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2026-10-23 06:18 1d ago
2026-10-23 02:00 1d ago
GBP/NZD roste po slabší inflaci na Novém Zélandu
GBPNZD GBP/NZD
FMP Forex News 95
Original source text
The Pound-New Zealand Dollar could remain supported if weak UK data is limited, while softer New Zealand inflation may keep RBNZ hike bets under pressure.
The Pound New Zealand Dollar (GBP/NZD) exchange rate rose on Thursday as softer New Zealand inflation dented the ‘Kiwi’.

At the time of writing, GBP/NZD traded at NZ$2.3560, up 0.3% on the day.

Latest — Exchange Rates:

Pound to New Zealand Dollar (GBP/NZD): 2.356379 (+0.34%)

Euro to New Zealand Dollar (EUR/NZD): 1.974324 (+0.24%)

New Zealand Dollar to Dollar (NZD/USD): 0.567929 (-0.43%)

DAILY RECAP:

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) fell during Thursday’s Asian trading session as markets digested the latest New Zealand inflation figures.

Price pressures cooled more than forecast in the third quarter. Inflation eased from 4.1% to 3.7%, below market expectations for 3.8%.

The data dampened bets that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) would raise interest rates at its policy decision next week, which put pressure on the ‘Kiwi’.

Additionally, a souring market mood dented demand for the risk-sensitive New Zealand Dollar.

Meanwhile, the Pound (GBP) attracted limited support on Thursday, with Sterling seemingly enjoying the afterglow of high-impact data published earlier in the week.

Tuesday’s jobs report showed an unexpected decline in unemployment, while Wednesday’s consumer price index revealed a sharper-than-forecast rise in inflation.

Taken together, these releases fuelled bets that the Bank of England (BoE) could shift to a more hawkish approach to monetary policy over the coming months, which continued providing the Pound with support into Thursday’s session.

Near-Term GBP/NZD Forecast: Downbeat UK Data to Dent Sterling?
Looking ahead, Sterling could face headwinds through the final session of the week as markets react to new economic data.

The UK’s latest retail sales figures are forecast to show a 0.1% contraction in sales growth in September, which could raise concerns about the country’s economic resilience.

Later in the morning, the preliminary PMI results for October are expected to show that activity in the UK services and manufacturing sectors slowed. This could increase pressure on the Pound.

Elsewhere, market risk appetite may impact GBP/NZD. If a risk-off mood prevails, the risk-sensitive New Zealand Dollar may face resistance.

Exchange Rates UK Research
Our currency coverage draws on live market data, official economic releases and published bank research.
2026-10-19 12:28 5d ago
2026-10-19 07:00 5d ago
GBP/NZD může posílit, pokud britská inflace dosáhne 3,4 %
GBPNZD GBP/NZD
FMP Forex News 94
Original source text
The Pound-New Zealand Dollar could strengthen if UK inflation reinforces BoE hike bets, while softer New Zealand inflation may weigh on the Kiwi.
Trade in the Pound to New Zealand Dollar (GBP/NZD) exchange rate was uneven last week amid a fluctuating market mood.

At the time of writing, GBP/NZD was trading at around NZ$2.358. Almost unchanged from start of last week’s session.

Latest — Exchange Rates:

Pound to New Zealand Dollar (GBP/NZD): 2.358121 (-0.14%)

Euro to New Zealand Dollar (EUR/NZD): 1.988273 (-0.34%)

New Zealand Dollar to Dollar (NZD/USD): 0.565285 (+0.58%)

DAILY RECAP:

The New Zealand dollar (NZD) tracked shifting risk appetite throughout the week, experiencing notable swings as investors reacted to geopolitical uncertainty, rising energy prices and changing expectations for US interest rates

After initially struggling amid concerns over renewed tensions in the Middle East, the ‘Kiwi’ was catapulted higher as a sharp correction in the US Dollar (USD) triggered a notable risk rally in the latter half of the session.

The New Zealand Dollar also benefited from comments by Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Chief Economist Paul Conway, who signalled that further interest rate increases could be necessary to bring inflation under control.

The Pound (GBP) traded without strong conviction through the first half of last week’s session, as conflicting economic signals left investors hesitant.

Although the International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised its outlook for UK economic growth, gains were constrained by remarks from Bank of England (BoE) Chief Economist Huw Pill.

Pill, typically regarded as one of the more hawkish members of the Monetary Policy Committee, sought to rein in expectations for an aggressive tightening cycle, questioning market bets that the BoE would raise interest rates four times over the coming year.

The Pound found firmer footing later in the week, however, after the latest UK GDP figures revealed an unexpected expansion in August, overturning forecasts that the economy would contract.

Near-Term GBP/NZD Forecast: UK Inflation in the Spotlight
Looking ahead, the Pound to US Dollar exchange rate could gain ground this week as investors reacted to the latest UK consumer price index.

