Key Takeaways C's 30-day and 90-day card delinquencies rose sequentially in September, while receivables fell to $18.7B.The annualized net principal loss rate climbed to 2.18% in September from 2.03% in August.Citigroup expects a 4%-4.5% U.S. card net credit loss rate in 2026 amid ongoing consumer credit pressures.
Citigroup Inc. (C - Free Report) continues to navigate credit-quality challenges amid an uncertain economic environment. According to its latest SEC filing, its subsidiary, Citibank N.A., reported higher credit card delinquencies and net principal losses in September 2026, while outstanding principal receivables declined during the month.
For the period ended Sept. 25, 2026, the Citibank Credit Card Master Trust I reported principal receivables of $18.7 billion, down from $19.1 billion at the beginning of the period. Receivables delinquent for 30 days or more increased to 1.35% in September from 1.29% in August, while those delinquent for 90 days or more rose to 0.65% from 0.63%. The Citibank Credit Card Issuance Trust’s annualized net principal loss rate climbed to 2.18% from 2.03% in August and 1.90% in July, signaling a pickup in credit losses.
The detailed filing also showed that 97.3% of receivables were current in September. However, balances delinquent for 31-60 days were $80.7 million, while those delinquent for 151-180 days totaled $37.4 million. The portfolio's annualized gross yield was 25.03%, while the principal payment rate was 41.45%. Although the high portfolio yield provides a revenue cushion against credit losses, the increase in delinquencies and net principal losses warrants monitoring. These figures relate to the securitized credit card portfolios and should not be interpreted as representing Citigroup's entire loan portfolio.
Citigroup’s broader asset-quality picture remains a concern. Although provisions for credit losses declined 2% year over year to $7.91 billion in the first nine months of 2026, the metric recorded a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24.5% from 2022 to 2025. However, credit quality showed improvement in the third quarter, with the U.S. Cards net credit loss rate declining to 3.6% from 4.0% a year earlier. Management’s earlier 2026 guidance projected a U.S. card net credit loss rate of 4-4.5%, highlighting continued credit risks.
Citigroup's organizational overhaul, business simplification initiatives and focus on operational efficiency could support profitability over the longer term. However, persistent inflation, pressure on borrowers' repayment capacity and rising card losses could weigh on asset quality. Any sustained deterioration in credit trends may lead to higher provisions and constrain earnings growth, even as the company benefits from resilient net interest income and a stronger focus on core businesses.
How Citigroup Stacks Up Against Peers in Card DelinquencyU.S. credit card metrics were mixed in September 2026, with delinquency rates increasing at both Bank of America (BAC - Free Report) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM - Free Report) , although the latter's rate remained relatively low. Both issuers reported lower outstanding receivables, while net charge-off and loss rates improved compared with the previous month.
Bank of America reported that the BA Master Credit Card Trust II delinquency rate increased to 1.37% in September 2026 from 1.28% in August. However, its net charge-off rate declined to 2.09% from 2.15% in August, indicating some improvement in credit losses. Total receivables fell to $14.53 billion from $14.63 billion at the beginning of the month.
JPMorgan Chase reported a delinquency rate of 0.81% for the Chase Issuance Trust in September 2026, with $95.1 million in delinquent receivables against a pool balance of $11.81 billion. Its annualized net loss rate was 1.52%. Principal receivables declined to $11.65 billion from $11.84 billion at the beginning of the month.
Citigroup’s Price Performance & Zacks RankShares of Citigroup have gained 26.7% over the past year compared with the industry’s growth of 8.7%.
One-Year Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Currently, C carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Brookstone Capital Management cut its holdings in shares of Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) by 5.0% during the undefined quarter, according to the company in its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The firm owned 132,045 shares of the company's stock after selling 6,878 shares during the period. Brookstone Capital
Singapore's domestic and overseas wealth pool has expanded steadily over the past year, with average assets among the country's high-net-worth clients rising 6% to $1.5 million, a white paper prepared by Citi Wealth and independent research firm RFI Global showed on Thursday.
Assets among Singapore's affluent clients increased 5% to more than $565,000, according to the study, aimed at exploring how Singapore compares with other global wealth markets
The study found that mutual fund ownership among Singapore's high-net-worth investors has nearly tripled from 11% in 2022 to 31% in 2026, the highest adoption level in Asia, outpacing countries like India and South Korea
However, a large portion of portfolios remain held in cash, with 72% of onshore affluent assets and 74% of offshore booked assets concentrated in cash and liquid deposits
The findings were similar across other Asia hubs, reflecting investors' continued preference for liquidity
The study found Singapore leading in intergenerational wealth preparedness, with 76% of individuals aged 55 and above having established wills or wealth succession plans
CWA Asset Management Group LLC increased its position in shares of Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) by 9.3% in the undefined quarter, according to its most recent disclosure with the SEC. The institutional investor owned 86,066 shares of the company's stock after purchasing an additional 7,344 shares during the quarter. CWA Asset Management Group
NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--The Board of Directors of Citigroup Inc. today declared a quarterly dividend on Citigroup's common stock of $0.67 per share, payable on November 25, 2026, to stockholders of record on November 2, 2026. The Board of Directors of Citigroup Inc. also declared dividends on Citigroup's preferred stock as follows: – 4.150% Fixed Rate Reset Noncumulative Preferred Stock, Series Y, payable November 16, 2026, to holders of record on November 6, 2026. Holders of depositary rece.
Investors may be looking at a buy-the-dip moment on Citigroup (C +0.85%) stock after the nation's third-largest bank by total assets posted impressive third-quarter earnings. Despite the blowout results, the stock price dipped in the days following the earnings release. Shares have fallen almost 5% since earnings were released on Oct. 13 to $126 per share, and roughly 13% since their 52-week closing high of $145 per share on June 22.
This presents a buying opportunity for investors, as Citigroup appears to be a good deal for certain types of investors.
Image source: Getty Images.
Best Q3 in a decade All the major banks reported earnings last week, and Citigroup had the best results outside of more investment banking-focused rivals like Goldman Sachs (GS -1.12%).
Citigroup recorded its highest third-quarter revenue in a decade, at $23.8 billion, up 8% year over year. Net interest income rose 14%, offsetting a 4% decline in non-interest fee revenue. It beat estimates of $23.7 billion.
$124.26+$1.05 (+0.85%)
NYSE · As of 4:00 PM ET 10/16/26
Net income increased 37% to $5.2 billion in the third quarter 2026, while earnings per share increased 53% to $2.85 per share. EPS beat estimates of $2.65 per share. On an adjusted basis, excluding a goodwill impairment, EPS was $2.24, up 20%. Earnings were buoyed by sound expense management, as expenses rose just 3%, excluding notable items.
Its efficiency ratio improved to 58.5%, from 64.7% in Q3 2025. Further, its return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) improved 350 basis points year over year to 11.5%. The bank expects to finish the year with ROTCE above its target range and north of 11%.
Why Citigroup is a buy Citigroup stock is mainly a buy for its dividend. It raised its dividend last quarter to $0.67 per share and is paying a yield of 2.18%.
Data by YCharts.
It also has plenty of capital to maintain that dividend, even if the economy heads south. It reported a common equity tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 12.8% in Q2, comfortably ahead of the 11.6% ratio mandated by the Federal Reserve.
That strong capital position allowed Citigroup to return $4.1 billion to shareholders in Q3 through dividends and share buybacks. The bank also has a very low dividend payout ratio of 24%, meaning just 24% of its earnings go toward dividends. That gives it ample leeway to maintain or raise its dividend.
Even with the recent dip, Citigroup stock is up 6% year-to-date and 29% over the past 12 months. The stock is also cheap, trading at 10 times forward earnings. Some 78% of analysts rate it a buy, with a median price target of $154 per share, implying 25% upside.
I'm a little skeptical of that type of upside, given the tenuous state of the economy, but if you are looking for a solid dividend stock that's cheap, Citigroup might be a decent option, certainly among large banks. It is outperforming the big four banks over the past year, yet has a similar dividend yield that looks very sustainable, and it is cheaper than the others on a forward P/E basis.
Citigroup is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Bank of America is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Wells Fargo is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Dave Kovaleski has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Goldman Sachs Group and JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
On its third quarter of 2026 earnings call, held on Oct. 13, 2026, Citigroup (C +0.85%) reported net income of $5.2 billion. The bank's continuing structural overhaul cuts corporate overhead expenses to fund artificial intelligence upgrades and expand high-return corporate services. Three takeaways from management's comments stand out for long-term investors.
1. Severance Charges Fund Structural Cost Reductions and TechnologyManagement is trimming headcount across corporate functions to eliminate redundant expenses. Reinvesting those severance savings, which are job-termination payouts to outgoing staff, into modern technology platforms creates operational capacity for future business growth.
On a year to date basis, we have recognized over $1 billion of severance, largely across functions, technology and operations as we continue to drive structural efficiencies and bring down transformation expenses and stranded costs to create capacity for business growth.
-- Gonzalo Luchetti, Chief Financial Officer2. Artificial Intelligence Tools Actively Reduce Software Vendor ExpensesInternal deployment of automated coding software helps engineering teams to complete technical projects in-house rather than outsourcing work. That shift lowers external software supplier costs while accelerating product rollouts for corporate clients.
We have reduced our tech vendor spend by 30% year over year as a consequence, and that is still got a long way to run.
-- Jane Nind Fraser, Chair and Chief Executive Officer3. Asset Inflows Accelerate Fee Growth Across Wealth ManagementNet new investment assets, which represent fresh capital brought in by wealth clients, doubled year over year. There was also strong uptake among retail clients who transitioned to wealth products. Expanding client accounts builds steady fee streams that protect profitability against fluctuating interest rates.
We brought in $38 billion in net new investment assets this quarter, up over 100% from a year ago.
-- Jane Nind Fraser, Chair and Chief Executive OfficerLooking AheadThird-quarter revenue expanded 8% year over year as execution gained traction across global services and consumer cards segments. A global institutional network, blockchain and payment tokenization for digital assets growing to seven markets, and automated risk systems build operational scale. Management is watching trading seasonality, deposit competition, and capital regulation changes.
Our strategy is working, and we have a clear path to delivering higher, sustainable returns.
-- Gonzalo Luchetti, Chief Financial OfficerDisciplined expense controls and balance sheet allocation keep the bank aligned toward its long-term financial targets.
This quarter was another proof point of our consistent execution and delivery in the face of a dynamic environment.
-- Jane Nind Fraser, Chair and Chief Executive OfficerCitigroup is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Banque Pictet & Cie SA reduced its stake in shares of Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C – Free Report) by 15.2% in the third quarter, according to its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The fund owned 55,287 shares of the company’s stock after selling 9,873 shares during the quarter. Banque Pictet & Cie SA’s holdings in Citigroup were worth $7,159,000 as of its most recent SEC filing.
A number of other institutional investors have also modified their holdings of the company. Aspiriant LLC lifted its holdings in shares of Citigroup by 28.2% during the third quarter. Aspiriant LLC now owns 3,551 shares of the company’s stock worth $460,000 after purchasing an additional 781 shares during the period. Shelton Wealth Management LLC boosted its position in Citigroup by 1.5% in the 3rd quarter. Shelton Wealth Management LLC now owns 11,017 shares of the company’s stock worth $1,426,000 after purchasing an additional 159 shares in the last quarter. Granite Islands Private Wealth LLC boosted its position in Citigroup by 4.1% in the 3rd quarter. Granite Islands Private Wealth LLC now owns 4,055 shares of the company’s stock worth $524,000 after purchasing an additional 158 shares in the last quarter. Riverbend Wealth Management LLC grew its stake in shares of Citigroup by 0.8% during the 3rd quarter. Riverbend Wealth Management LLC now owns 12,157 shares of the company’s stock worth $1,574,000 after purchasing an additional 100 shares during the period. Finally, Daytona Street Capital LLC grew its stake in shares of Citigroup by 1.1% during the 3rd quarter. Daytona Street Capital LLC now owns 15,288 shares of the company’s stock worth $1,958,000 after purchasing an additional 170 shares during the period. 71.72% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.
Citigroup Trading Up 0.9% Shares of C stock opened at $124.36 on Friday. The company’s 50-day moving average price is $132.74 and its 200-day moving average price is $131.77. The company has a current ratio of 1.00, a quick ratio of 0.99 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.78. The stock has a market cap of $212.11 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.13, a PEG ratio of 0.54 and a beta of 1.13. Citigroup Inc. has a twelve month low of $95.00 and a twelve month high of $147.96.
Citigroup (NYSE:C – Get Free Report) last announced its quarterly earnings data on Tuesday, October 13th. The company reported $2.85 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $2.66 by $0.19. Citigroup had a net margin of 10.97% and a return on equity of 10.57%. The firm had revenue of $23.84 billion during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $23.74 billion. During the same quarter in the prior year, the firm posted $1.86 earnings per share. Citigroup’s quarterly revenue was up 7.9% on a year-over-year basis. As a group, equities analysts predict that Citigroup Inc. will post 11.34 earnings per share for the current year. Citigroup Increases Dividend The firm also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Friday, August 28th. Shareholders of record on Monday, August 3rd were given a $0.67 dividend. This is an increase from Citigroup’s previous quarterly dividend of $0.60. This represents a $2.68 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 2.2%. The ex-dividend date was Monday, August 3rd. Citigroup’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is presently 26.15%.
Analyst Ratings Changes C has been the subject of a number of recent analyst reports. HSBC began coverage on shares of Citigroup in a report on Monday, September 28th. They issued a “buy” rating and a $164.00 price objective for the company. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods reissued an “outperform” rating on shares of Citigroup in a research note on Wednesday. UBS Group set a $148.00 price target on shares of Citigroup in a report on Wednesday. Loop Capital set a $155.00 price target on shares of Citigroup in a report on Tuesday. Finally, JPMorgan Chase & Co. lowered their price objective on Citigroup from $149.00 to $147.00 and set an “overweight” rating on the stock in a report on Friday, October 2nd. One analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, fourteen have assigned a Buy rating and three have assigned a Hold rating to the company’s stock. According to data from MarketBeat, the company currently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $150.79.
Get Our Latest Report on C
Key Citigroup News Here are the key news stories impacting Citigroup this week:
Positive Sentiment: U.S. officials raised Citigroup’s market-access issues in China during bilateral talks in Bangkok. The discussions followed an agreement tied to regulatory approval, potentially improving Citi’s growth prospects in the Chinese market. U.S. raises Mastercard, Citigroup China market access in bilateral Bangkok talks Positive Sentiment: Recent third-quarter results continued to support Citi’s turnaround narrative. The bank reported earnings of $2.85 per share, above the $2.66 consensus estimate, while revenue rose 7.9% year over year to $23.85 billion. Net income reportedly increased 17%, and quarterly revenue reached its highest level in a decade. Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser Says the Bank Is on Front Foot Positive Sentiment: Citigroup is reportedly preparing an initial public offering for Banamex, its former Mexican consumer-banking business. A successful separation and IPO could simplify Citi’s operations, unlock value, and allow management to focus on its core businesses. Banamex leadership pitches turnaround ahead of targeted Citi IPO Neutral Sentiment: Citi expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in December after hotter-than-expected inflation. Higher rates may support lending margins, but they could also pressure economic activity, credit quality, and dealmaking. Citi expects Fed to raise rates by 25 basis points Negative Sentiment: Royal Bank of Canada cut its price target for Citigroup, adding pressure after the stock’s post-earnings performance. Broader bank shares have also struggled despite earnings beats because investors remain concerned about interest-rate volatility and potentially slowing trading and investment-banking revenue. Citigroup Stock Price Target Cut by Royal Bank of Canada Negative Sentiment: Citi allowed employees in Saudi Arabia to work remotely as regional conflict intensified. The move demonstrates business-continuity planning but highlights geopolitical risks that could disrupt local operations and client activity. Why Is Citigroup Letting Saudi Staff Work Remotely? Citigroup Company Profile (Free Report)
Citigroup Inc is a global financial services company headquartered in New York City and listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol C. Through its subsidiaries and businesses, Citi provides banking, lending, investment, payments, wealth management and other financial services to consumers, businesses, governments and institutional clients.
Citi’s principal businesses include Services, which supports institutional clients with treasury, trade, securities services and related solutions; Markets, which provides sales, trading, research and financing services; Banking, which offers investment banking and corporate banking; and Wealth, which provides private banking and wealth management.
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Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C – Get Free Report) was the target of some unusual options trading on Wednesday. Traders purchased 64,187 put options on the stock. This is an increase of 26% compared to the typical volume of 51,097 put options.
Institutional Investors Weigh In On Citigroup Several large investors have recently modified their holdings of the business. Paladin Partners LLC acquired a new position in shares of Citigroup in the second quarter worth $27,000. Pin Oak Investment Advisors Inc. purchased a new stake in shares of Citigroup during the second quarter worth $29,000. Whipplewood Advisors LLC purchased a new stake in shares of Citigroup during the first quarter worth $25,000. TD Capital Management LLC acquired a new stake in shares of Citigroup in the fourth quarter valued at $28,000. Finally, IMG Wealth Management Inc. raised its stake in shares of Citigroup by 197.6% in the first quarter. IMG Wealth Management Inc. now owns 244 shares of the company’s stock valued at $28,000 after acquiring an additional 162 shares in the last quarter. Institutional investors own 71.72% of the company’s stock.
