provision for/(benefit from) income taxes (3)
$ 313
$ 167
$ 20
$ (2)
$ 498
Effective tax rate
12.6
%
2.3
pts
0.2
pts
(0.1)
pts
15.1
%
Income from continuing operations
$ 2,166
$ 548
$ 76
$ 2
$ 2,792
Income margin from continuing operations
12.6
%
3.2
pts
0.4
pts
0.0
pts
16.3
%
Diluted earnings per share: continuing
operations
$ 2.27
$ 0.58
$ 0.08
$ 0.00
$ 2.93
Three Months Ended June 30, 2025
Continuing Operations
GAAP
Acquisition-
Related
Adjustments (1)
Retirement-
Related
Adjustments (2)
Tax
Reform
Impacts
Operating
(Non-
GAAP)
Gross profit
$ 9,977
$ 225
$ —
$ —
$ 10,202
Gross profit margin
58.8
%
1.3
pts
—
pts
—
pts
60.1
%
SG&A
$ 5,027
$ (348)
$ —
$ —
$ 4,679
Other (income) & expense
(39)
(1)
(25)
—
(65)
Total expense & other (income)
7,380
(350)
(25)
—
7,005
Pre-tax income from continuing operations
2,597
575
25
—
3,197
Pre-tax income margin from continuing
operations
15.3
%
3.4
pts
0.1
pts
—
pts
18.8
%
Provision for/(benefit from) income taxes (3)
$ 404
$ 132
$ 9
$ —
$ 545
Effective tax rate
15.5
%
1.3
pts
0.2
pts
—
pts
17.0
%
Income from continuing operations
$ 2,193
$ 443
$ 17
$ —
$ 2,652
Income margin from continuing operations
12.9
%
2.6
pts
0.1
pts
—
pts
15.6
%
Diluted earnings per share: continuing
operations
$ 2.31
$ 0.47
$ 0.02
$ —
$ 2.80
____________________
(1) Includes amortization of acquired intangible assets and acquisition-related charges such as in-process research and development, transaction
costs, applicable retention, restructuring and related expenses, tax charges related to acquisition integration, and pre-closing charges, such as
financing costs.
(2) Includes amortization of prior service costs, interest cost, expected return on plan assets, amortized actuarial gains/losses, the impacts of any plan
curtailments/settlements and pension insolvency costs and other costs.
(3) The tax impact on operating (non-GAAP) pre-tax income from continuing operations is calculated under the same accounting principles applied to
the GAAP pre-tax income.
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
U.S. GAAP TO OPERATING (Non-GAAP) RESULTS RECONCILIATION
(Unaudited; $ in millions except per share amounts)
Six Months Ended June 30, 2026
Continuing Operations
GAAP
Acquisition-
Related
Adjustments (1)
Retirement-
Related
Adjustments (2)
Tax
Reform
Impacts
Operating
(Non-
GAAP)
Gross Profit
$ 18,857
$ 524
$ —
$ —
$ 19,380
Gross Profit Margin
57.0
%
1.6
pts
—
pts
—
pts
58.6
%
SG&A
$ 10,071
$ (829)
$ —
$ —
$ 9,242
Other (Income) & Expense
(186)
1
(192)
—
(378)
Total Expense & Other (Income)
14,991
(838)
(192)
—
13,961
Pre-tax Income from Continuing Operations
3,866
1,361
192
—
5,419
Pre-tax Income Margin from Continuing
Operations
11.7
%
4.1
pts
0.6
pts
—
pts
16.4
%
Provision for/(Benefit from) Income Taxes (3)
$ 484
$ 305
$ 23
$ (6)
$ 806
Effective Tax Rate
12.5
%
2.5
pts
0.0
pts
(0.1)
pts
14.9
%
Income from Continuing Operations
$ 3,382
$ 1,056
$ 169
$ 6
$ 4,613
Income Margin from Continuing Operations
10.2
%
3.2
pts
0.5
pts
0.0
pts
13.9
%
Diluted Earnings Per Share: Continuing
Operations
$ 3.55
$ 1.11
$ 0.18
$ 0.01
$ 4.84
Six Months Ended June 30, 2025
Continuing Operations
