On its third quarter of 2026 earnings call, held on Oct. 22, 2026, American Airlines (AAL -3.89%) announced third-quarter revenue grew 19.3% year over year to $16.3 billion. Higher fuel expenses created short-term margin pressure, but expanding premium seating and cost efficiencies position the business for long-term profit growth. Three key takeaways from management explain how the strategy is unfolding.
1. High Fuel Expenses Decelerate Capacity GrowthFuel expenses jumped $1.9 billion year over year, dragging bottom-line performance into a loss despite record top-line revenue. To protect long-term margins, management is slowing capacity growth by lowering aircraft utilization, which measures how many hours planes fly daily.
And given today's elevated fuel prices, we now expect our growth rate in 2027 to decelerate considerably.
-- Robert D. Isom Jr., Chief Executive Officer2. Premium Product Investments Drive Margin ExpansionHigher-yielding premium seats produce superior returns while requiring less flight capacity. Management is retrofitting more than 200 aircraft to add premium seating, which helped boost managed corporate revenue, or ticket sales from business travel contracts, by 28% year over year.
Premium generates roughly half of our ticket revenue on only about 30% of seats. And we are adding more premium seats with every new aircraft in retrofit.
-- Robert D. Isom Jr., Chief Executive Officer3. Structural Efficiency Savings Offset Cost PressuresCost discipline is essential as jet fuel prices remain elevated. Through process improvements and technology investments, management kept CASMx, which measures operating expenses per available seat mile excluding fuel, within expected guidance.
By the end of this year, we expect to have achieved nearly $1 billion in annual run rate savings and more than $900 million in working capital improvements through these efforts.
-- Devon May, Chief Financial OfficerLooking AheadUnit revenue, or average revenue generated per seat mile flown, is trending upward across all routes, giving management clear momentum. Hub investments at Dallas Fort Worth International Airport and expanded partnerships strengthen the carrier's network. Management is watching fuel price stabilization and yield management, or average fares paid per passenger.
Total unit revenue increased 14.5% year over year with strength across every geography and every cabin.
-- Nathaniel Pieper, Chief Commercial OfficerCommercial progress and cost discipline lay the groundwork for debt reduction and future free cash flow once fuel prices stabilize.
Our focus now is on translating the commercial progress we are seeing into stronger margins and improved profitability.
-- Robert D. Isom Jr., Chief Executive OfficerThe Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
American Airlines issued a warning that airfares are likely to remain elevated even if there's a decline in oil prices after losses the carrier suffered earlier in the year amid surging fuel costs.
The carrier's CFO, Devon May, told the Financial Times that "if fuel comes down, I think airfares probably stay largely where they're at right now."
"If fuel prices go up, we need to generate higher yield, we need to generate higher fares to offset that higher fuel price," May said.
American Airlines on Thursday released its earnings for the third quarter, reporting deeper losses in 2026 and updating its forecast to reflect anticipated losses between $1 and $1.60 a share on an adjusted basis this year. Its July forecast ranged from a loss of 65 cents and a profit of 65 cents.
MAJOR AIRLINES CUT FLIGHTS AS HIGHER JET FUEL PRICES HIT CARRIERS
American Airlines projected deeper losses in 2026 due to the surge in fuel costs. (Kevin Carter/Getty Images)
May told the FT that airlines' ticket prices hadn't fully recovered in real terms since the disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, saying that the price hikes "ideally should have happened back in 2024, but the industry found itself in an oversupply environment."
"This was the first year that everything came together in a way that we were able to push yields back up to where they were seven years ago in real terms," May told the outlet.
AMERICAN AIRLINES ADDS $1,000 TRUMP ACCOUNT MATCH FOR WORKERS' CHILDREN
American Airlines said it expects higher fuel costs to persist into the fourth quarter. (Daniel Slim/AFP via Getty Images)
The company reported a 19% year-over-year increase in third quarter revenue, which was above the high end of its previous guidance range and was the highest in company history when excluding the years following the pandemic.
However, fuel expenses in the third quarter surged 67.5% compared with the same period a year ago, which translated to $1.9 billion in higher fuel costs based on an average price of $3.85 a gallon.
American also forecast higher fuel prices will continue into the company's fourth quarter, with the carrier expecting to face an average fuel price of about $4.70 a gallon – a figure that would nearly double the price in the fourth quarter of 2025 and increase fuel expenses by $2.8 billion year over year.
AMERICAN AIRLINES BETS BIG ON INTERNATIONAL FLIGHTS WITH 7 NEW ROUTES
Ticker Security Last Change Change % AAL NO DATA AVAILABLE - - - Due to the elevated fuel prices, American said that it expects its network growth to slow in 2027 when compared with 2026 levels.
Higher fuel prices have caused airfares to surge, with the most recent data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showing that airline fares were up 22.4% compared with a year ago in September.
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Flight Path to Profits: American Airlines Bets on SpaceXAmerican Airlines Group NASDAQ: AAL reported third-quarter revenue growth of 19.3% from a year earlier to $16.3 billion, exceeding the high end of its guidance range, but said a sharp increase in fuel costs drove an adjusted loss of $0.28 per diluted share.
Chief Executive Officer Robert Isom said fuel expense increased by $1.9 billion year over year during the quarter as the carrier paid an average of $3.85 per gallon, or $1.48 more per gallon than in the same period last year. He said the airline would have been “solidly profitable” without the fuel-price spike, while acknowledging that American was not satisfied with posting a loss.
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Boarding Passes Now Being Issued for the Ultimate eVTOL Arbitrage“Our job now is to convert all this progress into better margins, free cash flow, and an even stronger balance sheet,” Isom said. The company said it expects the benefits of its strategy and investments to become more apparent as fuel prices stabilize.
Revenue Strength Across Domestic and International Markets
Chief Commercial Officer Nat Pieper said total unit revenue increased 14.5% year over year in the third quarter, supported by growth across all geographies and cabin classes. Domestic passenger unit revenue rose 13.6%, with notable performance in New York and Miami, while international passenger unit revenue increased 16.4%.
Latin America passenger unit revenue rose 21.1%.
Atlantic passenger unit revenue increased 14.5%.
Pacific passenger unit revenue grew 11.3%.
Premium unit revenue climbed 18.5%, exceeding main-cabin unit revenue growth by more than four percentage points.
Sky Wars: United's Predator Play for AmericanPieper said the airline deliberately prioritized yield over load factor during the quarter, accepting slightly lower load factors in exchange for higher yields. He said premium products, pricing, merchandising and loyalty initiatives offer further opportunities to improve revenue quality.
Premium seating accounts for roughly half of American’s ticket revenue despite representing about 30% of seats, according to Isom. The company is adding premium seats through new aircraft deliveries and retrofit programs affecting more than 200 Boeing 777, Airbus A320 and Airbus A319 aircraft over the next three years.
Managed corporate revenue increased 28% year over year, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth, Pieper said. He also cited a 27% increase in travel-management-company channel sales and a 46% increase in the carrier’s AAdvantage Business small- and medium-business program.
Fourth-Quarter Outlook Includes Higher Revenue and Fuel Headwinds
American forecast fourth-quarter revenue growth of 19.5% to 22.5% year over year. However, Chief Financial Officer Devon May said fuel is expected to remain a significant headwind, with the company projecting an average fourth-quarter fuel price of about $4.70 per gallon based on the forward curve as of Oct. 19.
At that price, American expects fourth-quarter fuel expense to rise about $2.8 billion from a year earlier. The carrier forecast a fourth-quarter adjusted loss of between $0.50 and $1.10 per diluted share and a full-year adjusted loss of between $1.00 and $1.60 per diluted share.
May said third-quarter cost per available seat mile excluding fuel and special items, or CASM ex, increased about 3% year over year, better than the midpoint of the company’s prior guidance. American expects fourth-quarter CASM ex growth of 2.5% to 3.5%.
The company expects fuel expense for the full year to be more than $7 billion above 2025 levels. May said American has met or beaten its CASM ex guidance in 14 of the past 15 quarters and expects nearly $1 billion in annual run-rate savings by year-end from technology, procurement and process-improvement initiatives. It also expects more than $900 million in working-capital improvements.
Capacity Growth Set to Slow in 2027
Management said American’s capacity growth will decelerate considerably in 2027 as it responds to elevated fuel costs and focuses on matching capacity to demand. Isom said the company’s 2026 growth was primarily intended to rebuild and strengthen its network after it had undergrown competitors since the pandemic.
He said the carrier could reduce aircraft utilization and use that time to support retrofit work and Starlink installations. American plans to install Starlink connectivity across its mainline fleet and is adding seatback entertainment on narrow-body aircraft.
May said slower growth would create some upward pressure on unit costs. Historically, the company has expected low-single-digit CASM ex growth when capacity expands at a mid-single-digit rate, he said.
The airline highlighted network investments at Dallas Fort Worth, Miami, Phoenix, Charlotte, Chicago, Philadelphia and Los Angeles. Pieper said the Dallas Fort Worth rebanking produced record passenger volumes, fewer missed connections and mishandled bags, and unit revenue that outpaced the rest of the system.
For 2027, American plans seven new long-haul international routes, including Chicago to Tokyo and Charlotte to Barcelona. Cargo revenue increased 29% in the third quarter, and Pieper said the company sees further cargo opportunities as it expands its wide-body fleet.
Fleet, Liquidity and Loyalty Initiatives
American expects to take delivery of 47 new aircraft in 2026 and projects capital expenditures of $4 billion to $4.5 billion. The company said it is nearing completion of a wide-body aircraft order campaign intended to replace its Boeing 777-200 fleet over the next decade, though management did not provide details on aircraft manufacturers or order structure.
At the end of the third quarter, American had $11.8 billion of total available liquidity and more than $26 billion of unencumbered assets in first-lien capacity. The company expects to end the year with net debt of approximately $30.5 billion, flat with the level at the end of 2025.
May said American has reduced total debt to roughly $36 billion from $54 billion during the pandemic. He said improved earnings and margins, rather than financial transactions, are the primary path toward improved leverage and credit metrics.
On loyalty, AAdvantage enrollments increased 27% year over year in the third quarter, while spending on Citi co-branded cards rose nearly 10%. American also introduced a cash-and-miles booking option during the quarter, which Pieper said has produced encouraging early results.
About American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL)American Airlines Group Inc is a holding company whose principal subsidiary, American Airlines, provides scheduled passenger air transportation and air cargo services. The company operates a large mainline network under the American Airlines brand and offers regional service through carriers operating as American Eagle. Its services include domestic and international flights, connecting passengers through a network of hubs and focus cities.
American Airlines serves destinations throughout the United States, as well as markets in Canada, Mexico, the Caribbean, Central and South America, Europe, Asia and other international regions.
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American Airlines Group Inc (NASDAQ:AAL, XETRA:A1G) reported record third-quarter revenue of $16.3 billion, up 19.3% year on year, but rising fuel costs pushed it to an adjusted net loss of $182 million.
The airline’s fuel expense increased by $1.9 billion, or 67.5%, compared with the same period last year, with an average price of $3.85 per gallon weighing heavily on profitability.
It also recorded a generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) net loss of $269 million, equivalent to $0.41 per diluted share, while its adjusted loss was $0.28 per share.
The adjusted loss was only $71 million greater than in the third quarter of 2025, despite the additional $1.9 billion fuel burden, highlighting the strength of the US carrier’s underlying revenue performance.
Premium revenue increased 22.9% year on year, while revenue from Main Cabin passengers rose 19.5%, reflecting stronger demand and increased spending on higher-value travel products.
Total unit revenue, a measure of revenue generated per unit of available capacity, increased 14.5%, supported by domestic passenger growth of 13.6% and international growth of 16.4%.
Managed corporate revenue rose 27.6%, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth, while enrolments in the AAdvantage loyalty programme increased 27.4%.
Premium passenger unit revenue grew 18.5%, outpacing the 14.4% increase recorded in Main Cabin, as American continued to expand premium seating and invest in its customer experience.
The airline also reported one of the strongest unit cost performances among network carriers, with adjusted cost per available seat mile, excluding fuel and certain other items (CASM-ex), increasing 3%.
American expects the pressure from fuel costs to intensify in the fourth quarter, forecasting an average price of approximately $4.70 per gallon based on the forward fuel curve on 19 October.
At that price, fourth-quarter fuel expense is expected to rise by approximately $2.8 billion year on year, although the company projects revenue growth of between 19.5% and 22.5%.
The airline also expects network growth to slow in 2027 compared with 2026 levels because of elevated fuel prices.
American ended the third quarter with $11.8 billion in total available liquidity and more than $26 billion in unencumbered assets and first-lien capacity, while maintaining its commitment to reduce debt and interest expense.
The company expects to achieve nearly $1 billion in annual run-rate savings by the end of 2026 through a multiyear efficiency programme, alongside more than $900 million in working capital improvements.
The results highlight American’s ability to generate strong demand and grow higher-margin premium revenue, although persistently high fuel prices remain a major obstacle to restoring profitability.
Shares of American Airlines were up over 3% on Thursday.
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 22, 2026 8:30 AM EDT
Company Participants
Neil Russell - Vice President of Investor Relations
Robert Isom - CEO, President & Director
Nathaniel Pieper - Chief Commercial Officer
Devon May - Executive VP & CFO
Conference Call Participants
Catherine O'Brien - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., Research Division
Jamie Baker - JPMorgan Chase & Co, Research Division
Ravi Shanker - Morgan Stanley, Research Division
Atul Maheswari - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division
Thomas Fitzgerald - TD Cowen, Research Division
Duane Pfennigwerth - Evercore ISI Institutional Equities, Research Division
Scott Group - Wolfe Research, LLC
John Godyn - Citigroup Inc., Research Division
Andrew Didora - BofA Securities, Research Division
David Vernon - Bernstein Institutional Services LLC, Research Division
Alison Sider
Leslie Josephs
Presentation
Operator
Thank you for standing by, and welcome to American Airlines Group's Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the call over to Neil Russell, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Neil Russell
Vice President of Investor Relations
Thanks, Latif, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to the American Airlines Earnings Conference Call. On the call with prepared remarks, we have our Chief Executive Officer, Robert Isom; our Chief Commercial Officer, Nathaniel Pieper; and our Chief Financial Officer, Devon May.
After our prepared remarks, we will open the call for analyst questions, followed by questions from the media. To get in as many questions as possible, please limit yourself to one question and one followup. Before we begin, please note that today's call contains forward-looking statements, including statements concerning future events, costs, forecast of capacity and fleet plans. These statements represent our predictions and expectations of future events, but numerous risks and uncertainties could cause actual results to differ from those projected. Information about some of these risks and uncertainties can be found in our earnings news release that was issued earlier this morning, Form 10-K for
Key Takeaways AAL's Q3 loss of 28 cents per share met estimates, while record revenues of $16.34B beat expectations.
Premium revenues jumped 22.9%, but a 67.5% surge in fuel expenses weighed on American Airlines' margins.AAL expects a Q4 adjusted loss of 50 cents to $1.10 per share amid elevated fuel prices and rising costs.
American Airlines (AAL - Free Report) reported a third-quarter 2026 loss (excluding 13 cents from non-recurring items) of 28 cents per share, wider than the year-ago loss of 17 cents. However, the figure was in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Results were hurt by elevated fuel expenses.
Operating revenues surged 19.3% year over year to a record $16.34 billion and surpassed the consensus mark of $16.20 billion by 0.8%. Revenue growth was supported by strong premium demand, higher passenger yields and robust corporate travel. Total revenue per available seat mile increased 14.5%.
AAL's Passenger Revenues Gain on Strong PricingPassenger revenues climbed 19.5% year over year to $14.90 billion. Cargo revenues increased 29.1% to $274 million, while other revenues advanced 15.2% to $1.16 billion.
Passenger yield rose 18.3% to 22.15 cents, reflecting stronger pricing. Passenger revenue per available seat mile increased 14.6% to 18.47 cents. Revenue passenger miles grew 1%, while capacity, measured in available seat miles, expanded 4.2%. The passenger load factor (% of seats filled with passengers) declined 2.6 percentage points to 83.4%, just ahead of our estimate of 83%.
American Airlines Sees Broad Premium and Regional StrengthPremium revenues increased 22.9% year over year, outperforming the 19.5% rise in Main Cabin revenues. Premium passenger unit revenues advanced 18.5%, compared with 14.4% growth in Main Cabin. Managed corporate revenues jumped 27.6%, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth.
Domestic passenger revenues rose 20.2% to $10.49 billion, supported by a 13.6% increase in passenger unit revenues. International passenger revenues grew 17.7% to $4.41 billion. Latin America revenues climbed 20.7%, while Atlantic and Pacific revenues increased 15.6% and 18.5%, respectively.
AAL Faces a Sharp Increase in Fuel ExpensesTotal operating expenses rose 19.8% year over year to $16.22 billion. Aircraft fuel and related taxes surged 67.5% to $4.64 billion, reflecting a 62.7% increase in the average fuel price to $3.85 per gallon.
