In the latest close session, AutoZone (AZO - Free Report) was down 1.06% at $2,951.61. This change lagged the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.58%. Elsewhere, the Dow saw a downswing of 1.18%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq depreciated by 0.32%.
The auto parts retailer's stock has dropped by 2.76% in the past month, exceeding the Retail-Wholesale sector's loss of 5.84% and lagging the S&P 500's loss of 0.36%.
Market participants will be closely following the financial results of AutoZone in its upcoming release. The company plans to announce its earnings on September 22, 2026. The company's earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be $54.97, reflecting a 12.85% increase from the same quarter last year. In the meantime, our current consensus estimate forecasts the revenue to be $6.71 billion, indicating a 7.52% growth compared to the corresponding quarter of the prior year.
Regarding the entire year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates forecast earnings of $150.98 per share and revenue of $20.48 billion, indicating changes of +4.22% and +8.13%, respectively, compared to the previous year.
Investors should also note any recent changes to analyst estimates for AutoZone. These revisions help to show the ever-changing nature of near-term business trends. As a result, we can interpret positive estimate revisions as a good sign for the business outlook.
Our research shows that these estimate changes are directly correlated with near-term stock prices. To take advantage of this, we've established the Zacks Rank, an exclusive model that considers these estimated changes and delivers an operational rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, running from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), holds an admirable track record of superior performance, independently audited, with #1 stocks contributing an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has shifted 0.08% downward. Currently, AutoZone is carrying a Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell).
In terms of valuation, AutoZone is currently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 17. This represents a discount compared to its industry average Forward P/E of 17.43.
Also, we should mention that AZO has a PEG ratio of 1.49. This metric is used similarly to the famous P/E ratio, but the PEG ratio also takes into account the stock's expected earnings growth rate. As of the close of trade yesterday, the Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry held an average PEG ratio of 2.18.
The Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry is part of the Retail-Wholesale sector. Currently, this industry holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 71, positioning it in the top 29% of all 250+ industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank evaluates the power of our distinct industry groups by determining the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks forming the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Keep in mind to rely on Zacks.com to watch all these stock-impacting metrics, and more, in the succeeding trading sessions.
AutoZone (AZO - Free Report) is one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com visitors lately. So, it might be a good idea to review some of the factors that might affect the near-term performance of the stock.
Over the past month, shares of this auto parts retailer have returned -4.6%, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -0.1% change. During this period, the Zacks Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry, which AutoZone falls in, has lost 2.2%. The key question now is: What could be the stock's future direction?
Although media reports or rumors about a significant change in a company's business prospects usually cause its stock to trend and lead to an immediate price change, there are always certain fundamental factors that ultimately drive the buy-and-hold decision.
Earnings Estimate RevisionsRather than focusing on anything else, we at Zacks prioritize evaluating the change in a company's earnings projection. This is because we believe the fair value for its stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings.
Our analysis is essentially based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to take the latest business trends into account. When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock's fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements.
For the current quarter, AutoZone is expected to post earnings of $54.97 per share, indicating a change of +12.9% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate remained unchanged over the last 30 days.
The consensus earnings estimate of $150.98 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of +4.2%. This estimate has changed -0.1% over the last 30 days.
For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $175.47 indicates a change of +16.2% from what AutoZone is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed -0.1%.
With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is a more conclusive indicator of a stock's near-term price performance, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) for AutoZone.
The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:
12 Month EPS
Revenue Growth ForecastEven though a company's earnings growth is arguably the best indicator of its financial health, nothing much happens if it cannot raise its revenues. It's almost impossible for a company to grow its earnings without growing its revenue for long periods. Therefore, knowing a company's potential revenue growth is crucial.
For AutoZone, the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter of $6.71 billion indicates a year-over-year change of +7.5%. For the current and next fiscal years, $20.48 billion and $22.02 billion estimates indicate +8.1% and +7.5% changes, respectively.
Last Reported Results and Surprise HistoryAutoZone reported revenues of $4.84 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +8.4%. EPS of $38.07 for the same period compares with $35.36 a year ago.
Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.86 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of -0.45%. The EPS surprise was +5.22%.
Over the last four quarters, AutoZone surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times. The company topped consensus revenue estimates just once over this period.
ValuationWithout considering a stock's valuation, no investment decision can be efficient. In predicting a stock's future price performance, it's crucial to determine whether its current price correctly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects.
While comparing the current values of a company's valuation multiples, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), with its own historical values helps determine whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of the reasonability of the stock's price.
As part of the Zacks Style Scores system, the Zacks Value Style Score (which evaluates both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics) organizes stocks into five groups ranging from A to F (A is better than B; B is better than C; and so on), making it helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.
AutoZone is graded C on this front, indicating that it is trading at par with its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.
Bottom LineThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about AutoZone. However, its Zacks Rank #4 does suggest that it may underperform the broader market in the near term.
CYBER HORNET ETFs LLC raised its position in AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE:AZO – Free Report) by 33,193.5% in the 2nd quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The institutional investor owned 15,315 shares of the company’s stock after acquiring an additional 15,269 shares during the period. AutoZone makes up approximately 16.3% of CYBER HORNET ETFs LLC’s holdings, making the stock its 2nd biggest holding. CYBER HORNET ETFs LLC owned 0.09% of AutoZone worth $48,946,000 at the end of the most recent quarter.
Several other institutional investors and hedge funds have also bought and sold shares of the company. Benchmark Investment Advisors LLC acquired a new position in shares of AutoZone during the second quarter valued at about $713,000. Jupiter Asset Management Ltd. acquired a new stake in AutoZone in the 4th quarter worth approximately $1,808,000. United Super Pty Ltd in its capacity as Trustee for the Construction & Building Unions Superannuation Fund grew its position in AutoZone by 15.2% during the 4th quarter. United Super Pty Ltd in its capacity as Trustee for the Construction & Building Unions Superannuation Fund now owns 14,224 shares of the company’s stock worth $48,241,000 after purchasing an additional 1,882 shares during the last quarter. BlackRock Inc. purchased a new stake in AutoZone during the 2nd quarter worth approximately $3,938,566,000. Finally, CIBC Asset Management Inc raised its holdings in shares of AutoZone by 67.1% in the fourth quarter. CIBC Asset Management Inc now owns 3,941 shares of the company’s stock worth $13,366,000 after buying an additional 1,582 shares during the last quarter. 92.74% of the stock is owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.
AutoZone Trading Down 0.0% Shares of NYSE:AZO opened at $2,981.99 on Monday. AutoZone, Inc. has a 12-month low of $2,902.20 and a 12-month high of $4,388.11. The company has a market capitalization of $48.70 billion, a PE ratio of 20.50, a PEG ratio of 1.49 and a beta of 0.34. The business has a 50 day moving average of $3,036.29 and a two-hundred day moving average of $3,276.84.
AutoZone declared that its Board of Directors has authorized a share repurchase program on Tuesday, June 16th that permits the company to repurchase $1.50 billion in shares. This repurchase authorization permits the company to buy up to 3% of its stock through open market purchases. Stock repurchase programs are typically an indication that the company’s board believes its stock is undervalued. Insider Buying and Selling at AutoZone In related news, VP Dennis LeRiche sold 1,455 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction on Friday, August 7th. The shares were sold at an average price of $3,100.00, for a total value of $4,510,500.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the vice president directly owned 441 shares in the company, valued at $1,367,100. The trade was a 76.74% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is available at the SEC website. 2.60% of the stock is currently owned by company insiders.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth Several equities research analysts have recently commented on the stock. Citigroup lowered their price objective on shares of AutoZone from $4,300.00 to $3,700.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research note on Wednesday, May 27th. Piper Sandler set a $3,500.00 target price on AutoZone in a research note on Monday, August 31st. BNP Paribas Exane lowered their price target on AutoZone from $4,478.00 to $3,979.00 and set an “outperform” rating for the company in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. Roth Capital dropped their price target on AutoZone from $4,526.00 to $4,023.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research note on Wednesday, May 27th. Finally, Jefferies Financial Group cut their price objective on AutoZone from $4,400.00 to $4,000.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a report on Wednesday, May 27th. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, twenty have assigned a Buy rating and six have assigned a Hold rating to the company’s stock. According to MarketBeat, AutoZone currently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $3,999.04.
Get Our Latest Analysis on AutoZone
About AutoZone (Free Report)
AutoZone, Inc (NYSE: AZO) is a retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, the company supplies a wide range of aftermarket components, maintenance items and accessories for passenger cars, light trucks and commercial vehicles. Its product assortment includes engine parts, electrical components, batteries, brakes, filters, fluids and interior and exterior accessories, supported by inventory management and logistics systems to serve retail customers and professional service providers.
AutoZone serves both do‑it‑yourself (DIY) consumers and commercial customers such as independent repair shops and service centers.
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The recommendations of Wall Street analysts are often relied on by investors when deciding whether to buy, sell, or hold a stock. Media reports about these brokerage-firm-employed (or sell-side) analysts changing their ratings often affect a stock's price. Do they really matter, though?
Before we discuss the reliability of brokerage recommendations and how to use them to your advantage, let's see what these Wall Street heavyweights think about AutoZone (AZO - Free Report) .
AutoZone currently has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.39, on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell), calculated based on the actual recommendations (Buy, Hold, Sell, etc.) made by 27 brokerage firms. An ABR of 1.39 approximates between Strong Buy and Buy.
Of the 27 recommendations that derive the current ABR, 21 are Strong Buy and one is Buy. Strong Buy and Buy respectively account for 77.8% and 3.7% of all recommendations.
Brokerage Recommendation Trends for AZO
Check price target & stock forecast for AutoZone here>>>
While the ABR calls for buying AutoZone, it may not be wise to make an investment decision solely based on this information. Several studies have shown limited to no success of brokerage recommendations in guiding investors to pick stocks with the best price increase potential.
Do you wonder why? As a result of the vested interest of brokerage firms in a stock they cover, their analysts tend to rate it with a strong positive bias. According to our research, brokerage firms assign five "Strong Buy" recommendations for every "Strong Sell" recommendation.
In other words, their interests aren't always aligned with retail investors, rarely indicating where the price of a stock could actually be heading. Therefore, the best use of this information could be validating your own research or an indicator that has proven to be highly successful in predicting a stock's price movement.
Zacks Rank, our proprietary stock rating tool with an impressive externally audited track record, categorizes stocks into five groups, ranging from Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), and is an effective indicator of a stock's price performance in the near future. Therefore, using the ABR to validate the Zacks Rank could be an efficient way of making a profitable investment decision.
Zacks Rank Should Not Be Confused With ABRAlthough both Zacks Rank and ABR are displayed in a range of 1--5, they are different measures altogether.
The ABR is calculated solely based on brokerage recommendations and is typically displayed with decimals (example: 1.28). In contrast, the Zacks Rank is a quantitative model allowing investors to harness the power of earnings estimate revisions. It is displayed in whole numbers -- 1 to 5.
It has been and continues to be the case that analysts employed by brokerage firms are overly optimistic with their recommendations. Because of their employers' vested interests, these analysts issue more favorable ratings than their research would support, misguiding investors far more often than helping them.
On the other hand, earnings estimate revisions are at the core of the Zacks Rank. And empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements.
Furthermore, the different grades of the Zacks Rank are applied proportionately across all stocks for which brokerage analysts provide earnings estimates for the current year. In other words, at all times, this tool maintains a balance among the five ranks it assigns.
Another key difference between the ABR and Zacks Rank is freshness. The ABR is not necessarily up-to-date when you look at it. But, since brokerage analysts keep revising their earnings estimates to account for a company's changing business trends, and their actions get reflected in the Zacks Rank quickly enough, it is always timely in indicating future price movements.
Should You Invest in AZO?In terms of earnings estimate revisions for AutoZone, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has declined 0.1% over the past month to $150.98.
Analysts' growing pessimism over the company's earnings prospects, as indicated by strong agreement among them in revising EPS estimates lower, could be a legitimate reason for the stock to plunge in the near term.
The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) for AutoZone. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>>
Therefore, it could be wise to take the Buy-equivalent ABR for AutoZone with a grain of salt.
In the latest close session, AutoZone (AZO - Free Report) was down 1.06% at $2,934.52. The stock fell short of the S&P 500, which registered a gain of 0.46% for the day. On the other hand, the Dow registered a gain of 0.56%, and the technology-centric Nasdaq increased by 0.45%.
Shares of the auto parts retailer witnessed a loss of 2.05% over the previous month, beating the performance of the Retail-Wholesale sector with its loss of 3.73%, and underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 2%.
The investment community will be closely monitoring the performance of AutoZone in its forthcoming earnings report. The company is scheduled to release its earnings on September 22, 2026. It is anticipated that the company will report an EPS of $54.97, marking a 12.85% rise compared to the same quarter of the previous year. Alongside, our most recent consensus estimate is anticipating revenue of $6.71 billion, indicating a 7.52% upward movement from the same quarter last year.
Regarding the entire year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates forecast earnings of $150.98 per share and revenue of $20.48 billion, indicating changes of +4.22% and +8.13%, respectively, compared to the previous year.
Additionally, investors should keep an eye on any recent revisions to analyst forecasts for AutoZone. Such recent modifications usually signify the changing landscape of near-term business trends. Therefore, positive revisions in estimates convey analysts' confidence in the business performance and profit potential.
Empirical research indicates that these revisions in estimates have a direct correlation with impending stock price performance. To benefit from this, we have developed the Zacks Rank, a proprietary model which takes these estimate changes into account and provides an actionable rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, which varies between #1 (Strong Buy) and #5 (Strong Sell), carries an impressive track record of exceeding expectations, confirmed by external audits, with stocks at #1 delivering an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the past month, there's been a 0.08% fall in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. At present, AutoZone boasts a Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell).
From a valuation perspective, AutoZone is currently exchanging hands at a Forward P/E ratio of 16.9. This represents a discount compared to its industry average Forward P/E of 17.17.
It's also important to note that AZO currently trades at a PEG ratio of 1.48. The PEG ratio is similar to the widely-used P/E ratio, but this metric also takes the company's expected earnings growth rate into account. Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts stocks are, on average, holding a PEG ratio of 2.18 based on yesterday's closing prices.
The Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry is part of the Retail-Wholesale sector. With its current Zacks Industry Rank of 74, this industry ranks in the top 31% of all industries, numbering over 250.
The Zacks Industry Rank gauges the strength of our industry groups by measuring the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
To follow AZO in the coming trading sessions, be sure to utilize Zacks.com.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
On September 02, 2026, we delve into the DCF analysis for AutoZone Inc AZO , a company that has seen a significant decline in its stock price over the past year. With a current price of $2965.83, AutoZone's market performance has raised questions about its valuation amidst varying opinions from different models.
DCF Earnings-based intrinsic value of $3817.47 vs price of $2965.83 (margin of safety: 22.3%) DCF FCF-based intrinsic value of $2184.44 vs price (significantly overvalued with -35.8% margin of safety) GF Score™ of 84/100 indicates strong fundamentals but low predictability (2/5 stars) affects DCF reliability What Is AZO Worth? DCF Earnings-Based Model The earnings-based DCF model provides a two-stage valuation approach, where we first estimate the growth phase followed by the terminal phase. The assumptions for this model are as follows:
Parameter Value Current EPS (TTM, excl. non-recurring) $145.45 10-Year Growth Rate 17.4% 10-Year Treasury Rate 4.81% Discount Rate (ceil(Treasury) + 6%) 11% Terminal Growth Rate 4% In the first stage, we project that EPS will grow at 17.4% per year for the next ten years, which is then discounted at a rate of 11%. The growth stage value is calculated as follows:
Stage Description Value Growth Stage (Years 1-10) EPS growing at 17.4%, discounted at 11% $2005.52 Terminal Stage (Years 11-20) 4% terminal growth, discounted at 11% $1811.95 Intrinsic Value Growth + Terminal $3817.47 Comparing the current price of $2965.83 with the intrinsic value of $3817.47 reveals that AutoZone is modestly undervalued, with a margin of safety of 22.3%. It is important to note that GuruFocus uses EPS excluding non-recurring items, as research indicates that stock prices correlate more closely with earnings than with free cash flow. For a detailed calculation, you can visit the AZO DCF Calculator.
What Does the Free Cash Flow DCF Say? The free cash flow (FCF) based intrinsic value for AutoZone is calculated at $2184.44. This figure stands in stark contrast to the earnings-based valuation, indicating a significant disagreement between the two models. The FCF model suggests that AutoZone is significantly overvalued, with a margin of safety of -35.8%. This discrepancy highlights the importance of considering multiple valuation perspectives when assessing a stock.
