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OP and POL also lost more than a quarter over matched four-week windows, while Arbitrum One's active-address count rose.

OP and POL also lost more than a quarter over matched four-week windows, while Arbitrum One's active-address count rose.

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Existing active contracts and renewals would remain permissionless, while the DAO could revoke the Foundation’s signing authority.

Existing active contracts and renewals would remain permissionless, while the DAO could revoke the Foundation’s signing authority.

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The combined exchange went live on seven networks including Ethereum, Arbitrum and Robinhood Chain, and lets stakers steer its liquidity rewards toward the markets they expect to earn fees.

Aerodrome and Velodrome merge into Aero, sending all exchange revenue to stakers

Posted October 21, 2026 at 8:00 pm ET.

Aero, the decentralized exchange formed by combining Aerodrome and Velodrome, went live on Wednesday across seven networks, developer Dromos Labs said in a press release. All of the revenue the exchange earns at launch is paid to holders of staked AERO, known as sAERO.

The launch carries the model the two exchanges ran on Base and OP Mainnet over to Ethereum Mainnet, Arbitrum, Robinhood Chain, Ink and Arc. Aero said the seven networks together saw about $120 billion in DEX volume in the 30 days to Oct. 14, close to four times the figure for Base and OP Mainnet on their own.

“Every market is coming onchain, and any institution that can be distilled into code will be. Their margin is our opportunity,” said Alex Cutler, CEO and founder of Dromos Labs. He added that “100% of the revenue it earns goes back to the people who stake AERO.”

Get Unchained’s crypto news in your inbox with the free Unchained Daily newsletter.

Stakers Pick the Markets At the center of the design is Predictive Allocation, which the release said borrows from prediction markets. Stakers direct Aero’s liquidity-rewards budget toward the markets they think will produce revenue, then receive a proportional cut of what those markets earn, paid out in real time. Those who back a market early and correctly stand to gain the most, according to the company.

Liquidity providers can take trading fees directly or opt for a stream of AERO instead. AERO rewards are set in dollar terms and can rise with a pool’s activity, and token issuers or other protocols can pay to deepen markets they want to support. Aero also shipped Metaswaps for cross-chain swaps in a single transaction, an upgraded concentrated-liquidity engine called Slipstream V3 with dynamic fees, and an optional Autopilot tool that automates sAERO allocations.

The Track Record Aero Cites Aero pointed to its predecessors’ numbers. It said Aerodrome handled 58% of DEX trading on Base in the third quarter and Velodrome 60% on OP Mainnet, and that Aerodrome’s share of tokenized-stock trading on Ethereum and its layer-2 networks climbed from roughly 2% at the start of September to 57% by Oct. 10.

Aero said the two exchanges have together returned $578 million in revenue to tokenholders. Aero’s public metrics page showed about $580 million in lifetime exchange revenue as of Monday.

Upgrade Terms Aero launched without venture funding or a token sale. Holders swap AERO and VELO into the new AERO, while vote-escrowed veAERO and veVELO positions become sAERO. Under the upgrade terms, one VELO becomes 0.044 AERO and nothing converts automatically. Aerodrome holders receive 94.5% of the new supply and Velodrome holders 5.5%. The release said that split reflects each exchange’s share of combined revenue over the 52 weeks before the merger was announced in November 2025.

ChainSecurity, Blackthorn, Riley Holterhus and GregoAI audited the contracts ahead of a three-week public contest on Sherlock, and a Sherlock bug bounty opened at launch, Aero said.

Related Listen: ‘This Is a Better Version of a Stock, Period,’ Says Cutler

AI-assisted content: This article was produced with the assistance of AI tools and was reviewed, edited, and fact-checked by a member of the Unchained editorial team before publication.

Arbitrum One just had its busiest day in three months, at least by one measure. Daily active addresses on the Ethereum layer-2 network climbed to 571,767 before activity eased after October 22, The Defiant reported.

The numbers behind the spike
Data from growthepie, updated October 22, 2026, puts daily active addresses at 571.8K. That marks a 90-day high and a 408.2% week-over-week jump.

Transactions told a calmer story. They reached roughly 1.7 million, up 25.7% from the prior week.

That volume was still enough to rank Arbitrum One fifth among the chains growthepie tracks.

Revenue moved in the opposite direction. Chain revenue came in at $19.3K, down 2.4% week-over-week.

DefiLlama’s numbers broadly agree on the headcount. The analytics platform reported 570,079 active addresses as of October 22, 2026, alongside total value locked (TVL) of $1.45B.

Where the activity came from
No single trigger stands out. The research points to broadly heavier network usage rather than one identifiable catalyst.

The biggest contributors to transaction volume were plain native ETH transfers and stablecoin transactions involving USDC.

Stablecoin figures depend on which dashboard you open. Growthepie showed stablecoin supply at $4.39B, down 5.8% week-over-week, while DefiLlama put the stablecoin market cap at around $3.5B.

Context: a choppy year for Arbitrum users
Arbitrum One is one of the leading optimistic rollups on Ethereum. It processes transactions off the main chain and settles them back to Ethereum, which keeps fees lower for users.

Its user counts have swung widely in 2026. Earlier figures from other dashboards showed weekly active addresses ranging from 400K to 1.7M, depending on the exact window measured.

The spike also followed a stretch of lower activity. That base effect helps explain why the week-over-week percentage looks so large: growth from a quiet week always photographs well.

What this means
For investors and builders, the most telling detail is the mismatch between addresses and transactions. When users surge but transactions per user fall, the new arrivals are likely doing very little once they land.

A decline in stablecoin supply on growthepie during a week of rising addresses hints that capital and users were not moving in lockstep.

Arbitrum ranked fifth by transactions among tracked chains, which places it in a crowded field of Ethereum scaling networks fighting for the same users and liquidity.

Three metrics are worth tracking from here: daily active addresses relative to the 571,767 peak, transaction growth against that 1.7 million mark, and whether chain revenue climbs back above $19.3K.

Disclosure: This article was edited by Estefano Gomez. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.

Arbitrum and Robinhood join forces to back Founders

Professional operators can now test the RGB-based token on Bitcoin Signet. Its backing will sit in USDT0 locked on Arbitrum.

Professional operators can now test the RGB-based token on Bitcoin Signet. Its backing will sit in USDT0 locked on Arbitrum.

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Fhenix has launched its CoFHE privacy coprocessor on Ethereum ($ETH) and Arbitrum ($ARB) mainnet, letting smart contracts compute on encrypted data.

Fhenix (@fhenix) has launched its CoFHE privacy coprocessor on Ethereum (@ethereum) $ETH and Arbitrum (@arbitrum) $ARB mainnet. According to Bitcoin(.)com, the launch took place on October 21 and brings the fully homomorphic encryption (FHE) system into production.

The technology lets smart contracts perform computations on encrypted information without disclosing balances, positions or trading strategies, while still enforcing rules automatically.

How CoFHE worksFHE is a cryptographic method that allows calculations to run on data without decrypting it first. Crypto Briefing reports that CoFHE does the heavy computation off-chain and sends encrypted results back to the host chain, so contracts can still interact with existing infrastructure rather than sit in a separate privacy silo.