Salaries, wages and benefits increased 5.7% to $4.71 billion. Maintenance, materials and repairs rose 6.2% to $1.09 billion, while regional operating expenses increased 5.5% to $1.36 billion. CASM excluding special items, fuel and profit sharing advanced 3% to 14.34 cents.
American Airlines' Margins Shrink Despite Revenue GrowthGAAP operating income declined 23.4% year over year to $115 million. The reported operating margin narrowed to 0.7% from 1.1%, as higher fuel expenses more than offset the benefits of record revenues.
Adjusted operating income declined 16.2% to $132 million, while the adjusted operating margin contracted to 0.8% from 1.2%. GAAP net loss widened to $269 million, or 41 cents per share, compared with a loss of $114 million, or 17 cents, a year earlier.
AAL Expands Loyalty and Enhances Customer ExperienceAAdvantage enrollments increased 27.4% year over year, while spending on the company's co-branded Citi credit cards grew nearly 10%. Commercial initiatives contributed to a 6-percentage-point increase in the upsell rate from Basic Economy to Main Cabin.
American also announced plans to extend Starlink Wi-Fi installations across its entire mainline fleet, covering more than 1,000 aircraft. The carrier continues investing in premium lounges, seatback entertainment and fleet modernization. Its narrowbody retrofit program is expected to increase premium seating to 40% in the coming years.
American Airlines Maintains Liquidity, Issues Cautious OutlookAAL ended the third quarter with $11.8 billion in total available liquidity. Cash totaled $1.12 billion, while short-term investments stood at $7.16 billion at September-end.
Operating cash flow for the first nine months of 2026 increased to $4.54 billion from $3.37 billion a year ago. Capital expenditures and aircraft purchase deposits totaled $2.73 billion. The company repaid $5.35 billion in long-term debt and finance leases while issuing $5.93 billion of long-term debt.
For the fourth quarter, AAL expects revenues to increase 19.5-22.5% year over year, with capacity growth of 5.5-6.5%. CASM, excluding special items, fuel and profit sharing, is projected to rise 2.5-3.5%.
Management expects fourth-quarter adjusted loss between 50 cents and $1.10 per share. The Zacks Consensus Estimate is currently pegged at a loss of 40 cents per share. The outlook assumes an average fuel price of approximately $4.70 per gallon and a $2.8 billion year-over-year increase in fuel expenses.
For full-year 2026, American Airlines anticipates adjusted loss ranging from $1 to $1.60 per share. The Zacks Consensus Estimate is currently pegged at a loss of 94 cents per share. Given elevated fuel prices, the carrier expects network growth in 2027 to slow from 2026 levels.
American Airlines has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) at present.
You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Q3 Performance of Other Airline CompaniesDelta Air Lines (DAL - Free Report) reported third-quarter 2026 earnings (excluding 57 cents from non-recurring items) of $1.72 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.80 by 4.44%. Earnings increased year over year despite sharply higher fuel costs and rising non-fuel expenses.
Adjusted revenues climbed 16% year over year to $17.59 billion but missed the consensus estimate of $17.74 billion by 0.9%. Broad demand strength and healthy yields lifted adjusted total revenue per available seat mile, or TRASM, 15%, while premium and diversified revenue streams continued to expand.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK - Free Report) reported third-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings of 36 cents per share, excluding certain tax impacts, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 35 cents by 2.9%. The company had reported adjusted earnings of $1.05 per share a year earlier. Higher fuel expenses weighed on profitability despite strong revenue momentum.
Operating revenues increased 14.4% year over year to $4.30 billion but missed the consensus mark of $4.31 billion by 0.1%. Revenue per available seat mile, or RASM, rose 11.7%, supported by strong yields, premium demand and loyalty revenues.
CNBC's Phil LeBeau and American Airlines CEO Robert Isom join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the company's quarterly earnings results, impact of higher jet fuel costs, and more.
American Airlines (AAL - Free Report) came out with a quarterly loss of $0.28 per share in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. This compares to a loss of $0.17 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.
A quarter ago, it was expected that this world's largest airline would post earnings of $0.03 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.15, delivering a surprise of +400%.
Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times.
American Airlines, which belongs to the Zacks Transportation - Airline industry, posted revenues of $16.34 billion for the quarter ended September 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.82%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $13.69 billion. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates three times over the last four quarters.
The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.
American Airlines shares have lost about 20.2% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 13.3%.
What's Next for American Airlines?While American Airlines has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?
There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.
Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.
Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for American Airlines was unfavorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to underperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is -$0.40 on $16.38 billion in revenues for the coming quarter and -$0.94 on $63.18 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year.
Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Transportation - Airline is currently in the bottom 6% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.
One other stock from the same industry, Bristow Group (VTOL - Free Report) , is yet to report results for the quarter ended September 2026.
This provider of helicopter transportation services is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.18 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -31.4%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days.
Bristow Group's revenues are expected to be $447.77 million, up 15.9% from the year-ago quarter.
For the quarter ended September 2026, American Airlines (AAL - Free Report) reported revenue of $16.34 billion, up 19.3% over the same period last year. EPS came in at -$0.28, compared to -$0.17 in the year-ago quarter.
The reported revenue represents a surprise of +0.82% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $16.2 billion. With the consensus EPS estimate being -$0.28, the company has not delivered EPS surprise.
While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company's underlying performance.
Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance.
Here is how American Airlines performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:
Operating cost per ASM excluding net special items and fuel - Total: 14.34 cents versus the four-analyst average estimate of 14.44 cents.Operating cost per ASM excluding net special items - Total: 20.08 cents versus the four-analyst average estimate of 20.08 cents.Passenger load factor (percent) - Total: 83.4% versus the four-analyst average estimate of 84.4%.Average aircraft fuel price including related taxes - Total: 3.85 $/gal compared to the 3.79 $/gal average estimate based on four analysts.Passenger revenue per ASM - Total: 18.47 cents versus 18.37 cents estimated by four analysts on average.Total revenue per ASM - Total: 20.25 cents versus 20.13 cents estimated by four analysts on average.Available seat miles - Total: 80.68 billion compared to the 80.32 billion average estimate based on four analysts.Yield - Total: 22.15 cents versus the three-analyst average estimate of 21.9 cents.Fuel consumption - Total: 1,204.00 MGal compared to the 1,202.66 MGal average estimate based on three analysts.Revenue- Passenger: $14.9 billion compared to the $14.82 billion average estimate based on five analysts. The reported number represents a change of +19.5% year over year.Revenue- Other: $1.16 billion versus $1.21 billion estimated by four analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +15.2% change.Revenue- Cargo: $274 million versus the four-analyst average estimate of $260.97 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +29.3%.View all Key Company Metrics for American Airlines here>>>
Shares of American Airlines have returned -8.4% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's no change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), indicating that it could underperform the broader market in the near term.
FORT WORTH, Texas, Oct. 22, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ: AAL) today reported its third-quarter 2026 financial results, reflecting execution of its commercial strategy and the benefits of long-term investments in its customers, team members, network, fleet and technology.
Third-quarter financial highlights:
Total revenue of $16.3 billion, up 19.3% year over year, above the high end of the previously announced guidance range.Delivered the best unit cost performance among the network carriers, with CASM-ex1 up 3.0%.Fuel expense for the quarter increased $1.9 billion, or 67.5%, year over year.GAAP net loss of $269 million, or ($0.41) per diluted share.Adjusted net loss of $182 million2, or ($0.28) per diluted share. Adjusted net loss was only $71 million below third quarter 2025 despite the $1.9 billion increase in fuel expense. “American delivered record third-quarter revenue and the strongest year-over-year revenue growth in my career, with premium performance leading the way,” said American's CEO Robert Isom. "The investments we are making across the four pillars of our commercial strategy are working, and we expect another quarter of record revenue growth to close out the year. While historically high fuel prices significantly impacted our financial results, our focus remains on restoring profitability and building a stronger American for the long term. I’m grateful to the American Airlines team for making this progress possible.”
The company’s third-quarter results were driven by strong revenue performance across all geographies and cabins:
Premium revenue increased 22.9%, and Main Cabin revenue increased 19.5% year over year.Total unit revenue increased 14.5% year over year, reflecting continued strength in demand for travel.Domestic passenger unit revenue increased 13.6% year over year in the third quarter.International passenger unit revenue increased 16.4%, with the Latin America entity up 21.1%, the Atlantic entity up 14.5% and the Pacific entity up 11.3% compared to the third quarter of 2025.AAdvantage® enrollments increased 27.4% year over year.Demand for business travel remained strong, with managed corporate revenue increasing 27.6% year over year, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth. This revenue performance was a result of the company’s continued focus on its four commercial pillars: elevate the customer experience, grow the global network, drive premium revenue and lead in loyalty.
1) Elevate the customer experience
American’s investments in high-speed connectivity, lounges, seatback entertainment, airport facilities and fleet modernization are creating the foundation for a best-in-class customer experience.
In May, American announced plans to equip more than 500 aircraft with high-speed Starlink Wi-Fi, representing the largest in-flight connectivity upgrade in the airline’s history. Building on that commitment, the company announced on Oct. 8 that it plans to expand Starlink installation across its entire mainline fleet, bringing the technology to more than 1,000 aircraft. Once installation is complete, American will offer one of the largest fleets of Starlink-connected aircraft in the world.
The company also continues to grow its Admirals Club® and premium lounge network with more lounges opening or being renovated than at any point in company history. Additionally, American announced the expansion of seatback entertainment to the narrowbody fleet, including screens on new deliveries beginning in 2028. With these foundational investments underway, American remains focused on further improving customer satisfaction through enhanced operational reliability, better disruption management and a more consistent travel experience.
2) Grow the global network
American continues to strengthen its global network, offering customers more destinations, better connectivity and greater schedule utility. At Dallas Fort Worth International Airport (DFW), this year's rebank produced record passenger volumes, fewer misconnections and mishandled bags, and unit revenue that outpaced the rest of the system. In Chicago, Miami, Philadelphia and Phoenix, American is building stronger schedules for local customers.
3) Drive premium revenue
American continues to see momentum in premium demand, demonstrating the benefits of recent investments across its premium products and customer experience. Premium passenger unit revenue increased 18.5% year over year during the third quarter, compared with an increase of 14.4% in Main Cabin.
American plans to continue expanding premium seating through the delivery of new aircraft and the retrofit of existing aircraft. Premium products generate roughly half of the company's ticket revenue on approximately 30% of seats today. Through the recently announced narrowbody retrofit program, American expects premium seats on narrowbody aircraft to increase to 40% in the coming years.
The company also continues to take actions to improve revenue quality and provide customers with a broader range of choices. These initiatives contributed to a 6-point increase in the upsell rate from Basic Economy to Main Cabin during the quarter.
4) Lead in loyalty
The AAdvantage® program remains one of American's strongest competitive advantages, driving customer engagement, premium demand and long-term value creation. The program continues to benefit from strong member activity, increased engagement and enhancements to American’s co-branded credit card program.
Enrollments in the AAdvantage® program increased 27.4% year over year in the third quarter. American’s co-branded credit card partnership with Citi saw year-over-year third-quarter card spend growth of nearly 10%.
Efficiency and cost performance
American continues to benefit from long-term investments in technology, procurement and other initiatives designed to build a more efficient and resilient airline. The company is reengineering how work gets done across the business, improving productivity and simplifying processes while continuing to invest in the customer and team member experience.
By the end of 2026, the company expects to have achieved nearly $1 billion in annual run rate savings and more than $900 million in working capital improvements through its multiyear reengineering efforts. American continues to identify opportunities to use technology, automation and artificial intelligence to simplify the business and equip team members with better tools to improve decision-making.
“We remain focused on the factors that drive the most value,” said American’s Chief Financial Officer Devon May. “Our long-term focus on efficiency supported industry-leading unit cost results in the quarter, with CASM-ex increasing 3.0% year over year. For the full year, we expect to lead the network carriers in the spread between year-over-year unit revenue and CASM-ex growth.”
Overall financial results were pressured by a significant increase in fuel costs. American paid an average of $3.85 per gallon in the third quarter, which increased fuel expense by $1.9 billion year over year.
Balance sheet and liquidity
American ended the third quarter with $11.8 billion of total available liquidity and more than $26 billion of unencumbered assets and first-lien capacity. The company remains committed to reducing debt, lowering interest expense and achieving its target of 3.0x net debt3 to EBITDAR, in line with BB credit metrics.
Outlook and financial guidance
In the fourth quarter, the company expects continued revenue strength, with year-over-year revenue growth between 19.5% and 22.5%. Based on the forward fuel curve as of Oct. 19, American anticipates an average fuel price of approximately $4.70 per gallon, nearly double the price paid in the fourth quarter of 2025. At that price, fuel expense is expected to increase approximately $2.8 billion versus the fourth quarter of 2025.
Given elevated fuel prices, American expects network growth in 2027 to slow from 2026 levels.
4Q 2026E (vs. 4Q 2025)Available seat miles+5.5% – +6.5%Total revenue+19.5% – +22.5%CASM excluding net special items, fuel and profit sharing1+2.5% – +3.5%Adjusted loss per diluted share4($1.10) – ($0.50) FY 2026E Adjusted loss per diluted share4($1.60) – ($1.00) Conference call and webcast
American will host a conference call at 7:30 a.m. CT today. A live webcast and replay will be available at American’s investor relations website.
Notes
See the accompanying notes in the financial tables section of this news release for further explanation, including reconciliations of certain GAAP to non-GAAP financial information.
Cost per available seat mile excluding net special items, fuel and profit sharing, or CASM-ex, is a non-GAAP measure. The company is unable to reconcile certain forward-looking information to GAAP because the nature or amount of net special items cannot be determined at this time.Adjusted net loss is a non-GAAP financial measure and excludes $87 million of net special items after the effect of taxes that the company recognized in the third quarter.Net debt includes debt, finance and operating lease liabilities and pension obligations less unrestricted cash and short-term investments.Adjusted loss per diluted share guidance excludes the impact of net special items and represents an absolute number, not a year-over-year comparison. The company is unable to reconcile certain forward-looking information to GAAP as the nature or amount of net special items cannot be determined at this time.Other: Third-quarter revenue growth of 19.3% is the highest in company history excluding the years following the pandemic.
About American Airlines Group (NASDAQ: AAL)
American Airlines is a premium global airline connecting more of the U.S. to the world. With roots tracing back to an air mail carrier in the Midwestern United States in 1926, American now operates more than 6,000 daily flights to more than 350 destinations in more than 60 countries and serves more than 200 million customers annually. Powered by a proud and talented team of 140,000 aviation professionals, American’s team lives out the airline’s purpose of caring for people on life’s journey every day.
The world’s largest airline proudly celebrates its centennial year in 2026, reaching a milestone that reflects a century of innovation and the Forever ForwardSM spirit that changed the industry and the world. American introduced the first scheduled air cargo service, the first airport lounge and the first airline loyalty program and continues to reinvent the customer experience today. The airline is also a founding member of the oneworld alliance, whose members serve more than 900 destinations around the globe.
Get the latest about American at news.aa.com and @AmericanAir.
Use of websites and social media to disclose information
American routinely uses the investor relations section of its website as well as its social media pages, including on Facebook and X, and its newsroom at news.aa.com, to disclose important information about American Airlines Group Inc. and its subsidiaries and to comply with its disclosure obligations under Regulation Fair Disclosure. The information contained on, or that may be accessed through, the company’s website, social media channels or newsroom is not incorporated by reference into, and is not a part of, this document, and all website addresses in this document are intended to be inactive textual references only.
Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements and information
Certain of the statements contained in this document should be considered forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “intend,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “plan,” “project,” “could,” “should,” “would,” “continue,” “seek,” “target,” “guidance,” “outlook,” “if current trends continue,” “optimistic,” “forecast” and other similar words. Such statements include, but are not limited to, statements about the company’s plans, objectives, expectations, intentions, estimates and strategies for the future, and other statements that are not historical facts. These forward-looking statements are based on the company’s current objectives, beliefs and expectations, and they are subject to significant risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results and financial position and timing of certain events to differ materially from the information in the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, downturns in economic conditions could adversely affect our business; we will need to obtain sufficient financing or other capital to operate successfully; our high level of debt and other obligations may limit our ability to fund general corporate requirements and obtain additional financing, may limit our flexibility in responding to competitive developments and may cause our business to be vulnerable to adverse economic and industry conditions; if our financial condition worsens, provisions in our credit card processing and other commercial agreements may adversely affect our liquidity; the loss of key personnel whom we depend on to operate our business, or the inability to attract, develop and retain additional qualified personnel could adversely affect our business; our business has been and will continue to be materially affected by many changing economic, geopolitical, commercial, regulatory and other conditions beyond our control, including global events that affect travel behavior; the airline industry is intensely competitive and dynamic; union disputes, employee strikes and other labor-related disruptions may adversely affect our operations and financial performance; if we encounter problems with any of our third-party regional operators or third-party service providers, our operations could be adversely affected by a resulting decline in revenue or negative public perception about our services; any damage to our reputation or brand image could adversely affect our business or financial results; risks of losses and adverse publicity from any public incidents involving our company, people or brand; changes to our business model that are designed to increase revenues and reduce costs may not be successful and may cause operational difficulties or decreased demand; our intellectual property rights, particularly our branding rights, are valuable, and any inability to protect them may adversely affect our business and financial results; we may be a party to litigation in the normal course of business or otherwise, which could affect our financial position and liquidity; we rely heavily on technology and automated systems, including artificial intelligence, to operate our business, and any failures could harm our business, results of operations and financial condition; evolving data privacy requirements could increase our costs, and any significant cybersecurity incident could disrupt our operations, harm our reputation, expose us to legal risks and otherwise materially adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition; we are exposed to risks from cyberattacks, and any cybersecurity incidents involving us, our third-party service providers, or one of our AAdvantage partners or other business partners; we have a significant amount of goodwill, which is assessed for impairment at least annually. We may never realize the full value of our intangible or long-lived assets, causing us to record material impairment charges; the commercial relationships that we have with other companies, including any related equity investments, may not produce the returns or results we expect; our business is very dependent on the price and availability of aircraft fuel. Continued periods of high volatility in fuel costs, increased fuel prices or significant disruptions in the supply of aircraft fuel could have a significant negative impact on consumer demand, our operating results and liquidity; our business is subject to extensive government regulation; we can be adversely affected by any prolonged partial or full U.S. Government shutdown; we operate a global business with international operations that are subject to economic and political instability and have been, and in the future may continue to be, adversely affected by numerous events, circumstances or government actions beyond our control; we may be adversely affected by conflicts overseas, terrorist attacks or other acts of violence, domestically or abroad; the travel industry continues to face ongoing security concerns; we are subject to risks associated with climate change, including increased regulation of our greenhouse gas emissions, changing consumer preferences and the potential for increased impacts of severe weather events on our operations and infrastructure; we are subject to various risks associated with environmental and social matters, and many forms of environmental and noise regulation; a shortage of pilots or other personnel could materially adversely affect our business; we depend on a limited number of suppliers for aircraft, aircraft engines and parts. Delays in scheduled aircraft deliveries, unexpected grounding of aircraft or aircraft engines whether by regulators or by us, or other loss of anticipated fleet capacity, and failure of new aircraft to receive regulatory approval, be produced or otherwise perform as and when expected, adversely impacts our business, results of operations and financial condition; we rely on third-party distribution channels and must effectively manage the costs, rights and functionality of these channels; if we are unable to obtain and maintain adequate facilities and infrastructure throughout our system and, at some airports, adequate slots, we may be unable to operate our existing flight schedule and to expand or change our route network in the future; interruptions or disruptions in service at one of our key facilities; increases in insurance costs or reductions in insurance coverage, and heavy taxation of the airline industry; risks related to ownership of AAG common stock; and other risks set forth herein as well as in the company’s latest annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 (especially in Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors and Part II, Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations) and subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10-Q (especially in Part I, Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations and Part II, Item 1A. Risk Factors), and other risks and uncertainties listed from time to time in the company’s other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Additionally, there may be other factors of which the company is not currently aware that may affect matters discussed in the forward-looking statements and may also cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed. The company does not assume any obligation to publicly update or supplement any forward-looking statement to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in other factors affecting these forward-looking statements other than as required by law. Any forward-looking statements speak only as of the date hereof or as of the dates indicated in the statement.
Financial tables
American Airlines Group Inc. Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (In millions, except share and per share amounts) (Unaudited) 3 Months Ended
September 30, Percent
Increase 9 Months Ended
September 30, Percent
Increase 2026 2025 (Decrease) 2026 2025 (Decrease) Operating revenues: Passenger $14,900 $12,471 19.5 $42,609 $36,985 15.2 Cargo 274 212 29.1 761 612 24.3 Other 1,161 1,008 15.2 3,612 3,037 18.9 Total operating revenues 16,335 13,691 19.3 46,982 40,634 15.6 Operating expenses: Aircraft fuel and related taxes 4,635 2,767 67.5 12,444 8,017 55.2 Salaries, wages and benefits 4,713 4,461 5.7 14,027 13,065 7.4 Regional expenses: Regional operating expenses 1,356 1,286 5.5 4,012 3,809 5.3 Regional depreciation and amortization 93 84 10.5 276 244 13.0 Maintenance, materials and repairs 1,092 1,028 6.2 3,100 2,876 7.8 Other rent and landing fees 996 906 9.9 2,862 2,627 9.0 Aircraft rent 309 310 (0.5) 926 910 1.7 Selling expenses 553 483 14.7 1,664 1,467 13.4 Depreciation and amortization 493 474 3.9 1,446 1,418 2.0 Special items, net 9 7 22.5 29 125 (76.6) Other 1,971 1,734 13.7 5,675 5,061 12.1 Total operating expenses 16,220 13,540 19.8 46,461 39,619 17.3 Operating income 115 151 (23.4) 521 1,015 (48.7) Nonoperating income (expense): Interest income 87 90 (3.8) 217 285 (24.0) Interest expense, net (435) (432) 0.7 (1,242) (1,294) (4.0) Other income (expense), net (101) 49 nm(1) (198) 42 nm Total nonoperating expense, net (449) (293) 53.8 (1,223) (967) 26.5 Income (loss) before income taxes (334) (142) nm (702) 48 nm Income tax provision (benefit) (65) (28) nm (122) 36 nm Net income (loss) $(269) $(114) nm $(580) $12 nm Earnings (loss) per common share: Basic $(0.41) $(0.17) $(0.88) $0.02 Diluted $(0.41) $(0.17) $(0.88) $0.02 Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands): Basic 662,706 660,358 662,026 659,788 Diluted 662,706 660,358 662,026 660,784 Note: Percent change may not recalculate due to rounding.
(1) Not meaningful or greater than 100% change.
American Airlines Group Inc.Consolidated Operating Statistics (1)(Unaudited) 3 Months Ended
September 30, Increase 9 Months Ended
September 30, Increase 2026 2025 (Decrease) 2026 2025 (Decrease) Revenue passenger miles (millions) 67,265 66,580 1.0 % 193,934 188,698 2.8 %Available seat miles (ASM) (millions) 80,680 77,400 4.2 % 234,533 224,939 4.3 %Passenger load factor (percent) 83.4 86.0 (2.6)pts 82.7 83.9 (1.2)ptsYield (cents) 22.15 18.73 18.3 % 21.97 19.60 12.1 %Passenger revenue per ASM (cents) 18.47 16.11 14.6 % 18.17 16.44 10.5 %Total revenue per ASM (cents) 20.25 17.69 14.5 % 20.03 18.06 10.9 %Cargo ton miles (millions) 625 545 14.7 % 1,790 1,550 15.5 %Cargo yield per ton mile (cents) 43.86 38.94 12.6 % 42.52 39.52 7.6 % Fuel consumption (gallons in millions) 1,204 1,169 3.0 % 3,473 3,375 2.9 %Average aircraft fuel price including related taxes (dollars per gallon) 3.85 2.37 62.7 % 3.58 2.38 50.8 % Operating cost per ASM (cents) 20.10 17.49 14.9 % 19.81 17.61 12.5 %Operating cost per ASM excluding net special items (cents) 20.08 17.48 14.9 % 19.79 17.56 12.7 %Operating cost per ASM excluding net special items and fuel (cents) 14.34 13.91 3.1 % 14.49 13.99 3.5 %Operating cost per ASM excluding net special items, fuel and profit sharing (cents)14.34 13.92 3.0 % 14.49 13.98 3.6 % Passenger enplanements (thousands) 58,143 58,474 (0.6)% 169,014 168,220 0.5 %Departures (thousands): Mainline 304 298 2.3 % 896 881 1.7 %Regional 281 267 5.3 % 820 787 4.2 %Total 585 565 3.7 % 1,716 1,668 2.9 %Average stage length (miles): Mainline 1,220 1,201 1.6 % 1,212 1,188 2.0 %Regional 471 464 1.4 % 473 465 1.9 %Total 861 853 0.9 % 859 846 1.5 %Aircraft at end of period: Mainline 1,037 998 3.9 % 1,037 998 3.9 %Regional (2) 587 557 5.4 % 587 557 5.4 %Total 1,624 1,555 4.4 % 1,624 1,555 4.4 %Full-time equivalent employees at end of period: Mainline 107,700 104,900 2.7 % 107,700 104,900 2.7 %Regional (3) 33,400 32,000 4.4 % 33,400 32,000 4.4 %Total 141,100 136,900 3.1 % 141,100 136,900 3.1 % Note: Amounts may not recalculate due to rounding. (1) Unless otherwise noted, operating statistics include mainline and regional operations. Regional includes wholly-owned regional airline subsidiaries and operating results from capacity purchase carriers.(2) Includes aircraft owned and leased by American as well as aircraft operated by third-party regional carriers under capacity purchase agreements. Excluded from the aircraft count above are two Bombardier CRJ900 regional aircraft that are held in temporary storage as of September 30, 2026.(3) Regional full-time equivalent employees only include our wholly-owned regional airline subsidiaries. American Airlines Group Inc.Consolidated Revenue Statistics by Region(Unaudited) 3 Months Ended
September 30, Increase 9 Months Ended
September 30, Increase 2026 2025 (Decrease) 2026 2025 (Decrease) Domestic (1) Revenue passenger miles (millions) 44,579 43,741 1.9 % 129,068 125,206 3.1 %Available seat miles (ASM) (millions) 54,096 51,106 5.9 % 157,579 149,762 5.2 %Passenger load factor (percent) 82.4 85.6 (3.2)pts 81.9 83.6 (1.7)ptsPassenger revenue (dollars in millions) 10,489 8,723 20.2 % 30,205 26,010 16.1 %Yield (cents) 23.53 19.94 18.0 % 23.40 20.77 12.7 %Passenger revenue per ASM (cents) 19.39 17.07 13.6 % 19.17 17.37 10.4 % Latin America (2) Revenue passenger miles (millions) 7,706 7,726 (0.3)% 26,612 26,106 1.9 %Available seat miles (millions) 8,807 8,832 (0.3)% 31,379 30,560 2.7 %Passenger load factor (percent) 87.5 87.5 - pts 84.8 85.4 (0.6)ptsPassenger revenue (dollars in millions) 1,618 1,340 20.7 % 5,307 4,795 10.7 %Yield (cents) 20.99 17.34 21.1 % 19.94 18.37 8.6 %Passenger revenue per ASM (cents) 18.37 15.17 21.1 % 16.91 15.69 7.8 % Atlantic Revenue passenger miles (millions) 12,746 12,951 (1.6)% 30,802 30,317 1.6 %Available seat miles (millions) 15,023 14,878 1.0 % 36,708 36,255 1.2 %Passenger load factor (percent) 84.8 87.0 (2.2)pts 83.9 83.6 0.3 ptsPassenger revenue (dollars in millions) 2,438 2,109 15.6 % 5,893 5,160 14.2 %Yield (cents) 19.13 16.28 17.5 % 19.13 17.02 12.4 %Passenger revenue per ASM (cents) 16.23 14.17 14.5 % 16.05 14.23 12.8 % Pacific Revenue passenger miles (millions) 2,234 2,162 3.3 % 7,452 7,069 5.4 %Available seat miles (millions) 2,754 2,584 6.6 % 8,867 8,362 6.0 %Passenger load factor (percent) 81.1 83.7 (2.6)pts 84.0 84.5 (0.5)ptsPassenger revenue (dollars in millions) 355 299 18.5 % 1,204 1,020 18.0 %Yield (cents) 15.88 13.84 14.8 % 16.15 14.43 11.9 %Passenger revenue per ASM (cents) 12.88 11.58 11.3 % 13.57 12.20 11.3 % Total International Revenue passenger miles (millions) 22,686 22,839 (0.7)% 64,866 63,492 2.2 %Available seat miles (millions) 26,584 26,294 1.1 % 76,954 75,177 2.4 %Passenger load factor (percent) 85.3 86.9 (1.6)pts 84.3 84.5 (0.2)ptsPassenger revenue (dollars in millions) 4,411 3,748 17.7 % 12,404 10,975 13.0 %Yield (cents) 19.44 16.41 18.5 % 19.12 17.29 10.6 %Passenger revenue per ASM (cents) 16.59 14.25 16.4 % 16.12 14.60 10.4 % Note: Amounts may not recalculate due to rounding. (1) Domestic results include Canada, Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands.(2) Latin America results include the Caribbean. Reconciliation of GAAP Financial Information to Non-GAAP Financial Information American Airlines Group Inc. (the Company) sometimes uses financial measures that are derived from the condensed consolidated financial statements but that are not presented in accordance with GAAP to understand and evaluate its current operating performance and to allow for period-to-period comparisons. The Company believes these non-GAAP financial measures may also provide useful information to investors and others. These non-GAAP measures may not be comparable to similarly titled non-GAAP measures of other companies, and should be considered in addition to, and not as a substitute for or superior to, any measure of performance, cash flow or liquidity prepared in accordance with GAAP. The Company is providing a reconciliation of reported non-GAAP financial measures to their comparable financial measures on a GAAP basis. The tables below present the reconciliations of the following GAAP measures to their non-GAAP measures: - Operating Income (GAAP measure) to Operating Income Excluding Net Special Items (non-GAAP measure)
- Operating Margin (GAAP measure) to Operating Margin Excluding Net Special Items (non-GAAP measure)
- Pre-Tax Income (Loss) (GAAP measure) to Pre-Tax Income (Loss) Excluding Net Special Items (non-GAAP measure)
- Pre-Tax Margin (GAAP measure) to Pre-Tax Margin Excluding Net Special Items (non-GAAP measure)
- Net Income (Loss) (GAAP measure) to Net Income (Loss) Excluding Net Special Items (non-GAAP measure)
- Basic and Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share (GAAP measure) to Basic and Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share Excluding Net Special Items (non-GAAP measure) Management uses these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate the Company's current operating performance and to allow for period-to-period comparisons. As net special items may vary from period-to-period in nature and amount, the adjustment to exclude net special items provides management with an additional tool to understand the Company’s core operating performance. Additionally, the tables below present the reconciliations of total operating costs (GAAP measure) to total operating costs excluding net special items, fuel and profit sharing (non-GAAP measure) and total operating costs per ASM (CASM) to CASM excluding net special items, fuel and profit sharing. Management uses total operating costs excluding net special items, fuel and profit sharing and CASM excluding net special items, fuel and profit sharing to evaluate the Company's current operating performance and to allow for period-to-period comparisons. The price of fuel, over which the Company has no control, impacts the comparability of period-to-period financial performance. Additionally, the Company excludes profit sharing to allow investors to better understand and analyze its operating cost performance and to provide a more meaningful comparison of its core operating costs to the airline industry. The adjustment to exclude net special items, fuel and profit sharing provides management with an additional tool to understand and analyze the Company’s non-fuel costs and core operating performance. Reconciliation of Operating Income Excluding Net Special Items 3 Months Ended
September 30, Percent
Increase 9 Months Ended
September 30,Percent
Increase 2026 2025 (Decrease) 2026 2025 (Decrease) (in millions) (in millions) Operating income as reported $115 $151 $521 $1,015 Operating net special items: Mainline operating special items, net (1) 9 7 29 125 Regional operating special items, net 8 - 8 - Operating income excluding net special items $132 $158 (16.2%) $558 $1,140 (51.0%) Calculation of Operating Margin Operating income as reported $115 $151 $521 $1,015 Total operating revenues as reported $16,335 $13,691 $46,982 $40,634 Operating margin 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 2.5% Calculation of Operating Margin Excluding Net Special Items Operating income excluding net special items $132 $158 $558 $1,140 Total operating revenues as reported $16,335 $13,691 $46,982 $40,634 Operating margin excluding net special items 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 2.8% Reconciliation of Pre-Tax Income (Loss) Excluding Net Special Items Pre-tax income (loss) as reported $(334) $(142) $(702) $48 Pre-tax net special items: Mainline operating special items, net (1) 9 7 29 125 Regional operating special items, net 8 - 8 - Nonoperating special items, net (2) 95 (4) 259 28 Total pre-tax net special items 112 3 296 153 Pre-tax income (loss) excluding net special items $(222) $(139) 60.1% $(406) $201 nm Calculation of Pre-Tax Margin Pre-tax income (loss) as reported $(334) $(142) $(702) $48 Total operating revenues as reported $16,335 $13,691 $46,982 $40,634 Pre-tax margin (2.0%) (1.0%) (1.5%) 0.1% Calculation of Pre-Tax Margin Excluding Net Special Items Pre-tax income (loss) excluding net special items $(222) $(139) $(406) $201 Total operating revenues as reported $16,335 $13,691 $46,982 $40,634 Pre-tax margin excluding net special items (1.4%) (1.0%) (0.9%) 0.5% 3 Months Ended
September 30, Percent
Increase 9 Months Ended
September 30,Percent
Increase Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) Excluding Net Special Items 2026 2025 (Decrease) 2026 2025 (Decrease) (in millions, except share and per share amounts) (in millions, except share and per share amounts) Net income (loss) as reported $(269) $(114) $(580) $12 Net special items: Total pre-tax net special items (1), (2) 112 3 296 153 Net tax effect of net special items (25) - (66) (34) Net income (loss) excluding net special items $(182) $(111) 63.7% $(350) $131 nm Reconciliation of Basic and Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share Excluding Net Special Items Net income (loss) excluding net special items $(182) $(111) $(350) $131 Shares used for computation (in thousands): Basic 662,706 660,358 662,026 659,788 Diluted 662,706 660,358 662,026 660,784 Earnings (loss) per share excluding net special items: Basic $(0.28) $(0.17) $(0.53) $0.20 Diluted $(0.28) $(0.17) $(0.53) $0.20 Reconciliation of Total Operating Costs per ASM Excluding Net Special Items, Fuel and Profit Sharing Total operating expenses as reported $16,220 $13,540 $46,461 $39,619 Operating net special items: Mainline operating special items, net (1) (9) (7) (29) (125) Regional operating special items, net (8) - (8) - Total operating expenses excluding net special items 16,203 13,533 46,424 39,494 Aircraft fuel and related taxes (4,635) (2,767) (12,444) (8,017) Total operating expenses excluding net special items and fuel 11,568 10,766 33,980 31,477 Profit sharing - 8 - (33) Total operating expenses excluding net special items, fuel and profit sharing $11,568 $10,774 $33,980 $31,444 (in cents) (in cents) Total operating expenses per ASM as reported 20.10 17.49 19.81 17.61 Operating net special items per ASM: Mainline operating special items, net (1) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.06) Regional operating special items, net (0.01) - - - Total operating expenses per ASM excluding net special items 20.08 17.48 19.79 17.56 Aircraft fuel and related taxes per ASM (5.74) (3.58) (5.31) (3.56) Total operating expenses per ASM excluding net special items and fuel 14.34 13.91 14.49 13.99 Profit sharing per ASM - 0.01 - (0.01) Total operating expenses per ASM excluding net special items, fuel and profit sharing 14.34 13.92 14.49 13.98 Note: Amounts may not recalculate due to rounding.