How Does GF Value™ Compare to the DCF Models? According to GuruFocus, the GF Value™ for AutoZone is $3801.40, providing yet another perspective on the company's valuation. GF Value™ is a proprietary measure that takes into account historical trading multiples, past business growth, and future performance estimates. In this case, the earnings-based DCF and GF Value™ align in suggesting that AutoZone is undervalued, while the FCF model indicates overvaluation. This divergence emphasizes the need for careful consideration of various valuation methods. For more insights, visit the GF Value™ page.
What Does AZO's GF Score™ Tell Us? The GF Score™ evaluates a company's overall financial health and growth potential. AutoZone's score of 84/100 reflects strong fundamentals, although its predictability rank of 2 out of 5 stars indicates lower reliability in the DCF model's outputs. This lower predictability suggests that the DCF estimates may be less trustworthy for AutoZone compared to stocks with higher predictability ratings.
Metric Rating GF Score™ 84/100 Financial Strength 5/10 Profitability 10/10 Growth 10/10 Valuation 8/10 Momentum 1/10 For further details on AutoZone's performance, you can check the AZO stock page.
Key Assumptions and Limitations It is crucial to recognize that DCF models are highly sensitive to the assumptions made regarding growth rates and discount rates. Stocks with low predictability ratings, such as AutoZone, tend to produce less reliable DCF estimates. Additionally, the terminal growth rate of 4% is a simplifying assumption that may not fully capture future market conditions.
What This Means for Investors In synthesizing the three valuation models—DCF earnings, DCF FCF, and GF Value™—we observe a clear tension. The earnings-based DCF and GF Value™ suggest that AutoZone is undervalued, while the FCF model indicates significant overvaluation. This divergence calls for a cautious approach, particularly given the low predictability rank of 2/5 stars, which diminishes the reliability of the DCF estimates. Furthermore, the guru ownership signal is notable: 11 gurus currently hold the stock, with 10 adding to their positions and only 1 trimming. However, insider activity shows net selling over the past 12 months, which could raise concerns. Overall, investors should weigh these factors carefully when considering AutoZone's stock. For a comprehensive view, explore the AZO DCF Calculator.
Frequently Asked Questions What is AZO's intrinsic value based on DCF?
According to the earnings-based model, the intrinsic value is $3817.47, while the FCF-based model indicates $2184.44.
Is AZO overvalued or undervalued?
The earnings-based DCF and GF Value™ suggest that AZO is undervalued, whereas the FCF model indicates it is significantly overvalued.
How reliable is the DCF model for AZO?
The predictability rank of 2 out of 5 stars suggests that the DCF model's reliability for AZO is lower than for stocks with higher predictability ratings.
This stock alert was generated using automated technology and GuruFocus financial data to provide readers with timely and accurate market reporting. This content was reviewed by GuruFocus editorial team prior to publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].
Beacon Pointe Advisors LLC acquired a new position in AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE:AZO – Free Report) during the 2nd quarter, according to its most recent 13F filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The institutional investor acquired 329 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $1,053,000.
A number of other institutional investors and hedge funds have also bought and sold shares of the stock. Livforsakringsbolaget Skandia Omsesidigt bought a new stake in AutoZone during the second quarter valued at approximately $418,000. RB Capital Management LLC bought a new stake in AutoZone in the second quarter worth $2,052,000. Glenview Trust Co purchased a new stake in AutoZone during the 2nd quarter valued at about $981,000. Empowered Funds LLC purchased a new stake in shares of AutoZone during the second quarter valued at approximately $11,425,000. Finally, United Capital Financial Advisors LLC bought a new stake in AutoZone in the second quarter valued at $3,885,000. 92.74% of the stock is owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.
Insider Activity at AutoZone In related news, VP Dennis W. Leriche sold 1,455 shares of AutoZone stock in a transaction dated Friday, August 7th. The stock was sold at an average price of $3,100.00, for a total value of $4,510,500.00. Following the completion of the sale, the vice president directly owned 441 shares in the company, valued at approximately $1,367,100. This trade represents a 76.74% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through the SEC website. 2.60% of the stock is owned by company insiders.
Analysts Set New Price Targets A number of equities research analysts have recently weighed in on the stock. BNP Paribas Exane cut their target price on shares of AutoZone from $4,478.00 to $3,979.00 and set an “outperform” rating on the stock in a research note on Wednesday, May 27th. Truist Financial set a $3,700.00 price objective on shares of AutoZone in a report on Wednesday, May 27th. Guggenheim cut their price objective on AutoZone from $4,400.00 to $4,000.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. DA Davidson decreased their target price on AutoZone from $4,300.00 to $3,750.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. Finally, Jefferies Financial Group lowered their target price on AutoZone from $4,400.00 to $4,000.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research note on Wednesday, May 27th. One analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, twenty have issued a Buy rating and six have given a Hold rating to the stock. According to MarketBeat.com, AutoZone currently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $4,029.43. Read Our Latest Report on AZO
AutoZone Trading Up 0.2% AutoZone stock opened at $2,967.55 on Monday. AutoZone, Inc. has a 12 month low of $2,902.20 and a 12 month high of $4,388.11. The stock has a fifty day simple moving average of $3,045.07 and a two-hundred day simple moving average of $3,305.33. The firm has a market cap of $48.46 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.40, a PEG ratio of 1.50 and a beta of 0.33.
AutoZone announced that its Board of Directors has approved a share repurchase program on Tuesday, June 16th that authorizes the company to repurchase $1.50 billion in shares. This repurchase authorization authorizes the company to repurchase up to 3% of its stock through open market purchases. Stock repurchase programs are usually a sign that the company’s leadership believes its stock is undervalued.
AutoZone Company Profile (Free Report)
AutoZone, Inc (NYSE: AZO) is a retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, the company supplies a wide range of aftermarket components, maintenance items and accessories for passenger cars, light trucks and commercial vehicles. Its product assortment includes engine parts, electrical components, batteries, brakes, filters, fluids and interior and exterior accessories, supported by inventory management and logistics systems to serve retail customers and professional service providers.
AutoZone serves both do‑it‑yourself (DIY) consumers and commercial customers such as independent repair shops and service centers.
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AutoZone (AZO +1.01%) shares are trading around $3,027 on Aug. 25. That's down 26.9% over the past year and 20% over the past six months, and the stock is hovering just 4.3% above 52-week lows.
For a company that just posted its best quarterly sales growth in three years, that decline invites a question: Is the market seeing a problem that the numbers aren't showing yet, or is this simply a valuation reset for a stock that ran hot?
Premium Feature
Moneyball Superscore
74/100
Today's Change
(
1.01
%) $
29.63
Current Price
$
2,961.96
What's weighing on the stock AutoZone's stock is down for a couple of sensible reasons.
Foot traffic from do-it-yourselfers has been soft lately due to tight consumer budgets. A weirdly cool, wet May killed demand for air conditioning parts right when summer heat usually kicks that category into gear. Recent quarters saw sharply higher revenue growth as inflation and tariff costs drove up unit prices. Now, AutoZone is guiding to lower top-line growth as the same extra-high sales are becoming the basis for tougher year-over-year comparisons.
Put those headwinds together, and it's easy to see why growth-focused investors got nervous even as headline sales rose 8.4% in the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, which ended May 9.
AutoZone vs. O'Reilly Here's the part that gets me excited, though: Look at AutoZone next to its biggest rival, O'Reilly (ORLY +0.76%). AutoZone trades at a forward P/E of 17.3 versus O'Reilly's 24.7, and O'Reilly's stock has barely budged this year. So this isn't some industrywide freakout; the market specifically discounted AutoZone.
Meanwhile, AutoZone's commercial business posted 10.4% sales growth last quarter. Management sees a serious growth opportunity in this segment, which accounted for just 29% of last quarter's total sales.
"We continue to gain share, and we have really low share on the commercial side of the business," CEO Philip Daniele said on the earnings call.
The MegaHub advantage The engine behind that effort is MegaHubs. AutoZone's largest stores are stocked with over 100,000 parts to restock nearby locations in a snap. The company has 156 of these hubs today, including 14 openings in Q3 alone. That's about halfway to the long-term target of roughly 300 MegaHubs.
On top of all that, the board just tacked on another $1.5 billion to the buyback authorization in June. That's about 3% of AutoZone's current market cap.
And here's a fun wildcard. AutoZone has never split its stock, which trades at more than $3,000 per share. A split wouldn't actually change anything that matters; you'd just own more shares worth proportionally less each, with the same total value.
But there's a practical case for it anyway. If your brokerage doesn't do fractional shares, a split gives you way more flexibility to buy exactly the amount you want instead of aligning your buys with that beefy share price. AutoZone hasn't signaled any plans here, but given how high the share price has climbed, it's the kind of move that wouldn't shock anyone.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Don't let the sliding chart scare you Sure, there are real things to watch: Inflation's cooling off, international sales are sluggish, and traffic needs to firm up. But a slowdown caused by weird weather and challenging year-ago comparisons isn't the same as a business losing its grip.
The MegaHub strategy makes sense, and I can't complain about the lower buy-in pricing. At the very least, I'd gladly buy AutoZone's stock before O'Reilly's right now.
On August 26, 2026, we delve into the DCF analysis for AutoZone Inc AZO , a company that has seen a challenging year with a significant decline in its stock price. The current price stands at $3027.34, reflecting a year-to-date drop of 10.7% and a staggering 26.9% over the past year. This context sets the stage for a deeper examination of its intrinsic value.
DCF Earnings-based intrinsic value of $3817.47 vs current price of $3027.34 (margin of safety: 20.7%) DCF Free Cash Flow-based intrinsic value of $2184.44, indicating a second opinion that suggests significant overvaluation. GF Score™ of 84/100, indicating strong financial health but with a predictability rank of 2/5 stars, which raises questions about the reliability of the DCF inputs. What Is AZO Worth? DCF Earnings-Based Model The DCF earnings-based model for AutoZone Inc utilizes a two-stage approach to assess its intrinsic value. The first stage involves a growth phase where earnings per share (EPS) is expected to grow at 17.4% annually for the next ten years, followed by a terminal phase with a growth rate of 4% for the subsequent ten years. The discount rate applied is 11%, derived from the risk-free rate and equity risk premium.
Parameter Value Current EPS (TTM, excl. non-recurring) $145.45 10-Year Growth Rate 17.4% 10-Year Treasury Rate 4.64% Discount Rate (ceil(Treasury) + 6%) 11% Terminal Growth Rate 4% The calculation summary for the two-stage model is as follows:
Stage Description Value Growth Stage (Years 1-10) EPS growing at 17.4%, discounted at 11% $2005.52 Terminal Stage (Years 11-20) 4% terminal growth, discounted at 11% $1811.95 Intrinsic Value Growth + Terminal $3817.47 With the current price at $3027.34, the intrinsic value of $3817.47 suggests that AutoZone is modestly undervalued, presenting a margin of safety of 20.7%. It is important to note that GuruFocus employs EPS figures excluding non-recurring items, as research indicates a stronger correlation between stock prices and earnings than with free cash flow.
For further details, you can access the AZO DCF Calculator.
What Does the Free Cash Flow DCF Say? The Free Cash Flow (FCF) based intrinsic value for AutoZone is calculated at $2184.44. This starkly contrasts with the earnings-based valuation, indicating a significant disagreement between the two models. The FCF-based model suggests that the stock is significantly overvalued, with a margin of safety of -38.6%.
How Does GF Value™ Compare to the DCF Models? The GF Value™ for AutoZone is calculated at $3792.90, providing a third perspective on the valuation. This proprietary measure is derived from historical trading multiples, past business growth, and future performance estimates. The divergence among the three models—DCF earnings, DCF FCF, and GF Value™—highlights the complexity of accurately assessing AutoZone's worth.
For more insights, visit the GF Value™ page.
What Does AZO's GF Score™ Tell Us? The GF Score™ evaluates a company's financial health and growth potential. AutoZone's score of 84/100 indicates a strong financial position, yet its predictability rank of 2/5 stars suggests that the DCF model may be less reliable for this stock. A higher predictability rating generally enhances the trustworthiness of DCF estimates.
Key Assumptions and Limitations It is crucial to understand that DCF models are highly sensitive to the assumptions made regarding growth rates and discount rates. Stocks with low predictability ratings, such as AutoZone's 2/5 stars, tend to produce less reliable DCF estimates. Additionally, the terminal growth rate of 4% is a simplifying assumption that may not accurately reflect future performance.
What This Means for Investors In synthesizing the insights from the DCF earnings model, the DCF FCF model, and GF Value™, we find a notable tension in the valuation of AutoZone. While the earnings-based DCF suggests the stock is modestly undervalued, the FCF model indicates significant overvaluation. The GF Value™ aligns more closely with the earnings-based DCF, suggesting a more favorable outlook. Furthermore, the guru ownership signal shows that 13 gurus currently hold the stock, with 10 adding to their positions, while insiders have been net selling over the past year. This mixed signal adds another layer of complexity to the investment narrative. For a comprehensive analysis, explore the AZO DCF Calculator.
Frequently Asked Questions What is AZO's intrinsic value based on DCF?
Earnigns-based intrinsic value is $3817.47, while FCF-based intrinsic value is $2184.44.
Is AZO overvalued or undervalued?
The earnings-based DCF suggests modest undervaluation, while the FCF-based model indicates significant overvaluation.
How reliable is the DCF model for AZO?
The predictability rank of 2/5 stars suggests that the DCF model may be less reliable for this stock.
This stock alert was generated using automated technology and GuruFocus financial data to provide readers with timely and accurate market reporting. This content was reviewed by GuruFocus editorial team prior to publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].
AutoZone (AZO - Free Report) closed the most recent trading day at $3,009.44, moving +1.74% from the previous trading session. The stock outperformed the S&P 500, which registered a daily loss of 0.28%. Elsewhere, the Dow gained 0.26%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 0.77%.
Heading into today, shares of the auto parts retailer had gained 0.02% over the past month, lagging the Retail-Wholesale sector's gain of 1.67% and the S&P 500's gain of 2.31%.
The investment community will be closely monitoring the performance of AutoZone in its forthcoming earnings report. In that report, analysts expect AutoZone to post earnings of $55.08 per share. This would mark year-over-year growth of 13.08%. Meanwhile, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is projecting net sales of $6.71 billion, up 7.52% from the year-ago period.
AZO's full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates are calling for earnings of $150.39 per share and revenue of $20.48 billion. These results would represent year-over-year changes of +3.81% and +8.13%, respectively.
Investors should also take note of any recent adjustments to analyst estimates for AutoZone. These revisions help to show the ever-changing nature of near-term business trends. As a result, upbeat changes in estimates indicate analysts' favorable outlook on the business health and profitability.
Our research demonstrates that these adjustments in estimates directly associate with imminent stock price performance. To exploit this, we've formed the Zacks Rank, a quantitative model that includes these estimate changes and presents a viable rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, spanning from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), boasts an impressive track record of outperformance, audited externally, with #1 ranked stocks yielding an average annual return of +25% since 1988. The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate remained stagnant within the past month. Right now, AutoZone possesses a Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell).
In terms of valuation, AutoZone is currently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 19.67. This valuation marks a premium compared to its industry average Forward P/E of 18.5.
One should further note that AZO currently holds a PEG ratio of 1.5. The PEG ratio is similar to the widely-used P/E ratio, but this metric also takes the company's expected earnings growth rate into account. AZO's industry had an average PEG ratio of 1.73 as of yesterday's close.
The Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry is part of the Retail-Wholesale sector. With its current Zacks Industry Rank of 72, this industry ranks in the top 30% of all industries, numbering over 250.
The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the strength of our separate industry groups by calculating the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks contained within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
To follow AZO in the coming trading sessions, be sure to utilize Zacks.com.
MEMPHIS, Tenn., Aug. 24, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE: AZO), a leading retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories in the Americas, will release results for its fourth quarter ended Saturday, August 29, 2026, before market open on Tuesday, September 22, 2026. Additionally, the Company will host a one-hour conference call on Tuesday, September 22, 2026, beginning at 10:00 a.m. (ET), to discuss the results of the quarter. This call is being webcast and can be accessed, along with supporting slides, at AutoZone’s website at www.autozone.com and by clicking on Investor Relations. Investors may also listen to the call by dialing (888) 506-0062, passcode AUTOZONE. In addition, a telephone replay will be available by dialing (877) 481-4010, replay passcode 54424 through Tuesday, October 20, 2026.
About AutoZone (NYSE: AZO)
As of May 26, 2026, AutoZone had 6,766 stores in the U.S., 933 in Mexico and 157 in Brazil, for a total store count of 7,856.
