Adobe ve třetím fiskálním čtvrtletí zvýšila tržby o 12,9 % na 6,76 mld. USD a její non-GAAP zisk na akcii (EPS) dosáhl 6,13 USD, čímž překonala odhady analytiků.
Adobe keeps beating earnings estimates while the stock keeps sliding, and that contradiction has split Wall Street into two very different camps with very different price targets.
The 24/7 Wall St. price target for Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE | ADBE Price Prediction) is $298.13 over the next 12 months. That means 16.4% upside from the current $256.13. The stock earns a buy rating with high confidence.
Metric Value Current Price $256.13 Price Target from 24/7 Wall St. $298.13 Upside/Downside 16.4% Recommendation BUY Confidence Level 90% Adobe keeps beating estimates while the stock keeps falling, and that gap defines the valuation debate. Shares trade at a forward P/E of 9, which looks cheap for a business that just raised guidance.
Several turnaround catalysts are already on the calendar: a new CEO takes over December 1, Adobe MAX arrives in November, and AI-first ARR is growing more than 150%.
Record Quarters Have Not Stopped the Slide Adobe is down 26.75% year to date and sits well below its 52-week high of $363.70, though it has climbed off the $190.12 low. Momentum has turned recently, with shares up 8.51% over the past week and 3% over the past month.
In fiscal Q3, revenue came in at $6.76 billion, up 12.9% and ahead of the $6.70 billion consensus. Non-GAAP EPS of $6.13 topped the $6.09 estimate, making it the fifth beat in a row.
Jim Cramer summed up the problem in June: the stock traded at “just 8.5 times” earnings as concerns grew that AI will replace software.
Why Bulls See $328 and Beyond Adobe now has more than 1 billion monthly active users, and Firefly ending ARR grew 40% quarter over quarter. The pending Topaz Labs deal adds AI video enhancement.
Buybacks also help, with about $24.55 billion left on the current authorization. Incoming CEO Anil Chakravarthy sees “a massive opportunity for us to be the agentic software leader.” In our bull case, shares reach $328.71.
What Could Keep Adobe Stuck Investors remain wary. Of the analysts covering Adobe, 23 rate it a hold, and the consensus target is $272.31. Analysts on the Q3 call noted that net new ARR fell 36% to 37%. Management’s explanation is that it deliberately sent users into the freemium model and delayed price increases.
The trade-off is reasonable, but it needs to start showing up as revenue. A CFO exit and the CEO transition add execution risk. In our bear case, the stock sits flat at $256.44.
Adobe Trades at Half the Multiple of Microsoft and Salesforce Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) competes with Acrobat and Express through Copilot. Shares trade at 30 times earnings, supported by 43% Azure growth.
Salesforce (NYSE:CRM) competes with Adobe’s Experience Cloud and is growing more slowly, yet it still trades at 27 times earnings.
Company P/E (TTM) Latest Quarterly Revenue Growth Adobe 14 12.9% Microsoft 30 17.75% Salesforce 27 10.83% Even at our target, Adobe would trade at about 11 times forward earnings. Compared with these peers, the 24/7 Wall St. price target looks conservative.
Discount Outweighs Doubt The 24/7 Wall St. price target of $298.13 comes with a buy rating and high confidence.
Valuation is the key factor: double-digit growth at a single-digit forward multiple. The case gets stronger if MAX and the CEO transition show freemium users turning into paying ARR. It weakens if net new ARR keeps contracting into 2027.
Year Price Target from 24/7 Wall St. 2026 $264.13 2027 $298.13 2028 $333.05 2029 $370.90 2030 $388.35 Adobe is expected to keep executing on its current strategy. Faster AI monetization could push the stock higher, while AI tools from competitors could cut into these numbers.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Adobe is down nearly 28% this year yet still beating earnings estimates and raising guidance, which raises an uncomfortable question about whether the market has gotten the AI disruption story completely wrong.
The 24/7 Wall St. price target for Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE | ADBE Price Prediction) is $294.54 over the next 12 months. With shares trading at $252.88, that works out to 16.5% upside. The stock gets a buy rating with high confidence.
Metric
Value
Current Price
$252.88
Price Target from 24/7 Wall St.
$294.54
Upside/Downside
16.5%
Recommendation
BUY
Confidence Level
90%
Adobe’s growth is holding up and guidance keeps rising, yet the stock is priced as if its business is shrinking. That gap drives the call. At a forward P/E of about 9x, the market has already priced in a lot of fear about AI disruption.
The open question is whether Adobe can turn rapid AI adoption into a clear acceleration in annual recurring revenue (ARR). We think the current price leaves enough room for that to work.
Rebound Week Follows a Bruising 2026
Shares gained 5.07% today and 8.64% over the past week. Shares remain down 4.79% over the past month and 27.75% year to date. The stock sits 30.5% below its 52-week high of $363.70 and 33% above its low of $190.12. The bounce came right after a widely read Barron’s report on a downgrade to Sell over growth concerns.
The latest results were solid. Fiscal Q3 revenue rose 12.9% to $6.76 billion, ahead of the $6.70 billion consensus. Non-GAAP EPS of $6.13 beat the $6.09 estimate. Management also raised full-year non-GAAP EPS guidance to $24.45 to $24.50. Leadership is changing too: Anil Chakravarthy becomes CEO on December 1, and Shantanu Narayen stays on as executive chair.
Why Bulls See $326 Within Reach
Adobe’s AI-first ARR now exceeds $650 million and is growing more than 150% a year. Firefly ARR rose 40% quarter over quarter. Creative freemium users passed 100 million, up more than 70%. Adobe has also held off on pricing actions to build its user base first, which gives it room to raise prices later.
Capital returns add support: Adobe bought back 9.5 million shares last quarter and has $24.55 billion left under its authorization. Of the analysts covering the stock, 11 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, and the consensus target is $272.31. The bull case is $326.20.
Cracks Bears Say Are Already Showing
Remaining performance obligations grew just 8%, and analysts pressed management on net new ARR. Five analysts rate the stock Sell or Strong Sell. Net income rose only 3.1%.
On the other side of the ledger, free cash flow grew 14.68%, and much of the profit lag reflects planned investment in freemium growth. The bear case is at $254.03.
Adobe Trades at a Steep Discount to Microsoft and Salesforce
The benchmark for AI monetization at scale is Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT). It has more than 30 million paid Copilot seats and grew quarterly revenue 17.75% while trading at about 30x trailing earnings.
Adobe Experience Cloud faces direct competition from Salesforce (NYSE:CRM). It grew revenue a slower 10.83% yet trades at 26x trailing earnings.
Company
P/E
Latest Quarterly Revenue Growth
Adobe (forward)
9x
12.9%
Microsoft (trailing)
30x
17.75%
Salesforce (trailing)
26x
10.83%
Adobe is growing faster than Salesforce at a far lower multiple. Next to that peer group, our 24/7 Wall St. price target looks conservative.
What Could Make or Break Adobe From Here
The 24/7 Wall St. price target remains at $294.54, with a buy rating and 90% confidence. Valuation is the deciding factor.
Shares could outperform if AI-first ARR keeps growing at triple digits and the new CEO starts turning freemium users into paying ones. The bear case gains weight if net new ARR keeps slowing into fiscal 2027.
Year
Price Target from 24/7 Wall St.
2026
$261.36
2027
$294.54
2028
$335.35
2029
$360.13
2030
$396.73
Adobe would need to keep executing on its current strategy for these projections to hold. Generative AI competitors could drive results well below this path, while faster monetization of its user base could drive them well above it.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
First Citizens Bank & Trust Co. raised its position in shares of Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE – Free Report) by 217.1% in the third quarter, according to the company in its most recent filing with the SEC. The institutional investor owned 7,823 shares of the software company’s stock after purchasing an additional 5,356 shares during the quarter. First Citizens Bank & Trust Co.’s holdings in Adobe were worth $1,877,000 at the end of the most recent quarter.
Other institutional investors and hedge funds have also bought and sold shares of the company. Sankala Group LLC purchased a new stake in shares of Adobe during the fourth quarter valued at approximately $31,000. Hyposwiss Advisors SA purchased a new position in Adobe in the 4th quarter worth approximately $35,000. Dunhill Financial LLC purchased a new position in Adobe in the 2nd quarter worth approximately $95,000. Strategic Investment Solutions Inc. IL lifted its position in Adobe by 555.6% in the 4th quarter. Strategic Investment Solutions Inc. IL now owns 118 shares of the software company’s stock valued at $41,000 after acquiring an additional 100 shares in the last quarter. Finally, North Point Portfolio Managers Corp OH bought a new position in Adobe in the 3rd quarter valued at approximately $30,000. 81.79% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.
Adobe News Roundup Here are the key news stories impacting Adobe this week:
Positive Sentiment: Expanded NVIDIA partnership supports AI growth narrative. Adobe and NVIDIA will optimize Photoshop, Premiere, Substance 3D, Frame.io and Brand Concierge to accelerate AI-powered creation, production and personalization. The collaboration strengthens Adobe’s positioning in “agentic” creative tools and may improve product performance and enterprise adoption. Adobe and NVIDIA Expand Collaboration to Speed Agentic Creation Positive Sentiment: Relief buying followed recent weakness. Investors may be placing greater weight on Adobe’s solid operating results, raised fiscal 2026 outlook and recent AI-related customer wins than on this week’s analyst downgrades. The company recently reported revenue growth and earnings above consensus, with full-year revenue projected at approximately $26.5 billion to $26.6 billion and non-GAAP EPS of about $24.35 to $24.45. Adobe Gains as Investors Appear to Reassess Recent Selloff Neutral Sentiment: Market conditions provided an additional tailwind. Adobe was among several software-as-a-service stocks that rebounded as falling Treasury yields brought buyers back after an AI-driven technology selloff. This factor may support the stock near term but is not specific to Adobe’s fundamentals. Adobe, HubSpot, Workday, Asana, and Workiva Shares Are Soaring Negative Sentiment: AI disruption concerns remain an overhang. HSBC downgraded Adobe from Buy to Hold, citing risks that generative AI tools and lower-cost or free alternatives could pressure Adobe’s competitive position and long-term growth. Reports highlighting free Adobe alternatives add to those concerns. HSBC Downgrades Adobe Stock Over Growing AI Software Disruption Risks Negative Sentiment: Insider selling may temper sentiment. Reported insider activity showed no purchases and multiple sales over the past six months, including sales by CEO Shantanu Narayen. While such transactions do not necessarily indicate deteriorating fundamentals, they can reinforce investor caution. Adobe Price Performance Adobe stock opened at $251.67 on Friday. Adobe Inc. has a 1 year low of $190.12 and a 1 year high of $363.70. The stock has a market cap of $97.95 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.04, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 0.84 and a beta of 1.42. The firm has a 50-day moving average of $256.97 and a two-hundred day moving average of $242.95. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41, a current ratio of 0.77 and a quick ratio of 0.77. Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE – Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings results on Thursday, September 10th. The software company reported $6.13 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $6.08 by $0.05. The business had revenue of $6.76 billion for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $6.69 billion. Adobe had a return on equity of 65.65% and a net margin of 28.05%. The business’s revenue was up 12.9% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the prior year, the company earned $5.31 EPS. Adobe has set its Q4 2026 guidance at 6.300-6.350 EPS and its FY 2026 guidance at 24.450-24.500 EPS. On average, research analysts forecast that Adobe Inc. will post 20.01 earnings per share for the current year.
Insider Activity In other news, CEO Shantanu Narayen sold 74,500 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Wednesday, September 16th. The shares were sold at an average price of $251.56, for a total value of $18,741,220.00. Following the completion of the sale, the chief executive officer owned 289,224 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $72,757,189.44. This represents a 20.48% decrease in their position. The sale was disclosed in a document filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is accessible through this link. Also, CAO Jillian Forusz sold 416 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Wednesday, July 29th. The stock was sold at an average price of $264.33, for a total transaction of $109,961.28. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief accounting officer directly owned 3,824 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $1,010,797.92. This trade represents a 9.81% decrease in their position. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. Over the last quarter, insiders have sold 125,416 shares of company stock worth $31,454,466. 0.20% of the stock is owned by company insiders.
Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades Several brokerages have commented on ADBE. HSBC downgraded Adobe from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating and cut their target price for the company from $310.00 to $267.00 in a research note on Tuesday. Piper Sandler boosted their price target on Adobe from $240.00 to $250.00 and gave the stock a “neutral” rating in a research note on Friday, September 11th. Evercore set a $250.00 price target on Adobe in a report on Friday, September 11th. Robert W. Baird increased their price objective on Adobe from $230.00 to $250.00 and gave the company a “neutral” rating in a research report on Friday, September 11th. Finally, Citigroup reiterated a “market perform” rating on shares of Adobe in a report on Friday, September 11th. Nine research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, twenty have given a Hold rating and seven have issued a Sell rating to the company’s stock. According to MarketBeat, Adobe has a consensus rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of $283.90.
View Our Latest Analysis on Adobe
Adobe Company Profile (Free Report)
Adobe Inc (NASDAQ: ADBE) is a global software company that develops tools for creating, managing, delivering and analyzing digital content. Its products serve creative professionals, marketers, enterprises, students and individual consumers across a broad range of industries and geographies.
Adobe’s Creative Cloud portfolio includes applications such as Photoshop, Illustrator, Premiere Pro, InDesign and Adobe Express for graphic design, photography, video, illustration and digital content creation.
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SAN JOSE, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Adobe (Nasdaq: ADBE), the global technology leader that unleashes creativity, productivity and customer experiences through innovative tools and platforms, and NVIDIA today announced an expansion of their partnership to optimize Adobe’s flagship tools including Adobe Photoshop, Premiere, Substance 3D, Frame.io and Brand Concierge, delivering faster AI-powered creation, production and personalization.
This work builds on Adobe and NVIDIA’s strategic partnership announced in March, which brings together Adobe’s creative and marketing workflows, models and technology with NVIDIA’s open models, libraries, research and accelerated computing to accelerate creative, production and marketing workflows across video, images, 3D and other creative media. That collaboration includes GPU acceleration for media ingestion and intelligence in Frame.io, as well as ongoing work around Adobe Substance 3D, Adobe Firefly Foundry and 3D digital twin workflows for enterprise customers.
“Creative workflows are more multimodal than ever, with many projects spanning images, video, audio, motion and 3D, making performance critical to helping creatives stay focused on their ideas and craft,” said Deepa Subramaniam, vice president, product marketing, creative professionals, Adobe. “By partnering with NVIDIA to optimize Photoshop, Premiere and Substance 3D for RTX Spark and accelerating Frame.io in the cloud, we’re delivering the performance creatives need to bring their ideas to life.”
“AI agents are helping creators unlock deeper and richer workflows using the Adobe applications they know and love,” said Jason Paul, vice president, local AI, NVIDIA. “Powered by RTX Spark, Adobe’s optimized tools deliver up to 2x faster performance to accelerate these new workflows.”
Empowering Creatives With Faster Adobe Tools Rearchitected With NVIDIA
Creative professionals today move between image, video, motion and 3D, sometimes all within the same project. As AI increasingly becomes part of the creative process, they need technology that keeps pace with the speed of their ideas and the complexity of their workflows. As an industry leader in creativity, Adobe's tools apply decades of creative expertise to amplify human potential and make it easier to quickly turn ideas into impactful work.
Adobe is bringing the power of the NVIDIA RTX Spark superchip, which NVIDIA launched earlier this month, to its agentic creative applications Photoshop, Premiere and Substance 3D. RTX-accelerated and optimized to take full advantage of RTX Spark’s unified memory and AI compute, these applications deliver up to 2x faster AI processing, editing, color and effects, helping creatives iterate faster and stay in their creative flow.
Adobe rearchitected Photoshop around GPU-accelerated compositing to be faster and more responsive for creative tasks from removing distractions with the Remove Tool to applying effects like Gaussian Blur and Light Leaks directly on canvas.
Some of the most demanding post-production workflows in Premiere, from playback and rendering, to effects, color and AI-powered tools, are RTX-accelerated and optimized for RTX Spark. This results in real, tangible speed gains for popular audio and video features in Premiere like Enhance Speech and Object Mask. For 3D artists using Substance 3D Painter, RTX Spark speeds up the heaviest steps around texturing.
Accelerating Cloud Video Workflows With Frame.io and NVIDIA
Adobe is also using NVIDIA accelerated computing to speed cloud media processing and intelligent content discovery for Adobe Frame.io, helping production teams find and use growing media libraries faster. The updated Frame.io pipeline uses NVIDIA video acceleration, including NVIDIA NVDEC for hardware-accelerated decoding and NVIDIA TensorRT ™ with CUDA™ for content preprocessing and embedding generation.
Moving compute-intensive video decoding, preprocessing and embedding generation onto NVIDIA GPUs lets Frame.io process media faster and make it searchable sooner, while supporting more responsive discovery across large content libraries.
Early performance results from selected Frame.io transcode and search workloads show:
Approximately 5x faster embedding generation 4-5x improvement in P95 processing latency An approximately 80% smaller search proxy For creative teams, these gains mean uploaded content becomes searchable sooner, larger libraries refresh more efficiently, and discovery and review stay frictionless as media volumes grow.
Personalized Conversational Experiences With Adobe Brand Concierge Optimized On NVIDIA Nemotron
Brands also want more choice and value from the AI models powering personalized experiences. Open models can help meet that need, providing a flexible and efficient way to deliver high-quality, responsive conversations at enterprise scale.
Adobe and NVIDIA worked together to optimize Brand Concierge using NVIDIA Nemotron™ open models. This version will be available to enterprise customers later this year. NVIDIA has also selected Brand Concierge to drive personalized conversational experiences grounded in organizational data and content. This enables NVIDIA to tailor interactions on their website based on customer needs, while leveraging Nemotron to deliver fast, high-quality responses at scale.
Sparking Creativity, to the MAX
Get ready for what’s next — with three days of creative skill-building, visionary keynotes and valuable connections at Adobe MAX, running Nov. 10-12. Adobe and NVIDIA will showcase the latest advancements for creators alongside their hardware partners.
About Adobe
Adobe (Nasdaq: ADBE) empowers everyone to create through industry-leading platforms and tools that unleash creativity, productivity and personalized customer experiences. For more information, visit www.adobe.com.
About NVIDIA
NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) is the world leader in AI and accelerated computing.
NVIDIA Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements in this press release including, but not limited to, statements as to: expectations with respect to growth, performance, availability, and benefits of NVIDIA’s products, services and technologies, and related trends and drivers; expectations with respect to NVIDIA’s third party arrangements, including with its collaborators and partners; expectations with respect to technology developments, and related trends and drivers; projected market growth and trends; expectations with respect to AI and related industries; and other statements that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, which are subject to the “safe harbor” created by those sections based on management’s beliefs and assumptions and on information currently available to management and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause results to be materially different than expectations. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include: global economic and political conditions; NVIDIA’s reliance on third parties to manufacture, assemble, package and test NVIDIA’s products; the impact of technological development and competition; development of new products and technologies or enhancements to NVIDIA’s existing products and technologies; market acceptance of NVIDIA’s products or NVIDIA’s partners’ products; design, manufacturing or software defects; changes in consumer preferences or demands; changes in industry standards and interfaces; unexpected loss of performance of NVIDIA’s products or technologies when integrated into systems; NVIDIA’s ability to realize the potential benefits of business investments or acquisitions; and changes in applicable laws and regulations, as well as other factors detailed from time to time in the most recent reports NVIDIA files with the Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, including, but not limited to, its Annual Report on Form 10-K and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q. Copies of reports filed with the SEC are posted on NVIDIA’s website and are available from NVIDIA without charge. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and speak only as of the date hereof, and, except as required by law, NVIDIA disclaims any obligation to update these forward-looking statements to reflect future events or circumstances.
Akcie společnosti Adobe letos klesly o 31,96 %, přestože její roční opakované výnosy z AI produktů přesáhly 650 mil. USD a meziročně vzrostly o více než 150 %.
Adobe's stock has cratered 32% this year even as its AI revenue grows triple digits, leaving investors caught between a compelling valuation and a nagging question about whether the real threat to Creative Cloud has barely started.
Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE | ADBE Price Prediction) trades at $238.14. The market is pricing in a generative AI disruption that the company’s own results keep failing to show.
Adobe owns the professional creative stack (Photoshop, Illustrator, Premiere) along with Acrobat and a large enterprise marketing business. Shares are down 31.96% year to date, even though the company just posted its fifth consecutive EPS beat. The pressure got worse after Barron’s reported a downgrade to Sell, citing growth concerns and “meaningful cracks now starting to show.”
AI Revenue Is Surging While the Multiple Collapses Bulls point to the AI numbers. AI-first ending ARR now tops $650 million and is growing more than 150% year over year. Firefly ARR grew 40% quarter over quarter, and creative freemium users passed 100 million. Management also said AI credit consumption is accelerating inside the core desktop apps. Creators are using generative AI through Adobe’s tools.
The stock trades at a forward P/E of 9 with a PEG of 0.582, which is a deep-value multiple for a business that just raised full-year non-GAAP EPS guidance to $24.45 to $24.50. Adobe also bought back about 9.5 million shares for $2.232 billion in a single quarter.
Slowing down ARR and Thinner Margins Feed the Sell Calls Bears focus on what lies behind the beats. In the latest quarter, net income rose only 3.1% on revenue growth of 12.89%. Full-year ending ARR growth is targeted at just 10.2%. On the call, analysts pressed management about lower net new ARR and seat-volume weakness. Management had also put off price increases, choosing to push users into the freemium model first.
Canva, Midjourney and OpenAI keep competing for lighter creative work. Retail sentiment is negative too: a Reddit post called “ADOBE is cooked.” drew 1,509 upvotes.
A CEO Handoff Leaves the Story Half Written Shantanu Narayen is leaving after 18 years as CEO, and Anil Chakravarthy is taking over. The freemium strategy has not yet shown that it converts users into paying customers at scale. Upcoming markers include Q4 revenue against guidance of $6.8 to $6.85 billion, the first ARR outlook under the new CEO, and evidence that freemium users are turning into ARR.
Wall Street Sees Upside but Mostly Rates It Hold At $238.14, Adobe lies 15.5% below the consensus target of $275.06 from 39 analysts. Price targets are one data point and come with no guarantee. The ratings break down this way:
Strong Buy: 4 Buy: 7 Hold: 23 Sell: 4 Strong Sell: 1 Over the past year, Adobe fell 29.44% while the S&P 500 gained 19.15%. The trailing P/E is 14.
Adobe’s Results Keep Defying the Cannibalization Thesis At $238.14, the data points to a business the market may be mispricing.
Part of the threat is real. Net new ARR is slowing down, and low-end tools are winning casual users. The bigger claim, that AI will replace Creative Cloud, is still unproven. Creative and marketing subscription revenue grew 13% year over year, and AI usage is rising inside Adobe’s main apps.
The likely path higher runs through a seasonally strong enterprise Q4, product launches at Adobe MAX, and the Topaz Labs deal. At a single-digit forward multiple, much of the bad news already looks priced in. This outlook falls apart if AI-first ARR stalls or creative subscription growth slips toward single digits.
Adobe is being valued like a business AI is replacing, even as its AI revenue grows faster than almost anything else it sells.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Wells Fargo snížila doporučení pro Adobe na „Underweight“ a cílovou cenu na 225 USD; průzkum mezi CIO ukázal, že Adobe ztrácí podíl na rozpočtech na AI.
Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE) shares are trading lower Monday after Wells Fargo downgraded the stock to Underweight from Overweight and cut its price target to $225, citing results from its latest survey of chief information officers on AI spending.
Adobe shares are sliding. Why are ADBE shares down?
Wells Fargo Says Adobe Is Losing AI Budget Share and Faces a Steep Fourth-Quarter RampAccording to Investing.com, analyst Michael Turrin told investors he "came away more cautious" on front office and creative software and gave four reasons for the downgrade. First, Adobe’s third-quarter results suggest cracks are starting to show, and a steep fourth-quarter ramp looks difficult, since it would require new annual recurring revenue to roughly double from the previous quarter. Second, he sees risk to Adobe’s preliminary fiscal 2027 guidance given the lack of a price increase and an ongoing management transition, with both the CEO and CFO changing.
Third, the CIO survey reportedly showed Adobe as a clear loser of budget share in the AI evaluation cycle. Fourth, competition in Adobe’s core creative business is intensifying.
Wells Fargo Now Models Negative New ARR Growth in Fiscal 2027Wells Fargo now models negative growth in new annual recurring revenue in fiscal 2027 and total annual recurring revenue growth of about 7%, below the consensus of more than 8%. It also lowered its margin forecasts, citing a focus on adding users over near-term monetization
Read Next
Adobe Shares FallADBE Price Action: At the time of publication, Adobe shares are trading 4.16% lower at $232.19, according to data from Benzinga Pro.
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This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
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Akcie Adobe letos klesly o 30,78 % navzdory tržbám za 3. čtvrtletí ve výši 6,76 mld. USD; Bernstein stanovil cílovou cenu na 373 USD, což představuje potenciál růstu o zhruba 54 %.
