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Details	Date	Content	Source
	Saved 2026-09-08 09:43 1d ago Published 2026-09-08 05:32 1d ago	EUR/AUD: A Quiet RSI Signal Challenges the Downtrend EURAUD EUR/AUD	FMP Forex News
Original source text The euro enters this week’s ECB meeting (September 9–10) with genuine hawkish backing, having already been told by insiders that policymakers are prepared to raise rates again to counter the inflationary side-effects of the Middle East conflict, even as they signal little appetite for tightening beyond that. July’s hold at 2.25% came with Lagarde explicitly warning that renewed hostilities and the resulting oil price rebound pose upside risks to the inflation outlook, keeping the door firmly open to a move back to 2.50% this week. The Aussie, meanwhile, is riding one of its strongest stretches in months, hitting a fresh three-month high after Q2 GDP beat expectations at 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, reinforcing bets that the RBA could resume tightening this month. Markets now price a 50–58% chance of a September hike, with a November move seen as effectively locked in, while commodity strength and Australia’s growing role in the AI infrastructure boom add further structural support to the currency. The result: two hawkish central banks converging on rate decisions within days of each other, leaving EUR/AUD’s next move to hinge on whether Frankfurt or Canberra delivers the more convincing signal. Technical Analysis of EUR/AUD As the EUR/AUD chart shows, the pair has been trading within a steep descending trendline since mid-August’s highs near 1.6441, with price now testing the confluence of this trendline and the 0 Fibonacci level near 1.6086. Adding intrigue to the setup, the RSI is forming a bullish divergence, printing higher lows even as price carved a fresh low this week. Bullish Scenario Should buyers break above the descending trendline, the divergence would gain real technical credibility, opening the path towards the 0.382 retracement near 1.6222, with a stronger move potentially targeting the 0.5 level around 1.6264. Bearish Scenario Conversely, a continued rejection at the trendline would keep sellers in control, invalidating the divergence and exposing fresh lows below the 1.6086 level, with the broader downtrend from August’s highs remaining firmly intact. With price testing a fresh low right at the trendline while the RSI quietly hints at fading downside momentum, EUR/AUD looks poised for a decisive reaction. Will the ECB’s hawkish stance finally show up on the chart, or will the RBA’s own tightening momentum keep this downtrend alive? Trade over 50 forex markets 24 hours a day with FXOpen. Take advantage of low commissions, deep liquidity, and spreads from 0.0 pips (additional fees may apply). Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading forex with FXOpen. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. FXOpenhttps://www.fxopen.com/ FXOpen is a global Forex and CFD Broker, founded in 2005 by a group of traders. With over 16 years of experience, the company has gained an excellent reputation a major brokerage that continues to expand rapidly. The broker offers a choice of platforms, including the popular MT4 and MT5 platforms, with a wide range of trading instruments with spreads from 0.0 pips: 600+ FX, index, share, commodity and cryptocurrency CFDs. FXOpen also provides its own PAMM technology, allowing clients to benefit from the strategies of experienced traders with a proven track record of successful trading and guarantees automatic distribution of profit and loss between the strategy provider and the strategy followers. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money. PAMM is only available in certain jurisdictions. Cryptocurrency CFDs are not available to Retail clients at FXOpen UK.
	Saved 2026-08-19 15:13 21d ago Published 2026-08-19 11:06 21d ago	EURAUD Wave Analysis EURAUD EUR/AUD	FMP Forex News
Original source text EURAUD: ⬆️ Buy – EURAUD reversed from support zone – Likely to rise to resistance level 1.6500 EURAUD currency pair recently reversed up from the support zone between the support level 1.6260 (which has been reversing the price from July) and the support trendline of the daily Triangle from March. This support zone was strengthened by the lower daily Bollinger Band – which helped form the daily Bullish Engulfing. EURAUD currency pair can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 1.6500, which reversed the previous correction (2) at the end of July. FxProhttp://www.fxpro.co.uk/?ib=606792 FxPro is an award-winning online broker offering Contracts for Difference (CFDs) on forex, futures, spot indices, shares, spot metals and spot energies. FxPro serves clients in over 150 countries worldwide and offers multilingual customer support 24/5. Trading CFDs involves significant risk of loss.