AutoZone is a leading retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories in the Americas. Each store carries an extensive product line for cars, sport utility vehicles, vans and light duty trucks, including new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories, and non-automotive products. The majority of stores have a Commercial sales program that provides prompt delivery of parts and other products and Commercial credit to local, regional and national repair garages, dealers, service stations, fleet owners and other accounts. AutoZone also sells automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories and non-automotive products through www.AutoZone.com, and our Commercial customers can make purchases through www.AutoZonePro.com. Additionally, we sell the ALLDATA brand of automotive diagnostic, repair, collision and shop management software through www.ALLDATA.com. We also provide product information on our Duralast-branded products through www.DuralastParts.com. AutoZone does not derive revenue from automotive repair or installation services.
Contact Information:
Financial: Brian Campbell at (901) 495-7005, [email protected]
Media: Jennifer Hughes at (901) 495-6022, [email protected]
Bank of Nova Scotia purchased a new position in AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE:AZO – Free Report) during the 2nd quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm purchased 8,113 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $25,935,000.
Several other hedge funds have also made changes to their positions in AZO. Turning Point Benefit Group Inc. purchased a new stake in AutoZone in the third quarter worth about $25,000. Torren Management LLC acquired a new stake in shares of AutoZone in the 4th quarter worth $27,000. Transamerica Financial Advisors LLC boosted its holdings in AutoZone by 100.0% in the fourth quarter. Transamerica Financial Advisors LLC now owns 8 shares of the company’s stock worth $28,000 after acquiring an additional 4 shares in the last quarter. Edmond DE Rothschild Holding S.A. purchased a new stake in AutoZone during the 2nd quarter worth approximately $29,000. Finally, MCF Advisors LLC grew its holdings in shares of AutoZone by 50.0% during the fourth quarter. MCF Advisors LLC now owns 9 shares of the company’s stock valued at $31,000 after buying an additional 3 shares during the last quarter. 92.74% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.
Insider Activity In related news, Director Brian Hannasch bought 165 shares of the stock in a transaction that occurred on Friday, May 29th. The stock was purchased at an average cost of $2,987.00 per share, with a total value of $492,855.00. Following the purchase, the director directly owned 1,219 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $3,641,153. This trade represents a 15.65% increase in their position. The purchase was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which can be accessed through this link. Also, VP Dennis W. Leriche sold 1,455 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction dated Friday, August 7th. The stock was sold at an average price of $3,100.00, for a total value of $4,510,500.00. Following the transaction, the vice president directly owned 441 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $1,367,100. This represents a 76.74% decrease in their ownership of the stock. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. 2.60% of the stock is currently owned by corporate insiders.
Analyst Ratings Changes AZO has been the topic of several research reports. DA Davidson cut their price target on shares of AutoZone from $4,300.00 to $3,750.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a report on Wednesday, May 27th. Evercore reaffirmed an “outperform” rating on shares of AutoZone in a report on Tuesday, May 26th. Robert W. Baird decreased their price objective on shares of AutoZone from $3,900.00 to $3,600.00 and set a “neutral” rating on the stock in a report on Wednesday, May 27th. Roth Capital lowered their price target on AutoZone from $4,526.00 to $4,023.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research note on Wednesday, May 27th. Finally, Barclays lowered their price target on shares of AutoZone from $3,900.00 to $3,637.00 and set an “overweight” rating on the stock in a research report on Tuesday, August 4th. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, twenty have issued a Buy rating and six have given a Hold rating to the stock. According to MarketBeat.com, the company currently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average target price of $4,029.43. Read Our Latest Report on AutoZone
AutoZone Trading Up 0.1% Shares of AZO opened at $2,960.64 on Monday. The firm has a market cap of $48.35 billion, a P/E ratio of 20.36, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 1.50 and a beta of 0.33. The company’s 50-day moving average price is $3,054.94 and its 200 day moving average price is $3,329.19. AutoZone, Inc. has a 12-month low of $2,902.20 and a 12-month high of $4,388.11.
AutoZone (NYSE:AZO – Get Free Report) last announced its quarterly earnings results on Tuesday, May 26th. The company reported $38.07 earnings per share for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $36.22 by $1.85. AutoZone had a net margin of 12.40% and a negative return on equity of 80.35%. The business had revenue of $4.84 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $4.86 billion. During the same period last year, the business earned $35.36 earnings per share. The business’s revenue for the quarter was up 8.4% on a year-over-year basis. Equities research analysts forecast that AutoZone, Inc. will post 150.39 earnings per share for the current year.
AutoZone declared that its board has initiated a stock buyback program on Tuesday, June 16th that allows the company to buyback $1.50 billion in shares. This buyback authorization allows the company to purchase up to 3% of its shares through open market purchases. Shares buyback programs are generally an indication that the company’s board believes its stock is undervalued.
About AutoZone (Free Report)
AutoZone, Inc (NYSE: AZO) is a retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, the company supplies a wide range of aftermarket components, maintenance items and accessories for passenger cars, light trucks and commercial vehicles. Its product assortment includes engine parts, electrical components, batteries, brakes, filters, fluids and interior and exterior accessories, supported by inventory management and logistics systems to serve retail customers and professional service providers.
AutoZone serves both do‑it‑yourself (DIY) consumers and commercial customers such as independent repair shops and service centers.
Recommended Stories Five stocks we like better than AutoZone VIG, VYM, and VYMI: Which Vanguard Dividend ETF Is Right for You? 3 Closed-End Funds to Maximize Dividend Payments Rocket Lab’s Sell-Off Is Fading—Is It Finally Safe to Buy? $27 Billion in Buybacks: 3 Stocks Betting Their Strong Runs Aren’t Over Want to see what other hedge funds are holding AZO? Visit HoldingsChannel.com to get the latest 13F filings and insider trades for AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE:AZO – Free Report).
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Bank of New York Mellon Corp bought a new position in shares of AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE:AZO – Free Report) during the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm bought 104,870 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $335,157,000. Bank of New York Mellon Corp owned 0.64% of AutoZone at the end of the most recent quarter.
Several other large investors have also added to or reduced their stakes in AZO. Turning Point Benefit Group Inc. bought a new stake in AutoZone in the third quarter worth $25,000. Torren Management LLC purchased a new position in shares of AutoZone in the 4th quarter worth $27,000. Transamerica Financial Advisors LLC increased its holdings in shares of AutoZone by 100.0% in the 4th quarter. Transamerica Financial Advisors LLC now owns 8 shares of the company’s stock worth $28,000 after buying an additional 4 shares during the last quarter. MCF Advisors LLC increased its holdings in shares of AutoZone by 50.0% in the 4th quarter. MCF Advisors LLC now owns 9 shares of the company’s stock worth $31,000 after buying an additional 3 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Bard Associates Inc. purchased a new stake in shares of AutoZone during the 4th quarter valued at about $31,000. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 92.74% of the company’s stock.
AutoZone Price Performance AZO stock opened at $2,960.64 on Friday. The company has a market capitalization of $48.35 billion, a P/E ratio of 20.36, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 1.50 and a beta of 0.33. AutoZone, Inc. has a 12 month low of $2,902.20 and a 12 month high of $4,388.11. The firm’s fifty day simple moving average is $3,054.94 and its 200-day simple moving average is $3,332.00.
AutoZone (NYSE:AZO – Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings results on Tuesday, May 26th. The company reported $38.07 EPS for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $36.22 by $1.85. AutoZone had a net margin of 12.40% and a negative return on equity of 80.35%. The company had revenue of $4.84 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $4.86 billion. During the same period in the prior year, the company earned $35.36 earnings per share. The firm’s revenue was up 8.4% on a year-over-year basis. As a group, sell-side analysts forecast that AutoZone, Inc. will post 150.39 earnings per share for the current year. AutoZone declared that its board has authorized a share buyback program on Tuesday, June 16th that authorizes the company to buyback $1.50 billion in outstanding shares. This buyback authorization authorizes the company to reacquire up to 3% of its shares through open market purchases. Shares buyback programs are usually a sign that the company’s board believes its stock is undervalued.
Wall Street Analyst Weigh In Several research analysts recently commented on the company. Raymond James Financial reiterated a “strong-buy” rating on shares of AutoZone in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. JPMorgan Chase & Co. cut their target price on AutoZone from $4,300.00 to $3,850.00 and set an “overweight” rating on the stock in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. Robert W. Baird lowered their price target on AutoZone from $3,900.00 to $3,600.00 and set a “neutral” rating for the company in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. Jefferies Financial Group cut their price objective on shares of AutoZone from $4,400.00 to $4,000.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. Finally, Roth Capital lowered their target price on shares of AutoZone from $4,526.00 to $4,023.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a report on Wednesday, May 27th. One analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, twenty have assigned a Buy rating and six have given a Hold rating to the company’s stock. According to MarketBeat, AutoZone currently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $4,029.43.
Read Our Latest Analysis on AZO
Insider Activity at AutoZone In other AutoZone news, VP Dennis W. Leriche sold 1,455 shares of the stock in a transaction on Friday, August 7th. The shares were sold at an average price of $3,100.00, for a total transaction of $4,510,500.00. Following the transaction, the vice president directly owned 441 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $1,367,100. This trade represents a 76.74% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is accessible through this hyperlink. Also, Director Brian Hannasch bought 165 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction dated Friday, May 29th. The shares were bought at an average cost of $2,987.00 per share, with a total value of $492,855.00. Following the purchase, the director directly owned 1,219 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $3,641,153. This represents a 15.65% increase in their ownership of the stock. The disclosure for this purchase is available in the SEC filing. 2.60% of the stock is currently owned by company insiders.
AutoZone Company Profile (Free Report)
AutoZone, Inc (NYSE: AZO) is a retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, the company supplies a wide range of aftermarket components, maintenance items and accessories for passenger cars, light trucks and commercial vehicles. Its product assortment includes engine parts, electrical components, batteries, brakes, filters, fluids and interior and exterior accessories, supported by inventory management and logistics systems to serve retail customers and professional service providers.
AutoZone serves both do‑it‑yourself (DIY) consumers and commercial customers such as independent repair shops and service centers.
See Also Five stocks we like better than AutoZone Blueprint for a Boom: SEC Clears the Crypto Runway Ross Stores Just Flipped the Off-Price Retail Story After TJX’s Marmaxx Miss Advance Auto Parts Plunged, But Its Turnaround Is Still Working Is Palo Alto Networks Priced for Perfection Again as AI Security Demand Accelerates?
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Advisors Capital Management LLC purchased a new position in AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE:AZO – Free Report) during the second quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the SEC. The fund purchased 645 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $2,063,000.
Several other large investors also recently modified their holdings of the company. BlackRock Inc. bought a new stake in shares of AutoZone during the second quarter valued at approximately $3,938,566,000. Norges Bank acquired a new stake in shares of AutoZone in the 4th quarter worth $939,205,000. Mitsubishi UFJ Asset Management Co. Ltd. acquired a new position in shares of AutoZone in the 2nd quarter valued at $572,885,000. Bank of New York Mellon Corp acquired a new stake in AutoZone during the 2nd quarter worth about $335,157,000. Finally, Morgan Stanley increased its holdings in shares of AutoZone by 17.8% during the 4th quarter. Morgan Stanley now owns 492,794 shares of the company’s stock valued at $1,671,323,000 after purchasing an additional 74,555 shares in the last quarter. Institutional investors own 92.74% of the company’s stock.
AutoZone Price Performance Shares of AZO opened at $2,960.64 on Friday. AutoZone, Inc. has a 12 month low of $2,902.20 and a 12 month high of $4,388.11. The stock’s 50-day moving average is $3,054.94 and its two-hundred day moving average is $3,332.00. The stock has a market cap of $48.35 billion, a PE ratio of 20.36, a P/E/G ratio of 1.50 and a beta of 0.33.
AutoZone (NYSE:AZO – Get Free Report) last announced its earnings results on Tuesday, May 26th. The company reported $38.07 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $36.22 by $1.85. The company had revenue of $4.84 billion during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $4.86 billion. AutoZone had a negative return on equity of 80.35% and a net margin of 12.40%.The company’s revenue was up 8.4% on a year-over-year basis. During the same period last year, the firm earned $35.36 earnings per share. On average, research analysts anticipate that AutoZone, Inc. will post 150.39 earnings per share for the current year. AutoZone declared that its board has initiated a stock buyback program on Tuesday, June 16th that allows the company to repurchase $1.50 billion in outstanding shares. This repurchase authorization allows the company to reacquire up to 3% of its stock through open market purchases. Stock repurchase programs are typically an indication that the company’s board believes its stock is undervalued.
Insiders Place Their Bets In related news, VP Dennis W. Leriche sold 1,455 shares of the stock in a transaction dated Friday, August 7th. The shares were sold at an average price of $3,100.00, for a total transaction of $4,510,500.00. Following the sale, the vice president owned 441 shares in the company, valued at $1,367,100. This represents a 76.74% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through this hyperlink. Also, Director Brian Hannasch purchased 165 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Friday, May 29th. The stock was bought at an average cost of $2,987.00 per share, for a total transaction of $492,855.00. Following the acquisition, the director owned 1,219 shares in the company, valued at approximately $3,641,153. The trade was a 15.65% increase in their position. Additional details regarding this purchase are available in the official SEC disclosure. 2.60% of the stock is currently owned by corporate insiders.
Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades A number of equities analysts have weighed in on the stock. Morgan Stanley reduced their price objective on shares of AutoZone from $4,020.00 to $3,605.00 and set an “overweight” rating for the company in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. The Goldman Sachs Group reduced their target price on AutoZone from $4,345.00 to $4,096.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. Mizuho reduced their price target on shares of AutoZone from $3,600.00 to $3,200.00 and set a “neutral” rating on the stock in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. Citigroup lowered their price objective on AutoZone from $4,300.00 to $3,700.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. Finally, Truist Financial set a $3,700.00 target price on shares of AutoZone in a report on Wednesday, May 27th. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, twenty have given a Buy rating and six have given a Hold rating to the stock. According to MarketBeat, AutoZone currently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average target price of $4,029.43.
Get Our Latest Research Report on AZO
AutoZone Company Profile (Free Report)
AutoZone, Inc (NYSE: AZO) is a retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, the company supplies a wide range of aftermarket components, maintenance items and accessories for passenger cars, light trucks and commercial vehicles. Its product assortment includes engine parts, electrical components, batteries, brakes, filters, fluids and interior and exterior accessories, supported by inventory management and logistics systems to serve retail customers and professional service providers.
AutoZone serves both do‑it‑yourself (DIY) consumers and commercial customers such as independent repair shops and service centers.
Further Reading Five stocks we like better than AutoZone Blueprint for a Boom: SEC Clears the Crypto Runway Ross Stores Just Flipped the Off-Price Retail Story After TJX’s Marmaxx Miss Advance Auto Parts Plunged, But Its Turnaround Is Still Working Is Palo Alto Networks Priced for Perfection Again as AI Security Demand Accelerates?
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Waymo představil vlastní čip pro robotaxi. Smyslem je snížení nákladů a důraz na vyšší efektivitu zpracování dat ze senzorů Waymo cílí na milion jízd týdně. Alphabet na zprávu reaguje vlažně a odepisuje 1 %.
Objevila se zpráva, že USA a Kanada jsou blízko nové obchodní dohody, která by mohla snížit americké clo na kanadskou ocel a hliník na 25 %. Steel Dynamics (- 4,5 %) a Nucor (- 2,9 %) reagují poklesem.
Index S&P 500 -0,33 % na 7682,21 b. Nejsilnější sektory S&P Změna Nejslabší sektory S&P Změna Energie +0,9 % Zbytná spotřeba -1,3 % Reality +0,4 % Nezbytná spotřeba -1,3 % Základní materiály +0,3 % Zdravotní péče -0,8 % Nejsilnější akcie S&P Změna Nejslabší akcie S&P Změna Deere (DE) +8,8 % Moderna (MRNA) -26 % Coinbase Global (COIN) +8,8 % Walmart (WMT) -8,8 % Nordson Corp (NDSN) +6,9 % GE Vernova (GEV) -4,5 % CF Industries Holdings (CF) +6,1 % Steel Dynamics (STLD) -4,4 % Lumentum Holdings (LITE) +5,0 % AutoZone (AZO) -4,3 %
Marek Kameništiak
Fio banka, a.s.
Prohlášení
Shares of Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP | AAP Price Prediction) stock are down 21% to $44.33 Thursday morning after the company posted Q2 2026 results that paired a headline earnings beat with a revenue miss and negative comparable sales. The move is the sharpest single-day slide in the aftermarket group and comes despite a raised full-year adjusted EPS outlook.
The read-through is hitting peers as well. AutoZone (NYSE:AZO) stock is down 4% to $2,961, O’Reilly Automotive (NASDAQ:ORLY) stock is down 2% to $89.57, and Genuine Parts (NYSE:GPC) stock is down 3% to $131.05. The peer moves reflect a group-level reaction to softening do-it-yourself demand rather than a proportional hit tied to their own results.