Citigroup Trading Down 1.6% C stock opened at $122.53 on Thursday. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.78, a current ratio of 1.00 and a quick ratio of 0.99. The company has a market capitalization of $208.99 billion, a PE ratio of 11.95, a P/E/G ratio of 0.55 and a beta of 1.13. The firm’s 50-day moving average is $133.16 and its 200 day moving average is $131.71. Citigroup has a 12 month low of $95.00 and a 12 month high of $147.96.
Citigroup (NYSE:C – Get Free Report) last issued its earnings results on Tuesday, October 13th. The company reported $2.85 earnings per share for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $2.66 by $0.19. The business had revenue of $23.84 billion during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $23.74 billion. Citigroup had a return on equity of 10.57% and a net margin of 10.97%. Citigroup’s revenue was up 7.9% on a year-over-year basis. During the same period in the previous year, the company posted $1.86 EPS. On average, research analysts anticipate that Citigroup will post 11.19 EPS for the current year. Citigroup Increases Dividend The company also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Friday, August 28th. Investors of record on Monday, August 3rd were issued a $0.67 dividend. The ex-dividend date was Monday, August 3rd. This is an increase from Citigroup’s previous quarterly dividend of $0.60. This represents a $2.68 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 2.2%. Citigroup’s dividend payout ratio is presently 28.94%.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth C has been the topic of several recent analyst reports. Argus set a $150.00 target price on shares of Citigroup in a research note on Wednesday, July 15th. Zacks Research cut shares of Citigroup from a “strong-buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Monday, September 14th. Wall Street Zen cut shares of Citigroup from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Saturday, August 8th. Truist Financial cut their price target on shares of Citigroup from $158.00 to $154.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a report on Wednesday, July 15th. Finally, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods reiterated an “outperform” rating on shares of Citigroup in a report on Wednesday. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, fourteen have issued a Buy rating and three have issued a Hold rating to the stock. According to MarketBeat.com, Citigroup currently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average target price of $150.79.
Get Our Latest Stock Report on Citigroup
Trending Headlines about Citigroup Here are the key news stories impacting Citigroup this week:
Positive Sentiment: Citigroup reported third-quarter earnings of $2.85 per share, above the roughly $2.65 analyst consensus, while revenue rose 7.9% year over year to approximately $23.85 billion. Net income increased 40% to $5.2 billion, supported by growth in Services, Wealth and Markets. Citi profit jumps 40% with higher investment banking, services and wealth revenue Positive Sentiment: Management raised its 2026 profitability outlook, citing strong Services growth, AI-driven efficiency gains and disciplined capital deployment. Citi also increased shareholder returns through dividends and share repurchases, with approximately $4.1 billion returned during the quarter. Citigroup Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Higher Return Outlook and AI Gains Positive Sentiment: Loan growth and deposits remained healthy, while Citi’s fixed-income trading results were stronger than expected. These trends support the bank’s turnaround and restructuring efforts. Neutral Sentiment: Royal Bank of Canada lowered its price target from $150 to $135 but maintained an “Outperform” rating, implying potential upside from recent levels. RBC lowers Citigroup price target Negative Sentiment: Investors questioned how durable the beat was because trading and investment-banking gains may cool from unusually strong prior-quarter levels. Management also indicated that fourth-quarter trading revenue could decline sharply, while deal activity has moderated. Citi Stock Falls Despite Earnings Beat Negative Sentiment: Higher credit-loss provisions, rising reserves, a flat U.S. card business and concerns about capital ratios added to investor caution. Several analysts subsequently reduced their price targets or downgraded the stock to Hold. Negative Sentiment: Unusually heavy put-option activity and elevated Treasury yields are reinforcing a cautious view of bank stocks. Regulatory scrutiny of large banks’ “debanking” practices is an additional potential overhang for Citigroup. About Citigroup (Get Free Report)
Citigroup Inc is a global financial services company headquartered in New York City and listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol C. Through its subsidiaries and businesses, Citi provides banking, lending, investment, payments, wealth management and other financial services to consumers, businesses, governments and institutional clients.
Citi’s principal businesses include Services, which supports institutional clients with treasury, trade, securities services and related solutions; Markets, which provides sales, trading, research and financing services; Banking, which offers investment banking and corporate banking; and Wealth, which provides private banking and wealth management.
Further Reading Five stocks we like better than Citigroup Tesla Wants to Make Its Own Chips—What Could Go Wrong? IREN Limited’s AI Pivot Gains Traction—But Can Its Data Centers Deliver? PBF Energy’s Stunning Rally Faces a Critical Test Citi Stock Falls Despite Earnings Beat: What Investors Need to Know Receive News & Ratings for Citigroup Daily - Enter your email address below to receive a concise daily summary of the latest news and analysts' ratings for Citigroup and related companies with MarketBeat.com's FREE daily email newsletter.
First Citizens Bank & Trust Co. lifted its position in shares of Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C – Free Report) by 112.8% in the 3rd quarter, according to its most recent disclosure with the SEC. The fund owned 31,096 shares of the company’s stock after acquiring an additional 16,484 shares during the period. First Citizens Bank & Trust Co.’s holdings in Citigroup were worth $4,026,000 as of its most recent filing with the SEC.
Several other large investors have also recently added to or reduced their stakes in the business. State Street Corp lifted its holdings in shares of Citigroup by 3.7% during the second quarter. State Street Corp now owns 80,956,349 shares of the company’s stock valued at $11,199,986,000 after purchasing an additional 2,913,701 shares during the last quarter. Bank of New York Mellon Corp acquired a new stake in shares of Citigroup during the 2nd quarter valued at $3,244,602,000. Bank of America Corp DE grew its stake in Citigroup by 2.8% in the first quarter. Bank of America Corp DE now owns 26,869,012 shares of the company’s stock valued at $3,047,215,000 after purchasing an additional 728,043 shares in the last quarter. Invesco Ltd. increased its holdings in Citigroup by 6.2% in the fourth quarter. Invesco Ltd. now owns 15,139,403 shares of the company’s stock worth $1,766,617,000 after buying an additional 887,430 shares during the last quarter. Finally, UBS AM a distinct business unit of UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC raised its holdings in shares of Citigroup by 10.7% during the 2nd quarter. UBS AM a distinct business unit of UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC now owns 12,467,857 shares of the company’s stock valued at $1,745,001,000 after purchasing an additional 1,210,006 shares in the last quarter. 71.72% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.
More Citigroup News Here are the key news stories impacting Citigroup this week:
Positive Sentiment: Citigroup reported third-quarter earnings of $2.85 per share, above the roughly $2.65 analyst consensus, while revenue rose 7.9% year over year to approximately $23.85 billion. Net income increased 40% to $5.2 billion, supported by growth in Services, Wealth and Markets. Citi profit jumps 40% with higher investment banking, services and wealth revenue Positive Sentiment: Management raised its 2026 profitability outlook, citing strong Services growth, AI-driven efficiency gains and disciplined capital deployment. Citi also increased shareholder returns through dividends and share repurchases, with approximately $4.1 billion returned during the quarter. Citigroup Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Higher Return Outlook and AI Gains Positive Sentiment: Loan growth and deposits remained healthy, while Citi’s fixed-income trading results were stronger than expected. These trends support the bank’s turnaround and restructuring efforts. Neutral Sentiment: Royal Bank of Canada lowered its price target from $150 to $135 but maintained an “Outperform” rating, implying potential upside from recent levels. RBC lowers Citigroup price target Negative Sentiment: Investors questioned how durable the beat was because trading and investment-banking gains may cool from unusually strong prior-quarter levels. Management also indicated that fourth-quarter trading revenue could decline sharply, while deal activity has moderated. Citi Stock Falls Despite Earnings Beat Negative Sentiment: Higher credit-loss provisions, rising reserves, a flat U.S. card business and concerns about capital ratios added to investor caution. Several analysts subsequently reduced their price targets or downgraded the stock to Hold. Negative Sentiment: Unusually heavy put-option activity and elevated Treasury yields are reinforcing a cautious view of bank stocks. Regulatory scrutiny of large banks’ “debanking” practices is an additional potential overhang for Citigroup. Citigroup Trading Down 1.6% Shares of Citigroup stock opened at $122.53 on Thursday. Citigroup Inc. has a 52-week low of $95.00 and a 52-week high of $147.96. The firm has a 50-day moving average of $133.16 and a 200-day moving average of $131.71. The stock has a market cap of $208.99 billion, a PE ratio of 11.95, a PEG ratio of 0.55 and a beta of 1.13. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.78, a quick ratio of 0.99 and a current ratio of 1.00. Citigroup (NYSE:C – Get Free Report) last posted its earnings results on Tuesday, October 13th. The company reported $2.85 earnings per share for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $2.66 by $0.19. The firm had revenue of $23.84 billion for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $23.74 billion. Citigroup had a net margin of 10.97% and a return on equity of 10.57%. The company’s revenue was up 7.9% on a year-over-year basis. During the same quarter in the previous year, the firm posted $1.86 earnings per share. As a group, sell-side analysts forecast that Citigroup Inc. will post 11.19 EPS for the current year.
Citigroup Increases Dividend The company also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Friday, August 28th. Shareholders of record on Monday, August 3rd were paid a $0.67 dividend. This is a positive change from Citigroup’s previous quarterly dividend of $0.60. The ex-dividend date was Monday, August 3rd. This represents a $2.68 annualized dividend and a yield of 2.2%. Citigroup’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is 28.94%.
Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades Several research analysts have commented on C shares. Wells Fargo & Company lifted their price target on Citigroup from $162.00 to $165.00 and gave the stock an “overweight” rating in a research report on Thursday, June 18th. Bank of America upped their price objective on Citigroup from $170.00 to $176.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a research note on Tuesday, July 7th. Argus set a $150.00 price target on shares of Citigroup in a report on Wednesday, July 15th. HSBC began coverage on Citigroup in a report on Monday, September 28th. They set a “buy” rating and a $164.00 target price on the stock. Finally, JPMorgan Chase & Co. lowered their price target on shares of Citigroup from $149.00 to $147.00 and set an “overweight” rating for the company in a report on Friday, October 2nd. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, fourteen have issued a Buy rating and three have issued a Hold rating to the company. According to MarketBeat.com, Citigroup presently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $150.79.
View Our Latest Stock Report on C
Citigroup Company Profile (Free Report)
Citigroup Inc is a global financial services company headquartered in New York City and listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol C. Through its subsidiaries and businesses, Citi provides banking, lending, investment, payments, wealth management and other financial services to consumers, businesses, governments and institutional clients.
Citi’s principal businesses include Services, which supports institutional clients with treasury, trade, securities services and related solutions; Markets, which provides sales, trading, research and financing services; Banking, which offers investment banking and corporate banking; and Wealth, which provides private banking and wealth management.
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Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C) on Tuesday posted better-than-expected third-quarter results.
Citigroup reported revenue, net of interest expense, of $23.85 billion, up 8% year over year and above the analyst estimate of $23.72 billion. Net income surged 40% to $5.25 billion. Earnings of $2.85 per share beat the consensus estimate of $2.67.
Citigroup’s fixed-income, currency and commodities trading business generated $4.4 billion in revenue, exceeding the $4.3 billion analyst estimate cited by Bloomberg. The business delivered its strongest third-quarter performance in at least a decade.
Citigroup shares fell 1.1% to trade at $123.20 on Wednesday.
These analysts made changes to their price targets on Citigroup following earnings announcement.
RBC Capital analyst Gerard Cassidy maintained the stock with an Outperform rating and lowered the price target from $150 to $135. TD Cowen analyst R. Scott Siefers maintained the stock with a Buy and lowered the price target from $150 to $148. Evercore ISI Group analyst Glenn Schorr maintained the stock with an In-Line rating and cut the price target from $140 to $135. Considering buying C stock? Here’s what analysts think:
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Citigroup Inc. exceeded Q3 earnings and revenue expectations, but shares declined 5.6% and are down 11% over three months. I downgrade C stock to a Hold, citing macroeconomic headwinds, rising borrowing costs, and net interest income compression risks. Loan growth remains robust at 3.3% for Q3 and nearly 12% year-over-year, with deposits up almost 9% year-over-year.
Sax Wealth Advisors LLC lifted its stake in Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C – Free Report) by 225.9% in the 3rd quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The firm owned 11,419 shares of the company’s stock after buying an additional 7,915 shares during the period. Sax Wealth Advisors LLC’s holdings in Citigroup were worth $1,479,000 as of its most recent SEC filing.
Other large investors have also modified their holdings of the company. Compass Financial Management LLC acquired a new position in shares of Citigroup during the second quarter worth $898,000. Andra AP fonden grew its holdings in Citigroup by 22.3% during the 2nd quarter. Andra AP fonden now owns 274,600 shares of the company’s stock valued at $38,433,000 after purchasing an additional 50,100 shares in the last quarter. Saudi Central Bank grew its holdings in Citigroup by 80.8% during the 2nd quarter. Saudi Central Bank now owns 119,392 shares of the company’s stock valued at $16,710,000 after purchasing an additional 53,348 shares in the last quarter. Vestor Capital LLC grew its holdings in Citigroup by 4,918,233.3% during the 1st quarter. Vestor Capital LLC now owns 295,100 shares of the company’s stock valued at $33,467,000 after purchasing an additional 295,094 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Raiffeisen Bank International AG increased its stake in Citigroup by 12.9% during the 2nd quarter. Raiffeisen Bank International AG now owns 103,220 shares of the company’s stock worth $14,708,000 after buying an additional 11,812 shares during the period. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 71.72% of the company’s stock.
Analysts Set New Price Targets A number of equities analysts have commented on the stock. Zacks Research lowered shares of Citigroup from a “strong-buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a report on Monday, September 14th. Argus set a $150.00 target price on Citigroup in a research note on Wednesday, July 15th. Truist Financial dropped their target price on Citigroup from $158.00 to $154.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research report on Wednesday, July 15th. Bank of America lifted their target price on Citigroup from $170.00 to $176.00 and gave the stock a “buy” rating in a research report on Tuesday, July 7th. Finally, Loop Capital set a $155.00 price target on Citigroup in a research note on Tuesday. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, fourteen have given a Buy rating and three have issued a Hold rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, Citigroup has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average target price of $151.47.
Read Our Latest Research Report on C Trending Headlines about Citigroup Here are the key news stories impacting Citigroup this week:
Positive Sentiment: Citigroup beat third-quarter expectations. The bank reported adjusted earnings of $2.85 per share versus the roughly $2.65 consensus, while revenue reached $23.85 billion, above estimates. Net income rose 40% year over year to $5.2 billion, and revenue increased about 8%. Citi profit jumps 40% with higher investment banking, services and wealth revenue Positive Sentiment: Services, wealth and fixed-income trading were key growth drivers. Services and Wealth revenue each grew 15%, Markets revenue increased 6%, and fixed-income, currencies and commodities trading reportedly delivered its strongest third quarter in at least a decade. Citigroup also returned $4.1 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. Citigroup fixed-income traders post higher revenue in 3Q as rivals miss Neutral Sentiment: Credit quality remains stable for now. Major banks reported little evidence of broad credit stress, while Citigroup said credit-card spending and borrowing increased. However, investors are watching whether higher rates, a flattening yield curve and economic uncertainty could pressure future lending and credit performance. Big banks show clean credit, but investors fear what comes next Negative Sentiment: Sequential deterioration outweighed the earnings beat. Compared with the prior quarter, revenue fell 4% and net income declined 10%, with reported weakness across investment banking, trading and overall profitability. Citigroup’s CFO also cautioned that Wall Street’s dealmaking boom is cooling after a strong first half, creating uncertainty for investment-banking revenue. Why Citigroup stock is trading lower today Negative Sentiment: Higher credit costs and capital concerns pressured sentiment. Credit-loss provisions rose 6% to approximately $2.6 billion, weighing on consumer-card profitability. Investors also focused on Citigroup’s preliminary 12.8% common-equity Tier 1 ratio and concerns that capital ratios were weaker than expected. Citigroup Q3 earnings beat on higher NII and lower expenses Citigroup Stock Down 5.6% Shares of NYSE:C opened at $124.56 on Wednesday. The company has a current ratio of 0.99, a quick ratio of 0.99 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.71. The company has a fifty day simple moving average of $133.46 and a 200 day simple moving average of $131.64. The firm has a market cap of $212.45 billion, a PE ratio of 13.45, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 0.58 and a beta of 1.13. Citigroup Inc. has a 12-month low of $95.00 and a 12-month high of $147.96.
Citigroup (NYSE:C – Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings results on Tuesday, October 13th. The company reported $2.85 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $2.65 by $0.20. Citigroup had a net margin of 10.23% and a return on equity of 10.15%. The firm had revenue of $23.84 billion for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $23.72 billion. During the same period in the prior year, the company posted $1.86 earnings per share. The firm’s quarterly revenue was up 7.9% on a year-over-year basis. On average, equities research analysts anticipate that Citigroup Inc. will post 11.19 EPS for the current fiscal year.