FOOTNOTES: (1)The 2025 nine month period mainline operating special items, net principally included a one-time charge resulting from adjustments to vacation accruals due to pay rate increases effective January 1, 2025, following the ratification of the contract extension in the fourth quarter of 2024 with the Company's mainline maintenance and fleet service team members and adjustments to litigation reserves. (2)Principally included mark-to-market net unrealized gains and losses associated with certain equity investments as well as charges associated with debt refinancings and extinguishments. Additionally, the 2026 third quarter and nine month period included an impairment charge related to the Company's equity investment in Republic Airways Holdings Inc. American Airlines Group Inc. Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (In millions) (Unaudited) 9 Months Ended
September 30, 2026 2025 Net cash provided by operating activities$4,541 $3,373 Cash flows from investing activities: Capital expenditures and aircraft purchase deposits (2,728) (2,149) Proceeds from sale-leaseback transactions and sale of property and equipment 77 243 Purchases of short-term investments (5,026) (4,801) Sales of short-term investments 2,751 4,944 Decrease (increase) in restricted short-term investments 180 (20) Other investing activities (79) 279 Net cash used in investing activities (4,825) (1,504) Cash flows from financing activities: Proceeds from issuance of long-term debt 5,933 2,169 Payments on long-term debt and finance leases (5,347) (4,087) Other financing activities (130) 85 Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities 456 (1,833) Net increase in cash and restricted cash 172 36 Cash and restricted cash at beginning of period 1,056 902 Cash and restricted cash at end of period (1)$1,228 $938 ‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾‾
(1)The following table provides a reconciliation of cash and restricted cash to amounts reported within the condensed consolidated balance sheets: Cash $1,124 $835 Restricted cash included in restricted cash and short-term investments 104 103 Total cash and restricted cash$1,228 $938 American Airlines Group Inc. Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (In millions, except shares) September 30, 2026 December 31, 2025 (unaudited) Assets Current assets Cash$1,124 $954 Short-term investments 7,163 4,882 Restricted cash and short-term investments 555 735 Accounts receivable, net 1,928 2,075 Aircraft fuel, spare parts and supplies, net 3,171 2,792 Prepaid expenses and other 800 767 Total current assets 14,741 12,205 Operating property and equipment Flight equipment 48,715 46,597 Ground property and equipment 10,808 10,479 Equipment purchase deposits 633 656 Total property and equipment, at cost 60,156 57,732 Less accumulated depreciation and amortization (26,530) (25,192) Total property and equipment, net 33,626 32,540 Operating lease right-of-use assets 6,744 7,091 Other assets Goodwill 4,091 4,091 Intangibles, net 2,067 2,066 Deferred tax asset 2,477 2,368 Other assets 1,272 1,413 Total other assets 9,907 9,938 Total assets$65,018 $61,774 Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity (Deficit) Current liabilities Current maturities of long-term debt and finance leases$3,692 $3,753 Accounts payable 3,334 2,840 Accrued salaries and wages 2,175 2,128 Air traffic liability 9,414 7,158 Loyalty program liability 4,446 3,725 Operating lease liabilities 1,032 1,058 Fuel financing 933 914 Other accrued liabilities 2,997 2,916 Total current liabilities 28,023 24,492 Noncurrent liabilities Long-term debt and finance leases, net of current maturities 25,943 25,254 Pension and postretirement benefits 1,099 1,568 Loyalty program liability 7,068 6,839 Operating lease liabilities 5,607 5,905 Other liabilities 1,502 1,443 Total noncurrent liabilities 41,219 41,009 Stockholders' equity (deficit) Common stock, 662,618,434 shares outstanding at September 30, 2026 7 7 Additional paid-in capital 7,424 7,387 Accumulated other comprehensive loss (4,343) (4,389) Retained deficit (7,312) (6,732) Total stockholders' deficit (4,224) (3,727) Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity (deficit)$65,018 $61,774 Total Debt and Net Debt The Company's total debt and net debt are presented below, which are non-GAAP measures that management believes are useful for assessing the Company's debt profile. Total debt is defined as debt, finance and operating lease liabilities and pension obligations, and net debt is defined as total debt, net of unrestricted cash and short-term investments. Total Debt and Net Debt (at end of period) September 30, 2026 (in millions) Debt and finance leases $29,635 Operating lease liabilities 6,639 Pension obligations 92 Total debt 36,366 Less: cash and short-term investments 8,287 Net debt $28,079 Corporate Communications
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American Airlines (AAL.O) forecast a 2026 loss on Thursday, abandoning its previous forecast range that allowed for a profit, as high jet fuel prices outpace fare increases and squeeze margins.
Shares of the airline fell 3.5% in premarket trading.
Since the start of the Iran war, airlines have raised fares sharply to protect margins but even that has failed to keep pace with the surge in jet fuel prices. The volatile environment has also made forecasting future fuel costs difficult.
With no end in sight to the war, US carriers must also determine how much of the fuel cost surge they can pass on through higher fares without weakening travel demand that has held up so far.
Major rivals such as Delta Air (DAL.N) and United Airlines (UAL.O) have warned that the industry may need to cut capacity further to preserve pricing power and keep costs in check.
Delta CEO Ed Bastian earlier this month warned that airlines may need to further curb flight growth next year to sustain higher fares and protect profitability.
US air fares rose an average of nearly 23% year-on-year in the seven months through September, according to Labor Department data.
American Airlines now expects an adjusted loss of $1.00 to $1.60 per share, compared with its previous forecast ranging from a 65 cent profit to a 65 cent loss per share.
The carrier reported a net loss of $269 million, or 41 cents per share, for the quarter through September, compared with a loss of $114 million, or 17 cents per share, reported last year.
Its revenue for the quarter rose 19.3% to $16.3 billion, supported by fare hikes.
American Airlines forecast deeper losses this year as record revenue failed to help the airline recover from this year's spike in fuel costs. The carrier plans to slow its capacity growth next year as a result.
American on Thursday said it expects to lose between $1 and $1.60 a share, on an adjusted basis for the full year. In July, it forecast earnings of up to 65 cents a share to a loss of as low as 65 cents a share.
The airline's stock was down about 4% in premarket trading.
"American delivered record third-quarter revenue and the strongest year-over-year revenue growth in my career, with premium performance leading the way," American CEO Robert Isom said in a news release. "The investments we are making across the four pillars of our commercial strategy are working, and we expect another quarter of record revenue growth to close out the year."
The Fort Worth, Texas-based airline is the fourth major U.S. carrier to cut its forecast for 2026 due to a jump in jet fuel following the start of the Iran war. Rising jet fuel prices have also driven up airfare more than 20% from last year. Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, and Southwest Airlines also slashed their outlooks this month.
Jet fuel is airlines' biggest cost after labor, and the spike has added billions to costs this year. American's fuel bill was up 67.5% in the third quarter from last year to $4.64 billion.
American forecast it will lose between 50 cents and $1.10 a share, adjusted, in the fourth quarter, with revenue expected to be up as much as 22.5% from a year earlier and capacity up between 5.5% and 6.5%.
Here is what American reported in the third quarter compared with Wall Street estimates compiled by LSEG:
Loss per share: 28 cents adjusted vs. 35 cents expectedRevenue: $16.34 billion vs. $16.22 billion expectedFor the third quarter, American had a net loss of $269 million or 41 cents a share, compared with $114 million, or 17 cents a share, a year earlier. Adjusting for one-time items, American reported a loss of 28 cents a share. Revenue jumped 19.3% from a year earlier to $16.34 billion.
Isom has been under pressure to boost profits at the carrier, which has dramatically trailed profitable rivals Delta and United. American has been investing in new lounges and revamped cabins with more premium seats.
Earlier this month, the airline named a new network chief. It was the latest move in a management shake-up that has included new hires in its operations department and its commercial team. Last year, American brought in a new commercial chief, industry veteran Nat Pieper.
Read more CNBC airline newsWhy airfare could rise even more, but airline profits won’tBudget airline king Bill Franke warms to premium upgradesCompanies spurn airlines’ cheapest business class ticketsUnited’s next decision: What to do with all those Boeing 737 Max 10 seats it ordered years agoRecord heat, crowds drive offseason boom in international travel
The carrier said revenue is projected to climb 20% to 23% in the fourth quarter, during which it is also on track to post an adjusted loss of 50 cents to $1.10 a share.
Mining shares were hit hard in London on Thursday as weaker copper prices, rising metal inventories and company-specific pressures triggered broad selling across some of the FTSE 100’s largest resources stocks.
Anglo American PLC (LSE:AAL) led the blue-chip fallers, dropping 4% to around 3,687p, while copper producer Antofagasta PLC (LSE:ANTO) fell 3% to 3,122p and precious metals miner Fresnillo PLC (LSE:FRES) declined 3% to 2,545p.
Copper has come under renewed pressure after inventories held in London Metal Exchange warehouses increased sharply, easing some of the supply concerns that had previously supported prices.
LME copper stocks increased by more than 11,000 tonnes on Wednesday and were around 8% higher over the past week, while inventories available for delivery have climbed about 40% over the same period.
Benchmark three-month copper consequently slipped back from the three-week high reached earlier in October, weighing on sentiment towards copper-exposed miners including Anglo American and Antofagasta.
Fresnillo faced an additional company-specific headwind after its third-quarter production update showed attributable silver output falling 6% from the previous quarter and 12% year on year to 10.3 million ounces.
Gold production at Fresnillo also declined 13% quarter on quarter and 11% from a year earlier to 135,000 ounces, although the company maintained its full-year production guidance.
The widespread weakness among heavyweight mining shares was a major drag on the broader London market, with the FTSE 100 falling 0.7% to around 10,679 in early trading.
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Key Takeaways American Airlines is expected to report a Q3 loss of 28 cents per share despite solid revenue growth.AAL's Q3 revenues are projected to rise 18.35% to $16.20 billion, aided by strong bookings and demand.
Higher fuel, labor and airport costs may weigh on American Airlines' Q3 earnings,
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL - Free Report) is scheduled to report third-quarter 2026results on Oct. 22, before market open.
American Airlines has an encouraging earnings surprise history. The company’s earnings outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the trailing four quarters (missed the mark in the remaining quarter), delivering an average beat of 97.57%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Let’s see how things have shaped up for American Airlines this earnings season.
Factors Likely to Have Influenced AAL’s Q3 PerformanceThe Zacks Consensus Estimate for AAL’s third-quarter 2026 loss has been revised downward by more than 100% in the past 60 days to 28 cents per share. Moreover, the consensus mark implies a downside of 64.71% from the year-ago actual. The consensus estimate lies within the company-provided guidance between a loss of 70 cents and a loss of 10 cents per share.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
We expect high fuel costs to have dented AAL’s bottom-line performance in the September quarter. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has sharply raised oil prices. This has been naturally hurting the bottom line of airlines because fuel expenses represent a key input cost for airlines. With most U.S. carriers having abandoned fuel hedging strategies, such an oil supply disruption has left them fully exposed to price spikes. The company’s outlook assumes an average fuel cost of $3.75 per gallon for the third quarter.
Escalated labor and airport costs are likely to have negatively impacted the company’s bottom-line performance in the September quarter. AAL expects to continue experiencing increased cost pressure from the labor agreements and deals inked with the pilots. We expect operating costs to increase 18.8% in third-quarter 2026 from third-quarter 2025 actuals.
Management expects third-quarter cost per available seat mile, excluding fuel, special items and profit sharing, to rise 2.5-4.5%. High debt remains a concern.
Despite the sharp rise in jet fuel prices, solid bookings are likely to have aided AAL’s top-line performance in the September quarter. American Airlines continues to broaden its network while focusing on profitable hub growth. Renegotiated agency contracts and restored distribution relationships are helping American Airlines regain higher-value customers. Overall, AAL continues to benefit from network optimization, premium demand, corporate recovery, loyalty growth and customer investments, supporting durable revenue gains and long-term earnings recovery prospects.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AAL’s third-quarter 2026 revenues is pegged at $16.20 billion, indicating 18.35% growth year over year. Management anticipates third-quarter 2026 revenues to increase 16% to 19% year over year, with capacity projected to surge 3-5% year over year. Our estimate for passenger revenues in the to-be-reported quarter indicates an 18.4% increase from third-quarter 2025 actual.
What Our Model Says About AALOur proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for American Airlines this time. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat, which is not the case here. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they are reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
American Airlines has an Earnings ESP of -2.66% and a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) at present.
Highlights of AAL’s Q2 EarningsAmerican Airlines reported second-quarter 2026 earnings of 15 cents per share (excluding 4 cents from non-recurring items), down 84.2% year over year but well above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 3 cents. The result represented a 400% earnings surprise.
Operating revenues rose 16.3% to a record $16.74 billion and surpassed the consensus mark of $16.70 billion by 0.2%. Revenue growth was strong across all entities and cabins, with premium, Main Cabin, domestic and international all increasing meaningfully year over year. Total revenue per available seat mile increased 10.3%.
Stocks to ConsiderHere are a few stocks from the broader Zacks Transportation sector that investors may consider, as our model shows that they have the right combination of elements to beat on earnings this reporting cycle.
Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +0.25% and a Zacks Rank #2 at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
ODFL is scheduled to report third-quarter 2026 earnings on Oct. 28. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter 2026 earnings has been revised upward by 0.63% over the past 60 days. ODFL’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the preceding four quarters, with the average beat being 6.71%.
Kirby Corporation (KEX - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +1.87% and a Zacks Rank #3 at present. KEX is scheduled to report third-quarter 2026 earnings on Oct. 28.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter 2026 earnings has been revised upward by 0.51% to $1.96 per share over the past 60 days. KEX’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the preceding four quarters and met the mark on the other occasion. The average beat is 2.86%.
Anglo American PLC (LSE:AAL) maintained its 2026 production guidance after third-quarter copper output fell 5% year on year as extreme winter weather in Chile and lower-grade processing at Collahuasi weighed on operations.
The FTSE 100 miner produced 174,900 tonnes of copper during the quarter, compared with 183,500 tonnes a year earlier, while year-to-date production slipped 1% to 518,500 tonnes.
Copper production in Chile fell 6% to 94,200 tonnes after record snowfall disrupted mining and plant maintenance, while production from the Quellaveco operation in Peru declined 3% to 80,700 tonnes because of lower grades.
Anglo American maintained full-year copper production guidance of 700,000 to 760,000 tonnes and said improving ore grades should support stronger production during the fourth quarter.
The company lowered its overall copper unit cost guidance to around 139 US cents per pound from 145 cents, driven by improved Peru guidance of around 50 cents from 65 cents previously.
Premium iron ore production declined 4% to 13.8 million tonnes as planned work at Kumba outweighed a 24% increase in output at Minas-Rio, with full-year guidance unchanged at 55 million to 59 million tonnes.