Tariff Refund Masks a Revenue Miss Advance Auto Parts reported adjusted diluted EPS of $1.03, topping the $0.81 consensus by 27.9%, while revenue of $2 billion missed the $2.04 billion estimate and slipped 0.5% year over year. Comparable store sales at the retailer declined 0.5%, with the DIY channel weakening sharply in the final four weeks of the quarter and the Pro channel delivering low-single-digit growth.
The composition of the beat matters. Advance Auto Parts’ management booked $26 million in tariff refunds that contributed $0.31 to adjusted EPS, meaning a significant share of the outperformance is non-recurring. On an underlying basis, adjusted operating margin still expanded more than 250 basis points year over year to 5.6%, and year-to-date free cash flow swung to a positive $120 million from an outflow a year earlier.
Guidance also disappointed on the sales side. The company reaffirmed fiscal 2026 net sales of $8.485 billion to $8.575 billion, a midpoint of $8.53 billion that sits below the $8.58 billion consensus, and trimmed store openings to 30 to 35 from 40 to 45. Furthermore, Advance Auto Parts’ full-year adjusted EPS guidance was raised to $2.60 to $3.30 from $2.40 to $3.10, but that lift leans on the same one-time refund.
Advance Auto Parts CEO Shane O’Kelly accentuated the positive points:
Our second quarter comparable sales results reflected low-single-digit growth in the Pro channel, which performed in line with expectations. However, total enterprise sales performance was impacted by the DIY channel as tighter household budgets constrained spending more than we anticipated, especially during the last four weeks of the quarter.
Where the Names Diverge Positioning explains why the pain is concentrated on Advance Auto Parts. Through Wednesday’s close, Advance Auto Parts stock was up 45% year to date while AutoZone stock was down 9%, so the two entered the print with very different setups and a mixed quarter lands harder on the name that had already run. O’Reilly Automotive stock and Genuine Parts stock entered the day roughly flat and up double digits respectively, cushioning the sympathy moves.
Operational proof points at Advance Auto Parts remain constructive under the hood. Adjusted gross margin expanded roughly 240 basis points to 46.2%. Distribution-center consolidation finished with 15 DCs down from nearly 40. Net-debt leverage improved to 2.1 times from 2.4 times last quarter. The market is discounting those wins today in favor of the softer demand signal.
The macro backdrop reinforces management’s caution about lower- and mid-tier consumers. University of Michigan consumer sentiment sat at 49.5 in June, well below the 60 level flagged as recessionary in the source guide, and U.S. regular gasoline averaged $4.05 per gallon on August 17, up 5% from a month earlier. Both squeeze the exact customer group Advance Auto Parts calls out as most stressed.
What to Watch Next The Advance Auto Parts conference call at 8:00 a.m. ET has already opened, so commentary on Q3 DIY trends and the durability of Pro-channel growth will shape intraday price discovery. Management said Q3 trends during the first four weeks were tracking slightly ahead of the final weeks of Q2, a claim the sell side will test in follow-up notes. Traders may want to keep an eye on whether AAP stock stabilizes near the $44 area or takes another leg lower.
On position sizing, the composition of the beat should shape any fresh exposure to Advance Auto Parts stock. About $0.31 of the $1.03 adjusted EPS came from a tariff refund that won’t repeat, so underlying earnings power is meaningfully below the headline. A cautious, smaller position is the more defensible stance while the DIY demand picture clarifies over the second half.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
BlackRock Inc. bought a new stake in shares of AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE:AZO – Free Report) during the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm bought 1,232,366 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $3,938,566,000. BlackRock Inc. owned approximately 7.55% of AutoZone at the end of the most recent reporting period.
Other hedge funds and other institutional investors have also recently bought and sold shares of the company. Jupiter Asset Management Ltd. acquired a new stake in shares of AutoZone in the fourth quarter valued at $1,808,000. United Super Pty Ltd in its capacity as Trustee for the Construction & Building Unions Superannuation Fund raised its holdings in AutoZone by 15.2% in the fourth quarter. United Super Pty Ltd in its capacity as Trustee for the Construction & Building Unions Superannuation Fund now owns 14,224 shares of the company’s stock valued at $48,241,000 after acquiring an additional 1,882 shares in the last quarter. CIBC Asset Management Inc raised its holdings in shares of AutoZone by 67.1% in the 4th quarter. CIBC Asset Management Inc now owns 3,941 shares of the company’s stock valued at $13,366,000 after purchasing an additional 1,582 shares in the last quarter. Norges Bank purchased a new stake in AutoZone during the 4th quarter worth about $939,205,000. Finally, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Co. lifted its stake in AutoZone by 387.1% during the fourth quarter. Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Co. now owns 77,792 shares of the company’s stock worth $263,832,000 after purchasing an additional 61,821 shares during the last quarter. 92.74% of the stock is owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.
AutoZone Trading Up 1.9% NYSE AZO opened at $3,077.21 on Wednesday. The company has a market capitalization of $50.25 billion, a PE ratio of 21.16, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 1.54 and a beta of 0.33. AutoZone, Inc. has a twelve month low of $2,902.20 and a twelve month high of $4,388.11. The business’s 50-day moving average price is $3,061.14 and its 200 day moving average price is $3,344.23.
AutoZone (NYSE:AZO – Get Free Report) last issued its quarterly earnings results on Tuesday, May 26th. The company reported $38.07 EPS for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $36.22 by $1.85. The firm had revenue of $4.84 billion during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $4.86 billion. AutoZone had a net margin of 12.40% and a negative return on equity of 80.35%. AutoZone’s revenue for the quarter was up 8.4% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the prior year, the business posted $35.36 earnings per share. Equities analysts predict that AutoZone, Inc. will post 150.39 EPS for the current year. AutoZone announced that its board has initiated a stock repurchase program on Tuesday, June 16th that allows the company to buyback $1.50 billion in outstanding shares. This buyback authorization allows the company to repurchase up to 3% of its stock through open market purchases. Stock buyback programs are generally a sign that the company’s leadership believes its shares are undervalued.
Insider Activity In related news, Director Brian Hannasch purchased 165 shares of the stock in a transaction that occurred on Friday, May 29th. The stock was purchased at an average cost of $2,987.00 per share, for a total transaction of $492,855.00. Following the acquisition, the director owned 1,219 shares in the company, valued at approximately $3,641,153. This trade represents a 15.65% increase in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through the SEC website. Also, VP Dennis W. Leriche sold 1,455 shares of the stock in a transaction dated Friday, August 7th. The shares were sold at an average price of $3,100.00, for a total value of $4,510,500.00. Following the completion of the sale, the vice president owned 441 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $1,367,100. This trade represents a 76.74% decrease in their position. The SEC filing for this sale provides additional information. Insiders own 2.60% of the company’s stock.
Analyst Ratings Changes AZO has been the subject of several research analyst reports. Jefferies Financial Group decreased their price objective on shares of AutoZone from $4,400.00 to $4,000.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research note on Wednesday, May 27th. Truist Financial set a $3,700.00 price objective on shares of AutoZone in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. The Goldman Sachs Group reduced their price target on AutoZone from $4,345.00 to $4,096.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a report on Wednesday, May 27th. Roth Capital decreased their price objective on shares of AutoZone from $4,526.00 to $4,023.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a report on Wednesday, May 27th. Finally, Weiss Ratings lowered AutoZone from a “hold (c+)” rating to a “hold (c)” rating in a report on Thursday, July 23rd. One equities research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, twenty have assigned a Buy rating and six have assigned a Hold rating to the company. According to MarketBeat.com, AutoZone has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $4,029.43.
Check Out Our Latest Analysis on AutoZone
About AutoZone (Free Report)
AutoZone, Inc (NYSE: AZO) is a retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, the company supplies a wide range of aftermarket components, maintenance items and accessories for passenger cars, light trucks and commercial vehicles. Its product assortment includes engine parts, electrical components, batteries, brakes, filters, fluids and interior and exterior accessories, supported by inventory management and logistics systems to serve retail customers and professional service providers.
AutoZone serves both do‑it‑yourself (DIY) consumers and commercial customers such as independent repair shops and service centers.
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AutoZone (AZO - Free Report) closed at $3,073.20 in the latest trading session, marking a +1.79% move from the prior day. The stock exceeded the S&P 500, which registered a loss of 0.69% for the day. On the other hand, the Dow registered a loss of 0.22%, and the technology-centric Nasdaq decreased by 1.33%.
The stock of auto parts retailer has risen by 0.84% in the past month, lagging the Retail-Wholesale sector's gain of 2.47% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.96%.
Market participants will be closely following the financial results of AutoZone in its upcoming release. The company's earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be $55.08, reflecting a 13.08% increase from the same quarter last year. At the same time, our most recent consensus estimate is projecting a revenue of $6.71 billion, reflecting a 7.52% rise from the equivalent quarter last year.
AZO's full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates are calling for earnings of $150.39 per share and revenue of $20.48 billion. These results would represent year-over-year changes of +3.81% and +8.13%, respectively.
Investors might also notice recent changes to analyst estimates for AutoZone. Recent revisions tend to reflect the latest near-term business trends. Consequently, upward revisions in estimates express analysts' positivity towards the business operations and its ability to generate profits.
Our research demonstrates that these adjustments in estimates directly associate with imminent stock price performance. To capitalize on this, we've crafted the Zacks Rank, a unique model that incorporates these estimate changes and offers a practical rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive outside-audited track record of outperformance, with #1 stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has witnessed a 0.08% decrease. AutoZone is currently a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).
Looking at its valuation, AutoZone is holding a Forward P/E ratio of 20.08. This expresses a premium compared to the average Forward P/E of 19.69 of its industry.
We can also see that AZO currently has a PEG ratio of 1.53. Comparable to the widely accepted P/E ratio, the PEG ratio also accounts for the company's projected earnings growth. As the market closed yesterday, the Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry was having an average PEG ratio of 1.75.
The Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry is part of the Retail-Wholesale sector. At present, this industry carries a Zacks Industry Rank of 79, placing it within the top 33% of over 250 industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank gauges the strength of our individual industry groups by measuring the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
To follow AZO in the coming trading sessions, be sure to utilize Zacks.com.
The recommendations of Wall Street analysts are often relied on by investors when deciding whether to buy, sell, or hold a stock. Media reports about these brokerage-firm-employed (or sell-side) analysts changing their ratings often affect a stock's price. Do they really matter, though?
Let's take a look at what these Wall Street heavyweights have to say about AutoZone (AZO - Free Report) before we discuss the reliability of brokerage recommendations and how to use them to your advantage.
AutoZone currently has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.39, on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell), calculated based on the actual recommendations (Buy, Hold, Sell, etc.) made by 27 brokerage firms. An ABR of 1.39 approximates between Strong Buy and Buy.
Of the 27 recommendations that derive the current ABR, 21 are Strong Buy and one is Buy. Strong Buy and Buy respectively account for 77.8% and 3.7% of all recommendations.
Brokerage Recommendation Trends for AZO
Check price target & stock forecast for AutoZone here>>>
While the ABR calls for buying AutoZone, it may not be wise to make an investment decision solely based on this information. Several studies have shown limited to no success of brokerage recommendations in guiding investors to pick stocks with the best price increase potential.
Do you wonder why? As a result of the vested interest of brokerage firms in a stock they cover, their analysts tend to rate it with a strong positive bias. According to our research, brokerage firms assign five "Strong Buy" recommendations for every "Strong Sell" recommendation.
In other words, their interests aren't always aligned with retail investors, rarely indicating where the price of a stock could actually be heading. Therefore, the best use of this information could be validating your own research or an indicator that has proven to be highly successful in predicting a stock's price movement.
Zacks Rank, our proprietary stock rating tool with an impressive externally audited track record, categorizes stocks into five groups, ranging from Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), and is an effective indicator of a stock's price performance in the near future. Therefore, using the ABR to validate the Zacks Rank could be an efficient way of making a profitable investment decision.
ABR Should Not Be Confused With Zacks RankAlthough both Zacks Rank and ABR are displayed in a range of 1--5, they are different measures altogether.
The ABR is calculated solely based on brokerage recommendations and is typically displayed with decimals (example: 1.28). In contrast, the Zacks Rank is a quantitative model allowing investors to harness the power of earnings estimate revisions. It is displayed in whole numbers -- 1 to 5.
Analysts employed by brokerage firms have been and continue to be overly optimistic with their recommendations. Since the ratings issued by these analysts are more favorable than their research would support because of the vested interest of their employers, they mislead investors far more often than they guide.
In contrast, the Zacks Rank is driven by earnings estimate revisions. And near-term stock price movements are strongly correlated with trends in earnings estimate revisions, according to empirical research.
Furthermore, the different grades of the Zacks Rank are applied proportionately across all stocks for which brokerage analysts provide earnings estimates for the current year. In other words, at all times, this tool maintains a balance among the five ranks it assigns.
Another key difference between the ABR and Zacks Rank is freshness. The ABR is not necessarily up-to-date when you look at it. But, since brokerage analysts keep revising their earnings estimates to account for a company's changing business trends, and their actions get reflected in the Zacks Rank quickly enough, it is always timely in indicating future price movements.
Should You Invest in AZO?In terms of earnings estimate revisions for AutoZone, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has declined 0.1% over the past month to $150.39.
Analysts' growing pessimism over the company's earnings prospects, as indicated by strong agreement among them in revising EPS estimates lower, could be a legitimate reason for the stock to plunge in the near term.
The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) for AutoZone. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>>
Therefore, it could be wise to take the Buy-equivalent ABR for AutoZone with a grain of salt.
Avalon Trust Co acquired a new stake in AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE: AZO) in the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the SEC. The institutional investor acquired 5,739 shares of the company's stock, valued at approximately $18,342,000. AutoZone makes up approximately 1.1% of Avalon Trust Co's investment portfolio,
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Roundhill’s Roundhill Heavy Assets and Low Obsolescence ETF (NYSEARCA:LOHA) launched in May 2026 as a counterweight to the software and AI concentration dominating most passive equity portfolios. The idea belongs to Josh Brown of Ritholtz Wealth Management, who coined the acronym HALO for heavy assets and low obsolescence to describe companies whose value sits in physical infrastructure, entrenched distribution, and long-lived capital rather than in code that a competitor can rewrite. LOHA translates that idea into an index of 100 US companies, equally weighted and rebalanced quarterly, with a 0.35% expense ratio and a unitary fee structure under which Roundhill absorbs most operating expenses.
The top holdings make the pitch clear. Cummins (NYSE:CMI | CMI Price Prediction) builds diesel and natural gas engines, AutoZone (NYSE:AZO) runs the largest aftermarket auto parts network in the country, TFI International (NYSE:TFII) hauls freight, Lennox International makes furnaces and rooftop HVAC units, and Newmont digs gold out of the ground. If AI-heavy indices own the software layer, LOHA owns what sits under, around, and behind it.
The Thesis Behind Heavy Assets
The argument runs like this: a company whose competitive position depends on physical scale (mines, factories, distribution centers, truck fleets, refrigerated warehouses, a national franchise footprint) cannot be disintermediated by a well-funded startup with GPUs. Replicating AutoZone’s roughly 20% operating margin requires actually building thousands of stores stocked with the right SKUs within a short drive of a mechanic who needs a part today. Replicating Cummins’ multi-year hyperscaler agreement, which secures several gigawatts of future backup power genset demand, requires foundries, engineering depth, and permits that a model checkpoint cannot provide.
The irony is that the physical economy is now partly a levered play on the AI buildout itself. Cummins’ Power Systems segment posted record Q2 sales of $2.3 billion, up 19%, as data centers need standby diesel generators. So the anti-AI fund’s flagship holding sells picks and shovels into the very trend the fund is marketed against, which is either a feature or a philosophical problem depending on how strictly you read the label.
Testing Whether Physical Really Protects
Heavy assets are not a free hedge. They are capital-intensive, cyclical, and often commodity-linked. Lennox told investors in July that “elevated mortgage rates, inflationary pressures, and historically low consumer confidence are constraining underlying demand,” and that residential new construction revenues declined by approximately 30%. Newmont’s margins swing with a gold price that carried a realized price of $4,414 per ounce in Q2 and could just as easily reverse. What LOHA holders are buying is exposure to the operating leverage of physical capacity, which cuts both ways.
Equal weighting at quarterly intervals caps the portfolio’s dependence on any single winner, tilts toward smaller industrials and materials names, and forces the fund to trim what has run and add to what has lagged. That mechanical rebalance is the opposite of how cap-weighted tech indices behave, and it is the structural reason the portfolio behaves like a counterweight rather than a proxy.
Does This Fit Your Portfolio?
LOHA is a thesis to evaluate rather than an established track record. With roughly $50 million in assets and only a few months of history, the fund carries new-fund liquidity risk and no meaningful data on how the strategy behaves across a full cycle. Anyone treating it as a proven diversifier is projecting.