Citigroup Increases Dividend The business also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Friday, August 28th. Shareholders of record on Monday, August 3rd were issued a dividend of $0.67 per share. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Monday, August 3rd. This represents a $2.68 annualized dividend and a yield of 2.2%. This is an increase from Citigroup’s previous quarterly dividend of $0.60. Citigroup’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is 28.94%.
Citigroup Company Profile (Free Report)
Citigroup Inc is a global financial services company headquartered in New York City and listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol C. Through its subsidiaries and businesses, Citi provides banking, lending, investment, payments, wealth management and other financial services to consumers, businesses, governments and institutional clients.
Citi’s principal businesses include Services, which supports institutional clients with treasury, trade, securities services and related solutions; Markets, which provides sales, trading, research and financing services; Banking, which offers investment banking and corporate banking; and Wealth, which provides private banking and wealth management.
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Key Takeaways C raises its 2026 RoTCE outlook above 11%, supported by business momentum and improving efficiency.C's Services revenues rise 15% to $6.6 billion, while deposits grow 16% and RoTCE reaches 31.2%.Citigroup's AI tools accelerate product launches by 30-40%, while technology vendor spending declines 30%. Citigroup Inc. (C - Free Report) raised its 2026 profitability outlook during the third-quarter earnings call, citing sustained business momentum, improving operating efficiency and disciplined capital deployment. Management also addressed investor concerns about fourth-quarter seasonality and future capital requirements.
The bank reported earnings of $2.85 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.66. Revenues of $23.85 billion beat the consensus estimate of $23.66 billion.
Citi Raises Its 2026 Returns OutlookChief Financial Officer Gonzalo Luchetti raised the full-year return on tangible common equity (RoTCE) outlook to above 11%, up from the earlier 10-11% target range.
Management expects net interest income excluding Markets to grow in the mid-to-high 6% range in 2026, supported by client activity and deposit growth. The full-year efficiency ratio is expected to remain below 60%.
During questioning from Truist Securities and Wells Fargo Securities analysts, Luchetti cautioned that fourth-quarter Markets revenues could decline more than the typical 20% sequentially. He attributed the expected moderation to seasonal trading patterns rather than unusual business deterioration.
C Balances Buybacks With Capital RequirementsCiti returned $4.1 billion to common shareholders during the quarter, including approximately $3 billion through repurchases. Its Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio stood at 12.8%.
In exchanges with UBS and Morgan Stanley analysts, Luchetti reaffirmed the directional 13.1% capital target, with an anticipated regulatory minimum of 12.1% in January 2028.
He emphasized that the capital trajectory reflects existing regulations. Potential Basel III and other regulatory revisions could change future requirements, while capital deployment must balance shareholder distributions with business growth.
Citi's Services Franchise Sustains Strong GrowthChief Executive Officer Jane Fraser emphasized the strength of Services, where revenues increased 15% year over year to $6.6 billion. Average deposits increased 16%, while RoTCE reached 31.2%.
Fraser attributed the performance to deeper institutional relationships, new client mandates and growing demand for cross-border payments and liquidity solutions. She highlighted opportunities among fintech companies and digital-asset participants.
During analyst discussions, management acknowledged that deposit growth should moderate over time. Nevertheless, Fraser emphasized continued technology investment and the franchise's ability to attract clients with limited attrition.
C Sees Momentum in Markets, Banking and WealthMarkets revenues increased 6%, supported by 14% growth in Equities and 4% growth in Fixed Income. Fraser identified prime services as a priority, with balances increasing more than 40%.
Banking revenues increased 6%, including loan-hedging impacts. Investment Banking benefited from 77% growth in equity underwriting fees, although Corporate Lending faced pressure from narrower loan spreads.
Wealth revenues advanced 15%, while net new investment assets reached $38 billion. During an Evercore ISI exchange, Luchetti attributed slower investment-fee growth partly to earlier strategic decisions and reiterated confidence in reaching Wealth's 15-20% near-term RoTCE target.
Citi Expands AI Investment and AutomationFraser described artificial intelligence as an increasingly important contributor to operational efficiency, product development and customer service.
She reported that AI-enabled processes have accelerated product launches by approximately 30-40%. Additionally, 14,000 engineers use the company's agentic coding platform, while technology vendor spending has declined 30% year over year.
Responding to a Wells Fargo Securities analyst, Fraser stated that financial benefits from AI and automation have substantially exceeded related investments year to date. She also emphasized cybersecurity safeguards and dismissed concerns about significant Services deposit flight resulting from AI-driven competition.
C Maintains Its Focus on Sustainable ReturnsManagement's broader message centered on improving profitability while funding technology, talent and client-focused growth. Fraser reiterated Citi's 11-13% near-term RoTCE objective and longer-term ambition of sustainable 14-15% returns.
Execution priorities include maintaining expense discipline, expanding higher-return businesses and completing legacy divestitures. Management continues to balance those objectives against capital requirements and changing economic conditions.
Citi's Zacks Rank and Style Scores Signal CautionCiti currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), reflecting a neutral near-term earnings estimate revision outlook. Its Value Score of D, Growth Score of D and Momentum Score of F indicate relatively unfavorable characteristics across these investment styles. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
The stock's VGM Score of F further indicates a weak combined value, growth and momentum profile. This combination falls outside the higher-ranked stocks with favorable Style Scores typically emphasized by the Zacks methodology. The Zacks Rank can change as analysts revise earnings estimates following the latest quarterly results.
Ag Equipment’s Recovery Trade Meets Washington’s ScrutinyCitigroup NYSE: C reported third-quarter 2026 net income of $5.2 billion, or $2.85 per share, as revenue rose 8% year over year to $23.8 billion. The bank generated a return on tangible common equity, or ROTCE, of 11.5%, up 180 basis points from a year earlier, while net income increased 17%.
Chief Executive Officer Jane Fraser said the company delivered its best third-quarter revenue in a decade, with growth in four of its five businesses. Expenses were $14 billion, down 2% on a reported basis. Excluding a $726 million Banamex goodwill impairment recorded in the prior-year quarter, expenses increased 3% as Citi pulled forward certain planned investments and severance costs.
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Salesforce Just Got a Rare Double Upgrade—What Changed?“Our overall performance continues to demonstrate the disciplined and consistent execution of our strategy,” Fraser said. She added that Citi expects to exceed its 2026 ROTCE target range of 10% to 11%, while continuing investments intended to support a near-term target of 11% to 13% and a longer-term goal of 14% to 15%.
Services, Wealth Lead Revenue Growth Services posted a 15% increase in revenue, supported by growth in deposits, commercial card spending, trade loans and cross-border activity. Net interest income in the division rose 17%, while non-interest revenue increased 12%. Average deposits climbed 16% and average loans rose 14%.
Marvell Says Connecting AI Chips Could Be a $37 Billion Business—These 2 Stocks Rallied TooServices generated $2.6 billion of net income and a 31.2% ROTCE for the quarter. Fraser highlighted the launches of Citi Token Services in the United Arab Emirates and Japan, as well as Custody+, while assets under custody and administration increased 16%.
Wealth revenue also rose 15%, with growth across all three of its businesses. The unit brought in $38 billion of net new investment assets during the quarter, more than double the prior-year level, and client investment assets grew 15%. Wealth generated net income of $585 million and ROTCE of 14.3%.
Chief Financial Officer Gonzalo Luchetti said the bank expects Wealth to reach its near-term ROTCE target range of 15% to 20%, citing revenue growth, expense discipline and continued client inflows. He said the 5% growth in investment-fee revenue reflected the effects of strategic decisions made a year earlier that Citi is now lapping.
Markets and Banking Results Markets revenue increased 6%, including a 14% gain in equities and a 4% increase in fixed income. Equities benefited from continued momentum in prime services, where balances grew by more than 40%. Fixed-income results were driven by spread products and other fixed-income activity, while growth in currencies offset lower revenue in rates.
Fraser said Citi has been systematically expanding its equities business by investing in prime balances and technology. She said clients have expressed interest in having an alternative provider in the market and that Citi sees room to gain share while maintaining disciplined client selection and risk management.
Banking revenue rose 6%, as investment banking revenue increased 9%. Equity capital markets revenue surged 77%, partly offset by declines in advisory and debt capital markets revenue. Fraser said Citi held meaningful roles in the quarter’s six largest transactions, including SK Hynix’s IPO and SoftBank’s $11 billion high-yield offering.
Looking ahead, Fraser described the investment banking pipeline as solid, with the U.S. remaining the center of activity for advisory and capital markets. She said debt capital markets activity is being supported by clients acting before rates move higher and remain elevated, while the IPO market remains selective.
Cards, Credit and Capital Returns Revenue in U.S. Consumer Cards was flat. Net interest income rose 6% on higher interest-earning balances, but non-interest revenue declined 62% because of higher partner-payment accruals and rewards costs tied to growth investments. General-purpose card spending increased 13% and average loans rose 9%, while private-label card activity declined.
U.S. Consumer Cards earned $851 million and produced ROTCE of 21.8%. Luchetti said Citi continues to shift the business toward general-purpose cards, while Fraser said some private-label relationships may migrate toward co-branded arrangements in line with consumer preferences.
Total cost of credit was $2.6 billion, including a $369 million firmwide net reserve build. Citi’s U.S. Consumer Cards cost of credit totaled $1.9 billion, including $1.7 billion of net credit losses and a $208 million reserve build. Luchetti said overall card net credit loss and delinquency rates declined year over year, and 86% of card balances were held by consumers with FICO scores of 660 or higher.
Citi returned more than $4 billion to shareholders during the quarter, including $3 billion of share repurchases, and increased its quarterly common dividend by 12%. Its common equity tier 1 ratio stood at 12.8%, about 120 basis points above its 11.6% regulatory minimum. Tangible book value per share increased 6% to $101.59.
The company said it expects full-year ROTCE above 11%, net interest income excluding Markets growth in the mid- to high-6% range, and a full-year efficiency ratio below 60%. Citi expects a typical seasonal fourth-quarter decline in Markets revenue, potentially around the 20% sequential decline recorded in the prior year or somewhat more following a strong 2026 performance.
Banamex, AI and Rate Environment Citi closed the sale of a 1.4% Banamex equity stake, bringing total divestment to 49%. The company is preparing to deconsolidate Banamex next year, with an IPO expected afterward when market conditions and regulatory requirements permit. Luchetti said Citi expects to recognize an approximately $9 billion cumulative translation adjustment-related loss through profit and loss in early 2027 as part of deconsolidation, while the process is expected to be slightly accretive to its CET1 ratio.
Fraser said Citi is deploying artificial intelligence to improve product development, technology operations, client service and cyber defenses. She said AI and automation benefits have significantly exceeded related investments so far this year. Among the initiatives discussed, Citi has used AI to accelerate product launches by roughly 30% to 40%, while 14,000 engineers use its agentic coding tool, Devin. Fraser said Citi has reduced technology vendor spending by 30% year over year as it brings more work in-house.
On interest rates, Luchetti said a higher-for-longer environment should be a net positive for Citi because of its aggregate asset-sensitive positioning, particularly outside the U.S. He added that the bank remains relatively neutral to U.S. rate moves within 12 months but becomes asset sensitive in the second year as its shorter-duration portfolio reinvests.
About Citigroup (NYSE:C)Citigroup Inc is a global financial services company headquartered in New York City and listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol C. Through its subsidiaries and businesses, Citi provides banking, lending, investment, payments, wealth management and other financial services to consumers, businesses, governments and institutional clients.
Citi's principal businesses include Services, which supports institutional clients with treasury, trade, securities services and related solutions; Markets, which provides sales, trading, research and financing services; Banking, which offers investment banking and corporate banking; and Wealth, which provides private banking and wealth management.
This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].
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Key Takeaways Citigroup's Q3'26 earnings of $2.85 per share beat estimates, but shares fell nearly 2.9% in early trading.C's net interest income rose 13.7%, while expenses fell 2.4%, boosting profitability and operating efficiency.C's credit loss provisions rose 5.6% to $2.59 billion, while its CET1 capital ratio declined to 12.8%.
Citigroup Inc. (C - Free Report) reported third-quarter 2026 earnings per share of $2.85, which surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.66. In the prior-year quarter, the company reported earnings per share of $2.24.
The company’s results benefited from higher net interest income (NII), growth across four core businesses and positive operating leverage. However, higher credit loss provisions and lower fee income acted as offsetting factors. Given these concerns, C shares lost nearly 2.9% in the early trading session. A full day’s trading session will depict a clearer picture.
Net income in the quarter was $5.25 billion, up 39.8% from the prior-year quarter.
C’s Revenues Increase, Expenses DeclineRevenues, net of interest expenses, were $23.85 billion in the third quarter of 2026, up 7.9% year over year, marking the company's highest third-quarter revenues in a decade. The top line surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $23.66 billion.
NII increased 13.7% year over year to $16.98 billion, driven by growth in Markets, Services, Wealth and U.S. Consumer Cards.
Non-interest revenues declined 4% year over year to $6.86 billion, primarily due to weakness in Markets and U.S. Consumer Cards.
Citigroup's operating expenses declined 2.4% year over year to $13.95 billion. The decrease mainly reflected the absence of the prior-year Banamex goodwill impairment charge and lower professional services expenses. However, higher transactional and product servicing costs, deposit insurance expenses and compensation partially offset the decline.
The efficiency ratio improved to 58.5% from 64.7% in the year-ago quarter. A decline in the efficiency ratio indicates improvement in profitability.
Citigroup’s Segmental PerformanceIn the Services segment, revenues were $6.61 billion, up 15% year over year. The increase reflected growth in Treasury and Trade Solutions and Securities Services.
The Markets segment’s revenues increased 6% to $6.11 billion, driven by growth in Fixed Income and Equity markets revenues.
Banking revenues increased 6% to $1.74 billion, primarily driven by Investment Banking revenues, which grew 9%. Equity underwriting revenues surged 77%, while Advisory and Debt underwriting revenues declined 4% and 3%, respectively.
In the Wealth segment, revenues were $3.27 billion, climbing 15% year over year. The increase was driven by growth across Citigold and Retail Banking, the Private Bank and Wealth at Work.
U.S. Consumer Cards revenues remained relatively flat at $4.66 billion. Higher NII was offset by increased partner payment accruals and rewards costs.
In the All Other segment, on a managed basis, revenues declined 3% year over year to $1.43 billion.
C’s Balance Sheet Position SolidAt the end of the third quarter of 2026, Citigroup's deposits increased nearly 1% to $1.51 trillion on a sequential basis. Its loans rose 3.3% from the prior quarter to $819.7 billion, reflecting continued lending activity across its businesses.
Citigroup’s Credit Quality: Mixed BagTotal non-accrual loans decreased 12% year over year to $3.3 billion. Total allowance for credit losses was $22.4 billion at quarter-end, down from $23.8 billion in the prior-year period.
Provisions for credit losses and benefits and claims increased 5.6% year over year to $2.59 billion. This reflected $2.22 billion of net credit losses and a net reserve build of $369 million, primarily driven by changes in the macroeconomic outlook and portfolio growth.
C’s Capital Position WeakAt the end of the reported quarter, Citigroup's Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio was 12.8%, down from 13.3% in the year-ago quarter. The company’s supplementary leverage ratio in the reported quarter was 5.0%, down from the prior-year quarter’s 5.5%.
Citigroup’s Capital DeploymentDuring the quarter, Citigroup returned approximately $4.1 billion to common shareholders through share repurchases and dividends. The company also increased its quarterly common stock dividend by 12% to 67 cents per share.
Our Viewpoint on CCitigroup’s third-quarter 2026 results reflected solid business momentum, supported by higher NII, strong performance in Services and Wealth and positive operating leverage. Growth in Markets and Banking was also encouraging, while improved operating efficiency and profitability underscored disciplined execution. However, higher credit loss provisions and pressure on capital ratios remain concerns.
On the strategic front, Citigroup completed the sale of the remaining 1.4% of its planned 24% equity stake sale in Banamex, reducing its ownership to 51%. The company expects Banamex's deconsolidation in early 2027, with the overall process expected to be slightly accretive to its CET1 capital ratio. The planned acquisition of Kard is also expected to strengthen its customer engagement capabilities.
Reflecting confidence in its growth prospects, management expects to exceed its 2026 return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) target of more than 11%. Further, it aims to achieve ROTCE of 11-13% during 2027-2028 and 14-15% over the medium term. Continued investments in technology and AI, coupled with disciplined expense management and capital optimization, are expected to drive profitability and improve returns over time.
Citigroup Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS SurpriseCurrently, Citigroup carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Earnings Dates & Expectations of Other BanksU.S. Bancorp (USB - Free Report) is scheduled to report its third-quarter 2026 results on Oct. 15.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for U.S. Bancorp’s quarterly earnings has remained unchanged at $1.32 per share over the past seven days. This indicates an 8.2% increase from the prior-year quarter’s reported figure.
M&T Bank (MTB - Free Report) is slated to report third-quarter 2026 numbers on Oct. 16.
Over the past week, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for M&T Bank’s quarterly earnings has been revised downward to $4.98 per share, indicating a 2.3% increase from the prior-year quarter’s reported figure.
NorthCrest Asset Manangement LLC boosted its stake in shares of Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C – Free Report) by 3.8% during the third quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the SEC. The fund owned 138,242 shares of the company’s stock after buying an additional 5,013 shares during the period. NorthCrest Asset Manangement LLC’s holdings in Citigroup were worth $17,706,000 at the end of the most recent quarter.
