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2026-07-22 16:15 3d ago
2026-07-22 11:01 4d ago
Ares Capital čeká pokles EPS, tržby porostou
ARCC Ares Capital
FMP Stock News 72
Original source text
Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when Ares Capital (ARCC - Free Report) reports results for the quarter ended June 2026. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.

The earnings report, which is expected to be released on July 29, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.

While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise.

Zacks Consensus EstimateThis private equity firm is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.47 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -6%.

Revenues are expected to be $768.95 million, up 3.2% from the year-ago quarter.

Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.52% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.

Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts.

Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction).

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.

A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.

Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).

How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Ares Capital?For Ares Capital, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bearish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -3.85%.

On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #4.

So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Ares Capital will beat the consensus EPS estimate.

Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?Analysts often consider to what extent a company has been able to match consensus estimates in the past while calculating their estimates for its future earnings. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.

For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Ares Capital would post earnings of $0.48 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.47, delivering a surprise of -2.08%.

The company has not been able to beat consensus EPS estimates in any of the last four quarters.

Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.

That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

Ares Capital doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.

Expected Results of an Industry PlayerAres Capital (ARCC - Free Report) , another stock in the Zacks Financial - SBIC & Commercial Industry industry, is expected to report earnings per share of $0.47 for the quarter ended June 2026. This estimate points to a year-over-year change of -6%. Revenues for the quarter are expected to be $768.95 million, up 3.2% from the year-ago quarter.

The consensus EPS estimate for Ares Capital has been revised 0.5% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. However, a lower Most Accurate Estimate has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -3.85%.

This Earnings ESP, combined with its Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Ares Capital will beat the consensus EPS estimate. The company could not beat consensus EPS estimates in any of the last four quarters.

Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.
2026-07-22 13:50 3d ago
2026-07-22 04:15 4d ago
Ares Capital oznámí výsledky za 2. čtvrtletí
ARCC Ares Capital
FMP Stock News 78
Original source text
Posted by Defense World Staff on Jul 22nd, 2026

Ares Capital (NASDAQ:ARCC – Get Free Report) is anticipated to announce its Q2 2026 results before the market opens on Wednesday, July 29th. Analysts expect the company to post earnings of $0.47 per share and revenue of $770.6710 million for the quarter. Interested persons may visit the the company’s upcoming Q2 2026 earning report page for the latest details on the call scheduled for Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Ares Capital (NASDAQ:ARCC – Get Free Report) last announced its earnings results on Tuesday, April 28th. The investment management company reported $0.47 EPS for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.48 by ($0.01). The firm had revenue of $763.00 million for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $778.00 million. Ares Capital had a net margin of 37.30% and a return on equity of 9.85%. The business’s revenue was up 4.2% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter last year, the business earned $0.50 earnings per share. On average, analysts expect Ares Capital to post $2 EPS for the current fiscal year and $2 EPS for the next fiscal year.

Ares Capital Stock Down 0.2% Shares of NASDAQ:ARCC opened at $18.95 on Wednesday. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.13, a current ratio of 1.40 and a quick ratio of 1.40. The firm has a market capitalization of $13.61 billion, a PE ratio of 11.63 and a beta of 0.56. The firm’s 50-day moving average is $18.66 and its two-hundred day moving average is $18.99. Ares Capital has a 1 year low of $17.40 and a 1 year high of $23.20.

Ares Capital Announces Dividend The firm also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Tuesday, June 30th. Stockholders of record on Monday, June 15th were paid a $0.48 dividend. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Monday, June 15th. This represents a $1.92 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 10.1%. Ares Capital’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is presently 117.79%.

Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades ARCC has been the subject of a number of research reports. JPMorgan Chase & Co. dropped their price objective on shares of Ares Capital from $19.00 to $18.50 and set an “overweight” rating for the company in a report on Thursday, July 2nd. Royal Bank Of Canada reduced their target price on shares of Ares Capital from $22.00 to $21.00 and set an “outperform” rating on the stock in a report on Wednesday, April 29th. Citizens Jmp decreased their price target on shares of Ares Capital from $23.00 to $22.00 and set a “market outperform” rating for the company in a research report on Wednesday, April 22nd. Truist Financial dropped their price target on shares of Ares Capital from $23.00 to $22.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research note on Wednesday, April 29th. Finally, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods cut their price objective on Ares Capital from $22.00 to $21.00 and set an “outperform” rating on the stock in a research report on Thursday, April 16th. Eight research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and three have given a Hold rating to the company’s stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, Ares Capital currently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average target price of $20.60.