GAAP
Acquisition-
Related
Adjustments (1)
Retirement-
Related
Adjustments (2)
Tax
Reform
Impacts
Operating
(Non-
GAAP)
Gross Profit
$ 18,008
$ 426
$ —
$ —
$ 18,434
Gross Profit Margin
57.1
%
1.4
pts
—
pts
—
pts
58.5
%
SG&A
$ 9,913
$ (701)
$ —
$ —
$ 9,212
Other (Income) & Expense
(204)
(1)
(48)
—
(253)
Total Expense & Other (Income)
14,253
(706)
(48)
—
13,499
Pre-tax Income from Continuing Operations
3,755
1,132
48
—
4,935
Pre-tax Income Margin from Continuing
Operations
11.9
%
3.6
pts
0.2
pts
—
pts
15.7
%
Provision for/(Benefit from) Income Taxes (3)
$ 507
$ 260
$ (3)
$ 2
$ 766
Effective Tax Rate
13.5
%
2.2
pts
(0.2)
pts
0.0
pts
15.5
%
Income from Continuing Operations
$ 3,248
$ 872
$ 51
$ (2)
$ 4,169
Income Margin from Continuing Operations
10.3
%
2.8
pts
0.2
pts
0.0
pts
13.2
%
Diluted Earnings Per Share: Continuing
Operations
$ 3.43
$ 0.92
$ 0.05
$ 0.00
$ 4.40
____________________
(1) Includes amortization of acquired intangible assets, and acquisition-related charges such as in-process research and development, transaction
costs, applicable retention, restructuring and related expenses, tax charges related to acquisition integration, and pre-closing charges, such as
financing costs.
(2) Includes amortization of prior service costs, interest cost, expected return on plan assets, amortized actuarial gains/losses, the impacts of any plan
curtailments/settlements and pension insolvency costs and other costs.
(3) The tax impact on operating (non-GAAP) pre-tax income from continuing operations is calculated under the same accounting principles applied to
the GAAP pre-tax income.
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
GAAP OPERATING CASH FLOW TO FREE CASH FLOW RECONCILIATION
(Unaudited)
Three Months Ended
June 30,
Six Months Ended
June 30,
($ in millions)
2026
2025
2026
2025
Net cash provided by operating activities per GAAP
$ 2,597
$ 1,701
$ 7,766
$ 6,071
Less: change in IBM Financing receivables
(302)
(1,480)
2,264
606
Net cash from operating activities excl. IBM Financing receivables
2,899
3,182
5,503
5,465
Capital expenditures, net
(359)
(336)
(743)
(657)
Free cash flow
$ 2,540
$ 2,845
$ 4,760
$ 4,808
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
GAAP OPERATING CASH FLOW TO ADJUSTED EBITDA RECONCILIATION
(Unaudited)
Three Months Ended
June 30,
Six Months Ended
June 30,
($ in billions)
2026
2025
2026
2025
Net cash provided by operating activities
$ 2.6
$ 1.7
$ 7.8
$ 6.1
Add:
Net interest expense
0.4
0.3
0.7
0.6
Provision for/(benefit from) income taxes from continuing operations
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.5
Less change in:
Financing receivables
(0.3)
(1.5)
2.3
0.6
Net (gain)/loss on divestitures, assets sales and other (1)
(0.1)
0.0
(0.1)
0.0
Other assets and liabilities/other, net (1,2)
(1.1)
(0.7)
(2.0)
(1.5)
Adjusted EBITDA
$ 4.8
$ 4.7
$ 8.8
$ 8.1
Revenue
$ 17.2
$ 17.0
$ 33.1
$ 31.5
Net cash provided by operating activities margin
15.1 %
10.0 %
23.5 %
19.3 %
Adjusted EBITDA margin
27.8 %
27.6 %
26.5 %
25.7 %
____________________
(1) Reclassified to align with the presentation of similar line items in the Statement of Cash Flows.