Adobe keeps beating earnings estimates and raising guidance, yet the stock has cratered 30% this year while peers held up far better. One Bernstein analyst sees a massive mispricing that the rest of Wall Street is not ready to believe.
Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE | ADBE Price Prediction) is now trading at $242.27, and Wall Street’s average price target is $275.06. Roughly 13.5% of implied upside to consensus remains.
Adobe sells the professional creative toolkit (Photoshop, Illustrator, Premiere), plus Acrobat and an enterprise marketing suite. It keeps beating estimates and raising guidance, and the stock keeps falling anyway. Bernstein’s Mark Moerdler reads that as a mispricing. His Street-high $373 target means about 54% upside, well above the 40% line that usually marks a serious disconnect.
The whole debate sits between a modest consensus and that aggressive bull target. One possibility is that Adobe is making money from AI faster than the market gives it credit for. The other is that its moat is wearing away faster than the reported numbers show.
Record Quarters Failed to Stop a 30% Slide The main driver is fear that generative AI tools will erode Adobe’s creative moat. That fear has pushed the stock down 30.78% year to date from a starting price of $349.99. A record Q3 didn’t stop it. Revenue of $6.76 billion rose 12.9% and beat the $6.70 billion consensus. Non-GAAP EPS of $6.13 beat the $6.09 estimate, the fifth straight beat. Even so, shares fell 4.94% over the past month.
Bears focus on the forward-looking numbers. Total ARR grew 11.2%, and full-year guidance calls for 10.2% ARR growth. Both trail the 14% gain in subscription revenue. RPO rose just 8%. There’s also a leadership change. After 18 years, Shantanu Narayen hands the CEO role to Anil Chakravarthy effective December 1. Retail investors have turned bearish, and one popular WallStreetBets post declared “ADOBE is cooked.”
Bernstein’s $373 Case Hinges on Enterprise AI Dollars Most of the Street isn’t convinced. Here’s how the 39 analysts rate the stock:
Strong Buy: 4 Buy: 7 Hold: 23 Sell: 4 Strong Sell: 1 In September, Moerdler cut his target from $379 to $373 and kept his Outperform rating. His thesis is built around three drivers. The first is enterprise monetization. With Firefly built into Photoshop, Illustrator, Premiere and GenStudio, he expects growth from more enterprise seats, higher pricing levels and paid AI credits. So far, AI-first ARR is above $650 million and growing more than 150%. Firefly ARR grew 40% quarter over quarter, and GenStudio ARR is up over 20%.
The second pillar is a “safe AI” moat. Firefly is trained on Adobe Stock and licensed content, so Adobe can protect customers against copyright claims (IP indemnification), which Fortune 500 legal teams require before using AI at scale. The third pillar is cash. Q3 free cash flow was $2.44 billion, Adobe bought back about 9.5 million shares for $2.232 billion, and roughly $24.55 billion remains under its buyback authorization.
Earnings estimates are moving the bulls’ way. Over the past 30 days, analysts made 26 upward revisions to fiscal 2026 EPS against 3 cuts. The fiscal 2027 consensus is $27.6733. Still, reaching $373 requires the stock’s valuation multiple to expand, and a Street dominated by Hold ratings doesn’t expect that yet.
Software Sold Off Together, but Adobe Fell Hardest The whole peer group fell, but Adobe fell furthest.
Salesforce (NYSE:CRM) is down 13.51% this year. With shares at $229.13 and a $283.36 target, it offers about 23.7% upside. Ratings lean much more bullish, with 6 Strong Buy ratings, 32 Buy, 15 Hold and 2 Strong Sell.
Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK) is down 20.49% year to date but has rebounded 10.81% over the past month. With shares at $235.35 and a $307.54 target, it means about 30.7% upside. It carries 7 Strong Buy ratings, 23 Buy and 6 Hold, with no Sells.
Autodesk has the largest consensus upside in the group. Adobe has the lowest despite the steepest drop, and only Bernstein’s outlier target puts it on top. Every one of these targets is an estimate.
A 9x Forward Multiple Meets a Hold-Heavy Street Adobe trades at $242.27, against a $275.06 average target from 39 analysts, for 13.5% implied upside. Shares are down 30.78% year to date and 30.28% over the past year. Over the same periods, the S&P 500 gained 14.17% and 16%.
Over the past 52 weeks, the stock has ranged from $190.12 to $363.70. It trades at about 14 times trailing earnings and 9 times forward earnings. Analyst targets are one input among many.
Adobe’s 9x Multiple Sets Up a Decisive AI Test Bulls get more support if AI-first ARR keeps compounding, enterprises turn Firefly credit use into more paid seats, and total ARR growth climbs back above the 10.2% guidance. That’s the path to $373: proof that AI is growing Adobe’s business.
The bear case gains ground if ARR keeps slowing down, AI-native rivals like Canva and OpenAI’s image and video tools keep winning new creators, and the CEO transition stalls execution. Under those conditions, 9x earnings could prove a value trap.
Valuation leans toward the bulls. A forward multiple of 9 prices in a long decline even as estimates rise. Chakravarthy’s first quarter-end earnings report as CEO will be the real test.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Adobe letos očekává upravený zisk na akcii ve výši 24,45 až 24,50 USD a tržby kolem 26,6 mld. USD; akcie se obchodují zhruba 65 % pod listopadovým maximem z roku 2021.
A decade ago, shares of Adobe (ADBE +0.51%) closed at about $109. Today, they trade near $243 as I write. That's a rise of about 123%, enough to turn a $10,000 investment into about $22,300.
It seems OK until you compare it to the market. In the same period, $10,000 in an S&P 500 (^GSPC +0.59%) index fund (with dividends reinvested) rose to around $42,100, a gain of about 321%.
And because Adobe doesn't pay a dividend, its stock price is the full return.
In other words, the creative software company has returned less than half as much as the broad market over the last decade. But its business kept growing all along. I think the gap boils down to how much investors were paying for Adobe's profits -- not the profits themselves.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
The lag is all from the past five yearsIn the first half of the decade, Adobe was one of the market's big winners. The stock closed at a record $688.37 in November 2021, more than six times its October 2016 price.
An S&P 500 index fund climbed around 138% over the same stretch.
Since then, the two have switched places. The index fund is up about 77% from that November 2021 close, but Adobe stock is about 65% off its peak.
Shares have dropped about 31% in 2026 alone, from roughly $350 when last year ended.
Much of this year's slide came as investors worried that artificial intelligence (AI) might disrupt software companies. AI agents could take over some of the work businesses pay for one seat at a time, and Adobe sells many of its subscriptions that way. By mid-January, Adobe was already among the S&P 500's worst performers of 2026 as software stocks sold off on these fears.
Earnings kept risingShowing how much Adobe grew under the surface, the company made $3.01 a share on a non-GAAP (adjusted) basis in fiscal 2016. Five years later, that number was $12.48, and revenue had almost tripled, from $5.85 billion to $15.79 billion. For this fiscal year, management's target calls for adjusted earnings per share between $24.45 and $24.50, on around $26.6 billion in revenue. That's about eight times the fiscal 2016 level.
True, growth has slowed. Adjusted earnings per share compounded at around 33% a year from fiscal 2016 to fiscal 2021, versus about 14% a year since then if Adobe reaches this year's target.
Part of the fall in the stock's valuation was arguably deserved. But the slowdown hasn't become a decline. Revenue has grown 12% to 13% year over year in all three quarters Adobe has reported this fiscal year.
And in the fiscal third quarter of 2026 (the period ended Aug. 28, 2026), Adobe's adjusted earnings per share rose 15% over the year-ago quarter, to $6.13. Annualized recurring revenue from its AI-first products grew more than 150%.
The valuation is where the decade went. In October 2016, investors paid around 36 times Adobe's fiscal 2016 adjusted earnings per share. At the November 2021 high, the stock cost about 55 times its fiscal 2021 adjusted earnings.
Today's price is around 10 times this year's adjusted earnings target.
In other words, earnings per share are on track to grow about eightfold, while the price of each dollar of those earnings has fallen by about 73%. Together, these two numbers explain the stock's 123% gain.
What does 10 times earnings ask of Adobe?I'd say a valuation of around 10 times adjusted earnings asks very little of Adobe. It's the sort of price the market tends to put on a business it expects to stall or shrink.
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Adobe's earnings per share are still growing at a double-digit rate. If its valuation multiple just stays around 10 times adjusted earnings, shares may climb about as fast as earnings per share from here.
Sure, the risk is that AI one day does to Adobe's growth what the market fears. Management's own target already calls for total annualized recurring revenue to climb 10.2% this year, a little slower than revenue. If that rate keeps falling toward the low single digits, today's price-to-earnings ratio might turn out to be fair.
In the end, I think the past decade says more about the price investors paid in 2021 than about the business. Back then, Adobe stock cost over 50 times adjusted earnings and needed almost everything to go right. Today it needs much less.
I'd consider buying Adobe stock today. But with AI's long-term impact on Adobe's customers still unknown, I'd start with a small position.
Americká administrativa pozastavila Microsoftu a dalším technologickým firmám přístup k programu ministerstva práce, který umožňuje sponzorovat zahraniční pracovníky při získávání trvalého pobytu.
JD Vance froze Microsoft and several tech giants from a key immigration program, citing a pattern of bad-faith hiring that he says replaced American workers with foreign ones. Then, hours later, President Trump handed Microsoft's CEO a medal at the…
The Associated Press reported the announcement. Vice President JD Vance announced on Thursday, October 8, 2026 that the administration is freezing Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT | MSFT Price Prediction) and several other firms from a Labor Department program used to sponsor foreign workers for permanent residency. He spoke at a news conference of the administration’s Fraud Task Force at the Eisenhower Executive Office Building. Labor Secretary Keith Sonderling, White House deputy chief of staff Stephen Miller and Attorney General Todd Blanche also attended.
AP News reported that besides Microsoft, Vance named Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE) and six tech consulting firms: Cognizant (NASDAQ:CTSH), Infosys (NYSE:INFY), Tata, Wipro, HCL and Capgemini.
How the Green Card Program Works and What Vance Alleges Before a company can apply to the Labor Department to sponsor a foreign worker for a green card, the program requires it to advertise the job in the United States. The point is to show that no American workers are available. This is the first step toward an employer-sponsored green card. It is separate from H-1B visas, which are temporary, and the suspension applies only to the green card sponsorship program.
JD Vance described how he says the advertising step is abused: “They’ll put an advertisement in a small-town newspaper. They’ll go out there and say that ‘We have advertised for a position with our company, and nobody is responding to it.’ And they will use that lack of response to then go and replace American workers with what is effectively foreign indentured servants.”
The fraud claim rests on that mechanism. Vance focused his objection on the hiring process. His claim is that the search for American applicants was run in bad faith, and he explained his phrase by saying these workers must leave the country if they lose their jobs, and they earn less than Americans in the same position.
Vance’s Numbers Compared With Government Data AP News reported that Vance said Microsoft laid off 6,000 American workers in the year he cited, while obtaining 6,300 H-1B visas and almost 3,000 green cards. JD Vance addressed the layoffs. He said that for every worker laid off, Microsoft brought in “one and a half foreign indentured servants.” He added that “there has been no company in the United States, unfortunately, that has used this system more than Microsoft.”
AP News checked that claim. Citing US Citizenship and Immigration Services data, AP News reported that Microsoft ranks No. 5 among US employers in H-1B usage and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) ranks No. 1. That ranking measures H-1B usage, while Vance was talking about the green card sponsorship program, and the two do not line up exactly, so the ranking tests his claim without ruling it out.
Microsoft’s Response Microsoft said that 80% of the approximately 6,000 H-1B applications it filed in its most recent fiscal year were to extend or change the status of existing employees. Microsoft said the rest went to people already legally in the United States, equal to 1% of its US workforce. “They are not new arrivals to our country,” the company said. Microsoft added that it “only files H-1B petitions for those who meet the rigorous standards of this visa category.”
The two sides are counting different things. A visa renewal for an engineer who has worked at Microsoft for years shows up in the same statistic as a new hire from abroad.
Criticism From Both Sides Doug Rand, a former senior adviser at US Citizenship and Immigration Services, called the announcement “incoherent.” His reasoning: “Once you have a green card, you’re no longer dependent on your employer for your immigration status.”
Ron Hira, a Howard University professor, called the move “very significant.” He pointed to an executive order issued in September 2026 that tells agencies to protect American workers from abuse of the program. On worker protections, he said: “That’s never been enforced.”
Universities and Visa Fees Are Also Targets AP News reported that Vance named nine universities he said deserved investigation for J-1 visa fraud: Harvard, Yale, Stanford, Brown, the University of Pittsburgh, UC Davis, Caltech, Arizona State and MIT. Several have received subpoenas. Others said they would comply or review documents.
On October 7, 2026, the Department of Homeland Security proposed a $70,000 fee for international students seeking to work in the US, AP News reported. AP News reported that an earlier attempt to raise the H-1B fee to $100,000 was struck down by a federal judge in June. Per AP News, a proposed $103,265 replacement fee is not yet final and is expected to face a legal challenge.
Same-Day White House Medal for Microsoft’s CEO AP News reported that hours after the announcement, President Donald Trump awarded Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella the National Medal of Technology and Innovation at a White House event honoring several technology executives.
What Is Still Unknown? None of the coverage we reviewed identified the legal authority behind the suspension or said how long it will last. AP reported that the other companies did not immediately answering to its messages. It is also unclear whether any company will challenge the suspension in court.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
SummaryAdobe is rated Buy with a 12-month target of $294 and probability-weighted fair value of $274, citing undervalued growth.The current price implies ~3% annual revenue growth, while ADBE has delivered an average of 10.8% over the last four years.Management reiterated a 10.2% ARR growth target and raised full-year guidance, emphasizing a strategic focus on expanding the freemium funnel.Key risks include freemium conversion, contracted demand, and AI compute costs; Q4 ARR and RPO metrics are critical for thesis validation. We Are/DigitalVision via Getty Images
Company Overview Adobe Inc. (ADBE) is a subscription software business catering to creative professionals, enterprises and consumers, with subscriptions making up 96% of FY2025 revenue at $23.8B. It reports two customer groups, Business Professionals & Consumers and Creative & Marketing Professionals, selling through Creative
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Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of ADBE either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Adobe má stále nevyužitých 24,55 miliardy USD z programu zpětného odkupu akcií, což je zhruba čtvrtina firmy. V prvních třech čtvrtletích odkupy financovala z provozního cash flow.
Shares of Adobe (ADBE -1.49%) have had a tough 2026. The stock ended last year at about $350 and trades near $240 as I write, down about 31%.
The software company has kept buying its own shares on the way down. In April, its board approved a new $25 billion stock buyback authorization, meant partly to "reduce share count over time." It runs through April 30, 2030.
And as Adobe's fiscal third quarter of 2026 ended Aug. 28, $24.55 billion of it was still unused.
Compared with Adobe's market value, the amount is large. With about 389.2 million shares outstanding in mid-September, Adobe is worth about $93 billion at today's stock price. The remaining authorization could buy back about 26% of it -- about 102 million shares.
Sure, an authorization isn't a promise. Adobe has around three and a half years to use it, and nothing forces the company to spend it all. But I think the company's pace this year shows it plans to put plenty of it to work.
Image source: Getty Images.
A steady, cash-funded paceIn the fiscal year's first three quarters, Adobe's buybacks averaged around $2.3 billion a quarter. That came to $6.82 billion, for 26.1 million shares, all bought on the open market.
And as the stock dropped, the same money bought more shares. The 9.5 million shares Adobe repurchased in fiscal Q3 cost an average of around $235 each, versus about $261 over all three quarters.
Notably, the company paid for it with cash from its operations. Adobe generated $7.65 billion of cash from operations during the same stretch, up around 11% year over year, and buybacks used close to 90% of it. Its balance sheet had $5.64 billion of cash and short-term investments at quarter-end, versus around $6.4 billion of debt.
This pace leaves room to spare. Spreading the unspent $24.55 billion evenly through April 2030 comes out to around $7 billion a year, about what Adobe spent in just those three quarters. If the company keeps buying at its recent rate instead, it could use up the authorization sometime in 2029.
Buybacks are doing about half the workAdobe's diluted share count (the number used to calculate earnings per share) was around 395 million in the fiscal third quarter. That compares to 402 million in the fiscal second quarter and 424 million in the year-ago quarter.
Management's fourth-quarter targets assume around 389 million. In other words, the count's dropping about 2% a quarter, and steadily.
Not every repurchased share sticks, though. Shares outstanding dropped by around 22 million in the nine months, fewer than the 26.1 million Adobe bought, because employee stock awards added some back.
Showing what the shrinking count means for shareholders, Adobe's non-GAAP (adjusted) net income rose around 8% year over year in fiscal Q3 to $2.42 billion. Adjusted earnings per share climbed 15% to $6.13.
On a GAAP basis, net income grew just 3%, but earnings per share climbed 11% to $4.62. In short, fewer shares drove about half of the quarter's adjusted per-share growth.
If Adobe spent all $24.55 billion at roughly $240 a share and its earnings stayed flat, retiring about 26% of its shares would raise earnings per share by over a third.
That won't happen all at once, and the price Adobe pays will move. A lower stock price would stretch the cash further, and a higher one would shrink it.
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Is the buyback a reason to buy?At roughly $240, Adobe shares cost about 13 times earnings. Using the midpoint of management's fiscal 2026 target for adjusted earnings per share ($24.45 to $24.50), the price is about 10 times adjusted earnings. When shares reached their 52-week high of $363.70, that same target worked out to almost 15 times adjusted earnings.
I'd say buying back stock at about 10 times adjusted earnings is one of the better uses of Adobe's cash right now.
True, a buyback can't fix slowing growth. Adobe's total annualized recurring revenue (ARR), its gauge of the subscription business on a yearly basis, rose 11.2% year over year in fiscal Q3, and management's full-year target is 10.2%. And the market's discount probably reflects worries that artificial intelligence tools might hurt Adobe's pricing power. But as long as the subscription business keeps growing, a falling share count should help earnings per share outpace the business itself.
All in all, I think the buyback makes a cheap stock more interesting. Adobe stock looks worth considering at this price, but I'd want the subscription business to keep growing at roughly its current pace.
Adobe ve fiskálním 3. čtvrtletí překonala odhady výnosů i EPS a zvýšila celoroční non-GAAP EPS výhled na 24,45 až 24,50 USD. Akcie jsou letos v mínusu 31,31 %.
Adobe beat earnings for the fifth straight quarter, yet the stock sits 31% in the hole for the year while a generative AI rival just torched its retail sentiment. Something has to give, and the answer depends on a bet…
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Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE | ADBE Price Prediction) trades at $239.94. Our 24/7 Wall St. price target is $286.62 over the next 12 months, which means 19.45% upside. Our model rates the stock a buy, and its confidence level is high.
24/7 Wall St. Price Target Summary Metric Value Current Price $239.94 Price Target from 24/7 Wall St. $286.62 Upside/Downside 19.45% Recommendation BUY Confidence Level 90% The debate: can Adobe convert surging AI engagement into durable revenue faster than generative AI rivals erode its creative moat? At 9x forward earnings, the market is pricing in a decline the financials have yet to show.
Adobe Slid 31% in 2026 Despite a Q3 Beat The stock is down 31.31% year to date and 17.89% over the past month, and it was flat over the past week. That leaves it about 34% below its 52-week high of $363.70 and 26% off its $190.12 low.
Fiscal Q3 revenue of $6.76B beat the $6.70B consensus, and non-GAAP EPS of $6.13 topped expectations for a 5th consecutive quarter. Management raised full-year non-GAAP EPS guidance to $24.45 to $24.50.
Retail sentiment turned bearish after OpenAI released ChatGPT Images 2.5. Investors also face a leadership change: Anil Chakravarthy takes over as CEO on December 1st.
Why Bulls See a Path to $320 AI-first ARR topped $650 million, up more than 150% year over year. Monthly active users passed 1 billion, and Firefly ARR grew 40% quarter over quarter. Adobe also has $24.55 billion left on its buyback authorization.
Analysts expect fiscal 2027 EPS of $27.6733, and their consensus target is $275.06. In our bull scenario, the stock reaches $320.65.
What Could Push Adobe Toward $249 Wall Street remains cautious, with 23 Hold ratings against 5 Sell or Strong Sell ratings. One analyst noted net new ARR fell “36, 37%” year over year, while remaining performance obligations grew only 8%.
Management prioritizes freemium user acquisition and delays pricing actions, which bulls see as investment in future conversion. Our bear case is at $249.08.
Adobe Trades at a Steep Discount to Salesforce and Autodesk Salesforce (NYSE:CRM) competes directly with Adobe Experience Cloud for enterprise customer-experience budgets. The stock changes hands at 14x forward earnings, with quarterly revenue growth of 10.8%. Adobe is growing faster at a lower multiple.
Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK) is the closest subscription design-software peer. It commands 18x forward earnings, with revenue growth of 16.1%.
Company Forward P/E Quarterly Revenue Growth (YoY) Adobe 9x 12.9% Salesforce 14x 10.8% Autodesk 18x 16.1% Our target means a forward multiple still below both peers. Against this group, the 24/7 Wall St. price target looks conservative.
Adobe Price Prediction 2026-2030 The 24/7 Wall St. price target of $286.62 comes with a buy rating and 90% confidence. What tips the scale for me is Adobe’s single-digit forward multiple sitting alongside double-digit growth.
The setup looks compelling if freemium users start converting into ARR during the seasonally strong fourth quarter. Caution makes sense if net new ARR keeps shrinking under the new CEO. I think the market is too pessimistic here.
Looking further ahead, here is where our model projects Adobe could trade by the end of each year, assuming current growth trends and market conditions hold.
Year Price Target from 24/7 Wall St. 2026 $250.23 2027 $294.47 2028 $325.33 2029 $371.47 2030 $404.07 Adobe would need to keep executing on its agentic AI strategy for these projections to hold. Faster Firefly monetization could add significant upside, while losing creative share to generative AI rivals is the biggest downside risk.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Adobe's stock has collapsed while its revenue keeps hitting records, and Wall Street is stuck in a holding pattern. A specific combination of catalysts could change that calculus dramatically before 2027 is over.
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Adobe’s problem is perception. Investors worry that AI-native tools will chip away at Photoshop, Premiere and Acrobat. The business keeps growing anyway.
In fiscal Q3, Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE | ADBE Price Prediction) posted record revenue of $6.76 billion, up 12.89% year over year. AI-first ARR passed $650 million and grew more than 150%.
“We’re just beginning to capitalize on the massive AI opportunity across creativity, productivity, and customer experiences,” said outgoing CEO Shantanu Narayen.
The stock has gone the other way. Shares are down 34.34% year-to-date at $229.82 and 63.09% over five years. So what would it take for Adobe to hit $300 in 2027?
Wall Street Sees 21% Upside as Estimates Creep Higher Analysts’ average price target of $278.15 implies about 21% upside. Sentiment is lukewarm, with 23 Hold ratings. The numbers are stronger than the mood. Consensus calls for EPS of $24.4735 in FY2026, rising to $27.6226 in FY2027. That works out to roughly 13% EPS growth on about 9% revenue growth. The FY2027 estimate has also edged up from $27.5501 90 days ago.
Adobe also keeps beating expectations. Q3 non-GAAP EPS came in at $6.13, against a consensus of $6.0866. That was the fifth consecutive beat, so actual results could top today’s forecasts.
Here’s What It Takes for Adobe to Reach $300 At $229.82, Adobe trades at about 8x FY2027 earnings estimates. At $300, that multiple would be about 11x. That’s still well below the S&P 500’s forward multiple of roughly 21x to 23x, and Adobe guides for a Q4 non-GAAP operating margin of about 44%.
What Could Push Adobe to $300? AI monetization: Firefly ending ARR grew 40% quarter over quarter. Management also put pricing increases on hold to keep adding users, so that option is still available for 2027. A huge user base: Monthly active users passed one billion. Creative freemium users crossed 100 million, growing greater than 70%. Buybacks: Adobe bought back about 9.5 million shares in Q3, and $24.55 billion remains under its current authorization. New leadership: Anil Chakravarthy becomes CEO on December 1st. “I see immense opportunity for Adobe to be the leader in agentic software for creativity, productivity, and customer experience,” he said. Near-term events: Adobe MAX and the Topaz Labs deal, set to close in Q4, both come ahead of a seasonally strong enterprise quarter. The risks: a weak market, a rough CEO transition or faster-moving AI rivals would make $300 harder to reach.
Adobe’s History Says $300 Is Possible Getting to $300 requires a gain of about 31%. Adobe has done better than that in 10 calendar years since 2000. Shares rose 77% in 2023 and 70% in 2017.
The most useful comparison may be 2009, when the stock rallied 73% from a low starting point. With a market cap of $91.35 billion, Adobe is small enough that a move that size is realistic.
$300 Is a Stretch, but Adobe Has the Tools to Get There Reaching $300 would take a 31% gain, more than the 21% Wall Street already guides for.
