Broadcom uzavřel s japonskou společností NTT DOCOMO desetiletou smlouvu na licence VMware, údržbu a technickou podporu pro privátní cloud připravený na umělou inteligenci. Finanční podmínky nebyly zveřejněny.
Semiconductor and infrastructure-software giant Broadcom
AVGO -0.48% 98
secured a 10-year VMware agreement with Japan's NTT DOCOMO, extending a major customer relationship. Shares traded at $326.075 on October 23, up approximately 0.88% at 10.45am EST on Friday. The investor question is straightforward: how much earnings power does that decade-long commitment bring?
The agreement covers software licenses, maintenance and technical support. Broadcom's announcement describes a relationship dating to 2019, with VMware Cloud Foundation underpinning DOCOMO's private cloud. The companies plan to improve reliability, security and deployment speed while preparing the platform for AI workloads. Financial terms were not disclosed, leaving investors without an annual contract value or a clear measure of its profit contribution.
The valuation snapshot puts Broadcom 24.74% below its $433.26 GF Value estimate, suggesting potential undervaluation rather than guaranteed upside. DOCOMO's commitment strengthens the customer-retention case for VMware, but contract length alone cannot establish attractive economics. The next proof points are infrastructure-software growth, cash generation and the cost of delivering support over ten years. AI readiness adds opportunity; meaningful incremental revenue still needs to follow.
Bank Pictet & Cie Europe AG boosted its stake in Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO – Free Report) by 0.9% in the third quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The fund owned 356,936 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock after acquiring an additional 3,127 shares during the period. Broadcom comprises approximately 2.4% of Bank Pictet & Cie Europe AG’s portfolio, making the stock its 10th largest position. Bank Pictet & Cie Europe AG’s holdings in Broadcom were worth $125,352,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period.
Several other hedge funds and other institutional investors also recently bought and sold shares of AVGO. Cornerstone National Bank & Trust Co boosted its holdings in shares of Broadcom by 27.7% in the third quarter. Cornerstone National Bank & Trust Co now owns 369 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock valued at $127,000 after acquiring an additional 80 shares in the last quarter. 55 North Private Wealth LLC grew its holdings in Broadcom by 1.1% during the 3rd quarter. 55 North Private Wealth LLC now owns 7,596 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock valued at $2,668,000 after buying an additional 83 shares during the last quarter. Cypress Capital LLC grew its stake in Broadcom by 1.6% in the 3rd quarter. Cypress Capital LLC now owns 7,286 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock worth $2,559,000 after acquiring an additional 112 shares during the period. Stewardship Advisors LLC boosted its position in shares of Broadcom by 1.7% in the third quarter. Stewardship Advisors LLC now owns 2,053 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock worth $721,000 after acquiring an additional 35 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Norway Savings Bank raised its holdings in shares of Broadcom by 11.5% in the 3rd quarter. Norway Savings Bank now owns 5,000 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock worth $1,756,000 after purchasing an additional 514 shares during the period. 76.43% of the stock is owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.
Key Broadcom News Here are the key news stories impacting Broadcom this week:
Positive Sentiment: Tigress Financial initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $600 price target, implying substantial upside and signaling confidence in Broadcom’s AI semiconductor and infrastructure-software opportunities. Tigress Financial Broadcom coverage Positive Sentiment: Broadcom launched Arcot Scam Defense, a real-time fraud-detection feature for card-not-present transactions. Initial financial-institution pilots reportedly produced strong results, offering a potential new growth opportunity for its infrastructure-software business. Broadcom launches Arcot Scam Defense Positive Sentiment: Several analyses remain bullish on Broadcom’s custom AI-chip and networking exposure, describing the company as a potential long-term beneficiary of rising AI revenue and as a relatively resilient play if AI customers face cash-flow pressures. Broadcom long-term stock prediction Neutral Sentiment: Broadcom’s recent earnings exceeded consensus estimates, with revenue growth accelerating sharply year over year. However, the strong results are already being weighed against elevated valuation expectations and broader market conditions. Negative Sentiment: Chip stocks have broadly pulled back amid higher-rate concerns and worries that the massive AI data-center buildout may take longer to generate adequate returns. This sector-wide risk is weighing on AVGO alongside company-specific developments. Chip stocks pullback Negative Sentiment: Technical-focused coverage identifies the $320 area as a critical test. A sustained break below that level could encourage additional selling, while the stock’s position below its moving averages reflects weakened near-term momentum. Broadcom $320 support analysis Wall Street Analyst Weigh In AVGO has been the subject of a number of recent analyst reports. UBS Group lowered shares of Broadcom from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a report on Thursday, September 3rd. Tigress Financial began coverage on shares of Broadcom in a research report on Thursday. They issued a “buy” rating and a $600.00 price target on the stock. BMO Capital Markets lifted their price objective on shares of Broadcom from $455.00 to $575.00 and gave the stock an “outperform” rating in a research report on Thursday, September 3rd. Weiss Ratings upgraded Broadcom from a “buy (b-)” rating to a “buy (b)” rating in a research report on Thursday, October 8th. Finally, JPMorgan Chase & Co. reaffirmed a “buy” rating on shares of Broadcom in a research note on Thursday, September 3rd. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, thirty-eight have issued a Buy rating and three have issued a Hold rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, the stock has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average target price of $529.17. View Our Latest Research Report on AVGO
Broadcom Stock Down 4.3% AVGO opened at $323.24 on Friday. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57, a current ratio of 2.50 and a quick ratio of 2.29. The company has a market capitalization of $1.54 trillion, a PE ratio of 41.28 and a beta of 1.46. Broadcom Inc. has a fifty-two week low of $289.96 and a fifty-two week high of $495.00. The business has a 50-day moving average of $357.48 and a 200-day moving average of $384.69.
Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO – Get Free Report) last announced its quarterly earnings results on Wednesday, September 2nd. The semiconductor manufacturer reported $3.32 EPS for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $3.22 by $0.10. The company had revenue of $29.59 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $29.24 billion. Broadcom had a net margin of 42.94% and a return on equity of 48.33%. Broadcom’s quarterly revenue was up 85.5% on a year-over-year basis. During the same quarter in the prior year, the business posted $1.69 EPS. Equities research analysts forecast that Broadcom Inc. will post 10.37 EPS for the current fiscal year.
Broadcom Announces Dividend The company also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Wednesday, September 30th. Investors of record on Monday, September 21st were issued a $0.65 dividend. This represents a $2.60 annualized dividend and a yield of 0.8%. The ex-dividend date was Monday, September 21st. Broadcom’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is 33.21%.
Broadcom Profile (Free Report)
Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ: AVGO) is a global technology company that designs, develops and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software products. Its semiconductor solutions support data center, networking, broadband, wireless communications, storage, industrial and other electronic applications.
The company’s semiconductor portfolio includes networking and switching components, custom accelerators, connectivity and wireless devices, broadband equipment, optical products, storage controllers and related infrastructure technologies.
See Also Five stocks we like better than Broadcom Is Texas Instruments Setting Up for Its Next Big Breakout? Pegasystems’ Q3 Miss Exposed the Problem Standing Between AI and Cash Flow Lam Research’s Earnings Beat Wasn’t the Real Story—Its 2027 Outlook Was Tesla’s Flying-Car Hype Hits an Earnings Reality Check Want to see what other hedge funds are holding AVGO? Visit HoldingsChannel.com to get the latest 13F filings and insider trades for Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO – Free Report).
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Columbia Asset Management ve 3. čtvrtletí snížila podíl ve společnosti Broadcom o 4,3 % prodejem 1 943 akcií; nadále drží 43 499 akcií v hodnotě 15,276 milionu USD.
Columbia Asset Management cut its holdings in Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO – Free Report) by 4.3% during the 3rd quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The fund owned 43,499 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock after selling 1,943 shares during the quarter. Broadcom makes up approximately 2.5% of Columbia Asset Management’s holdings, making the stock its 10th largest holding. Columbia Asset Management’s holdings in Broadcom were worth $15,276,000 at the end of the most recent quarter.
Other hedge funds also recently bought and sold shares of the company. Maia Wealth LLC raised its position in Broadcom by 20.5% during the 3rd quarter. Maia Wealth LLC now owns 18,205 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock valued at $6,393,000 after purchasing an additional 3,101 shares during the last quarter. Tanager Wealth Management LLP lifted its holdings in Broadcom by 44.1% in the 3rd quarter. Tanager Wealth Management LLP now owns 6,434 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock worth $2,260,000 after buying an additional 1,969 shares during the period. Novem Group grew its position in shares of Broadcom by 5.1% in the 3rd quarter. Novem Group now owns 25,210 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock worth $8,854,000 after buying an additional 1,232 shares during the last quarter. Sterling Investment Counsel LLC grew its position in shares of Broadcom by 29.0% in the 3rd quarter. Sterling Investment Counsel LLC now owns 8,792 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock worth $3,088,000 after buying an additional 1,977 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Value Partners Investments Inc. grew its position in shares of Broadcom by 7.6% in the 3rd quarter. Value Partners Investments Inc. now owns 7,545 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock worth $2,658,000 after buying an additional 534 shares during the last quarter. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 76.43% of the company’s stock.
Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades Several equities analysts have recently issued reports on AVGO shares. Jefferies Financial Group started coverage on Broadcom in a research note on Thursday, September 3rd. They set a “buy” rating and a $550.00 target price on the stock. DA Davidson set a $350.00 price target on shares of Broadcom and gave the company a “neutral” rating in a report on Friday, September 4th. TD Cowen reiterated a “buy” rating and issued a $475.00 price target (down from $500.00) on shares of Broadcom in a report on Thursday, September 3rd. Raymond James Financial reissued an “outperform” rating and set a $475.00 price objective (up from $450.00) on shares of Broadcom in a research report on Thursday, September 3rd. Finally, Piper Sandler initiated coverage on shares of Broadcom in a report on Wednesday, September 9th. They issued an “overweight” rating and a $460.00 price objective for the company. One analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, thirty-seven have given a Buy rating and three have issued a Hold rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the company currently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus target price of $527.20.
Get Our Latest Report on AVGO Broadcom News Roundup Here are the key news stories impacting Broadcom this week:
Positive Sentiment: Broadcom launched Arcot Scam Defense, a feature designed to help financial institutions block AI-enhanced social-engineering fraud in card-not-present transactions. The product could strengthen Broadcom’s infrastructure-software portfolio and create additional enterprise demand. Broadcom Launches Arcot Scam Defense to Block Social Engineering Fraud Positive Sentiment: Broadcom’s 10-year agreement with NTT DOCOMO to advance the telecommunications company’s private cloud using VMware Cloud Foundation reinforces the durability of its recurring software revenue and enterprise-cloud strategy. Broadcom to Advance NTT DOCOMO’s Private Cloud with VMware Cloud Foundation Positive Sentiment: Several analyses continue to highlight Broadcom as a leading beneficiary of custom AI-chip and networking demand. One report cited a 236% increase in AI-chip sales, while investors view its combination of custom silicon, AI networking and infrastructure software as a potential alternative to Nvidia. Broadcom Sees AI Chip Sales Up 236% Neutral Sentiment: Commentary comparing Broadcom with Apple and other semiconductor stocks presents AVGO as a long-term AI and infrastructure-software opportunity, but emphasizes that the investment case depends on sustained customer spending and execution. Apple vs. Broadcom: Which Tech Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026? Negative Sentiment: Semiconductor shares have pulled back amid interest-rate concerns, worries that AI infrastructure spending may be excessive, and broader warnings of a possible AI-stock bubble. Broadcom CEO Hock Tan’s comments comparing AI spending with a “casino” and warning about capital constraints have also unsettled some investors. Chip Stocks Have Pulled Back Broadcom Trading Up 1.0% AVGO opened at $337.80 on Thursday. The stock has a market cap of $1.61 trillion, a PE ratio of 43.14 and a beta of 1.46. The company has a quick ratio of 2.29, a current ratio of 2.50 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57. The business has a 50 day moving average of $359.37 and a 200-day moving average of $384.63. Broadcom Inc. has a 52 week low of $289.96 and a 52 week high of $495.00.
Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO – Get Free Report) last released its quarterly earnings results on Wednesday, September 2nd. The semiconductor manufacturer reported $3.32 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $3.22 by $0.10. The company had revenue of $29.59 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $29.24 billion. Broadcom had a return on equity of 48.33% and a net margin of 42.94%. The firm’s revenue was up 85.5% on a year-over-year basis. During the same period in the previous year, the company posted $1.69 earnings per share. Equities research analysts predict that Broadcom Inc. will post 10.37 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
Broadcom Dividend Announcement The company also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Wednesday, September 30th. Shareholders of record on Monday, September 21st were given a dividend of $0.65 per share. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Monday, September 21st. This represents a $2.60 annualized dividend and a yield of 0.8%. Broadcom’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is currently 33.21%.
Broadcom Company Profile (Free Report)
Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ: AVGO) is a global technology company that designs, develops and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software products. Its semiconductor solutions support data center, networking, broadband, wireless communications, storage, industrial and other electronic applications.
The company’s semiconductor portfolio includes networking and switching components, custom accelerators, connectivity and wireless devices, broadband equipment, optical products, storage controllers and related infrastructure technologies.
Read More Five stocks we like better than Broadcom GM Beat and Added a $20 Billion Buyback—Why Did the Stock Fall? Intercepting Growth: Karman Secures $218M Lockheed Martin Deal Tech Stocks Took a Hit—These 2 Pharma Stocks Are Near New Highs Chip Stocks Have Pulled Back—Here’s How 3 Semiconductor ETFs Stack Up for Investors Want to see what other hedge funds are holding AVGO? Visit HoldingsChannel.com to get the latest 13F filings and insider trades for Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO – Free Report).
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CWA Asset Management Group LLC reduced its stake in Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO – Free Report) by 2.2% during the third quarter, according to its most recent filing with the SEC. The fund owned 74,624 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock after selling 1,675 shares during the quarter. Broadcom accounts for approximately 0.8% of CWA Asset Management Group LLC’s portfolio, making the stock its 22nd largest holding. CWA Asset Management Group LLC’s holdings in Broadcom were worth $26,207,000 as of its most recent SEC filing.
Several other institutional investors also recently added to or reduced their stakes in AVGO. Fullerton Advisors LLC raised its position in Broadcom by 1.3% in the first quarter. Fullerton Advisors LLC now owns 1,989 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock worth $616,000 after acquiring an additional 25 shares during the period. NORTHSTAR ASSET MANAGEMENT Co grew its position in shares of Broadcom by 0.5% during the 1st quarter. NORTHSTAR ASSET MANAGEMENT Co now owns 5,350 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock valued at $1,656,000 after acquiring an additional 25 shares during the period. Yukon Wealth Management Inc. grew its position in shares of Broadcom by 1.1% during the 1st quarter. Yukon Wealth Management Inc. now owns 2,501 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock valued at $774,000 after acquiring an additional 26 shares during the period. NerdWallet Wealth Partners LLC grew its position in shares of Broadcom by 2.6% during the 2nd quarter. NerdWallet Wealth Partners LLC now owns 1,057 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock valued at $399,000 after acquiring an additional 27 shares during the period. Finally, Veery Capital LLC increased its stake in shares of Broadcom by 1.4% during the 2nd quarter. Veery Capital LLC now owns 1,900 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock worth $718,000 after purchasing an additional 27 shares during the last quarter. Institutional investors own 76.43% of the company’s stock.
Key Stories Impacting Broadcom Here are the key news stories impacting Broadcom this week:
Positive Sentiment: Broadcom launched Arcot Scam Defense, a feature designed to help financial institutions block AI-enhanced social-engineering fraud in card-not-present transactions. The product could strengthen Broadcom’s infrastructure-software portfolio and create additional enterprise demand. Broadcom Launches Arcot Scam Defense to Block Social Engineering Fraud Positive Sentiment: Broadcom’s 10-year agreement with NTT DOCOMO to advance the telecommunications company’s private cloud using VMware Cloud Foundation reinforces the durability of its recurring software revenue and enterprise-cloud strategy. Broadcom to Advance NTT DOCOMO’s Private Cloud with VMware Cloud Foundation Positive Sentiment: Several analyses continue to highlight Broadcom as a leading beneficiary of custom AI-chip and networking demand. One report cited a 236% increase in AI-chip sales, while investors view its combination of custom silicon, AI networking and infrastructure software as a potential alternative to Nvidia. Broadcom Sees AI Chip Sales Up 236% Neutral Sentiment: Commentary comparing Broadcom with Apple and other semiconductor stocks presents AVGO as a long-term AI and infrastructure-software opportunity, but emphasizes that the investment case depends on sustained customer spending and execution. Apple vs. Broadcom: Which Tech Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026? Negative Sentiment: Semiconductor shares have pulled back amid interest-rate concerns, worries that AI infrastructure spending may be excessive, and broader warnings of a possible AI-stock bubble. Broadcom CEO Hock Tan’s comments comparing AI spending with a “casino” and warning about capital constraints have also unsettled some investors. Chip Stocks Have Pulled Back Analysts Set New Price Targets Several equities research analysts have recently issued reports on the stock. JPMorgan Chase & Co. restated a “buy” rating on shares of Broadcom in a research note on Thursday, September 3rd. Lake Street Capital upgraded Broadcom to a “buy” rating in a research note on Thursday, September 3rd. Raymond James Financial reissued an “outperform” rating and set a $475.00 price objective (up from $450.00) on shares of Broadcom in a report on Thursday, September 3rd. The Goldman Sachs Group raised their target price on Broadcom from $525.00 to $540.00 and gave the stock a “buy” rating in a research report on Thursday, September 3rd. Finally, BMO Capital Markets boosted their target price on Broadcom from $455.00 to $575.00 and gave the company an “outperform” rating in a research note on Thursday, September 3rd. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, thirty-seven have issued a Buy rating and three have given a Hold rating to the stock. According to MarketBeat, the stock presently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $527.20. Get Our Latest Stock Analysis on Broadcom
Broadcom Stock Up 1.0% Broadcom stock opened at $337.80 on Thursday. Broadcom Inc. has a 1-year low of $289.96 and a 1-year high of $495.00. The firm has a market capitalization of $1.61 trillion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 43.14 and a beta of 1.46. The company has a current ratio of 2.50, a quick ratio of 2.29 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57. The firm has a 50 day simple moving average of $359.37 and a 200 day simple moving average of $384.63.
Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO – Get Free Report) last issued its earnings results on Wednesday, September 2nd. The semiconductor manufacturer reported $3.32 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $3.22 by $0.10. The business had revenue of $29.59 billion for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $29.24 billion. Broadcom had a net margin of 42.94% and a return on equity of 48.33%. The business’s revenue for the quarter was up 85.5% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the previous year, the firm posted $1.69 EPS. On average, analysts predict that Broadcom Inc. will post 10.37 earnings per share for the current year.
Broadcom Dividend Announcement The business also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Wednesday, September 30th. Investors of record on Monday, September 21st were paid a dividend of $0.65 per share. This represents a $2.60 dividend on an annualized basis and a dividend yield of 0.8%. The ex-dividend date was Monday, September 21st. Broadcom’s payout ratio is presently 33.21%.
About Broadcom (Free Report)
Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ: AVGO) is a global technology company that designs, develops and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software products. Its semiconductor solutions support data center, networking, broadband, wireless communications, storage, industrial and other electronic applications.
The company’s semiconductor portfolio includes networking and switching components, custom accelerators, connectivity and wireless devices, broadband equipment, optical products, storage controllers and related infrastructure technologies.
Featured Articles Five stocks we like better than Broadcom GM Beat and Added a $20 Billion Buyback—Why Did the Stock Fall? Intercepting Growth: Karman Secures $218M Lockheed Martin Deal Tech Stocks Took a Hit—These 2 Pharma Stocks Are Near New Highs Chip Stocks Have Pulled Back—Here’s How 3 Semiconductor ETFs Stack Up for Investors
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Broadcom spustil Arcot Scam Defense, který v reálném čase odhaluje a blokuje podvody využívající sociální inženýrství při online karetních platbách, a to i po úspěšném ověření 3-D Secure.
PALO ALTO, Calif., Oct. 21, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO), a global technology leader that designs, develops, and supplies semiconductors and infrastructure software, today announced the launch of Arcot Scam Defense, a groundbreaking new feature of Arcot by Broadcom, designed to block social engineering fraud during card-not-present (CNP) transactions.
“Financial institutions are experiencing broad increases in fraud attempts driven by sophisticated, AI-enhanced social engineering attacks,” said Matt Cooke, vice president and general manager, Payment Security Division, Broadcom. “While technological security systems have advanced and are highly effective at blocking fraud, fraudsters have pivoted their efforts to hacking customers directly. By impersonating trusted brands and institutions, they trick cardholders into revealing passwords or completing step-up authentications. Cardholders usually remain unaware that they have handed over the keys to the castle until after the scam.”
How Social Engineering Works
During a payment flow, once a cardholder completes a 3-D Secure authentication challenge, by entering a one-time password (OTP) or using a biometric, the transaction is treated as legitimate and is approved by a financial institution’s primary risk models. While real-time risk assessment models are highly effective at flagging suspicious transactions, they are not designed to stop a legitimate account holder actively under the influence of a scam.
Introducing Arcot Scam Defense
“Arcot Scam Defense closes a critical gap,” added Cooke. “It serves as the definitive safety net against social engineering attacks. Operating as a real-time second layer of defense, it leverages advanced intelligence during authentication to flag suspected fraud – even after a successful challenge. By closing the approval door on these attacks, we increase cardholder safety and drive down fraud losses, while continuing to allow legitimate transactions through.”
Arcot Scam Defense analyzes a broad range of signals across transaction information, device intelligence, historical behavior, and the challenge interaction itself to identify patterns indicative of social engineering. These can include discrepancies in the location and behavior of the transacting checkout device and the authenticating device, delayed OTP entry, the use of an alternative authentication method, or a significant physical distance between the two devices. These signals are evaluated collectively to inform a real-time decision rather than relying on any single indicator. Additionally, the solution can integrate with third-party solutions to determine if the authenticating device is on an active phone call, which is a prime indicator of social engineering.
Even if a cardholder falls for a scam and hands over their credentials, Broadcom’s Arcot Scam Defense feature can help identify the behavioral shift and block the transaction in real time.
The scale of the problem is immense, with nearly half a billion dollars in fraud reported over the last 12 months on successfully authenticated challenges. In pilot testing validated on a full month of live data, the Arcot Scam Defense feature demonstrated exceptional performance. For one major pilot issuer, reviewing just the top 1% of successful challenges would have protected an estimated $4 million in fraud in just a month, at a cost of only 0.38 points off their authentication success rate.
Looking ahead, Broadcom expects to expand Arcot Scam Defense’s capabilities by adding new signals, including cardholder and device attributes, and a dedicated challenge history profiling engine to learn each cardholder's past challenge behavior.
Arcot by Broadcom is exclusively focused on 3-D Secure payment authentication. For more information on how Arcot is redefining payment security, visit https://www.broadcom.com/products/software/payment-security.
About Broadcom
Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) is a technology leader that designs, develops, and supplies semiconductors and infrastructure software for global organizations' complex, mission-critical needs. Broadcom combines long-term R&D investment with superb execution to deliver the best technology, at scale. Broadcom is a Delaware corporation headquartered in Palo Alto, CA. For more information, visit www.broadcom.com.
Broadcom, the pulse logo, and Connecting everything are among the trademarks of Broadcom. The term "Broadcom" refers to Broadcom Inc., and/or its subsidiaries. Other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Press Contact:
Eloy Ontiveros
Broadcom Global Communications
+1.650.427.6145 [email protected]
Broadcom (AVGO) dosáhl ve 3. čtvrtletí rekordních výsledků díky prudkému růstu tržeb z čipů pro umělou inteligenci a zvýšil víceletý výhled hospodaření v oblasti umělé inteligence.
