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2026-06-11 21:01 1mo ago
2026-03-23 11:14 4mo ago
Monday's rally in Entain and Flutter may not survive contact with reality
ENT-L Entain
FMP Stock News
Original source text
Monday's share price surge for Entain PLC (LSE:ENT) and Flutter Entertainment PLC (LSE:FLTR, NYSE:FLUT) reflects genuine relief at the Wall Street Journal's report of bipartisan Senate legislation. But a bill is not a business model, and the forces driving prediction market growth remain intact.

The market's reaction to the Journal's report is understandable. Entain jumped 9%, Flutter rose 5% premarket, and analysts at Citi were quick to call it.

On the surface, legislation that would strip Kalshi and Polymarket of their ability to offer sports contracts looks like a significant competitive reprieve for licensed operators who have spent years and hundreds of millions of dollars navigating state-by-state regulatory approval.

The rally may be getting ahead of the reality.

A bill is not yet a law

Congressional legislation targeting a well-funded industry with sympathetic executive-branch regulators is rarely straightforward.

The CFTC chairman, Michael Selig, has publicly positioned his agency as the preeminent and exclusive federal regulator of prediction markets, and the Trump administration's broader orientation, including Donald Trump Jr.'s advisory roles at both Kalshi and Polymarket, is not one of hostility toward the sector.

Getting a bill through both chambers in that environment will require sustained political will that bipartisan support alone cannot guarantee.

Even if the bill passes, the platforms' legal firepower is substantial. Polymarket is backed by up to $2 billion from Intercontinental Exchange; Kalshi raised $1 billion in its latest funding round. Both will litigate aggressively, and federal preemption arguments could stall implementation for years.

The structural shift is already priced in

The deeper problem for regulated operators is that prediction markets have already demonstrated something the Senate bill cannot undo: there is enormous consumer appetite for a product that looks and feels like sports betting but is not classified as such.

That appetite exists in California and Texas, two of the country's largest states, where conventional sportsbooks cannot legally operate. Kalshi ran advertising campaigns there.

The demand did not disappear when Nevada or Arizona moved against the platforms; it simply looked for the next available channel.

If the legislation the Journal describes forces Kalshi and Polymarket to retreat from US sports markets, then consumer demand does not automatically flow to FanDuel or DraftKings.

The regulatory gap these platforms exploited exists because federal and state frameworks were never designed with binary event contracts in mind. Closing one specific backdoor does not redesign the architecture.

The longer competitive logic

Prediction markets also carry a structural advantage that legislation cannot easily address: they are genuinely global. Blockchain-based platforms operating across multiple jurisdictions are considerably harder to contain than a domestic sportsbook.

A determined operator with the right infrastructure could continue offering sports contracts to US users through offshore entities, much as offshore poker sites did for years after the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006.

Monday's moves in Entain and Flutter reflect a real reduction in near-term competitive pressure. But investors pricing in a permanent resolution to the prediction market threat are likely to be disappointed. The bill, if it passes, buys time. It does not buy the future.
2026-06-11 21:01 1mo ago
2026-04-18 01:05 3mo ago
Entain Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
ENT-L Entain
FMP Stock News
Original source text
Entain (LON:ENT) reported a first-quarter trading update that executives said kept the group “in line with expectations,” while highlighting accelerating underlying volume growth and continued momentum across several core markets.

CEO Stella David said the company’s “diverse and globally scaled portfolio of podium positions” continues to support “consistent and sustainable growth,” even as many markets experienced “particularly customer-friendly sports results” that weighed on sports margins. She added that the group exited 2025 with strong momentum and that this has “continued so far this year.”

Q1 performance: steady NGR, faster volume growth For the quarter, Entain said group net gaming revenue (NGR) rose 3%, with online NGR up 5%. David stressed that volumes provided a clearer picture of underlying performance in a quarter impacted by sports outcomes, noting group volumes were up 8% and online volumes rose 10%. She said Q1 marked the group’s eighth consecutive quarter of online growth.

Newly joined executive Mike Snape (speaking on his first Entain update) echoed that view, noting that the company began 2026 with momentum that “not only continu[ed], but accelerat[ed] into Q1.” Snape also said the company has begun including volume growth in its release because it “gives the cleanest picture of underlying performance, removing some of that noise from sports margins.”