Several things support it: growing AI revenue, a billion users, a string of earnings beats and one of the lowest valuations among large software companies. If the new CEO settles in smoothly and the market cooperates, shares could return to 11x earnings. Returns this large shouldn’t be expected every year, but this is how Adobe could deliver outsized gains in 2027.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Adobe ve 3. čtvrtletí zvýšila výnosy o 12,9 % na 6,76 miliardy USD a upravený zisk na akcii (EPS) 6,13 USD překonal odhady už popáté v řadě. Firma zároveň zvedla celoroční výhled upraveného zisku na akcii.
Adobe keeps beating earnings estimates while its stock collapses, leaving investors to wonder whether Wall Street is pricing in a threat that may never materialize or a disruption that already has.
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Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE | ADBE Price Prediction) is a Hold at $235.47. Shares of the creative software leader trade as if the business were in decline, yet the company keeps raising its guidance.
Adobe makes Photoshop, Premiere, Acrobat and a customer experience suite that serves over 20,000 global enterprises. Third-quarter revenue rose 12.9% to $6.76 billion. Non-GAAP EPS of $6.13 was its 5th consecutive EPS beat. The stock still fell 32.72% year to date. Investors worry about generative AI rivals, a CEO transition to Anil Chakravarthy and the exit of the company’s former CFO.
Nine Times Forward Earnings for a Double-Digit Grower Bulls see a mispricing. Adobe trades at 9x forward earnings with a PEG ratio of 0.582. Management raised its full-year non-GAAP EPS guidance from an initial $23.30 to $23.50 to $24.45 to $24.50. AI-first ARR now tops $650 million and is growing more than 150%, which shows that customers pay for Firefly and agentic tools.
Capital returns support the case. Free cash flow rose 14.68% to $2.44 billion, and Adobe retired ~9.5M shares for $2.232B with approximately $24.55 billion of authorization remaining. On the insider side, Director David Ricks purchased 10,000 shares at $194.513 on the open market.
AI Rivals and Leadership Churn Test Adobe’s Moat Bears point to profits lagging sales. Net income grew just 3.1% in the quarter, while RPO growth slowed to 8%. Management put Creative Cloud price increases on hold to guide users into freemium, and it said that the shift pressures net new ARR.
Competition is getting louder. One widely discussed Reddit post read: “OpenAI releases ChatGPT Images 2.5. I expect Adobe stocks to nosedive once mass media gets a hold of this.” Add a $70M goodwill impairment in Publishing and Advertising, and the market views a business in transition.
A New CEO’s First Moves Decide the Next Leg Adobe’s execution rules out a Sell, and the unclear AI outlook rules out a Buy. The stock sits below its 50-day average of $257.41 and its 200-day average of $263.2, so momentum has not turned. The next few months bring Adobe MAX, Chakravarthy’s first strategy statements as CEO, the close of the Topaz Labs deal and a seasonally strong fourth quarter.
A 33% Slide While the Market Climbed Across 40 analysts, the average price target is $278.15, which implies about 18.1% upside. Price targets reflect analysts’ views and often miss. The ratings break down as follows:
Strong Buy: 4 Buy: 8 Hold: 23 Sell: 4 Strong Sell: 1 The stock trades at 13x trailing earnings, inside a 52-week range of $190.12 to $363.7. Over the past year, Adobe fell 33.51% while the S&P 500 rose 17.22%. Over the past month, the stock dropped 13.9% against a 0.69% rose for the index.
Adobe Is a Hold Until Freemium Converts At $235.47, Adobe is a Hold.
The valuation already prices in a lot of bad news, but buying the stock needs a reason for it to rebound. The first trigger for a Buy is fourth-quarter results that meet guidance of $6.80B to $6.85B in revenue with a margin near 44.0%, together with a increase in RPO growth. The second is proof that freemium users, now over 100 million on the creative side alone, are turning into paying subscribers.
A Sell case would build if ARR growth misses the 10.2% target or if analysts cut fiscal 2027 estimates, which currently average 27.6226. Because the stock has a beta of 1.417, it can swing sharply in either direction.
Waiting costs little. The stock pays no dividend, and the new CEO’s first full quarter will show whether Adobe’s AI spending leads to profit growth. At this price, patience lets investors see the new CEO’s results before taking a position.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Adobe vykázalo v každém čtvrtletí tohoto fiskálního roku rekordní tržby, přesto akcie klesly zhruba o 34 % z 52týdenního maxima 363,70 USD na asi 238,93 USD.
Adobe (ADBE -0.73%) has posted record revenue in each quarterly update this fiscal year. But the stock has fallen anyway.
Shares are at roughly $241 as of this writing, off around 34% from a 52-week high of $363.70.
I think the market has it wrong. My prediction is that the stock trades back above $350 before 2030. That would be a rise of around 45% with a bit over three years to do it -- around 12% a year.
Getting there doesn't take a dramatic turnaround. Adobe only has to keep doing three things it's already doing: growing recurring revenue at a double-digit pace, holding its operating margin steady, and retiring shares under a buyback authorization that runs through April 2030 -- almost exactly this prediction's window.
Image source: Getty Images.
The recurring-revenue base is still compoundingThe tech company's engine is subscriptions. Total annualized recurring revenue (ARR), the yearly value of the company's subscription contracts, finished the fiscal first quarter of 2026 at $26.1 billion and the fiscal second quarter at $27.1 billion (including roughly $480 million from the Semrush acquisition). By the close of the fiscal third quarter on Aug. 28, ARR sat at $27.5 billion, up 11.2% year over year.
And management's full-year target is 10.2% growth in the company's total recurring-revenue base. Put another way, over $2 billion of new recurring revenue adds to the base in a year.
Revenue is climbing with it. The company's last quarter, reported earlier this month, brought in record revenue of $6.76 billion, up 13% year over year, matching the fiscal second quarter's rate. Non-GAAP (adjusted) earnings per share rose roughly 15% to $6.13.
Profitability is holding up, too. Alongside the fiscal third-quarter update, management lifted its full-year targets. It now sees fiscal 2026 revenue of roughly $26.6 billion and adjusted earnings per share between $24.45 and $24.50, up roughly 17% from fiscal 2025's $20.94. The targets assume an adjusted operating margin of around 45%.
And the share count keeps shrinking. Adobe spent $6.82 billion buying back 26.1 million shares during the first nine months of fiscal 2026, finishing the $25 billion repurchase program its board approved in March 2024.
In April, the board authorized a new $25 billion of buybacks through April 30, 2030. And $24.55 billion of it was still unspent at the end of the quarter. At today's stock price, that could retire about a quarter of Adobe's shares.
"With focused execution and disciplined investments, we are driving long-term durable growth," interim CFO Steve Day said on the company's fiscal third-quarter earnings call.
What needs to happen by 2029?Management's fiscal 2026 earnings target comes to roughly $24.47 per share at the midpoint. Now say growth cools, with ARR growth slowing to around 10% annually as the operating margin and the buyback pace simply hold. A mix like that could still boost adjusted earnings per share by 12% to 14% a year, well under this year's expected 17%.
Even at the low end, earnings would hit roughly $34 by fiscal 2029, which ends in November that year. At $350, the stock would cost a bit over 10 times those earnings.
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For context, shares cost around 10 times this year's earnings target now -- and around 8.5 times next fiscal year's expected earnings. The market might never pay a premium for Adobe again, and this prediction doesn't need it to. It only needs the earnings to show up while the stock's price-to-earnings multiple stays flat.
The risk, of course, is the recurring-revenue growth itself. The stock's low valuation arguably reflects a market bracing for AI tools from newer rivals to cut into Adobe's business over time. If ARR growth slows to the low single digits in the next couple of years, profit growth stalls with it. The buyback would still nudge earnings per share up, but it can't replace the growth.
But through three quarters of fiscal 2026, there's no sign of that. Growth has stayed between 11% and 13% all year, and management lifted its targets this month instead of trimming them.
In the end, I think the earnings power Adobe is already guiding for, compounded a few more years and concentrated onto a shrinking share count, takes the stock past $350 with time to spare. Granted, a three-year forecast leaves lots of room for the competitive picture to shift, and this one rests entirely on the subscription base continuing to compound. For now, it's compounding.
Adobe rozšiřuje AI v zákaznické zkušenosti díky víceleté spolupráci s Jet2, která využije CX Enterprise, Firefly Foundry a Brand Intelligence. AI-first koncový ARR firmy v Q3 fiskálního roku 2026 přesáhl 650 milionů USD a meziročně vzrostl o více než 150 %.
Key Takeaways Adobe's multi-year Jet2 deal will use CX Enterprise, Firefly Foundry and Brand Intelligence.ADBE's AI-first ending ARR topped $650M in Q3 fiscal 2026, rising more than 150% year over year.Microsoft and Salesforce are intensifying competition in AI-powered customer engagement. Adobe (ADBE - Free Report) is expanding the use of its agentic artificial intelligence (AI) and customer-experience technologies through a multi-year strategic partnership with Jet2. The travel company plans to use Adobe CX Enterprise to deliver more personalized customer experiences, including tailored holiday recommendations, offers and engagement across the travel journey. Jet2 will also use Adobe Firefly Foundry and Brand Intelligence to accelerate branded content creation and improve consistency across customer interactions. The partnership includes a Jet2 x Adobe Customer Experience Lab focused on developing and scaling AI-powered experiences. Jet2 was among Adobe’s global enterprise customer wins in the third quarter of fiscal 2026.
The Jet2 partnership could help Adobe deepen adoption of its broader customer-experience portfolio and strengthen its positioning against Microsoft (MSFT - Free Report) and Salesforce (CRM - Free Report) . Adobe CX Enterprise combines Adobe Experience Platform and native applications for customer engagement, GenStudio for content supply chains, and Experience Manager and agentic web applications for brand visibility. More than 20,000 global enterprises rely on Adobe, which delivers more than 1 trillion experiences annually for enterprise customers. Adobe CX Enterprise Coworker can synthesize insights from Adobe and third-party applications and coordinate AI agents and workflows across analytics, content creation and journey orchestration. The offering had attracted more than 1,700 customers and early adopters by the third quarter of fiscal 2026.
Adobe is expanding the supporting marketing stack around these deployments. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026, Adobe’s Brand Visibility solution combined Adobe LLM Optimizer with Semrush’s AI Optimization, leveraging nearly 300 million real-world AI search prompts to help brands track their visibility across platforms such as ChatGPT, Google AI Mode and Microsoft Copilot. GenStudio for Commerce Media Networks helps retailers create self-service, on-brand content, while Brand Intelligence can preview how content may resonate before launch. The number of paid Brand Visibility customers doubled sequentially in the third quarter of fiscal 2026.
Customer-experience momentum is already strengthening. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026, ending annual recurring revenues (ARR) for Adobe Experience Manager and agentic web applications, Adobe GenStudio and Adobe Experience Platform and applications each increased more than 20% year over year. Adobe’s AI-first ending ARR exceeded $650 million and grew more than 150% year over year. Management said Customer Experience entered the fourth quarter with a strong pipeline. Deployments such as Jet2 could therefore support enterprise adoption, cross-selling and recurring subscription revenues.
ADBE Faces Tough CompetitionMicrosoft is challenging Adobe through Microsoft Copilot, Dynamics 365, Microsoft Foundry and Agent 365. In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, Dynamics 365 exposed more than 650,000 Model Context Protocol actions across sales, finance, supply chain, human resources and customer service, while usage-based credit consumption in customer service increased fourfold sequentially. Microsoft Foundry reached 100,000 customers, with revenues more than doubling year over year, while nearly 90% of the Fortune 500 were already grounding their agents in enterprise context using Foundry, Microsoft Fabric and Work IQ. Agent 365 had nearly 40 million agents registered across tens of thousands of companies.
Salesforce is intensifying competition through Agentforce, Data 360 and its customer-engagement platform. In the second quarter of fiscal 2027, Agentforce ARR exceeded $1.5 billion, while combined Agentforce and Data 360 ARR reached nearly $3.9 billion. The number of accounts with agents in production increased 70% sequentially. Customers generated 3.2 billion Agentic Work Units during the quarter, up 97% sequentially. Salesforce’s own help agent has handled more than 5 million customer conversations, resolving 64% autonomously, while Xero’s Agentforce deployment achieved a roughly 62% customer-service deflection rate across more than 200,000 interactions. These metrics highlight the growing competition for enterprise spending on AI-powered personalization, customer engagement and workflow orchestration.
ADBE’s Share Price Performance, Valuation & EstimatesShares of Adobe have declined 31.9% year to date against the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector’s 22.8% growth.
ADBE Stock’s Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
ADBE stock is trading at a discount, with a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 8.79 compared with the broader sector’s 21.36. Adobe has a Value Score of B.
ADBE’s Valuation
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Adobe’s earnings is currently pegged at $6.32 per share, up a couple of cents, over the past 30 days, suggesting 14.91% year-over-year growth.
Adobe currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Akcie Adobe v pondělí vzrostly o 4,2 % na 262,83 USD, protože investoři se přesouvají do softwaru. Firma zároveň uvedla, že AI-first ARR v posledním čtvrtletí vzrostl o více než 150 %.
Adobe rose to $262.83 as investors rotated toward software, while AI-first ARR surged more than 150% in the latest quarter. Summary
Adobe trades 51.6% below its $543.01 GF Value™ estimate.
Adobe shares rose 4.2% to $262.83 Monday as investors rotated toward software companies that could benefit if the AI arms race cools. Adobe ADBE, the creative, document and digital-experience software leader, suddenly found itself on the other side of the AI trade as semiconductor stocks were hammered. Reuters highlighted Adobe and ServiceNow among the software winners as investors reconsidered which companies might hold up better if spending shifts away from increasingly expensive frontier-model infrastructure. The valuation picture is striking too: GuruFocus shows Adobe trading 51.6% below its GF Value™ estimate of $543.01, leaving a wide gap between the current market price and its modeled fair-value level.
The business itself is hardly standing still. Adobe delivered record fiscal third-quarter revenue of $6.76 billion, up 13% from a year earlier, while ending ARR reached $27.5 billion. AI-first ARR surged more than 150%, and customer-group subscription revenue climbed to $6.56 billion. GAAP operating income hit $2.35 billion, quarterly operating cash flow reached a record $2.52 billion, and Adobe repurchased roughly 9.5 million shares. Those are not the numbers of a software franchise quietly being displaced. Adobe is already pushing AI through its existing ecosystem while still converting an enormous installed base into recurring revenue and cash.
That is what makes Monday's move more interesting than a simple relief rally. Customer-group subscription revenue represented roughly 97% of quarterly sales, while $2.35 billion of GAAP operating income translates into an operating margin of about 34.8%. Adobe does not need AI disruption to disappear. It needs Firefly and its broader AI stack to strengthen engagement, protect pricing and keep customers inside Creative Cloud, Acrobat and Experience Cloud. At $262.83, with the shares sitting far below GuruFocus' $543.01 GF Value™ estimate, the market is still pricing in substantial execution risk. Monday's rally suggests investors may finally be reconsidering how much of that AI threat has already been discounted.
Disclosures I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and have no plans to buy any new positions in the stocks mentioned within the next 72 hours.
Adobe zpřístupnila Student Spaces v Acrobatu zdarma po celém světě. Nástroj pro studenty nabízí AI flashcards, citace, shrnutí, digitalizaci ručních poznámek i přípravu na pohovor.
Student Spaces in Acrobat is now generally available globally for free, giving students a trusted, AI-powered study hub built on Acrobat's decades of document expertiseNew capabilities include adaptive flashcards, citation generation, summary sheets, handwritten note digitization and interview prep to help students learn more effectively and trust every answerStudent Spaces is expanding from the web to the Acrobat app on Android, bringing AI-powered study tools to students wherever they are SAN JOSE, Calif., Sept. 14, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Today Adobe (Nasdaq: ADBE), global technology leader for creativity, productivity and customer experiences, announced that Student Spaces in Acrobat is now generally available globally and for free. First launched in beta in April 2026, Student Spaces quickly attracted more than 1 million monthly active users who utilized it to generate flashcards, quizzes, study guides, podcasts, summaries, and presentations directly from their course materials. Today's launch brings a wave of new capabilities designed to help students learn smarter, build trust in their work, and move confidently from the classroom to their career.
Adobe Acrobat and the PDF have been the standard that students and professionals alike rely on to communicate and absorb important information for three decades. Student Spaces builds directly on that foundation – using the same PDFs students already work with every day, from syllabi and lecture slides to lab reports and internship forms and grounding every AI answer in those source materials.
Study smarter, with AI you can trust
New and updated capabilities in Student Spaces help students make the most of their study time:
Focus study time with adaptive flashcards and quizzes that now track answers and adjust to what still needs practice, letting students spend less time on prep and more time on learning. Students can also individually edit flashcards and quizzes to make them their own.Verify information with one-click citations, with every AI answer linked directly back to source material so students always know where information came from. Starting later this month, students can also generate properly formatted citations – from a title, URL, DOI or ISBN – in APA, MLA, Chicago and more, and drop them straight into their own classroom documents.Study smarter with summary sheets by uploading documents to instantly generate a customizable, editable half-sheet, one-page, or two-page overview of must-know facts. Perfect for pre-exam prep or professor-style test notes.Use handwritten notes by uploading them directly into Student Spaces, where they are automatically converted into digital, searchable text.Get resume feedback and interview help from the AI Assistant, which reviews resumes and provides tailored feedback, then helps students prep for internship and job interviews so they are ready when an opportunity presents itself.Study more flexibly with editable video summaries that students can fine-tune to match exactly how they learn, plus full access to Student Spaces in the Acrobat app on Android for a mobile study experience. Built on a foundation you can rely on
Unlike general-purpose AI tools bolted onto coursework, Student Spaces is built specifically around the kind of documents students already use. Adobe's AI reads and grounds every answer in the actual source material – not a guess – so students can verify, trust and build on every insight. Whether breaking down a dense academic reading, polishing a group presentation or preparing for a first internship interview, Student Spaces is designed to help students stand out, not stress out.
Coming soon, Adobe will also introduce new Acrobat Studio and Acrobat Express student packages, giving students access to the same professional tools used across real-world careers.
You can download high-resolution imagery from our press kit. For more detailed information, visit our blog post.
If you have any questions, please feel free to contact us at any time.
About Adobe
Adobe empowers everyone to create through industry-leading platforms and tools that unleash creativity, productivity and personalized customer experiences. For more information, visit www.adobe.com.
Press Contact:
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Livia Sedlmeir
Communications Manager, Central Europe
Adobe (ADBE +1.37%) delivered another record quarter last Thursday. Revenue for the fiscal third quarter of 2026, which ended Aug. 28, climbed 13% year over year to $6.76 billion, adjusted earnings grew even faster, and management raised its full-year revenue and earnings targets.
The stock dipped anyway before recovering, trading at about $252 as of this writing -- roughly a third below its 52-week high.
I think the market is watching the wrong number. The most important figure in the report was $27.50 billion. That number is Adobe's total annualized recurring revenue (ARR), a running yearly total of the subscription money customers already pay the company.
If Adobe keeps growing near the pace management is targeting, that book of business should cross $30 billion within about a year. And I'd consider buying the stock before it gets there.
Image source: Getty Images.
Another record quarterAlongside the record revenue, non-GAAP (adjusted) earnings per share rose 15% year over year to $6.13, and GAAP earnings per share grew 11% to $4.62. Cash flow from operations climbed about 15% to $2.52 billion, a third-quarter record. Showing how wide Adobe's reach has become, the company said it passed 1 billion monthly active users across its creativity and productivity products. And ARR from the company's artificial intelligence (AI)-first products grew more than 150% year over year.
Nearly all of this business is recurring. Subscriptions made up about 97% of fiscal Q3 revenue. In other words, when the subscription base grows, essentially the whole company grows with it.
That base keeps building. Adobe entered the fiscal year with $25.66 billion of ARR. The total stood at $27.10 billion when the fiscal second quarter closed (helped by about $480 million from the Semrush acquisition) and hit $27.50 billion three months later. The nine-month gain comes to about $1.8 billion, though only about $400 million of it arrived in the latest quarter.
When does $30 billion arrive?Management's updated fiscal 2026 targets call for ending ARR growth of 10.2% year over year. That puts the book of business at about $28.3 billion when the fiscal year closes in late November.
And if growth simply holds near that guided pace, ARR should pass $30 billion sometime in the second half of next year.
Why buy before a round number instead of after? Because at today's share price, a stall in Adobe's growth already looks priced in. I'd argue every quarter the subscription base keeps compounding makes that view harder to defend.
Growth is cooling, to be fair. Total ARR grew 11.5% in fiscal 2025, and this year's 10.2% target leans on the roughly $480 million that arrived with Semrush. Strip out the acquisition, and the target implies growth closer to 8%.
But interim chief financial officer Steve Day said in the release that Adobe is "expanding our user base through a freemium strategy and deepening engagement with agentic experiences to deliver long-term durable growth."
Free users take time to become paying ones, which may help explain the market's impatience. Even at the slower pace, the subscription base keeps growing every quarter.
The stock isn't priced for any of thisManagement also nudged up its full-year outlook alongside the report. Adobe now expects fiscal 2026 revenue of $26.58 billion to $26.63 billion and between $24.45 and $24.50 in adjusted earnings per share, both ranges slightly above the targets it set in June.
At about $252, that works out to roughly 10 times the midpoint of this year's guided adjusted earnings. And analysts project even higher earnings for fiscal 2027, which puts the price at about 9 times next fiscal year's expected total.
Adobe is treating that price as an opportunity. Not only did the company repurchase about 9.5 million shares during the quarter, but its diluted share count is also down about 7% from a year ago. Buybacks at a single-digit forward price-to-earnings multiple retire a lot of stock in a hurry.
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The market has its reasons for the discount. The most obvious one is AI -- whether Adobe's creative tools can keep their pricing power as generative models spread.
And a leadership change is coming: Anil Chakravarthy, the Adobe president who oversees its customer experience orchestration business, takes over as CEO on Dec. 1. Transitions, of course, add uncertainty.
Sure, ARR growth could slow below the guided pace, and no milestone is guaranteed. But a business still adding more than $2 billion of recurring revenue a year on its own, converting it into record cash flow, and shrinking its share count doesn't look like one whose growth is about to stall.
So is Adobe stock a buy here?
I'd consider it. At about 9 times next fiscal year's expected earnings, I like the price today.
Google Cloud a Avid oznámily, že Gemini Enterprise je přímo integrovaný do Avid Media Composer. Tím Google míří do střihu v Hollywoodu, kde Adobe dlouho dominovalo.
Jim Cramer called it months ago, and now Google has planted its AI inside the same Hollywood editing software that Adobe has long called home territory. The question is whether this is a one-off partnership or the opening move in…
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Hollywood film editing bays just got a little more crowded. Jim Cramer’s September 1 warning that Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL | GOOGL Price Prediction) was coming for Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE)’s turf now has a case study behind it. In the early morning hours of September 11, 2026, Google Cloud and Avid announced that Gemini Enterprise is embedded directly into browser-based Avid Media Composer, the professional video editor that shares Hollywood’s post-production stack with Adobe Premiere. The development landed the day after Adobe reported Q3 earnings, beating though its shares fell anyway in this tough competitive environment, down 11.5% in a week, 27.8% over a year, and 61.6% over five years.
Cramer’s Adobe Thesis, in His Own Words Cramer has been sounding the alarm on Adobe for months. On his June 16 show, he framed the stock as collateral damage in a broader AI displacement thesis: “Adobe’s been a house of pain, down more than 70% from its peak in 2021. In fact, it’s down more than 40% year to date. At these levels, the stock sells for just 8.5 times this midpoint of this year’s earnings forecast.”
He pinned the problem squarely on encroaching AI platforms: “Then, a couple of years ago we started hearing about all these new programs from the big AI platforms, programs that have gotten very good at writing custom software. Now this is really the root of the AI displacement thesis across the entire enterprise software edifice, and that includes Adobe.”
Gemini’s Scale Makes the Threat Credible The Avid deal is part of a broader pattern. Google’s Q2 FY2026 report showed Google Cloud revenue of $24.77 billion, up 82% year over year, with Gemini adoption reaching enterprise saturation. Google’s chief executive Sundar Pichai told investors:
“Gemini models now process 22 billion API tokens per minute and the Gemini App has 950 million monthly active users.”
He added that “nearly 90% of the Fortune 100” now use Gemini Enterprise, the same product being welded into Avid’s timeline.
What Editors Actually Get Avid surveyed 120 professional editors in Q2 2026 and found 79% already use AI in their workflows, with 87% saying the technology is most valuable when it frees up creative time. The integration delivers innovation like agentic editing via natural language prompts, semantic search that eliminates manual media logging, and connected newsroom-to-timeline workflows, attacking what the companies call the industry’s two biggest bottlenecks: media discovery and timeline organization.