Manganese production increased 6% to just over 1 million tonnes, while steelmaking coal output jumped 53% to 2.9 million tonnes as production at Moranbah North continued to recover.
De Beers rough diamond production fell 11% to 6.8 million carats, although Anglo American raised full-year guidance to 25 million to 28 million carats from 21 million to 26 million following De Beers taking full ownership of the Gahcho Kué mine in Canada.
The average realised diamond price for the first nine months fell 37% to US$97 per carat as weaker pricing continued to reflect difficult market conditions.
Anglo American also said its merger with Teck Resources remained on track for completion by March 2027, with approval from China’s competition regulator the final outstanding regulatory milestone.
The company said the $3.875 billion sale of its Australian steelmaking coal business remained on track to complete by the first quarter of 2027, while the sale of its nickel business continues through the European Commission approval process.
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Fuel costs have pushed American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL | AAL Price Prediction) to the back of the legacy airline pack this year. American Airlines shares are down 23% year to date (YTD) to $11.87 in afternoon trading.
Wall Street analysts forecast that American Airlines (AAL - Free Report) will report quarterly loss of -$0.28 per share in its upcoming release, pointing to a year-over-year decline of 64.7%. It is anticipated that revenues will amount to $16.2 billion, exhibiting an increase of 18.3% compared to the year-ago quarter.
The current level reflects a downward revision of 211.2% in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter over the past 30 days. This demonstrates how the analysts covering the stock have collectively reappraised their initial projections over this period.
Ahead of a company's earnings disclosure, it is crucial to give due consideration to changes in earnings estimates. These revisions serve as a noteworthy factor in predicting potential investor reactions to the stock. Numerous empirical studies consistently demonstrate a strong relationship between trends in earnings estimate revision and the short-term price performance of a stock.
While investors usually depend on consensus earnings and revenue estimates to assess the business performance for the quarter, delving into analysts' forecasts for certain key metrics often provides a more comprehensive understanding.
Given this perspective, it's time to examine the average forecasts of specific American Airlines metrics that are routinely monitored and predicted by Wall Street analysts.
The consensus among analysts is that 'Revenue- Passenger' will reach $14.82 billion. The estimate points to a change of +18.8% from the year-ago quarter.
The collective assessment of analysts points to an estimated 'Revenue- Other' of $1.21 billion. The estimate indicates a change of +19.8% from the prior-year quarter.
According to the collective judgment of analysts, 'Revenue- Cargo' should come in at $260.97 million. The estimate suggests a change of +23.1% year over year.
The combined assessment of analysts suggests that 'Operating cost per ASM excluding net special items and fuel - Total' will likely reach N/A. The estimate is in contrast to the year-ago figure of N/A.
The average prediction of analysts places 'Operating cost per ASM excluding net special items - Total' at N/A. Compared to the present estimate, the company reported N/A in the same quarter last year.
Analysts' assessment points toward 'Passenger load factor (percent) - Total' reaching 84.4%. The estimate compares to the year-ago value of 86.0%.
Analysts expect 'Passenger revenue per ASM - Total' to come in at N/A. Compared to the present estimate, the company reported N/A in the same quarter last year.
The consensus estimate for 'Total revenue per ASM - Total' stands at N/A. The estimate is in contrast to the year-ago figure of N/A.
Analysts forecast 'Available seat miles - Total' to reach 80.32 billion. The estimate compares to the year-ago value of 77.40 billion.
It is projected by analysts that the 'Yield - Total' will reach N/A. The estimate compares to the year-ago value of N/A.
Analysts predict that the 'Fuel consumption - Total' will reach 1203 millions of gallons. The estimate is in contrast to the year-ago figure of 1169 millions of gallons.
Based on the collective assessment of analysts, 'Revenue passenger miles - Total' should arrive at 67.42 billion. Compared to the current estimate, the company reported 66.58 billion in the same quarter of the previous year.
View all Key Company Metrics for American Airlines here>>>
American Airlines shares have witnessed a change of -8.3% in the past month, in contrast to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.5% move. With a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), AAL is expected underperform the overall market performance in the near term. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>> .
Latin American airlines are showing renewed interest in Venezuela as diplomatic channels reopen and carriers prepare to restore links to Caracas, though industry executives said damaged airport infrastructure and an outdated regulatory framework remain major obstacles to a broader recovery.
Venezuela has strong long-term potential because of its location, but the immediate priority is rebuilding the country's aviation platform after the deadly June earthquakes damaged its main international gateway at Maiquetía, outside Caracas, Peter Cerda, head of the Latin American and Caribbean Air Transport Association (ALTA), said in a press conference on Sunday.
"I think Venezuela has significant potential. Strategically and geographically, it is in a perfect location. It is a market with major opportunities," Cerda said
ALTA has been in constant dialogue with Venezuelan authorities, Cerda said, but emergency recovery efforts have taken precedence over broader policy discussions
Chile's LATAM Airlines (LTM.SN) said it was encouraged by the reopening process and by improving diplomatic conditions between Santiago and Caracas
LATAM Chief Executive Roberto Alvo stopped short of announcing additional routes, but said LATAM would assess future opportunities as conditions improve
"LATAM's interest is to continue connecting South America with itself and with the world... As we see that we can develop our connectivity to Venezuela, we will evaluate those opportunities," Alvo said
Cerda said the reopening interest was not limited to one carrier or one market, adding that airlines in the US, Europe and the Middle East were also looking again at Venezuela
Robert D. Isom Jr, CEO and President of American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL -3.26%), disposed of over 335,000 shares on Sept. 20, accordig to SEC Form 4 filing
Transaction summaryMetricValueTransaction value$4.3 millionShares sold335,199Post-transaction shares (directly held)3,459,080Post-transaction value$44.8 millionTransaction value and post-transaction value based on SEC Form 4 weighted average sale price ($12.96).
Company OverviewMetricValueShare Price (as of Sept. 21 market close)$13.57Market Capitalization$8.7 billionRevenue (TTM)$58.3 billionNet Loss (TTM)$326.0 millionCompany SnapshotAmerican Airlines Group operates one of the largest airline networks in North America
It operates as a major network air carrier providing scheduled air transportation services for passengers and freight across a comprehensive domestic and international route network.The company generates revenue through passenger ticket sales, cargo services, and ancillary offerings, leveraging a hub-and-spoke operating model centered on nine primary domestic hubs, including Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C.American Airlines serves both leisure and business travelers globally, with strategic international gateways in London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo.What this transaction means for investorsA significant share sale by a major insider, like a CEO, gets investors’ attention. However, this transaction shouldn’t raise any red flags.
That’s because he conducted his share sale solely to meet his tax obligations relating to the vesting of his restricted stock units. That doesn’t reflect his confidence, or lack thereof, in American Airlines’ business prospects.
Similarly, Vice Chair Stephen Johnson also sold about 78,000 shares at the same time for that reason.
However, investors should note that the airline industry faces challenges, including higher fuel prices that could create cost pressures. Right now, carriers have been able to raise fares, but that might not last, and American Airlines and competitors could see demand falter. Naturally, that would hurt revenue and profitability.
Investors have been cautious about American Airlines’ prospects, based on the share price performance. This year, the stock lost 22.5% through Oct. 16. That compares to the S&P 500 index’s 12.9% total return.
Source: SEC Form 4 filing for AAL | Filed: Sept. 21
Lawrence Rothman, CFA has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
On October 16, 2026, American Airlines Group Inc AAL shares fell 3.3% to a current price of $11.88. This decline continues a worrying trend, with the stock now down 22.5% year-to-date and hovering near its 52-week low of $10.09, well below its high of $18.79.
GF Value™ verdict: Current price of $11.88 is 22.7% below GF Value™ estimate of $15.37.GF Score™ is 80/100, indicating strong overall performance.Insider activity shows significant selling, with insiders offloading $7.0 million worth of stock over the past 12 months, suggesting caution.Is AAL Overvalued or Undervalued?American Airlines Group Inc is currently exhibiting characteristics that suggest it is undervalued based on the GF Value™ assessment. The current price of $11.88 is significantly lower than the GF Value™ estimate of $15.37, indicating a margin of safety of 22.7%. However, it is essential to note that GF Value™ is derived from various factors, including historical trading multiples and expected future performance. For loss-making companies like AAL, these estimates can sometimes be unreliable and serve more as directional indicators rather than precise targets.
In AAL's case, the GF Valuation label of "Modestly Undervalued" implies that while there may be potential for price appreciation, investors should approach the stock with caution, especially considering its unprofitability and cash flow challenges. The company's financial struggles make earnings-based valuations like Price-to-Earnings (P/E) less applicable, and thus, a Price-to-Sales (P/S) analysis could offer a more meaningful insight into its valuation.
How Does AAL's Valuation Compare to Its History?MetricCurrentHistoricalP/E (TTM)9.5x15.3xAmerican Airlines' current forward P/E of 9.5x is significantly below its 5-year median P/E of 15.3x, indicating that the stock is trading at a discount compared to its historical valuation. This analysis aligns with the GF Value™ verdict, reinforcing the notion that AAL is undervalued. However, given the company's ongoing profitability issues, this valuation should be interpreted with caution.
What Does AAL's GF Score™ Tell Us?The GF Score™ evaluates a company's fundamentals and overall financial health, providing a comprehensive ranking based on multiple aspects of its performance. AAL's GF Score™ of 80/100 showcases its strong position, yet it reveals varied strengths and weaknesses across its sub-ranks.
MetricRatingGF Score™80/100Financial Strength4/10Profitability6/10Growth7/10Valuation10/10Momentum8/10AAL's strongest area is its Valuation rank at 10/10, indicating that the stock is considered to be attractively priced relative to its fundamentals. However, the weakest area is Financial Strength, rated only 4/10, suggesting that the company faces significant challenges in maintaining a robust financial position. This disparity between strong valuation and weak financial health underscores the importance of caution for potential investors.
What Are Gurus and Insiders Doing with AAL?Currently, 7 gurus hold positions in American Airlines, with 6 of them increasing their stakes while 3 have trimmed their positions in recent quarters. This mixed signal from institutional investors indicates a level of interest and confidence in the stock, but also hints at some reservations among certain investors.
In contrast, insider activity tells a more cautious tale, with insiders selling $7.0 million worth of stock over the past year without any notable insider buying. This pattern raises concerns regarding the company's internal outlook, as it suggests that those closest to the company may not be confident in its near-term prospects. The combination of guru interest and insider selling creates a complex picture for potential investors.
What This Means for InvestorsIn summary, American Airlines Group Inc appears to be undervalued based on the GF Value™ estimate, but this potential opportunity is tempered by the company's ongoing financial struggles and cash-flow negativity. While the stock's current valuation metrics suggest a compelling case for price appreciation, the lack of profitability and insider selling should not be overlooked. Thus, while AAL is labeled as "Modestly Undervalued," investors should proceed with caution and consider the broader context of the airline industry's challenges. For a more detailed look at AAL, visit the American Airlines Group Inc AAL stock page.
Frequently Asked QuestionsWhat is AAL's GF Score™?
AAL's GF Score™ is 80/100, indicating strong overall performance relative to its peers in the industry.
Is AAL overvalued or undervalued?
AAL is currently considered undervalued, with a GF Value™ estimate suggesting a 22.7% upside potential from its current price.
What is AAL's P/E ratio?
AAL's forward P/E ratio is currently 9.5x, which is significantly below its historical median of 15.3x, indicating that the stock is trading at a discount compared to its past valuation.
This stock alert was generated using automated technology and GuruFocus financial data to provide readers with timely and accurate market reporting. This content was reviewed by GuruFocus editorial team prior to publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].
American Airlines (AAL.O) is making another round of management changes, its second in the latter half of the year, as it tries to boost its profits, according to a staff memo seen by Reuters.
The moves follow an August leadership shake-up in which CEO Robert Isom acknowledged a "meaningful gap" between American's performance and where it should be, and signaled further changes. The company's profits continue to lag those of Delta Air Lines (DAL.N) and United Airlines (UAL.O), fueling criticism of management from its unions.
These appointments put new executives in charge of efforts to make the carrier's flight network more profitable and win customers in Chicago, where it is battling United for market share.
Nick Andersen, currently vice president of commercial planning and performance, will become senior vice president of network planning on November 1, Chief Commercial Officer Nat Pieper said in the memo.
Brian Znotins, who has led American's network team, plans to retire at year-end after nearly seven years with the airline.
Pieper said elevating Andersen, with his experience in pricing, fleet planning and operations, offered an opportunity to better coordinate network planning with flight operations and "improve financial results."
In July, American cut its 2026 earnings outlook to a range around break-even as soaring fuel costs overwhelmed revenue gains.
The airline also named Margaret Mueller, a former president and CEO of the Executives' Club of Chicago, vice president and managing partner for its Chicago market, overseeing sales and local business activities starting November 30.
American and United's competing expansion plans at Chicago's O'Hare airport have prompted federal regulators to impose flight restrictions to prevent congestion.
Chris Kelly Singley, currently at the oneworld airline alliance, will join as vice president of commercial communications, advertising and sponsorships, reporting to Pieper.
American's shares are down more than 21% so far this year, compared with a gain of 10% for Delta and an 11% drop by United. The benchmark S&P 500 is up nearly 13% on the year.
Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when American Airlines (AAL - Free Report) reports results for the quarter ended September 2026. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.
The earnings report, which is expected to be released on October 22, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.
While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise.
Zacks Consensus EstimateThis world's largest airline is expected to post quarterly loss of $0.28 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -64.7%.
Revenues are expected to be $16.2 billion, up 18.4% from the year-ago quarter.
Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 211.19% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.
Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change.
Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction).
The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.
Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.
A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.
Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).
How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for American Airlines?For American Airlines, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bearish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -2.66%.
On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #4.
So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that American Airlines will beat the consensus EPS estimate.
Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?Analysts often consider to what extent a company has been able to match consensus estimates in the past while calculating their estimates for its future earnings. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.
For the last reported quarter, it was expected that American Airlines would post earnings of $0.03 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.15, delivering a surprise of +400.00%.
Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times.
Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.
That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.
American Airlines doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.
Expected Results of an Industry PlayerSouthwest Airlines (LUV - Free Report) , another stock in the Zacks Transportation - Airline industry, is expected to report earnings per share of $0.61 for the quarter ended September 2026. This estimate points to a year-over-year change of +454.6%. Revenues for the quarter are expected to be $8.26 billion, up 18.8% from the year-ago quarter.
The consensus EPS estimate for Southwest has been revised 23.4% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. However, a lower Most Accurate Estimate has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -4.13%.
This Earnings ESP, combined with its Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Southwest will beat the consensus EPS estimate. Over the last four quarters, the company surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times.
Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.
American Airlines (AAL - Free Report) ended the recent trading session at $11.79, demonstrating a -5.68% change from the preceding day's closing price. This change lagged the S&P 500's daily loss of 1.11%. Meanwhile, the Dow experienced a drop of 0.09%, and the technology-dominated Nasdaq saw a decrease of 1.88%.
Prior to today's trading, shares of the world's largest airline had lost 2.11% was narrower than the Transportation sector's loss of 2.59% and lagged the S&P 500's gain of 2.06%.
Market participants will be closely following the financial results of American Airlines in its upcoming release. The company plans to announce its earnings on October 22, 2026. The company is predicted to post an EPS of -$0.28, indicating a 64.71% decline compared to the equivalent quarter last year. Meanwhile, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is projecting net sales of $16.2 billion, up 18.35% from the year-ago period.
Regarding the entire year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates forecast earnings of -$0.94 per share and revenue of $63.18 billion, indicating changes of -361.11% and +15.65%, respectively, compared to the previous year.
Investors might also notice recent changes to analyst estimates for American Airlines. Such recent modifications usually signify the changing landscape of near-term business trends. As a result, upbeat changes in estimates indicate analysts' favorable outlook on the business health and profitability.
Research indicates that these estimate revisions are directly correlated with near-term share price momentum. To exploit this, we've formed the Zacks Rank, a quantitative model that includes these estimate changes and presents a viable rating system.
The Zacks Rank system ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell). It has a remarkable, outside-audited track record of success, with #1 stocks delivering an average annual return of +25% since 1988. The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has moved 493.78% lower within the past month. As of now, American Airlines holds a Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell).
The Transportation - Airline industry is part of the Transportation sector. This group has a Zacks Industry Rank of 235, putting it in the bottom 5% of all 250+ industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank gauges the strength of our industry groups by measuring the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Make sure to utilize Zacks.com to follow all of these stock-moving metrics, and more, in the coming trading sessions.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Deutsche Bank has raised its targets on several UK-listed miners as stronger copper fundamentals point to a potential supply squeeze over the coming quarters.
Anglo American PLC (LSE:AAL), the diversified mining group, remains rated 'buy', with the target price increased to 4,700p from 4,500p, making it one of the bank’s preferred stocks in the sector.