Fhenix says developers can integrate it with a single Solidity import, according to the same report. The launch also includes a Dual-Mode Token Standard, which Unchained describes as letting holders switch a balance between public and confidential in one transaction, without bridging.

Access is limited at the start. Crypto Briefing notes the mainnet is permissioned, so contracts must be approved for an allowlist before using CoFHE in production, while testnets remain open to developers.

Partners, audit and what comes nextBitcoin(.)com lists two initial design partners: Fluton, an encrypted intent engine for cross-chain transactions, and Alpha Engine, a network where strategists submit encrypted trading strategies to compete for liquidity. Both are focused on secure finance use cases.

Fhenix says the system was audited by Consensys Diligence before launch. Unchained reported that it could not find a public copy of the audit report, so readers should treat the audit claim as company-stated for now.

Looking ahead, Fhenix plans to deploy three more applications on CoFHE in the fourth quarter and announce two institutional strategic partnerships, per Bitcoin(.)com. The project's pitch is that institutions could use public blockchains without exposing every financial input to competitors.

The launch adds to a growing push for privacy tooling on Ethereum and its layer-2 networks. Its adoption will depend on how many approved applications go live and how the permissioned rollout evolves.

SourcesBitcoin(.)com News: Ethereum and Arbitrum Gain New Privacy Layer as Fhenix Goes Live
Crypto Briefing: Fhenix launches CoFHE coprocessor on Ethereum and Arbitrum
Unchained: Fhenix Goes Live on Ethereum and Arbitrum

Not financial or tax advice. PANews content is strictly educational and informational and is not investment advice, financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any digital asset, security, or financial product. Do your own research and consult qualified advisers.

Disclosure. PANews may publish sponsored content, partner content, advertisements, affiliate links, event promotions, and market commentary involving Web3 projects, service providers, or financial products. PANews personnel, contributors, or affiliates may hold digital assets or other interests related to covered topics. See our Terms of Service.

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Table of contents

Last Updated: October 21, 2026

Arbitrum (ARB) traded near $0.190 on October 21, 2026, according to CoinMarketCap, more than double its record low of about $0.071 in late June but still about 92% below its all-time high of $2.40, set on January 12, 2024. Our base case puts ARB at $0.15 to $0.22 at the end of 2026, with a bull case of $0.30 to $0.50 and a bear case near $0.10. Longer term, the forecasts we reviewed split sharply: algorithmic models put ARB at about $0.22 to $0.40 in 2030, while Standard Chartered, which began covering the token in September, expects $10 by the end of 2030.

The gap comes down to one question: whether the revenue the Arbitrum network earns from other chains, led by Robinhood Chain, will ever reach ARB holders. Until it does, the token has to absorb about 92.65 million new ARB every month until March 2027, when the team and investor unlocks end.

What Is Arbitrum? Arbitrum is the largest group of Ethereum layer-2 networks built by Offchain Labs. Its main chain, Arbitrum One, is an optimistic rollup: it processes transactions off Ethereum and posts the data back to Ethereum, which cuts fees while relying on Ethereum for security. Other projects can launch their own chains with Arbitrum’s technology, and more than 30 of them, including Robinhood’s own blockchain, share part of their revenue with the Arbitrum DAO.

ARB is the governance token of the Arbitrum DAO, which controls a large treasury and votes on upgrades and spending. It was airdropped to users in March 2023 and has a maximum supply of 10 billion tokens; the DAO can vote to mint up to 2% more a year but has not done so. ARB is not used to pay gas fees on Arbitrum, which are paid in ETH, and holders do not receive a share of network revenue, which is the main reason its price has lagged the network’s growth.

ARB Market Data: October 2026 MetricValuePrice~$0.190Market Cap~$1.31 billion (55th largest)Circulating Supply~6.89 billion ARB (69% of max)Max Supply10 billion ARBAll-Time High$2.40 (January 12, 2024)All-Time Low~$0.071 (June 26, 2026)Distance From All-Time HighAbout -92%2025 PerformanceAbout -74% ($0.72 to $0.187)2026 So FarRoughly flat, range ~$0.071 to ~$0.256Arbitrum One TVL (DefiLlama)~$1.41 billionValue Secured (L2BEAT)~$10.5 billion, second among rollups Sources: CoinMarketCap on October 21, 2026; Binance price history; DefiLlama; L2BEAT.

Arbitrum Price History: From $2.40 to $0.07 ARB began trading on March 23, 2023, after the Arbitrum Foundation airdropped about 1.16 billion tokens to early users, plus about 113 million to DAOs building on the network. It ended 2023 near $1.56 and reached its all-time high of $2.40 on January 12, 2024, two months before the first team and investor tokens were released.

From then on, unlocks and a weak altcoin market pulled it lower. ARB closed 2024 near $0.72 and 2025 near $0.187, a loss of about 74% in 2025, after touching about $0.105 in the October 2025 market crash. In 2026 it fell to a record low of about $0.071 on June 26, then broke out at the end of August as fees from Robinhood Chain surged. Standard Chartered’s coverage in mid-September added to the rally, which peaked at about $0.256 on September 23 before ARB pulled back to about $0.19.

PeriodKey PriceDecember 31, 2023~$1.56 (2023 close)January 12, 2024$2.40 (all-time high)December 31, 2024~$0.72 (2024 close)January 2025~$0.95 (2025 high)December 31, 2025~$0.187 (2025 close)June 26, 2026~$0.071 (all-time low)September 23, 2026~$0.256 (2026 high so far)October 21, 2026~$0.190 How Did Earlier Arbitrum Predictions Hold Up? Forecasts made in 2024 and early 2025 were far too high. In April 2024, with ARB near $1.45, Mudrex projected an average price of about $2.01 for 2025 and $2.07 to $3.19 for 2026. In October 2024, DroomDroom expected $3 by mid-2026. Even Coinpedia’s more cautious 2025 forecast, made with ARB near $0.33, put the 2025 low at about $0.245. ARB ended 2025 at about $0.187, below every one of those figures, and traded near $0.08 to $0.10 for much of mid-2026.

Three things went wrong for the bulls. Around 92.65 million ARB a month reached the market from team and investor wallets, Arbitrum’s total value locked fell from about $2.9 billion at the start of 2026 to about $1.4 billion, and the token gained no direct claim on network revenue. The lesson for current forecasts is that network growth alone has not been enough to lift ARB.

What Is Driving ARB in 2026? Robinhood Chain and Arbitrum’s revenue share. Robinhood launched its own Arbitrum-based blockchain on July 1, 2026, and pays 10% of its net revenue to Arbitrum: 8% to the DAO and 2% to a developer guild. Its fees surged around the start of September, peaking at about $6 million on September 3 and staying above $2 million a day for about a week, but have averaged about $100,000 a day over the past month, according to DefiLlama. The Arbitrum DAO earned about $6.2 million in the first half of 2026, and holds more than $125 million in assets other than ARB.