	Saved 2026-08-11 11:39 29d ago Published 2026-08-11 07:25 29d ago	EUR/AUD: Two Central Banks on Hold, One Triangle About to Break EURAUD EUR/AUD	FMP Forex News
Original source text Overnight, the RBA held its cash rate steady at 4.35%, as widely expected after June’s inflation data came in softer than forecast at 3.8% headline. Yet the accompanying statement struck a notably cautious tone, warning that trimmed mean inflation remains elevated and largely unchanged from the March quarter, with oil and related commodities still trading above pre-conflict levels due to the ongoing Middle East crisis. With 55% of economists still expecting at least one further hike in 2026, the door to additional tightening remains firmly open. The euro, meanwhile, holds a cautiously bullish tone after climbing to a seven-week high near $1.155 against the dollar. Eurozone Q2 growth of 0.4% offered support, though weaker retail activity and mixed inflation signals keep the ECB’s own path uncertain, with policymakers maintaining a deliberately cautious stance ahead of their September 15-16 meeting and giving no firm commitment to further hikes. The result: two central banks in genuine holding patterns, each leaving the door open to more tightening while waiting for clearer data to justify the next move. Technical Analysis of EUR/AUD As EUR/AUD chart shows, the pair staged a strong rally from July’s lows near 1.6243, a move that followed a bullish RSI divergence, where price carved a lower low while the RSI printed a higher low. Since topping near 1.6500 in late July, price has been compressing into a symmetrical triangle, with a descending trendline and an ascending trendline converging right around the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci zone near 1.6342-1.6372. Bullish Scenario Should buyers defend the ascending trendline and break above the descending one, the path would open toward the 0.382 retracement near 1.6402, with a stronger move potentially targeting a retest of the 1.6500 highs if momentum builds. Bearish Scenario Conversely, a break below the ascending trendline and the 0.618 retracement near 1.6341 would expose the 0.786 level near 1.6298, with a deeper slide risking a retest of the 1.6243 low that anchored the entire July rally. With price coiled right at the apex of this triangle, and the RSI sitting in neutral territory after cooling from its earlier divergence, EUR/AUD looks poised for a decisive break—will the euro extend its late-July strength, or does the Aussie reclaim the upper hand? Trade over 50 forex markets 24 hours a day with FXOpen. Take advantage of low commissions, deep liquidity, and spreads from 0.0 pips (additional fees may apply). Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading forex with FXOpen. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. FXOpenhttps://www.fxopen.com/ FXOpen is a global Forex and CFD Broker, founded in 2005 by a group of traders. With over 16 years of experience, the company has gained an excellent reputation a major brokerage that continues to expand rapidly. The broker offers a choice of platforms, including the popular MT4 and MT5 platforms, with a wide range of trading instruments with spreads from 0.0 pips: 600+ FX, index, share, commodity and cryptocurrency CFDs. FXOpen also provides its own PAMM technology, allowing clients to benefit from the strategies of experienced traders with a proven track record of successful trading and guarantees automatic distribution of profit and loss between the strategy provider and the strategy followers. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money. PAMM is only available in certain jurisdictions. Cryptocurrency CFDs are not available to Retail clients at FXOpen UK.