SummaryBroadcom is upgraded from Hold to Buy, with a blended fair value of $405 versus a $334.37 close.Record Q3 results, surging AI semiconductor revenue, and upgraded multi-year AI guidance drive the improved outlook.My base case model conservatively discounts management’s aggressive 2028 AI revenue forecasts, reflecting caution on vendor-financed demand.Risks include seller-funded backlog quality, AI capex durability, and potential margin pressure, but even conservative scenarios support a Buy rating. Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images
Introduction In late July, I started covering Broadcom (AVGO) with a Hold and my rating went against the tide of buy articles. I was cautious given numerous issues that later in September
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Broadcom just posted AI chip growth that left Wall Street's estimates in the dust, yet the stock sits more than 30% below its 52-week high while its CEO drops warnings that rattled the entire sector. Something about that math deserves…
NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA | NVDA Price Prediction) gets most of the AI headlines. Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) just guided to some of the fastest AI chip growth in the sector.
Based on our proprietary model, the 24/7 Wall St. price target for Broadcom is $419.38 for a 12-month horizon. That is 21.12% above the $346.25 reference price.
24/7 Wall St. Price Target Summary Metric Value Current Price $346.25 24/7 Wall St. Price Target $419.38 Upside/Downside 21.12% Recommendation BUY Confidence Level 90% Our confidence is high. The target stands well below the Wall Street consensus of $527.59, so our model is the conservative one here. Shares traded at $337.81 midday Thursday, down 2.44% on the session, so today’s price stands even further below our target.
Record Quarter Meets a CEO Warning Broadcom has fallen 10.28% over the past week and 1.86% year to date. It stands about 31.5% below its $493.28 52-week high and about 16.9% above its $288.95 low.
On October 12, CEO Hock Tan warned that many AI investors don’t understand what they’re buying, and chip stocks slid on the comment across the sector. He also named capital as the biggest constraint on AI growth.
The business keeps getting stronger. Fiscal third-quarter revenue rose 85.5% to $29.591 billion, ahead of the $29.44 billion consensus. EPS came in at $3.32 against a $3.2382 estimate, and AI semiconductor revenue reached $16.7 billion, up 221%. For the fourth quarter, Broadcom guided to $34.8 billion in revenue.
Why Bulls See $535 Within Reach Management outlined AI revenue of about $115 billion in fiscal 2027 and $230 billion in fiscal 2028. Tan said Broadcom is “very much on target to exceed $30 in earnings per share in fiscal 2028.”
A long-term Google agreement covers “multi-tens of billions of dollars of TPUs annually,” and OpenAI expects to deploy 1.3 gigawatts of its Broadcom-built accelerator in 2027.
The bull case of $535.21 about matches the consensus, which is supported by 7 Strong Buy and 40 Buy ratings against 3 Holds.
Power, Land and Margin Mix Could Slow the AI Ramp A handful of hyperscalers drive XPU demand, which makes customer concentration a real risk. Tan called land, power and data-center shells “a big concern” for deployment timing. Fourth-quarter gross margin is guided to about 73% because memory-heavy chips reduce the mix.
On the other hand, operating margin hit 67.9%, and Amie Thuener told investors to focus there. The bear case stands at $371.58, still above the reference price.
How Broadcom Stacks Up Against NVIDIA and Marvell NVIDIA is the benchmark for AI compute. Its revenue grew 105.85% to $96.22 billion, and its P/E is about 45x, close to Broadcom’s 44x. Both stocks has similar trailing multiples, and Broadcom’s AI growth is accelerating faster (we reverse-engineered what the biggest AI chip winners looked like early in a free playbook you can grab here). So the target looks reasonable.
The closest peer in custom chips and AI networking is Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL). Revenue rose 36.55%, with a 36.6% non-GAAP operating margin. Broadcom is growing faster at higher margins, so our target looks conservative.
Company Trailing P/E Latest Revenue Growth Broadcom 44x 85.5% NVIDIA 45x 105.85% Marvell N/A 36.55% Broadcom Earns a Buy Rating at $419.38 The 24/7 Wall St. price target of $419.38 has a buy rating and 90% confidence. The key factor is a forward multiple near 19x on AI growth that is still accelerating.
The bull thesis improves if AI revenue keeps tracking toward $115 billion in fiscal 2027. Power and data-center delays that push deployments out would hurt the thesis. At current levels, there is more upside than downside in the model.
These are our base-case targets, assuming current growth trends continue.
Year 24/7 Wall St. Price Target 2026 $419.38 2027 $462.26 2028 $509.53 2029 $561.62 2030 $619.05 Broadcom needs to keep executing on its custom accelerator roadmap for these projections to hold. Prices could land well above or below this path depending on how quickly hyperscalers spend and how fast supply expands.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Broadcom uzavřel s NTT DOCOMO desetiletou smlouvu na licence, technickou podporu a údržbu produktů VMware, včetně VMware Cloud Foundation, pro rozvoj privátního cloudu.
TOKYO, Oct. 19, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO), a global technology leader that designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions, today announced that it has signed a 10-year agreement with NTT DOCOMO, INC. (DOCOMO) to continuously advance the private cloud that will underpin the company’s digital services over the next decade. The agreement will enable DOCOMO to continue delivering reliable digital services to its customers amid a rapidly changing business environment, marked by the expanding use of AI and increasingly sophisticated cyberattacks.
Since 2019, VMware, now Broadcom, has worked closely with DOCOMO to build and operate its private cloud with VMware Cloud Foundation (VCF) at its core. Building on this collaboration, the two companies will now align their long-term technology roadmaps to strengthen DOCOMO’s service infrastructure.
This is Broadcom Japan’s first (1) 10-year comprehensive agreement covering licenses, technical assistance and maintenance support for VMware products (2), including VCF.
Through this agreement, Broadcom will combine DOCOMO’s operational expertise in large-scale infrastructure with its technology and engineering resources to further improve the continuity, security and delivery speed of DOCOMO’s service infrastructure.
With VCF at the core, Broadcom will drive technical collaboration and operational excellence across three focus areas:
Continuous Service Availability
Leveraging VCF, DOCOMO will strengthen its ability to rapidly upgrade and maintain systems without service interruptions. Unified management of servers, storage, and networking will enable flexible capacity expansion to support future service growth. In addition, autonomous placement and scaling of system resources based on usage will maintain stable service quality even during traffic spikes. VCF Forte Support, which offers Broadcom’s highest-level service-level objectives (SLOs), will help sustain continuous system operations.
Proactive Security and Resilience
To counter increasingly sophisticated cyberattacks and emerging AI-driven threats, DOCOMO will further strengthen rapid and continuous security measures by leveraging VCF capabilities that enable timely patching, together with predictive anomaly detection. Continuous visibility across the entire system through VCF, combined with AIOps initiatives, will enable early detection of and rapid response to anomalies. Close engagement with dedicated Support Account Managers (SAM) and Technical Account Managers (TAM) will also enable DOCOMO to quickly incorporate the latest technologies and security measures.
Accelerated Service Delivery
By leveraging VMware vSphere Kubernetes Service (VKS), the native VCF Kubernetes runtime, DOCOMO will run virtual machines and containers on a common platform and use development and operations automation to streamline everything from environment provisioning to service delivery. Automating development, testing and release processes will enable new services and features to be rolled out in shorter cycles, allowing DOCOMO to respond quickly to evolving customer needs and market conditions.
Building on this long-term agreement, Broadcom will embark on the evolution of DOCOMO’s service infrastructure into a next-generation platform that will bring together virtual machines, containers and AI.
Leveraging a VCF-based private cloud platform, the two companies will jointly drive the automation and advancement of AI-driven operations that are expected to contribute to further improvements in service quality and delivery speed.
Broadcom will continue to collaborate with DOCOMO to ensure that its service infrastructure evolves through the flexible adoption of new technologies, in anticipation of future shifts in technology and the business environment, such as the expanding use of AI, new AI-driven threats, 6G and IOWN.
Executive Comments
Hiroshi Ishimaru, General Manager, Service Design Department, NTT DOCOMO, INC.
“At DOCOMO, we are enhancing our service infrastructure to ensure the stability and security that allow customers to use our digital services with peace of mind, while enabling it to respond flexibly and quickly to changes in technology and the market.”
“VMware products have long been used across a range of our systems, and through this long-term comprehensive agreement, we will further strengthen our technical collaboration with Broadcom. Going forward, while maintaining the reliable delivery of our existing services, we aim to build a service infrastructure that delivers new value to customers more quickly and reliably, with an eye toward future technological advances such as the expanding use of AI.”
Paul Turner, Chief Product Officer, VMware Cloud Foundation Division, Broadcom
“We are honored to continue to partner with DOCOMO, a company that supports Japan's social infrastructure and digital lifestyles, on a long-term initiative for the next decade.”
“Over the past seven years, we have built a strong technical collaboration, and this agreement takes that relationship further, reflecting our shared commitment to continuously enhancing DOCOMO's service infrastructure over the long term. With VMware Cloud Foundation at the core, Broadcom will provide a private cloud platform that runs virtual machines, containers, and AI workloads on a common foundation. Our engineering teams will work closely with DOCOMO's so the company can continue to deliver secure, reliable digital services quickly.”
About Broadcom
Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) is a technology leader that designs, develops, and supplies semiconductors and infrastructure software for global organizations’ complex, mission-critical needs. Broadcom combines long-term R&D investment with superb execution to deliver the best technology, at scale. Broadcom is a Delaware corporation headquartered in Palo Alto, CA. For more information, visit www.broadcom.com.
Notes and Company Information
(1)As a 10-year comprehensive agreement in Japan covering licenses, technical assistance and maintenance support for VMware products, as of October 20, 2026.(2)VMware products and related technical assistance and support covered by the agreement include: VMware Cloud Foundation, VMware Avi Load Balancer, VMware vDefend, VMware Tanzu Platform, Support Account Manager (SAM), Technical Account Manager (TAM) and VCF Forte Support. Media Contacts:
Roger Fortier
VMware Cloud Foundation Division, Broadcom
+1.408.348.1569 [email protected]
Eloy Ontiveros
Broadcom Global Communications
+1.650.427.6145 [email protected]
Generální ředitel Broadcomu Hock Tan očekává, že poptávka po AI výpočetním výkonu bude převyšovat nabídku až do let 2029–2030. Varuje však, že hlavní brzdou expanze může být kapitál.
Many AI stocks have come under significant pressure over the past few weeks, including those in the semiconductor industry. So far in October, the iShares Semiconductor ETF NASDAQ: SOXX has fallen approximately 10%.
Broadcom Today
$328.75 -15.58 (-4.52%)
As of 10/16/2026 04:00 PM Eastern
$289.96▼
$495.000.79%
41.99
$527.20
One key contributor to this decline was reports about Anthropic’s third-quarter revenue update. Although its sales increased by a blistering 45% quarter-over-quarter, a significant slowdown from the previous quarter's pace raised questions about the sustainability of overall AI growth.
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In this context, recent comments made by Broadcom's NASDAQ: AVGO CEO Hock Tan are noteworthy, providing both reassurance and reason for caution among investors. Tan expects demand for AI compute to remain strong for several years and sees physical constraints eventually easing. However, he also highlighted concerns around capital needs and the importance of returns on AI investment.
Broadcom and Intel CEOs Point to Strong Compute Demand AheadIn Singapore, Tan spoke at DBS Bank’s Asia Future Forward Conference, joined by Intel NASDAQ: INTC CEO Lip-Bu Tan. Notably, Hock Tan said that demand for AI compute could continue to exceed supply through 2029, or even 2030, depending on the pace of AI adoption. Lip-Bu Tan made similar statements, noting that Intel does not see a slowdown in demand over the next two to three years. This would be a strong setup for Broadcom, Intel, and other companies that supply compute.
Additionally, Tan expressed confidence in the industry’s ability to work around physical supply constraints. Tan noted that the industry has faced many bottlenecks over the past two years but has eventually overcome them. Looking ahead, he said that the memory shortage seen today “might not be that way a year from now” and that wafer shortages could ease by 2028 or 2029.
This is another positive sign for Broadcom, given that the company says supply constraints are limiting its growth. Despite expecting its AI chip sales to double to $115 billion in fiscal 2027, and double again to $230 billion in 2028, Broadcom said in its last earnings call that demand exceeds these figures. Tan notes that Broadcom has secured enough supply to meet these forecasts, suggesting potential upside if constraints ease further and customers have sufficient deployment capacity.
Hock Tan Highlights Capital as a Key AI ConstraintOn the other hand, Tan emphasized a non-physical limitation: capital, saying “What I think might be the biggest constraint is capital." Here, Tan is referring to the ability of those purchasing AI compute to muster sufficient capital to sustain their buildouts. Tan estimated that across the U.S. and China, companies are spending around $200 billion a year on token generation. Comparatively, Tan estimated that companies are generating around $150 billion a year in revenue from token generation, concluding, “So AI is underwater, right?" This connects back to concerns around the slowdown in Anthropic’s revenue growth as the industry looks to flip this equation.
If companies like Anthropic cannot boost their profits relatively quickly, they will need to turn toward greater external financing to continue building. This could become increasingly difficult, given that Anthropic is seeking a massive IPO valuation of approximately $2 trillion, which some investors may believe is too lofty. Additionally, bond yields have risen significantly over recent months, increasing the cost of debt-based financing.
Broadcom MarketRank™ Stock Analysis4.9616655651 of 5 stars
99th Percentile
Moderate Buy
60.4% Upside
Healthy
Strong
0.80 N/A
68.37%
See Full Analysis
Tan also noted that today, the companies making much of the money in AI are the “picks and shovels” providers. This includes chip suppliers like Broadcom. However, he says that if the situation remains this way, the AI investment trend will not be sustainable. Ultimately, the underlying source of picks and shovels demand is AI model developers who need to achieve a return on investment to continue spending long term.
Tan hinted at one pathway through which model developers could generate a higher return on investment: challenging established software providers. Tan said that frontier model developers “will start to disintermediate all the software guys, one by one." In doing so, value could move up the stack to frontier model developers. While Broadcom is winning as a picks and shovels provider today, this scenario playing out would also benefit the chipmaker by helping its customers sustain purchases over the longer term.
Hyperscaler Earnings and IPOs Remain Top of Mind for AI InvestorsOverall, while Tan highlighted real concerns regarding the sustainability of the AI buildout, his outlook for compute demand over the next few years remained encouraging. Still, the issues raised around capital and AI return on investment are important for investors to monitor. This puts a spotlight on not only the upcoming earnings calls of publicly traded AI hyperscalers but also the financial disclosures surrounding potential Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs.
Related to this, although its growth seems to have slowed, it is positive to see that Anthropic also reportedly saw its adjusted operating margin exceed 11% in Q3. This compares to its previously projected Q2 adjusted operating margin of 5.1%, suggesting improving profitability, although the comparison is between a reported result and an earlier projection. Continued gains on this front will be key to Anthropic sustaining chip purchases longer term. This is particularly relevant to Broadcom, as it expects Anthropic to become its largest XPU customer in 2027.
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Ashurst Perkins Coie Trust Co lifted its position in Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO – Free Report) by 21.4% during the third quarter, according to the company in its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The institutional investor owned 42,218 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock after buying an additional 7,435 shares during the quarter. Broadcom makes up approximately 2.4% of Ashurst Perkins Coie Trust Co’s portfolio, making the stock its 13th biggest holding. Ashurst Perkins Coie Trust Co’s holdings in Broadcom were worth $14,827,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period.
A number of other large investors also recently modified their holdings of the company. Networth Advisors LLC raised its holdings in shares of Broadcom by 546.2% in the 1st quarter. Networth Advisors LLC now owns 84 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock valued at $26,000 after acquiring an additional 71 shares in the last quarter. Core Capital Management & Research inc. purchased a new position in shares of Broadcom during the second quarter worth about $31,000. Harborfront Financial Group LLC purchased a new position in shares of Broadcom during the second quarter worth about $38,000. Coppell Advisory Solutions LLC purchased a new position in shares of Broadcom during the second quarter worth about $60,000. Finally, IMG Wealth Management Inc. bought a new position in shares of Broadcom in the second quarter worth approximately $64,000. 76.43% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.
Broadcom Price Performance AVGO opened at $344.33 on Friday. The stock’s 50 day simple moving average is $366.31 and its 200 day simple moving average is $383.89. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57, a current ratio of 2.50 and a quick ratio of 2.29. Broadcom Inc. has a 1 year low of $289.96 and a 1 year high of $495.00. The firm has a market cap of $1.64 trillion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 43.98 and a beta of 1.46.
Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO – Get Free Report) last announced its quarterly earnings results on Wednesday, September 2nd. The semiconductor manufacturer reported $3.32 EPS for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $3.22 by $0.10. Broadcom had a return on equity of 48.33% and a net margin of 42.94%. The business had revenue of $29.59 billion for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $29.24 billion. During the same period in the previous year, the firm earned $1.69 EPS. The business’s quarterly revenue was up 85.5% on a year-over-year basis. As a group, analysts predict that Broadcom Inc. will post 10.37 earnings per share for the current year. Broadcom Announces Dividend The company also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Wednesday, September 30th. Stockholders of record on Monday, September 21st were issued a $0.65 dividend. The ex-dividend date was Monday, September 21st. This represents a $2.60 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 0.8%. Broadcom’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is currently 33.21%.
Key Broadcom News Here are the key news stories impacting Broadcom this week:
Positive Sentiment: Broadcom’s AI business remains a major growth driver. Reports highlight 221% growth in AI chip sales, strong demand for custom accelerators, and hyperscaler interest in alternatives to Nvidia’s higher-cost architecture. Some analysts believe Broadcom could benefit as AI spending broadens beyond Nvidia. Prediction: Broadcom Could Be the AI Winner After Nvidia Positive Sentiment: Bullish coverage points to Broadcom’s combination of high-margin semiconductors, networking products, custom silicon, and recurring infrastructure software revenue. Supporters argue that weaker non-AI segments are masking strong execution and creating a long-term buying opportunity. I’m Simply Not Worried About Broadcom’s Multi-Segment Drag Neutral Sentiment: Comparisons with Nvidia, Applied Materials, Marvell Technology, and SK Hynix emphasize Broadcom’s differentiated exposure to networking and custom AI chips, although SK Hynix recently showed stronger overall revenue momentum. These comparisons reinforce the investment debate rather than introduce a new company-specific catalyst. Broadcom vs. SK Hynix Revenue Trends Negative Sentiment: Tan cautioned that AI investing is becoming “casino”-like and that investors may underestimate how difficult it will be for AI companies to earn returns as spending and financing costs rise. He warned that tighter capital availability could slow AI infrastructure expansion. Broadcom CEO Hock Tan Warning About Casino-Like Investing Negative Sentiment: Investors are also examining potential off-balance-sheet financing and a reported $50 billion debt arrangement, increasing concern about leverage and counterparty risks if AI demand or customer returns weaken. Broadcom Off-Balance-Sheet Financing Risk Negative Sentiment: Apple’s reported cuts to iPhone 18 Pro component orders raise questions about Broadcom’s smartphone-related sales, while the continuing technology sell-off is weighing on high-valuation AI stocks broadly. Apple Cut iPhone 18 Orders Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades AVGO has been the topic of a number of recent analyst reports. Lake Street Capital raised shares of Broadcom to a “buy” rating in a research note on Thursday, September 3rd. Bank of America cut their price target on shares of Broadcom from $530.00 to $460.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research note on Thursday, September 3rd. Wall Street Zen lowered shares of Broadcom from a “strong-buy” rating to a “buy” rating in a report on Saturday, July 18th. DA Davidson set a $350.00 price target on shares of Broadcom and gave the stock a “neutral” rating in a report on Friday, September 4th. Finally, Morgan Stanley restated an “overweight” rating and set a $505.00 price objective (up from $502.00) on shares of Broadcom in a research report on Thursday, September 3rd. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, thirty-seven have given a Buy rating and three have assigned a Hold rating to the company’s stock. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, the stock presently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $527.20.
View Our Latest Stock Report on Broadcom
About Broadcom (Free Report)
Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ: AVGO) is a global technology company that designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software products. Its semiconductor solutions support wired and wireless communications, data center networking, broadband access, storage, industrial applications, and other markets.
The company’s semiconductor portfolio includes networking and switching products, custom application-specific integrated circuits, wireless connectivity components, radio-frequency devices, optical components, and storage-related solutions.
Further Reading Five stocks we like better than Broadcom ASML Can’t Keep Up With AI Demand—Why That’s a Good Thing Enovix’s 100,000-Battery Drone Order Sets Up a Test of Its Production Plans AMD’s Support Could Help Fermi Stock Overcome Its Biggest Hurdle Beyond the GPU: Credo Paves the Next AI Data Superhighway Want to see what other hedge funds are holding AVGO? Visit HoldingsChannel.com to get the latest 13F filings and insider trades for Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO – Free Report).
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As I write this on Oct. 14, there are 12 publicly traded American companies with market capitalizations of at least $1 trillion, and six of them are worth $2 trillion or more. Broadcom (AVGO -3.25%) was recently in that exclusive club, but its stock has fallen by 26% from its June peak as investors worry about the sustainability of the artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure spending boom.
Over the last few months, AI labs like Anthropic, OpenAI, and xAI floated plans to slow down the pace of AI development to lower the potential risks to humanity. Moreover, many businesses have started prioritizing efficiency when running AI workloads to save money. And last week, one of Australia's largest AI data center start-ups pulled the plug on its initial public offering (IPO) due to a lack of demand from investors.
Broadcom supplies some of the best data center chips and components for developing AI, so its stock is highly sensitive to some of the abovementioned headwinds. However, management is forecasting significant revenue growth over the next couple of years, which could lead to significant returns for investors. The company currently has a market cap of $1.71 trillion, but can it rejoin the $2 trillion club within the next year?
Image source: Getty Images.
Broadcom has an impressive customer list The graphics processing units (GPUs) supplied by companies like Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices are the best plug-and-play data center chips for AI workloads. However, customers like OpenAI, Anthropic, Alphabet and Meta Platforms are gravitating toward more specialized chips to suit their own specific requirements, so Broadcom is helping them design and fabricate custom AI accelerators.
Broadcom says optimizing an accelerator for a specific large language model (LLM) is the key to outperforming any GPU. It also prevents AI companies from being locked into closed ecosystems where they have no control over pricing or innovation. The company recently helped OpenAI design a data center chip called Jalapeño, which reportedly performs as well as Nvidia's latest Vera Rubin GPU systems when the start-up is running its own models.
Broadcom and Alphabet have also developed several generations of custom chips called Tensor Processing Units (TPUs). Alphabet uses them to improve its Gemini family of LLMs, and it also rents them to other businesses through its Google Cloud platform. The company recently started selling TPUs directly to third parties like Anthropic to unlock an additional revenue stream.
Broadcom says Alphabet's latest v8i TPUs are as good, if not better than Nvidia's new Vera Rubin GPU systems in terms of performance. Broadcom expects each successive generation to experience growing demand as they hit the market in 2028 and 2029, especially from Anthropic which is expected to be the largest buyer from next year.
Accelerating revenue growth, and strong forward guidance Broadcom delivered $29.6 billion in total revenue during its fiscal 2026 third quarter (ended Aug. 2). It was an 86% increase from the year-ago period, a sharp acceleration from the 48% revenue growth the company generated in the second quarter just three months earlier.
AI semiconductor sales accounted for $16.7 billion of Broadcom's total third-quarter revenue, up by a whopping 221%, so they were the primary source of the company's overall top-line growth. Plus, management issued a fresh forecast which suggests AI semiconductor sales growth could accelerate further to 236% in the current fourth quarter, which ends in early November.
Broadcom CEO Hock Tan also said AI revenue could hit $115 billion during fiscal 2027, and then double to $230 billion in fiscal 2028. However, investors might want to take these aggressive medium-term estimates with a grain of salt, because it's difficult to predict how data center spending will evolve over the next couple of years given the headwinds I mentioned earlier.
AVGO Broadcom$333.14-$11.19 (-3.25%)
NASDAQ · As of 1:42 PM ET 10/16/26
In September, Anthropic founder Dario Amodei published a blog post arguing in favor of slowing the pace of AI development, amid a spate of dangerous cyber attacks. The founders of OpenAI and xAI publicly agreed with Amodei's stance, and if these labs follow through, it could lead to a reduction in semiconductor demand.