Glencore PLC (LSE:GLEN), the mining and commodities group, also remains a 'buy', with its target lifted to 680p from 630p as Deutsche Bank expects continued strength in copper-related earnings.
Rio Tinto Ltd (LSE:RIO, ASX:RIO, OTC:RTNTF), the diversified miner, has a 'hold' rating, with the target raised to 7,600p from 7,400p, while BHP, the global mining group, remains 'hold' with its target increased to 2,900p from 2,700p.
Antofagasta PLC (LSE:ANTO), the Chile-focused copper producer listed in London, remains a 'sell' despite a target increase from 3,400p to 3,600p.
The changes form part of a broad sector review led by analyst Liam Fitzpatrick, who said miners had performed strongly during the third quarter and so far this year, driven mainly by a surging copper price.
Deutsche Bank expects copper to reach $14,500 a tonne in 2027, up from a previous forecast of $12,500, while its aluminium forecast rises to $3,050 from $3,000 and its iron ore forecast falls to $98 from $100.
The bank said rising bond yields and a stronger dollar had weighed on mining stocks recently, but it still sees copper fundamentals as strong enough to create an acute squeeze in the market.
Earnings risk for major diversified miners has turned slightly negative because of weaker iron ore prices, while copper-focused companies remain firmly in upgrade territory.
Deutsche Bank’s spot 2027 earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation estimates for copper miners are around 20% above consensus, highlighting the strength of its sector outlook.
The bank’s other top picks are Teck Resources Ltd (TSX:TECK.B), Freeport-McMoRan Inc (NYSE:FCX, XETRA:FPMB), First Quantum Minerals (TSX:FM) and Hongqiao alongside Anglo American and Glencore.
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American Airlines (AAL - Free Report) closed at $13.00 in the latest trading session, marking a +1.33% move from the prior day. This move outpaced the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.58%. Meanwhile, the Dow experienced a rise of 0.49%, and the technology-dominated Nasdaq saw an increase of 0.45%.
The world's largest airline's stock has dropped by 2.28% in the past month, exceeding the Transportation sector's loss of 4.02% and lagging the S&P 500's gain of 0.84%.
The investment community will be closely monitoring the performance of American Airlines in its forthcoming earnings report. The company is scheduled to release its earnings on October 22, 2026. On that day, American Airlines is projected to report earnings of -$0.31 per share, which would represent a year-over-year decline of 82.35%. Simultaneously, our latest consensus estimate expects the revenue to be $16.12 billion, showing a 17.74% escalation compared to the year-ago quarter.
Regarding the entire year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates forecast earnings of -$0.28 per share and revenue of $63.03 billion, indicating changes of -177.78% and +15.36%, respectively, compared to the previous year.
Additionally, investors should keep an eye on any recent revisions to analyst forecasts for American Airlines. These revisions typically reflect the latest short-term business trends, which can change frequently. Therefore, positive revisions in estimates convey analysts' confidence in the business performance and profit potential.
Our research shows that these estimate changes are directly correlated with near-term stock prices. To exploit this, we've formed the Zacks Rank, a quantitative model that includes these estimate changes and presents a viable rating system.
The Zacks Rank system ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell). It has a remarkable, outside-audited track record of success, with #1 stocks delivering an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the past month, there's been a 76.55% fall in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. American Airlines currently has a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
The Transportation - Airline industry is part of the Transportation sector. This industry currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 233, which puts it in the bottom 6% of all 250+ industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank is ordered from best to worst in terms of the average Zacks Rank of the individual companies within each of these sectors. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Ensure to harness Zacks.com to stay updated with all these stock-shifting metrics, among others, in the next trading sessions.
American Airlines’ pilots union says Spirit’s data sale to Google could undermine aviation safety By You're currently following this author! Click to unsubscribe from email alerts.
The union representing American Airlines pilots joined objections to Spirit Airlines' sale of its data to Google. Andrew Harnik/Getty Images The union representing American Airlines pilots is joining opposition to Spirit Airlines' plan to sell its old data to Google.
After the budget airline shut down earlier this year, Google succeeded in bidding $10 million for its data, which the company said could be used to improve its products and AI models.
The Allied Pilots Association, which represents American Airlines pilots, filed an objection to the sale on Tuesday, saying more than 700 of its members formerly worked at Spirit and would be affected.
The filing said that in addition to disclosing the pilots' "confidential employment and training related information," the proposed data sale also "threatens to have a chilling effect across all commercial airlines."
It said crew members participate in voluntary safety and training programs with the expectation that the information they share will remain confidential.
"To permit that information to later be sold to a third-party without ensuring complete deidentification and satisfactory confidentiality protections will serve to threaten the voluntary safety and training programs that provide the backbone of the commercial aviation industry in the United States," the filing said.
The union called for the court to reject the proposed sale until concerns over the crew members' data are "satisfactorily addressed."
Google has said the sale includes Spirit's internal data and custom software, but not customer or credit card information, and that the data would be scrubbed of any identifying information.
The filing this week joins prior objections to the data sale filed by the Air Line Pilots Association, the union representing Spirit pilots, and the Association of Flight Attendants-CWA, which represents Spirit flight attendants.
Spirit declined to comment. Google did not respond to a request for comment.
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Kelsey Vlamis You're currently following this author! Click to unsubscribe from email alerts.
Kelsey Vlamis is a senior reporter for Business Insider, where she covers business and tech news. She also writes business stories about travel, luxury, and culture. Previously, she covered the environment, outdoors, and indigenous issues.Her feature story "Disaster at 18,200 feet" received awards from the New York Press Club and the North American Travel Journalists Association, as well as honorable mention from the Society of American Travel Writers. She has also received an American Journalism Online Award for her coverage on missing and murdered Indigenous people in Wyoming.She's appeared on CBS, NPR, NBC, and other outlets to discuss her reporting. She previously worked on the world news desk at the BBC in London and received a master's in journalism from Northwestern University.She can be reached by email at [email protected] or via the encrypted-messaging app Signal at kelseyv.21.
American Airlines is going to let eligible members of its AAdvantage loyalty program combine cash and miles when booking flights on its website (aa.com) and digital app, the company said in a Friday (Oct. 2) press release. American Airlines is rolling out this feature over the coming weeks, according to the release.
American Airlines is joining carriers that allow customers to book with a combination of cash and miles, the latest change at the carrier as it tries to grow its lucrative loyalty program.
American said customers will see a slider bar allowing them to combine AAdvantage program miles with cash for their tickets at checkout.
The option could be useful when customers don't have enough miles for the entire ticket and are looking to shave some cash off the ticket price.
Other airlines, including American's chief rivals United Airlines and Delta Air Lines, currently allow customers to combine their frequent flyer miles with cash. For example, a one-way ticket on United from its Newark Liberty International Airport hub in New Jersey to Paris the first week of November was going for 40,000 United MileagePlus miles (plus $5.60 in tax), $428.50 in cash, or $369 plus 6,000 miles.
The slider bar American plans to roll out in the coming days gives customers the option of using more miles for a bigger discount.
American's updated tool comes as airlines' battles for high-spending customers extend to new airport lounges, bigger premium cabins and in-flight Wi-Fi.
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FORT WORTH, Texas, Oct. 01, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- American Airlines Group (NASDAQ: AAL) will webcast a live audio feed of its third-quarter 2026 financial results conference call Oct. 22 at 7:30 a.m. CT.
The webcast will be available on a listen-only basis at aa.com/investorrelations. An archive of the call will be available on the website.
About American Airlines Group (NASDAQ: AAL)
American Airlines is a premium global airline connecting more of the U.S. to the world. With roots tracing back to an air mail carrier in the Midwestern United States in 1926, American now operates more than 6,000 daily flights to more than 350 destinations in more than 60 countries and serves more than 200 million customers annually. Powered by a proud and talented team of 130,000 aviation professionals, American’s team lives out the airline’s purpose of caring for people on life’s journey every day.
The world’s largest airline proudly celebrates its centennial year in 2026, reaching a milestone that reflects a century of innovation and the Forever ForwardSM spirit that changed the industry and the world. American introduced the first scheduled air cargo service, the first airport lounge and the first airline loyalty program and continues to reinvent the customer experience today. The airline is also a founding member of the oneworld alliance, whose members serve more than 900 destinations around the globe.
Get the latest about American at news.aa.com and @AmericanAir.
American Airlines (AAL - Free Report) closed the most recent trading day at $13.38, moving -1.73% from the previous trading session. This change lagged the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.25%. Elsewhere, the Dow saw a downswing of 0.86%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq appreciated by 0.24%.
Coming into today, shares of the world's largest airline had gained 5.1% in the past month. In that same time, the Transportation sector lost 6.09%, while the S&P 500 lost 0.42%.
The upcoming earnings release of American Airlines will be of great interest to investors. On that day, American Airlines is projected to report earnings of -$0.31 per share, which would represent a year-over-year decline of 82.35%. Meanwhile, our latest consensus estimate is calling for revenue of $16.12 billion, up 17.74% from the prior-year quarter.
Looking at the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates suggest analysts are expecting earnings of -$0.25 per share and revenue of $63.03 billion. These totals would mark changes of -169.44% and +15.36%, respectively, from last year.
Additionally, investors should keep an eye on any recent revisions to analyst forecasts for American Airlines. These revisions typically reflect the latest short-term business trends, which can change frequently. Therefore, positive revisions in estimates convey analysts' confidence in the business performance and profit potential.
Our research suggests that these changes in estimates have a direct relationship with upcoming stock price performance. To take advantage of this, we've established the Zacks Rank, an exclusive model that considers these estimated changes and delivers an operational rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, which varies between #1 (Strong Buy) and #5 (Strong Sell), carries an impressive track record of exceeding expectations, confirmed by external audits, with stocks at #1 delivering an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has moved 60.4% lower. American Airlines currently has a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
The Transportation - Airline industry is part of the Transportation sector. This industry currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 233, which puts it in the bottom 6% of all 250+ industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank is ordered from best to worst in terms of the average Zacks Rank of the individual companies within each of these sectors. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
You can find more information on all of these metrics, and much more, on Zacks.com.
American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) shares are trading lower Monday. Two analysts cut their price targets on the stock. Here’s what you need to know.
American Airlines Group stock is facing resistance. Why is AAL stock retreating? Two Analysts Lower Their American Airlines Price TargetsBMO Capital analyst Michael Goldie maintained a Market Perform rating on American Airlines while lowering the price target to $15.50 from $19. Evercore ISI analyst Duane Pfennigwerth maintained an In-Line rating while cutting the price target to $13 from $17.
American Airlines carries an overall Hold rating on Wall Street, with an average price target of $18. Other recent analyst actions include Rothschild & Co raising its target to $13.50 while maintaining a Neutral rating on September 18.
American Airlines’ Chart Shows a Well-Defended Floor Amid a Weakening CeilingBeyond today’s analyst moves, the stock’s broader chart shows momentum fading at the top even as a new floor holds firm underneath. Shares couldn’t climb back to July’s $18 peak during August’s rebound, which stalled out at $17.13. The subsequent decline broke straight through the old lows near $13.32 to $13.42 and settled into fresh territory around $12.54 to $12.59, a floor tested four separate times over roughly a week in mid-September, with each touch landing within a nickel of the others.
Buyers then pushed the stock back up to $14.07 by September 22, reclaiming the previous $13.32-to-$13.42 zone that had already failed twice earlier in the summer, a signal that tends to carry more weight than a standard bounce. Shares now trade around $13.59, sitting in the middle of that recovered range.
Looking ahead, the key levels to watch are whether $13.32 to $13.42 continues acting as support on any pullback, which would validate the recovery, and whether the stock can clear meaningfully above the $14.07 September high.
AAL Shares Are DroppingAAL Price Action: American Airlines shares were down 1.95% at $13.60 at the time of publication on Monday, according to Benzinga Pro.
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American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) shares are rising Friday afternoon as a de-escalation in Middle East geopolitical tensions triggers a pullback in global crude oil and jet fuel prices. Here’s what investors need to know.
American Airlines Group shares are climbing with conviction. Why is AAL stock surging? Strait of Hormuz Reopening and Jet Fuel ReliefThe sector-wide airline rally follows breaking geopolitical developments on Thursday when Iran’s Foreign Minister confirmed that Tehran submitted a formal seven-day plan to the United States outlining the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Crucially, the diplomatic proposal also includes a framework to restart stalled discussions regarding Iran’s nuclear program.
The announcement has deflated the geopolitical risk premium that had built up in global energy markets earlier in the week. West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude futures plunged on the news, directly benefiting the airline industry.
Because jet fuel remains one of the largest and most volatile operating expenses for commercial carriers, the sudden drop in input costs instantly improves near-term margin expectations for American Airlines.
For American Airlines, the relief in fuel prices is particularly significant as management continues to navigate a heavy debt load and a highly competitive domestic pricing environment. A sustained reduction in spot jet fuel prices would provide crucial operating leverage as the company heads into the fourth-quarter holiday travel season.
AAL Shares Climb Friday AfternoonAAL Price Action: American Airlines Group shares were up 3.52% at $13.82 at the time of publication on Friday, according to Benzinga Pro data.
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Key Takeaways AAL' STARLUX codeshare links transpacific flights with connections to 20 U.S. destinations. Single-ticket & through-checked baggage are designed to streamline transfers across the network. A reciprocal loyalty pact is planned as STARLUX expands its North American footprint and Asia links. American Airlines (AAL - Free Report) is strengthening its international connectivity through a new codeshare partnership with STARLUX Airlines, expanding travel options between the United States and Asia. Under the agreement, travelers can book a single itinerary combining STARLUX’s transpacific services with AAL-operated connecting flights to 20 major U.S. destinations. The arrangement builds on the carriers’ interline agreement established in 2025 and provides passengers with conveniences such as single-ticket booking and through-checked baggage to their final destination.
The partnership significantly expands STARLUX passengers’ access to AAL’s extensive domestic network. Through Phoenix, passengers can connect to destinations including Austin, Boston, San Diego, St. Louis and Washington, D.C., while Los Angeles provides codeshare connections to New York and Miami. Several other destinations, including Atlanta, Charlotte, Denver, Dallas/Fort Worth, Las Vegas, Orlando, Chicago and Philadelphia, can be accessed through Phoenix and Los Angeles. With AAL serving more than 250 destinations across North America, the partnership creates scope for additional codeshare destinations over time.
The collaboration also strengthens AAL’s connectivity to Taipei and STARLUX’s broader Asian network, giving customers additional itinerary choices across the U.S.-Asia travel market. STARLUX has been expanding its North American footprint, including the launch of its Phoenix-Taipei route earlier in 2026, while planning further expansion into the central and eastern United States. Linking this growing transpacific network with AAL’s domestic reach should enhance connectivity without requiring the company to operate additional long-haul services on the covered routes.
Moreover, the airlines are preparing a reciprocal frequent-flyer partnership that is expected to allow eligible members to earn and redeem miles on codeshare flights. The combination of expanded connectivity, smoother transfers and prospective loyalty benefits should improve the customer proposition while broadening AAL’s international network reach. As the partnership expands to additional destinations, it could help AAL capture connecting traffic between its large North American network and STARLUX’s growing presence across Asia.
American Airlines’ Share Price PerformanceAAL’s shares have gained 24.3% over the past six months compared with the Transportation - Airline industry’s 2.5% rise.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
AAL’s Zacks RankAAL currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
Stocks to ConsiderInvestors interested in the Zacks Transportation sector may consider a couple of better-ranked stocks like Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD - Free Report) and Seanergy Maritime Holdings (SHIP - Free Report) .
Expeditors currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
EXPD has an expected earnings growth rate of 28.6% for 2026. The company has an encouraging earnings surprise history. Its earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the trailing four quarters, delivering an average beat of 17.15%.
Seanergy Maritime Holdings currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
SHIP has an expected earnings growth rate of more than 100% for the current year. The company has an encouraging earnings surprise history. Its earnings topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the trailing four quarters, delivering an average beat of 38%.
American Airlines (AAL - Free Report) closed the most recent trading day at $13.35, moving -1.91% from the previous trading session. The stock fell short of the S&P 500, which registered a loss of 0.76% for the day. Meanwhile, the Dow lost 0.68%, and the Nasdaq, a tech-heavy index, lost 1.13%.
Prior to today's trading, shares of the world's largest airline had lost 2.44% was narrower than the Transportation sector's loss of 6.27% and lagged the S&P 500's gain of 1.26%.
Analysts and investors alike will be keeping a close eye on the performance of American Airlines in its upcoming earnings disclosure. In that report, analysts expect American Airlines to post earnings of -$0.32 per share. This would mark a year-over-year decline of 88.24%. Meanwhile, the latest consensus estimate predicts the revenue to be $16.12 billion, indicating a 17.77% increase compared to the same quarter of the previous year.
For the annual period, the Zacks Consensus Estimates anticipate earnings of -$0.16 per share and a revenue of $62.99 billion, signifying shifts of -144.44% and +15.3%, respectively, from the last year.