Several other large investors also recently added to or reduced their stakes in C. Whipplewood Advisors LLC purchased a new stake in shares of Citigroup in the first quarter valued at about $25,000. Paladin Partners LLC acquired a new stake in Citigroup during the second quarter worth about $27,000. TD Capital Management LLC acquired a new stake in Citigroup during the fourth quarter worth about $28,000. IMG Wealth Management Inc. raised its stake in Citigroup by 197.6% during the first quarter. IMG Wealth Management Inc. now owns 244 shares of the company’s stock worth $28,000 after purchasing an additional 162 shares during the period. Finally, Scarborough Advisors LLC purchased a new position in Citigroup during the first quarter worth about $29,000. 71.72% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.
Trending Headlines about Citigroup Here are the key news stories impacting Citigroup this week:
Positive Sentiment: Citigroup is expected to report third-quarter earnings before the market opens, with consensus estimates calling for approximately $2.62 in EPS and $23.72 billion in revenue. A beat or constructive outlook could support the stock, particularly after the company’s previous quarter exceeded expectations with $3.15 per share in earnings and 14.5% year-over-year revenue growth. Citigroup Q3 Earnings Report Preview Positive Sentiment: An investor letter highlighted Citigroup’s improving return on tangible common equity as a key part of the long-term recovery thesis. The view supports optimism that ongoing restructuring and efficiency efforts can improve shareholder returns. Citigroup Rebounding Return on Tangible Common Equity Neutral Sentiment: Citigroup’s research and investment-banking operations remain active: the bank initiated or adjusted coverage on several companies and upgraded JetBlue while downgrading Xerox. These actions may generate client activity and fees, but they are not direct changes to Citigroup’s earnings outlook. Citigroup Downgrades Xerox Negative Sentiment: Investors remain concerned that higher government-bond yields could pressure bank funding costs, lending growth and dealmaking during earnings season. Citigroup is also working to accelerate the resolution of long-standing regulatory requirements, creating an ongoing execution and compliance overhang. Citigroup Seeks to Speed Up Regulatory Efforts Negative Sentiment: Citi card data showed U.S. luxury spending fell 6% year over year in September and 5% for the third quarter, signaling weaker discretionary demand that could weigh on card spending and consumer-related fee revenue. U.S. Luxury Spending Falls in September Citigroup Price Performance C opened at $131.87 on Tuesday. The stock’s 50-day moving average price is $133.71 and its 200 day moving average price is $131.57. Citigroup Inc. has a 12-month low of $95.00 and a 12-month high of $147.96. The company has a current ratio of 0.99, a quick ratio of 0.99 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.71. The firm has a market cap of $224.92 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.24, a PEG ratio of 0.57 and a beta of 1.13. Citigroup (NYSE:C – Get Free Report) last announced its earnings results on Tuesday, July 14th. The company reported $3.15 EPS for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $2.74 by $0.41. The company had revenue of $24.77 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $23.74 billion. Citigroup had a return on equity of 10.15% and a net margin of 10.23%. Citigroup’s revenue for the quarter was up 14.5% on a year-over-year basis. During the same period last year, the business posted $1.96 EPS. As a group, sell-side analysts expect that Citigroup Inc. will post 11.19 earnings per share for the current year.
Citigroup Increases Dividend The firm also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Friday, August 28th. Stockholders of record on Monday, August 3rd were given a dividend of $0.67 per share. This is a boost from Citigroup’s previous quarterly dividend of $0.60. This represents a $2.68 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 2.0%. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Monday, August 3rd. Citigroup’s dividend payout ratio is currently 28.94%.
Analysts Set New Price Targets C has been the subject of several analyst reports. HSBC began coverage on shares of Citigroup in a research note on Monday, September 28th. They issued a “buy” rating and a $164.00 price target for the company. Weiss Ratings lowered shares of Citigroup from a “buy (b+)” rating to a “buy (b)” rating in a research report on Friday, October 2nd. Argus set a $150.00 price target on shares of Citigroup in a research report on Wednesday, July 15th. Wells Fargo & Company upped their price objective on Citigroup from $162.00 to $165.00 and gave the company an “overweight” rating in a report on Thursday, June 18th. Finally, UBS Group lowered their price objective on Citigroup from $142.00 to $139.00 and set a “neutral” rating for the company in a research report on Monday, October 5th. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, fourteen have issued a Buy rating and three have assigned a Hold rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat, the company currently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus target price of $151.28.
View Our Latest Stock Report on C
Citigroup Company Profile (Free Report)
Citigroup Inc is a global financial services company headquartered in New York City and listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol C. Through its subsidiaries and businesses, Citi provides banking, lending, investment, payments, wealth management and other financial services to consumers, businesses, governments and institutional clients.
Citi’s principal businesses include Services, which supports institutional clients with treasury, trade, securities services and related solutions; Markets, which provides sales, trading, research and financing services; Banking, which offers investment banking and corporate banking; and Wealth, which provides private banking and wealth management.
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Citigroup Inc (NYSE:C) reported third-quarter earnings and revenue that topped analyst expectations on Tuesday, driven by double-digit growth in its services and wealth businesses.
The bank posted adjusted earnings of $2.85 per share, up 27% from a year earlier and ahead of the $2.66 analysts had forecast.
Revenue rose 8% to $23.8 billion, compared with the $23.72 billion estimate. Net income was $5.2 billion.
Services and wealth each grew revenue 15%, to $6.6 billion and $3.3 billion respectively. Markets revenue rose 6% to $6.1 billion, led by fixed income, which gained 4% to $4.4 billion. Equity markets revenue came in at $1.7 billion, slightly below the $1.73 billion estimate. Investment banking revenue climbed 9% to $1.4 billion.
Banking revenue rose 6% to $1.7 billion, while US personal banking was flat at $4.7 billion. Average loans grew 12% to $809 billion, and end-of-period deposits increased 9% to about $1.5 trillion.
Return on equity reached 10.1%, up 300 basis points, and return on tangible common equity was 11.5%, up 350 basis points. The efficiency ratio stood at 58.5%. Net credit losses were flat at $2.2 billion, and the provision for credit losses was $2.6 billion.
Citigroup’s CET1 capital ratio was 12.8%, unchanged from the prior quarter. The bank returned about $4.1 billion to shareholders, an 85% payout ratio. Tangible book value per share rose 6% to $101.59, while book value per share was $115.61, below the $116.02 estimate.
The year-ago quarter included a $726 million goodwill impairment tied to the sale of its Banamex stake.
Shares of Citigroup lost about 2.4% on Tuesday morning.
Citigroup's fixed-income traders beat analysts' expectations with their best third quarter in at least a decade, sending the bank's revenue for the period to one of its highest levels ever. The better-than-expected fixed income, currencies and commodities trading and services results helped offset a more sluggish quarter from Citi's business advising clients on mergers and acquisitions.
Citigroup dropped its "overweight" call on US equities and closed its long position in the S&P 500 Equal Weight index (.EWGSPC) on Tuesday, saying it is taking some risk off the table as signs of market exuberance build.
Here are some details:
The brokerage said its POLLS indicator, which tracks positioning, optimism, liquidity, leverage and stress, recently reached levels that have historically coincided with market peaks
"We tactically take some risk off the table," the brokerage said
The S&P 500 Equal Weight index tracks the same 500 companies as the traditional S&P 500 (.SPX) but gives each stock roughly equal weight, reducing the influence of mega-cap companies and offering a broader gauge
The move reflects growing caution over stretched market sentiment, although Citi stopped short of turning bearish on stocks
Citi said it is growing more cautious on equities as market gains appear increasingly vulnerable to signs of trouble, although it is not advocating a broad flight to safety
Conversely, Goldman Sachs upgraded global equities to "overweight" on Monday, citing more attractive valuations following the recent market pullback
U.S. stocks traded lower midway through trading, with the Nasdaq Composite falling around 0.2% on Tuesday.
The Dow traded down 0.25% to 51,718.96 while the NASDAQ fell 0.19% to 27,194.25. The S&P 500 also fell, dropping, 0.14% to 7,796.43.
Leading and Lagging Sectors
Communication services shares jumped by 1% on Tuesday.
In trading on Tuesday, health care stocks fell by 1.1%.
Top Headline
Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C) reported better-than-expected earnings for the third quarter.
The company posted quarterly earnings of $2.85 per share which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $2.67 per share. The company reported quarterly sales of $23.845 billion which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $23.719 billion.
Equities Trading UP
Bumble Inc. (NASDAQ:BMBL) shares shot up 56% to $5.95 as the company agreed to be taken private by Ithaca Holdings for $6.05 per share in cash.
Shares of BIO-Key International Inc (NASDAQ:BKYI) got a boost, surging 139% to $3.95 after the company announced Middle East government security agency has selected BIO-key’s Multi-Factor Authentication and Single Sign-On platform to strengthen its identity security.
Fermi Inc. (NASDAQ:FRMI) shares were also up, gaining 21% to $3.9450 after the company announced signing of a credit support agreement with AMD for the first phase of its Texas AI and energy project.
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Equities Trading DOWN
Pershing Square Inc. (NYSE:PS) shares dipped 11% to $48.36 after B of A Securities downgraded the stock from Neutral to Underperform and lowered its price target from $54 to $38.
Shares of Cipher Digital Inc (NASDAQ:CIFR) were down 14% to $11.22 after the company announced a proposed private offering of $850 million of 0.00% convertible senior notes due 2032, along with a concurrent exchange of a portion of its convertible notes due 2030.
Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ:SNDX) was down, falling 17% to $13.76 after the company announced that the MAXPIRe Phase 2 trial of axatilimab in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis did not meet its primary endpoint of the annualized rate of decline in forced vital capacity.
Commodities
In commodity news, oil traded up 0.4% to $94.13 while gold traded down 0.2% at $4,184.00.
Silver traded down 0.9% to $59.945 on Tuesday, while copper fell 0.1% to $6.7430.
Euro zone
European shares were mixed today. The eurozone’s STOXX 600 rose 0.1%, while Spain’s IBEX 35 Index slipped 0.3%, London’s FTSE 100 rose 0.1%, Germany’s DAX gained 0.2%, while France’s CAC 40 slipped 0.1%.
Asia Pacific Markets
Asian markets closed mixed on Tuesday, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 falling 1.82%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index gaining 0.30%, China’s SSE Composite Index rising 0.1% and India’s BSE Sensex surging 1.54%.
Economics
The U.S. NFIB small business optimism index fell to 97.9 in September, recording the lowest level in three months, and compared to 98.7 in August.
U.S. existing home sales increased by 1.5% to an annualized rate of 3.99 million units in September, versus market estimates of 3.95 million.
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Index Dow Jones +0,31 % na 52010,02 b., S&P 500 +0,03 % na 7809,9 b., Nasdaq Composite -0,03 % na 27238,51 b.
V úvodu seance se přední americké indexy obchodují smíšeně.
Americká banka Citigroup (-1,37 %) oznámila výsledky za 3. čtvrtletí 2026. Výnosy Citi dosáhly 23,85 mld. USD při očekávání 23,72 mld. USD. Čisté úrokové výnosy činily 16,98 mld. USD nad očekáváním 16,64 mld. USD. Výnosy z obchodování dluhopisů, měn a komodit (FICC) reportovala Citi ve výši 4,39 mld. USD při analytických odhadech 4,26 mld. USD. Obchodování s akciemi bance vyneslo 1,73 mld. USD, což nedosahuje na analytický konsensus ve výši 1,78 mld. USD. Výnosy z investičního bankovnictví dosáhly 1,35 mld. USD. Rentabilita hmotného vlastního kapitálu (ROTCE) dosáhla 11,5 % při očekávání 10,7 %. Ukazatel kapitálové přiměřenosti CET1 byl 12,8 %.
Další bankou, která otevřela americkou výsledkovou sezónu, byla Wells Fargo (-2,24 %). Celkové výnosy bankovního domu dosáhly 21,87 mld. USD, přičemž očekávání trhu bylo 22,31 mld. USD. Čisté úrokové výnosy dosáhly 12,52 mld. USD při odhadech 12,59 mld. USD. Výnosy ze spotřebitelského bankovnictví a úvěrování činily 10,66 mld. USD, komerční bankovnictví vygenerovalo 3,24 mld. USD, korporátní a investiční bankovnictví dosáhlo 5,01 mld. USD a správa majetku 4,10 mld. USD.
Před otevřením trhu reportovala také investiční banka Goldman Sachs (+1,7 %). Ta vykázala čisté výnosy ve třetím kvartálu 18,68 mld. USD. Čisté úrokové výnosy banky dosáhly 3,77 mld. USD při očekávání Wall Street 3,61 mld. USD. Výnosy ze segmentu globálního bankovnictví a trhů činily 13,46 mld. USD. Trh očekával 11,8 mld. USD. Výnosy z divize obchodování dluhopisů, měn a komodit (FICC) vzrostly na 3,23 mld. USD při očekávání analytiků 3,72 mld. USD. Divize obchodování s akciemi vykázala výnosy 6,44 mld. USD, čímž předčila odhady trhu ve výši 5,09 mld. USD. Výnosy z divize investičního bankovnictví byly 3,23 mld. USD nad odhady 2,86 mld. USD.
Výsledky zveřejnila také JPMorgan (+0,41 %), zprávu k výsledkům připravujeme. Dále dnes před otevřením trhu reportovaly například společnosti UnitedHealth Group (-0,96 %) a Johnson & Johnson (-5,1 %). Kompletní kalendář společností z námi sledovaných trhů, které zveřejní hospodářské výsledky tento týden, naleznete zde.
Významně dnes odepisují akcie společnosti Western Digital (-4,3 %). Analytik Timothy Arcuri z UBS snížil cílovou cenu akcií Western Digital z 525 USD na 470 USD. Investiční doporučení ponechal na stávajícím stupni „Neutral“. Ztrácí v úvodu také akcie společnosti Micron (-4,53 %), když Elon Musk označil na síti X čínského výrobce pamětí CXMT jako seriózního hráče.
Index S&P 500 +0,03 % na 7809,9 b. Nejsilnější sektory S&P Změna Nejslabší sektory S&P Změna Energie +1,1 % Zdravotní péče -0,7 % Komunikační služby +1,1 % Průmysl -0,4 % Zbytná spotřeba +0,6 % Utility -0,2 % Nejsilnější akcie S&P Změna Nejslabší akcie S&P Změna Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp (CTSH) +3,9 % Western Digital Corp (WDC) -5,4 % Salesforce (CRM) +3,9 % Seagate Technology Holdings (STX) -5,2 % HP (HPQ) +3,5 % Micron Technology (MU) -4,3 % Veeva Systems (VEEV) +3,5 % Flex (FLEX) -4,0 % Valero Energy Corp (VLO) +3,0 % Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) -3,9 % Zdroj: Bloomberg
NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Today Citigroup reported third quarter 2026 results, which can be found on its website at https://www.citigroup.com/global/investors. A Quarterly Financial Data Supplement with additional financial, statistical and business-related information, as well as business and segment trends, is also available. Citi will host a conference call today at 11 a.m. (ET) to review these results. To attend the live webcast, please visit https://citi-third-quarter-2026-earnings-result.
Citigroup (C.N) beat Wall Street estimates for third-quarter profit on Tuesday, helped by stronger investment banking revenue and transactions with multinational companies as well as higher earnings from wealth management.
Trading profits gained only 2% over a year ago, but fell 27% against the previous quarter, mainly due to a drop in equity trading revenue.
Wall Street banks are navigating a volatile market backdrop as the conflict in Iran pushed oil prices higher, fueling inflation and prompting the US Federal Reserve to raise interest rates and bond markets worldwide to sell off dramatically.
"There is no doubt that high interest rates and the threat of continued Fed hikes is weighing on trading and IB activity in a measurably negative vector," said Brian Mulberry, chief market strategist at Zacks Investment Management.
"However, the ability for Citi to drive positive growth from multiple business units is the strength of the balance sheet today, growth in Services, Wealth, and strong NII will offset short term weakness in trading to support continued ROTCE at or above the targeted 11% going into 2027."
Shares of the bank were down 0.4% in early trading after the results. Citi's shares have risen 13% this year, outperforming the broader bank stock index (.BKX).
Citi's investment banking revenue increased 9% from a year ago to $1.35 billion but fell 13% over the previous quarter as equity and debt underwriting activity slowed. Citi's CFO Gonzalo Luchetti said the bank gained market share over the last year, but also went through the industry slowdown in the third quarter from the record deal volume in the first half of the year.
"I think across the industry, there's a moderate decline from that in terms of the growth rate in the third quarter," Luchetti told reporters during a conference call.
Citigroup posted an 11.5% return on tangible common equity, or ROTCE, in the third quarter and a year-to-date return of 12.6%, ahead of its 11% target.
"We expect to exceed this year's return target, even as we pull forward investments toward our 11-13% near-term goal — the next waypoints on our path to sustainable returns of 14-15%," CEO Jane Fraser said in a statement.
Rival JPMorgan Chase's (JPM.N) third-quarter profit increased on Tuesday, while Wells Fargo's (WFC.N) profit rose, helped by growth in its loan book and higher interest income.