The reasonable use case is a 3% to 7% sleeve for an investor whose broad-market exposure has drifted into heavy overlap with the Nasdaq-100, where the S&P 500 and QQQ (NASDAQ:QQQ) share the same handful of names at the top. For that investor, owning engines, trucks, HVAC, and gold miners in equal measure is genuine diversification at the business-model level rather than at the sector label. Investors expecting LOHA to outperform in a continued AI-led tape are likely to be disappointed, because the fund is designed to hold value when leadership shifts rather than to lead the shift itself.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
On August 12, 2026, we delve into the DCF analysis for AutoZone Inc (AZO), a company that has seen a challenging price performance recently, with a year-to-date
AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE:AZO – Get Free Report) VP Dennis Leriche sold 1,455 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Friday, August 7th. The stock was sold at an average price of $3,100.00, for a total value of $4,510,500.00. Following the completion of the sale, the vice president owned 441 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $1,367,100. This trade represents a 76.74% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through the SEC website.
AutoZone Stock Performance Shares of NYSE AZO opened at $3,063.67 on Tuesday. AutoZone, Inc. has a 1 year low of $2,902.20 and a 1 year high of $4,388.11. The firm has a market cap of $50.03 billion, a P/E ratio of 21.06, a PEG ratio of 1.59 and a beta of 0.33. The stock has a fifty day moving average price of $3,066.60 and a two-hundred day moving average price of $3,373.77.
AutoZone (NYSE:AZO – Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings data on Tuesday, May 26th. The company reported $38.07 EPS for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $36.22 by $1.85. The company had revenue of $4.84 billion for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $4.86 billion. AutoZone had a negative return on equity of 80.35% and a net margin of 12.40%.The company’s quarterly revenue was up 8.4% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the previous year, the business earned $35.36 EPS. On average, research analysts predict that AutoZone, Inc. will post 150.39 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
AutoZone declared that its board has initiated a share repurchase program on Tuesday, June 16th that permits the company to buyback $1.50 billion in outstanding shares. This buyback authorization permits the company to repurchase up to 3% of its shares through open market purchases. Shares buyback programs are usually an indication that the company’s leadership believes its shares are undervalued.
Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades Several research firms have recently weighed in on AZO. BNP Paribas Exane reduced their price objective on shares of AutoZone from $4,478.00 to $3,979.00 and set an “outperform” rating for the company in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. Raymond James Financial reiterated a “strong-buy” rating on shares of AutoZone in a report on Wednesday, May 27th. Mizuho cut their target price on shares of AutoZone from $3,600.00 to $3,200.00 and set a “neutral” rating for the company in a research note on Wednesday, May 27th. Guggenheim reduced their target price on shares of AutoZone from $4,400.00 to $4,000.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a report on Wednesday, May 27th. Finally, The Goldman Sachs Group decreased their price target on shares of AutoZone from $4,345.00 to $4,096.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, twenty have given a Buy rating and six have given a Hold rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, the stock currently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $4,029.43.
Check Out Our Latest Report on AutoZone
Institutional Trading of AutoZone Large investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the company. Live Oak Investment Partners purchased a new stake in shares of AutoZone in the second quarter valued at $431,000. Edmond DE Rothschild Holding S.A. purchased a new position in shares of AutoZone during the second quarter valued at $29,000. Shepherd Financial Partners LLC acquired a new position in AutoZone during the second quarter valued at $495,000. Johnson Financial Group Inc. acquired a new position in AutoZone during the second quarter valued at $70,000. Finally, Kelman Lazarov Inc. purchased a new stake in AutoZone in the 2nd quarter worth about $236,000. 92.74% of the stock is owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.
About AutoZone (Get Free Report)
AutoZone, Inc (NYSE: AZO) is a retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, the company supplies a wide range of aftermarket components, maintenance items and accessories for passenger cars, light trucks and commercial vehicles. Its product assortment includes engine parts, electrical components, batteries, brakes, filters, fluids and interior and exterior accessories, supported by inventory management and logistics systems to serve retail customers and professional service providers.
AutoZone serves both do‑it‑yourself (DIY) consumers and commercial customers such as independent repair shops and service centers.
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In the latest close session, AutoZone (AZO - Free Report) was up +1.26% at $3,066.06. The stock exceeded the S&P 500, which registered a loss of 0.17% for the day. On the other hand, the Dow registered a gain of 0.49%, and the technology-centric Nasdaq decreased by 0.83%.
The auto parts retailer's shares have seen a decrease of 1.52% over the last month, not keeping up with the Retail-Wholesale sector's gain of 7.52% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.52%.
The investment community will be paying close attention to the earnings performance of AutoZone in its upcoming release. On that day, AutoZone is projected to report earnings of $55.08 per share, which would represent year-over-year growth of 13.08%. Alongside, our most recent consensus estimate is anticipating revenue of $6.71 billion, indicating a 7.52% upward movement from the same quarter last year.
For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates project earnings of $150.39 per share and a revenue of $20.48 billion, demonstrating changes of +3.81% and +8.13%, respectively, from the preceding year.
Investors should also pay attention to any latest changes in analyst estimates for AutoZone. These revisions help to show the ever-changing nature of near-term business trends. As such, positive estimate revisions reflect analyst optimism about the business and profitability.
Our research shows that these estimate changes are directly correlated with near-term stock prices. To take advantage of this, we've established the Zacks Rank, an exclusive model that considers these estimated changes and delivers an operational rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, spanning from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), boasts an impressive track record of outperformance, audited externally, with #1 ranked stocks yielding an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has shifted 0.08% downward. AutoZone currently has a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
From a valuation perspective, AutoZone is currently exchanging hands at a Forward P/E ratio of 20.13. This expresses a premium compared to the average Forward P/E of 20.07 of its industry.
Investors should also note that AZO has a PEG ratio of 1.54 right now. The PEG ratio is similar to the widely-used P/E ratio, but this metric also takes the company's expected earnings growth rate into account. Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts stocks are, on average, holding a PEG ratio of 1.78 based on yesterday's closing prices.
The Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry is part of the Retail-Wholesale sector. This industry currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 50, which puts it in the top 21% of all 250+ industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the strength of our separate industry groups by calculating the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks contained within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Remember to apply Zacks.com to follow these and more stock-moving metrics during the upcoming trading sessions.
First Trust Advisors LP decreased its holdings in AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE:AZO – Free Report) by 68.3% during the 1st quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the SEC. The fund owned 1,906 shares of the company’s stock after selling 4,110 shares during the quarter. First Trust Advisors LP’s holdings in AutoZone were worth $6,437,000 as of its most recent SEC filing.
Other institutional investors also recently modified their holdings of the company. Morgan Stanley boosted its stake in shares of AutoZone by 17.8% during the 4th quarter. Morgan Stanley now owns 492,794 shares of the company’s stock worth $1,671,323,000 after acquiring an additional 74,555 shares in the last quarter. Price T Rowe Associates Inc. MD raised its position in shares of AutoZone by 1.9% during the fourth quarter. Price T Rowe Associates Inc. MD now owns 387,042 shares of the company’s stock worth $1,312,654,000 after purchasing an additional 7,390 shares during the period. Norges Bank purchased a new stake in shares of AutoZone during the fourth quarter valued at $939,205,000. First Manhattan CO. LLC. lifted its holdings in shares of AutoZone by 2.7% during the fourth quarter. First Manhattan CO. LLC. now owns 261,314 shares of the company’s stock valued at $886,246,000 after purchasing an additional 6,765 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Northern Trust Corp boosted its position in shares of AutoZone by 1.2% in the 3rd quarter. Northern Trust Corp now owns 189,789 shares of the company’s stock valued at $814,240,000 after purchasing an additional 2,333 shares during the period. Institutional investors own 92.74% of the company’s stock.
AutoZone Stock Performance Shares of AZO opened at $3,024.42 on Monday. The company has a market capitalization of $49.39 billion, a PE ratio of 20.79, a PEG ratio of 1.53 and a beta of 0.33. The company’s 50 day moving average price is $3,069.68 and its 200 day moving average price is $3,392.87. AutoZone, Inc. has a 52 week low of $2,902.20 and a 52 week high of $4,388.11.
AutoZone (NYSE:AZO – Get Free Report) last issued its earnings results on Tuesday, May 26th. The company reported $38.07 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $36.22 by $1.85. AutoZone had a net margin of 12.40% and a negative return on equity of 80.35%. The company had revenue of $4.84 billion during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $4.86 billion. During the same quarter last year, the business posted $35.36 EPS. The company’s revenue for the quarter was up 8.4% on a year-over-year basis. On average, equities analysts forecast that AutoZone, Inc. will post 150.39 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
AutoZone announced that its board has initiated a share buyback plan on Tuesday, June 16th that allows the company to repurchase $1.50 billion in shares. This repurchase authorization allows the company to purchase up to 3% of its stock through open market purchases. Stock repurchase plans are usually a sign that the company’s leadership believes its shares are undervalued.
Wall Street Analyst Weigh In Several research firms have issued reports on AZO. BMO Capital Markets cut their price objective on AutoZone from $4,300.00 to $4,000.00 and set an “outperform” rating on the stock in a report on Wednesday, May 27th. DA Davidson decreased their target price on shares of AutoZone from $4,300.00 to $3,750.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a report on Wednesday, May 27th. Robert W. Baird dropped their target price on shares of AutoZone from $3,900.00 to $3,600.00 and set a “neutral” rating on the stock in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. BNP Paribas Exane cut their price target on shares of AutoZone from $4,478.00 to $3,979.00 and set an “outperform” rating on the stock in a report on Wednesday, May 27th. Finally, Citigroup reduced their price target on shares of AutoZone from $4,300.00 to $3,700.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, twenty have given a Buy rating and six have assigned a Hold rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, the company presently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $4,040.87.
Get Our Latest Report on AutoZone
Insider Transactions at AutoZone In other news, Director Brian Hannasch bought 165 shares of the stock in a transaction on Friday, May 29th. The shares were purchased at an average price of $2,987.00 per share, for a total transaction of $492,855.00. Following the completion of the purchase, the director directly owned 1,219 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $3,641,153. This trade represents a 15.65% increase in their position. The purchase was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through this link. Insiders own 2.60% of the company’s stock.
AutoZone Company Profile (Free Report)
AutoZone, Inc (NYSE: AZO) is a retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, the company supplies a wide range of aftermarket components, maintenance items and accessories for passenger cars, light trucks and commercial vehicles. Its product assortment includes engine parts, electrical components, batteries, brakes, filters, fluids and interior and exterior accessories, supported by inventory management and logistics systems to serve retail customers and professional service providers.
AutoZone serves both do‑it‑yourself (DIY) consumers and commercial customers such as independent repair shops and service centers.
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AutoZone (AZO - Free Report) closed the most recent trading day at $3,006.57, moving -4.32% from the previous trading session. The stock's change was less than the S&P 500's daily gain of 1.66%. Elsewhere, the Dow saw an upswing of 1.19%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq appreciated by 2.78%.
Heading into today, shares of the auto parts retailer had lost 2.36% over the past month, lagging the Retail-Wholesale sector's gain of 0.61% and the S&P 500's loss of 1.49%.
The upcoming earnings release of AutoZone will be of great interest to investors. It is anticipated that the company will report an EPS of $55.08, marking a 13.08% rise compared to the same quarter of the previous year. At the same time, our most recent consensus estimate is projecting a revenue of $6.71 billion, reflecting a 7.52% rise from the equivalent quarter last year.
Regarding the entire year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates forecast earnings of $150.39 per share and revenue of $20.48 billion, indicating changes of +3.81% and +8.13%, respectively, compared to the previous year.
Any recent changes to analyst estimates for AutoZone should also be noted by investors. These revisions help to show the ever-changing nature of near-term business trends. Hence, positive alterations in estimates signify analyst optimism regarding the business and profitability.
Our research reveals that these estimate alterations are directly linked with the stock price performance in the near future. We developed the Zacks Rank to capitalize on this phenomenon. Our system takes these estimate changes into account and delivers a clear, actionable rating model.
The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive outside-audited track record of outperformance, with #1 stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Within the past 30 days, our consensus EPS projection has moved 0.08% lower. Currently, AutoZone is carrying a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
Looking at its valuation, AutoZone is holding a Forward P/E ratio of 20.89. This valuation marks a premium compared to its industry average Forward P/E of 20.38.
Also, we should mention that AZO has a PEG ratio of 1.6. The PEG ratio is akin to the commonly utilized P/E ratio, but this measure also incorporates the company's anticipated earnings growth rate. Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts stocks are, on average, holding a PEG ratio of 1.8 based on yesterday's closing prices.
The Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry is part of the Retail-Wholesale sector. This group has a Zacks Industry Rank of 46, putting it in the top 19% of all 250+ industries.
The strength of our individual industry groups is measured by the Zacks Industry Rank, which is calculated based on the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within these groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Don't forget to use Zacks.com to keep track of all these stock-moving metrics, and others, in the upcoming trading sessions.
Investors in AutoZone, Inc. (AZO - Free Report) need to pay close attention to the stock based on moves in the options market lately. That is because the Sept. 18, 2026 $2100.00 Call had some of the highest implied volatility of all equity options today.
What is Implied Volatility?Implied volatility shows how much movement the market is expecting in the future. Options with high levels of implied volatility suggest that investors in the underlying stocks are expecting a big move in one direction or the other. It could also mean there is an event coming up soon that may cause a big rally or a huge sell-off. However, implied volatility is only one piece of the puzzle when putting together an options trading strategy.
What do the Analysts Think?Clearly, options traders are pricing in a big move for AutoZone shares, but what is the fundamental picture for the company? Currently, AutoZone is a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) in the Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry that ranks in the Top 12% of our Zacks Industry Rank. Over the last 60 days, five analysts have increased their earnings estimates for the current quarter, while three have dropped their estimates. The net effect has taken our Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current quarter from $55.21 per share to $55.34 in that period.
Given the way analysts feel about AutoZone right now, this huge implied volatility could mean there’s a trade developing. Oftentimes, options traders look for options with high levels of implied volatility to sell premium. This is a strategy many seasoned traders use because it captures decay. At expiration, the hope for these traders is that the underlying stock does not move as much as originally expected.
The recommendations of Wall Street analysts are often relied on by investors when deciding whether to buy, sell, or hold a stock. Media reports about these brokerage-firm-employed (or sell-side) analysts changing their ratings often affect a stock's price. Do they really matter, though?
Let's take a look at what these Wall Street heavyweights have to say about AutoZone (AZO - Free Report) before we discuss the reliability of brokerage recommendations and how to use them to your advantage.
AutoZone currently has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.45, on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell), calculated based on the actual recommendations (Buy, Hold, Sell, etc.) made by 28 brokerage firms. An ABR of 1.45 approximates between Strong Buy and Buy.
Of the 28 recommendations that derive the current ABR, 21 are Strong Buy and one is Buy. Strong Buy and Buy respectively account for 75% and 3.6% of all recommendations.
Brokerage Recommendation Trends for AZO
Check price target & stock forecast for AutoZone here>>>
While the ABR calls for buying AutoZone, it may not be wise to make an investment decision solely based on this information. Several studies have shown limited to no success of brokerage recommendations in guiding investors to pick stocks with the best price increase potential.
Are you wondering why? The vested interest of brokerage firms in a stock they cover often results in a strong positive bias of their analysts in rating it. Our research shows that for every "Strong Sell" recommendation, brokerage firms assign five "Strong Buy" recommendations.
In other words, their interests aren't always aligned with retail investors, rarely indicating where the price of a stock could actually be heading. Therefore, the best use of this information could be validating your own research or an indicator that has proven to be highly successful in predicting a stock's price movement.
Zacks Rank, our proprietary stock rating tool with an impressive externally audited track record, categorizes stocks into five groups, ranging from Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), and is an effective indicator of a stock's price performance in the near future. Therefore, using the ABR to validate the Zacks Rank could be an efficient way of making a profitable investment decision.
Zacks Rank Should Not Be Confused With ABRAlthough both Zacks Rank and ABR are displayed in a range of 1--5, they are different measures altogether.
Broker recommendations are the sole basis for calculating the ABR, which is typically displayed in decimals (such as 1.28). The Zacks Rank, on the other hand, is a quantitative model designed to harness the power of earnings estimate revisions. It is displayed in whole numbers -- 1 to 5.
It has been and continues to be the case that analysts employed by brokerage firms are overly optimistic with their recommendations. Because of their employers' vested interests, these analysts issue more favorable ratings than their research would support, misguiding investors far more often than helping them.
On the other hand, earnings estimate revisions are at the core of the Zacks Rank. And empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements.
In addition, the different Zacks Rank grades are applied proportionately to all stocks for which brokerage analysts provide current-year earnings estimates. In other words, this tool always maintains a balance among its five ranks.