But even before the blog post, a survey by UBS Group found that 60% of businesses were already routing some tasks to more efficient AI models to reduce costs. These models typically consume less computing power than those from labs like Anthropic and OpenAI, so this trend could become a headwind for semiconductor demand in the future.
Broadcom stock isn't cheap Given Broadcom's market cap is already $1.71 trillion, its stock only needs to climb by 17% for the company to rejoin the $2 trillion club. However, valuation could stand in the way of even that modest gain, at least in the near term.
Based on Broadcom's trailing 12-month revenue, its stock is trading at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 19.5, almost double its 10-year average of 10.6. The stock appears much cheaper on a forward basis if we rely solely on Tan's AI revenue estimates for fiscal 2027 and fiscal 2028, which could pave the way for upside. But if the company doesn't hit those numbers, then the stock might actually decline over the next 12 to 24 months instead.
AVGO PS Ratio data by YCharts
Broadcom's next two or three quarterly reports might determine whether or not it rejoins the $2 trillion club in 2027. If investors see that the company is on track to meet its AI revenue targets, they might feel confident enough to buy its stock despite its high trailing P/S ratio.
Broadcom potřebuje k dosažení cíle 115 mld. USD tržeb z AI v roce 2027 jen přibližně 12% mezikvartální růst, což je výrazně méně než v posledních čtvrtletích.
SummaryBroadcom Inc. maintains a Strong Buy rating, with robust AI revenue growth and a clear path to its $115B 2027 target.AVGO needs only ~12% quarterly AI revenue growth to hit 2027 goals, a marked slowdown from recent quarters, suggesting achievable targets.Networking, comprising ~27% of AI revenue, is poised to grow as fast as custom chips, supporting margins and diversified exposure.Significant lending to AI customers like Anthropic and OpenAI introduces risk, but AVGO's strong cash flow and balance sheet provide a cushion. Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images
Back in September, I argued that Broadcom Inc.'s (AVGO) AI demand story had survived the slowdown scare. But the stock is still about 28% below its record close of about $480 on June 2, 2026.
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Šéf Broadcomu Hock Tan varoval, že mnozí investoři nerozumějí svým investicím a mají kasinová očekávání, zejména pokud jde o firmy zaměřené na AI, které nejsou ziskové.
It pays to listen to anything Warren Buffett or Hock Tan, CEO of Broadcom (AVGO -2.07%), says about the state of the market, but when they say it together, you can be confident that there's a lot of truth behind it.
Last May, Warren Buffett likened the current market to gambling in a CNBC interview, saying it was like "a church with a casino attached," and he followed up in July, saying, "It's tough to find values when everybody is preferring gambling."
This week, Tan echoed that at an event in Singapore. "A lot of investors have no clue what they are investing in," he said, according to Bloomberg, and they "set very extreme expectations only to find out that it's almost like they are in a casino."
Here's why they're concerned, and what you can do today.
Is there an AI bubble? Concerns are rising as the stock market continues to advance, driven by AI stocks and confidence in private companies like OpenAI and Anthropic. There's a buoyant feeling about the future of the technology, but spending is reaching $1 trillion according to many estimates, and the confidence is based on expected earnings that don't exist today.
Image source: Getty images.
Tan noted that OpenAI has a $50 billion run rate, which would seem to be a viable business, but it hasn't figured out how to turn that into earnings. For now, it's spending a lot of money on training, and many users are short-term; to become a real business, Tan says it needs to find clients who will become long-term revenue streams.
"When you are a kid, you go to a video arcade, you play. Your parents give you $10 of tokens, you finish it in 10 minutes, and you haven't learned anything," Tan noted. "That's what's happening in enterprises today."
While these companies are trying to become profitable, they're spending ever-increasing amounts of money. Eventually, those sources could dry up, and if they haven't figured out how to turn a profit before that, their businesses could implode.
Over-confident investors Not all AI stocks are astronomically expensive, and many are highly profitable. Broadcom stock trades at a P/E ratio of 45, which is well below its five-year average of 60, and looks attractive for a fast-growing chip stock. Broadcom has a gross margin of 67% and an operating margin of 54%. It's a major AI player, providing high-speed networking equipment and custom AI accelerators, but it has a diversified business and revenue streams.
AVGO Broadcom$339.07-$7.18 (-2.07%)
NASDAQ · As of 1:07 PM ET 10/15/26
However, investors poured into the Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX -3.82%) initial public offering (IPO), and that stock trades at 68 times trailing-12-month sales despite being unprofitable. (Elon Musk responded to Tan's warning saying, "No crying in the casino.") Anthropic, maker of the Claude AI model, has a $65 billion run rate as of July. It's expected to go public in November, and according to reports, it's aiming for a $2 trillion valuation.
Companies like Amazon and Alphabet have been disappointing investors with their rising capital expenditure (capex) figures, claiming that they need to invest today to stay competitive and be ready for a future windfall. Both are reporting negative free cash flow as their capex skyrockets.
AMZN Free Cash Flow (Quarterly) data by YCharts
What you can do today There's no way to know what will happen next or when the situation might change, but I wouldn't ignore Buffett's and Tan's warnings. If you are highly exposed to AI, it might be time to trade some of your positions for more defensive stocks.
And if you're still buying, I'd lean toward stocks like Broadcom that are highly profitable and have businesses beyond AI.
Nvidia dominates AI compute, but hyperscalers are quietly shifting billions toward a rival chip architecture that costs less than half as much per workload. One semiconductor giant is positioned to capture that spending, and its valuation still hasn't caught up…
Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO | AVGO Price Prediction) is turning custom AI chips into the fastest-growing revenue stream in large-cap semiconductors. Based on our proprietary model, the 24/7 Wall St. price target for Broadcom is $425.56 over the next 12 months. That means 19.97% upside from the current $354.73.
24/7 Wall St. Price Target Summary
Metric
Value
Current Price
$354.73
24/7 Wall St. Price Target
$425.56
Upside/Downside
19.97%
Recommendation
BUY
Confidence Level
90%
Broadcom has delivered a 9th consecutive EPS beat, guided AI semiconductor revenue to $21.70B next quarter, and trades at a forward multiple below what its growth rate suggests.
NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) still owns general-purpose AI compute. Broadcom is building the custom-silicon and Ethernet layer that hyperscalers and AI labs are using to lower their cost per workload, and that is where I see the next leg of AI value creation.
Broadcom Shares Stall While AI Revenue Triples
The stock has fallen 2.07% over the past week and 1.76% over the past month, and it is up just 3.13% year to date. It sits between a 52-week low of $288.95 and a high of $493.28. This week chip stocks slid after a “casino” comment by Broadcom’s chief executive, which added to sector volatility.
Fiscal Q3 revenue of $29.59B beat the $29.44B estimate and rose 85.5% YoY. Non-GAAP EPS of $3.32 exceeded the $3.24 estimate. AI semiconductor revenue reached $16.70B, up 221% YoY.
Why Bulls See $535 and Beyond
The bull case reaches $535.59, which is close to the consensus target. Of the analysts covering Broadcom, 7 rate it Strong Buy, 40 Buy and 3 Hold, with zero Sells.
Management expects fiscal 2027 AI revenue of approximately $115 billion and has line of sight to $230 billion in fiscal 2028. Hock Tan said Broadcom is “very much on target to exceed $30 in earnings per share in fiscal 2028.”
Anthropic is expected to become Broadcom’s largest XPU customer in 2027. Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL), OpenAI and Meta (NASDAQ:META) are scaling custom accelerators that management says cost “less than half the cost” of a GPU.
Risks That Could Cap Broadcom Near $376
The bear case sits at $375.91. Broadcom has only six XPU customers, and deployments depend on customers securing land, power and data center shells. Gross margin fell 210 basis points sequentially to 75%.
That drop reflects the higher memory content in XPUs, and operating margin still hit a record 67.9%. Debt totals $59.6 billion, though Broadcom paid down $5.6 billion last quarter. Residual value guarantees linked to AI lab financing are a potential risk worth tracking.
How Broadcom Compares to NVIDIA and AMD
NVIDIA is the benchmark Broadcom’s XPUs aim to undercut, and it competes directly in AI networking. Its Data Center Networking revenue reached $40.31 billion, up 138%, and the stock trades near 46 times trailing earnings.
AMD (NASDAQ:AMD) competes for the same hyperscaler AI budgets. Its Data Center revenue grew 107%, but it trades at about 224 times trailing earnings.
Company
P/E
Latest Quarter Revenue Growth
Broadcom
19x (forward)
85.5%
NVIDIA
46x (trailing)
105.85%
AMD
224x (trailing)
50.11%
Broadcom grows faster than AMD and trades at a far lower multiple than either peer. Against this group, our 24/7 Wall St. price target looks conservative.
Broadcom Earns a Buy Rating at $355
I rate Broadcom a buy with a 24/7 Wall St. price target of $425.56 and 90% confidence. What tips the scale is the visibility on fiscal 2027 AI revenue, which management says is supported by secured supply.
The bull case strengthens if Broadcom delivers its Q4 AI guide. It weakens if data center power delays push customer deployments into 2028. (The features that showed up in the last generation of monster chip winners are the same ones we cataloged in a free playbook here: The Next Nvidia Playbook.)
Broadcom Price Prediction 2026-2030
Our model projects where Broadcom could trade if current growth trends hold.
Year
24/7 Wall St. Price Target (Base)
Bull Case
2026
$355.25
$358.15
2027
$427.82
$509.87
2028
$491.28
$617.36
2029
$528.88
$735.75
2030
$584.38
$861.88
These estimates rely on Broadcom keeping execution on its XPU roadmap on track. The biggest swing factors are faster gigawatt deployments at Anthropic and OpenAI on the upside and customer concentration on the downside.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Největší brzdou rozšiřování datových center pro AI se stává kapitál. Vlastní čipy XPU mohou snížit náklady; Amazon očekává, že Trainium ročně ušetří desítky miliard USD na CAPEX.
There's a lot that goes into building new AI data centers. Companies need to secure a site, ensure it can supply it with enough power and water to run thousands of servers and keep them cool, and build the structure itself. Only then can it start installing racks full of AI chips and networking equipment.
As the industry looks to build as fast as possible to support the growing demand for AI computing, it's faced several challenges. Ensuring there's enough power to run each data center is a challenge. Meanwhile, wafer shortages have impacted the entire semiconductor industry. Memory chips have been in particularly short supply, as the three biggest memory chipmakers hesitated to expand production capacity, fearing another big cyclical downturn.
Despite the supply chain challenges for building new data centers, hyperscalers and other AI data center companies could face an even bigger bottleneck, according to the CEOs of Broadcom (AVGO -3.10%) and Intel: capital. Long lead times and massive price tags for data centers means capital constraints could be holding back some companies from building as fast as they want.
Here are the companies that can benefit the most.
Image source: Getty Images.
The biggest companies are starting to feel the pinch of building The biggest hyperscalers are facing negative free cash flow as they continue to increase their AI spending.
Alphabet (GOOG -1.68%) (GOOGL -1.74%), for example, reported negative free cash flow for the first time as a public company last quarter. That free cash flow challenge is expected to get much worse in 2027, and it's raised capital in the debt and equity markets to fund its future build-out.
Amazon (AMZN -1.74%) saw its trailing-12-month free cash flow dip into negative territory last quarter. Management cited a $66.1 billion increase in capital expenditures as the reason why.
Meta Platforms, Oracle, and Microsoft are all in similar boats, although Microsoft intends to remain cash flow positive.
Premium Feature
Moneyball Superscore
90/100
Today's Change
(
-1.74
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-6.14
Current Price
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Negative free cash flow combined with rising interest rates means companies could face challenges raising enough capital to keep building. The problem is much more pronounced for neoclouds and the leading AI labs, which don't have other sources of revenue or the creditworthiness to support the massive loans needed to continue their build-outs.
Both Nvidia and Broadcom have taken the approach of securing financing for their customers to ensure they can keep buying. That comes with additional risks, but it also creates loyal customers and helps solve the biggest bottleneck for some. Still, the best way to overcome the financing challenge is to reduce the cost of building new data centers in the first place.
The biggest winners There aren't many ways to reduce the cost of standing up data centers and installing new hardware. The biggest cost is the chips themselves, though, and there's a clear shift going on there. The biggest hyperscalers along with OpenAI and Anthropic are using custom silicon for a growing share of their computing.
Custom chips, or XPUs, come with much lower upfront costs and can deliver better price-performance on specific tasks. That said, GPUs are more flexible and offer superior processing capabilities for many tasks, so a certain number are necessary for a complete cloud computing platform offering.
Using XPUs can save cloud platforms a lot of cash. During Amazon's first-quarter earnings call, CEO Andy Jassy explained the potential savings from its custom Trainium chips. "At scale, we expect Trainium will save us tens of billions of dollars of capex each year and provide several hundred basis points of operating margin advantage versus relying on other chips for inference," he said.
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Moneyball Superscore
92/100
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The head of Google Cloud, Thomas Kurian, said the payback period on its custom TPU servers is half that of its average server. While the chips may be more power efficient, the bulk of that accelerated payback likely comes from lower upfront capital needs.
As such, I expect XPU makers to be some of the biggest beneficiaries as companies look to keep capital spending in check. Broadcom is the market leader in XPU chips, but smaller competitors like Marvell Technology (MRVL -8.72%) could also see rapid growth as XPU sales outpace those of GPUs and other chips. While Marvell is expected to grow slightly faster, Broadcom sits in a very strong position with leading AI labs and hyperscalers, and its stock trades for half the price on a forward P/E basis.
Adam Levy has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Broadcom, Meta Platforms, and Microsoft. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Broadcom, Intel, Marvell Technology, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Oracle. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Broadcom stock has remained under pressure in the past few months, even as the artificial intelligence (AI) boom has accelerated. It has slumped from a record high of $492 to the current $354, with its market capitalization falling from $2.29 trillion to the current $1.69 trillion. Technicals suggest that the stock may drop further in the near term.
AVGO stock has dipped since June, even as the company continued doing well amid the ongoing artificial intelligence (AI) boom. This boom has helped it make some big announcements with some of the top players in the sector.
It reached a 10 GW deal with OpenAI worth about $300 billion. This deal will see it create the new Jalapeno chips that will compete with those made by companies like Nvidia and AMD.
Broadcom also reached a deal with Google for work on its TPU chips. This partnership is expected to run through 2031. Additionally, it has major partnerships with companies like Anthropic and Meta Platforms.
Broadcom also inked a deal with Apollo and Blackstone targeting about 20 GW of deployments through 2028. It also expanded its business with Apple. In July, it expanded this partnership to 2031 in a deal worth $30 billion.
These partnerships have made it one of the fastest-growing companies in the industry. Its semiconductor AI revenue jumped by 143% in the second quarter to $10.8 billion. As a result, the consolidated revenue jumped by 48% to $22.2 billion, with its adjusted EBITDA reaching $15.2 billion.
Analysts expect that Broadcom’s business will continue growing. The average estimate is that its quarterly revenue jumped by 93.6% to $34.9 billion, with its annual revenue expected to hit $105.96 billion. This revenue will then hit $173 billion next year.
Analysts are also optimistic about its stock’s performance. Piper Sandler’s David O’Connor upgraded the stock’s target to $460, while Citic Securities hiked from $450 to $525. Citigroup’s Atif Malic hiked the target from $500 to $515, while BNP Paribas increased from $675 to $715.
A key challenge is that it is highly overvalued, with the forward price-to-earnings ratio sitting at 31, much higher than the sector median of 23.
AVGO stock chart | Source: TradingView
The daily chart shows that the AVGO stock price has been in a strong sell-off in the past few months. This sell-off moved from a high of $492 in June to the current $354.
A closer look shows that the stock is about to form a death cross as its 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) are nearing a crossover. This pattern often leads to further downside over time.
The stock has dropped below the Supertrend indicator, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved below the neutral level of 50. It has also formed a horizontal channel, which is part of a bearish flag pattern.
Therefore, the stock will likely have a bearish breakout, with the next target to watch being the psychological level of $300. This view will be confirmed if it moves below the key support level of $336, its lowest level in September.
Generální ředitel Broadcomu Hock Tan varoval, že nedostatek kapitálu by mohl být dalším omezujícím faktorem pro AI. Firma však v aktuálním čtvrtletí zvýšila výhled tržeb z AI na 21,7 mld. USD.
Broadcom's CEO stood before a room of investors and called them casino gamblers, then turned around and raised his own AI revenue guidance. The contradiction points to three separate warnings buried in one panel appearance, and the most dangerous one…
“A lot of investors have no clue what they are investing in,” Hock Tan, chief executive of Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO | AVGO Price Prediction), said at an event in Singapore. Investors, he noted, “set very extreme expectations only to find out that it’s almost like they are in a casino.”
Broadcom fell 1.88% on the session to close at $354.73, leaving the $1.69 trillion chipmaker about 28% below its 52-week high of $495.00.
The man warning about excess is also guiding his own AI revenue sharply higher. Both positions hold, because Tan sells custom chips to a handful of hyperscalers under multi-year programs, and his warning targets everyone downstream of that order book.
Three Separate Warnings Hidden in One Panel The first concerns investors who cannot explain what they own. His words were “a lot of” and “many,” a qualified claim about part of the market.
The second concerns enterprises. He compared corporate AI pilots to a video arcade, where $10 is gone in 10 minutes, and the spending teaches companies little.
The third is the most specific: a capital shortage could overtake chips and memory as the industry’s next constraint. Mentioning AI data center company Firmus pulling its IPO in the week of October 5, 2026, he noted that fellow panelists, including the chief executives of Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) and DBS, echoed the capital crunch concern.
The capital warning carries the most weight because the AI buildout runs on outside money; data centers are paid for with debt, private credit, and equity raised against revenue that often does not exist yet.
If financing tightens, orders stop before the chips run out. A single pulled IPO is a small signal, but funding stress usually surfaces first in deals like that one.
Broadcom is directly exposed to this risk: on its September 2, 2026 call, management said future customer financing arrangements may include residual value guarantees or backstops.
Broadcom’s Read-Through AI semiconductor revenue reached $16.7 billion last quarter, up 221%, and management guided $21.7 billion for the current quarter. Tan expects about $58 billion this fiscal year and $230 billion in fiscal 2028.
Custom silicon is signed years ahead and is among the last spending a hyperscaler cuts. The bear case is concentration: Broadcom has six XPU customers, and if two or three slow down, there is nowhere to redirect the capacity. Broadcom sits further upstream of the excess, which delays any damage if spending slows but offers no protection.
What Tan Left Unsaid Tan has a reason to talk down expectations he will later be measured against. On the September call, he told an analyst, “Whatever I tell you, you guys go on and print a bigger number.”
On OpenAI, whose reported annualized revenue is about $50 billion, he said, “for now it’s still losing money because they’re spending a lot on training,” and added, “frankly, it doesn’t tell anything at this point except that there is a lot of potential revenue growth.” He also did not cut guidance, flag order cancellations, or describe weakness in Broadcom’s own book.
Should You Buy or Sell AVGO Stock The evidence leans toward the bull case for the business. Tan described a valuation problem among investors and a financing problem among builders, and neither has yet reached Broadcom’s signed orders.
With shares about 28% below the high while guidance rises, the market already discounts part of the forecast, which limits how much of the outlook is priced in.
The trigger to check is financing. If another large private AI infrastructure raise is pulled, or Broadcom’s next quarterly filing shows expanded backstop exposure, the bull case weakens because the capital crunch Tan described will have reached his own customers.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
SummaryBroadcom remains a buy as its AI semiconductor revenue surges, supported by deep engineering partnerships with Google, OpenAI, and Meta.AVGO's 3.5D XDSiP platform and advanced chip packaging expertise are critical as Moore's Law slows and customers demand ever-larger, more complex silicon.Despite a drop in gross margin to 73–75% due to memory content, operating margins remain robust at 66%, driven by volume and leverage.At $361.54, AVGO trades at 18.7x FY2027 EPS estimates, offering reasonable valuation if AI revenue and earnings growth targets are met. Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images
I last covered Broadcom (AVGO) in July, when the stock was at $398.50. It is now at $361.54, down about 9%. Not a great call so far, although the AI business has grown considerably since then.
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Společnost Broadcom představila VMware HyperArmor pro ochranu hypervizoru VMware ESX ve VMware Cloud Foundation, včetně virtuálního záplatování bez nutnosti restartu a vícefaktorového ověřování.
PALO ALTO, Calif., Oct. 13, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO), a global technology leader that designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions, today introduced VMware HyperArmor, a new software solution to help further protect the VMware ESX hypervisor component of VMware Cloud Foundation (VCF) against the exponential increase in cyber attack sophistication by closing exposure windows without disrupting the workloads that depend on the host.
"Frontier AI has changed the three V's of cybersecurity threats - the volume, velocity, and variety. When attacks come at machine speed, reactive detection and patching are no longer enough," said Paul Turner, chief product officer, VMware Cloud Foundation Division, Broadcom. "VMware HyperArmor takes a different approach by allowing only what is 'known good' to run on the host. With VMware vDefend already delivering virtual patching capabilities for the network layer of VMware Cloud Foundation, VMware HyperArmor now expands that protection around the hypervisor component itself."
As AI-accelerated threats grow in scale and sophistication, the threat surface now extends across every layer of the infrastructure stack including the hypervisor. Two problems account for most hypervisor attacks: stolen root credentials and unpatched vulnerabilities. VMware HyperArmor addresses both problems, with support for VMware ESX 8.x and later releases, as follows:
Virtual patching for VCF’s ESX Component Host Environment. HyperArmor delivers host-layer virtual patching to shield ESX by detecting and blocking attempted malicious actions within the host nodes before any vulnerabilities can be exploited. These host-level virtual patching capabilities complement the network-layer virtual patching available for VCF via VMware vDefend. Because virtual patching of ESX does not require host reboots or software upgrades to mitigate vulnerabilities, security teams will benefit from dramatically reduced risk windows and IT teams gain more operational flexibility to test and apply official patches on the schedule they prefer.Positive Host Security Guardrails. HyperArmor protects the host at the infrastructure layer, with no agents inside guest virtual machines (VMs). An ESX host runs a small, fixed set of processes. HyperArmor establishes a positive security baseline and automatically blocks any unauthorized executable or script. HyperArmor takes an inventory of scripts already on the host and allows them automatically, and administrators can approve new ones. The result is continuous monitoring and compliance enforcement with minimal performance overhead.Hypervisor-level multi-factor authentication (MFA). HyperArmor integrates MFA functionality directly into the ESX SSH login path. Logging in requires two steps: standard SSH credentials, followed by a secondary time-based one-time password challenge tied to a separately defined identity. Even if an attacker obtains the root password through phishing or credential leaks, they cannot reach the command line without that second factor.
“Attackers are using automation and AI to exploit infrastructure weaknesses faster than most organizations can patch, which means layered defense must extend all the way to the hypervisor as the foundation of the private cloud,” said Stephen Elliot, Group Vice President, Software Development and IT Operations, IDC. “Technology leaders should prioritize preventive controls that help shrink exposure windows without disrupting production, and approaches that harden the virtualization layer natively rather than relying on external agents or post-incident detection.”
Defense in Depth Across VMware Cloud Foundation
VMware HyperArmor works alongside the broader security capabilities in VMware Cloud Foundation to deliver an integrated and multi-layered approach. VMware Cloud Foundation is hardened out of the box with key capabilities that include centralized identity management, data-at-rest and data-in-transit encryption, and VMware vSphere live patching, which applies critical updates to the hypervisor without taking workloads down or placing hosts into full maintenance mode. VMware HyperArmor adds a proactive layer of protection for the hypervisor by blocking process execution exploits and credential theft. VMware vDefend delivers strong lateral security with micro-segmentation and advanced threat detection and prevention for VCF workloads, which uses deep traffic inspection to block emerging exploits and to deliver network-level virtual patching. VMware Avi Load Balancer provides web application and API protection (WAAP) for securing web and API traffic. Together, these layers give customers defense in depth across the infrastructure, network, and hypervisor.