Standard Chartered’s call. On September 15, 2026, Standard Chartered’s Geoff Kendrick set targets of $0.50 for the end of 2026, $1.50 for 2027, $3.50 for 2028, $6.50 for 2029 and $10 for the end of 2030, based on Arbitrum’s revenue from tokenized stocks and chains such as Robinhood’s. He also noted that ARB has no token burn and no direct claim on revenue, and said a buyback was becoming more likely.

Unlocks ending in 2027. About 92.65 million ARB, worth about $17 million at today’s price, is released on the 16th of each month. The next release is on November 16, 2026, and the schedule ends in March 2027, after which the supply overhang from early backers disappears.

Network activity. Arbitrum One is the second-largest rollup by value secured, at about $10.5 billion according to L2BEAT, behind Base at about $15.7 billion. It handles about 1.3 million transactions a day and holds about $3.5 billion in stablecoins. Its own fee revenue is small, about $8 million over the past year according to DefiLlama, because transaction fees on Arbitrum are now a fraction of a cent.

Recent setbacks. On October 2, 2026, Arbitrum’s Security Council paused new Stylus program activations over the risk of AI-assisted attacks; already-active Stylus contracts keep running. See our report on why Arbitrum paused new Stylus activations.

Arbitrum Price Predictions Compared: Analysts and Models SourceForecastDateStandard Chartered$0.50 end-2026; $1.50 2027; $3.50 2028; $10 end-2030September 15, 2026CoinCodex~$0.149 end-2026; ~$0.35 in 2030; ~$0.74 in 2040October 20, 2026ChangellyDecember 2026 average ~$0.171; 2030 average ~$0.303; 2040 average ~$0.96October 20, 2026CoinLoreEnd-2026 base ~$0.127; 2030 base ~$0.22, bull ~$1.21; bull passes $1 in 2028October 20, 2026PricePredictions.com2027 ~$0.161; 2030 ~$0.296October 12, 2026Telegaon2027 ~$2.17 to $3.42; 2030 ~$7.59 to $10.25; 2040 ~$46 to $58January 30, 2026 The forecasts fall into two groups. The algorithmic models, which update daily and lean heavily on recent prices, keep ARB below $0.50 until well into the 2030s. Standard Chartered and Telegaon expect ARB to recover most or all of its losses by 2030. Telegaon’s page was last updated in January 2026, when ARB traded higher, so its figures start from a much higher base. There is no active Polymarket or Kalshi market on ARB’s price.

Arbitrum Price Prediction by Year YearBear CaseBase CaseBull CaseEnd of 2026$0.10$0.15 to $0.22$0.30 to $0.502027$0.07$0.24$3.422028$0.09$0.27$5.082030$0.13$0.33$10.252035$0.41$0.75$26.592040$0.71$1.40$58.34 How this table is built: the 2026 row is our own scenario analysis, based on chart levels, the unlock schedule and published targets. Rows for 2027 to 2040 summarize the forecasts in the table above as of October 20, 2026: the bear case is the lowest published figure, the base case is the median of each source’s central forecast (the midpoint where only a range is given), and the bull case is the highest published figure. All bull figures come from Telegaon, last updated in January 2026. At a supply of 10 billion ARB, $10 would mean a market value of $100 billion and $58 would mean $580 billion. Speculative, not financial advice.

Arbitrum Price Prediction 2026 ARB enters the last ten weeks of 2026 near $0.190, close to its 20-day moving average of about $0.192 and above its 50-day average of about $0.184 on Binance daily closes, with its 14-day RSI near 50, a neutral reading. Its 200-day average, near $0.119, sits far below the price, a sign that the trend since the June low is still up. Support starts at the 50-day average, and resistance sits near $0.22 and the September high of about $0.256.

Arbitrum Price Prediction for the End of 2026 Base case ($0.15 to $0.22): ARB holds most of its September gains but drifts with the market as two more unlocks, on November 16 and December 16, add about 185 million tokens. This range brackets CoinCodex’s end-2026 figure of about $0.149 and Changelly’s December average of about $0.171.

Bull case ($0.30 to $0.50): Robinhood Chain activity recovers, the DAO moves toward a buyback or another way to pass revenue to holders, and altcoins rally into year-end. The top of this range is Standard Chartered’s end-2026 target of $0.50.

Bear case ($0.10): ARB loses its 50-day average and gives back the August breakout, falling toward the $0.075 to $0.10 range it traded in before September.

Arbitrum Price Prediction 2027 2027 is the year the monthly unlocks end, in March. The median base case is about $0.24: Changelly’s 2027 average is about $0.129, CoinLore’s base case about $0.127 and PricePredictions.com about $0.161, while CoinCodex’s monthly path runs from about $0.13 to $0.52. Standard Chartered’s $1.50 target would require ARB to rise about eightfold from today, and Telegaon’s $2.17 to $3.42 range is higher still. The lowest published figures, Changelly’s minimum and CoinLore’s bear case, sit near $0.07.

Arbitrum Price Prediction 2028 For 2028, the median base case is about $0.27. Changelly’s 2028 average is about $0.286, CoinCodex’s monthly path runs from about $0.18 to $0.35, CoinLore’s base case is about $0.152 and PricePredictions.com’s about $0.197, while Standard Chartered expects $3.50 and Telegaon $3.69 to $5.08. CoinLore’s bear case is about $0.091, and its bull case is about $1.08. By then all team and investor tokens will be unlocked, so the price will depend on demand for ARB rather than on the supply schedule.

Arbitrum Price Prediction 2030 For 2030, the median base case is about $0.33, with CoinCodex at about $0.35, Changelly at about $0.30, PricePredictions.com at about $0.30 and CoinLore at about $0.22. Standard Chartered’s $10 target and the top of Telegaon’s $7.59 to $10.25 range would each value ARB at about $100 billion at full supply, roughly 76 times its market value today.

Arbitrum Price Prediction 2035 and 2040 Long-range forecasts are speculative. For 2035, the median base case is about $0.75, with CoinCodex’s range at about $0.41 to $1.05, Changelly’s average at about $0.68 and CoinLore’s base case at about $0.77, while Telegaon expects $21.35 to $26.59. For 2040, the median base case is about $1.40, between Changelly’s average of about $0.96 and CoinLore’s base case of about $1.83; CoinCodex is at about $0.74, while Telegaon’s $46 to $58 would value ARB at roughly $500 billion.

Can Arbitrum Reach $1? Not in 2026, and only with a major change in how the token captures value. From about $0.190, ARB needs a gain of about 425% to reach $1. With roughly 7.4 billion ARB in circulation after the unlocks end in 2027, $1 would mean a market value of about $7.4 billion, about 2.4 times its market value at its January 2024 peak. Among the forecasts we reviewed, CoinLore’s bull case passes $1 as early as 2028, Changelly’s maximum passes $1 around 2035, and Standard Chartered expects $1.50 as early as 2027. For a shorter-term view of the token’s slide, see our analysis of ARB at $0.0899.