(2) Mainly consists of Changes in operating assets and liabilities, net of acquisitions/divestitures in the Statement of Cash Flows chart,
workforce rebalancing charges, non-operating impacts, and corporate (gains) and charges, less the change in Financing receivables.
Item 1 of 2 IBM logo is seen near computer motherboard in this illustration taken January 8, 2024. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
[1/2]IBM logo is seen near computer motherboard in this illustration taken January 8, 2024. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab
SummaryCompaniesIBM now expects 2026 revenue growth of 4% to 5%, down from prior expectation of more than 5% growthZ mainframe revenue slumped 42% in the second quarterSecond-quarter adjusted profit was $2.93 per share, below $2.97 estimateJuly 22 (Reuters) - IBM cut its annual revenue growth forecast on Wednesday, days after shocking Wall Street with a warning that corporate spending was shifting toward AI-focused data-center gear at the expense of its software and mainframe computers.
The company (IBM.N), opens new tab also missed profit and revenue expectations for the second quarter ended June 30. Executives sought to reassure shareholders that customers prioritized spending on AI in the quarter but were not looking to move away from mainframes in the longer term.
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Shares of the Armonk, New York-based company were up over 2% in extended trading.
CEO Arvind Krishna said last week IBM had "faltered" in adapting and "numerous large deals" had slipped, sending the company's shares down 25%, its steepest one-day fall in more than a century.
The forecast spotlights how the scramble for AI hardware has stoked investor fears that companies rushing to secure scarce servers, chips and networking gear could be cutting back on spending on the wider software sector.
IBM now expects 2026 revenue growth between 4% and 5%, down from its previous expectations of more than 5% growth. The midpoint of the forecast is below analysts' average estimate of a 4.8% rise to $70.77 billion in revenue, according to data compiled by LSEG.
However, some analysts have said the impact on the rest of the software industry might be limited as Big Blue had attributed much of the weakness to its mainframe business, which processes millions of daily transactions across industries such as banking and airlines.
"For the broader software sector, this should be treated as a positive print, with IBM's software woes more likely to reflect specific IBM-related hardware issues, as management outlined in its investor letter last week," CFRA analyst Brooks Idlet said.
Revenue from IBM's Z mainframe slumped 42% in the second quarter, dragging infrastructure revenue down 7% to $3.84 billion.
"That mainframe stack of hardware and transaction processing software impacted IBM's growth by over five points in the quarter," IBM finance chief James Kavanaugh told Reuters. "We were only expecting about a point or two of an impact."
He said IBM sees "no evidence of clients moving off a mainframe," adding that it expects "significant outperformance in the program to continue through the second half."
Software revenue in the second quarter rose 5% to $7.76 billion but missed an average estimate of $7.88 billion.
The company's second-quarter revenue ticked up 1% to $17.16 billion, missing estimates of $17.58 billion. IBM reported a net profit of $2.17 billion, a dip from a year earlier, while adjusted profit of $2.93 per share missed an average estimate of $2.97.
Reporting by Anhata Rooprai in Bengaluru; Editing by Pooja Desai and Rod Nickel
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab
IBM on Wednesday lowered its 2026 forecast and delivered thinner quarterly profits than analysts had projected, even after the technology vendor issued an earnings warning last week. Shares rose 1% in extended trading.
Here's how the company did relative to LSEG consensus:
Earnings per share: $2.93 adjusted vs. $2.97 expected Revenue: $17.16 billion vs. $17.58 billion expectedIBM's revenue grew 1% year over year in the quarter, according to a statement. Net income of $2.17 billion, or $2.30 per share, decreased from $2.19 billion, or $2.36 per share, a year ago. Adjusted earnings exclude acquisition-related adjustments.
Management called for 4% to 5% in constant-currency revenue growth for 2026. As recently as April, IBM had been looking for over 5% at constant currency. The company reiterated expectations for $1 billion in higher free cash flow for the year.
Analysts cut their estimates after IBM announced preliminary second-quarter results, a rare move in technology. In a letter to investors, CEO Arvind Krishna cited worse-than-planned performance in sales of Z mainframe computers and transaction processing software as organizations rushed to buy hardware ahead of expected price increases. The stock dropped 25%, marking its sharpest single-day decline on record.
