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2026-07-21 17:17 4d ago
2026-07-21 12:05 4d ago
Burlington zvyšuje výhled díky silné poptávce
BURL Burlington Stores
FMP Stock News 78
Original source text
Key Takeaways Burlington's relocated stores typically deliver a 5% to 10% sales lift in higher-traffic shopping centers.BURL has improved sales per selling square foot by 55% since 2019 through smaller, more productive stores.Burlington raised fiscal 2026 guidance as store optimization and healthy customer demand support growth. Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL - Free Report) is making steady progress with its smaller store format strategy, an initiative aimed at improving sales productivity while driving long-term profitability. The company continues to optimize its store portfolio through new store openings, relocations and downsizing projects, creating a more productive and efficient retail footprint. These initiatives are enhancing Burlington's competitive position and supporting sustainable growth across its off-price business.

Burlington's relocation and downsizing programs are delivering solid returns. Relocated stores typically generate a 5% to 10% sales lift by moving to higher-traffic shopping centers with stronger co-tenancy. The company is resizing older stores where the locations remain attractive but the selling space is larger than required. In many cases, Burlington reduces store size by roughly half, lowering occupancy costs by about 200 basis points while maintaining an engaging shopping experience.

The strategy has significantly improved store productivity over the past several years. Sales per selling square foot have increased to approximately $350 from about $220 in 2019, representing a 55% improvement. Management attributes this gain to a combination of smaller, more productive stores, stronger merchandising execution and better utilization of selling space. As more stores are relocated or downsized, Burlington expects additional occupancy cost leverage and improved operating efficiency.

The company is accelerating this transformation through continued investment in its store network. Burlington opened 40 new stores in the first quarter of fiscal 2026 and expects to add 115 net new stores in fiscal 2026. By the end of 2028, the retailer expects to operate more than 1,500 stores, with over 80% of its fleet having been opened, relocated or downsized since 2019. The company expects to complete its Store Experience 2.0 rollout by the end of this year, making stores easier to shop and more appealing to customers.

Burlington's focus on smaller, more productive stores complements its broader off-price strategy by improving efficiency without compromising customer value. Reflecting confidence in its execution, the company raised its fiscal 2026 outlook and expects total sales growth of 9% to 11%, comparable sales growth of 2% to 4% and adjusted earnings per share of $11.45 to $11.80. Management remains optimistic about the remainder of the year, supported by healthy customer demand, ample off-price merchandise availability and continued progress across its store optimization initiatives.

Burlington’s Price Performance, Valuation & EstimatesBURL stock has gained 17.4% over the past six months compared with the industry’s 2.7% growth.

Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Burlington’s trailing 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 1.90X indicates a lower valuation compared with the industry’s average of 1.98X. BURL carries a Value Score of B.

Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Burlington’s current fiscal-year sales and earnings per share implies year-over-year growth of 10.8% and 20%, respectively. Next fiscal-year sales and earnings per share imply year-over-year growth of 8.8% and 15.4%, respectively. Earnings estimates for the current and next fiscal years have been revised upward by 36 cents and 35 cents per share, respectively, over the past 60 days.

Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Burlington currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). 

Other Key PicksSome other top-ranked stocks in the retail space are Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR - Free Report) , Ross Stores Inc. (ROST - Free Report) and Target Corporation (TGT - Free Report) .

Dollar Tree is an operator of discount variety stores offering a broad assortment of everyday consumables and discretionary merchandise. The company currently carries a Zacks Rank of 2. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Dollar Tree’s current fiscal-year sales and earnings indicates growth of 6.5% and 21.7%, respectively, from the year-ago reported figures. DLTR delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 32.1%, on average.

Ross Stores operates as an off-price retailer of apparel and home accessories. It presently carries a Zacks Rank #2.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Ross Stores’ current fiscal-year earnings and sales implies growth of 17.1% and 10.1%, respectively, from the year-ago actuals. ROST delivered a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 10.2%.

Target offers guests fashionable, differentiated merchandise and everyday essentials at discounted prices. It also has a Zacks Rank of 2 at present.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Target’s current fiscal-year earnings and sales implies growth of 21.7% and 6.5%, respectively, from the year-ago actuals. TGT delivered a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 32.1%.
2026-06-24 15:11 1mo ago
2026-06-22 13:11 1mo ago
Burlington zvýšil celoroční upravený odhad EPS po silném čtvrtletí
BURL Burlington Stores
FMP Stock News 78
Original source text
Burlington Stores Today

BURL

Burlington Stores

$341.34 +9.10 (+2.74%)

As of 11:11 AM Eastern

This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.