Key Factors Driving Arbitrum Price in 2026 to 2030 Value accrual to ARB. The single biggest factor. ARB holders do not receive fees, and the DAO has not approved a buyback or staking yield. A vote that links network revenue to the token would change the investment case; without one, ARB remains a governance token.

Revenue from Arbitrum chains. Robinhood Chain and more than 30 other Arbitrum chains pay a share of their revenue to the DAO. If tokenized stock trading grows as Standard Chartered expects, this could become a meaningful income stream.

The end of unlocks. The last team and investor release is due in March 2027. Removing about 1.1 billion ARB a year of new supply would ease one of the main pressures on the price.

Competition from Base. Coinbase’s Base leads Arbitrum in total value locked, at about $6.2 billion against $1.4 billion on DefiLlama, and in value secured on L2BEAT. Base has no token, so a Base token launch would compete directly for layer-2 investors.

Ethereum and the wider market. ARB tends to follow Ether and the altcoin market with higher volatility. See our Ethereum price prediction and Bitcoin price prediction for the wider outlook.

DAO decisions. Proposals such as Entropy Advisors’ October 2026 plan to spend 100 million ARB on incentives for the USDG stablecoin show how treasury spending can add to circulating supply as well as to activity on the network. See our report on Arbitrum joining the Global Dollar Network.

Bull Case vs. Bear Case Bull CaseBear CaseThe DAO approves a buyback, staking yield or revenue share for ARB holdersARB stays a pure governance token with no claim on revenueRobinhood Chain and other Arbitrum chains grow revenue from tokenized stocksRobinhood Chain fees stay near current lowsUnlocks end in March 2027 and supply pressure fadesDAO spending and incentives keep adding ARB to circulationArbitrum keeps its lead over Optimism and narrows the gap with BaseBase launches a token and draws users and investors awayARB reaches $0.50 in 2026 and $1 or more in the next cycleARB gives back its August breakout and returns to $0.07 to $0.10 How to Check the Current ARB Price and Price Prediction For the live ARB price, market value and supply, use CoinMarketCap or CoinGecko; for network data, DefiLlama shows Arbitrum’s total value locked and fees, and L2BEAT shows the value it secures and its security stage. The price forecasts on this page are updated with the market, and our daily crypto market today page covers the moves behind them. When comparing predictions from different sites, check the date each one was last updated and whether it is a model output or an analyst’s view, because algorithmic models and analyst targets for ARB differ by about 30 times for 2030.

Where to Buy Arbitrum ARB is available on major exchanges including Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, KuCoin, OKX and Bybit, and on decentralized exchanges on Arbitrum itself. European investors can also buy exchange-traded products from 21Shares and Valour; there is no US spot ARB ETF. ARB can be held in any wallet that supports Arbitrum or Ethereum.

Data sources: CoinMarketCap (price, supply and market value), Binance (price history and moving averages), DefiLlama (TVL, fees and stablecoins), L2BEAT (value secured), Tokenomist (unlock schedule), the Arbitrum Foundation (DAO income and treasury), Standard Chartered, and the published forecasts of CoinCodex, Changelly, CoinLore, PricePredictions.com, Telegaon, Mudrex, DroomDroom and Coinpedia, as of October 20 and 21, 2026.

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are volatile; always do your own research before investing.

Frequently Asked Questions What is the Arbitrum price prediction for 2026?
Our base case puts Arbitrum at $0.15 to $0.22 at the end of 2026, with a bull case of $0.30 to $0.50 and a bear case near $0.10. ARB trades near $0.190 on October 21. Standard Chartered’s year-end target is $0.50, while CoinCodex and Changelly expect about $0.15 to $0.17. Two more monthly unlocks, in November and December, will add about 185 million ARB.

What will Arbitrum be worth in 2030?
Forecasts for 2030 range from about $0.13 to $10.25. The median of the six sources we reviewed is about $0.33, with algorithmic models such as CoinCodex and Changelly at about $0.30 to $0.35. Standard Chartered expects $10 by the end of 2030, and Telegaon’s range tops out at about $10.25, either of which would value ARB at about $100 billion.

Can Arbitrum reach $1?
It is possible but would need a gain of about 425% from today’s price near $0.190, and a market value of about $7.4 billion once unlocks end in 2027, about 2.4 times its value at its 2024 peak. Standard Chartered expects $1.50 in 2027, while most algorithmic models do not reach $1 until the 2030s. A buyback or revenue share for holders would make $1 more realistic.

Can Arbitrum reach $10 or $100?
Standard Chartered expects $10 by the end of 2030, about 53 times today’s price and a $100 billion market value. $100 would require a $1 trillion valuation, more than three times Ether’s entire market value today, and none of the forecasts in our table gets there; the highest, Telegaon, tops out at about $58 in 2040. Algorithmic models’ base cases put ARB well under $1 in 2030.

Why is Arbitrum so low?
ARB is about 92% below its January 2024 high of $2.40 for three main reasons. About 92.65 million new tokens have reached the market every month since March 2024, Arbitrum’s total value locked has fallen sharply in 2026, and the token gives holders no share of network fees. Competition from Base and a weak altcoin market have added to the pressure.

When is the next Arbitrum token unlock?
The next unlock is on November 16, 2026, when about 92.65 million ARB will be released, mainly to team members, advisors and investors, worth about $17 million at current prices and about 1.3% of circulating supply. Unlocks of the same size take place on the 16th of each month until March 2027, when the vesting schedule for early backers ends.

What did Standard Chartered predict for Arbitrum?
In September 2026, Standard Chartered’s Geoff Kendrick set ARB targets of $0.50 for the end of 2026, $1.50 for 2027, $3.50 for 2028, $6.50 for 2029 and $10 for the end of 2030. The bank based its view on Arbitrum’s share of revenue from Robinhood Chain and other chains and on growth in tokenized stocks, and said a buyback was becoming more likely.

How can I check the current ARB price and price prediction?
CoinMarketCap and CoinGecko show the live ARB price, market value and supply, while DefiLlama and L2BEAT track Arbitrum’s network data. This page summarizes forecasts from analysts and models and is updated with the market. When comparing predictions, check when each was last updated and whether it comes from an algorithm or an analyst, as they differ widely.

What is Arbitrum used for?
Arbitrum is an Ethereum layer-2 network that makes transactions cheaper and faster while relying on Ethereum for security. It hosts DeFi apps, stablecoins and tokenized assets, and its technology powers other chains, including Robinhood Chain. The ARB token is used to vote on how the Arbitrum DAO runs the network and spends its treasury; gas fees on Arbitrum are paid in ETH.

Is Arbitrum a good investment?
That depends on your view of value accrual. Arbitrum One is the second-largest Ethereum rollup and earns revenue from Robinhood Chain and other Arbitrum chains, but ARB holders do not receive fees, monthly unlocks continue until March 2027 and the token is about 92% below its peak. A buyback or revenue share would strengthen the case. This is not financial advice.

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Fhenix has announced that its CoFHE coprocessor, which leverages fully homomorphic encryption (FHE), is now operational on both the Arbitrum and Ethereum networks. This milestone marks the shift of CoFHE from public test environments into full production, signaling a significant development in on-chain encrypted computation.