Citi reported a profit of $2.85 per share in the third quarter, compared with analysts' average estimate of $2.66 per share, according to data compiled by LSEG.
The bank said it has returned $4.1 billion to shareholders including buybacks and dividends in the third quarter, accumulating share repurchases of $13.3 billion this year.
Bank stocks have come under pressure in recent weeks as a sharp rise in bond yields raised concerns that higher borrowing and funding costs could weigh on loan growth and dealmaking.
INVESTMENT BANKING, TRADING REVENUE SLOWS FROM Q2
Global investment banking revenue exceeded $90 billion in the first nine months of the year and Citi was placed fifth among global banks by fees during the period, according to Dealogic.
Citi's banking revenue, which includes corporate lending, was up 6%, at $1.74 billion. But equity and debt issuance slowed late in the quarter.
US government bond yields rose to multi-decade highs in September, affecting capital markets. Companies such as Oura Ring, Holtec Nuclear and SB Energy postponed planned IPOs.
Citigroup's equity underwriting revenue fell 19% from the second quarter, though still 77% higher compared to a year earlier.
Markets were volatile in the third quarter and trading revenue rose 6% compared to a year ago to $6.11 billion. Revenue with equities trading rose 14%, while fixed-income trading revenue was up 4%.
But the bank had 13% lower trading revenue compared with the second quarter. Those trading revenues were off this quarter as fixed income and commodities revenues were down (that has impacted every bank report this morning as well)," Mulberry said.
Services had the highest growth in the third quarter among Citi's five businesses, with 15% higher revenue and 27% profit growth. Wealth management also grew revenue by 15% and increased client assets by the same percentage.
LOWER PROFITS WITH CREDIT CARDS
Citi's profit from credit cards fell 8% in the third quarter from a year earlier. Clients spent 13% more and took 9% higher loan volumes as the US economy has continued to expand at a solid pace, supported by resilient consumer spending and business investment.
But Citi's profit from cards fell due to higher reward costs and payments to partners, as well as credit provisions.
Loss provisions in its US consumer cards segment were $1.9 billion in the quarter, 4% above a year ago, as borrowers deal with moderating wage growth, inflation and higher interest rates. Luchetti said the reserve increases were deliberate. "We think it reflects prudence and helps us solve for a range of potential macro outcomes in a dynamic environment," he added.
The New York-based bank is nearing the end of a multi-year restructuring in which it sold international businesses, simplified the organization and worked on fixing compliance, controls and data deficiencies.
Citi is seeking to rapidly resolve its efforts to address regulatory demands that have long dogged the bank, in order to fully refocus on growth.
The last divestment to be completed is of its Mexican unit Banamex. Citi now owns 51% of Banamex and expects to take it out of its balance sheet and list it on the stock exchange next year.
Profit increased to $5.25 billion, or $2.85 per share, in the three months ended September 30, the third-largest US lender reported. This compares with $3.8 billion, or $1.86 per share, a year earlier. But the bank's net income was 10% lower in the third quarter compared to the second.
Citigroup C shares recovered in premarket trading Tuesday as the bank reported stronger-than-expected third-quarter results, with revenue beating Wall Street estimates and profit climbing 40% from a year earlier. The stock was down around 1% when the results were announced but eventually gained around 0.5% before the opening bell as the lender reported another quarter of solid growth across several businesses.
Podobně jako JP Morgan či Goldman Sachs se se svými výsledky hospodaření za třetí čtvrtletí vytáhla také Citigroup. Ta předčila odhady jak v případě zisku, tak i tržeb. Banka navíc zaznamenala jeden z nejlepších výsledků svého obchodování s dluhopisy za posledních nejméně deset let. Akcie v bezprostřední reakci vykazovaly mírný pokles o necelé procento.
Upravený zisk na akcii vzrostl ve třetím kvartálu meziročně o 27 procent na 2,85 dolaru, zatímco trh počítal s 2,66 dolaru. Tržby byly meziročně o osm procent vyšší, když dosáhly 23,8 mld. USD při konsenzu 23,72 mld. USD.
Zmíněné výnosy z obchodování s dluhopisy, měnami a komoditami (FICC) dosáhly 4,4 miliardy dolarů, čímž o sto milionů překonaly konsenzus analytiků. A k silným výsledkům přispěla také divize Services, jež pomáhá firmám a vládám se správou a přesuny peněz. Její tržby meziročně vzrostly o 15 procent na 6,6 mld. USD.
Na druhé straně slabší čtvrtletí si připsalo investiční bankovnictví – příjmy z poradenství při fúzích a akvizicích klesly o čtyři procenta.
Investoři bedlivě sledují výsledky dluhopisových obchodních divizí, protože jde o jeden z hlavních zdrojů zisků velkých bank. Objevují se totiž obavy, že by rostoucí úrokové sazby a zpomalení aktivity v oblasti fúzí a akvizic mohly jejich výkonnost utlumit. Citigroup má druhou největší FICC platformu na Wall Street, a tento segment je proto pro banku mimořádně důležitý.
Dosavadní výsledky naznačují, že banka se s náročným prostředím vyrovnává lépe než někteří konkurenti. JPMorgan totiž oznámila překvapivý pokles příjmů z obchodování s dluhopisy, první za více než dva roky, upozornila agentura Bloomberg. V případě Citi táhly výsledky zejména aktivity v oblasti úvěrového financování v rámci divize spreadových produktů, zatímco obchodování s úrokovými sazbami zaznamenalo pokles.
Některé investory v červenci znepokojilo oznámení, že Citi urychlí část nákladů kvůli hlubšímu propouštění a investicím do technologií ve druhé polovině roku. Ve třetím čtvrtletí však banka udržela náklady pod kontrolou. Neúrokové náklady činily 14 mld. USD, zatímco analytici očekávali 14,4 mld. USD.
Citigroup rovněž pokračuje v přípravách na vstup své mexické retailové banky Banamex na burzu. Společnost již vybrala poradenské banky pro plánovanou nabídku akcií, v jejímž rámci hodlá v následujících měsících prodat většinu svého podílu. Jde o završení dlouholeté strategie CEO Jane Fraserové zaměřené na omezení retailových aktivit mimo Spojené státy.
Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C) will release its third-quarter earnings report before the opening bell on Tuesday, Oct. 13.
Analysts expect the bank to report quarterly earnings of $2.62 per share, up from $2.26 per share a year ago. The consensus estimate for Citigroup’s quarterly revenue is $23.72 billion. It reported $22.09 billion last year, according to Benzinga Pro.
Ahead of quarterly earnings, TD Cowen analyst R. Scott Siefers reinstated Citigroup with a Buy on Oct. 8 and set a $150 price target.
With the recent buzz around Citigroup, some investors may be eyeing potential gains from the company’s dividends too. Currently, Citigroup has an annual dividend yield of 2.07%, with a quarterly dividend of 67 cents per share ($2.68 a year).
So, how can investors exploit its dividend yield to pocket a regular $500 monthly?
To earn $500 per month, or $6,000 annually, from dividends alone, you would need to invest about $290,264, or around 2,239 shares. For a more modest $100 per month or $1,200 per year, you would need $58,079 or around 448 shares.
To calculate: Divide the desired annual income ($6,000 or $1,200) by the dividend ($2.68 in this case). So, $6,000 / $2.68 = 2,239 shares ($500 per month), and $1,200 / $2.68 = 448 shares ($100 per month).
Note that dividend yield can change on a rolling basis, as dividend payments and stock prices both fluctuate over time.
How that works: The dividend yield is computed by dividing the annual dividend payment by the stock’s current price.
For example, if a stock pays an annual dividend of $2 and is currently priced at $50, the dividend yield would be 4% ($2/$50). However, if the stock price increases to $60, the dividend yield drops to 3.33% ($2/$60). Conversely, if the stock price falls to $40, the dividend yield rises to 5% ($2/$40).
Similarly, changes in dividend payments can affect the yield. If a company increases its dividend, the yield will also increase, provided the stock price stays the same. Conversely, if the dividend payment decreases, the yield will also fall.
C Price Action: Shares of Citigroup rose 1.2% to close at $129.64 on Friday.
Hlavní pozornost v tomto týdnu bude směřovat například na výrobce litografických zařízení ASML, americké banky JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Wells Fargo a farmaceutického giganta Johnson & Johnson.
Přehled vybraných společností reportujících své výsledky v tomto týdnu (zdroj: síť X - Earnings Whispers)
Pondělí (12. října) USA (před trhem): Liberty Live Holdings
USA (před trhem): Progressive Corporation, BlackRock, Bank of America, Fastenal, Morgan Stanley, State Street Corporation
Čtvrtek (15. října) Evropa (před trhem): Nordea
USA (před trhem): Marsh & McLennan, Charles Schwab, Prologis, U.S. Bancorp, Bank of New York Mellon Corporation, First Horizon Corporation, PNC Financial Services Group
USA (po trhu): Interactive Brokers Group, Alcoa, J.B. Hunt Transport Services
Pátek (16. října) USA (před trhem): Regions Financial Corporation, Truist Financial Corporation, Travelers Companies, Citizens Financial Group, M&T Bank
Jako každé čtvrtletí jsme pro vás připravili podrobný kalendář pro USA.
Tento týden startuje nová výsledková sezona a na řadě jsou jako první tradičně největší americké banky. Čísla hospodaření za třetí čtvrtletí zveřejní nejprve v úterý JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs a Citigroup, ve středu pak následují Morgan Stanley a Bank of America. Co od výsledků čekat?
Výsledková sezóna přichází v citlivém období pro Wall Street. Přestože širší index S&P 500 minulý týden vystoupal na nové historické maximum, tak v poslední době vykazuje zvýšenou volatilitu kvůli rostoucím výnosům státních dluhopisů a vyšším cenám ropy. To vyvolává obavy, že by Fed mohl pokračovat ve zvyšování úrokových sazeb, aby zkrotil inflaci.
Co se týče očekávání pro bankovní sektor, tak výsledky by vydatně měly podpořit podobně jako v předchozích čtvrtletích divize investičního bankovnictví a tradingu, a to zejména u Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley a JPMorgan. Důležitou metrikou pak zůstává růst čistého úrokového výnosu (NII), i když tempo růstu oproti první polovině roku zpomaluje.
Za minulý kvartál vykázala největší americká banka meziroční růst zisku o 41 procent. Ve třetím čtvrtletí bude sice růst nižší, opět by ale měl být dvouciferný.
Například analytici Seaport Research Partners zaujímají před výsledky spíše opatrný postoj. Zvýšili odhady čistého úrokového výnosu (NII) pro příští rok díky vyšší výnosové křivce a očekávají silný výhled i pro rok 2027. Současně však předpokládají vyšší náklady, než očekává trh.
Podle Bespoke Investment Group banka překonává odhady analytiků v 82 procentech případů. Akcie však po čtyřech z posledních pěti výsledkových oznámení oslabily, upozorňuje server CNBC.
Banka v posledním čtvrtletí zazářila růstem v investičním bankovnictví (+55 %), v tomto čtvrtletí by celkové tržby měly přesáhnout desetiprocentní růst.
TD Cowen minulý týden zahájila pokrývání akcie s doporučením „koupit“. Analytici uvedli, že Goldmani díky své velikosti výrazně těží z příznivého prostředí na kapitálových trzích a růstu cen aktiv.
V minulosti banka překonala odhady analytiků již ve 12 čtvrtletích po sobě. Akcie po minulých výsledcích posílily až o devět procent.
Banka překonala ve druhém kvartálu očekávání trhu mimo jiné díky silnému čistému úrokovému výnosu, v tomto čtvrtletí analytici očekávají jednociferný růst tržeb i zisku.
Barclays má u akcie rating „overweight“. Analytik Jason Goldberg očekává růst čistého úrokového výnosu o dvě procenta oproti předchozímu čtvrtletí, a to díky pokračujícímu růstu úvěrů a vkladů. Upozorňuje však, že příjmy z obchodování a investičního bankovnictví mohou zaostat za konkurencí.
Bank of America překonává odhady zisku v 81 procentech případů. Přestože akcie v den výsledků v průměru klesají o 0,6 procenta, tak po posledních dvou výsledcích rostly, píše CNBC.
V minulém čtvrtletí Citigroup vykázala nejvyšší čtvrtletní tržby za poslední dekádu, pro toto čtvrtletí analytici počítají s výrazným růstem zisku.
Pozitivní je například analytik Jefferies David Chiaverini, podle kterého by růst tržeb napříč segmenty, disciplinované náklady a rostoucí návrat kapitálu akcionářům mohly podpořit přecenění akcií banky vzhledem k lepšímu výnosu z hmotného kapitálu (ROTCE).
Akcie Citigroup každopádně po dvou z posledních tří reportovaných výsledků klesly, píše CNBC.
Banka vykázala v letošním druhém kvartálu rekordní tržby díky silným výsledkům v divizi obchodování s akciemi. Pro aktuální čtvrtletí se ale mezikvartálně očekává výrazný pokles obchodních výnosů.
Analytik Citizens Devin Ryan pak snížil odhad příjmů z investičního bankovnictví kvůli nižšímu objemu dokončených transakcí.
Akcie Morgan Stanley rostly po zveřejněni výsledků poslední čtyři kvartály v řadě.
Key Takeaways Citigroup is expected to report Q3'26 revenues of $23.66 billion, suggesting a year-over-year rise of 7.1%.C's NII is expected to rise 11.1% to $16.6 billion, supported by continued loan growth.C targets $2-$2.5 billion in annualized savings by year-end through simplification and productivity gains. Citigroup Inc. (C - Free Report) is slated to report third-quarter 2026 results on Oct. 13, before market open.
In the first six months of 2026, Citigroup witnessed increases in net interest income (NII) and non-interest revenues. Building on this momentum, the globally diversified financial services holding company is expected to report year-over-year growth in both earnings and revenues for the third quarter.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter revenues is pegged at $23.66 billion, indicating a 7.1% year-over-year increase.
The consensus estimate for earnings for the to-be-reported quarter has been revised downward to $2.66 over the past seven days. The figure indicates 18.8% growth from the prior-year quarter.
Estimate Revision Trend
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The company also has an impressive earnings surprise history. Its earnings outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 14.68%.
Earnings Surprise History
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Major Factors to Impact Citigroup’s Q3 ResultsNII: In mid-September 2026, the Federal Reserve raised its interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4%, citing persistently elevated inflation. This is less likely to have much impact on the company’s NII and margin.
Meanwhile, lending activity remained impressive in the first two months of the third quarter, building on the momentum witnessed in the first half of 2026. Per the Fed’s latest data, commercial and industrial loan growth was healthy during the period, while consumer and real estate lending remained steady. Thus, continued loan growth is expected to have supported Citigroup’s NII by expanding the interest-earning asset base while funding and deposit costs stabilized.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NII is pinned at $16.6 billion, suggesting an 11.1% year-over-year rise.
Fee Income: Following a record-setting first half, global merger and acquisition (M&A) activity slowed during the third quarter as geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainties weighed on deal-making. Rising borrowing costs, persistent inflation and valuation gaps also remained headwinds. Despite these challenges, strategic acquirers continued to pursue transactions focused on expanding scale, enhancing operational resilience and strengthening competitive positioning.
The third quarter saw healthy initial public offering (IPO) and equity issuance activity, despite some moderation from strong second-quarter levels. Debt issuance also remained solid, supported by corporate refinancing and continued investor demand. These trends are expected to have supported C’s underwriting revenues, which accounted for nearly 69% of Investment Banking (IB) revenues in the first six months of 2026. Management guided for third-quarter 2026 IB revenues to increase in the low single digits year over year, with some upside depending on deals that closed toward the end of the quarter.
The company also expects third-quarter 2026 trading activity to be healthy, with continued momentum across key trading businesses, particularly in equities, derivatives, financing and foreign exchange. Strength across these businesses is expected to have further supported Citigroup's markets revenues during the quarter. Management expects third-quarter 2026 markets revenues to grow in the mid-single digits from the prior-year period. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for markets revenues is $6.1 billion, implying a 9.1% year-over-year rise.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for income from commissions and fees is pinned at $2.9 billion, which indicates a 2.1% year-over-year rise. The consensus estimate for income from principal transactions is pegged at $3.1 billion, suggesting a 10.1% increase year over year. Also, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for administration and other fiduciary fees is $1.2 billion, implying a rise of 5% year over year.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for total non-interest income for the third quarter of 2026 is pegged at $7.2 billion, suggesting a marginal year-over-year increase.
Expenses: Though Citigroup is focused on lowering expenses through organizational simplification, cost reductions and productivity savings, continued investments in business transformation efforts, technology and controls, along with higher business-related expenses, are likely to have kept the expense base elevated in the third quarter of 2026. In addition, management expects U.S. Consumer Cards expense growth to outpace revenues, limiting near-term margin expansion.
Asset Quality: After setting aside a decent amount for potential loan losses in the first half of 2026, Citigroup is likely to have increased reserve building in the to-be-reported quarter, as the recent Fed rate hike and expectations of another hike later this year could weigh on borrowers’ repayment capacity.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for non-accrual loans is pegged at $3.72 billion, indicating a rise of 1.1% from the prior-year quarter.
What Our Model Unveils for COur proven model conclusively predicts an earnings beat for Citigroup this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. This is exactly the case here, as you can see below.