52-Week Range$222.48▼

$351.85P/E Ratio35.09

Price Target$353.56

Frugal shoppers continue to spend, and Burlington Stores NYSE: BURL continues to benefit.

By selling branded clothing, footwear, accessories, and home merchandise at prices well below traditional retailers, Burlington is delivering exceptional sales, earnings, and store expansion as a standout off-price retailer. Investors have noticed, sending the stock price surging over the past year.

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But with higher valuation and rising expectations, the richly valued stock leaves little room for error. Investors looking to get in now need to balance the presence of cyclical risk and fierce competition with the prospects of a well-run company with proven results.

Burlington Delivers Another Strong QuarterSo far this year, the news remains positive. In fact, the company’s recent three-month results, reported in late May, were strong enough to lead to a higher full-year forecast.

With more than 1,200 off-price stores across the country, Burlington said total sales in its first fiscal quarter rose 14% to $2.85 billion, and comparable store sales, or stores that have been open for more than a year, increased 6%. Both were signs that customer traffic and the company’s pricing and selection strategies were working even with more demanding consumers.

Net income for the quarter came in at $115 million compared with $101 million in the year-ago period. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) rose to $1.79 from $1.58 a year earlier, while adjusted earnings came in at $128.9 million, or $2.01 per share, up 26%, and well above the company's own previous guidance of $1.60 to $1.75. It was the company's 14th consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings-per-share growth, the company said, signaling better operations beyond a single-quarter jump.

Indeed, the latest quarter continued a performance that was playing out last year. Burlington closed fiscal 2025 with total sales up 9%, comparable store sales up 2%, net income of $610 million, and an EPS of $9.51. In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 alone, sales rose 11%, comparable sales increased 4%, and earnings per share reached $4.84, up 20%.

Margins and Guidance Continue to ImproveBurlington's core business is buying branded goods when available, moving it quickly through its stores, and keeping prices under control. When the three steps work together, growing margins are key to converting sales into higher profits. Formerly known as the Burlington Coat Factory, the company has more recently shifted from e-commerce exposure to all-in-store experiences with some smaller-format store strategies.

The company showed that its strategy is working. Gross margin in the first quarter expanded to 44.1% from 43.8% a year earlier. The margin in the preceding three months was 80 basis points higher than the year before. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in the first quarter rose more than 16% to $284 million.

Management's response to the first-quarter results reinforced these increases. With the first-quarter results, Burlington raised its full-year fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $11.45 to $11.80, up from levels set three months earlier. This fiscal year’s projection compares with an adjusted EPS of $10.17 last year.

A Premium Valuation Limits UpsideOverall MarketRank™83rd Percentile

Analyst RatingModerate Buy

Upside/Downside3.8% Upside

Short Interest LevelHealthy

Dividend StrengthN/A

News Sentiment0.76 Insider TradingSelling Shares

Proj. Earnings Growth15.37%

See Full Analysis

Investors have been noticing. The stock is up more than 16% this year and nearly 50% over the past year.

Its current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is above 34, with a trailing EPS of $9.73, meaning there’s little room for error as the rest of the year plays out.

Analyst sentiment remains positive, though the expected upside is limited.

Burlington carries a Moderate Buy consensus based on 15 buy ratings and five hold ratings, with an average price target of $353.56, a high target of $411, and a low target of $310.

With shares recently trading around $340, the consensus price amounts to little more than a 5% gain.

Competition and Economic Risks RemainRetail also carries risks of its own. Burlington competes with some formidable opponents. TJX Companies NYSE: TJX and Ross Stores NASDAQ: ROST, both with larger reach, more established buying organizations, and deeply ingrained customer habits.

Off-price retail requires ongoing competition for branded closeouts, inventory updates, and a balanced execution with thousands of daily decisions. While Burlington has been closing the gap with its larger peers, the margin for error is narrow.

The retail sector also contains macroeconomic risk. If inflation, wholesale costs, or a softening labor market begin to squeeze off-price traffic, even a well-run Burlington can feel pinched through smaller basket sizes, more markdown pressures, and more competition for value-oriented shoppers.

Patience May Be RewardedInvestors should recognize that Burlington is a capital appreciation story. It does not pay a dividend, and the return investors receive depends on earnings growth and the market's acceptance of a P/E value slightly above its two top competitors.

Burlington's first-quarter fiscal 2026 report did much to strengthen its execution success. But the stock is well-valued while the economy and competition remain ever-potent factors.

For investors who can accept cyclical risk and are looking to capture a core slice of the American consumer, patience and stock pullbacks could provide a welcome bargain for this off-price retailer.

Should You Invest $1,000 in Burlington Stores Right Now?Before you consider Burlington Stores, you'll want to hear this.

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