Robinhood uzavřel víceletou dohodu s OG.com, která bude zajišťovat infrastrukturu a clearing pro jeho prediction markets. Spuštění pro vybrané zákazníky v USA má začít postupně od 8. září 2026.
Partnership Leverages OG.com's CFTC-regulated Platform Following $5 Billion Spin-off from Crypto.com
, /PRNewswire/ -- Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD) and prediction market platform OG.com today announced a landmark multi-year partnership designating OG.com as an infrastructure and clearing provider for Robinhood's Prediction Markets offering.
OG.com x Robinhood x Crypto.com Under the agreement, Robinhood will route retail event contract volume through OG.com's underlying Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) regulated derivatives exchange and clearinghouse architecture. Prediction Markets on Robinhood are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, a registered futures commission merchant with the CFTC and Member of National Futures Association (NFA). This agreement will represent OG.com's largest B2B prediction markets partnership in terms of transaction volumes.
The partnership follows Citadel Securities investment into Crypto.com at a $20 billion valuation, which includes a standalone $5 billion valuation of OG.com through its strategic spin-off from Crypto.com. By separating from the core digital asset exchange infrastructure, OG.com operates as an independent company with dedicated capital allocation focused exclusively on scaling its direct consumer experience and deepening its institutional-grade, CFTC-regulated framework across sports, financials, and economic contract markets and margined derivatives.
As part of the deal, Robinhood will hold initial equity stakes in Crypto.com and OG.com following the latter's spin-off as an independent trading platform and the equity will be priced in line with the recent investment of Citadel Securities into the Crypto.com Group at a $20 billion valuation.
By routing contracts to OG.com Robinhood is expanding its existing prediction markets offering, making it an even higher-capacity engine capable of handling institutional-grade liquidity, instant clearing, and a more dynamic event catalog expansion across macroeconomic indicators, global sports, elections, and cultural milestones. The rollout of OG.com-backed event contracts on the Robinhood app will begin in phases to eligible U.S. customers starting on September 8, 2026.
"This is the beginning of a strategic partnership between both companies," said Kris Marszalek, Founder and CEO of Crypto.com and OG.com. "We're looking forward to making OG.com the most liquid venue globally for innovative derivative instruments, starting with prediction markets and quickly expanding into futures and perpetuals."
"Teaming up with Crypto.com and OG.com strengthens our position as a leader in the prediction markets space and gives us even more skin in the game," said JB Mackenzie, VP and GM of Futures and Prediction Markets at Robinhood. "Prediction markets are becoming an increasingly meaningful way for investors to engage with the events they care about, and this deal helps us meet our growing customer demand."
This multi-year partnership accelerates the evolution of modern market infrastructure by directly aligning retail accessibility with institutional-grade derivatives execution. OG.com's operational separation into a standalone entity creates the dedicated agility, specialized capital allocation, and regulatory clarity required to power high-frequency prediction markets. Simultaneously, Robinhood's integration and direct equity stake position both companies to capture the surging global demand for CFTC-regulated event contract trading and other innovative products.
By partnering with OG.com, Robinhood is further improving its execution layer with an established exchange infrastructure offering deep liquidity, ensuring strict federal compliance under CFTC oversight while supporting Crypto.com and OG.com's broader vision to establish two category-defining financial powerhouses in digital assets and regulated derivatives.
About Crypto.com
Founded in 2016, Crypto.com is trusted by millions of users worldwide and is the industry leader in regulatory compliance, security and privacy. Our vision is simple: Cryptocurrency in Every Wallet™. Crypto.com is committed to accelerating the adoption of cryptocurrency through innovation and development of new use cases including prediction markets and tokenized RWAs.
Learn more at https://crypto.com.
About OG.com
OG.com is an independent trading platform that operates multiple business lines servicing customers globally. Conducting business through registered entities, including the OG of event markets North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc., a designated contract market and derivatives clearing organization registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), and the OG Broker, a CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), OG.com offers an up-to-date trading ecosystem for prediction market contracts across various categories, including sports, financials, economics, culture, and much more.
Built around a comprehensive suite of event contracts, OG.com allows all OGs to be original, whether a customer is a sports fan, an influencer, an oracle of culture, or part of the global community - all OGs can act on uncertainty, trade predictions, engage with a vibrant community, and climb the leaderboard. Available through direct access as well as intermediaries like FCMs and Introducing Brokers, OG.com is where it pays to be right.
Find your edge today at https://OG.com.
OG.com is available in approved jurisdictions. Trading is subject to risk and may not be appropriate for all.
About Robinhood
Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD) is a global leader in financial services offering retail brokerage, crypto, advisory, digital banking services, and private markets access to a new generation of investors. Additional information about Robinhood can be found at www.robinhood.com.
Futures, options on futures and cleared swaps trading is offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC ("Robinhood Derivatives"), a registered futures commission merchant with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and Member of National Futures Association (NFA). Robinhood Derivatives is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc. ("Robinhood Markets"-- when including its consolidated subsidiaries, "we," "our" or "Robinhood").
Robinhood posiluje po rozšíření partnerství v prediction markets s Crypto.com a po první roli při upisování IPO u Oura. Goldman Sachs zvýšila cílovou cenu na 142 USD z 124 USD.
Robinhood Markets Inc. (NASDAQ:HOOD) shares are trading higher Tuesday. Factors include an expanded prediction markets partnership and a new IPO underwriting role, alongside fresh analyst price target increases.
Robinhood stock is showing upward movement. What’s pushing HOOD stock higher? Crypto.com Deal Expands Robinhood’s Prediction MarketsAccording to The Wall Street Journal, Robinhood struck a deal with Crypto.com to bring the crypto exchange’s yes-or-no event contracts into Robinhood’s prediction markets hub, alongside an equity stake in Crypto.com. The partnership adds Crypto.com to a growing roster of contract suppliers that already includes Kalshi, Interactive Brokers’ ForecastEx, and Rothera, Robinhood’s joint venture with Susquehanna International Group. Robinhood has recorded more than 16 billion event contracts traded in 2026, already surpassing the more than 12 billion traded across all of 2025.
Robinhood Joins Oura IPO SyndicateSeparately, The Wall Street Journal reported that Robinhood has landed its first-ever IPO underwriting role, joining the syndicate for smart-ring maker Oura’s upcoming public offering. Oura filed for its IPO seeking a valuation exceeding $16 billion, with Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan, Allen & Co., and Jefferies serving as lead bookrunners. Robinhood is listed 18th in the syndicate, having received regulatory approval to underwrite deals just three months ago in June.
Analyst ActivityGoldman Sachs raised its price target on Robinhood to $142 from $124, maintaining a Buy rating, with analyst James Yaro citing the strong early performance of Rothera. Cantor Fitzgerald maintained an Overweight rating on Robinhood and raised its price target to $150.
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Robinhood Shares Edge HigherHOOD Price Action: At the time of publication, Robinhood shares are trading 3.28% higher at $126.11, according to data from Benzinga Pro.
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Morgan Stanley zvýšila doporučení pro Robinhood na Overweight a cílovou cenu na 150 USD, protože vidí růst i mimo spekulativní obchodování. Akcie po čtvrtečním růstu o 16,6 % v pátek klesly o 2,1 %.
Robinhood Markets stock NASDAQ:HOOD ended Friday at $122.11, capping a volatile week in which Wall Street became markedly more bullish on the brokerage just as its valuation became harder to ignore.
Morgan Stanley upgraded Robinhood to Overweight from Equal Weight and raised its price target to $150 from $124.
Piper Sandler lifted its target to $145, while Scotiabank began coverage with an Outperform rating and $136 target.
The enthusiasm helped drive a 16.6% Thursday surge to $124.72 before the stock slipped 2.1% on Friday. After that rally, Robinhood was already trading around the prevailing analyst consensus target.
Morgan Stanley analyst Michael Cyprys argues Robinhood is becoming less dependent on speculative trading cycles.
Cyprys said there is “increasing evidence” that Robinhood’s expanding product set is improving the economics of its existing customer base.
The company now has 13 businesses generating more than $100 million in annualised revenue.
Morgan Stanley expects revenue to compound at roughly 23% through 2028 to $8 billion and raised its 2026 to 2028 earnings estimates by 12% to 15%.
Scotiabank’s Lance Jessurun made a related argument.
TipRanks reported that he believes investors still value Robinhood too much like a cyclical retail broker, overlooking revenue from subscriptions, interest income, clearing economics and international crypto infrastructure.
That is the bullish case, as Robinhood can grow by monetising the customers it already has rather than waiting for another trading frenzy.
The valuation problem is that investors are increasingly paying for that transformation before it is fully proven.
Prediction markets are the clearest example of both the upside and the uncertainty.
Robinhood generated $156 million of event-contract revenue in the second quarter as total quarterly revenue rose 32% to a record $1.31 billion.
Piper Sandler analyst Patrick Moley expects prediction-market revenue to reach roughly $320 million across the third and fourth quarters, helped by NFL and college football activity.
That growth is helping justify higher price targets, but regulation remains unsettled.
On August 28, the Ninth Circuit affirmed a ruling denying Robinhood preliminary relief against Nevada regulators and rejected arguments that sports-event contracts were beyond state gaming oversight.
The decision also addressed related cases involving Kalshi and Crypto.com.
That does not invalidate Robinhood’s prediction-market business, but it shows that one of the company’s fastest-growing revenue lines can still generate legal and regulatory volatility.
Robinhood’s latest operating data also give investors reasons to stay selective.
Funded customers reached 28.5 million in July, but total platform assets fell 4% from June. Equity trading volume declined 15% month over month, crypto volume dropped 33% and event-contract volume slipped 5%, although event activity remained about 20 times higher than a year earlier.
Wall Street is also far from unanimous.
Rothschild and Co Redburn kept a Sell rating in August and raised its target only slightly to $80, leaving a striking gap with Morgan Stanley’s $150 forecast.
That divergence captures the debate surrounding Robinhood after its latest rally.
Morgan Stanley may be identifying a company that has successfully evolved from a trading app into a diversified financial platform.
But the stock’s move above roughly $122 means investors are increasingly being asked to pay today for growth that still needs to arrive.
Jim Cramer tvrdí, že příliv mladých investorů z Robinhoodu je jedním z hlavních důvodů, proč trh zatím neoslabuje. Robinhood ve 2. čtvrtletí zvýšil tržby o 32 % na 1,308 miliardy USD.
Jim Cramer credits a wave of young Robinhood investors for keeping the market afloat, but the same data he cites contains a hidden accelerant that could flip the floor into a trapdoor.
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On September 3, 2026, Jim Cramer used his CNBC Stop Trading segment to salute Vlad Tenev and argue that young investors flowing money into Robinhood (NASDAQ:HOOD | HOOD Price Prediction) are a big reason this market refuses to break. Shares are trading near $124.71, up 33.38% in the past month.
Cramer is making a flows argument rather than a valuation argument. Flows arguments work beautifully until they reverse, because the same discretionary money that lifts a tape can pull just as quickly.
The question worth answering is whether the retail bid he describes is a structural floor for equities or the market’s most fragile part. Robinhood’s own numbers argue for both readings, which is what makes the call interesting.
Robinhood has stopped being a crypto proxy and has become an asset gatherer, and that shift changes what a bull actually owns when buying the stock.
What Cramer Actually Said About Retail Flows Cramer’s central claim was that “the money coming in that is by rote buying with indices or buying individual stocks or buying ETFs is extraordinary”.
He tied that flow directly to Robinhood’s cohort, arguing the platform’s users have shifted from pure day trading toward genuine investing.
His words on the cohort: “I wish those people spent a little more time watching some of the things we talk about. Be a little more educated, a little less. More day trading. But they’re wow, they’re investing.”
His conclusion tied it to market resilience: “It’s one of the big reasons why I think we continue to manage to be able to stay higher than a lot of people think we can.”
Cramer is treating Robinhood as a proxy for a broader market-wide behavioral shift rather than a company-specific growth story.
Business Underneath the Salute In Q2 2026, crypto revenue fell 38% YoY to $100M, yet total revenue still grew 32% to $1.308 billion. That shift away from a pure crypto proxy is the core of the transition.
Total platform assets reached $369 billion, and net deposits hit a record $21.7 billion at a 28% annualized growth rate. That asset base is the number that matters.
CNBC noted that recent analyst upgrades focused on the sheer amount of assets users are sitting on rather than trading velocity. Transaction revenue is cyclical; revenue tied to a growing asset base is durable and deserves a higher multiple.
Gold subscribers hit 4.8 million, ARPU climbed to $187, and management disclosed 13 business lines, each at $100M+ in annualized revenue, in its Q2 8-K exhibit.
EPS of $0.62 beat the $0.4277 consensus, and management tightened FY26 opex guidance to $2.675 to $2.775 billion. The operating story is real.
Flows Argument on Its Own Terms Automatic recurring buying really does behave differently from discretionary buying. It does not consult a P/E ratio, and it does not stop because a strategist turned cautious.
Robinhood added nearly 1 million funded customers in the quarter, and Tenev said customers “tend to be techno-optimists” who buy during drawdowns instead of selling.
If enough of the deposit flow is programmatic, through retirement contributions, direct-deposit sweeps, and recurring buys, then the bid does not evaporate when the tape turns.
But Robinhood’s revenue mix argues against the pure programmatic case. Options revenue was $342 million on a record 774 million contracts, and the margin book grew 127% YoY to $21.6B.
Leveraged, options-driven money reverses fastest in a drawdown because margin calls are not optional. A record margin book is an accelerant that works in both directions.
Falsifiable Test for Retail’s Floor Cramer conceded the cohort is too crypto-oriented and too options-oriented. That concession deserves more weight than he gave it.
Q1 2026 already offered a preview: revenue of $1.067 billion missed consensus by 6.07%, and crypto revenue collapsed 47% YoY. Retail engagement is not linear.
Agreeing with Cramer about retail flows does not automatically mean owning HOOD. The stock is up 187.7% over five years, and Robinhood captures the flow only as long as it keeps winning the cohort against Schwab, Fidelity, and Coinbase.
Watch net deposits, Gold attach rates, and options volume through the next genuine risk-off tape. If deposits continue to grow while volumes fall, the floor thesis holds.
If deposits and volumes roll over together, Cramer’s floor is really an accelerant, and the Q3 report due this fall will be the first clean read.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
AMC CEO Adam Aron pohrozil právními kroky proti Robinhood kvůli tokenům navázaným na AMC, které podle něj ohrožují práva akcionářů i schopnost firmy získávat kapitál. Akcie AMC v premarketu vzrostly zhruba o 5 %.
A synthetic stock market has pushed AMC toward legal action Summary
AMC CEO Adam Aron threatened legal action, arguing Robinhood’s AMC-linked tokens could undermine shareholder rights and AMC’s fundraising ability
AMC Entertainment AMC CEO Adam Aron escalated his fight with Robinhood Markets HOOD, threatening legal action over tokens linked to AMC stock that he says threaten investor rights and the company's ability to raise capital.
Aron said AMC has no relationship with Robinhood's token program and does not approve it. He demanded that Robinhood voluntarily “cease and desist” trading AMC-linked tokens, adding that securities counsel will examine whether AMC can force the platform to stop.
The dispute centers on tokenized real-world assets issued by Robinhood Assets (Jersey) Limited. Aron argues the products are unregistered securities that cannot be sold in the United States and face restrictions in Canada, Britain and Switzerland.
His concern is structural. Tokens can track AMC's share price without representing ownership in AMC itself. Holders may lack voting rights and protections attached to common stock, while trading activity occurs outside the market through which AMC issues equity.
That distinction matters for a heavily indebted company that has repeatedly sold shares to strengthen its balance sheet. Aron described those offerings as “vital.” If synthetic tokens attract capital that might otherwise flow into AMC shares, he fears they could weaken price discovery, confuse investors and complicate future fundraising.
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev asked Aron to explain his objections. Aron replied that the list was “almost existential,” turning a product dispute into a public challenge between two executives with large retail-investor followings.
AMC shares rose roughly 5% in premarket trading after the comments. The gain suggests investors welcomed Aron's defense of shareholder rights, although it does not establish that legal action would succeed.
For AMC investors, the next catalyst is whether the company's lawyers formally challenge Robinhood or regulators weigh in. Until then, the fight raises a bigger question: when a token mirrors a stock, who protects the company and its shareholders?
CEO Buys, CFO Buys: Stocks that are bought by their CEO/CFOs. Insider Cluster Buys: Stocks that multiple company officers and directors have bought. Double Buys: Companies that both Gurus and Insiders are buying Triple Buys: Companies that both Gurus and Insiders are buying, and Company is buying back. Disclosures I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and have no plans to buy any new positions in the stocks mentioned within the next 72 hours.
Akcie Robinhood v srpnu vzrostly o 21 % díky silným čtvrtletním výsledkům a rally kryptoměn. Tržby stouply meziročně o 32 % na více než 1,3 miliardy USD a čistý zisk o 45 % na 561 milionů USD.
Robinhood Markets (HOOD +16.57%) barreled into August just after publishing an estimates-crushing quarterly earnings report, and its stock only got more popular from there. Thanks in no small part to a rally in cryptocurrencies -- a major focus of the brokerage and financial services company -- its shares ended the month 21% higher.
Monster momentum The stage was set at the end of July for a pronounced Robinhood rally. Its second-quarter results featured a strong 32% year-over-year gain in revenue (to over $1.3 billion), while headline net profit surged 45% higher to $561 million. Both figures were well higher than the average analyst estimates.
Image source: Getty Images.
One negative note in that earnings report was the transaction-based revenue from cryptocurrencies, which sank by 38% to $100 million.
However, worries about this were erased mere weeks later as cryptocurrencies staged an impressive and sustained rally just after mid-August.
Several developments ignited this comeback, including the Treasury Department's promise to double the size of its regular long-term government bond repurchases. President Trump's push for Congress to pass the CLARITY Act, which would provide a regulatory framework for the cryptocurrency industry, also helped.
Rising crypto prices inspired more investors to pile into digital coins and tokens, and Robinhood is one of the brokerages that has embraced crypto trading most enthusiastically. So as cryptos went, so went the company's stock.
Another niche Robinhood dived into wholeheartedly is prediction markets, and like that mid-August crypto rally, these have also been hot. America is a nation of gamblers, and we're happy to wager on almost anything under the sun. In collaboration with top prediction markets company Kalshi, Robinhood offers these services on a wide range of events.
Prediction markets have quickly become a crucial revenue stream for Robinhood. In fact, in that second quarter, they generated more revenue than crypto trading fees.
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The great widening Robinhood has broadened its business to the point where it's no longer dependent on one or even two of its activities to keep the growth train running. At the moment, equities, cryptocurrencies, and prediction markets are immensely popular and producing high transaction volumes.
While this won't last forever for all three, Robinhood should still do well if two, or even one, resists falling into a slump. I believe management has done an admirable job not only by bravely embracing the next-generation markets that today's investors are eager to trade, but also by expanding its reach and scope in the process.
This is an exciting company, and one that I feel has plenty of upside potential with its stock.
Robinhood (HOOD +16.57%) shares were up about 15% as of this writing Thursday, at about $123.
The jump followed a wave of analyst notes and a record day on its own new blockchain network. Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock Tuesday to overweight from equal weight and lifted its price target to $150 from $124, and more bullish notes followed this week.
Morgan Stanley analyst Michael Cyprys argued that Robinhood's expanding product lineup is producing more activity and more revenue per customer. In plain terms, they're arguing Robinhood is no longer just a trading app.
And Robinhood itself put a number on that idea in late July: 13 business lines that have each reached $100 million or more in annualized revenue.
Since then, network data suggests a 14th has joined the list, and it didn't exist three months ago.
Image source: Getty Images.
The count holds upRobinhood's second-quarter report, released in late July, showed record revenue of $1.31 billion, up 32% year over year, and net income up 48% (helped by one-time investment gains). Chief financial officer Shiv Verma said the results reflected the company's product pace, with "Robinhood Legend and the Credit Card business joining our growing roster of now thirteen different business lines that have reached $100 million-plus in annualized revenues."
I count 13 lines in the 10-Q's revenue table that annualize above $100 million (anything above $25 million in the quarter). They span options, event contracts, cryptocurrencies, and equities, five interest-based lines led by margin lending, Gold subscriptions, proxy services, and two catch-all "other" buckets. The company's list is built on products rather than filing line items (Robinhood Legend doesn't get its own row), but both counts land at 13.
