Ethereum has extended its recovery over the past several sessions, breaking above its recent consolidation range and approaching a major confluence resistance area. The rally has improved short-term sentiment, but the market is now testing a zone that could determine whether this move develops into a broader trend reversal or remains a relief rally within the prevailing downtrend.
Ethereum Price Analysis: The Daily Chart Ethereum continues to recover from the $1.46K-$1.53K demand zone, where buyers once again stepped in after defending the June lows. The rebound has now carried price toward the descending trendline that has capped every major rally since the May peak.
The recent advance has also reclaimed the $1.70K area, placing ETH just below the next key resistance cluster around $1.82K-$1.86K. This region is particularly important because it aligns with the long-term descending trendline, creating a significant technical confluence.
Momentum has improved considerably. The previously discussed bullish RSI divergence has continued to play out, with the indicator making higher highs while price has recovered sharply from support. This suggests bearish momentum has weakened substantially compared to previous sell-offs.
Nevertheless, the broader trend cannot be considered bullish until Ethereum breaks above the descending trendline and reclaims the higher resistance band. A rejection from this area would preserve the sequence of lower highs that has defined the market for the past several months.
Source: TradingView ETH/USDT 4-Hour Chart The 4-hour chart shows that Ethereum has successfully broken above its short-term consolidation and reached the first resistance zone around $1.70K-$1.74K. Buyers have maintained strong momentum following the breakout from the lower range, allowing the price to approach the upper boundary of the descending structure.
Price is now trading just beneath the falling trendline that has repeatedly rejected previous recovery attempts. A decisive breakout above this trendline would represent the first meaningful structural improvement since the broader decline began and could open the door for a move toward the $1.82K-$1.86K resistance area.
As long as Ethereum remains above the recently reclaimed $1.70K region, buyers retain short-term control. However, failure to overcome the descending trendline could trigger another rejection, sending price back toward lower support levels and extending the broader corrective structure.
Source: TradingView Sentiment Analysis The one-month liquidation heatmap highlights a significant concentration of leveraged positions above the current market price, particularly within the $2K-$2.2K region.
These overhead liquidity clusters could act as a magnet for price in the coming sessions. If Ethereum successfully clears the descending trendline and continues its recovery, the market may accelerate toward this area as short liquidations fuel additional upside momentum.
However, the reaction after such a liquidity sweep may prove even more important than the rally itself. Once the $2K-$2.2K liquidity has been absorbed, the market will likely reveal whether buyers have accumulated enough strength to establish a sustainable bullish trend or whether the move was primarily a liquidity-driven squeeze.
If bullish momentum remains strong after clearing the overhead liquidity, Ethereum could enter a broader recovery phase. Conversely, failure to hold above that region would increase the probability of another significant decline, with price potentially rotating lower to target the sizeable liquidity clusters that remain beneath the current market. Such a sequence would fit the market’s tendency to move between major pools of leveraged liquidity before establishing its next directional trend.
We will also review the landscape around the Ethereum ETFs in this article.
The last trading day of the previous business week finally brought some more net inflows rather than consistent outflows for the spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States.
The products tracking the world’s largest altcoin had even more to celebrate at the end of the week, but still closed in the red.
The Good and the Bad: BTC ETF Edition There’s no need to sugarcoat the end result – the week was still dominated by the bears. Investors pulling out funds from the spot Bitcoin ETFs withdrew $526.64 million throughout the four-day trading week. This means that the overall negative streak continues as the products have not seen a single green week in almost two months.
Within this timeframe, the total cumulative flows have dumped from $59.34 billion to $51.08 billion. July 1 saw the most daily withdrawals, with $294.62 million leaving the funds, according to SoSoValue data. Another $222.64 million went out on June 30 and $231.10 million on June 29. That’s all on the negative side.
The bright side was July 2. After 10 consecutive days of only net inflows, the streak was broken as investors poured in $221.72 million. Moreover, this was the highest single-day inflow recorded since May 5. Friday was a non-trading day due to the July 4 holiday, meaning that the week ended on a more positive note.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs Net Flows. Source: SoSoValue Ethereum ETF Edition The daily performance of the financial vehicles tracking ETH was even more promising. The Ethereum ETFs saw more modest $30.04 million withdrawals on June 29 and $27.60 million on June 30. However, the tides turned during the next two business days.
Investors poured in $14.89 million on Wednesday and $29.08 million on Thursday, marking a near-monthly high. Nevertheless, the week still ended in the red, with total net outflows of $13.67 million. As such, the negative streak of the Ethereum ETFs continues, with eight straight weeks in the red. The total cumulative flows are down from $12.09 billion in early May to $10.89 billion on Thursday.
You may also like: The Vanishing Bitcoin Bid: Where Are the ETF Billions Going? Bitcoin and Gold Are Bleeding – So Where Is the Money Going? XRP and HYPE Keep Winning the ETF Race as SOL Joins BTC and ETH On the more positive side, though, it was a lot less harmful than the $273.34 million taken out during the previous business week.
Ethereum has clawed its way back into the global top 100 assets by market capitalization, ranking somewhere between 93rd and 95th with a market cap of roughly $215 billion to $216 billion. The token is trading near $1,785 to $1,793 as of early July 2026, a meaningful recovery from a market cap that hovered around $192 billion to $197 billion just weeks ago in late June.
Ethereum now sits in the same neighborhood as SoftBank and Shell on the global asset leaderboard.
The climb back This isn’t Ethereum’s first time at this altitude. ETH originally broke into the top 100 global assets back in January 2021, when its market cap hit approximately $132 billion and it landed at rank 97.
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The latest re-entry was flagged in a June 19, 2026, report noting that both Bitcoin and Ethereum had rejoined the top 100 assets by market cap. Bitcoin, for its part, is comfortably sitting much higher on the list, around rank 15.
With roughly 120.68 million ETH tokens in circulation as of July 3 to 4, 2026, Ethereum remains firmly the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap.
What drove the recovery The jump from a market cap in the $192 billion to $197 billion range in late June to $215 billion to $216 billion in early July represents a roughly 10% increase in a matter of weeks.
No single protocol-level development appears to have triggered this particular rally. Instead, it looks like the broader crypto market experienced a general uplift that carried both Bitcoin and Ethereum higher.
What this means for investors Ethereum’s return to the top 100 is more than a vanity metric. It puts ETH back on the radar of institutional allocators who use asset rankings as a screening tool. Many large funds have internal mandates that restrict them to assets above certain market cap thresholds or within certain global rankings.
Ethereum still processes the lion’s share of decentralized finance activity and remains the default settlement layer for most serious DeFi protocols.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Micron Technology has done something that most semiconductor stocks only dream about. The memory chipmaker’s shares have climbed nearly 700% over the trailing twelve months, blowing past $600 in May 2026 before surging north of $1,000 following a blockbuster third-quarter earnings report in late June. The company’s market cap crossed $700B for the first time, placing it firmly among the most valuable chip companies on the planet.
Here’s where it gets interesting for crypto. A tokenized version of Micron stock, called MUon (Micron Technology Tokenized Stock via Ondo), now trades on Ethereum, giving digital asset traders direct price exposure to one of the hottest AI plays in public markets.
The AI memory boom driving Micron’s run The engine behind Micron’s rally is high-bandwidth memory, or HBM. Nvidia’s GPUs, AMD’s accelerators, and custom AI silicon all require enormous amounts of fast memory, and Micron has positioned itself as a key supplier.
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Following its Q3 FY2026 earnings, Micron reported that its entire 2026 HBM production is fully sold out.
The last time Micron executed a stock split was May 2, 2000, a 2-for-1 split. With shares now trading above $1,000, speculation about a new split has intensified. Management hasn’t confirmed any plans, but the math is hard to ignore. A four-figure share price creates friction for retail investors who prefer to buy whole shares rather than fractional ones.
Tokenized Micron stock brings TradFi to DeFi While Wall Street debates split timing, crypto markets have already found their own solution to Micron’s accessibility problem. MUon, the tokenized version of Micron stock created through Ondo’s infrastructure, trades on Ethereum and tracks the underlying share price.
Ondo Finance has been one of the most aggressive players in the tokenized securities space, building infrastructure that bridges regulated financial products with blockchain-based settlement.
What this means for investors For traditional equity investors, the sold-out HBM production suggests demand isn’t slowing. The real signal to watch is whether Micron can sustain its HBM pricing power as Samsung and SK Hynix ramp competing products.
The risk, as always with tokenized real-world assets, lives in the gap between the on-chain token and its off-chain backing. Counterparty risk, custody arrangements, and redemption mechanics all matter enormously when the underlying asset is moving 700% in a year.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Ethereum, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, rallied on Saturday amid renewed buying interest and strengthening technical signals. After a prolonged period of declines, Ethereum showed signs of recovery, sparking investor interest in whether it can surpass a key resistance level in July.
Price Approaches Critical ThresholdAt press time, ETH was trading at $1,786.41, marking a 3.19% gain over the previous 24 hours. Trading volume for the day reached $15.08 billion, and Ethereum’s total market capitalization was estimated at approximately $215.30 billion.
In an analysis released on July 4, 2026, More Crypto Online highlighted that Ethereum’s price was approaching its first major resistance level. According to the analyst, while market structure signals continued weakness in the medium to long term, there is potential for a notable second wave of price response within July.
More Crypto Online stated that Ethereum is nearing its first significant resistance zone. Despite lingering pressure in the mid to long term, the possibility of a strong rebound remains on the table for July.
This assessment suggests that, although Ethereum’s broader outlook remains under pressure, there is room for upward movement over the short term. Similar price behaviors have previously emerged in response to sharp selloffs, with buyers stepping in to fuel quick rebounds.
Technical Indicators Signal Strengthening MomentumOn the technical front, Bollinger Bands show that ETH has crossed above its middle band, which currently sits at $1,676.03. Meanwhile, the upper band stands at $1,836.77 and the lower band at $1,515.30. Holding above the middle band typically indicates growing buyer strength, although prices moving close to the upper band could trigger renewed selling pressure.
Mini glossary: Bollinger Bands are a technical indicator used to track volatility and possible support-resistance zones. The MACD measures the relationship between short- and medium-term momentum to generate trend change signals.
The MACD indicator also pointed toward a shift into positive territory. The MACD line rose to minus 32.27, with the signal line remaining at minus 60.80. Additionally, the histogram climbed to 28.52, reflecting strengthened upward momentum for ETH.
Potential for Acceleration if Resistance Is BrokenMaintaining its current trajectory, Ethereum could test new short-term highs in the days ahead. However, the next few trading sessions will be critical in determining whether the rally continues or ETH faces renewed selling pressure near the resistance zone.
If buyers manage to break above the resistance level with strong trading volume, the recovery could gather further support. Conversely, a failure to breach resistance may see ETH entering another period of consolidation. While current indicators suggest a strengthening short-term outlook, confirmation of a broader trend reversal will require Ethereum to sustain moves above these key resistance levels.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
As confidence gradually returns to the cryptocurrency market, one question continues to dominate investor conversations: what is the best crypto to buy now? For some, the answer lies in established blockchain giants like Ethereum or XRP, two projects that have spent years building their ecosystems and communities. For others, the biggest opportunities are often found much earlier, before a project reaches exchanges and the wider market begins paying attention.
That shift in mindset has placed crypto presales back in the spotlight.
While blue-chip cryptocurrencies continue to attract long-term investors, many market participants are once again researching emerging projects that offer something established assets simply can’t: the opportunity to invest at the earliest possible stage. Among the projects attracting increasing attention is IceBull, an Ethereum-based meme coin that has officially launched Stage 1 of its crypto presale.
Rather than competing directly with Ethereum or XRP, IceBull offers investors a different opportunity altogether, participating while the project is still in its earliest growth phase.
Ethereum Continues to Set the Standard for Blockchain Innovation Table of Contents
Ethereum Continues to Set the Standard for Blockchain InnovationXRP Remains One of Crypto’s Most Recognisable Payment NetworksIceBull Offers Something DifferentWhy Crypto Presales Continue Attracting AttentionIceBull, Ethereum and XRP ComparedWhy Timing MattersFinal ThoughtsFor More Information:Frequently Asked QuestionsWhat is the best crypto to buy now?Is IceBull live?Why are investors watching IceBull?How can I join the IceBull Crypto Presale?Disclaimer Few cryptocurrencies have influenced the industry as much as Ethereum. Since introducing smart contracts, Ethereum has become the foundation for decentralised finance, NFTs, blockchain gaming and thousands of Web3 applications. Millions of users interact with Ethereum every day, making it one of the most widely adopted blockchain ecosystems in the world.
Its transition to Proof-of-Stake also transformed the network, allowing holders to stake ETH while significantly reducing energy consumption. For investors seeking long-term exposure to blockchain technology, Ethereum remains one of the strongest and most established assets available.
However, its maturity also means many investors now complement their portfolios with smaller projects that may offer greater upside if they successfully execute their roadmaps.
XRP Remains One of Crypto’s Most Recognisable Payment Networks XRP has built its reputation around one core objective: making international payments faster and more efficient.
Over the years, it has remained among the cryptocurrency market’s largest digital assets despite periods of regulatory uncertainty. Its transaction speed, relatively low fees and established global community continue attracting investors looking for exposure to payment-focused blockchain technology.
As institutional interest in digital assets continues evolving, XRP remains firmly on many investors’ watchlists.
Like Ethereum, however, XRP is already a mature project. While it continues developing, much of today’s attention is centred around adoption, regulation and ecosystem growth rather than early-stage discovery.
IceBull Offers Something Different Unlike Ethereum and XRP, IceBull isn’t trying to replace existing blockchain infrastructure. Instead, it’s building an Ethereum-based community token centred around transparency, participation and long-term growth.
With IceBull Crypto Presale now officially live, investors can participate in Stage 1, where the lowest presale pricing is currently available before prices increase throughout the remaining stages.
The project features a structured 16-stage presale, allowing token pricing to gradually increase as demand grows while giving participants complete visibility throughout the fundraising campaign.
Alongside its Ethereum foundation, IceBull also offers:
Audited smart contracts Team allocation vesting Up to 80% APY staking Community-driven development 10% referral rewards for both referrer and buyer on qualifying purchases Transparent tokenomics For investors looking beyond established cryptocurrencies, Stage 1 provides the earliest opportunity to join the project before future presale price increases and exchange listings.
Why Crypto Presales Continue Attracting Attention Presales have always occupied a unique position within the cryptocurrency market. Rather than buying after public trading begins, participants can evaluate a project while it’s still in its earliest phase. That doesn’t eliminate risk, but it does create opportunities that no longer exist once a token reaches exchanges.
Experienced crypto investors typically focus on several key areas before considering any presale:
Transparent token supply Clearly explained tokenomics Realistic roadmap Community engagement Smart contract security Long-term development plans Projects that communicate these fundamentals clearly often inspire greater confidence than those relying purely on marketing.
With IceBull Crypto Presale now live, investors can purchase tokens directly through the official website during Stage 1. As the presale progresses through each stage, token prices increase according to the published pricing schedule, rewarding those who participate early.
Feature IceBull Ethereum XRP Current Status Stage 1 Presale Live Live Live Blockchain Ethereum Ethereum XRP Ledger Exchange Listed No Yes Yes Entry Stage Stage 1 Presale Established Established Smart Contract Platform ERC-20 Native Native Community Focus High High High Staking Up to 80% APY Available Limited Each project appeals to a different type of investor. Ethereum continues driving innovation across decentralised applications. XRP focuses on improving digital payments and financial infrastructure. IceBull, meanwhile, is aimed at investors looking to discover projects while they remain in the earliest stages of development.
Why Timing Matters One of the biggest differences between established cryptocurrencies and crypto presales is timing. Ethereum and XRP are both available on major exchanges today. IceBull Crypto Presale, however, is currently in Stage 1, giving early participants access before future presale price increases and the project’s planned exchange listings.
For investors who enjoy identifying opportunities early, Stage 1 represents the earliest public entry point currently available. As with any cryptocurrency investment, carrying out independent research and understanding a project’s roadmap and tokenomics remains essential.
Final Thoughts There is no single answer to the question of the best crypto to buy now because every investor has different goals and risk tolerance. Ethereum continues to lead the smart contract ecosystem with one of the strongest developer communities in blockchain. XRP remains a significant player within digital payments and cross-border settlement.
Meanwhile, IceBull offers something different. With IceBull Crypto Presale now live in Stage 1, investors have the opportunity to participate while the project remains in its earliest phase. Featuring a structured 16-stage presale, audited smart contracts, staking rewards, referral incentives and an Ethereum foundation, IceBull is becoming one of the emerging crypto projects many investors are watching as the next market cycle approaches.
For More Information: Website: https://www.icebull.com/
Telegram: https://t.me/IceBullCoin
X: https://x.com/IceBullCoin
Frequently Asked Questions What is the best crypto to buy now? The best crypto to buy now depends on your investment strategy. Some investors prefer established assets like Ethereum or XRP, while others are exploring early-stage opportunities such as IceBull Crypto Presale, which is currently live in Stage 1.
Is IceBull live? Yes. IceBull is now live, and Stage 1 of the crypto presale is officially open. Investors can participate through the official website.
Why are investors watching IceBull? IceBull combines a structured 16-stage presale, audited smart contracts, up to 80% APY staking, referral rewards, Ethereum-based infrastructure and a community-first approach, making it one of the emerging crypto projects attracting early attention.
How can I join the IceBull Crypto Presale? You can participate by visiting the official IceBull Crypto Presale, connecting a supported wallet and purchasing during Stage 1 before future presale price increases.