Forecasts point to inflation climbing to 3.4% in September. Such a reading could lend support to Sterling by reinforcing expectations that the BoE will start raising interest rates next month.

However, the latest UK labour market figures may limit the Pound’s advance. Unemployment is expected to have increased in August, potentially tempering optimism over the strength of the domestic economy.

Meanwhile, New Zealand’s own inflation figures will likely act as the primary catalyst for the ‘kiwi’ with NZD exchange rates likely to soften if an easing of price pressures in the third quarter dampens RBNZ rate hike expectations.

Exchange Rates UK Research
Our currency coverage draws on live market data, official economic releases and published bank research.
2026-10-15 07:17 9d ago
2026-10-15 02:00 9d ago
GBP/NZD se po pochybnostech BoE drží na 2,3591
GBPNZD GBP/NZD
FMP Forex News 95
Original source text
The Pound-New Zealand Dollar rate could face further pressure if UK GDP contracts, while risk appetite may determine whether the Kiwi can extend its recovery. The Pound to New Zealand Dollar (GBP/NZD) exchange rate was muted on Wednesday after a notable Bank of England (BoE) policymaker expressed scepticism about market pricing for future interest rate hikes.

At the time of writing, GBP/NZD was trading at around NZ$2.3591. A modest decline from the start of Tuesday's session.

Latest — Exchange Rates:

Pound to New Zealand Dollar (GBP/NZD): 2.362755 (+0.05%)

Euro to New Zealand Dollar (EUR/NZD): 1.993349 (-0.10%)

New Zealand Dollar to Dollar (NZD/USD): 0.561552 (+0.03%)

DAILY RECAP:

The Pound (GBP) faced headwinds on Wednesday, following comments by Bank of England Chief Economist Huw Pill on the sidelines of the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) annual meeting in Bangkok.

Huw spoke about the need for the bank to begin tightening monetary policy but questioned the wisdom that the BoE will deliver four interest rate hikes over the next year.

Current market pricing suggests there is a 92% chance of the BoE raising rates by 25 basis points in November, with three more 25bps hikes following before September 2027.

As one of the most hawkish members of the BoE’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), Pill’s comments should raise some doubts amongst the more bullish GBP investors who are pushing the four-hike narrative.

The New Zealand dollar (NZD) appreciated during Wednesday’s Asian session, with the ‘Kiwi’ drawing support from a sharp improvement in Chinese trade data

Figures revealed that China’s trade surplus widened to $133.53bn in September, marking its largest monthly surplus in 20 months and comfortably exceeding market expectations.

In addition to underpinning a broader improvement in risk appetite, the data provided a particular boost to those currencies closely linked to the Chinese economy, such as the New Zealand and Australian Dollars.

However, analysts cautioned that September’s trade data primarily reflected strong overseas demand for Chinese goods rather than a decisive recovery in domestic consumption, which raises questions about whether the jump in import growth can be sustained.

Near-Term GBP/NZD Forecast: Contraction in GDP to Sink Sterling? Looking ahead to the second half of the week, the Pound to New Zealand Dollar (GBP/NZD) exchange rate could come under more notable pressure on Thursday, with the release of the UK’s latest GDP figures.

Consensus forecasts predict month-on-month growth contracted in August, further constricting the amount of fiscal headroom available to Chancellor John Healey as he prepares to deliver his first Autumn Budget later this month.

Meanwhile, in the absence of any impactful NZ data, movement in the ‘kiwi’ will be tied to market risk dynamics, with NZD potentially faltering if the US Dollar (USD) resumes its bullish run following the publication of the latest US inflation figures.

Exchange Rates UK Research Our currency coverage draws on live market data, official economic releases and published bank research.
2026-10-12 11:18 12d ago
2026-10-12 06:45 12d ago
GBP/NZD v září vzrostl o 2,9 %
GBPNZD GBP/NZD
FMP Forex News 96
Original source text
The Pound to New Zealand Dollar (GBP/NZD) exchange rate climbed to 2.3641 on Monday, approaching October highs as renewed energy-price concerns weighed on the Kiwi.

UK GDP and New Zealand manufacturing figures will provide the next tests.

Latest-Exchange Rates:

Pound to New Zealand Dollar (GBP/NZD): 2.364051 (+0.28%)

Euro to New Zealand Dollar (EUR/NZD): 1.99782 (+0.11%)

New Zealand Dollar to Dollar (NZD/USD): 0.559832 (-0.26%)

WEEKLY RECAP:

GBP/NZD edged higher on Monday after spending much of last week trading close to 2.36.

The pair gained 2.9% during September, with the New Zealand Dollar struggling against persistent energy-market volatility and a stronger US Dollar.

Pound Sterling has also faced pressure, although expectations of another Bank of England interest-rate increase have provided some support.