Lines can fall off the list, too. Securities lending was above the bar a year ago, at $54 million in the quarter, and produced just $10 million in this one.
How big is the newest line?The 14th didn't appear in any of those documents. It barely existed when they were filed.
Robinhood Chain, the company's own blockchain network built for real-world assets such as tokenized stocks, went live on July 1 -- one day after the second quarter ended.
Not only did the network set a fee record of about $3.8 million on Tuesday, but it also collected more than the Ethereum and Base networks that day. It broke that record Wednesday at about $4.5 million, according to DefiLlama data. Its average daily fee pace over the past 30 days now annualizes to about $179 million.
That $179 million needs two adjustments. Robinhood sends about 10% of the network's revenue after costs back to the Arbitrum ecosystem, whose technology the chain runs on. And annualizing the hottest stretch of a two-month-old network is generous math -- the chain's lifetime revenue through the start of this week was only about $10 million, and daily fees that spike may fade just as quickly.
Even with those adjustments, the pace arguably clears $100 million. Zoom out, though, and it amounts to about 2% of Robinhood's revenue pace of roughly $5.2 billion. Big enough to make the list, and far too small to carry the company.
Order flow still supplies a third of revenueHow much of the company still runs on its best-known business, routing customers' stock and options trades to market makers?
In the second quarter, equities produced $129 million of transaction revenue and options $342 million. Together, the two lines produced about 36% of total revenue.
But that share isn't shrinking. A year earlier, the two supplied about a third of revenue as well, and both are still growing. Equities transaction revenue nearly doubled year over year, while options revenue rose 29%.
The diversification is happening elsewhere. Cryptocurrency trading revenue was $160 million a year ago, $134 million in the first quarter, and $100 million in the second -- a steady step down. Meanwhile, event contracts (Robinhood's prediction-markets business) went from $10 million a year ago to $104 million in the first quarter and then $156 million in the latest one, and margin interest nearly doubled to $215 million.
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Ultimately, the case under this week's upgrades mostly checks out against Robinhood's own disclosures. The valuation is where I hesitate.
After Thursday's jump, shares cost about 43 times the earnings analysts expect the company to generate next year, while brokerage peer Charles Schwab costs about 14 times its own next-year forecast. Of course, some premium is deserved. After all, Schwab isn't growing revenue 32% or adding two new $100 million lines in a single quarter.
However, higher price targets aren't a reason to buy a stock, and neither is a 15% pop. I wouldn't sell a business that keeps adding $100 million lines. But I wouldn't chase the growth stock here, either. I view it as a hold for now.
Piper Sandler očekává, že Robinhoodu s fotbalovou sezonou výrazně porostou tržby z prediction markets. Odhaduje od září do prosince objem 29,7 miliardy kontraktů a tržby kolem 320 milionů USD.
Robinhood could see a sizable boost to its prediction market revenue as football season begins next week, according to a Wednesday note from Piper Sandler.
Earlier this summer, the World Cup paved the way for explosive volume growth in prediction markets, and it suggests strong numbers could show up during football season, according to analyst Patrick Moley.
"Given Kalshi & HOOD's US-centric user base, and the large gap in popularity between Soccer and Football in the US, we view the explosive World Cup volumes as a leading indicator of what's to come -- the NFL/[NCAA Football] season should be a significant catalyst for HOOD's 3Q26 and 4Q26 prediction market revenue," he wrote.
Rothera, which launched in June, is a prediction markets joint venture between Robinhood and Susquehanna. It's a derivatives exchange and clearinghouse that's regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
The rosy outlook comes after Robinhood management confirmed Rothera has obtained approval from the CFTC to provide football contracts covering wins and spreads, Piper Sandler said.
To that end, Moley lifted his forecast for Robinhood's 2026 and 2027 earnings per share estimates by 5% and 7%, respectively, and he lifted his price target to $145 from $135, suggesting about 35% upside from Wednesday's close. The analyst also reiterated his overweight rating on the stock.
Step aside, KalshiWhile Robinhood displays Kalshi's markets to its users, Moley estimates roughly 23% of prediction market volume has shifted to Rothera from Kalshi since June.
"Robinhood's shift to Rothera has accelerated the decline in its share of Kalshi's volumes," Moley said in the Wednesday note. "Last year during football season, HOOD users made up between 22% and 30% of all volume traded on Kalshi, a share that has decreased to the mid-single digits behind Kalshi's quest to acquire more of its own users," the analyst wrote.
Between June and August, average monthly prediction market volumes at Robinhood grew 88%, compared to the January to May period, largely because of strong World Cup engagement, Moley added.
To come up with projections for Robinhood's prediction markets revenue in the second half of the year, Piper Sandler used Kalshi as a proxy.
The firm's analysts predict that from September through December, Robinhood users will trade roughly 29.7 billion event contracts and generate around $320 million in revenue, or $960 million annualized.
Football won't be as dominant on KalshiFootball accounted for 42% of Kalshi's total volume in the 2025 season, with the platform generating roughly $14 billion in NFL and NCAAF trading volume, Piper Sandler found.
This time, Moley does not expect football-related contracts on Kalshi to dominate total volume because of the variety of contracts beyond major sports.
"Major sports made up just 54% of Kalshi's mix in August 2026, down sharply from a high of 83% in November 2025," the note said.
Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a commercial relationship that includes customer acquisition and a minority investment.
Robinhood Chain po spuštění překonal 12 miliard USD v objemu na DEX a 150 milionů transakcí. Robinhood také rozšířil Stock Tokens do více než 120 zemí.
Key Takeaways Robinhood Chain topped $12 billion in DEX volume and 150 million transactions shortly after launch.Stock Tokens give eligible users in more than 120 countries round-the-clock exposure to tokenized assets.Robinhood Earn drew over $200 million in deposits as the company expands beyond traditional trading. Robinhood Markets’ (HOOD - Free Report) accelerating push into tokenization could emerge as an important long-term growth catalyst as the company expands beyond its traditional brokerage and crypto-trading businesses. The recent launch of the Robinhood Chain public mainnet marks a significant step toward building a blockchain-based financial ecosystem around tokenized real-world assets.
Built as an Ethereum Layer 2 network using Arbitrum technology, Robinhood Chain is designed to support faster and lower-cost transactions. The company has also expanded Stock Tokens through Robinhood Wallet to eligible users across more than 120 countries, enabling round-the-clock exposure to tokenized assets. These tokens may eventually be used across decentralized-finance applications, including lending and collateral-based services.
Robinhood is also broadening its digital-asset offerings through Robinhood Earn, its decentralized lending product and an expanded suite of perpetual futures in Europe covering crypto, commodities, ETFs and foreign exchange. Early adoption has been encouraging, with Robinhood Chain exceeding $12 billion in decentralized-exchange volume and 150 million transactions shortly after launch. Meanwhile, customers deposited more than $200 million into Robinhood Earn, while international funded customers topped 1 million in the second quarter of 2026.
These initiatives could strengthen customer engagement, expand Robinhood’s addressable market and diversify revenues at a time when crypto transaction revenues have been declining. However, regulatory uncertainty, cybersecurity risks, smart-contract vulnerabilities and uncertain adoption pose key concerns. Successful scaling of Robinhood Chain and Stock Tokens could reduce HOOD’s reliance on traditional trading revenues and support a more diversified long-term growth trajectory.
How are Robinhood’s Peers Diversifying Beyond Trading?Two close peers of HOOD are Charles Schwab (SCHW - Free Report) and Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR - Free Report) .
Schwab has been diversifying beyond trading by expanding into wealth management, banking, lending and advisory services, while enhancing offerings for ultra-high-net-worth and RIA clients. Schwab is also investing in AI-enabled advice and digital banking to deepen client relationships and generate more recurring, less transaction-dependent revenues.
Interactive Brokers is diversifying beyond traditional trading by expanding crypto and stablecoin services, prediction markets, global market access and AI-powered investing tools. Interactive Brokers’ strategy centers on a unified multi-asset platform that deepens client engagement and broadens revenue opportunities across emerging financial products and technologies.
HOOD’s Price Performance, Valuation & Estimate AnalysisOver the past six months, Robinhood shares have jumped 33% compared with the industry’s growth of 19.4%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
HOOD shares are currently trading at a premium to the industry. The company has a 12-month trailing price-to-tangible book (P/TB) of 10.89X compared with the industry average of 3.34X.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Robinhood’s 2026 earnings suggests a year-over-year decline of 0.5%. The trend is likely to reverse next year, with earnings expected to jump 31.9%. In the past month, earnings estimates for 2026 and 2027 have been revised higher to $2.04 and $2.69 per share, respectively.
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HOOD currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Robinhood Markets HOOD shares rose in premarket trading on Tuesday after Morgan Stanley upgraded the online trading platform to Overweight from Equal-weight and raised its price target to $150 from $124.
The upgrade came even as broader cryptocurrency-related stocks declined, with Coinbase and Strategy trading lower in premarket activity.
Morgan Stanley said Robinhood’s expanding product lineup, stronger customer engagement and growing asset-based revenues could support further growth.
The bank also raised its earnings estimates for the company through 2028.
Robinhood shares gained about 1.4% in premarket trading, while the stock remained down about 7% since the start of the year.
Morgan Stanley’s new $150 price target represents roughly 43% upside from Monday’s closing price. FactSet data showed an average analyst target of nearly $126.
Analysts led by Michael Cyprys said Robinhood’s broader product capabilities are improving the economics of its existing customer base.
“We see increasing evidence that broader product capabilities are improving the economics of HOOD’s installed customer base,” Cyprys wrote.
The bank raised its earnings-per-share estimates for the next three years by 12%, 14% and 15%, respectively.
Morgan Stanley highlighted Robinhood’s ability to generate more revenue from its existing customer base rather than relying primarily on growth in funded accounts.
The company now has 13 business lines generating more than $100 million in annualized revenue, according to the bank.
Prediction markets were identified as a major growth opportunity for Robinhood.
Event contract revenue increased to $156 million in the second quarter from $10 million a year earlier, surpassing revenue generated from equities and cryptocurrency trading.
Morgan Stanley said fewer than 2 million prediction-market users generated the $156 million in second-quarter revenue, highlighting the potential for further customer engagement.
The bank also pointed to Robinhood’s expanding range of products, including retirement accounts, credit cards, advisory services, banking, gold and trust offerings. These products could encourage customers to hold more assets on the platform.
Higher trading activity is another factor supporting the upgrade. Robinhood has introduced features including short selling, futures and desktop trading, which Morgan Stanley said have helped active traders use the platform more frequently.
The analysts noted that the company’s assets per customer had increased 23% year over year, while Gold users held about 4.2 times the average customer’s assets under custody.
Morgan Stanley also sees greater monetization opportunities as Robinhood expands further into market infrastructure.
The company has begun routing prediction-market event contracts through its affiliate exchange, Rothera, giving it more control over the related value chain.
“Notably, our revisions come despite lower crypto forecasts,” the analysts wrote, adding that the upside is increasingly driven by active trading, prediction markets and asset-based revenues.
Morgan Stanley expects Robinhood's revenue to grow at a 23% compound annual growth rate through 2028, reaching $8 billion, about 6% above consensus estimates.
The bank also expects expense discipline to increase EBITDA margins to 53% from 48%.
Potential catalysts include the Sept. 29-30 HOOD Summit, Rothera, perpetual futures, and agentic trading.
The bank’s $150 target is based on a 25-times multiple of its 2031 probability-weighted earnings.
With Morgan Stanley's new target implying 43% upside, HOOD is likely to stay on the radar of investors evaluating online trading platforms.
Robinhood za první pololetí vykázal rekordní tržby ve výši 2,38 mld. USD, meziročně o 24 % více, a EPS vzrostl téměř o 27 % na 1,00 USD. Růst táhly predikční trhy, zatímco tržby z kryptoměn klesly o 43 % na 234 mil. USD.
Key Takeaways Robinhood posted record H1 revenues of $2.38B, up 24%, as EPS climbed nearly 27% to $1.00.HOOD's prediction-market revenues surged to $260M, while crypto revenues fell 43% to $234M.Robinhood trades at 11.4X tangible book, well above the 3.33X industry average, raising valuation risk. Robinhood Markets (HOOD - Free Report) has evolved well beyond its roots as a commission-free stock-trading app. Strong customer engagement, record asset inflows, growing transaction volumes and rapid expansion across prediction markets, credit cards, banking, retirement and wealth management have created multiple growth avenues. This momentum was evident in the first half of 2026, when Robinhood posted record revenues and robust earnings growth.
Much of this optimism is reflected in the stock’s valuation. At $109.76 as of Aug. 27, Robinhood trades at 11.4X trailing 12-month tangible book, well above the industry average of 3.33X.
Robinhood’s P/TB TTM
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Also, HOOD stock is expensive compared with its peers – Charles Schwab (SCHW - Free Report) and Interactive Brokers (IBKR - Free Report) . Schwab and Interactive Brokers have a trailing 12-month P/TB of 7.71X and 1.95X, respectively.
Robinhood’s faster growth, younger customer base, digital-first platform and exposure to emerging businesses warrant some premium. Nevertheless, the gap leaves little room for disappointing execution. Investors considering the stock must therefore determine whether the company’s rapidly expanding financial ecosystem can generate enough sustained earnings growth to justify such a steep price.
Strong H1 Results Underpin HOOD’s Growth StoryRobinhood entered the second half of 2026 with substantial momentum. For the first six months of 2026, net revenues increased 24% year over year to a record $2.38 billion. Earnings per share rose nearly 27% to $1.00, while adjusted EBITDA grew 25% to $1.28 billion.
Quarterly Revenue Trend
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Trading remained a major growth engine. Transaction-based revenues rose 25% to $1.4 billion. Options revenues increased 19% year over year to $602 million, while equities revenues jumped 73% to $211 million. Prediction-market event contracts emerged as a key growth driver, generating $260 million in revenues compared with just $13 million in the prior-year period. The weak spot was cryptocurrencies, where revenues declined 43% to $234 million.
Importantly, Robinhood's expansion is no longer solely a trading-volume story. As of June 30, 2026, funded customers increased 7% year over year to 28.4 million, Gold subscribers surged 39% to a record 4.8 million and average revenue per user climbed 24% to $187. Total Platform Assets advanced 32% to $369 billion, while Robinhood recorded net deposits of approximately $39.7 billion in the first six months of 2026, including $21.7 billion in the second quarter alone, highlighting sustained customer asset inflows.
Momentum continued into July. Funded customers edged up to 28.5 million, while trailing-12-month net deposits reached $74.9 billion, representing 25% growth rate relative to July 2025 Platform Assets. Such consistent organic inflows indicate that Robinhood is capturing a larger share of customers’ investable assets.
New Businesses Broaden Robinhood’s Growth RunwayAnother reason investors have assigned HOOD a premium valuation is its expanding product ecosystem.
The company now says 13 business lines have reached at least $100 million in annualized revenues. Its Gold Card has crossed 1 million customers, Robinhood Banking held more than $3 billion in deposits at the end of the quarter and Robinhood Strategies had attracted more than 300,000 funded customers and nearly $2 billion in assets. TradePMR's platform had reached $50 billion in assets under management.
Internationally, Robinhood surpassed 1 million funded customers outside the United States and completed its WonderFi acquisition in Canada during the second quarter. Robinhood Singapore received a capital markets services license on July 1, while Robinhood U.K. entered the FCA cryptoasset register on July 31 and launched crypto trading earlier this month. Robinhood Chain also moved to a public mainnet in July, and by Aug. 10, 2026, it had generated more than $18 billion in decentralized-exchange volume and exceeded $840 million in total value locked.
Stock Tokens are available to eligible users in more than 120 countries, while Robinhood Earn had attracted more than $200 million in deposits by July-end. These initiatives broaden Robinhood's geographic reach and crypto use cases. If Robinhood can successfully cross-sell these services, higher customer lifetime values and more recurring revenues could support long-term margin expansion.
Likewise, Interactive Brokers and Schwab have been expanding their product suites aggressively. Interactive Brokers is broadening its product ecosystem beyond traditional stocks and options by expanding into crypto and crypto futures, prediction markets, AI-enabled trading tools and new international markets. This diversification strengthens client engagement while positioning IBKR as a multi-asset, global trading platform.
Meanwhile, Schwab is diversifying beyond brokerage into wealth management, advisory, banking, lending, retirement and asset management. SCHW’s fee-based assets, net interest income and broader financial services reduce commission dependence, support steadier revenues and deepen client relationships.
Robinhood’s Growth Prospects Remain FavorableRobinhood’s long-term earnings picture remains compelling, although near-term growth is expected to moderate after substantial gains in recent years.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 revenues is $5.08 billion, implying 13.7% year-over-year growth. On the other hand, earnings are projected to decline 0.5% to $2.04. However, growth is expected to accelerate next year, with revenues likely to jump 25.5% to $6.38 billion and earnings are projected to surge 31.2% to $2.69.
Earnings Estimates
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Asset growth, margin lending, prediction markets, Gold adoption, retirement assets, advisory services and international expansion offer meaningful upside to these estimates. Robinhood’s increasing scale could also generate operating leverage if revenues continue expanding faster than expenses.
Robinhood's liquidity position supports reinvestment, acquisitions and shareholder returns while management continues to manage share count. As of June 30, 2026, cash and cash equivalents were $5.4 billion, and corporate cash, investments and stablecoin totaled $5.6 billion. The company also had $4.9 billion of available lines of credit. In June, Robinhood raised $2.2 billion through 0% convertible senior notes due in October 2029. Thus, a solid liquidity position supports its capital distributions.
Though the company doesn’t pay dividends, it has been actively engaged in share repurchases. In March, the board refreshed the share buyback authorization to $1.5 billion, which management expects to complete over roughly the next three years. As of June 30, 2026, roughly $1.37 billion worth of shares remained available for buyback. Given decent liquidity and balance sheet position, the company’s share repurchases will likely be sustainable.
Robinhood: Risks That Should Not Be IgnoredRobinhood remains exposed to trading volumes, cryptocurrency prices and broader investor sentiment. Crypto transaction revenues have been declining for the last few quarters, demonstrating the volatility inherent in this business.
Costs also warrant attention. Operating expenses increased to $1.39 billion in the first half from $1.11 billion. First-half provisions for credit losses climbed to $92 million from $52 million as Robinhood expanded its credit-card operations.
Further, rapid expansion into prediction markets, cryptocurrencies, lending and international markets increases regulatory and execution risks. A slowdown in retail trading activity, weaker market conditions or regulatory restrictions on high-growth businesses could pressure revenues while simultaneously compressing Robinhood’s premium valuation.
Is Robinhood Stock Worth Betting on?Following a solid performance in 2025, Robinhood shares have struggled this year and are down 3% amid the crypto-market downturn against the industry’s growth of 10.7%. Although robust equities, options and prediction market activities have partly cushioned the impact, crypto weakness continues to weigh on investor sentiment.
Also, Robinhood shares have underperformed Schwab and Interactive Brokers over the same time frame.
YTD Price Performance
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Robinhood’s underlying growth story remains compelling. Record revenues, robust net deposits, expanding customer assets and a rapidly diversifying product suite suggest that the company has considerable room to grow. New businesses such as prediction markets, Gold, banking, credit cards and advisory services could make revenues more diversified and strengthen customer retention.
However, the stock price already reflects substantial expectations. With HOOD trading at a premium, investors are paying today for considerable future growth. The company must therefore continue delivering strong asset inflows, successful product adoption and above-average earnings expansion to justify its premium.
For growth-oriented investors willing to tolerate considerable volatility, Robinhood remains an intriguing long-term story. However, given its elevated valuation and exposure to market, regulatory and execution risks, investors may find the risk-reward equation more compelling following a meaningful pullback rather than chasing the stock at current premium levels.
At present, HOOD carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Robinhood ve 2. čtvrtletí zvýšil čistý zisk o 48 % na 573 milionů USD a tržby o 32 % na 1,31 miliardy USD. Firma zároveň zvedla počet Gold předplatitelů o 39 % na 4,84 milionu.
A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD - Free Report) . Shares have added about 26.7% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.
Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Robinhood Markets due for a pullback? Well, first let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the recent catalysts for Robinhood Markets, Inc. before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late.