Citigroup has an Earnings ESP of +0.36%. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they are reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
The company carries a Zacks Rank #3 at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Citigroup’s Price Performance & ValuationIn the third quarter of 2026, C shares plunged 7.5% compared with the industry’s 2.9% decline. Among its peers, shares of Bank of America (BAC - Free Report) and Wells Fargo (WFC - Free Report) lost 4.5% and 3.2%, respectively, during the same period.
Third-Quarter Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Wells Fargo is scheduled to report its quarterly results on Oct. 13, the same day as Citigroup, while Bank of America is set to announce its results on Oct. 14.
Now, let us look at the value that Citigroup offers investors at the current levels. C is trading at 10.14X forward 12-month earnings, below the industry’s forward price/earnings (P/E) multiple of 12.76X. The company’s valuation looks inexpensive compared with the industry average.
Price-to-Earnings F12M
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Citigroup’s stock is also trading at a discount compared with Bank of America’s P/E of 10.46X and Wells Fargo's P/E of 10.26X.
Investment Thesis for CitigroupCitigroup is making steady progress in streamlining its operations, with its multi-year exit from non-core international consumer banking nearing completion. The sale of its Polish consumer business in June 2026 marked the final international consumer divestiture, apart from the wind-down of its Korean operations and the ongoing Banamex divestiture. The company currently holds a 51% stake in Banamex and expects to complete its deconsolidation in early 2027, potentially followed by an IPO, which could release approximately $5 billion in capital. These efforts are expected to reduce operational complexity, free up capital and enable Citigroup to allocate more resources to its core businesses. As the remaining exits and wind-downs conclude, lower stranded costs and more focused capital allocation are likely to strengthen its ability to generate sustainable returns.
Alongside its business simplification efforts, C remains focused on expense discipline and operational efficiency. It is reducing management layers, expanding spans of control and optimizing its workforce, with headcount declining to 219,000 as of June 30, 2026, from 230,000 a year earlier. These measures resulted in more than $800 million in severance costs during the first half of 2026. Meanwhile, investments in technology and artificial intelligence (AI), combined with process simplification, platform consolidation and increased automation, are expected to enhance long-term productivity.
Collectively, these initiatives are anticipated to generate $2-$2.5 billion in annualized savings by the end of 2026, supporting management's full-year efficiency ratio target. Improving operational efficiency, along with stronger business performance, is expected to support profitability, with management projecting full-year 2026 return on tangible common equity to exceed 11%, above its previous 10-11% target.
Beyond its efficiency initiatives, the company continues to strengthen its core businesses and deepen customer relationships. In August 2026, it agreed to acquire Kard Financial to enhance personalized rewards and merchant-funded offers. The September launch of Citi Commerce Media reinforces this strategy, helping C increase cardholder engagement and expand its commerce ecosystem.
Citigroup's liquidity position also provides room for continued shareholder distributions. Following its successful completion of the 2026 Fed stress test, the company raised its quarterly dividend by 12% to 67 cents per share and continues its $30-billion multiyear share repurchase program.
Parting Thoughts on Citigroup Ahead of Q3 EarningsCitigroup’s progress on business simplification and cost control, along with business expansion efforts, capital returns and an inexpensive valuation, is a positive catalyst. However, elevated restructuring and technology expenses could continue to pressure near-term results.
Therefore, investors may prefer to wait for C’s upcoming third-quarter results before initiating new positions, as the earnings release could provide clearer visibility into cost savings, business growth and profitability. Management’s commentary on credit trends, capital deployment and progress on the remaining divestitures will be particularly important. Still, existing shareholders may consider holding their positions, as continued progress on the transformation could support Citigroup’s long-term earnings and return potential.
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A weekly, midday program that delivers high-impact, editorially driven coverage of the most important corporate transactions shaping the global market. Today's guests: Permira Co-CEO, CO-Managing Partner Brian Ruder, Jefferies Senior Equity Research Analyst Shelia Kahyaoglu, McNally Capital Founder, Co-CEO & Managing Partner Ward McNally, 3wire Partners Founder & Managing Partner Anita Antenucci, and Citi Co-Head North Ameica Investment Banking David Friedland.
Wall Street giants have slashed their Bitcoin price targets multiple times this year, with one firm swinging by tens of thousands of dollars in a single quarter. Here is how much trust investors should actually place in these forecasts.
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Over 2026, major financial institutions such as Standard Chartered, Citigroup (NYSE:C | C Price Prediction), and Bernstein revised their Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) price targets downward. Standard Chartered predicts a price of $100,000, Citi has set its target at $113,000, and Bernstein expects $125,000 for the cryptocurrency.
As of October 6, Bitcoin is trading at $85,896, down 31.9% from its all-time high of $126,080. To meet even the lowest target, Bitcoin needs to increase by 16.4% in just 86 days. This raises the question: how much should investors rely on estimates that have already been cut?
Standard Chartered, Citi and Bernstein All Cut Their Bitcoin Targets in 2026
Standard Chartered made a dramatic cut to its 2026 Bitcoin target in February, dropping it from $150,000 to $100,000. By September, analyst Geoff Kendrick hinted that even this target might be conservative and suggested that Bitcoin could attempt to retest the $126,000 mark.
Citi has made the most significant adjustments. It began 2026 with a price target of $143,000, which it later reduced to $112,000 and then further down to $82,000 by July, assuming no new inflows into funds. However, on October 2, Citi raised this target back up to $113,000, leaving it still $30,000 lower than its initial forecast at the start of the year
Bernstein also revised its expectations downward. Initially predicting a year-end target of $150,000 in mid-September, the firm reduced it to $125,000 by October 5. Still, Bernstein maintains a longer-term outlook, forecasting $150,000 by mid-2027 and a potential peak of $300,000 before a significant market downturn.
Bitcoin Needs a 16% to 46% Rally to Reach the Bank Targets
To hit these revised targets, Bitcoin must rally significantly: a climb of 16.4% to reach $100,000, 31.6% for $113,000, and 45.5% for $125,000. Each figure is a specific estimate for a particular date, meaning an analyst could predict the correct direction but still miss the actual December 31 price.
The timelines for these predictions also vary. Citi’s $113,000 target is a 12-month projection extending to October 2027, while Standard Chartered and Bernstein’s targets are year-end goals.
Brian Vieten from Siebert Financial (NASDAQ:SIEB) has the highest target at $175,000, but this is set for 2027, giving Bitcoin an additional year to gain value.
Analyst Gautam Chhugani of Bernstein links his forecast to Bitcoin’s history of cyclical price movements, the current market cost of mining, estimated to be near $78,000, and the impact of aggressive monetary policy that could push investors toward limited assets.
Wall Street Still Sees Bitcoin Ending 2026 Above Current Prices
Despite their lowered predictions, all three firms continue to expect Bitcoin to finish 2026 above its current price of $85,896. Kendrick even mentioned that his own prediction of $100,000 could still be too low.
However, if a bank has revised its target once, it could do so again. Citi demonstrated this in July when it cut its target to $82,000, below where Bitcoin trades now, only to raise it again three months later. If Bitcoin falters in the fourth quarter, these banks could lower their forecasts again.
Moreover, investors often lack visibility into the analysis that underpins these price targets. Without this context, a well-constructed forecast may seem no different from a random estimate from a financial institution.
How Much Weight Does a Bank’s Bitcoin Price Target Deserve? In summary, take a bank’s Bitcoin price target with caution when predicting the exact price on December 31, and view it as a moderate indicator of Wall Street sentiment. With all three banks reducing their forecasts this year, Citi’s drastic swing from $143,000 to $82,000 and then back to $113,000 underscores how quickly these numbers can change.
The first crucial benchmark is $100,000—the lowest year-end target, requiring a 16.4% increase from current prices. If Bitcoin does not close above $100,000 by the end of December, all year-end targets fail, potentially leading to further revisions in early 2027. Conversely, if Bitcoin breaches this threshold and holds it, Kendrick’s suggestion that his own figure might be overly conservative could prove accurate.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Illustration shows Meta Muse logo in this illustration taken September 23, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab
Oct 6 (Reuters) - Citigroup estimates Meta's (META.O), opens new tab AI assistant Muse could generate more than $27 billion in revenue by 2030 as strong user adoption and growing engagement reinforce the platform's first-mover advantage in the emerging personal agent market.
The brokerage said Muse is increasingly becoming the "front door to the internet," helping users search, compare and transact online, while Meta expands awareness and positions the product at the center of its broader AI strategy.
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Citi said Muse's cumulative downloads have topped 6.6 million since its launch, while daily active users reached 1.8 million as new use cases emerge and Meta ramps up awareness efforts
The brokerage estimates Muse could account for more than $27 billion in annual revenue by 2030, including about $23 billion from transaction-related revenue and roughly $4.5 billion from subscriptions
Unveiled last month, Muse is key to Meta's strategy to bring AI-powered personal agents to mainstream users, with the company betting the technology can drive new subscription and commerce revenue while deepening engagement across its ecosystem
"With Muse the centerpiece of Meta's AI vision to be a key part of a user's daily life, we believe personal agents (PAs)— with Muse benefiting from its 1st-mover advantage, are emerging as the new front door to the internet," Citi said
Muse's first-mover advantage could prove crucial as competitors such as OpenAI's ChatGPT Dots, Google's Gemini and Anthropic's Claude expand their own agent offerings in pursuit of what many view as the next major consumer computing platform
Meta's stock has risen 12.4% year-to-date and more than 20% since Muse debuted on September 8, leaving Meta within striking distance of a $2 trillion market value
Reporting by Joel Jose and Rashika Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Shreya Biswas
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab
Key Takeaways Citigroup expands Citi Token Services to Japan and the UAE, reaching seven markets globally.C's token platform enables near-instant fund transfers and supports treasury and liquidity management.Citigroup expects Services revenues to grow at a low to mid-single-digit rate in 2027-2028. Citigroup Inc. (C - Free Report) is taking Citi Token Services to Japan and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), broadening its digital payments network across key financial hubs and potentially supporting growth in its Services franchise.
The move comes as corporations increasingly seek faster and more flexible ways to manage liquidity across markets. Built on a private and permissioned blockchain, Citi Token Services enables near-instantaneous movement of funds within Citigroup’s network, helping clients overcome traditional banking cut-off times, holidays and time-zone constraints. This can make cross-border liquidity management more efficient while strengthening C’s transaction banking offering.
With the addition of Japan and the UAE, Citi Token Services is now available across seven markets, including the United States, Ireland, Hong Kong, Singapore and the United Kingdom. Japan will support USD transactions, while the UAE will support USD and euro transactions. The platform already processes billions of dollars in transactions and supports collateral management, potentially making it increasingly integral to clients’ treasury operations and expanding opportunities across payments, liquidity management and institutional finance.
The latest expansion builds on C’s broader rollout of Token Services. Launched commercially in 2024 following an initial Singapore-New York pilot, the platform was integrated with Citigroup’s 24/7 U.S. dollar Clearing capabilities in 2025 and subsequently expanded to support euro transactions through its Dublin operations. The addition of Japan and the UAE extends the platform’s reach across additional financial centers and currencies, advancing the company’s strategy of connecting traditional financial infrastructure with emerging digital networks.
For Citigroup, the opportunity extends beyond payments, as a wider tokenized network will likely increase cross-border transaction activity, deepen corporate relationships and create opportunities in payments, cash management and transaction banking. The initiative aligns with its 2026 Investor Day strategy, which identified tokenization and next-generation platforms as longer-term Services growth drivers. With Services revenues expected to grow at a low to mid-single-digit rate in 2027-2028, greater adoption of Citi Token Services could strengthen C’s position in global transaction banking and support the franchise’s longer-term growth.
How Are Other Banks Expanding Digital Payments?HSBC Holdings (HSBC - Free Report) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM - Free Report) are also expanding digital payment capabilities to strengthen cross-border transactions, liquidity management and corporate client relationships.
HSBC Holdings expanded its Tokenized Deposit Service to the UAE in June 2026, following its U.S. rollout in April. HSBC Holdings enables eligible clients to move funds 24/7 across borders, supporting faster liquidity and treasury management. This expansion could further strengthen HSBC Holdings’ digital payments franchise.
JPMorgan partnered with Mitsubishi Corporation in March 2026 to enable global payments through its Kinexys blockchain platform. It has processed more than $3 trillion in Kinexys transactions, supporting faster cross-border transfers and liquidity management. Broader adoption could further strengthen JPMorgan’s payments franchise.
Citigroup’s Price Performance, Valuation & EstimatesIn the past six months, shares of Citigroup have gained 9.5% compared with the industry’s 9.8% growth.
6-Month Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
From a valuation standpoint, Citigroup trades at a 12-month forward price-to-earnings (P/E) of 10.25X, below the industry’s average of 12.73X.
P/E F12M
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for C’s 2026 and 2027 earnings implies year-over-year increases of 40.4% and 15.8%, respectively. Both estimates have been revised downward over the past week.
Estimate Revision Trend
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Currently, Citigroup carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can seethe complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Bitcoin ETFs pulled in billions during a blockbuster third quarter, yet the year-to-date total tells a very different story about where investor confidence actually stands heading into the final months of 2026.
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U.S. spot Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) ETFs attracted a net total of $6.3 billion in the third quarter of 2026, according to SoSoValue. However, Bitcoin ETF flows so far this year total just $985 million. This significant gap suggests investors withdrew about $5.4 billion from these funds in the first half, before a substantial portion returned in the third quarter.
The funds’ combined net assets now stand at $109.3 billion, down 14.6% from the $128 billion peak reached in mid-January. Outflows contributed to this drop, and Bitcoin’s price also played a role, trading about 5% below its starting point for 2026. So, where did the money from the first half go, and what might its return mean for the remainder of 2026?
Bitcoin ETFs Lost About $5.4 Billion in the First Half of 2026
The year-to-date total of $985 million includes the $6.3 billion inflow in the third quarter, meaning the first half ended with around $5.4 billion in net outflows. This occurred even though the funds experienced a seven-week period of inflows in the spring, suggesting that selling outside that timeframe was more substantial.
The most significant selling took place early in the year. The funds experienced their worst day of 2026 in late January, when investors pulled a net $818 million shortly after the assets peaked in mid-January. This suggests investors sold most aggressively near the top.
A net figure subtracts total outflows from total inflows, meaning the funds can see billions move in either direction and still finish the year close to zero. This is why a strong quarter can mask a weak half.
Bitcoin ETFs Took In $6.2 Billion in August and September
August led the third quarter with net inflows of $3.5 billion, while September added another $2.7 billion, according to SoSoValue data. July had a modest inflow of roughly $170 million. The funds also recorded their best single day of the year in late September, with a net inflow of $999 million.
However, while quarterly totals reflect inflow movements, year-to-date figures indicate how much of that money remained. A report focusing solely on the $6.3 billion misses the significant $5.4 billion outflows that occurred earlier.
Despite this, the longer-term trend remains positive. Since their launch in January 2024, the funds have accumulated a net total of $57.6 billion, meaning the 2026 outflows have reduced that total without reversing it.
Why Did Investors Pull Money From Bitcoin ETFs in 2026?
The flow totals show money exited the funds, but they don’t indicate who sold, and the issuers haven’t explained the outflows. Financial advisors and brokerage platforms hold a substantial portion of these spot ETFs, so such outflows typically suggest planned portfolio adjustments rather than panic selling.
Two possible explanations suit the data, though neither has been confirmed by the issuers. Investors may have rebalanced their portfolios, reducing Bitcoin holdings to align with target allocations, or taken profits near the January peak. However, investors switching between different Bitcoin funds cannot account for the total outflows since such movements would net out in the overall figure.
Where Did the First-Half Bitcoin ETF Money Go? Investors redeemed their shares, meaning they cashed out of the funds. The funds paid out about $5.4 billion more than they took in during the first half, while the $6.3 billion in third-quarter inflows—largely from August and September—helped refill most of that gap. This is why the net figure for 2026 stands at just $985 million.
This information may dampen the optimistic perception surrounding the third-quarter headline. The flow data also tests Citigroup (NYSE:C | C Price Prediction), which has linked its $113,000 Bitcoin price target to $5 billion in ETF inflows over 12 months.
This target is approximately 34% higher than Bitcoin’s price of $84,621 as of October 3. If Bitcoin ETF flows remain positive as they did in August and September, could Citigroup’s $5 billion assumption become more attainable?
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Citigroup just raised its price targets for both Bitcoin and Ethereum by similar margins, yet the two forecasts tell very different stories about which coin Wall Street actually trusts to deliver.
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Citigroup (NYSE:C | C Price Prediction) has updated its 12-month price targets, setting Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) at $113,000 and Ethereum (CRYPTO:ETH) at $3,028. However, these forecasts imply very different levels of potential growth. The Citi Bitcoin target suggests about a 31% increase from its current price, while the Ethereum target indicates only an 11% rise.
As of October 2, 2026, Bitcoin trades around $85,975, while Ethereum trades at about $2,730. So, why does one of Wall Street’s largest banks project a much brighter future for Bitcoin compared to Ethereum, a coin that has seen faster gains?