The revenue and adjusted earnings per share figures IBM disclosed on Wednesday were in line with the figures released a week ago.
Read more CNBC tech newsGoogle expands Gemini lineup with cheaper models and new Mythos rivalBessent says U.S. could sanction China over AI model 'theft'Nvidia details its next-generation Vera CPU for AI, setting up challenge to AMD and IntelIntel's foundry lands first named customer under CEO Lip-Bu Tan, as Fortinet signs on for security chipsAs of Wednesday's close, IBM shares have come down 30% so far in 2026, while the S&P 500 index is up about 10%.
IBM said its high-margin software segment produced $7.76 billion in second-quarter revenue, up 5%. Consulting revenue, at $5.33 billion, was flat. Revenue from infrastructure, at $3.84 billion, declined 7%, with Z mainframe revenue falling 42%.
During the quarter, IBM said it signed a letter of intent to build a U.S. quantum chip foundry. It also introduced the Bob artificial intelligence coding tool that relies on a mixture of generative models, with adoption from over 80,000 employees.
"IBM is accelerating productivity by scaling software development leveraging AI, increasing the effectiveness of its sales and marketing organization, and optimizing its supply chain, the company said in Wednesday's statement. "These efforts help enhance margin and free cash flow, and strengthen the company's ability to capture significant growth opportunities."
Executives will discuss the results on a conference call with analysts starting at 5 p.m. ET.
HomeIndustriesSoftwareEarnings ResultsEarnings ResultsIBM’s official earnings report comes after a bruising profit warning last weekUpdated July 22, 2026, 4:42 p.m. ET
International Business Machines warned last week that its quarterly revenue had come up short as customers drained their budgets on artificial-intelligence hardware, leaving less room to invest in software. Now the company is cutting its outlook for the full year.
IBM IBM said Wednesday that it expects constant-currency revenue growth in the range of 4% to 5% for 2026, below a prior forecast that called for growth of over 5%.
Marley Kayden and Alex Coffey cover a massive earnings evening for tech as two Mag 7 giants in Alphabet (GOOGL) and Tesla (TSLA) report. Alphabet's revenue increased more than 20% year-over-year backed by strong cloud growth, while Tesla (TSLA) missed EPS expectations.
While Alphabet (GOOGL) and Tesla (TSLA) will take up most oxygen on the earnings front after Wednesday's close, Andy Swan from @LikeFolio points to IBM Corp. (IBM) as another name to watch. He examines upward consumer demand trends for Big Blue, which he believes suggests its customer base remains strong long-term.
Index Dow Jones +0,52 % na 52498,58 b. S&P 500 +0,11 % na 7517,66 b. Nasdaq Composite -0,17 % na 25793,08 b.
Wall Street se v úvodu seance obchoduje ve smíšených číslech. Investoři zaujímají opatrný postoj před výsledky technologických společností. Dnes po konci obchodování budou reportovat společnosti Alphabet, Tesla, IBM a ServiceNow.
Investory zaujala rovněž zpráva Wall Street Journal, podle které společnost AMD uzavřela se společností Anthopic kontrakt na dodávku AI serverů v hodnotě několik desítek miliard dolarů.
Dnes před otevřením trhu reportovala výsledky řada společnosti, příkladem je Philip Morris International, GE Vernova a AT&T.
Americká tabáková společnost překonala tržní predikce napříč hlavními ukazateli. Tržby poprvé překonaly hranici 11 mld. USD. Celoroční výhled očištěného zisku na akcii společnost mírně snížila, a to prakticky výhradně kvůli měnovým vlivům.
Co se týče výsledků amerického výrobce energetického zařízení GE Vernova. Její divize energetiky a elektrifikace nadále těží z rychle rostoucí poptávky spojené mimo jiné s výstavbou datových center a modernizací rozvodných sítí, přičemž větrná energetika zůstává ztrátová. Díky silnému přílivu objednávek, expanzi marží a výrazné tvorbě hotovosti společnost navýšila svůj celoroční výhled pro rok 2026.