Robinhood Q2 Earnings Beat on Trading & Platform Asset GrowthRobinhood reported second-quarter 2026 earnings of 62 cents per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 44 cents by 40.9%. The bottom line increased 48% year over year.
The reported quarter included $129 million, or 14 cents per share, of gains primarily related to the deconsolidation of Robinhood Ventures Fund I. Excluding this, underlying earnings were 48 cents per share.
Strong options, equities and event-contract activity amid heightened volatility led to an increase in transaction-based revenues. Higher net interest revenues (NIR), rising platform assets and a surge in Gold subscribers were tailwinds. However, continued weakness in crypto trading volume and higher operating expenses were the headwinds.
Net income climbed 48% to $573 million.
Revenue Mix BroadensTotal net revenues climbed 32% from a year ago to $1.31 billion. The top line surpassed the consensus mark of $1.26 billion.
NIR increased 9% year over year to $389 million. Growth in interest-earning assets helped offset the impact of lower short-term interest rates and weaker securities-lending activity.
Other revenues climbed 54% to $143 million. The increase reflected Trump Account service revenues and higher Robinhood Gold subscription revenues. The quarter included $25 million of service revenues related to Trump Accounts.
Average revenue per user rose 24% year over year to $187. Robinhood also expanded the number of business lines generating at least $100 million in annualized revenues to 13, with Robinhood Legend and the Credit Card business joining the group.
Trading Revenues AccelerateTransaction-based revenues increased 44% year over year to $776 million. Options revenues rose 29% to $342 million, while equities revenues surged 95% to $129 million. Event-contract revenues jumped more than tenfold to $156 million.
Cryptocurrency revenues remained a weak spot, declining 38% to $100 million. Crypto notional volume totaled $40.4 billion, including $18.3 billion from the Robinhood app and $22.1 billion from Bitstamp. Overall crypto volume fell 39% sequentially.
Trading engagement remained strong elsewhere. Equity notional volume advanced 85% year over year to a record $956 billion, while options contracts traded grew 50% to a record 774 million. Event contracts traded reached a record 13.6 billion.
Customer Assets Reach New HighsFunded Customers increased 7% year over year to 28.4 million, including roughly 300,000 customers added through the WonderFi acquisition. Investment Accounts rose 9% to 29.9 million.
Total Platform Assets advanced 32% to $369 billion, aided by continued net deposits and higher equity valuations. These benefits were partly offset by lower cryptocurrency valuations. Average platform assets per funded customer reached $13,000.
Net deposits totaled a record $21.7 billion, representing a 28% annualized growth rate. Robinhood Retirement assets under custody surged 82% to a record $34.5 billion.
Robinhood Gold subscribers increased 39% year over year and 11% sequentially to 4.84 million. Gold adoption reached 17% of funded customers, up from 13.1% a year earlier. The company noted that roughly 40% of new funded customers enrolled in Gold during the quarter. Annualized Gold subscription revenues reached $216 million.
Other wealth products also gained traction. Robinhood Strategies grew to more than 300,000 funded customers and nearly $2 billion in assets under management. Robinhood Banking ended June with more than $3 billion in deposits from over 240,000 funded customers.
Costs Up on Growth InvestmentsTotal operating expenses increased 33% year over year to $734 million. The increase reflected marketing and growth investments, restructuring charges and expenses related to Trump Accounts and Rothera.
Adjusted operating expenses and share-based compensation rose 23% to $641 million.
Robinhood’s profitability remained solid despite the higher expense base. Adjusted EBITDA increased 35% to $741 million, while the adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 57% from 56% a year earlier.
Share Buyback UpdatesRobinhood continued returning capital to shareholders. The company repurchased $414 million of Class A common stock during the quarter, representing 4.4 million shares at an average price of approximately $94 each. This included $290 million of repurchases tied to its June convertible-notes offering and conducted outside the existing authorization.
Since launching its initial repurchase program in the third quarter of 2024, Robinhood has bought back $1.3 billion, or 27 million shares, at an average price of roughly $47.
2026 OutlookRobinhood lowered and tightened its 2026 adjusted operating expenses and share-based compensation outlook to $2.675-$2.775 billion from the prior range of $2.7-$2.825 billion. The revised forecast reflects efficiency gains that helped fund costs associated with Rothera and WonderFi.
How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?Since the earnings release, investors have witnessed a downward trend in fresh estimates.
VGM ScoresAt this time, Robinhood Markets has a poor Growth Score of F, however its Momentum Score is doing a lot better with an A. However, the stock has a score of F on the value side, putting it in the lowest quintile for this investment strategy.
Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of F. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.
OutlookEstimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions indicates a downward shift. Interestingly, Robinhood Markets has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.
Performance of an Industry PlayerRobinhood Markets is part of the Zacks Financial - Investment Bank industry. Over the past month, Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR - Free Report) , a stock from the same industry, has gained 6.7%. The company reported its results for the quarter ended June 2026 more than a month ago.
Interactive Brokers reported revenues of $1.88 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +27.2%. EPS of $0.69 for the same period compares with $0.51 a year ago.
Interactive Brokers is expected to post earnings of $0.65 per share for the current quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +14%. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate remained unchanged.
The overall direction and magnitude of estimate revisions translate into a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) for Interactive Brokers. Also, the stock has a VGM Score of F.
Robinhood za týden vzrostl o 13,2 % díky optimismu kolem Clarity Act a růstu bitcoinu. Podpořily ho i silné výsledky: fundovaní zákazníci stoupli o 7 % na 28,4 milionu a aktiva na platformě o 32 % na 369 miliard USD.
Key Takeaways Robinhood shares rallied 13.2% last week, sharply outperforming the industry's 2.3% decline.HOOD gained as optimism over the Clarity Act and a Bitcoin rally lifted sentiment toward crypto stocks.HOOD's funded customers rose 7% to 28.4 million at Q2-end, while Platform Assets climbed 32% to $369 billion. Shares of Robinhood Markets (HOOD - Free Report) , a leading fintech brokerage firm, rallied 13.2% last week, sharply outperforming the industry, which declined 2.3% over the same period.
One-Week Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
If you observe the price chart, you will see that Robinhood shares took off on Friday, Aug. 21, following a volatile performance over the previous four trading sessions.
What Triggered the Rally in HOOD Stock?The sharp rally in Robinhood shares on Friday was largely driven by renewed optimism surrounding the U.S. cryptocurrency regulatory landscape. President Donald Trump urged Congress to advance the Clarity Act, which seeks to establish clearer rules for digital assets and define oversight responsibilities between the SEC and CFTC. Investors viewed the push as a potential step toward a more accommodating regulatory environment, benefiting crypto-focused platforms such as Robinhood, Coinbase Global (COIN - Free Report) and Circle Internet Group (CRCL - Free Report) .
On Friday, Coinbase Global and Circle Internet gained 8.2% and 5.2%, respectively. Growing optimism over U.S. crypto regulation, particularly the Clarity Act, coupled with a Bitcoin rally, boosted investor sentiment toward COIN and CRCL shares.
The development is particularly significant for Robinhood as the company continues to broaden its presence in digital assets and blockchain-based products. CEO Vlad Tenev has been advocating for tokenized stock trading in the United States, arguing that blockchain-based equities could offer benefits such as round-the-clock trading, real-time settlement and greater asset portability. Robinhood already offers stock-token trading in more than 120 countries, although the service is currently unavailable in the United States.
Investor sentiment was further supported by expectations that the SEC is going to introduce an “innovation exemption” allowing approved platforms to offer tokenized equities domestically. Combined with Robinhood’s expanding crypto ecosystem, including Bitstamp, WonderFi and other blockchain initiatives (Robinhood Chain), greater regulatory clarity will likely unlock additional growth opportunities and strengthen its competitive position in digital finance.
What Next for Robinhood?Though Robinhood stock jumped last week, it is still trading at a loss in the year-to-date time frame. On the other hand, the industry jumped 10.4%. Coinbase Global has lost 17.5%, while Circle Internet shares have gained 10.9% over the same time frame.
YTD Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Though trading remains a major growth engine, Robinhood’s expansion is no longer solely a trading-volume story. As of June 30, 2026, funded customers increased 7% year over year to 28.4 million, Gold subscribers surged 39% to a record 4.8 million, and average revenue per user climbed 24% to $187. Total Platform Assets advanced 32% to $369 billion, while Robinhood recorded net deposits of approximately $39.7 billion in the first six months of 2026, including $21.7 billion in the second quarter alone, highlighting sustained customer asset inflows.
This combination of customer growth, asset gathering and increased monetization suggests Robinhood is succeeding in capturing a larger share of its customers' financial lives. The company now says 13 business lines have reached at least $100 million in annualized revenues.
As these tools increase engagement while maintaining user trust, HOOD is expected to build recurring use cases around investing, lending, automation and payments rather than relying only on trading activity. These efforts are expected to drive top-line growth. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for HOOD’s 2026 sales indicates a rise of 13.3% on a year-over-year basis, while the estimate for 2027 suggests 25.3% growth.
Sales Estimates
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Likewise, analysts are turning bullish on HOOD’s prospects. Though the Zacks Consensus Estimate for HOOD’s 2026 earnings indicates a fall of almost 1% on a year-over-year basis, the estimate for 2027 suggests 30.4% growth. Earnings estimates for both years have been revised higher over the past seven days.
Earnings Estimates
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
At present, Robinhood carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Akcie Robinhood Markets vzrostly v pátek o 13,70 % po rostoucím optimismu kolem jasnější regulace kryptoměn v USA. Trumpova administrativa tlačí na schválení Clarity Act.
Shares of Robinhood Markets (HOOD +13.70%) jumped on Friday as investors grew more optimistic about the future of the cryptocurrency industry.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Crypto investors could soon have more clarity The Trump administration is urging Congress to pass the Clarity Act. The bill would help to establish clearer regulations for the crypto industry, thereby making it easier for financial institutions to integrate digital assets into their operations.
The drive to pass the bill comes after President Trump met with the leaders of multiple crypto-related companies on Wednesday. Investors viewed the meeting and Trump's subsequent comments in favor of the Clarity Act as signs that the crypto industry could soon operate in a less restrictive -- and therefore more profitable -- regulatory environment.
Today's Change
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Tokenization could accelerate Robinhood's growth The removal of burdensome regulations could open up new market opportunities for Robinhood and other digital asset trading platforms.
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev has set his sights on tokenized stocks, or blockchain tokens that represent shares of real businesses. Tokenization offers benefits such as real-time settlement, 24/7 trading, and greater asset portability.
"It is becoming increasingly clear that we are in the early innings of a global tokenization supercycle," Tenev said in a social media post. "Last year, I called it a freight train that cannot be stopped -- and one that will eat the entire financial system."
Robinhood already offers trading in stock tokens in more than 120 countries, but it's currently unable to do so in the U.S. Tenev believes that needs to change.
"It would be a strange outcome if the rest of the world could build the future of ownership around American assets while Americans themselves were left behind," Tenev said.
Joe Tenebruso has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Robinhood shares surged 11% on Friday as a sharp rally in Bitcoin lifted crypto-related stocks across the market.
Bitcoin was trading near $77,000, up substantially from around $62,800 at the beginning of the week, as investors poured into digital assets following a combination of macroeconomic and policy catalysts.
The move has provided a fresh boost to Robinhood HOOD, whose trading platform allows customers to buy and sell cryptocurrencies alongside stocks and other assets.
Other crypto-linked stocks also advanced sharply. Strategy rose more than 6%, while Coinbase gained about 9% and Circle Internet Group climbed roughly 9%.
The rally follows a turbulent period for risk assets, with markets initially responding positively to a retreat in Treasury yields before a powerful short squeeze accelerated the move in cryptocurrencies.
According to CoinGlass, roughly $2.7 billion in crypto short positions were liquidated, forcing traders who had bet against digital assets to close their positions and adding further buying pressure.
The initial catalyst came from the bond market.
Treasury yields fell sharply on Wednesday after the US Treasury announced plans to double the size of its planned buybacks of longer-dated government debt.
The intervention temporarily eased pressure on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, which tend to be sensitive to changes in liquidity and borrowing costs.
Max Stuedlein, head of Partnerships at Sygnum APAC, said Bitcoin's rally reflects an alignment of macroeconomic and policy catalysts.
“The Treasury’s decision to double its buybacks of long-dated government debt is aimed at addressing long-term yield concerns, where borrowing costs have been rising on concerns over US debt levels and partial crowding out by debt issuances of hyperscalers,” he said.
The effect has since broadened beyond Bitcoin as investors have moved into crypto-related equities.
The Bitcoin rally is also being supported by renewed demand from US investors.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted $606 million in inflows on Thursday, up from $517 million a day earlier.
Total inflows this week have exceeded $1.6 billion, marking the strongest weekly performance since October last year.
That institutional demand provides a stronger foundation for the rally than short covering alone, although it remains unclear how long the pace of inflows can continue.
For Robinhood, stronger crypto activity can translate into higher transaction revenue.
But the company has increasingly sought to demonstrate that its business is becoming less dependent on cryptocurrency trading.
Crypto accounted for just 12.88% of Robinhood's transaction revenue in the second quarter, down sharply from a peak of 53% in the fourth quarter of 2024.
Layered onto the broader policy catalyst is Robinhood’s push into tokenized equities.
CEO Vlad Tenev published a widely circulated piece on August 18 urging US policymakers to modernize securities laws to allow blockchain-based versions of stocks to trade domestically.
He warned that the US risks falling behind overseas markets, where tokenized equity trading has reached $9 billion in volume in 2026, an increase of more than 800% year to date.
The SEC is also reportedly working on an “innovation exemption” that could allow approved platforms to offer 24/7 trading in tokenized stocks.
Such a framework could give Robinhood a significant regulatory runway for expanding its existing tokenization products.
Analysts remain divided on RobinhoodDespite Friday's jump, Robinhood shares remain down about 8% this year, highlighting the uncertainty surrounding the stock.
Fundstrat Global Advisors co-founder and head of research Tom Lee has reportedly included HOOD among the stocks he expects investors to avoid in 2026.
His cautious stance is notable because Lee has generally been viewed as a strong supporter of the cryptocurrency market.
Other investors disagree.
Kevin Simpson, founder and CIO of Capital Wealth Planning, said he does not share Lee's bearish view.
Robinhood's second-quarter revenue increased 32% year over year to a record $1.3 billion, while earnings per share rose 48% and net deposits reached a record $22 billion.
Simpson acknowledged that the valuation is high but said he remains confident in CEO Vlad Tenev and Robinhood's ability to attract younger investors.
Joseph Terranova of Virtus Investment Partners described Lee's position on Robinhood as "counterintuitive."
Bryn Talkington, managing partner at Requisite Capital Management, also disagrees with Lee, arguing that Robinhood remains closely tied to cryptocurrency and could benefit significantly if the crypto market continues to recover.
Goldman Sachs recently added to the bullish outlook, raising its price target for Robinhood to $123 while maintaining a Buy rating.
The broader analyst consensus remains positive, with an average price target of around $124.73 and an Overweight rating.
Valuation remains the biggest concernThe strongest argument against chasing Robinhood after Friday's rally is its valuation.
The stock trades at a forward non-GAAP price-to-earnings ratio of about 38.3, compared with a sector median of 11.34.
Its trailing non-GAAP P/E is around 38.5, while the GAAP P/E stands at roughly 46.2.
That means investors are already paying a substantial premium for future growth.
Bulls argue that the premium is justified because Robinhood is expanding beyond crypto and building a broader financial platform.
The declining contribution of cryptocurrency to transaction revenue supports that argument.
But a high valuation also leaves the stock vulnerable if growth slows or investor appetite for risk assets weakens.
There are also warning signs within the cryptocurrency market itself.
According to Crispus Nyaga, market analyst at Invezz, Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index has climbed to about 85, its highest level since November 2024.
An RSI above 70 is generally considered overbought, suggesting that the recent rally may have moved too quickly.
That does not necessarily mean Bitcoin must fall immediately, but it increases the risk of profit-taking after such a sharp move.
The bond market presents another potential threat.
US long-term Treasury yields have resumed their climb after the initial impact of the Treasury's buyback announcement faded.
The 30-year yield rose to about 5.246% on Friday, approaching its year-to-date high.
Higher yields can put pressure on speculative assets by making relatively safer fixed-income investments more attractive and tightening financial conditions.
Friday's surge shows how quickly Robinhood can benefit when Bitcoin and broader risk appetite turn higher.
The company's strong operating growth and declining reliance on crypto also give investors a reason to view it as more than a pure cryptocurrency proxy.
But the stock's elevated valuation means expectations are already high.
For now, Bitcoin's momentum, strong ETF inflows and renewed appetite for crypto-related equities are working in Robinhood's favor.
The question is whether those factors can overcome an increasingly overbought cryptocurrency market and renewed pressure from Treasury yields.
Robinhood chce s regulátory v USA prosadit tokenizované obchodování s akciemi, které by umožnilo 24/7 obchodování a podle Vlad Teneva může změnit celý finanční systém.
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Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev believes the global financial system is approaching its biggest technological transformation in decades. Speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box from D.C. ahead of meetings at the White House and the CFTC, Tenev framed the environment for tokenization in unusually sweeping terms: “We’re at the beginning of a supercycle, and it’s going to take over the entire financial system.”
Robinhood (NASDAQ:HOOD | HOOD Price Prediction) has launched tokenized exposure to 190 U.S. stocks across more than 120 countries, expanded its prediction markets to billions of dollars in monthly volume, and attracted over 100,000 customers to AI-powered trading tools. Now Tenev wants U.S. regulators to open the domestic market before tokenized trading volume and financial innovation move permanently overseas.
Robinhood Wants to Put Every Asset on Blockchain Robinhood Chain launched outside the U.S. with tokenized exposure to 190 U.S. stocks, and those tokens trade 24/7 across more than 120 countries. Robinhood’s CEO Tenev connected the technical shift to a broader societal claim: “I think that broad ownership, particularly of these innovative companies, is essential to maintaining a free, stable and prosperous society.”
On the company’s earnings call in July, Tenev laid out the same vision in operational terms, describing Robinhood Chain as “purpose-built for real-world assets” and pitched the strategic upside: “Can we use the early success of Robinhood Chain to actually make all assets, make everything that you have in the U.S. available to billions of people worldwide?“ The chain has already processed over $12 billion in DEX volume post-launch and became the fastest chain to reach 100 million transactions, according to company disclosures.
The Washington meetings signal that Tenev sees U.S. regulatory clarity as the missing piece. He wants the CFTC and the White House to greenlight tokenized U.S. equity trading domestically before overseas venues capture the liquidity.
Prediction Markets Just Generated $6 Billion in Monthly Volume The second leg of the thesis is event contracts. “We’ve seen tremendous growth in our prediction markets business. Just in July, we had over $6 billion in volume,“ Tenev told CNBC, adding that volume is diversifying beyond sports into financial and crypto markets.
Robinhood’s event contracts business generated $156 million in Q2 2026 revenue, and the Rothera joint venture with Susquehanna became a top 3 DCM in the U.S. after one month. Prediction market users grew from 1.5 million to roughly 2 million, with midterms cited as the next catalyst.
Robinhood Wants AI to Build Trading Strategies for Anyone The third bet is AI. “Through our agentic products, we have over 100,000 customers. We’re getting usage, and we’re getting lots of feedback for what’s working, what’s not working, how we can make it better,” Tenev said.
He drew a direct parallel to how AI has helped enable anyone to be their own developer: “In the same way that the agentic coding tools have allowed for an explosion of developer activity, the same thing will happen in financial services, where you can create increasingly sophisticated strategies and deploy them without having a computer science background.”
Record Revenue Gives Tenev Room to Think Bigger Robinhood posted record revenue of $1.31 billion in Q2 2026, up 32% year over year, with EPS of $0.62 against a $0.43 consensus. Total platform assets reached $369 billion.
Tenev also flagged the Trump Accounts app, which currently offers S&P 500 exposure through a State Street ETF, as an on-ramp for the next generation of owners. 7 million children have signed up, with nearly $1.5 billion in contributions.
Key Takeaways Robinhood is assembling a broader financial platform built around tokenized assets, prediction markets, and AI-generated trading strategies. Record revenue, $369 billion in platform assets, and rapid adoption across these newer products give that vision more credibility than it had even a year ago.