	Saved 2026-08-11 00:54 29d ago Published 2026-08-10 20:46 29d ago	EUR/AUD, GBP/AUD face growing Aussie tailwinds EURAUD EUR/AUD GBPAUD GBP/AUD	FMP Forex News
Original source text Softer inflation lowers urgency for immediate RBA hike Markets still favour one more hike this cycle Renewed energy price strength delivers Aussie terms-of-trade tailwind EUR/AUD and GBP/AUD trade setups in focus A likely hawkish hold from the RBA and renewed geopolitical tensions in the Gulf driving energy prices higher have swung the fundamental backdrop in favour of the Aussie relative to the European crosses. Inflation undershoots, unemployment overshoots The RBA clearly thought there was more momentum in the economy in May than what eventually showed up in the data. It overestimated the inflationary pulse and underestimated the increase in unemployment, with both headline and trimmed mean inflation undershooting its May forecasts while unemployment overshot. Source: FOREX.com At face value, that suggests the path towards getting inflation back to acceptable levels may be a little more advanced than the Bank thought three months ago. But inflation is still too high, which is why the risk of another hike has not been completely snuffed out. Markets push tightening risk further out Source: TradingView, FOREX.com While there is little probability attached to a hike today, making this meeting look very much like a placeholder with a hawkish hold, go further out the curve and the risk of tightening is still there. By November, when the next set of forecasts after today will be released, markets are basically at a coin flip on another hike. That lifts to 82% by February next year. So while the amount of tightening priced by traders has been pared back relative to what underpinned the RBA’s May forecasts, the market still thinks there is a decent chance the Bank will need to go again this cycle. Source: FOREX.com The question is what that means for the RBA’s updated forecasts for GDP growth, unemployment and inflation released today. My suspicion is that the slight unwind in hawkish pricing will not have a particularly meaningful impact, with outcomes similar to those forecast in May. Source: FOREX.com Spending resilience meets housing weakness One area where the Bank’s language may be upgraded is household spending. At the June meeting, the RBA said it was “slowing as expected”, but recent data has been quite strong, particularly in discretionary areas, questioning whether that view is still warranted. However, that potential upgrade could be offset by the housing market, where the decline in house prices has accelerated and broadened since the Bank met six weeks ago. What had been weakness in some capital cities is now more widespread, potentially becoming a larger drag on household demand. Given the data trend and potential statement tweaks, it’s very likely the RBA will retain the guidance used in July that it “will do what it considers necessary to achieve that outcome, including increasing the cash rate target further if required.” That basically gives the Bank room to sit comfortably for now while keeping the tightening option firmly on the table. Terms of trade tailwinds favour the Aussie When it’s all said and done, I expect the RBA will be aiming to keep market pricing relatively unchanged, avoiding an unnecessary loosening in financial conditions that would make the task of reducing inflationary pressures more difficult. That points to the Aussie dollar continuing to be underpinned by hawkish rate expectations. And when it comes to the European crosses, the Aussie also has the advantage of being a major energy exporter, meaning higher energy prices due to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Gulf deliver a positive terms-of-trade shock, the exact opposite of what we see in Europe. When you throw energy insecurity into the mix, it points to tailwinds building for the Aussie relative to the European crosses. EUR/AUD bears eye 1.6340 break Source: TradingView EUR/AUD looks heavy on the charts, sitting just above support at 1.6340. If the pair breaks beneath 1.6340 support and holds there, shorts could be set with a tight stop above the level for protection, targeting 1.6260, where the pair bottomed in July. Beyond that, a break of 1.6260 would open the door for a retest of 1.6130, where the price has bottomed and bounced on multiple occasions going back several years. The message from the oscillators at this point is neutral. RSI (14) has been setting sequentially lower highs and now sits marginally below the neutral 50 level. MACD has also turned negative and is on the cusp of a bearish crossover. But neither indicator is providing a strong steer, placing more emphasis on price action. GBP/AUD squeeze risk builds near 1.9150 Source: TradingView While the fundamental backdrop favours downside for GBP/AUD, the price action warns of a potential squeeze and near-term topside break ahead of the RBA. The level in focus today is 1.9150, which has repeatedly acted as support and resistance in recent weeks. The pair is now squeezing up against that level while remaining within the broader uptrend running from the low set in late May. With an engulfing candle printing on Monday, a clean break above 1.9150 could put the August 3 high at 1.9260 in play. Beyond that, resistance sits at 1.9350, with the 200-day simple moving average around 1.9370 and the March swing high at 1.9400 just above. If the pair breaks cleanly above 1.9150, longs could be set with a tight stop beneath the level for protection, targeting those upside levels. Alternatively, if 1.9150 continues to cap gains, as has been the case over recent sessions, shorts could be set with a tight stop above the level, targeting a retest of the May uptrend, followed by 1.9004, the swing low set on July 28. Beyond that, 1.8945 comes into focus, having acted as resistance earlier this year. Mirroring EUR/AUD, the oscillators are neutral for GBP/AUD. RSI (14) sits just above 50, while MACD is running parallel to the signal line around breakeven, placing more emphasis on price action for guidance.