Telekomunikační operátor AT&T reportoval výsledky za 2Q. Čistý přírůstek postpaid mobilních zákazníků překonal průměrný odhad analytiků. Nad očekávání byl rovněž reportován očištěný zisk na akcii a očištěný zisk EBITDA.
Index S&P 500 +0,11 % na 7517,66 b. Nejsilnější sektory S&P Změna Nejslabší sektory S&P Změna Základní materiály +1,5 % Informační technologie -0,4 % Utility +1,4 % Reality 0 % Energie +1,3 % Zdravotní péče +0,1 % Nejsilnější akcie S&P Změna Nejslabší akcie S&P Změna Super Micro Computer (SMCI) +23 % TE Connectivity (TEL) -7,3 % Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB) +11 % GE Vernova (GEV) -6,4 % Dell Technologies (DELL) +9,7 % DoorDash (DASH) -3,9 % CME Group (CME) +7,2 % AppLovin Corp (APP) -3,5 % Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) +6,0 % Datadog (DDOG) -3,5 % Zdroj: Bloomberg
International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM) will release its second quarter earnings report after the closing bell on Wednesday, July 22.
Analysts expect the Armonk, New York-based company to report quarterly earnings of $2.92 per share, up from $2.80 per share in the year-ago period. The consensus estimate for IBM’s quarterly revenue is $17.33 billion. It reported $16.98 billion last year, according to Benzinga Pro.
On July 14, the company said it expects second-quarter revenue of $17.2 billion, up 1% from a year earlier but below the Wall Street consensus estimate of $17.86 billion.
IBM shares fell 1.2% to close at $210.50 on Tuesday.
Benzinga readers can access the latest analyst ratings on the Analyst Stock Ratings page. Readers can sort by stock ticker, company name, analyst firm, rating change or other variables.
Let’s have a look at how Benzinga’s most-accurate analysts have rated the company in the recent period.
Considering buying IBM stock? Here’s what analysts think:
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NEW YORK, July 22, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Leading securities law firm Bleichmar Fonti & Auld LLP announces an investigation into International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM) for potential securities fraud after its significant stock drop.
If you invested in IBM, you are encouraged to obtain additional information by visiting: https://www.bfalaw.com/cases/ibm-class-action-lawsuit.
Key Details of the IBM ($IBM) Class Action Investigation:
Investigation Overview: Securities fraud relating to IBM’s misrepresentations about the pace of securing new business deals and the strength of its IBM Z product outlook Stock Decline: July 14, 2026 – 25% Stock DropAction: Contact BFA Law to discuss your rights
Why is IBM Being Investigated for Securities Fraud?
IBM is being investigated for securities fraud following a significant stock drop. The decline in IBM’s stock price caused significant losses to investors.
IBM is a global technology and consulting company that focuses on hybrid cloud and artificial intelligence. IBM uses IBM Z to deliver enhanced AI acceleration through multi-model AI capabilities, low unit cost architecture at scale for workloads that require end-to-end encryption, continued availability, and ultra-high throughput.
BFA is investigating whether IBM misled investors about its pace securing new business deals and the strength of its IBM Z outlook.
Why did IBM’s Stock Drop?
On July 14, 2026, IBM released its 2026 Q2 financial results. IBM announced a disappointing quarter that it attributed to “a shortfall in our Z performance and the associated software stack, primarily in Transaction Processing.” IBM also revealed that it had “faltered,” and “did not adapt and move quickly enough” so that “numerous large deals failed to close on the timelines we expected, driving the majority of our shortfall.”
This news caused the price of IBM stock to decline over $75 in intraday trading on July 14, 2026, or over 25%.
Click here for more information: https://www.bfalaw.com/cases/ibm-class-action-lawsuit.
What Can You Do?
If you invested in IBM, you may have legal options and are encouraged to submit your information to the firm.
All representation is on a contingency fee basis; there is no cost to you. Shareholders are not responsible for any court costs or expenses of litigation. The firm will seek court approval for any potential fees and expenses.