Another key difference between the ABR and Zacks Rank is freshness. The ABR is not necessarily up-to-date when you look at it. But, since brokerage analysts keep revising their earnings estimates to account for a company's changing business trends, and their actions get reflected in the Zacks Rank quickly enough, it is always timely in indicating future price movements.
Is AZO a Good Investment?In terms of earnings estimate revisions for AutoZone, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has remained unchanged over the past month at $150.51.
Analysts' steady views regarding the company's earnings prospects, as indicated by an unchanged consensus estimate, could be a legitimate reason for the stock to perform in line with the broader market in the near term.
The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for AutoZone. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>>
It may therefore be prudent to be a little cautious with the Buy-equivalent ABR for AutoZone.
ABN Amro Investment Solutions lowered its holdings in AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE:AZO – Free Report) by 7.1% during the first quarter, according to the company in its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The firm owned 15,442 shares of the company’s stock after selling 1,180 shares during the quarter. ABN Amro Investment Solutions owned 0.09% of AutoZone worth $52,160,000 at the end of the most recent quarter.
Other hedge funds and other institutional investors have also recently added to or reduced their stakes in the company. Turning Point Benefit Group Inc. bought a new stake in AutoZone in the third quarter valued at $25,000. Torren Management LLC bought a new position in AutoZone during the 4th quarter valued at about $27,000. Transamerica Financial Advisors LLC lifted its holdings in AutoZone by 100.0% during the 4th quarter. Transamerica Financial Advisors LLC now owns 8 shares of the company’s stock valued at $28,000 after purchasing an additional 4 shares during the last quarter. MCF Advisors LLC boosted its position in AutoZone by 50.0% in the fourth quarter. MCF Advisors LLC now owns 9 shares of the company’s stock valued at $31,000 after buying an additional 3 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Bard Associates Inc. acquired a new position in AutoZone in the fourth quarter valued at about $31,000. Institutional investors own 92.74% of the company’s stock.
Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades Several research firms have recently weighed in on AZO. Guggenheim dropped their price objective on shares of AutoZone from $4,400.00 to $4,000.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a report on Wednesday, May 27th. DA Davidson decreased their price target on AutoZone from $4,300.00 to $3,750.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. Citigroup dropped their price target on AutoZone from $4,300.00 to $3,700.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a report on Wednesday, May 27th. Robert W. Baird reduced their price objective on AutoZone from $3,900.00 to $3,600.00 and set a “neutral” rating on the stock in a research note on Wednesday, May 27th. Finally, Truist Financial set a $3,700.00 target price on AutoZone in a report on Wednesday, May 27th. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, twenty have given a Buy rating and six have assigned a Hold rating to the company’s stock. According to MarketBeat, the stock presently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $4,040.87.
View Our Latest Stock Report on AZO
AutoZone Price Performance Shares of NYSE:AZO opened at $3,009.58 on Wednesday. The stock has a market cap of $49.13 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.69, a P/E/G ratio of 1.52 and a beta of 0.33. The company has a 50 day moving average of $3,125.74 and a 200-day moving average of $3,410.91. AutoZone, Inc. has a one year low of $2,928.11 and a one year high of $4,388.11.
AutoZone (NYSE:AZO – Get Free Report) last announced its quarterly earnings data on Tuesday, May 26th. The company reported $38.07 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $36.22 by $1.85. The firm had revenue of $4.84 billion for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $4.86 billion. AutoZone had a net margin of 12.40% and a negative return on equity of 80.35%. The business’s revenue for the quarter was up 8.4% on a year-over-year basis. During the same period last year, the firm earned $35.36 earnings per share. Equities research analysts anticipate that AutoZone, Inc. will post 150.51 earnings per share for the current year.
AutoZone declared that its Board of Directors has initiated a share buyback plan on Tuesday, June 16th that permits the company to buyback $1.50 billion in shares. This buyback authorization permits the company to reacquire up to 3% of its stock through open market purchases. Stock buyback plans are typically an indication that the company’s board believes its shares are undervalued.
Insider Buying and Selling In related news, Director Brian Hannasch bought 165 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction on Friday, May 29th. The shares were purchased at an average price of $2,987.00 per share, with a total value of $492,855.00. Following the completion of the purchase, the director owned 1,219 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $3,641,153. This represents a 15.65% increase in their position. The acquisition was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is available at this hyperlink. Corporate insiders own 2.60% of the company’s stock.
About AutoZone (Free Report)
AutoZone, Inc (NYSE: AZO) is a retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, the company supplies a wide range of aftermarket components, maintenance items and accessories for passenger cars, light trucks and commercial vehicles. Its product assortment includes engine parts, electrical components, batteries, brakes, filters, fluids and interior and exterior accessories, supported by inventory management and logistics systems to serve retail customers and professional service providers.
AutoZone serves both do‑it‑yourself (DIY) consumers and commercial customers such as independent repair shops and service centers.
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AutoZone (AZO - Free Report) has recently been on Zacks.com's list of the most searched stocks. Therefore, you might want to consider some of the key factors that could influence the stock's performance in the near future.
Shares of this auto parts retailer have returned -0.6% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.6% change. The Zacks Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry, to which AutoZone belongs, has gained 1.4% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term?
Although media reports or rumors about a significant change in a company's business prospects usually cause its stock to trend and lead to an immediate price change, there are always certain fundamental factors that ultimately drive the buy-and-hold decision.
Earnings Estimate RevisionsHere at Zacks, we prioritize appraising the change in the projection of a company's future earnings over anything else. That's because we believe the present value of its future stream of earnings is what determines the fair value for its stock.
Our analysis is essentially based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to take the latest business trends into account. When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock's fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements.
AutoZone is expected to post earnings of $55.34 per share for the current quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +13.6%. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate remained unchanged.
For the current fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $150.51 points to a change of +3.9% from the prior year. Over the last 30 days, this estimate has remained unchanged.
For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $175.75 indicates a change of +16.8% from what AutoZone is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has remained unchanged.
With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is a more conclusive indicator of a stock's near-term price performance, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for AutoZone.
The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:
12 Month EPS
Projected Revenue GrowthEven though a company's earnings growth is arguably the best indicator of its financial health, nothing much happens if it cannot raise its revenues. It's almost impossible for a company to grow its earnings without growing its revenue for long periods. Therefore, knowing a company's potential revenue growth is crucial.
For AutoZone, the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter of $6.71 billion indicates a year-over-year change of +7.5%. For the current and next fiscal years, $20.48 billion and $22.02 billion estimates indicate +8.1% and +7.5% changes, respectively.
Last Reported Results and Surprise HistoryAutoZone reported revenues of $4.84 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +8.4%. EPS of $38.07 for the same period compares with $35.36 a year ago.
Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.86 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of -0.45%. The EPS surprise was +5.22%.
Over the last four quarters, AutoZone surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times. The company topped consensus revenue estimates just once over this period.
ValuationWithout considering a stock's valuation, no investment decision can be efficient. In predicting a stock's future price performance, it's crucial to determine whether its current price correctly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects.
While comparing the current values of a company's valuation multiples, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), with its own historical values helps determine whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of the reasonability of the stock's price.
The Zacks Value Style Score (part of the Zacks Style Scores system), which pays close attention to both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics to grade stocks from A to F (an A is better than a B; a B is better than a C; and so on), is pretty helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.
AutoZone is graded C on this front, indicating that it is trading at par with its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.
Bottom LineThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about AutoZone. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term.
On July 16, 2026, AutoZone Inc (AZO) shares rose 3.1% to a current price of $3062.16, reflecting a slight recovery amid a challenging year where the stock has f
MEMPHIS, Tenn., July 10, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- AutoZone (NYSE: AZO) today announced that Grace Sharpley, Vice President, Merchandising Pricing and Analysis, has been promoted to Senior Vice President, Finance, effective July 10, 2026. Grace will join the Company’s Executive Committee and report to Jamere Jackson, Chief Financial Officer.
Grace is a 12-year AutoZoner who has held several progressive leadership roles during her AutoZone career in Audit, Finance, and as Vice President, Strategy, and Vice President, Merchandising Pricing, and Analysis.
"We are very pleased to announce Grace's promotion and addition to the Executive Committee. Her leadership, expertise, and consistent delivery of strong results position her well to help us drive continued growth at AutoZone," said Phil Daniele, President and Chief Executive Officer.
About AutoZone (NYSE: AZO)
As of May 26, 2026, AutoZone had 6,766 stores in the U.S., 933 in Mexico and 157 in Brazil, for a total store count of 7,856.
AutoZone is a leading retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories in the Americas. Each store carries an extensive product line for cars, sport utility vehicles, vans and light duty trucks, including new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories, and non-automotive products. The majority of stores have a Commercial sales program that provides prompt delivery of parts and other products and Commercial credit to local, regional and national repair garages, dealers, service stations, fleet owners and other accounts. AutoZone also sells automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories and non-automotive products through www.AutoZone.com, and our Commercial customers can make purchases through www.AutoZonePro.com. Additionally, we sell the ALLDATA brand of automotive diagnostic, repair, collision and shop management software through www.ALLDATA.com. We also provide product information on our Duralast-branded products through www.DuralastParts.com. AutoZone does not derive revenue from automotive repair or installation services.
Contact Information:
Financial: Brian Campbell at (901) 495-7005, [email protected]
Media: Jennifer Hughes at (901) 495-6022, [email protected]
AutoZone (AZO - Free Report) has recently been on Zacks.com's list of the most searched stocks. Therefore, you might want to consider some of the key factors that could influence the stock's performance in the near future.
Shares of this auto parts retailer have returned -3.8% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +2.1% change. The Zacks Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry, to which AutoZone belongs, has lost 1.7% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term?
Although media reports or rumors about a significant change in a company's business prospects usually cause its stock to trend and lead to an immediate price change, there are always certain fundamental factors that ultimately drive the buy-and-hold decision.
Earnings Estimate RevisionsHere at Zacks, we prioritize appraising the change in the projection of a company's future earnings over anything else. That's because we believe the present value of its future stream of earnings is what determines the fair value for its stock.
Our analysis is essentially based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to take the latest business trends into account. When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock's fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements.
AutoZone is expected to post earnings of $55.34 per share for the current quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +13.6%. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed +0.1%.
The consensus earnings estimate of $150.51 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of +3.9%. This estimate has changed +0.2% over the last 30 days.
For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $175.75 indicates a change of +16.8% from what AutoZone is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has remained unchanged.
Having a strong externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool, the Zacks Rank, offers a more conclusive picture of a stock's price direction in the near term, since it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. Due to the size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, AutoZone is rated Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:
12 Month EPS
Revenue Growth ForecastWhile earnings growth is arguably the most superior indicator of a company's financial health, nothing happens as such if a business isn't able to grow its revenues. After all, it's nearly impossible for a company to increase its earnings for an extended period without increasing its revenues. So, it's important to know a company's potential revenue growth.
For AutoZone, the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter of $6.71 billion indicates a year-over-year change of +7.5%. For the current and next fiscal years, $20.48 billion and $22.02 billion estimates indicate +8.1% and +7.5% changes, respectively.
Last Reported Results and Surprise HistoryAutoZone reported revenues of $4.84 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +8.4%. EPS of $38.07 for the same period compares with $35.36 a year ago.
Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.86 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of -0.45%. The EPS surprise was +5.22%.
Over the last four quarters, AutoZone surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times. The company topped consensus revenue estimates just once over this period.
ValuationWithout considering a stock's valuation, no investment decision can be efficient. In predicting a stock's future price performance, it's crucial to determine whether its current price correctly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects.
Comparing the current value of a company's valuation multiples, such as its price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), to its own historical values helps ascertain whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, whereas comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of how reasonable its stock price is.
As part of the Zacks Style Scores system, the Zacks Value Style Score (which evaluates both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics) organizes stocks into five groups ranging from A to F (A is better than B; B is better than C; and so on), making it helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.
AutoZone is graded C on this front, indicating that it is trading at par with its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.
ConclusionThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about AutoZone. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term.
A media report that hit the headlines just before the stock market took a break for Independence Day was weighing on investor sentiment toward AutoZone (AZO 6.38%) shares on Monday. The prominent auto retailer's stock fell by more than 6% after a financial news agency reported that two rivals might soon combine.
A Genuine offer? That report, published in Bloomberg and citing unidentified "people familiar with the matter" as sources, said O'Reilly Automotive made a buyout offer for Genuine Parts' auto parts distribution arm. The deal could be valued at $10 billion or more; those sources were not more specific about the financials. They did say it was an all-cash bid.
Image source: Getty Images.
Neither O'Reilly nor Genuine Parts has officially commented on the story.
Genuine Parts is best known for the brand behind the distribution business, Napa. This unit is considerable, with 10,000 retail locations here and abroad, and over $15 billion in sales in 2025, and would be quite the addition for O'Reilly. Earlier this year, Genuine Parts announced it was working with advisors to separate Napa and its industrial parts businesses.
The article's sources said that a potential deal could be announced as early as the end of this summer. There's no guarantee one will happen, however, and Genuine Parts could decide to keep ownership of the distribution unit.
Today's Change
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Moving parts This story is entirely believable, as Genuine Parts as a whole has seen pronounced downward momentum with its share price at times over the past few years. Also, O'Reilly has not been shy about pursuing acquisitions for growth; Bloomberg noted that it spent roughly $1 billion to acquire CSK Auto in 2008.
I always advise against buying or selling a stock on takeover speculation, and that goes for AutoZone, O'Reilly, and Genuine Parts. While this report feels realistic, even if O'Reilly does strike a deal with Genuine Parts, it might encounter legal speedbumps due to antitrust concerns.
Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Genuine Parts. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Americké akciové indexy vykázaly v úvodní seanci po prodlouženém víkendu kladnou bilanci v čele s technologickým Nasdaqem (+1,12 %). Širší index S&P500 přidal 0,72 % a Dow Jones 0,29 %. Mírný zisk registrovaly také dluhopisy vyjma nejdelších maturit. Výnos 10letého vládního bondu se posunul na 4,47 % z pátečních 4,48 %. V červeném uzavřely drahé kovy. Zlato odepsalo 0,3 % na 4162 USD/oz, stříbro končilo slabší o 0,64 % na 62 USD/oz. V energetickém sektoru se dařilo zemnímu plynu, který zpevnil téměř o 1,7 % na 3,25 USD/mmbtu. Ropa končila beze změny na 68,7 USD/barel.
Závěrečné hodnoty:
Index Dow Jones 0,29 % na 53055,91 b.
Index Nasdaq Composite 1,12 % na 26121,16 b.
Index S&P 500 +0,72 % na 7537,43 b.
Nejsilnější sektory S&P Změna Nejslabší sektory S&P Změna Sektor komunikací +1,6 % Zdravotní péče -1,2 % Informační technologie +1,3 % Utility -1,1 % Nezbytná spotřeba +1 % Reality -0,9 % Nejsilnější akcie S&P Změna Nejslabší akcie S&P Změna Arista Networks (ANET) +8,3 % O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) -6,7 % Western Digital (WDC) +7,1 % AutoZone (AZO) -6,4 % Tesla (TSLA) +6,7 % Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE) -5,2 % Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) +6,6 % Constellation Brands (STZ) -4,9 % NetApp (NTAP) +6,1 % Tractor Supply (TSCO) -4,8 % Zdroj: Reuters
Americké akciové indexy se po prodlouženém víkendu, kdy ještě doznívají sváteční konfety, pohybují v kladném teritoriu v čele s technologickým Nasdaqem, který přidává bezmála 1,3 %, širší index S&P500 pak posiluje o 0,7 %. Kosmetický zisk 0,05 % si připisuje též tradiční index Dow Jones.
K růstu se po korekci v minulém týdnu vrátily polovodiče. Referenční Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index zpevňuje téměř o 4 % a sektor informačních technologií jednoznačně dominuje dnešnímu odvětvovému růstu v rámci S&P500 se ziskem 2 %. Jim sekundují komunikační služby (+0,9 %). Naopak sektor zbytných statků, zdravotnictví a utilit vykazuje více než 1% ztrátu.
Po sérii nových historických maxim z prvního pololetí přijde již brzy další test robustnosti trhu v podobě výsledkové sezony. Zejména volatilní polovodičový sektor v poslední době ukazuje, že prostor pro zklamání je omezený. Reportovací období pomyslně odstartují příští úterý přední americké banky.
Smíšeným vývojem dnes prochází dluhopisy. Zatímco kratší maturity lehce zpevňují, delší splatnosti naopak mírně ztrácí. Výnos 10letého vládního bondu se drží těsně nad hladinou 4,48 %. Drahé kovy vykazují ztráty. Zlato odepisuje 0,6 % na 4152 USD/oz, stříbro oslabuje o 1 % na 61,8 USD/oz.