Key features of CoFHE and dual-mode tokensFHE, a cryptographic method, allows computing on encrypted data without needing to decrypt it first. By integrating this technology, Fhenix has enabled developers to perform complex calculations off-chain while preserving user privacy. The results of these encrypted computations are then relayed back to smart contracts across the two networks.

Fhenix claims that developers can integrate CoFHE with a single Solidity import, using encrypted data types that function like standard variables within Solidity-based applications. This integration is designed to streamline adoption while maintaining compatibility with existing Ethereum development practices.

Mini dictionary: Fully Homomorphic Encryption (FHE), a form of encryption that allows computations to be performed on encrypted data without needing to decrypt it. This enables privacy-preserving operations, safeguarding confidential information even during processing.

With the launch, the company has also rolled out its dual-mode token design. This new standard equips tokens with both public and confidential modes, allowing holders to switch balances between the two with a single transaction. According to Fhenix, these tokens always remain on their native chain and are neither wrapped nor bridged, ensuring compatibility with existing wallets, exchanges, and decentralized finance protocols.

Security audit and early partnersPrior to launch, Fhenix engaged Consensys Diligence to conduct a security audit of the CoFHE system. The company stated that the system successfully passed the audit, although a publicly accessible report has not been located.

On its first day in production, Fhenix onboarded two design partners: Fluton and AlphaEngine. Fluton is described as a confidentiality engine focusing on encrypted intents, while AlphaEngine offers a platform where strategists compete for user liquidity using private, encrypted strategies. Fhenix noted that AlphaEngine utilizes a trusted execution environment to decrypt and match user swap intents, supporting confidential transaction execution.

Mini dictionary: Trusted Execution Environment (TEE) is a secure area of a processor that ensures sensitive data is processed safely, protecting it from external software attacks.

Upcoming launches and ecosystem developmentFhenix reported that three additional applications are scheduled to launch on the CoFHE platform in the fourth quarter. The company also indicated that it will soon announce two new strategic partnerships with institutional players.

Founder Guy Zyskind mentioned that the team is collaborating with Tandem on a confidential stablecoin project. Tandem is the venture division of Offchain Labs, which develops the Arbitrum network and invested in Fhenix in 2025.

Founder Guy Zyskind stated that Fhenix is “working on a confidential stablecoin together with Tandem,” as part of the growing institutional interest in privacy-enabled blockchain assets.

Competitive developments in FHE stablecoinsFhenix is not the only company using FHE for stablecoin applications. In May, Circle, the issuer of USDC, froze approximately $12.6 million related to a confidential USDC contract managed by Zama, another FHE-focused technology developer. The action affected funds belonging to users who had no connection to the underlying legal case that prompted the freeze.

Tokens issued under Fhenix’s dual-mode standard carry a confidential mode alongside their public one, enabling users to move balances between modes securely without transferring assets across chains or requiring wrapped tokens.

Arbitrum has passed 2.4 billion lifetime transactions, according to Chainspect data. Here is what drives activity on the Ethereum Layer 2 and how it compares with rivals.

On-chain data shows @Arbitrum has passed 2.4 billion lifetime transactions, a new high for the Ethereum Layer 2 network. The figures were analyzed through @chainspect_app, a blockchain analytics platform that tracks transaction counts, throughput and fees across networks.

The milestone points to sustained demand for $ARB's home network, which has built its activity around perpetual derivatives order books, automated market maker (AMM) pools and fast stablecoin settlements. These use cases depend on cheap, quick execution, which is the problem Arbitrum was built to address.

How Nitro supports high transaction countsArbitrum is an Ethereum scaling network that uses optimistic rollup technology. According to Arbitrum's technical documentation, a Layer 2 system runs transactions without Ethereum needing to do all the work, with results later confirmed on the base layer.

Its current software, the Nitro stack, is described in the project's whitepaper as offering higher throughput, faster finality and more efficient dispute resolution than previous rollups. Nitro works by separating the sequencing of transactions from their execution, then settling results to Ethereum using fraud proofs.

Chainspect data also shows the network's speed profile. A Chainspect profile lists a block time of about 249 milliseconds and a theoretical throughput of 6,095 transactions per second, with a maximum recorded rate of 2,036 TPS over 100 blocks. Live throughput varies with demand and is usually far lower.

How Arbitrum compares with other networksThe 2.4 billion figure puts Arbitrum ahead of several established chains on lifetime transactions. Chainspect's comparison pages have previously shown Arbitrum with around 2.37 billion total transactions versus 1.44 billion for Bitcoin.

Leadership among Ethereum rollups is more contested. The same analytics provider shows Base with a larger all-time transaction count than Arbitrum, at roughly 6.83 billion versus 2.25 billion in one snapshot. Rankings differ depending on whether they measure lifetime totals, recent volume or value secured. On the latter, Arbitrum has been described as Ethereum's largest L2 by total value locked.

Separately, the Arbitrum Foundation's bi-annual update, as reported by Crypto Briefing, put the network's lifetime total at 2.7 billion transactions, including 478 million in the first half of 2026. Counts differ between data providers because of varying methodologies, so readers should check the source when comparing figures.

SourcesChainspect: Arbitrum TPS, finality, fees and block time
Arbitrum Docs: Inside Arbitrum Nitro
Crypto Briefing: Arbitrum Foundation H1 2026 report

Robinhood Chain ecosystem is primed to EXPLODE.

StakerX's AI Agent Surpasses Passes $40M Staked Assets on Solana Within Three Months of Launch

CT surges over 48% in the short term, its FDV climbs to $300 million.

According to HTX market data, likely driven by news that Upbit will list CT on its KRW, BTC, and USDT trading pairs, CT surged over 48% in a short period, briefly breaking above $0.44, and has since pulled back to $0.39, with its fully diluted valuation (FDV) rising to $300 million.

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Bitcoin briefly broke through $83,000.

According to HTX market data, Bitcoin briefly broke through $83,000, with a 24-hour gain of 1.54%.

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Over the past 12 hours, UNITREE saw total liquidations of $1.9284 million across its network, including $1.9049 million in short position liquidations.

According to Coinglass data, UNITREE saw $1.9284 million in total liquidations across the network over the past 12 hours, with short positions accounting for $1.9049 million and long positions only $23,500. Unitree Technology’s stock rose 16.15% today, pushing its market capitalization to 200.58 billion yuan. Meanwhile, UNITREE perpetual contracts on Hyperliquid have recorded five consecutive negative funding rate settlements between 10:00 and 14:00 today, with a cumulative rate of approximately -0.47087%. Hyperliquid’s current funding rate is around -0.13732% per hour, with the estimated annualized funding rate rising to 1,240%. On Binance, UNITREE contracts currently carry a rate of approximately -0.777501% per 4 hours, with the next settlement scheduled for 16:00 Beijing Time, roughly 38% higher than Hyperliquid’s rate. If prices and funding rates remain at current levels, the 24-hour funding cost for a $10,000 short position would be around $338 on Hyperliquid and $467 on Binance.