MUFG expects the BoE to raise rates in November but warns that confidence in Britain's public finances remains crucial ahead of the 28 October Budget.

The Kiwi faces a different problem.

New Zealand's inflation outlook has deteriorated, with higher fuel costs pushing consumer prices higher despite an uneven domestic recovery.

Westpac Chief Economist Kelly Eckhold now expects inflation to reach 4.2% in December, compared with an earlier forecast of 3.7% for September.

He cautioned: "Growth forecasts are revised down and have downside risks."

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised interest rates to 2.75% in September, although Westpac expects policymakers to pause at their next meeting on 28 October before increasing rates to 3% in December.

That prospective tightening offers the Kiwi some support, but weak housing activity and concerns about household spending have limited its recovery.

Near-Term GBP/NZD Forecast: UK GDP and New Zealand Manufacturing in Focus For Pound Sterling, Thursday's UK GDP release is the week's principal event.

Economists expect the economy to contract 0.1% in August following July's 0.4% expansion. Manufacturing, industrial production and trade figures are also scheduled.

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey's remarks on Wednesday and Friday could influence expectations for November's policy decision.

For the New Zealand Dollar, Tuesday brings visitor arrivals, followed by Thursday's BusinessNZ Manufacturing Index and Food Price Index, released late in the UK evening.

China's inflation and trade figures will also influence sentiment towards the export-sensitive Kiwi.

Stronger UK data alongside disappointing New Zealand manufacturing figures could push GBP/NZD towards 2.3800.

However, weak UK growth and improving New Zealand activity could pull the pair back towards 2.3400.

In the near-term, Exchange Rates UK Research forecast that the Pound to New Zealand Dollar exchange rate will trade within the 2.3400-2.3800 range.

Exchange Rates UK Research Our currency coverage draws on live market data, official economic releases and published bank research.
2026-10-06 06:56 18d ago
2026-10-06 02:30 18d ago
GBP/NZD dosáhl desetiletého maxima
GBPNZD GBP/NZD
FMP Forex News 92
Original source text
Pound-New Zealand Dollar could stay elevated if risk appetite remains weak, although stronger NZ business confidence may offer the Kiwi some support.
The Pound New Zealand Dollar (GBP/NZD) exchange rate hit a fresh ten-year high on Monday as Sterling continued to attract support.

At the time of writing, GBP/NZD traded at NZ$2.3647, up almost 0.3% on the day.

Latest — Exchange Rates:

Pound to New Zealand Dollar (GBP/NZD): 2.362863 (+0.20%)

Euro to New Zealand Dollar (EUR/NZD): 2.004679 (+0.03%)

New Zealand Dollar to Dollar (NZD/USD): 0.559005 (-0.43%)

DAILY RECAP:

The Pound (GBP) continued to attract support at the start of this week, following last week’s impressive gains.

The recent upward revision to UK GDP growth in the second quarter, increased bets on a Bank of England (BoE) interest rate hike in November, and hopes of closer UK-EU ties following the Labour conference last week all continued to provide the Pound with support.

In addition, the UK’s finalised services PMI on Monday was revised slightly higher. The PMI printed at 52.1 in September, still down from August’s 52.5 but above the preliminary estimate of 51.7. While the upward revision was modest, it helped keep Sterling’s momentum alive.

Meanwhile, the risk-sensitive New Zealand Dollar (NZD) struggled as this week’s session began, with a gloomy market mood weighing on NZD demand.

Investors remained concerned about high global energy prices and the ongoing crisis in the Middle East.

Activity in the Strait of Hormuz came to a near standstill on Monday, following attacks near the vital waterway over the weekend.

Near-Term GBP/NZD Forecast: NZ Business Confidence to Support the ‘Kiwi’?
Looking ahead, the NZ Institute of Economic Research will publish its latest business confidence survey on Monday night. A forecast improvement in the third quarter could lend the ‘Kiwi’ support during Tuesday’s Asian session and into European trade.

Economic data then thins out, likely leaving GBP/NZD to be driven by market risk dynamics. Any shifts in sentiment could drive volatility. Federal Reserve interest rate expectations and US-Iran war news could determine the market mood.

Exchange Rates UK Research
Our currency coverage draws on live market data, official economic releases and published bank research.
2026-07-22 07:03 3mo ago
2026-07-22 01:30 3mo ago
GBP/NZD klesl na měsíční minimum po inflaci na Novém Zélandu
GBPNZD GBP/NZD
FMP Forex News 86
Original source text
The Pound to New Zealand Dollar (GBP/NZD) exchange rate slipped to a one-month low on Tuesday after stronger-than-expected New Zealand inflation reinforced expectations for further Reserve Bank of New Zealand interest rate hikes.

At the time of writing, GBP/NZD was trading around NZ$2.2939, down approximately 0.2% on the day.