V energetickém sektoru se nedaří ropě, která se obchoduje slabší o 0,6 % na 68,3 USD/barel, zemní plyn naopak přidává 0,9 % na 3,23 USD/mmbtu.
Na korporátní úrovni S&P500 konstituentů si nejlepší výsledek připisují akcie výrobce procesorů a AI akcelerátorů, spol. AMD (AMD +7,9 %) po zvýšeném cíli od Goldman Sachs na 640 z předchozích 450 USD při trvajícím poptávkovém momentu v oblasti AI. Nejhorší výsledek pak registruje prodejce náhradních autodílů, spol. O’Reilly (ORLY -7,2 %) po zprávách o akvizičním zájmu převzít konkurenta NAPA Auto Parts, divize spol. Genuine Parts (GPC), při hotovostní nabídce za více než 10 mld. USD. Nedaří se ani dalšímu z prodejců auto komponent, spol. Autozone (AZO -6,1 %).
Z dalších zajímavých korporátních zpráv pak doplňme oznámení Microsoftu (MSFT -1,2 %) o propuštění 4800 zaměstnanců (2,1 % pracovníků). V polovodičovém segmentu potěšil investory Broadcom (AVGO +4,2 %) po prodloužení obchodní spolupráce s Applem (AAPL) do roku 2031.
Nejsilnější sektory S&P Změna Nejslabší sektory S&P Změna Informační technologie +1,9 % Zbytná spotřeba -1,5 % Sektor komunikací +1 % Zdravotní péče -1,3 % Nezbytná spotřeba +0,8 % Utility -1,2 % Nejsilnější akcie S&P Změna Nejslabší akcie S&P Změna Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) +7,9 % O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) -7,2 % Arista Networks (ANET) +7,7 % AutoZone (AZO) -6,1 % VERTIV HLD A O (VRT) +6,7 % Constellation Brands (STZ) -5,7 % Tesla (TSLA) +6,3 % Tractor Supply (TSCO) -4,9 % QUALCOMM (QCOM) +6,3 % BUILDR FIRST O (BLDR) -4,4 % Zdroj: Reuters
Index Dow Jones -0,1 % na 52848,66 b. S&P 500 +0,44 % na 7516,13 b. Nasdaq Composite +0,91 % na 26067,65 b.
Obchodní den po prodlouženém víkendu začíná smíšeně. Index Dow Jones kosmeticky ztrácí, povedlo se mu ale po otevření poprvé překonat 53000 b. Tahounem indexu s růstem nad 2 % je Caterpillar (2,55 %) a Goldmman Sachs Group (2,41 %).
Z indexu S&P 500 posilují zejména informační technologie, kterých růst se propisuje i do indexu Nasdaq. Nejslabším sektorem je zdravotnictví. Pfizer ztrácí 2,06 %, Eli Lilly odepisuje 1,16 % a Johnson & Johnson klesá o 1,81 %.
Z technologií dnes opět rostou čipové společnosti. Broadcom a AMD posilují o víc, než 6 %, Nvidia se obchoduje na kladné nule.
Microsoft (-1,65 %) se chystá na další vlnu propouštění, která tentokrát zasáhne divize prodeje a Xbox. Celkem se má společnost zeštíhlit o přibližně 2 % pracovní síly, tedy 4 800 míst. Společnost se snaží o zefektivnění nákladů a tlačí na zvyšování efektivity všech divizí. Microsoft zvažuje i změnu struktury herní divize s možným prodejem několika studií.
OPEC o víkendu oznámil záměr zvýšit těžbu černého zlata. V srpnu by se měl objem navýšit o 188 tis barelů denně. Futures kontrakty na WTI reagují mírným poklesem. Aktuálně se barel obchoduje pod USD 69.
Index S&P 500 +0,44 % na 7516,13 b. Nejsilnější sektory S&P Změna Nejslabší sektory S&P Změna Informační technologie +1,6 % Zdravotní péče -1,8 % Průmysl +1,2 % Nezbytná spotřeba -0,8 % Finanční sektor +0,2 % Reality -0,6 % Nejsilnější akcie S&P Změna Nejslabší akcie S&P Změna Western Digital Corp (WDC) +9,0 % O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) -5,2 % Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) +7,5 % AutoZone (AZO) -4,7 % Vertiv Holdings (VRT) +7,4 % Constellation Brands (STZ) -3,8 % Teradyne (TER) +7,1 % SBA Communications Corp (SBAC) -3,7 % GE Vernova (GEV) +6,5 % Genuine Parts (GPC) -3,6 %
Marek Kameništiak
Fio banka, a.s.
Prohlášení
SummaryAutoZone is reiterated as a Buy, supported by resilient performance, aggressive international expansion, and robust investments in hubs and mega-hubs.Q3 FY26 saw solid EPS growth and strong international same-store sales, despite macro headwinds and a minor revenue miss.Elevated CAPEX is driving store growth and inventory proximity, with share buybacks and disciplined capital allocation underpinning EPS growth.Valuation remains attractive, with intrinsic value estimated above current levels, offering a margin of safety for long-term investors. Getty Images
Introduction Back when I first covered AutoZone (AZO), I initiated coverage with a Buy rating, arguing how the “Recent Pullback Creates An Opportunity In A Durable Auto Parts Leader,” highlighting the company’s strong performance and major ongoing expansion
3.14K Followers
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in AZO over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
AutoZone (AZO - Free Report) has been one of the most searched-for stocks on Zacks.com lately. So, you might want to look at some of the facts that could shape the stock's performance in the near term.
Over the past month, shares of this auto parts retailer have returned +1.7%, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -1.4% change. During this period, the Zacks Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry, which AutoZone falls in, has lost 3.7%. The key question now is: What could be the stock's future direction?
Although media reports or rumors about a significant change in a company's business prospects usually cause its stock to trend and lead to an immediate price change, there are always certain fundamental factors that ultimately drive the buy-and-hold decision.
Earnings Estimate RevisionsRather than focusing on anything else, we at Zacks prioritize evaluating the change in a company's earnings projection. This is because we believe the fair value for its stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings.
We essentially look at how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to reflect the impact of the latest business trends. And if earnings estimates go up for a company, the fair value for its stock goes up. A higher fair value than the current market price drives investors' interest in buying the stock, leading to its price moving higher. This is why empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements.
AutoZone is expected to post earnings of $55.34 per share for the current quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +13.6%. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed +0%.
For the current fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $150.51 points to a change of +3.9% from the prior year. Over the last 30 days, this estimate has changed +0.7%.
For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $175.75 indicates a change of +16.8% from what AutoZone is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has remained unchanged.
With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is a more conclusive indicator of a stock's near-term price performance, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for AutoZone.
The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:
12 Month EPS
Revenue Growth ForecastWhile earnings growth is arguably the most superior indicator of a company's financial health, nothing happens as such if a business isn't able to grow its revenues. After all, it's nearly impossible for a company to increase its earnings for an extended period without increasing its revenues. So, it's important to know a company's potential revenue growth.
In the case of AutoZone, the consensus sales estimate of $6.71 billion for the current quarter points to a year-over-year change of +7.5%. The $20.48 billion and $22.02 billion estimates for the current and next fiscal years indicate changes of +8.1% and +7.5%, respectively.
Last Reported Results and Surprise HistoryAutoZone reported revenues of $4.84 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +8.4%. EPS of $38.07 for the same period compares with $35.36 a year ago.
Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.86 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of -0.45%. The EPS surprise was +5.22%.
Over the last four quarters, AutoZone surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times. The company topped consensus revenue estimates just once over this period.
ValuationWithout considering a stock's valuation, no investment decision can be efficient. In predicting a stock's future price performance, it's crucial to determine whether its current price correctly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects.
Comparing the current value of a company's valuation multiples, such as its price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), to its own historical values helps ascertain whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, whereas comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of how reasonable its stock price is.
As part of the Zacks Style Scores system, the Zacks Value Style Score (which evaluates both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics) organizes stocks into five groups ranging from A to F (A is better than B; B is better than C; and so on), making it helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.
AutoZone is graded C on this front, indicating that it is trading at par with its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.
ConclusionThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about AutoZone. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term.
Mid-year is when analysts sharpen their pencils. With Q1 2026 earnings season behind us and fresh full-year models in hand, June has produced a cleaner read on where institutional conviction is building. The pattern this month: defensive cash-flow compounders and a property-and-casualty insurer riding a multi-quarter underwriting recovery. Three names stand out where Wall Street ratings are firmly in the Buy camp and recent earnings results validate the upgrade thesis.
AutoZone (NYSE: AZO) AutoZone (NYSE:AZO | AZO Price Prediction) is the rare situation where the stock has cooled while the fundamentals have heated up. Shares trade at $3,115.63 as of June 24, but that price reflects a 10% year-to-date decline against a Wall Street consensus target of $3,969.38. Analyst alignment is unusually tight: 4 Strong Buy, 17 Buy, 5 Hold, and zero Sell ratings.
The catalyst is Q3 fiscal 2026, reported May 26, 2026. EPS came in at $38.07, beating consensus of $36.17. Revenue of $4.84 billion grew 8% year over year, with domestic same-store sales up 4% and the high-margin commercial business expanding 10% to $1.40 billion. CEO Phil Daniele highlighted an “operating margin north of 19%” while the company repurchased $586.3 million of stock during the quarter.
The bull case is simple: an aging US vehicle fleet, double-digit commercial growth, and a forward P/E of 17 on a defensive cash compounder. The risk: international weakness in Mexico and Brazil and a 77 basis point LIFO drag on gross margin. Next catalyst is the Q4 print on August 25, 2026.
CSW Industrials (NYSE: CSW) CSW Industrials (NYSE:CSW) is the smallest name on this list at roughly $4.44 billion market cap, and arguably the highest-conviction acquisition story. Shares last traded at $279.88, with analysts pointing to a consensus target of $324.57. The ratings split: 2 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 4 Hold, zero Sell.
Q4 fiscal 2026, reported May 26, 2026, was the upgrade trigger. Adjusted EPS of $3.14 crushed the $2.34 consensus. Revenue grew 34% year over year to $308.96 million, and CSW crossed $1 billion in annual revenue for the first time. Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 90 basis points to 27%.
The growth engine is acquisitions. CEO Joseph B. Armes said the company “enter fiscal year 2027 with a cautiously optimistic outlook” and anticipates “meaningful growth in revenue, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EPS, and cash flows.” The Aspen Manufacturing, MARS Parts, and Duckt-Strip deals opened HVAC mini-split and electrical cable adjacencies, contributing 31% inorganic revenue growth.
The caveat is leverage. Net leverage sits at 2.55x after the acquisition push, interest expense swung from $1.62 million income to $11.79 million expense, and the forward P/E of 43 demands continued execution. Q1 FY27 reports July 30, 2026.
Allstate (NYSE: ALL) Allstate (NYSE:ALL) is the cleanest macro story of the three: catastrophe loss normalization meeting aggressive capital return. Shares at $234.29 are now 12% higher year to date and 19% higher over the past year. Forward P/E is just 9.
Q1 2026, reported April 29, delivered EPS of $10.65 versus a $7.25 estimate, a 47% beat. Net income reached $2.43 billion. The Property-Liability combined ratio improved 15.4 points to 82.0 as catastrophe losses fell 44% against the prior-year California wildfire quarter. Homeowners insurance swung to $685 million underwriting profit from a $451 million loss. Book value per share jumped to $114 from $74.61.
Capital return is the kicker. Allstate returned $881 million to shareholders in Q1, on top of a freshly authorized $4.0 billion buyback program and a dividend raise to $1.08 per share quarterly. CEO Tom Wilson credited “Transformative Growth” for market share gains across auto and homeowners.
The risk is hurricane season. Catastrophe results are inherently volatile, and Q1 also included $405 million in net investment losses tied to equity market declines. Q2 reports August 3, 2026.
What to Watch Three different theses, one common thread: each name has a Q2 print landing in roughly five to nine weeks that will either validate or break the upgrade cycle. AutoZone needs continued commercial momentum and any sign of international stabilization. CSW needs organic growth to firm up as acquisitions lap. Allstate needs a quiet hurricane season to compound the buyback math. Mid-year repositioning windows close fast, and the August earnings cluster will reset conviction for the second half.
A month has gone by since the last earnings report for AutoZone (AZO - Free Report) . Shares have added about 2% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.
Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is AutoZone due for a pullback? Well, first let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the recent drivers for AutoZone, Inc. before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late.
AutoZone Q3 Earnings Beat EstimatesAutoZone posted third-quarter fiscal 2026 (ended May 9, 2026) earnings per share of $38.07, topping the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $36.18 by 5.2%. Earnings per share rose 7.7% from $35.36 a year ago.
The company’s net sales increased 8.4% year over year to $4.84 billion, but fell short of the consensus mark of $4.86 billion by about 0.5%. Domestic same-store sales increased 4.1% in the quarter, led by strong commercial momentum.
Sales Growth Accelerates on Commercial MomentumIn the reported quarter, domestic commercial sales totaled $1.4 billion, up from $1.27 billion in the year-ago period. Total sales represented the company’s largest year-over-year growth in more than three years, reflecting faster top-line momentum versus the first half of fiscal 2026. Total company same-store sales rose 3.9% on a constant-currency basis, supported by a 4.1% domestic comp and a 1.6% international comp on the same basis.
The mix of growth also leaned favorably. Domestic do-it-yourself sales rose 2.2% in the quarter, while domestic commercial sales increased 10.4%. The commercial outperformance was driven by better inventory availability at satellite stores, broader Hub and Mega-Hub coverage, and continued gains tied to service speed and delivery improvements.
Profitability Reflects LIFO and Mix PressureGross profit rose to $2.52 billion from $2.35 billion in the prior-year quarter. Gross profit margin was 52.2%, down 57 basis points from the year-ago period. A $20 million non-cash LIFO charge in the quarter, which contrasted with a $16 million LIFO credit in the prior-year quarter, weighed on the year-over-year margin comparison.
Operating profit increased 6.6% to $923.8 million. Operating expenses were 33.1% of sales versus 33.3% last year, indicating modest leverage despite the faster store growth cadence. Net income rose to $641.5 million from $608.4 million a year ago.
Store Growth Push Builds Scale Across RegionsAutoZone continued to add stores at a faster pace. During the quarter, it opened 82 new stores globally, including 57 in the United States, 20 in Mexico and five in Brazil. Total store count ended at 7,856, consisting of 6,766 in the United States, 933 in Mexico and 157 in Brazil.
The company continues to expand its commercial footprint. Mega-Hubs acted as a key driver of improved parts availability, as these locations typically carry a significantly broader SKU count and can lift both commercial and retail demand by shortening delivery times in local markets.
Capital Returns Remain a Key FeatureShare repurchases stayed sizable in the quarter. AutoZone bought back 164,000 shares for $586.3 million at an average price of $3,582 per share, ending the period with $0.8 billion remaining under its current authorization.
Liquidity remained solid alongside a leveraged balance sheet structure typical of the company’s capital strategy. Cash and cash equivalents were $253.7 million as of May 9, 2026, while total debt stood at $9.02 billion, down from $8.8 billion as of May 10, 2025. The company reported a leverage ratio of 2.5x EBITDAR.
Inventory Position Tracks Growth and InflationInventory continued to build as the company invests to support growth initiatives and new stores. Merchandise inventories rose 10.8% year over year to $7.56 billion. Inventory per store increased to $962,000 from $908,000 in the year-ago quarter.
Net inventory, defined as merchandise inventory less accounts payable, remained negative on a per-store basis. Net inventory per store was negative $107,000 compared with negative $142,000 last year, while accounts payable as a percentage of inventory was 111.1% compared with 115.6% a year ago.
Q4 Commentary Centers on Inflation and LIFOThe company expects inflation and ticket growth to moderate in the fourth quarter versus the third quarter, with commentary pointing to a mid-4% range for ticket trends as the company laps higher inflation from the prior year. It also expects a planned non-cash LIFO charge of approximately $30 million for the fourth quarter, which would pressure gross margin and earnings per share versus a more favorable prior-year LIFO comparison.
The company expects weather-related softness late in the quarter, affecting certain heat-driven categories, while reiterating confidence in summer performance given ongoing execution initiatives. Internationally, the company expects a softer macro environment in Mexico and Brazil, with expectations for constant-currency same-store sales in a range similar to the third quarter.
How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?It turns out, estimates review have trended upward during the past month.
VGM ScoresCurrently, AutoZone has a average Growth Score of C, however its Momentum Score is doing a lot better with an A. However, the stock was allocated a grade of C on the value side, putting it in the middle 20% for this investment strategy.
Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of B. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.
OutlookEstimates have been broadly trending upward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions looks promising. Interestingly, AutoZone has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.