BFA is a leading international law firm representing plaintiffs in securities class actions and shareholder litigation. It has been named a top plaintiff law firm by Chambers USA, The Legal 500, and ISS SCAS, and its attorneys have been named “Elite Trial Lawyers” by the National Law Journal, “Litigation Stars” by Benchmark Litigation, among the top “500 Leading Plaintiff Financial Lawyers” by Lawdragon, “Titans of the Plaintiffs’ Bar” by Law360 and “SuperLawyers” by Thomson Reuters.
Most recently, The Legal 500 awarded BFA the most client satisfaction accolades of any plaintiff’s securities litigation law firm, with clients noting: “[t]here is no better service provider in the practice area,” “[t]he interest of the client is always front and center,” and “[t]here isn’t a better firm in this space.” One testimonial described the firm as “nimble and entrepreneurial,” with a “relentless focus on adding value for clients.”
Among its recent notable successes, BFA recovered over $900 million in value from Tesla, Inc.’s Board of Directors, as well as $420 million from Teva Pharmaceutical Ind. Ltd.
For more information about BFA and its attorneys, please visit https://www.bfalaw.com.
NEW YORK, July 21, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Pomerantz LLP is investigating claims on behalf of investors of International Business Machines Corporation (“IBM” or the “Company”) (NYSE: IBM). Such investors are advised to contact Danielle Peyton at [email protected] or 646-581-9980, ext. 7980.
The investigation concerns whether IBM and certain of its officers and/or directors have engaged in securities fraud or other unlawful business practices.
[Click here for information about joining the class action]
On July 14, 2026, IBM released its financial results for the second quarter of 2026. IBM announced a disappointing quarter that it attributed to “a shortfall in our Z performance and the associated software stack, primarily in Transaction Processing.” IBM also disclosed that it had “faltered,” and “did not adapt and move quickly enough” so that “numerous large deals failed to close on the timelines we expected, driving the majority of our shortfall.”
On this news, IBM’s stock price fell $73.16 per share, or 25.21%, to close at $217.07 per share on July 14, 2026.
Pomerantz LLP, with offices in New York, Chicago, Los Angeles, London, Paris, and Tel Aviv, is acknowledged as one of the premier firms in the areas of corporate, securities, and antitrust class litigation. Founded by the late Abraham L. Pomerantz, known as the dean of the class action bar, Pomerantz pioneered the field of securities class actions. Today, more than 85 years later, Pomerantz continues in the tradition he established, fighting for the rights of the victims of securities fraud, breaches of fiduciary duty, and corporate misconduct. The Firm has recovered numerous multimillion-dollar damages awards on behalf of class members. See www.pomlaw.com.
Attorney advertising. Prior results do not guarantee similar outcomes.
IBM shareholders who lost money after the July 14 guidance cut may have legal rights. The investigation focuses on IBM's 2026 growth guidance and the later reduction tied in part IBM's disclosed inability to "execute perfectly."
, /PRNewswire/ -- IBM (NYSE: IBM) shares were falling approximately 24.5% on July 14, 2026, after the Company released preliminary second-quarter results and trimmed near-term revenue and earnings guidance tied in part to lower AI-related spending from its customer base. If IBM's drop caused losses in your portfolio, you are encouraged to act now. Submit your IBM loss information
Levi & Korsinsky is investigating potential securities law violations involving IBM's prior 2026 outlook. During the previous earnings call on April 22, 2026, IBM's management repeatedly claimed to be "confident this will be our strongest Z cycle," "remain[ed] confident in [their] ability to sustain revenue growth of 5% plus," and were overall "confident in [their] outlook."
Just a few months later on July 14, 2026, management backpedaled on those repeated assurances. Instead, CEO Arvind Krishna now claimed the market conditions "require[d] our teams to execute perfectly" in order to achieve guided metrics. Investors who held IBM shares through the announcement saw an immediate market reaction of more than 24%.
If you suffered a loss on IBM shares, send your information for review or call (212) 363-7500.