Additional Resources
Read “Proactive Defense: Enhancing Hypervisor Security in the AI Era,” a blog from Prashanth Shenoy, VCF Division, BroadcomLearn more about VMware HyperArmorLearn more about VMware Cloud FoundationFollow VMware Cloud Foundation social channels on LinkedIn, X, formerly known as Twitter and YouTube About Broadcom
Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) is a technology leader that designs, develops, and supplies semiconductors and infrastructure software for global organizations' complex, mission-critical needs. Broadcom combines long-term R&D investment with superb execution to deliver the best technology, at scale. Broadcom is a Delaware corporation headquartered in Palo Alto, CA. For more information, visit www.broadcom.com.
Broadcom, the pulse logo, and Connecting everything are among the trademarks of Broadcom. The term "Broadcom" refers to Broadcom Inc., and/or its subsidiaries. Other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Media Contact:
Roger T. Fortier
VMware Cloud Foundation Division, Broadcom
+1.408.348.1569 [email protected]
Broadcom competes with Nvidia without selling a single GPU to the general market, and that unusual strategy has locked in hyperscaler contracts stretching years into the future. Whether the stock has already priced in that advantage is the question worth…
The 24/7 Wall St. price target for Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO | AVGO Price Prediction) is $427.99 over the next 12 months. With the stock at $363.07, that works out to 17.9% upside. I rate it a buy, and my confidence is high.
Metric Value Current Price $363.07 Price Target from 24/7 Wall St. $427.99 Upside 17.9% Recommendation BUY Confidence Level 90% Broadcom’s AI business runs on a different model from Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA). Nvidia sells merchant GPUs to everyone.
Broadcom co-designs custom accelerators (XPUs) and the Ethernet networking that connects them for a small group of hyperscalers and frontier labs, under multi-generation contracts. That model trades breadth for visibility, and the visibility now runs well into 2028.
Record AI Revenue, but Shares Sit 26% Below the High The stock gained 5.65% over the past week and is up 5.48% year to date. It sits 26.4% below its 52-week high of $493.28 and 25.7% off its low of $288.95.
The fundamentals have outrun the stock. Fiscal third-quarter revenue rose 85.5% to $29.59 billion, ahead of the $29.44 billion consensus. Non-GAAP EPS of $3.32 exceeded the $3.24 estimate.
AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% to $16.70 billion, and fourth-quarter guidance calls for $21.7 billion in AI sales on total revenue of about $34.8 billion.
Why Bulls See $535 Within Reach Management has repeated fiscal 2027 AI revenue guidance of in excess of $100 billion, and second-quarter AI bookings exceeded $30 billion. The customer roster keeps growing.
It includes a long-term Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL) TPU agreement, 5 gigawatts of computing power for Anthropic beginning in 2027, an OpenAI program targeting 10 gigawatts by 2029, and 3 gigawatts for Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) through 2028.
On the June earnings call, Hock Tan said “Demand for XPUs and networking is simply insatiable.” Wall Street’s consensus target stands at $531.31, with 40 Buy and 7 Strong Buy ratings. The bull case is $535.73.
Concentration and Margin Mix Are the Risks Worth Watching A handful of customers drive the AI business, and Tan acknowledged that Google expects “some diversity of sources.” Gross margin was 77.1% in the second quarter, and management guided it toward roughly 74% as lower-margin TPUs ramp.
Management described this as product mix rather than a structural decline, while semiconductor operating margin expanded to 62%. Debt and dependence on outside foundries also add risk. The bear case is $377.61.
Broadcom Trades Cheaper Than Nvidia and AMD Nvidia is the merchant GPU leader that Broadcom’s custom chips compete with directly. Shares trade at about 25x forward earnings, against roughly 19x for Broadcom.
AMD (NASDAQ:AMD), the other merchant accelerator supplier, trades near 40x while growing revenue more slowly than Broadcom.
Company Forward P/E Quarterly Revenue Growth (YoY) Broadcom 19x 85.5% Nvidia 25x 105.9% AMD 40x 50.1% Broadcom carries the lowest multiple of the three. Next to these peers, the 24/7 Wall St. price target looks conservative.
Broadcom Price Prediction 2026-2030 The 24/7 Wall St. price target of $427.99 carries 90% confidence. Multi-year gigawatt commitments priced at a discount to peers support the rating. The outlook improves if the OpenAI and Meta ramps stay on schedule into 2027. Risks grow if Google moves meaningful TPU volume to other suppliers.
Here is where our model projects Broadcom could trade if current growth trends hold.
Year Price Target from 24/7 Wall St. 2026 $379.32 2027 $427.99 2028 $477.17 2029 $531.99 2030 $593.12 The projections rely on Broadcom continuing to execute its custom silicon strategy.
Faster gigawatt deployments could push results higher, while hyperscaler capex cuts could pull them lower. All of that gigawatt expansion still has to be powered, cooled, and networked by someone, and we highlighted seven suppliers riding that wave in a free AI infrastructure report.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Banky připravují pro Anthropic dluhové financování ve výši 60 miliard USD na infrastrukturu AI s akcelerátory Broadcom; Broadcom má částečně ručit za seniorní úvěry v objemu 42 miliard USD.
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.
$289.96▼
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45.50
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Anthropic’s confidential IPO prospectus, seen by Reuters, showed that the company has about $161 billion in commitments related to semiconductor giant Broadcom NASDAQ: AVGO. This adds weight to Broadcom’s assessment that Anthropic is on track to become its largest XPU customer next year. However, this commitment also requires substantial outside financing, given Anthropic’s still-developing profitability relative to the scale of its infrastructure obligations.
Investors recently received more details on just how much funding Anthropic will require to become Broadcom’s largest XPU buyer. For Broadcom, the rising level of financing exposure tied to its relationship with Anthropic raises the stakes for Anthropic’s much-anticipated IPO.
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$60 Billion Debt Package Raises the StakesBroadcom, alongside private equity firms Apollo Global Management NYSE: APO and Blackstone NYSE: BX, has formed its “AI XPV." This is a funding vehicle where Apollo and Blackstone provide capital for AI racks built around Broadcom-designed accelerators, while Anthropic makes lease payments over time. The first tranche of this vehicle is worth a hefty $35 billion. However, Broadcom’s financing exposure tied to Anthropic doesn’t stop there.
Several banks have reportedly begun syndicating a separate $60 billion debt package. The package would help finance Anthropic’s deployment of AI infrastructure tied to Broadcom-backed accelerators, with Broadcom receiving payment as the equipment is deployed and Anthropic making lease payments over time. The package contains multiple key parts.
The first is a set of senior secured loans worth approximately $42 billion. “Secured” means that some form of collateral exists, so that if Anthropic defaults, lenders receive an asset they can sell.
This is similar to a mortgage, where if a homeowner can no longer make payments, the bank takes possession of the property and can resell it to recoup its losses. Based on the structure of the AI XPV agreement, the AI racks are likely collateral. If Anthropic cannot pay, Broadcom could arrange to sell the racks to other customers to help repay lenders.
Broadcom is also expected to provide partial guarantees for these loans. This suggests that if, after reselling the racks, lenders still have not been fully repaid, Broadcom will use its cash to make up the difference. However, it is unclear how much of the $42 billion loan Broadcom has guaranteed.
Nonetheless, this $42 billion is 20% larger than the already large $35 billion first AI XPV tranche, showing how Broadcom’s support for Anthropic is rapidly expanding. This makes Anthropic’s continued growth ever more important to Broadcom, realizing the best possible return on these rack sales.
How Junior Debt and Convertibles Come Into PlayThe $60 billion package also includes $18 billion worth of junior loans. This means that in the event of default, lenders purchasing these loans can only receive payment after the $42 billion senior loans have received their full payment. Additionally, Broadcom is not expected to guarantee the junior tranche, limiting its financial liability should Anthropic default.
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46.4% Upside
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1.02 N/A
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Ideally, Broadcom would not provide guarantees for any of the loans discussed, as it would then not have the risk of having to make lenders whole. However, this would also damage demand for the loans and thereby Anthropic’s ability to purchase its chips. Broadcom’s strong cash generation and investment-grade credit profile can help make guaranteed financing more attractive to lenders.
There is another wrinkle to be aware of: convertible notes. Anthropic may issue convertible notes to Broadcom with a principal amount of up to $42 billion to fund its lease payments. Essentially, Broadcom would purchase these notes, providing Anthropic with funds to make lease payments should this become necessary.
These notes may accrue interest that Anthropic must pay Broadcom, alongside repaying the principal. Additionally, Broadcom could “convert” the notes into shares of Anthropic, giving it ownership in the company. However, a convertible issuance would likely occur only if Anthropic faced difficulty paying its lease obligations: an overall negative outcome for Broadcom.
Anthropic Reportedly Eyes Pre-Thanksgiving IPO; A Key Broadcom Watch ItemUltimately, Broadcom wants Anthropic to continue scaling and for rack resales and convertible note issuance to never occur. This is why Anthropic’s financials are among the most important watch items for Broadcom stock. Unfortunately, at this point, updates on Anthropic’s financials are sporadic and often come through industry reports rather than directly from the firm.
In turn, the release of Anthropic’s official IPO documents will be a critical point for reassessing Broadcom’s outlook. Encouragingly, investors may not have to wait much longer to receive this information. Anthropic is reportedly targeting a public debut as soon as mid-November, potentially before Thanksgiving. Still, it’s worth noting that this marks a delay relative to previous expectations that Anthropic’s IPO could occur as soon as October, suggesting potential further delays.
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In 2016, the Singapore-based chipmaker Avago acquired the U.S. chipmaker Broadcom (AVGO +0.39%) for $37 billion, inheriting its brand. Over the following decade, it relocated its headquarters to the U.S., expanded its infrastructure software business with several major acquisitions, and launched more custom AI chips for hyperscalers.
From fiscal 2016 to fiscal 2025 (which ended last November), Broadcom's revenue grew at a 19% CAGR. Over the past ten years, its stock delivered a total return of 2,580% with reinvested dividends, outperforming the S&P 500's (^GSPC +0.59%) total return of 327%. Let's see what a $5,000 investment in Broadcom might be worth by 2032.
Image source: Getty Images.
What are Broadcom's biggest catalysts? In fiscal 2025, Broadcom generated 58% of its revenue from its semiconductor solutions segment and the remaining 42% from its infrastructure software segment. Here's how those two businesses fared over the past two and a half years.
Growth (YOY)
FY 2024
FY 2025
Q1 2026
Q2 2026
Semiconductor Solutions Revenue
7%
22%
52%
79%
Infrastructure Software Revenue
181%
26%
1%
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Data source: Broadcom. YOY = Year-over-year.
Broadcom's semiconductor business sells a wide range of chips for the mobile device, data center, networking, wireless, storage, and industrial chip markets. But over the past two years, it ramped up its production of custom application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) for processing AI tasks. When deployed at scale, these custom AI accelerators (XPUs) can process AI inference tasks more cost-efficiently than stand-alone GPUs.
As the AI market expanded, Alphabet's Google, Meta Platforms, OpenAI, Anthropic, and other AI software giants bought more of Broadcom's custom ASICs to curb their dependence on Nvidia's (NVDA -0.52%) GPUs.
That's why its AI chip sales soared 65% to $20 billion, or 31% of its top line, in fiscal 2025. It expects that figure to surge to $115 billion by fiscal 2027. That would represent two-thirds of its projected revenue and easily offset its slower sales of non-AI chips and infrastructure software.
Broadcom also sells high-speed Ethernet switch ASICs and optical interconnect components, which are essential for supporting AI clusters at data centers. Therefore, its soaring sales of custom AI chips will boost its sales of other AI infrastructure products.
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However, Broadcom's infrastructure software business -- which includes CA's enterprise software, VMware's cloud platform, and Symantec's former enterprise security division -- gives it even more ways to lock in its semiconductor customers with bundled services. Its stable growth should also insulate it from a cyclical slowdown in semiconductor sales.
Where will Broadcom's stock be in 2032? Broadcom's business could transform as sales of its custom AI chips soar. From fiscal 2025 to fiscal 2028, analysts expect its revenue and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) to grow at CAGRs of 62% and 63%, respectively. Those are stellar growth rates for a stock that trades at 14 times next year's adjusted EBITDA.
According to Market Research Future, the global AI market could expand at a 38.5% CAGR from 2026 to 2035, while the global AI chip market could grow at a 33.7% CAGR from 2025 to 2035. If Broadcom keeps up with those secular trends, its stock could soar even higher.
If Broadcom matches Wall Street's expectations through fiscal 2028, grows its adjusted EBITDA at a 30% CAGR through fiscal 2033, and trades at a more generous 25 times its forward adjusted EBITDA, its stock could rise nearly tenfold by 2032 and turn a $5,000 investment into over $50,000.
That rally would propel Broadcom's market cap to over $17 trillion. By comparison, Nvidia -- the world's most valuable company -- is currently worth $5.6 trillion. That would certainly be a best-case scenario for Broadcom, but its stock could still easily double or triple in value even if its growth cools off over the next six years.
Tržby Broadcomu z čipů pro AI ve třetím fiskálním čtvrtletí meziročně vzrostly o 221 % na 16,7 miliardy USD; ve čtvrtém čtvrtletí firma očekává tržby ve výši 21,7 miliardy USD.
A $10,000 stake in Broadcom a decade ago grew into a life-changing sum, but the company that delivered those gains barely resembles the one investors face today. Whether AI demand can fuel another historic run depends on factors Broadcom itself…
Over the past decade, Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO | AVGO Price Prediction) shares rose 2636.4%, from a split-adjusted $13.56 to $370.95 in premarket trading. That run turned a $10,000 stake into $273,640. The forecast model’s scenarios start from a price of $377.92.
Broadcom has become one of the main suppliers of custom AI chips, so the obvious question is what $10,000 invested now could be worth by 2031.
What $10,000 Could Become by 2031 In the base case, a $10,000 investment in Broadcom could be worth roughly $16,354 by 2031, representing a total return of 63.54%. The modeled five-year share price of $618.07 implies an annualized return of 10.34%. The model’s confidence score is 0.9, which it classifies as high.
So can the last decade repeat? Even the most optimistic outcome gets a $10,000 stake to $22,730, well short of a quarter-million dollars. Broadcom’s market cap is now about $1.79 trillion, and a company that large has a much harder time compounding at the pace it managed when it was smaller.
Bull, Base and Bear Scenarios for a $10,000 Stake Scenario (2031) Target Price Total Return Value of $10,000 Bull $859.01 127.3% $22,730 Base $618.07 63.54% $16,354 Bear $449.99 19.07% $11,907 The one-year projection extends through 2027. It points to $536.52 in the bull case ($14,197), $441.06 in the base case ($11,671) and $386.76 if conditions turn unfavorable ($10,234).
AI Chip Demand Driving the Forecast AI Revenue Is Accelerating Fiscal third-quarter AI semiconductor revenue was $16.7 billion, up 221% from a year earlier. Total revenue reached $29.59B, ahead of estimates, and non-GAAP EPS of $3.32 beat the $3.24 estimate. Management guided fourth-quarter AI revenue to $21.7 billion.
It also laid out AI semiconductor revenue of roughly $115 billion in fiscal 2027 and $230 billion in fiscal 2028. On the call, Hock Tan said Broadcom is “very much on target to exceed $30 in earnings per share in fiscal 2028.”
Large AI Labs Are Committing Management expects Anthropic to become Broadcom’s largest custom accelerator customer in 2027. OpenAI’s first-generation Jalapeno chip is on track for a 1.3 gigawatt deployment that year.
Tan said “Our demand actually exceeds this outlook and we will work to improve supply.” AI networking adds a second engine: Broadcom has taped out Tomahawk 7, which it calls the industry’s first 200-terabit-per-second Ethernet switch.
Wall Street Is Firmly Bullish Analysts rate the stock 7 Strong Buy, 40 Buy and 3 Hold, with no Sell ratings. Their consensus target of $531.31 is above the model’s base case for the next year.
Shares trade at 46x trailing earnings but only 19x forward earnings, so the price already assumes much of the expected growth.
Risks That Could Shrink Your $10,000 Supply could cap growth. Management named leading-edge wafers, substrates, HBM memory, power, land and data-center shells as constraints on how fast AI capacity gets deployed.
Tan put it plainly: “It’s a multidimensional issue to get an AI data center deployed.” Each of those bottlenecks is a business for someone else, and we rounded up seven suppliers riding the same buildout in a free report on the non-chipmaker AI winners.
Concentrated customer base: A small group of AI developers drives most of the expected demand. If one of them slows its spending, revenue could fall hard. Margin pressure: Gross margin slipped to 75%, down 210 basis points from the prior quarter, because custom chips carry more memory content. Balance sheet: Broadcom carries $59.6 billion of fixed-rate debt and may provide residual value guarantees tied to financing for AI labs. Volatility: With a beta of 1.476, the stock has traded between $288.95 and $493.28 over the past 52 weeks. Trade restrictions and the chip cycle add further risk. What to Watch Before 2031 The model puts a $10,000 Broadcom stake at between $11,907 and $22,730 by 2031, with $16,354 as the central estimate. That outcome would be solid, but it falls far short of the last decade’s gain.
The next checkpoint is the fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report scheduled for December 9, which should show whether AI revenue reaches its $21.7 billion guide. None of these outcomes is guaranteed; the figures are a projection, not investment advice.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Broadcom očekává ve 4. čtvrtletí tržby z AI polovodičů ve výši 21,7 mld. USD, oproti 16,7 mld. USD ve 3. čtvrtletí, což představuje zhruba 30% mezikvartální růst.
TSMC validates AI demand, but Broadcom must still convert its $21.7 billion quarterly semiconductor guide. Summary
Foundry strength confirms the market—not Broadcom’s individual share.
Broadcom AVGO, the custom AI accelerator and networking-chip supplier, fell about 2.1% to $368.38 at approximately 10:33 a.m. ET on Thursday. Strong foundry sales offered little protection from selling across the AI-chip trade. According to Barron's, TSMC's record sales failed to give the sector a broad lift. Investors want more than another sign that AI demand remains hot.
Broadcom's own hurdle is steep. Management projected $21.7 billion in fourth-quarter AI semiconductor revenue after delivering $16.7 billion in the third quarter, up 221% from a year earlier. That forecast requires roughly 30% sequential growth. It also puts AI chips at more than 62% of the company's projected $34.8 billion quarterly revenue. AI increasingly sets the pace for the whole business.
The valuation graphic puts shares 12.66% below the $421.80 GF Value™ estimate, suggesting a valuation cushion without proving the stock is cheap. TSMC's strength supports the demand backdrop, but its factories serve competing chip designers too. Broadcom must turn customer spending into shipments while protecting profitability and managing dependence on major buyers. The next test is whether it delivers that $21.7 billion AI revenue forecast.
Disclosures I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and have no plans to buy any new positions in the stocks mentioned within the next 72 hours.
Akcie společnosti Broadcom ve čtvrtek klesly o 4,4 % poté, co OpenAI uvedla anualizované tržby ve výši 50 miliard USD namísto dříve očekávaných 68 miliard USD.
Shares of Broadcom (AVGO -4.35%) turned lower on Thursday, falling as much as 5.1%. The stock was still down 4.4% by the time the market closed.
The catalyst that sent the semiconductor and networking specialist lower was news that OpenAI's revenue was substantially lower than had been previously reported.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Accounting disclosureArtificial intelligence (AI) start-up OpenAI revealed that its annualized revenue was roughly $50 billion as of the end of September, significantly lower than the $68 billion that had been widely reported by the financial media late last month.
In an updated presentation shown to potential investors, OpenAI clarified the figure, noting that the $68 billion included gross revenue from the company's partners and was meant to provide an apples-to-apples comparison to its most direct competitor, start-up Anthropic.
So what does this have to do with Broadcom?Many AI stocks tend to move together, so the news alone may have been enough to send Broadcom lower. However, the company has a more direct connection to OpenAI. Reports emerged yesterday that Broadcom was working to line up roughly $50 billion in financing for OpenAI to fund the purchase of AI-centric chips.
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Broadcom and OpenAI have been collaborating on a custom AI processor, dubbed "Jalapeno," which is expected to be deployed later this year. Given the close ties between the two, it makes sense that the company would help OpenAI arrange financing to buy Broadcom's custom chips.
Taking a step back, if OpenAI's revenue isn't all it was cracked up to be, it may have fewer resources and less need for Broadcom's chips. Add in fears about circular financing deals in the space, and it's easy to see why investors might be nervous, though this appears to be nothing more than an accounting disclosure.
At 31 times forward earnings and 18 times next year's expected earnings, Broadcom is attractively priced relative to the size of the opportunity. Moves like this provide astute investors with the opportunity to pick up shares at a discount.
Danny Vena, CPA has positions in Broadcom. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Broadcom. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Broadcom na summitu OCP představí síťové technologie pro infrastrukturu AI, včetně přepínačů Tomahawk 6 a optiky TH6-Davisson CPO pro clustery s více než 100 000 akcelerátory.
PALO ALTO, Calif., Oct. 08, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO), a global technology leader that designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions, today announced it is set to present its latest innovations in scale-up, scale-out, and scale-across AI networking at the 2026 Open Compute Project (OCP) Global Summit. Running from October 12–15 in San Jose, Broadcom will feature Ethernet switches, NICs, PCIe components and integrated optics to power Open Rack Version 3 (ORV3) solutions for scaling AI infrastructure.
Featured innovations include Tomahawk® 6, Tomahawk Ultra, and Jericho 4 Ethernet switches, the Thor Ultra 800G and Thor 2 400G AI Ethernet NICs, and Broadcom's third-generation TH6-Davisson Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) — a portfolio built to meet the exponential bandwidth demands of frontier AI models as they grow in scale and complexity.
"Together, the OCP Community and Broadcom have a long history of driving computing at massive scale, and this year’s event theme—'Scaling Innovation for the AI Era'—underscores the growing importance of open collaboration. AI infrastructure demands are scaling faster than anything our industry has seen, and Ethernet is the foundation that makes that growth sustainable. With our industry-leading portfolio of networking solutions and new breakthroughs in integrated optics, Broadcom is giving AI labs, hyperscalers and cloud providers the bandwidth and power efficiency they need to scale-up, scale-out, and scale-across next-generation AI clusters,” said Charlie Kawwas, Ph. D., president, Semiconductor Solutions Group, Broadcom.
“The current pace of AI data center infrastructure development depends on an open ecosystem that can support rapid innovation. The OCP Foundation with its unique collaborative model, Chip-to-Grid vision, and large collaborative community is the perfect place to nurture open ecosystems for the rapidly evolving AI data center industry. Broadcom has been a longstanding contributor to OCP, and we appreciate the technologies and contributions they're bringing to this year's Summit that leverage the open collaborations of the OCP Community, from ORV3 rack-based designs to advances in ORW (wide) racks and new wide co-packaged optics, that reflect exactly the kind of collaboration our Community needs to solve the bandwidth and efficiency challenges facing AI data centers at scale,” said George Tchaparian, CEO, Open Compute Project Foundation.
At this year’s summit, Asad Khamisy, Ph. D., senior vice president and general manager, Broadcom’s Core Switching Group, will deliver a keynote titled “Scaling AI Infrastructure Through Open Innovation” on Monday, October 12, 2026, at 5:30 p.m. Pacific Time in the South Hall of the San Jose Convention Center (SJCC). His presentation will present Broadcom’s vision for scaling AI infrastructure, highlighting breakthroughs in open networking, optical interconnects, and modular rack designs for clusters of over 100,000 accelerators. Khamisy will also address challenges in building switch hardware for AI networks and share innovations that deliver greater bandwidth, reliability, and efficiency for distributed AI computing. To learn more about Khamisy’s upcoming keynote, click here to read his blog, "The Future of AI Infrastructure: Why Ethernet and Optical Connectivity Are Redefining Scale-up Networks."