Regulation remains the biggest unresolved variable. Robinhood has already demonstrated that tokenized U.S. stocks can attract international demand, but bringing the model home will require support from Washington. If regulators provide a workable framework, Robinhood could become one of the primary gateways to a 24-hour, blockchain-based financial system.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Webull před výsledky za 2. čtvrtletí roste o 7 % na 8,49 USD. Robinhood Markets přidává 7 % na 98,45 USD díky tlaku na schválení tokenizovaných akcií v USA.
Retail brokerage stocks are rallying midday Wednesday as Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) surges and two separate company stories converge on the same crypto catalyst. Webull (NASDAQ:BULL | BULL Price Prediction) shares are up 7% to $8.49 ahead of the company’s Q2 2026 earnings report after the close, while Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ:HOOD) shares are climbing 7% to $98.45 as CEO Vlad Tenev pushes U.S. regulators to approve tokenized stocks.
Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN) shares are up 11% to $163.32, extending a sharp bounce for the largest U.S. crypto exchange. Bitcoin is trading around $68,500, up 6% over the past 24 hours.
The action reads as a bounce inside a down year rather than a trend change. Robinhood Markets stock was down 19% year to date (YTD) through Tuesday’s close, and Coinbase stock is down 35% YTD.
Webull Heads Into Q2 Earnings After the Close Webull will report Q2 2026 results on August 19 after the close. Three analysts project average revenue of $182.83 million for the quarter, up from $156.94 million a year earlier. The consensus EPS estimate sits at $0.03, below the $0.06 Webull posted a year earlier.
The setup follows a strong Q1 2026 print. Webull reported Q1 revenue of $159.9 million, up 36% year over year (YoY), with customer assets of $24 billion (up 90%) and equity notional volume of $261 billion. Elimination of the Pattern Day Trader rule took effect June 4, and Webull’s average account size sits just below $5,000, so a large share of its customers were directly affected by the old rule.
U.S. CEO Anthony Denier told analysts in May he expected the change to lift transaction activity by at least 20% over time, saying, “This is not going to happen on day one on June 4, but I believe this will happen over time.” Of the four analysts covering Webull, three rate the stock Strong Buy and one rates it Hold, with an average price target of $12.33.
Robinhood Markets Pushes for Tokenized Stocks Robinhood Markets CEO Vlad Tenev argued in a post on X that the United States risks ceding next-generation financial market infrastructure to overseas competitors. Tenev called tokenization “the best path to modernizing the American financial system and expanding the dream of ownership to all.” He added, “It would be a strange outcome if the rest of the world could build the future of ownership around American assets while Americans themselves were left behind.”
Robinhood Markets has made tokenized U.S. stocks available in more than 120 countries and has tokenized more than 190 U.S. stocks, backed 1:1 by underlying shares. Holders do not directly own those underlying shares, a distinction that has given U.S. regulators pause. Robinhood Chain, the permissionless Ethereum-compatible Layer 2 launched in July, became the fastest Ethereum Virtual Machine chain to reach 100 million transactions.
The Kobeissi Letter said total trading volume in on-chain tokenized equities reached $9 billion in 2026, a record representing growth of more than 207% quarter over quarter and more than 800% YTD.
Coinbase Rides the Crypto Bounce Coinbase shares are up 11% to $163.32 as Bitcoin rallies, with no company-specific catalyst identified today beyond the broader crypto rally and a friendlier regulatory backdrop. Per Investor’s Business Daily, the Senate has set a date for a vote on the CLARITY Act, the SEC has proposed new rules for crypto offerings, and the White House is preparing to host a crypto summit.
Even with today’s rip, Coinbase stock remains one of the weaker fintech names in 2026, reflecting soft spot volumes and a Q2 miss earlier this summer. The bounce narrative depends on Bitcoin holding its gains.
ARK Fintech Innovation ETF Tracks the Group The ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKF) is up 4% to $44.2, tracking the fintech and crypto-linked names inside the portfolio. ARKF is an actively managed thematic fund with meaningful exposure to crypto and blockchain issuers alongside Robinhood Markets and Coinbase, which sit at 4.5% and 5.8% of net assets, respectively.
ARKF shares were down 11% YTD through Tuesday’s close. Actively managed thematic funds carry single-manager risk and holdings-concentration risk, so position sizing matters when the group swings hard in either direction.
What to Watch The Webull earnings report after the close is the next real data point, with the conference call likely to focus on PDT-driven volume, AI product traction, and international expansion. Investors can stay tuned for management’s read on July and August activity, since Webull now publishes monthly operating metrics.
The tokenization push from Robinhood Markets sets up the next regulatory beat, with the CLARITY Act vote as the near-term marker. Traders may want to keep an eye on whether Coinbase and Bitcoin hold their gains into Thursday, because a fade in crypto prices would pull the fintech complex back down quickly.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Robinhood v červenci meziročně zvýšil aktivní účty v akciích o 29,7 % na 4,8 milionu a aktivní účty v opcích o 90,9 % na 2,1 milionu. Krypto aktivní účty ale klesly o 45,4 % na 0,6 milionu.
Key Takeaways HOOD's equity and options DATs jumped 29.7% and 90.9%, respectively, year over year in July 2026.Product expansion across futures, options, prediction markets and AI could support higher trading activity.HOOD's crypto DATs fell 45.4% year over year to 0.6 million, highlighting mixed trading trends. Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD - Free Report) reported strong growth in equity and options Daily Average Trades (DATs) in July 2026, underscoring continued momentum in its active-trader business. Equity DATs rose 29.7% year over year to 4.8 million, while options DATs surged 90.9% to 2.1 million. However, crypto DATs fell 45.4% to 0.6 million, highlighting the mixed trends across Robinhood’s trading businesses.
To strengthen its position in the active-trader market, HOOD has been expanding its product offerings and entering new markets. In June 2026, it acquired WonderFi, adding approximately 300,000 funded customers and strengthening its regulated crypto presence in Canada. Earlier, in January 2026, its joint venture with Susquehanna International Group acquired a controlling stake in MIAX Derivatives Exchange, supporting its expansion into futures and derivatives. HOOD also agreed to acquire Indonesia’s PT Buana Capital Sekuritas and PT Pedagang Aset Kripto in December 2025 to gain local licenses and accelerate its APAC expansion. In June 2025, it acquired Bitstamp, adding established crypto infrastructure to support its international business.
Robinhood is also broadening its product suite to drive customer engagement. In 2026, it enhanced Robinhood Legend with futures, short selling and index options and expanded its prediction markets and futures offerings. In 2025, it launched Robinhood Strategies, Robinhood Cortex, an AI assistant for market analysis and real-time insights, and Robinhood Social, which offers verified trading profiles, strategy sharing and expert portfolio tracking. The broader product ecosystem could help HOOD attract and retain active traders while supporting higher trading activity over time.
Thus, continued product expansion and strategic investments are expected to support customer acquisition and transaction-based revenues. The metric witnessed a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 57.7% over the last six years ended 2025, primarily driven by options and equities trading. The momentum continued in the first half of 2026, supported by strong trading activity and increased adoption of new products.
Other Details From Robinhood's July Operating DataIn July 2026, HOOD’s total platform assets climbed 19.1% year over year to $355 billion, supported by $5.6 billion in net deposits. Further, funded customers totaled 28.5 million, up 6.7% from July 2025.
Robinhood's equity notional trading volumes were $332.8 billion in July, up 59.1% year over year. Options contracts traded increased 65.5% to 324.2 million. Robinhood App crypto notional trading volumes declined 74.4% from the prior-year month to $4.3 billion, while Bitstamp crypto notional trading volume was $6.6 billion, down 44.5% from the year-ago month. Hence, overall crypto notional trading volumes declined 62% year over year to $10.9 billion.
How Are Competitors Scaling Up to Challenge Robinhood?HOOD’s key competitors, Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR - Free Report) and Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW - Free Report) , have been expanding their products and technology to strengthen market share.
Interactive Brokers reported daily average revenue trades of 4.4 million clients in July 2026, up 27% year over year, while customer accounts rose 34% to 5.32 million. IBKR continues to expand its product suite and global reach, including nearly 24/5 Forecast Contracts trading, a unified prediction markets interface and broader access to Korean equities in May 2026.
Tradeweb reported $67.5 trillion in total trading volume in July 2026, with average daily volume rising 23.3% year over year to $2.9 trillion. TW continues to invest in electronic trading and AI. In June 2026, it launched TARA, an AI-powered research assistant for institutional credit trading, while also expanding prediction-market data and blockchain-based trading capabilities.
HOOD’s Price Performance, Valuation & Estimate AnalysisIn the past six months, Robinhood shares have gained 27% compared with the industry’s 15.3% growth.
Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
HOOD shares are currently trading at a massive premium to the industry. The company has a 12-month trailing price-to-tangible book of 9.93X compared with the industry average of 3.38X.
Price-to-Tangible Book TTM
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Robinhood’s 2026 earnings implies a year-over-year decline of 1.46%, while the 2027 estimate indicates year-over-year growth of 16.2%. Earnings estimates for both years have been revised upward over the past 30 days.
Estimates Revision Trend
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Currently, HOOD carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Robinhood Ventures Fund II získal 225,5 milionu USD a otevřel drobným investorům přístup k soukromým startupům. Fond se zaměří hlavně na rané a růstové firmy, zejména napojené na Y Combinator.
Robinhood Markets Inc (NASDAQ:HOOD) has raised $225.5 million for a new publicly traded fund that gives everyday investors exposure to private startups.
The trading and investment company priced the initial public offering of Robinhood Ventures Fund II at $25 per share on the New York Stock Exchange.
Unlike Robinhood's first venture fund, which targeted later-stage private companies, the new fund will focus on early and growth-stage startups, with particular emphasis on companies linked to Y Combinator, the Silicon Valley startup accelerator.
Y Combinator has backed more than 5,000 startups since 2005, with alumni including Coinbase, Airbnb, Stripe and OpenAI.
Rather than betting on a single winner, the fund plans to build a diversified portfolio across multiple industries.
The launch reflects a broader shift as companies stay private for longer, delaying the point at which retail investors can buy in.
Sarah Pinto, head of Robinhood Ventures, said the company is already developing additional venture funds as part of a longer-term push into private markets.
The expansion sits alongside Robinhood's wider move beyond stock trading into wealth management, retirement accounts and tokenised assets.
Robinhood spouští ve Spojeném království bezpoplatkové obchodování s kryptoměnami pro více než 50 digitálních aktiv a přidává nástroj s umělou inteligencí Cortex Digests for Crypto. Výnosy z transakcí s kryptoměnami za prvních šest měsíců roku 2026 meziročně klesly o 43,2 % na 234 milionů USD.
Key Takeaways HOOD to launch zero-fee UK crypto trading with access to more than 50 digital assets. Robinhood adds AI-powered Cortex Digests for Crypto to deepen engagement and explain market moves. HOOD's crypto transaction-based revenues declined 43.2% y/y to $234 million in the first six months of 2026. Shares of Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD - Free Report) gained 1.32% after it announced expanding its cryptocurrency trading business in the United Kingdom. The company is set to roll out zero-fee crypto trading to eligible UK customers later this week, strengthening its international footprint while broadening its all-in-one investment platform.
HOOD Expands UK Crypto Offering With AI-Powered InsightsThrough Bitstamp UK, Robinhood will allow eligible UK customers to trade more than 50 digital assets through its app alongside stocks, Stocks & Shares ISAs, equities, options and futures. The offering includes Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP and Hyperliquid, with zero trading fees and no account maintenance or custody charges. The low-cost model is expected to help the company attract customers and increase platform engagement.
Robinhood is also introducing Cortex Digests for Crypto, an AI-powered tool that analyzes breaking news, market data, technical indicators, and proprietary insights to explain crypto price movements. The feature will likely improve user engagement and strengthen the company’s AI-driven investment platform. As of June 30, 2026, funded customers rose 7% year over year to 28.4 million, providing a growing base for the strategy.
Crypto Weakness Highlights Growth OpportunityThe expansion comes as Robinhood’s crypto business faces pressure. Crypto transaction-based revenues declined 43.2% year over year to $234 million in the first six months of 2026, compared with $412 million in the year-ago period, reflecting weaker cryptocurrency trading activity. Crypto notional trading volume increased 30.9% year over year to $106 billion in the first six months of 2026 from $81 billion in the year-ago period. The UK launch is expected to help expand HOOD’s digital assets customer base, with the zero-fee model making customer adoption, trading volumes, and cross-selling key to its financial performance.
Despite weakness in crypto, Robinhood’s transaction-based revenues totaled $1.19 billion for the first six months of 2026, driven by strong activity in equities, options, and event contracts. This highlights the benefit of HOOD’s increasingly diversified revenue base.
Robinhood Strengthens Global Crypto EcosystemRobinhood is expanding its onchain presence through Robinhood Chain, a Layer 2 blockchain built on Arbitrum. Since its July 1 global launch, the network has generated more than $18 billion in DEX trading volume and surpassed $840 million in total value locked, supporting HOOD’s efforts to build a broader digital-asset ecosystem beyond traditional crypto trading.
The UK launch complements this strategy as HOOD expands its broader platform. As of June 30, 2026, total platform assets rose 32% year over year to $369 billion, while Gold subscribers increased 39% to 4.84 million. Growing asset and subscription customer bases provide additional opportunities to introduce products and increase wallet share.
Our View on RobinhoodRobinhood’s UK crypto launch strengthens its international footprint and expands its all-in-one investment offering. The initiative will likely help offset and expand crypto business while complementing HOOD’s broader onchain strategy. Strong overall business growth provides a foundation for expansion, although its success will depend on customer adoption and trading volumes, with regulatory and competitive pressures remaining key risks.
Over the past six months, Robinhood shares have soared 32.9%, significantly outperforming the industry’s 16.4% growth.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Currently, Robinhood carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Similar Moves Highlight Growing Digital-Asset AdoptionLike HOOD, Wells Fargo (WFC - Free Report) and The Bank of New York Mellon (BNY - Free Report) are expanding beyond traditional crypto services into blockchain-based financial solutions.
Wells Fargo is developing tokenized deposits for real-time on-chain payments and settlements, while BNY is partnering with Galaxy Digital to add staking to its Digital Asset Custody platform. These initiatives could help both banks broaden fee-generating opportunities, strengthen client relationships, and capitalize on rising institutional demand for digital assets.
Robinhood má už 13 samostatných byznysových linií s anualizovanými tržbami nad 100 milionů USD, což snižuje závislost na kryptu. Ve 2. čtvrtletí tržby vzrostly o 32 % na rekordních 1,3 miliardy USD.
Robinhood Markets (HOOD +1.32%) stock has fallen about 12% over the past year, even as the company continues to grow revenue and earnings at high rates.
The second-quarter earnings results revealed one important signal for investors: Robinhood is moving away from its dependency on crypto-based trading toward a more diversified financial services platform. The implications could be significant for patient shareholders.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Robinhood is not dependent on crypto trading Revenue grew 32% year over year in the quarter, reaching a record $1.3 billion. It also posted a 48% year-over-year increase in earnings, with a healthy adjusted operating profit margin of 57%. Management is investing efficiently in new products, as evidenced by robust earnings growth despite a 33% year-over-year increase in operating expenses.
Robinhood has long been seen as a trading app, and volatility in financial markets can negatively impact transaction-based revenue. Crypto trading volume fell 38% year over year to $100 million in the quarter, reflecting the recent decline in top cryptocurrencies.
Despite lower crypto volume, Robinhood's transaction-based revenue still rose 44%, driven by increases in equities, options, and event contracts. Notably, other revenues grew 54% year over year to $143 million, driven by Trump Account service revenue and a 17% increase in Robinhood Gold subscribers, which hit a record 4.84 million.
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What does diversifying revenue mean for the stock? Management disclosed there are now 13 separate business lines generating at least $100 million in annualized revenue. This is up from 11 in the fourth quarter of 2025, with recent additions including the Robinhood Legend trading application and the credit card business.
Expanding beyond trading products has been Robinhood's goal all along. Roughly $84 trillion in wealth is expected to be transferred to heirs over the next 20 years, according to Cerruli Associates. Robinhood is expanding to new products to become a full-service money management business to capture its share of that opportunity. The business rationale is simple: The more assets on the platform, the more revenue it can earn over the long term.
Net deposits grew 28% year over year to $22 billion, with total platform assets reaching $369 billion. Banking deposits have already exceeded $3 billion since the service's initial rollout in the second half of 2025. Retirement assets also grew 82% year over year to over $34 billion in the quarter. These are customers who are clearly not just interested in trading crypto but in making Robinhood the permanent base for their savings.
Robinhood has been labeled a high-growth trading platform, and the success of its new event contracts business fuels that narrative. But the steady growth in deposits, banking, and retirement assets shows Robinhood is more than just a trading app.
Much of the company's recent expansion is reflected in the stock price, which trades at an expensive 38 times forward earnings estimates, indicating high growth expectations. But the momentum it is seeing as it expands its revenue streams seems to at least justify that premium valuation.
Robinhood ve 2. čtvrtletí zvýšil tržby o 32 % na 1,3 miliardy USD, ale tržby z kryptoměn klesly o 38 % na 100 milionů USD. Akcie po růstu o více než 45 % od 52týdenního minima stále jsou draze oceněné.
Robinhood Markets (HOOD +3.51%) operates an investing platform where clients can buy and sell stocks, options, futures, cryptocurrency, and event contracts in the prediction markets. Its stock was trading at a 52-week low of $63 in March, a 57% decline from last year's record high of $154.
The sell-off was driven by weakness in Robinhood's options and crypto trading businesses, which combine to make up the bulk of its transaction-based revenue. While options activity recovered slightly during the second quarter of 2026, the crypto business remained subdued.
Robinhood stock has climbed more than 45% from its 52-week low, but here's why I'm predicting another sell-off during the next few months.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Robinhood's clients engage in very risky behavior Robinhood generated $1.3 billion in revenue during the 2026 second quarter, an impressive 32% increase from the year-ago period. Transaction-based revenue accounted for $776 million of that total, while net interest income contributed $389 million.
Transaction-based revenue is the money Robinhood earns from its core business, which involves processing trades on behalf of its clients. Options trading was the largest contributor at $342 million, a 29% increase from the year-ago period. Crypto trading revenue, however, plummeted by 38% to just $100 million. That isn't a surprise, given that major coins including Bitcoin and Ethereum are down sharply from their all-time highs, which has kept many investors on the sidelines.
Robinhood also earned $156 million from processing trades in the prediction markets, which clients use to make bets on everything from politics to sports. Like options and crypto markets, prediction markets are extremely risky, and that brings me to a very important point.
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During the second quarter of 2021, which was near the height of the pandemic-related frenzy in the financial markets, Robinhood earned a whopping 88% of its transaction-based revenue from options and crypto trading alone. But just one year later, its options revenue was down 31%, while its crypto revenue had plummeted by 75%.
Most investors who engage in highly speculative trading in options, crypto, and prediction markets lose money in the long run, which is terrible for Robinhood's customer retention. In fact, in the company's latest quarterly filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, it cites speculative "meme" trading as one of the key reasons its revenue fluctuates so erratically.
Transaction-based revenue from areas such as stock investing is more sustainable because buying a slice of a company isn't an all-or-nothing bet, which means clients are likely to stick around for much longer. However, this currently makes up just 17% of Robinhood's total transaction-based revenue.
Image source: Robinhood Markets.
Unfortunately, the composition of Robinhood's revenue leaves the company vulnerable to more volatility in its financial results. When the company's transaction-based revenue fell sharply after 2021, its stock suffered a decline of more than 90%, and there is a risk that history will repeat if it doesn't diversify away from risky areas such as options and event contracts.
Robinhood's lofty valuation opens the door to downside for shareholders When Robinhood stock set a new record high last October, its price-to-sales (P/S) ratio was more than 30, almost triple its long-term average of 11.9. That valuation wasn't sustainable, but even though the stock has since declined, its P/S ratio remains at an elevated level of 16.5.
HOOD PS Ratio data by YCharts
That implies Robinhood stock would have to decline by roughly 30% or more just to trade in line with its average P/S ratio of 11.9. However, it might have even more downside potential if there is a decline in the company's transaction revenue, which is a possibility if history is any guide. Lower revenue in the future would mean Robinhood stock might be even more expensive than it currently appears at face value.
A sharp decline in the stock market, rising interest rates, or a deterioration in the broader economy could reduce the disposable incomes of many retail investors who engage in highly speculative trading, thus resulting in lower transaction revenue for Robinhood. All three factors were prevalent last time the company's revenue plummeted in 2022.