Latest — Exchange Rates:
Pound to New Zealand Dollar (GBP/NZD): 2.295692 (+0.02%)
Euro to New Zealand Dollar (EUR/NZD): 1.956495 (+0.29%)
New Zealand Dollar to Dollar (NZD/USD): 0.5827 (-0.43%)

DAILY RECAP:

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) appreciated through Tuesday's Asian trading session as markets digested New Zealand's latest consumer price index.

According to the CPI figures published by Stats NZ, annual inflation accelerated to 4.1% in the second quarter, up from 3.1% previously and above market forecasts of 4.0%.

Perhaps more importantly, the Q2 inflation print also outpaced the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s previous 3.9% forecast.

This prompted NZD investors to increase their bets on further monetary tightening after the RBNZ's recent decision to lift the Official Cash Rate to 2.5%.

However, the ‘Kiwi’ was unable to sustain its best levels for long, with NZD exchange rates falling back by the start of the European session as market risk appetite was sapped by the continued escalation of tensions in the Middle East.

Meanwhile, trade in the Pound (GBP) was broadly flat on Tuesday as the UK's latest jobs report helped to calm concerns over turbulence in the UK bond market at the start of the session.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that unemployment held steady at 4.9% in May, against forecasts it would rise to 5.0%, while employment growth accelerated from 100,000 to 147,000 against consensus estimates it would drop to 85,000.

The surprisingly robust jobs data was welcomed by GBP investors as it increased the chances of the Bank of England (BoE) tightening monetary policy later in the year.

However, Sterling's upside potential remained capped after the start of Andy Burnham's premiership triggered a rise in UK gilt yields as he signalled his willingness to exercise flexibility while still adhering to fiscal rules.

Near-Term GBP/NZD Forecast: Slowdown in UK Inflation to Sap Sterling? Looking ahead, the next catalyst for the Pound to New Zealand Dollar exchange rate will be the UK's latest inflation figures.

Economists expect UK inflation to have cooled further in June, with Sterling likely to come under pressure if the data weakens expectations for further Bank of England interest rate hikes.

Meanwhile, the ‘Kiwi’ could face headwinds if New Zealand's latest credit card spending figures point to a slowdown in consumer spending last month.
2026-07-08 08:02 3mo ago
2026-07-08 02:30 3mo ago
GBP/NZD klesl po zvýšení hlavní sazby RBNZ
GBPNZD GBP/NZD
FMP Forex News 92
Original source text
The Pound to New Zealand Dollar (GBP/NZD) exchange rate fell sharply on Wednesday after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) raised its Official Cash Rate by 25 basis points to 2.50%, boosting the 'Kiwi' as policymakers struck a more hawkish tone than many investors had anticipated.

At the time of writing, GBP/NZD was trading at NZ$2.3369, down around 0.6% on the day after retreating from recent six-month highs.

Latest — Exchange Rates:
Pound to New Zealand Dollar (GBP/NZD): 2.337366 (-0.61%)
Euro to New Zealand Dollar (EUR/NZD): 1.99811 (-0.54%)
New Zealand Dollar to Dollar (NZD/USD): 0.571431 (+0.70%)

DAILY RECAP:

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) rallied after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increased the Official Cash Rate by 25 basis points to 2.50%, marking the first increase in the current tightening cycle.

Importantly, the decision was reached by consensus, with both the Reserve Bank's internal members and external Monetary Policy Committee members backing the rate increase after the previous meeting ended in a split vote.

The Committee said monetary policy remains stimulatory and that a modest reduction in that stimulus was appropriate to help ensure inflation returns sustainably to the 2% midpoint of its target range. Policymakers also acknowledged that inflation risks remain elevated despite lower oil prices and easing geopolitical tensions.

The prospect of further policy tightening later this year helped lift New Zealand government bond yields and supported the 'Kiwi' across the currency market.

Meanwhile, the Pound (GBP) struggled to offset the New Zealand Dollar's gains.

Sterling remained broadly supported by expectations that UK interest rates will stay relatively elevated, but the RBNZ's surprise consensus behind a rate increase proved the dominant driver of GBP/NZD price action.

Near-Term GBP/NZD Forecast: Focus Turns to the RBNZ's Next Move Following Wednesday's widely expected 25 basis point increase, investors will now focus on whether the Reserve Bank of New Zealand signals additional policy tightening in the months ahead.

While policymakers stressed that future decisions will remain data dependent, the consensus vote and accompanying statement suggest the Committee remains concerned about inflation risks and is prepared to tighten further if necessary.

If markets continue to price in another RBNZ rate increase later this year, the New Zealand Dollar could remain well supported.

For Sterling, attention will remain on incoming UK economic data and Bank of England expectations, although the near-term direction of GBP/NZD is likely to be driven primarily by changing interest rate expectations between the two central banks.