Levi & Korsinsky, LLP | Top 50 Securities Firm | (212) 363-7500 | www.zlk.com
Frequently Asked Questions About the IBM Investigation
Q: Which statements are being investigated as potentially misleading?A: The investigation concerns whether International Business Machines Corporation made materially false or misleading statements regarding its 2026 growth outlook, including guidance for constant-currency revenue growth of 5% plus and software growth of 10%. When IBM reduced its near-term outlook on July 14, 2026, shares fell nearly 25%.
Q: When did International Business Machines Corporation allegedly mislead investors?A: The investigation concerns statements made before the July 14, 2026 announcement that coincided with IBM's sharp stock decline.
Q: Who is eligible to participate in the IBM investigation?A: Investors who purchased IBM stock or securities and suffered financial losses may be eligible. Eligibility is based on purchase date and documented losses -- not on whether you still hold the shares.
Q: What do IBM investors need to do right now?A: Investors should gather brokerage records including purchase dates, share quantities, prices paid, and any sale information. No immediate action is required to remain eligible to participate in the investigation.
Q: What documents do I need to participate?A: Brokerage statements or trade confirmations showing purchase dates, share quantities, prices paid, and any subsequent sale dates and prices.
Q: What if I already sold my IBM shares -- can I still recover losses?A: Yes. Eligibility is based on when you purchased, not whether you still hold the shares. Investors who bought IBM and sold at a loss may still participate in the investigation.
Q: What does it cost me to participate?A: There is no upfront cost to participate. Securities investigations and any resulting recovery efforts are generally handled on a contingency basis. No upfront fees, no retainer, and no out-of-pocket costs.
Q: What if I live outside the United States?A: U.S. securities investigations generally cover purchases on U.S. exchanges regardless of the investor's country of residence.
CONTACT:
Levi & Korsinsky, LLP
Joseph E. Levi, Esq.
Ed Korsinsky, Esq.
33 Whitehall Street, 27th Floor
New York, NY 10004
[email protected]
Tel: (212) 363-7500
Fax: (212) 363-7171
Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee similar outcomes.
International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM) is approaching its next earnings report – scheduled for Wednesday, July 22 – in a highly unorthodox position, as it had already offered a rather concerning preview of the figures to its investors.
Specifically, IBM made an announcement last week revealing that both its revenue and earnings per share (EPS) are likely to come below expectations, with the former hitting $17.2 billion – $17.86 billion was expected – and the latter $2.93 – $3.02 was anticipated.
The disappointing figures might have, however, also turned the equity into a ‘Buy’ as it already suffered a massive selloff on the news, making it unlikely there is much potential for a further downside after the Wednesday filing.
IBM stock price one-month chart. Source: Google Still, the ground remains shaky for IBM stock investors considering the company also warned that the ongoing memory shortage and the prevailing focus on artificial intelligence (AI) are significantly harming its business.
Is IBM a good stock to buy? Nonetheless, Wall Street remains surprisingly optimistic regarding International Business Machines shares.
Specifically, the majority of analyst notes issued during the previous week were bullish, with the company receiving four ‘Hold,’ one ‘Sell’ – coming from HSBC’s Stephen Bersey and accompanied by a $231-to-$191 price target downgrade – and five ‘Buy’ recommendations.
Notably, the most recent forecast update – provided by JPMorgan’s (NYSE: JPM) Brian Essex on July 17 – was positive even after the bloodbath triggered by the earnings preview and featured a ‘Buy’ rating and a forecast downgrade from $291 to $250: from a 36.52% upside to 17.37%.
Lastly, the overall attitude on Wall Street is that IBM stock is a ‘Moderate Buy,’ while the average 12-month price target stands at $295.76 for a 38.86% predicted rally, per the data Finbold retrieved from TipRanks on July 21.
Wall Street sets IBM stock price for the next 12 months. Source: TipRanks Thus, International Business Machines shares appear worth investing in following the preview plunge and ahead of the official filing, though the fact that nearly every non-positive expert recommendation was assigned within the last week gives ample room for caution.
Featured image via Shutterstock
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