Disclaimer This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments involve risk, and readers should always conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.
Disclaimer: This is a Press Release provided by a third party who is responsible for the content. Please conduct your own research before taking any action based on the content.
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs posted a cumulative net outflow of roughly $527 million over the four trading days ending July 2, marking their eighth consecutive week of net outflows and setting the longest weekly outflow streak since the product category launched. While the sector recorded a single-day net inflow of $221.72 million on July 2, ending a prior streak of 10 consecutive trading days with total outflows of around $2.71 billion, the overall weekly outflow trend remained unreversed. Among the products, Fidelity’s FBTC saw a single-day net inflow of $165.96 million, while ARKB (from ARK and 21Shares) posted a net inflow of $91.84 million. In contrast, BlackRock’s IBIT logged a net outflow of $40.43 million that day, marking its 11th consecutive trading day of redemptions, with total outflows reaching roughly $2.2 billion. Separately, U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a weekly net outflow of $13.67 million for the week ending July 2, extending their streak of weekly net outflows to eight consecutive weeks and matching the all-time longest outflow streak. However, the sector has posted net inflows for two consecutive trading days, with BlackRock’s ETHA notching a $29.74 million net inflow on July 2. Meanwhile, U.S. Hyperliquid ETFs saw a weekly net inflow of $4.32 million, the lowest single-week inflow since their launch in mid-May, a sharp slowdown from the prior week’s record $111.36 million net inflow.
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Vitalik: Ethereum to enter 'Lean Ethereum' phase, core protocol may undergo full overhaul in the next 3–4 years
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Not financial or tax advice. PANews content is strictly educational and informational and is not investment advice, financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any digital asset, security, or financial product. Do your own research and consult qualified advisers.
Disclosure. PANews may publish sponsored content, partner content, advertisements, affiliate links, event promotions, and market commentary involving Web3 projects, service providers, or financial products. PANews personnel, contributors, or affiliates may hold digital assets or other interests related to covered topics. See our Terms of Service.
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16 minutes ago
US national debt has hit $39 trillion, sparking long-term concerns, with analysts warning the risk of an unsustainable fiscal path is rising.
The size of U.S. national debt has risen to around $39 trillion, with public debt equivalent to the total U.S. GDP. Annual interest payments have reached roughly $1 trillion, exceeding the defense budget. The U.S. Treasury system traces its origins to the debt consolidation reform promoted by Alexander Hamilton in 1790, when the federal government assumed the war debts of individual states and promised full repayment, thereby establishing the U.S. credit system and laying the foundation for the global status of the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasuries. Today, U.S. Treasuries are regarded as one of the core assets of the global financial system, underpinning the reserve currency status of the U.S. dollar and widely held by central banks and financial institutions worldwide. However, as the debt scale continues to expand, market concerns about its long-term sustainability have intensified. According to calculations from the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton Budget Model (PWBM), when the debt-to-GDP ratio exceeds around 210%, the fiscal system may face unsustainability risks. Currently, the U.S. ratio stands at roughly 100%, and the U.S. Congressional Budget Office projects it could rise to 175% by 2056. Analysts note that in scenarios of rising healthcare spending and persistent fiscal deficits, this risk threshold could be reached earlier, and the long-term stability of the debt structure is facing more stringent market and policy tests.
16 minutes ago
Iran’s new supreme leader remains unaccounted for, as Tehran continues to hold mourning events for Khamenei.
According to CNN, mourning events for late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei are ongoing in Tehran and multiple Iranian cities, drawing an estimated millions of participants, and will run through July 9. Meanwhile, the international community is uncertain about his successor. Reports indicate his son Mojtaba Khamenei has not made a public appearance, sparking concerns over the power transition and actual governance. Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has also warned of security threats targeting the country in the coming days. On the regional front, abnormal shipping activity has been observed in the Strait of Hormuz, with multiple vessels turning back while attempting to transit, and the situation remains uncertain. Separately, U.S. President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu have held a phone call and agreed to meet in the U.S. soon, with outside attention focused on further coordination between the two countries amid tensions with Iran.
16 minutes ago
Bitcoin broke through $63,000 this morning, erasing all losses from the end of June, with XRP leading gains among major cryptocurrencies.
Bitcoin rose above $63,000 earlier today for the first time in two weeks, up roughly 3.6% from last week and nearly erasing losses from late June. The rally unfolded during thin trading volume for the U.S. Independence Day holiday, with low liquidity widely seen as amplifying short-term volatility. Among major cryptocurrencies, XRP gained 5.3% to reach $1.18, notching a nearly 10% weekly rise and lifting its market cap to around $73 billion, overtaking USDC to become the fifth-largest crypto asset. On-chain data shows XRP holders’ average losses have hit an extreme historical level, leading some traders to view this as a sentiment reversal signal. Ether (ETH) climbed 3.2% to approximately $1,793, with a weekly gain of ~11.5%; Dogecoin (DOGE) rose 2.6%; Solana (SOL) added around 13.2% week-over-week, extending the broader rebound trend. Analysts attribute the rally to Federal Reserve officials signaling easing inflation pressure, weaker non-farm payroll data, and short covering, with Bitcoin bouncing rapidly from below $60,000 to above $63,000. The market’s future trajectory will hinge on upcoming U.S. inflation data and the return of institutional liquidity after the holiday.
16 minutes ago
BTSE has launched cryptocurrency trading platform BTSE Indonesia in Indonesia.
Blockchain trading and payments firm BTSE Group recently launched cryptocurrency trading platform BTSE Indonesia in Jakarta via a joint venture with PT Aset Kripto Internasional, and completed the rebranding of local licensed platform NVX. It is understood that BTSE will provide trading infrastructure and liquidity support, while the local Indonesian team will handle marketing, business partnerships, sales, and user growth. BTSE Indonesia stated that it has received approval from Indonesia’s Financial Services Authority (OJK) to operate as a regulated digital financial asset trading platform. The license is also expected to support its future expansion into cryptocurrency futures and other businesses in compliance with local regulatory requirements. Official data shows that Indonesia’s cryptocurrency trading volume from January to November 2024 reached 556.5 trillion Indonesian rupiah (equivalent to approximately $31.2 billion), with registered cryptocurrency users hitting 22.11 million as of November 2024.
The crypto market likes to pretend it’s decentralized until the bluechip crypto’s start moving. Then suddenly everything dances to the same rhythm.
The data on CoinMarketCap shows that the top eight crypto assets by market capitalization: BTC, ETH, XRP, BNB, SOL, DOGE, TRX, and HYPE command a combined valuation of roughly $1.71 trillion. With the total crypto market sitting near $2.17 trillion, these assets effectively control the direction of the entire industry.
And two names still run the show. BTC accounts for 57.8% of the market while ETH holds another 9.8%, giving the pair overwhelming influence whenever either decides to move.
June Support Levels Became The Battleground For Bluechip Crypto’s Early June produced an important stress test across the bluechip crypto market. BTC established support near $59,249. DOGE found buyers around $0.078, BNB price stabilized near $557, XRP built a floor around $1.05, while SOL defended $60.
TRX held support at $0.31, HYPE protected the $52.99 region, and ETH built demand near $1,559. The interesting part came later.
Four Assets Refused To Break DownDuring late June, BTC, DOGE, BNB, and XRP slipped below those early support zones briefly, suggesting selling pressure remained dominant at that time.
But in SOL, TRX, HYPE, and ETH told a different story. Those assets held their June lows, indicating buyers were willing to absorb supply even while broader market sentiment remained shaky.
July Momentum Is Starting To SpreadWith BTC climbing roughly 9% over the past four days in early July, the rest of the bluechip complex has started responding.
If the rally continues, BTC could revisit $67,050 which is mid-June level, while DOGE may target $0.091, BNB $630, and XRP $1.30, which are also the peak of mid-June.
Meanwhile, SOL has already reclaimed levels above its mid-June high of near $75, potentially opening a path toward $98 now. TRX could look toward $0.37, HYPE toward $76 and potentially beyond $80, while ETH may aim for $2,395.
Additionally, rising 24-hour address activity across several of these networks since mid-June suggests user participation is beginning to improve alongside price action. For bluechip crypto assets, that combination tends to matter.
Story Ends Here
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Solana has lost 68% of its validators in three years, dropping from around 2,500 to about 800 after a purge launched in 2025. Joseph Chalom, co-CEO of Sharplink and former BlackRock executive, contrasts this decline with Ethereum’s over 900,000 validators. This battle of figures reignites the debate on the true decentralization of major blockchains. Will institutional investors decide in favor of robustness over speed?
In brief Joseph Chalom, co-CEO of Sharplink and former BlackRock executive, states that Ethereum’s 900,000 validators outperform Solana’s 800. Electric Capital counts 1,012,824 developers who have contributed to Ethereum, including 232,000 active over the past twelve months. Sharplink held 886,725 ETH at the end of June 2026, one of the largest corporate ether reserves. Why does Chalom oppose Ethereum and Solana validators? Joseph Chalom, co-CEO of Sharplink and former Head of Digital Asset Strategy at BlackRock, challenges the persistent idea of a cultural problem at Ethereum, a criticism circulating for several months in the crypto community.
He also contrasts the network’s more than 900,000 active validators with the roughly 800 still counted on Solana, a gap he considers decisive for the future of smart contracts.
This confrontation comes as Solana has just reinforced its on-chain governance with the Solana Governance Proposals, a mechanism that redistributes voting power between validators and token holders. However, Chalom believes this effort does not compensate for the erosion in the number of validators.
Electric Capital indeed counts more than one million cumulative contributors to Ethereum’s code since its creation, including about 232,000 who remained active over the past twelve months. On Solana, however, 92% of applications still run on a single software client, a concentration Chalom considers risky for network resilience in the event of a major bug.
What are the stakes for decentralization after Solana’s validator purge? Solana had about 2,500 validators three years ago before introducing a pruning process in 2025 aimed at removing inactive or poorly performing nodes. This choice thus reduced their number to about 800, a purge its supporters describe as a qualitative improvement.
Chalom recalls that his years at BlackRock showed him the large institutions’ constant preference for network neutrality and resistance to capture by a single actor. Sharplink also illustrates this conviction through its ether treasury strategy, raised to 886,725 ETH at the end of June, and its financial support to Ethlabs, a research center founded by former Ethereum Foundation members.
Yet a historical figure of the Ethereum Foundation acknowledged that the network still lacks a clear value proposition to convince new investors. Meanwhile, the Solana team defends a lighter and faster network, better suited, according to them, for high-frequency trading and applications aimed at the general public.
This numbers duel illustrates two opposing visions of decentralization, between robustness of numbers and operational lightness. Three factors will influence what follows: institutional appetite for Ethereum ETFs, the trajectory of Solana validators after its purge, and the growing role of tokenization. The standards battle is just beginning.
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Fenelon L.
Passionné par le Bitcoin, j'aime explorer les méandres de la blockchain et des cryptos et je partage mes découvertes avec la communauté. Mon rêve est de vivre dans un monde où la vie privée et la liberté financière sont garanties pour tous, et je crois fermement que Bitcoin est l'outil qui peut rendre cela possible.
DISCLAIMER
The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.
Bitcoin rebounded near $62,000 after recovering from last week's lows, supported by optimism over Federal Reserve policy. Ethereum and major altcoins also gained, though investors remain cautious amid inflation, geopolitical tensions, energy prices and mixed ETF investment flows.
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AgenciesBitcoin climbed toward $62,000 while Ethereum and major altcoins advanced as easing Fed expectations improved sentiment despite persistent macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties.
Bitcoin is trading close to the $62,000 mark, recovering from around $58,000 a week ago. Despite the rebound, investors remain cautious as inflation, Middle East geopolitical tensions, energy prices and ETF flows continue to shape market sentiment.
In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin was up 1.37% and Ethereum was up 2.30% to trade at $1,754 mark. Among the major altcoins, BNB, XRP, Solana, Tron, Hyperliquid, Dogecoin and Cardano gained upto 6.83%.
Also Read | Why is Parag Parikh Flexi Cap Fund still a top recommendation despite underperformance? Expert explains
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The global crypto market capitalisation was up 1.38% to $2.17 trillion, according to CoinMarketCap.
Nischal Shetty, Founder, WazirX said the prospect of a more accommodative Federal Reserve policy helped improve sentiment across risk assets, allowing Bitcoin to recover above the $60,000 mark, while Ethereum also benefited from renewed institutional interest as spot ETFs recorded fresh inflows.
Shetty further said that from a technical perspective, Bitcoin continues to hold the $60,000-$61,000 support zone, with $63,000-$64,000 emerging as the next key resistance. For Ethereum, traders are watching $1,650-$1,680 as immediate support, while $1,750-$1,800 remains the next major resistance area.
In the past week, Bitcoin and Ethereum were up 3.62% and 11.05%. Among the major altcoins, BNB, XRP, Solana, Tron, Hyperliquid, Dogecoin and Cardano rallied upto 19.16%.
Harish Vatnani, Head of Trade, ZebPay said Bitcoin rebounded after finding support at its recent double-bottom formation near $58,000 last week. Despite the recovery, the daily RSI remains below the 50 level, indicating that the broader momentum is still negative.
“Ethereum found support at its double-bottom formation near the $1,505 level and has rebounded sharply. The daily RSI has crossed above the 50 mark, reflecting improving bullish momentum”
Also Read | 11 equity mutual funds multiply lumpsum investments by 4x in 7 years. Do you own any in your portfolio?
Vatnani further said that Ethereum and Solana investment products continued to attract inflows, while Bitcoin ETFs recorded net outflows of more than $290 million, reflecting a shift in institutional investor sentiment.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
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Key Highlights Ethereum reached approximately $1,715 on July 3, posting gains exceeding 6% over a 24-hour period A seldom-seen monthly TD Sequential buy indication has emerged, previously appearing before significant price surges in 2022 and 2025 United States spot Ethereum ETFs registered $29.08 million in net positive flows on July 2, with BlackRock’s ETHA at the forefront Market observer Daan Crypto Trades identified $1,750 as a critical threshold, characterizing it as a crucial test for ETH’s ability to overcome its downward trajectory Binance ETH withdrawal activity reached a three-year peak, although positive exchange netflow continues to indicate potential selling pressure Ethereum successfully reclaimed the $1,700 mark on July 3, hovering around $1,715 following a robust rally that delivered over 6% gains within a single day. This upward movement returned ETH to a price point that market participants have been monitoring intently following several weeks of sustained downward pressure.
Ethereum (ETH) Price The resurgence coincided with renewed capital entering U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs. According to data from SoSoValue, these investment vehicles captured $29.08 million in aggregate net inflows on July 2. BlackRock’s ETHA product dominated the inflow activity with $29.74 million, whereas Grayscale’s ETHE experienced withdrawals totaling $2.75 million.
Market analyst Daan Crypto Trades shared his perspective on the price action through social channels. He observed that ETH had posted a 10% weekly gain and was challenging the February bottom around $1,750. He characterized this zone as an essential level for reclamation, stating it would “signal some strength.” He further explained that this identical area confirmed a structural breakdown in 2025, lending it historical significance. He acknowledged he held no firm conviction yet and was observing how price action unfolded around resistance at the session close.
$ETH Meanwhile pushing up 10% on the week and retesting that February low at ~$1750 again.
This is a key level to retake and would signal some strength to me. So the question now is whether this is just another lower high in this down trend or the start of something bigger. This… https://t.co/xVT7xRqAwV pic.twitter.com/20Fo4oBawE
— Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) July 3, 2026
Ethereum simultaneously generated a monthly TD Sequential buy indication — an uncommon technical occurrence. Market analyst Ali Charts suggested the signal reflects exhaustion among sellers on an extended timeframe. Historical monthly buy signals preceded rallies of 235% in 2022 and 182% in 2025. While the indicator doesn’t validate a fresh bullish trend, it has captured attention among technical market participants.
ETHEREUM: BULLISH REVERSAL SIGNAL
The month of July has officially kicked off with a massive technical signal. The Tom DeMark (TD) Sequential indicator has just printed a buy signal on Ethereum’s monthly chart.
While a lot of volatility can play out within a newly opened… https://t.co/LNkygeYlUV pic.twitter.com/U8t1iKl3Th
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) July 2, 2026
Technical Assessment The MACD histogram registers positively at 19.33, with the MACD line crossing above its signal counterpart. Nevertheless, both indicators remain positioned below the zero threshold, indicating the trend hasn’t completely inverted. The RSI advanced to approximately 51.85, climbing above its moving average of 38.12 and surpassing the neutral 50 benchmark.
Ethereum bounced from a double-bottom formation near $1,565. Immediate resistance is positioned at $1,800, with $2,000 representing the next major obstacle. A concentration of liquidity around $1,740–$1,750 sits just above the current trading range, potentially acting as a magnet for short-term price action.
Market commentator Crypto Patel highlighted that ETH just completed its inaugural streak of three consecutive red quarters since inception — an unprecedented occurrence in Ethereum’s trading history.
For the First Time Since Launch, $ETH Just Recorded Its First-Ever Three Straight Red Quarters.
A Rare Chapter in Ethereum's Market History. pic.twitter.com/IprrGHofjE
— Crypto Patel (@CryptoPatel) July 4, 2026
On-Chain Metrics and Derivatives Analysis Open interest expanded 10.64% to reach $24.54 billion, while ETH trading volume increased 14.48% to $44.74 billion. Funding rates jumped 113.86%, demonstrating that leveraged long positions proliferated throughout the rally.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost documented that Binance ETH withdrawal transactions achieved their highest count in three years, exceeding 166,000 within a 24-hour window. Concurrently, analyst PelinayPA observed that Binance ETH exchange netflow remained positive at +12,938 ETH, indicating more ETH deposits than withdrawals from the platform.