Verdict for GOOGL Holders Alphabet trades at a trailing P/E of 16.7 with a $4.15 trillion market cap and 2026 CapEx guidance of $175 billion to $185 billion aimed at exactly this kind of enterprise land grab. Avid’s post-production niche is small on its own. As a proof point that Google Cloud can push Gemini into vertical creative software that Adobe once controlled uncontested, it fits the pattern Cramer flagged. Google Cloud backlog already sits at over $460 billion, and Hollywood’s editing bays are the newest end users.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Adobe oznámila výnosy 6,76 miliardy USD a EPS 4,62 USD, ale výhled výnosů na 4. čtvrtletí zaostal za očekáváním analytiků. Akcie v after-hours klesly téměř o 5 %.
The stock market's "show-me" mentality for artificial intelligence stocks -- rewarding companies with tangible results and punishing those that are heavy on expectation and promise -- claimed another victim Thursday.
Adobe (ADBE +2.40%) reported earnings after the close on Sept. 10, emphasizing user acquisition over its paid products. On top of that, fourth-quarter guidance fell short of analysts' expectations, sending the stock down nearly 5% in after-hours trading.
Adobe has managed to recover its losses on Friday morning and pull even. But investors are signaling their skepticism for Adobe stock even though it's showing strong growth in its AI products.
Let's see what happened.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Adobe is in a challenging spotAdobe is best known for its Creative Cloud suite of software, including Photoshop, Illustrator, and Premiere Pro. It's been tremendously popular with graphic artists and digital media professionals, and Adobe monetized the software through a subscription model.
But that was before the days of generative AI. Now, someone using one of the powerful AI engines such as ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, or Gemini can merely enter a prompt and, within seconds, receive an altered image or entirely new content.
Adobe's answer to this has been Adobe Firefly, its generative AI model that lets users interact with Photoshop and other products via text prompts. And it has embraced a freemium model that lets users use many of its products and AI features. That helps users new to Adobe try out its powerful software and get used to the ecosystem before they encounter paid features and higher usage limits.
Anil Chakravarthy, president of Adobe's customer experience orchestration business, who will become CEO on Dec. 1, discussed the strategy during the company's earnings call.
"One of the things we have obviously done is, for example, taken a portion of our traffic to make sure that we are sending them to the right place so we can acquire customers for, through the freemium funnel," he said. "And then we engage them and then increase the intensity of their use. And, obviously, at the right time, we will calibrate where we convert them into ARR (annualized recurring revenue). So that is the approach we have taken to make sure that we are really tapping into this large base of next-generation creators we can bring into the Adobe family."
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Adobe's earnings by the numbersThe company's freemium strategy has been very successful in bringing in new users. Monthly active users of the company's creative freemium products -- Firefly, Express, and web and mobile versions of Premiere, Photoshop, and Lightroom -- topped 100 million in the third quarter, up 70% from a year ago.
Overall revenue was $6.76 billion, up 13% from a year ago, and diluted earnings per share were $4.62. Adobe said its ARR was $27.50 billion, with AI-first ARR up more than 150% year over year.
Management issued fourth-quarter guidance that included revenue in the range of $6.8 billion to $6.85 billion, but the midpoint fell below analysts' expectations. For the full year, Adobe is expecting revenue in the range of $26.576 billion to $26.626 billion.
The outlook for AdobeI think Adobe's strategy of scaling engagement and monetizing later makes sense. It's the same strategy Mark Zuckerberg used when he launched Facebook, eventually turning the company into the social media powerhouse now known as Meta Platforms. And it's the strategy that Zuckerberg is continuing to follow now that he's investing heavily in AI -- provide a free product and get your customers hooked. Whether it's Meta's free personal AI assistants or Adobe's free access to Photoshop, the concept is the same.
But today's market is inclined to reward tangible successes from AI companies rather than potential. That's why Adobe stock will continue to tread water until the company can show more success in converting a healthy percentage of its freemium customers into paid subscribers.
Adobe klesá v premarketu po mírném překonání odhadů za 3. čtvrtletí a výhledu na 4. čtvrtletí v souladu s odhady. Trh řeší, zda rychlý růst AI přetaví v udržitelný opakovaný příjem.
Adobe ADBE is experiencing a significant drop in pre-market trading following a modest Q3 earnings beat and in-line Q4 guidance. Concerns persist regarding the company's ability to convert its rapid AI engagement into sustainable paid recurring revenue.
AI-first ending ARR surpassed $650 million, with the Firefly application and credit-pack ARR increasing by 40% sequentially. This growth reflects a rise in credit consumption, particularly in video, translating into recurring revenue. Notably, the Acrobat AI Assistant's monthly active users (MAU) doubled quarter-over-quarter, and the number of paid Adobe Brand Visibility customers also doubled. Creative freemium MAUs exceeded 100 million, marking over 70% year-over-year growth. Adobe has shifted its focus toward user acquisition while postponing Creative Cloud pricing changes. An analyst noted a decline in net new ARR of approximately 36-37% year-over-year, which management did not confirm or quantify. Total ending ARR reached $27.5 billion, reflecting an 11.2% increase year-over-year. However, the remaining performance obligation (RPO) of $22.16 billion slightly declined from Q2, with only 8% growth, while current RPO rose by 9%. Management attributed these trends to freemium investments and seasonal factors, anticipating a traditional Q4 enterprise boost to support its FY26 ARR target. Subscription revenue saw a 16% increase in Business Professionals and Consumers and a 13% rise in Creative and Marketing Professionals. Q3 operating cash flow hit a record $2.52 billion, with ADBE repurchasing around 9.5 million shares, leaving $24.55 billion under its April 2026 authorization. Q4 guidance anticipates a non-GAAP operating margin of approximately 44%. Anil Chakravarthy will take over as president and CEO on December 1, transitioning Shantanu Narayen to executive chair. Digital Media President David Wadhwani is departing, while Steve Day will remain interim CFO. ADBE also expects to finalize its acquisition of Topaz Labs, an AI image-and-video enhancement company, in Q4, with the November MAX event serving as a crucial product catalyst.The report highlights a growing gap between Adobe's rapidly expanding AI usage and the slower financial conversion of that engagement. While products like Firefly and the Acrobat AI Assistant are gaining traction, the decline in net new ARR and modest RPO growth leave investors seeking clearer evidence of Adobe's overall growth acceleration. The Q4 outlook hinges on seasonal enterprise closings, continued AI conversion, and new product launches to counteract freemium and deferred pricing challenges. A strong finish in ARR, improved RPO growth, and clearer AI pricing strategies would affirm Adobe's approach, while ongoing weaknesses in Creative or further delays in conversion could complicate FY27 growth expectations.
This stock alert was generated using automated technology and GuruFocus financial data to provide readers with timely and accurate market reporting. This content was reviewed by GuruFocus editorial team prior to publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].
Disclosures I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.
Adobe sice páté čtvrtletí po sobě překonala EPS a zvýšila celoroční výhled, přesto letos klesla o 28,94 %. Paul Chew z Phillip Securities vidí cílovou cenu 385 USD, asi o 55 % nad současnou úrovní.
Adobe keeps beating earnings and raising guidance, yet its stock has collapsed nearly 29% this year while one analyst holds a price target that implies a 55% surge. Something in the market's reaction does not add up, and the answer…
Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE | ADBE Price Prediction) trades at $248.83, while the average Wall Street price target sits at $277.02, implying roughly 11% upside. Phillip Securities analyst Paul Chew models the stock at $385, a gap of roughly 55% above current levels.
Adobe sits at the intersection of every debate investors are having about software: creative tools, marketing clouds, document workflows, and a generative AI franchise scaling fast. The company posted its fifth consecutive EPS beat and raised full-year guidance, yet shares keep sinking. That dislocation matters. Either the market is pricing in something the numbers hide, or sellers are giving long-term holders a rare entry.
Strong Earnings, Weak Stock Adobe fell 12.92% in the past week after reporting Q3 FY2026 results, capping a 28.9% year-to-date decline. Revenue of $6.76 billion grew 12.9% year over year and beat consensus. Non-GAAP EPS came in at $6.13.
The selloff trigger lay underneath the headline. RPO growth decelerated to 8% year over year and analysts flagged a 36% to 37% drop in net new ARR, which management attributed to a deliberate freemium push prioritizing user acquisition over near-term monetization. A CEO transition, with Shantanu Narayen handing the reins to Anil Chakravarthy, combined with AI-disruption fears tied to new OpenAI image tools, fueled the selloff. The S&P 500 slipped just 1.98% over the same week.
Bull Case: Three Pillars Chew anchors his $385 target to three pillars. First, Firefly and generative-credit consumption are driving structural ARPU expansion inside Creative Cloud Pro. AI-first ending ARR now exceeds $650 million and grew more than 150% year over year. Firefly ARR itself expanded 40% quarter over quarter.
Second, the freemium engine. Adobe reached more than 1 billion monthly active users, with creative freemium users surpassing 100 million and growing greater than 70% year over year. Chew views that funnel as a low-cost acquisition machine converting once users hit generative paywalls. Third, valuation. Adobe trades at a forward P/E of 9, roughly a 29% discount to enterprise software peers.
The broader analyst community is more cautious. Of 40 analysts covering the stock, 4 rate it Strong Buy, 8 Buy, 23 Hold, 4 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell. Forward EPS estimates ticked higher over the past 90 days, with FY26 consensus now at $24.41 versus $23.54 ninety days ago. Chew’s timeline is tied to Adobe MAX in November and how fast agentic and Firefly monetization converts freemium volume into ARR.
Peers Fell Less Enterprise software sold off together, but Adobe led lower. Salesforce (NYSE:CRM) trades at $243.11, down 8.1% for the week but only 7.79% year to date. Its average analyst target of $273.37 implies roughly 12% upside.
Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK) is the closest structural analog. Shares at $211.61 are down 28.51% year to date, yet the average analyst target of $315.37 implies roughly 49% upside. Consensus sees more room in Autodesk than in Adobe. Investors betting on the Adobe gap are siding with the bull outlier over the average analyst.
Setup and Catalysts Adobe trades at a trailing P/E of 15 and a forward P/E of 9, with a PEG of 0.63. Shares are off 28.94% over the past year, while the S&P 500 has advanced 16.19% over the same period.
The bull thesis holds if Firefly and generative-credit monetization keep compounding at triple-digit rates while the freemium base converts on schedule. Q4 execution, the November Adobe MAX event, and early wins from the incoming CEO are the catalysts to watch. The bear thesis strengthens if net new ARR keeps decelerating and RPO growth stalls in single digits, validating concerns that OpenAI, Canva, and native model providers are commoditizing Adobe’s creative moat.
The valuation, cash flow, and AI ARR trajectory frame an attractive risk-reward, but Chew’s $385 target requires a monetization inflection not yet visible in net new ARR. The consensus $277 case looks more grounded in current data, with $385 representing upside optionality tied to an execution inflection.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Adobe zvýšila výhled tržeb i zisku na fiskální rok 2026 a AI-first ending ARR přesáhl 650 milionů USD, meziročně o více než 150 %. Společnost zároveň ponechala cíl růstu ending ARR na 10,2 %.
Key Takeaways Adobe made agentic AI central to its strategy while prioritizing user acquisition over near-term pricing.Adobe's AI-first ending ARR topped $650 million, rising more than 150% year over year in the third quarter.Adobe raised fiscal 2026 revenue and earnings guidance while maintaining its 10.2% ending ARR growth target. Adobe Inc. (ADBE - Free Report) used its fiscal third-quarter 2026 earnings call to frame agentic AI as the next platform shift across creativity, productivity and customer experience, while prioritizing user acquisition over near-term pricing actions.
The call also marked a leadership handoff. Chairman and CEO Shantanu Narayen will become executive chair on Dec. 1, when Anil Chakravarthy, president of Customer Experience Orchestration, becomes president and CEO.
ADBE Clears Estimates as Strategy Shifts
Adobe posted non-GAAP diluted earnings of $6.13 per share, which outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.08. Revenues of $6.76 billion topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.69 billion.
Interim CFO Steve Day said ending ARR reached $27.50 billion, up 11.2% year over year. Customer-group subscription revenues rose 14% to $6.56 billion, while operating cash flow was a record $2.52 billion.
Chairman and CEO Narayen said AI-first ending ARR exceeded $650 million and grew more than 150% year over year. He highlighted more than 1 billion monthly active users across Adobe’s businesses.
Adobe Puts Agentic AI at the Center
Customer Experience Orchestration president Chakravarthy said Adobe aims to lead agentic software across creativity, productivity and customer experience. He emphasized interfaces that work through Adobe products or third-party environments, including ChatGPT, Claude and Copilot.
Chakravarthy said model flexibility, enterprise data and context, and customer value are core requirements. He cited CX Enterprise Coworker as an example of combining agents with Adobe’s experience platform.
Chakravarthy also said Adobe is building agentic capabilities on existing assets, including its PDF expertise and user base. Adobe plans to showcase more innovation at MAX in November.
ADBE Favors Freemium Before Pricing
Chakravarthy said Adobe is directing more users into freemium funnels, then using engagement and AI-usage signals to determine conversion into paid ARR. Creative freemium MAU topped 100 million and grew more than 70% year over year.
Firefly ending ARR across the app and credit packs rose 40% sequentially. Chairman and CEO Narayen said video usage and robust AI-credit consumption inside core Creative Cloud applications were helping drive activity.
In Q&A, Wolfe Research and Evercore ISI analysts pressed on deferred pricing and net new ARR. Narayen said user adoption mattered more than short-term pricing relief, while Chakravarthy tied the ARR pattern to routing more traffic into freemium.
Adobe Lifts Full-Year Guidance, Explains Q4 Outlook
Interim CFO Day raised fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to $26.576-$26.626 billion and non-GAAP earnings guidance to $24.45-$24.50 per share. Adobe maintained its 10.2% target for year-over-year ending ARR growth.
For the fiscal fourth quarter, Interim CFO Day guided revenues of $6.80-$6.85 billion and non-GAAP earnings of $6.30-$6.35 per share, assuming a non-GAAP operating margin of about 44%.
A Citi analyst asked why the full-year revenue increase did not fully match the third-quarter upside. Interim CFO Day said a fourth-quarter foreign-exchange headwind was the only incremental factor, with no underlying business change.
ADBE Addresses RPO and Monetization Questions
A Griffin Securities analyst pressed management on RPO growth of 8% and cRPO growth of 9%. Interim CFO Day said the pattern was consistent with ARR trends and Adobe’s greater freemium emphasis.
Interim CFO Day also said RPO and cRPO typically step up in the fourth quarter and remain relatively flat for the next three quarters. Management expects a seasonally strong enterprise finish.
A Piper Sandler analyst asked which AI pricing model Adobe expects to become primary. Chakravarthy said Adobe will tailor monetization to customer context and usage, including credits, premium tiers, per-seat pricing and usage-based contracts.
Adobe Enters the Transition With Q4 in Focus
Chakravarthy said his near-term priorities are executing the fiscal 2026 plan, preparing for MAX and building the leadership team before taking over as CEO.
Management’s closing emphasis was on expanding users, deepening AI engagement and converting engagement into durable revenue and ARR, alongside a strong enterprise finish.
Zacks Signals for ADBE
ADBE carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). Its Value Score is B, while its Growth, Momentum and VGM Scores are A, indicating stronger characteristics across those style dimensions. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Under the Zacks framework, Style Scores complement rather than override the Zacks Rank. The Rank therefore provides a less favorable near-term signal despite strong Style Scores and can change as analysts revise estimates after the just-reported results.
Adobe překonal odhady tržeb za třetí čtvrtletí, když vykázal 6,76 miliardy USD proti očekávaným 6,70 miliardy USD. Upravený zisk na akcii byl 6,13 USD, nad odhady 6,09 USD.
Adobe (ADBE.O) beat Wall Street estimates for third-quarter revenue on Thursday, as demand for its AI-integrated products and tools continued to grow.
The company reported revenue of $6.76 billion for the quarter, compared with analysts' average estimate of $6.70 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG.
Adjusted profit per share for the quarter came in at $6.13, above analysts' estimates of $6.09.
Adobe has been pushing AI across its creative and customer-experience products as it seeks to defend its position against newer rivals. AI-first annual recurring revenue grew more than 150% year over year in the third quarter.
Adobe has also undergone a series of leadership changes. The Photoshop maker named Anil Chakravarthy as its next CEO last week, with longtime chief executive Shantanu Narayen set to become executive chair on December 1.
Chakravarthy, an Adobe insider who has led its customer experience and worldwide field operations, will take charge as the company seeks to accelerate growth in the AI era.
The CEO transition follows the departure of CFO Dan Durn in June. Durn was replaced on an interim basis by Steve Day, a longtime Adobe finance executive, while David Wadhwani, president of Adobe's Creativity & Productivity business, is due to step down on September 27.
Adobe rozšiřuje Acrobat o AI nástroje pro tvorbu, úpravy a spolupráci; počet placených předplatitelů Acrobat AI Assistant meziročně vzrostl o více než 150 % a roční opakované tržby (ARR) se zhruba ztrojnásobily.
Key Takeaways Adobe is expanding Acrobat into AI-powered creation, editing, collaboration and document workflows.Acrobat AI Assistant paid MAUs rose more than 150%, while ARR grew about threefold year over year.Adobe uses its freemium funnel and search strategy to drive AI adoption, engagement and conversions. Adobe (ADBE - Free Report) is expanding Acrobat from a traditional PDF-reading and editing tool into an artificial intelligence (AI)-powered document productivity platform, strengthening its prospects across business professionals and consumers. The company’s Productivity Agent combines Acrobat’s document intelligence with Adobe Express’ AI-first creation capabilities, allowing users to understand, create and share information through conversational workflows. The expansion broadens ADBE’s productivity offering as Microsoft (MSFT - Free Report) and Alphabet (GOOGL - Free Report) continue to expand their AI capabilities across workplace productivity and document-related workflows. Adobe itself expects competition to intensify as generative and agentic AI expands into document productivity, understanding and AI-enabled workflows.
The Productivity Agent can transform documents into presentations, podcasts and social content, support conversational PDF editing and power sharing capabilities through PDF Spaces. Users can also create branded PDF Spaces with customizable AI assistants for sales prospecting, content marketing and research delivery. These capabilities expand Acrobat beyond basic document management into content consumption, creation and collaboration, increasing its relevance across a broader range of workplace tasks.
Growing adoption suggests that Adobe’s AI strategy is gaining traction. Acrobat and Express monthly active users (MAUs) increased from more than 700 million to more than 850 million year over year in the second quarter of fiscal 2026. Acrobat AI Assistant paid MAUs surged more than 150%, while lifetime AI users in Acrobat tripled. Acrobat AI Assistant annual recurring revenues (ARR) grew approximately threefold year over year. Business Professionals & Consumers subscription revenues reached $1.85 billion, rising 15% in constant currency, reflecting continued strength in Acrobat.
Adobe is leveraging Acrobat’s large freemium funnel to boost conversion opportunities. The company’s users span desktop Reader, Chrome and Microsoft Edge extensions and mobile devices. Adobe analyzes engagement across these free surfaces and introduces monetization opportunities around high-intent actions such as editing and redacting PDFs. The same conversion infrastructure is being extended to Acrobat AI Assistant, Express and Firefly.
AI is changing how customers discover document tools. Adobe noted that user intent increasingly begins with searches such as “summarize this PDF.” The company is using search engine optimization, search engine marketing and Semrush capabilities to direct more search traffic to Acrobat. Adobe.com traffic remains strong, while management believes friction-free onboarding can accelerate user acquisition, deepen engagement and increase customer lifetime value, though the strategy may weigh on near-term ARR.
ADBE Faces Tough CompetitionMicrosoft is intensifying competition with Adobe through Microsoft 365 Copilot, which now combines chat, Cowork, Autopilot and Code to support multistep, enterprise-wide workflows. Paid Copilot seats exceeded 30 million, with net seat additions more than doubling sequentially. Conversations per user nearly doubled year over year, while customers with more than 50,000 seats increased more than sevenfold. Microsoft is moving directly into PDF-centric workflows, with Copilot able to analyze PDFs and generate Power BI dashboards integrated across Fabric, OneLake, GitHub and Agent 365.
Alphabet is challenging Adobe through Gemini’s integration across Google Workspace and Google Cloud. Gemini Enterprise enables businesses to build agents, automate processes and connect enterprise systems, with nearly 90% of Fortune 100 companies using the platform. Gemini Flash supports high-quality summarization and content generation, capabilities that overlap with Acrobat’s document-understanding functionality. In the second quarter of fiscal 2026, the Gemini app reached 950 million MAUs, while AI Mode surpassed 1 billion MAUs, giving Google substantial distribution to capture document-related user intent before users enter Adobe’s Acrobat ecosystem.
ADBE’s Share Price Performance, Valuation & EstimatesShares of Adobe have declined 27.1% year to date against the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector’s 18.6% growth.
ADBE Stock’s Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
ADBE stock is trading at a discount, with a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 9.51 compared with the broader sector’s 20.73. Adobe has a Value Score of B.
ADBE’s Valuation
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Adobe’s earnings is currently pegged at $6.08 per share, unchanged over the past 30 days, suggesting 14.5% year-over-year growth.
Adobe dnes po uzavření trhu oznámí výsledky a trh sleduje hlavně výhled na AI-first ARR, který už meziročně vzrostl na více než 500 milionů USD. Akcie jsou letos dole o 29,17 %.
Live 5 updates · Last at 3:37pm ET Updates appear automatically.
By Thomas Richmond · Updated Sep 10, 3:37pm ET · Published Sep 10, 2:44pm ET
Live UpdatesNewest first
Support & resistance · chart through Thu, Sep 10 R2$274.28+9.5%R1$265.68+6.1%Now$250.40S1$241.23-3.7%S2$234.27-6.4% $251.77-0.5% below
$266.96-6.2% below
$190.12 – $370.86
Adobe goes into tonight's report sitting right on its 50-day average at $251.77, with the 200-day up at $266.96 acting as the ceiling any relief rally has to clear. A beat that pushes through $265.68 resistance would put that longer average in play, while a disappointment leaves $241.23 as the first shelf and $234.27 below it.
Put/call 1.13Puts dominant
CallsPuts
138.1%
Fri, Sep 11chain as of Wed, Sep 9
Friday expiry options are priced for a violent reaction, with at-the-money implied volatility at 138.1% around the $255 strike and a put wall of 1,848 contracts stacked at $250. The 1.13 put/call ratio says traders are leaning defensive into tonight's report, though positioning that one-sided just as often marks the spot where a beat forces the sharpest squeeze higher.
Open interest near the money · puts / calls $247.5117 / 18$2501.8k / 146$252.5393 / 24$255646 / 135$257.5524 / 242$260869 / 868
Thu, Sep 10After close
$6.09
$6.70B
Adobe has beaten on earnings five quarters running and the stock still fell 7.6% after the last one, so the bar tonight is the AI narrative. With a $98.5 billion market cap and a forward P/E multiple under 10x, guidance on AI-first ARR is what decides whether the discount closes or deepens.
What to watch
AI-first ARR growth beyond the $500 million-plus disclosed last quarterDigital Media net new ARR guidance for Q4Pricing and retention commentary after the $150 million FTC subscription settlementOperating margin trend as AI compute spending scales EPS surprise vs consensus Beat 5 of last 5 Q1 2025+2.2%Q2 2025+1.7%Q3 2025+2.5%Q4 2025+1.9%Q1 2026+3.2% Earnings-day stock move · last 3 reports Q3 2025-0.3%Q4 2025+2.1%Q1 2026-7.6%
Thu, Sep 10 Earnings call · after close
Analysts have pressed management on AI monetization and credit consumption on all four of the last calls, and it lands differently tonight: with the AI-first ARR question already on the table this afternoon, the answer on how much of that usage is actually being paid for is what sets the after-hours move. Creative Cloud pricing and seats has been the other constant thread, so any hedging there gets punished fast.
Analyst hot topics · last 4 calls Q2 25Q3 25Q4 25Q1 26
Adobe heads into tonight’s earnings at just 9.8x forward earnings as Wall Street continues to question whether generative AI will ultimately strengthen its business or disrupt it.
The company’s AI-first annual recurring revenue has already tripled year over year to more than $500 million, making continued growth in that business one of the biggest numbers to watch tonight.
At the same time, Adobe’s push toward freemium products could pressure near-term ARR as the company prioritizes acquiring a much larger base of AI-era users. Investors will be looking for evidence that those free users can eventually be converted into paying customers.
Prediction markets put the probability of an EPS beat at 93.5%, so simply clearing consensus may not be enough. With a new CEO framework, an interim CFO, and the first full quarter incorporating Semrush, Adobe’s outlook could be the most important part of the report tonight.
This article is updated throughout the trading day. Check back for more.
Full CoverageThe story so far
Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE | ADBE Price Prediction) is expected to report Q3 FY2026 earnings at 4:05 PM ET, with the earnings call scheduled for 5:00 PM ET. Shares sit at $247.98, down 29.17% YTD, and this is the first quarterly update since Adobe named its next CEO, Anil Chakravarthy.
Sentiment Sours as Freemium Pivot Reshapes the Model Q2 FY26 delivered record revenue of $6.62 billion, up 13% YoY, with non-GAAP EPS of $5.96 and total ARR of $27.10 billion. Management framed a decisive strategy shift: accelerate MAU acquisition through freemium Firefly and Express experiences, and defer previously planned Creative Cloud line optimizations. Adobe conceded the move “will come at the cost of short-term ARR” to build long-term lifetime value.