On June 17, 2026, we present a DCF analysis for AutoZone Inc AZO , a company that has experienced a challenging price performance recently, with a year-to-date decline of 7.8% and a one-year drop of 13.2%. Below are key highlights from our analysis:
DCF Earnings-based intrinsic value of $3817.47 per share compared to the current price of $3127.79, indicating a margin of safety of 18.1%. DCF FCF-based intrinsic value of $2184.44 per share suggests a modestly overvalued status with a margin of safety of -43.2%. GF Score™ of 93/100 indicates strong reliability of the DCF inputs, suggesting solid financial health and performance potential. What Is AZO Worth? DCF Earnings-Based Model The DCF earnings-based model for AutoZone Inc AZO utilizes a two-stage approach to estimate the intrinsic value of the stock. The first stage reflects a high growth phase, while the second stage accounts for a more stable growth period.
Parameter Value Current EPS (TTM, excl. non-recurring) $145.45 10-Year Growth Rate 17.4% 10-Year Treasury Rate 4.43% Discount Rate (ceil(Treasury) + 6%) 11% Terminal Growth Rate 4% In the first stage, we assume that EPS will grow at a rate of 17.4% per year for the next 10 years, discounted at a rate of 11%. The second stage assumes a terminal growth rate of 4% for the following 10 years, also discounted at 11%. Below is a summary of the calculations:
Stage Description Value Growth Stage (Years 1-10) EPS growing at 17.4%, discounted at 11% $2005.52 Terminal Stage (Years 11-20) 4% terminal growth, discounted at 11% $1811.95 Intrinsic Value Growth + Terminal $3817.47 With a current price of $3127.79 and an intrinsic value of $3817.47, AutoZone appears to be modestly undervalued with a margin of safety of 18.1%. It is important to note that GuruFocus uses EPS without non-recurring items, as research indicates that stock prices correlate more closely with earnings than with free cash flow. For further details, you can access the AZO DCF Calculator.
What Does the Free Cash Flow DCF Say? The free cash flow (FCF) based intrinsic value for AutoZone is calculated to be $2184.44 per share. When comparing this with the earnings-based intrinsic value of $3817.47, there is a significant discrepancy. The FCF model indicates that AutoZone is modestly overvalued, with a margin of safety of -43.2%.
How Does GF Value™ Compare to the DCF Models? The GF Value™ for AutoZone is calculated at $3689.05, providing a third perspective on the valuation. GF Value™ is GuruFocus' proprietary measure derived from historical trading multiples, past business growth, and future performance estimates. Comparing all three models, the earnings-based DCF suggests undervaluation, the FCF-based DCF indicates overvaluation, and GF Value™ suggests a slight undervaluation. For more insights, visit the GF Value™ page.
What Does AZO's GF Score™ Tell Us? The GF Score™ ranks stocks from 0 to 100 based on five key aspects: Financial Strength, Profitability, Growth, Valuation, and Momentum. Stocks with higher GF Score™ values have historically generated higher long-term returns (backtested from 2006-2021).
Metric Rating GF Score™ 93/100 Financial Strength 5/10 Profitability 10/10 Growth 10/10 Valuation 10/10 Momentum 4/10 With a predictability rank of 2/5 stars, it is important to note that higher predictability ratings generally enhance the reliability of the DCF model for this stock. For more information, visit the AZO stock page.
Key Assumptions and Limitations It is essential to recognize that DCF models are highly sensitive to the assumptions made regarding growth rates and discount rates. Stocks with low predictability ratings tend to produce less reliable DCF estimates. The terminal growth rate of 4% is a simplifying assumption that may not reflect actual future performance.
What This Means for Investors In synthesizing the three valuation models—DCF earnings, DCF FCF, and GF Value™—the overall verdict for AutoZone Inc AZO is mixed. While the earnings-based DCF suggests the stock is modestly undervalued, the FCF model indicates it is overvalued, and GF Value™ suggests a slight undervaluation. Overall, investors should consider these varying perspectives before making investment decisions. For the full DCF analysis, visit the AZO DCF Calculator. You can also explore the GF Value™ page, or use the GuruFocus Stock Screener to find undervalued predictable companies.
Frequently Asked Questions What is AZO's intrinsic value based on DCF?
This stock alert was generated using automated technology and GuruFocus financial data to provide readers with timely and accurate market reporting. This content was reviewed by GuruFocus editorial team prior to publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].
MEMPHIS, Tenn., June 16, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE: AZO), today, announced its Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of an additional $1.5 billion of the Company’s common stock in connection with its ongoing share repurchase program. Since the inception of the repurchase program in 1998, and including the above amount, AutoZone’s Board of Directors has authorized $42.2 billion in share repurchases.
“Our disciplined capital allocation approach continues to allow us to generate strong free cash flow, invest in growth, and increase our share buyback authorization while maintaining investment grade credit ratings,” said Jamere Jackson, Chief Financial Officer.
About AutoZone:
As of May 26, 2026, AutoZone had 6,766 stores in the U.S., 933 in Mexico and 157 in Brazil, for a total store count of 7,856.
AutoZone is a leading retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories in the Americas. Each store carries an extensive product line for cars, sport utility vehicles, vans and light duty trucks, including new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories, and non-automotive products. The majority of stores have a Commercial sales program that provides prompt delivery of parts and other products and Commercial credit to local, regional and national repair garages, dealers, service stations, fleet owners and other accounts. AutoZone also sells automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories and non-automotive products through www.AutoZone.com, and our Commercial customers can make purchases through www.AutoZonePro.com. Additionally, we sell the ALLDATA brand of automotive diagnostic, repair, collision and shop management software through www.ALLDATA.com. We also provide product information on our Duralast-branded products through www.DuralastParts.com. AutoZone does not derive revenue from automotive repair or installation services.
AutoZone (AZO - Free Report) is one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com visitors lately. So, it might be a good idea to review some of the factors that might affect the near-term performance of the stock.
Shares of this auto parts retailer have returned -6.2% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.5% change. The Zacks Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry, to which AutoZone belongs, has lost 1.7% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term?
Although media reports or rumors about a significant change in a company's business prospects usually cause its stock to trend and lead to an immediate price change, there are always certain fundamental factors that ultimately drive the buy-and-hold decision.
Earnings Estimate RevisionsRather than focusing on anything else, we at Zacks prioritize evaluating the change in a company's earnings projection. This is because we believe the fair value for its stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings.
We essentially look at how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to reflect the impact of the latest business trends. And if earnings estimates go up for a company, the fair value for its stock goes up. A higher fair value than the current market price drives investors' interest in buying the stock, leading to its price moving higher. This is why empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements.
For the current quarter, AutoZone is expected to post earnings of $55.27 per share, indicating a change of +13.5% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed +0.3% over the last 30 days.
For the current fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $150.45 points to a change of +3.9% from the prior year. Over the last 30 days, this estimate has changed +1%.
For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $175.69 indicates a change of +16.8% from what AutoZone is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed +0.3%.
Having a strong externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool, the Zacks Rank, offers a more conclusive picture of a stock's price direction in the near term, since it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. Due to the size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, AutoZone is rated Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:
12 Month EPS
Revenue Growth ForecastWhile earnings growth is arguably the most superior indicator of a company's financial health, nothing happens as such if a business isn't able to grow its revenues. After all, it's nearly impossible for a company to increase its earnings for an extended period without increasing its revenues. So, it's important to know a company's potential revenue growth.
In the case of AutoZone, the consensus sales estimate of $6.71 billion for the current quarter points to a year-over-year change of +7.5%. The $20.48 billion and $22.02 billion estimates for the current and next fiscal years indicate changes of +8.1% and +7.5%, respectively.
Last Reported Results and Surprise HistoryAutoZone reported revenues of $4.84 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +8.4%. EPS of $38.07 for the same period compares with $35.36 a year ago.
Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.86 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of -0.45%. The EPS surprise was +5.22%.
Over the last four quarters, AutoZone surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times. The company topped consensus revenue estimates just once over this period.
ValuationWithout considering a stock's valuation, no investment decision can be efficient. In predicting a stock's future price performance, it's crucial to determine whether its current price correctly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects.
Comparing the current value of a company's valuation multiples, such as its price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), to its own historical values helps ascertain whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, whereas comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of how reasonable its stock price is.
As part of the Zacks Style Scores system, the Zacks Value Style Score (which evaluates both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics) organizes stocks into five groups ranging from A to F (A is better than B; B is better than C; and so on), making it helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.
AutoZone is graded C on this front, indicating that it is trading at par with its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.
Bottom LineThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about AutoZone. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term.
AutoZone, Inc. remains a long-term compounder despite recent margin pressure, slower EPS growth, and a pullback to $3,000. AZO's Q3 saw record sales of $4.84 billion (+8.5% YoY), positive comps, and EPS of $38.07, but gross margin fell 57 bps to 52.2%. Buybacks remain a key value driver, with 164,000 shares repurchased this quarter and only 16.4 million shares outstanding.
AutoZone NYSE: AZO is a buy-and-hold quality stock nearly beyond compare. The company’s management, strategy, market position, market trends, operational quality, cash flow, and capital returns are a recipe for ever-growing value, as reflected in the long-term price action. AZO’s stock price advanced approximately 500% from the pandemic low to the 2025 peak, and additional highs are still likely in 2026.
AutoZone Today
$3,070.69 -10.93 (-0.35%)
As of 10:26 AM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.
52-Week Range$2,928.11▼
$4,388.11P/E Ratio21.13
Price Target$4,040.87
The takeaway in 2026 is that the AZO market is experiencing a much-needed price correction and setting up a buying opportunity of generational proportions. It may take some time for AZO’s market to regain traction and resume its uptrend, but it will, and when it does, the gains could be explosive. Catalysts include international expansion, market share gains, business optimization, and aggressive share buybacks.
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The company is expanding aggressively in Latin America, specifically in Mexico and Brazil, where middle-class expansion is fastest. Meanwhile, the company also focuses on capturing the fragmented commercial auto parts markets and driving supply chain efficiency through digitization. The critical factors are earnings growth, cash flow, and aggressive share buybacks. The company is well regarded as an efficient steward of capital, reducing its share count significantly on both a quarterly and an annual basis. Q1 activity amounted to $586 million, about 92% of operating profits, reducing the count by an average of 2% on a trailing 12-month (TTM) basis.
Mixed Results Favor AutoZone InvestorsAutoZone reported a mixed quarter with revenue for its fiscal Q3 2026 falling short of the consensus estimate. However, the $20 million miss was slim and easily overlooked in light of the 8.5% growth and margin strength. Revenue growth was underpinned by increases in store count in the U.S., Mexico, and Brazil, compounded by a 3.9% systemwide comp. Comps rose by 4.1% domestically and 1.6% internationally, below expectations but still a healthy gain.
Margin news was also mixed, which was central to the stock price decline. However, the gross margin reduction and overall impact are less than feared, leaving operating profit up approximately 6.5% year over year and GAAP earnings per share well ahead of the consensus forecast. At $38.07, GAAP earnings were nearly $2 above expectations and 5.5% better than expectations, sufficient to sustain operations and capital returns while enabling strategy execution.
AutoZone’s balance sheet provides no red flags. The company’s cash balance held relatively steady despite the increased investment and robust capital return. Other highlights include increased inventory and total assets, and a reduction in deficit. Normally a problem, the shareholder deficit results from share buybacks and is likely to persist over time. AutoZone has returned more than $12.5 billion to investors over the past decade, approximately 25% of its late-May market cap.
AutoZone Market Over Reacts to Results: Deepens Value OpportunityAutoZone Stock Forecast Today12-Month Stock Price Forecast:
$4,040.87
30.92% Upside
Moderate Buy
Based on 27 Analyst Ratings
Current Price$3,086.55High Forecast$4,800.00Average Forecast$4,040.87Low Forecast$3,200.00AutoZone Stock Forecast Details
Analyst trends have contributed to AutoZone’s 2026 stock price weakness, as some price targets were reduced early in the year. The caveat is that this market overreacted to the adjustment, compounding the move in late May after the fiscal Q3 release.
Trading near $3,000, AZO stock is 20% below the lowest price target tracked, while analyst consensus forecasts more than 40% upside. The likely result is that AZO reaches bottom sometime in late Q2 or early Q3, and begins to regain traction later in the year.
Institutional trends are among the reasons why the AZO stock price is nearing its bottom. The institutional group owns approximately 93% of the shares and has accumulated on a TTM basis.
Price action in late May has entered the range where institutional buying was strongest, suggesting a robust response from this group is forthcoming. If not, AZO’s stock price could enter a sustained downtrend, but that is not indicated by the results, analysts' trends, or chart price action.
The chart price action reveals a mid-term downtrend, with an increasingly strong chance of a rebound. While price action moves lower, the MACD is diverging, and the stochastic is deeply oversold, suggesting bears have lost control and all the bulls need is a trigger to start buying. That could be as simple as the valuation, which suggests a 50% discount to the five-year outlook, but may require more tangible news, which may not be revealed until the company's fiscal Q4 earnings results are released.
The biggest risk for AutoZone this year is margin compression. While the impacts of aggressive expansion are manageable, produce results, and will slow over time, rising costs are more of a concern and may continue eroding results. The question is whether efficiencies gained from the “Mega Hub” strategy will be enough to support margin recovery over time.
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AutoZone Inc. on Tuesday recorded its worst trading day in more than four years despite the retailer beating Wall Street's estimates for its third-quarter fiscal results.
AutoZone stock closed off 9%, marking its worst decline since a 9.5% fall on May 18, 2022. Shares continued to fall during after-hours trading.
The company reported earnings per share of $38.07 for its latest fiscal quarter compared with $36.28 per share expected, according to average estimates compiled by LSEG. Its $4.84 billion in revenue was in line with LSEG estimates of $4.83 billion. The company's fiscal quarter ended May 9.
Analysts on the company's quarterly call Tuesday were concerned about lackluster growth internationally and margin compression that was more in line with competitors. They also questioned slowing sales year over year, which the company said was due to cooler weather.
"This slowdown in sales was caused by unseasonably cool weather impacting our heat-related categories, which normally begin to ramp this time of year as summer heat begins to take hold," AutoZone CEO Philip Daniele said Tuesday.
Auto parts stocks
Wall Street analysts also questioned executives Tuesday about continued pressures on the business from inflation, energy costs and potential supply chain disruptions caused by the Iran war, specifically possible shortages of motor oil.
AutoZone executives said they expect inflationary pressures to continue but be "slightly muted" due to year-over-year comparisons. They also weren't overly concerned about potential problems with supplies of lubricants such as motor oil that are reportedly impacting dealer operations at Toyota Motor and Nissan Motor.
"The issue around lubricants, I know there's a lot of noise out there. We're going to leave that up to the oil specialists to really say what that means. We think there's probably going to be some constraints, but we don't think that it's going to be that material," Daniele said.
Automotive website The Drive reported both Nissan and Toyota have recently issued service bulletins to dealers with instructions on rationing motor oil stocks due to an impending shortage.
A Toyota spokesman said the company has "nothing more to add on this issue at this time." A spokeswoman for Nissan said the automaker "is navigating supplier constraints affecting lubricant availability."
"Currently, we are maintaining current pricing and have implemented temporary allocation measures to help ensure consistent supply across our dealer network. We're also working with supplier partners to identify additional sourcing. Our priority remains supporting our dealers to ensure an exceptional customer experience," the Nissan spokeswoman said in an emailed statement.
AutoZone (AZO 0.40%) stock is getting hit with a big sell-off in Tuesday's trading. The company's share price was down 9.6% as of 2:45 p.m. ET.
Before the market opened this morning, AutoZone published results for the third quarter of its current fiscal year -- a period that ended May 9. While the company posted a significant earnings beat in the quarter, sales fell short of the average analyst estimate.
Image source: Getty Images.
AutoZone's Q3 earnings beat wasn't enough for investors AutoZone posted earnings per share of $38.07 on revenue of $4.84 billion in fiscal Q3. While the company's per-share profit topped the average analyst forecast by roughly $1.90, sales for the period came in $20 million below the average forecast.
Despite the overall earnings beat, there were some concerning elements when it came to the broader margins picture. AutoZone recorded a gross margin of 52.2% in the quarter -- down 57 basis points from the margin it posted in last year's quarter.
Today's Change
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-12.23
Current Price
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3069.39
What's next for AutoZone? AutoZone is guiding for the opening of roughly 160 new stores this quarter -- up from 121 openings in last year's quarter. The performance is projected to bring total new global store openings to roughly 365 for the fiscal year, and expansion momentum continues to look encouraging. On the other hand, the company is facing some near-term earnings pressures that extend beyond location expansion.
In its fiscal Q3 report, AutoZone said it expected last-in, first-out accounting dynamics to create a roughly $30 million headwind to earnings before interest and taxes and a roughly $1.40 headwind to earnings per share. While overall momentum for the business continues to look solid, investors are bristling in response to some margin declines and a softer near-term earnings outlook.
Keith Noonan has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.