Simply put, I think Robinhood's elevated valuation leaves very little room for further upside in its stock, especially considering its largest sources of revenue are on such shaky foundations.
Robinhood získal povolení od FCA nabízet kryptoměnové služby ve Spojeném království. Firma je na seznamu společností registrovaných pro kryptoaktiva od 31. července.
Robinhood received regulatory permission to begin offering cryptocurrency services in the United Kingdom.
The traditional platform has been part of the Financial Conduct Authority’s list of registered cryptoasset companies since July 31.
The company’s inclusion by the FCA was flagged in a Monday (Aug. 3) CoinDesk report, which said Robinhood’s new permission has special significance ahead of the adoption of a more comprehensive framework for digital asset regulation in the U.K.
Legislation earlier this year placed crypto under the FCA’s regulatory umbrella. New rules that go into effect in October 2027 will keep the authority’s oversight of crypto limited to financial promotions and anti-money laundering controls.
“This is a significant moment for crypto regulation in the U.K.,” David Geale, the FCA’s executive director of payments and digital finance, said earlier this year. “We’ve created a framework that doesn’t force firms to choose between regulatory certainty and room to innovate. This regime means they can have both in a stable, competitive home to build and grow. For consumers, it means firms will be held to similar standards to other financial providers, though we can’t regulate away risk.”
The relatively short window for businesses to register and win full regulatory approval means those companies already registered under the FCA’s regime might have done a substantial amount of advanced work, the CoinDesk report said.
Robinhood last week reported earnings showing record quarterly revenue of $1.3 billion, a 32% increase from a year earlier, along with new highs in the company’s equities, options and prediction market business.
However, management said Robinhood’s next phase is not mainly about processing more trades.
“Across prediction markets, tokenized assets, banking and credit cards, the financial platform is attempting to control more of the customer relationship and more of the transaction stack beneath it,” PYMNTS reported Wednesday (July 29).
The company is also preparing for the day when financial activity is initiated by software agents, not by customers navigating applications on their own.
Robinhood’s first agentic trading product still has some bugs, but its long-term implication is greater than user experience.
“The next stage will not be decided by whether Robinhood can launch another popular feature,” the PYMNTS report said. “It will be decided by whether it can make a complex portfolio of products behave like one financial system.”
Robinhood ve 2. čtvrtletí překonal odhady zisku na akcii i tržeb, když vykázal zisk na akcii 0,62 USD při tržbách 1,31 miliardy USD, ale akcie po výsledcích oslabily. Firma zároveň snížila odhad upravených provozních nákladů a kompenzací v akciích na 2,675 až 2,775 miliardy USD, zatímco dříve počítala s 2,7 až 2,825 miliardy USD.
Robinhood (NASDAQ: HOOD) reported its second-quarter results after the market closed on July 29, and the company posted sales and earnings that topped Wall Street's expectations. The company posted earnings per share of $0.62 on revenue of $1.31 billion, beating the average analyst estimate of $0.43 per share on revenue of $1.28 billion.
Robinhood recorded an earnings benefit of $0.14 per share in the quarter stemming from its deconsolidation of Robinhood Ventures Fund I, but even after backing out that one-time benefit, earnings per share of $0.48 still came in significantly ahead of the average forecast. Despite Q2 sales and earnings beats, the stock lost ground in subsequent trading. How should long-term investors view and respond to the stock's moves following its recent earnings report?
Image source: Getty Images.
What's next for Robinhood? With its Q2 report, Robinhood revised its guidance for non-GAAP (adjusted) operating expenses and stock-based compensation down to between $2.675 billion and $2.775 billion. Previously, the company targeted adjusted operating expenses and stock-based compensation between $2.7 billion and $2.825 billion.
While moves from companies to cut spending can sometimes be a sign that management is adapting to a growth outlook that has become less promising, there's no real indication that is the case here. Robinhood says it lowered its expense outlook in response to new efficiencies it has achieved. The company also noted that the new efficiencies it captured had been used to fund its new Rothera and WonderFi businesses, so the operating efficiency improvements could actually be significantly better than the new, lower guidance range suggests.
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On the heels of very strong growth momentum in Q2, Robinhood's guidance for lower adjusted operating costs and stock-based compensation looks quite encouraging. The business's second-quarter report showed strong growth momentum across virtually all vectors.
Sales were up roughly 32% year over year, buoyed by a 44% increase for transaction-based revenue. While transaction revenue for cryptocurrencies declined 38% year over year to land at $100 million, sales in the company's event contracts, options, and equities categories each posted very strong growth. Meanwhile, revenue from the net interest segment increased 9% year over year to $389 million, and the company's other revenue segment jumped 54% compared to the prior-year period to reach $573 million.
With Robinhood trading at roughly 35 times this year's expected earnings, the market is already pricing some strong growth into the company's valuation. Conversely, I think there's a good case to be made that the company actually isn't getting enough credit for its recent wins.
Robinhood has continued to record strong double-digit growth for total platform assets, net deposits, and average revenue per user. The company has also seen continued double-digit growth for Robinhood Gold subscribers, and it's still pushing into new business verticals that could help supercharge sales and earnings growth over the long term. While the market didn't have a bullish reaction to Robinhood's second-quarter report, I think it would be a mistake for long-term investors to give up on the stock at this point.
Robinhood Ventures Fund II má 13. srpna vstoupit na NYSE pod tickerem RVII za očekávanou cenu 25 USD za akcii. Fond nabídne retailovým investorům expozici vůči 80 soukromým firmám v rané fázi.
MENLO PARK, Calif., Aug. 03, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Historically, retail investors have been locked out of private companies in their earliest stages, which can be among the biggest wealth creation opportunities available. Today, Robinhood sets out to change that.
Robinhood Ventures Fund II (RVII), the second fund from Robinhood Ventures, is expected to IPO on August 13 on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the symbol RVII at an expected price of $25 per share. Robinhood Financial customers can request IPO shares of RVII through Robinhood, and investment advisers on the TradePMR Fusion platform may also seek an allocation for their clients. The window to request IPO shares is expected to close on August 12.
Introducing RVII
RVII is a business development company (“BDC”), a type of closed-end fund, that provides retail investors exposure to a diversified portfolio of private companies in their earliest stages. A closed-end fund is a professionally managed pool of assets—in this case, investments in private companies—that issues a fixed number of shares and trades on an exchange like a stock.
Today, RVII includes 80 private companies, with others expected to be added over time. RVII’s goal is to make seed investments in promising companies across sectors that demonstrate significant growth potential, with a focus on companies that are current or previous participants in the Y Combinator startup accelerator program or companies with a founder or co-founder that has participated in the Y Combinator startup accelerator program. Since 2005, Y Combinator has funded over 5,000 companies with a combined value of over $1.3 trillion, including 100 "unicorns" with valuations over $1 billion.*
"The next generation of promising startups is being built today," said Sarah Pinto, Head of Robinhood Ventures. "With Robinhood Ventures Fund II, retail investors no longer have to wait until a company's IPO to be part of an early growth journey."
“Y Combinator has one of the strongest track records in venture, and having participated in the program myself as both a founder and a visiting partner, I firmly believe its level of access to promising startups is extraordinary," said Rich Aberman, Robinhood Ventures Fund II Portfolio Manager. "As Robinhood Ventures scales, our mission is for it to become the norm that retail is represented in your seed or Series A cap table. This is a great first step in making that dream a reality."
RVII is meant to be accessible to all investors, with no accreditation requirements, no investment minimums, a competitive management fee, and daily liquidity as a publicly traded fund on the NYSE.
RVII pays Robinhood Ventures, the investment adviser, a management fee consisting of two components. A base management fee that is calculated and payable quarterly at an annual rate of 2.00% of net assets, as well as an incentive fee that is determined and payable annually, and is equal to 20% of the realized capital gains from inception through the end of the fiscal year, less realized capital losses, unrealized capital depreciation, and the aggregate amount of any previously paid incentive fees paid for prior periods.
Why Now?
The U.S. venture capital market has become a massive and fast-growing asset class, with $320 billion deployed in 2025 and $1.38 trillion in total assets under management.** However, companies are staying private much longer than they used to, with the median time to IPO growing from 5 years in 1999 to 14 years in 2024,*** meaning much of the foundational growth is happening out of reach of the investing public. At the end of 2025, there were approximately 859 VC-backed private companies valued at $1 billion or more, representing approximately $4.34 trillion in value. Whether that value is realized through acquisitions, public offerings, or secondary transactions, most of the returns will flow to those who were able to invest early, when the companies were private.****
Many startups don’t make it, but the ones that do can change the world. The risks may be higher, but so are the potential rewards, and RVII aims to expand access to this crucial and often closed-off part of the market.
That same mission now extends to the Robinhood team. With the recent launch of the Robinhood Employee Fund, eligible employees can now invest their own money into a fund providing exposure to Robinhood Ventures funds, including RVII.
How to Participate
Starting today, self-directed retail investors can learn more about RVII and request IPO shares directly through Robinhood. Following the launch of Advisor IPO Access, eligible RIAs on TradePMR can submit an Indication of Interest (IOI) and request shares on behalf of clients and then confirm client interest during the Conditional Offer to Buy (COB) window ahead of the final pricing and allocation.
Following the IPO, everyone will be able to see fund performance metrics, charts, and updates, including the new companies joining the fund each quarter. Every quarter, RVII expects to meet with dozens of new companies from the Y Combinator program and beyond, picking the most promising ones to invest in.
Interested investors can review the preliminary prospectus or learn more at https://robinhood.com/us/en/ventures/rvii. Companies interested in joining RVII or learning more about Robinhood Ventures can contact [email protected].
Disclosures:
*Source: Y Combinator; data as of July 2026.
**Source: NVCA 2026 Yearbook (National Venture Capital Association / PitchBook Data, Inc., 2026); data as of December 31, 2025. Y Combinator statistics are for past performance and are not indicative or predictive of future returns, including for RVII.
***Source: Jay R. Ritter, “Initial Public Offerings: Median Age of IPOs Through 2025,” University of Florida IPO Initiative, updated December 31, 2025. Based on 9,343 IPOs from 1980–2025.
****Source: NVCA 2026 Yearbook (National Venture Capital Association / PitchBook Data, Inc., 2026); data as of December 31, 2025.
This communication has been made available to you with the consent of Robinhood Ventures Fund II (“RVII” or the “Fund” ). RVII has filed a registration statement (including a preliminary prospectus) on Form N-2 (File No. 333-297168) with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) for the offering to which this free writing prospectus relates. The registration statement has not yet become effective. Before you invest, you should read the preliminary prospectus in that registration statement and other documents RVII has filed with the SEC for more complete information about RVII and this offering. You may get these documents for free by visiting the SEC website at www.sec.gov. Alternatively, copies of the prospectus may be obtained by contacting Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC, Attention: Prospectus Department, 200 West Street, New York, New York 10282, telephone: 1-866-471-2526, facsimile: 212-902-9316 or by emailing [email protected]; J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, Attention: c/o Broadridge Financial Solutions, 1155 Long Island Avenue, Edgewood, NY 11717, or email: [email protected] and [email protected]; Citigroup, c/o Broadridge Financial Solutions, 1155 Long Island Avenue, Edgewood, NY 11717 (Tel: 800-831-9146); Wells Fargo Securities LLC, 608 2nd Avenue South, Minneapolis, MN 55402, at 800-645-3751 (option #5) or email a request to [email protected]; or UBS Securities LLC, Attention: Equity Syndicate, 11 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10010, by telephone at (888) 827-7275, or by email at [email protected]. Investors are advised to carefully consider the investment objectives, risks and charges and expenses of RVII before investing. This presentation shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities, nor shall there be any sale of these securities in any state or jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such state or jurisdiction.
An investment in the Fund is speculative and involves a high degree of risk with substantial risk of loss.
RVII is a newly organized, closed‑end, diversified management fund that has elected to be regulated as a business development company, investing in a concentrated portfolio of private “Promising Companies.” This investment strategy entails limited information, illiquidity, valuation uncertainty, and risk of loss; shares and the value of RVII’s Net Assets may be volatile and the shares may trade at a discount or premium, and exposures may be via illiquid private vehicles with capital calls and extra fees. An active, liquid and orderly market for the shares may not develop or be sustained. Investors may be unable to sell their shares at or above the price initially paid for those shares. RVII may use leverage, has limited operating history, and does not anticipate that it will pay dividends on a quarterly basis or become a predictable distributor of dividends, all of which can reduce or delay returns.
A “Promising Company” means early-stage and growth-stage private companies that, in the view of Robinhood Ventures, demonstrate significant growth potential.
Closed-end funds differ from open-end funds in that closed-end funds do not redeem their shares at the request of an investor. No shareholder has the right to require the Fund to redeem his, her or its shares. While RVII’s shares are expected to be listed on an exchange, an active public market for the shares may not develop. As a result, shareholders may not be able to liquidate their investment. Accordingly, shareholders should consider that they may not have access to the funds they invest in RVII for an indefinite period of time. There is no assurance that the private companies in which RVII invests will ever have a liquidity event.
“Y Combinator” is a registered trademark of Y Combinator Management, LLC or its affiliates and is used by the Fund with permission. Y Combinator does not sponsor, endorse, or promote the Fund and has no responsibility for the management or performance of the Fund.
Robinhood Ventures (RHV) is the investment adviser for RVII. Robinhood Ventures is the dba name for Robinhood Ventures DE, LLC. Robinhood Ventures is an SEC-registered investment adviser and a wholly owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc.
RVII plans to conduct an initial public offering that will not be limited to accredited investors, and following its IPO will be a publicly traded fund. A trading market may not develop. While the Fund’s shares are expected to be listed on an exchange, an active public market for the shares may not develop. As a result, shareholders may not be able to liquidate their investment. Accordingly, Shareholders should consider that they may not have access to the funds they invest in the Fund for an indefinite period of time.
Brokerage services offered through Robinhood Financial LLC (RHF), member FINRA/SIPC, or TradePMR Inc., member FINRA/SIPC.
RHV, RHF and TradePMR are separate but affiliated companies and wholly-owned subsidiaries of Robinhood Markets, Inc (“Robinhood”).
Robinhood and its affiliates generally earn more money from affiliated funds than from unaffiliated funds. In addition, Robinhood holds interests in funds managed by RHV and therefore has exposure to their market prices.
Fractional shares are illiquid outside of Robinhood and are not transferable. Not all securities available through Robinhood Financial are eligible for fractional share orders. For a complete explanation of conditions, restrictions and limitations associated with fractional shares, see the Fractional Shares section of our Customer Agreement. All investments involve risks.
References to the Robinhood Employee Fund are for informational purposes only and do not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, interests in the Robinhood Employee Fund. Any such offer or solicitation will be made only pursuant to definitive offering documents (including a private placement memorandum and subscription agreement), which will contain important information about the investment objectives, risks, fees, and expenses of the Robinhood Employee Fund and should be read carefully in their entirety before making any investment decisions. As described in more detail in the private placement memorandum, an investment in the Robinhood Employee Fund involves significant risk, including the loss of the entire investment.
This communication includes "forward looking statements," including with respect to RVII's proposed initial public offering (the "IPO") of common shares of beneficial interest, the filing and effectiveness of the registration statement on Form N-2, the expected timing of the IPO, the anticipated public offering price of $25 per share, the expected closing of the window to request IPO shares on August 12, 2026, the ability of customers to request and trade shares following the IPO through Robinhood or through a Registered Investment Advisor on TradePMR, the expected listing of RVII's shares on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol "RVII," the potential addition of portfolio companies to RVII over time, RVII’s goal to make seed investments in promising companies across sectors that demonstrate significant growth potential, the belief that Y Combinator’s level of access to promising startups is extraordinary, Robinhood Ventures’ mission for retail to have a seat at the table in Series A financings as Robinhood Ventures scales, RVII’s aim to expand access to a crucial and often closed-off part of the market, RVII's expectation to meet with dozens of new companies each quarter, and the availability of fund performance metrics and portfolio updates following the IPO. These statements also include statements regarding RVII's objectives to expand access to private markets and other statements that are not historical facts. You can sometimes identify forward-looking statements through the use of words or phrases such as "will," "expects," "expected," "anticipates," "anticipated," "aims," "goal," "mission," "intends," "intended," "believes," "plans," "estimates," "potential," "future," "may," "could," or "should," the negative of these terms, or similar words and expressions of the future. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including the risks outlined under "Risks" in the preliminary prospectus and elsewhere in RVII's filings with the SEC, which may cause actual results to differ materially from any results expressed or implied by any forward-looking statement. RVII and Robinhood have no obligation, and do not undertake any obligation, to update or revise any forward-looking statement made in this communication to reflect changes since the date of this communication, except as required by law.
Robinhood Chain se od poloviny července více než ztrojnásobil a tokenizované akcie na něm dosáhly zhruba 70 milionů USD. Nejpopulárnější byly GameStop, Nvidia a SpaceX s objemem asi 47 milionů USD.
Robinhood (HOOD -1.13%), the online brokerage that popularized commission-free trades, launched its own blockchain, Robinhood Chain, on July 1. Robinhood wanted its investors to trade tokenized stocks on the blockchain, but meme coins dominated most of its early trading.
However, Robinhood's investors gradually pivoted toward tokenized stocks over the following weeks. According to DefiLlama, real-world assets (RWAs) on Robinhood Chain -- including tokenized stocks -- reached about $70 million by late July.
Image source: Getty Images.
The entire blockchain has more than tripled in size since mid-July, and a dozen tokenized stocks now exceed $500,000 in daily trading volume. The most popular tokenized stocks during the month included GameStop, Nvidia, and SpaceX, which had a combined trading volume of approximately $47 million. Could the growth of this blockchain be a game changer for Robinhood's stock?
Why are tokenized stocks better than traditional stocks? When a stock is tokenized, it becomes a digital token on a blockchain, allowing it to be traded much faster than traditional stocks without any middlemen. Those tokens can be traded 24/7, easily split into fractional shares, seamlessly flow across international borders, and are easily integrated into decentralized finance (DeFi) applications through smart contracts.
Blockchains are also public ledgers that enable the secure, real-time audit of a tokenized stock's ownership and transaction history. Those features reduce the risk of settlement failures, administrative fraud, and hidden discrepancies.
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Why does Robinhood Chain widen Robinhood's moat? Robinhood Chain bridges the gap between DeFi applications and traditional finance (TradFi) platforms. Larger brokerages and banks are also trying to bridge that gap with tokenized assets, but they're mainly dabbling in bonds and Treasuries rather than jumping straight into stocks.
Robinhood's early mover advantage in tokenized stocks could widen its moat against larger competitors. It also increases the stickiness of its ecosystem by locking its users into a single closed loop for trading stocks and cryptocurrencies, earning yields from tokens, and accessing decentralized apps without external wallets, bridges, or other crypto exchanges. Its tokenized stocks could help it reach more overseas users, who want to invest in U.S. stocks without going through expensive cross-border brokerages, and keep its trading momentum going around the clock even after the markets close.
Therefore, the growth of Robinhood Chain could be a game changer for the company and make it even more appealing than traditional brokerages over the long term. It could also support its expansion and evolution into a more diversified fintech and digital banking platform.
Robinhood ve 2. čtvrtletí vydělal na predikčních trzích 156 milionů USD, poprvé více než na kryptoměnách. Tržby z kryptoměnových transakcí klesly na 100 milionů USD.
Having pioneered commission-free trading, Robinhood (HOOD -3.61%) is viewed as one of the most innovative online brokerages available for retail investors.
The company proved this yet again in the second quarter, showing just how much its early foray into the prediction markets is paying off.
Robinhood saw its transaction revenue from event-based contracts soar to $156 million in the second quarter, up over $50 million from the prior quarter and from practically nothing just one year ago.
This is also the first quarter in which event-based contracts revenue exceeded crypto transaction revenue, which came in at $100 million in the second quarter, down $60 million from one year ago.
Here’s what this means for crypto investors.
Image source: Getty Images.
The crypto bear marketThe weak quarter in crypto for Robinhood should come as no surprise, given the ongoing crypto winter. The price of Bitcoin is down nearly 26% this year.
The less interest there is in crypto, the fewer trades will be made, which hits every crypto platform. Robinhood’s $100 million of crypto-related transaction revenue is the weakest crypto quarter the company has seen in the past seven quarters. The number also missed Wall Street consensus estimates by $25 million.