It is also important to note the recent changes to analyst estimates for American Airlines. These revisions typically reflect the latest short-term business trends, which can change frequently. Therefore, positive revisions in estimates convey analysts' confidence in the business performance and profit potential.
Our research demonstrates that these adjustments in estimates directly associate with imminent stock price performance. To utilize this, we have created the Zacks Rank, a proprietary model that integrates these estimate changes and provides a functional rating system.
The Zacks Rank system ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell). It has a remarkable, outside-audited track record of success, with #1 stocks delivering an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the past month, there's been a 3598.81% fall in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. Right now, American Airlines possesses a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
The Transportation - Airline industry is part of the Transportation sector. This group has a Zacks Industry Rank of 226, putting it in the bottom 9% of all 250+ industries.
The strength of our individual industry groups is measured by the Zacks Industry Rank, which is calculated based on the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within these groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
To follow AAL in the coming trading sessions, be sure to utilize Zacks.com.
STARLUX Airlines and American Airlines launch a new codeshare partnership, expanding connectivity between STARLUX’s transpacific service and American Airlines’ domestic network across 20 major U.S. destinations.
LOS ANGELES, Sept. 23, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- STARLUX Airlines and American Airlines today launched their codeshare partnership, with tickets now available for flights connecting STARLUX’s transpacific service with American Airlines’ flights to 20 major U.S. destinations. The partnership enables travelers to book a single itinerary combining American Airlines’ eligible connecting flights with STARLUX’s service to Taipei and onward to destinations across Asia.
The new codeshare cities include:
Via Phoenix: Albuquerque, Austin, Boston, El Paso, Kansas City, San Antonio, San Diego, St. Louis, Tucson, Washington, D.C. (Reagan)Via Los Angeles: New York (JFK), MiamiVia Phoenix and Los Angeles: Atlanta, Charlotte, Denver, Dallas/Fort Worth, Las Vegas, Orlando, Chicago O’Hare, Philadelphia “This codeshare marks an important milestone for STARLUX,” said STARLUX Airlines CEO Glenn Chai. “American Airlines is an ideal partner, with a network across North America that complements what we’ve built across Asia. Together, we can provide our passengers with a more seamless and convenient travel experience between two of the world’s most dynamic regions.”
The codeshare builds on the airlines’ interline agreement established in 2025, expanding their relationship to provide greater connectivity between STARLUX’s growing U.S.-Asia network and American Airlines’ extensive domestic network. The airlines expect to add more connecting opportunities as the partnership grows.
“Taipei remains a top destination for global business, visiting friends and family and leisure travel, and together with STARLUX Airlines, we’re partnering to provide new travel options,” said American’s Senior Vice President of Alliances, Anmol Bhargava. “This collaboration strengthens our global network and unlocks new competitive itineraries. We look forward to working together on opportunities to make the journey even more rewarding for customers.”
As one of the world’s largest airlines, American Airlines serves more than 250 destinations across North America and has a membership base of over 100 million. Through this partnership, passengers can enjoy the convenience of a single ticket and through-checked baggage to their final destination. Upon arriving in the United States, STARLUX passengers can conveniently connect to American Airlines flights and travel to more than 250 cities across North America, with 20 cities selected for the initial codeshare cooperation. More destinations are expected to be added as the codeshare partnership expands, providing STARLUX passengers with greater connectivity across American Airlines’ extensive domestic network.
STARLUX and American Airlines are also preparing a reciprocal frequent-flyer partnership that will allow members of both airlines to earn and redeem miles on eligible codeshare flights, giving travelers greater flexibility in how to use their miles.
The codeshare builds on STARLUX’s expanding presence in North America. Earlier this year, the airline launched its Phoenix–Taipei route, rounding out much of its network in the western United States and plans to expand into the central and eastern United States. As STARLUX continues to grow its network, partnerships such as this one with American Airlines will give passengers more destinations, greater convenience, more flexible connections, and a smoother and more seamless journey.
About STARLUX Airlines
Founded on the philosophy that luxury should be available to everyone, not just the elite, Taiwan-based STARLUX is a boutique international airline serving a total of 34 destinations across the Europe, US, Japan, South Korea, Macau, Hong Kong, Vietnam, Thailand, the Philippines, Malaysia, and Singapore. STARLUX passengers traveling between Europe and Asia are able to enjoy an easy transfer in Taipei. Recognized globally for its excellence, STARLUX has been awarded Skytrax 5-Star Airline status, earned the APEX Five-Star Global Airline Awards, and received a 7-Star PLUS Safety Rating from AirlineRatings. STARLUX prioritizes safety and offers unparalleled service with the goal of making flying a truly luxurious and unforgettable experience. For more information visit www.starlux-airlines.com
About American Airlines Group (NASDAQ: AAL)
American Airlines is a premium global airline connecting more of the U.S. to the world. With roots tracing back to an air mail carrier in the Midwestern United States in 1926, American now operates more than 6,000 daily flights to more than 350 destinations in more than 60 countries and serves more than 200 million customers annually. Powered by a proud and talented team of 130,000 aviation professionals, American’s team lives out the airline’s purpose of caring for people on life’s journey every day.
The world’s largest airline proudly celebrates its centennial year in 2026, reaching a milestone that reflects a century of innovation and the Forever Forward℠ spirit that changed the industry and the world. American introduced the first scheduled air cargo service, the first airport lounge and the first airline loyalty program and continues to reinvent the customer experience today. The airline is also a founding member of the oneworld alliance, whose members serve more than 900 destinations around the globe.
Get the latest about American at news.aa.com and @AmericanAir.
Media Contact:
Mary Placido, SKC, Inc.
(415) 218-3627 [email protected]
A photo accompanying this announcement is available at https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/db7554ba-682f-451a-88cc-0ff86758583d
Ann Berry is joined by Jacob Teplin, Managing Director of AAdvantage Business℠ to discuss American Airlines' loyalty program that is designed for growing businesses and the travelers who work for them. They delve into what it took to design the program built to keep two very different customers happy at once, where he sees it heading next and why the program was harder to produce than it immediately appears.
Advance purchase commitments from AVEVA, Bain & Company, Google, McKinsey, and others support Infinium's Project Atlas, a Texas-based planned facility expected to produce up to 100,000 metric tons of high-integrity sustainable aviation fuel per year.
, /PRNewswire/ -- The Sustainable Aviation Buyers Alliance (SABA) today announced commitments from members to purchase sustainable aviation fuel certificates (SAFc) associated with Infinium Energy's Project Atlas, an eSAF facility expected to produce approximately 100,000 metric tons of SAF annually, providing the long-term structured contracts that are catalytic to securing project financing.
The groundbreaking results of SABA's latest procurement were supported by leading member organizations, including AVEVA, Bain & Company, Google, McKinsey, and others, and mark an important addition to SABA's market model. Through exclusive focus on supporting projects toward final investment decision, this procurement represents a first-ever application of SABA's approach to drive new production of highly scalable, high-integrity SAF. Infinium submitted its winning proposal jointly with American Airlines, which will take physical delivery of the fuel and oversee fuel logistics. Contracted volumes under these agreements are expected to support greenhouse gas abatement of over 212,000 mtCO2e, equivalent to the emissions of over 3,500 JFK to LAX commercial flights.
"Reducing emissions from business travel is an important part of our sustainability efforts," said Isabelle Schuhmann, Global Director of Environmental Sustainability at McKinsey. "By supporting next-generation sustainable aviation fuel, this purchase helps advance a promising solution for decarbonizing aviation at scale, while enabling the travel that is essential to serving our clients."
Aviation currently accounts for approximately 2-3% of global greenhouse gas emissions, yet SAF supply remains limited and at a significant premium to conventional jet fuel. Infinium, which was selected through SABA's procurement process earlier this year, produces ultra-low carbon eSAF at commercial scale using waste CO₂ and renewable energy, converting captured carbon into drop-in aviation fuel compatible with existing aircraft and infrastructure.
"We're proud to partner with SABA members including AVEVA, Bain & Company, Google, McKinsey, and others, as well as American Airlines to bring Infinium Energy's next world scale eSAF facility to life," said Robert Schuetzle, CEO at Infinium. "Their commitment reflects a shared conviction that decarbonizing aviation requires real investment in next-generation supply."
"The companies purchasing SAF certificates through this agreement are demonstrating the leadership needed to help scale a critical solution for aviation," said American's Chief Sustainability Officer Jill Blickstein. "Their commitments broaden participation in the SAF market, support investment in new production and show how customers can work alongside airlines and fuel producers to advance aviation decarbonization."
SABA procurements use a book and claim model that allows corporate customers to invest in SAF and claim the associated environmental benefits, even when the fuel does not flow directly into the planes their employees or freight fly on. Participating companies purchase SAFc, while the corresponding fuel is delivered to an aircraft operator. American Airlines will serve as the physical offtaker for the SAF purchased through this deal and facilitate the allocation of the associated Scope 3 emission reductions to SABA's participating members.
"Next-generation sustainable aviation fuels have tremendous potential to transform aviation," said Sam Israelit, Chief Sustainability Officer at Bain & Company. "High-integrity market mechanisms can help translate corporate demand into the long-term investment signals needed to bring these technologies to commercial scale."
While the SAF market is growing rapidly, more investment is needed, especially for the next generation technologies the aviation sector requires to meet its long-term decarbonization goals. SABA helps accelerate future supply by aggregating SAF demand from corporate buyers and channeling it into offtake agreements with SAFc suppliers who meet rigorous sustainability criteria. SABA's next generation SAF procurement was specifically designed to drive investment into the innovative new technologies needed to bring scalable supply to the market in the years to come.
"Long-term, bankable offtake is often the missing puzzle piece that keeps new SAF plants from getting financed and built," said Kim Carnahan, GMA CEO and Head of SABA Secretariat. "We're thrilled to be working with our SABA members, Infinium, and American Airlines to fill this need and help get more ultra-low carbon aviation fuel to the market."
"We already know innovation can take us much further, faster, but only if we create the conditions for it to scale," said Jon Creyts, CEO of RMI. "Novel technologies are critical to meeting future demand for sustainable aviation fuel, but they will not be operational in time without investments made today. This procurement demonstrates how aggregated, long-term demand can help take promising eSAF projects from idea to reality."
To date, SABA has aggregated $500 million in demand for SAFc from over 35 member companies, driving needed investment toward sustainable aviation fuels. SABA's procurements are supported by robust market infrastructure, including the SAFc Registry, SAFc Accounting and Reporting Guidance, and SABA's Sustainability Framework. Combined, these tools ensure high-integrity transactions across the market. Recent guidance from standard setting organizations, including the Science-based Targets initiative, has recognized environmental attribute certificates from book and claim systems, like SAFc, as a legitimate tool for decarbonizing hard-to-abate value chain emissions.
With the binding, multi-year offtake agreements from SABA customers in hand, Infinium is well positioned to advance to final investment decision and secure financing to build the facility. In addition to serving voluntary customers, Infinium also plans to sell RFNBO compliant eSAF from the facility into European regulatory markets.
"eFuels represent one of the most sustainable pathways to help decarbonize aviation — but they are more expensive to produce," said Fred Krupp, president of Environmental Defense Fund. "Deals like this one prove that high-integrity e-SAF is investable today, not just in theory. The next test is turning early demand signals like SABA's into the long-term policy and financing conditions that will enable e-SAF suppliers to scale beyond a single project."
Plans for SABA's next procurement are already underway, offering future opportunities for companies to purchase and apply SAFc to their climate targets.
About the Sustainable Aviation Buyers Alliance (SABA)
The Sustainable Aviation Buyers Alliance (SABA) is a joint initiative of Environmental Defense Fund, the Center for Green Market Activation (GMA) and RMI focused on accelerating the path to net-zero aviation by driving investment in, and adoption of, high-integrity sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and supporting companies, airlines, and freight customers in achieving their climate goals. More information on SABA can be found at www.flysaba.org or follow us on LinkedIn.
About Infinium
Infinium is reimagining how the world powers, moves, and computes. Through Infinium Energy™, the company transforms waste carbon into ultra-low carbon eFuels that decarbonize aviation, industry, and transport. Through Infinium Edge™, Infinium advances next-generation thermal infrastructure for data centers, removing heat as a constraint to enable more efficient, high-performance computing. Grounded in deep chemistry and energy systems expertise, Infinium's platforms turn carbon and heat from limits into opportunities.
About American Airlines Group (NASDAQ: AAL)
American Airlines is a premium global airline connecting more of the U.S. to the world. With roots tracing back to an air mail carrier in the Midwestern United States in 1926, American now operates more than 6,000 daily flights to more than 350 destinations in more than 60 countries and serves more than 200 million customers annually. Powered by a proud and talented team of 130,000 aviation professionals, American's team lives out the airline's purpose of caring for people on life's journey every day.
The world's largest airline proudly celebrates its centennial year in 2026, reaching a milestone that reflects a century of innovation and the Forever Forward℠ spirit that changed the industry and the world. American introduced the first scheduled air cargo service, the first airport lounge and the first airline loyalty program and continues to reinvent the customer experience today. The airline is also a founding member of the oneworld alliance, whose members serve more than 900 destinations around the globe.
Get the latest about American at news.aa.com and @AmericanAir.
A Look at American Airlines Group Inc (AAL) After 4.7% Gain -- GF Value $15.18 vs Price $13.57
On September 21, 2026, American Airlines Group Inc AAL shares rose 4.7% to a current price of $13.57, showing resilience amid broader market fluctuations. The stock has fluctuated between $10.09 and $18.79 over the past year, reflecting substantial volatility.
GF Value™ verdict: Current price is $13.57 vs GF Value of $15.18, 10.6% undervalued.GF Score™: 82/100, indicating a strong overall rating.Most notable signal: Insiders sold $7.0M worth of shares over the past 12 months without any buying activity.Is AAL Overvalued or Undervalued?Analyzing American Airlines Group Inc's current valuation reveals a nuanced view, especially considering that the company is unprofitable and cash-flow negative. The GF Value™, estimated at $15.18, suggests that AAL is currently trading at a 10.6% discount to its fair value. However, it is crucial to note that GF Value™ is derived from historical trading multiples, past business growth, and future performance estimates. For a loss-making entity like AAL, this intrinsic value may serve more as a directional warning rather than a precise target.
While the GF Value™ indicates a modest undervaluation, investors should exercise caution. The price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, which stands at approximately 0.3x compared to its historical median, is a more relevant metric in this context. This suggests that the market is valuing AAL significantly lower than it has in the past, highlighting potential concerns over the company's ability to generate consistent revenue and profits. The GF Valuation label of "Modestly Undervalued" further emphasizes the need for careful consideration of the risks involved.
How Does AAL's Valuation Compare to Its History?MetricCurrentHistoricalP/E (TTM)6.2x14.4xThe current forward P/E ratio of 6.2x stands in stark contrast to its 5-year median P/E of 14.4x, indicating that AAL is trading well below its historical valuation levels. This discrepancy between the current and historical P/E ratios aligns with the GF Value™ assessment, reinforcing the notion that AAL is undervalued based on traditional earnings metrics. However, given the company's ongoing financial challenges, this analysis should be interpreted with caution.
What Does AAL's GF Score™ Tell Us?The GF Score™ evaluates a company's financial health, growth potential, profitability, valuation, and momentum to provide a comprehensive view of its investment quality. AAL's score of 82/100 highlights its strengths in valuation and momentum, while also revealing weaknesses in financial strength and profitability.
MetricRatingGF Score™82Financial Strength4/10Profitability7/10Growth7/10Valuation10/10Momentum8/10The strongest aspect of AAL's GF Score™ is its high valuation rank of 10/10, indicating that the stock is considered undervalued based on current metrics. Conversely, its financial strength rank of 4/10 suggests that the company may face challenges in terms of stability and solvency. The growth and profitability ranks of 7/10 are relatively strong, but still indicate that there is room for improvement.
What Are Gurus and Insiders Doing with AAL?Currently, 7 gurus hold positions in American Airlines Group Inc, with 6 increasing their stakes and 3 trimming their positions in recent quarters. This activity suggests a generally positive sentiment among institutional investors, as many are willing to add to their holdings despite the company's challenges.
In contrast, insider activity presents a more cautionary tale. Over the last 12 months, insiders have sold $7.0M worth of shares without any purchases, indicating a lack of confidence from individuals closely tied to the company. This selling pressure could imply that insiders may not foresee significant improvements in the company's financial outlook in the near term.
What This Means for InvestorsBased on the analysis of AAL's current valuation and the insights provided by GF Value™, the company appears to be undervalued at its current price of $13.57. However, given the significant challenges it faces as a cash-flow-negative entity, potential investors should proceed with caution and consider the inherent risks. The guru activity indicates some level of confidence in the stock, but insider selling raises red flags that warrant careful consideration.
For a deeper dive into American Airlines Group Inc AAL, visit the AAL stock page for additional insights.
Frequently Asked QuestionsWhat is AAL's GF Score™?
AAL's GF Score™ is 82/100, indicating a strong overall rating based on various financial metrics and performance indicators.