Throughout the conference, Broadcom experts will address the critical technical challenges and breakthroughs in building next-generation AI infrastructure. Featured speaking sessions include:
224G AECs for AI Data Centers: Extending Reach, Enhancing Telemetry, and Redefining Copper Connectivity, Rajesh Annapillai, Broadcom, and Clay Miller, Molex, Monday October 12, 12:00pm-12:20pm | SJCC - Concourse Level - 210AE.Designing the Next AI Fabric: When Compute Meets Optics, Manish Mehta, Broadcom, Tareq Bustami, Celestica, and Binbin Guan, OpenAI, Monday, October 12, 1:15pm-1:35pm | SJCC - Concourse Level - 210CG.Current Activities in the Open Cluster Designs for AI Strategic Initiative, Lowell Lamb, Broadcom, and Loren Staley, Celestica, Tuesday, October 13, 1:25pm-1:40pm | SJCC - Concourse Level - 220B.Using SPDM for PLDM Firmware Updates: Authorization Policy and Measurement Manifest Capabilities, Brett Henning, Broadcom, Patrick Caporale, Lenovo, and Scott Phuong, Microsoft, Tuesday, October 13,4:00pm-4:20pm| SJCC - Lower Level - LL21BC.Enabling AI Networking @ Scale with Multi-path Reliable Connections (MRC), Eric Spada, Broadcom, and Guohan Lu, OpenAI, Wednesday October 14, 9:45am - 10:05am | SJCC - Concourse Level - 220B.Network Configurations for Optical AI Fabrics including MRC and SRv6, Mohammad Hanif, Broadcom, and Arihant Jain, Arista Networks, Wednesday, October 14, 10:10am-10:30am | SJCC - Concourse Level - 220B.SUE-T - An Ethernet transport for Scale-Up Networking, Karen Schramm, Broadcom, and Tom Emmons, Arista Networks, Wednesday, October 14, 1:00pm-1:15pm | SJCC - Concourse Level - 220B.CPO, OCI (OCP Special Focus: Photonics), Rajiv Pancholy, Broadcom, Wednesday, October 14, 3:15pm-3:30pm | SJCC - Concourse Level - 210AE.Standards and Future Technologies (OCP Special Focus: Photonics), Rajiv Pancholy, Broadcom, Nathan Tracy, TE Connectivity, Rang-Chen Yu, TeraHop, Andy Bechtolsheim, Arista Networks, Vlad Kozlov, Lightcounting (Moderator), Wednesday, October 14, 4:40pm-5:00pm| SJCC - Concourse Level - 210AE.Deep Buffers: The Essential Foundation for Scalable AI Training and Inference Infrastructure, Golan Schuzkin, Broadcom, and Hugh Holbrook, Arista Networks, Thursday, October 15, 12:30pm-12:45pm| SJCC - Concourse Level - 210AE.Precision Time for AI Infrastructure: Deploying PTP Boundary Clocks at Scale, Bhaskar Chinni, Broadcom, and Vikram Chandra, Nokia, Thursday, October 15, 12:50pm-1:05pm | SJCC - Lower Level - LL21BC.
At OCP, Broadcom will partner with 15 plus companies to showcase its latest solutions across the show floor, underscoring its leadership in shaping the future of AI infrastructure. Key partner demos on the show floor include:
Accton/Edgecore Networks will feature Tomahawk 6 demos, Expo Hall 3, Booth D1.Alpha Networks will showcase live demos with their Tomahawk 6 liquid cooled solution, Expo Hall 3, Booth D9.Celestica will display Tomahawk 6-Davisson 102.4T CPO and Tomahawk 6 demos, Expo Hall 2, Booth C2.Delta Electronics will showcase Tomahawk 6-Davisson 102.4T CPO, Expo Hall 3, Booth D5.Micas Networks will showcase Tomahawk 6-Davisson 102.4T CPO, Expo Hall 3, Booth E5.
To learn more about these and other technical speaking sessions, joint partner demonstrations, technology showcases, key Broadcom news, and other activities at 2026 OCP Global Summit, please click here.
About Broadcom
Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) is a technology leader that designs, develops, and supplies semiconductors and infrastructure software for global organizations’ complex, mission-critical needs. Broadcom combines long-term R&D investment with superb execution to deliver the best technology, at scale. Broadcom is a Delaware corporation headquartered in Palo Alto, CA. For more information, go to www.broadcom.com.
Broadcom, the pulse logo, and Connecting Everything are among the trademarks of Broadcom. The term "Broadcom" refers to Broadcom Inc., and/or its subsidiaries. Other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO, XETRA:1YD) is arranging more than $50 billion in financing for custom artificial intelligence (AI) chips it is developing with OpenAI, as demand for computing capacity drives increasingly large funding deals.
Apollo Global Management (NYSE:APO) and Blackstone are among the lenders Broadcom has approached, with discussions at an early stage and the size of the financing potentially subject to change, Bloomberg reports.
The chips are being developed under OpenAI’s Nexus program, part of a plan announced by the companies in October 2025 to deploy 10 gigawatts of custom AI accelerators by the end of 2029.
The proposed financing would add to Broadcom’s growing role in arranging capital for AI infrastructure projects, with the company pursuing funding tied to its largest AI customers.
Broadcom completed a $35 billion financing partnership with Apollo and Blackstone in June to expand computing capacity for Anthropic, another major AI company.
Broadcom has also been involved in a separate financing package for Anthropic that was initially reported at more than $60 billion, with banks beginning to syndicate a $60 billion package in October.
The Anthropic package includes $42 billion of senior debt backed by Broadcom and $18 billion of junior debt without Broadcom guarantees, according to the report cited in the source material.
The latest discussions follow an $18 billion financing problem for OpenAI’s chip project reported in May, adding another funding challenge as the company seeks to build large-scale computing infrastructure.
Broadcom’s financing efforts for Anthropic and OpenAI illustrate the growing scale of capital required to build the data centers and specialized chips needed to support increasingly demanding AI systems.
The completed $35 billion Anthropic financing, the reported $60 billion package for the same company and the proposed OpenAI financing would together represent more than $145 billion of potential and completed funding arrangements.
Tržby Broadcomu z AI čipů vzrostly v posledním čtvrtletí o 221 % na 16,7 miliardy USD. Společnost očekává, že se ve fiskálním roce 2027 zdvojnásobí na 115 miliard USD.
For years, graphics processing units (GPUs) have been the dominant processor for artificial intelligence (AI). That's because GPUs are great at training AI and helping it perform a wide array of tasks.
But lately, there's been a shift toward custom processors, called application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs). These custom processors can be designed for specific AI models or specific agentic tasks, making them more cost-efficient and faster than using GPUs for all AI tasks.
According to Cathie Wood's Ark Invest, custom processors could account for more than one-third of AI compute by 2030, up from single-digit percentages today. And analysts at Omdia predict custom ASICs will exceed GPU volumes by 2028.
One of the best ways to tap into this rapidly expanding market is by owning shares of Broadcom (AVGO -0.60%). Here's how Broadcom is benefiting from this AI supercycle.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
AI leaders are lining up to buy Broadcom's custom chips Custom AI silicon isn't exactly a new idea. Alphabet's Google has had its own Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) for more than a decade now. But even Google is ramping up its use of the processors, and other tech giants are jumping on board, too.
Alphabet recently signed a multi-year deal for Broadcom to design TPUs that will run and train its Google Gemini frontier AI model. Alphabet is Broadcom's largest customer, and the tech giant's purchase of custom processors accounted for an estimated $13 billion of Broadcom's 2025 sales.
Meta Platforms is another important customer, with Broadcom designing the company's Meta Training and Inference Accelerator (MTIA) chips. AI has become increasingly important for Meta, as the company just launched its popular Muse agent app, which can autonomously shop online for users, book trips, and manage daily tasks. Muse shot to the top of Apple's U.S. App Store last month, indicating that consumers are eager for personal AI agents.
OpenAI jumped on the custom AI processor bandwagon this year by hiring Broadcom to design its Jalapeno processor, which it describes as an "LLM-optimized inference chip" that makes AI faster and more reliable. The first of the new processors will be deployed in data centers by the end of this year, with a ramp-up in 2027 and 2028.
And Anthropic has been a Broadcom customer for at least a couple of years, purchasing custom processors from the company valued at tens of billions of dollars. The two companies recently expanded their relationship with Broadcom, agreeing to lend Anthropic up to $42 billion to expand its artificial intelligence data center infrastructure investments.
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Broadcom's growth is impressive by any metric It's one thing to see a company sign a slew of new deals, but it's even more impressive to see its sales and earnings accelerate as its customers keep coming back.
Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% to $16.7 billion in the most recent quarter, and managers are guiding for AI sales to double in fiscal 2027 to $115 billion. Even more shocking is that CEO Hock Tan has already said that AI revenue will double again in 2028, reaching $230 billion.
Tan also said that his company is on target to exceed $30 in earnings per share in fiscal 2018 -- a sixfold increase from fiscal 2025. With demand for custom processors already ramping up and the broader chip market expanding over the next few years, there's little doubt that Broadcom will continue benefiting from this trend.
The company will hold an estimated 60% of the custom AI processor market in 2027, and it's proven to be a reliable partner for the world's leading tech companies. If Broadcom continues on this path, and there's no reason to believe it won't, owning Broadcom shares is one of the best ways to tap into this accelerating AI supercycle.
Morgan Stanley očekává, že nedostatek elektřiny nenaruší výhled společnosti Broadcom na rok 2027. Tržby z polovodičů pro AI ve 3. čtvrtletí meziročně vzrostly o 221 % na 16,7 mld. USD.
Broadcom, the custom AI-chip, networking and infrastructure-software company AVGO , received backing from Morgan Stanley's assessment that electricity shortages should leave its 2027 forecasts intact, according to Reuters. Shares stood at $377.40 at 10.45am ET on October 6, 2026. The valuation graphic puts the stock 10.2% below its $420.29 GF Value estimate—a valuation cushion, though no guarantee of upside.
The growth engine is already doing heavy lifting. Broadcom reported $16.7 billion in third-quarter AI semiconductor revenue, up 221% from a year earlier and roughly 56% of total sales. Management expects $21.7 billion in the fourth quarter. That makes delivery timing a major earnings variable: even a temporary delay could move substantial revenue between quarters.
Building custom accelerators around customers' data-center plans can give Broadcom clearer deployment visibility. But a well-planned chip still needs a powered facility. Investors should watch whether electricity constraints postpone accelerator shipments, networking orders or both. The demand story is strong. The next test is turning that demand into revenue on schedule.
SummaryBroadcom is positioned for bullish upside, driven by AI inference demand. We believe there's institutional accumulation in the $342-$381 range.AVGO exhibits accelerating revenue growth, rising cash flow margins, and a strengthening balance sheet, supporting a positive fundamental outlook.The stock trades at 38x TTM unlevered pretax FCF for 49% TTM revenue growth, an unchallenging valuation in the current environment.We rate AVGO at Accumulate between $342-$381, Hold from $381-$495, and see potential for all-time highs in a flat or rising market.This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Growth Investor Pro. Learn More »DISCLAIMER: This note is intended for US recipients only and, in particular, is not directed at, nor intended to be relied upon by any UK recipients. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice and nor should it
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Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of AVGO, SMH, SOXL either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Cestrian staff personal accounts hold long positions in, inter alia, AVGO, SMH, SOXL
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Broadcom's AI chip revenue exploded 221% in a single quarter, and its forecast stretches far beyond what most investors are pricing in. Here is how a $5,000 stake could play out across three very different futures for this company.
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Putting $5,000 into Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO | AVGO Price Prediction) at the model’s reference price of $355.14 a share buys exposure to one of the fastest-growing businesses in large-cap tech.
Broadcom’s AI semiconductor revenue grew 221% year-on-year last quarter. That growth is why its five-year path is worth mapping out. Here is what that stake could be worth by 2031.
Your $5,000 Could Grow to About $8,706.50 by 2031 Under Broadcom’s base scenario, a $5,000 investment could be worth about $8,706.50 by 2031, a total return of 74.13%. That figure rests on a projected five-year share price of $618.42, which works out to 11.73% per year.
Its forecast has a confidence level of 0.9. Over the nearer term, its one-year target is $425.47, or 19.8% upside.
Bull, Base and Bear Outcomes for a $5,000 Stake Scenario Five-Year Share Price Total Return Value of $5,000 Bull $918.99 158.77% $12,938.50 Base $618.42 74.13% $8,706.50 Bear $449.93 26.69% $6,334.50 Even the bear case ends above the starting stake. Wall Street leans more bullish than the model’s one-year view.
The consensus analyst target is $531.31, with 7 Strong Buy, 40 Buy and 3 Hold ratings and 0 Sells. Those projections serve informational purposes only.
Three Engines Powering Broadcom’s Five-Year Target Custom AI Chips for the Biggest Buyers Broadcom designs custom accelerators (XPUs) for hyperscalers and AI labs. Q3 AI semiconductor revenue reached $16.7 billion, and management guided Q4 to $21.7 billion. Management expects AI revenue of about $115 billion in fiscal 2027 and $230 billion in fiscal 2028.
It also said it is “very much on target to exceed $30 in earnings per share in fiscal 2028.” Customers include Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), whose Google unit signed a long-term TPU supply agreement, along with Anthropic, OpenAI and Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META).
Management said Anthropic is on track to become its largest XPU customer in 2027. Recent coverage of Broadcom gathering AI chip funding fits its financing platform with Apollo Global Management (NYSE:APO) and Blackstone (NYSE:BX), which is designed to enable more than 20 gigawatts of computing power for OpenAI and Anthropic.
Networking That Grows Alongside the Chips Broadcom has taped out Tomahawk 7, which it calls the industry’s first 200-terabit-per-second Ethernet switch. Management expects AI networking to grow “just as fast as XPUs over the next few years.“
Software Margins and Cash Flow VMware-driven infrastructure software brought in $8.8 billion, up 29%, at a 94% gross margin. Free cash flow hit $13.7 billion, or 46% of revenue.
That cash covers a $0.65 quarterly dividend and paid down $5.6 billion of long-term debt in the quarter. Non-GAAP EPS of $3.32 marked a 9th consecutive beat, and the stock trades at about 19 times forward earnings versus a trailing P/E of 44.
What Could Derail the Projection A few of customers drive most of the AI growth, so one delayed deployment could leave a visible gap in revenue. Hock Tan called land, power and data-center shells “more than a big concern,” saying they determine when capacity gets deployed (the power, cooling and networking suppliers behind that expansion are the subject of a free report on seven AI infrastructure names that aren’t chipmakers).
Supply limits in leading-edge wafers, substrates, HBM memory and optical components could cap growth even when demand is there. Broadcom may also provide “modest residual value guarantees” on AI infrastructure financing. Those are contingent liabilities tied to the health of the AI labs.
Margins face pressure too. Q3 gross margin fell 210 basis points sequentially as XPUs grew as a share of the mix. The company still has $59.6 billion of fixed-rate debt and faces trade-restriction risk. With a beta of 1.46, the stock can swing hard.
Shares have gained just 6.23% over the past year and remain below their 52-week high of $493.28. Strong results alone have not guaranteed a rising share price.
What the Range Means for Your $5,000 Depending on how Broadcom performs, the model puts a $5,000 stake anywhere from $6,334.50 to $12,938.50 by 2031, with $8,706.50 as the most likely outcome.
Projected scenarios may not match actual results. A useful next checkpoint is the fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report on December 9, 2026, which will show whether AI revenue lands near the $21.7 billion guide.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Circular financing fears just sent Broadcom shares sliding, but one investor sees the selloff as a gift. Here is why the very risk spooking the market is the same reason he keeps adding to his position.
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I keep adding to my Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO | AVGO Price Prediction) position, and the growing worry about circular financing with Anthropic just gave me another chance to do it. Every quarter I look for a reason to stop. Every quarter this company gives me a new reason to keep going.
Why I Keep Coming Back Broadcom co-designs custom AI chips with the few companies building frontier models, then sells them the networking that ties those chips together. That model locks in relationships that run across several chip generations. Management described a long-term Google agreement that could involve “multi-tens of billions of dollars of TPUs annually over the next several years.” That stickiness is what I pay for.
Three Numbers That Keep My Buy Button Active First, growth. Fiscal Q3 revenue hit $29.59 billion, up 85.5% year over year, and AI semiconductor revenue reached $16.70 billion, up 221%. Q4 guidance calls for $34.80 billion in revenue and $21.70 billion in AI revenue. Management projects AI semiconductor revenue of about $115 billion in fiscal 2027 and $230 billion in fiscal 2028.
Second, cash. Free cash flow reached $13.67 billion, equal to 46% of revenue. In that same quarter, Broadcom paid $3.1 billion in dividends and retired $5.6 billion of debt due beyond a year. The $0.65 quarterly dividend got its 15th consecutive annual increase in December 2025. At $362.51, the yield stands near 0.72%. My reason for holding is the growth of that payout, and the starting yield matters less to me.
Third, valuation. Management says Broadcom is “very much on target to exceed $30 in earnings per share in fiscal 2028.” At today’s price, that works out to about 12x fiscal 2028 earnings. The shares rose just 7.93% over the past year while revenue nearly doubled, and over ten years they rose 2574.14%.
Why My Money Goes Here Instead of NVIDIA Most readers reach for NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) first, and its fiscal Q2 revenue of $96.22 billion explains why. Still, NVIDIA trades near 48x trailing earnings. Its quarterly dividend only rose from $0.01 to $0.25 in May 2026, while Broadcom has raised its payout every year since fiscal 2011. NVIDIA also lists guarantee obligations capped at $108.5 billion for AI cloud and data center partners. Switching to NVIDIA would leave me with financing exposure too, at a higher price.
Risk I Refuse to Ignore The financing concern is real. Broadcom built the AI XPV platform with Apollo and Blackstone to enable more than 20 gigawatts of computing capacity for OpenAI and Anthropic by the end of 2028. The first $35 billion tranche closed in June for Anthropic. Broadcom may provide “modest residual value guarantees,” and management confirmed an analyst’s figure of about $29 billion tied to that first tranche. Management also expects Anthropic to become its largest XPU customer in 2027. If Anthropic stumbles, I feel it twice.
I keep buying because third-party institutions underwrite and fund the assets, and Broadcom supplies no direct financing. Cash rose to $23.98 billion while total liabilities fell 4.21% year over year. Google, Meta and OpenAI also give Broadcom other large customers to lean on.
What Keeps Me Buying From Here Management said “our demand actually exceeds this outlook” and that it has secured supply for fiscal 2027 and 2028. I will keep an eye on the December 9, 2026 earnings report for any new guarantees. The traits that showed up in the earliest stages of the last monster AI chip winner are the same ones we cataloged in a free playbook here. As Hock Tan put it, “Q3 demand was simply hot and we’re just getting started,”, and I plan to continue buying shares in a business still early in its run.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Trust Division společnosti Central Pacific Bank ve třetím čtvrtletí snížila svůj podíl ve společnosti Broadcom o 21,7 % prodejem 5 241 akcií; nyní drží 18 933 akcií v hodnotě 6 649 000 USD.
Central Pacific Bank Trust Division decreased its stake in shares of Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO – Free Report) by 21.7% during the 3rd quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The institutional investor owned 18,933 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock after selling 5,241 shares during the period. Broadcom accounts for approximately 0.7% of Central Pacific Bank Trust Division’s holdings, making the stock its 22nd biggest holding. Central Pacific Bank Trust Division’s holdings in Broadcom were worth $6,649,000 as of its most recent SEC filing.
Other hedge funds have also recently added to or reduced their stakes in the company. Legal & General Group Plc bought a new position in Broadcom in the 2nd quarter valued at $11,998,148,000. Bank of New York Mellon Corp bought a new stake in Broadcom during the 2nd quarter worth about $10,528,191,000. Jupiter Topco LLC acquired a new position in Broadcom during the 2nd quarter valued at about $7,396,271,000. State Street Corp grew its position in shares of Broadcom by 8.7% during the 2nd quarter. State Street Corp now owns 208,031,610 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock worth $75,367,711,000 after buying an additional 16,651,378 shares during the period. Finally, Deutsche Bank AG bought a new stake in shares of Broadcom during the second quarter worth approximately $5,661,216,000. Institutional investors own 76.43% of the company’s stock.
Broadcom News Roundup Here are the key news stories impacting Broadcom this week:
Positive Sentiment: Reports that Broadcom is offering attractive financing terms to customers are fueling expectations that the company can win additional AI-chip sales and expand its customer base. Massive News for Broadcom Stock Investors Positive Sentiment: Broadcom reportedly agreed to provide up to $42 billion in financing connected to Anthropic’s future chip purchases. Investors view the arrangement as potentially supporting a major, long-term AI customer and increasing hardware demand. Broadcom Stock Jumps Following Reported $42 Billion Financing Deal With Anthropic Positive Sentiment: Morgan Stanley said Broadcom and Nvidia may be relatively protected from a projected U.S. data-center power shortfall, because their business models are less directly exposed to delays in new data-center construction. Nvidia, Broadcom May Be Surprisingly Safe From a 32-GW Hole in the AI Boom Positive Sentiment: Analysts and financial commentators continue to point to sharply rising AI revenue. Fiscal third-quarter AI semiconductor sales reportedly reached $16.7 billion, with management projecting $21.7 billion in the following quarter, reinforcing expectations for another leg of growth. Broadcom Trades Above Its Own Average Multiple While Growth Cools Neutral Sentiment: Upcoming Taiwan Semiconductor results on October 15 are viewed as an important read-through for AI-chip demand and could influence Broadcom’s relative performance through late November. Why October 15 Is the Most Important Day for NVIDIA and Broadcom Negative Sentiment: The Anthropic arrangement also raises “circular financing” concerns because Broadcom would help finance a customer’s purchases of Broadcom products. That structure could increase credit, concentration and execution risks, particularly while AVGO trades at a premium valuation. Broadcom’s Massive $42 Billion Chip-Buying Deal with Anthropic Raises Circular Financing Worries Insider Transactions at Broadcom In other Broadcom news, insider Mark Brazeal sold 25,000 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Friday, July 10th. The stock was sold at an average price of $401.33, for a total transaction of $10,033,250.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the insider owned 194,989 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $78,254,935.37. This represents a 11.36% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is available through this link. Also, Director Gayla J. Delly sold 1,890 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction on Wednesday, July 8th. The stock was sold at an average price of $385.38, for a total transaction of $728,368.20. Following the completion of the sale, the director directly owned 31,326 shares in the company, valued at approximately $12,072,413.88. This represents a 5.69% decrease in their position. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. Over the last quarter, insiders have sold 51,890 shares of company stock valued at $20,241,368. 1.90% of the stock is owned by corporate insiders. Broadcom Trading Up 2.1% NASDAQ:AVGO opened at $362.51 on Tuesday. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57, a current ratio of 2.50 and a quick ratio of 2.29. The business’s 50-day simple moving average is $372.33 and its 200-day simple moving average is $381.36. Broadcom Inc. has a fifty-two week low of $289.96 and a fifty-two week high of $495.00. The stock has a market capitalization of $1.73 trillion, a PE ratio of 46.30 and a beta of 1.46.
Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO – Get Free Report) last announced its earnings results on Wednesday, September 2nd. The semiconductor manufacturer reported $3.32 EPS for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $3.22 by $0.10. Broadcom had a net margin of 42.94% and a return on equity of 48.33%. The firm had revenue of $29.59 billion for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $29.24 billion. During the same period last year, the company posted $1.69 EPS. The business’s quarterly revenue was up 85.5% on a year-over-year basis. Sell-side analysts expect that Broadcom Inc. will post 10.37 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
Broadcom Dividend Announcement The company also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Wednesday, September 30th. Stockholders of record on Monday, September 21st were given a dividend of $0.65 per share. This represents a $2.60 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 0.7%. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Monday, September 21st. Broadcom’s dividend payout ratio is currently 33.21%.
Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades A number of brokerages have issued reports on AVGO. Jefferies Financial Group assumed coverage on shares of Broadcom in a research note on Thursday, September 3rd. They issued a “buy” rating and a $550.00 price objective on the stock. HSBC decreased their price objective on Broadcom from $600.00 to $560.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research note on Thursday, September 3rd. JPMorgan Chase & Co. restated a “buy” rating on shares of Broadcom in a report on Thursday, September 3rd. The Goldman Sachs Group upped their price target on Broadcom from $525.00 to $540.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a research note on Thursday, September 3rd. Finally, Lake Street Capital upgraded shares of Broadcom to a “buy” rating in a research report on Thursday, September 3rd. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, thirty-seven have issued a Buy rating and three have assigned a Hold rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat, Broadcom has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $527.20.
