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2026-07-24 18:04 1d ago
2026-07-24 12:00 2d ago
Fair Isaac očekává růst tržeb i zisku ve 3. čtvrtletí
FICO Fair Isaac Corporation
FMP Stock News 78
Original source text
Key Takeaways FICO's Q3 revenues are expected to rise 26.64%, with earnings projected to grow 40.26% year over year.Higher mortgage pricing, healthy originations and Score 10T adoption may support FICO's Scores growth.FICO Platform ARR rose 49% to $349 million on customer wins, broader use cases and migrations. Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO - Free Report) is set to report its third-quarter 2026 results on July 29.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter 2026 revenues is pegged at $679.31 million, suggesting an increase of 26.64% from the reported figure in the year-ago quarter.

The consensus mark for third-quarter 2026 earnings is pegged at $12.02 per share, down by 0.25% over the past 30 days, while indicating 40.26% year-over-year growth.

The company’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the trailing four quarters, delivering an average surprise of 8.78%.

Let us see how things have shaped up prior to this announcement.

Factors Likely to Impact FICO’s Q3 PerformanceFICO's third-quarter 2026 performance is likely to have been driven by continued strength in its Scores business, supported by higher mortgage pricing and healthy origination activity. Mortgage origination revenues surged 127% year over year in the second quarter of 2026, reflecting the benefit of higher pricing and stronger volumes.

The rollout of FICO Score 10T is expected to have provided another growth tailwind in the to-be-reported quarter. During the second quarter of 2026, the company added 11 lenders to its Early Adopter Program, bringing the total to 55 lenders that represent more than $495 billion in annual serviceable mortgage originations. Three of the five largest mortgage resellers have signed up for the Direct Licensing Program, with the remaining two expected to join pending final regulatory approval. These developments are likely to have supported broader adoption of FICO Score 10T in the to-be-reported quarter.

Fair Isaac’s software business is also likely to have benefited from continued momentum in the FICO Platform. Total software ARR increased 10% year over year to $789 million in the second quarter of 2026, while Platform ARR jumped 49% to $349 million. Platform revenues grew 54%, supported by new customer wins, expanded use cases among existing customers and migrations to the platform. Management noted that software bookings are expected to be stronger in the second half of fiscal 2026 than in the first half, reflecting a healthy sales pipeline. This momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter as well.

FICO’s investments in explainable artificial intelligence (AI) and decisioning software are expected to remain a positive catalyst. The company highlighted that the FICO Platform is "agentic-by-design," with more than 150 customers using it across multiple use cases. Management noted that FICO has been issued 137 AI-related patents and continues to invest in explainable AI capabilities for highly regulated industries, strengthening its competitive positioning as enterprise AI adoption accelerates.

However, delays in regulatory approvals for the FICO Score 10T Direct Licensing Program and uncertainty regarding the timing of its commercial rollout could affect the pace of adoption in the to-be-reported quarter. Management continues to assume conservative mortgage volume trends, while macroeconomic conditions and housing market activity remain variables that could influence quarterly performance.

What Our Model Says About FICOPer the Zacks model, the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that is not the exact case here.

Fair Isaac currently has an Earnings ESP of -0.04% and a Zacks Rank #3. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they are reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

Stocks to ConsiderHere are some companies worth considering, as our model shows that they have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat in their upcoming releases.

Amphenol (APH - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +1.12% and a Zacks Rank #1 at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Amphenol shares have gained 16.5% year to date. Amphenol is scheduled to report its second-quarter 2026 results on July 29.

ASE Technology (ASX - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +21.21% and a Zacks Rank #2 at present.

ASE Technology shares have surged 145.1% year to date. ASE Technology is set to report its second-quarter 2026 results on July 30.

Fortive (FTV - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +2.82% and a Zacks Rank #2 at present.

Fortive shares have gained 9.8% in the year-to-date period. Fortive is set to report its second-quarter 2026 results on July 29.
2026-07-22 15:36 4d ago
2026-07-22 11:01 4d ago
Wall Street čeká růst zisku na akcii Fair Isaac
FICO Fair Isaac Corporation
FMP Stock News 72
Original source text
Wall Street expects a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when Fair Isaac (FICO - Free Report) reports results for the quarter ended June 2026. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.

The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on July 29. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.

While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise.

Zacks Consensus EstimateThis financial services company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $12.02 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +40.3%.

Revenues are expected to be $679.31 million, up 26.6% from the year-ago quarter.

Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.47% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.

Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts.

Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction).

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.

A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.

Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).

How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Fair Isaac?For Fair Isaac, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bearish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -0.04%.

On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3.

So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Fair Isaac will beat the consensus EPS estimate.

Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.

For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Fair Isaac would post earnings of $11.03 per share when it actually produced earnings of $12.50, delivering a surprise of +13.33%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates four times.

Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.

That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

Fair Isaac doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.

Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.