When asked during a CNBC interview about concerns in the crypto business, Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev said, “Long term, I think crypto is in a growth cycle.”
The company has been launching more products centered around digital assets.
Robinhood recently launched a layer-2 solution on Ethereum called Robinhood Chain that allows its tens of millions of users to trade tokenized U.S. stocks 24/7 in over 120 countries.
Tenev said the chain is the fastest ever to reach 100 million in transactions.
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Robinhood Earn, the company’s stablecoin, has also seen $200 million in customer deposit inflows, which can earn a massive 7% annual percentage yield.
This shows that while crypto values may not be faring well, the underlying blockchain technology remains quite useful.
An uncertain futureIf you are a crypto investor, these developments at Robinhood indicate strong demand for blockchain-based solutions.
Now, this crypto winter certainly feels different from past ones because it seems, to a certain extent, that investors have lost interest in crypto assets.
However, history is on the bulls’ side: cryptocurrencies have made remarkable recoveries after severe drawdowns, so investors can never count the sector out.
The passage of the Clarity Act, which is currently pending in the U.S. Senate, could serve as a catalyst.
Tenev also said he’s paying close attention to what happens with the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, which President Donald Trump created via executive order last year but has not yet been officially launched.
It’s possible that crypto investors simply got ahead of themselves last year when Trump came in with a pro-crypto agenda, the first President to really embrace crypto.
It’s also possible that exuberance over artificial intelligence and quantum technology has overshadowed crypto. What happens next is anyone’s guess, as crypto movements are extraordinarily difficult to predict.
My advice for crypto bulls is to stick with mainstream tokens like Bitcoin and Ethereum, which could certainly still have promise. Bitcoin may yet serve as a key store of value, while Ethereum’s blockchain network remains compelling. I would ignore most other cryptocurrencies right now.
Sněmovna reprezentantů loni v červenci schválila CLARITY Act, který má zavést jasný federální rámec pro regulaci digitálních aktiv. Od té doby ale v Senátu uvízl kvůli sporům o výnosy ze stablecoinů, zveřejňování držby kryptoměn a dalším sporným otázkám. Coinbase i Robinhood ho podporují, ale spor o výnosy ze stablecoinů a dohled CFTC vs. SEC může hlasování zdržet.
The U.S. House of Representatives passed the CLARITY Act, which aims to establish a clear federal framework for regulating digital assets, last July. But since then, it's been stalled in the Senate due to conflicting opinions regarding stablecoin yields, public disclosures of crypto holdings, and other controversial issues.
Senators Thom Tillis and Ruben Gallego are trying to revise the act in a bipartisan push so it can be voted on before the Senate's summer break starts on Aug. 8, but it could be tough to meet that deadline. That means a final vote can't happen until after the recess ends in mid-September. Let's see what that delay -- and potential passage -- might mean for Coinbase (COIN +0.96%) and Robinhood (HOOD -3.28%), which both favor clearer regulations for the crypto market.
Image source: Getty Images.
Why do Coinbase and Robinhood support the CLARITY Act? Coinbase and Robinhood support establishing clearer federal rules for cryptocurrencies and other tokenized assets because such rules would eliminate the risk of abrupt regulatory changes and make them more appealing to retail and institutional investors. Those clearer rules would also make it easier for both companies to launch new digital assets.
But that support is conditional. Both companies want the CLARITY Act to allow investors to earn yields on their "staked" (locked up) tokens. Many banks oppose those features, which they consider a threat to conventional interest-bearing cash deposits. A full ban on those yields would likely affect Coinbase more than Robinhood, since the former generated nearly a fifth of its revenue last year from stablecoins -- which are pegged to the U.S. dollar and often pay higher staking yields than CDs.
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Coinbase also wants most of the crypto market to be overseen by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) rather than the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). That split would separate cryptocurrencies from stocks and other securities, classify most tokens as commodities, and protect the market from the SEC's notices and lawsuits. Robinhood favors smoother cooperation between the CFTC and the SEC to regulate all digital assets.
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Which company would benefit more from the CLARITY Act? If the CLARITY Act passes with the approval of stablecoin yields and a shift of most regulatory responsibilities from the SEC to the CFTC, Coinbase could attract more investors as a long-term play on the crypto market. However, fears of interest rate hikes and other macro headwinds -- which are chilling the crypto market -- could dampen that enthusiasm.
Robinhood, which popularized commission-free trading for a new generation of retail investors, is a more diversified play on the stock, options, and crypto trading markets. It's also gradually expanding and evolving into a digital bank with checking, savings, and credit card accounts. While the passage of the CLARITY Act would generate tailwinds for its crypto business and its efforts to tokenize other assets, it probably wouldn't attract as many bulls as Coinbase.
Which stock is a better buy right now? Shares of Coinbase and Robinhood have declined 29% and 23%, respectively, this year. Analysts expect Robinhood to grow at a more consistent rate than Coinbase if the macro environment stabilizes, but its stock also looks pricier relative to its near-term growth.
Company
2026 Revenue Growth (Estimated)
2027 Revenue Growth (Estimated)
EV/Revenue (Based on 2027 Estimates)
Coinbase
(18%)
29%
4.6x
Robinhood
14%
25%
11.3x
Data source: Marketscreener.
However, I'd still rather buy Robinhood over Coinbase in this market. Robinhood's scale, diversification, and steadier growth make it a safer long-term investment than Coinbase, which is still tightly tethered to the crypto market and faces a growing number of competitors. The passage of the CLARITY Act with favorable conditions might temporarily lift Coinbase's stock, but it will struggle to maintain that momentum unless a new crypto summer begins.
Robinhood ve 2. čtvrtletí vykázal rekordní tržby 1,3 miliardy USD, meziročně o 32 % více, a zároveň zrychluje snahu ovládnout více částí finančních služeb pro zákazníky mimo samotné obchodování.
Robinhood is moving beyond its original role as a retail broker. And that’s despite the fact that the second-quarter 2026 results shared company’s Wednesday (July 29) earnings call looked like a victory for its trading business.
“The business is firing on all cylinders,” said Shiv Verma, chief financial officer of Robinhood. “We delivered record revenues and drove new highs across equity, option, and event contract volumes, as we continue to win market share. Our product velocity continues to deliver new products for customers and drive a more diversified business, with Robinhood Legend and the Credit Card business joining our growing roster of now 13 different business lines that have reached $100 million-plus in annualized revenues.”
Robinhood reported record quarterly revenue of $1.3 billion, up 32% from a year earlier, alongside $22 billion in net deposits and a 57% adjusted EBITDA margin. Activity reached new highs across equities, options and prediction markets, while the company added its strongest quarterly funded customer gain in almost five years to brush up against the 1 million number.
But executives stressed that Robinhood’s next phase is not primarily about processing more trades. Across prediction markets, tokenized assets, banking and credit cards, the financial platform is attempting to control more of the customer relationship and more of the transaction stack beneath it.
See more: How Uncertainty Became the Engagement Engine of the Digital Economy
Robinhood Sees Its Brokerage as an Acquisition Engine Rather than connecting customers to products, exchanges and market makers operated by others, Robinhood executives shared their goal of becoming the system through which customers receive income, spend money, build savings, invest, access credit and eventually delegate financial decisions to artificial intelligence.
A customer might arrive for stocks, options, crypto, retirement accounts, prediction markets, banking or a credit card. Robinhood’s goal is then to convert that customer into a Gold subscriber and introduce additional services.
Management said roughly 40% to 50% of new customers subscribe to Gold, regardless of which product initially brought them to the platform. Customers who use prediction markets, for example, are also more likely to hold Robinhood retirement accounts. The number of customers who have traded prediction-market contracts has grown from about 1.5 million to nearly 2 million.
Robinhood’s credit card has surpassed 1 million cardholders and is generating more than $17 billion in annualized purchase volume. Its banking offering has attracted more than $3 billion in deposits since beginning its rollout in November. Gold membership reached a record 4.8 million subscribers, equal to 17% of funded accounts.
See also: Prediction Markets Turn Uncertainty Into a Business Model
The platform’s prediction-market joint venture, Rothera, became a top-three U.S. designated contract market shortly after launching. The executives on the call said they expect more Robinhood event-contract volume to migrate to the venue as its capacity grows, and suggested that Rothera could eventually support other futures commission merchants, turning prediction markets from a retail feature into a potential infrastructure business.
Robinhood Chain reflects the same ambition in digital assets. Built around tokenized real-world assets, the blockchain generated more than $12 billion in decentralized-exchange volume shortly after launch and became one of the fastest networks to surpass 100 million transactions.
The emerging strategy is straightforward: acquire customers through a growing range of products, move more of their financial lives onto the platform and increasingly own the rails that process their activity.
But adding products is easier than making them feel like one financial experience.
Banking Is Becoming Robinhood’s Funding Layer, but Orchestration Remains Paramount As Robinhood expands, it must decide which services to present to each customer, when to introduce them and how to prevent a growing collection of accounts and applications from becoming confusing.
CEO Vlad Tenev acknowledged that challenge during the earnings call.
“The orchestration of all of these things into one story, into one financial tool, is becoming an increasing source of focus,” he said.
Robinhood’s expansion into banking may prove more important than any individual trading product because it changes how money enters the ecosystem. Robinhood Banking has attracted more than $3 billion in deposits since its rollout began last November. Roughly 40% of banking customers have enrolled in direct deposit.
Robinhood is also preparing for a future in which financial activity is initiated by software agents rather than by customers navigating applications themselves.
Its first agentic trading product lets users connect external AI tools to separate Robinhood accounts and develop strategies involving equities and options, with crypto support planned. More than 100,000 users have opened or integrated agentic accounts, according to management.
The product remains technically demanding. Customers must connect coding-oriented AI systems, and general-purpose models are not always designed to execute trades reliably. But the long-term implication is larger than the current user experience.
The next stage will not be decided by whether Robinhood can launch another popular feature. It will be decided by whether it can make a complex portfolio of products behave like one financial system.
Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) Q2 2026 Earnings Call July 29, 2026 5:00 PM EDT
Company Participants
Vladimir Tenev - Co-Founder, President, CEO & Chairman of the Board
Shiv Verma - Chief Financial Officer
Chris Koegel - Vice President of Corporate Finance & Investor Relations
Conference Call Participants
Dan Dolev - Mizuho Securities USA LLC, Research Division
Daniel Fannon - Jefferies LLC, Research Division
David Smith - Truist Securities, Inc., Research Division
Devin Ryan - Citizens JMP Securities, LLC, Research Division
Chinedu Bolu - Autonomous Research US LP
Ramsey El-Assal - Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., Research Division
James Yaro - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., Research Division
Craig Maurer - Financial Technology Partners LP
Amit Kukreja
Steven Chubak - Wolfe Research, LLC
Craig Siegenthaler - BofA Securities, Research Division
Alexander Markgraff - KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division
Brian Bedell - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division
Patrick Moley - Piper Sandler & Co., Research Division
Benjamin Budish - Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division
Edward Engel - Compass Point Research & Trading, LLC, Research Division
Andrew Harte - BTIG, LLC, Research Division
Presentation
Operator
Thank you to everyone for joining Robinhood's Q2 2026 Earnings Call, whether you're tuning into the live stream or here with us in person. With us today are Chairman and CEO, Vlad Tenev; CFO, Shiv Verma; and VP of Corporate Finance and Investor Relations, Chris Koegel. Vlad and Shiv will offer opening remarks and then open the call to Q&A.
During the Q&A portion of the call, we will answer questions from the audience, which includes institutional research analysts, finance content creators who may hold an ownership position in Robinhood, and both institutional and retail shareholders.
As a reminder, today's call will contain forward-looking statements. Actual results could differ materially from our current expectations, and we may not provide updates unless legally required. Potential risk factors that could cause differences, including regulatory developments that we continue to monitor, are described in
Robinhood Markets ve 2. čtvrtletí vykázala zisk 0,62 USD na akcii a tržby 1,31 miliardy USD, obojí nad odhady. Zisk na akcii byl meziročně vyšší než 0,42 USD.
Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD - Free Report) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.62 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.44 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.42 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.
This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +40.91%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $0.4 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.38, delivering a surprise of -5%.
Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times.
Robinhood Markets, which belongs to the Zacks Financial - Investment Bank industry, posted revenues of $1.31 billion for the quarter ended June 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.49%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $989 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates two times over the last four quarters.
The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.
Robinhood Markets shares have lost about 18% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 8.5%.
What's Next for Robinhood Markets?While Robinhood Markets has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?
There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.
Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.
Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Robinhood Markets was favorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to outperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $0.49 on $1.3 billion in revenues for the coming quarter and $1.95 on $5.07 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year.
Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Financial - Investment Bank is currently in the top 9% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.
One other stock from the same industry, BGC Group (BGC - Free Report) , is yet to report results for the quarter ended June 2026. The results are expected to be released on July 30.
This brokerage company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.34 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +9.7%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days.
BGC Group's revenues are expected to be $814.9 million, up 3.9% from the year-ago quarter.
Robinhood vykázal ve 2. čtvrtletí růst čistého zisku díky vyšší obchodní aktivitě při zvýšené volatilitě trhu. Transakční tržby stouply asi o 44 % na 776 milionů USD.
The logo of Robinhood Markets, Inc. is seen at a pop-up event on Wall Street after the company's IPO in New York City, U.S., July 29, 2021. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab
July 29 (Reuters) - Robinhood Markets (HOOD.O), opens new tab posted a rise in second-quarter profit on Wednesday, as volatility in the markets spurred higher trading activity on its platform.
Retail trading activity remained elevated during the reported quarter, helped by heightened market participation as the U.S.-Iran conflict stoked concerns over global oil supplies, fueling uncertainty around inflation and the Federal Reserve's interest-rate path and prompting investors to rebalance their portfolios.
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Market volatility tends to boost trading activity on brokerage platforms as investors rebalance their portfolios and hedge against uncertainty.
Robinhood's transaction-based revenue rose about 44% to $776 million, primarily driven by event contracts revenue of $156 million.
The Menlo Park, California-based company's profit was $573 million, or 62 cents per share, for the three months ended June 30, compared with $386 million, or 42 cents per share, a year earlier.
Reporting by Prakhar Srivastava in Bengaluru; Editing by Shailesh Kuber
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab
U Robinhood Markets se ve druhém čtvrtletí očekávají výnosy 1,21 miliardy USD a EPS 41 centů. Investoři budou sledovat nové produkty, hlavně Robinhood Chain, Prediction Markets a Trump Accounts.
Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ:HOOD) could credit new products for strong second-quarter results when the company reports earnings Wednesday after market close.
Here are the key earnings estimates, analyst expectations and items to watch.
Robinhood Q2 Earnings EstimatesAnalysts expect Robinhood to report second-quarter revenue of $1.21 billion, up from $989 million in the year-ago quarter, according to Benzinga Pro data.
The company has missed revenue estimates in two consecutive quarters but has exceeded expectations in seven of the past 10 quarters.
Analysts expect second-quarter earnings per share of 41 cents, compared with 42 cents per share in the same period last year.
Robinhood has beaten EPS estimates in eight of the past 10 quarters but missed expectations in the first quarter.
Robinhood Analyst Ratings and Price TargetsHere are some of the latest analyst ratings on Robinhood stock and their price targets:
KeyBanc: Maintained Overweight rating, raised price target from $100 to $125 Needham: Maintained Buy rating, raised price target from $97 to $123 Bernstein: Maintained Outperform rating, raised price target from $130 to $160 Goldman Sachs: Maintained Buy rating, raised price target from $121 to $137 Key Items to WatchAfter missing first-quarter estimates for both revenue and earnings per share, Robinhood will look to rebound by highlighting new products and growth initiatives when it reports results.
The company recently launched Robinhood Chain, a Layer 2 blockchain designed to expand its cryptocurrency ecosystem, while meme coin activity has gained traction among crypto traders.
Robinhood has also become a key partner in Trump Accounts, a White House-backed child investment account initiative, though the impact on revenue may come later as adoption ramps.
Prediction markets remain another growth area for the company. With major sporting events, including the World Cup, boosting interest in event contracts, investors will be watching for continued momentum in this segment.
Transaction-based revenue rose 7% year-over-year in the first quarter, though cryptocurrency revenue declined. Investors will be looking for stronger growth in overall transaction revenue and signs of a crypto rebound.
Management previously said April was on track to become the company’s strongest month of the year for equity and options trading.
The key question is how much of the growth from Trump Accounts and Robinhood Chain will be reflected in second-quarter results versus future quarters. With that in mind, management’s outlook and guidance could prove just as important as the earnings report itself.
Price ActionRobinhood stock is down 3.7% to $92.07 on Tuesday versus a 52-week trading range of $63.52 to $153.86. Robinhood shares are down 20.1% year-to-date in 2026.
Image via Shutterstock
Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs
Robinhood is reportedly in talks with Crypto.com to expand its prediction market footprint.
That’s according to a report Friday (July 24) by The Wall Street Journal (WSJ), citing sources familiar with the matter. The report noted that Robinhood has so far worked with companies like Kalshi to supply betting contracts for its prediction platform, though the companies are now more like rivals than partners.
Under this proposed partnership, Crypto.com’s prediction market business would be added to Robinhood’s prediction hub, letting users place yes-or-no bets offered by the crypto company on Robinhood’s trading platform, the sources said. The report added there are no guarantees the two companies will reach an agreement.
PYMNTS has contacted Robinhood and Crypto.com for comment but hasn’t yet gotten a response. A spokesperson for Kalshi declined to comment.
A spokesperson for Robinhood told WSJ the company “will continue to partner with multiple exchanges to ensure our customers have access to a diverse and resilient marketplace.”
As the report noted, Crypto.com debuted its stand-alone prediction markets platform OG in February, and has offered prediction markets contracts through its derivatives business since late 2024. Last year, Crypto.com announced a collaboration with President Trump’s media business to introduce prediction markets directly on the social media platform Truth Social, though that has yet to launch.
Kalshi, meanwhile, has been at the forefront of the prediction wave in the U.S., seeing $27 billion in volume for World Cup-related markets, versus around $1 billion for the Super Bowl.
Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour told WSJ the company plans to expand its range of tradable assets beyond just events-based contracts, and called Robinhood a top competitor.
“They’re a partner of ours at the same time they’re competing with us, and I think that’s also great,” he said. “We’ll see who ends up with a better product.”
In other prediction market news, PYMNTS wrote last week about the industry’s contribution to a world in which gambling “is no longer simply a single, static industry,” thanks to the rise of companies like Kalshi, sports betting apps, and crypto exchanges.
“As artificial intelligence personalizes financial products, prediction markets and digital commerce, it will create new questions for executives across financial services, media and digital commerce,” that report said. “The future may not involve convincing consumers to gamble more. It may involve making every digital interaction feel just uncertain enough that they cannot resist checking one more time.”
Robinhood Markets oznámí hospodářské výsledky za 2. čtvrtletí 29. července. Kryptoměnové tržby v 1. čtvrtletí klesly meziročně o 47 %, což dál tlačí růst.
Hot stock Robinhood Markets (HOOD +2.79%) hasn't been so hot for most of 2026. It's starting to recover, though, and it's roughly flat year to date.
The trading platform reports second-quarter earnings on July 29. Is now the time to buy?
What to expect in the second-quarter report Management doesn't provide a full quarterly outlook, but it does provide guidance around operating expenses, and it has planned expenses to "accelerate product velocity, drive net deposit growth, and grow revenues."
Robinhood has expanded into being much more than a stock trading platform. It also offers cryptocurrency and options trading, as well as several traditional banking products, such as a credit card. It also offers a premium membership program called Robinhood Gold, and it recently launched the prediction markets segment and the Robinhood Social social media app.
Image source: Getty Images.
It generates higher revenue when users trade on their accounts, and launching new products as well as attracting higher deposits should lead to increased revenue. What's been happening is that cryptocurrency, and specifically Bitcoin, is falling, and lower trading is negatively affecting Robinhood's growth.
Last year, cryptocurrency trading revenue increased 98% year over year in the second quarter, implying that this year, there will be either a major slowdown or a decline. In the 2026 first quarter, it declined 47%, which doesn't bode well for the second quarter. This might have already been factored into the stock, but now that the stock has recovered, it could drop again on bad news.