Meanwhile, Semrush contributed roughly $480 million to ARR post-close, and CFO Dan Durn departed June 15, 2026, with Steve Day serving as interim CFO.
Consensus Estimates Metric Q3 FY26 Estimate YoY Change FY26 Estimate FY27 Estimate Revenue $6.70B +11.9% $26.54B $28.93B EPS (Non-GAAP) $6.0866 +14.6% $24.41 $27.50 The Street sits right inside Adobe’s own $6.67B to $6.72B revenue and $6.05 to $6.10 non-GAAP EPS guide. Revisions have been flat, with zero upward and zero downward EPS revisions in the trailing 30 days, suggesting analysts are anchored to management’s framework rather than reaching.
What I’m Watching Tonight: Freemium Payoff, AI Traction, and a Leadership Vacuum Tonight, I’ll be primarily focused on four watchpoints. First, the freemium ramp. Adobe cited that Adobe.com traffic is up over 40% YoY and creative freemium MAU is up over 70% YoY to more than 90 million. I’ll be watching whether Q3 shows those users converting or if the ARR drag deepens.
Second, AI monetization. Firefly ARR grew roughly 50% quarter over quarter, approaching $300 million, and Creative Agent now sits inside ChatGPT and Claude.
Third, Semrush contribution. Management guided to roughly $280 million in FY26 Creative and Marketing Professionals subscription revenue from Semrush. Q3 is the first full-quarter read.
Fourth, credibility of the interim executive team. With CFO Durn out and Steve Day at the helm, tone on margins (guided at ~44% non-GAAP operating margin) and capital return ($27 billion buyback authorization remaining) matters.
Earnings History Quarter EPS Surprise 1-Day Move 7-Day Move 30-Day Move Q2 FY26 n/a -6.76% -4.47% +15.34% Q1 FY26 +3.18% -7.58% -0.47% -1.87% Q4 FY25 +1.90% +2.13% +1.54% -13.12% Q3 FY25 +2.48% -0.34% +4.73% -3.84% On average, shares moved +0.25% seven days after earnings over the past year.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Thomas Richmond
Thomas Richmond is a financial writer and content strategist with 5+ years of experience covering stocks and financial markets. He has published over 250 articles focused on individual stock analysis, helping investors better understand business fundamentals, stock valuations, and long-term opportunities.
Thomas previously served as a Content Lead at TIKR, a stock research platform, where he helped scale the company’s blog to hundreds of articles per month and contributed to a weekly newsletter reaching more than 100,000 investors.
He specializes in breaking down complex companies into clear, actionable insights for everyday investors, with a focus on fundamentals-driven research.
His work has also been featured on platforms including Seeking Alpha and Sure Dividend.
Outside of work, Thomas enjoys weight lifting and soccer.
Adobe čeká na výsledky za 3. čtvrtletí, protože investoři chtějí po sérii slabých reakcí na hospodaření změnit příběh kolem AI a růstu. Akcie jsou letos v mínusu 23,3 %.
Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE) looks to give investors a reason for a share rebound when it reports third-quarter financial results Thursday after market close.
Here are the earnings estimates, what experts are saying ahead of the report, and key items to watch.
Adobe Q3 Earnings EstimatesAnalysts expect Adobe to report third-quarter revenue of $6.69 billion, up from $5.99 billion in last year’s third quarter, according to data from Benzinga Pro.
The company beat analyst estimates for revenue in six straight quarters and in nine of the last 10 quarters overall.
Analysts expect Adobe to report third-quarter earnings per share of $6.09, up from $5.31 in last year’s third quarter.
The company has beaten analyst estimates for earnings per share in six straight quarters and in nine of the last 10 quarters overall.
Read Next
What Experts are SayingFreedom Capital Markets Chief Market Strategist Jay Woods cautions that Adobe shares have struggled after recent earnings.
"They have only traded higher twice out of [their] last 12 quarterly reports. The average move has been +/- 5.6%," Woods wrote in a weekly newsletter.
Adobe stock is down 23% year-to-date, and as Woods points out, the stock is down 70% from its March 2024 three-year high.
Woods also highlights that Adobe has lost its Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer in the last six months, recently naming a CEO replacement.
"When they report, they don’t just need an earnings beat, they need to change the narrative, as Wall Street continues to question whether AI is an opportunity or an existential threat to its future growth."
Woods said investors "need a reason to believe again."
Looking at the technicals for Adobe stock, Woods says the "upside appears far greater."
"Risk/reward definitely skews to taking a shot at that upside potential."
Here are recent analyst ratings on Adobe stock and their price targets:
Stifel: Maintained Hold rating, raised price target from $200 to $225 Barclays: Maintained Equal-Weight rating, raised price target from $250 to $295 RBC Capital: Maintained Outperform rating, raised price target from $285 to $315 Citigroup: Maintained Neutral rating, raised price target from $228 to $301 Key Items to WatchAdobe recently named Anil Chakravarthy as its new CEO effective Dec. 1. Chakravarthy currently leads Adobe’s Customer Experience business. The new CEO is said to have the experience to lead Adobe in the AI-driven era.
Chakravarthy has been with Adobe since 2020. Before that, he served as CEO of Informatica for four years. Past work experience also includes roles at Symantec, VeriSign and McKinsey & Co.
News of Chakravarthy’s hiring as CEO didn’t excite investors, with Woods writing that the stock sold off 6.7% on the news.
Adobe’s second-quarter results showed revenue up 13% year over year and total annualized recurring revenue tripling year over year.
The company also reported $22.27 billion in remaining performance obligations at the end of the second quarter. Investors and analysts will be looking for that figure to grow in the new quarter.
With concerns of AI replacing Adobe products, investors and analysts will also be looking for commentary on "AI-driven demand." The company cited strong AI-driven demand in the second quarter, leading to higher full-year guidance.
A beat and a raise are likely the minimum to excite investors about the future, given concerns over AI and the company’s management turnover.
Adobe Stock Price ActionAdobe stock is down 0.6% to $255.65 on Wednesday versus a 52-week trading range of $190.12 to $370.86. Adobe stock is down 23.3% year-to-date in 2026.
Adobe čeká výsledky za 3. čtvrtletí a investoři sledují, zda AI a Firefly přinesou vyšší monetizaci. Akcie jsou před reportem o 26 % níže od začátku roku.
Noted software company Adobe (ADBE -3.47%), maker of creative software tools such as Photoshop, Illustrator, and Premiere Pro, faces a critical week as it prepares its third-quarter earnings report after the market closes Sept. 10.
Adobe is at a crossroads as artificial intelligence reshapes the landscape of its business. Will AI's threat to traditional creative tools continue to weigh on the stock, or can Adobe make up some of the ground with its Firefly generative AI tools?
After a roller-coaster start to the year, Adobe stock is down 26% heading into earnings. Here's what investors should be looking for when Adobe steps up to the podium.
Image source: Getty Images.
About Adobe stockAdobe, which is based in San Jose, California, is a leading software company that derives much of its revenue from subscriptions to its flagship Creative Cloud ecosystem. The company's digital media business works with small businesses to create content for smartphones, e-readers, and other devices, and its target customers have been content creators, web designers, and digital media professionals.
The challenge for Adobe has been the rise of artificial intelligence, particularly generative AI tools. Before AI, a graphic designer would use Adobe's powerful media tools to change the background of an image, remove or add content, or otherwise manipulate the image. But generative AI has changed the landscape -- now anyone can enter a detailed prompt into one of many powerful AI engines to alter images or create entirely new content.
Warning flags for Adobe stock began flashing in early 2024, when the company issued weaker-than-expected guidance for the second quarter. The stock fell 11% in a single day, and investors began questioning if generative AI tools, such as OpenAI's Sora, would compete with and eventually surpass Adobe's software.
Meanwhile, companies such as Figma and Canva are threatening to cut into Adobe's market share. Canva now has more than 260 million users, and is particularly popular in classrooms. Figma has an estimated 13 million users, most of whom are outside the U.S.
Adobe's solution is FireflyOne of the best ways to combat an AI product is to develop your own, and that's what Adobe has done with Firefly -- a generative AI model that allows users to create graphics, images, and text effects from written prompts. Adobe incorporated Firefly into its Creative Cloud apps, such as Illustrator and Photoshop.
But the stock continued to fall as analysts criticized the company for focusing too heavily on Firefly adoption rather than generating meaningful revenue from the product.
ADBE data by YCharts
Time may prove that Adobe had the right strategy, however. The company reported AI-first annualized recurring revenue (ARR) of $500 million in the second quarter, tripling year over year. "We believe now is the time to aggressively acquire the next generation of Adobe loyalists," CEO Shantanu Narayen told analysts in June.
Overall, Adobe reported revenue of $6.62 billion in the second quarter, up 13%, and total ARR of $27.10 billion, including about $480 from the company's recent acquisition of Semrush. Diluted earnings per share were $4.25 on a GAAP basis.
Premium Feature
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What should investors look for in Adobe's earnings on Sept. 10?Adobe is walking a narrow line. Analysts want to see greater monetization from AI, but management knows it needs to offer a freemium product to entice new users to try its platform rather than using Claude, OpenAI, Grok, or another service.
"The proliferation of media generation models is reshaping and democratizing content workflows from ideation through delivery," Narayen said. "AI-first applications that will serve broader audiences need to provide free, intuitive onboarding that drives usage and monetization through paywalls. Big picture, the immediate opportunity for Adobe is to accelerate new user acquisition and lifetime value through a freemium offering."
A successful quarter means threading the needle: Adobe shows substantial growth in its AI business while also increasing engagement through its freemium products. And it needs to do so while undergoing a major C-suite transition -- Narayen announced in March that he would step down this year, and Anil Chakravarthy, president of Adobe's customer experience orchestration business, will become CEO on Dec. 1 as Narayen becomes executive chair. Adobe is also looking for a new chief financial officer, as Dan Durn moved to Marvell Technology in June.
While I believe in Adobe's strategy, today's stock market is very much driven by a "show-me" mentality that rewards results over long-term planning and potential. For that reason, I'm expecting Adobe stock to slip after its earnings report on Sept. 10.
Adobe jmenovalo Anila Chakravarthyho novým CEO s nástupem 1. prosince; Shantanu Narayen přejde do role výkonného předsedy. Akcie po oznámení klesly o 6,7 %.
Adobe (ADBE -6.73%) has picked its next CEO. The company said on Sept. 3 that Anil Chakravarthy, the insider who runs its customer experience orchestration business, will become president and CEO on Dec. 1.
Shantanu Narayen, who has run Adobe since 2007, will move to executive chair the same day. The news landed after the market closed, and shares fell 6.7% the next day to $266.51 as of this writing -- about 28% below the stock's 52-week high.
A change at the top is rare here: Adobe has handed the CEO job over exactly once in the past 19 years. Bruce Chizen resigned as CEO as of Nov. 30, 2007, and Narayen (then Adobe's president and chief operating officer) took over the next day.
Chakravarthy steps in 19 years later to the day.
Here's what the stock did after that first handover.
Image source: Getty Images.
The last handover came at a terrible timeThe Adobe that Chizen passed along was thriving. Fiscal 2007 revenue rose 23% year over year to about $3.2 billion, and net income climbed 43% to about $724 million.
But the business ran on software licenses back then. Customers bought Creative Suite and Acrobat outright, and revenue depended on their appetite for the next upgrade.
That appetite was about to vanish. Narayen's first trading day as CEO ended with the stock at about $42.
Twelve months later, shares closed at $21, a loss of about half. They went on to trade below $16 by March 2009. Two full years after the handover, the stock still sat around $36, down about 15%.
Was the new CEO the problem?Narayen had little to do with that first-year collapse, in my view. After all, the Great Recession began in December 2007, the very month he took over. The S&P 500 (^GSPC -0.38%) itself lost about 45% during his first 12 months.
Adobe's business model made a bad stretch worse. When corporate budgets froze, customers skipped the upgrade, and the damage showed up on a delay. Revenue growth decelerated to 13% in fiscal 2008. Then revenue fell 18% in fiscal 2009 to about $2.9 billion, and net income dropped by more than half that year.
Zooming out makes the same point. From about $42 at the handover, shares have gained more than 500% over Narayen's nearly 19 years. And the company he hands over is targeting $26.5 billion to $26.6 billion of revenue this fiscal year -- more than eight times fiscal 2007's total.
The next CEO starts in a better spotThe differences this time mostly favor the incoming CEO. Narayen isn't leaving. Chizen, by contrast, exited the top job and stayed on as a strategic advisor for a year.
Narayen also telegraphed the change back in March, saying he would step down once the board picked a successor. And Chakravarthy, for his part, ran Informatica as its CEO from 2015 to 2020 before joining Adobe.
The business is arguably stronger, too.
Chakravarthy takes over $27.1 billion of annualized recurring revenue. In Adobe's fiscal second quarter of 2026, which ended May 29, revenue grew 13% year over year, reaching a record $6.62 billion. Management raised its full-year targets in June.
Another recession could still hurt. But subscription revenue doesn't vanish the way skipped upgrades did in 2008.
Not everything favors him, though. Friday's sell-off wasn't only about who got the job. David Wadhwani, who ran Adobe's creativity and productivity business and was reportedly a contender for the job, is leaving the company.
And the worry that artificial intelligence will disrupt software makers, which has weighed on the stock since 2024, hasn't gone anywhere. Narayen, not Chakravarthy, will still be CEO for Thursday's fiscal third-quarter report, due Sept. 10.
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Ultimately, I think this record says more about entry prices than about new CEOs. Investors who bought shares on Narayen's first trading day as CEO paid about 26 times adjusted earnings for the fiscal year that had just ended, right as a recession was starting. Today, shares sell for about 9.5 times the fiscal 2027 earnings that analysts project, even though revenue is still growing at a double-digit rate.
Of course, Chakravarthy could still stumble, and the executive departures add uncertainty. But the last handover suggests the first year gets decided by the economy and the starting valuation, not the new CEO.
I wouldn't sell Adobe over this transition. If anything, at this price, I'd rather buy than sell.
Amundi ve 2. čtvrtletí zvýšila podíl v Adobe o 11 % na 5 242 464 akcií v hodnotě 1,07 miliardy USD. Amundi nyní drží přibližně 1,32 % akcií Adobe. Institucionální investoři nyní drží 81,79 % akcií.
Amundi grew its position in Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE – Free Report) by 11.0% in the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The firm owned 5,242,464 shares of the software company’s stock after acquiring an additional 518,362 shares during the period. Amundi owned about 1.32% of Adobe worth $1,074,810,000 at the end of the most recent quarter.
Several other hedge funds and other institutional investors also recently made changes to their positions in ADBE. SWAN Capital LLC lifted its position in Adobe by 43.1% during the third quarter. SWAN Capital LLC now owns 103 shares of the software company’s stock worth $36,000 after acquiring an additional 31 shares during the last quarter. Logan Capital Management Inc. lifted its holdings in shares of Adobe by 0.3% during the third quarter. Logan Capital Management Inc. now owns 9,789 shares of the software company’s stock worth $3,453,000 after buying an additional 32 shares in the last quarter. Vista Capital Partners Inc. boosted its position in shares of Adobe by 5.8% in the second quarter. Vista Capital Partners Inc. now owns 624 shares of the software company’s stock valued at $241,000 after acquiring an additional 34 shares during the period. Murphy & Mullick Capital Management Corp boosted its position in shares of Adobe by 5.1% in the fourth quarter. Murphy & Mullick Capital Management Corp now owns 827 shares of the software company’s stock valued at $289,000 after acquiring an additional 40 shares during the period. Finally, Front Street Capital Management Inc. grew its stake in shares of Adobe by 8.2% in the second quarter. Front Street Capital Management Inc. now owns 541 shares of the software company’s stock valued at $209,000 after acquiring an additional 41 shares in the last quarter. 81.79% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth Several brokerages have weighed in on ADBE. Piper Sandler dropped their price objective on shares of Adobe from $280.00 to $240.00 and set a “neutral” rating for the company in a research note on Friday, June 12th. BMO Capital Markets decreased their target price on shares of Adobe from $285.00 to $230.00 and set a “market perform” rating on the stock in a research report on Friday, June 12th. Weiss Ratings raised shares of Adobe from a “sell (d)” rating to a “sell (d+)” rating in a report on Tuesday, September 1st. Citizens Jmp reiterated a “market perform” rating on shares of Adobe in a research report on Friday, June 12th. Finally, Evercore set a $225.00 price target on Adobe and gave the company an “in-line” rating in a research note on Friday, June 12th. Seven equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, twenty-one have given a Hold rating and five have assigned a Sell rating to the stock. According to MarketBeat, the company has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $278.72.
Read Our Latest Report on ADBE Adobe Stock Performance Shares of Adobe stock opened at $266.51 on Monday. The company has a 50 day moving average of $249.19 and a 200-day moving average of $245.68. Adobe Inc. has a 1-year low of $190.12 and a 1-year high of $370.86. The company has a current ratio of 0.75, a quick ratio of 0.75 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42. The company has a market cap of $105.94 billion, a PE ratio of 15.25, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 0.93 and a beta of 1.42.
Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE – Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings results on Thursday, June 11th. The software company reported $5.96 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $5.82 by $0.14. Adobe had a net margin of 28.69% and a return on equity of 65.11%. The business had revenue of $6.62 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $6.45 billion. During the same quarter last year, the business posted $5.06 EPS. The firm’s revenue for the quarter was up 12.7% on a year-over-year basis. Adobe has set its FY 2026 guidance at 24.350-24.450 EPS and its Q3 2026 guidance at 6.050-6.100 EPS. As a group, equities research analysts forecast that Adobe Inc. will post 19.81 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
Key Stories Impacting Adobe Here are the key news stories impacting Adobe this week:
Positive Sentiment: Adobe raised Anil Chakravarthy, president of its Customer Experience Orchestration business and worldwide field operations, to president and CEO effective December 1. Chakravarthy has overseen several AI products, while longtime CEO Shantanu Narayen will become executive chair, potentially supporting continuity as Adobe accelerates its AI strategy. Adobe Announces CEO Transition Positive Sentiment: RBC raised its price target to $315 from $285 and maintained an Outperform rating ahead of Adobe’s fiscal third-quarter results, citing the potential for annual recurring revenue to exceed expectations. Adobe reports on September 10, making recurring-revenue growth a key near-term catalyst. RBC Raises Adobe Price Target Positive Sentiment: Adobe expanded its AI and marketing ecosystem by acquiring Indian startup Rilo and integrating more than 70 creative tools—including Photoshop, Firefly and Acrobat—into Slack. These initiatives could improve workflow integration and strengthen enterprise adoption. Adobe Launches Slack App Neutral Sentiment: Analysts remain divided ahead of earnings: some see valuation upside if ARR reaccelerates, while others maintain Hold ratings because Adobe must demonstrate that its AI investments can revive growth and support a higher multiple. Negative Sentiment: The CEO announcement surprised investors because it came shortly before earnings and selected Chakravarthy rather than another business leader some investors reportedly expected. Reports also pointed to a separate executive departure, raising concerns about further leadership turnover. Why Adobe Stock Is Dropping Negative Sentiment: Adobe continues to face fears that AI-native rivals and new tools from major technology companies could pressure its creative-software franchise, user growth and pricing power. Stronger employment data also increased expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve, weighing on software and other growth stocks broadly. U.S. Stocks End Lower Insider Activity In other news, CAO Jillian Forusz sold 416 shares of the stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, July 29th. The shares were sold at an average price of $264.33, for a total value of $109,961.28. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief accounting officer owned 3,824 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $1,010,797.92. This represents a 9.81% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through the SEC website. Also, Director David Ricks purchased 10,000 shares of Adobe stock in a transaction dated Thursday, June 25th. The stock was bought at an average price of $194.51 per share, for a total transaction of $1,945,100.00. Following the completion of the purchase, the director owned 17,655 shares in the company, valued at $3,434,074.05. This represents a 130.63% increase in their position. Additional details regarding this purchase are available in the official SEC disclosure. 0.20% of the stock is currently owned by insiders.
Adobe Company Profile (Free Report)
Adobe Inc, founded in 1982 by John Warnock and Charles Geschke and headquartered in San Jose, California, is a global software company that develops tools and services for creative professionals, marketers and enterprises. Under the leadership of CEO Shantanu Narayen, who has led the company since 2007, Adobe has evolved from a provider of desktop publishing tools into a cloud-centric provider of digital media and digital experience solutions.
The company’s core offerings are organized around digital media and digital experience.
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Adobe jmenoval Anila Chakravarthyho novým CEO s nástupem 1. prosince; nahradí Shantanu Narayena. Akcie Adobe v obchodování po uzavření trhu klesly asi o 2 %.
Adobe on Thursday named Anil Chakravarthy as its next CEO, succeeding Shantanu Narayen, who announced he would step down earlier this year.
Chakravarthy, who most recently served as president of Adobe's customer experience orchestration and worldwide field operations, will take the helm Dec. 1, the company said. He will also join Adobe's board.
Narayen will become executive chair and "work closely" with Chakravarthy during the transition, Adobe said. Narayen said last March he would leave his role after joining the company in 1998 and serving as the head of Adobe for 18 years.
"Adobe's opportunity ahead is limitless with our track record in creating new market vategories and world-class products," Narayen said in a statement. "Anil is an experienced transformational leader who leads with values, integrity and a deep knowledge of our business."
Shares of Adobe fell about 2% in extended trading.
This is breaking news. Please refresh for updates.
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Adobe zpřístupňuje své aplikace přímo ve Slacku přes Slackbot a Adobe for Slack MCP app. Integrace bude při spuštění dostupná týmům Slack Business+ a Enterprise+.
Customers can now use Adobe’s apps like Firefly, Adobe Express, Photoshop, Premiere, Acrobat, InDesign, Illustrator, Stock, Lightroom, and others directly with Slack’s AI chatbot, Slackbot, Adobe announced on Monday. In addition, more than 70 Adobe tools will become available in Slack through the Adobe for Slack MCP app.
With the Slackbot integration, users will be able to describe what they want to do, and the bot will call the right Adobe tool to complete the task. Adobe said that while calling its tools, Slackbot also takes in the context of the conversations. For instance, users can get information from conversations or Canvas and turn it into PDFs, images, and videos. They can also bring in assets from previous campaigns or the Creative Cloud asset library into a chat and edit them.
At launch, this integration will be available to Slack Business+ and Enterprise+ teams.
While productivity and creative companies have been busy adding AI features into their tools, most people still work in conversational boxes. This pushes the tool providers to make their features available through services like ChatGPT, Claude, and Slack.
Last month, Adobe introduced a similar integration for ChatGPT and is planning to launch a Gemini integration soon. Deepti Pradeep, Senior Director for Agentic AI at Adobe, told TechCrunch over email that people are using the company’s tool in other apps for repeatable workflows like batch-editing images or resizing creatives without leaving the app.
“In focus groups, people talked about the value they get from this experience very clearly: saving time, getting to the outcome they want faster without having to micromanage every step, being able to access Adobe wherever they’re already working. That’s been interesting for us because it’s pushed us to think less about individual edits and more about the larger outcome someone is trying to get to,” Pradeep said.
Other creative tools like Canva and Figma are also making their capabilities available in chatbots like ChatGPT and Claude. On the other hand, companies like Anthropic are releasing tighter integrations in Slack, because team context is often captured through those conversations.
Pradeep said that consumers having choices between tools is a good thing, but Adobe has the advantage of providing both creative and productive tools across different modalities.
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Ivan covers global consumer tech developments at TechCrunch. He is based out of India and has previously worked at publications including Huffington Post and The Next Web.
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Adobe koupila indický startup Rilo zaměřený na marketingovou inteligenci a automatizaci workflow. Součástí transakce je i šestičlenný tým; podmínky nebyly zveřejněny.
Adobe has acquired India-based marketing intelligence startup Rilo in a deal involving licensing and team acquisition, TechCrunch learned and the company confirmed. This is Adobe’s second acquisition from India after it bought video platform Rephrase.ai in 2023. The companies didn’t disclose the deal’s terms.
Beyond confirming the deal, Adobe declined to comment.
The acquisition gives Adobe a small team and technology focused on automating marketing workflows, which have been changing as companies use AI to build tools to automate the creation, deployment, and tracking of campaigns, get action items from meetings or calls to complete tasks, and increase brand visibility on platforms like ChatGPT, Gemini, and Claude. Rilo’s technology could bolster Adobe’s existing products as the company targets its larger customers.
Founded by IIT batchmates Georgi Boby and Dhruv Jaglan in 2025, Rilo raised $1 million from investors including Peak XV, DeVC, and Day Zero Ventures at a $10 million valuation. A source told TechCrunch that investors will get an exit from this deal, and Adobe will integrate some of Rilo’s IP along with the six-member team.
The company worked on letting go-to-market teams create custom workflows, including competitor intelligence, content repurposing and distribution, and sales call analysis. It also allowed teams to set up custom workflows comparable to tools like Claude Cowork and ChatGPT Work.