Citi Raised Its Bitcoin and Ethereum Targets by Similar Amounts
Citi’s revised targets follow a July 1 cut, when it pegged Bitcoin at $82,000 and Ethereum at $2,240 after money exited crypto ETFs. The recent update raises Bitcoin’s target by about 38% and Ethereum’s by approximately 35%. This indicates that Citi has grown more optimistic about both cryptocurrencies to a similar degree.
Both coins are currently trading above those prior targets, with Bitcoin up about 5% and Ethereum up nearly 22%. This update partly aligns Citi with market prices already reached.
Ethereum’s 53% Rally Left Less Room to Citi’s $3,028 Target
The main reason for the difference in upside is the current price levels. Ethereum has skyrocketed about 53% in the last 90 days, while Bitcoin has increased around 33%, meaning Ethereum is already much closer to its target.
Ethereum reached a peak of $2,807 in September, just about 7% shy of Citi’s $3,028 target. In contrast, Bitcoin’s September high was $87,397, still about 23% below the $113,000 target—suggesting more room for growth.
Nonetheless, both targets anticipate a recovery rather than a new all-time high. Bitcoin is down approximately 3% so far in 2026, while Ethereum has slipped about 9%. Both coins had previously closed above Citi’s revised targets in late 2025, with Bitcoin at around $114,068 in September and Ethereum near $3,846 in October.
Citi’s Bitcoin Target Rests on $5 Billion of ETF Inflows
Citi’s target estimates are heavily influenced by expected fund demand. U.S. spot crypto ETFs shifted from $5.8 billion in net outflows until mid-July to around $800 million in net inflows by late September. The bank anticipates an additional $5 billion in inflows over the next year.
This projection translates to roughly $417 million each month, which is modest when compared to Bitcoin’s $1.73 trillion market valuation. Citi describes this influx as slower but stickier, and such a forecast tends to favor Bitcoin, thanks to its significantly larger ETF market than Ethereum’s.
However, these flows can fluctuate. On September 30, Bitcoin ETFs saw about $149 million in outflows, breaking a nine-session streak of inflows.
A 5.17% Treasury Yield Makes Ethereum’s 11% Upside Look Thin
As of September 25, the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds was 5.17%. Investors can earn this return from U.S. government debt, whereas Bitcoin and Ethereum do not offer interest. Hence, any gains from these cryptocurrencies must come solely from price appreciation.
With only 11% upside to its target, Ethereum’s potential gain is only about double the Treasury yield, especially given its 19% swing between $2,355 and $2,807 in September alone. On the other hand, Bitcoin, with its potential 31% gain, presents a much wider buffer against the stable Treasury return.
Does Citi Have Reason to Be More Bullish on Bitcoin? Citi’s stronger outlook on Bitcoin is mainly due to Ethereum’s recent surge, which has consumed much of its potential upside. While the bank raised both targets by similar margins, Ethereum’s 53% rally has left it only 11% shy of $3,028, while Bitcoin still needs 31% to hit $113,000. Moreover, Citi’s focus on ETF inflows, which consistently favor Bitcoin, reinforces this view.
So, does the Citi Bitcoin target stand firm? A daily close above $87,397, just about 2% above the current price, along with ETF inflows aligning with Citi’s $5 billion forecast, could support the bank’s outlook. However, if we see more outflows like those on September 30, Bitcoin could linger below that high, making Ethereum’s smaller target potentially easier to achieve.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Citigroup just issued a bold new Bitcoin price target based on surprisingly modest assumptions, but its own track record in 2026 reveals how quickly that forecast could collapse.
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Citigroup (NYSE:C | C Price Prediction) raised its 12-month Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) price target to $113,000, up from $82,000. This prediction is based on the assumption of just $5 billion in new investments flowing into crypto funds over the year. As of October 2, Bitcoin was trading around $86,000, making Citi’s target about 31% higher than its current price.
In addition, Citi analyst Alex Saunders has raised the bank’s Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) target to $3,028, up from $2,240. So, what has to happen for Bitcoin to hit Citi’s $113,000 target?
Citi Needs Only $5 Billion of Fund Inflows for Bitcoin to Reach $113,000
The $5 billion in inflows refers to the amount of new money that investors are expected to place into funds that hold cryptocurrencies, including spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which hold the assets and trade like stock shares. Citi’s figure covers all types of crypto investment funds, not just Bitcoin-focused ones.
This target seems quite attainable. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs had an impressive week, collecting about $2.4 billion in inflows through September 25, marking their strongest performance since October 2025. In just five trading days, these funds attracted nearly half of the total amount Citi expects for the entire year.
Citi’s historical figures also reveal how little the inflow forecast moves its target on its own. Earlier in 2026, the bank set a Bitcoin target of $112,000 while forecasting $10 billion in inflows. The slightly higher target of $113,000 suggests other factors may be driving Citi’s predictions.
Citi’s Bitcoin Target Has Swung Between $82,000 and $143,000 in 2026
Citi’s Bitcoin price targets have fluctuated considerably this year. The bank initially projected $143,000, then lowered it to $112,000. It then fell to $82,000 on July 1, predicting no net inflows and issuing a bearish estimate of $53,000. Just three months later, the target has bounced back to $113,000.
According to Saunders, this latest increase is linked to improved activity in the crypto market, new SEC rule proposals that have alleviated investor concerns, and the U.S. Treasury repurchasing longer-dated bonds. He also said the failure of the CLARITY Act, a market structure bill Congress abandoned in September, allowed Bitcoin to regain key price levels as the SEC stepped in with its own regulatory guidance.
Thus, Citi’s target adapts to market dynamics as much as it aims to forecast them. The revision comes after Bitcoin surged by nearly a third over the past 90 days and began attracting investment again.
A 5.17% Treasury Yield and the 2028 Election Could Work Against Citi’s Target
One challenge to consider is the current 10-year Treasury yield, which stood at 5.17% as of September 25. This yield represents the return that the U.S. government offers for lending money over a decade. Since Bitcoin doesn’t earn interest, investors, such as pension funds, might prefer the safer returns from Treasury bonds.
Saunders pointed out another risk: the political landscape might change by the 2028 elections. A new administration could repeal some SEC regulations that affect his forecasts, since these rules can be altered more easily than laws passed through Congress.
What Has to Go Right for Bitcoin to Reach Citi’s $113,000 Target? For Bitcoin to reach Citi’s $113,000 target, three conditions need to be met:
Price Stability: Bitcoin must stay above $82,000, Citi’s zero-inflow estimate, and roughly 5% below the current price. Positive ETF Inflows: ETF inflows must stay positive, a manageable requirement given the relatively low $5 billion target. Regulatory Consistency: The SEC’s regulations need to remain in place. If these three conditions are met, Bitcoin stands a good chance of reaching Citi’s ambitious forecast.
However, Citi frequently revises its targets. The bank previously lowered its target by $61,000 between early 2026 and July, and its bear case from July suggests a price of $53,000, which is about 38% lower than Bitcoin’s current trading value. Should the price dip back below $82,000, it could indicate that the demand Citi anticipates has not materialized.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Citigroup just updated its crypto price targets, but the numbers reveal a striking gap between what it expects from Bitcoin versus Ether, even as Ether has been the stronger performer lately. The reason why comes down to how institutional money…
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On October 1, 2026, Citigroup (NYSE: C | C Price Prediction) raised its 12-month price forecasts for cryptocurrencies. Citi’s new Bitcoin price target of $113,000 (CRYPTO: BTC) is significantly higher than its $3,028 forecast for Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH).
Bitcoin is currently priced around $85,975, indicating Citi expects a rise of about 31.4%. Meanwhile, Ether is trading near $2,730, with an expected increase of just 10.9%. Given that Ether has outperformed Bitcoin over the past 90 days, why does the same bank project a much smaller upside for the cryptocurrency that has been gaining traction?
Citi’s $5 Billion ETF Inflow Forecast Favors Bitcoin First
Earlier in July, Citi set its original targets at $82,000 for Bitcoin and $2,240 for Ether, assuming no net inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs). An ETF trades like a stock and holds cryptocurrency for its investors.
The updated forecast now incorporates an expected $5 billion in ETF inflows, signaling a gradual return of institutional investments. Citi also anticipates a weaker dollar as a result of government buybacks of older bonds.
Typically, large investment funds and wealth managers entering crypto start with Bitcoin because it’s the largest and most liquid asset. This allows them to invest significant amounts without causing major price fluctuations.
Conversely, institutional money often flows into Ether only after securing Bitcoin investments. Therefore, the projected $5 billion in inflows, which represents about 0.3% of Bitcoin’s $1.73 trillion market value, leaves limited potential for Ether.
Citi Raised Its Bitcoin and Ether Targets by Nearly the Same Amount
Citi raised its Bitcoin price target by 37.8%, from $82,000 to $113,000, while it raised its Ether target by 35.2%, from $2,240 to $3,028. The adjustments are similar, and the reasons provided, such as SEC action offsetting the CLARITY Act’s failure in the Senate, benefit both cryptocurrencies.
Market dynamics show that buyers have driven Ether’s price up 54.5% in the last 90 days, compared to a 35.6% increase for Bitcoin. However, Ether began this rally from a lower starting point.
Year-to-date, Ether is down 8.6%, and over the past year, it has dropped 37.6%, while Bitcoin has seen smaller declines of 3.1% and 28.6%, respectively. Both coins remain below their prices from a year ago, when Bitcoin traded around $120,400 and Ether near $4,375.
Why a 5.17% Treasury Yield Favors Bitcoin Over Ether
Institutional investors also compare crypto assets against government bonds. For instance, the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.17% on September 25. This means a bondholder will earn that full rate if they hold the bond to maturity.
Bitcoin does not yield interest. Ether holders can earn rewards by staking their coins, but those rewards come in Ether, meaning their dollar value fluctuates with the price. Citi’s anticipated 10.9% return on Ether is roughly double the bond yield, whereas its 31.4% return on Bitcoin is about six times that yield.
So, when an investment team considers adding crypto to its portfolio, it may find Bitcoin offers far greater potential reward than Ether.
Is Citi Right to Favor Bitcoin Over Ether? Yes, Citi’s preference for Bitcoin hinges on the projected $5 billion in inflows; institutions typically invest small amounts in Bitcoin first. Ether’s recent rapid growth has already eaten into its price target, making it reliant on additional outside support.
This means that Ether holders might need to be patient, as institutional funds need to complete their Bitcoin purchases before directing money to Ether. If ETF inflows exceed the anticipated $5 billion, more funds could flow into Ether, potentially raising its target. However, if inflows fall short or meet expectations, Bitcoin may continue to lead the way in closing the gap to Citi’s Bitcoin price target first.
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Crypto funds just absorbed billions in a single week while Bitcoin posted a massive quarterly gain, yet most major coins still sit deep in the red for the year. Before you buy, there are a few numbers that tell a…
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Crypto funds experienced a significant surge, taking in $3.55 billion within just one week, primarily driven by Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC). Bitcoin’s value has increased by 33.4% over the last 90 days. As investors who missed out on the summer rally consider their options, many are left wondering if it’s too late to invest in crypto in October 2026.
However, despite these recent gains, most major cryptocurrencies still trade below their values from a year ago. Bitcoin is down 29.7% over the past 12 months, Ethereum (CRYPTO:ETH) has fallen 38.4%, and XRP (CRYPTO:XRP) has dropped 49.6%. This raises the question: does a strong quarterly performance indicate buyers are late to the party, or does it suggest that the market is still on the mend?
Bitcoin’s 33% Quarter Is a Bounce, Not a Full Recovery
The 90-day return reflects the price movement from three months ago, without considering where it began. A coin rebounding from a low point can show a spectacular percentage gain, while a coin steadily climbing can offer a modest rise from a higher starting point.
The following table details key cryptocurrencies, illustrating their 90-day and yearly changes in value:
Coin 90-Day Change 1-Year Change Zcash +208.7% +1,077.3% Chainlink +80.2% -36.5% Ethereum +52.7% -38.4% Solana +43.3% -46.9% Cardano +36.8% -71.1% Bitcoin +33.4% -29.7% XRP +31.0% -49.6% Dogecoin +21.7% -62.2% Chainlink (CRYPTO:LINK), known for incorporating external data into blockchain applications, rose 80.2% this quarter but remains down 36.5% year over year. Similarly, Cardano (CRYPTO:ADA) posted a 36.8% quarterly gain after a staggering 71.1% drop over the past year, leaving buyers from a year ago in a tough spot.
In contrast, Zcash (CRYPTO:ZEC), a privacy-focused coin, is the standout performer, showing gains in both timeframes. It rose from a low of $185 in February to close September at $1,438, marking a remarkable overall increase of around 677%.
One Week of Crypto Fund Inflows Proves Less Than It Looks
Fund inflows represent the capital investors place into crypto investment products, like spot ETFs that directly hold cryptocurrencies. This week’s $3.55 billion in inflows indicates substantial buying activity.
However, one week’s data can be misleading, as inflows can follow price movements as often as they lead them. US spot Bitcoin ETFs alone received about $2.4 billion from September 21 to September 25, according to SoSoValue. However, daily inflows dropped significantly, from $999 million down to $134 million as the week progressed.
Moreover, weekly inflow reports capture only money flowing through investment products and do not account for most crypto trading that occurs on exchanges. Therefore, a strong week for funds can coincide with heavy selling elsewhere, masking the true market conditions.
Citi’s Bitcoin Target and a 5.17% Treasury Yield Set the Bar
Citigroup (NYSE:C | C Price Prediction) recently raised its price targets for Bitcoin to $113,000 and Ethereum to $3,028, signaling projected gains of 33.4% and 12.2% respectively from current prices. However, these targets were set following the recent rally, further illustrating the tendency for forecasts, like fund flows, to lag behind price movements.
Compounding this is the current 10-year Treasury yield, which reached 5.17% on September 25. Investors holding the note to maturity will earn that return with certainty, while Bitcoin provides no interest, and staking rewards on assets like Ethereum come with market volatility, leading crypto buyers to forego guaranteed returns.
Returns within the crypto space are also uneven. In 2026, for instance, Zcash has risen by 178.6%, while Chainlink is up 17.8%. In contrast, XRP has fallen 19.2%, and Bitcoin has slipped 4.7%, making the decision to invest highly specific to which coin you’re considering.
Is It Too Late to Invest in Crypto in October 2026? For those looking to invest in major cryptocurrencies, now may still be a suitable time. Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana (CRYPTO:SOL), and XRP are all priced below where they began 2026, with Ethereum down 9.6% and Solana down 5.3%. Thus, their recent rally indicates a fragmented recovery. However, Zcash stands apart because its substantial gains already reflect earlier price increases, making it a different scenario for potential buyers.
This perspective suits long-term investors who can endure possible downturns and are willing to forgo the steady 5.17% Treasury yield. If fund inflows remain strong despite price decreases, it could indicate that institutional money is leading the charge.
Bitcoin still needs to regain its footing above the $88,900 mark where it began 2026, which is 4.9% higher than its current value. If Bitcoin delays in surpassing that benchmark, it begs the question: is it truly too late to invest in crypto, or is it simply too early to declare a full recovery?
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Citigroup is getting hit harder than Bank of America despite the legal headline landing at Merrill Lynch, and the gap between the two lenders points to something beyond the settlement driving the selloff across money-center banks.
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Selling across financial stocks is landing hardest on some of the biggest U.S. banks, and Citigroup (NYSE:C | C Price Prediction) shares are leading the money-center names lower as traders pull back from the group. Citigroup stock is down 4% to $123.81, posting the largest decline among the large banks.
Meanwhile, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) stock is down 3% to $53.07, a smaller drop than Citigroup stock is posting despite a fresh legal headline from the Merrill Lynch unit. JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) stock is down 0.9% to $327.81, the smallest pullback of the three and a sign that sellers are drawing clear lines between the biggest banks.
Meanwhile, the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLF) is down 0.99% to $52.87, a smaller decline than Citigroup and Bank of America shares are showing. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY) is down 0.3% to $760.54, so equities overall are seeing only a modest pullback.
Merrill Lynch Settlement Lands at Bank of America Bank of America’s Merrill Lynch unit will pay $39 million to settle a class action over cash sweep accounts, Reuters reported. Settlement papers were filed late Wednesday in Manhattan federal court, and the case centered on idle retirement cash that customers stated Merrill Lynch swept into deposit accounts paying very little interest. Approval from U.S. District Judge Valerie Caproni is still required, and the agreement avoids a trial that had been set for mid-October.
For Bank of America, the payment is a small sum next to the scale of the bank’s operations, and the agreement removes trial risk from the company’s legal calendar. Because the class action was already public, the deal adds no surprise expense. That makes the settlement a thin explanation for the 3% slide in Bank of America stock, and the Merrill Lynch news says nothing about the largest drop in Citigroup stock.
Citigroup’s Steeper Slide Points to Positioning Citigroup stock is falling harder than Bank of America stock, even though the only company-specific legal headline in the group involves the Merrill Lynch unit. This pattern points to positioning across the large banks as the main force behind the slide in Citigroup stock, since the settlement explains little of the gap between the two lenders.
JPMorgan Chase stock is holding up best of the three, with a 0.9% decline that’s slightly smaller than the 0.99% drop in the industry ETF. The distance between JPMorgan Chase stock and Citigroup stock shows sellers discriminating between names, with Bank of America shares landing in the middle.