On the positive side, it has been setting up a new product to benefit from Trump accounts, which should be a positive impact on the business, and it was one of the platforms chosen for the Space Exploration Technologies (SpaceX) initial public offering, which could also add more revenue.
How will Robinhood stock react? Robinhood may have a long growth runway as it disrupts traditional finance, but its growth minus cryptocurrency is somewhat underwhelming. Revenue increased 15% year over year in the first quarter. It added 1.7 million funded customers in the first quarter, a 6% year-over-year increase, for a total of 27.4 million. Robinhood Gold members increased by 1.2 million, or a 36% increase, to 4.3 million.
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Since the stock is heading back up, it's becoming more expensive again. It trades at 37 times forward one-year earnings, which is rich, especially as revenue growth slows down.
Since there are reasons to suspect the pressure related to cryptocurrency has yet to abate, I wouldn't buy Robinhood stock before the report with the expectation that it will jump. I would only recommend buying it if you see the long-term vision and can hold through volatility.
Robinhood Markets is weighing the sale of between $400 million and $500 million of asset-backed securities, including a bond backed by bills for its branded consumer credit cards, Bloomberg reported Monday (July 13), citing unnamed sources.
The company is currently gauging investor interest in the bond, which would be its first such offering, according to the report.
Robinhood did not immediately reply to PYMNTS’ request for comment.
According to the Bloomberg report, Capital One Financial sold $3.85 billion in bonds backed by card receivables last week.
Robinhood announced June 25 that it closed an offering of $2.2 billion of 0.00% convertible senior notes due 2029.
The company said at the time in a press release that the transaction enhanced its “strategic flexibility to invest for future growth” and that it would use about $290 million of the proceeds to repurchase outstanding Class A common stock.
PYMNTS reported in April that Robinhood’s first quarter earnings reflected the company’s deliberate pivot from a trading app tied to retail speculation toward an integrated financial platform built to capture long-term customer value.
“Driven by our relentless product velocity and innovation, Robinhood is increasingly positioned at the center of our customers’ financial lives, just as we enter the early innings of the Great Wealth Transfer,” Robinhood Chairman and CEO Vlad Tenev said during the earnings call.
Robinhood’s March 2024 launch of a credit card marked the continuing expansion of the company into financial services at that time.
The company said at the time that it recognized the need for change and that it sought to reimagine the credit card experience with the launch of the Robinhood Gold Card.
PYMNTS reported at the time that while Robinhood made a name for itself as a stock trading and investment app, it had begun to broaden its horizons.
Robinhood announced in March that it introduced a high-end credit card with a $695 annual fee and luxury perks as part of a suite of new products centered on family finance.
In May, the company launched Agentic Trading and the Agentic Credit Card, which allows artificial intelligence agents to make trades and credit card purchases on a customer’s behalf.
Shares of Robinhood Markets (HOOD 3.96%) were down by more than 40% year to date at one point but have rapidly closed the gap. The stock has surged by more than 80% from its 52-week low, and it's certainly no fluke. Fundamentals continue to improve, and a major headwind that has plagued Robinhood this year will have a limited impact in future years.
Image source: Getty Images.
Understanding crypto's role in Robinhood's earnings Robinhood's 15% year-over-year revenue growth in the first quarter was disappointing for investors who have come to know the fintech company. The same business grew by 50% year over year in the 2025 first quarter and was up by another 40% a year earlier.
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Those growth rates all boil down to crypto transaction revenue. This part of the business more than tripled in 2024 and doubled in 2025, when comparing the respective first quarters of those years. In the first quarter of this year, that same part of the business was down by 47% year over year.
That backdrop makes the 15% growth rate look more impressive since Robinhood is gradually becoming less reliant on crypto. Fellow fintech Coinbase Global is practically an all-in crypto play, and that has resulted in sizable year-over-year revenue drops in recent quarters. Coinbase saw its overall revenue tumble by more than 30% year over year in the first quarter.
Robinhood was prepared for the crypto crash Coinbase has been scrambling to diversify beyond crypto. It offered stock trading at the end of 2025 and opened up prediction markets on its platform earlier this year. Robinhood was well ahead of the curve on this.
Robinhood became famous due to its zero-commission stock trading that revolutionized the entire brokerage industry. This backstory cemented it as a company that isn't just into crypto, while it will be harder for Coinbase to break out of that mold.
Prediction markets are still an area of strength for Robinhood. That part of the business was the key contributor to "other transaction revenue," which more than quadrupled year over year. It now makes up more than 10% of total sales. Options revenue inched up by 8% year over year and made up more than one-quarter of total sales. Robinhood also generates more than one-third of its revenue from margin interest, and that part of the business grew by 24% year over year.
The fintech has several high-growth products that minimize the impact of fewer crypto trades. A crypto bull market will send Robinhood higher, but it's not necessary. Crypto barely made up 10% of the company's total revenue, and the remaining parts of the business are growing.
Crypto's reduced impact on Robinhood's financials, plus the company's success in multiple verticals, will result in easy year-over-year comparables in 2027. While Robinhood reported 15% year-over-year revenue growth in the recent first quarter, it's likely to deliver a much higher rate in the same period in 2027. That's part of the reason investors are loading up on the stock and betting on a comeback.
Robinhood má silný růst byznysu: platformová aktiva v květnu dosáhla 377 miliard USD a Gold předplatitelé vzrostli na rekordních 4,3 milionu. Tržby a EPS ale zatím brzdí vyšší náklady a slabší odhady.
Every so often, a stock arrives at a genuinely interesting disconnect — where the underlying business is firing on all cylinders while the near-term earnings math tells a more cautious story.
Right now, Robinhood sits at a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), and that comes down to the engine that drives the Zacks Rank: earnings estimate revisions. First-quarter 2026 results disappointed back in April, with EPS of $0.38 falling short of the $0.41 consensus and revenue of $1.07 billion missing expectations, sending the stock down nearly 15% on the print.
Management also raised its full-year operating-expense outlook by $100 million to fund the build-out of the new “Trump Accounts” initiative, adding cost pressure. As a result, the 2026 Zacks Consensus Estimate has been trimmed to around $1.81 per share, which implies a year-over-year decline of roughly 12%.
That is not the rising-estimate profile that earns a top rank. But the stock has flipped back into an uptrend, sending shares surging more than 70% off the late-April bottom and warranting renewed attention.
Image Source: StockCharts
How Robinhood’s Rating Could Improve Now to the other side of the ledger — because it’s substantial. Strip away the quarterly earnings noise and Robinhood’s core growth metrics are, frankly, remarkable. Total platform assets reached $377 billion in May, a 48% year-over-year jump, while net deposits of $18 billion in the first quarter extended a streak of 20%-plus annualized growth that management has called its “North Star” metric.
Gold subscribers hit a record 4.3 million, up 36% relative to the same time last year, and now account for roughly 40% of new customers — a powerful signal that Robinhood is deepening its relationship with users, not just adding accounts.
This matters enormously because a larger, stickier asset base compounds into higher net interest income, securities-lending revenue, and transaction activity, creating durable, recurring income streams that cushion the company against the trading-volume volatility that has historically defined it.
The diversification story is where the bull case really takes shape. Robinhood is methodically transforming from a commission-free trading app into a full-spectrum financial platform. Robinhood Banking has grown fivefold in a single earnings cycle, with over $2 billion in net deposits and a 40% direct-deposit attach rate.
Gold credit cards surpassed 800,000 customers with $15 billion in annualized purchase volume, on track to exceed one million cards. And perhaps most intriguing is the push into prediction markets through Rothera, the exchange Robinhood built with Susquehanna. Event contracts have exploded — more than 12 billion traded in 2025 and over 16 billion so far in 2026 — and by routing this flow through infrastructure it controls, Robinhood can capture more economics, control listings, and tighten the customer experience.
With the World Cup providing a marquee mainstream test, Rothera represents exactly the kind of new revenue lever that doesn’t depend on stock-trading activity.
Crucially, management’s own guidance points toward recovery: it has projected second-quarter EPS around $0.45 and revenue near $1.23 billion. And while 2026 estimates imply a slowdown, the 2027 Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate of $2.49 implies about 37% growth — evidence that analysts see the current soft patch as temporary rather than structural.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
This brings us to the catalyst that could change the entire complexion of the story: the July 29th earnings release. The Zacks Rank is, at its heart, a momentum indicator for estimate revisions — and a strong second-quarter print, particularly one accompanied by raised guidance, could flip that trend from negative to positive.
If Robinhood delivers a beat and demonstrates that its banking, credit, and prediction-market initiatives are scaling faster than the market appreciates, upward estimate revisions would likely follow, and with them the potential for a Zacks Rank upgrade. In other words, the same mechanism keeping HOOD at a Hold today could work powerfully in its favor. That is precisely the kind of setup patient, forward-looking investors like to position ahead of.
Bottom LineThe current Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for HOOD exists for good reason — 2026 estimates are falling, the company missed last quarter, and elevated spending is pressuring near-term profitability. The valuation leaves little room for error, with Robinhood trading at a steep premium to its industry.
Yet Robinhood is a genuinely high-quality, fast-compounding fintech that has proven itself over the past few years. The underlying business tells a story of accelerating asset growth, deepening customer engagement, and a widening set of revenue engines that increasingly insulate the company from its trading-volume roots.
The late July date should be circled on the calendar: a strong print could be the spark that re-rates both the estimates and the stock. Robinhood hasn’t yet earned its way back to a Strong Buy — but it may be closer than the current rank suggests.
Disclosure: Robinhood (HOOD - Free Report) is a current holding in the Zacks Headline Trader portfolio.
Shares of Robinhood Markets (HOOD +3.75%) climbed 14% this past week after the financial services company unveiled an array of new product innovations.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Going global With roughly 28 million customers in 38 countries, Robinhood's financial platform already possesses impressive scale and reach. Yet it continues to expand into new markets.
Robinhood's acquisition of digital asset services provider WonderFi in June gave it a beachhead in Canada. The fintech platform also plans to launch crypto trading and brokerage services in the U.K. and Singapore.
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In addition to entering new international markets, Robinhood launched its new stock tokens in over 120 countries. The tokenized debt securities are designed to offer economic exposure to popular stocks and ETFs. They're tradable 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.
Robinhood also expanded its popular perpetual futures offering in European markets to include commodities, ETFs, and foreign currencies.
Agentic trading Investors were perhaps most intrigued by Robinhood's plans to integrate more artificial intelligence (AI)-powered features into its platform. Robinhood wants to become a hub for agentic AI trading by enabling its customers to use AI agents to buy and sell stocks, options, and cryptocurrencies on their behalf.
Many of these products and services will be enabled by the fintech's new blockchain platform, Robinhood Chain. The Layer 2 blockchain is built on the Arbitrum Platform and integrates with leading decentralized finance networks like Chainlink and Uniswap.
Joe Tenebruso has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Chainlink and Uniswap Protocol Token. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Robinhood Markets v první polovině roku klesl o 11 %, ale za poslední tři měsíce už přidal 45 %. Pokles táhl hlavně propad kryptoměn, který zpomalil růst tržeb.
Robinhood Markets (HOOD +3.75%) stock fell 11% in the first half of the year, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. It had been following the trajectory of Bitcoin, which was plunging, but it has started to climb back up.
More than cryptocurrency Robinhood is still a fairly small company, with $4.6 billion in trailing 12-month revenue, but it has already had a major impact on the markets. It introduced the fee-free trade, which is now standard for trading platforms, and it has been following that up with many fintech innovations.
Image source: Getty Images.
That hasn't been entirely positive for the company. Although it was reporting high growth, much of it was coming from cryptocurrency trading. The Bitcoin drop led to a contraction in growth. Some of its other innovations, like its Prediction Markets segment, are risky.
On the plus side, it was one of the trading platforms chosen for retail investor access to the Space Exploration Technologies (SpaceX) initial public offering (IPO), and it was recently approved to underwrite IPOs as well.
It's also introducing many traditional services in its bid to become a major financial player, including credit cards and bank accounts. These services provide stability and minimize the risk of other types of products.
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With cryptocurrency trading falling, revenue growth has been mediocre. Revenue increased 15% year over year in the 2026 first quarter, a huge slowdown from 50% last year. This included a 47% decrease in cryptocurrency trading revenue and 46% increase in equities trading revenue.
There were many positives in the quarter, though, including a 39% increase in platform assets and a 36% increase in Robinhood Gold subscribers, its membership program, for a total of 4.3 million. It added half a million funded accounts, and Robinhood banking grew fivefold sequentially.
Priced to buy? The 11% decrease in the first half of the year obscures the recent climb -- Robinhood stock is up 45% over the past three months. Investors are impressed with the company's new capabilities and future opportunities.
It also became much cheaper at the lower price. Robinhood stock had been priced for perfection, which made it susceptible to falling under pressure, and that's what happened.
It now trades at a P/E ratio of 55 and a price-to-sales ratio of 22, so it may be returning to premium levels. Risk-tolerant investors who have a long-term horizon might want to take a small position at this price, but as it gets more expensive, it gets back to becoming susceptible to another fall.
Shares of Robinhood Markets (HOOD) closed the holiday-shortened week in strong fashion, surging after the financial technology (fintech) company introduced Robinhood Chain — an internally developed Ethereum-based layer 2 blockchain that will serve as a foundation for the company’s burgeoning presence in the world of tokenized assets.
The news sent the Direxion Daily HOOD Bull 2X ETF (HODU) — designed to deliver 200% of the daily returns of the stock — soaring, confirming the ETF lived up to its billing as a fine one-day instrument. That doesn’t mean tactical traders should ignore the geared Robinhood ETF going forward. As Robinhood Chain evolves, it could be a headline-generator and catalyst for short-term usage of HODU.
“Without institutional-grade oracle infrastructure, tokenized assets cannot scale or maintain the security required by regulated market participants,” according to the company. “Operating as an Ethereum layer-2 network built on Arbitrum’s Orbit technology, Robinhood Chain addresses these inefficiencies with Chainlink by establishing an environment built specifically to unlock advanced onchain finance use cases for everyday Robinhood users.”
Tailwinds Abound for HOOD, HODU Wall Street is taking note of Robinhood’s broadening product base — one that could bring opportunity for traders to embrace the leveraged HODU. On Thursday, Mizuho named the financial services stock one of its top picks for the month of July. Analyst Dan Dolev rates the stock “outperform” with a $115 price target.
“Investors have been concerned historically with HOOD’s user graduation risk (i.e. leaving HOOD for a financial advisor),” Dolev wrote in a report to clients. “We believe that the company has done an impressive job mitigating these factors through the acquisition of TradePMR (financial advisor marketplace) as well as its continued strong execution on its product roadmap of comprehensive financial services.”
Another well-documented catalyst for Robinhood and HODU is the company’s emerging prediction market footprint. A recent report by Artemis suggests that as of June 25, 12.3 billion event contracts changed hands via Robinhood, potentially (not confirmed) stoking revenue of $123 million. If that proves to be the quarterly number, it’d put the company within striking distance of its previously stated goal of a $500 million annual run rate in event contracts.
Robinhood’s event contract growth is important for another reason that’s relevant to traders considering HODU. That business could soon surpass cryptocurrency in terms of revenue contributions. Crypto is arguably the more volatile of those two endeavors. Said another way, Robinhood’s digital currency transaction revenue can and does languish during crypto bear markets.
For more news, information, and strategy, visit the Leveraged & Inverse Content Hub.
July 02, 2026 16:05 ET | Source: Robinhood Markets, Inc.
MENLO PARK, Calif., July 02, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Today, Robinhood Markets, Inc. (“Robinhood”) (NASDAQ: HOOD) announced that it will release its second quarter 2026 financial results on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, after market close. Robinhood will host a video call with Chairman & Chief Executive Officer Vlad Tenev and Chief Financial Officer Shiv Verma to discuss its results at 2:00 PM PT / 5:00 PM ET on the same day. The video call and supporting materials will be available at investors.robinhood.com. The event will also be live streamed to YouTube and X.com via Robinhood’s official channels, @RobinhoodApp, and within the Robinhood mobile app. Following the call, a replay and transcript will be available at investors.robinhood.com.
Ahead of the call, Robinhood shareholders can visit https://app.saytechnologies.com/robinhood-markets-2026-q2 to submit and upvote questions for management using the Q&A platform developed by Say Technologies. The Q&A platform will be open for question submission starting Wednesday, July 22, 2026, at 2:00 PM PT / 5:00 PM ET. Shareholders will be able to submit and upvote questions until Tuesday, July 28, 2026, at 2:00 PM PT / 5:00 PM ET. Management will address a selection of the most upvoted questions relating to Robinhood’s business and financial results on the earnings call. Shareholders can email [email protected] for any support inquiries.
About Robinhood
Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD) is a global leader in financial services offering retail brokerage, crypto, advisory, digital banking services, and private markets access to a new generation of investors. Additional information about Robinhood can be found at robinhood.com.
Robinhood uses the “Overview” tab of its Investor Relations website (accessible at investors.robinhood.com/overview) and its Newsroom (accessible at newsroom.aboutrobinhood.com), as means of disclosing information to the public in a broad, non-exclusionary manner for purposes of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Regulation Fair Disclosure (Reg. FD). Investors should routinely monitor those web pages, in addition to Robinhood’s press releases, SEC filings, and public conference calls and webcasts, as information posted on them could be deemed to be material information.
“Robinhood” and the Robinhood feather logo are registered trademarks of Robinhood Markets, Inc. All other names are trademarks and/or registered trademarks of their respective owners.
Vlad Tenev uvedl, že Británie by měla převzít americké kroky na podporu vlastnictví akcií drobnými investory. Robinhood chce v Británii zvýšit zájem o domácí akcie.
Robinhood’s CEO says the U.K. should look to the U.S. to increase retail stock ownership.
“Think of it as similar to where the US was 30 to 40 years ago,” Vlad Tenev said in a Bloomberg Television interview in London published Thursday (July 2).
He cited things like employer-sponsored 401(k) pensions and the White House initiatives to give newborns equity ownership.
“There is no reason why the same things would not also work here,” Tenev said.
As Bloomberg notes, Robinhood arrived in England two years ago with the goal of increasing retail ownership of equities, which are low in the U.K. compared to the U.S. Now, the British government is trying to boost interest in domestic stocks, with measures like easier initial public offerings (IPOs) and tax breaks on trading in new listings.
Asked by Bloomberg about the role of regulators, Tenev said the U.K.’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) showed “a great deal of openness to innovation” in his talks with the regulator. The authority recently said it would simplify requirements in its crypto regime coming next year.
Tenev, who is also Robinhood’s founder, added European regulators were ahead with the Markets in Crypto Assets regulation, which was followed by the Genius Act in the U.S.
The report also touched on concerns about an AI bubble, which Tenev dismissed, saying that “companies are generating significant revenue” that demonstrates there is substance behind the businesses, and adding that ownership “is a multidecade game.”
The interview came one day after Robinhood debuted the public mainnet of Robinhood Chain, a Layer 2 blockchain.
“AI-native and purpose-built for real-world assets, Robinhood Chain creates a permissionless environment for builders to innovate seamlessly,” Robinhood said in a news release.
The blockchain is one of several new decentralized finance and agentic products the company announced during its event, “Robinhood Presents: The World is Flat.”
These include new Stock Tokens available on the Robinhood Wallet in 120 countries; the rollout of Robinhood Earn to eligible U.S. users, letting them lend USDG; and an integration that allows users to access perpetual futures on decentralized exchange Lighter within Robinhood Wallet.
Meanwhile, Tenev announced last month that Robinhood securities business can now serve as an underwriter for IPOs. He said becoming an underwriter, and not simply a selling group member, is a natural progression in better serving customers and issuers.
Vlad Tenev z Robinhood uvedl, že AI agenti brzy dosáhnou schopností lidských obchodníků. Robinhood už v květnu spustil nástroje, které uživatelům umožňují obchodovat s akciemi a nakupovat jejich jménem.
AI agents will soon have the ability to match the capabilities of human traders, Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev predicts.
The power of agentic technology — AI that can carry out tasks for users — has been touted as potentially transformational by many in the tech sector, with industry giants including OpenAI and Anthropic racing to develop such products.
Robinhood unveiled tools in May that allow AI agents to trade stocks and make purchases on users' behalf.
"The idea behind agentic trading…[is] every capability a human can do will be available to an AI agent," Tenev told CNBC's Karen Tso on Thursday.