Institutional participation persisted. BitMine maintains holdings exceeding 5.7 million ETH following an acquisition of 27,084 ETH. SharpLink secured an additional 10,000 ETH valued at $16.1 million during the recent price decline.
The crypto market had an eventful week between June 29 and July 3, with Bitcoin reclaiming $62,000 while Ethereum moved to $1,700. The meme coin market cap also moved from $22 billion on June 29 to $26 billion on July 4.
Amid these gains, four events stood out that caused volatile price movements not only for crypto prices but also for crypto stocks like Strategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) and Circle (NYSE: CRCL).
Strategy Unveils a $1.25B BTC Monetization Plan as MSTR Price Soars Strategy released a statement on June 29 saying that the company might sell $1.25 billion worth of Bitcoin to fund its USD reserve.
The Bitcoin treasury firm also says that part of the money that comes from selling Bitcoin would go towards buying back STRC and MSTR stocks.
This plan by Strategy to monetize $1.25 billion worth of Bitcoin saw the price of MSTR stock price move from $85 on June 29 to close trading at $100 on July 2.
MSTR Stock Price The STRC stock price that had caused concerns across the crypto market for crashing to $71 on June 26 also gained by 22% to close trading at $87 on July 2.
Strategy did not buy any Bitcoin in the week between June 29 and July 3. However, data from SaylorTracker shows that the company still holds 847,363 BTC.
Trump Reveals $1.4B in Crypto Market Earnings as Concerns Emerge President Donald Trump disclosed on July 1 that he made $1.4 billion in profits from the crypto market in 2025.
Trump also generated $635 million from the royalties paid out to him for launching the TRUMP meme coin in January 2025.
This financial disclosure raises concerns that the SEC might crack down on meme coin issuers, causing spot DOGE ETFs to post $871,000 in outflows on June 2.
Trump’s disclosure has also made the odds of the CLARITY Act passing in 2026 drop to 40% on Kalshi as Senator Elizabeth Warren says that President Trump and his family need to stop benefiting from crypto.
However, Trump maintains that he did not do anything illegal because he has other people who make investments on his behalf.
MiCA Crypto Market Laws Go Live, Locking Out Many Crypto Firms Crypto companies operating in the EU were required to comply with the Markets in Crypto Assets (MiCA) guidelines on July 1, and the Financial Times reported that only 12% of these companies managed to comply before the deadline.
Binance had already urged its users in the EU to take funds out of the exchange after failing to get a MiCA license in Greece.
Coinbase and OKX, which have already received the MiCA license, scrambled to take over the users who were left in limbo after the exit of Binance and offered transfer bonuses of between 5% and 8%.
The ripple effects from the MiCA laws going into effect might continue long past the July 1 deadline, as European fintech giant Revolut says it will delist the USDT stablecoin from its platform on August 1 after Tether’s failure to comply with MiCA.
OUSD Stablecoin Launch Raises Concerns Open Standard announced the launch of the OUSD stablecoin on June 30, saying firms like BlackRock, Ripple, and Coinbase are backing the stablecoin.
The launch sparked competition fears around Circle’s USDC stablecoin, and the price of CRCL stock dropped from $73 to $62 on June 30 when OUSD launched.
CRCL Stock Price However, questions have emerged about OUSD having 140 partners after Samsung and Dunamu said that they are partners despite initial claims.
Ethereum surged above $1,700 on July 3, trading close to $1,715 after a rise of more than 6% in the past 24 hours. The move marked a notable recovery from recent downward pressure and brought the cryptocurrency back into the spotlight at a closely watched technical level.
Spot ETF inflows and a critical price thresholdAlongside Ethereum’s climb, US spot Ethereum ETFs saw a sharp uptick in inflows. Data from SoSoValue showed a total net inflow of $29.08 million into these ETFs on July 2. BlackRock’s ETHA fund accounted for the bulk of this movement with $29.74 million in net inflows, while Grayscale’s ETHE fund recorded $2.75 million in net outflows on the same day.
Market analyst Daan Crypto Trades noted that Ethereum jumped 10% on a weekly basis, retesting the $1,750 level that marked the February lows. According to the analyst, holding above this level signals a strengthening price structure and points to a key technical threshold for the asset.
Daan Crypto Trades highlighted that reclaiming the $1,750 zone could be seen as a sign of strength, though he indicated he would keep watching the price action around resistance as the close approached.
Rare technical indicator flashes buy signalA TD Sequential buy signal also appeared on Ethereum’s monthly chart, grabbing market attention due to its infrequency. Technical analyst Ali Charts commented that this signal, while rare, could mean sellers are becoming exhausted on longer time frames.
Mini glossary: The TD Sequential is a technical indicator developed by Tom DeMark, designed to identify points where a market trend may be weakening and potential reversal zones may emerge. It does not, however, confirm a trend reversal on its own.
Historical data shows that previous monthly TD Sequential buy signals have preceded rallies of 235% in 2022 and 182% in 2025. However, analysts caution that a single signal does not guarantee the start of a new uptrend.
Ali Charts emphasized that July began with a strong technical signal for Ethereum, with the market now closely monitoring the TD Sequential buy setup on the monthly chart.
Technical indicators and on-chain market flowsOn the technical side, Ethereum’s MACD histogram entered positive territory at 19.33, with the MACD line moving above the signal line. Despite these moves, both indicators remained below the zero line. The RSI climbed to approximately 51.85, rising above both its moving average and the neutral 50 threshold.
The price recovered from a double-bottom formation around $1,565. In the near term, the first resistance level for Ethereum lies at $1,800, followed by a significant barrier at $2,000. The liquidity concentration between $1,740 and $1,750 is also drawing attention for short-term price action.
In derivatives markets, open interest surged 10.64% to $24.54 billion. Trading volume rose 14.48% to $44.74 billion. Funding rates spiked 113.86%, suggesting a notable increase in leveraged long positions.
On-chain analyst Darkfost from CryptoQuant observed that ETH withdrawals from Binance hit their highest level in three years, exceeding 166,000 in just 24 hours. In contrast, PelinayPA noted that Binance’s net flow stood at a positive 12,938 ETH, meaning more ETH was deposited than withdrawn. On the institutional side, BitMine added 27,084 ETH to surpass a total holding of 5.7 million ETH, while SharpLink acquired 10,000 ETH valued at $16.1 million during the recent drop.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Ethereum extended its price recovery and reclaimed $1.7k, a level that had recently acted as resistance. At press time, ETH traded at $1,756, up 3.02% on the daily chart.
The recovery pushed ETH above the MACD Signal Line Moving Averages (SMAs) at $1,630 and $1,671, signaling stronger momentum.
Why did an Ethereum whale take a $9 million loss? As Ethereum reclaimed $1.7k, whales that had previously shorted the market exited to avoid mounting losses and liquidation risk. In fact, short liquidations surged, with $79 million in bearish positions wiped out after ETH crossed the level.
According to Onchain Lens, one whale closed a $54.1 million ETH short position.
The whale realized a $9.386 million loss and also paid $36,000 in Funding Fees. The exit suggested concerns over further downside for the short position.
Why are retail traders becoming more active? While whales exited their shorts, retail traders appeared to increase their Futures activity.
Source: CryptoQuant CryptoQuant’s Ethereum Futures Average Order Size showed growing Retail Orders around the $1.6k and $1.7k price levels. That suggested traders were actively opening new positions, with sentiment appearing to favor longs.
Source: CoinGlass According to CoinGlass, the Long/Short Ratio climbed above 1 across exchanges.
On Binance, the ratio rose to 1.5, while the overall Long/Short Ratio reached 1.03. That indicated long positions outnumbered shorts as traders anticipated further upside.
Can bulls capitalize on the move? Ethereum’s recent recovery suggested demand had gradually returned to the market. Momentum indicators also reflected improving conditions.
For starters, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) climbed to 54, moving above the neutral 50 level. That suggested buyers had gained the upper hand.
Source: TradingView The MACD Signal Line Moving Averages (SMAs) also remained above recent support levels, reinforcing the improving momentum.
If buyers maintain control, ETH could reclaim $1.8k before attempting a move toward $2k. However, Spot selling remained a risk.
Onchain Lens reported that Chun Wang deposited 9,876 ETH, worth $17.02 million, into Binance. If large Exchange Inflows continue, selling pressure could increase and send Ethereum [ETH] back toward $1,640.
Final Summary Ethereum [ETH] reclaimed the $1.7k resistance level, rising 3.02% as momentum strengthened. A whale closed a $54.1 million ETH short position, realizing a $9.386 million loss and paying $36,000 in Funding Fees.
Ethereum is struggling to hold above its long-term ascending trendline, with market participants closely watching the weekly close for signs of direction. The technical setup shows the price caught between a strong support level and a down-sloping resistance area, tightening the range and highlighting the significance of the current zone.
Long-term structure approaches a critical thresholdOn the weekly chart, the dominant pattern for Ethereum is a broad triangle formation that has developed over several years. The lower trendline has historically provided support during sharp pullbacks, while the upper band has capped attempts at sustained rebounds, acting as a powerful resistance zone.
This makes the current position especially crucial from a technical perspective, as Ethereum once again tests the base of this long-standing structure. Maintaining buyer interest in this area is seen as pivotal to keeping the broader recovery scenario alive.
Ethereum is still holding onto its long-term trend, but a stronger buying reaction is needed for this support test to spark a real recovery.
On the upside, the next significant hurdle is the upper resistance, which lies around the $1,800–$2,000 range on the chart. A successful breakout above this zone would offer a much clearer technical signal that market control is returning to buyers.
$1,800 level stands out as a pivotal markerAnalyst Abundance emphasizes that Ethereum’s larger trend is not yet safely established, pointing out that it is crucial for weekly candles to close above $1,800. He warns that unless this threshold is reclaimed, the potential for a more pronounced downward move remains on the table.
Chart analysis shows Ethereum rebounded from support near the mid-$1,500s, but it is now approaching resistance between $1,771 and $1,794. As this area lies directly below the key $1,800 mark Abundance is monitoring, it takes on added importance for the trend’s next phase.
Abundance foresees that if Ethereum fails to secure weekly closes above $1,800, a retest of the $1,200 region may be on the horizon.
Should downward pressure intensify, immediate supports are identified at $1,631 and $1,583. Observers will be watching how the market reacts to these levels if price faces rejection from the current resistance zone.
LevelTechnical significance$1,771–$1,794Nearby resistance zone$1,800Critical threshold for weekly close$1,631First immediate support$1,583Lower support area$1,200Target range for deeper downturn scenarioWeak closes keep downside risk in focusThe analysis also highlights the importance of time cycles in the technical outlook. While Ethereum may be undergoing a short-term recovery, a decisive shift in the main trend direction has yet to be confirmed, according to recent signals.
A weekly close below the ascending support line would significantly weaken the current formation. If this breakdown occurs, it would mean Ethereum has lost one of its most important long-term support structures and could face an extended bottoming process before any sustainable rebound.
Overall, the battle at the lower boundary of Ethereum’s multi-year triangle pattern is likely to dictate the next major move. Market participants are advised to watch the $1,800 level closely in the coming weeks, as both bullish and bearish scenarios hinge on this decisive line in the sand.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Bitcoin price climbed on Saturday as weak U.S. jobs data lifted demand for major crypto assets. The global crypto market rose 1.09% to $2.17 trillion within 24 hours. Bitcoin traded at $62,626, gaining 1.28% on the day.
The BTC price also advanced nearly 5% over the past week. Traders reacted after June job growth slowed more than expected. Analysts say softer rate expectations could help Bitcoin target $70,000 in July.
The U.S. economy added 57,000 jobs, below forecasts of 110,000. That figure also dropped from 129,000 jobs reported in May. Meanwhile, unemployment eased to 4.2%, beating the 4.3% estimate. Ethereum price surged moved above $1,700 as market sentiment improved. XRP and Dogecoin also gained.
Why Bitcoin Price May Rally To $70K In July, According To Analysts Crypto analyst said Bitcoin could rally toward $70,000 in July if a past pattern returns. The analyst noted that Bitcoin posted red May and June candles three previous times. Each period was followed by an average July gain of 19%.
Last 3 times $BTC had a red May and June, it averaged 19% return in July.
If this repeats, Bitcoin could tap the $70,000-$71,000 zone this month. https://t.co/noejm6evgL pic.twitter.com/s93DOWWWaR
— Ted (@TedPillows) July 3, 2026
A repeat could push BTC into the $70,000-$71,000 range this month. The view has gained attention as Bitcoin trades above $62,000. Still, traders are watching volume and resistance before confirming a leg higher. Historical signals remain uncertain now.
Bitcoin Spot ETFs End 10-Day Outflow Streak With $222M Inflow Bitcoin spot ETFs returned to positive flows on July 2, ending a 10-day stretch of withdrawals. Wu Blockchain shared data showing that the funds registered net inflows of $222 million.
The recovery followed with the Bitcoin price floating above $62000, which indicated new demand following the recent market pressure. Meanwhile, Ethereum spot ETFs also stayed positive, recording $29.08 million in net inflows.
Bitcoin Spot ETFs See $222M Net Inflow After 10-Day Outflow Streak
On July 2 (ET), Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a total net inflow of $222 million, turning positive after 10 consecutive days of net outflows. Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a total net inflow of $29.08 million. pic.twitter.com/LP3UjuQPJV
— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) July 3, 2026
The numbers indicate that institutional buyers were back, albeit tentatively, even though there was poor sentiment in some sectors of the crypto market. Nevertheless, traders can continue to observe inflows in future sessions. Sustained ETF demand could support Bitcoin’s attempt to hold near key support this week.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Can BTC Break $64K and Rally Toward $70K? At the time of the reporting, the price of the BTC was traded close to $62,795 in the four-hour chart. Bitcoin has been in an ascending channel and has been recovering steadily since its lows in late June. The mid-range of around $63 000 is currently being tested by the buyers as momentum is gaining.
The next resistance of full Bitcoin forecast report is at the value of $64,000, and the recent candles can have selling pressure.
Any clean breakout beyond this point would pave the way to $66,000. The broader target is still at $70,000 in case buying strength persists.
Source: Tradingview The RSI is however around 67 and this indicates that the momentum is strong but at the risk of becoming overheated. The CMF of 0.03 also indicates mild capital inflow but there is not much conviction. On the downside, $62,000 remains the first support, followed by $60,000.
Germany’s savings and cooperative banks are rolling out crypto trading to retail clients, wiring Bitcoin (BTC) into the apps of institutions that hold roughly 80 million customer relationships in a country of 84 million people.
The Sparkassen serve about 50 million customers, per DSGV data, and the cooperative banks another 30 million, per BVR figures. Both groups dismissed the asset class as too risky just four years ago.
German Banks That Rejected Crypto Trading Now Court MillionsAccording to Bloomberg, both groups are building in-house services rather than steering clients to outside exchanges. DZ Bank’s meinKrypto platform already runs inside the VR Banking App, offering BTC, Ethereum (ETH), Litecoin (LTC), and Cardano (ADA).
BaFin licensed meinKrypto under the EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework in late December 2025, per DZ Bank’s announcement. Boerse Stuttgart Digital handles custody, keeping the whole chain under German supervision.
DekaBank is building the equivalent product for the roughly 340 savings banks, with a phased launch later this year. Each of the almost 650 cooperative banks and every Sparkasse opts in individually. DZ Bank product specialist Markus Bärenfänger expects hundreds to join.
Germany’s Local Banks Bring Crypto Trading to Millions in Major Mainstream Adoption PushThe reversal is stark. The savings banks considered crypto trading in 2021, then shelved it over incalculable risks. MiCA has since opened the door for Germany’s largest financial institutions.
Trust Advantage Collides With Total Loss WarningsThe trust math explains the bet. Germans trust their primary bank twice as much as specialized crypto platforms, 38% to 19%, per a Boerse Stuttgart Digital survey. However, only about a quarter have invested in crypto, in line with broader European adoption figures.
That trust is precisely what worries critics. Co-Pierre Georg, professor at the Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, argues that traditional bank customers may not grasp the risks.
“It is concerning that the floodgates to the cryptocurrency market are now being opened by savings and cooperative banks,” Co-Pierre Georg, professor at the Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, via Bloomberg.
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Even the savings banks’ own lobby group, DSGV, calls crypto a highly speculative investment carrying the risk of total loss. It frames the service as suitable for self-directed investors only.
Timing sharpens the debate. Bitcoin trades near $62,483 after falling roughly 50% from its October 2025 record of $126,080.
Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: BeInCryptoThe German lenders also join a wider European shift. UBS opened crypto trading for private clients in January.
For local banks, the payoff may be relevance rather than revenue. Westerwald Bank chief Ralf Kölbach warns that lenders skipping crypto lose younger, tech-savvy customers.
The bigger test is whether bank-branded credibility can survive the market’s next deep drawdown.
Not financial or tax advice. PANews content is strictly educational and informational and is not investment advice, financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any digital asset, security, or financial product. Do your own research and consult qualified advisers.
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Noted a $2.13B worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum options expiry. The prices have recovered from the red zone. The cryptocurrency market entered a pivotal session on July 3 as a combined $2.13 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum options reached expiry, offering fresh insight into investor positioning amid a challenging market environment.
Around 31,000 Bitcoin options expired with a notional value of approximately $1.9 billion. The contracts carried a put-call ratio of 0.70 and a maximum pain point of $61,000. Meanwhile, 135,000 Ethereum options, valued at roughly $230 million, expired with a put-call ratio of 1.29 and a maximum pain level of $1,650.