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Google open-sources Harness²: Allows AI to autonomously improve toolchains, lifting GLM-5's benchmark score by 11.5 points.

Insight: Beating AI Flash News, Google Research has open-sourced Harness2, enabling AI agents to automatically modify system prompts, memory, skills, tool rules, and even scripts and plugins without retraining the underlying model. The project is licensed under Apache 2.0 and supports OpenCode and Codex. Its core mechanism lets agents learn through trial and error: when facing a new task, the system first proposes multiple improvement plans, has different agent versions execute them separately, compares their performance, and finally combines the best elements to form a more suitable solution. Even without a standard answer, it can identify improvement directions based on actual execution processes. After a task is completed, the system retains records of which modifications worked and why, so it can reference this data for similar tasks in the future instead of starting from scratch each time. Google tested Harness2 using GLM-5 and Gemini 3.5 Flash. On WorkBuddy-Bench, GLM-5 paired with OpenCode saw its average score jump from 64.2 to 75.7 after just one round of optimization, outperforming unoptimized Gemini 3.5 Flash’s 72.4 points. In legal task tests, GLM-5’s pass rate for some scoring criteria also rose from 59.6% to 71.4%. However, the experiment defaulted to Claude Opus 4.8 for proposing and implementing improvements, with GLM-5 and Gemini primarily responsible for executing tasks—meaning the evolution was not achieved entirely by these models on their own. Chinese developer Joseph Zhou also demonstrated an experiment integrating Harness2 with Jev 1.14, noting consistent improvements in performance on visual tasks.

4 minutes ago

Not financial or tax advice. PANews content is strictly educational and informational and is not investment advice, financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any digital asset, security, or financial product. Do your own research and consult qualified advisers.

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Not financial or tax advice. PANews content is strictly educational and informational and is not investment advice, financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any digital asset, security, or financial product. Do your own research and consult qualified advisers.

Disclosure. PANews may publish sponsored content, partner content, advertisements, affiliate links, event promotions, and market commentary involving Web3 projects, service providers, or financial products. PANews personnel, contributors, or affiliates may hold digital assets or other interests related to covered topics. See our Terms of Service.

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Michael Saylor has once again released Bitcoin Tracker information, possibly signaling an increase in his BTC holdings.

Strategy founder Michael Saylor has once again shared updates related to its Bitcoin Tracker, stating, "We found room for more orange." Per established patterns, orange dots mark Strategy’s Bitcoin purchase records, so this move likely signals the company will increase its BTC holdings. Strategy typically discloses changes in its Bitcoin position the day after such announcements. On October 12, Strategy revealed it had added 250 BTC the prior week, bringing its dollar reserves down to $5.52 billion (a decrease of $193 million), while its total Bitcoin holdings rose to 848,250 BTC.

28 minutes ago

Strive's CEO released Bitcoin Tracker information, hinting that the company will announce another increase in its Bitcoin holdings.

Bitcoin treasury firm Strive CEO Matt Cole shared a Bitcoin holdings chart, captioned "Now stacking sats with double the horsepower", hinting that he will disclose data on the firm’s Bitcoin (BTC) additions next week. Strive recently added 2,822 BTC between October 12 and 13 at an average price of approximately $83,266 per coin. The acquisition cost $235 million, bringing the company’s total Bitcoin holdings to 35,600 coins.

28 minutes ago

Citrini's view: Yangtze Memory Technologies may go public as early as December this year, leading to a liquidity competition with Changxin.

Citrini analyst Jukan has shared a report from South Korean brokerage Hanwha Investment & Securities, which, following local research in China, concludes that Yangtze Memory Technologies (YMTC) is more likely to go public in December this year, rather than the mid-March next year timeline previously projected based on ChangXin Memory Technologies’ schedule. YMTC plans to raise approximately 33 billion yuan, a larger sum than ChangXin’s planned ~29.5 billion yuan. Of the total funds, around 20.8 billion yuan will be allocated to scaling mass production and constructing its Phase III production line, with the goal of boosting its NAND flash market share by 2027. Analyst Jukan points out that large-scale IPOs will temporarily siphon liquidity from existing tech stocks, leading investors to sell holdings including ChangXin to subscribe for the new offering. ChangXin currently has a tradable share float of just ~6.73%, and starting January 2027, approximately 2.24% of its total shares will be unlocked. Valued at the October 16 closing price, these unlocked shares are worth roughly 68.5 billion yuan; if the stock returns to its peak, that figure would rise to ~94 billion yuan, creating notable tradable share pressure.

28 minutes ago

DeepSeek announces API web search and scraping fees: 5 yuan per 1,000 successful requests.

Beating AI News Flash: DeepSeek announced that its API now supports web search and crawling, with billing based on request volume, priced at 5 yuan per 1,000 successful requests. Currently, when users utilize DeepSeek API in DeepSeek Harness, Claude Code, or Codex, they access the Search/Fetch interface via server-side tool calls. These Search/Fetch calls are currently free of charge, and will be billed per use starting from 00:00 Beijing Time on November 1, 2026.

28 minutes ago

Viewpoint: Nearly 90% of Ethereum lending liquidations have taken atomic paths over the past year, and real-world assets (RWA) may shift to off-chain liquidations.

Analysis firm Sentora reported that 89% of the roughly $1.63 billion in liquidations on Ethereum lending platforms over the past year were settled via atomic paths. Atomic liquidations depend on decentralized exchange (DEX) liquidity. Real World Asset (RWA) collateral, which features thin liquidity pools and whitelist transfer restrictions, will push more liquidations to shift to off-chain market makers, request for quote (RFQ), and solver paths. Atomic paths refer to liquidations that complete collateral liquidation and debt repayment within a single on-chain transaction, with common methods including flash loans, self-funded advances, or direct contract calls. By contrast, RWAs are often hard to offload immediately on DEXs, so liquidations will more frequently be handled by compliant off-chain market makers, who acquire the collateral via inquiry transactions and solvers before closing out positions.

28 minutes ago

Next Week's Macro Outlook: Federal Reserve Enters Blackout Period, Jensen Huang to Appear at GTC Berlin, Meta and Tesla's Earnings Reports Will Be the Market Focus

Last week, US tech stocks saw a sharp pullback, with the Nasdaq down over 4% for the week. While digesting stronger-than-expected inflation data, markets are re-examining the "unbreakable economy" narrative. The Federal Reserve has entered the pre-FOMC meeting blackout period ahead of the Oct 28 policy meeting, with no official remarks. This week’s asset pricing will hinge more on tech giants’ earnings and economic data: Meta and Tesla will release results, while the semiconductor and storage sectors also enter their earnings disclosure window. Friday’s preliminary PMI readings for the US and Europe, plus the final Michigan consumer confidence index, will test the interest rate hike path.
Geopolitically, Trump has suspended full-scale sanctions and tariffs on Russia, setting a roughly 60-day review period. Disruptions to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and rising Middle East tensions continue to support oil price premiums.
Key events this week:
Tuesday: NVIDIA GTC Berlin kicks off (runs through Oct 22)
Wednesday: US API and EIA crude oil inventories for the week ended Oct 16; NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang delivers a keynote at GTC Berlin in the evening (Beijing time); US stocks enter a heavy earnings day, with Meta, Tesla, IBM, and Lam Research reporting results after market close
Thursday: US initial jobless claims for the week ended Oct 17; Nokia reports earnings before the US market opens, while Western Digital and MaxLinear report after close
Friday: Preliminary S&P Global US manufacturing and services PMI for October; final University of Michigan consumer confidence index and 1-year inflation expectations for October; September CPI and preliminary composite/manufacturing/services PMI for Japan, as markets gauge price trends ahead of the Bank of Japan’s Oct 30 policy meeting

28 minutes ago

Not financial or tax advice. PANews content is strictly educational and informational and is not investment advice, financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any digital asset, security, or financial product. Do your own research and consult qualified advisers.