Post-acquisition, Rilo will shut down and won’t be available to its customers.
Rilo co-founders Dhruv Jaglan and Georgi BobyImage Credits:Rilo “We’re very excited that Rilo has been acquired by Adobe in such a short span of time,” Rahul Gupta, managing partner, Day Zero Ventures told TechCrunch over email. “Their workflow builder product was way ahead of the curve and shall be extremely valuable to a giant like Adobe in enhancing customer experience and productivity.”
Adobe made a marquee marketing acquisition last year by buying SEO optimization company Semrush for $1.9 billion.
DeVC’s Rahul Mathur told TechCrunch that Rilo could fit into Adobe’s CX and marketing suite to handle complex workflows and give customers visibility into actions they take on the creative company’s platform.
Rivals like Canva have also bolstered their marketing portfolio with acquisitions and new launches. Meanwhile, Amazon, Google, and Meta have built their own AI-powered marketing rails.
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Ivan covers global consumer tech developments at TechCrunch. He is based out of India and has previously worked at publications including Huffington Post and The Next Web.
You can contact or verify outreach from Ivan by emailing [email protected] or via encrypted message at ivan.42 on Signal.
Connor Clark & Lunn Investment Management ve 2. čtvrtletí nově nakoupila 3 545 akcií Adobe za zhruba 727 000 USD. Adobe zároveň oznámila, že tržby za čtvrtletí vzrostly meziročně o 12,7 %.
Connor Clark & Lunn Investment Management Ltd. acquired a new stake in Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE – Free Report) in the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the SEC. The institutional investor acquired 3,545 shares of the software company’s stock, valued at approximately $727,000.
A number of other hedge funds and other institutional investors also recently made changes to their positions in ADBE. Brighton Jones LLC raised its stake in Adobe by 2.1% during the fourth quarter. Brighton Jones LLC now owns 8,068 shares of the software company’s stock worth $3,588,000 after acquiring an additional 167 shares in the last quarter. Sivia Capital Partners LLC lifted its holdings in Adobe by 25.5% during the 2nd quarter. Sivia Capital Partners LLC now owns 2,394 shares of the software company’s stock valued at $926,000 after purchasing an additional 486 shares during the last quarter. United Bank boosted its position in Adobe by 12.8% in the second quarter. United Bank now owns 3,773 shares of the software company’s stock valued at $1,460,000 after buying an additional 428 shares in the last quarter. Schnieders Capital Management LLC. increased its holdings in shares of Adobe by 7.8% during the second quarter. Schnieders Capital Management LLC. now owns 2,630 shares of the software company’s stock worth $1,017,000 after buying an additional 190 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Gamco Investors INC. ET AL raised its stake in shares of Adobe by 190.6% in the second quarter. Gamco Investors INC. ET AL now owns 2,764 shares of the software company’s stock valued at $1,069,000 after acquiring an additional 1,813 shares during the last quarter. 81.79% of the stock is owned by institutional investors.
Adobe News Roundup Here are the key news stories impacting Adobe this week:
Positive Sentiment: Adobe’s AI-driven customer-experience business is gaining momentum, with accelerating AI-first annual recurring revenue, broader adoption of AI agents and deeper ecosystem partnerships. The trend supports Adobe’s ability to compete with Salesforce and Microsoft in enterprise software. Adobe’s AI-Driven CXO Growth Strengthens Against CRM & Microsoft Positive Sentiment: Improving sentiment toward software stocks is also supportive. Recent earnings from major software companies have suggested that AI is expanding demand rather than rapidly eroding traditional software businesses, easing “SaaSpocalypse” concerns that had pressured the sector. The SaaSpocalypse Trade Is Cracking Neutral Sentiment: Adobe expanded its partnership with Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Communications and Information Technology and HUMAIN. The agreement provides more than 27 million eligible citizens and residents with 12 months of free access to Firefly and Adobe Express, representing over $4 billion in stated access value. The initiative could increase long-term adoption and support Saudi Arabia’s creative economy, although free access may delay near-term monetization. Adobe to Offer Free Access to AI Tools in Saudi Arabia Neutral Sentiment: Adobe will release fiscal third-quarter 2026 results after the market closes on September 10, followed by an investor conference call. The report is a major near-term catalyst, with options markets implying substantial potential volatility around earnings. Adobe to Announce Q3 FY2026 Earnings Results Negative Sentiment: Analysts remain cautious because Adobe has significantly lagged the S&P 500 over the past year, and the upcoming earnings report must demonstrate that AI-related growth can translate into sustained revenue and subscription expansion. Is Adobe Stock Underperforming the S&P 500? Insider Buying and Selling In other news, Director David A. Ricks bought 10,000 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction dated Thursday, June 25th. The shares were bought at an average price of $194.51 per share, with a total value of $1,945,100.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the director owned 17,655 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $3,434,074.05. This trade represents a 130.63% increase in their ownership of the stock. The purchase was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which is accessible through the SEC website. Also, CAO Jillian Forusz sold 416 shares of the stock in a transaction on Wednesday, July 29th. The stock was sold at an average price of $264.33, for a total value of $109,961.28. Following the transaction, the chief accounting officer owned 3,824 shares in the company, valued at $1,010,797.92. The trade was a 9.81% decrease in their position. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. Company insiders own 0.20% of the company’s stock. Analysts Set New Price Targets Several research analysts recently issued reports on ADBE shares. Dbs Bank downgraded shares of Adobe from a “moderate buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research report on Tuesday, May 19th. Royal Bank Of Canada lowered their price target on shares of Adobe from $350.00 to $285.00 and set an “outperform” rating for the company in a report on Monday, June 8th. Oppenheimer reiterated a “market perform” rating on shares of Adobe in a research report on Friday, June 12th. Freedom Capital cut Adobe from a “strong-buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Friday, June 12th. Finally, Weiss Ratings downgraded Adobe from a “sell (d+)” rating to a “sell (d)” rating in a research report on Monday, August 17th. Seven investment analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, twenty-one have given a Hold rating and five have given a Sell rating to the stock. According to MarketBeat, Adobe currently has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of $272.80.
Get Our Latest Stock Report on Adobe
Adobe Stock Performance Shares of ADBE opened at $292.79 on Tuesday. The firm has a market cap of $116.38 billion, a P/E ratio of 16.75, a PEG ratio of 0.98 and a beta of 1.40. Adobe Inc. has a twelve month low of $190.12 and a twelve month high of $370.86. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42, a quick ratio of 0.75 and a current ratio of 0.75. The firm’s 50 day moving average price is $242.63 and its two-hundred day moving average price is $245.19.
Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE – Get Free Report) last released its earnings results on Thursday, June 11th. The software company reported $5.96 EPS for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $5.82 by $0.14. The firm had revenue of $6.62 billion for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $6.45 billion. Adobe had a return on equity of 65.11% and a net margin of 28.69%.The business’s quarterly revenue was up 12.7% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the previous year, the business posted $5.06 EPS. Adobe has set its FY 2026 guidance at 24.350-24.450 EPS and its Q3 2026 guidance at 6.050-6.100 EPS. On average, analysts forecast that Adobe Inc. will post 19.81 EPS for the current fiscal year.
About Adobe (Free Report)
Adobe Inc, founded in 1982 by John Warnock and Charles Geschke and headquartered in San Jose, California, is a global software company that develops tools and services for creative professionals, marketers and enterprises. Under the leadership of CEO Shantanu Narayen, who has led the company since 2007, Adobe has evolved from a provider of desktop publishing tools into a cloud-centric provider of digital media and digital experience solutions.
The company’s core offerings are organized around digital media and digital experience.
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Adobe hlásí, že AI-first ARR v CXO ve 2. čtvrtletí fiskálního roku 2026 meziročně vzrostl čtyřnásobně. Více než 80 % zákazníků AEP a AEM už používá agentické funkce.
Key Takeaways Adobe's CXO portfolio gains traction as enterprises adopt AI-driven marketing tools.ADBE's CXO AI-first ARR surged fourfold year over year in second-quarter fiscal 2026.Adobe sees 80% of AEP and AEM customers using agentic capabilities. Adobe (ADBE - Free Report) is benefiting from expanding enterprise adoption of its Customer Experience Orchestration (CXO) portfolio as companies increasingly use artificial intelligence (AI) to automate marketing, personalize customer interactions and scale content creation. Adobe is positioning Adobe Experience Platform (AEP), GenStudio, Adobe Experience Manager (AEM) and CX Enterprise as key components of this strategy. Growing adoption could help Adobe capture a larger share of enterprise marketing spending while strengthening its competitive position against the likes of Salesforce (CRM - Free Report) and Microsoft (MSFT - Free Report) .
Enterprise demand for Adobe’s CXO offerings remains encouraging. GenStudio’s ending annualized recurring revenues (ARR) increased more than 25% year over year in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, while subscription revenues from AEP and native applications rose more than 30%. Ending ARR across GenStudio, AEP and applications, and AEM and agentic web offerings increased more than 20%. Notably, Customer Experience Orchestration AI-first ARR surged fourfold year over year, indicating rising monetization of Adobe’s agentic marketing capabilities.
Agentic AI adoption provides another growth avenue. More than 80% of AEP and AEM customers are using agentic capabilities, while more than 1,500 customer trials are underway across Adobe LLM Optimizer, Sites Optimizer and Brand Concierge. Adobe launched CX Enterprise, an end-to-end agentic AI system designed to manage the customer lifecycle from prospect acquisition through conversion and loyalty. CX Enterprise Coworker had more than 150 leading enterprises participating in its early-adoption program ahead of general availability.
Adobe’s expanding ecosystem could improve adoption. CX Enterprise integrates with Microsoft Copilot, Anthropic, OpenAI and Google Gemini, while Adobe’s NVIDIA partnership brings CX Enterprise Coworker capabilities to NVIDIA’s enterprise-agent platform. Leading agencies including dentsu, Havas, Omnicom, Publicis, Stagwell and WPP are standardizing on Adobe’s AI-powered capabilities. Adobe’s acquisition of Semrush expands its CXO portfolio through search-engine optimization and generative-engine optimization capabilities that complement AEM and its agentic web offerings.
ADBE Faces Tough CompetitionSalesforce is strengthening its competitive position through Agentforce, Data 360, Marketing Cloud, Service Cloud and Slack. Agentforce ARR reached $1.5 billion in the second quarter of fiscal 2027, while accounts with agents in production increased 70% sequentially. Customers generated 3.2 billion Agentforce workload units, up 97% sequentially, and bookings for Agentforce One Edition and Agentforce for Apps more than doubled. Salesforce is seeing encouraging adoption of its next-generation marketing offering, while Data 360 continues to gain momentum. This integrated data, applications and agentic architecture positions Salesforce to compete with Adobe’s CXO strategy.
Microsoft is increasing competitive pressure through Dynamics 365, Copilot and Agent 365. Agent 365 already has nearly 40 million agents registered across tens of thousands of companies, while Microsoft 365 Copilot surpassed 30 million paid seats. Microsoft is redesigning Dynamics 365 for an agent-first environment and has exposed more than 650,000 Model Context Protocol actions across sales, finance, supply chain, HR and customer service. Customer-service credit consumption increased fourfold sequentially, while Dynamics 365 revenues rose 13% year over year. Microsoft’s vast enterprise installed base and integration of CRM, ERP, Copilot and AI agents could limit Adobe’s ability to capture a larger share of enterprise CXO spending.
ADBE’s Share Price Performance, Valuation & EstimatesShares of Adobe have declined 16.7% year to date, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector’s 17.1% growth.
ADBE Stock’s YTD Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
ADBE stock is trading at a discount, with a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 10.95X compared with the broader sector’s 20.76X. Adobe has a Value Score of B.
ADBE’s Valuation
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Adobe’s earnings is currently pegged at $6.08 per share, unchanged over the past 30 days, suggesting 14.50% year-over-year growth.
Adobe rozšířila partnerství se saúdskoarabským ministerstvem a společností Humain a nabídne více než 27 milionům lidí 12 měsíců zdarma své AI nástroje. Hodnota závazku přesahuje 4 miliardy USD.
Adobe (ADBE.O) said on Monday it has expanded its tie-up with Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Communications and Information Technology and Saudi government-backed AI firm Humain to provide citizens with 12 months of free access to its AI-powered tools.
The company said it plans to offer over 27 million eligible Saudi citizens and residents free access to its Adobe Firefly Standard subscription tier, plus Adobe Express Premium features, including a new image generation model "tuned to Saudi culture." Its commitment is valued at more than $4 billion.
The image model is jointly developed by Adobe and Humain, backed by Saudi's sovereign wealth fund, and will allow users to create "culturally aligned" images using Arabic-language prompts.
The free access will start rolling out by the end of 2026, Adobe said.
The companies had announced their partnership in November, aiming to boost Humain's development of tools for generating content in Arabic and for the broader Middle East region.
For Adobe, the expanded partnership is expected to aid user growth for its AI products and tools, crucial for driving growth in a crowded design software industry where smaller firms have been gaining share rapidly.
Bank of New York Mellon Corp ve 2. čtvrtletí koupila nový podíl ve společnosti Adobe za zhruba 954,47 mil. USD a držela 1,17 % společnosti. Adobe zároveň oznámila čtvrtletní tržby ve výši 6,62 mld. USD, což je meziročně o 12,7 % více.
Bank of New York Mellon Corp bought a new stake in Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE – Free Report) in the second quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the SEC. The institutional investor bought 4,655,489 shares of the software company’s stock, valued at approximately $954,468,000. Bank of New York Mellon Corp owned 1.17% of Adobe as of its most recent SEC filing.
A number of other hedge funds have also recently added to or reduced their stakes in ADBE. SWAN Capital LLC raised its position in Adobe by 43.1% in the 3rd quarter. SWAN Capital LLC now owns 103 shares of the software company’s stock valued at $36,000 after purchasing an additional 31 shares during the last quarter. Logan Capital Management Inc. raised its holdings in shares of Adobe by 0.3% in the third quarter. Logan Capital Management Inc. now owns 9,789 shares of the software company’s stock valued at $3,453,000 after buying an additional 32 shares during the last quarter. Vista Capital Partners Inc. boosted its stake in shares of Adobe by 5.8% during the second quarter. Vista Capital Partners Inc. now owns 624 shares of the software company’s stock worth $241,000 after buying an additional 34 shares during the period. Klingman & Associates LLC grew its holdings in shares of Adobe by 3.5% during the fourth quarter. Klingman & Associates LLC now owns 1,104 shares of the software company’s stock worth $386,000 after buying an additional 37 shares during the last quarter. Finally, WPG Advisers LLC increased its position in Adobe by 45.9% in the 4th quarter. WPG Advisers LLC now owns 124 shares of the software company’s stock valued at $43,000 after acquiring an additional 39 shares during the period. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 81.79% of the company’s stock.
More Adobe News Here are the key news stories impacting Adobe this week:
Positive Sentiment: Expanded Firefly AI capabilities: Adobe made Firefly’s AI-generated music, voiceovers, speech and sound-effects tools generally available. The production-oriented features could strengthen Adobe’s position in creative software, increase user engagement and create additional monetization opportunities. Adobe Firefly adds AI music, voiceovers and sound effects Positive Sentiment: Improving AI investor sentiment: Bank of America raised its price target for Adobe, citing the company’s potential to monetize artificial intelligence. This reflects growing optimism that Adobe’s broad creative and document ecosystem can benefit from AI demand. ServiceNow, Adobe, Workday stocks get BofA PT boost Positive Sentiment: Recovery thesis remains intact: Recent commentary highlights Adobe’s relatively low valuation, strong free-cash-flow generation and potential for a sustained recovery as its AI strategy develops. Another analysis describes the shares as undervalued despite the recent rally. Adobe: Strong Recovery Is Just Beginning Neutral Sentiment: AI strategy is still being evaluated: Adobe is broadening access to AI tools through a freemium approach and has paused price increases to expand its user base. The strategy may support double-digit recurring-revenue growth, but investors need proof that wider adoption will translate into durable paid revenue. Is Adobe Below Fair Value On Its Freemium AI Push? Negative Sentiment: Conflicting Bank of America signal: Although BofA increased its target from $190 to $220, it retained an “underperform” rating. The target remains below the prevailing share price, signaling concern that Adobe’s AI progress may not yet justify the stock’s recovery. Benzinga analyst update Analyst Ratings Changes ADBE has been the subject of a number of recent research reports. Oppenheimer reaffirmed a “market perform” rating on shares of Adobe in a research report on Friday, June 12th. Citigroup restated a “market perform” rating on shares of Adobe in a research note on Friday, June 12th. UBS Group downgraded Adobe from a “buy” rating to an “equal weight” rating in a report on Tuesday, July 21st. Evercore set a $225.00 price objective on shares of Adobe and gave the company an “in-line” rating in a research report on Friday, June 12th. Finally, CLSA started coverage on shares of Adobe in a research report on Monday, July 20th. They set an “outperform” rating and a $300.00 price objective for the company. Seven research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, twenty-one have given a Hold rating and five have given a Sell rating to the stock. Based on data from MarketBeat, the company presently has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of $270.96. Read Our Latest Stock Analysis on ADBE
Insider Transactions at Adobe In related news, Director David A. Ricks bought 10,000 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction on Thursday, June 25th. The stock was bought at an average cost of $194.51 per share, with a total value of $1,945,100.00. Following the completion of the acquisition, the director owned 17,655 shares in the company, valued at approximately $3,434,074.05. This represents a 130.63% increase in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through this link. Also, CAO Jillian Forusz sold 416 shares of Adobe stock in a transaction that occurred on Wednesday, July 29th. The shares were sold at an average price of $264.33, for a total transaction of $109,961.28. Following the sale, the chief accounting officer owned 3,824 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $1,010,797.92. The trade was a 9.81% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. Company insiders own 0.20% of the company’s stock.
Adobe Stock Down 0.1% ADBE opened at $272.22 on Friday. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42, a current ratio of 0.75 and a quick ratio of 0.75. Adobe Inc. has a 12 month low of $190.12 and a 12 month high of $370.86. The stock has a market capitalization of $108.21 billion, a P/E ratio of 15.57, a P/E/G ratio of 0.92 and a beta of 1.40. The business has a 50 day simple moving average of $231.18 and a 200-day simple moving average of $244.78.
Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE – Get Free Report) last released its quarterly earnings data on Thursday, June 11th. The software company reported $5.96 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $5.82 by $0.14. Adobe had a return on equity of 65.11% and a net margin of 28.69%.The firm had revenue of $6.62 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $6.45 billion. During the same quarter in the prior year, the business posted $5.06 earnings per share. Adobe’s revenue was up 12.7% compared to the same quarter last year. Adobe has set its FY 2026 guidance at 24.350-24.450 EPS and its Q3 2026 guidance at 6.050-6.100 EPS. On average, equities analysts anticipate that Adobe Inc. will post 19.81 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
Adobe Profile (Free Report)
Adobe Inc, founded in 1982 by John Warnock and Charles Geschke and headquartered in San Jose, California, is a global software company that develops tools and services for creative professionals, marketers and enterprises. Under the leadership of CEO Shantanu Narayen, who has led the company since 2007, Adobe has evolved from a provider of desktop publishing tools into a cloud-centric provider of digital media and digital experience solutions.
The company’s core offerings are organized around digital media and digital experience.
Featured Stories Five stocks we like better than Adobe 3 Energy Stocks Raising Dividends as the Sector Surges 5 Reasons the S&P 500 Could Keep Rallying Through Year-End Walmart’s Post-Earnings Drop Could Be a Buying Opportunity The Trade Desk’s Earnings Miss Raises a Bigger Question About Its AI Future Want to see what other hedge funds are holding ADBE? Visit HoldingsChannel.com to get the latest 13F filings and insider trades for Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE – Free Report).
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AlpenGlobal Capital LLC acquired a new position in shares of Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE – Free Report) during the 2nd quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The fund acquired 10,377 shares of the software company’s stock, valued at approximately $2,127,000. Adobe accounts for about 1.4% of AlpenGlobal Capital LLC’s investment portfolio, making the stock its 24th biggest holding.
Other large investors have also made changes to their positions in the company. BlackRock Inc. acquired a new position in shares of Adobe in the second quarter valued at $8,437,821,000. Norges Bank acquired a new stake in Adobe during the fourth quarter worth $2,275,165,000. Bank of New York Mellon Corp acquired a new stake in Adobe during the second quarter worth $954,468,000. Deutsche Bank AG bought a new stake in Adobe in the 2nd quarter valued at $750,203,000. Finally, Mitsubishi UFJ Asset Management Co. Ltd. bought a new stake in Adobe in the 2nd quarter valued at $211,248,000. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 81.79% of the company’s stock.
Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades A number of equities analysts have recently commented on ADBE shares. Oppenheimer reaffirmed a “market perform” rating on shares of Adobe in a report on Friday, June 12th. Sanford C. Bernstein lowered their target price on shares of Adobe from $447.00 to $379.00 and set an “outperform” rating on the stock in a research note on Friday, June 12th. Mizuho dropped their price target on shares of Adobe from $270.00 to $245.00 and set a “neutral” rating for the company in a research report on Friday, June 12th. HSBC upgraded shares of Adobe from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating and raised their price target for the stock from $282.00 to $308.00 in a research note on Thursday, July 2nd. Finally, Wall Street Zen downgraded Adobe from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a report on Saturday, July 4th. Seven research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, twenty-one have assigned a Hold rating and five have given a Sell rating to the company. According to MarketBeat.com, the company presently has an average rating of “Hold” and an average price target of $270.96.
Check Out Our Latest Report on Adobe Adobe Price Performance Adobe stock opened at $272.22 on Friday. The business’s fifty day moving average is $231.18 and its two-hundred day moving average is $244.78. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42, a quick ratio of 0.75 and a current ratio of 0.75. The firm has a market cap of $108.21 billion, a P/E ratio of 15.57, a P/E/G ratio of 0.92 and a beta of 1.40. Adobe Inc. has a 52 week low of $190.12 and a 52 week high of $370.86.
Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE – Get Free Report) last announced its earnings results on Thursday, June 11th. The software company reported $5.96 earnings per share for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $5.82 by $0.14. Adobe had a return on equity of 65.11% and a net margin of 28.69%.The company had revenue of $6.62 billion during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $6.45 billion. During the same period last year, the company posted $5.06 earnings per share. The firm’s quarterly revenue was up 12.7% compared to the same quarter last year. Adobe has set its FY 2026 guidance at 24.350-24.450 EPS and its Q3 2026 guidance at 6.050-6.100 EPS. Equities research analysts forecast that Adobe Inc. will post 19.81 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
Adobe News Roundup Here are the key news stories impacting Adobe this week:
Positive Sentiment: Expanded Firefly AI capabilities: Adobe made Firefly’s AI-generated music, voiceovers, speech and sound-effects tools generally available. The production-oriented features could strengthen Adobe’s position in creative software, increase user engagement and create additional monetization opportunities. Adobe Firefly adds AI music, voiceovers and sound effects Positive Sentiment: Improving AI investor sentiment: Bank of America raised its price target for Adobe, citing the company’s potential to monetize artificial intelligence. This reflects growing optimism that Adobe’s broad creative and document ecosystem can benefit from AI demand. ServiceNow, Adobe, Workday stocks get BofA PT boost Positive Sentiment: Recovery thesis remains intact: Recent commentary highlights Adobe’s relatively low valuation, strong free-cash-flow generation and potential for a sustained recovery as its AI strategy develops. Another analysis describes the shares as undervalued despite the recent rally. Adobe: Strong Recovery Is Just Beginning Neutral Sentiment: AI strategy is still being evaluated: Adobe is broadening access to AI tools through a freemium approach and has paused price increases to expand its user base. The strategy may support double-digit recurring-revenue growth, but investors need proof that wider adoption will translate into durable paid revenue. Is Adobe Below Fair Value On Its Freemium AI Push? Negative Sentiment: Conflicting Bank of America signal: Although BofA increased its target from $190 to $220, it retained an “underperform” rating. The target remains below the prevailing share price, signaling concern that Adobe’s AI progress may not yet justify the stock’s recovery. Benzinga analyst update Insider Activity In related news, Director David A. Ricks acquired 10,000 shares of the stock in a transaction on Thursday, June 25th. The stock was purchased at an average price of $194.51 per share, for a total transaction of $1,945,100.00. Following the transaction, the director owned 17,655 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $3,434,074.05. The trade was a 130.63% increase in their position. The acquisition was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through the SEC website. Also, CAO Jillian Forusz sold 416 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, July 29th. The stock was sold at an average price of $264.33, for a total transaction of $109,961.28. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief accounting officer directly owned 3,824 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $1,010,797.92. This represents a 9.81% decrease in their ownership of the stock. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. Company insiders own 0.20% of the company’s stock.
About Adobe (Free Report)
Adobe Inc, founded in 1982 by John Warnock and Charles Geschke and headquartered in San Jose, California, is a global software company that develops tools and services for creative professionals, marketers and enterprises. Under the leadership of CEO Shantanu Narayen, who has led the company since 2007, Adobe has evolved from a provider of desktop publishing tools into a cloud-centric provider of digital media and digital experience solutions.