Snape broke out the main drivers in Q1:

Online NGR rose 5%, with volumes up 10%. Customer-friendly results pushed sports NGR down 1%, offset by iGaming strength, with iGaming up 9%. Retail performance saw softer sports margins but was supported by wager growth and gaming, contributing to overall retail volume growth of 3%. UK strength and focus on navigating higher taxes David called the U.K. “once again, a standout performer,” saying Entain expected to have gained share in both online and retail. She argued this positions the company to better withstand “the draconian tax increases” than competitors. David also highlighted the company’s tax contribution, saying Entain paid GBP 574 million in U.K. taxes in 2025, while “the growing black market pays zero tax,” adding that the company is lobbying government to curb “the advertising and promotion of these unlicensed sites.”

Snape said the U.K. and Ireland delivered “another fantastic result,” with total NGR up 6% and online NGR up 13%, despite lapping a “23% comparator” from the prior year. Retail was described as flat on a like-for-like basis, with customers continuing to engage with gaming and sports terminals.

On a question about early impacts from the April tax increase, David said it was “really too early to say,” but emphasized that Entain had been increasing share ahead of the changes and sees further opportunity, particularly given a “long tail” of smaller regulated operators. Snape added that Entain has “absolutely not” pulled back on growth-driving investment in the U.K., despite expecting other operators might do so given the severity of the tax changes.

David also pointed to product and journey improvements as part of the U.K. share gains, citing “better bet builder” features in football and horse racing and a “new Ladbrokes experience” planned ahead of the World Cup.

International markets: Australia rebound, mixed impact from sports margins David said Australia’s recovery “continued and is now back to meaningful year-on-year growth,” which she attributed to a “disciplined and reinvigorated approach” under new management. Snape reported Australia was up 12%, which he said was the first double-digit NGR growth quarter since 2022.

Asked whether Australia’s performance was driven by the market or by share gains, David said the company believed it was “absolutely driven by market share gains.” She said the business has historically been strong in racing and is expanding focus to sports more broadly.

In other markets, David said Spain, Canada, Greece, Georgia, and New Zealand continued to deliver double-digit NGR growth. Snape said international online NGR was up 2%, with gaming up 8%, but noted a 1.4 percentage point year-on-year sports margin headwind due to tough margin comparisons and customer-friendly results, particularly in February. He said the adverse sports result impact was most pronounced in Brazil and Italy, though he highlighted “pleasing volume growth” in those markets, including double-digit volume growth in Italy.

On Brazil, David said Q1 sports margins were “very poor” but reiterated that “volume’s been up,” calling that “good news,” while also describing the sports margin performance as among the worst seen in the short term.

Snape also discussed the Entain CEE segment, describing it as “a story of sports results offsetting healthy volumes in Croatia,” where a -7.1 percentage point sports margin drag weighed on NGR growth. He said Poland benefited from migration to the CEE sportsbook and an app revamp.

US and BetMGM: executing for profitable growth David described the U.S. as “steadier than anticipated,” and referred to prior comments from Adam earlier in the week, stating that BetMGM continues to execute its plan for profitable growth while remaining “rational in a noisy market.” She said the disciplined approach supports confidence in delivering EBITDA within guidance, “albeit at the lower end,” despite softer top-line growth.

World Cup: modest revenue uplift, bigger recruitment opportunity Management repeatedly framed the upcoming World Cup (starting in June and extending into July) as a key commercial moment, but not a transformative earnings driver. Responding to an analyst question, David said the World Cup was likely worth “about 1% or something like that across the year” as an upside, while cautioning that margins could be volatile, particularly early in the tournament.

David said the event is more valuable as a customer acquisition and recruitment driver, particularly in time-zone-aligned markets and those with strong engagement such as Brazil, Australia, and New Zealand.

On retention and marketing efficiency, David said Entain uses detailed performance marketing analytics—led largely by the 365 Scores team—to evaluate “pay-ins, paybacks” and recruitment efficiency. Snape added that the discipline was among the most impressive aspects he had seen, emphasizing that the company aims not to “waste money” targeting customers who only bet during a tournament and then lapse. David said Entain would not “plaster” advertising broadly because it remains focused on payback for “every pound” spent.

Guidance reiterated; cash and cost discipline emphasized David said Entain is reiterating full-year guidance and remains confident in generating over GBP 500 million of cash annually from 2028. She said Q2 had started strongly and the business is “getting sharper every day” as it navigates U.K. tax increases.