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Enso, the Zurich-based execution infrastructure platform for onchain finance, has made xStocks available on Arbitrum through its API and RWA App. The integration means wallets, fintechs and trading platforms already connected to the Enso API can extend tokenized US equity access to Arbitrum without constructing new routing or aggregation infrastructure.
xStocks are tokenized representations of US-listed equities. By routing them through Enso’s existing execution layer, applications gain access alongside the same infrastructure already used for swaps, cross-chain routing and other DeFi actions across the networks Enso supports. Eligible users can also trade xStocks directly through the Enso RWA App within Arbitrum’s onchain ecosystem.

The distribution problem in tokenized assets
Connor Howe, co-founder and chief executive of Enso, identified what he sees as the core structural gap in real-world asset (RWA) markets. “Tokenization solved the supply side of real-world assets but what’s been missing is distribution, the liquidity, routing and execution to get those assets into the wallets and apps where people actually transact,” he said. “Bringing that to Arbitrum means any wallet, fintech or trading platform already built on Enso can offer tokenized equity access to one of Ethereum’s largest ecosystems without building anything new.”

The point is well-grounded in the current state of the market. Tokenized equity issuance has expanded materially over the past two years, but access has remained fragmented. Each new chain or venue has typically required application developers to build bespoke integrations, raising the cost and slowing adoption. Enso’s pitch is a single API that absorbs that complexity, a model it says is already powering ether.fi Cash’s tokenized stock and metals execution, an approved minting role for Ondo Finance, and the infrastructure behind Anchorage Digital’s Porto institutional terminal.

Peter Haymond, head of DeFi partnerships at Arbitrum, said real-world assets are one of the fastest-growing categories on the network and that execution infrastructure is what converts that growth into something developers can ship. The xStocks integration, he argued, is the kind of composability that compounds as more real-world assets move onchain.

Regulatory backdrop and market momentum
The timing sits against a broader wave of institutional interest in tokenized equities. The announcement noted that NYSE parent ICE and crypto exchange OKX filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission this week for a 24/7 venue that would trade more than 60 tokenized US stocks. If approved, that would mark a significant step in legitimising tokenized equity infrastructure as a regulated asset class rather than a DeFi experiment.

In the EU, MiCA provides a framework for certain crypto-asset types, but tokenized securities remain subject to existing securities law, meaning any platform offering them to European users must navigate MiFID II compliance. In the UK, the Financial Conduct Authority‘s sandbox for digital securities is still developing clear rules. The regulatory path for tokenized equities therefore varies by jurisdiction, and Enso’s release does not specify which users are eligible to trade through the RWA App or which regulatory frameworks govern its institutional clients.

Enso says it has settled more than $22 billion onchain for more than 350 enterprise clients. The company is backed by Polychain Capital, Multicoin Capital, Spartan Group and Hypersphere, though no new funding was announced alongside this integration.

AI level 1 of 5: written by Darlyn Ho; AI helped with tone, structure or wording; edited and signed off by Mark Walker, Editorial Director. What the levels mean

The Arbitrum Stablecoin Growth Program is now open to protocols with at least $1M in stablecoin balances. Eligible protocols that commit to building with USDG as their primary stablecoin may be eligible for performance based incentives from the Arbitrum Foundation as they grow. The first 10 teams in the program to reach $10M of USDG TVL will each receive an additional 200K ARB from a 2M ARB prize pool.

Global Dollar (USDG) is issued by Paxos Digital Singapore Pte. Ltd., a Major Payments Institution supervised by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, and by Paxos Issuance Europe Oy under the supervision of the FIN-FSA and in compliance with MiCA. Learn more at globaldollar.com and the https://arbitrum.io/products/usdg-vaults

Builders drive the demand for onchain dollars. The Arbitrum Stablecoin Growth Program is designed to support the teams that bring that demand to Arbitrum. Protocols that make USDG their preferred stablecoin, collateral or on-ramp asset on the Arbitrum Platform can access incentives and ecosystem support to help them grow, without the cost and complexity of issuing their own stablecoin.

The Arbitrum Platform is home to an established DeFi and blockchain ecosystem, with deep liquidity, active markets and teams building across a large variety of categories. The Arbitrum Stablecoin Growth Program gives protocols an opportunity to tap into this ecosystem while growing their own products. Whether you're expanding an existing protocol or bringing a new deployment to Arbitrum, the program is designed to help teams attract liquidity, increase usage and build for the long term.

Launching and maintaining a stablecoin introduces additional operational, technical and business considerations. By integrating USDG as a primary stablecoin, protocols can focus on their core product while participating in a program designed to support stablecoin adoption across Arbitrum, with the opportunity to earn more as their stablecoin activity on Arbitrum grows. Teams can build stablecoin utility directly into their existing products, from lending markets and liquidity pools to payments and other financial applications, while working toward their own growth objectives.

What teams getAccepted teams may be eligible for performance based incentives linked to their growth on the Arbitrum Platform, and they can put them straight back into their own growth.

Teams may also receive access to Arbitrum's support suite, which may include marketing resources and co-marketing, introductions to ecosystem partners, integration and technical support, direct access to the ecosystem team, and potential access to incentives through the DeFi Renaissance Incentive Program (DRIP), as well as other perks.

The program also includes a 2M ARB prize pool. The first 10 teams to reach $10M of USDG TVL, measured as a 30-day average, will each receive 200K ARB, in addition to the incentives and support above.

Eligible teamsThe program is for stablecoin-centric protocols, such as lending, yield, AMMs or payments, that want to make Arbitrum their home. Eligible teams meet the following.

At least $1m in stablecoin balances at the time of application, verified on DefiLlamaStablecoins at the core of the product, with a live product and audited contractsA commitment to building on Arbitrum, with new deployments and token launches happening here USDG as the primary stablecoin on Arbitrum, with at least $1m of TVL moving into USDGHow to applyApply through the application form. The Arbitrum team reviews every application and gets in touch with teams that are a fit. Participation is subject to eligibility, approval by the Arbitrum Foundation and the Program Terms & Conditions.

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15 October 2026 | 23:29 Arbitrum (ARB) has moved out of its prior ascending channel and now trades between rising support from the 50-day SMA and a descending trendline near $0.196. The next daily close could determine whether the rebound extends toward $0.212 or turns back toward $0.163.