What to Watch Next Whether Citigroup stock holds above $124 or keeps leading the money-center group lower is worth watching, since that answer could show if the positioning trade is running its course. Bank of America’s next step is court approval of the Merrill Lynch settlement, and a signed order from Judge Caproni could close out the dispute without the trial that had been set for mid-October.
JPMorgan Chase stock offers a useful read on breadth, since a deeper decline in the name holding up best could signal that the selling is spreading across the large banks. Shareholders can also watch whether the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF keeps holding up better than Citigroup and Bank of America shares, confirming the pressure is staying concentrated in the money-center names.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
David Moadel
David Moadel is financial writer specializing in stocks, ETFs, options, precious metals, and Bitcoin. David has written well over 1,000 articles for leading online publications, helping investors understand markets, income strategies, and risk.His work has appeared in The Motley Fool, InvestorPlace, U.S. News & World Report, TipRanks, ValueWalk, Benzinga, Market Realist, TalkMarkets, Finmasters, 24/7 Wall St., and others.With a master’s degree in education, David has taught at the elementary, high school, and college levels. That teaching background shapes his writing style: clear, educational, and practical. David has also built a loyal social-media audience by providing trustworthy financial content on YouTube, X/Twitter, and StockTwits.
NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Today, Citi announced that it is the first bank to go live with multiple markets on the Swift payments scheme. This solution, enabled through Citi's Global Clearing network and WorldLink® Payment Services, allows bank clients to access multiple cross-border instant payment markets through a single account structure and eliminates the need for separate local banking relationships, bilateral agreements, or local technical infrastructure. Citi plans to expand this capabi.
Key Takeaways Citigroup is streamlining operations and freeing capital through international consumer business exits.C projects 2026 revenue growth of 4-5%, with $2-$2.5B in annualized savings.PNC benefits from NII growth and branch expansion, but expenses and asset-quality concerns remain. The U.S. banking industry continues to benefit from healthy loan and deposit growth, resilient consumer spending, and relatively favorable credit trends. At the same time, elevated interest rates, uncertainty surrounding the rate trajectory and potentially uneven capital markets activity warrant caution. Against this backdrop, Citigroup, Inc. (C - Free Report) and The PNC Financial Services Group (PNC - Free Report) are two prominent banking stocks worth watching.
While Citigroup offers extensive international exposure and capital market operations, PNC Financial stands out for its stable, U.S.-focused retail and commercial banking model.
Investors are increasingly weighing whether global diversification or regional consistency makes for a better investment opportunity right now. Let us analyze Citigroup and PNC Financial’s business models to determine which presents a solid investment opportunity.
The Case for CCitigroup has been emphasizing growth in core businesses through streamlining operations internationally. The sale of the Polish consumer business in June 2026 marked the final international consumer divestiture, apart from the wind-down of Korea and the ongoing Banamex divestiture. The company also sold an additional 22.6% stake in Banamex in the second quarter 2026 after selling 25% in late 2025. C currently owns a 51% stake in Banamex and expects to complete the deconsolidation and IPO in early 2027. The transaction is expected to free up $5 billion in capital. These transactions follow the completed Russia exit and sales of consumer franchises across Asia and EMEA. These initiatives will free up capital and help the company pursue investments in wealth management operations in Singapore, Hong Kong, the UAE and London to stoke fee income growth.
Aligned with its goal of achieving leaner operations, Citigroup has overhauled its operating model and leadership structure, reduced bureaucracy and complexity while enhancing efficiency. In January 2024, the company announced plans to cut 20,000 jobs (about 8% of its global workforce) by 2026, having already lowered headcount by more than 10,000 employees. It reduced headcount to 219,000 as of June 30, 2026, from 230,000 a year earlier. Given such initiatives, the company expects revenues to see a compounded annual growth rate of 4-5% by 2026-end and will further drive $2-2.5 billion in annualized run rate savings. Management targets a return on tangible common equity of 10-11% for 2026.
Although the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points in its September meeting, rate cuts in 2025 and 2024 have supported C’s net interest income (NII) and margins. Looking ahead, steady growth may boost lending, but challenges remain from rates and persistent inflation. Given this, the company’s asset quality is also likely to face pressure as some borrowers struggle with repayments.
The Case for PNCPNC Financial is accelerating growth through acquisitions and partnerships aimed at broadening its capabilities and revenue streams. In January 2026, the company completed the acquisition of FirstBank Holding Company, including its subsidiary FirstBank, significantly expanding its presence in Colorado and Arizona.
Management expects the acquisition to be earnings accretive, adding nearly $1 per share by 2027. The transaction also added 95 branches and $26.8 billion in assets, more than tripling its branch network in Colorado and expanding its presence in Arizona to more than 70 branches. Last year, it acquired Aqueduct Capital Group, strengthening fund placement services at its global IB arm, Harris Williams. In 2024, it partnered with Plaid to enable secure data sharing and expanded its TCW Group alliance to offer private credit to middle-market firms. These, together with earlier moves like the 2022 acquisition of Linga and the 2021 buyout of BBVA USA, help diversify its business mix.
PNC has announced plans to enhance its coast-to-coast branch network. By 2030, it aims to invest $2 billion to open more than 300 branches across 20 U.S. cities and renovate its existing locations. With the addition of these branches, the company will solidify its position as one of the largest retail banks in the United States.
PNC’s NII has been witnessing growth, driven by the continued benefit of fixed-rate asset repricing and loan growth. Management expects NII to grow 15-15.5% year over year in 2026.
However, an elevated expense base remains a headwind despite PNC Financial's cost-containment measures. The lack of diversification in the loan portfolio and persistent inflation is concerning and may put pressure on its asset quality.
C & PNC’s Stock Performance, Valuation & Other ComparisonsIn the past year, PNC shares have gained 11.3%, whereas Citigroup’s stock has rallied 29.4%. In comparison, the industry has risen 8.1%.
Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
In terms of valuation, Citigroup’s trailing 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 10.49X, while PNC Financial’s is 10.74X. Both stocks are trading at a discount compared with the industry’s trailing 12-month P/E ratio of 13.17X, but the C stock is cheaper than PNC.
Price-to-Earnings F12M
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Both companies regularly pay out dividends. PNC has a dividend yield of 3.6%, whereas C has a dividend yield of 2%. Here, PNC holds an edge over C.
Dividend Yield
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
How Do Estimates Compare for Citigroup & PNC Financial?The Zacks Consensus Estimate for C’s 2026 sales and earnings per share (EPS) implies year-over-year increases of 12.1% and 40.5%, respectively. EPS estimates for 2026 have been revised upward over the past month.
Estimate Revision Trend
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PNC’s 2026 sales and EPS implies year-over-year increases of 13.9% and 15.9%, respectively. EPS estimates for 2026 have been revised downward over the past month.
Estimate Revision Trend
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Better Investment Choice: C or PNC?Both Citigroup and PNC Financial have solid growth prospects, but C appears to be the better pick right now. Citigroup’s ongoing restructuring, international consumer exits and cost-cutting initiatives should enhance operating efficiency, free up capital and improve returns. Its stronger earnings growth outlook, relatively cheaper valuation and superior share-price performance over the past year strengthen the investment case.
PNC’s robust NII growth, branch expansion strategy and higher dividend yield are positives. However, elevated expenses, asset-quality concerns and downward earnings estimate revisions temper the outlook.
Most importantly, Citigroup currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), whereas PNC Financial has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). Given its upward estimate revision, improving efficiency and attractive valuation, C looks better-positioned than PNC at present and appears to be the more compelling investment choice. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C) will release earnings for its third quarter before the opening bell on Tuesday, Oct. 13.
Analysts expect the New York-based company to report quarterly earnings of $2.64 per share, up from $2.26 per share in the year-ago period. The consensus estimate for C’s quarterly revenue is $23.75 billion. It reported $22.09 billion last year, according to Benzinga Pro.
As per the recent news, Citigroup is partnering with Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:COIN) to enable stablecoin payments for large institutional clients, pushing deeper into digital assets even after the CLARITY Act failed to advance in the Senate.
Citigroup shares fell 2.2% to close at $131.31 on Monday.
Benzinga readers can access the latest analyst ratings on the Analyst Stock Ratings page. Readers can sort by stock ticker, company name, analyst firm, rating change or other variables.
Let’s have a look at how Benzinga’s most-accurate analysts have rated the company in the recent period.
UBS analyst Erika Najarian maintained a Neutral rating and cut the price target from $150 to $142 on Aug. 3, 2026. This analyst has an accuracy rate of 63%. Evercore ISI Group analyst Glenn Schorr maintained an In-Line rating and lowered the price target from $143 to $135 on July 17, 2026. This analyst has an accuracy rate of 68%. RBC Capital analyst Gerard Cassidy maintained the stock with an Outperform rating with a price target of $150 on July 15, 2026. This analyst has an accuracy rate of 76%. Truist Securities analyst John McDonald maintained a Buy rating and cut the price target from $158 to $154 on July 15, 2026. This analyst has an accuracy rate of 66%. B of A Securities analyst Ebrahim Poonawala maintained the stock with a Buy rating and increased the price target from $170 to $176 on July 7, 2026. This analyst has an accuracy rate of 67%. Considering buying C stock? Here’s what analysts think:
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NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Citi today announced the expansion of Citi Token Services into Japan and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), advancing our strategy to build a more connected, always-on financial ecosystem for corporate and financial institutional clients. The expansion is the latest milestone in Citi Services' broader digital assets strategy, which is focused on solving real-world client needs by building bank-grade capabilities that connect traditional financial infrastructure with emer.
Citigroup (NYSE:C – Get Free Report) had its price objective hoisted by HSBC from $161.00 to $164.00 in a research note issued on Monday, Marketbeat reports. The firm presently has a “buy” rating on the stock. HSBC’s price objective would suggest a potential upside of 23.21% from the company’s previous close.
C has been the subject of several other reports. Wells Fargo & Company lifted their target price on shares of Citigroup from $162.00 to $165.00 and gave the stock an “overweight” rating in a report on Thursday, June 18th. UBS Group decreased their price objective on shares of Citigroup from $150.00 to $142.00 and set a “neutral” rating for the company in a report on Monday, August 3rd. Morgan Stanley boosted their price objective on shares of Citigroup from $154.00 to $164.00 and gave the company an “overweight” rating in a report on Monday, June 29th. Truist Financial decreased their price objective on shares of Citigroup from $158.00 to $154.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a report on Wednesday, July 15th. Finally, Weiss Ratings raised shares of Citigroup from a “buy (b)” rating to a “buy (b+)” rating in a report on Monday, August 24th. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, thirteen have assigned a Buy rating and four have given a Hold rating to the company’s stock. According to MarketBeat, the stock has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $149.50.
Check Out Our Latest Stock Analysis on C
Citigroup Stock Down 0.9% NYSE:C traded down $1.18 during mid-day trading on Monday, hitting $133.10. 951,500 shares of the company’s stock were exchanged, compared to its average volume of 12,585,988. Citigroup has a one year low of $93.66 and a one year high of $147.96. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.71, a current ratio of 0.99 and a quick ratio of 0.99. The business has a fifty day moving average price of $134.27 and a 200 day moving average price of $129.99. The company has a market cap of $227.01 billion, a PE ratio of 14.39, a P/E/G ratio of 0.60 and a beta of 1.12. Citigroup (NYSE:C – Get Free Report) last issued its earnings results on Tuesday, July 14th. The company reported $3.15 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $2.74 by $0.41. The business had revenue of $24.77 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $23.74 billion. Citigroup had a net margin of 10.23% and a return on equity of 10.15%. The business’s revenue for the quarter was up 14.5% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same period in the previous year, the company earned $1.96 earnings per share. Equities analysts predict that Citigroup will post 11.2 EPS for the current year.
Hedge Funds Weigh In On Citigroup A number of hedge funds have recently modified their holdings of the company. Cora Capital Advisors LLC increased its holdings in shares of Citigroup by 3.1% during the 1st quarter. Cora Capital Advisors LLC now owns 2,609 shares of the company’s stock valued at $296,000 after purchasing an additional 78 shares in the last quarter. CFS Investment Advisory Services LLC increased its holdings in shares of Citigroup by 0.4% during the 1st quarter. CFS Investment Advisory Services LLC now owns 20,596 shares of the company’s stock valued at $2,336,000 after purchasing an additional 79 shares in the last quarter. American Trust increased its holdings in shares of Citigroup by 3.6% during the 2nd quarter. American Trust now owns 2,331 shares of the company’s stock valued at $326,000 after purchasing an additional 80 shares in the last quarter. Invst LLC increased its holdings in shares of Citigroup by 0.8% during the 2nd quarter. Invst LLC now owns 9,601 shares of the company’s stock valued at $1,344,000 after purchasing an additional 80 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Tsfg LLC increased its holdings in shares of Citigroup by 4.9% during the 2nd quarter. Tsfg LLC now owns 1,701 shares of the company’s stock valued at $238,000 after purchasing an additional 80 shares in the last quarter. 71.72% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.
Trending Headlines about Citigroup Here are the key news stories impacting Citigroup this week:
Positive Sentiment: Citigroup is reportedly assembling a banking group for a January IPO of Grupo Financiero Banamex that could raise more than $3 billion. Citi is expected to lead the offering alongside Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase, creating potential investment-banking fees and highlighting progress in monetizing the Banamex business. Citigroup aims to raise $3B in Banamex IPO – report Positive Sentiment: Recent analysis highlights Citigroup’s improved profitability, including first-half 2026 net income growth of roughly 44%, favorable earnings-growth expectations and an upgraded outlook. The stock’s valuation remains relatively moderate, with analysts’ average price target reportedly above its recent trading range. Citi’s Profit Is Up 45%, and Its Stock Is Up 13% This Year Neutral Sentiment: Citigroup entities reported that they are no longer substantial holders in Australia-listed Jumbo Interactive and Predictive Discovery. The disclosures appear to reflect portfolio-position changes and are unlikely to materially affect Citigroup’s operating results. Citi Group Entities Cease to Be Substantial Holder in Jumbo Interactive Negative Sentiment: Federal Reserve officials continue to warn that inflation may remain entrenched and that monetary policy may not yet be restrictive enough. Higher-for-longer interest rates and rising bond yields can pressure bank funding costs, loan demand and the valuation of financial stocks, even though resilient economic activity may support credit performance. Fed’s Hammack warns against inflation becoming entrenched Citigroup Company Profile (Get Free Report)
Citigroup Inc (NYSE:C) is a global financial services company headquartered in New York City. Through its businesses, Citi provides banking, lending, credit card, wealth management, investment banking, securities, markets and treasury services to individuals, businesses, financial institutions and governments.
The company’s operations include U.S. Personal Banking, which offers consumer banking, credit cards and lending products; Wealth Management, which serves affluent and high-net-worth clients; and its Institutional Clients Group, which provides investment banking, corporate banking, markets, securities services and transaction banking.
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NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Citi today announced the launch of Citi® Premium Boost, marking a new chapter in relationship banking for clients in the Citi Priority, Citigold®, and Citigold Private Client Relationship Tiers. By offering higher savings rates through required activities, Citi Premium Boost rewards clients for how they bank and invest with Citi.
For clients who join Premium Boost, routine banking activities—which include setting up direct deposits—can create more value at every stage of their journey. And as they deepen their relationship with Citi, the more value they unlock.
“Citi Premium Boost is our vision for relationship banking in action, rooted in the belief that the value clients receive should grow as their relationship with Citi grows,” said Kate Luft, Head of U.S. Retail Banking and Citigold. “By offering stronger savings benefits across our Relationship Tiers, we are rewarding the banking and investing they already do, while making their money work smarter for them.”
Starting October 26, new clients will be automatically enrolled in Citi Premium Boost when they open a new Citi Savings and Regular Checking account. To earn the Premium Boost rate, both new and existing clients in Citi Premium Boost must complete the below Required Activities:
Citi Premium Boost builds on an existing suite of benefits already available to Citi Relationship Tier clients. For example, Citigold® offers access to our Wealth Team, waived fees on key banking services, and relationship pricing for select lending products, as well as lifestyle perks such as the Subscription Rebate Program and exclusive ticket access through the Citi Entertainment program.
Citi Premium Boost reflects Citi’s broader shift toward a simpler, more unified relationship-banking model, delivering an integrated experience that makes deepening your banking, wealth, and lending relationships more rewarding. Additional recent enhancements include updates to Access Checking—featuring fee waivers for clients aged 23 or younger—and a new digital direct deposit enrollment, which can be completed in a few simple steps.
To learn more about Citi Premium Boost, visit citi.com/premiumboost.
About Citi
Citi is a preeminent banking partner for institutions with cross-border needs, a global leader in wealth management and a valued personal bank in its home market of the United States. Citi does business in more than 180 countries and jurisdictions, providing corporations, governments, investors, institutions and individuals with a broad range of financial products and services.
Additional information may be found at www.citigroup.com | X: @Citi | LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/citi | YouTube: www.youtube.com/citi | Facebook: www.facebook.com/citi
Deposit Products are offered by Citibank, N.A., Member FDIC
NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Citi's U.S. Consumer Cards business today launched Citi Commerce Media, a new media platform designed to help brands reach U.S. customers at key moments in the purchase journey. Citi serves more than 70 million U.S. customers1 and sees 6.5 billion annual transactions across more than 700 spending categories.