Options Expiry Positioning Reflects Defensive Market Sentiment One of the standout signals from this week’s data is Ethereum’s elevated put-call ratio of 1.29. A ratio above 1 indicates that put options outnumber call options, suggesting that many traders are either hedging against further downside or maintaining a cautious outlook.
At the same time, options expiry positioning remains concentrated near key Gamma Exposure (GEX) levels, with Bitcoin clustered around $60,000 and Ethereum near $1,700.
Although Bitcoin managed to reclaim the psychologically important $60,000 mark during the week, market sentiment remains mixed. Technical analysts continue to debate whether the recent recovery marks the beginning of a sustained rebound within a broader downtrend.
Macro Trends Continue to Shape the Market Beyond options activity, investor attention has increasingly shifted toward traditional financial markets, particularly developments surrounding artificial intelligence and semiconductor stocks.
Within the digital asset industry, tokenised U.S. stocks have also emerged as a major talking point, attracting interest from both crypto-native platforms and institutional participants.
Options expiry data suggest that traders remain cautious heading into the third quarter. While Bitcoin has regained an important support level, Ethereum’s defensive positioning and the concentration of hedging activity indicate that many market participants are still preparing for elevated volatility rather than pricing in a decisive bullish breakout.
Currently, BTC has managed to trade at a high of $61,932, with its daily trading volume lost over 24.43%, reaching $33.3 billion. Moreover, the Bitcoin market has seen a liquidation of over $94.84 million in the last 24 hours. Notably, ETH has jumped to a trading range at around $1,738. Also, the trading activity has fallen to $12.47 billion, with its liquidation of $171.46 million.
Crypto Market Highlights
XRP Flashes Its First SuperTrend Buy Signal Since June: Is a Strong Rebound Brewing?
Content Writer | Crypto Enthusiast | Bridging Literature and Blockchain
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Ethereum price today: $1,750Retail investors distributed 510K ETH in June, extending a risk-off sentiment that began since the October 10 crash.The supply of staked ETH climbed to a record high of 40.5 million ETH after investors staked 763K ETH in June.The Coinbase Premium Index fell to its lowest since February amid four straight weeks of outflows in US spot ETH ETFs last month.ETH has broken the $1,741 resistance and is eyeing the 50-day EMA.Ethereum (ETH) declined by 21.6% in June, its largest monthly drop since November, amid intense risk-off sentiment and heightened volatility, spearheaded by retail investors and US market participants.
Wallets with a collective balance of 100-1K & 1K-10K ETH offloaded a combined 510K ETH over the past month. This cohort has been instrumental in the top altcoin's steady decline since the October 10 crash, depleting their holdings by 3.91 million ETH.
On the other hand, whales holding 10K-100K ETH pounced on the dip, accumulating 600K ETH in June. Zooming out, these investors have largely maintained a buying sentiment since the October 10 price crash, increasing their balance by 2.48 million ETH.
ETH Balance by Holder Value. Source: CryptoQuantA majority of these whale holdings are likely flowing toward staking. Over the past month, the supply of staked ETH expanded by roughly 763K ETH to a record high of 40.5 million ETH.
Since the beginning of the year, investors have staked 4.5 million ETH. The move indicates that long-term holders are turning to ETH staking to earn yield while waiting for a recovery, rather than exiting the market.
ETH Total Supply Staked. Source: CryptoQuantJune also marked a month of intense risk-off sentiment among US market participants. The Coinbase Premium Index, an indicator of US sentiment, plunged to -0.169, its lowest level since February. The metric has edged slightly higher following the modest price gains over the past few days, but it remains in negative territory.
US institutional interest also remains weak, with US spot ETH exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recording net outflows of roughly $529 million in June, after four straight negative weeks, according to SoSoValue data. On the derivatives side, open interest in ETH futures declined by 1.46 million ETH, while funding rates were volatile with positive and negative flashes in June. Over the past few days, funding rates have remained largely positive, indicating that long traders may be gearing up for a comeback in July.
ETH Open Interest. Source: CoinglassEthereum Price Forecast: ETH breaks $1,741 resistance, eyes 50-day EMAOn the daily chart, ETH is maintaining a capped tone as it holds above the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $1,676 but remains below the 50-day EMA around $1,810 and the 100-day EMA just under $1,984. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers in the mid-50s while the Stochastic Oscillator (Stoch) pushes into overbought territory, suggesting that the latest rebound is gaining momentum but is already running into a dense band of overhead supply.
On the topside, immediate resistance is seen at the convergence of the horizontal barrier at $1,806 and the 50-day EMA. A daily close above these would open the way toward the 100-day EMA near $1,984 and the subsequent caps at $2,019 and $2,108. Higher hurdles are at $2,211 and $2,389.
ETH/USDT daily chartOn the downside, initial support emerges at the 20-day EMA clustered around $1,676 if ETH fails to hold above $1,741. A break below would expose deeper floors at $1,524 and $1,405, before the longer-term base near $1,156.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
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Ethereum’s monthly TD Sequential indicator reignited optimism after printing its first bullish trigger since March 2025.
Previous monthly buy signals had preceded rallies of 235% in 2022 and 182% in 2025, making the latest signal difficult to ignore.
However, the indicator only suggested that Ethereum could have approached another macro turning point rather than confirming a new bull market.
Historical performance alone does not guarantee a similar outcome because broader market conditions differ across cycles.
Leverage returned as bullish conviction increased Derivatives activity reflected renewed confidence as traders increased their exposure to Ethereum.
At the time of writing, Open Interest had climbed to 11.16B, recording a 13.15% daily increase, while Funding Rates surged 113.86% to 0.0129.
Those figures showed that leveraged long positions expanded during the latest recovery instead of remaining on the sidelines.
However, rising leverage also increased liquidation risk if Ethereum failed to maintain its recent gains.
Positive funding indicated that long traders paid a premium to hold their positions, reinforcing the bullish bias across perpetual futures markets.
However, derivatives data alone did not validate the monthly TD Sequential signal.
Rather, it showed that speculative demand had returned, leaving price action responsible for confirming whether buyers could sustain the growing optimism.
Source: CryptoQuant Ethereum double-bottom recovery faces major resistance Ethereum [ETH] rebounded from a well-defined double-bottom near $1,565 after buyers repeatedly defended that support level.
The recovery pushed the price above $1,700, placing the next technical barrier around $1,800, while $2,000 remained the next major resistance if buying pressure persisted.
RSI also climbed to 51.65, recovering above the neutral level after rebounding from deeply oversold conditions.
That shift reflected improving buying strength rather than weakening demand.
Even so, Ethereum continued trading below its major resistance zones despite reclaiming short-term support.
The current structure suggested buyers had regained control following the correction.
Still, only a decisive break above $1,800 would strengthen the case that the monthly TD Sequential signal aligned with a broader trend reversal instead of another short-lived recovery.
Source: TradingView Liquidity map points toward the next target The 24-hour Liquidation Heatmap showed the largest concentration of leveraged positions around $1,740-$1,750.
This placed a significant liquidity cluster directly above Ethereum’s current price.
Markets often gravitate toward heavily leveraged zones because liquidations create additional trading activity.
As a result, Ethereum retained room for another short-term advance before confronting stronger resistance near $1,800.
Meanwhile, another notable liquidity pocket remained around $1,680-$1,650, leaving downside volatility possible if buyers surrendered control.
The current distribution favored an attempt to sweep overhead liquidity first.
However, the heatmap highlighted areas of interest rather than guaranteeing direction, meaning Ethereum still needed a confirmed breakout to reinforce the broader bullish thesis.
Source: CoinGlass Conclusively, the monthly TD Sequential buy signal revived the long-term bullish outlook, but it did not confirm that Ethereum had entered a new macro uptrend.
The double-bottom recovery, RSI improvement, and rising derivatives activity supported the bullish proposition.
However, Ethereum would likely need to reclaim $1,800 before the technical structure fully aligned with the indicator.
Until then, the recovery remained constructive, but confirmation would depend on buyers overcoming nearby resistance rather than relying on the historical success of the monthly signal alone.
Final Summary Ethereum recovered from a double bottom while bulls targeted the $1,800 resistance level. Rising leverage supported bullish sentiment, though resistance still required decisive confirmation.
Donald Trump struck an optimistic tone on the U.S. economy, arguing that stronger economic growth could support both traditional financial markets like US Stock and risk assets such as cryptocurrencies.
His comments came as Bitcoin rose 1.99% to trade around $62,583, while Ethereum hovered near $1,751 and XRP traded close to $1.13 following a volatile second quarter.
The latest rally was largely driven by a macro-fueled short squeeze after weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data eased investor concerns over additional interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
Bitcoin is also reportedly showing a 76% correlation with gold, indicating that some investors increasingly view both assets as potential hedges against inflation amid shifting economic expectations.
Trump Says U.S. Economy Is StrengtheningTrump stated that the U.S. stock market had just completed its strongest quarter since his previous administration, pointing to gains in the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones Industrial Average.
"We are the strongest and most powerful country on Earth. And by the grace of God, the United States of America is the most successful, most accomplished, most exceptional nation ever to exist in human history." – President DONALD J. TRUMP 🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/bGVSS80bJu
— The White House (@WhiteHouse) July 4, 2026 He argued that rising markets were helping boost Americans’ retirement savings through stronger 401(k) balances while his economic policies continued to support growth.
Trump credited several factors for the economic momentum, including:
Tax cuts aimed at increasing disposable income for working families.A narrowing U.S. trade deficit supported by rising exports.Trillions of dollars in announced investments contributing to factory construction, job creation, and manufacturing expansion.Calling it only the beginning, Trump said:
“The Trump economy is soaring. The Stock Market just completed its BEST QUARTER since the last time he was President. Stocks are surging, exports are rising, the trade deficit is shrinking, and trillions in investment are creating jobs. The Golden Age of America is just getting started.”
Stronger Growth and Lower Rates Could Benefit CryptoTrump also criticized the tendency of markets to react negatively to strong economic data due to inflation concerns.
He argued that stronger economic growth should be welcomed rather than feared and suggested that the Federal Reserve may have room to lower interest rates. Trump also praised former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh while indicating that some policymakers could make future rate cuts more difficult.
Historically, lower borrowing costs have been supportive of risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, making Trump’s comments particularly relevant for Bitcoin and the broader digital asset market.
Investors Continue Watching Policy DevelopmentsBeyond traditional markets, the Trump administration has become increasingly associated with a more crypto-friendly regulatory approach. Meanwhile, Congress continues to work on major digital asset legislation, including the CLARITY Act, as institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies expands.
The outlook for the second half of 2026 remains constructive for crypto markets if economic growth continues and investor confidence remains strong.
🚨 PRESIDENT TRUMP JUST DROPPED: "THE TRUMP ECONOMY IS SOARING! The Stock Market just completed its BEST QUARTER since the last time I was President."
"The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow are all SURGING, sending Americans’ 401(k)s higher and higher. My Working Families Tax Cuts mean… pic.twitter.com/GvklqaQs7Y
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) July 4, 2026 However, analysts caution that volatility could increase depending on future Federal Reserve decisions, tariff negotiations, and corporate earnings results, particularly from the artificial intelligence sector, which continues to influence broader market sentiment.
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After weeks of relentless selling, the crypto market is finally showing signs of stabilizing. While prices have bounced from recent lows, Santiment analyst Brian Quinlivan said investors shouldn’t focus on price alone. Instead, he said on-chain data may reveal where the strongest long-term opportunities are emerging.
One metric drawing attention is Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV), which compares an asset’s market value with the average acquisition cost of holders and is commonly used to assess whether a cryptocurrency appears overvalued or undervalued.
Here’s what Santiment’s latest metrics reveal for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP.
Bitcoin: Sentiment Improves, But Whales Are Still SellingBitcoin price has recovered from around $58,100 to nearly $62,432, helping lift overall market sentiment. According to Quinlivan, Bitcoin’s social sentiment has climbed to its highest level in more than two weeks, showing traders are becoming more optimistic again.
However, he warns that the biggest players are telling a different story.
Wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC have collectively sold around 54,700 BTC since mid-June. Historically, whale accumulation has often preceded more sustainable rallies, making the current selling trend something investors should continue watching.
Despite the selling, Quinlivan said Bitcoin’s long-term on-chain data remains encouraging. Its 365-day MVRV stands at roughly -30%, meaning the average long-term holder remains underwater. He said these deeply negative readings have historically marked attractive long-term accumulation zones rather than periods of excessive risk.
Ethereum: Whale Accumulation Is Slowly ReturningEthereum Price is beginning to show more constructive on-chain signals.
According to Santiment, wallets holding between 100 and 100,000 ETH have resumed accumulation after several months of selling. While Ethereum’s 30-day MVRV has moved slightly back into positive territory following its rebound toward $1,700, its longer-term outlook remains more attractive.
The 365-day MVRV remains close to -41%, a level Quinlivan compared to April 2025, when Ethereum was facing widespread bearish sentiment before eventually staging a major recovery toward its previous highs.
Although he expects Ethereum to remain largely dependent on Bitcoin’s direction, Quinlivan said long-term downside risk appears relatively limited compared to previous market cycles.
XRP: On-Chain Data Shows Extreme Oversold ConditionsAmong the three cryptocurrencies analyzed, Quinlivan believes XRP Price currently offers the strongest contrarian setup.
XRP recently defended the key $1.00 support, bouncing from roughly $1.01 while avoiding a decisive break below the psychological support level.
More importantly, both XRP’s 30-day and 365-day MVRV have dropped to around -45%, among the weakest readings recorded in recent years.
According to Quinlivan, these deeply negative readings have historically appeared after periods of retail capitulation following heavy losses. Similar conditions have often preceded meaningful recoveries once selling pressure begins to fade.
While he isn’t calling an exact market bottom, Quinlivan said XRP is currently sitting in one of its lowest historical risk zones, making it one of the most attractive long-term setups based solely on on-chain metrics.
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Trust with CoinPedia:CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.
Investment Disclaimer:All opinions and insights shared represent the author's own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.
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The Ethereum Foundation is making a more direct case to governments and institutions. A new guide from the foundation lays out how Ethereum and EVM-based infrastructure can be used as neutral digital rails for public-sector and institutional systems.
The timing is important. Tokenization, stablecoins, digital identity, and government-backed pilots are all moving from conference topics into actual implementation work. Ethereum wants to be part of that infrastructure conversation rather than just the chain associated with DeFi and NFTs.
For more details, visit the official Blog platform.
TL;DR The Ethereum Foundation published a guide aimed at government and institutional implementations.The guide focuses on Ethereum as open, neutral, and programmable infrastructure.The article strengthens Ethereum’s pitch for real-world public and institutional use cases. Ethereum’s Institutional Pitch Is Changing For years, Ethereum’s institutional story was mostly about DeFi liquidity, staking, and tokenization experiments. The new guide points to something broader: Ethereum as a base layer for systems that need transparency, interoperability, and censorship resistance.
That framing matters because governments and large institutions are unlikely to adopt public blockchain infrastructure simply because crypto traders like it. They need arguments around auditability, standards, neutrality, resilience, and long-term developer support.
Not Just Another Enterprise Blockchain Pitch The Ethereum Foundation’s advantage is that Ethereum already has a large developer base and a widely used execution environment. The challenge is that institutions still have concerns around privacy, compliance, fees, scalability, and operational risk.
A guide does not mean governments are about to migrate core systems overnight. But it does show the foundation trying to speak more clearly to decision-makers outside the crypto bubble. If tokenized assets and public-sector pilots continue to grow, Ethereum wants its open-source standards to be part of the default toolkit.
The Public Chain Argument The Foundation’s case rests on the idea that public infrastructure can be useful even for institutions that need controls. A government or bank may not want every internal process visible to the world, but it may still benefit from public standards, settlement assurances, and a large developer ecosystem.
That is where Ethereum’s modular roadmap becomes important. Institutions can use private or permissioned components while still anchoring certain functions to public infrastructure. The strongest use cases may not look like consumer DeFi at all.
The risk is that institutional adoption becomes a marketing phrase without deployments behind it. The guide gives Ethereum a clearer pitch, but the next proof will come from pilots that produce measurable usage.
For ETH holders, this kind of institutional messaging does not create instant demand. But it supports the longer-term argument that Ethereum’s value comes from being a settlement and coordination layer for many kinds of activity, not only speculative trading.
The cleaner takeaway is to treat this as a specific development inside Ethereum, not as a blanket prediction for the whole market. It gives readers a concrete data point to watch while keeping the limits of the story clear.
This article is based on information from the Ethereum Foundation.
This article was written by the News Desk and edited by Samuel Rae.
Ethereum made headlines after holding above its long-term ascending support line and decisively breaking through a major short-term resistance corridor. Analysts suggest that if the price remains above this breakout area, ETH could first target the $1,776 to $2,045 range, potentially setting the stage for a larger upside cycle.
Long-term support remains intactAt the time of reporting, Ethereum is trading at approximately $1,620. Investor Jordan, one of the market observers tracking ETH, indicates that the cryptocurrency has likely entered a strong reaction zone above the long-standing upward support line that has proven reliable during previous market cycles. This trend line connects several significant low points seen between 2022 and 2026.
Each of these lows is marked as a potential bottom on the chart, and the current price level may serve a similar function. Investor Jordan believes that so long as this structure holds, it could present an appealing opportunity for long-term investors.
Investor Jordan points out that maintaining the long-term ascending support line could mark the current level as a major bottom, with potential for the price to retest its main resistance near $4,983.