ARB has exited its ascending channel ARB had previously advanced inside a clear ascending parallel channel. A sequence of lower highs and lower lows then pushed the price below the channel’s lower boundary, ending the immediate multi-week rising structure.

After the channel break, ARB formed a descending resistance trendline connecting the swing high near $0.255 with lower reaction highs through late September and October. This trendline now defines the local downtrend.

The latest daily candle pushed toward that diagonal resistance near $0.196 but met selling pressure, leaving an upper wick. ARB was trading around $0.194 at the time of analysis, up roughly 6.6% on the day, but the descending line still caps the recovery.

ARB chart on TradingView. The 50-day SMA and $0.185 Fib are holding the range together Below the price, the 50-day simple moving average sits near $0.174 and continues to slope upward. Recent wicks toward $0.170 found buying interest around this average, making it the main dynamic support beneath the current range.

The $0.185 level, which marks the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the move from approximately $0.07 to $0.25, now acts as the nearest short-term pivot. ARB has recovered above it, placing price in a narrow area between the rising 50-day SMA below and descending resistance overhead.

The immediate range: buyers are defending the $0.174-$0.185 support area, while sellers have so far protected the descending trendline near $0.196-$0.198.

ARB price levels to watch Level Price area Why it matters Macro peak resistance $0.255 The 0.00% Fibonacci level and the major swing high of the move. Fibonacci resistance $0.212 The 0.236 Fib level and the next horizontal supply area above the trendline. Immediate resistance $0.196–$0.198 The descending trendline that has capped recent daily rallies. Short-term pivot $0.185 The 0.382 Fib level, recently reclaimed by ARB. Primary support $0.174 The rising 50-day SMA, which has caught recent pullbacks. Secondary support $0.163 The 0.500 Fibonacci retracement level. Golden Pocket support $0.141 The 0.618 Fib level and a key deeper retracement zone. Moving-average base $0.117-$0.129 The 200-day SMA near $0.117, 100-day SMA near $0.129 and nearby 0.786 Fib near $0.110. Momentum is neutral, leaving the breakout level in focus The 14-day RSI is near 52, while its signal line sits near 51.5. Both readings are close to the 50 midline, showing that neither buyers nor sellers currently have a decisive momentum advantage.

That neutral position fits the price structure. ARB has rebounded from support, but it has not yet invalidated the descending trendline that followed the channel breakdown.

What could confirm ARB’s next move Until either level breaks, ARB remains in a tight consolidation range rather than a confirmed new trend.

Upside case: ARB breaks the descending trendline For a stronger recovery, ARB needs a decisive daily close above the descending resistance area around $0.196-$0.198. A confirmed break would invalidate the local downtrend and put the 0.236 Fib near $0.212 in focus. Above that level, the major swing high near $0.255 becomes the wider upside reference.

Downside case: the 50-day SMA gives way For the bearish scenario, ARB would need to close below the 50-day SMA near $0.174. That would break the current consolidation range and expose the 0.500 Fib near $0.163. If selling continued, the 0.618 Fibonacci level near $0.141 would become the next major downside area.

Bottom line: ARB has reclaimed $0.185 but remains trapped between rising moving-average support and descending trendline resistance. The daily close around $0.196-$0.198, or a break below $0.174, might provide the clearer signal.

This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Technical levels can change as market conditions develop.

Author

Kosta has reported on cryptocurrency markets and blockchain infrastructure since 2020, bringing over six years of hands-on experience in the crypto industry built through daily tracking of markets, trends, and emerging blockchain developments. Specializing in Bitcoin on-chain analysis, institutional ETF flows, and digital asset price action, his work at Coindoo has been cited by other news agencies and consistently covers market developments with a focus on data-driven reporting across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. Over the years, Kosta has contributed to multiple crypto media outlets in different regions, authoring over 6,000 articles across the sector. His reporting spans cryptocurrency markets and the broader fintech industry, tracking not only price action but also the technological and regulatory forces shaping the ecosystem. To support his analysis, Kosta actively leverages on-chain data and metrics from leading platforms such as Santiment, Glassnode, and CryptoQuant, enabling deeper, evidence-based market insights. He believes in the power of transparency and the data that underpins the blockchain ecosystem. His academic background in Marketing Management from Denmark further complements his analytical approach, adding a strong understanding of communication strategy and content positioning to his work.

Lido brings one-transaction ETH staking to Arbitrum, Base, Linea and Optimism

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Arbitrum has a new USDG/USDC pool live on Uniswap, using the StablePair hook's dynamic fees to keep Global Dollar (USDG) trading close to parity.

Arbitrum (@arbitrum) has added another trading venue for USDG, with a new USDG/USDC pool now live on Uniswap (@Uniswap). The pool uses Uniswap's StablePair hook, which applies dynamic fees to stablecoin pairs to keep spreads tight and prices close to parity.

USDG's market cap topped $31 million within five days of launch on Arbitrum, according to figures shared by Arbitrum.

How the StablePair hook worksStablePair is a Uniswap v4 hook built for stablecoin pairs. Uniswap Labs introduced it on September 10, initially with USDC/USDG and USDC/USDT pools on Ethereum mainnet, according to Blockchain Reporter. It replaces a static liquidity provider fee with a dynamic one.

The logic is straightforward. According to reporting on the launch, the system measures how far a pool's price has moved from its 1:1 reference rate and whether a proposed trade pushes the price closer to or farther from it. Fees are then set for each swap on that basis. Uniswap Labs has argued that static fees hand most of the value from correcting a price drift to arbitrage bots, while a dynamic fee returns more of it to liquidity providers.

The Arbitrum deployment is tracked in Uniswap's public hook registry, which lists a StablePairHook contract as the hook for the USDG/USDC v4 pool on Arbitrum.

USDG's expansion on ArbitrumThe new pool follows USDG's launch on the network earlier this month. CoinDesk reported that Arbitrum joined the Paxos-led Global Dollar Network, with integrations spanning Fluid, Morpho, GMX, Maple, Li.Fi, LayerZero and Kraken, and Uniswap set to follow. USDG is issued by Paxos and backed one-for-one by dollar reserves.

The network's model shares reserve-generated rewards with partners that help drive adoption. CoinDesk noted that the Global Dollar Network has more than 150 partners, including Robinhood, Kraken, Mastercard and OKX, and that Arbitrum holds about $3.8 billion in stablecoins, roughly 60% of it in Circle's USDC, citing DefiLlama data.

Cointelegraph reported that a proposal submitted to ArbitrumDAO would add 100 million ARB to an incentive program to support USDG adoption and liquidity. That proposal is not yet confirmed as approved.

For traders, the Uniswap pool adds another route to swap between USDG and USDC on Arbitrum, and a venue for liquidity providers to earn fees.

Sources:

CoinDesk: Arbitrum joins Paxos-led Global Dollar Network as USDG lands on Ethereum L2Cointelegraph: Paxos Expands USDG Stablecoin to ArbitrumBlockchain Reporter: Uniswap Launches StablePair Hook For Stable Pairs