Check Out Our Latest Stock Report on AVGO
Broadcom Profile (Free Report)
Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ: AVGO) is a global technology company that designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software products. Its semiconductor solutions support wired and wireless communications, data center networking, broadband access, storage, industrial applications, and other markets.
The company’s semiconductor portfolio includes networking and switching products, custom application-specific integrated circuits, wireless connectivity components, radio-frequency devices, optical components, and storage-related solutions.
See Also Five stocks we like better than Broadcom NVIDIA’s Record High Raises a Bigger Question About How Far the Rally Can Run A Manufacturing Surprise Could Be a Big Win for These 2 Companies What a $1 Billion Chip Deal Says About Amazon’s AI Ambitions 3 Stocks Benefiting From AI Demand Just Announced Major Buybacks
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Tržby Broadcom ve fiskálním 3. čtvrtletí meziročně vzrostly o 85,5 % na 29,59 miliardy USD, zatímco tržby z polovodičů pro AI stouply o 221 % na 16,7 miliardy USD.
Broadcom's AI revenue is exploding at triple-digit growth rates, yet the stock has barely moved in 2025. Something has to give, and figuring out which way it breaks could make or break your 2028 portfolio.
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Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO | AVGO Price Prediction | AVGO Price Prediction) just reported a standout quarter. Fiscal Q3 revenue reached $29.59 billion, up 85.5% YoY. AI semiconductor revenue hit $16.7 billion, up 221%.
CEO Hock Tan said, “Demand for our custom AI accelerators and networking continues to be very strong.” Even so, the stock is up only 0.72% this year.
I see that gap as the central question for investors. This article asks one question: can Broadcom hit $550 per share in 2028?
What’s Holding Broadcom Back Right Now The stock traded at $371.27 on Sept. 2 and has fallen since, down 6.22% over the past month.
Three issues weigh on it: management guided consolidated gross margin down to about 74% due to product mix; the company relies on a small number of large AI customers; and with a beta of 1.46, Broadcom moves more sharply than the market when AI enthusiasm cools off. The stock needs new evidence to move higher.
Wall Street Sees 51.4% Upside. Our Model Says 20.7% The consensus price target sits at $531.85, suggesting 51.4% upside. Analyst ratings stand at 8 Strong Buy, 37 Buy, 4 Hold and 0 Sell. Our model is more conservative.
Its one-year base case lands at $423.79, or 20.67% upside, within a range of $374.67 (bear case) to $532.91 (bull case). The model’s confidence score of 0.9 means it has high conviction in that range.
On this one, I side with the Street. 92% of analysts are bullish, and earnings growth adds 0.03 to the model, which labels it “strong earnings acceleration.” Management also says its visibility now runs “all the way to 2028.”
Here’s What It Takes for Broadcom to Reach $550 Reaching $550 from $351.19 means a rise of 56.6%. At forward EPS of $18.3613, a $550 share price implies a forward P/E of 30x, about 6x below the model’s implied 36x. The rerating needed is a move from today’s multiple to 30x.
The model’s adjustment factor of 1.146 comes from a 1.15 sector momentum multiplier and strong analyst consensus, partly offset by a 50% mega-cap penalty. Earnings growth is contracting the multiple: trailing P/E is 46x, forward P/E is 19x.
Q4 guidance calls for AI revenue of $21.7 billion, up 236%. Management expects fiscal 2027 AI revenue “in excess of $100 billion.” Barron’s reported Anthropic and Broadcom are becoming more intertwined.
CEO Tan: “Demand for XPUs and networking is simply insatiable.” The main risk: Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) unit Google plans some diversity of sources for chips, potentially limiting the multiple.
Where Broadcom Trades Today vs Its Earnings Power Broadcom trades at 19x forward earnings, a low multiple for a company growing revenue at 85.5%. The stock sits between its 52-week low of $288.95 and high of $493.28.
Over 10 years, it has returned 2,482.49%. At today’s multiple, the market prices in little of the 2027 AI ramp, the core of the optimistic thesis.
Can Broadcom Really Hit $550? My Verdict Hitting $550 requires a 56.6% gain. I consider it reachable. Our 2028 bull case reaches $624.06 by October 2028. Three things must go right:
AI revenue passes $100 billion in fiscal 2027. Gross margin stabilizes. OpenAI and Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) deployments ship on schedule. A spending pullback by a major hyperscaler could disrupt the target. Such gains are rare in any single year, and we’ve outlined the path for how Broadcom could reach $550 in 2028. The signs that showed up in past AI-chip winners before their monster runs are the ones we cataloged in a free playbook here.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Anthropic, the company behind the Claude chatbot, confidentially filed for an initial public offering (IPO) in June. Now the artificial intelligence (AI) lab's reportedly aiming to raise up to $100 billion when it lists. This would beat the $86 billion SpaceX raised in June in the biggest IPO ever.
Most investors can't buy Anthropic stock yet. But one public company's closely linked to the AI lab's spending. On Oct. 1, Reuters reported that Anthropic's IPO filing says Broadcom (AVGO +2.08%) has agreed to loan Anthropic up to $42 billion using convertible notes. This could cover about a third of a $125.2 billion, five-year commitment Anthropic has made to lease computing capacity on tensor processing units (TPUs), custom AI chips Broadcom helps design.
Broadcom stock trades around $355 as of this writing, off about 28% from its 52-week high. At that price, I think the chipmaker is worth a close look before Anthropic lists.
Image source: Getty Images.
How much of Anthropic's spending goes to Broadcom?The $125.2 billion isn't Broadcom revenue, though. It's a lease commitment paid over five years. Broadcom's own quarterly filing describes a financial partner buying the AI racks built around its chips and leasing them to the customer.
What Broadcom has said about Anthropic is arguably more helpful. On the company's earnings call on Sept. 2, CEO Hock Tan said Anthropic is deploying 1 gigawatt of TPU capacity this year. He expects another 5 gigawatts in 2027 and sees a path to an extra 10 gigawatts in 2028.
"Anthropic is on track to become our largest XPU customer in 2027 and sustain that in 2028," Tan said on the call.
XPU is Broadcom's name for the custom AI chips it makes, and Tan said it has just six XPU customers.
Accelerating AI salesShowing how fast this business is moving, Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue climbed 221% year over year to $16.7 billion in the fiscal third quarter of 2026, which ended Aug. 2. That growth rate is also accelerating. It beat the 143% pace Broadcom posted in fiscal Q2, which itself topped fiscal Q1's 106%. Management sees fiscal fourth-quarter AI revenue of $21.7 billion, up 236%.
Profits are keeping pace. Broadcom's fiscal third-quarter earnings per share under generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) grew 215% year over year, and free cash flow climbed 95% to a record $13.7 billion.
Anthropic shows up most in the longer-term forecast. Broadcom sees around $58 billion of AI revenue in fiscal 2026 and about $115 billion for fiscal 2027 -- the year Tan expects Anthropic to become Broadcom's largest custom-chip customer.
Anthropic's spending, in other words, already shows up in Broadcom's numbers.
Broadcom is financing its own customerOf course, Broadcom is taking real risk to land that business. The $42 billion is more than the $24 billion of cash it had at the end of fiscal Q3. It's also around three quarters' worth of free cash flow at that record rate.
Broadcom might not carry all that alone, though. Bloomberg said on Oct. 2 that banks working for Broadcom have started raising around $60 billion in outside debt to fund AI chips for Anthropic and others.
The notes appear in Broadcom's quarterly filing without naming the customer, and none had been issued as of Aug. 2. Broadcom also backstops lease payments on the $35 billion financing deal that Tan said covers Anthropic's first gigawatt, with a maximum potential liability of around $29 billion, the filing shows.
Customer concentration is climbing, too. The company estimates its top five end customers made up around 55% of fiscal third-quarter revenue, up from about 40% the year before. And Anthropic's own filing flags "potential conflicts of interest" in Broadcom's role as both hardware supplier and financing partner, according to Reuters.
The IPO might cut some of that risk, like Tan suggested on the call.
"[I]t's an open secret Anthropic is well on its way to an IPO. And with that, its investment credit will change," he said.
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A raise anywhere near $100 billion would be over double the $42 billion facility.
Also, the notes could convert into Anthropic shares. But Anthropic reportedly said it doesn't expect any to be sold before its IPO, so buying Broadcom doesn't get you a piece of the listing.
At around 36 times the past year's non-GAAP (adjusted) earnings, Broadcom stock isn't cheap. But shares sell for about 18 times expected fiscal 2027 earnings, the year Broadcom's AI revenue is projected to double. Given how much money Anthropic's IPO could raise, I think that price is worth a look. I'd just buy gradually, since so much of the forecast depends on a few AI labs.
Neville Rodie & Shaw Inc. increased its position in shares of Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO – Free Report) by 5.1% in the 3rd quarter, according to the company in its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm owned 53,631 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock after buying an additional 2,623 shares during the period. Broadcom accounts for approximately 1.3% of Neville Rodie & Shaw Inc.’s holdings, making the stock its 18th biggest position. Neville Rodie & Shaw Inc.’s holdings in Broadcom were worth $18,835,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period.
A number of other hedge funds and other institutional investors have also bought and sold shares of the company. Cornerstone Advisors LLC acquired a new position in shares of Broadcom in the 2nd quarter worth approximately $92,522,000. Bank of America Corp DE boosted its stake in Broadcom by 1.5% in the 1st quarter. Bank of America Corp DE now owns 58,737,097 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock valued at $18,179,719,000 after buying an additional 894,564 shares in the last quarter. Clear Harbor Asset Management LLC acquired a new stake in Broadcom in the 2nd quarter valued at $3,302,000. Bartlett & CO. Wealth Management LLC grew its position in Broadcom by 129.3% in the first quarter. Bartlett & CO. Wealth Management LLC now owns 110,048 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock valued at $34,061,000 after acquiring an additional 62,050 shares during the period. Finally, Violich Capital Management Inc. grew its position in Broadcom by 26.1% in the third quarter. Violich Capital Management Inc. now owns 21,791 shares of the semiconductor manufacturer’s stock valued at $7,653,000 after acquiring an additional 4,511 shares during the period. 76.43% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.
Insider Activity In related news, insider Mark Brazeal sold 25,000 shares of Broadcom stock in a transaction dated Friday, July 10th. The stock was sold at an average price of $401.33, for a total value of $10,033,250.00. Following the completion of the sale, the insider directly owned 194,989 shares in the company, valued at $78,254,935.37. This trade represents a 11.36% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a document filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through the SEC website. Also, Director Gayla Delly sold 1,890 shares of Broadcom stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, July 8th. The stock was sold at an average price of $385.38, for a total value of $728,368.20. Following the completion of the sale, the director owned 31,326 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $12,072,413.88. The trade was a 5.69% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. In the last quarter, insiders sold 51,890 shares of company stock worth $20,241,368. 1.90% of the stock is owned by company insiders.
Analyst Ratings Changes Several analysts have recently weighed in on AVGO shares. Citigroup reaffirmed a “buy” rating and set a $515.00 price objective (up from $500.00) on shares of Broadcom in a report on Friday, September 4th. Truist Financial decreased their price target on Broadcom from $550.00 to $520.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research report on Thursday, September 3rd. Weiss Ratings cut Broadcom from a “buy (b)” rating to a “buy (b-)” rating in a report on Thursday, July 30th. BMO Capital Markets lifted their price objective on Broadcom from $455.00 to $575.00 and gave the company an “outperform” rating in a research report on Thursday, September 3rd. Finally, Erste Group Bank reissued a “hold” rating on shares of Broadcom in a research note on Tuesday, July 7th. One analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, thirty-seven have issued a Buy rating and three have given a Hold rating to the stock. Based on data from MarketBeat, the company has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $527.20. Read Our Latest Research Report on AVGO
Broadcom Price Performance Shares of Broadcom stock traded up $8.16 during midday trading on Monday, reaching $363.30. The company had a trading volume of 9,394,614 shares, compared to its average volume of 25,061,176. The company has a current ratio of 2.50, a quick ratio of 2.29 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57. The stock has a fifty day simple moving average of $372.74 and a 200 day simple moving average of $381.07. Broadcom Inc. has a 1-year low of $289.96 and a 1-year high of $495.00. The company has a market capitalization of $1.73 trillion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 46.40 and a beta of 1.46.
Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO – Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, September 2nd. The semiconductor manufacturer reported $3.32 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $3.22 by $0.10. The firm had revenue of $29.59 billion for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $29.24 billion. Broadcom had a return on equity of 48.33% and a net margin of 42.94%.The business’s revenue for the quarter was up 85.5% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the prior year, the business earned $1.69 EPS. As a group, equities research analysts forecast that Broadcom Inc. will post 10.37 earnings per share for the current year.
Broadcom Dividend Announcement The company also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Wednesday, September 30th. Stockholders of record on Monday, September 21st were paid a dividend of $0.65 per share. This represents a $2.60 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 0.7%. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Monday, September 21st. Broadcom’s dividend payout ratio is 33.21%.
More Broadcom News Here are the key news stories impacting Broadcom this week:
Positive Sentiment: Reported Anthropic financing and chip demand: Broadcom reportedly agreed to provide up to $42 billion in financing to Anthropic, potentially supporting purchases of Broadcom’s AI chips and custom silicon. The arrangement has helped fuel optimism about a major customer relationship and future revenue. Broadcom Stock Jumps Following Reported $42 Billion Financing Deal With Anthropic Positive Sentiment: AI revenue momentum remains exceptional: Fiscal third-quarter AI semiconductor revenue reportedly reached $16.7 billion, up 221% year over year, while management’s fourth-quarter guidance calls for $21.7 billion, or 236% growth. Investors view these figures as evidence that AI networking and custom-chip demand is still expanding rapidly. Broadcom Trades Above Its Own Average Multiple While Growth Cools Positive Sentiment: Long-term growth expectations are bullish: Analysts and financial commentators expect Broadcom’s AI revenue could double in both 2027 and 2028, while custom chips are becoming increasingly important to data-center operators. Morgan Stanley also reportedly considers Broadcom relatively protected from current AI power-related supply-chain constraints. Positive Sentiment: Cash generation and scale support shareholder returns: Broadcom’s strong cash flow is viewed as sufficient to support its dividend, while its revenue growth has significantly outpaced Intel over recent quarters. Broadcom vs. Intel: What Revenue Trends Tell Investors Neutral Sentiment: Upcoming industry data may drive volatility: Taiwan Semiconductor’s October 15 results are expected to provide clues about AI-chip demand, manufacturing capacity, and spending trends relevant to Broadcom ahead of its next earnings report. Negative Sentiment: Financing structure raises concerns: The Anthropic arrangement could create “circular financing” risk because Broadcom is reportedly both funding the customer and supplying its chips. Investors may question credit exposure, the quality of demand, and whether purchases remain sustainable without financing support. Broadcom’s Massive $42 Billion Chip-Buying Deal with Anthropic Raises Circular Financing Worries Negative Sentiment: Valuation and concentration risks remain: Broadcom trades at a premium earnings multiple after its AI rally, while a growing reliance on a small number of powerful customers could increase bargaining pressure and make dividend growth more dependent on continued AI spending. About Broadcom (Free Report)
Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ: AVGO) is a global technology company that designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software products. Its semiconductor solutions support wired and wireless communications, data center networking, broadband access, storage, industrial applications, and other markets.
The company’s semiconductor portfolio includes networking and switching products, custom application-specific integrated circuits, wireless connectivity components, radio-frequency devices, optical components, and storage-related solutions.
Featured Articles Five stocks we like better than Broadcom A Manufacturing Surprise Could Be a Big Win for These 2 Companies What a $1 Billion Chip Deal Says About Amazon’s AI Ambitions 3 Stocks Benefiting From AI Demand Just Announced Major Buybacks Insiders Are Selling These 3 Stocks, Should You? Want to see what other hedge funds are holding AVGO? Visit HoldingsChannel.com to get the latest 13F filings and insider trades for Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO – Free Report).
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Broadcom očekává, že tržby související s umělou inteligencí dosáhnou ve fiskálním roce 2028 230 mld. USD, oproti letos očekávaným 58 mld. USD, a že zisk na akcii (EPS) překročí 30 USD.
Broadcom (AVGO +0.82%) trades at $352 as of Oct. 2, 2026, so $2,000 buys roughly 5.7 shares. I see a realistic path for the stock to double, and possibly do a bit better, turning that stake into $5,000 by 2030.
It assumes demand for artificial intelligence chips and networking will keep growing, without a supply shock or a stall in data center spending. Broadcom's own outlook still points to a high-growth stretch that could lift the shares.
Image source: Getty Images.
CEO Hock Tan says Broadcom could exceed $30 in earnings per share in fiscal 2028 The insatiable demand for AI chips strengthens the case that this stock offers substantial upside over the next few years.
Broadcom designs custom accelerators, or XPUs, as well as the networking components and infrastructure software that move data across AI workloads. In the fiscal third quarter ended in August, AI semiconductor revenue grew 221% year over year.
Hyperscalers have accelerated data-center spending, yet they are still short on compute. Alphabet (Google) said it will "increase significantly" its capital spending in 2027. Amazon is in a similar position and expects to remain supply-constrained next year. This points to growing demand for Broadcom.
The company expects AI revenue to reach $230 billion in fiscal 2028, up from an expected $58 billion this year. During the fiscal Q3 2026 earnings call, CEO Hock Tan said, "We are very much on target to exceed $30 in earnings per share in fiscal 2028."
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How $2,000 turns into $5,000 The stock trades at just 11.7 times fiscal 2028 estimates. Assuming Broadcom hits the fiscal 2028 earnings target, a price of about $700 implies a multiple in the low 20s, roughly twice today's multiple on those estimates, and still well within Broadcom's historical valuation range. That would turn $2,000 into about $4,000.
The rest of the path is further earnings growth. If earnings reach $40 by fiscal 2030, which is only a modest increase over fiscal 2028, a similar multiple could push the stock to around $900, turning today's $2,000 into about $5,000.
Supporting the case for further growth, Tan said on the Sept. 2, 2026, earnings call that management expects demand to grow through 2029 for future generations of custom chips being developed with Google. Broadcom is also designing chips for Anthropic, OpenAI, and Meta Platforms.
The supply chain is still a risk. Broadcom says it has secured the components to meet its outlook through fiscal 2028, but a geopolitical shock or an industry downturn could still send the stock down.
Even so, the long-term trend toward more complex chip designs and demand in the AI market is a bullish setup for Broadcom. The cost and power efficiency of custom chips may erode the market share of traditional chips, including Nvidia's.
Tan said the chip designed for OpenAI can run frontier models at half the cost of a GPU. That shift is a long-term tailwind, and it raises the odds of market-beating gains.
Broadcom souhlasil, že Anthropic poskytne až 42 miliard USD, což vyvolává obavy z kruhového financování, protože firmě zároveň dodává čipy i pronajímá zařízení.
Broadcom just agreed to lend billions to the same AI lab it sells chips to, lease equipment to, and may soon own a stake in. That four-way entanglement raises a question shareholders cannot yet answer: whose demand is actually driving…
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Broadcom’s $42 Billion Number Makes the Supplier the Lender Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO | AVGO Price Prediction) has agreed to lend Anthropic up to $42 billion, according to the AI lab’s IPO filing, as reported by Reuters on October 1, 2026. The money pays for Anthropic’s infrastructure spending, and much of that spending goes to Broadcom hardware. The debt can also convert into Anthropic shares. Broadcom now plays four roles in this relationship: chip supplier, equipment lessor, lender, and possible future shareholder.
What $42 Billion Shows About Broadcom’s AI Growth The facility could cover about one-third of Anthropic’s $125.2 billion five-year TPU compute commitment. That commitment supports Broadcom’s AI plan. On the September earnings call, management said it expects Anthropic to become its largest XPU customer in 2027 and to hold that spot in 2028. Broadcom is installing one gigawatt of Ironwood chips for Anthropic in 2026. Anthropic is expected to installing five gigawatts of TPU v8i chips in 2027, and Broadcom says it has “clear line of sight” to an extra 10 gigawatts in 2028.
Those installations support Broadcom’s AI revenue outlook of about $115 billion in fiscal 2027 and $230 billion in fiscal 2028. The $42 billion facility tops the $23.975 billion in cash Broadcom held at the end of its third quarter.
The loan adds to earlier financing support. In June, Broadcom set up a financing platform with Apollo Global Management (NYSE:APO) and Blackstone (NYSE:BX). Its first $35 billion tranche closed that month to pay for Anthropic’s one-gigawatt installations. Management said at the time that third parties would insure those assets and that Broadcom would provide no direct financing, though it might offer “modest residual value guarantees.” Broadcom lending directly to Anthropic is a much deeper commitment.
How Broadcom Stock Reacted to the News Barron’s reported on October 1 that Broadcom stock rose as the two companies became more closely tied. On the next trading day, October 2, shares gained 3.35%, from $343.64 to $355.14. CNBC listed Broadcom among that day’s biggest noon movers.
Over a longer stretch, the stock has gone almost nowhere. Shares changed -0.39% from September 3 through October 2, and they remain well below the 52-week high of $493.28.
Bear Case: Broadcom Is Financing Its Own Demand Broadcom’s operating results are strong. Third-quarter revenue reached $29.59 billion, up 85.5% from a year earlier, and free cash flow was $13.665 billion. The concern is how much of the future revenue depends on Broadcom’s own credit.
Anthropic’s filing flags the conflict. Anthropic itself warns that Broadcom’s two roles as supplier and lender create “potential conflicts of interest” involving pricing and hardware decisions. Default terms work against both sides. Anthropic put cash into a restricted account for Broadcom’s benefit in April 2026 and may have to add more. If Anthropic misses payments or other obligations, much of what it owes on its leases could come due at once, and its access to the loan could be limited at the same time. Exposure is hard to measure. On the call, management would not give a maximum figure for future guarantees. It said future deals would have “unique features” tailored to each lab. An analyst noted the first tranche carried maximum exposure of about $29 billion. The customer list is short. Broadcom has only six XPU customers, and its filings list customer concentration and “significant indebtedness” as risks. Gross fixed-rate debt stands at $59.6 billion. Reuters described the deal as part of a broader industry pattern, comparing it with NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) using its balance sheet to support chip sales. Shareholders end up carrying credit risk tied to a single AI lab, while the stock still trades at 45x trailing earnings.
Bottom Line: Anthropic’s IPO Is the Key Test The $42 billion figure shows how much of Broadcom’s path to $230 billion in fiscal 2028 AI revenue depends on one customer that Broadcom is also helping to pay for. The next major event is Anthropic’s IPO. Management said the listing could change Anthropic’s credit profile, and it would also show what Broadcom’s possible equity stake is worth. Before that, Broadcom has guided fourth-quarter revenue to about $34.80 billion and AI semiconductor revenue to $21.70 billion. Long-term holders will need to judge whether that growth comes from customers’ own spending or from Broadcom’s lending.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Texas Instruments zvýšila čtvrtletní dividendu o 7 % na 1,52 USD na akcii a prodloužila sérii růstů na 23 let. Broadcom i Qualcomm také dál kryjí své dividendy silným volným cash flow.
Most chipmakers struggle to sustain dividends through brutal industry downturns, but three semiconductor companies have quietly built the cash flow machines and balance sheet discipline to keep raising payouts no matter where the cycle goes.
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Chipmakers have a reputation for wild earnings swings and huge factory bills, both of which can strain a steady dividend. That makes the few semiconductor companies that keep raising their payouts worth a closer look, because every check they mail says the business throws off cash through the whole cycle. The clearest example came when Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN | TXN Price Prediction) increased its dividend 7% to $1.52 per share, marking 23 consecutive years of increases. The three names below are Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO), Texas Instruments and Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM). Their yields are modest. Their cash flows are what make them notable for income investors, and each one has a different kind of cycle risk.
Broadcom: Record Free Cash Flow Dwarfs the Dividend Bill Broadcom has the lowest yield in this group at 0.76%, based on an annualized dividend of $2.60 per share and a recent price of $355.14. The dividend is lowest next to the share price, but it is very well covered.