Under this scenario, the primary threshold stands at $4,983. According to Jordan’s projection, if Ethereum can surpass this level, a new long-term rally could carry prices up to the $12,000 region. However, sustaining the bullish outlook depends on not losing the ascending support line.
As the most widely used blockchain for smart contracts and decentralized applications, Ethereum’s technical breakouts attract close attention—not only in the spot market but also across the broader crypto ecosystem, influencing overall market risk appetite.
Short-term focus shifts above $1,643On the four-hour chart, Ethereum recently broke out above a dense cluster of resistances around $1,643, formed by a descending trend line, the daily cloud region, and the 0.5 Fibonacci level. The convergence of multiple resistance points at this level made it a crucial area to watch in the short term.
Mini glossary: Fibonacci extension levels are ratios used in technical analysis to forecast possible resistance and target zones. The RSI is a momentum indicator that measures the speed and strength of price movements.
Chris notes that despite a generally bearish market sentiment for Ethereum, the short-term chart appears more constructive. According to him, this setup signals a strengthening short-term structure within the crypto market.
Chris emphasizes that the current four-hour setup now makes it difficult to argue for a downward scenario for Ethereum, though he notes the risk of renewed weakness reemerging toward October has not been eliminated.
Immediate upside targets now stand at $1,776, $1,943, and $2,045. The continued rise in the RSI indicator further suggests that short-term momentum is shifting in favor of buyers. Nevertheless, analysts caution that if Ethereum fails to maintain support above the newly broken resistance, the bullish scenario could quickly fade.
IndicatorLevelSignificanceShort-term breakout zone$1,643Holding above this level could strengthen bullish momentumFirst resistance$1,776First short-term target zoneSecond resistance$1,943Level to watch if the rally continuesThird resistance$2,045Upper band of the short-term target rangeFor the near term, the key question is whether Ethereum can sustain itself above this decisive resistance area. Should buyers manage to defend this zone, July could kick off with an even stronger upward momentum.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Ethereum withdrawals on Binance have caught the crypto world’s attention with one of the most remarkable moves in recent months. According to CryptoQuant data, 166 thousand ETH left the exchange in the past 24 hours, marking the strongest daily outflow recorded since March 2023.
Outflows hit a three-year highThe data show that Ethereum withdrawals from Binance have surged to their highest level in over three years. This move comes as the market is searching for direction and signals a notable shift in investor behavior. As one of the world’s highest-volume crypto exchanges, large withdrawals from Binance tend to be watched closely by market observers.
CryptoQuant data revealed that the Ethereum withdrawals on Binance have reached their highest point in more than three years, with 166 thousand ETH leaving the platform in the past 24 hours.
The sharp spike in withdrawals has fueled the view that crypto investors may be choosing to move their assets off exchanges and into long-term storage. The fact that this activity took place while the Ethereum price hovered around $1,500 has fueled speculation that some investors find this zone a compelling buying opportunity.
Mini glossary: CryptoQuant is an analytics platform that tracks the crypto market using on-chain blockchain data and exchange flows. Large outflows from exchanges are at times interpreted as a signal that investors may prefer holding over selling.
Ethereum seeks a recoverySince its latest peak at the start of 2025, Ethereum has faced sustained correction pressure, with its value dropping about 67%. Interestingly, over the same period, Ethereum’s decline has outpaced Bitcoin’s pullback by roughly 15 percentage points.
MetricDataDaily ETH outflow from Binance166 thousand ETHPrevious similar outflow recordHighest since March 2023ETH change since 2025 peak67% declinePrice movement in last 48 hoursApproximately 10% riseDespite this, there have been signs of price recovery over the last two days. Ethereum climbed roughly 10% in 48 hours to again top $1,700. The timing of both the withdrawal surge and rising prices has prompted debate over whether accumulation momentum is returning to the market.
The sharp withdrawal activity in Ethereum took place while the price steadied near $1,500, fueling expectations that some investors view this level as a bargain-buying opportunity.
The latest volatility shows how quickly investor sentiment can shift. Especially for major exchanges, sizable asset outflows offer key signals on how investors are positioning themselves and may hold clues beyond short-term price action.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Not financial or tax advice. PANews content is strictly educational and informational and is not investment advice, financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any digital asset, security, or financial product. Do your own research and consult qualified advisers.
Disclosure. PANews may publish sponsored content, partner content, advertisements, affiliate links, event promotions, and market commentary involving Web3 projects, service providers, or financial products. PANews personnel, contributors, or affiliates may hold digital assets or other interests related to covered topics. See our Terms of Service.
3 July 2026 | 19:55 The Ethereum derivatives market is flashing a fascinating divergence: trader conviction is recovering much faster than the underlying spot price.
Following a sharp flush out in early June, leverage is quietly returning to the market. However, unlike previous speculative peaks, this rebuilding phase is characterized by localized aggressive positioning rather than market-wide exhaustion.
Key Takeaways ETH funding rates hit 0.016% despite lower prices. Total open interest sits at $4.35B, avoiding overheating. Bullish conviction rebuilds with ETH 15-20% below peaks. Conviction Leading Price The first clear signal of returning bullish sentiment shows up in funding rates, the periodic fee paid between long and short traders to keep perpetual contract prices pegged to the spot index.
Ethereum funding rates across all exchanges. Currently, funding rates across major exchanges have accelerated back to approximately 0.016%. To put this in perspective, this is significantly higher than the 0.009% levels observed in late May, even though Ethereum was trading much higher at the time ($2,000–$2,150).
Late May Pre-Washout vs. Current Stabilization ETH Spot Price: $2,000 – $2,150 in late May vs. $1,730 at the time of writing. Average Funding Rate: ~0.009% in late May vs. ~0.016% currently. Total Open Interest: High peak over $12B in late May vs. ~$4.35B (below the 30-day average) currently. When ETH fell to its early June floor near $1,540, a massive wave of leveraged long positions was wiped clean from the order books, temporarily cooling the market. Crucially, funding rates refused to stay negative for any meaningful duration. Short sellers never took dominant control. Instead, as spot prices consolidated and stabilized around the $1,700–$1,730 liquidity pocket after 9% gain for the week according to CoinMarketCap data, buyers aggressively stepped back in, driving the cost of holding leverage to its highest point in weeks.
ETH/USDT daily technical price chart. The Structural Volatility Shield While funding rates show that active traders are increasingly eager to bet on upside, the second dataset proves that the broader market is not yet dangerously over-leveraged.
Binance’s 30-day Open Interest (OI) Z-Score, which measures how far current leverage volume deviates from its statistical average, currently sits at -0.56, according to report, shared by CryptoQuant. Total open interest across the market is hovering around $4.35 billion, remaining comfortably below the 30-day baseline of $4.81 billion.
Binance ETH Open Interest Z-Score analysis. What this tells us is that while individual participants are using higher leverage (high funding), the total volume of leveraged positions in the system is still entirely manageable. The speculative excesses of early cycle shifts might be successfully digested.
This localized positioning marks a pivotal shift from the retail-led euphoria that defined the 2025 cycle peaks. In previous rallies, market-wide leverage was often driven by speculative cascades, where retail over-leveraging forced rapid, correlated liquidations. Conversely, the current fragmentation suggests that institutional allocators are re-entering with a more surgical approach.
Data from SoSoValue reinforces this thesis, showing a clear, consecutive ramp in Ethereum Spot ETF inflows, climbing from $14.89M on July 1 to $29.08M by July 2. This reversal follows a grueling nine-day streak of consecutive net outflows, underscores a deliberate, capital-intensive accumulation phase.
For these desks, a non-correlated recovery is actually a health signal; it indicates that the market is currently supported by structural demand rather than reactive, emotion-driven sentiment. By avoiding a broad, systemic blow-up, the market is constructing a more durable floor. This layout makes the current environment significantly more attractive for institutional mandates that prioritize structural stability over parabolic, high-risk exposure.
Will Spot Follow Derivatives? This structural layout sets up a high-stakes race between derivatives conviction and spot market demand.
Positive funding rates are fundamentally healthy during sustained uptrends; they signal an appetite for risk and structural momentum. The underlying risk surfaces when derivatives positioning outpaces spot market accumulation.
If Ethereum’s spot demand strengthens and absorbs this momentum, the rising funding rates could serve as fuel for a clean, sustainable recovery. However, if spot buying fails to break key overhead resistance levels, these newly minted, high-funding long positions will become exposed. A failure to move higher could transform this growing optimism into a localized liquidation trap, prompting short-term cascade liquidations and heightened volatility.
The early June washout effectively cleared the board, but it did not break the underlying risk-on bias of the market. With traders front-running a recovery while ETH still sits 15-20% below its spring highs, all eyes now turn to spot order books to validate the move.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
Author
Alex is Editor-in-Chief of Coindoo and co-founder of Millennial Media Group, with nearly a decade of experience covering financial markets - crypto first, then everything else. It started in 2016 with Bitcoin. Like most people at the time, he didn't fully understand it - so he kept digging. Blockchain, tokenomics, the projects, the cycles. That curiosity never stopped, and eventually pulled him into traditional markets too: equities, commodities, macro. Not because he left crypto behind, but because you can't properly understand one without the other. What drives him is straightforward: he wants to know why something is happening, not just that it's happening. Most market coverage stops at the headline - price up, price down, here's a chart. Alex finds that kind of reporting actively unhelpful. If you walk away from an article without understanding the mechanism behind the move, what did you actually learn? He holds a degree in Tourism from New Bulgarian University - not the most obvious path into financial markets, but markets have a way of pulling in people who are simply too curious to stay out. He has authored over 200 in-depth analyses and more than 10,000 articles across crypto and traditional finance. He still thinks every day in markets teaches him something new. That's probably why he hasn't stopped.
3 July 2026 | 19:55 The Ethereum derivatives market is flashing a fascinating divergence: trader conviction is recovering much faster than the underlying spot price.
Following a sharp flush out in early June, leverage is quietly returning to the market. However, unlike previous speculative peaks, this rebuilding phase is characterized by localized aggressive positioning rather than market-wide exhaustion.
Key Takeaways ETH funding rates hit 0.016% despite lower prices. Total open interest sits at $4.35B, avoiding overheating. Bullish conviction rebuilds with ETH 15-20% below peaks. Conviction Leading Price The first clear signal of returning bullish sentiment shows up in funding rates, the periodic fee paid between long and short traders to keep perpetual contract prices pegged to the spot index.
Ethereum funding rates across all exchanges. Currently, funding rates across major exchanges have accelerated back to approximately 0.016%. To put this in perspective, this is significantly higher than the 0.009% levels observed in late May, even though Ethereum was trading much higher at the time ($2,000–$2,150).
Late May Pre-Washout vs. Current Stabilization ETH Spot Price: $2,000 – $2,150 in late May vs. $1,730 at the time of writing. Average Funding Rate: ~0.009% in late May vs. ~0.016% currently. Total Open Interest: High peak over $12B in late May vs. ~$4.35B (below the 30-day average) currently. When ETH fell to its early June floor near $1,540, a massive wave of leveraged long positions was wiped clean from the order books, temporarily cooling the market. Crucially, funding rates refused to stay negative for any meaningful duration. Short sellers never took dominant control. Instead, as spot prices consolidated and stabilized around the $1,700–$1,730 liquidity pocket after 9% gain for the week according to CoinMarketCap data, buyers aggressively stepped back in, driving the cost of holding leverage to its highest point in weeks.
ETH/USDT daily technical price chart. The Structural Volatility Shield While funding rates show that active traders are increasingly eager to bet on upside, the second dataset proves that the broader market is not yet dangerously over-leveraged.
Binance’s 30-day Open Interest (OI) Z-Score, which measures how far current leverage volume deviates from its statistical average, currently sits at -0.56, according to report, shared by CryptoQuant. Total open interest across the market is hovering around $4.35 billion, remaining comfortably below the 30-day baseline of $4.81 billion.
Binance ETH Open Interest Z-Score analysis. What this tells us is that while individual participants are using higher leverage (high funding), the total volume of leveraged positions in the system is still entirely manageable. The speculative excesses of early cycle shifts might be successfully digested.
This localized positioning marks a pivotal shift from the retail-led euphoria that defined the 2025 cycle peaks. In previous rallies, market-wide leverage was often driven by speculative cascades, where retail over-leveraging forced rapid, correlated liquidations. Conversely, the current fragmentation suggests that institutional allocators are re-entering with a more surgical approach.
Data from SoSoValue reinforces this thesis, showing a clear, consecutive ramp in Ethereum Spot ETF inflows, climbing from $14.89M on July 1 to $29.08M by July 2. This reversal follows a grueling nine-day streak of consecutive net outflows, underscores a deliberate, capital-intensive accumulation phase.
For these desks, a non-correlated recovery is actually a health signal; it indicates that the market is currently supported by structural demand rather than reactive, emotion-driven sentiment. By avoiding a broad, systemic blow-up, the market is constructing a more durable floor. This layout makes the current environment significantly more attractive for institutional mandates that prioritize structural stability over parabolic, high-risk exposure.
Will Spot Follow Derivatives? This structural layout sets up a high-stakes race between derivatives conviction and spot market demand.
Positive funding rates are fundamentally healthy during sustained uptrends; they signal an appetite for risk and structural momentum. The underlying risk surfaces when derivatives positioning outpaces spot market accumulation.
If Ethereum’s spot demand strengthens and absorbs this momentum, the rising funding rates could serve as fuel for a clean, sustainable recovery. However, if spot buying fails to break key overhead resistance levels, these newly minted, high-funding long positions will become exposed. A failure to move higher could transform this growing optimism into a localized liquidation trap, prompting short-term cascade liquidations and heightened volatility.
The early June washout effectively cleared the board, but it did not break the underlying risk-on bias of the market. With traders front-running a recovery while ETH still sits 15-20% below its spring highs, all eyes now turn to spot order books to validate the move.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
Author
Alex is Editor-in-Chief of Coindoo and co-founder of Millennial Media Group, with nearly a decade of experience covering financial markets - crypto first, then everything else. It started in 2016 with Bitcoin. Like most people at the time, he didn't fully understand it - so he kept digging. Blockchain, tokenomics, the projects, the cycles. That curiosity never stopped, and eventually pulled him into traditional markets too: equities, commodities, macro. Not because he left crypto behind, but because you can't properly understand one without the other. What drives him is straightforward: he wants to know why something is happening, not just that it's happening. Most market coverage stops at the headline - price up, price down, here's a chart. Alex finds that kind of reporting actively unhelpful. If you walk away from an article without understanding the mechanism behind the move, what did you actually learn? He holds a degree in Tourism from New Bulgarian University - not the most obvious path into financial markets, but markets have a way of pulling in people who are simply too curious to stay out. He has authored over 200 in-depth analyses and more than 10,000 articles across crypto and traditional finance. He still thinks every day in markets teaches him something new. That's probably why he hasn't stopped.
The crypto market is moving through a pivotal period of evolution. Long-term trends surrounding the XRP price prediction and the Ethereum price forecast 2030 continue to guide investor expectations. These projections rely heavily on Ripple’s utility in cross-border financial networks and Ethereum’s reigning dominance over smart contracts and Web3 systems. While both established assets serve as reliable benchmarks for digital currency growth, market participants are intentionally shifting their focus toward early-stage networks that offer significantly higher upside potential.
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Adoption Trends Drive Long-Term XRP Price Predictions Table of Contents
Adoption Trends Drive Long-Term XRP Price PredictionsEthereum Price Forecast 2030 Reflects Network EvolutionBlockDAG’s World Cup Bonus Boosts Token Accumulation PowerKey Insights Ripple’s expanding role in cross-border payments and international financial systems heavily dictates the current XRP price prediction narrative. Engineers designed XRP specifically to settle fast, low-cost international transactions in just a few seconds. This high-speed utility makes it an incredibly relevant asset for global remittance and institutional payment corridors.
Because of these variables, long-term market projections for XRP vary significantly. Conservative analysts suggest that moderate real-world adoption will likely place the asset’s long-term valuation somewhere between $1 and $5.
On the other hand, more optimistic outlooks push the XRP price prediction up to $10 or even higher. Achieving these higher price levels depends heavily on clearer global regulatory frameworks and deeper integration into institutional banking systems. Ultimately, the long-term future of XRP remains tied to liquidity demands and practical banking adoption.
Ethereum Price Forecast 2030 Reflects Network Evolution The Ethereum price forecast 2030 depends entirely on the network’s established role as the world’s leading smart contract platform. It serves as the primary backbone for decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and decentralized applications (dApps). Because its ecosystem hosts the majority of decentralized protocols, Ethereum benefits from continuous network activity and high developer engagement.
Long-term valuation models show that the Ethereum price forecast 2030 sits comfortably between $8,000 and $20,000. Reaching these targets requires steady institutional participation, rising global adoption, and successful network upgrades.
These ongoing technical upgrades are designed to increase transaction throughput and lower gas fees during peak congestion periods. As blockchain technology integrates into mainstream industries, Ethereum’s capability to maintain a reliable, scalable infrastructure will dictate its long-term financial position.
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Key Insights The crypto landscape continues to adjust around the utility-driven XRP price prediction and the institutional Ethereum price forecast 2030. XRP maintains its focus on cross-border payment efficiency, while Ethereum relies on its massive smart contract ecosystem. Both legacy assets move within long-term adoption cycles that depend heavily on regulatory progress and institutional capital.
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Disclaimer: This is a Press Release provided by a third party who is responsible for the content. Please conduct your own research before taking any action based on the content.