Check Out Our Latest Research Report on ARCC

Hedge Funds Weigh In On Ares Capital A number of institutional investors and hedge funds have recently made changes to their positions in the stock. First Citizens Bank & Trust Co. grew its holdings in shares of Ares Capital by 5.3% during the fourth quarter. First Citizens Bank & Trust Co. now owns 10,530 shares of the investment management company’s stock worth $213,000 after purchasing an additional 532 shares during the last quarter. PCG Wealth Advisors LLC increased its position in shares of Ares Capital by 3.4% during the third quarter. PCG Wealth Advisors LLC now owns 19,282 shares of the investment management company’s stock worth $394,000 after purchasing an additional 643 shares in the last quarter. Navis Wealth Advisors LLC lifted its holdings in shares of Ares Capital by 2.3% in the 3rd quarter. Navis Wealth Advisors LLC now owns 28,104 shares of the investment management company’s stock valued at $574,000 after purchasing an additional 643 shares during the last quarter. Empowered Funds LLC lifted its holdings in shares of Ares Capital by 2.1% in the 4th quarter. Empowered Funds LLC now owns 38,803 shares of the investment management company’s stock valued at $785,000 after purchasing an additional 780 shares during the last quarter. Finally, DCM Advisors LLC boosted its position in shares of Ares Capital by 4.0% in the 2nd quarter. DCM Advisors LLC now owns 23,348 shares of the investment management company’s stock valued at $471,000 after purchasing an additional 905 shares during the period. 27.38% of the stock is owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

Ares Capital Company Profile (Get Free Report)

Ares Capital Corporation (NASDAQ: ARCC) is a publicly traded business development company (BDC) that specializes in providing debt and equity financing solutions to U.S. middle-market companies. As a BDC, Ares Capital offers investors access to a diversified portfolio of tailored credit investments, including senior secured loans, unitranche financing, mezzanine debt and equity co-investments. The firm’s flexible capital structures are designed to support companies seeking growth capital, refinancing or strategic acquisitions.

Through its credit platform, Ares Capital focuses on originations, underwriting and portfolio management across a range of industries, with a particular emphasis on sectors such as healthcare, technology, industrials and business services.

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2026-07-21 16:11 4d ago
2026-07-21 09:30 5d ago
Ares Capital nabízí výnos přes 10 %, ale zisk pokulhává
ARCC Ares Capital
FMP Stock News 72
Original source text
Ares Capital (ARCC +0.63%) currently yields just over 10%. That's about 10 times higher than the S&P 500.

At that rate, investing $5,000 into the business development company's (BDC) stock would generate a little more than $500 a year in passive income. That's, of course, if Ares Capital can maintain its current dividend rate. Here's a look at the sustainability of its high-yielding payout.

Image source: Getty Images.

Getting tighter, but not a concern yet Ares Capital has an excellent dividend track record. The BDC has paid a stable or growing regular dividend for over 16 consecutive years. That's impressive in the BDC space, as many of its peers have had to cut their payouts over the years due to falling earnings.

There's some concern about the sustainability of Ares Capital's dividend, given the recent decline in its core earnings. The BDC reported $0.47 per share of core earnings in the first quarter, down from $0.50 per share in the fourth quarter and year-ago period. As a result, core earnings fell short of the $0.48-per-share quarterly dividend.

Today's Change

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0.63

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0.12

Current Price

$

19.10

However, that doesn't mean a payout cut is forthcoming. Ares Capital also reported $0.15 per share of realized gains in the first quarter. Add that to core earnings, and its combined income was more than enough to cover the payout. Further, the BDC has built up a sizable cushion of spillover income from excess earnings carried over from last year ($1.38 per share). Additionally, the company highlighted several other factors on its first-quarter call that point to continued dividend stability and growth. It has modest leverage, the interest rate environment is stabilizing, and its portfolio's current credit performance aligns with its historical track record.

Given all these factors, a $5,000 investment in Ares Capital should generate $500 in dividend income over the next year. While it's a higher-risk dividend stock that investors will need to monitor more closely, it has the potential to continue paying at or above its current annual dividend rate for the foreseeable future.

Matt DiLallo has positions in Ares Capital. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Ares Capital. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
2026-07-13 01:44 13d ago
2026-07-12 21:31 13d ago
BIZD snížil výplatu kvůli tlaku na BDC
ARCC Ares Capital
FMP Stock News 78
Original source text
This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.

© Panchenko Vladimir / Shutterstock.com

The VanEck BDC Income ETF (NYSEARCA:BIZD) just delivered a jolt to income investors: its July distribution came in at $0.24 per share, roughly half the $0.48 paid in April. BIZD passes through the dividends of the business development companies it owns, so when the underlying BDCs strain, BIZD’s payout wobbles. With the fund down 14% over the past year and BDCs facing base-rate cuts and spread compression, the question is whether this distribution is a one-off dip or the start of something worse.

How BIZD Actually Pays You BIZD tracks the MVIS US Business Development Companies Index, holding a concentrated basket of publicly traded BDCs that lend to middle-market firms at floating rates over SOFR. When those loans pay interest, the BDCs distribute nearly all of it to shareholders to preserve their tax status, and BIZD passes that income through quarterly. Roughly 90% or more of BDC loan books are floating rate, which is why the Fed’s 75 basis point cut since September 2025, taking the target to 3.75%, hits BIZD’s income at the source.