"I was doing programmatic trading as an institutional player before starting Robinhood, and what you don't realize is a large portion of trades are already automated and AI powered."
"But that type of intelligence and complexity has been out of reach from everyday people," he added.
"The end state of agentic trading at Robinhood is to give the everyday person access to the same tools, the same computation, the same power that institutional investors in high-frequency trading firms have been enjoying for several decades."
On Wednesday, Robinhood said it would launch crypto trading in the U.K. as it expanded its offering in Europe.
Shares of Robinhood were up around 2% in Thursday premarket trading after an 8% pop on Wednesday, taking the group's market cap $98 billion at close. Shares are down around 5% in 2026.
Robinhood stock
In April, Robinhood missed expectations for first-quarter profit as crypto-driven market volatility weighed on trading activity. Market conditions have since improved, with easing Middle East tensions and strong equity markets supporting retail trading activity.
That same month, Robinhood announced it would act as a broker and trustee for the yet-to-be-released Trump Accounts, in partnership with U.S. Treasury and BNY Mellon.
"The goal is to make this the best consumer product that the government's ever been associated with," said Tenev.
Robinhood serves nearly 28 million customers across 38 countries and three continents, the company said in a statement.
Earlier this month, Robinhood cut 10% of its workforce as it looked to operate more efficiently.
"Robinhood's business has never been stronger," Tenev said in a note to employees shared on social media platform X.
"We cannot default to operating as a heavily-layered organization. We must be a lean, hyper-focused team," he added.
The logo for Robinhood Markets, Inc., is displayed on a screen during the company’s IPO at the Nasdaq Market site in Times Square in New York City, U.S., July 29, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan... Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab Read more
CompaniesJuly 1 (Reuters) - Robinhood (HOOD.O), opens new tab said on Wednesday it plans to launch crypto trading in the UK and broadened its perpetual futures offering in Europe beyond cryptocurrencies.
Here are some details:
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Eligible European investors will now be able to trade perpetual futures tied to commodities, ETFs and foreign exchange markets, including gold, silver, crude oil and the euro-dollar pair, with leverage of up to 10 times and round-the-clock trading, the company said.
Perpetual futures, commonly known as "perps," are futures contracts with no expiration date and have drawn significant attention in the U.S. after the CFTC in May permitted their trading on domestic exchanges.
Separately, Robinhood said it plans to roll out crypto trading for the UK as it seeks to build an all-in-one investing platform for the region.
The company also launched Robinhood Earn, a lending product that allows eligible U.S. users to lend their dollar-backed stablecoin, USDG, through a self-custody wallet at an estimated 7% annualized return.
Robinhood Earn includes insurance for certain losses stemming from cyberattacks or smart-contract exploits, with the coverage arranged through Lloyd's of London and RELM.
The company also announced its entry into Canada following its acquisition of WonderFi and said it had received a capital markets services licence in Singapore.
The trading platform, which serves more than 28 million customers across 38 countries, has expanded into more financial services in recent years to reduce its reliance on trading activity.
The company posted weaker-than-expected transaction revenue for the first quarter amid crypto-driven volatility.
Reporting by Pragyan Kalita in Bengaluru; Editing by Leroy Leo
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab
Robinhood Markets stock is among today’s top performers. What’s behind HOOD gains? Robinhood Chain Goes LiveAlongside the network launch, the company said its tokenized stock offering is now fully operational, giving users in more than 120 countries the ability to trade equity tokens at any hour and plug them into lending and collateral applications.
Robinhood also rolled out a lending product called Robinhood Earn, through which users can put its USDG stablecoin to work via a self-custody wallet and collect a projected annual return of 7%.
Robinhood Live Event TodayRobinhood has stated it will present “The World is Flat,” a live event hosted at the historic Old Royal Naval College in London by CEO Vlad Tenev and SVP of Crypto and International Johann Kerbrat. The livestream will begin at 2 p.m. ET.
June Trading VolumesThe product announcements build on a strong recent trading backdrop. Through June 25, Robinhood reported equity notional trading volumes of about $343 billion, options contracts traded of approximately 274 million and crypto notional trading volumes of about $14 billion for the month. Event contracts traded came in at approximately 5.2 billion.
Full June operating data will be released alongside second-quarter earnings.
HOOD Shares Are ClimbingHOOD Price Action: Robinhood shares were up 8.42% at $108.72 at the time of publication on Wednesday, according to Benzinga Pro.
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Robinhood představil nové AI nástroje pro obchodování s kryptoměnami pro zákazníky v USA a oznámil mezinárodní expanzi, včetně Kanady, Singapuru a Spojeného království. Akcie HOOD po oznámení vzrostly o 8 %.
Robinhood HOOD shares surged 8% on Wednesday after the online brokerage unveiled a series of new products and international expansion initiatives aimed at broadening its presence in cryptocurrency trading and global financial services.
The announcements, made during a live event in London, included new AI-powered cryptocurrency trading capabilities for US customers, expanded perpetual futures trading in Europe, and progress toward entering new markets including Canada, Singapore, and the United Kingdom.
Johann Kerbrat, general manager of crypto and international at Robinhood, said the initiatives are designed to bring more investment products to customers outside the United States.
"We want to extend this vision to the rest of the world," Kerbrat tells Barron's.
In the United States, Robinhood introduced agentic cryptocurrency trading at no additional cost.
The new feature allows customers to connect their own AI agents to Robinhood so those agents can execute cryptocurrency trades on their behalf.
The launch builds on the company's rollout of agentic trading for stocks and options introduced last month.
Robinhood also announced Robinhood Earn for eligible US customers, a lending service that enables users to lend the US dollar-pegged stablecoin USDG through a self-custody wallet.
The company said the lending infrastructure is powered by the decentralized lending network Morpho.
The brokerage also expanded its blockchain strategy by launching the main network for Robinhood Chain, which is designed to support real-world assets.
Additionally, Robinhood introduced tokenized stocks that eligible customers can trade around the clock on Robinhood Chain.
The company noted that stock tokens are not available in the United States or to US customers.
Robinhood continued its international expansion with several announcements focused on Europe and Asia.
In the European Union, the company expanded its range of perpetual futures contracts, allowing eligible customers to trade contracts linked to commodities, selected currencies, and exchange-traded funds, including gold, silver, and Invesco's Nasdaq-100 tracking QQQ ETF.
Unlike traditional futures contracts, perpetual futures do not expire, allowing investors to maintain positions for longer periods.
Robinhood also announced that it had received a capital markets services licence in Singapore, bringing it closer to launching brokerage services in the country.
In Canada, the company is expanding its cryptocurrency offering following its acquisition of digital asset platform WonderFi. Robinhood said Canadian customers will receive zero crypto trading fees through Sept. 30.
The company also revealed plans to launch cryptocurrency services in the United Kingdom.
"We're very excited about that because only brokerage products have been available up until today," Kerbrat said.
Analysts remain optimistic on growthRobinhood's latest product launches add to a broader strategy of expanding beyond its traditional brokerage business.
According to a Zacks report, the company was the top-performing finance stock during the second quarter of 2026, supported by stronger retail trading activity and continued growth across equities, options, cryptocurrencies, and prediction markets.
The report also highlighted Robinhood's efforts to diversify its business through AI-powered trading, wealth management, prediction markets, and payment products, creating additional opportunities for revenue growth.
Analyst sentiment remains positive.
According to Zacks, consensus earnings estimates for 2026 and 2027 have increased to $1.81 and $2.45 per share, respectively.
While earnings are expected to decline 11.7% this year, forecasts call for growth of 35.2% in 2027.
TipRanks data also reflects a favorable outlook, with 16 of 19 analysts rating Robinhood shares a Buy, while the remaining three recommend Hold, underscoring continued confidence in the company's long-term expansion strategy.
Robinhood ve 1. čtvrtletí 2026 zvýšil výnosy o 15 % na 1,07 miliardy USD, i když příjmy z kryptoměn klesly o 47 % na 134 milionů USD. Růst táhly opce, akcie, úrokové výnosy i předplatné Gold.
Robinhood (HOOD 1.34%), the online brokerage that popularized commission-free trading through its streamlined app, generated 20% its revenue from cryptocurrency trades in 2025. The bears often claim that Robinhood's heavy reliance on crypto trading makes it an unreliable long-term investment, given the crypto market's notorious volatility.
But in the first quarter of 2026, Robinhood's total revenue rose 15% year over year to $1.07 billion, even though its crypto trading revenue plunged 47% to $134 million and only accounted for 13% of its top line. Let's see how Robinhood offset its declining crypto revenue, and why that diversification makes it a better long-term investment.
Image source: Getty Images.
Why is Robinhood insulated from the crypto winter? In the first quarter of 2026, Robinhood's options trading revenue rose 8% to $260 million, its equities trading revenue grew 46% to $82 million, and its "other" transaction revenue (mainly consisting of events/prediction contracts) surged 320% to $147 million. That growth offset its declining crypto revenue, and its total transaction-based revenue rose 7% to $623 million.
Fears of interest rate hikes chilled the crypto market in the first quarter. However, elevated interest rates boosted its net interest revenue, which rose 24% year over year to $359 million, as it collected more interest on uninvested user cash, margin books, and securities lending.
Its subscription platform, Robinhood Gold, also expanded 36% year over year to 4.3 million subscribers in the first quarter. As a result, its subscription revenue jumped 57% to $85 million. So even though Robinhood's transaction-based revenue would surge in a new crypto summer, it has enough irons in the fire to keep it warm through the current crypto winter.
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Why is Robinhood an attractive long-term investment? From 2025 to 2028, analysts expect Robinhood's revenue and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) to both grow at CAGRs of 16%.
That growth should be driven by the expansion of the "Robinhood Chain", its own Ethereum (ETH 2.43%) Layer-2 network for the tokenization of stocks, bonds, real estate, and other assets; the expansion of its prediction markets business, its integration of more agentic AI tools into its platform, and the rollout of even more features for its Gold subscribers.
With an enterprise value of $85 billion, Robinhood's stock still looks reasonably valued at 24 times next year's adjusted EBITDA. Its expansion and evolution into a more diversified fintech platform should reduce its dependence on cryptocurrencies and drive its stock even higher.
Robinhood rozšiřuje aplikaci z obchodní platformy na širší finanční ekosystém a má 27,7 milionu financovaných klientů s aktivy na platformě v hodnotě 377 miliard USD. Firma zároveň získala předběžné povolení pro brokerážní licenci v Singapuru a čeká na dokončení akvizic v Indonésii.
Key Takeaways HOOD is expanding from trading into a broader financial ecosystem to deepen customer relationships.Global moves include Europe tokenized stocks, Singapore approval and impending Indonesia acquisitions.HOOD's premium valuation, volatile revenues and regulatory risks make fresh buying less compelling. Robinhood Markets’ (HOOD - Free Report) growth story is increasingly shifting from a single-product trading app to a broader financial ecosystem. The company is expanding across brokerage, crypto, subscriptions, retirement, advisory, credit cards, private markets and prediction markets, aiming to become a more central platform in customers’ financial lives.
A key part of this strategy is customer deepening. At the end of May 2026, Robinhood had 27.7 million funded customers and $377 billion in total platform assets, reflecting continued asset consolidation on the platform. The company is moving into more recurring and relationship-driven products. The company also introduced trust and custodial accounts, supporting a family-investing experience. These initiatives suggest the company is trying to capture more wallet share across saving, investing and spending.
Another growth lever is product expansion for active traders. Robinhood has been building capabilities in futures, index options, crypto, private markets and prediction markets. Further, the company has entered into the capital markets business, with the approval to underwrite IPOs.
Likewise, HOOD’s peers, Charles Schwab (SCHW - Free Report) and Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR - Free Report) , are expanding their product suites aggressively. Interactive Brokers is diversifying through global market access, high-yield cash balances, securities lending, institutional services and advisor solutions, while Schwab is broadening its reach across wealth management, banking, lending, retirement and asset management. These efforts reduce commission dependence, support steadier revenues and deepen client relationships.
Robinhood’s broader ecosystem will likely make revenues more diversified and customers more loyal. Subscriptions, advisory assets, cash balances, credit cards and retirement accounts are expected to help reduce dependence on volatile trading volumes. At the same time, active trading, crypto and prediction markets can still provide upside during periods of stronger retail engagement.
Sales Estimates
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The key question for investors is whether Robinhood’s “financial super app” vision justifies buying HOOD stock for long-term upside, or whether it is better to wait for more evidence of traction across its newer products. Answering that requires a closer look at the company’s fundamentals, execution strategy and market-related catalysts that could influence its growth trajectory.
Robinhood: Other Factors to ConsiderGlobal Expansion: Robinhood is expanding globally by combining traditional finance with digital assets, positioning itself as a next-generation fintech ecosystem. Its initiatives include tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs in Europe, broader crypto services, a proprietary blockchain, future banking products and expansion into Canada and Asia-Pacific through new offices and planned acquisitions.
Robinhood has received in-principle approval to set up the brokerage business in Singapore, bringing it closer to entering one of Asia’s key financial hubs. Pending acquisitions (PT Buana Capital Sekuritas and PT Pedagang Aset Kripto) in Indonesia are expected to close soon.
Additionally, Robinhood’s acquisition of WonderFi Technologies provides a new growth lever as crypto momentum moderates. The deal expands Robinhood into Canada’s crypto market through Bitbuy and Coinsquare, adding about 300,000 funded customers and more than C$2 billion in assets under custody. WonderFi’s regulated presence also strengthens Robinhood’s foothold in a market where trust and compliance are critical.
Strong Balance Sheet: Robinhood is on solid ground, with significant cash reserves. As of March 31, 2026, it reported cash and cash equivalents of $5 billion.
Further, last week, the company raised $2.2 billion through 0.00% convertible senior notes due 2029. The proceeds give Robinhood added financial flexibility. About $290 million will go toward share repurchases to offset dilution, while $112 million will fund capped call transactions to limit potential dilution if the notes convert. The remaining proceeds can support organic investments, acquisitions and capital expenditures.
In March, HOOD announced a new $1.5 billion share repurchase authorization (to be completed over the next three years). The company initially launched a $1 billion share repurchase program in May 2024, which was later expanded by another $500 million in April 2025. The new buyback program underscores management’s confidence in the company’s financial position and long-term growth prospects.
Litigation & Probes: Robinhood operates in a heavily regulated market and continues to expand into products that can draw scrutiny. In December 2025, Connecticut’s Department of Consumer Protection Gaming Division issued a cease-and-desist order to Robinhood Derivatives and other operators over sports event contracts it characterized as unlicensed online gambling, highlighting the risk of state-level regulatory challenges. Adverse outcomes in regulatory actions or changes in law could prevent it from offering, or continuing to offer, event contracts.
The company has also faced investigations and reviews tied to crypto promotions and tokenized equity products, and it paid more than $80 million in fines from 2023 to 2025 for a range of compliance issues. As prediction markets and related derivatives scale, regulatory limits could cap product rollout and add expense volatility.
Reliance on Volatile Revenue Streams: A large portion of HOOD’s business is tied to transaction-driven activity, including options trading, equities turnover and crypto trading. These categories are highly sensitive to market cycles, investor sentiment and shifts in risk appetite. During periods of volatility or bullish momentum, revenues can surge, but they can fall just as quickly when markets cool, trading volumes fall or retail engagement declines (as occurred in the first quarter of 2026).
This creates an inherently uneven earnings profile, making Robinhood’s results less predictable and more exposed to macro- and sentiment-driven swings than traditional, fee-based financial firms.
HOOD’s Price Performance, Earnings Prospects & ValuationAfter a sharp pullback in early 2026, HOOD shares have regained some momentum and are now down only 10% year to date. Although concerns over elevated valuation and softer crypto-related activity weighed on investor sentiment, the stock’s recent recovery appears to reflect growing optimism around Robinhood’s new product launches and broader platform expansion.
In comparison, shares of Schwab and Interactive Brokers have fared better. Even the industry to which the stock belongs has rallied 5.5% so far this year.
YTD Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Over the past 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 has remained unchanged at $1.81, while for 2027, estimates have been revised upward to $2.45. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for HOOD’s 2026 earnings implies an 11.7% year-over-year decline. The trend will likely reverse next year, with earnings numbers suggesting a 35.2% jump.
Earnings Estimates
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Despite the weakness in share price, Robinhood is trading at a premium to the industry. At present, the company has a price/tangible book (P/TB) of 10.26X for the trailing 12 months compared with the industry average of 3.25X.
Robinhood’s P/TB TTM
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
HOOD stock is expensive compared with Schwab and Interactive Brokers. Schwab and Interactive Brokers have a trailing 12-month P/TB of 6.97X and 1.86X, respectively.
How to Approach HOOD as it Builds a Financial Super App?Robinhood’s long-term platform strategy remains promising, supported by customer growth, product expansion, global initiatives and a strong balance sheet. However, the near-term investment case is less compelling. The stock still depends heavily on volatile transaction-driven revenues, including options, equities and crypto trading, while newer products such as prediction markets, tokenized assets and global expansion remain subject to execution and regulatory risks.
Further, HOOD’s premium valuation leaves limited room for disappointment. Hence, investors should avoid initiating new positions at current levels. Those already holding HOOD may retain the stock, but fresh buying looks better deferred until valuation becomes more reasonable and product traction improves.
At present, HOOD carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
BTIG uvedla, že Robinhood se mění v širší finanční platformu a může dlouhodobě růst díky mladé klientele a rozšiřování produktů. Analytici stanovili cílovou cenu na 125 USD.
BTIG analysts Andrew Harte and Brendan Greaney said Robinhood has evolved beyond its roots as a commission-free trading app into a broader financial platform spanning brokerage, crypto, prediction markets and wealth management.
Robinhood Growth Strategy And Customer ExpansionThe firm expects the company to deliver more than 20% annual platform asset growth over the next decade, driven by a young customer base entering peak earning years, deeper engagement, new customer additions and international expansion.
BTIG acknowledged Robinhood trades at a premium valuation of about 46 times next-12-month GAAP earnings, compared with roughly 15 times for traditional brokerage peers. However, the analysts argued the premium is justified by the company’s stronger growth profile and expanding product portfolio.
The brokerage said Robinhood’s average customer is about 36 years old with an average account balance of roughly $13,000, compared with older customers and significantly larger account balances at legacy brokers. BTIG believes that positions the company to benefit from an estimated $124 trillion intergenerational wealth transfer over time.
Product Expansion Supports Long-Term OutlookThe analysts also highlighted Robinhood’s growing suite of products, including retirement accounts, banking, prediction markets and international offerings, saying these services should increase customer retention and wallet share. Management’s renewed investment in customer acquisition is also expected to support faster funded-account growth.
Key Catalysts And Price ForecastBTIG sees several potential catalysts ahead, including second-quarter earnings, international expansion, prediction markets, the July launch of Trump Accounts, a stronger IPO pipeline and the removal of pattern day trading restrictions.
The firm’s $125 price forecast is based on 40 times its fiscal 2028 earnings estimate, while it outlined a bullish scenario of $150 per share if crypto activity rebounds and customer growth accelerates. Its downside scenario values the stock at $60 if trading activity weakens and competitive pressures slow customer growth.
Robinhood Stock Performance And Technical AnalysisRobinhood stock climbed about 5% on Friday, outperforming the broader market. The Nasdaq fell 0.65%, while the S&P 500 edged up 0.03%.
The stock continues to trade above its 20-day, 50-day and 100-day simple moving averages of $93.65, $85.20 and $80.27, respectively. That signals the intermediate trend remains positive.
However, shares remain about 4.8% below the 200-day moving average of $102.57, leaving a key long-term resistance level intact.
Momentum indicators have weakened. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains below its signal line, suggesting upside momentum has slowed even as the stock continues to rise.
The 20-day moving average remains above the 50-day average, supporting the near-term trend. However, the 50-day average is still below the 200-day average following February’s death cross, indicating longer-term caution.
Technical traders are watching resistance near $113.50 and support around $79.
Analyst Consensus & Recent Actions: The stock carries a Buy rating with an average price forecast of $106.25. Recent analyst moves include:
BTIG: Initiated with Buy (Forecast $125.00) (June 26) Argus Research: Buy (Raises forecast to $110.00) (June 17) Needham: Buy (Raises forecast to $97.00) (June 11) HOOD Price Action: Robinhood Markets shares were up 4.64% at $97.80 at the time of publication on Friday, according to Benzinga Pro data.
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