Solana now beats Ethereum on trading volume, active users, and fee revenue. Ethereum still holds the money. Halfway through 2026, the question is no longer who is faster. It is whether the two chains are even running the same race.
Summary
Solana has overtaken Ethereum in Layer 1 activity with higher transaction volume, more active users, stronger DEX trading, and greater fee revenue. Ethereum continues to dominate in total value locked, stablecoin liquidity, institutional adoption, and developer activity despite losing ground in onchain usage. The rivalry has shifted from a direct competition into two distinct models, with Ethereum focused on settlement and custody while Solana leads in trading and execution. There was a time when the Ethereum versus Solana debate could be settled with a smirk and an outage screenshot. Solana was the chain that went down. Ethereum was the chain that mattered. Then Solana stopped going down, its trading volume flipped Ethereum’s, its ETF launched to institutional inflows while Ethereum funds bled for seventeen straight days, and the smirk changed sides.
Halfway through 2026, both tokens are deep in a bear market. ETH trades near $1,714 after a brutal second quarter that included a 29.5% thirty-day drawdown at the June lows, its worst quarterly stretch in years. SOL trades near $81, down roughly 78% from its cycle high, hit even harder in raw percentage terms. Price settles nothing here. The interesting story is underneath, in the on-chain data, where the two networks have diverged so completely that comparing them now requires deciding which metrics count.
So: is Ethereum losing the L1 race to Solana? The honest answer is that Solana has already won several of the events, Ethereum still owns the ones with the most prize money, and the race itself has split into two different sports.
How we got here: a short history of a long feud The rivalry has run through three distinct acts, and the current one makes no sense without the first two.
Act one, 2021 through 2022, was Solana as the venture-backed challenger: a chain built for speed, championed by Sam Bankman-Fried, and dismissed by Ethereum partisans as a centralized science project. The dismissal briefly looked like prophecy. Solana suffered repeated full-network outages, including the infamous February 2024 halt that lasted nearly five hours after a legacy loader bug forced a coordinated validator restart, and when FTX collapsed in November 2022, SOL crashed toward single digits as the market priced in guilt by association. Obituaries were published. Several were smug.
Act two, 2023 through 2024, was the resurrection nobody ordered. Solana’s developer community kept shipping through the winter, the Jupiter and Jito ecosystems matured, memecoin mania found its natural home on the only chain where a thousand trades cost less than a sandwich, and DEX volume began the climb that ended with the flip of Ethereum in late 2024. Ethereum spent the same period executing its own plan flawlessly and discovering the plan had a hole in it: the Dencun upgrade in March 2024 introduced blob space and cut L2 costs by an order of magnitude, which supercharged rollup adoption while gutting the fee burn that had underwritten the ultrasound money narrative. Activity exploded across the Ethereum stack, and ETH the asset captured almost none of it.
Act three is now: both chains institutionally legitimate, both tokens deep underwater, and the argument relocated from architecture threads to fund flow tables. Uniswap founder Hayden Adams warned back in 2025 that Ethereum’s confused scaling identity could hand DeFi leadership to Solana; in 2026 that warning reads less like a hot take and more like a memo the market already acted on.
The scoreboard, metric by metric Start with what Solana has flatly won: activity.
On a representative day in late June, Solana processed 127 million transactions from more than 2 million active addresses. Ethereum mainnet processed 2.8 million transactions from roughly 512,000 active addresses. That is not a gap. That is a different order of magnitude. Solana sustains 600 to 700 real transactions per second on average against Ethereum L1’s 15 to 20, at a cost of roughly $0.00025 per transaction against Ethereum’s dollars-per-swap mainnet pricing.
Trading volume tells the same story. Solana’s weekly DEX volume hit $11.49 billion in April against Ethereum’s $7.62 billion, a 51% lead. In February the monthly gap was wider still: $117 billion on Solana against $52 billion on Ethereum, more than double. Jupiter, the aggregator that routes the overwhelming majority of Solana order flow across Raydium, Orca, Phoenix, and Meteora, alone processes $2 billion to $4 billion in daily volume. Solana flipped Ethereum on DEX volume in late 2024 and has held the lead through every market condition since.
Then comes the metric that should worry Ethereum researchers most: revenue.
Solana generates over $1 million in chain fees per day. The major Ethereum L2s, where most Ethereum user activity now lives, generate under $200,000 combined, because blob-based data posting after the Dencun upgrade pushed L2 costs, and therefore L2 fee revenue, toward zero. Ethereum deliberately commoditized its own execution layer to win the rollup war. The result is a settlement layer with shrinking direct income and a rival that monetizes every swap on a single unified ledger.
Now flip the card, because Ethereum’s wins are just as lopsided.
Total value locked Ethereum L1 holds roughly $55.6 billion in DeFi deposits, around 68% of the entire global DeFi market, and the combined L1 plus L2 figure exceeds $80 billion. Solana holds between $8 billion and $12 billion depending on the week and the methodology, a figure that took a $270 million hit in April when the Drift Protocol exploit tore through its perps ecosystem. The deepest protocols in the industry, Lido at $27.5 billion, Aave at $27 billion, EigenLayer at $13 billion, all live on Ethereum, and Aave V4 launched on Ethereum mainnet in April to reinforce the point.
Stablecoins Ethereum hosts roughly 70% of all on-chain stablecoin supply, around $32 billion in USDC and $60 billion in USDT, and remains the venue where BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, and JPMorgan build tokenized products first. Solana carries about $14 billion in stablecoins, though each of those dollars turns over roughly six times faster than its Ethereum counterpart.
Developers Ethereum counted 31,869 active developers against Solana’s 17,708 at the latest Electric Capital reading, and added more new developers over the trailing year than any other ecosystem. Solana ranked second.
One chain has the users, the volume, and the revenue. The other has the money, the institutions, and the builders. Losing, it turns out, depends entirely on where you point the camera.
How the race split in two The reason the comparison keeps producing contradictory answers is that the two chains stopped competing on the same terms years ago, a divergence we chronicled when the ecosystems first collided in early 2025.
Ethereum abandoned the monolithic race on purpose. Its roadmap treats the base layer as settlement infrastructure while execution migrates to rollups: Base, Arbitrum, Optimism, and a long tail of zk systems that post proofs and data back to mainnet. Base alone captures nearly half of all L2 DeFi value, Arbitrum another 31%, and the top three rollups process close to 90% of all L2 transactions. Measured as a stack, the Ethereum ecosystem still dwarfs Solana on almost every capital metric. Measured as an L1, Ethereum mainnet is a slow, expensive chain that its own designers no longer intend retail users to touch.
Solana made the opposite bet: one ledger, one global state, sub-second finality at 400 milliseconds, and a relentless engineering campaign to make the single chain fast enough that nothing else is needed. The Firedancer validator client built by Jump Crypto, rolling toward full deployment late this year, is the endgame of that bet, with a theoretical ceiling measured in the hundreds of thousands of transactions per second. The network reliability problem that defined Solana’s reputation in 2022 and 2023 has largely disappeared; outages went from routine to rare, and the chain has traded its crash-prone image for something closer to an execution monopoly on retail flow.
The philosophical split produces the statistical one. Capital sits and compounds on Ethereum because that is what the architecture rewards: deep pools, long-duration lending, staking layered on restaking. Capital churns on Solana because sub-cent fees make churning free: high-frequency trading, memecoin rotation, dollar-cost-average bots, payments. Ethereum became the deposit ledger. Solana became the trading floor.
Follow the fees: two broken business models, one working one The revenue gap deserves its own examination, because it is the metric where architecture decisions turn into economics, and where both chains have problems they rarely advertise.
Ethereum’s fee engine used to be the envy of the industry. EIP-1559 burned base fees, high demand made ETH deflationary, and the ultrasound money framing wrote itself. The rollup migration dismantled the machine step by step. Execution moved to L2s, whose sequencers keep the margin between what users pay and what blob posting costs, and Dencun made blob posting cost next to nothing. The result in 2026: mainnet burns a fraction of its former fee load, L2s pay Ethereum pennies for security worth billions, and the value accrual question, what does ETH earn when Base wins, has replaced scaling as the ecosystem’s defining unsolved problem. Ethereum built a settlement business and priced its product like a public good.
Solana’s engine is simpler and currently stronger: one chain captures every fee at every layer. The base fee is fixed at 5,000 lamports per signature, roughly a hundredth of a cent, while priority fees let users bid during congestion, and stake-weighted quality of service plus local fee markets keep hot accounts from clogging the scheduler. On top of the protocol fees sits the Jito MEV economy, where searcher tips flow to validators and stakers, turning order-flow chaos into staking yield. Over $1 million in daily chain revenue against sub-$200,000 for the entire major L2 basket is the visible output.
The caveat is concentration of source. A large share of Solana’s fee revenue traces to speculative trading, memecoins above all, which makes the revenue line high-beta to the exact market segment least likely to survive a deep winter. Ethereum’s fee problem is structural but its demand is diversified; Solana’s fee machine works beautifully and runs on the most flammable fuel in crypto. Neither model is finished.
Fusaka and the second-half Ethereum upgrade path aim at scaling data further without answering value capture, while Solana’s validator economics, where thin margins already pushed the validator count down 68% from its 2023 peak, depend on fee and MEV income holding up.
The other front: stablecoins, payments, and tokenized everything DEX volume gets the headlines, but the war’s second front may matter more by 2027, because it is the one institutions actually fund: who carries the tokenized economy.
Ethereum’s position is incumbency at scale. Roughly 70% of stablecoin supply, the deep USDC and USDT float that institutional desks require, and essentially the entire first generation of tokenized funds. When Ondo debuted its SEC-aligned tokenized stock model with BlackRock ETF shares this week, the underlying rails were Ethereum-ecosystem by default. Stablecoin legislation cleared the path for bank issuance and for the consortium models now emerging among major institutions, and banks build where the auditors already have coverage, which is one more network effect compounding for the incumbent.
Solana’s position is velocity and consumer reach. Its $14 billion stablecoin float turns over roughly six times faster than Ethereum’s, because sub-cent fees make stablecoins usable as money instead of just collateral. USDC settles on Solana in under a second for a fraction of a cent, which is why Visa chose it for settlement pilots, why payment processors keep adding it, and why the Solana Developer Platform launched with Mastercard, Worldpay, and Western Union rather than with hedge funds. Solana is also mounting a genuine RWA challenge through Token-2022, whose compliance extensions target exactly the issuer requirements Ethereum handles with bespoke contracts, and both chains now face a third competitor for the same institutional flow in the compliance-native stack being assembled on the XRP Ledger.
The stakes here dwarf the DEX war. Stablecoins are a $320 billion asset class growing through legislation, and tokenized funds are the institutional product with the steepest adoption curve. If Ethereum keeps the float while Solana takes the flow, the split-decision structure of this whole rivalry repeats at a much larger scale, with Ethereum as the vault and Solana as the checkout lane of tokenized finance.
The institutional tiebreaker For most of crypto history, the institutional column belonged to Ethereum without argument. That is the column where 2026 has produced genuine movement.
The regulatory sequence mattered first. The SEC’s March 2025 classification of sixteen digital assets including SOL as commodities dissolved the securities overhang that had kept allocators away, and spot Solana ETFs began trading on October 28, 2025, making SOL the third asset after BTC and ETH with U.S. spot fund access. The flows since then have been small next to Bitcoin’s but directionally embarrassing for Ethereum: through the spring drawdown, Solana ETFs crossed $1 billion in cumulative inflows while Ethereum funds posted a seventeen-day outflow streak that stripped hundreds of millions, and July has opened with ETF flow reports showing ETH and SOL products gaining together while Bitcoin funds bleed. Goldman Sachs disclosures showed over $100 million in SOL exposure, and CalPERS entered the asset class the same quarter.
Solana’s institutional push went beyond funds. The Solana Foundation launched its Developer Platform in March with Mastercard, Worldpay, and Western Union among early adopters, shipped a quantum-readiness plan built on the NIST-standardized Falcon signature scheme in April, and rolled out on-chain, stake-weighted validator governance this week. Token-2022 extensions gave the chain the compliance hooks, confidential transfers, transfer restrictions, interest-bearing instruments, that enterprise issuers require. The pitch that Solana is a casino chain unsuitable for serious money has aged badly.
Ethereum’s institutional position remains the stronger one on stock rather than flow. It custodies the tokenized funds, hosts the deep stablecoin float, and runs the staking infrastructure through which more than 35 million ETH, nearly 29% of supply, secures the network across a million-plus validators. When a treasury desk needs to move nine figures with minimal slippage, Ethereum’s depth is still the only game available. BitMine Immersion bought its way past 5 million ETH this spring precisely on that thesis. But stock is what you accumulated yesterday. Flow is what you are winning today, and the flow has been tilting one direction for over a year.
The uncomfortable items on both ledgers Neither chain gets to run its highlight reel without the blooper file.
Solana’s validator count has collapsed to roughly 795 active validators from more than 2,500 in 2023, a 68% decline that concentrates block production and hands critics a decentralization argument with real teeth. Its DeFi remains thin and concentrated: one aggregator with 95% market share is a single point of failure wearing a market structure costume, and the $270 million Drift exploit showed what happens when a load-bearing protocol breaks. Its volume mix still leans on memecoin speculation, the most cyclical demand source in the industry, and February’s $117 billion month can become a $40 billion month without a single thing going wrong technically.
Ethereum’s problems are quieter and arguably deeper. Lido alone controls roughly 24% of staked ETH, a concentration risk of its own. The rollup roadmap solved scaling and created a value-capture puzzle nobody has answered: if execution fees accrue to Base and Arbitrum while blobs cost pennies, what exactly does ETH the asset earn from Ethereum the ecosystem’s growth? Retail has already voted, migrating to L2s so completely that mainnet active addresses look like a ghost town next to Solana’s. And the fragmentation tax is real: liquidity split across a dozen rollups with seven-day optimistic exits is a worse user experience than one chain with 400-millisecond finality, no matter how elegant the settlement theory. The KelpDAO exploit this spring, which erased $13 billion of TVL in 48 hours of contagion, showed that composability depth cuts in both directions.
Both assets, meanwhile, have been terrible investments this year, a market-wide condition tied to the macro regime we examined in the context of Bitcoin’s liquidity dependence. Fee revenue and active addresses have not protected SOL holders from a 78% peak drawdown, and settlement supremacy has not protected ETH holders from underperforming Bitcoin for most of the cycle. Whatever race is being run, neither token’s chart looks like a victory lap, and on-chain fundamentals have been decoupled from price across the majors for much of 2026.
So who is actually winning? Frame the question three ways and you get three defensible answers.
If the L1 race means base-layer usage, Solana won it, and the margin is no longer close. Two hundred times Ethereum’s L1 throughput, forty times its transaction count, five times its daily fee revenue, and a lead in DEX volume that has survived every market regime since late 2024. By the definition of Layer 1 that existed when the rivalry started, the contest is over.
If the race means where value lives, Ethereum is not losing and may never lose within this cycle. A 68% share of global DeFi TVL, 70% of stablecoin supply, the institutional tokenization pipeline, and the largest developer base in the industry constitute a network-effect fortress that Solana’s growth has dented but nowhere near breached. Capital has inertia, and inertia compounds.
If the race means trajectory, the tape favors Solana with an asterisk. It is winning new users, new listed products, new enterprise integrations, and the ETF flow battle. The asterisk is that trajectory arguments assume the current regime persists, and Solana’s flow-heavy economy is more exposed than Ethereum’s stock-heavy one to the next collapse in speculative appetite. Ethereum’s Fusaka upgrade cycle and the second-half protocol roadmap that all major chains have queued for late 2026 could reshuffle the technical comparison again.
The most likely outcome is also the least satisfying for partisans: permanent coexistence with divided territory. Ethereum settles and custodies. Solana executes and trades. Builders already behave as if this is settled, deploying on both by default. The 2025 framing of an L1 war with a single survivor has quietly died, not with a bang but with two chains discovering they are optimized for markets the other cannot serve.
What could flip the board before December Split decisions invite the obvious follow-up: what would actually change the standings? Four live catalysts carry enough weight to move the argument rather than the noise.
Ethereum’s upgrade cycle is the first. The Fusaka window and the broader second-half protocol roadmap target another step-change in data capacity, and the ecosystem’s real prize sits next to it: any credible mechanism that routes L2 economic success back into ETH, whether through based sequencing, native rollup designs, or fee-market reform, would repair the value-capture hole that has haunted the asset since Dencun. Markets have front-run Ethereum upgrades before; a roadmap that finally answers the accrual question would be the first fundamental ETH catalyst in two years.
Firedancer completion is the second. Solana’s independent validator client moving to full deployment removes the single-client risk that institutions cite most, and its throughput headroom opens application categories, full order-book markets, high-frequency payment networks, that no chain currently serves. If even one breakout consumer or enterprise application lands on that capacity, Solana’s volume base diversifies away from memecoins, which neutralizes the strongest bear argument against its fee economy.
ETF mechanics are the third. Staking-enabled fund structures, under active regulatory discussion for both assets, would transform the flow picture: a spot product yielding 3% to 7% natively changes the allocator pitch entirely, and the asset that gets staking approval first inherits a durable flow advantage. Watch the filings, not the influencers.
Treasury companies are the fourth and strangest. BitMine’s multimillion-ETH accumulation and the emerging class of SOL treasury vehicles mean corporate balance sheets now sit inside both ecosystems as permanent, price-insensitive holders. The Strategy playbook applied to ETH and SOL is small today; its growth rate through a recovering market could make treasuries the marginal buyer that decides which token outperforms, independent of every on-chain metric in this article.