Is AAL overvalued or undervalued?
AAL is currently undervalued according to the GF Value™, which estimates its fair value at $15.18, indicating a 10.6% upside from the current price.
What is AAL's P/E ratio?
The current forward P/E ratio for AAL is 6.2x, significantly lower than its 5-year median P/E of 14.4x, suggesting that the stock is trading at a discount to its historical valuation.
This stock alert was generated using automated technology and GuruFocus financial data to provide readers with timely and accurate market reporting. This content was reviewed by GuruFocus editorial team prior to publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].
Disclosures I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference September 16, 2026 10:45 AM EDT
Company Participants
Robert Isom - CEO, President & Director
Devon May - Executive VP & CFO
Conference Call Participants
Ravi Shanker - Morgan Stanley, Research Division
Presentation
Ravi Shanker
Morgan Stanley, Research Division
Great. Welcome back. And kicking off airlines content at the conference. We are very happy to welcome back American Airlines with CEO, Robert Isom, and CFO, Devon May. Gentlemen, thank you so much for coming back to Laguna.
Robert Isom
CEO, President & Director
Ravi, great to see you.
Ravi Shanker
Morgan Stanley, Research Division
Thank you. So, before we kick off, I want to say for research disclosures, please see Morgan Stanley's research disclosure website at morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures or please see our recent research. With that, Robert, plenty going on. So I don't know if you want to maybe open up with a few thoughts on what you're seeing out there?
Robert Isom
CEO, President & Director
I would. First off, thanks for having us. But I'll just start with this. A lot of stuff going on in the world, but demand remains strong. That's really great to see, and I know we're going to spend some time on it. From an American perspective, premium Global Airline, we're doing all the right things to make sure that we reinforce that purpose. And the storyline for us is still we're the airline with the greatest potential. And it really is because of the opportunities that we have ahead of us from a revenue perspective. We've talked a lot about the things that we're doing with our four pillars. Rebuilding our network. We have significantly undergrown since prior to the pandemic, our network. And this is the first year we've been able to really put all the pieces together with pilots and aircraft deliveries and gate availability. And we've done
Flight Path to Profits: American Airlines Bets on SpaceXAmerican Airlines Group NASDAQ: AAL CEO Robert Isom said demand remains strong across the carrier’s network, cabins and geographies, while volatile fuel costs remain the principal constraint on profitability.
Speaking at a Morgan Stanley conference, Isom said American expects third-quarter revenue growth of 16% to 19% year over year and continues to see broad-based strength in corporate, international, domestic, premium-cabin and coach demand. He said the carrier’s capacity and unit-cost performance were also tracking in line with expectations.
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Boarding Passes Now Being Issued for the Ultimate eVTOL Arbitrage“I’ve never seen a revenue environment in terms of year-over-year improvement, especially for American,” Isom said, while adding that the company still must contend with elevated fuel prices and refining margins.
Revenue Strategy Centers on Four Pillars Isom said American’s strategy is centered on rebuilding its network, improving the customer experience, growing premium revenue and strengthening its AAdvantage loyalty and co-brand card business.
Sky Wars: United's Predator Play for AmericanAmerican has rebuilt capacity at major hubs including Dallas-Fort Worth, Charlotte, Miami, Philadelphia, Phoenix and Chicago after what Isom described as undergrowth in its network following the pandemic. The company expects to receive five additional gates in Chicago by the end of the year, while future terminal additions at Dallas-Fort Worth could support further expansion.
The company is also investing in upgraded lounges, Flagship Suites, aircraft cabin reconfigurations, high-speed Starlink Wi-Fi and the return of seatback video. Isom said premium seating is expected to increase about 50% by the end of the decade as reconfigured aircraft and new deliveries enter the fleet.
He said 30% of American’s seats now generate 50% of its revenue, highlighting the importance of premium products. American also has recorded a 5-percentage-point improvement in customers buying up from Basic Economy fares, according to Isom.
Managed corporate revenue rose 26% in the second quarter, marking a fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth. American has regained its prior corporate position following sales and distribution changes, though Isom said it has not yet achieved its “full fair share” of corporate business. Corporate yield is nearly double that of other channels, Isom said. Fuel Volatility Clouds Otherwise Strong Outlook While executives expressed confidence in operating trends, both Isom and Chief Financial Officer Devon May said fuel costs have risen sharply. May said fuel for the fourth quarter had increased by about $1 per gallon over the past four weeks compared with levels reflected in the company’s prior forward guidance.
May said each one-cent change in fuel prices is worth approximately $10 million per quarter to the airline, implying about a $1 billion run-up in fourth-quarter fuel expense from the recent increase.
“For everything that is controllable, we feel great about it,” May said, citing revenue, capacity and unit-cost performance. He said American may adjust late-fourth-quarter capacity, including December flying, in response to higher fuel prices.
Isom said the company has recovered a substantial portion of higher fuel costs through pricing, though it has accepted somewhat lower load factors in exchange for stronger unit revenue. If fuel prices remain elevated, he said the industry may need to make further capacity adjustments.
Loyalty Program and Citi Partnership Offer Growth Opportunity Isom highlighted record AAdvantage enrollments and the company’s new relationship with Citigroup as major longer-term revenue drivers. American expects approximately $8 billion in co-brand cash remuneration this year and said that figure is projected to exceed $10 billion by 2030.
The company also anticipates the Citi relationship could add $1.5 billion in pretax profitability by 2030. Isom said American is expanding card offerings, including initiatives aimed at small and medium-sized businesses, while free Wi-Fi is helping drive loyalty-program enrollments.
American’s balance sheet has also improved, Isom said. The company reduced total debt from a peak of $54 billion a few years ago to roughly $36 billion, with a target of $35 billion. May said the airline has its lowest debt level in more than a decade and substantial liquidity.
Management Sees Margin Potential Beyond Fuel Pressures Isom said American remains focused on expanding margins and profitability rather than prioritizing a single operating metric. He reiterated that the company’s prior targets included mid- to high-single-digit pretax margins and potentially mid-teen-plus EBITDA margins.
According to Isom, American would have been positioned to make significant progress toward those targets this year absent fuel volatility. He said the company’s revenue opportunity does not require excessive capital investment because its fleet and capital-expenditure plans are largely in place.
For the fourth quarter, about 25% of bookings had been made at the time of the conference. Isom said trends were consistent with a strong finish to the year, with demand holding up in both premium and coach cabins. He added that American expects to grow less in 2027 than it had anticipated several months earlier, while continuing to rebuild a competitive network and manage profitability.
About American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL)American Airlines Group Inc is a holding company whose principal subsidiary, American Airlines, provides scheduled passenger air transportation and cargo services. The airline serves destinations throughout the United States and connects customers to international markets across the Americas, Europe, Asia and other regions through its own network and partnerships.
American Airlines offers multiple travel classes and related services, including reservations, onboard products, travel rewards through the AAdvantage loyalty program, and freight transportation.
This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].
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American Airlines CEO Robert Isom said Wednesday that just 30% of its seats account for half of the company's revenue, a proportion that has the Fort Worth-based carrier and competitors large and small ripping up existing airplane configurations to add more first class and other higher-yielding options.
"Those 30% of seats, they're only going to grow in our fleet as the reconfigurations come on board as the new aircraft deliveries come on," Isom said at a Morgan Stanley industry conference, referring to the carrier's premium seat options.
The carrier earlier this month unveiled a monster 70-suite business class cabin on its largest aircraft, a Boeing 777-300ER, with more planes still awaiting their remodeling.
watch now
American had fallen behind its large-airline competitors in profits. Isom has said that adding premium seating to capitalize on higher-spending customers, a resilient and bright spot in air travel, is key, especially as airlines try to cover this year's surge in fuel costs, their second-largest expense after labor.
Even smaller and budget carriers like Allegiant Air and JetBlue Airways are adding upgraded seat options to appeal to those flyers.
Isom told CNBC in June that the airline is also planning a revamp of its Boeing 787-8 Dreamliners and that new interiors on its 777-200s are also on tap. The airline is set to order new wide-body aircraft this year, Isom said.
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In the latest close session, American Airlines (AAL - Free Report) was down 2.52% at $12.77. This change lagged the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.45%. On the other hand, the Dow registered a loss of 0.63%, and the technology-centric Nasdaq decreased by 0.78%.
Shares of the world's largest airline have depreciated by 9.22% over the course of the past month, underperforming the Transportation sector's loss of 4.89%, and the S&P 500's loss of 1.99%.
Market participants will be closely following the financial results of American Airlines in its upcoming release. The company is forecasted to report an EPS of -$0.32, showcasing a 88.24% downward movement from the corresponding quarter of the prior year. In the meantime, our current consensus estimate forecasts the revenue to be $16.12 billion, indicating a 17.77% growth compared to the corresponding quarter of the prior year.
AAL's full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates are calling for earnings of -$0.16 per share and revenue of $62.99 billion. These results would represent year-over-year changes of -144.44% and +15.3%, respectively.
It's also important for investors to be aware of any recent modifications to analyst estimates for American Airlines. Recent revisions tend to reflect the latest near-term business trends. As a result, upbeat changes in estimates indicate analysts' favorable outlook on the business health and profitability.
Research indicates that these estimate revisions are directly correlated with near-term share price momentum. Investors can capitalize on this by using the Zacks Rank. This model considers these estimate changes and provides a simple, actionable rating system.
The Zacks Rank system ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell). It has a remarkable, outside-audited track record of success, with #1 stocks delivering an average annual return of +25% since 1988. The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has moved 637.13% lower within the past month. American Airlines is currently sporting a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
The Transportation - Airline industry is part of the Transportation sector. With its current Zacks Industry Rank of 216, this industry ranks in the bottom 13% of all industries, numbering over 250.
The strength of our individual industry groups is measured by the Zacks Industry Rank, which is calculated based on the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within these groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Make sure to utilize Zacks.com to follow all of these stock-moving metrics, and more, in the coming trading sessions.
Amundi raised its holdings in American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL – Free Report) by 2,450.9% during the 2nd quarter, according to its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The firm owned 1,176,913 shares of the airline’s stock after buying an additional 1,130,775 shares during the quarter. Amundi owned 0.18% of American Airlines Group worth $21,267,000 as of its most recent SEC filing.
Several other hedge funds and other institutional investors have also modified their holdings of the stock. EverSource Wealth Advisors LLC boosted its position in American Airlines Group by 21.8% in the 4th quarter. EverSource Wealth Advisors LLC now owns 4,276 shares of the airline’s stock valued at $66,000 after buying an additional 766 shares during the last quarter. NewEdge Advisors LLC raised its holdings in American Airlines Group by 6.6% during the 2nd quarter. NewEdge Advisors LLC now owns 13,251 shares of the airline’s stock worth $149,000 after purchasing an additional 823 shares during the last quarter. HB Wealth Management LLC lifted its holdings in American Airlines Group by 4.5% in the first quarter. HB Wealth Management LLC now owns 20,205 shares of the airline’s stock valued at $217,000 after buying an additional 871 shares during the period. Root Financial Partners LLC boosted its stake in American Airlines Group by 33.1% in the first quarter. Root Financial Partners LLC now owns 3,816 shares of the airline’s stock valued at $41,000 after acquiring an additional 949 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Fifth Third Wealth Advisors LLC grew its stake in shares of American Airlines Group by 4.9% during the first quarter. Fifth Third Wealth Advisors LLC now owns 20,631 shares of the airline’s stock worth $222,000 after purchasing an additional 966 shares during the period. Institutional investors own 52.44% of the company’s stock.
Wall Street Analyst Weigh In Several research firms recently weighed in on AAL. Sanford C. Bernstein lifted their price objective on shares of American Airlines Group from $20.00 to $23.00 and gave the stock a “market outperform” rating in a research note on Wednesday, July 1st. UBS Group dropped their price target on American Airlines Group from $18.00 to $17.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research report on Thursday. Citigroup cut their price objective on American Airlines Group from $22.00 to $19.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a report on Friday, July 24th. JPMorgan Chase & Co. boosted their price objective on American Airlines Group from $22.00 to $24.00 and gave the company an “overweight” rating in a research report on Friday, July 24th. Finally, Bank of America increased their price objective on shares of American Airlines Group from $16.00 to $19.00 and gave the stock a “neutral” rating in a research report on Wednesday, July 1st. Eight equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, eleven have given a Hold rating and two have assigned a Sell rating to the company’s stock. Based on data from MarketBeat, the company has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of $18.53.
Get Our Latest Report on American Airlines Group American Airlines Group Price Performance Shares of NASDAQ AAL opened at $13.01 on Friday. The stock’s fifty day moving average price is $14.76 and its two-hundred day moving average price is $13.62. American Airlines Group Inc. has a one year low of $10.09 and a one year high of $18.79. The firm has a market cap of $8.61 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -26.55 and a beta of 1.33.
American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL – Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings data on Thursday, July 23rd. The airline reported $0.15 EPS for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.03 by $0.12. The firm had revenue of $16.73 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $16.70 billion. American Airlines Group had a negative return on equity of 9.11% and a negative net margin of 0.56%.The company’s revenue was up 16.3% on a year-over-year basis. During the same quarter last year, the company earned $0.95 EPS. American Airlines Group has set its Q3 2026 guidance at -0.700–0.100 EPS and its FY 2026 guidance at -0.650-0.650 EPS. On average, equities analysts anticipate that American Airlines Group Inc. will post -0.16 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
Insider Buying and Selling at American Airlines Group In related news, SVP Angela Owens sold 40,077 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Friday, July 31st. The shares were sold at an average price of $15.26, for a total transaction of $611,575.02. Following the completion of the transaction, the senior vice president directly owned 178,799 shares in the company, valued at $2,728,472.74. This represents a 18.31% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through this hyperlink. Also, COO David Seymour sold 56,456 shares of the stock in a transaction that occurred on Thursday, June 25th. The shares were sold at an average price of $18.00, for a total transaction of $1,016,208.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief operating officer directly owned 969,033 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $17,442,594. The trade was a 5.51% decrease in their position. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. Insiders have sold 205,044 shares of company stock valued at $3,407,451 over the last 90 days. Corporate insiders own 0.70% of the company’s stock.
American Airlines Group Company Profile (Free Report)
American Airlines Group Inc is a holding company whose principal subsidiary, American Airlines, provides scheduled passenger air transportation and cargo services. The airline serves destinations throughout the United States and connects customers to international markets across the Americas, Europe, Asia and other regions through its own network and partnerships.
American Airlines offers multiple travel classes and related services, including reservations, onboard products, travel rewards through the AAdvantage loyalty program, and freight transportation.
Read More Five stocks we like better than American Airlines Group Block Makes a Federal Trust Bank Move That Could Reshape Its Fintech Model Kroger’s Textbook Entry for Buy-and-Hold Investors AST SpaceMobile Looks to Extend Its 30-Day FCC Satellite Testing Window Amgen Drops 10% on a Trial It Didn’t Even Run Want to see what other hedge funds are holding AAL? Visit HoldingsChannel.com to get the latest 13F filings and insider trades for American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL – Free Report).
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American Airlines (AAL - Free Report) ended the recent trading session at $12.91, demonstrating a -1.68% change from the preceding day's closing price. The stock trailed the S&P 500, which registered a daily loss of 0.58%. On the other hand, the Dow registered a loss of 1.18%, and the technology-centric Nasdaq decreased by 0.32%.
Shares of the world's largest airline witnessed a loss of 12.47% over the previous month, trailing the performance of the Transportation sector with its loss of 3.23%, and the S&P 500's loss of 0.36%.
The investment community will be paying close attention to the earnings performance of American Airlines in its upcoming release. On that day, American Airlines is projected to report earnings of -$0.32 per share, which would represent a year-over-year decline of 88.24%. Alongside, our most recent consensus estimate is anticipating revenue of $16.12 billion, indicating a 17.77% upward movement from the same quarter last year.
For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates are projecting earnings of -$0.16 per share and revenue of $62.99 billion, which would represent changes of -144.44% and +15.3%, respectively, from the prior year.
It is also important to note the recent changes to analyst estimates for American Airlines. These revisions typically reflect the latest short-term business trends, which can change frequently. With this in mind, we can consider positive estimate revisions a sign of optimism about the business outlook.
Our research reveals that these estimate alterations are directly linked with the stock price performance in the near future. To capitalize on this, we've crafted the Zacks Rank, a unique model that incorporates these estimate changes and offers a practical rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, ranging from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), possesses a remarkable history of outdoing, externally audited, with #1 stocks returning an average annual gain of +25% since 1988. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has moved 977.7% lower. American Airlines is currently sporting a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
The Transportation - Airline industry is part of the Transportation sector. This industry, currently bearing a Zacks Industry Rank of 209, finds itself in the bottom 16% echelons of all 250+ industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the strength of our separate industry groups by calculating the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks contained within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Be sure to use Zacks.com to monitor all these stock-influencing metrics, and more, throughout the forthcoming trading sessions.