Snape said that while the front end of the business is “delivering,” Entain sees “significant potential to optimize our cost base” to improve operational leverage and accelerate investment behind growth opportunities. He also said converting growth into cash is a core priority, alongside “deleveraging, and balance sheet flexibility,” signaling that capital investment and other actions will reflect that focus.

Entain executives said they plan to provide additional detail on priorities and plans at the company’s interim results in the summer.

About Entain (LON:ENT) Entain plc (LSE: ENT) is a FTSE100 company and is one of the world’s largest sports betting and gaming groups, operating both online and in the retail sector. The Group owns a comprehensive portfolio of established brands; Sports brands include BetCity, bwin, Coral, Crystalbet, Eurobet, Ladbrokes, Neds, Sportingbet, Sports Interaction, STS, SuperSport and TAB NZ; Gaming brands include Foxy Bingo, Gala, GiocoDigitale, Ninja Casino, Optibet, Partypoker and PartyCasino. The Group owns proprietary technology across all its core product verticals and in addition to its B2C operations provides services to a number of third-party customers on a B2B basis.

The Group has a 50/50 joint venture, BetMGM, a leader in sports betting and iGaming in the US.

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2026-06-11 21:01 1mo ago
2026-06-02 03:42 1mo ago
Vaultz Capital raises £1m as it advances a strategic refocus, eyes opportunities in energy transition and digital economy
ENT-L Entain
FMP Stock News
Original source text
Vaultz Capital PLC (AQSE:V3TC, FRA:VJ2, OTCQB:VZTCF) said it raised £1 million to strengthen working capital and support a strategic refocus towards possible acquisitions in energy transition and the digital economy.

The Aquis-listed company issued new ordinary shares priced at 2.2p each, with Regent Resources Capital Corporation subscribing for the full amount.

The issue price was the prevailing bid price on 1 June and represented an approximate 8% discount to Vaultz’s 20-day volume-weighted average price. 

Vaultz said the proceeds will be used to settle around £320,000 of outstanding trade creditors, provide working-capital headroom and fund transaction-related costs linked to its pipeline of acquisition opportunities.

The company said it is considering significant corporate transactions across strategic minerals, artificial intelligence and digital infrastructure.

Vaultz also plans to appoint Ian Burns as a non-executive director, subject to standard regulatory due diligence. Burns is founder and executive director of Via Executive Limited and managing director of Regent Mercantile Holdings Limited.

The company said it currently intends to substantially maintain its Bitcoin holding, though it would re-evaluate that treasury policy if it undertakes a significant transaction. Vaultz holds 134 Bitcoin, valued at about £7.3 million using a reference Bitcoin price of US$73,653 and a GBP/USD rate of 1.35.

After adjusting for the subscription proceeds and trade creditors, Vaultz estimated an unaudited net asset value following admission at around £8 million, equivalent to about 3.1p per ordinary share.
2026-06-11 21:01 1mo ago
2026-06-02 04:58 1mo ago
Entain rises as MGM bid speculation fuels online gambling sector interest
ENT-L Entain
FMP Stock News
Original source text
Entain PLC (LSE:ENT) shares climbed 3.4% to 582p on Tuesday after Deutsche Bank flagged that a proposed acquisition of MGM Resorts by People Inc, the renamed IAC, could have positive read-across implications for the FTSE 100 gambling group.

People Inc, chaired by media executive Barry Diller, has proposed a $48.30 per share cash offer for MGM Resorts International, the Las Vegas-based casino and hospitality giant.

This represents a premium of approximately 26% to MGM's share price on 26 May, before Fertitta Entertainment's separate bid for Caesars Entertainment injected fresh deal activity into the US gaming sector.

People Inc currently owns 26.1% of MGM and, on completion, would hold just over 50.1% of the company, giving it operational control.

Entain's connection to the MGM bid lies in BetMGM, the online sports betting and gaming joint venture the two companies operate together in the United States, one of the fastest-growing regulated gambling markets in the world.

Any change of control at MGM inevitably raises questions about the future structure and ownership of BetMGM, and Deutsche Bank argues the bid provides a degree of share price support for Entain given the potential for corporate activity to crystallise value in that partnership.

Deutsche's analyst Richard Stuber maintains a buy rating on Entain with a target price of 1,028p, implying significant upside from current levels.

Diller framed the MGM approach in strategic terms, arguing the casino group possesses physical assets that artificial intelligence cannot easily replicate and significant digital growth potential that People Inc believes it can help unlock.

The proposed deal remains at an early stage and is subject to board and regulatory approvals.