The verdict for the second half Ethereum is losing the L1 race as originally defined, and it forfeited that race by choice when it went all-in on rollups. Solana is winning everything measurable at the base layer while still trailing badly where the institutional money actually sits. Watch three numbers through December: whether Ethereum ETF flows recover once its next upgrade lands, whether Firedancer’s full rollout converts Solana’s throughput ceiling into new categories of application, and whether Solana DeFi TVL can hold above $12 billion without memecoin volume subsidizing it. The chain that answers its own weakness first will own the 2027 narrative. Until then, the war everyone expected has settled into something stranger: two winners, two different games, and one increasingly obsolete question.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Digital asset markets are volatile, and you can lose your entire investment. Always do your own research. Information current as of July 3, 2026.
Transaction patterns are changing fast across the Solana network. A notable segment of investors has begun to move away from speculative memecoin trading, shifting their focus to major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. This move underscores a broader transformation for Solana as it evolves from being associated mainly with short term speculation to becoming a platform supporting a wide scope of real world applications and diverse digital assets.
Changing trends in transaction compositionMarket analyst Kylobayd reports that cross chain token transactions on Solana have reached an impressive $211.7 million. The surge in liquidity for assets coming from networks like Bitcoin and Ethereum highlights how investor interest is tilting toward well established cryptocurrencies over purely speculative meme assets.
With cross chain token transactions on Solana hitting $211.7 million, the network’s activity base has clearly expanded beyond the memecoin craze.
While the largest category of transactions still leads with $259 million, the gap between it and the cross chain segment is now down to just 18 percent. Analysts see this narrowing margin as evidence that Solana’s ecosystem is gradually diversifying and reducing its previous reliance on a single asset class.
This growing diversification could help decentralized exchanges on Solana achieve more balanced liquidity instead of being driven by the wild swings of a single token. The current trend also supports the integration of decentralized finance (DeFi) and cross chain asset utilization within Solana’s high performance, low cost blockchain infrastructure.
All eyes on the $120 technical targetThe technical outlook for Solana’s native token, SOL, is turning increasingly bullish. According to analyst BATMAN, a classic Wyckoff structure has recently completed on the SOL chart, with the price reclaiming its previous trading range after a significant sweep of liquidity.
Mini glossary: The Wyckoff structure is a technical analysis approach that describes price movements in stages like accumulation, false breakouts, and rallies. Regaining support in this pattern typically signals that buyers are regaining strength.
After retreating from above $200, SOL moved sideways for months within the $76 to $98 zone. This prolonged consolidation period pointed to a balance between buyers and sellers, but recent renewed demand is now sparking signals of a possible trend reversal.
IndicatorLevelLong term trading range$76 to $98Regained support$76 to $78Analysts’ target zone$120 to $125Current approximate level$81Short dips below key support may have triggered the stop loss orders of bearish traders. Analysts interpret this as textbook Wyckoff action, where strong hands accumulate while weak positions are flushed out.
The powerful candlestick that followed the reclaim of the $76 to $78 region indicates renewed buying pressure entering the market.
If SOL is able to sustain its hold above the $76 to $78 support, the next closely watched technical target stands at $120 to $125. Relative to its current level near $81, this would represent close to 50 percent upside potential.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Crypto market recovery signs are flashing amid July seasonality and rising liquidity. Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and XRP prices have already rebounded significantly ahead of options expiry today.
BTC price has surged more than 6% to $62K since CoinGape predicted bullish crypto market reset for recovery last week. Over the last 24 hours, the crypto market saw nearly $300 million in short liquidations after US nonfarm payrolls came below expectations.
Over $2.2 Billion in Bitcoin, ETH, XRP Options Expiry Today According to Deribit data, $1.9 billion in Bitcoin options with a put/call ratio of 0.70 are expiring today, July 3. The max pain price is $61,000, below the current $61,626 market price.
Deribit data shows a higher probability of expiring above $61,500 strike price. Moreover, options traders are betting on $64K, $66K and $70K call options for upcoming weekly and monthly expiries.
In the last 24 hours, call options trading volume is higher than put options and has a bullish put/call ratio of 0.75. Falling implied volume and rising 25-delta skew indicate a transition from panic to stability, signaling a potential crypto market recovery.
Bitcoin Options Open Interest. Source: Deribit Meanwhile, $230 million in ETH options to expire today, with a put/call ratio of 1.29. However, the put/call ratio has decreased to 1 as bulls open calls for a $2,500 strike price in September.
The max pain price is $1650, below the current Ethereum price of $1713. Deribit data shows a 91% odds of Ethereum expiring above $1700.
ETH Options Expiry. Source: Deribit XRP options of notional value $3.7 million are set to expire today, with a put/call ratio of 1.06. The max pain price is $1.06, with Deribit data suggesting a $1.14 target by July-end amid broader crypto market recovery.
XRP price is currently trading at $1.10, up 5% over the past 24 hours. The recovery followed US jobs data that raised hopes of a Fed rate cut.
XRP Options Expiry Analysts Predict Crypto Market Recovery Bitcoin price is trading above the 7-day moving average, but still below the 30-day moving average. 10x Research pointed out that heavy supply pressure mounted when the Winklevoss Twins transferred Bitcoin and ETH worth $67 million to Gemini crypto exchange to secure profits.
However, a sudden buying spree by long-term holders helped establish a firm price floor. This happened after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh declined to signal imminent interest rate hikes.
Bitcoin July Seasonality. Source: 10x Research Markus Thielen from 10x Research said “July has historically been Bitcoin’s strongest month, averaging +9.1% returns, before the market typically flattens out through August and September.”
The latest Bitcoin rebound from $58K to nearly $62K comes amid support from derivatives traders. BTC, ETH, and XRP futures open interest have climbed massively in the past 24 hours.
Analyst Cheds Trading noted Bitcoin price recovery, but warned about a hidden bearish divergence with RSI on the daily timeframe. Bitcoin price faces local resistance at the $62.5K zone, which is near the key 200-week moving average.
Bitcoin Hidden Bearish Divergence with RSI. Source: Cheds Trading
Ethereum has made a notable comeback in the past 24 hours, rising more than 5 percent to once again cross the $1,650 mark. As the world’s second largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, Ethereum has posted a weekly gain of 8.05 percent. Nevertheless, the price still lags well behind the key $2,000 level that was lost earlier this year.
Short liquidations drive the rallyA wave of forced liquidations in the derivatives market played a crucial role in Ethereum’s price rebound. Over the last 24 hours, approximately $92 million worth of short positions betting against Ethereum were closed out. Across the broader crypto asset market, total liquidations exceeded $475 million during the same period. This highlights that the rally was fueled not only by spot buying, but also by the rapid shut-down of leveraged bearish bets.
Ethereum’s futures trading volume surged by nearly 29 percent, reaching $43.4 billion. Open interest climbed above $22.8 billion, and options volume jumped about 57 percent to $915 million. The rise in both open interest and price indicates sustained influx of new capital into the Ethereum market.
Funding rates have remained in positive territory, reflecting ongoing investor appetite for long positions in the short term. This suggests traders are willing to pay a premium for maintaining bullish bets.
An eye-catching technical signal on the monthly chartAnalyst Ali Martinez noted that as July began, Ethereum’s monthly chart flashed a buy signal from the TD Sequential indicator. The same technical signal appeared in September 2022 and March 2025, each preceding major rallies of 235 percent and 182 percent respectively. The current signal has therefore drawn increased attention across the market.
Mini glossary: The TD Sequential is a technical indicator developed by Tom DeMark, aiming to spot exhaustion or trend reversal in price movements. The MVRV compares an asset’s market capitalization with its realized value to determine whether it is historically overpriced or undervalued.
Ali Martinez emphasized that the monthly TD Sequential buy signal seen at the start of July has only occurred twice before in Ethereum’s history, each time followed by a powerful rally.
Martinez also observed that Ethereum’s bounce from $1,549 coincided with the negative 1.0 sigma band of the MVRV extreme deviation model, a technical framework widely used to track historically suppressed price zones.
ETF outflows limit institutional appetiteOn the institutional side, capital flow into spot Ethereum ETFs has taken a cautious turn. Since June 17, spot Ethereum ETFs have logged a cumulative net outflow of $358.3 million. This development suggests that despite recent price gains, institutional investors have yet to trigger a significant accumulation phase.
Ted Pillows pointed out that even though Ethereum has recovered above $1,600, a solid confirmation of bullish momentum would require reclaiming the $1,700 to $1,750 range. Otherwise, the price could revisit yearly lows.
Watch these key levels: $1,700 and $1,550In the near term, the key resistance lies at $1,700. If broken, the $1,800 to $1,850 region becomes the next target, which coincides with Ethereum’s 50-day moving average. On the downside, a drop below $1,600 could mean a retest of the significant $1,550 support zone.
IndicatorLevelCurrent priceAround $1,650First resistance$1,700Upper resistance zone$1,800 to $1,850Main support$1,550Major investor moves are also under close watch in the market. Notably, “Machi Big Brother”, a well-known crypto whale, increased his Ethereum holdings after reducing exposure in some NFT assets. Such moves strengthen the expectation that some large players are eyeing current prices as an entry opportunity.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Upbit will add Metaplex (MPLX) for BTC and USDT pairs and Nexus (NEX) for a USDT pair on July 3. Metaplex assists in creating infrastructure for digital assets based on the Solana blockchain, and Nexus builds a Layer 1 blockchain. Upbit, South Korea’s largest cryptocurrency exchange platform, announced the listing of Metaplex (MPLX) and Nexus (NEX). MPLX will be available to trade with BTC and USDT trading pairs on the Solana blockchain platform. NEX will be listed in the USDT market on the Ethereum network. Deposits and withdrawals will start two hours from the time of the announcement.
Scheduled Launch of MPLX and NEX Upbit has announced that MPLX will begin trading at 3:00 PM local time on July 3. Trading for NEX will be launched by the exchange at 6:00 PM local time on July 3. The users have been asked to ensure that deposits happen only through the supported blockchain networks, as deposits made via unsupported networks will not be credited. Upbit has also mentioned that insufficient liquidity may lead to delayed trading due to unfavorable market conditions.
The platform implemented temporary trading restrictions to ensure smooth market operations after listing these two cryptocurrencies. Upbit has put a restriction on buying orders in the first five minutes after trading. All orders, except limit orders, will not be available for 2 hours after listing. Upbit has put a restriction on selling orders that are at least 10% below the previous close price.
Metaplex and Nexus Extend Their Infrastructure Services Metaplex is an infrastructure protocol for digital assets with NFT support, token minting, metadata handling, and mass asset creation in the Solana and Solana Virtual Machine blockchain networks. This protocol allows the standardization of metadata of the assets along with NFT collections, compressed NFTs, and token drops using various ecosystem services. Metaplex also unveiled Agent Registry and Agent Tokens, extending the infrastructure of Metaplex in the direction of on-chain identity registration and token creation. MPLX tokens allow participating in governance, managing treasuries, and certain ecosystem services in the Metaplex DAO.
Nexus builds a Layer 1 blockchain by incorporating verifiable computation capabilities with finance use cases. This network leverages Cosmos SDK, CometBFT, and Ethereum-based smart contracts together with Nexus zkVM for the verification of computing resources from outside the chain. Nexus is also going to extend its ecosystem via Nexus Exchange and the USDX settlement ecosystem. The NEX tokens act as the native gas tokens of the network while staking and compensating computation providers. Upbit also advised users that their deposits should be in compliance with the Travel Rule.
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I specialize in Web3 and crypto writing, producing clear, research-driven content on blockchain, cryptocurrencies, and market trends.
Ethereum price traded near $1,715 on July 3, according to crypto.news price data, after rising more than 6% over 24 hours.
Summary
Ethereum reclaimed $1,700 as ETF inflows returned, but exchange netflows still warn of selling pressure. Monthly TD Sequential signals suggest seller exhaustion, while MACD and RSI show early recovery momentum. Binance withdrawal spikes point to accumulation, but rising open interest keeps volatility risk elevated. The move pushed ETH back above the $1,700 area, a level traders have watched closely after weeks of selling pressure.
The rebound came as U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs returned to inflows. On July 2, spot Ethereum ETFs recorded total net inflows of $29.08 million, according to SoSoValue data. BlackRock’s ETHA led the group with $29.74 million in net inflows, while Grayscale’s ETHE recorded outflows of $2.75 million.
Ethereum spot ETF net inflow, source: SoSoValue The token had already been eyeing a $1,700 breakout after July 1 ETF inflows returned. That earlier shift helped ease pressure around the $1,500 support region, but ETH still needed a stronger move above $1,700 to improve its short-term chart.
The next area to watch is $1,800. A clean move above that level could show that buyers are gaining control after the recent drawdown. Failure to hold $1,700 may return focus to $1,650 and then the lower support region near $1,500.
Ethereum Technical indicators improve Ethereum’s short-term indicators are showing better momentum. The MACD histogram is positive near 19.33, while the MACD line sits around -49.01 and above the signal line near -68.34. That confirms the recent bullish crossover has gained strength.
The broader signal is not fully bullish yet because both MACD lines remain below the zero line. This means downside pressure has eased, but the token has not confirmed a full trend reversal. Traders usually look for MACD follow-through toward the zero line before calling a stronger recovery.
Ethereum (ETH) price chart, source: crypto.news The RSI also improved. It stood near 51.85, above its moving average near 38.12. This move above 50 shows buyers are starting to regain control after a weak June.
Crypto analyst Ali Charts said the token has printed a monthly TD Sequential buy signal. In his view, the signal suggests seller exhaustion on a higher timeframe. He also said ETH is approaching a long-term support area near $1,100, which he described as the bottom boundary of Ethereum’s multi-year channel.
ETHEREUM: BULLISH REVERSAL SIGNAL
The month of July has officially kicked off with a massive technical signal. The Tom DeMark (TD) Sequential indicator has just printed a buy signal on Ethereum’s monthly chart.
While a lot of volatility can play out within a newly opened… https://t.co/LNkygeYlUV pic.twitter.com/U8t1iKl3Th
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) July 2, 2026 Ali Charts pointed to $3,000 as a mid-range recovery target if that lower channel holds. He also placed the broader channel ceiling near $5,000. Those levels are long-term technical targets, not short-term price calls.
ETH/BTC setup draws attention Ethereum’s performance against Bitcoin is also drawing attention. Crypto Rover said an ETH/BTC golden cross is forming, with the 50-week moving average moving toward a cross above the 100-week moving average. He said the last similar signal in 2021 came before ETH outperformed Bitcoin.
That setup matters because ETH has lagged Bitcoin during the broader market decline. A stronger ETH/BTC pair would show that capital is rotating back toward Ethereum rather than only following Bitcoin’s rebound.
ETH/BTC GOLDEN CROSS IS FORMING.
50 week crossing above the 100 week.
The last golden cross, 2021, kicked off $ETH outperformance.
The death crosses marked $ETH weakness. pic.twitter.com/AKUHlnMUqb
— Crypto Rover (@cryptorover) July 3, 2026 Derivatives data also shows rising activity. According to Coinglass data, ETH volume rose 14.48% to $44.74 billion, while open interest increased 10.64% to $24.54 billion. Options volume climbed 30.19% to $1.41 billion, and options open interest rose 6.67% to $4.43 billion.
Rising open interest can support stronger price moves when buyers lead the market. It can also raise liquidation risk if leveraged positions build too quickly. For that reason, the current derivatives setup points to more volatility rather than a clean bullish trend.
On-chain signals remain mixed CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost said Binance ETH withdrawal transactions hit their highest level in three years. Binance reportedly logged more than 166,000 withdrawal transactions in one day as ETH rebounded from the $1,500 area.
Exchange withdrawals can point to accumulation when users move coins into self-custody. They can also show funds moving into DeFi for yield. Darkfost said some withdrawals may also reflect confusion around MiCA rules that took effect on July 1, even though withdrawals were not frozen.
Ethereum (ETH) exchange withdrawing transactions, source: CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost Another CryptoQuant analyst, PelinayPA, gave a more cautious reading. The analyst said Binance ETH exchange netflow remained positive at +12,938 ETH, meaning more ETH was moving into the exchange than leaving it. Positive netflow can create selling risk because coins on exchanges are easier to sell.
That contrast keeps the short-term outlook balanced. Withdrawal transactions suggest some users may be accumulating. Positive netflow and rising open interest suggest selling pressure and leverage have not disappeared.
Institutional activity adds support Ethereum also has support from corporate and institutional activity. As crypto.news reported, Ethereum Institutional launched with backing from BitMine, SharpLink, Joe Lubin, and other contributors to support adoption by banks, asset managers, custodians, and financial firms.
BitMine has continued building its Ethereum treasury. As previously reported, BitMine added 27,084 ETH, lifting its holdings to more than 5.7 million ETH, or about 4.7% of Ethereum’s supply.
SharpLink has also kept buying during weakness. The company bought another 10,000 ETH for $16.1 million as Ethereum tested lower support.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
A technical signal appearing on Ethereum’s monthly chart has strengthened expectations that a significant bottom may be forming in the market. Crypto analyst and investor Ali Martinez stated in his assessment on the social media platform X that the TD Sequential indicator on Ethereum’s (ETH) monthly chart has generated a new “buy” signal. According to the analyst, this development indicates that a strong bottom may be forming in ETH.
Martinez highlighted the significance of the current outlook, drawing attention to past signals given by the indicator. According to the analyst, TD Sequential generated a sell signal for Ethereum in September 2021, after which the ETH price fell by approximately 78 percent.