The Four Holdings That Decide BIZD’s Fate Ares Capital (NASDAQ:ARCC | ARCC Price Prediction), the largest BDC by market cap at $13.48 billion, held its quarterly dividend at $0.48 for the eighth straight quarter. Q1 core EPS of $0.47 fell a penny short, but net investment income of $0.55 per share gives real cushion. Non-accruals ticked up to 2.1% from 1.8%, worth watching, but a $1.8 billion investment backlog and $6 billion in liquidity support the payout.

Blue Owl Capital (NYSE:OBDC) already made the cut official. On May 5, 2026, the board dropped the base dividend from $0.37 to $0.31, a 16% reduction in annualized payout. CEO Craig Packer cited “a more challenging earnings environment driven by lower base rates and tighter spreads.” Adjusted EPS of $0.31 now exactly matches the new dividend, meaning zero buffer. Shares are down 15% over the past year.

Blackstone Secured Lending (NYSE:BXSL) looks like the next domino. NII of $0.77 covered the $0.77 dividend at exactly 100%, down from 104% in Q4. New investments are being originated at 7.7% while assets rolling off yielded 9.1%, which mechanically compresses future income. Non-accruals jumped to 3.1% of fair value from 0.6% a quarter earlier. CEO Brad Marshall’s own words: “non-accruals increased during the quarter from historically low levels.” Another miss, and BXSL follows OBDC.

Main Street Capital (NYSE:MAIN) is the fund’s insurance policy. Distributable NII of $1.00 per share comfortably covers the $0.26 monthly regular plus a $0.30 quarterly supplemental, now paid for 19 consecutive quarters. NAV per share rose to about $33. MAIN’s lower-middle-market focus and equity co-investments generate returns other BDCs can’t match. Retail readers who like this profile may also want our 7 Monthly Dividend Stocks report.

Total Return Reality Check BIZD’s trailing 12-month distributions of $1.52 look generous against a roughly $13 share price, but the fund is down 6% year-to-date on top of last year’s decline. The forward annualized rate has reset to $0.96, so shoppers pricing this off the trailing yield are anchored to a payout that has already stepped down.

The Verdict BIZD’s distribution is at risk of further reduction. OBDC is done cutting for now, but BXSL is running on fumes at 100% coverage with rising non-accruals, and ARCC’s cushion is thinner than a year ago. MAIN is the anchor doing the heavy lifting. For investors who need a predictable check, MAIN offers more coverage than the blended pass-through. BIZD still makes sense for someone who wants diversified BDC exposure and can tolerate a variable payout that reflects whatever the underlying managers can actually earn each quarter.

Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
2026-06-26 23:56 29d ago
2026-06-26 18:50 29d ago
Ares Capital roste před výsledky
ARCC Ares Capital
FMP Stock News 72
Original source text
In the latest close session, Ares Capital (ARCC - Free Report) was up +1.11% at $18.19. This change outpaced the S&P 500's 0.05% loss on the day. Meanwhile, the Dow lost 0.09%, and the Nasdaq, a tech-heavy index, lost 0.24%.

Shares of the private equity firm have depreciated by 4.36% over the course of the past month, underperforming the Finance sector's gain of 2.3%, and the S&P 500's loss of 1.42%.

The investment community will be closely monitoring the performance of Ares Capital in its forthcoming earnings report. The company is expected to report EPS of $0.47, down 6% from the prior-year quarter. Meanwhile, the latest consensus estimate predicts the revenue to be $776.52 million, indicating a 4.23% increase compared to the same quarter of the previous year.

Regarding the entire year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates forecast earnings of $1.91 per share and revenue of $3.14 billion, indicating changes of -4.98% and +2.98%, respectively, compared to the previous year.

Investors might also notice recent changes to analyst estimates for Ares Capital. These recent revisions tend to reflect the evolving nature of short-term business trends. Hence, positive alterations in estimates signify analyst optimism regarding the business and profitability.

Empirical research indicates that these revisions in estimates have a direct correlation with impending stock price performance. To capitalize on this, we've crafted the Zacks Rank, a unique model that incorporates these estimate changes and offers a practical rating system.

The Zacks Rank system, stretching from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), has a noteworthy track record of outperforming, validated by third-party audits, with stocks rated #1 producing an average annual return of +25% since the year 1988. The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate remained stagnant within the past month. Ares Capital presently features a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).

With respect to valuation, Ares Capital is currently being traded at a Forward P/E ratio of 9.43. This represents a premium compared to its industry average Forward P/E of 7.92.

The Financial - SBIC & Commercial Industry industry is part of the Finance sector. At present, this industry carries a Zacks Industry Rank of 211, placing it within the bottom 14% of over 250 industries.

The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the vigor of our specific industry groups by computing the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks incorporated in the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.

To follow ARCC in the coming trading sessions, be sure to utilize Zacks.com.