Dividend safety: Broadcom produced $13.7 billion of free cash flow in its fiscal third quarter, equal to 46% of revenue. It paid $3.1 billion in dividends over the same period. Measured against trailing earnings per share of $7.83, the annual dividend takes about 33% of profits. The balance sheet is moving the right way. Cash ended the quarter at $24 billion, management repaid $5.6 billion of long-term debt during the quarter, and it retired another $1.5 billion of notes after the quarter closed. The remaining $59.6 billion of fixed-rate debt has an average coupon of 4%.
Track record: Broadcom has paid a dividend every quarter since December 2010, and the amount has stepped up many times. The two most recent increases took the quarterly payout from $0.53 to $0.59 to $0.65. The last raise was declared on December 9, 2025, so income investors should keep an eye on the fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report scheduled for December 9, 2026.
Bull case: Broadcom designs custom AI accelerators for hyperscalers including Google, Meta and OpenAI, sells the Ethernet switches that connect them, and runs an infrastructure software business with a 94% gross margin. AI semiconductor revenue reached $16.7 billion in the quarter, up 221% year over year. Management guided fourth-quarter revenue to about $34.8 billion and expects fiscal 2027 AI revenue of around $115 billion (that kind of early-mover setup is exactly what we studied in our free Next Nvidia playbook). Hock Tan, the chief executive on the call, put it this way: “Q3 demand was simply hot and we’re just getting started.” The stock trades at about 19 times forward earnings, so investors get that growth plus a growing payout.
Risk: This is a cycle tied to a handful of customers. Broadcom’s AI outlook depends on six XPU customers, and management said installations still depend on land, power and data center shells being ready. Should leading AI labs pull back on spending, Broadcom’s cash growth could stall quickly, even though the dividend would still be covered by a wide margin.
Texas Instruments: 23 Straight Years of Raises and a Cash Flow Rebound Texas Instruments yields about 2.07%, based on its new annualized dividend of $6.08 and its stock trading at $293.80. The newly raised $1.52 quarterly payment goes out on November 10 to shareholders of record on October 30.
Dividend safety: TI has the best dividend-growth record of the three. The quarterly payout went from $1.24 in 2023 to $1.30, $1.36, $1.42 and now $1.52, with one raise each autumn. Coverage is lower than at Broadcom. Trailing dividends of $5.62 per share against trailing EPS of $6.58 work out to a payout ratio near 85%. Free cash flow is what has changed. Trailing 12-month free cash flow reached $6.5 billion, up from $1.8 billion a year earlier, and TI returned $5.8 billion to owners over that stretch. The balance sheet holds $7 billion of cash and short-term investments against $14 billion of debt.
Bull case: TI makes analog and embedded processing chips. These are low-cost, long-lived parts that go into factory equipment, cars and power systems. Second-quarter revenue rose 22.82% to $5.463 billion, and data center revenue doubled year over year. For income investors, capital spending matters most. Quarterly capex fell to $514 million from $1,305 million a year earlier now that the heavy 300mm factory work is done, and that freed-up cash can go to shareholders. Management guided third-quarter revenue to $5.65 billion to $6.15 billion. The stock is up 72.21% year to date, which tells you investors already expect the recovery to last.
Risk: If the cycle turns, there is little buffer. The around 85% payout ratio leaves little room if industrial demand fades, and trailing free cash flow includes $1.6 billion of CHIPS Act incentives that will not repeat forever. Management also plans to fund the Silicon Labs acquisition with cash and new debt. A downturn would test how far that 23-year run can stretch. At about 28 times forward earnings, investors are paying up for the recovery.
Qualcomm: Licensing Cash and a Massive Buyback Back Up the Payout Qualcomm yields 1.93% on an annualized dividend of $3.68, with the latest quarterly check at $0.92. Its free cash flow yield is 6.49%, which means the dividend uses only about 30% of the free cash flow the business produces.
Dividend safety: The balance sheet is conservative. Debt to equity is 0.77, net debt is just 0.61 times EBITDA, with interest coverage at 18.61x. Qualcomm returned $2.3 billion to shareholders in its fiscal third quarter, including $1.4 billion of buybacks, and it has a $20 billion repurchase authorization in place. Because so much of the payout goes to buybacks, management could slow repurchases in a downturn and leave the dividend alone. The record shows a raise every year from 2020 through 2026, most recently from $0.89 to $0.92. Over the full history, the quarterly payout has grown from $0.05 in 2003.
Bull case: Qualcomm sells Snapdragon processors for phones, cars and connected devices, and it takes in patent royalties through its QTL licensing arm. That licensing business posted a 69% EBT margin, a high-margin source of cash that does not depend on building chips. The company also renewed its global patent license agreement with Apple in September. Automotive revenue rose 61% to $1.588 billion, its 23rd straight quarter of double-digit growth. Management is targeting $40B in non-handset revenue by fiscal 2029, helped by data center work that includes a new multi-generational collaboration with Amazon.
Risk: Qualcomm faces a handset cycle hitting at the same time as rising costs. Handset revenue fell 20% to $5.086 billion, and net income dropped 24.91% as memory, wafer and packaging costs rose. Management expects Apple product revenue to fall about 50% from the September quarter to the December quarter, and it guided chip-segment margins down to 23% to 25%. Non-GAAP EPS of $2.21 missed the $2.22 consensus estimate. Earnings coverage is weaker than cash coverage right now, with the stock at about 36 times trailing earnings.
Three Chipmakers, Three Ways to Get Paid Through the Cycle Broadcom has the widest coverage and the lowest yield, and AI cash flow is funding both the dividend and debt paydown. Texas Instruments has the strongest raise record and the highest yield of the three, but also the thinnest payout buffer, so its upcoming third-quarter report matters most for the dividend. Qualcomm sits in the middle: free cash flow covers the dividend comfortably, licensing royalties add a steady stream of cash, and a big buyback can be cut back before the dividend is touched. For income investors who want chip exposure, all three dividends look well supported by cash flow at this point in the cycle.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Broadcom za poslední měsíc klesl o 3,8 % po silných výsledcích, když tržby ve 3. fiskálním čtvrtletí vzrostly o 85,5 % na 29,59 miliardy USD. Firma zároveň zvýšila výhled tržeb z AI polovodičů pro fiskální rok 2026 na 58 miliard USD.
It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Broadcom Inc. (AVGO - Free Report) . Shares have lost about 3.8% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.
But investors have to be wondering, will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Broadcom Inc. due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.
AVGO Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Rise on Strong AI DemandBroadcom reported third-quarter fiscal 2026 non-GAAP earnings of $3.32 per share, up 96.4% year over year and 3.11% above the Zacks Consensus Estimate.
Revenues surged 85.5% year over year to $29.59 billion and beat the consensus mark by 0.41%. Strong custom AI accelerator and networking demand drove the quarterly results. AI semiconductor revenues jumped 221% year over year to $16.7 billion.
AVGO’s AI Semiconductor Growth AcceleratesAI semiconductor revenues represented 56% of total revenues. XPU shipments increased more than 3.5 times year over year and accounted for 73% of AI revenues, while AI networking revenues rose more than 2.5 times.
Broadcom shipped Ironwood TPU v7 in high volume to Anthropic and Google, began production shipments of Google’s next-generation TPU v8i and shipped OpenAI’s first-generation Jalapeno custom accelerator. AVGO expects Meta’s MTIA accelerator to enter production shipments in the fourth quarter.
Semiconductor Solutions revenues surged 127% year over year to a record $20.84 billion and represented 70% of total revenues. Non-AI semiconductor revenues were $4.2 billion, up 5% year over year and flat sequentially.
The segment's operating margin rose 440 basis points (bps) year over year to 61% as revenue growth outpaced operating expense growth. Broadcom continues to invest in research and development while expanding capacity for substrates and optical components to support semiconductor demand.
AVGO's Software Business Extends GrowthInfrastructure Software revenues increased 29% year over year to $8.75 billion and contributed 30% of total revenues. Annualized recurring revenue (ARR) grew 15% year over year.
Software operating margin expanded 650 bps year over year to roughly 84%.
Broadcom also introduced VMware Private AI Cloud, aimed at letting enterprises run AI alongside existing applications while maintaining security, compliance and control over data.
Broadcom Expands Operating ProfitabilityNon-GAAP gross margin was $22.19 billion, translating to a 75% gross margin. The margin declined 210 bps sequentially as AI semiconductor revenues became a larger part of the sales mix.
Non-GAAP operating expenses were $2.1 billion compared with $2.04 billion a year earlier.
Non-GAAP operating income increased 92% year over year to $20.1 billion, while the operating margin reached 67.9%, reflecting operating leverage from the sharp revenue increase.
AVGO Generates Record Free Cash FlowThe company ended the quarter with $24 billion in cash and cash equivalents.
Broadcom generated $14.20 billion in cash from operations and spent $532 million on capital expenditures. Free cash flow reached a record $13.67 billion, equal to 46% of revenues.
AVGO paid $3.1 billion in dividends and reduced long-term debt by $5.6 billion during the quarter. The board also approved a quarterly dividend of 65 cents per share.
Broadcom Guides for Stronger Q4 AI GrowthFor the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, Broadcom expects revenues of approximately $34.8 billion, representing 93% year-over-year growth.
Semiconductor revenues are projected at about $26.1 billion, including $21.7 billion of AI semiconductor revenues, up 236%.
Infrastructure Software revenues are expected at roughly $8.7 billion. Broadcom forecasts a non-GAAP operating margin of about 66% and a gross margin of approximately 73% as the mix shifts further toward XPUs with higher memory content.
AVGO Raises Its Fiscal 2026 AI Revenue ViewBroadcom now expects fiscal 2026 AI semiconductor revenues of $58 billion, up 186% year over year and above its prior $56 billion outlook. The company has secured supply to support approximately $115 billion of AI semiconductor revenues in fiscal 2027.
AVGO also sees fiscal 2028 AI semiconductor revenues reaching $230 billion. The company said demand exceeds its fiscal 2027 outlook, while deployment timing depends on factors including data-center readiness, leading-edge silicon, substrates and memory supply.
How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?It turns out, estimates review have trended upward during the past month.
VGM ScoresAt this time, Broadcom Inc. has a strong Growth Score of A, though it is lagging a bit on the Momentum Score front with a B. However, the stock has a score of F on the value side, putting it in the lowest quintile for this investment strategy.
Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of C. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.
OutlookEstimates have been broadly trending upward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions looks promising. Interestingly, Broadcom Inc. has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.
Performance of an Industry PlayerBroadcom Inc. belongs to the Zacks Electronics - Semiconductors industry. Another stock from the same industry, Marvell Technology (MRVL - Free Report) , has gained 28.4% over the past month. More than a month has passed since the company reported results for the quarter ended July 2026.
Marvell reported revenues of $2.74 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +36.5%. EPS of $0.94 for the same period compares with $0.67 a year ago.
For the current quarter, Marvell is expected to post earnings of $1.10 per share, indicating a change of +44.7% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed -0% over the last 30 days.
The overall direction and magnitude of estimate revisions translate into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for Marvell. Also, the stock has a VGM Score of F.
Broadcom dnes vzrostl o více než 2,7 %, protože banky připravují 60 miliard USD na financování infrastruktury pro AI čipy. Z toho 42 miliard USD má připadnout na dluh třídy A a 18 miliard USD na dluh třídy B. UBS zároveň zopakovala doporučení Buy a cílovou cenu 470 USD.
Broadcom stock AVGO gained more than 2.7% in trading on Friday as Wall Street banks prepared a potential $60 billion financing package for artificial intelligence chip infrastructure.
Bloomberg News reported that banks in Broadcom Inc.'s syndicate are preparing to market $42 billion of Class A senior-secured debt, while Blackstone is leading an additional $18 billion tranche of Class B junior debt.
The financing has been taking shape for several weeks, according to people familiar with the matter.
The potential deal is being closely watched as investors assess whether financial markets remain willing to fund the rapid expansion of AI infrastructure.
Broadcom is seeking to expand its sales of chips and other data-centre equipment as AI companies such as Anthropic require increasing computing capacity.
Banks involved in the deal are expected to send syndication letters for the $42 billion Class A senior-secured tranche, according to Bloomberg's sources.
Blackstone is leading the $18 billion Class B junior debt tranche and has committed $9 billion from various funds, with plans to syndicate the remainder.
The potential financing could help companies including Anthropic gain access to chips and other infrastructure needed to expand their AI operations.
Reuters reported on Thursday that Anthropic's IPO filing showed Broadcom had agreed to lend the AI company up to $42 billion to finance infrastructure spending.
The proposed package adds to the hundreds of billions of dollars already raised to finance AI infrastructure.
While much of that funding has gone towards data centres, financing for chips and servers has also increased.
Nvidia announced a partnership with six major financial firms in August to mobilise more than $500 billion for AI infrastructure, including financing to help customers purchase its chips.
UBS maintains Buy rating on BroadcomBroadcom also received continued support from UBS, which reiterated its Buy rating and maintained a $470 price target following a virtual non-deal roadshow with Chief Executive Officer Hock Tan and Chief Financial Officer Kirsten Spears.
UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri said the firm saw a strong upward bias to Broadcom's fiscal 2027 and 2028 AI revenue guidance following discussions with management.
Broadcom's revenue increased 49% over the 12 months through the third quarter of fiscal 2026, while analysts are forecasting 66% revenue growth for fiscal 2026.
Arcuri also said investor concerns surrounding Broadcom's flagship TPU programme were misguided.
Broadcom said engagement remains strong for the next two generations of its XPU programme following the v8i ramp in 2027.
Broadcom said it is adding more SRAM and ARM CPU cores to its XPU devices for orchestration and management, increasing the complexity of the chips and making them more difficult for in-house design teams to replicate, according to UBS.
On financing for its initial frontier-lab customer, Broadcom said it "sells chips, not financial products" and is not providing direct financing. Instead, the company is contributing to a platform that allows the customer to access third-party lenders.
Broadcom is providing residual-value guarantees only for selected tranches, which management described as a small fraction of the overall financing.
UBS said the comments were consistent with previous discussions and maintained its estimates and $470 price target.
With a $470 target price, traders tracking the stock's momentum often turn to top online trading platforms to monitor price action around major financing and partnership news.
Broadcom těží z AI boomu, když výnosy z AI ve 3. čtvrtletí vyskočily o 221 % na 16,7 miliardy USD. Ve 4. čtvrtletí čeká růst o 236 % na 21,7 miliardy USD.
Only a handful of companies have benefited more from the current artificial intelligence (AI) boom than Broadcom (AVGO -0.76%). Shares of the semiconductor giant are up 330% in the past three years, and Broadcom now sits as the world's ninth-most valuable company, with a market capitalization of $1.68 trillion (as of Sept. 28).
Broadcom has made plenty of millionaires through the years, but after its current run-up, has that ship sailed? If you have time on your side, I don't believe so.
Image source: Getty Images.
The math behind reaching $1 million from scratch Whether a stock is a millionaire maker depends largely on two things: how much you have to invest and how long you have to invest. If you have $500,000 to invest at once, reaching $1 million is much easier than if you needed $25,000 to grow 40-fold. The same goes for time. If you're trying to go from scratch to $1 million in a decade, you'll need much higher returns than someone with a 20-year horizon.
Investors are more likely to have time than a six-figure lump sum, so for our example, we'll assume a 20-year horizon. Here are different investment amounts and average annual return combinations that it would take to reach a million if you're starting from scratch:
Annual Investment (Monthly)Average Annual Returns$3,000 ($250)24.8%$6,000 ($500)19.1%$9,000 ($750)15.7%$12,000 ($1,000)13.3%$18,000 ($1,500)9.8% Data source: Table by author.
If you can invest $750 to $1,500 in Broadcom monthly, I see it as a millionaire maker. If you're starting from scratch and trying with just $250 monthly, it's a bit more far-fetched to happen in 20 years.
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Riding a high, but built to last Broadcom's recent success is mostly due to its role in the AI ecosystem, supplying custom AI chips and networking equipment. In the third quarter (Q3), semiconductor revenue from AI jumped 221% year over year to $16.7 billion. In Q4, it expects it to jump 236% year over year to $21.7 billion. This continues an impressive run, with Broadcom's revenue and net income up 218% and 271%, respectively, over the past three years.
AVGO Revenue (Quarterly) data by YCharts
The current AI boom has Broadcom in a great place, but if you're investing with seven figures in mind, the business needs to be built to last. In Broadcom's case, it has done a good job building a hardware and software ecosystem that keeps business steady beyond the current hype.
AI aside, Broadcom's chips and wireless parts are used in everything from smartphones to broadband equipment to smart TVs. Right now, it has high customer concentration, with AI hyperscalers (companies that own major data centers) spending hundreds of billions to build out their data centers, but Broadcom's business is a huge part of the overall tech infrastructure.
Trading at 30 times its projected earnings over the next 12 months, Broadcom's stock is expensive. It's much cheaper than the 41 it traded at in June but still expensive enough that investors should be aware the stock could be vulnerable to a pullback. Still, if you're in it for the long haul, this shouldn't deter you.
Broadcom souhlasil, že Anthropicu půjčí až 42 miliard USD na financování infrastruktury a pronájmu čipů. Anthropic varuje před možnými střety zájmů kvůli roli Broadcomu jako dodavatele i financujícího partnera.
Anthropic’s IPO prospectus documents extensive partnerships with a handful of big tech firms. One stands out: chip maker Broadcom (AVGO.O).
The company's relationship with Anthropic spans compute supply, equipment leasing and financing -- giving the semiconductor company a central role in Anthropic's infrastructure buildout. That differentiates it from other major partners and investors such as Amazon (AMZN.O), which primarily provide cloud infrastructure and distribution for Anthropic's model Claude.
As part of that complex relationship, revealed in the IPO filing, Broadcom has agreed to lend Anthropic up to $42 billion to finance infrastructure spending.
In turn, Anthropic stands to become the largest customer in Broadcom’s bread-and-butter chip design business next year, making their relationship a prime example of the reciprocal spending that has animated AI skeptics on Wall Street, even as the AI lab readies a public offering that could see it valued at $2 trillion.
"It feels that there's quite a concentrated bet right now on two companies being able to generate enough revenues to support all the financing that's happened," said Robert Leitao, managing partner of Rothschild & Co.
As part of the financing arrangement, Broadcom could designate a financing partner, and the debt instruments could be converted into Anthropic shares. Anthropic said in its filing it doesn't expect any notes to be sold before it completes its IPO.
The convertible note Anthropic would issue could finance about a third of the $125.2 billion commitment the AI lab has made for a five-year lease of tensor processing unit (TPU) computing capacity.
Alphabet's (GOOGL.O) Google and Broadcom have collaborated on several generations of the TPUs. Anthropic announced in April an expanded partnership with Broadcom and Google that will give it access to multiple gigawatts of next-generation TPU compute capacity beginning in 2027.
For Broadcom, the financing arrangement follows what rival Nvidia (NVDA.O) has done in recent years -- use its strong financial position to help boost chip sales.
"Nvidia is putting in place a massive amount of its balance sheet, and Broadcom is having to follow suit," Seaport Research analyst Jay Goldberg said.
POTENTIAL CONFLICTS OF INTEREST
Anthropic disclosed that Broadcom's role in supplying hardware and acting as a financing partner creates "potential conflicts of interest" that might affect Anthropic's ability to access the computing power needed for its work, according to the prospectus.
The AI lab also warned that Broadcom's decisions around pricing and hardware could affect its ability to procure enough computing infrastructure.
Broadcom did not comment. Anthropic declined to comment.
Related to the convertible debt, Anthropic said it deposited cash into a restricted account for Broadcom's benefit in April 2026 and may be required to contribute additional amounts in certain circumstances, according to the filing.
The company warned that certain payment or performance defaults could make a substantial portion of its lease obligations immediately due while limiting its ability to use the $42 billion financing facility to cover those payments.
Meanwhile, Anthropic is expected to become Broadcom's largest compute customer in 2027. Broadcom projects AI semiconductor revenue of about $115 billion in fiscal 2027 and $230 billion in fiscal 2028.
Anthropic v prospektu k IPO uvedla závazky vůči Broadcomu ve výši 161,2 miliardy USD za pronájem zařízení. Firma přitom stále nese i celkové závazky za cloud, výpočetní a infrastrukturní služby ve výši 518 miliard USD.
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Semiconductor giant Broadcom NASDAQ: AVGO has become one of the top breadwinners in custom silicon, positioning itself as NVIDIA’s NASDAQ: NVDA key competitor in AI chips. However, Broadcom’s XPU customer base is undergoing a very significant shift. Alphabet NASDAQ: GOOGL has long been Broadcom’s largest XPU customer, but if all goes according to plan, that will not be the case in 2027. Broadcom has explicitly said that Anthropic is on track to become its largest customer next year and sustain that position in 2028.
However, Anthropic has a problem that Alphabet does not; it is just now starting to generate profits. This raises questions about the company’s ability to actually pay Broadcom when the bill comes due. In this context, investors just received a critical piece of information to analyze: Anthropic’s confidential IPO prospectus. Diving into the details helps provide a better sense of Anthropic’s ability to make good on its commitment to Broadcom.
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Anthropic’s IPO Prospectus and the $161 Billion Broadcom CommitmentAccording to a confidential IPO prospectus seen by Reuters, Anthropic has $161.2 billion in Broadcom-related equipment lease obligations. These obligations are non-cancelable except in the case of a default. While this provides significant visibility for Broadcom, it doesn’t guarantee payment. If Anthropic faces severe funding difficulties, it could stop making lease payments, and Broadcom could resell the related AI racks. Additionally, its commitments toward Broadcom are not the only ones to consider. The company also has overall cloud, computing, and infrastructure obligations of $518 billion that it needs to fund.
In 2025, Anthropic’s revenue grew 12-fold to $4.6 billion. However, its operating loss more than doubled from $2.98 billion in 2024 to $8.06 billion in 2025. Additionally, the report notes that Anthropic’s cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments as of the end of 2025 were just $20.28 billion. However, the company also raised $65 billion in a May funding round, which could place its current cash balance much higher than $20.28 billion. Nonetheless, its cash would still be far below its spending commitments.
Other reports indicate that Anthropic’s annual revenue run rate has increased by seven times in 2026 to around $65 billion. Additionally, the company’s adjusted operating profit in Q2 was reportedly just $559 million, or a 5.1% margin.
This makes it evident that the company cannot pay for its commitments based on its current operating profits. In turn, it will need to draw on other funding sources to fulfill these obligations.
Anthropic’s Funding Sources: IPO Proceeds and the AI XPV PlatformThere are several key levers Anthropic can pull to fund its huge AI infrastructure commitments. This includes the capital raise expected from its IPO. Anthropic is reportedly targeting a $2 trillion valuation and seeks to raise up to $100 billion in cash. Clearly, this would contribute significantly to funding its $518 billion in commitments, but a massive gap would still exist.
This makes the AI XPV Platform, which Broadcom announced in partnership with Blackstone NYSE: BX and Apollo Global Management NYSE: APO, critical to bridging the gap as Anthropic pursues longer-term profitability. The firms have already launched the initial $35 billion tranche of this vehicle, which will support an over-1-GW deployment.
Under this agreement, an Apollo-managed investment fund pays Broadcom for the chips as Anthropic deploys them, and then receives payments from Anthropic over time as it leases the racks. Broadcom also provides a backstop where, if Anthropic doesn’t pay, it pays Apollo’s investors a portion of the difference. That backstop is considerable, at a maximum of $29 billion for the first tranche. Broadcom expects Anthropic to deploy 15 GW of its chips in 2027 and 2028 combined, implying that the total funding required will be many times higher than the initial $35 billion.
Critically, the initial lease has a five-year term. This gives Anthropic a long runway to grow and improve its profitability in order to make the necessary payments. This is ultimately what the success of the deal rests on. The firm projects revenue of $190 billion to $200 billion in 2028, which could lead to sizable profits if margin expansion progresses.
Anthropic’s IPO: A Key Broadcom Watch Item99th Percentile
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Broadcom expects Anthropic to become its largest XPU customer, but the company has over $500 billion in spending commitments.
Anthropic is experiencing extremely rapid growth and has reportedly nudged its way into adjusted operating profitability, putting it on a solid trajectory.