Then, a buy signal that emerged in September 2022 was followed by a strong 235% increase. Martinez also recalled that another buy signal seen in March 2025 preceded an approximately 182% increase in Ethereum.
Ali Martinez pointed out that the signal currently seen is the first buy signal to appear on the monthly chart since March 2025. Therefore, he stated that the current technical outlook could be indicative of a larger bottom formation rather than just a short-term recovery.
According to the analyst, the relatively high accuracy rate of the TD Sequential indicator in the past suggests that selling pressure on Ethereum may be beginning to wane on a macro scale. This means that the recent price correction could be part of a larger process of forming a significant short-term or cyclical bottom.
However, market experts emphasize that technical indicators alone are not sufficient for definitive direction, and that the Ethereum price continues to be strongly influenced by factors such as macroeconomic developments, Bitcoin’s trajectory, spot ETF flows, and overall risk appetite.
*This is not investment advice.
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Key Highlights Ondo Finance introduced blockchain versions of BlackRock’s iShares Core S&P 500 ETF and Micron Technology stock on the Ethereum network First instance of third-party tokenization of US-listed securities on public blockchain infrastructure following SEC custodial guidelines Digital token owners receive complete shareholder privileges, including corporate governance voting through Broadridge’s system Tokenized equity sector expanded 147% during 2026, achieving $5.5 billion in total market capitalization Ondo’s worldwide platform encompasses over 430 stocks and ETFs with close to 181,000 distinct token holders Ondо Finance unveiled blockchain-based representations of BlackRock’s iShares Core S&P 500 ETF and Micron Technology stock this Thursday. These offerings operate within the SEC’s third-party custody framework initially detailed in January.
As America turns 250, U.S. securities have come onchain on U.S. rails.
Today, Ondo Finance announced the first-ever live solution of third-party tokenized U.S. securities operating entirely within the existing regulatory perimeter in the U.S., in partnership with @Broadridge… pic.twitter.com/auHGrXFtrv
— Ondo Finance (@OndoFinance) July 2, 2026
This represents a groundbreaking moment where a third-party entity has successfully tokenized securities listed in the United States on public blockchain infrastructure while maintaining compliance with current US regulatory standards. Earlier comparable offerings either functioned overseas or demanded direct issuer sponsorship.
The actual shares remain within the traditional US custody system. Ondo’s SEC-registered transfer agent division, Oasis Pro TA, creates digital tokens with one-to-one backing from the underlying securities. These blockchain tokens are deployed on Ethereum and maintained by licensed custodians.
Understanding the Custody Architecture Within the SEC’s regulatory structure, a third-party custodian maintains possession of the underlying securities while issuing cryptocurrency tokens that represent the investor’s beneficial ownership of those assets. Transfer limitations are administered by broker-dealers, transfer agents, and custodial institutions following established regulations.
Ondo CEO Ian De Bode stated the rollout demonstrates that securities tokenization can satisfy both marketplace demands and regulatory standards for investors in the US and internationally.
Digital token owners enjoy identical privileges as conventional stockholders. This encompasses receiving issuer notifications and participating in onchain governance voting via Broadridge’s ProxyVote.com infrastructure.
Corporate Governance Rights Extended to Tokenized Securities The collaboration with Broadridge represents a critical component of this development. Owners of more than 250 tokenized securities accessible through Ondo can now engage in proxy voting processes and review corporate documents. The integration leverages a Web3-adapted version of Broadridge’s shareholder communications technology, enabling users to verify their identity using blockchain wallets.
This resolves a frequent objection to tokenized equities — that participants would forfeit the governance privileges associated with conventional direct share ownership.
Ondо’s Global Markets infrastructure operating beyond US borders already facilitates over $1 billion in tokenized securities spanning more than 430 stocks and ETFs. In June, the firm collaborated with Exodus to introduce Exodus Markets on Solana, providing qualified participants with access to over 200 tokenized stocks, ETFs, and real-world assets.
The tokenized equity sector experienced rapid expansion throughout 2026. Market capitalization reached $5.5 billion as of June 8, representing approximately 147% growth from $2.23 billion recorded at year’s beginning. The segment currently ranks as the fourth-largest category within the real-world asset marketplace.
Aggregate tokenized stock valuation reached $1.67 billion with nearly 181,000 distinct holders, based on Ondo’s figures. The market has experienced almost 14-fold growth since May 2025.
Rival platforms including Backed Finance are similarly scaling operations, with tokenized equities now accessible through multiple cryptocurrency exchanges and blockchain ecosystems. A recent Binance analysis revealed tokenized real-world assets increased nearly 600% throughout the previous year.
The Friday expiry session delivered a clear split between Bitcoin and Ether derivatives positioning. A combined $2.13 billion in options notional value settled as 31,000 BTC contracts and 135,000 ETH contracts matured, but the underlying sentiment metrics told two very different stories, according to the market update from WuBlockchain.
Bitcoin’s put-call ratio came in at 0.70, meaning roughly 10 put contracts expired for every 14 calls. A reading below 1 typically signals that traders favored upside exposure, either through outright calls or protective strategies sold into strength. The $1.9 billion in notional value also set the stage for a non-trivial delta hedging unwind as the settlement window closed.
Ether, by contrast, printed a put-call ratio of 1.29. More puts than calls pointed toward a market bracing for downside or hedging aggressively. The $230 million in ETH options notional was a fraction of the Bitcoin tally, but the direction of the ratio was unmistakably cautious. Maximum pain for Ether sat at $1,650—a level that would leave the bulk of open interest worthless and that has historically acted as a magnet during expiry hours.
Bitcoin’s own max pain point was $61,000. When spot prices gravitate toward that strike, options sellers—often market makers—collect premium with minimal payout obligations. Whether the week’s price action respected those gravitational pulls is the kind of detail that matters for desk traders recalibrating gamma exposure. The data alone cannot confirm a direct cause, but the dynamic is well understood by platforms that track weekly expiries.
The divergence between the two largest crypto assets by market cap isn’t happenstance. Bitcoin has been absorbing institutional flows for months, with open interest on Deribit and CME reflecting a market that is increasingly about macro hedging rather than pure speculation. Ether, on the other hand, deals with a more complex narrative: staking yields, Layer-2 fee reduction pressures, and ongoing debates about its monetary premium. The higher put-call ratio may simply reflect a structural need to hedge these moving parts.
That backdrop makes the options data a useful snapshot, not a prophecy. Some altcoin movers ignored any cautious signals, with names like TON, SIREN, and VVV booking large weekly gains during the same window. It’s a reminder that options flow on the majors captures only part of the market’s risk appetite.
What remains uncertain is whether the ETH put dominance will translate into spot pressure or was simply a one-week hedge against an event that didn’t materialize. Post-expiry, the options market resets, and flows rebuild. If the max pain theory held, Ether may have spent the session pinned near $1,650, but the clearing of that concentration also frees up directional bets for the following week.
Longer-term, the expansion of the options market continues to alter how crypto trades. The tokenization of real-world assets, for one, has drawn institutional eyes toward on-chain yields, with RWAs crossing $20 billion in recent weeks. When capital allocators can earn yield on tokenized Treasuries or private credit, their options positioning on BTC and ETH becomes more nuanced. A put isn’t just a short bet; it’s part of a larger portfolio construction puzzle.
Underneath the derivatives surface, network fundamentals haven’t stood still either. The chains that dominate developer mindshare—Ethereum, BNB Chain, Polygon, Solana—continue to see robust activity, as highlighted by this week’s developer activity rankings. That kind of sustained building gives the options market something genuine to hedge.
For the immediate term, traders will be watching whether Ether’s put-call ratio moderates in the next weekly expiry or if it signals a more entrenched defensive posture. Bitcoin’s call-heavy expiry, while seemingly bullish, doesn’t preclude a shakeout. Max pain levels often act as a target, not a floor, and the mechanics of dealer hedging can amplify moves in either direction after settlement.
AUTHOR
Brenda is a writer with three years of experience specializing in cryptocurrency, artificial intelligence and emerging technologies. She graduated from the University of Mombasa with a degree in Psychology. She has worked at Cryptopolitan and Blockchain Reporter.
Remember when I kept telling you to watch the exit doors instead of the price? For weeks, Ethereum‘s supply was quietly tightening, coins leaving exchanges, staking hitting records, while the price did nothing but bleed and everyone ignored it. Well, this week the ignoring stopped.
ETH is trading at $1,719, up 6.4% on the day, the strongest of all the major coins, and up nearly 9% on the week (live ETH price on CoinGecko). And the thing that lit the fuse is exactly the kind of demand the tight supply was waiting for. Let me walk you through it.
The fund that changed the mood Here is the headline that matters. BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, launched a new staked Ethereum fund called ETHB, and it pulled in $100 million on its very first day.
Why is that such a big deal? Two reasons. First, “staked” is the magic word: unlike the older Ethereum ETFs, this fund passes staking yield to investors, the roughly 3% that Ethereum pays for securing the network. That was always Solana’s ETF advantage, and now Ethereum has its own yield-bearing product from the biggest name in finance. Second, $100 million on day one is a statement of demand. After months of watching money drain out of crypto funds, institutions just showed up for Ethereum with real size on the first day they got a product they liked.
And it did not happen in a vacuum. Bitcoin ETFs just logged five straight days of inflows led by BlackRock’s IBIT, the first sustained streak in months. The institutional money that vanished this spring is stepping back in, and Ethereum is getting the biggest single dose of it.
Why ETH is moving so hard Now connect this to the supply story we have been following. Ethereum’s exchange reserves have been sitting at all-time lows around 14.5 million ETH, and the staking ratio at record highs near a third of all supply. Translation: there is less ETH available to buy on the open market than at any point in years.
So what happens when fresh demand, a $100 million fund launch, a short squeeze that liquidated $281 million in bearish bets across crypto, and a dovish shift from Fed Chair Warsh, hits a market with record-thin sellable supply? Exactly what you saw: the price moves fast. A 6.4% daily jump is what a supply squeeze looks like when it finally meets a demand spark. This is the mechanism I have been describing for weeks, just running in the direction nobody positioned for.
The macro helped too. Warsh said inflation risks had eased, the first genuinely dovish note from the new Fed chair, and markets are now watching US jobs data as the next potential fuel. After a hawkish June that crushed crypto, even a small change in the Fed’s tone lands with force.
The honest caveats, as always I owe you the other side, because one great day does not erase a hard year. ETH is still down more than 60% from its 2025 high near $4,950, and this bounce, however real its drivers, has not yet broken the larger downtrend. The level that changes that conversation is $1,800, the resistance ETH rejected during the selloff, and then the big one at $2,000. Until those fall, this is a strong rally inside a bear market, not a confirmed reversal.
And remember what carried ETH down: it falls harder than Bitcoin when fear returns. If the jobs data disappoints or the Fed walks back the dovish tone, the same beta that powered this 6% jump works in reverse. Enjoy the move; respect the trend.
The levels I’m watching Above: $1,750 first, then the real test at $1,800, and the prize at $2,000, where the recovery becomes undeniable. Below: $1,650 is the first support, then $1,600, the floor that held through the worst of it. As long as ETH holds above $1,650, this breakout attempt stays alive.
Where this leaves us Ethereum at $1,719 is having its best day in months, leading every major coin, and for once the reason is concrete: BlackRock’s staked ETH fund drew $100 million on day one, right into a market with record-low sellable supply and record-high staking. The squeeze we watched build all spring finally met its demand spark, with a dovish Fed and a short squeeze as accelerants.
It is not a confirmed trend change yet, $1,800 and $2,000 stand in the way, and ETH’s high beta cuts both ways. But the thing the bears said would never come, institutional demand returning to Ethereum, just showed up with a nine-figure opening day. Watch $1,800. The quiet story is not quiet anymore.
FAQ What is the Ethereum price today? Ethereum is trading around $1,719 on July 3, 2026, up 6.4% on the day, the strongest performance among major coins, and up nearly 9% on the week.
Why is Ethereum going up today? BlackRock launched a staked Ethereum fund, ETHB, that drew $100 million on its first day, landing in a market with record-low exchange supply. A dovish signal from Fed Chair Warsh, a $281 million short squeeze, and five straight days of Bitcoin ETF inflows added fuel.
What is BlackRock’s ETHB fund? ETHB is BlackRock’s new staked Ethereum fund, which passes Ethereum’s staking yield (roughly 3%) to investors, unlike older ETH ETFs. Its $100 million first-day inflow signals returning institutional demand for Ethereum.
What are the key Ethereum levels to watch? Resistance sits at $1,750, then the key $1,800 level, with $2,000 as the milestone that would confirm a real recovery. Support is $1,650, then $1,600. Holding above $1,650 keeps the breakout attempt alive.
Is the Ethereum recovery confirmed? Not yet. ETH remains down over 60% from its 2025 high, and the larger downtrend holds until $1,800 and then $2,000 are reclaimed. The rally has concrete drivers, but ETH’s high beta means it would fall hard again if the macro mood reverses.
This is not investment advice. Cryptocurrency is highly volatile. Always do your own research.
Ethereum News: Grayscale’s Ethereum Staking ETF Just Had Its CFO Resign
Ahmed Barakat
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Ahmed Barakat
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Ahmed Balaha is a journalist and copywriter based in Georgia with a growing focus on blockchain technology, DeFi, AI, privacy, digital assets, and fintech innovation.
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Ethereum News: Grayscale Investments filed a Form 8-K for its Grayscale Ethereum Staking Mini ETF on July 2, 2026, disclosing the departure of CFO Edward McGee after seven years and his replacement by co-CFOs Kathryn Masci and Daniel Plourde on an interim basis, a governance shift at one of the most structurally sophisticated crypto ETF products currently listed in the U.S. market.
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Ethereum News: What the 8-K Actually Says, and What It Doesn’tThe 8-K filed with the SEC falls under the category covering departures, elections, and appointments of directors or certain officers, along with compensatory arrangements.
That category requires disclosure of the event but does not mandate full detail on circumstances, severance terms, or strategic rationale in the initial filing itself.
Kathryn Masci signed the filing as Co-Chief Financial Officer and Principal Financial and Accounting Officer of Grayscale Investments Sponsors, LLC.
Source: SEC FilingHer background runs through Ernst & Young and Garrison Capital before she joined Grayscale in May 2020. Daniel Plourde, the second interim co-CFO, brings institutional ETF operations experience from SPDR ETF Trusts at State Street and Gabelli Funds – a combination that reads more like deliberate succession planning than an emergency scramble.
The structural significance of this governance event is modest in isolation. McGee’s exit does not appear to implicate fund strategy, staking policy, or custody operations.
What it does add to is a pattern of active corporate housekeeping at the sponsor level throughout 2025 and 2026, including the creation of a new Board of Managers for the Sponsor on May 4, 2026 – a context that makes the July filing look like a continuation of planned restructuring rather than a reactive disclosure.
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The Fund Itself: Numbers That Matter More Than the FilingThe leadership change is the headline event, but the operational data behind the spot Ethereum ETF is where the real story sits.
The fund held over 861,000 Ethereum as of Q1 2026, up from roughly 734,000 ETH at the start of the year, net creations of approximately 218,500 ETH during the quarter, which translated to around $337 million in net inflows and ranked the fund as the top U.S. Ethereum ETP by Q1 inflows as reported by most news.
Source: BitboThe staking yield mechanics are straightforward but worth quantifying precisely. Approximately 67% of the fund’s ETH is actively staked on Ethereum’s proof-of-stake network, generating a gross staking reward rate of approximately 2.88% annualized – the trailing 60-day figure Grayscale cited in January 2026.
Q1 2026 staking income came in at $8.38 million, with net investment income of $7.41 million after the fund’s 0.15% management fee. Total staking rewards generated since October 2025 have crossed $15 million.
That 2.88% gross yield against a 0.15% fee is a genuinely competitive structure. Non-staking spot ETH products capture price exposure only; holders of those funds absorb the fee drag without the partial offset that staking rewards provide.
The question for competing issuers is whether regulatory clarity on staking in registered fund structures,still evolving as of mid-2026, will allow them to match this product’s architecture or whether Grayscale’s first-mover position in staked Ethereum ETPs hardens further.
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As the crypto market begins to see a rapid shift in investor behavior and momentum appears to be building again, Ethereum withdrawal transactions on Binance are beginning to retest record levels.
According to the latest data provided by crypto analytics platform CryptoQuant, Ethereum withdrawal transactions on Binance have surged to their highest level in more than three years.
166,000 ETH exit Binance in 24 hoursFollowing the surge in Ethereum withdrawal activity seen on the leading crypto exchange, the data further showed that Binance recorded over 166,000 ETH withdrawal activity in a single day.
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Apparently, this marks the strongest single-day withdrawal activity the exchange has seen since March 2023, signaling a sudden surge in interest among investors.
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The sharp surge in Ethereum withdrawals on Binance has sparked discussions across the crypto community amid rising curiosity about the sudden shift in investor sentiment.
While the surge happened around the $1,500 price level, analysts have predicted that investors may have considered the level as an attractive entry point, causing them to aggressively accumulate the asset at this level.
Ethereum down 67% from 2025 peakFurthermore, the surge in Ethereum withdrawals on Binance arrived at a time when Ethereum is attempting to recover after suffering a prolonged market correction.
Prior to the sudden rise in Ethereum withdrawals, the asset continued to face consistent price declines since its previous peak in early 2025.
Over this period, Ethereum has fallen by about 67%, a decline estimated to be about 15% deeper than Bitcoin's decline during the same period.
However, the past two days have seen Ethereum show signs of recovery, rebounding to above $1,700 after posting a notable increase of about 10% within just 48 hours.