The company’s core offerings are organized around digital media and digital experience.
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Aurora Investment Counsel ve 2. čtvrtletí nově nakoupila 7 764 akcií Adobe za zhruba 1,592 milionu USD. Akcie Adobe zároveň ve čtvrtek otevřely o 3,5 % výše.
Aurora Investment Counsel acquired a new position in Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE – Free Report) in the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm acquired 7,764 shares of the software company’s stock, valued at approximately $1,592,000.
Other institutional investors and hedge funds have also recently added to or reduced their stakes in the company. Edmond DE Rothschild Holding S.A. acquired a new stake in Adobe in the second quarter worth about $1,450,000. United Bank acquired a new position in shares of Adobe during the second quarter valued at about $295,000. Madison Asset Management LLC acquired a new position in shares of Adobe during the second quarter valued at about $7,105,000. Csenge Advisory Group purchased a new position in shares of Adobe in the 2nd quarter valued at approximately $245,000. Finally, Shepherd Financial Partners LLC purchased a new position in shares of Adobe in the 2nd quarter valued at approximately $523,000. 81.79% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.
Adobe Stock Up 3.5% ADBE stock opened at $272.47 on Thursday. The company has a market capitalization of $108.31 billion, a P/E ratio of 15.59, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 0.89 and a beta of 1.40. Adobe Inc. has a 12 month low of $190.12 and a 12 month high of $370.86. The firm’s fifty day simple moving average is $230.10 and its 200-day simple moving average is $244.93. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42, a current ratio of 0.75 and a quick ratio of 0.75.
Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE – Get Free Report) last issued its earnings results on Thursday, June 11th. The software company reported $5.96 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $5.82 by $0.14. Adobe had a net margin of 28.69% and a return on equity of 65.11%. The firm had revenue of $6.62 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $6.45 billion. During the same quarter last year, the company posted $5.06 earnings per share. The firm’s revenue was up 12.7% compared to the same quarter last year. Adobe has set its FY 2026 guidance at 24.350-24.450 EPS and its Q3 2026 guidance at 6.050-6.100 EPS. As a group, equities research analysts forecast that Adobe Inc. will post 19.81 earnings per share for the current year. Insider Activity at Adobe In related news, CAO Jillian Forusz sold 416 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction on Wednesday, July 29th. The shares were sold at an average price of $264.33, for a total value of $109,961.28. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief accounting officer directly owned 3,824 shares in the company, valued at $1,010,797.92. The trade was a 9.81% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is available at the SEC website. Also, Director David A. Ricks purchased 10,000 shares of the stock in a transaction that occurred on Thursday, June 25th. The shares were purchased at an average cost of $194.51 per share, for a total transaction of $1,945,100.00. Following the completion of the acquisition, the director directly owned 17,655 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $3,434,074.05. This represents a 130.63% increase in their position. The SEC filing for this purchase provides additional information. 0.20% of the stock is owned by insiders.
More Adobe News Here are the key news stories impacting Adobe this week:
Positive Sentiment: Adobe’s recent rally has been supported by improving short-term momentum and a broader rotation out of semiconductor stocks into lagging technology names. The company is also viewed by some analysts as undervalued after its earlier decline. Netflix, Salesforce, and Adobe Rally as Investors Rotate Out of Semiconductors and Into Beaten Down Stocks Is It Too Late to Buy Adobe Inc After Rally? GF Value Says Undervalued Positive Sentiment: Adobe’s freemium strategy for AI-powered tools— including holding off on some price increases to expand its user base—could accelerate adoption and support the company’s goal of double-digit annual recurring-revenue growth. Analysts also continue to favor Adobe over DocuSign, citing its stronger competitive position. Is Adobe Below Fair Value On Its Freemium AI Push? Neutral Sentiment: A dispute involving Rebel Creamery’s packaging design created with Adobe Illustrator has led to a court-ordered rebrand and Rebel’s Chapter 11 filing. The matter concerns an Adobe software user and does not appear to create a material financial impact for Adobe. How a DIY Adobe Illustrator Design Landed Rebel Creamery in a $23.8 Million Fight Negative Sentiment: Bank of America raised its price target but retained an “underperform” rating. Its new target remains materially below Adobe’s recent trading level, signaling concern that the rally may have outpaced the company’s near-term fundamentals. Bank of America Raises Adobe Price Target While Maintaining Underperform Rating Analyst Ratings Changes Several research firms have weighed in on ADBE. Phillip Securities downgraded shares of Adobe from a “strong-buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research report on Monday, June 29th. Wells Fargo & Company decreased their price target on shares of Adobe from $330.00 to $250.00 and set an “overweight” rating for the company in a report on Friday, June 12th. Mizuho lowered their price objective on shares of Adobe from $270.00 to $245.00 and set a “neutral” rating for the company in a research note on Friday, June 12th. TD Cowen dropped their price objective on shares of Adobe from $310.00 to $285.00 and set a “hold” rating on the stock in a report on Monday, June 8th. Finally, Citigroup reissued a “market perform” rating on shares of Adobe in a research report on Friday, June 12th. Seven research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, twenty-one have assigned a Hold rating and five have assigned a Sell rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, the stock currently has an average rating of “Hold” and an average target price of $270.96.
Read Our Latest Analysis on ADBE
Adobe Profile (Free Report)
Adobe Inc, founded in 1982 by John Warnock and Charles Geschke and headquartered in San Jose, California, is a global software company that develops tools and services for creative professionals, marketers and enterprises. Under the leadership of CEO Shantanu Narayen, who has led the company since 2007, Adobe has evolved from a provider of desktop publishing tools into a cloud-centric provider of digital media and digital experience solutions.
The company’s core offerings are organized around digital media and digital experience.
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Adobe ve 2. fiskálním čtvrtletí zvýšila tržby o 13 % na rekordních 6,62 miliardy USD a zvedla celoroční výhled tržeb i upraveného zisku na akcii. Akcie se přitom obchoduje asi za 11násobek očekávaného upraveného zisku pro letošní fiskální rok a zhruba 10násobek zisku pro příští rok.
Adobe (ADBE -2.39%) trades at $264.02 as of this writing, about 29% below its 52-week high of $370.86. After that slide, the stock costs about 15 times the earnings it reported over the past year. It costs about 11 times the non-GAAP (adjusted) earnings management expects for the current fiscal year, and roughly 10 times what analysts project for the year after that.
Multiples like these are what the market typically assigns to businesses whose profits have stopped growing, or are about to. Adobe grew revenue 13% last quarter, to a record. In other words, the price and the results disagree.
Is the creative software giant a business in decline, or one of the cheaper growth stocks in the market?
Image source: Getty Images.
Records, not decline Adobe's fiscal second quarter of 2026 (the period ended May 29) was the best in the company's history by revenue -- $6.62 billion, up 13% year over year, or 11% in constant currency. Growth was 11% in the year-ago quarter and 12% in this year's fiscal first quarter. Measured in constant currency, all three quarters grew 11% -- steady, not accelerating.
The growth was broad, too. Subscription revenue from the company's business professionals and consumers group (the one built around Acrobat and other everyday productivity tools) rose 16% year over year, while subscription revenue from the larger creative and marketing professionals group grew 13%. Profits kept pace. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $5.96, up 18% year over year, alongside $4.25 per share on a GAAP basis.
The recurring base kept building as well. Adobe exited fiscal Q2 with $27.1 billion in annualized recurring revenue (including about $480 million from newly acquired Semrush), and its remaining performance obligations (contracted revenue not yet recognized) stood at $22.3 billion. On the strength of the quarter, management raised its full-year targets for both revenue and adjusted earnings per share, and it said annualized recurring revenue from its artificial intelligence (AI)-first products tripled year over year, exceeding $500 million.
And the company keeps shrinking its share count. Adobe generated $2.17 billion in operating cash flow during the quarter and repurchased about 8.5 million shares -- roughly 2% of its shares outstanding, in three months.
The AI worry Of course, there are reasons the stock is this cheap, and the biggest is the AI threat itself. Generative AI can now produce images, video, and design work on its own, and if that is where creation is headed, fewer people may need Adobe's professional tools.
For now, however, the fear shows up in Adobe's stock price far more than in its reported numbers. The soft spots are modest. Total annualized recurring revenue is on pace to grow about 10% this fiscal year, slower than revenue -- and that pace leans on the roughly $480 million of recurring revenue that arrived with the Semrush deal, so the organic base is likely slowing more than the headline number shows. The company took a roughly $70 million goodwill impairment on its publishing and advertising unit in fiscal Q2.
And Adobe's chief financial officer departed in June, with Steve Day, a 20-year company veteran, stepping in on an interim basis. The bigger open seat is the top one. CEO Shantanu Narayen said in March, after 18 years in the job, that he'll step aside once the board names a successor. Each of those is worth watching, and none of them shows up in the growth numbers yet.
The AI-first recurring revenue figure cuts the other way entirely. A product group tripling to more than $500 million in annualized recurring revenue inside Adobe is, so far, evidence of AI adding to the company's sales. The threat may still arrive. It hasn't yet.
Today's Change
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-2.39
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-6.47
Current Price
$
264.02
A decline the numbers don't show At roughly 10 times next year's expected earnings, the market is pricing Adobe as if its growth is about to stop.
But things don't look that way.
A company growing revenue at a double-digit rate, raising its guidance, and buying back 2% of its shares in a single quarter doesn't usually trade at these multiples unless the market believes something is about to break.
Maybe something will. AI is arguably the most serious competitive threat Adobe has faced in a long time, and a technology shift this large could eventually pull customers away faster than it adds revenue.
But that would be a future problem showing up in future numbers. In the reported ones, revenue set a record last quarter, the revenue and adjusted earnings targets went up in June, and the products the market fears most are the ones growing fastest. The stock is priced for a decline that, for now, exists only in the forecast.
Deane Retirement Strategies Inc. ve 2. čtvrtletí snížila podíl v Adobe o 15,7 % a prodala 4 351 akcií. Po prodeji držela 23 361 akcií v hodnotě 4,791 mil. USD.
Deane Retirement Strategies Inc. cut its stake in shares of Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE – Free Report) by 15.7% in the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the SEC. The institutional investor owned 23,361 shares of the software company’s stock after selling 4,351 shares during the quarter. Adobe makes up approximately 2.0% of Deane Retirement Strategies Inc.’s portfolio, making the stock its 23rd biggest position. Deane Retirement Strategies Inc.’s holdings in Adobe were worth $4,791,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period.
Several other hedge funds have also recently added to or reduced their stakes in ADBE. HF Advisory Group LLC raised its holdings in Adobe by 16.8% during the second quarter. HF Advisory Group LLC now owns 5,529 shares of the software company’s stock worth $1,134,000 after purchasing an additional 794 shares in the last quarter. Chemistry Wealth Management LLC raised its stake in Adobe by 117.2% during the 2nd quarter. Chemistry Wealth Management LLC now owns 1,803 shares of the software company’s stock worth $370,000 after acquiring an additional 973 shares in the last quarter. Hennion & Walsh Asset Management Inc. lifted its position in Adobe by 4.3% in the second quarter. Hennion & Walsh Asset Management Inc. now owns 7,585 shares of the software company’s stock valued at $1,555,000 after acquiring an additional 313 shares during the last quarter. Crumly & Associates Inc. boosted its stake in Adobe by 16.4% in the second quarter. Crumly & Associates Inc. now owns 2,219 shares of the software company’s stock valued at $455,000 after acquiring an additional 312 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Seilern Investment Management Ltd grew its holdings in shares of Adobe by 1.6% during the second quarter. Seilern Investment Management Ltd now owns 179,896 shares of the software company’s stock worth $36,882,000 after purchasing an additional 2,876 shares during the last quarter. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 81.79% of the company’s stock.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth ADBE has been the subject of a number of research analyst reports. Sanford C. Bernstein decreased their target price on Adobe from $447.00 to $379.00 and set an “outperform” rating for the company in a research report on Friday, June 12th. Wells Fargo & Company cut their price target on Adobe from $330.00 to $250.00 and set an “overweight” rating on the stock in a research report on Friday, June 12th. Bank of America reissued an “underperform” rating and issued a $190.00 price objective on shares of Adobe in a report on Tuesday, July 7th. Oppenheimer reaffirmed a “market perform” rating on shares of Adobe in a report on Friday, June 12th. Finally, Citigroup reiterated a “market perform” rating on shares of Adobe in a research note on Friday, June 12th. Seven equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, twenty-one have assigned a Hold rating and six have assigned a Sell rating to the stock. According to MarketBeat.com, the company currently has a consensus rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of $271.30.
Check Out Our Latest Stock Report on Adobe
Insider Buying and Selling In other Adobe news, Director David A. Ricks acquired 10,000 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Thursday, June 25th. The shares were purchased at an average price of $194.51 per share, with a total value of $1,945,100.00. Following the completion of the acquisition, the director directly owned 17,655 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $3,434,074.05. The trade was a 130.63% increase in their position. The acquisition was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which is available through this hyperlink. Also, CAO Jillian Forusz sold 416 shares of the stock in a transaction on Wednesday, July 29th. The stock was sold at an average price of $264.33, for a total value of $109,961.28. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief accounting officer owned 3,824 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $1,010,797.92. The trade was a 9.81% decrease in their position. The SEC filing for this sale provides additional information. 0.20% of the stock is owned by insiders.
Key Headlines Impacting Adobe Here are the key news stories impacting Adobe this week:
Positive Sentiment: Adobe launched a unified ChatGPT plug-in that brings more than 70 creative and productivity tools—including Photoshop, Lightroom, Acrobat, image, video and PDF capabilities—directly into OpenAI’s chatbot. The integration could make Adobe’s products easier to access, expand usage and position the company as an AI enabler rather than an AI casualty. Adobe Debuts ChatGPT App Featuring All Its Programs Positive Sentiment: Recent coverage highlights Adobe’s valuation after its sharp sell-off. The company is still producing double-digit revenue growth, stable margins and substantial free cash flow, while its latest quarterly results exceeded earnings and revenue expectations. A recovery in investor sentiment or a valuation re-rating could provide significant upside. Buy the Dip or Run: 3 Software Stocks Down 50% Face Their Moment of Truth Positive Sentiment: Zacks characterized ADBE as both a long-term growth candidate and a strong value stock, reflecting its depressed valuation relative to historical levels and continuing earnings potential. Why Adobe Systems Is a Top Growth Stock for the Long-Term Neutral Sentiment: Akamai’s strong cloud and security results offer an indirect positive signal because Adobe is among its customers, but the report does not provide new information about Adobe’s financial performance. Akamai Beats Quarterly Estimates on Cloud Infrastructure Demand Negative Sentiment: Adobe remains one of the software companies targeted by AI-disruption concerns. AI-native competitors could pressure pricing, customer retention and growth, and promotional commentary warns of insider selling, talent departures and business-model changes. These claims are not confirmed in the supplied reporting, but they underscore the key risk investors are monitoring. These Are the Four Signs a Company Is About to Be Destroyed by AI Adobe Stock Performance Shares of ADBE opened at $265.21 on Monday. The stock has a market capitalization of $105.42 billion, a P/E ratio of 15.17, a P/E/G ratio of 0.89 and a beta of 1.40. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42, a quick ratio of 0.75 and a current ratio of 0.75. Adobe Inc. has a 1 year low of $190.12 and a 1 year high of $370.86. The company’s fifty day moving average is $228.08 and its two-hundred day moving average is $246.75.
Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE – Get Free Report) last released its earnings results on Thursday, June 11th. The software company reported $5.96 EPS for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $5.82 by $0.14. The company had revenue of $6.62 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $6.45 billion. Adobe had a net margin of 28.69% and a return on equity of 65.11%. The business’s revenue was up 12.7% on a year-over-year basis. During the same quarter last year, the business earned $5.06 EPS. Adobe has set its FY 2026 guidance at 24.350-24.450 EPS and its Q3 2026 guidance at 6.050-6.100 EPS. On average, sell-side analysts predict that Adobe Inc. will post 19.81 earnings per share for the current year.
Adobe announced that its board has approved a share repurchase program on Tuesday, April 21st that authorizes the company to buyback $25.00 billion in outstanding shares. This buyback authorization authorizes the software company to reacquire up to 24.9% of its shares through open market purchases. Shares buyback programs are typically an indication that the company’s management believes its shares are undervalued.
About Adobe (Free Report)
Adobe Inc, founded in 1982 by John Warnock and Charles Geschke and headquartered in San Jose, California, is a global software company that develops tools and services for creative professionals, marketers and enterprises. Under the leadership of CEO Shantanu Narayen, who has led the company since 2007, Adobe has evolved from a provider of desktop publishing tools into a cloud-centric provider of digital media and digital experience solutions.
The company’s core offerings are organized around digital media and digital experience.
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Adobe spouští zásuvný modul pro ChatGPT, který propojí všech 70 jeho kreativních a produktivních nástrojů včetně Photoshopu, Premiere, Lightroomu a Acrobat Pro. Přístup nabídne i k Firefly přímo přes rozhraní ChatGPT.
Adobe is launching a ChatGPT plugin featuring all 70 of its creative and productivity tools that handle creation of video, images, audio and more.
“We’re building ChatGPT to connect our users with the best capabilities for the task at hand,” said OpenAI product lead Vibhor Chhabra in a statement. “Adobe’s categoriy-leading creative and productivity tools help people express their creativity, communicate and be more productive…”
The new app brings together three ChatGPT Adobe apps released in December for photo-editing heavyweight Photoshop, social-media-focused Express and PDF document maker Acrobat Pro, along with dozens of other Adobe programs, including video-editing program Premiere, photo-management tool Lightroom, design tools Illustrator and InDesign, and its Stock stock-photo service.
The deal also includes direct access to Firefly, Adobe’s own in-house AI service released three years ago that is built on copyright-safe public-domain and Adobe-owned stock images. Firefly is now a standalone app and incorporated into many other Adobe programs.
The functions are accessed directly through the ChatGPT interface, but users have to start a new chat, type @Adobe and select Adobe from the menu. Users can access the tools as a guest or go more deeply with an Adobe account log-in.
Among Adobe-provided examples of what will be possible is batch processing of photos. Type into the chatbot the desired look, tweak lighting and color, add or subtract elements, and resize or expand images.
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Videos can be reformatted from horizontal aspect ratios for distribution in vertical outlets such as YouTube Shorts and Instagram Reels. It’s a function that a number of specialized services provide for enterprises such as major TV networks trying to quickly generate social-media posts from their live sports content.
ChatGPT can also be used as a search function in users’ Creative Cloud asset libraries, finding assets by even such loose categories as style or mood. Users can take all the resulting output and further tweak it directly in Adobe apps.
“Over the past few months, we’ve expanded access to Adobe’s tools across leading AI chatbot platforms, including ChatGPT, Claude and (Microsoft’s) Copilot, with Slack and (Google) Gemini coming soon,” Adobe said in a blog post. “The Adobe plugin in ChatGPT builds on that work by bringing the power of our creative and productivity apps together in one unified plugin that draws on the same tools and capabilities that power our own agents in Adobe apps.”
ChatGPT helped ignite the still-hot AI frenzy when it launched as a chatbot nearly four years ago. Since then, owner OpenAI has pivoted away from its original consumer focus to more enterprise-oriented approaches through its Codex and ChatGPT Work. The company no longer says it has more than 1 billion users, but claims “hundreds of millions" of regular users.
Adobe has been one of the highest-profile victims of the “vibe coding” revolution fueled by Codex and Anthropic’s Claude Code, which many believed would allow relatively easy duplication of Adobe’s sophisticated software, and per-seat licensing business model. Others hit by the stampede out of software included heavyweights such as ServiceNow, Applovin, and Salesforce. Even enterprise security companies were temporarily hit, but have since largely recovered.
Wall Street investors sent Adobe shares tumbling from a 2021 high of $661 per share to as little as $202 in mid-June, when CFO Dan Durn announced his departure for a similar position at chipmaker Marvell. Shares have since perked up along with those of other software stocks, but in March, long-time CEO Shantanu Narayen said he would step down once a replacement had been found while remaining chairman.
The company also announced plans to shift to a freemium mode similar to that offered by competitors.
The ChatGPT announcement recapitulates comments made by NVidia CEO Jensen Huang at Adobe’s marketing-focused Summit in Las Vegas last spring, where he joined Narayen in a sweetly nostalgic conversation about their shared history as immigrant kids who went on to run huge tech companies.
AI, Huang said, would soon allow him to use all the capabilities of Photoshop and other sophisticated Adobe tools at a level previously only available to specialists with years of training and experience. That, he said, would open the software’s power to millions of new users.
Andra AP fonden lowered its position in Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE – Free Report) by 46.6% during the first quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The fund owned 63,189 shares of the software company’s stock after selling 55,251 shares during the period. Andra AP fonden’s holdings in Adobe were worth $15,360,000 as of its most recent filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission.
Several other hedge funds and other institutional investors also recently bought and sold shares of the business. Western Pacific Wealth Management LP acquired a new stake in Adobe during the 4th quarter valued at approximately $26,000. Measured Wealth Private Client Group LLC acquired a new position in shares of Adobe in the 3rd quarter valued at $26,000. Beacon Financial Strategies CORP purchased a new stake in shares of Adobe during the 4th quarter worth about $28,000. Marquette Asset Management LLC grew its holdings in Adobe by 72.3% in the fourth quarter. Marquette Asset Management LLC now owns 81 shares of the software company’s stock valued at $28,000 after purchasing an additional 34 shares during the period. Finally, TrustBank acquired a new stake in Adobe in the 4th quarter valued at $28,000. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 81.79% of the company’s stock.
Analyst Ratings Changes Several equities analysts have issued reports on ADBE shares. Barclays decreased their price objective on shares of Adobe from $275.00 to $250.00 and set an “equal weight” rating on the stock in a report on Friday, June 12th. Mizuho reduced their price target on shares of Adobe from $270.00 to $245.00 and set a “neutral” rating for the company in a research report on Friday, June 12th. Citizens Jmp reaffirmed a “market perform” rating on shares of Adobe in a research note on Friday, June 12th. Stifel Nicolaus reiterated a “hold” rating and issued a $200.00 price objective (down from $350.00) on shares of Adobe in a report on Friday, June 12th. Finally, Wells Fargo & Company cut their price objective on Adobe from $330.00 to $250.00 and set an “overweight” rating for the company in a research note on Friday, June 12th. Seven equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, twenty-one have issued a Hold rating and six have issued a Sell rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat, the company has a consensus rating of “Hold” and an average target price of $271.30.
Check Out Our Latest Report on Adobe
Insiders Place Their Bets In related news, CAO Jillian Forusz sold 755 shares of Adobe stock in a transaction on Thursday, April 30th. The shares were sold at an average price of $246.25, for a total transaction of $185,918.75. Following the sale, the chief accounting officer directly owned 3,521 shares in the company, valued at $867,046.25. This trade represents a 17.66% decrease in their position. The sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through the SEC website. Also, CEO Shantanu Narayen sold 75,000 shares of Adobe stock in a transaction on Tuesday, April 28th. The shares were sold at an average price of $243.54, for a total transaction of $18,265,500.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief executive officer owned 359,538 shares in the company, valued at approximately $87,561,884.52. This represents a 17.26% decrease in their ownership of the stock. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. 0.20% of the stock is owned by company insiders.
More Adobe News Here are the key news stories impacting Adobe this week:
Negative Sentiment: Morgan Stanley lowered Adobe to Underweight, saying multiple strategic transitions are happening at once and that AI disruption could make it harder for the company to reaccelerate growth. Adobe stock has been crushed by AI fears. Now Morgan Stanley has cut its rating to underweight Negative Sentiment: More Wall Street downgrades and commentary around Adobe’s AI exposure are adding to the selling pressure, with some analysts saying peers may offer cleaner AI monetization and faster growth. ADBE Stock Drops After Morgan Stanley Downgrade – Sees ‘Cleaner Growth And AI Monetization Elsewhere’ Neutral Sentiment: Adobe continues to push into AI with new features in its experimental Project Indigo camera app, highlighting that it is still investing in product innovation even as investors worry about competitive threats. Adobe crams multiple AI tools into its experimental camera app Neutral Sentiment: Some coverage argues Adobe still looks attractive on valuation and that one analyst sees meaningful upside from current levels, but that view is being outweighed today by broader AI-related concern. ADBE stock is falling again but here’s why one Wall Street analyst sees a 31% upside Adobe Stock Performance NASDAQ ADBE opened at $227.16 on Wednesday. The stock’s fifty day moving average is $228.08 and its two-hundred day moving average is $253.81. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42, a quick ratio of 0.75 and a current ratio of 0.75. The firm has a market capitalization of $90.30 billion, a P/E ratio of 13.00, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 0.79 and a beta of 1.43. Adobe Inc. has a fifty-two week low of $190.12 and a fifty-two week high of $376.16.
Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE – Get Free Report) last issued its quarterly earnings data on Thursday, June 11th. The software company reported $5.96 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $5.82 by $0.14. Adobe had a net margin of 28.69% and a return on equity of 65.11%. The firm had revenue of $6.62 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $6.45 billion. During the same period in the previous year, the firm earned $5.06 EPS. Adobe’s revenue was up 12.7% on a year-over-year basis. Adobe has set its FY 2026 guidance at 24.350-24.450 EPS and its Q3 2026 guidance at 6.050-6.100 EPS. On average, research analysts anticipate that Adobe Inc. will post 19.81 earnings per share for the current year.
Adobe announced that its board has approved a share buyback program on Tuesday, April 21st that permits the company to buyback $25.00 billion in outstanding shares. This buyback authorization permits the software company to purchase up to 24.9% of its stock through open market purchases. Stock buyback programs are usually an indication that the company’s board believes its shares are undervalued.
Adobe Profile (Free Report)
Adobe Inc, founded in 1982 by John Warnock and Charles Geschke and headquartered in San Jose, California, is a global software company that develops tools and services for creative professionals, marketers and enterprises. Under the leadership of CEO Shantanu Narayen, who has led the company since 2007, Adobe has evolved from a provider of desktop publishing tools into a cloud-centric provider of digital media and digital experience solutions.
The company’s core offerings are organized around digital media and digital experience.
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Morgan Stanley snížila hodnocení Adobe na Underweight a cenový cíl z 365 USD na 240 USD, protože vidí souběh více strategických změn a vyšší riziko provedení. Akcie Adobe po otevření trhu klesly asi o 2 % a letos jsou níže téměř o 31 %.
Adobe ADBE shares fell sharply in trading on Tuesday after Morgan Stanley downgraded the creative software maker, warning that multiple strategic transitions are unfolding simultaneously and could complicate its ability to return to stronger growth.
The investment bank lowered its rating on Adobe from Equal-weight to Underweight and slashed its price target by more than one-third, from $365 to $240.
The stock fell about 2% after the opening bell, extending losses that have already pushed Adobe shares down nearly 31% this year.
The downgrade comes as investors continue to assess how artificial intelligence is reshaping the software industry and whether established players can defend their businesses against a growing number of AI-native competitors.
Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Wood said Adobe is navigating several major changes at the same time, increasing the execution risk for the company.
According to the note, Adobe is dealing with three concurrent transitions: an expansion of its freemium strategy, leadership changes involving both its chief executive officer and chief financial officer, and increased investment in artificial intelligence.
The company has been witnessing a leadership vacuum created by the concurrent search for a new CEO following Shantanu Narayen’s planned departure and the June exit of CFO Dan Durn, and a deliberate shift away from margin harvesting toward heavier AI reinvestment.
"While each transition may be manageable in isolation, their convergence raises the bar for execution at a time when other areas of software offer cleaner evidence of growth durability, operating leverage, and/or near-term AI monetization," Wood wrote.
Morgan Stanley said Adobe's decision to offer free access to more users has already affected recurring revenue growth.
The brokerage estimated the strategy reduced annual recurring revenue growth by roughly $500 million during the company's second quarter.
The analysts added that the company's shift toward freemium offerings, combined with management changes and higher AI spending, "elongate the path to durable annual recurring revenue (ARR) reacceleration."
While Adobe's core business serving creative professionals continues to enjoy a strong competitive position, Morgan Stanley believes some parts of its broader workflow are becoming increasingly vulnerable to AI-native alternatives for both consumer and enterprise users.
The bank acknowledged that Adobe's lower valuation already reflects many of these concerns, but argued that the combination of simultaneous changes creates uncertainty over both the timing and strength of any recovery.
Adobe was not the only software company to receive a more cautious assessment.
Morgan Stanley also initiated coverage of Workday with an Underweight rating and a price target of $145, sending the human resources software company's shares down more than 2.75% in trading.
While the bank described Workday's competitive moat as one of the strongest in enterprise software, it said the company's artificial intelligence initiatives are unlikely to generate meaningful growth acceleration in the near term.
The brokerage initiated coverage of Salesforce and Intuit with Equal-weight ratings, reflecting a more balanced outlook.
For Salesforce, Wood described the company as a "tale of two cities."
He noted that strong momentum in products such as Agentforce and Slack has been offset by weakness in businesses including Commerce and Tableau, resulting in slower overall organic growth.
Morgan Stanley assigned Salesforce a price target of $185. Shares fell more than 1.9%.
On Intuit, which received a $335 price target, the bank said investor concerns about the company's competitive moat have significantly weighed on its valuation.
"The concern is that LLMs will be able to file taxes and provide entry level accounting software at a much lower price," the analysts wrote.
However, Morgan Stanley argued those fears are "overdone," ranking Intuit 12th within its software coverage universe for moat strength, while noting the company is less prepared than some peers for the next stage of AI-driven software development.
The ratings changes formed part of Morgan Stanley's broader software sector report introducing what it called a "Moat & Journey" framework to assess software companies based on the durability of their competitive advantages and their readiness for the AI era.
The bank identified Microsoft, Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike, Cloudflare, Datadog, ServiceNow, Snowflake and Shopify as its highest-conviction Overweight-rated software stocks.
Morgan Stanley also downgraded Rapid7 and PagerDuty to Underweight and reduced ratings on Elastic, JFrog, NICE, Wix, BlackLine and Vertex to Equal-weight, citing either valuation concerns or a longer path toward AI-driven growth.
Aviance Capital Partners zvýšila ve 1. čtvrtletí podíl v Adobe o 34,6 % na 11 066 akcií v hodnotě 2,69 milionu USD. Adobe zároveň oznámila zpětný odkup akcií za 25 miliard USD.
Aviance Capital Partners LLC raised its stake in Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE – Free Report) by 34.6% during the first quarter, according to the company in its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The fund owned 11,066 shares of the software company’s stock after acquiring an additional 2,846 shares during the quarter. Aviance Capital Partners LLC’s holdings in Adobe were worth $2,690,000 as of its most recent filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission.
Other institutional investors and hedge funds have also recently modified their holdings of the company. Western Pacific Wealth Management LP purchased a new stake in Adobe in the fourth quarter worth $26,000. Measured Wealth Private Client Group LLC purchased a new position in shares of Adobe during the 3rd quarter valued at $26,000. Beacon Financial Strategies CORP purchased a new position in shares of Adobe during the 4th quarter valued at $28,000. Marquette Asset Management LLC grew its stake in shares of Adobe by 72.3% during the 4th quarter. Marquette Asset Management LLC now owns 81 shares of the software company’s stock worth $28,000 after acquiring an additional 34 shares during the period. Finally, TrustBank bought a new position in shares of Adobe during the 4th quarter worth $28,000. 81.79% of the stock is owned by institutional investors.
Adobe Stock Performance NASDAQ:ADBE opened at $237.25 on Friday. The business’s fifty day moving average is $228.58 and its 200 day moving average is $256.19. The firm has a market cap of $94.31 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.57, a PEG ratio of 0.80 and a beta of 1.43. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42, a quick ratio of 0.75 and a current ratio of 0.75. Adobe Inc. has a 52-week low of $190.12 and a 52-week high of $376.16.
Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE – Get Free Report) last issued its earnings results on Thursday, June 11th. The software company reported $5.96 EPS for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $5.82 by $0.14. The business had revenue of $6.62 billion during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $6.45 billion. Adobe had a return on equity of 65.11% and a net margin of 28.69%.The firm’s revenue was up 12.7% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter last year, the company earned $5.06 EPS. Adobe has set its FY 2026 guidance at 24.350-24.450 EPS and its Q3 2026 guidance at 6.050-6.100 EPS. Research analysts predict that Adobe Inc. will post 19.81 EPS for the current year.
Adobe announced that its Board of Directors has initiated a share buyback program on Tuesday, April 21st that allows the company to repurchase $25.00 billion in outstanding shares. This repurchase authorization allows the software company to buy up to 24.9% of its stock through open market purchases. Stock repurchase programs are typically a sign that the company’s board believes its stock is undervalued.
Insider Activity In other news, Director David A. Ricks bought 10,000 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Thursday, June 25th. The shares were acquired at an average price of $194.51 per share, with a total value of $1,945,100.00. Following the acquisition, the director owned 17,655 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $3,434,074.05. The trade was a 130.63% increase in their position. The acquisition was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is available through this link. Also, CFO Daniel Durn sold 1,336 shares of the stock in a transaction that occurred on Monday, April 20th. The stock was sold at an average price of $248.02, for a total transaction of $331,354.72. Following the completion of the sale, the chief financial officer owned 42,833 shares in the company, valued at $10,623,440.66. This represents a 3.02% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The SEC filing for this sale provides additional information. Insiders have sold a total of 77,091 shares of company stock valued at $18,782,773 over the last ninety days. 0.20% of the stock is owned by insiders.
Analyst Ratings Changes ADBE has been the subject of several recent research reports. BMO Capital Markets decreased their price objective on Adobe from $285.00 to $230.00 and set a “market perform” rating for the company in a report on Friday, June 12th. Stifel Nicolaus reiterated a “hold” rating and set a $200.00 target price (down from $350.00) on shares of Adobe in a research report on Friday, June 12th. KeyCorp reduced their target price on shares of Adobe from $235.00 to $195.00 and set an “underweight” rating for the company in a research note on Friday, June 12th. Sanford C. Bernstein lowered their price target on shares of Adobe from $447.00 to $379.00 and set an “outperform” rating on the stock in a research report on Friday, June 12th. Finally, Bank of America restated an “underperform” rating and set a $190.00 price target on shares of Adobe in a research note on Tuesday, July 7th. Six investment analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, twenty-two have issued a Hold rating and five have given a Sell rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat, the company currently has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of $275.00.
Read Our Latest Research Report on ADBE
More Adobe News Here are the key news stories impacting Adobe this week:
Positive Sentiment: Multiple reports highlight Adobe’s attractive valuation, with some investors viewing the selloff as creating a buying opportunity and even raising the possibility that the company could become a takeover target. Is Adobe (ADBE) a Takeover Target? Rumors Are Swirling Positive Sentiment: Adobe was compared favorably with Autodesk on revenue trends, with Adobe showing larger scale and consistent quarter-over-quarter growth over the last eight quarters, which supports the case for durable business momentum. Adobe vs. Autodesk: What Revenue Trends Reveal About These Software Stocks Positive Sentiment: Several pieces frame Adobe as a potential beneficiary of the market’s reassessment of software stocks, arguing that AI is pressuring recurring-revenue models but that strong companies like Adobe are adapting and may emerge as relative winners. How to Find the Bargains in the Software Stock Wreckage Positive Sentiment: Commentary on Adobe’s “compelling valuation” and “generational buying opportunity” suggests investors are increasingly seeing the stock as undervalued despite intensifying competition. Adobe: Compelling Valuation Even Amid Intensifying Competition Positive Sentiment: Broader software-sector analysis also points to Adobe as having real competitive moats that AI may not easily replace, reinforcing confidence in the company’s long-term positioning. Alpha Buying: The Real Moats AI Can’t Replace Neutral Sentiment: Additional coverage on e-commerce and digital media trends mentions Adobe’s AI-related efforts, including its acquisition of Rephrase.AI, but the article is more about industry innovation than a direct catalyst for the stock. E-Commerce Update – AI Transforming Digital Retail Through Innovation and Connectivity Negative Sentiment: One article noted that an open-source browser-based PDF toolkit can replace Adobe Acrobat, highlighting ongoing competitive pressure in one of Adobe’s core product areas. I replaced Adobe Acrobat with a 10x faster, browser-based open-source PDF toolkit Adobe Company Profile (Free Report)
Adobe Inc, founded in 1982 by John Warnock and Charles Geschke and headquartered in San Jose, California, is a global software company that develops tools and services for creative professionals, marketers and enterprises. Under the leadership of CEO Shantanu Narayen, who has led the company since 2007, Adobe has evolved from a provider of desktop publishing tools into a cloud-centric provider of digital media and digital experience solutions.
The company’s core offerings are organized around digital media and digital experience.
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Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE | ADBE Price Prediction) has been beaten down while fundamentals improved. Our 24/7 Wall St. price target is $283.39, roughly 26.72% above the current price of $223.64. We rate the stock a buy with 90% model confidence. An $88.9 billion software franchise with AI-first ARR north of $500 million, trading at a forward P/E near 9.
Metric Value Current Price $223.64 24/7 Wall St. Price Target $283.39 Upside 26.72% Recommendation BUY Confidence Level 90% Adobe Was Cut Nearly in Half While Fundamentals Improved ADBE is down 39.79% over the last year and 36.1% year to date, below the 52-week high of $376.16 and just above the $190.12 low.
Q2 FY26, reported June 11, 2026, was a record. Revenue hit $6.62 billion (up 13% YoY), non-GAAP EPS of $5.96 marked a fifth straight beat, and total ARR closed at $27.10 billion. Management raised FY26 non-GAAP EPS guidance to $24.35 to $24.45.
The Case for $322 and Higher Our bull scenario takes ADBE to $322.51, a 44.21% return over 12 months. Firefly ARR is approaching $300 million and grew roughly 50% quarter over quarter, Firefly enterprise ARR is up 4x YoY, and Creative freemium MAU jumped from 50 million to 90 million.
Acrobat AI Assistant paid MAU grew 150%+ YoY. Options positioning skews bullish with a full-chain put/call ratio of 0.46. The Semrush deal adds roughly $480 million in ARR, and consensus of $272.48 implies meaningful upside.
What Could Go Wrong Our bear scenario finishes at $249.71, still an 11.66% return. CEO Shantanu Narayen is transitioning to Board Chair, CFO Dan Durn departed June 15, 2026, and Q2 GAAP EPS of $4.25 was weighed by a $70 million goodwill impairment and a $30 million litigation accrual.
Competition from OpenAI, Canva, Figma, and Microsoft Copilot has crushed the multiple. Recent insider activity skewed to selling. The goodwill charge is a non-cash write-down on a legacy Publishing and Advertising unit. Non-GAAP EPS of $5.96 still grew 18% YoY. The operating engine remains intact.
How Adobe Compares to Salesforce and Autodesk Adobe’s forward P/E near 9 looks cheap against two AI-forward software peers.
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Salesforce (NYSE: CRM) Salesforce (NYSE: CRM) is the cleanest AI-monetization comparison. Q1 FY27 revenue of $11.13 billion grew 13.3% YoY, with Agentforce plus Data 360 ARR near $3.4 billion, up over 200% YoY. Salesforce trades at a trailing P/E of 18 versus Adobe at 13. On a comparable AI-growth basis, Adobe screens materially cheaper.
Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) is the closest creative and design software analogue. Q1 FY27 revenue of $1.93 billion grew 18.4% YoY with non-GAAP EPS of $2.99. Management guides FY27 non-GAAP EPS of $12.40 to $12.65.
Adobe’s forward EPS of $26.26 and Q2 revenue growth of 13% suggest the market is pricing ADBE like a decelerating incumbent, while the numbers describe a raised-guidance AI beneficiary.
I Would Buy Here, With Eyes Open The 24/7 Wall St. price target of $283.39 with 90% confidence and a buy rating reflects a rare valuation gap in mega-cap software. A forward P/E of 9 attached to a business that just raised guidance and tripled AI-first ARR to over $500 million makes this compelling.
The setup looks attractive for investors who can stomach CEO and CFO succession noise. The thesis weakens if AI-first ARR growth breaks or if the freemium payback (management expects it to play out over 2027) fails to materialize.
Year 24/7 Wall St. Price Target 2026 $251.16 2027 $283.39 2028 $335 2029 $390 2030 $446.28 These projections assume Adobe converts freemium traffic into paid seats and defends its creative moat. Meaningful upside or downside could come from the CEO succession outcome, the pace of AI monetization, or a broad re-rating of the software sector.
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Bank of America obnovila pokrytí Adobe s ratingem Underperform a cílovou cenou 190 USD, protože podle ní generativní AI oslabuje konkurenceschopnost firmy. Akcie přesto v úterý vzrostly asi o 4,6 %.
Adobe Inc. ADBE shares rose about 4.6% on Tuesday even after Bank of America reinstated coverage of the software company with an Underperform rating.
The brokerage argued that generative artificial intelligence is weakening Adobe's competitive position despite the stock trading near the lower end of its historical valuation range.
Bank of America set a price target of $190, valuing the company at seven times its projected 2027 enterprise value to free cash flow (EV/FCF), below the roughly 9.7-times average multiple for a broader group of software companies.
The brokerage said Adobe's valuation alone is not sufficient to support a more constructive investment stance as the company faces increasing competition from AI-native products.
Bank of America analysts, led by Tal Liani, said the key issue facing Adobe is whether the company can accelerate growth in an AI-driven software market.
The analysts wrote that the central question is whether Adobe "can reaccelerate growth in the age of AI."
While Adobe has seen adoption of its AI offerings, the brokerage said those products have yet to generate a meaningful financial contribution.
According to the report, AI-first annual recurring revenue (ARR) currently accounts for less than 2% of Adobe's total ARR.
The bank forecasts total revenue growth slowing from 10.5% in 2025 to 8.8% in 2027, with "no clear path to near-term reacceleration."
The report also noted that AI-related competitive risks vary across Adobe's customer base.
Casual users and non-professional creators are viewed as more vulnerable because AI-generated content can often replace paid subscriptions.
Professional and enterprise customers are expected to remain more resilient because they require precision and integrated workflows.
However, the analysts cautioned that "not all professional users need the full Adobe workflow," leaving some professionals and single-application users exposed to lower-cost AI alternatives.
Leadership transition and product pressures remain in focusBank of America also highlighted challenges facing Adobe Stock, the company's marketplace for images and videos.
Management has said Adobe Stock has declined for two consecutive quarters, although it did not disclose specific figures.
The brokerage said the weakness reflects the broader risk that free or inexpensive AI tools could reduce demand for Adobe's higher-margin legacy offerings while limiting future seat expansion.
The analysts also pointed to recent executive changes as another source of uncertainty.
They said the simultaneous departures of CEO Shantanu Narayen and CFO Dan Durn "heightens risk around strategy, continuity, and leadership stability" as Adobe navigates its AI transition.
Although the bank expects Adobe to maintain strong profitability, including a free cash flow margin approaching 39% by 2028, it believes there is "limited multiple expansion without clear evidence of AI monetization and growth acceleration."
Historical data also suggests that buying large pullbacks in Adobe shares has produced inconsistent results.
Since 2010, the stock has experienced 12 declines of at least 20% within a 30-day period.
Only six of those events generated positive returns over the following year. The median one-year return after those declines was negative 4%, while investors experienced a median maximum drawdown of 17% before any recovery.
Despite that track record, Adobe's underlying financial performance remains solid.
The company reported 11.5% revenue growth over the last 12 months, with a three-year average growth rate of 11%. It also generated an operating cash flow margin of 41.6%, highlighting strong profitability and cash generation.
Creative Freemium monthly active users increased from 50 million to 90 million year over year.
Adobe currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of about 12, compared with roughly 25 for its peer benchmark, although Bank of America maintained that stronger evidence of AI-driven growth will be needed before adopting a more positive view on the stock.
Key Takeaways Adobe is expanding Firefly with Topaz Labs' AI tools for image and video enhancement.Topaz Labs adds upscaling, sharpening, noise removal and restoration capabilities to Adobe. Adobe expects fiscal 2026 revenues of $26.5B-$26.6B as AI demand continues to grow. Adobe (ADBE - Free Report) has been leveraging AI to boost top-line growth. The acquisition of Topaz Labs strengthens Adobe’s AI strategy by adding image and video enhancement technology to its growing Firefly ecosystem. The deal complements Adobe’s broader vision of becoming the AI platform of choice for creators by expanding AI capabilities beyond content generation into professional-quality enhancement, restoration and editing.
Topaz Labs’ AI models specialize in upscaling, sharpening, noise removal, stabilization, frame interpolation and archival restoration. Once integrated into Adobe Firefly, Firefly Services and Creative Cloud applications such as Photoshop, Lightroom and Premiere Pro, these technologies will enable creators to seamlessly combine AI-generated and traditionally captured content while maintaining professional-grade quality. This strengthens Adobe's ability to serve filmmakers, photographers, designers and enterprises that increasingly rely on hybrid AI workflows.
The acquisition advances Adobe’s strategy of attracting more AI users through Firefly. During its latest earnings call, management said AI-driven content creation demand is accelerating rapidly, as creative freemium monthly active users (MAUs) surged from more than 50 million to more than 90 million on a year-over-year basis. Firefly’s annual recurring revenue grew roughly 50% sequentially. Adobe is intentionally expanding its freemium AI offerings to acquire hundreds of millions of new creators before monetizing them through subscriptions and AI credit consumption.
Topaz Labs’ proprietary Neurostream technology enables large AI models to run efficiently on local devices instead of relying solely on the cloud. This aligns with Adobe’s goal of delivering faster, lower-cost and more responsive AI experiences while expanding access to advanced creative tools across a broader range of devices. On-device AI can also reduce inference costs and improve responsiveness, supporting Adobe's long-term push to scale AI profitably.
As enterprises and creators increasingly demand end-to-end AI-powered content production, the addition of Topaz Labs makes Adobe’s Firefly and Creative Cloud ecosystem more comprehensive and better positioned to capture the growing AI-powered creative market. For fiscal 2026, Adobe now expects total revenues between $26.5 billion and $26.6 billion. Adobe expects Business Professionals and Consumers’ subscription revenues between $7.44 billion and $7.48 billion. Creative and Marketing Professionals subscription revenues are expected to be between $18.21 billion and $18.27 billion.
Adobe Faces Tough CompetitionAdobe’s AI business is minuscule compared with Microsoft (MSFT - Free Report) and Alphabet (GOOGL - Free Report) .
Microsoft’s Intelligent Cloud revenues are benefiting from growth in Azure AI services and a rise in the AI Copilot business. The company monetizes AI through existing customer relationships, reducing customer acquisition costs while expanding revenue per user. The Intelligent Cloud segment delivered third-quarter fiscal 2026 revenues of $34.7 billion, up 30%, and is guided between $37.95 billion and $38.25 billion in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, indicating 27% to 28% growth. Azure’s comprehensive infrastructure capabilities position the company to capture increasing cloud migration spending while maintaining pricing power through differentiated services.
Alphabet’s focus on leveraging AI to drive growth is a key catalyst. AI is heavily infused across its offerings, including Search and Google Cloud. AI is driving Alphabet’s Search & Other revenues, which grew 19% year over year in the first quarter of 2026. Gemini Enterprise’s paid monthly active users grew 40% sequentially, while revenues from products built on Google’s generative AI models increased nearly 800% year over year. Alphabet’s total paid subscriptions reached 350 million, driven in part by Gemini app adoption and premium AI plans.
ADBE’s Share Price Performance, Valuation & EstimatesAdobe shares have dropped 39.7% year to date, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector’s return of 18.3%.
Adobe Stock’s Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The ADBE stock is trading at a discount, as suggested by a Value Score of A. In terms of trailing price/book, Adobe shares are trading at a discount of 7.28X compared with the broader sector’s 10.28X.
ADBE Valuation
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is pegged at $24.17 per share, up 2.8% over the past 30 days, suggesting 15.43% year-over-year growth.
Adobe currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Adobe kupuje Topaz Labs, výrobce AI nástrojů pro vylepšování videa a obrázků, a začlení jeho modely do Firefly i dalších editorů. Transakce má být uzavřena v druhé polovině roku 2026.
Adobe on Thursday said it is acquiring Topaz Labs, which offers AI models for video and image enhancement, and that it will make it a part of its creative business.
Topaz Labs, which won an Emmy last year for its production tech, has existed for more than two decades, making tools for enhancing videos and images. In recent years, the company has released its own models: Astra for AI video upscaling and Wonder for image retouching and enhancement. The startup has also worked on a technology that makes it easier to run large video models on consumer-grade GPUs.
Adobe, which already offers some of Topaz’s tools in its Creative Cloud suite, said it will integrate Topaz’s models into its Firefly AI app as well as other parts of its image and video editing suites. Adobe said Topaz’s offerings will be available as stand-alone services through its website.
Deepa Subramaniam, VP of product marketing for Creative Cloud at Adobe, said professionals who want to combine real-life footage with AI clips can use Topaz’s products for tasks like sharpening details, reducing noise, or restoring archival footage.
“Topaz Labs brings deep expertise in optimizing large, complex AI models to run directly on device, a capability that will allow Adobe to deliver faster, more responsive experiences for customers and make advanced AI more accessible and cost-effective for creatives. In addition, Topaz Labs is trusted by professionals of all creative crafts – from designers and video professionals to photographers and enterprise creative teams,” Subramaniam said in an emailed statement.
Adobe has been in fierce competition with Canva and DaVinci Resolve-owner Blackmagic Design in the image and video editing space. Adobe has been stuffing AI into all of its apps and has also created an AI-centric media editing studio with Firefly. By acquiring startups like Topaz Labs, Adobe wants to keep its users from turning to other software for video editing and enhancements, encouraging them to stick to its ecosystem.
Adobe said the transaction will close in the second half of 2026.
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Ivan covers global consumer tech developments at TechCrunch. He is based out of India and has previously worked at publications including Huffington Post and The Next Web.
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