However, Anthropic still has a long way to go to close the gap between its commitments and its cash flow.
In turn, with respect to Broadcom’s outlook, it will be critical to monitor Anthropic’s financials, which will become much easier to monitor and verify after its IPO.
Reports indicate that Anthropic’s IPO could take place after the November mid-term elections.
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When Avago Technologies declared its first dividend in December 2010, it was 7 cents a share. Avago then took the name Broadcom (AVGO -0.92%), and after the company's 10-for-1 stock split in 2024, the first payout comes out to under a penny. Now, the quarterly dividend is $0.65 a share -- more than 90 times the first check.
The yield doesn't look like much. At around $350 as I write, shares yield about 0.7% on the $2.60 annual payout.
But investors who buy stocks for growing income usually care about two other things: how fast the dividend climbs and how easily the company covers it.
Broadcom has a solid answer to the first, with 15 straight years of raises. And I think its answer to the second is improving.
The cash behind the dividend has been rising far faster than the dividend itself. That matters because the company chooses how much to raise the payout just once a year, in December.
Image source: Getty Images.
A raise every DecemberIn December 2016, the board doubled the quarterly payout to $1.02 a share (around $0.10 after the split) alongside the company's fiscal fourth-quarter results. Every raise since has come the same way, once a year, in December, with the fourth-quarter report.
Broadcom boosted its quarterly dividend 10% last December. This made fiscal 2026's $2.60 annual payout the company's 15th straight yearly increase.
"Based on increased cash flows in fiscal year 2025, we are increasing our quarterly common stock dividend by 10% to $0.65 per share for fiscal year 2026," said Kirsten Spears, Broadcom's chief financial officer at the time, in the company's December earnings release.
Put simply, the board looks back at the fiscal year that just ended and sets the dividend for the coming year. This December's decision will likely rest on fiscal 2026, which ends Nov. 1.
What pays for the raises?Showing how fast Broadcom's cash generation is growing, free cash flow climbed 95% year over year to $13.7 billion in the quarter ended Aug. 2, 2026 (Broadcom's fiscal third quarter). That was 46% of revenue. Revenue grew 86% to $29.6 billion, driven by artificial intelligence (AI) semiconductor revenue of $16.7 billion, up 221%. Capital expenditures were just around $0.5 billion, versus $14.2 billion of operating cash flow.
Stepping back, free cash flow rose about 10% for fiscal 2024, then 39% for fiscal 2025, to $26.9 billion. In the first three quarters of fiscal 2026, Broadcom has already brought in around $31.9 billion, which beats all of last year and is up about 64% from the same stretch a year earlier.
Put another way, Broadcom's cash flow growth has sped up two years running. And management expects fourth-quarter revenue of around $34.8 billion, up 93% year over year.
The raises haven't kept up, and for a dividend-growth investor, I'd say that's good news. Broadcom's past three hikes were 14%, 11%, and 10%. The raises got a bit smaller even as cash flow growth sped up.
Broadcom paid around $9.8 billion in dividends in fiscal 2024, about half its free cash flow. In fiscal 2025, dividends of around $11.1 billion used 41%. And the $9.3 billion Broadcom has paid so far this fiscal year was around 29% of free cash flow -- and just 23% in the latest quarter.
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Of course, the rest of the cash isn't idle. Broadcom has spent $8.5 billion buying back its own shares so far in fiscal 2026. It also repaid $5.6 billion in debt in the fiscal third quarter and retired another $1.5 billion in notes after the quarter ended.
Yes, most of the growth behind these numbers is from AI chip sales to a concentrated group of customers building frontier AI models, and demand from that group might swing.
But the latest two raises were both based on a full year of cash that had already come in. If the pattern holds, a slowdown in cash flow could just mean a smaller raise, not a risk to the payout itself.
At a 0.7% yield, Broadcom stock won't do much for investors who need income today. But the payout has grown over 90-fold since 2010, and it's been taking a smaller share of the company's cash since fiscal 2024. For investors focused on how fast their income grows, I think this matters more than a starting yield under 1%.
Broadcom zvyšuje výhled tržeb z AI čipů na 58 miliard USD pro tento fiskální rok a na zhruba 115 miliard USD pro fiskální rok 2027. Upravený EPS za poslední čtyři čtvrtletí je asi o 43 % vyšší než ve fiskálním roce 2025.
Broadcom (AVGO +0.70%) stock sits near $350 as of this writing, about 29% under its 52-week high of $495. Much of that drop came the day after the chip designer's June 3 earnings report. Shares fell about 13% that session as investors reacted to CEO Hock Tan's decision not to lift the company's artificial intelligence (AI) chip forecast.
But the forecast has moved since then, and it moved up.
The company's profits have risen, too. Broadcom's non-GAAP (adjusted) earnings per share over the last four quarters are about 43% higher than in fiscal 2025. But the stock is back to about where it ended 2025.
Put another way, investors are paying the same price for a far more profitable company.
Sure, the market does have one legitimate worry, which is how few customers the forecast rests on. But I think the discount has gone further than that risk justifies.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
The forecast went up, not downIn June, Tan said Broadcom's AI chip sales would hit around $56 billion in fiscal 2026 before clearing $100 billion the year after.
With the company's Sept. 2 earnings report, both numbers rose. Broadcom now expects AI sales of $58 billion this fiscal year and around $115 billion for fiscal 2027, a figure Tan said is backed by supply the company has already locked in. He added a new target, too: $230 billion for fiscal 2028.
Showing how fast the business is growing, Broadcom's AI chip sales hit $16.7 billion over the three months ended Aug. 2 (its fiscal third quarter of 2026), up 221% from a year earlier. That growth rate has sped up every quarter this fiscal year. Growth was 106% in the fiscal first quarter, then 143% in the second. Management sees $21.7 billion for fiscal Q4, up 236%. And profit is speeding up right along with sales. Adjusted earnings per share surged 96% over the year-ago quarter, up from gains of 54% and 28% in the two quarters before it.
Tan also said on the earnings call that Broadcom is on track to clear $30 in earnings per share in fiscal 2028.
Cheaper by almost halfAt its record close in early June, Broadcom's stock was valued at about 66 times its adjusted earnings per share over the prior four quarters. At roughly $350, the stock trades at about 36 times those adjusted earnings.
Broadcom spent most of the last two years trading between about 40 and 55 times its adjusted earnings. It's been this cheap by that measure just briefly, mainly in the spring of 2025.
Measured against analysts' profit estimates for fiscal 2027, the price comes out to around 18 times earnings. And the price is below 12 times earnings if Broadcom reaches the $30-plus in earnings per share Tan is targeting for fiscal 2028. At that price, investors seem to be paying as if a good part of the forecast might not come in on time.
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Is the customer list too short?The worry I take most seriously is concentration, and it's rising. Broadcom estimates its top five end customers accounted for around 55% of revenue in fiscal Q3, up from about 45% in fiscal Q2 and about 40% a year before.
Tan counts six custom-chip customers, and he expects Anthropic to become the biggest of them in 2027. That's probably why Broadcom shares lost around 5% on Sept. 14, after Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei put out an essay arguing for slower AI model development. Tan told CNBC that day that the debate hadn't changed his fiscal 2027 and 2028 targets.
For two of the six, Anthropic and OpenAI, Broadcom created a financing platform with Apollo and Blackstone to fund their deployments. It has agreed to backstop up to around $29 billion of one customer's lease payments, and it may provide residual value guarantees.
Yes, if one of these labs struggles to fund its build-out, a big part of fiscal 2027 and 2028 revenue might slip. But Tan said the other four customers are financially solid enough to fund their own deployments.
Ultimately, given how short the customer list is, I see why investors would pay less for Broadcom than they did at the June peak. But I don't think that justifies paying about the same price as at the end of 2025 for a business whose adjusted earnings per share are about 43% higher.
Is Broadcom stock a buy 29% below its high? I think it is. With this much of the forecast resting on a few customers, though, I'd consider buying gradually rather than all at once.
Microsoft, Broadcom a Costco v Nasdaq-100 vyplácejí pravidelnou dividendu a kryjí ji silným volným cash flow. Microsoft navíc zvýšil čtvrtletní dividendu na 0,98 USD z 0,91 USD.
The Nasdaq-100 is famous for growth stocks that pay little to nothing, but a few of its members quietly back their dividends with some of the deepest free cash flow in the entire market. These three names may change how…
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Investors buy the Nasdaq-100 for growth, and most of its weight sits in companies that return little or nothing to shareholders. Tucked inside that growth engine is a real income segment, and its payouts rest on some of the deepest cash generation in the market. In its latest fiscal year, Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT | MSFT Price Prediction) alone produced $66.99 billion of free cash flow. Microsoft, Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO), and Costco (NASDAQ:COST) all appear in the most recent reported holdings of the flagship Nasdaq-100 tracker, and all three pay a regular quarterly dividend. The trade-off is explicit: every yield here is modest, so you are buying strength and dividend growth potential while accepting a small current check.
Microsoft: A Fresh Raise Funded by a Cash Machine Microsoft yields about 0.69% at a share price of $516.17, so the current income is small. What just changed is the payout itself: the board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.98 per share, up from $0.91, payable December 10 to shareholders of record on November 19. That lifts the annualized forward dividend to $3.92 per share.
Dividend safety: Coverage is very wide. Microsoft paid $3.64 per share in dividends over the trailing 12 months against diluted earnings of $17.97 per share. For the full fiscal year, operating cash flow reached $182.94 billion, and even after $115.95 billion of capital spending, free cash flow came in at $66.99 billion. That strength is reflected in debt-to-equity of 0.291, net debt to EBITDA of 0.557, and interest coverage of 50.88x.
Track record: The dividend record shows quarterly payments going back to 2003. In the recent history, the quarterly payout has stepped up every year, from $0.51 in 2020 to $0.56, $0.62, $0.68, $0.75, $0.83, $0.91, and now $0.98. Further back, the quarterly check was just $0.13 during 2009 and 2010.
Bull case: The cash engine is still accelerating. Full-year revenue rose 17.79% to $331.84 billion, and net income climbed 31.34% to $133.75 billion. Azure crossed $100 billion in annual revenue, Microsoft 365 Copilot passed 30 million paid seats, and commercial remaining performance obligations reached $678 billion, up 84%. That backlog is signed future cash that can fund future increases. The stock trades at about 29 times trailing earnings and 25 times forward earnings.
Risk: The AI build-out is eating into free cash flow. Fourth-quarter capital spending jumped 109.6% to $35.80 billion, and quarterly free cash flow fell 23.2% to $19.64 billion. Full-year free cash flow slipped 6.46%. If capital spending keeps exceeding operating cash flow, future dividend increases could moderate even with the payout itself well covered.
Broadcom: AI Cash Flow Gives the Payout Deep Cover Broadcom yields 0.73% at $352.81 per share. Its quarterly dividend of $0.65 goes out September 30 to holders of record on September 21, which puts the annualized forward dividend at $2.60.
Dividend safety: Broadcom’s cash generation has surged. In its fiscal third quarter, operating cash flow rose 98% to $14.20 billion, capital spending was just $532 million, and free cash flow jumped 94.55% to $13.67 billion, equal to 46% of revenue. The company held $23.98 billion in cash. On an earnings basis, the annual dividend compares with trailing diluted EPS of $7.74. Broadcom also had enough left over to buy back $600 million of stock in its fiscal second quarter.
Track record: The dividend record shows quarterly payments dating to 2010. The two most recent increases lifted the quarterly check from $0.53 to $0.59 and then from $0.59 to $0.65, and both arrived with the December payment. The payout has held at $0.65 for the last four payments, which makes the year-end declaration the next one to watch.
Bull case: The AI ramp gives Broadcom unusual visibility. Fiscal third-quarter revenue rose 85.5% to $29.59 billion, with AI semiconductor revenue of $16.7 billion, up 221%. Management guided fourth-quarter revenue to about $34.8 billion and AI semiconductor revenue to $21.7 billion. The earnings ramp shows up in the multiple: the stock trades at 45 times trailing earnings but 19 times forward earnings. Analysts are heavily positive, with 8 strong buy and 37 buy ratings against 4 holds, and a consensus target of $531.85.
Risk: A large share of that AI revenue comes from a small number of hyperscale customers. If their order patterns return to normal, the cash flow surge could cool and dividend growth could slow with it.
Costco: Reliable Raises With Occasional Special Payouts Costco yields 0.59% at $922.77 per share, the smallest yield in this group. The regular quarterly dividend stands at $1.47, up from $1.30, for an annualized forward rate of $5.88. Trailing 12-month payments amounted $5.54.
Dividend safety: Costco just closed its fiscal year with operating cash flow of $15.83 billion, up 18.67%, and free cash flow of $9.39 billion, up 19.82%, after $6.44 billion of capital spending. Cash stood at $20.21 billion. The foundation is membership: fee income reached $1.85 billion in the fourth quarter, the company counts 150.4 million cardholders, and the worldwide renewal rate was 89.8%. Executive members account for 75.6% of sales. That recurring fee stream is what makes the payout so reliable.
Track record: The dividend record shows the regular quarterly payout rising every year from $0.10 in 2005 through the current $1.47. Recent steps went from $0.90 to $1.02, then to $1.16, $1.30, and $1.47. Costco has also paid special dividends of $15 (ex-dividend in December 2023), $10 in 2020, $7 in 2017, $5 in 2015, and $7 in 2012.
Bull case: The business keeps growing. Fourth-quarter revenue rose 11.1% to $95.72 billion, comparable sales grew 9.4% (6.7% excluding gas and currency), and digitally enabled comps climbed 19.5%. GAAP diluted EPS of $6.75 exceeded expectations, a figure that includes a $0.15 per share one-time duty refund benefit. Costco plans about 28 net new warehouses in the coming fiscal year, adding more membership fee income to support future increases. Shares are down 1.61% over the past year even as free cash flow grew at a double-digit pace.
Risk: The base yield is small, so a significant part of Costco’s income appeal rides on special dividends, and their timing is unpredictable. The practical approach is to plan around the regular quarterly check and treat any special as a bonus.
How the Three Payouts Stack Up Company Dividend Yield Latest Quarterly Dividend Annualized Forward Dividend Latest Free Cash Flow Microsoft 0.69% $0.98 $3.92 $66.99 billion (fiscal year) Broadcom 0.73% $0.65 $2.60 $13.67 billion (fiscal third quarter) Costco 0.59% $1.47 $5.88 $9.39 billion (fiscal year) Why This Income Cohort Deserves a Closer Look Microsoft, Broadcom, and Costco pay small yields today, and each backs its dividend with billions in free cash flow, deep cash balances, and a record of lifting the payout. Microsoft brings the most consistent annual raise pattern, Broadcom the fastest-growing cash engine, and Costco a steadily rising regular check exceeded by periodic specials. For income investors who want their Nasdaq-100 exposure to pay them while they wait, this is the segment that fits.
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Čínské úřady prověřují používání hardwaru Broadcomu ve státních datových centrech. Podle FT může SASAC vyzvat k omezení používání jeho switchů v rámci kampaně „domácí čipy pro domácí použití“.
Chinese authorities are examining the use of Broadcom’s (AVGO.O) hardware in state-backed data centres as part of a drive to boost domestic producers and reduce reliance on foreign AI infrastructure, the Financial Times reported Wednesday, citing people familiar with the matter.
Amid rivalry with the US, China has sharpened its focus on technological self-sufficiency and supply-chain resilience and provided particular support for smaller specialised companies it calls little giants.
The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC), which oversees state-owned enterprises, has spent recent weeks surveying how extensively Broadcom's switches are deployed across state-controlled data centres, the report said.
Reuters could not immediately verify the report. Broadcom and SASAC could not be immediately reached for comment outside regular business hours.
The survey found that Broadcom switches could account for as much as 90% of the equipment in use, the report added.
Based on those preliminary findings, SASAC may issue informal guidance directing state-run data centres to scale back their use of Broadcom switches as part of Beijing's "domestic chips for domestic use" campaign — an effort to expand adoption of Chinese-made semiconductors and AI technology across the public sector, the newspaper reported.
Broadcom, along with Nvidia (NVDA.O) and China's Huawei, sells high-end switches within the country. Although Nvidia products have already been barred from state-backed data centres, Broadcom's switches remain widely present in these facilities, the report added.
Concerns around security and how artificial intelligence capabilities could evolve have put a spotlight on the pace of frontier model development. After doing so several months ago, Anthropic has again called for measures that would limit how quickly frontier models can improve.
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This has understandably caused significant concerns about the AI trade. On Sept. 14, the next trading day after Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei released his blog post “We Must Pace the Frontier," many AI-related stocks tanked.
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Broadcom NASDAQ: AVGO fell 4.8%, and higher volatility names like Astera Labs NASDAQ: ALAB fell more than 10%. Markets expect these stocks to put up drastic sales and earnings growth going forward, something that a slowdown in frontier model development could threaten.
Broadcom CEO Hock Tan recently faced direct questions about how pacing AI development could affect its approximately $350 billion AI sales outlook. Unsurprisingly, Tan remained firm on his forecast, with his comments revealing a real nuance in the AI-slowdown debate—a nuance that happens to favor Broadcom.
Broadcom Brushes Off AI Development Slowdown ConcernsIn its last earnings call, Broadcom guided for $115 billion of AI chip revenue in its fiscal year 2027 (FY2027), and $230 billion in fiscal year 2028 (FY2028). Rounding up a few billion dollars, Hock Tan said “we believe with a pretty high degree of confidence, we will ship $350 billion of AI semiconductors to these customers in the next 2 years.”
When asked "Is there anything that has happened in this whole debate about the AI slowdown that would give you pause to that prediction?" Tan said, “No, not in the least." Tan added that the company sees compute demand for frontier model development (training) and inference as continuing to be very strong and durable. Training is the process of making models more intelligent, whereas inference refers to using already trained models to execute tasks.
However, Tan made a slightly more revealing statement later on, saying “Look, I don’t know about training, but when you want to productize inference, I see it continuing to be very, very strong." This statement lines up with how an agreed-upon slowdown in AI development would likely affect the industry.
Models becoming too intelligent, too quickly, is the primary fear discussed by Anthropic and others. In turn, a slowdown in AI development would likely have the most negative effect on demand for training compute. In fact, Amodei specifically notes in his blog, “We should also consider pacing based on limiting the ingredients that go into frontier models, such as training compute." Luckily for Broadcom, its AI chip business is becoming more inference oriented than training oriented, demonstrated by its customer relationships.
Broadcom’s Top Customer Relationships Focus on InferenceIn its latest earnings call, Broadcom noted that it is Alphabet’s NASDAQ: GOOGL partner in developing the firm’s next-generation tensor processing unit (TPU) v8i. This is the inference-optimized variant of the TPU v8, while MediaTek OTCMKTS: MDTKF is Alphabet’s partner in developing the training-optimized TPU v8t. Thus, Broadcom is clearly more exposed to inference demand with this chip.
The case is the same when it comes to the firm’s collaboration with OpenAI. Broadcom has helped OpenAI develop Jalapeño, which the firms explicitly call “OpenAI’s first custom inference chip.” While revenue from the OpenAI relationship is likely limited at this point, Broadcom does not expect this to be the case for long. As Jalapeño rolls out, Broadcom expects OpenAI to become the company’s second-largest custom chip buyer in FY2028.
Then there is Anthropic, which Broadcom expects to become its largest customer chip revenue source in FY2027 and sustain this position in FY2028. Broadcom is not developing a separate chip for Anthropic; the company will also deploy TPUs. Nonetheless, these chips will also be inference-optimized, with Anthropic expected to deploy 5 GW of the TPU v8i in 2027 and 10 more GW in 2028.
Calls for AI Slowdown Remain a Risk to WatchThere is reason to believe that training compute demand would be most adversely affected if the pace of frontier model development were to slow. In this case, Broadcom’s heavy focus on inference compute could leave it in a better position.
None of this is to say that a slowdown in AI development would not negatively affect Broadcom's business and stock price. It very well could, especially if slowing down development causes frontier models to lose their intelligence lead, thereby shifting their share of inference demand. In turn, it is important to continue monitoring whether calls for a slowdown in frontier development intensify and move toward implementation.
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Broadcom vykázal deváté po sobě jdoucí překonání odhadů; tržby ve 3. fiskálním čtvrtletí 2026 vzrostly o 85,5 % na 29,59 miliardy USD a tržby z čipů pro AI o 221 % na 16,70 miliardy USD.
Broadcom just posted its ninth straight earnings beat while AI revenue exploded triple digits year-over-year, yet the stock has barely moved in 2026. Something has to give, and our model has a strong opinion on which direction.
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Custom AI silicon has moved from a side business to the largest single growth engine at any US chip company outside NVIDIA. Yet Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO | AVGO Price Prediction) shares have drifted sideways for most of 2026, which is exactly the setup our proprietary model looks for.
Broadcom trades at $357.61 as of the September 18, 2026 close. Our 24/7 Wall St. price target for Broadcom is $426.10, an implied upside of 19.15% over the next twelve months. Our recommendation is buy, and our model confidence sits at 90%, which we classify as high.
24/7 Wall St. Price Target Summary Metric Value Current Price $357.61 24/7 Wall St. Price Target $426.10 Upside 19.15% Recommendation BUY Confidence Level 90% An AI Story the Chart Isn’t Telling Broadcom is up just 3.71% year-to-date and 4.31% over the past year, with shares down 1.34% in the last month. That is a striking disconnect from the underlying business.
Fiscal Q3 2026, reported September 2, 2026, delivered revenue of $29.59 billion, up 85.5% year-over-year, with non-GAAP EPS of $3.32, the ninth straight beat. AI semiconductor revenue reached $16.70 billion, up 221% year-over-year, and management guided Q4 AI revenue to $21.7 billion, up 236%. CEO Hock Tan has publicly targeted exceeding $100 billion in AI sales by 2027.
Why Bulls See a Breakout Ahead The bull case rests on customer roster strength. On the Q2 fiscal 2026 call, Tan disclosed a Meta partnership to deploy 3 gigawatts through the end of 2028, an OpenAI commitment of 1.3 gigawatts in 2027 as part of a broader 10 gigawatts by 2029 agreement, and $6 billion in additional purchase orders from two unnamed customers.
Tan stated, “Demand for XPUs and networking is simply insatiable.” Consensus analyst target of $531.85 implies 48% upside. Our bull-case scenario projects $534.01 within twelve months if AI bookings accelerate.
Risks Worth Watching The bear thesis centers on customer concentration. Broadcom has flagged concentration in a limited number of hyperscale AI customers as a primary risk. Any capex reset from Google, Meta, or OpenAI would flow directly through. A forward P/E of 19 holds only if $14.64 forward EPS sustains.
Gross margin is expected to compress toward 74% as AI silicon becomes a larger mix. CFO Kirsten Spears countered that “Structurally, the semiconductor margins remains very stable and very solid,” attributing dilution to mix rather than pricing. Our bear-case one-year price sits at $376.43, still above current levels.
How Broadcom Compares to NVIDIA and Marvell NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) closed at $222.27 with consensus fiscal 2027 EPS of $9.31, putting its forward P/E near 24. Broadcom’s forward P/E of 19 is a real discount to the merchant-GPU leader, validating our conservative price target.
Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL) is the closest custom-silicon and AI networking pure-play. It closed at $244.25, up 1.45% on the same session Broadcom rose 2.97%. Marvell competes for the same hyperscaler ASIC sockets, which shows AVGO faces credible competition in AI while Broadcom’s scale advantage justifies its premium.
Broadcom Price Prediction 2026-2030 Our $426.10 target and buy rating reflect a stock whose fundamentals have outrun price action.
The bull case holds if Tan’s $100 billion AI target by 2027 is credible. The bear case gains ground if hyperscaler capex plans pull back in 2027. Bookings visibility running to 2028 is the tie-breaker.
Year 24/7 Wall St. Price Target 2026 $374 2027 $428 2028 $476 2029 $524 2030 $591 These projections assume Broadcom continues executing its custom-silicon roadmap with existing hyperscale customers. Significant upside or downside could result from either an accelerated OpenAI ramp or a broad hyperscaler capex pause.
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